Week 1 Finance is a discipline concerned with determining value (what something is worth today) and making decisions based on that value assessment. The finance function allocates resources, including the acquiring, investing, and managing of resources. Government finance, corporate/business finance, personal finance. Main areas of finance: investments, financial markets and intermediaries, international finance, fintech, corporate/business finance. Forms of business organisations: 1. Sole proprietorship 2. Partnership 3. Corporation – split into private and public companies 2 main sources of external financing: Debt: lenders, relationship determined by contract, security and seniority Equity: shareholders’ ownership rights, shareholders’ payoffs (dividends, capital gain) The goal of financial management is to maximise the market value of existing owners’ equity. For a publicly-listed corporation, same as maximising the current stock price. Role and decisions of a financial manager: capital budgeting decision, capital structure decision, working capital management decision. Agency problem: Conflicts of interest between principal and agent as managers are naturally inclined to act in their own best interests. (Direct and indirect agency costs) Good corporate governance requires you to view organisations as a web of relationships between and among various stakeholders and to manage their interests in a responsible manner. Financial markets: Primary vs Secondary markets / Money vs Capital markets Week 2 The annual report is a report issued annually by a corporation to its stockholders. Book values are determined by IFRS/GAAP while market values are determined by current trading values in the market. Market value of shareholders’ equity = market capitalisation = share price x number of outstanding shares Enterprise value of a firm assesses the value of the underlying business assets (however financed) while excluding the value of any non-operating assets. Market value of equity + debt – excess cash Operating working capital = current assets – current liabilities Exclude non-operating working capital such as notes payable. Free cash flows (Cash flow from assets) = operating cash flow – net capital spending – net operating working capital FCF + interest tax shield = cash flow to creditors + cash flow to stockholders Operating cash flow = EBIT x (1 – tax rate) + depreciation Net capital spending = ending net fixed assets – beginning net fixed assets + depreciation Change in net operating working capital = ending NOWC – beginning NOWC Cash flow to creditors = interest paid – net new borrowing (LT debt and notes payable) Cash flow to stockholders = dividends paid – net new equity raised Liquidity is the ability to convert assets to cash quickly without a significant loss in value. Current ratio = CA/CL Quick ratio = (CA – inventory)/CL Cash ratio = Cash/CL NWC to total assets = NWC/TA = CA-CL/TA Interval measure = CA/avg daily oprtg cost = CA/(COGS/365) Long term solvency ratio also known as financial leverage ratios relates to the extent that a firm relies on debt financing rather than equity. Total debt ratio = (TA-TE)/TA Debt/equity ratio = (TA-TE)/TE Equity multiplier = TA/TE = 1 + debt/equity ratio LT debt ratio = LT debt/(LT debt + TE) Times interest earned ratio = EBIT/interest Cash coverage ratio = (EBIT + depreciation)/interest Asset management ratios also known as activity ratios measure how effectively the firms’ assets are being managed. Inventory turnover = COGS/Inventory Days’ sales in inventory = 365/Inventory turnover Receivables turnover = Credit sales/Receivables Days’ sales outstanding = 365/Receivables turnover FA turnover = Sales/Net fixed assets TA turnover = Sales/TA Profitability ratios measure how successfully a business earns a return on its investment. Profit margin = Net income/sales Basic earning power = EBIT/TA Return on assets = Net income/TA Return on equity = Net income/total common equity Market value ratios are a set of ratios that relate the firm’s stock price to its earnings, cash flows and book value per share. P/E ratio = price per share/earnings per share M/B ratio = market value per share/book value per share Du Pont identity ROE = NI/Sales x Sales/TA x TA/TE = PM x TATO x EM Week 3 Discounting is the translation of a value that comes at some point in the future to its value in the present. Compounding if the translation of a value to the future. Principal is the original amount invested or borrowed. Interest is the compensation for the opportunity cost of funds and the risk borne on the amount invested or borrowed. Interest rate can be referred to as discount rate, cost of capital, required return. Simple interest is the interest earned only on the original investment while compound interest is interest that is also earned on top of the interest previously received (on the original investment). FV = PV(1+i)^n Example 1: PV = -10, I = 5.5%, n = 200 PV = FV/(1+i)^n Example 2: FV = 19671.51, I = 