International Economic Course Day 2: International Trade Theory Presented by: Anh Duy Nguyen, PhD. International Economics Duyna@uef.edu.vn AD @ UEF 2023 1 Main Contents Main International Trade Theories: – Benefits and Costs of International Trade – The Mercantilists’ view on Trade – Trade based on Absolute Advantage : Adam Smith – Trade based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo – The Heckscher-Ohlin Theory – Examples Review Questions: AD @ UEF 2020 2 1 1 Lessons of Trade Theory 1. Free trade can raise aggregate economic efficiency and aggregate economic welfare. 2. Free trade will benefit a country even if it is less efficient than all other countries in every industry. 3. Some people will suffer 4. losses with free trade. A domestic firm may lose out in international competition even if it is the lowest cost producer in the world. 5. Trade protection may be beneficial for a country. 6. Although trade protection can be beneficial, the case for free trade remains strong. AD @ UEF 2019 3 What Is International Economics About? Goods and services flow across international borders. So do people. The effects of trade and migration are part of international economics. Residents of one country may borrow money from and lend money to residents of other countries. The effects of this is also part of international economics. Government policies of one country may affect other countries. This too is international economics. AD @ UEF 2019 2 2 Concerns of Trade Theory The classical theory of international trade is concerned with the following three questions: 1. What are the gains from trade? In other words, if countries benefit from international trade, where do the gains come from, and how are they divided among the trading countries? AD @ UEF 2019 5 Countries trade to get something better too….. AD @ UEF 2019 3 3 Concerns of Trade Theory 1. What are the gains from trade? That there are gains from trade is probably the most important insight in international economics. Countries selling goods and services to each other almost always generates mutual benefits. 1. When a buyer and a seller engage in a voluntary transaction, they are both usually better off. Norwegian consumers import oranges that they would have a hard time producing in Norway. 2. How could a country that is the most (least) efficient producer of everything gain from trade? Countries use finite resources to produce what they are most productive at (compared to their other production choices), and then trade those products for what they want to consume. Countries can specialize in production, while consuming a great diversity of goods and services through trade. AD @ UEF 2019 7 Concerns of Trade Theory 1. What are the gains from trade? ➢ Trade benefits countries by allowing them to export goods made with relatively abundant resources and import goods made with relatively scarce resources. ➢ When countries specialize, they may be more efficient due to the larger scale of production. ➢ Countries may also gain by trading current resources for future resources (international borrowing and lending) and from international migration. Trade is predicted to benefit countries as a whole in several ways, but trade may harm particular groups within a country. – International trade can harm the owners of resources that are used relatively intensively in industries that compete with imports. – Trade may therefore affect the distribution of income within a country. AD @ UEF 2019 8 4 4 Concerns of Trade Theory The classical theory of international trade is concerned with the following three questions: 2. What is the structure/pattern of trade? In other words, which goods/services are exported, and which are imported? What are the fundamental laws that govern international allocation of resources and the flow of trade? AD @ UEF 2019 9 Concerns of Trade Theory 2. What is the structure/pattern of trade? The pattern of trade describes who sells what to whom. Differences in climate and resources explain why Brazil exports coffee and Saudi Arabia exports oil. But why does Japan export automobiles, while the U.S. exports aircraft? Why some countries export certain products can stem from differences in: – Labor productivity – Relative supplies of capital, labor and land and their use in the production of different goods and services AD @ UEF 2019 10 5 5 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. Main exports: labour-intensive manufactures (clothing, shoes, electronics), seafood, crude oil, rice, coffee, wooden products, machiner Main imports: Machinery and equipment, petroleum products, steel, raw materials for clothing/shoe industry, electronics, plastic, automotives Services remain the strongest sector, accounting for about 43% of GDP (but only 30% of employment) Major services sectors: trade, finance, real estate, tourism AD @ UEF 2018 Trade patterns for Vietnam Xuất khẩu FDI của Việt Nam năm 2022 ước tính rơi vào khoảng 250 tỉ USD, chiếm đến hơn 70% tổng giá trị xuất khẩu. Trong 250 tỉ này, Samsung đóng góp khoảng 30%. Tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu của toàn ngành dệt may và giày dép xấp xỉ bằng Samsung. Intel Việt Nam (với số lượng công nhân khoảng 3.000 người) đóng góp 7% nữa, tương đương với toàn ngành gỗ - nơi có số nhân công vào khoảng 400.000 người. Có thể hiểu đơn giản cơ cấu xuất khẩu công nghiệp của Việt Nam = dệt may và da giày + gỗ + Samsung + Intel + khác. Nhìn vào phương trình này, có thể thấy được tính bất định của năm 2023, khi mà thị trường dệt may, giày da và gỗ chủ yếu là châu Âu và Mỹ. 12 6 6 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. AD @ UEF 2020 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. AD @ UEF 2020 7 7 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. AD @ UEF 2020 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. AD @ UEF 2020 8 8 Trade patterns for Vietnam Strong outward-oriented (export-dependent) economy with trade in goods and services accounting for more than 170% of GDP. AD @ UEF 2020 Trade patterns for Vietnam AD @ UEF 2023 9 9 Trade patterns for Vietnam AD @ UEF 2023 Trade patterns for Vietnam AD @ UEF 2023 10 10 Trade patterns for Vietnam Thứ nhất, Việt Nam phụ thuộc rất nhiều vào hoạt động xuất nhập khẩu để tăng trưởng kinh tế. Dự báo năm 2022 Việt Nam có thể đạt kim ngạch xuất nhập khẩu khoảng 780-800 tỉ đô la Mỹ, chiếm tỷ lệ gấp đôi GDP, thuộc hạng cao nhất thế giới. Kinh tế mở cửa như thế sẽ được tác động tốt khi kinh tế toàn cầu tăng trưởng nhanh, nhưng sẽ bị ảnh hưởng tiêu cực khi kinh tế toàn cầu suy giảm như dự báo cho vài năm sắp tới. Tương tự như Trung Quốc, Việt Nam cần giảm tỷ lệ xuất nhập khẩu/GDP bằng cách phát triển phần đóng góp của kinh tế nội địa, kể cả tăng tỷ lệ nội địa hóa hàng xuất khẩu – để sự tăng trưởng được ổn định hơn. Thứ hai, xuất khẩu của Việt Nam phụ thuộc nhiều vào thị trường Mỹ; chiếm khoảng 30% tổng kim ngạch xuất khẩu và rất không cân đối – nhập siêu của Mỹ đối với Việt Nam đã lên tới 100 tỉ đô la Mỹ trong 10 tháng đầu năm 2022 so với 90,8 tỉ đô la Mỹ cho cả năm 2021. Điều này làm tăng nguy cơ phía Mỹ sẽ tìm cách tăng thuế quan hay các biện pháp khác để giảm mức nhập siêu quá lớn đối với Việt Nam. Vì vậy, Việt Nam cần phải có biện pháp tích cực để làm cho quan hệ buôn bán với Mỹ cân đối hơn cũng như phát triển các thị trường xuất khẩu khác, nhất là châu Âu. AD @ UEF 2023 Trade patterns for Vietnam Thứ ba, Việt Nam phụ thuộc vào Trung Quốc trong nhập khẩu (lên tới 110 tỉ đô la Mỹ năm 2021 hay 33% tổng kim ngạch nhập khẩu) – đặc biệt là nguyên liệu, thiết bị và phụ tùng cần để chế biến xuất khẩu. Việt Nam đã có nhập siêu lũy kế rất lớn đối với Trung Quốc. Nếu nguồn cung ứng đầu vào từ Trung Quốc bị gián đoạn vì bất cứ lý do gì, công nghiệp và xuất khẩu của Việt Nam bị ảnh hưởng lớn. Vì vậy Việt Nam cũng cần đa dạng hóa nguồn nhập khẩu. Cuối cùng, Việt Nam phụ thuộc vào đội thương thuyền nước ngoài. Khoảng 90% khối lượng