INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT It is a well-known fact that engaging in business is like gambling, it is too risky. There are possibilities that your investments will gain profits but there are also chances that you will end up losing. There is need to have enough capital in putting up a business to be used for operations and investments. The business may be in the form of sole proprietorship, partnership or corporation. In addition, these capital or funds must be managed properly in order to attain the operating and financial objectives of the business. In a corporate form of business, there is a need to employ separate managers who will govern the business in behalf of the owners, known as a shareholders. These managers, as agents, are given the power to decide on the investments, finance and operations of the corporation. In this chapter, we will introduce financial management by discussing the following: The kinds of business organization and their goals Different characteristics of these business organizations Different kinds of corporations that are acceptable and not acceptable under Philippines laws Who are the financial managers and what are their roles in the company What is agency conflict and the how such conflicts be resolved Priority between ethics and profit goals Financial Management is the process of planning, directing, organizing, controlling and monitoring resources in of the monetary order to achieve objectives and goals of the INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT business. The financial managers are responsible for the management of these monetary resources of the business. I. Kinds of Business Organizations: A. Sole Proprietorship is regarded as the simplest form of business organization. This is owned by an individual, known as the sole proprietor, who has the full authority in managing the assets of the business. This kind of business organization is subject to fewer government regulations as compared to partnership and corporation. Thus, the registration is only through the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) and the business income is not subject to separate taxation. However there are disadvantages of forming a sole proprietorship. One of which is the unlimited liability of a sole the proprietor. In this case, the debts and losses of business shall be borne by the personal assets of owner in time the of bankruptcy. Another disadvantage is the limited life of the business because the death of the sole proprietor leads to termination of the proprietorship. Lastly, the amount of capital raised is significantly limited since the source of the funds of the business is limited only the sole proprietor unlike in the case of partnership and corporation. B. Partnership, as provided by the New Civil Code (NCC) of the Philippines, is a contract of two who bind themselves industry to a to or more persons contribute money, property or common fund, with the intention of dividing the profits among themselves. Two or more persons may also form a partnership for the exercise of profession. More so, the partnership has a juridical INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT personality separate and distinct from that of each partners (Article 1767-1768 of NCC) A partnership may be constituted in any form, whether oral or written, except where immovable property real rights are contributed thereto, in which case or a public instrument shall be necessary. In addition, the contract of partnership having Thousand Pesos a capital of (P3,000) or more, in Three money or property, is required to be: 1) In public instrument and 2) Recorded in the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, the failure to comply with the above requirements shall not affect the liability of the partnership and the members thereof to third persons. (Article 1771-1772 of NCC) Partnership may be classified partnership. In have a as General or Limited general partnership, all the partners unlimited liability like the sole proprietor, wherein creditors of the partnership may have claim® against the separate assets of the partners for payment of debt in case of bankruptcy. However in there are a limited partnership, partners known as limited partners that have liability to the creditors only up to the extent of their capital contribution, thus, their separate assets are safe from the claims of these creditors. Like Sole Proprietorship, the life of the partnership is also limited in a sense that death of one of the partners will result to the dissolution of the 5 partnership. INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT The following are the usual causes of dissolution of the partnership: Retirement of a partner/s 1. 2. Admission of a partner/s 3. Incorporation of partnership® 4. Death of a partner/s An advantage of partnership is that there is usually capital more raised as compared proprietorship because of larger to the sole number of source of capital. On the contrary, it has less capital compared to corporation. Moreover, it is subjected to 30% corporate income tax since the Tax Code of the Philippines does not distinguish, for tax purposes only, a partnership from corporation. C. Corporation, as provided by the Corporation Code of the Philippines (CCP), is an artificial being created by the operation of the law, having the right of succession and the powers, attributes and properties expressly authorized by law or incident to its existence. (Section 2 of CCP) more This juridical entity is composed of five (5) or natural persons, not exceeding fifteen, who are called incorporators and it must be also be registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Corporation is regarded as the most complex form of business organization because of its fund raising capabilities, unlimited life and being subject to stricter government regulations. The owners are referred as shareholders of the liability. Hence, corporation who have limited the claim of the corporate creditors is only up to the amount of capital investments of these shareholders and the personal assets of the latter are INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT not subject to appropriations. These shareholders, unlike partners, can sell their ownership to existing shareholders or new investors without the need to secure the consent of the other shareholders. Thus, there is an ease of transferring ownership corporate form of business. However, one in a of the drawbacks of this form of business is the so called dual taxation subject owners wherein the income of the corporation to corporate tax while or the is earnings of the shareholders are subject to separate individual income tax. FIGURE 1-1: The Characteristic of Business Organizations: Characteristics of Sole Business Proprietorship Partnership Corporation Partners Shareholder Organization 1. Owner(s) are Manager called S 2. Owner and NO NO YES Unlimited Unlimited Limited** NO YES* YES Limited Limited Unlimited managers are separate 3. Owner's Liability 4. Separate taxation 5. Life of the Business *Except in General Professional Partnership (GPP), because this partnership will not be taxed like a corporation. According to Section 22(B) of the NIRC, "general professional partnerships are those formed by person for the sole purpose of exercising their common profession, no part of the income of which is derived from engaging in any trade or business. Moreover, for INTRODUCTION TO tax FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT purposes, the term "corporation" shall include partnership, no matter how created or organized, joint- stock companies, joint venture accounts (cuentas en participacion), association, or insurance companies but does not include general professional partnerships and joint venture or formed for the purpose consortium of undertaking construction projects or engaging in petroleum, coal, geothermal or other energy operations pursuant to an operating consortium agreement under service contract with the Government" Hence, as an exception GPP's income is not taxed separately using the 30% corporate income tax. *** Except when the doctrine of piercing the veil of corporate fiction applies. The said doctrine shall disregard the separate personality of the corporation because the corporate fiction was used as a shield veil of to perpetuate fraud, justify wrong, defeat public convenience or defend crime. The effect of this doctrine is to make the directors, officers and shareholders, involved in fraud or crime, liable for the obligation of the corporation. (Sundiang-Aquino Reviewer on Commercial Law, 2006 ed..pp.236-237). Types of Corporation: A. As to legal status: De Jure Corporation - this is a corporation organized in accordance with the law. There is a strict or substantial compliance with the statutory requirements incorporation. Hence, it exists in fact and in law. for its INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT De Facto Corporation - this is a corporation that exists only in fact but not in law because there is a flaw in its incorporation. Hence, it has no legal right to corporate existence as against the state. B. As to functions and governing law: Public Corporation - these are organized by the state for the government to promote general welfare of the public. These are governed by Special laws and the Local Government Code of the Philippines. Private Corporation individuals for the are C. - these are organized by private purpose of generating profit. These governed by the Law on Private Corporation. As to existence of stocks: Stock Corporation A corporation in which capital divided into shares and is authorized to stock is distribute to the holders thereof of such shares dividends or allotments of the surplus profits on the basis of the shares held. (Sec. 3 of the Corporation Code of the Philippines). The owners are called as shareholders or stockholders. Non-stock Corporation - A corporation which has stocks issuances no and no distribution of dividends to its members. However, a corporation is not automatically considered as a stock corporation if there is a statement of capital stock. The Supreme Court ruled that if the dividends are not supposed to be declared or there is no distribution of retained earnings, the corporation is still a non-stock corporation. Moreover, the owners are called members. (Sundiang-Aquino, Reviewer on Commercial Law 2006 ed., pp.243-246. INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT D. As to shares being traded in stock exchange: Publicly listed Company- this is a corporation