7%, n = 10 For multiple cash flows, calculate the FV/PV of each cash flow. Annuity is a series of cash flows in which an equal cash flow (PMT) takes place over regular intervals for a set number of periods. Ordinary annuity: first cash flow occurs one period from now. Annuity due: first cash flow occurs immediately Growing annuity: a set of payments which grow at a constant rate each period and continue for a set number of periods, with the first cash flow occurring at the end of period 1. Example 3: PMT = 100, n = 3, I = 10% Perpetuity: series of equal payments over regular intervals that are paid forever, with the first payment at the end of period 1. PV = PMT/i Growing perpetuity: a set of payments over regular intervals which grow at a constant rate each period and continue forever, with the first payment at the end of period 1. PV = C/(I - g) Week 4 Implied discount rate: Example: n = 5, PV = -1000, FV = 1200 Number of periods: Example: I = 5, PV = -15000, FV = 20800 Effective annual rate: actual rate paid after taking into consideration any compounding that might occur within the year. Annual percentage rate = period rate x number of periods per year Using calculator, input ICONV function. Greater compounding frequency, the higher the EAR. Types of loans: Pure discount, interest only, “flat”, amortised loan with fixed principal paid down, amortised loan with fixed instalment payments Amortised loan calculation: PV = 1000000, n = 30 x 12, I = 2.4%/12, PMT = -3899.41, input AMORT function. BAL = remaining principal PRN = sum of principal paid INT = sum of interest paid Week 5 Investment returns measure the financial results of an investment. Returns may be historical or prospective. Dividend yield = dividend/initial share price, Capital gains yield = capital gain/initial share price, Total percentage return = dividend yield + CG yield 1 + real return = 1 + nominal return/1 = inflation rate Approximation: real return approximately equals to nominal return – expected inflation Expected return = Geometric mean is what the investor actually earned per year on average compounded annually. Holding period return = Geometric average return = Arithmetic mean is what the investor earned in a typical/average year. Arithmetic average return = To evaluate whether an investment is good, compare the expected return to a benchmark which is the required rate of return, which depends on the risk of the investment. Risk is the uncertainty associated with future possible outcomes. In general, higher returns will mean higher risk. Risk measured by variance/ standard deviation of the possible returns. Stand-alone risk is the risk an investor would face if he held only this one asset. Coefficient of variation is a standardized measure of dispersion about the expected value, that shows the risk per unit of return. Risk aversion assumes investors dislike risk and therefore require higher rates of return to encourage them to hold riskier securities. The “extra” return earned for taking on risk is referred to as risk premium. The volatility of a portfolio is the total risk of the portfolio, as measured by the portfolio standard deviation. Week 6 Total risk = diversifiable risk + non-diversifiable risk DR: company-specific, unsystematic risk UDR: market, systematic risk, cannot be diversified away For a well-diversified portfolio, total risk measure = systematic risk. Beta measures the responsiveness of a security to movements in the market portfolio. Slope of the regression line of the asset’s excess returns over the risk-free rate on the market portfolio’s excess returns over the risk-free rate. Measures the sensitivity of a stock’s return to the return on the market portfolio. Beta = 1: asset has same systematic risk as the overall market. Beta <1: less systematic risk than the overall market. Beta >1: more systematic risk than the overall market. Portfolio systematic risk measure: Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) The CAPM assumes that all investors. try to maximise economic utilities, are rational and riskaverse, are fully diversified across a range of investments, are price takes and hence cannot influence prices, can lend and borrow unlimited amounts at the risk-free rate of interest, trade without transaction or taxation costs, all securities are highly divisible into small parcels, all information is available at the same time to all investors, the standard deviation of past returns is a perfect proxy for the future risk associated with a given security. ER > RR, underpriced, ER above SML, ER < RR, overpriced, ER under SML, ER = RR, fairly priced, ER on SML. If underpriced, demand increases which drives up market prices leading to a decrease in expected return and hence establishing eqm. Inflation causes a translation of SML upwards. Increase in risk aversion of investors causes the steepening of the slope of the SML Efficient frontier: minimum variance portfolio onwards Capital market line is the steepest line from RFS to EF.