hàng xuất nhập khẩu của Việt Nam được chuyển tải bằng đường biển – lên đến 24 triệu tấn năm 2021. Đội thương thuyền của Việt Nam chỉ chiếm thị phần 7%, còn phần lớn phụ thuộc vào các công ty hàng hải nước ngoài. Vì thế, Việt Nam bị ảnh hưởng lớn nếu cước phí quốc tế tăng cao hay không có đủ và kịp thời tàu do nhu cầu trên thế giới tăng mạnh. Việt Nam cần có kế hoạch xây dựng đội thương thuyền viễn dương của mình, để đáp ứng ít nhất là 50% nhu cầu vận chuyển hàng hóa xuất nhập khẩu. AD @ UEF 2023 11 11 Concerns of Trade Theory The classical theory of international trade is concerned with the following three questions: 3. What are the terms of trade? In other words, at what prices are the exported and imported goods exchanged? • ToT indicate changes in relative buying power of a country’s exports; Refer to a export basket compared to import basket; If export prices rises relative to import prices the ToT have improved; i.e. more import can be acquired for each export unit • • AD @ UEF 2019 23 Concerns of Trade Theory The classical theory of international trade is concerned with the following three questions: 3. What are the terms of trade? Definition: the price of export goods relative to import goods – relative prices The terms of trade of a given country are a proxy for the benefits from trade to that country Once a country is engaged in trade, any change in world market prices affects its terms of trade, its real income and wealth AD @ UEF 2019 24 12 12 Concerns of Trade Theory 3. What are the terms of trade? Income Terms of Trade The income terms of trade reflect the capacity to import goods – paid for with exports An increase in the income terms of trade may simply reflect an increased integration into the world economy This measure does not capture the total capacity to import: capital transfer can also finance imports In the long run, there will be a tendency for exports and imports to equalize – for exports to pay in full for imports AD @ UEF 2019 25 13 13 Commodity Terms of Trade: China 11 Apr 2022 Kristoffer J. M. Hansen, Institute for Economic Policy 27 Commodity Terms of Trade: USA 11 Apr 2022 Kristoffer J. M. Hansen, Institute for Economic Policy 28 14 14 Effects of Government Policies on Trade (2 of 2) If a government restricts trade, what are the costs if foreign governments respond likewise? Trade policies are often chosen to cater to special interest groups, rather than to maximize national welfare. Governments tend to adopt tariffs, then negotiate them down in exchange for reduction in trade barriers of other countries. AD @ UEF 2019 Introduction: Trade Theories Understanding the Gains from International Trade Nations (or firms in different nations) trade with each other because they benefit from it! We can divide the different trade theories in four categories... Early Trade Theory: Mercantilists Classical Trade Theory: Ricardian Model Modern Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model Alternative Approaches to Trade Theory (new trade theory) AD @ UEF 2018 30 15 15 Introduction: Trade Theories AD @ UEF 2018 31 Introduction: Trade Theories AD @ UEF 2018 32 16 16 What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? Benefits of International Trade Individuals ▪ Consumption of better quality products with lower prices ▪ Consumption of diverse products Firms ▪ Greater business opportunities ▪ Greater profit Nation ▪ Fast economic growth ▪ Job creation AD @ UEF 2018 33 What are the Consequences (Benefits and Costs) of International Trade? Costs of International Trade Individuals ▪ Loss of jobs employed in the less competitive industries Firms ▪ Face stronger competition and may lose competitive edge Nation ▪ Greater income disparity ▪ Possibility of environmental degradation in developing countries ▪ Greater vulnerability to foreign shocks AD @ UEF 2018 34 17 17 But there are Costs • Economic: – When trade expands (or contracts) • Some firms lose market share or shut down • Their workers lose jobs • Their communities lose customers – Vulnerability to foreign recession/inflation • Non-economic – Dependence on other countries – Vulnerability to trade disruption • Crisis induced (earthquake, flood, disease) • Policy induced (sanctions, tariffs, export bans) AD @ UEF 2020 Introduction: Trade Theories Reasons countries trade goods with each other include: ❑Differences in the technology used in each country (i.e., differences in each country’s ability to manufacture products) ❑Differences in the total amount of resources (including labor, capital, and land) found in each country ❑The proximity of countries to each other (i.e., how close they are to one another) AD @ UEF 2019 36 18 18 Other sources of Gain from Trade • Productivity (most productive firms expand and export) • Returns to scale (small countries can support larger firms) • Competition (monopolies in small countries lose market power) • Variety (buyers can access more choices) • Supply chains (firms source parts from cheapest sources) • Technology (producers access foreign technologies) AD @ UEF 2020 Introduction: Trade Theories Core concept opportunity cost – the cost of an activity in terms of a forgone alternative . Opportunity Cost = What you give up What you get productivity –amount of product produced in a unit of time production possibilities frontier –maximum possible production of two products at different mixes AD @ UEF 2018 38 19 19 Introduction: Trade Theories Core concept absolute advantage – the ability of a country to produce a product using fewer resources than other countries comparative advantage – the ability of a country to produce a product at a lower opportunity cost than other countries ❑ autarky –economic self-sufficiency; no trade 39 © AD-UEF Absolute Advantage Absolute advantage is when someone is the best at doing something – America is the best at producing entertainment – Lance Armstrong is the best cyclist Are there cases where someone might be the best at something but it’s better for them to not do it? AD @ UEF 2018 20 20 Comparative Advantage Yes! If Lance Armstrong is the best cyclist and the best typist, while Susie Smith is a weak cyclist and a moderate typist, who should do which task? – Comparative advantage is when a person can produce something at a lower cost than anyone else – In this scenario, Susie has the comparative advantage because it cost her less (in giving up a weak cycling skill) to perform the typing. AD @ UEF 2018 Comparative Advantage 21 21 Comparative Advantage America has an absolute advantage in technology production and answering service calls when compared to India – So why does India answer the phones (even with hard to understand accents for the caller)? Simple, America has to give up too many technology producers (a very complex field) to answer phones – It is better to give away the inferior task, even if it’s not going to be done to the superior nature it could have been if it results in a higher quantity of the first option (technology) being produced Video clip: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38hvvAzgXZY AD @ UEF 2018 Việt Nam nhập khẩu gạo: Chuyện thường tình Kinh tế TTCT - Chuyện Việt Nam nhập khẩu gạo là một hoạt động kinh doanh hoàn toàn bình thường trên thị trường tự do, nhất là khi nông nghiệp nói riêng, và nền kinh tế Việt Nam nói chung, đang muốn bước lên cao hơn trên chuỗi cung ứng toàn cầu. Cũng vì thế, không có gì phải ngạc nhiên khi biết Việt Nam dù là nước xuất khẩu gạo hàng đầu thế giới, vẫn nhập gần 1 triệu tấn gạo trong năm 2021, mà từ Ấn Độ chiếm hơn 72%. Gạo nhập từ Ấn Độ là loại giá rẻ, được dùng chủ yếu làm bún, thức ăn chăn nuôi, sản xuất rượu… Các nơi sản xuất bún hay thức ăn chăn nuôi thấy gạo ở đâu rẻ, chất lượng đạt mức yêu cầu thì mua và nhà cung ứng cứ thế tìm nguồn hàng để nhập. Ở đây phải thấy sự nhanh nhạy của thị trường và thán phục những người biết dựa vào quy luật cung cầu, dám suy nghĩ để kết nối nơi