whose shares are offered to public or traded in the Philippine stock exchange. Hence, this corporation undergoes initial public offering (IPO). Privately owned Company - this is shares this is a corporation whose are not traded in the stock market. Moreover, a corporation "going private" because it restricts the stockholders to a certain group, usually, family member. This is sometimes called a close or closely held corporation or privately held Corporation. The following corporations are not acceptable in Philippine Law: Limited Liability Company - this is which a business structure combines the tax advantage of a partnership (General Professional Partnership) and limited liability advantage of a corporation. Professional Corporation - this is composed of persons with same professions such as Doctors, Lawyers or Certified Public Accountants. Goals of the Corporation: People venture into business with the hope of gaining profits and the fear of incurring losses. It forms of business organizations is a fact that all whether sole proprietorship, partnership or corporation has the goal of maximizing earnings or profits. More so, having big 10 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT profit signals good financial and operating performance of the business. Thus, of success of profit maximization, as a measure the business, may be the end goal of the sole proprietor or the partners who personally manage their business. However, for a corporate form of business, this profit maximization is just a means to an ultimate end goal of the corporation. The shareholders of from the corporation will earn income their capital investments through dividend yield and capital gains yield. The former is earned through dividend declarations approved by the board of directors (BOD) while the latter is through selling of stocks or ownership to either prospective investors existing stockholders at a or gain. This is when the stock price is higher than the cost of investment. (in depth discussion on dividend and capital gains yield will be on Chapter 7 - Stock Valuation) In connection with this, the ultimate goal of corporation is shareholder's wealth maximization. is sometimes referred to as stock price This maximization. the increase in the value of stock price resulting capital gains that shareholders will yield on investments. This is one of the a reasons to their why shareholders want the financial managers to maximize the market value of the firm and not just to maximize its profits. The market value of the firm depends on the good decision making of the financial managers regarding the company's activities such as investment, financing and operations. Moreover, the condition of the global economy, inflation rates, taxes and laws imposed upon 11 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT the firm and the volatility of the factors The goal stock market are that significantly affect the said market value. of maximizing the market value of the corporation is more important than the goal of maximizing profits because of the following reasons: In maximizing the market value of the corporation, discount rate which reflects the risks of capitalization and the time value of money is taken into consideration while profit maximization does not consider such. In maximizing future profits, the company may opt to its dividend declaration and decrease and postpone instead, it will reinvest the freed up cash. If the reinvestment is too risky and will not be successful, this will be detrimental to the shareholders. Thus, shareholder's wealth is not maximized. The following are the inappropriate ways on how management maximizes the profit of the corporation: a) Management wants to accelerate sales by materially increasing the selling prices of the goods offered to the consumers, or b) Management wants to reduce expenses by cutting wage rates of the laborers or buying cheaper materials for production. These methods of maximizing profits will have a negative impact on the future earnings of the company and will result to agency conflicts. 12 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Stock price or market value per share considers both cash flows for the current and future years. Profit on the other hand, may refer to either current year's profit or future year's profit. If the goal is profit maximization, the question is which year's profit are we referring to? For example, the company may maximize current year's profit by decreasing advertising and promotion cost. However, this may decrease the future years' profit because sales of new products in the future may be decreased by these costs cutting done in the current year. The profit computation varies depending on the purpose. Thus, there are differences in the computation of profit for tax purposes and profit for accounting purposes. IV. Financial Managers of the Corporation: Financial managers are employees who are responsible for managing the monetary resources of the corporation in order to maximize firm's value. They are also responsible for dealing with the different financial markets such as stock market or bond market; and with financial institutions like banks. These managers, who are the agents of the shareholders (owners), are given the authority to perform investment, financing and operating decisions that will benefit the corporation. Generally, the Financial Managers are: Board of Directors (B.O.D.) - They are direct owners and are elected by the shareholders to corporation. They are 13 charged manage with the ultimate INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT governance of the corporation. Thus, they have ultimate responsibility for the deciding on highly important financial matters of the corporation. Moreover, BOD decides on when to declare and how much dividends per share to distribute. Chief Financial Officer (C.F.O) - also known as the Vice President for Finance (VP-Finance), who has responsibility over financial planning and formulation of financial corporate strategies. Under his supervision are the Treasurer and the Controller. Treasurer - one who focuses on the financial the aspect of corporation; wherein he has the responsibility on raising and managing the capital or funds of the company. Moreover, he is responsible for transacting and maintaining good relationship with various banks; and the formulation of the company's credit policies and collection. Controller - One who focuses on the accounting and budgeting aspect of the corporation; he is responsible for the custody of financial records, preparation of the financial statements, and interpretation of financial data. Moreover, he is responsible for the management of the budget for the efficient usage of funds.' 14 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FIGURE 1-2: To present the line of authority of these financial managers, the organizational structure of the firm is shown below: BOARD of DIRECTORS VP- Audit Chief Executive Officer (CEO) VP-Manufacturing Chief Financial Officer (VP- Finance) Controller Treasurer V. VP - Sales General Role of Financial Manager: It is noted previously that financial managers are responsible for managing the monetary resources of the corporation. Managing these resources much fund should be invested means in the acquisition how of real assets, how much fund shall be retained and plowed back to the corporation or how much shall be paid as dividends to the shareholders. Moreover, it is out the responsibility of these financial managers to raise additional capital or funds to support the and investments operations of the corporation. Therefore, the financial managers shall perform these roles which are geared towards the attainment of the ultimate goal of the corporation: 15 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Investing Decision The investments made by these financial managers should provide benefit to the corporation in the future. This should be the main consideration of the managers when investing in tangible assets such as machineries, investments in financial assets intangible assets such as land or building; or investing in the patent, trademarks or copyright. Thus, investing decision, also known as capital budgeting, answers the question: 'what assets should the corporation acquire in order to provide better returns in the future'. In addition, the amount or percentage return as well as the period when to realize the said return, are important factors in deciding whether to accept or reject the investment. Financing Decision There are many investment opportunities that financial managers may encounter as they manage the monetary resources of the corporation. However, one of the main constraints of these managers is the scarcity of available capital. This normally results to forgone investment opportunities. Hence, in order to finance these investments the financial managers should raise capital or money through its financing activities. Generally, the financial managers accumulate funds through the following means: 1.) Performing long term financing through bank loans if the prevailing interest rate is not high; or 2.) Issuance of financial assets such as share of stocks (equity security) or bonds (debt security). 