Diabetes & Heart Diseases ACROSS T2D educational slide modules Module A • CV disease and T2D Module B • Approaches to managing CV risk in patients with T2D Module C • Evidence for effects of older glucose-lowering agents on CV risk Module D • Evaluating CV safety and potential for CV risk reduction with newer T2D agents Module E • EMPA-REG OUTCOME® results 3 The size of the problem Additional risk factors are common in T2D CV disease T2D as a major risk factor 4 Pathophysiology The size of the problem Additional risk factors are common in T2D CV disease T2D as a major risk factor 5 Pathophysiology CVD as a significant global burden 7.4 million due to CHD 31% due to CVD Total global deaths in 2012 ~56 million1 1. WHO. CVD Fact sheet N°317, Jan 2015. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs317/en/#. 6 6.7 million due to stroke T2D is increasingly prevalent and CVD is the leading cause of death in this population • Globally, 387 million people are living with diabetes1 • T2D approximately doubles the risk of death2 Relative risk for 1.85 all-cause mortality 1.76 1 1.5 Relative risk for CV mortality 2.0 • Diabetes caused 4.9 million deaths in 20141 • Rising to 592 million by 20351 • CVD is the principal cause of death in T2D2,3 Represents 2 million people. Diabetes is mostly (85–95%) T2D.1 1. IDF Diabetes Atlas, 2014. 6th Edition. http://www.idf.org/diabetesatlas. 2. Nwaneri et al. Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2013;13:192–207. 3. Morrish et al. Diabetologia 2001;44(suppl 2):S14–21. 7 The size of the problem Additional risk factors are common in T2D CV disease T2D as a major risk factor 8 Pathophysiology Key manifestations of CV disease Stroke Coronary heart disease Disease of blood vessels supplying heart muscle1 Caused by disruption of blood supply to the brain1 Heart failure Failure of the heart to pump blood with normal efficiency (sometimes called congestive heart failure)2 Peripheral arterial disease Disease of blood vessels supplying arms and legs1 1. World Health Organization 2015: http://www.who.int/cardiovascular_diseases/en/cvd_atlas_01_types.pdf?ua=1 2. http://www.heart.org/HEARTORG/Caregiver/Resources/WhatisCardiovascularDisease/What-is-Cardiovascular-Disease_UCM_301852_Article.jsp# T2D is a major and independent risk factor for both microvascular and macrovascular complications Macrovascular Microvascular 1. World Health Organization. http://www.who.int/diabetes/action_online/basics/en/index3.html 10 Endothelial dysfunction is common to microvascular and macrovascular events Remodelling – hypertrophy Peripheral artery disease TIA, stroke Aortic aneurism Remodelling – plaque Microalbuminuria/mild insufficiency Normal conditions Risk factors Endothelial function 11 Versari 11et al. Diabetes Care 2009;32(suppl 2):S314-321. Myocardial infarction Heart failure Subclinical organ factors Overt proteinuria End-stage renal failure Clinical events Endothelial dysfunction drives atherosclerotic progression Atherosclerosis is accelerated in T2D by hyperglycaemia, insulin resistance, inflammation and diabetic dyslipidaemia Figure adapted from Libby. Circulation 2001;104:365‒72. Zeadin et al. Can J Diabetes 2013;37:345e350. Visceral adiposity is related to inflammation, insulin resistance, dyslipidaemia and atherosclerosis Interactions are complex, inter-related and not necessarily causal Dyslipidaemia Adiponectin T2D OBESITY Adipocytokines inflammatory cytokines* Endothelial dysfunction Hypertension Insulin resistance Age Oxidative stress *including: TNFα, IL-6, resistin, PAI-1, angiotensinogen Lau et al.13 Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol 2005;288:H2031‒41. Atherosclerosis Section recap Summary: Burden and pathophysiology of CVD and T2D • CVD is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality globally and is the leading cause of death in people with T2D1-4 • T2D is a major independent risk factor for CVD5 • Endothelial dysfunction:6 • Affects microvascular and macrovascular risk • Drives atherosclerosis • Atherosclerosis is accelerated in patients with T2D7,8 • Visceral adiposity is associated with increased insulin resistance, inflammation and atherogenic dyslipidaemia9 1. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs317/en/#. 2. http://www.idf.org/diabetesatlas. 3. Nwaneri et al. Br J Diabetes Vasc Dis 2013;13:192–207. 4. Morrish et al. Diabetologia 2001;44 Suppl 2:S14–21. 5. http://www.who.int/diabetes/action_online/basics/en/index3.html. 6. Versari D, et al. Diabetes Care. 2009;32(Suppl 2):S314-321. 7. Libby P. Circulation. 2001;104:365-372. 8. Zeadin, et al. Can J Diabetes. 2013;37:345e350. 9. Lau et al. Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol 2005;288:H2031-H2041. The size of the problem Additional risk factors are common in T2D CV disease T2D as a major risk factor 15 Pathophysiology Diabetes doubles the risk of vascular events Outcome Number of cases HR (95% CI) Coronary heart disease 26,505 2.00 (1.83–2.19) Coronary death 11,556 2.31 (2.05–2.60) Non-fatal MI 14,741 1.82 (1.64–2.03) Ischaemic stroke 3799 2.27 (1.95–2.65) Haemorrhagic stroke 1183 1.56 (1.19–2.05) Unclassified stroke 4973 1.84 (1.59–2.13) Other vascular deaths 3826 1.73 (1.51–1.98) Cerebrovascular disease 2 1 2 Hazard ratio (diabetes vs no diabetes) Sarwar et al. Lancet 2010;375(9733):2215–2222. 16 4 Diabetes is associated with significant loss of life years Men Women 7 Non-vascular deaths Years of life lost 6 Vascular deaths 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 40 50 60 70 Age (year) 80 90 0 40 50 60 70 80 Age (year) On average, a 50-year old with diabetes but no history of vascular disease is ~6 years younger at time of death than a counterpart without diabetes Seshasai et al. N Engl J Med 2011;364:829-41. 17 90 Life expectancy is reduced by multiple morbidities of diabetes, stroke and MI Age- and sex-adjusted HRs for mortality by baseline disease status Disease status at baseline No. of participants No. of deaths Personyears Hazard ratio (95% CI) Diabetes, stroke and MI 541 379 3584 6.9 (5.7–8.3) Stroke and MI 1836 1174 14,210 3.5 (3.1–4.0) Diabetes and stroke 1321 778 10,234 3.8 (3.5–4.2) Diabetes and MI 3233 1794 25,321 3.7 (3.3–4.1) MI 21,591 9636 216,081 2.0 (1.9–2.2) Stroke 8583 3814 82,208 2.1 (2.0–2.2) Diabetes 24,677 8087 254,608 1.9 (1.8–2.0) None 627,518 103,181 8,772,977 1 [Reference] 1 Adapted from Danesh et al. for ERFC JAMA 2015;314:52–60. 18 4 2 8 Hazard ratio (95% CI) 16 CV mortality event rate/1000 personyears Diabetes confers significant CV risk; combination of diabetes and history of MI further increases Men risk Women 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80–89 30–39 40–49 50–59 60–69 70–79 80–89 Age Age No diabetes, no prior MI Diabetes Schramm et al. Circulation 2008;117:1945–54. 19 Prior MI Diabetes + prior MI Diabetes-related CV complications have declined with improved care, but substantial burden remains Events per 10,000 adult population with diabetes 150 MI ESRD 100 50 0 1990 Adapted from Gregg et al. N Engl J Med 2014;370:1514‒23. 20 Stroke 2000 Years 2010 Renal disease is associated with increased all-cause mortality All-cause mortality Rates (per 1000 person-years) 75 60 45 30 15 0 Previous MI* *Includes participants with or without diabetes and chronic kidney disease. Tonelli et al. Lancet 2012;380(9844):807–14. 21 Diabetes and CKD CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2) Diabetes No diabetes or CKD Summary: T2D increases CV risk • Diabetes doubles the risk of vascular events, and reduces life expectancy1,2 • Risk is further increased in patients with T2D and CVD3,4 • Incidence of T2D-related CV complications have declined with improved standard of care5 • However, rates remain higher than in adults with no diabetes and rising incidence of T2D will increase overall burden • Combination of T2D and renal disease further increases CV risk6 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Sarwar et al. Lancet. 2010;375(9733):2215–2222. Seshasai et al. N Engl J Med 2011;364:829-41. Haffner SM, et al. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:229–234. Schramm TK, et al. Circulation. 2008;117:1945–1954. Gregg EW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2014;370:1514-1523. Tonelli M et al. Lancet 2012.;380(9844):807–814. The size of the problem Additional risk factors are common in T2D CV disease T2D as a major risk factor 23 Pathophysiology Modifiable CV risk factors are common in patients with T2D1,2 Almost a third of diabetes patients were current smokers 2 1. Svensson et al. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2013;10:520–9. 2. Das et al. Am Heart J 2006;151:1087–93. 24 Age-adjusted CVD death risk/10,000 person-years CV death is increased in patients with diabetes and multiple risk factors Diabetes 140 No diabetes 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 Risk factors were serum cholesterol ≥200 mg/dL, current smoker, SBP ≥120 mmHg Stamler et al. Diabetes Care 1993;16:434. 1 2 Number of risk factors 3 Dysglycaemia is an independent risk factor for adverse CV outcomes Coronary heart disease1 2.5 Adjusted HR (95% CI) Adjusted HR (95% CI) 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Mean FBG concentration (mmol/L) No known history of diabetes at baseline survey Known history of diabetes at baseline survey 1. Sarwar et al. Lancet 2010;375:2215–22. 