xa, không hề cứng nhắc cho là gạo thì cứ phải tìm nguồn bán trong nước. Ở hướng ngược lại, cũng không thể bắt nông dân hay đại lý phải bán gạo cho những nơi sản xuất bún hay thức ăn chăn nuôi gia súc. Một khi giá xuất khẩu cao hơn, mắc gì họ phải bán với giá rẻ hơn cho người mua trong nước. Thậm chí Việt Nam nhập gạo chất lượng cao của Thái Lan, Đài Loan, 22 22 Việt Nam nhập khẩu gạo: Chuyện thường tình Kinh tế Bán được giá tội gì bán rẻ Vậy nỗi lo gạo nhập khẩu sẽ làm giá gạo trong nước hay đe dọa an ninh lương thực thì phải lý giải thế nào? Nỗi lo này ngày xưa đã dẫn đến việc áp đặt hạn ngạch xuất khẩu gạo cho từng doanh nghiệp, nhưng hạn ngạch lại tạo ra những rào cản không cần thiết, ép giá nông dân, dẫn tới việc mua bán hạn ngạch rất phi thị trường. Chúng ta đã bỏ cơ chế hạn ngạch xuất khẩu gạo, giờ không lẽ tính đến phương án quản lý bằng hạn ngạch nhập khẩu gạo? Nhưng sự hợp lý này chỉ biện minh được nếu nghị định mới đề ra các biện pháp quản lý gạo nhập khẩu theo hướng đặt ra tiêu chuẩn thấp nhất mà gạo nhập khẩu phải đạt được hay các yêu cầu kỹ thuật, vệ sinh, môi trường… Các chuyên gia nông nghiệp từng kêu gọi tập trung vào giá trị chứ không đua về số lượng nữa; tức chỉ cần xuất khẩu một tấn gạo giá cao, còn hơn xuất cả chục tấn giá bèo, nông dân vừa bớt khổ, vừa có thu nhập tốt hơn, nền sản xuất nông nghiệp mới leo cao được trong chuỗi giá trị. Thị trường đang đi đúng hướng này; 80% gạo Việt Nam xuất khẩu hiện thuộc loại chất lượng cao, giá bán cao - vậy không nên lo ngại về con số gần 1 triệu tấn gạo giá rẻ nhập khẩu. Reasons for Trade Absolute Advantage When a country has the best technology for producing a good, it has an absolute advantage in the production of that good. Comparative Advantage Absolute advantage is not a good explanation for trade patterns. Instead, comparative advantage is the primary explanation for trade among countries. A country has comparative advantage in producing those goods that it produces best compared with how well it produces other goods. AD @ UEF 2018 23 23 The pride of economics: Comparative advantage Absolute advantage: What a country is better at doing than some other country. – Grapes don’t grow in Scotland – You cannot make Scotch in France Comparative advantage: What you comparatively better at doing. – China may be better at everything – But it cannot sell everything, otherwise the other countries will have nothing to pay with – David Ricardo observed that once trade opens up, countries would specialize in goods where they have comparative advantage – And the GNP of both countries would therefore go up. – Another of those central results that almost every one learns in econ 101 and is an economist’s Pavlovian’s reflex: There must be gains from Trade! Introduction: Trade Theories: Why Trade ? Adam Smith detailed the benefits of specialization and division of labor in his book The Wealth of Nations. Each worker could become an expert in a small area, greatly increasing efficiency. • • Two reasons for trade (micro and macro) Smithean: efficiency / economies of scale Ricardian:comparative advantage AD @ UEF 2018 48 24 24 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism Mercantilism – Economic philosophy in 17th and 18th centuries, in England, Spain, France, Portugal and the Netherlands. – Belief that nation could become rich and powerful only by exporting more than it imported. The Mercantilists’ Views on Trade – Export surpluses brought inflow of gold and silver. – Trade policy was to encourage exports and restrict imports. – One nation gained only at the expense of another. AD @ UEF 2018 49 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism Mercantilism – Economic philosophy in 17th and 18th centuries, in England, Spain, France, Portugal and the Netherlands. Mercantilism is not an organized body of thought. Schemes, plans, suggestions for policies to increase national wealth Especially prominent from the 16th to the 18th century in Europe The Montaigne fallacy: in trade, the gain of one person or country can only come at the loss of another person or country “No profit can possibly be made but at the expense of another.” There is a fixed amount of trade, one country can only expand its share at the expense of other countries’ Therefore, exports should be encouraged and 50 AD @ UEF 2022 imports discouraged 25 25 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism AD @ UEF 2018 51 Mercantilism—main themes The main themes of Mercantilism are as follows: – The ultimate objective of economic policy is the political power, both internal and external, of the state. – The power gained by one state means power lost by another state. Therefore, the interests of nation states are perpetually in conflict. – A nation’s power is measured by its population and its stock of precious metals such as the gold and silver that are embodied in the money in use at the time. A high population could supply soldiers. Money (in the government’s treasury) could pay for large armies and navies. AD @ UEF 2019 52 26 26 Mercantilism—main themes The main themes of Mercantilism are as follows: – Population growth and a rich treasury could only come from prosperous industry and trade. – This prosperity could be brought about if the economy’s stock of money (i.e., gold and silver coins) is large. – Assuming a state does not have gold and silver mines, the only way it would increase its stock of those metals is if it exports more than it imports. – As a result, ensuring a trade surplus for oneself and a trade deficit for one’s rivals is the primary objective of economic policy. – Tariffs and other import restrictions can be effective in reducing imports. – Subsidies and regulation can be effective in increasing exports. THE SIXTEENTH CENTURY 53 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism AD @ UEF 2019 54 27 27 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism Mercantilism suggests that it is in a country’s best interest to maintain a trade surplus -- to export more than it imports Mercantilism advocates government intervention to achieve a surplus in the balance of trade It views trade as a zero-sum game - one in which a gain by one country results in a loss by another. Mercantilists measured wealth of a nation by stock of precious metals it possessed. AD @ UEF 2018 55 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism Government intervenes to achieve a surplus in exports – King, exporters, domestic producers: happy – Subjects, others people: unhappy because domestic goods stay expensive and of limited variety The Economic doctrine: in which government intervention of foreign trade is of paramount importance for ensuring the prosperity and security of the state. What are the methods to achieve the surplus in Exports? AD @ UEF 2018 56 28 28 Mercantilist Practices • To encourage exports: Export subsidies, encourage manufacturing, subsidize national shipping (navigation acts) To discourage imports: High tariffs on manufactured goods Colonies for raw materials (and later: captive markets) Bullion regulations: – Prohibition of export of bullion, central government monopoly – Sophisticated mercantilists realized such regulations selfdefeating AD @ UEF 2018 57 Consequences of Mercantilism Gain to privileged merchants Greater government control and direction of the economy Colonialism Corruption: merchants used bribes and similar means to gain subsidies, protection for their specific interests Inefficient factor allocation leading to overall reduction in prosperity Many policies self-defeating: you cannot permanently increase your exports without eventually having greater imports Bullionism self-defeating (price-specie flow mechanism) AD @ UEF 2018 58 29 29 International Trade Theory: Mercantilism What is the weak point of Mercantilism ? Discuss ? Weaken the National Economy in long-term ? Why? Mercantilism is still alive and well in 21st century ? (Germany, Japan 