16 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT company accumulates In issuing share of stocks, the fund through selling certificates corporation to the prospective of ownership investors or of the existing shareholders. The cash received from these investors will form part of the capital of the corporation and return, the latter will distribute profits to in the shareholders through dividend payments. On the contrary, the issuance of bonds to the investors known as bondholders does not indicate selling of ownership but rather signifies borrowing of funds. These bondholders are not owners but creditors of the corporation who receive interest payment instead of dividends. Hence, financing decision answers the question: "how to raise funds in order to finance the investments and operating activities of the firm. Operating Decision - In order to support the daily transactions or operations of the corporation, financial managers should decide these on how much funds should be allocated to each of its operating units. Funds raised through financing decision are not only used for the acquisition of real assets or long term investments but also for operating expenses These are of the corporations. payments for the salaries and wages of the employees, overhead costs, acquisition of materials used for production and etc. Hence, operating decision answers the question: 'how much funds will allocated to support the firm. 17 be day to day transactions of the INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT VI. Resolution of Agency Problem: the Agency conflicts are problems between principal and agent of the company. The conflicts arise when the financial managers (agents) prioritize their own personal interest rather than the best interest of the shareholders of the company (principal). The existence of these agency conflicts is detrimental on the part of the shareholders. Thus, the following are solutions to mitigate if not to eliminate conflicts between the managers and the stockholders: Compensation Plans - the compensation plans may differ among the companies depending on its capacity in terms of finances. As part of its compensation plan, the companies such as would offer incentives to their managers additional bonuses, percentage interest in net income of the company and stock options. These top of the annual basic salary of are on the managers. These incentives are provided in order to motivate these managers to perform better so that the goal of maximizing the value of the firm may be achieved. Say for instance, in comparing the compensation plan of the Chief Executive companies: X and Officers (CEO) of the two Y. If the CEO of Company X is given an additional incentive of 5% of the normal profitability of the net income above the corporation aside from his basic salary while the CEO of Company Y is only provided with annual salary of similar amount, we assume that the former is more driven performance than that of the latter. 18 to can improve his INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT However, these compensation plans sometimes provide pressure to the managers wherein it results to the commission of fraud. Say for example, if the CEO of Company X prioritizes his personal interest and wants to gain additional incentives, he can manipulate or window dress the statement of comprehensive income. Therefore, these compensation plans, if not taken appropriately, shall motivate the managers to commit fraud instead of maximizing the value of the firm. Threats as to change in Board of Directors - these Board of Directors (BOD) who are responsible for the ultimate governance of the corporation are elected by the shareholders. They participants because participate during business day board is considered are of most board passive would only meeting and not during of the company. Having a position in the not a permanent. The shareholders have the power to elect new set of BOD with them as if they are not satisfied the performance of the board particularly on how they manage the business. Threatening the members of the BOD may motivate them to become active in governing the corporation. Threats as to Management Takeover managers who ~ the top level are responsible for the daily governance of the corporation are merely appointees of the Board of Directors (BOD). These managers are employees of the corporation wherein they can be terminated or replaced if they fail to deliver what is due to the corporation. Management takeover indicates that the old management team is replaced by the new management. Threatening the old management may 19 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT motivate them to improve their poor performance and drive them to manage the business well. Legal Regulatory and requirements these requirements imposed upon the corporation, especially those on publicly listed companies, aim to provide security the part of the shareholders or investors. Say for example, one of the regulatory requirements of Securities and Exchange Commissions (SEC) publicly listed corporations is Financial Statements Statements. (FS), the In to file upon the an annual audited auditing the external substantial and appropriate data to the Financial gather auditors support the claims of the management as regards the presentation of the said Financial Statement. Then, the external auditors will provide an opinion, qualified or unqualified, regarding said the financial statement. This requirement assures that the financial statements prepared by the management are reliable and that there is no material misstatements done. Therefore, this will prevent the management from committing acts that are against the interest of the owners such as fraud. Specialist Monitoring - It is assumed that employees will perform their functions well if they are monitored by their superior. However, monitoring of performance not solely within the corporation because is the external parties such as investors or creditors may also examine the performance of the company. Say for example, the corporation is in need of funds and the financial managers opt to apply for a loan in a bank. Before the application for a loan is granted, the bank shall initially examine the capacity of the debtor to pay 20 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT its debt. Hence, if the bank lends money to the corporation, this signifies a healthy financial condition of the company. Conflicts between Stockholders and Bondholders: Aside from the conflicts between financial managers and stockholders, there are also conflicts between the two sources funds. of stockholders The and bondholders are investors of the firm's equity and debt securities respectively. As regards their conflict, the stockholders, as owners of the firm, want the financial managers to invest in risky investments while the bondholders, as lenders of the firm, oppose to risky investments. It should be noted that bondholders have fixed income from interest payments of the firm while the stockholder's income depends on the dividend yield and capital gains yield. The former on is more concerned the capacity of the firm to pay interest irrespective of the result of the firm's operations and investments while the latter which is concerned on the dividend payments is usually dependent on the results of the firm's operations and investments. Say for example, have the option if the financial managers of the firm to invest its P 100 Million in the following unit investment trust funds (UITF): a. 100% equity fund (High Risk) b. 50% equity or 50% debt (balanced fund) C. 100% debt fund (Low Risk) Normally, the stockholders, as risk takers, would want the P100 Million to be invested in 100% equity fund because the said fund has the highest risk which will 21 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT provide the highest return. Hence, if the result of investments is which positive, the firm will gain high returns shows that the expected dividends distributed is be to also high. On the other hand, the bondholders want the managers to invest the P100 Million in lower risk investment such as the 100% debt fund or the balanced fund which provides a lower return. For bondholders, they are already assured of the fixed interest income as long as the firm is solvent. Thus, they want the managers to choose a low risk investment in order to avoid high losses and still maintain its solvency. In determining the optimal capital structure, we will learn that the firm may be classified as unlevered (without debt) and levered (with debt). More so, the additional issuances of debt securities in order to accumulate more funds make the firm more risky. connection with and this, another conflict stockholders may In between arise. The Bondholders, as risk averse investor, would protect their interest by entering into a bond covenant restricting the firm from issuing additional debt securities. In addition, they would opt to raise funds through additional stock issuances in lieu of additional debt. On the other hand, the stockholders, as risk takers, would approve the manager's decision to increase debt securities rather than stock issuances because the latter may dilute their stock ownership. (Brigham-Houston Fundamental of Financial Management, 13th ed.) 22 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT Ethical Considerations: It is true that the ultimate goal of the corporation is maximizing the firm's market value or the maximization of the shareholder's wealth. This goal should be achieved not through fraudulent acts but in an ethical manner of doing business. Moreover, the company should maintain its Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) at all times such as avoiding things that has adverse effects in the society and to the people. Ethics and the goal of maximizing shareholder wealth generally lean towards similar ends because ethical behavior builds good reputation that will benefit the organization in the long run. However, in case of conflict between ethics and profit goals, the former shall prevail because unethical dealings will provide results taint the that goodwill of the company. Say for example in the United States, the WorldCom bankruptcy in 2002 was marked as one of the top business scandals wherein the management led by CEO Bernie Ebbers fraudulently inflated assets by $11 billion and overstated the income of the company by $3.8 billion. The material misstatement is due to the failure of the management to report such amount as operating expenses. Moreover, WorldCom first reported the said amount as capital expenditures rather than operating evident that the management of the company window dressed the financial statements by expenses. It is presenting a good financial performance but in fact the business is already bankrupt. Due to this business scandal, US Congress passed the so called Sarbanes- Oxley Act which set regulation. 23 a more stringent business INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT In the Philippines, there are lots of business scandals which must be addressed by the government. One of which is the Globe Asiatique Fund Scam mastermind allegedly by Mr. Delfin Lee. In this scandal, a developer, with good track record like Delfin Lee, was allowed by Pag-ibig to process the loan application of their buyers, then will forward to Pag-ibig for the release the funds, thereby making the process faster. However, it turned out that 60% of the P7 billion were lent to Pag-ibig funds for housing the fictitious borrowers processed fraudulently by Globe Asiatique. Now, irrespective of the reasons be the management have in doing such, may it a move to still save the company from bankruptcy, they committed a fraudulent and unethical act. Therefore, the end no matter how noble, does not justify the means. (opinion.inquirer.net/how--globe-asiatique-scam-was- done by: Neal H. Cruz, March 19, 2014) 24 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT CHAPTER EXERCISES NAME SCORE: SECTION: DATE: TRUE or FALSE: Write X if the statement is true while M if false. 