lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Module-1 - Math Psychology (St. Michael's College (Iligan)) Studocu is not sponsored or endorsed by any college or university Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Contents Voting Methods and Apportionment Outline 1 Preference Tables and the Plurality Method 2 i Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Voting Methods and Apportionment CONTENT STANDARD In this module, the student will able to demonstrates understanding of key concept, uses and importance of voting and apportionment in real life situation. Learning Content Preference Tables and the Plurality Method The Borda Count and the Plurality-with-Elimination Method The Pairwise Comparison Method and Approval Voting Apportionment Apportion Flaws Learning Objective • Interpret the information in a preference table. • Determine the winner of an election using the plurality method • Decide if an election violates the head-to-head comparison criterion • Determine the winner of an election using the Borda Count method • Decide if an election violates the majority criterion. • Determine the winner of an election using the the pluralitywith-elimination method • Decide if an election violates the monotonicity criterion • Determine the winner of an election using the pairwise comparison method • Decide if an election violates the irrelevant alternatives criterion. • Describes Arrow’s impossibility theorem. • Determine the winner of an election approval voting. • Compute standard divisors and quotas. • Apportion seats using Hamilton’s method. • Apportion seats using Jefferson’s method. • Apportion seats using Adam’s method. • Apportion seats using Webster’s method. • Apportion seats using the Huntington-Hill method. • Illustrate the Alabama Paradox. • Illustrate the population paradox. • Illustrate the new states paradox. • Describe the quota rule. Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 1 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Lesson 1: Preference Tables and the Plurality Method Learning Objectives: 1. Interpret the information in a preference table. 2. Determine the winner of an election using the plurality method. 3. Decide if an election violates the head-to-head comparison criterion. PRELIMINARIES: Voting seems like such a simple idea: two candidates both want a position, and whichever one gets the most votes wins. But like most things in the modern world, elections rarely turn out to be as simple as they appear. The most obvious complication arises when there are more than two candidates. Should the winner just be the one who gets the most votes, even if less than half of the votes want him or her in office? Maybe voters should rank the candidate in order of preferences . . . but then how do we decide on the winner? We will begin our study of voting methods by examining a method for summarizing the results when candidates are ranked in order of preference by voters. We’ll then study the simplest of the methods of determining the winner of an election, and begin a study of the weaknesses inherent in different voting systems. LESSON DEVELOPMENT: Preference Tables Suppose there are three candidates running for club president. We’ll call them A, B and C. Instead of simply voting for the single candidate of your choice, you are asked to rank each candidate in order of preference. This type of ballot is called a preference ballot. In this case, there are six possible ways to rank the candidates, as shown. 2 Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Now, suppose that the 20 club members voted as follows. Of the 6 possibe rankings, only 4 appear in the 20 ballots. Nine people voted for the candidates in order of preference ABC, five people voted ACB, four people voted BCA, and two people voted CBA. A preference table can be made showing the results. Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 9 5 4 2 A A B C B C C B C B A A The sum of the numbers in the top row indicates the total number of votes. Also note that 9 + 5 or 14 voters picked candidate A as their first choice, 4 picked candidates B as their first choice, and 2 voters picked candidate C as their first choice. Because no voters cast ballots ranking as BAC or CAB, those possible rankings are not listed as column in the table. EXAMPLE 1: Interpreting a Preference Table Four candidates, W , X, Y , and Z, are running for student government president. The students were asked to rank all candidates in order of preference. The results of the election are shown in the preference table. Number of Voters First Choice Second Choice Third Choice Fourth Choice a. b. c. d. 86 X W Y Z 42 W Z X Y 19 Y Z X W 13 X Z W Y 40 Y X Z W How many students voted? How many people voted for candidates in the order, Y , Z , X, W ? How many students picked candidate Y as their first choice? How many students picked candidate W as their first choice? Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 3 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Solution: 1. To find the total number of voters, find the sum of the numbers in the top row. 86 + 42 + 19 + 13 + 40 = 200 2. The ranking Y , Z , X, W is in the third column of the table, which is headed by the number 19. This means that 19 voters chose that order. 