80s, China 2000s…) – Reading (page. 34): Today neo-mercantilists = protectionists: some segments of society shielded short term – Examples ? Which countries use this practice today ? AD @ UEF 2018 59 Criticism of Mercantilism Theory 60 30 30 Criticism of Mercantilism Theory 61 The Wealth of Nations The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759) An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776) 31 31 The Wealth of Nations • Scottish enlightenment Wealth of Nations 1776 Attacked mercantilism • Part of general advocacy for free markets: the “system of natural liberty” • Peace, easy taxes, and a tolerable administration of justice • “Free trade” originally meant free trade both internally and externally – economic freedom Wealth of Nations The causes of economic progress and the creation of wealth was Adam Smith’s main topic of interest – David Ricardo, by contrast, focused on how wealth is shared among different groups in society According to Smith, the wealth of a nation derives from the level of the technology in use. The level of technology and its rate of improvement depend on the division of labor. AD @ UEF 2019 32 32 International Trade Theory: Adam Smith’s View on Trade "It is the maxim of every prudent master of a family, never to attempt to make at home what it will cost him more to make than to buy.” (Adam Smith) Specialization and trade among regions and countries are based upon the same principle as among individuals. 1776, Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations World’s wealth is not a fixed quantity International trade – Increase the general level of productivity within a country – Increase world output (wealth) AD @ UEF 2018 65 Free Trade Smith was in favor of free trade. He derived his support for free trade among nations by basing it on the obvious desirability of trade among individuals: – "It is the maxim of every prudent master of a family, never to attempt to make at home what it will cost him more to make than to buy". According to Smith, free trade expands the extent of the market and, thereby, allows greater division of labor Free trade also increases productivity by allowing countries to specialize in what they do well. This is the Law of Absolute Advantage. – David Ricardo refined this idea into the Law of Comparative Advantage 33 33 International Trade Theory: Absolute Advantage Adam Smith argued that a country has an absolute advantage in the production of a product when it is more efficient than any other country in producing it According to Smith, countries should specialize in the production of goods for which they have an absolute advantage and then trade these goods for the goods produced by other countries In 1770s, Adam Smith argued that import restrictions would reduce the gains from specialization and make a nation poorer. He used absolute advantage to explain the benefits of trade. AD @ UEF 2020 67 The Invisible Hand • “[E]very individual … generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. … he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention. …” • “…Nor is it always the worse for the society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it. I have never known much good done by those who affected to trade for the public good. It is an affectation, indeed, not very common among merchants, and very few words need be employed in dissuading them from it …” AD @ UEF 2020 34 34 The Invisible Hand Consumer sovereignty and business competition are the key components of Smith’s argument that the pursuit of individual self interest leads to an excellent social outcome Consumer sovereignty ensures that consumer needs determine what gets produced Business competition ensures that prices are driven down to unit cost Thus, without any government control, the most beneficial goods get produced, and at the lowest possible price AD @ UEF 2020 Absolute Advantage Absolute advantage the determinant of international trade Smith compared nations to households: since individuals find it beneficial to trade, the same should be true of nations A few abstractions to simplify: – Only two countries – Only two goods – Only labour input considered, labour hours constitute the price of products This makes the principle easier to see, but more goods would not change. Remember: relative prices the key AD @ UEF 2020 35 35 Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory Principle of absolute advantage – A two-nation, two-product world – International specialization and trade One nation - absolute cost advantage in one good The other nation - absolute cost advantage in the other good Each nation must have a good that it is absolutely more efficient in producing than its trading partner – Import goods – if absolute cost disadvantage – Export goods – if absolute cost advantage 71 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or other International Trade Theory: Absolute Advantage Definition “absolute advantage”: The advantage in the production of a product enjoyed by one country over another when it uses fewer resources to produce that product than the other country does. ➢ A country – Should specialize in production of and export products for which it has absolute advantage; import other products – Has absolute advantage when it is more productive than another country in producing a particular product AD @ UEF 2018 72 36 36 TABLE 2.1 Absolute advantage; each nation is more efficient in producing one good AD @ UEF 2018 73 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or other Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Wheat (bushels/labor hour) Cloth (yards/labor hour) U.S. 6 4 U.K. 1 5 Output per Labor Hour ▪U.S. has absolute advantage over U.K. in wheat. ▪ U.K. has absolute advantage over U.S. in cloth. ▪ Both nations can gain from specialization in production and trade. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 37 37 Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith No Trade Specialization Trade Trade Gain U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K. Wheat 6 1 12 0 6 5 - 5-1=4 Cloth 4 5 0 10 6 5 6-4=2 - Assuming each country has 2 unit labor hours and specialize on the product that has Absolute Advantage US Specialize on Wheat then gain 2 additional Cloth UK Specialize on Cloth then gain 4 additional Wheat © AD-UEF International Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage U.S. U.K. Wheat (bushels/labor hour) 6 1 Cloth (yards/labor hour) 4 2 Output per Labor Hour U.K. has absolute disadvantage in both goods. ◼ Since U.K. labor is half as productive in cloth but six times less productive in wheat compared to U.S., the U.K. has a comparative advantage in cloth. ◼ ◼ U.S. has comparative advantage in wheat. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. AD @ UEF 2018 38 38 Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith © AD-UEF International Trade Theory: Absolute Advantage Example: Suppose country A and country B produce wheat, but that A's climate is more suited to wheat and its labor is more productive. Country A will therefore produce more wheat per acre than country B and use less labor in growing it and bringing it to the market. Country A thus enjoys an absolute advantage over country B in the production of wheat. Example: If US uses 15 hours of labor to produce one unit of tomatoes and Mexico uses 10 hours to produce the same amount of tomatoes, Mexico has absolute advantage in the production of tomatoes. AD @ UEF 2018 78 39 39 International Trade Theory: Trade Based on Absolute Advantage: Adam Smith Example: Source of Advantage – Canada is efficient in growing wheat, inefficient in growing bananas. – Nicaragua is efficient in growing bananas, inefficient in growing wheat. – Canada has absolute advantage in wheat, Nicaragua has absolute advantage in bananas. – Mutually beneficial trade can take place if both countries specialize in their absolute advantage. AD @ UEF 2018 79 International Trade Theory: Adam Smith’s View on Trade Specialization and trade advantage both countries. Adam Smith and other classical economists advocated policy of laissez-faire, or minimal government interference with economic activity. Free trade would cause world resources to be utilized most efficiently, maximizing world welfare. AD @ UEF 2019 80 40 40 Role of Government As one might expect from Smith’s conviction that markets were extremely efficient, he was in favor of a government that did not hamper the working of the market. However, Smith emphasized the fact that the government should – maintain law and order, – ensure the defense of the nation from foreign enemies, – erect and maintain public works that private citizens would not build, – Subsidize education for those who could not afford it, and – Regulate international trade when free trade endangers ‘infant industries’ or compromises national security Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory 82 © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or other 41 41 Absolute Advantage: Numerical Example Absolute advantages: The foreign country (home country) has an absolute advantage in producing food (clothing) Foreign Country Home Country 1 unit of food 2 hours < 2.5 hours 1 unit of clothing 4 hours > 1 hour Relative commodity prices in autarky Individuals trade equal labour values of food for clothing For example the price of 1 unit of clothing in the home country is 0.4 units of food that is 1 hour/2.5 hours Foreign Country Home Country price of 1 unit of food 0.5 units of clothing 2.5 units of clothing price of 1 unit of clothing 2 units of food 0.4 units of food 83 Absolute Advantage: Numerical Example After opening up to trade, both countries completely focus on their absolute advantages The foreign country´s (home country´s) labor completely shifts towards producing food (clothing), which has a higher value when exported abroad. The foreign country (home country) imports clothing (food) which is cheaper abroad Assuming that both countries completely specialize in their absolute advantage the international prices must be somewhere in the range: - 0.5 ≤ international price of 1 unit of food ≤ 2.5 and - 2 ≥ international price of 1 unit of clothing ≥ 0.4. Both countries gain by trade and specialize according to their absolute advantages. The other commodity can be imported at a lower price than before trade 84 Both countries gain by reaching a higher utility than in autarky 42 42 Sample Problems: Output per Labor Hour Who has absolute advantage in cars? Cars Computers United States 12 4 Japan 10 6 – United States Who has absolute advantage in computers? – Japan Sample Problems Cars Computers United States 12 4 Japan 10 6 United States’ opportunity cost of computers: 12 3 ----- = ----- = 3 cars 4 1 Japan’s opportunity cost of computers: 10 5 ---- = ----- = 5/3rds of a car 6 3 Who has comparative advantage in computers? Japan has comparative advantage in computers because they only have to give up 5/3rds of a car versus the U.S. who has to give up 3 cars to make 1 computer 43 43 Sample Problems Cars Computers United States 12 4 Japan 10 6 United States’ opportunity cost of cars: 4 1 ----- = ----- = 1/3rd of a computer 12 3 Japan’s opportunity cost of cars: 6 3 ---- = ----- = 3/5th of a computer 10 5 Who has comparative advantage in cars? United States has the comparative advantage in cars because they only have to give up 1/3rd of a computer versus 3/5ths that Japan has to give up International Economics Absolute Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 88 44 44 International Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage Economic Basis for Trade What are the factors that determine how countries will specialize in international trade? David Ricardo (On the Principles of Political Economy, 1819), developed the theory of comparative advantage... AD @ UEF 2019 89 Ricardian Model of Trade Due to David Ricardo (1772-1823) Assumptions: Production uses only labor Technology: – Constant unit labor requirements (labor per unit of output) – Or equivalently, constant labor productivities (output per unit of labor) (“constant” here means “does not vary with output”) Lecture 3: Comp. Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 45 45 International Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2018 91 Why Trade? Law of Association (comparative advantage) – Even if someone is absolutely more productive at 2 activities, if he is comparatively more productive at 1 activity than another relative to a David Ricardo 2nd person, he will be better off specializing and trading than producing in isolation. AD @ UEF 2019 46 46 Trade: Law of Comparative Advantage Ricardo’s Law of Comparative Advantage improved upon the earlier Law of Absolute Advantage. How? If A (Advancedland) is more productive than B (Backwardland) in every productive activity, would both countries benefit from trade? The law of absolute advantage has no answer to this question. Ricardo's law of comparative advantage showed that the answer is yes. AD @ UEF 2019 DAVID RICARDO Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory Principle of comparative advantage – Even if a nation has an absolute cost disadvantage in the production of both goods The less efficient nation – Specialize in and export the good in which it is relatively less inefficient Where its absolute disadvantage is least The more efficient nation – Specialize in and export that good in which it is relatively more efficient Where its absolute advantage is greatest AD @ UEF 2018 94 47 47 Examples of comparative advantages in international TABLE 2.2 trade AD @ UEF 2020 95 International Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage Definition “comparative advantage”: The advantage in the production of a product enjoyed by one country over another when that product can be produced at lower cost in terms of other products (Opportunity Cost) than it could be in the other country. Country should specialize in the production of those goods in which it is relatively more productive... even if it has absolute advantage in all goods it produces AD @ UEF 2018 96 48 48 Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 Gains from Trade & Comparative Advantage: AD @ UEF 2018 98 49 49 Gains from Trade & Comparative Advantage: 4 step method for solving the comparative advantage problem 4 steps 1. Set up the table 2. Calculate the opportunity costs (OC) 3. Circle the lowest OC in the in each activity 4. Determine who has the competitive advantage for the good/service ( circled OC and the corresponding person/country) 99 AD @ UEF 2018 International Trade Theory: Comparative Advantage U.S. U.K. Wheat (bushels/labor hour) 6 1 Cloth (yards/labor hour) 4 2 Output per Labor Hour ◼ U.K. has absolute disadvantage in both goods. ◼ Since U.K. labor is half as productive in cloth but six times less productive in wheat compared to U.S., the U.K. has a comparative advantage in cloth. ◼ U.S. has comparative advantage in wheat. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. AD @ UEF 2018 50 50 Trade Based on Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo U.S. U.K. Wheat (bushels/labor hour) 6 1 Cloth (yards/labor hour) 4 2 U.S. ◼ ◼ ◼ U.K. Wheat UK has higher opportunity cost than US in Wheat production Cloth US has higher opportunity cost than UK in Cloth production U.K. has absolute disadvantage in both goods. Since U.K. labor is half as productive in cloth but six times less productive in wheat compared to U.S., the U.K. has a comparative advantage in cloth. U.S. has comparative advantage in wheat. Salvatore: International Economics, 10th Edition © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Comparative Advantage Hours needs to make 1 unit Hours needed to make 1 unit of … Opportunity Cost of producing 1 unit of … Food Clothes Food Clothes Alex 1 2 1/2 2 Betty 10 10 1 1 • Let’s say that Alex is currently making all of his own Food and Clothes. • If so, Betty can offer 1.5 units of Food to Alex in return for 1 unit of Clothes and Alex will gladly accept. • This deal will clearly benefit both Alex and Betty even though Alex is advanced and Betty is backward. DAVID RICARDO 51 51 Gains from Trade & Comparative Advantage: Sources of Comparative Advantage – Countries’ comparative advantage comes from: Accumulated Physical and Human Capital Difference in cultures & social institutions Dynamic comparative advantage – “learning by doing” which develops industry specific expertise – “Infant Industry” argument for tariffs & subsidies Difference in natural resources, topography, climate may play an initial role – but acquired advantages dominate differences in initial conditions Technological change and governmental policies AD @ UEF 2018 103 Source of Comparative Advantage China – workforce/technology Canada – resources Alberta – oil India – technology/skilled people Mexico – greenhouse/climate New Zealand – sheep Vietnam ? ? (Rice, Coffee, Can you think of any other examples? AD @ UEF 2018 104 52 52 The Gains from Trade Each country is able to consume at a point that lies beyond its ppc, reflecting the greater productivity under international division of labour The gains from trade for each country depends on its terms of trade: the relative price of its exports in terms of its imports International trade affects production, as each country specializes And it affects consumption, as the price of imported goods decline, resulting in higher consumption of these (substitution effect) It also increases real incomes, so consumers tend to buy more of each product (income effect) AD @ UEF 2018 105 Source of Comparative Advantage 106 53 53 Review Question Comparative Advantage 1) Trade between two countries can benefit both countries if A) each country exports that good in which it has a comparative advantage. B) each country enjoys superior terms of trade. C) each country has a more elastic demand for the imported goods. D) each country has a more elastic supply for the exported goods. 6) The earliest statement of the principle of comparative advantage is associated with A) David Hume. B) David Ricardo. C) Adam Smith. D) Eli Heckscher. 107 Review Question Comparative Advantage 7) The Ricardian model attributes the gains from trade associated with the principle of comparative advantage result to A) differences in technology. B) differences in preferences. C) differences in labor productivity. D) differences in resources. 8) The Ricardian model demonstrates that A) trade between two countries will benefit both countries. B) trade between two countries may benefit both regardless of which good each exports. C) trade between two countries may benefit both if each exports the product in which it has a comparative advantage. D) trade between two countries may benefit one but harm the other. 108 54 54 Review Question Comparative Advantage 19) According to Ricardo, a country will have a comparative advantage in the product in which its A) labor productivity is relatively low. B) labor productivity is relatively high. C) labor mobility is relatively low. D) labor mobility is relatively high. 109 Historical Development of Modern Trade Theory Principle of comparative advantage – Even if a nation has an absolute cost disadvantage in the production of both goods The less efficient nation – Specialize in and export the good in which it is relatively less inefficient Where its absolute disadvantage is least The more efficient nation – Specialize in and export that good in which it is relatively more efficient Where its absolute advantage is greatest AD @ UEF 2018 110 55 55 Pattern of Trade and Gains from Trade: ❑ Each country is exporting the good for which it has the comparative advantage. o This confirms that the pattern of trade is determined by comparative advantage. o This is the first lesson of the Ricardian model. ❑ There are gains from trade for both countries. o This is the second lesson of the Ricardian model. 111 AD @ UEF 2018 Implications of comparative advantage Policy of Laissez-faire (law of free market) still holds Gains need not be equal Hours of work traded need not be equal but the advantage still exists Trade is based on the existence of relative – not absolute – production advantages AD @ UEF 2018 2 - 112 56 56 Any Questions? DAVID RICARDO International Economics Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 114 57 57 More examples 115 Comparative Advantage Hours needs to make 1 unit Hours needed to make 1 unit of … Opportunity Cost of producing 1 unit of … Food Clothes Food Clothes Alex 1 2 1/2 2 Betty 10 10 1 1 DAVID RICARDO • Let’s say that Alex is currently making all of his own Food and Clothes. 58 58 International Economics Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 117 International Economics Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 118 59 59 International Economics Comparative Advantage AD @ UEF 2020 119 International Trade Theory: Ricardian Model of Trade Most important lessons: Countries have comparative advantage in producing different goods and hence they can get mutual benefits from trade – This is because countries differ from each other. The more different they are, the larger the (potential) benefits from trade Trade makes both countries better off. 3 ways to conceptualize it: • indirect production • expanded consumption • conservation of resources ?? AD @ UEF 2020 120 60 60 International Trade Theory: Gain from Trade in General Sources of Gain From Trade: – Most sources of gain are analogous to how individuals gain from trade – Comparative advantage focuses on Differences in ability to produce goods – Other sources of gain, not in this model Differences in tastes Economies of scale AD @ UEF 2018 121 Gain from Trade in General What trade does not do : – Trade does not help everybody There are losers from trade – (We’ll see later in the course who they are) – Trade does not reduce inequality At least not necessarily; it could, in some cases But there are also good reasons why it may increase inequality – Trade may not cause countries to grow faster (There is debate on that) – Trade certainly does not fix all problems Weak or corrupt government Failure to save Poor technology (Look at some developing. It gains from trade, but it is still very poor.) AD @ UEF 2018 122 61 61 Classical Trade Theory Contributions Adam Smith—Division of Labor – Industrial societies increase output using same labor-hours as pre-industrial society David Ricardo—Comparative Advantage – Countries with no obvious reason for trade can specialize in production, and trade for products they do not produce Gains From Trade – A nation can achieve consumption levels beyond what it could produce by itself AD @ UEF 2018 123 What are the ultimate determinants of comparative advantage? • Ricardo did not bother to answer this question. • He just assumed that the differences in comparative advantage depended on comparative difference in labor productivity (that is, differences in technology), but he did not explain the basis for these differences. Implicit reason in his example was climate... • It remained to Heckscher and Ohlin to offer an explanation for comparative advantage. AD @ UEF 2018 124 2. Why Do We Trade? - 2.2 Modern Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model 62 62 What are the ultimate determinants of comparative advantage? • It remained to Heckscher and Ohlin to offer an explanation for comparative advantage. AD @ UEF 2020 125 2. Why Do We Trade? - 2.2 Modern Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model 126 63 63 Heckscher-Ohlin Model Trade occurs due to differences in resources. Countries have different relative abundance of factors of production. Production processes use factors of production with different relative