1. Financial Accounting is the process of planning, directing, organizing, controlling and monitoring the monetary resources of the company in order to achieve its objectives or goals. 2. The ultimate goal of the corporation is maximizing its market value which is the same as shareholder's wealth maximization. Profit maximization does not consider the discount rate which reflects the risks of capitalization and the time value of money unlike market value maximization. 4. Profit maximization and cost minimization are goals of any business organization. 5. Profit maximization is the primary goal of all business organization. b. Shareholder's wealth maximization may be obtained through increase in amounts of dividends declared and decrease of company's stock price. 7. The roles of financial managers are to decide on its investing, financing and operating activities. 8. The treasurer's responsibility mainly focuses on the accounting and budgeting processes. 9. The controller's responsibility is to raise adequate funds and maintain control of such funds for the company. 25 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 10. The Chief Financial Officer is also known as the Vice President of Finance Department who supervises the treasurer not the controller. 11. The board of directors is considered owners who are responsible for the overall governance of the corporation. 12. Board of directors decides on highly significant financial matters of the firm while controller is responsible in the capital budgeting aspect of the firm. 13. The external auditor not the controller has the ultimate responsibility in preparing the financial statement of the firm since they will provide an opinion whether qualified or unqualified. 14. Funds raised through financing decision are not only used for investments but also for the funding of the operating expenses of the corporations. 15. In investing decision, the financial manager answers the question how much fund must be raised in order to finance the investing activities. 16. The financial managers decide on the operating activities of the firm wherein they allocate funds for the acquisition of non- current assets or real assets. 17. Financing activities focuses on fund raising, an example of is through issuance of corporate bonds (equity security) or which share of stocks (debt security). 18. The acquisition of raw materials and equipment is an example of investing and operating activity, respectively. 19. The sole proprietorship business is subject to lesser regulations as compared to the Corporation as a business. 26 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 20. The amount of capital of the that of the partnership as 21. The Corporation is a a corporation is usually smaller than business. legal entity created by the state and is a direct extension of the legal status of its owners and managers, that is, the owners and managers are the corporation. 22. De Facto Corporation law because there is 23. is a corporation that exists in fact and in no flaw in its incorporation. Even if there is statement of capital stock but the dividends are supposed to be declared, the corporation not is still a non-stock corporation. 24. Closed or Private Corporation, Public Corporation and Professional Corporation are accepted in the Philippines. 25. The partnership form of organization has easy transferability of ownership as opposed to corporation. 26. One disadvantage of forming a corporation is that shareholders have limited liability. 27. Partnership must be registered in the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) rather than Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 28. The liability of a sole proprietor is unlimited while the shareholder's liability is limited only up to the amount of investment in stocks. 29. The limited liability characteristic of owners of the corporation is subject to an exception called the doctrine of piercing the veil of corporate fiction. 30. The the life of the corporation is limited only up to 50 years while life of a partnership business is unlimited since the original 27 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT partners may transfer their ownership to their heirs through succession. 31. The actions that maximize a firm's stock price are inconsistent with maximizing social welfare. 32. Limited Liability Company (LLC) is a new type of organization that is hybrid between provides that they are partnership and a taxed and has a a corporation. This limited liability like a corporation. 33. The Limited Liability Company is not accepted in the Philippines while the Limited Partnership is acceptable in the Philippines. 34. Publicly listed company is a corporation whose shares are traded in the Philippine stock exchange while privately owned company's shares are not offered to the public. 35. Professional corporation, like General professional partnership, is composed organization in of professionals and is acceptable business the Philippines. 36. Financial Managers are agents of the Shareholders, the latter being the real owners of the corporation are principals. 37. If these agents do not prioritize the interest of the principal owners rather their own interest, 38. agency conflicts may exist. Compensating managers with stock can reduce the agency problem between stockholders and managers. 39. Paying these managers with large fixed salaries rather than increasing the threat as to takeover can mitigate the agency conflicts between stockholders and managers. 28 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 40. Threatening the old management may motivate them to rectify their poor performance and drive them to manage the business well. 41. There is a conflict between stockholders and bondholder wherein the former wants the management investments while the latter 42. Bondholders are wants the less providers of take to risky risky investments. funds since they invested in the debt security issued by the firm, hence they are also deemed as owners of the firm. 43. Good reputation may be attained through ethical business practices and is considered as the best advertisement. 44. The firm should always consider their corporate social responsibility in doing business. 45. Unethical behavior will eventually lead to failure of achieving organizations goals as mirrored by the results of this the behavior on Enron and WorldCom. 46. Ethics and the goal of maximizing lean towards of shareholder wealth generally opposite ends since managers of an organization would not profit from ethical behavior. 47. If there are conflict between profit maximization and ethical consideration, the latter must prevail. 48. If there are conflict between shareholder's wealth maximization and ethical consideration, the former should prevail. 49. One of the ways to minimize losses is to window dress the financial statement in order to make it prospective investors. 29 more attractive to INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 50. The management in order to save the firm from bankruptcy may perform unethical conduct since the end if it is with noble intention may justify the means. 51. By allowing a culture of leniency towards any action, both legal or otherwise, the organization greatly allows itself to profit in the long-run thereby able to maximize shareholder wealth in the process. 52. There is a very small amount of incentive in maintaining ethical behavior in an organization. 53. Unethical behavior will eventually lead to failure of achieving the organizations goals as mirrored by the results of this behavior on Enron and WorldCom. 54. An entity wishing to ensure its selection as a government contractor should ensure that government officials receive sumptuous gifts. The benefits of being selected as a government contractor far exceeds the cost of the gifts provided and justifies the action undertaken since it will all inure to the benefit of the shareholders. 55. The primary goal of a publicly-owned firm interested in serving its stockholders should be to maximize expected EPS. 56. Restrictive covenants in reduce agency 57. debt agreements are an effective way to conflicts between stockholders and managers. Managers generally welcome hostile takeovers since they often increase the company's 58. One disadvantage of stock price. forming a corporation is that your shareholders have limited liability. 59. Relative to sole proprietorships, regulations, but find it easier to corporations generally face more raise capital. 30 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 60. Bondholders generally want managers to select risky projects, but shareholders prefer that managers select safe projects. 61. Since they are guaranteed a certain set of cash flows, corporate bondholders generally want corporate risk/high return projects. 62. managers The actions that maximize a firm's stock price with maximizing social welfare. 63. The concepts the are inconsistent of social responsibility and ethical responsibility on part of corporations are relevant in maximizing stock 64. One of the to select high completely different and neither is price. ways in which firms can mitigate or reduce agency problems between bondholders and stockholders is by increasing the amount of debt in the capital structure. 65. The threat of takeover is way in which the agency problem between stockholders and managers can be alleviated. 66. one Managerial compensation can be structured to reduce agency problems between stockholders and managers. 67. The threat of a takeover can reduce the agency problem between bondholders and stockholders. 68. Closed/Private Corporation, Public Corporation and Professional Corporation are accepted in the Philippines. 69. In part due to limited liability and ease of ownership transfer, corporations have less trouble raising money in financial markets than other organizational forms. 