2. Seshasai et al. N Engl J Med 2011;364:829–41. Vascular death2 10 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.9 0 0 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Mean FBG concentration (mmol/L) No history of diabetes at baseline History of diabetes at baseline 10 Hypertension: each 20/10 mmHg BP increase doubles the risk of CV mortality Fold increase in relative CV risk 10 8-fold 8 6 4-fold 4 2 2-fold 1-fold 0 115/75 135/85 155/95 SBP/DBP mmHg 175/105 Population of 1 million adults with no previous vascular disease recorded at baseline in 61 prospective observational studies of blood pressure and mortality Lewington et al. Lancet 2002;360:1903–13. Dyslipidaemia: increased LDL-C increases risk of CHD Relative risk for CHD (log scale) 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.0 40 70 100 130 LDL-C (mg/dL) Grundy et al. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2004;24:e149-e161. 160 190 Dyslipidaemia: increased LDL-C and decreased HDL-C are associated with raised risk of CHD Relative risk of CHD 3.0 2.0 1.0 45 0.0 85 100 160 LDL-C (mg/dL) Taylor. Eur Heart J Suppl 2006;8:F74–80. 220 65 25 Abdominal obesity is associated with increased risk of both diabetes and CVD CVD Men Diabetes 20 Frequency (%) 15 10 5 0 <84 ≥84–<92 ≥92–<99 Waist circumference (cm) Population of 168,000 primary care patients across 63 countries Balkau et al. Circulation 2007;116:1942–51. ≥99–<107 ≥107 Additional risk factors in T2D • Modifiable CV risk factors are common in patients with T2D1,2 • CV mortality is higher in patients with T2D and multiple risk factors • Hyperglycaemia is associated with a non-linear increase in risk of CV events and mortality3,4 • Hypertension leads to a non-linear increase in mortality5 • Increased LDL leads to a non-linear increase in risk of CHD6,7 • Visceral obesity is associated with increased risk of both diabetes and CVD8 1. Svensson et al. Diab Vasc Dis Res 2013;10:520–9. 2. Das et al. Am Heart J 2006;151:1087–93. 3. Sarwar et al. Lancet. 2010;375:2215–2222. 4. Seshasai et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:829–841. 5. Lewington S, et al. Lancet. 2002;360:1903–1913. 6. Grundy et al. Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology. 2004;24:e149-e161. 7. Taylor AJ. European Heart Journal. Supplement 2006;8:F74–80. 8. Balkau B, et al. Circulation. 2007;116:1942–1951. . Summary • T2D is a major independent risk factor for CVD1 • Endothelial dysfunction and progression of atherosclerosis is accelerated in patients with T2D2,3 • Patients with T2D are at significantly increased CV risk4 • Additional risk factors associated with T2D4-9 • Hypertension, dyslipidaemia, visceral adiposity, hyperglycaemia and renal dysfunction are all associated with further increasing CV risk 1. World Health Organization. http://www.who.int/diabetes/action_online/basics/en/index3.html. 2. Libby P. Circulation. 2001;104:365-372. 3. Zeadin, et al. Can J Diabetes. 2013;37:345e350. 4. Sarwar et al. Lancet. 2010;375(9733):2215–2222. 5. Seshasai et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:829–841. 6. Lewington S, et al. Lancet. 2002;360:1903–1913. 7. Grundy et al. Arteriosclerosis, Thrombosis, and Vascular Biology. 2004;24:e149-e161. 8. Taylor AJ. European Heart Journal. Supplement 2006;8:F74–80. 9. Balkau B, et al. Circulation. 2007;116:1942–1951. Diabetes confers significant CV risk; the combination of diabetes and history of MI further increases risk 50 No diabetes, no prior MI Incidence of CV events (%) 45 Diabetes Prior MI Diabetes + prior MI 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 MI P<0.001 for all subjects for prior MI vs. no prior MI, and for diabetes vs. no diabetes 33 et al. N Engl J Med 1998;339:229–34. Haffner Stroke CV Death Whether presence of diabetes and a prior MI confer equivalent CV risk is not supported by all analyses Study Lee et al. 2004 Evans et al. 2002 Haffner et al. 1998 Hu FB et al. 2001 Lotufo et al. 2001 Eberly et al. 2003 Hu G et al. 2005 Cho et al. 2002 Wannamathee et al. 2004 Natarajan et al. 2003 Vaccaro et al. 2004 Pajunen et al. 2005 Natarajan et al.2005 Total Diabetes alone (No. of MI/ No. of subjects) Prior MI alone (No. of MI/ No. of subjects) 141/1460 113/1155 180/890 161/3705 89/2317 171/1122 159/962 113/1285 36/202 35/178 1087/4809 191/525 127/462 59/283 274/1347 13/69 61/1302 445/5906 177/658 373/1308 364/2038 140/517 92/300 1468/4625 254/559 207/594 2603/19,072 3927/19,506 0.2 Odds ratio (95% CI) 0.56 (0.53–0.60) 0.5 Favours diabetes as not a CHD risk equivalent 34 Bulugahapitiya et al. Diabet Med 2009;26:142–48. Odds ratio (95% CI) 1 1.5 2 Favours diabetes as a CHD risk equivalent