intensity. AD @ UEF 2018 127 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model In addition to differences in labor productivity, trade occurs due to differences in resources across countries. The Heckscher-Ohlin theory argues that trade occurs due to differences in labor, labor skills, physical capital, capital, or other factors of production across countries. – Countries have different relative abundance of factors of production. – Production processes use factors of production with different relative intensity. AD @ UEF 2018 128 64 64 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Basic Model Assumptions : Two countries, two (homogeneous) goods and two (homogeneous) factors of production Identical technology, different factor endowments Constant returns to scale Different factor intensities in production Factors perfectly mobile inside each country and immobile between the countries (Identical preferences among everyone) Perfect competition in all markets: → (price of labour) w = MPPL*P, (price of capital) r = MPPK*P (No transportations costs) AD @ UEF 2018 129 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model This is a modern development of the Ricardian theory Introduced by two Swedish economists: Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin, in the first part of the 20th century Heckscher was a famous economic historian, Ohlin economist and politician and later Nobel laureate Ohlin’s formulation: “Commodities requiring for their production much of [abundant factors of production] and little of [scarce factors] are exported in exchange for goods that call for factors in the opposite proportions. Thus indirectly, factors in abundant supply are exported and factors in scanty supply are imported.” AD @ UEF 2021 130 65 65 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model A country exports the product that uses its relative abundant factor(s) intensively and imports the product that uses its relatively scarce factor(s) intensively A country is relatively labour-abundant if it has a higher ratio of labour to other factors than does the rest of the world A product is relatively labour-intensive if labour costs are a greater share of its value than they are of the value of other products AD @ UEF 2021 131 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model What are the ultimate determinants of comparative advantage? A country has comparative advantage in those commodities that use its abundant factors intensively. This is why labor-abundant countries, such as India and China export footwear, rugs, textiles, and other labor intensive commodities; and land-abundant countries, such as Argentina, Australia, and Canada, export meat, wheat, wool, and other landintensive commodities. AD @ UEF 2018 132 66 66 Heckscher-Ohlin (HO) Model Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin, Swedish economists Model based on two concepts: 1. Factor endowments—the quantities of productive resources possessed by a country 2. Factor intensity—the amount of labor per unit of capital used in production of a product Give examples : Industries differ in factor intensities ? Relative Factor Availability Relative factor availability is key If wheat is land-intensive and the U.S. has a relatively greater supply of land than the rest of the world, then it will tend to export wheat U.S. land supply/U.S. labour supply > rest of the world’s land supply/rest of the world’s labour supply That is, there are more hectares of usable land per worker in the U.S. than elsewhere. This is what gives U.S. wheat production a comparative advantage 67 67 Factor Endowments Low K/L ratio High K/L ratio Capital (K) Capital (K) Labour (L) Labour (L) AD @ UEF 2018 135 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model Factor Endowments: Countries differ in their relative factor endowments Notation: K=capital, L=labour, r = price of capital, w = price of labour 1 is capitalabundant (labour-scarce), country 2 is labour-abundant (capital-scarce) Physical definition: (K/L)1 > (K/L)2 country Price definition: (r/w)1 < (r/w)2 country 1 is capital-abundant, country 2 is labour-abundant Given assumptions of perfect competition + identical technology and preferences, the physical and price definitions are identical AD @ UEF 2018 136 68 68 Heckscher-Ohlin Model: Factor Endowments: ❑ Factor endowments: ❑ Factor abundance versus factor scarcity: When a country enjoys a relative abundance of a factor, the factor’s relative cost is less than in countries where the factor is relatively scarce ❑ A country’s comparative advantage lies in the production of goods that use relatively abundant factors ❑ Relative price levels differ among nations because: ❑ Nations have different relative endowments of factor inputs {labor (skilled or unskilled)}, land, capital. AD @ UEF 2018 137 Heckscher-Ohlin Model: Factor Endowments: © AD-UEF 138 69 69 Heckscher-Ohlin Model: Factor intensity The nations differ in that one is relatively labor abundant while the other is relatively capital abundant. Further, the commodities produced differ in factor intensity. – Factor intensity is determined by the ratio of capital (K) to labor (L) required for the production of the commodity. ▪ Different commodities require factor inputs with differing intensities of production. ▪ Wheat is land intensive ▪ Textiles are labor intensive ▪ Aircraft are capital intensive 139 AD @ UEF 2018 Commodity Factor Intensity Good X is capital-intensive and good Y labour-intensive if KX/LX > KY/LY for all relative factor prices (r/w) the firm always maximizes profits / minimizes cost by using relatively more capital in producing X than in producing Y. Further, the commodities produced differ in factor intensity. Capital Isoquant for X – The commodity requiring the greater K/L ratio per unit of production is defined as being capital intensive. ❑ ❑ Shoes production is labor-intensive; that is, it requires more labor per unit of capital to produce shoes than computers, so that LS /KS > LC /KC. Computers are capital-intensive: KComputer / LComputer > KShoe / LShoe Isoquant for Y Labour 140 © AD-UEF 70 70 Commodity Factor Intensity: Example US vs Mexico For example, the U.S. has more of both labor and capital than Mexico, but the quantity of capital advantage in the U.S. over Mexico is greater than the quantity of labor advantage in the U.S. over Mexico. The U.S., therefore, is capital abundant and Mexico is labor abundant. "No country is abundant in everything." Discuss. AD @ UEF 2018 141 Commodity Factor Intensity: Example US vs Mexico Letting K measure the quantity of capital and L the quantity of labor, (K/L)US>(K/L)MEX, or the amount of capital per laborer in the U.S. exceeds that of Mexico. (Verify that it is possible for LUS to be greater than LMEX and (K/L)US>(K/L)MEX ). Now invert the ratios, which reverses the inequality, so (L/K)US<(L/K)MEX, which says that Mexico is labor abundant relative to the U.S. If one country is capital rich (more capital relative to labor) then the other is labor rich (more labor relative to capital). "No country is abundant in everything." Discuss. AD @ UEF 2018 142 71 71 Commodity Factor Intensity: Your turn Determine which is ? – capital-intensive commodity ? – labor-intensive commodity ? Figure 5.1 K (K/L)Y=4/8=1/2 Y 4 X (K/L)Y=2/10=1/5 2 8 10 L AD @ UEF 2018 143 1 Heckscher-Ohlin Model Labor Intensity of Each Industry The demand for labor relative to capital is assumed to be higher in shoes than in computers, LS/KS > LC/KC. These two curves slope down just like regular demand curves, but in this case, they are relative demand curves for labor (i.e., demand for labor divided by demand for capital). FIGUR E 41 72 72 Commodity Factor Intensity An economy with a high ratio of labor to capital produces a high output of cloth relative to food. Suppose that Home is relatively abundant in labor and Foreign in capital: L/K > L*/ K* – Likewise, Home is relatively scarce in capital and Foreign in labor. Home will be relatively efficient at producing cloth because cloth is relatively labor intensive. AD @ UEF 2018 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem with a Single Technique: • The structure of trade, in general, can be traced back to differences in factor endowments, technology, and tastes. • Since Heckscher-Ohlin theory assumes that technology and tastes are similar between countries, it attributes the comparative advantage to differences in factor endowments. In summary, the capital-abundant country exports the capital-intensive commodity, and the labor-abundant country exports the laborintensive commodity. AD @ UEF 2018 146 73 73 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem: Country will export the commodity that uses relatively intensively its relatively abundant factor of production example: China is labour-abundant and Finland is capital-abundant i.e. (K/L)H < (K/L)F and (r/w)H > (r/w)F → China exports labour-intensive products (e.g. clothes) to Finland and imports capitalintensive products (e.g. paper) from Finland AD @ UEF 2018 147 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem: Country will export the commodity that uses relatively intensively its relatively abundant factor of production In summary, France, the capital-abundant country exports Airplane the capital-intensive Product (i.e import coffee, labor-intensive commodity) , and Vietnam the labor-abundant country exports Coffee ,the labor-intensive commodity. AD @ UEF 2018 148 74 74 Heckscher-Ohlin Model: Factor Endowments: ❑ Factor endowments: The EU is richly endowed with a wide variety of factors: natural resources, skilled labor, and physical capital – Expectation: The EU will export agricultural products (particularly those requiring skilled labor and physical capital) and machinery and industrial goods (requiring physical capital and scientific and engineering skills) – Result: Major EU exports include grain products made with small labor and large capital inputs; and commercial aircraft made with physical capital and skilled labor AD @ UEF 2018 149 1 Heckscher-Ohlin Model Free-Trade Equilibrium Pattern of Trade • Home exports computers, the good that uses intensively the factor of production (capital) found in abundance at Home. • Foreign exports shoes, the good that uses intensively the factor of production (labor) found in abundance there. • This important result is called the Heckscher-Ohlin theorem. AD @ UEF 2018 75 75 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model Summary of Model: Differences in relative endowments of factors of production → Comparative advantage Trade leads to – Expansion of the industry using intensively the abundant factor of production (Heckscher-Ohlin Theorem) – Changes in distribution of income (international factor price equalization, Stolper-Samuelson theorem) AD @ UEF 2018 151 International Trade Theory: Heckscher-Ohlin Model Summary of Model: The H-O theory is also known as the factorproportions theory or factor-endowment theory. A nation will export the product that uses its most abundant factor intensively. The H-O model explains comparative advantage in terms of the factor abundance of nations and the factor intensity of commodities. Why is the H.O. model called the factor-proportions theory? AD @ UEF 2018 152 76 76 The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem Introduce labor and capital (machines) • Some goods require more labor • Other goods require A labor rich country will specialize in the laborintensive technology A capital rich country will specialize in the capitalintensive technology And the rich in rich countries But because free trade raises GNP, the workers in rich countries can be compensated, as long as society taxes the winners and redistributes to the winners more capital Freeing trade should help the poor in poor countries Does trade lead to faster growth in poor countries? We won’t know… 1. Trade liberalization does not happen to random countries 2. What else is happening at the same time in the country? 3. How do we quantify trade liberalization? 77 77 Class Performance: Multiple choice Tests Which theory suggested that comparative advantage arises from differences in national factor endowments? a) mercantilism b) absolute advantage c) Heckscher-ohlin d) comparative advantage AD @ UEF 2018 Classroom Performance System In the 2-factor, 2 good Heckscher-Ohlin model, trade will ________ the owners of a country's ________ factor and will ________ the good that uses that factor intensively. A) benefit; abundant; export B) harm; abundant; import C) benefit; scarce; export D) benefit; scarce; import E) harm; scarce; export 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 156 78 78 Classroom Performance System According to the Heckscher-Ohlin model, the source of comparative advantage is a country's A) factor endowments. B) technology. C) advertising. D) human capital. E) political system. 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 157 Classroom Performance System If a good is labor intensive it means that the good is produced A) using relatively more labor than goods that are not labor intensive. B) using labor as the only input. C) using more labor per unit of output than goods that are not labor intensive. D) using labor such that the total cost of labor is greater than the total cost of capital. E) using labor such that the cost of labor is more than 50% of total cost. 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 158 79 79 Classroom Performance System In the 2-factor, 2 good Heckscher-Ohlin model, the country with a relative abundance of ________ will have a production possibility frontier that is biased toward production of the ________ good. A) labor; labor intensive B) labor; capital intensive C) land; labor intensive D) land; capital intensive E) capital; land intensive 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 159 Classroom Performance System If a good is capital intensive it means that the good is produced A) using relatively more capital than goods that are not labor intensive. B) using capital as the only input. C) using more capital per unit of output than goods that are not capital intensive. D) using capital such that the total cost of capital is greater than the total cost of labor. E) using capital such that the cost of capital is more than 50% of total cost. 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 160 80 80 Classroom Performance System Assume that only two countries, A and B, exist. Refer to the table above. If good S is capital intensive, then following the Heckscher-Ohlin Theory A) country B will export good S. B) country A will export good S. C) both countries will export good S. D) trade will not occur between these two countries. E) both countries will import good S. 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 161 Classroom Performance System Assume that only two countries, A and B, exist. Refer to the table above. If you are told that Country B is very much richer than Country A, then the correct answer is A) country B will export good S. B) country A will export good S. C) both countries will export good S. D) trade will not occur between these two countries. E) both countries will import good S. 8/28/2023 162 81 81 Classroom Performance System Suppose that there are two factors, capital and land, and that the United States is relatively land endowed while the European Union is relatively capitalendowed. According to the Heckscher-Ohlin model A) European capitalists should support U.S.-European free trade. B) European landowners should support U.S.-European free trade. C) all capitalists in both countries should support free trade. D) all landowners should support free trade. E) the U.S. should compensate European countries once trade commences. 8/28/2023 AD @ UEF 2018 163 82 82