70. The ultimate goal of a publicly-owned firm interested in serving its stockholders should be to increase profits and decrease costs. "THAT IN ALL THINGS, GOD MAY BE GLORIFIED" 31 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT CHAPTER 2 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT In chapter 1, we have learned that the ultimate goal of the corporation is maximization of its market value or shareholder's wealth maximization. One achieve this primary goal is proper allocation of funds to activities. of the means to maximize profits through its operating and investing to However, there are times when firm's capital is not sufficient to support its investments and operational activities wherein there is a need to raise additional funds through the utilization financial markets, financial institutions or stockholders infusing additional capital. Companies under financial distress may engage in the issuance of its financial assets (debt and equity securities) in the financial markets or borrow money of from the financial institutions. In this chapter, we will learn financial environments by discuss following: the The different kinds of markets The different financial intermediaries The transfer of financial assets Direct and Indirect transfer Stock market transactions Stock market efficiency Financial environments are factors and situations that primarily affect the financial aspects of the corporation. The principal factors are the sources of financing through A) Financial Markets and B) Financial Intermediaries. The main source of funds used for investments and operations from the savings of the investors. The financial managers acquire these funds through equity financing and debt come financing. These financing transactions take place in the so 35 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT called financial markets and with the intervention of the different financial intermediaries and institution. On the other hand, there are other markets not classified as financial markets but can affect the operating and investing activities of the firm. I. Different types of markets A. Financial Markets are the place where financial assets such as Equity Securities (shares of Stock) and Debt Securities (Bond certificates) are issued and traded. 1. Stock Market - this is a market where equity securities are being issued and traded. In this market, the stockholders may sell their stock investments or the firm may issue additional stocks if the stock price is overvalued or may purchase stocks if undervalued. For example, if the firm has to raise funds but wants to avoid high interest rate, the firm may issue equity securities in this market. 2. Bond Market - this is a market where debt securities are being issued and traded. This is also referred as the fixed-income market because the investors or so called bondholders receive fixed interest payments from their investments assuming they will hold the bond until maturity or on a longer period of time. For example, if the firm has to raise funds but the stock price is undervalued, the firm may issue debt securities rather equity securities in this market. 36 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 3. Money Market - this is a market where short-term debts with maturities of one year or less are used as a source of financing. An example of this short-term debt security is a Treasury bill which is issued by the government with maturity of one year or less. 4. Capital Market - this market where long-term debt is a and equity securities are involved, for financing. The examples of the long-term debt security are Treasury note and Treasury bond wherein the former is a debt security issued by the government usually with maturity of more than one year but not years while the latter is more than 10 a debt security issued by the government with maturity of more than 10 years. B. Other markets: 1. Physical Market is also known as real asset or tangible markets because the products involved are real estate, property plant and equipment, inventories, etc. Hence, those assets not qualified as financial assets are sold in this market. Say for example, the acquisition of raw materials to be used for the manufacture of products takes place in this market. In addition, if the firm has to expand its operations and increase its production, the firm has to purchase machineries in this market. 2. Spot Market - this is a market where assets or goods are sold for and delivered on the spot or today. Thus, the 37 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT determination of price and delivery of goods is on the same date. An example is when a rice dealer went to the farm during harvest to purchase all the harvest at an agreed price and to be delivered on the same day; this takes place in spot market. Another example when is a Philippine based corporation purchased inventories on February 14, 2017 from a US based corporation to be imported and paid on March 3, 2018, the Philippine corporation to has pay in US dollars. This is an example of an exposed liability position (ELP) where the amount of accounts payable changes as the exchange changes. rate Therefore, there is a need to purchase foreign currency to settle the accounts payable. The purchase of foreign currency will be on the settlement date, March 3, 2018. Thus, the determination of exchange rate (price) and delivery of investment in foreign currency (US dollars) is on the spot. 3. Future Market - this is a market where future contracts are sold. A future contract is a contract that gives the purchaser an obligation to buy an asset (and the seller an obligation to trade an asset) at a predetermined price at a future date. Thus, the price is agreed today but the delivery of goods is in the future. An example is when a month before harvest to at an rice dealer went to the farm purchase all the future agreed price today and to 38 harvest be delivered on the of harvest; this takes place in future market. a day FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT Another example, is investing in a 1.) forward contract or 2.) option contract (both hedge instruments) to hedge foreign currency transaction (hedge item). In a forward contract, the exchange rate used to value the purchase or sale of foreign currency is a forward rate. Hence, the forward rate (price) is already determined today but the delivery of the investment in foreign currency (ex. US Dollars -$) An option contract value is is in the future. an example of a derivative whose is derived from the price of an "underlying" asset. Option contracts are classified as call option (option to buy) or put option (option to sell). This contract has option price set at the inception of which is 4. an the transaction exercisable by the investor in the future, hence making the transaction under future market. Private Market - this is a market agreement where negotiation and takes place personally between two parties. Hence, making the contract unique or tailor-made. Say for example, investing in a life insurance is personal between the insured and insurer. The policy holder being the insured while insurance company being insurer. Another the example of transaction that takes place in a private market is when a depositor opens a savings or checking account in a bank. 5. Public Market - this is a market where a security or contracts with standardized features are being traded and held by individuals. 39 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT For example, in stock markets and bond markets, the securities (stock certificates and bond certificates) issued by the corporation have standard features. Hence, making them available for trading or exchange unlike the life insurance policy discussed above. Financial Intermediaries: Financial Intermediaries provide financing are the to the organizations that individuals, corporation or other organizations by raising funds or money from: investors. 1. Mutual Funds (MF) money from the the investment company pools investors then invests these accumulated amount in a portfolio of securities whether equity (shares of stock), debt (bonds) or money market (short term securities). In Mutual Fund, the investors purchased shares of the investment company thereby giving the former the right to receive dividends. The body that regulates these mutual funds is the Securities and Exchange Commission. is or An example of mutual fund Sun Life Balanced Fund, Philequity Peso Bond Fund ALFM Growth Fund. (philpad.com/best-mutual-funds- in-the-philippines-2015) 2. Unit Investment Trust Fund (UITF) the investment company sells units of investment to the investors to accumulate a trust fund. The trust fund may be invested also in equity, debt or balance of equity and debt. Hence, the investors stock. The own units of investments not shares of regulatory body which supervises these unit investment trust funds is the Banko Sentral ng Pilipinas. An example of investment in 40 UITF is the BPI Equity Index FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT Fund of the Bank Philippine Island. (philpad.com/mutual-fund-vs-uitt-similarities-andof the differences-advantages-and-disadvantages) 3. Pension Fund - these are pooled contribution from the employees or from the employers that serves as the investment plans for the retirement benefits of the employees. The accumulated funds may be invested shares of stocks the amount of 4. or in in a mutual fund in order to increase pensions received by the retirees. Financial institution this is a kind of financial intermediary that provide additional financial services other than pooling and investing of funds. One type of financial institution is a bank which may serve as debtor and creditor at the same time by accepting cash deposits from savers (borrowing) and providing loans to individual or to other firms (lending). Another type of financial institution is the insurance company that sells protection against the losses from fortuitous events like fire, accidents and death. Transfer of Securities: Direct Transfer In a direct transfer of securities, the equity securities evidenced by stock certificates and debt securities evidenced by bond certificates are issued directly to the investors. In turn, these investors pay directly to the issuing company. Thus, the securities do not pass through the possession of any financial intermediaries. 41 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT Indirect Transfer: In an indirect transfer of securities, the issuing company seeks the aid of the financial institution to easily issue their securities to the investors, thus there is mediation between the issuer and the investor. Moreover, the investor may acquire securities from the intermediary that are different from what have been issued by the corporation. Therefore, indirect transfers of securities are classified as: Indirect transfer through Investment Bank the securities of the company are bought by the investment bank or the SO underwriter with the intention of them to a called reselling prospective investor. The securities of the issuing company will be in the the investors. Thus, no new hands of form of capital is created. Indirect through transfer Intermediary Financial the securities of the company are bought by these financial intermediaries without the intention of securities; rather they reselling the said will sell their own securities to the new investors. The securities of the issuing company are in the possession of the financial intermediaries while the new investors will get the securities issued by the financial intermediaries e.g. Investors will receive the insurance policies issued by the Insurance Companies. Thus, new form of capital is created. 