3. There were 19 voters whose Y , Z , X, W (third column) and 40 that chose Y , X , Z, W (fifth column), and those are the only rankings with Y listed first. So, 19 + 40 = 59 voters listed candidate Y first. 4. Only one ranking has candidate W first — the one in the second column. There were 42 voters who submitted that order, so 42 people chose candidate W as their first choice. TRY THIS ONE! 1 The student Activities Committee at St. Michael’s College is choosing for an end-of-year banquet, and they ask al members to list the four possible location in order of preference. The choices are Appetina Restaurant (A), Levan HillTop View Restaurant (B), Sunburst Restaurant (C), and Am’s Chicken Restaurant (D). The results are shown in the preference table. Number of Voters 19 13 12 9 4 2 First Choice C B C C A B Second Choice B C A B C A A D B D D D Third Choice D A D A B C Fourth Choice a. How many members voted? Members Voted: b. How many listed Sunburst Restaurant as their first choice? Sunburst Restaurant(first choice): c. How many members listed Sunburst Restaurant and Am’s Chicken Restaurant in their top two? Sunburst Restaurant(top two): Am’s Chicken Restaurant (top two): 4 Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Math Note: Plurality does not necessarily mean majority; it is simply means more votes than any other candidate receives. Majority means more than 50 % of the votes cast. We shall now study four common voting methods. The Plurality Method The simplest method of determining a winner in an election with three or more candidates is called the plurality method In an election with three or more candidates that uses the plurality method to determine a winner, the candidate with the most first-place votes in the winner EXAMPLE 2: Using the Plurality Method The preference table for a club presidential election consisting of three candidates is shown. Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 4 7 5 4 B A C B C C A A A B B C a. Using the plurality method, determine the winner. b. Can you make an argument as to why candidate B shouldn’t win the election? Solution: a. In this situation, only the first-place votes for each candidate are considered. Candidate A received 7 first-place votes (column 2). Candidate B received 4 + 4 or 8 first-placed votes (columns 1 and 4). Candidate C received 5 first-place votes (column 3). Candidate B is the winner since that candidate received the most first-place votes. Candidates Candidate A Candidate B Candidate C First-place votes 7 votes 4 + 4 = 8 votes 5 votes b. This is an important question – it’s our first indication of why just calling the person with the most votes isn’t necessarily the best approach. Look at the bottom row of the table: of the 20 people that voted, 12 ranked B as their LEAST favorite candidate! If more than half of those voting really really don’t want that candidate to be club president, should he or she win? Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 5 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 TRY THIS ONE! 2 An election was held for the discussion for the the chairperson of the Psychology Department. There were three candidates: Professor Jones (J), Professor Kline (K), and Professor Lane (L). The preference table for the ballot is shown. Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 2 4 L J J K K L 1 3 K L L K J J 1. Who won the election if the plurality method of voting was used? Candidates Professor Jones Professor Kline Professor Lane First-place votes 2. Do you think this is correct choice? Why or why not? In Example 2, the top row consists of the number of voters who ranked the candidates in the order shown in column. Instead of numbers in the top row, percents can also be used. That allows us to draw a pie chart illustrating the results, which we’ll do in Example 3. EXAMPLE 3: Using Percentages to Summarize a Preference Table For the preference table in Example 2, calculate the percentage of voters that chose each candidate and rewrite the table with the percentages in place of the number of voters. Then use the results to draw a pie chart illustrating the first-place votes each candidate. Solution: From adding the numbers along the top of the original preference table, we know that there were 20 votes cast. We can find the percentage for each ballot by dividing the number of voters by 20 and converting to percent form. 4 = 0.2 = 20% 20 7 Second column: = 0.35 = 35% 20 First column: 6 5 = 0.25 = 25% 20 4 Fourth column: = 0.2 = 20% 20 Third column: Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 The preference table now looks like this: Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 20% B C A 35% A C B 25% C A B 20% B A C There are 360◦ in a full circle, so to find the number of degrees for each portion, we find the appropriate percentage of 360◦ Candidate A: 35% of 360◦ = 0.35 × 360◦ = 126◦ Candidate B: 40% of 360◦ = 0.40 × 360◦ = 144◦ Candidate C: 25% of 360◦ = 0.25 × 360◦ = 90◦ The pie chart shown Figure 1.1: Pie Chart of First-place votes TRY THIS ONE! 3 Rewrite the preference table for the election in Try This One 2, replacing the number of voters with the percentage of voters for each ballot. Then draw a pie chart illustrating the first-place votes. The preference table: Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice Pie Chart: % L J K % J K L % K L J % L K J Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 7 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 The plurality method is a simple way to determine the winner of an election, but it has some flaws. First, some would suggest that a candidate shouldn’t win an election if less than half of the voters choose him or her. As we wee from Figure 1.1, candidate B wins the election in Example 2, even though well less than half of the ballots listed him or her first. Second, the possibility of a tie exists, and is greater when there are fewer voters. Third, the method completely ignores information about voters’ preferences except for their firstplace vote. Fourth, this method can sometimes violate what is called the head-to-head comparison criterion. A criterion is a way of measuring or evaluating a situation. In this module, we will discuss various criteria for assessing the fairness of voting systems. The first of theses is the head-to-head comparison criterion. DEFINITION: The head-to-head comparison criterion states that if particular candidate wins all head-to-head comparisons with all other candidates, then that candidate should win the election Let’s see if the election in Example 2 violates the head-to-head comparison criterion. EXAMPLE 4: The Head-to-Head Comparison Criterion Does the election in Example 2 violate the head-to-head comparison criterion? Solution: The idea is to comapre all combinations of two candidates at a time to see which is preferred in a head-to-head matchup without the third candidate involved. The preference table for the club president’s election is reprinted here for reference. Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 4 B C A 7 5 4 A C B C A A B B C First compare A with B: The second the the third preference ballots have candidate A listed higher than candidate B, and there were 12 voters that chose this order. The first and fourth have candidate B listed higher, and that order was chosen by 8 candidates. So candidate A would win a head-to-head matchup with candidate B. That alone doesn’t mean that the election violates the head-to-head comparison criterion: the criterion doesn’t 8 Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 say that the winning candidate has to beat all others in a head-to-head matchup. First compare A with C: There were 11 voters who listed candidate A higher that candidate C (the second and fourth column). There were 9 who listed candidate C higher, so candidate A also wins a head-tohead matchup with candidate C. Without even comparing B and C, we can see that the head-to-heaad comparison criterion is violated: candidate A defeats both B and C head-to-head, but candidate A didn’t win the election using the plurality method. (The head-to-head criterion says that any candidate who defeats all opponents should win the election) CAUTION: The head-to-head comparison criterion doesn’t say that the winner of an election has to defeat every opponent head-to-head. It says there is a candidate that does defeat all others head-to-head, that candidate should win the election TRY THIS ONE! 4 Does the election in Try This One 2 violate the head-to-head comparison criterion? Why or why not? The preference table: Number of Votes First choice Second choice Third choice 2 4 L J J K K L 1 3 K L L K J J Professor Jones Vs. Professor Kline: Professor Jones Vs. Professor Lane: Professor Kline Vs. Professor Lane: The result of Example 4 shows that the plurarity method doesn’t always satisfy the head-tohead comparison criterion. This is not to say that every election conducted by the plurality method violates the head-to-head comparison criterion. We have simply found that some do, so we say the method in general doesn’t meet the criterion. DEFINITION: The head-to-head criterion is called a fairness criterion. Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 9 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 WORKSHEET 1 Preference Tables and the Plurality Method Name: Date: 1. The preference ballots for the election of a CEO by the board of directors are shown. Make a preference table for the results of the election and answer each questions. a. How may people voted ? b. How many people voted for the candidates in the order of preference XZY ? c. How many people voted for candidate Y as their first choice? d. Using the plurality method, determined the winner of the election. 10 Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) lOMoARcPSD|7347395 2. The students in Dr. Lee’s math class were asked to vote on the starting time for their final exam. Their choices were 8:00 A.M., 10:00 A.M., 12:00 P.M., or 2:00 P.M. The results of the election are shown in the preference table. Number of Voters First Choice Second Choice Third Choice Fourth Choice 8 12 8 10 10 8 12 2 2 12 5 3 2 2 12 2 10 8 2 12 12 2 10 8 8 10 8 10 2 12 a. How many students voted? b. What time was the final exam if the plurality method was used to determined the winner? c. Draw a pie chart illustrating the percentage of first-place votes received by each candidate. d. Using the election results, has the head-to-head comparison criterion been violated? Explain your answer. Apportionment and Voting Module Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com) 11 lOMoARcPSD|7347395 Downloaded by RAMIL BAUTISTA (ramilsensei@gmail.com)