42 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT IV. Stock Market Transaction: Stock Markets are markets where shares of stocks of corporation are sold to new investors and or existing stockholders. The Philippines had two stock markets, namely: 1.) Manila Stock Exchange (MSE) which was established on August 8, 1927; and 2.). Makati Stock Exchange (MkSE), which was established on May 27, 1963. However, these two markets were unified forming the Philippine Stock Exchange on December 23, 1992 with eight (8) constituent indices such as: PSE Composite Index (PSEi) PSE All shares Index (ALL) PSE Holding Firms Index (HDG) PSE Industrial Index (IND) PSE Financial Index (FIN) → note PSE Mining and Oil Index (M-0) PSE Property Index (PRO) PSE Services Index (SVC) figure below illustrates the stock position of portfolio investments with the performance of the The abovementioned indices. 43 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT Figure 2-1: The Stock Market Index and Stock Position of investments ACCOUNT BALANCES MARKET INDEX 6,966.18 +55.84 ALI 67 FIN 92 (+0.81%) IND 203 TURNOVER 4.59B PRO 3,970.47 CASH +18.15 6.584.67 +73.57 10.930.58 20.85 10.199.94 -3413 2.988.77 +25.69 1,513.77 +8.32 4,526.20 MARGIN/CREDIT 1.547.59 +12.37 0.00 BUYING POWER 4,526.20 YIEW PORTFOLIO VIEW ORDERS STOCK POSITION BUY / SELL BID PRICE ASK PRICE ASK VOLUME .69 470 83.70 85.75 0.3400 87 46,700 18.50 18.88 5,300 0.0400 0.57 947,400 6.94 6.95 80,000 3.63 2,000 50.00 51.40 7,900 46.50 -0.2000 0.4283 15,300 46.50 47.00 7,500 2052.00 30.00 1.48 50 2,044.00 2,052.00 8,400 85.75 BUY I SELL 18.50 SELL 6.94 BUY I SELL 51.40 BUY ] SELL BUY [ SELL BID VOLUME DIFF LAST CODE BUY SELL 490,040 (SOURCE: www.bpitrade.com) This figure shows that the investor has invested in the stocks of the following company as shown in the • Bank of the CODE column: Philippine Island (BPI) East West Bank (EW) Petron Corporation (PCOR) Philippine National Bank (PNB) San Miguel Corporation (SMC) Philippine Long Distance and Telephone Company (TEL) The LAST column shows the current stock price while the DIFF column is the peso value increase or decrease in the said price of these stocks. The BID VOLUME column displays the number buyers want to of outstanding stocks that the willing buy while the ASK VOLUME column is the number of outstanding stocks that willing sellers want to sell. The BID PRICE column illustrates the stock prices that buyers are willing to pay while the ASK PRICE column is the stock prices that sellers are willing to accept. Say for example, in BPI stock, the BID price is 44 P 83.70 while the FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT ASK price is P 85.75. There will be a bargain between the willing buyer and seller until they meet at an agreed price. Now, if the BID equals to ASK price, say for example at agreed price of P84.50, this will be new current market price of the stock to be shown in the LAST column. The following are the stock market transaction: 1. Initial Public Offering (IPO) Markets are markets where the stocks of a closely held corporation, going public, are offered to the = public for the first time. The closely held corporations undergo IPO in order to raise additional capital to finance their operating and investing activities. To aid these corporations in going public, the investment purchase the banker may offered shares at underwriter's price then sell them to public at a retail all new price. Hence, this transfer is in the form of indirect through investment bank. However, the corporation may also undergo IPO through direct transfer where individual investors may place their respective bid prices and corporation selling directly to them. Generally, the IPO the transaction is classified as primary market transaction since the new stocks were sold shareholders. to the An public, exception who is are when new the outstanding stocks of the corporation owned by the existing shareholders were sold to the public, the IPO transaction is under a secondary market transaction. 45 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 2. Seasoned Offering is the issuance of additional shares of stocks of the company after its first time offering in order to finance the capital budget or to improve its capital structure. This kind offering may be done by family corporations 3. or publicly listed corporations. Primary Markets - are involved with the issuance or selling of new shares of stocks to the investors through the aid of the investment bankers. The cash proceed from primary market transaction goes to the corporation. Thus, the transactions in this market change the size of the capital structure of the company. 4. Secondary Market - are involved with the sale of the outstanding shares of stocks to the existing shareholders or to new investors. The cash proceed from secondary market transaction goes to the selling shareholders, not the corporation. Thus, the capital structure of the company is not affected by the secondary market transactions. To illustrate the stock market transactions: In January 2, 2018, TRIPLE B CONSTRUCTION, a family corporation engaged in construction business, wants to finance to raise additional fund in order their additional capital expenditure. To address their financial needs, the board of directors decided to have the corporation listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) so that they can sell new stocks to the public. On February 1, 2018, TRIPLE B CONSTRUCTION 46 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT sold its shares to the public for the first time. The outstanding and authorized capital stocks of the corporation are 500,000 and 1,000,000 shares respectively. In June 30, 2018 the TRIPLE B CONSTRUCTION, now a publicly listed company, sold additional 250,000 shares to fund their expansion projects. Hence, the outstanding shares as of this date are 750,000. One of the stockholders, named Don Bernabe, owned 200,000 shares. He sold half of his ownership to his brother Mr. Jeffries on October 30, 2018. On the other hand, TRIPLE B CONSTRUCTION repurchased the remaining 100,000 shares of Don Bernabe On November 30, 2018. Analysis of the transactions: The Initial Public Offering (IPO) was performed on February 1, 2018. The Seasoned Offering (SO) was after the IPO, in this illustration, it was done on June 30, 2018 when additional 250,000 shares were sold. The IPO and SO are considered as sale of shares under primary market transaction. The sale of Mr. Jeffries outstanding shares by Don Bernabe to on October 30, 2018 is a secondary market transaction since the capital structure firm is not affected. 47 of the FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT The stock repurchase by TRIPLE B CONSTRUCTION from Don Bernabe on November 30, 2018 is considered as primary market transaction because such purchase affected the capital structure of the firm. Stock Market Efficiency: Stock market may be considered as efficient or inefficient market. If the stocks market shows that the market prices of the stocks are about equal close or to intrinsic values, there is market efficiency. In this situation, the stock price reflects all publicly available information hence, are fairly priced. Thus, Investors returns or losses under efficient market are relatively low. On the other hand, if the stock market is inefficient, the stock prices are considered to be highly overvalued or undervalued. Hence, the investors are not confident to invest unless they knew some information over the others. There are three levels of efficiency in Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) namely: Weak form this level shows that the information regarding past or historical prices of a particular stock is not conclusive in predicting stock prices. Hence, an investor cannot the beat the market by simply analyzing past performances of the stock. Semi-strong form this level shows that all the available public information is already 48 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT incorporated in the stock prices. Hence, the investors cannot beat the market solely by analyzing the published financial reports of the company unless they have information from company insiders. Strong form this level show that investors cannot beat the market even with insider information. Hence, the investors in this efficient market cannot earn high returns. The stock prices can be classified as: a) Market value - also known as perceived value, is the price of the stock which is in the market. In currently traded the Philippines, the market prices of the stocks of publicly listed companies are readily available in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). b) Intrinsic value stock. This is this is the true value of the the price that the willing buyer will bid and willing seller will ask provided that all necessary information about the stock available. The intrinsic value can is be estimated using either the a) Dividend Discount Model or b) Corporate Valuation Model. (In depth discussion regarding these models will be on Chapter 7 - Stock Valuation.) If the so called market value (perceived value) is equal to the intrinsic value (true value), the stock price is at equilibrium. Hence, the investor is neutral as to selling or buying stocks. 49 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT If the market value of the stock is higher than the intrinsic value, the stock price is deemed as overvalued. Thus, the stockholders are expected to sell than to buy shares. If the market value is lower than the intrinsic value, the stock price is investors are expected undervalued. Hence, to the purchase more shares to take advantage of lower price. (BrighamHouston, Fundamentals of FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 13th ed, page 46-49) 50 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT CHAPTER EXERCISES NAME SCORE: SECTION:_ DATE: TRUE or FALSE: Write X if the statement is true while M if false. 1. Financial environments are factors and situations that primarily affect the operating 2. aspects of the corporation. Financial Markets are where physical assets such as stocks and bonds are issued and traded. 3. The firm may increase funds through the issuance of debt 4. sale of equity security or security in capital market. The real asset or tangible markets are where financial assets are sold or traded. 5. In a private market, the contracts between two persons are with standardized feature making it available for trade. 6. An example of transaction in a private market is when an investor signs a contract of deposit with a bank, while trading of stocks is an example transaction in public market. 7. Public Market is market where a security or contracts with tailor-made features are being traded and held by individuals. 8. Money Market is a financial market in which funds are borrowed or loaned for short periods. Capital Markets involve instruments with maturities of longer than one year. 10. In a secondary market the outstanding shares are sold by a shareholder to an investor thereby increasing the capital structure of the corporation. 51 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 11. If the goods are to be delivered in the future and the price is determined today, it is a spot market transaction. 12. Treasury bonds are long term debt securities issued by the corporation which provides for a fixed interest income for more than 10 years. 13. Treasury bills are debts of the government with more than 10 years of maturity. 14. Mutual from Funds are pooled contribution from the employees or the employers that serves as the investment plans for the retirement benefits of the employees. 15. Spot Market is a market where assets or goods are delivered today and the price of the said assets is determined today. 16. An example of spot market transaction is buying of foreign currency using the forward 17. rate. A derivative is a contract whose value depends on the value of an underlying asset. 18. Option contracts are transacted contract has 20. future market because an option price set at the inception transaction which 19. in the of the is exercisable by the investor in the future. Call option contract gives the investor a right to sell if the option price (exercise price) is greater than the market price. In a Put option contract, it is said to be "in the money" transaction if than the exercise strike price (option price) is lower the so called market price. 52 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 21. In an option to buy a foreign currency, when the spot market price is lower than the exercise strike price it is said to be "out of the money" transaction. 22. If the option price is "at the equal to the spot market price, it said to be money" whether the option is put or call option. 23. Future market is a market where assets or the future while the price of the said assets goods are delivered in is determined today. 24. If the investor ALEX has P 10,000 cash to invest in highly risky investment, he should invest in bond market rather than stock market to earn more. 25. In a primary stock market transaction, the transfer of capital from seller to investor changes the capital structure of the corporation. secondary stock market transaction, the transfer of capital 26. In a from seller to investor involves the sale of outstanding shares of the corporation, thus, it changes the capital structure of the said corporation. 27. Initial Public Offering is the first time offering of closely held company's stocks to the public. 28. The IPO is classified as primary market transaction or secondary market transaction, wherein the former transaction shows that new stocks were sold to new investors while the latter shows that new 29. In a stocks were sold to existing stockholders. seasoned offering, the additional shares were of the company issued after its first time offering in order to finance its investment and operations. 30. A transfer of securities investors will is an through an intermediary in which the be holding the securities of the issuing corporation indirect transfer through investment bank. 53 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 31. If APOLLO Bank, after knowing the plan of CHUA Corporation to go public, purchased all the latter's shares at a certain price then offered these shares to the public, the transfer is deemed as indirect transfer through underwriter. 32. If APOLINARIO Corp, a life insurance company, purchased all the shares of MANALO Corporation after knowing the plan of the latter to go public then offered its own insurance policy to the public, the transfer is known as indirect transfer through financial intermediary. 33. Capital market involves investment is long term debt securities only such as bonds and notes while stock market is where equities are being sold and traded. 34. Mutual funds are investment companies that pools investment from the public then place these funds in equity security but not in debt security investments. 35. In a Unit Investment Trust Fund (UITF), the investor will buy units of investment from the investment company while in Mutual Fund (MF) the investor will purchase shares of the said investment company. 36. If HENDRY SY invested his P 100,000 in mutual fund of Bee-Dee- Owe while his P 50,000 was invested in former investment is is regulated UITF of Bee-Pee-Eye, the regulated by BSP while the latter investment by SEC. 37. An efficient stock market is where the considered to be stock prices are highly overvalued or undervalued. 38. An undervalued stock will be a the intrinsic value "good buy" because it is lower than the market value. 54 shows that FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 39. The stock is undervalued if the perceived value is lower than true value, hence the investors will be indifferent in buying or selling. 40. In efficient market hypothesis, the strong form shows investors can earn 41. In a that beat the market with insider information and will high returns. weak form of efficient market, an investor cannot beat the market by simply analyzing the past performances of the stock. 42. In a semi-strong form of efficient market, not all the available public information is incorporated in the stock prices, Hence, analyzing the published financial reports are significant to beat the market. 43. Intrinsic value, also known as the perceived value, is the price that the willing buyer will bid and willing seller will ask provided that all necessary information about the stock is available. 44. Historically the Philippines had two stock markets but these markets were unified forming the Philippine Stock with six (6). constituent indices. 45. Treasury bonds and corporate bonds are both traded in capital market but with different interest rates. 46. Ceteris paribus, the corporate bond's interest rate is always higher than the interest rate of Treasury bond. 47. Investment in equity securities (stock) and debt securities (bonds) are long term investments but the former is riskier than the latter. 48. Ceteris paribus, investment in stocks is expected to provide higher return than the investment in bonds because the higher the risk, the higher the return. 55 FINANCIAL ENVIRONMENT 49. Low interest (stocks) rate triggers the in the stock firm to issue equity securities market instead of issuing debt securities (bonds) in the bond market. Initial Public Offering is generally performed by family corporations that are going public through issuance of stocks to 50. The the public for the first time in the stock market; however, it may also be performed by publicly listed companies through issuance of corporate bonds for the first time in the 51. The main product under the bond market. secondary market is outstanding investor thereby increasing the capital structure of the corporation. shares which are sold by a shareholder to an 52. Issuing 2 million shares of DMZI new stock to the public is a kind of secondary market transaction. 53. A financial market in which funds are borrowed or loaned for short periods is a capital market. Indirect Transfers through 54. Investment Bankers is a transfer of security particularly shares of stock through which the investors will an intermediary in be holding the securities of the corporation / Business. 55. Investment Banks usually specialize assisting organizations raise capital by "syndicating" or arranging for the sale of the securities offered by the borrower as opposed to Commercial Banks performing general banking services such as depositary, checking, trust and various loan products. "In everything you do, never forget to seek the blessings of the Lord for he has the final answer."-ysb 56 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS CHAPTER 3 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Corporations, especially those publicly listed companies, are mandated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (S.E.C.) to file their annual Audited Financial Statements. These financial statements are composed of: 1) Statement of Financial Position which is traditionally known as Balance Sheet; 2) Statement of Comprehensive Income also known as Income Statement; 3) Statement of Cash Flows, 4) Statement of Changes in Owner's Equity and 5) Notes to Financial Statements. These aforementioned statements are the primary means to communicate the material financial information to its users regarding the operating performance, profitability and the ability of company to meet its obligations. However, users cannot easily determine the financial status of the company by merely looking at the values stated in the Financial Statements. Thus, there are tools and techniques developed by the financial analysts that helps evaluate the company's performance and conditions. In this chapter, we will explore the following: Different tools and techniques in analyzing the financial statements of the company. The significance and formulas of the different performance measurement ratios that reflects the liquidity, solvency, efficiency and profitability of the company. analyzing the financial statements, financial managers use the following tools and techniques such as: a) Horizontal In Analysis, b) Vertical Analysis, c) Financial Ratios and d) DuPont Technique. 59 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS Horizontal analysis of financial statements is a method of comparing the Peso value or amount of the particular line item in the Statement of Financial Position, Statement of Comprehensive Income or Cash Flow Statements over a consecutive accounting period. Moreover, this two or more peso value can be converted into percentages for purposes of comparing the performance of different companies in industry. Horizontal analysis, which is analysis, provides assessment decrease these in of an also known as trend the significant increase or different items in the financial statements. Thus, in performing Horizontal analysis as a technique, we can use the a) Peso value or b) Percentage change for comparison and evaluation of company's performance. % To illustrate, use following Statement of Financial Position of FSA Corporation for the year 2014 and 2015 as shown in table below: TABLE 3-1: FSA Corporation Statement of Financial Position STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION AS OF DECEMBER 31 (in Millions of Pesos) 2014 2015 2014 ASSET LIABILITIES and SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY Current Asset (CA) Current Liability(CL) Cash Accounts Receivable Inventory TOTAL CURRENT ASSET 800 900 1,300 1,100 700 2,800 750 Accounts Payable 400 Notes Payable 1,600 1,450 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITY 2,000 1,900 3,500 3,700 2,750 Non-Current Liability (NCL) Bonds Payable Non-Current Asset (NCA) Property,Plant and Equipment Intangible Asset TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSET 5,600 4,900 other Long Term Debt 2,600 2,350 TOTAL NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES 8,200 7,250 2,400 2,600 5,900 6,300 Shareholder's Equity TOTAL ASSETS 10000 Common Stocks 500 700 Retained Earnings 2,600 1,100 TOTAL SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 3,100 1,800 11,000 10,000 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 60 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS If the financial manager will perform Horizontal or Trend Analysis on the a) Cash and Cash equivalents item and b) Notes Payable item as shown in the Statement of Financial Positions above, what will be the assessment using: 1) Peso Value or 2) Percentage Change? In using Peso Value for comparison and analysis, the amount of Cash and Cash Equivalents for the year 2015 was increased by P 100 million while the amount of Notes Payable decreased by 150 million. The increase in the amount of cash may signify that there are revenues generated or the inflows of cash are more than outflow. On the other hand, the decrease in Notes Payable may imply that there are payments of obligations made by the FSA corporations. In using Percentage for comparison and analysis, there need to convert the Peso is a value into percentages where in prior period values will serve as the base amount (100%). To calculate the percentage change in values from prior period to the current period, we will use the formula below: Prior Year Current Year Percentage Change = Prior Year If the percentage change resulted to a positive (+), this implies that there is increase in the peso value of the line item subject to evaluation while negative ( - ) percentage means that there is decrease in the peso value. Thus, the change in Cash and Cash Equivalent from P 800 P 900 million in 2015 will be million for the year 2014 to reported as 12.5 % increase in the value of cash or value of the prior period. reported as 112.5% of the cash 61 be FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Percentage Change =P 900 Million - P 800 Million_= P 800 Million On the other hand, the change Notes Payable Billion for the year 12.5% from P 1.6 2014 to P 1.45 Billion in 2015 will be reported as 9.375% decrease in the value of Notes Payable or be reported as 90.625% of the Notes Payable value of the prior period. Percentage Change =P 1.45 Million- P 1.6 Billion = (- 9.375%) P 1.6 Billion II. VERTICAL ANALYSIS Vertical analysis of financial statements is a technique that involves assessment of the period different line items in a single Financial Statement. These items which are commonly shown in the Financial Statements using their Peso values shall be expressed in amount or the base amount. In this managers can percentage of a total technique, the financial appropriately evaluate the financial information of companies of different sizes because using percentages for comparison provides more useful and relevant conclusions than using the peso values in comparing these companies of different sizes. In addition, Vertical Analysis is performed on the Statement of Financial Position (Balance Sheet) where in the base amount in calculating the percentages is Total Assets while the base amount for the Statement of Comprehensive Income (Income Statement) is Net Sales. After using this technique, the financial statements prepared are known as 62 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS common sheet size financial statements. Thus, traditional balance and income statement shall be termed as common size balance sheet and common size income statement, respectively. > To illustrate, let us assume the Statement of Financial Position of FSA Corporation for the year 2015 as shown in table 3-1. In using this technique, the balance sheet items are presented as a proportion of the total assets. Hence, the base amount for purposes of calculating the percentages shall be Total Asset of FSA Corporation amounting to P 10 Billion. Say for example in computing the proportion of Cash and Cash Equivalents to Total Assets, the Peso Value P 900 Million shown in table 3-1 shall be divided by the P10 Billion Peso value to get 9%. The other items presented in percentage form are shown in Table 3-2: Table 3-2: FSA Corporation Common Size Balance Sheet Common Size Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2015 LIABILITIES and SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY ASSETS Current Liabilities: Current Assets: Cash and Cash Equivalents Accounts Receivable Inventories Total Current Asset 900 9.00% 1,100 11.00% 750 7.50% 2,750 27.50% Accounts Payable Notes Payable Total Current Liabilities 450 4.50% 1,450 14.50% 1,900 19.00% Non-Current Liabilities Bonds Payable Non-Current Assets: Property, Plant and Equipment (net) 4,900 49.00% Intangible Assets 2,350 23.50% 7,250 72.50% Total Non-current Asset Other Long term debt Total Non-Current Liabilities 3,700 37.00% 2,600 26.00% 6,300 63.00% Shareholder's Equity: TOTAL ASSETS 10,000 100.00% Common Stocks Retained Earnings Total Shareholder's Equity TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY On the other hand, when applying this technique to 700 1,100 1,800 10,000 100.00% the Statement of Comprehensive Income, income and expenses are compared to the Net Sales. For example, if the Net Sales 63 7.00% 11.00% 18.00% FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Revenue of FSA Corporation in 2015 is P 50 Million and the total Cost of Goods Sold is will be P 25 million, the Cost of Goods Sold reported as 50% of the Net Sales. Moreover, if the resulting Net Income amounted to P 5 Million, the said Net Income will be presented as 5% FINANCIAL RATIO: Financial ratio as a tool and technique in financial analysis is the comparison between one of financial information with other financial information. This comparison formulates relationship that provides relevant information in evaluating the operating performance and financial condition of the company. Generally, financial ratios can be classified into four aspects such as the following: A. Liquidity Ratio - this measures the ability of the company to meet its short term obligations. B. Leverage Ratio - this measures the ability of the company to meet its long term obligation when they fall due. C. Activity Ratio - this measures how the company productively uses or manages its assets. D. Profitability Ratio this measures the overall financial performance of the firm and its return on investments. Classifications of Financial Ratios: A. LIQUIDITY RATIOS are the ratios that measure the ability of a company to pay its short term 64 debt obligations when they FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS fall due. Moreover, it measures the capacity of the company to convert short term assets into cash. The liquidity ratios greater than 1 signifies that the company is in good financial standing and that the current liabilities of the said company will be met. Financial managers or analysts commonly use these following liquidity ratios: Current Ratio Quick Ratio Cash Ratio Working Capital To Total Asset Ratio A.1. Current Ratio: Current ratio, which is also termed as working capital ratio, indicates whether or not the company has sufficient resources to pay its debt obligations that are within 12 months. This ratio shows the liquidity of company which is the ability of assets to be easily and due a quickly converted into cash at the lowest cost. The acceptable current ratio varies for different industries however; it is commonly ranging from 1.5:1 to 2:1. If the higher than the acceptable level (rule of thumb) of 2:1, this may signify that the company is not current ratio is utilizing its current assets efficiently. In contrary, low current ratio means that the company will have difficulty in paying its short term debts. The current ratio is calculated by using the formula: Current Ratio = 65 Total Current Assets Total Current Llabilities FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Illustrative Problem 3-3: LEAD Company's Statement of Financial Position for the year 2018 shows cash amounting to 250,000.00, Marketable Securities of P P 25,000.00, Accounts receivable of P 50,000.00, Inventories of P 75,000.00, Non-current Assets of P600,000.00, the Total Shareholder's Equity and Long Term are and Debt P600,000.00 and P 200,000.00 respectively. What is the Current Ratio? SOLUTION: Total Current Assets Current ratio Total Current Liabilities Current ratio Cash + Marketable Security + Accounts Receivable + Invenentory Total Assets - [ Total Shareholder's Equity + Long term Debt] Current ratio 250,000 + 25,000 + 50,000 + 75,000 = 1,000,000 - 600,000 + 200,000] Current ratio 400, 000 = 200,000 =2:1 A.2.Quick Ratio: Quick ratio is a more stringent measurement of the ability of the company to pay its short term debt obligation using the quick assets of the company. The quick assets used are composed of the most liquid asset which is cash and those highly liquid current assets that are easily convertible into cash such as marketable securities and accounts receivables. Among the current assets, the inventories are excluded as components of the quick assets because of its difficulty to convert into cash, thus it is considered as less liquid current 66 asset. FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The acceptable level of Quick ratio varies for different commonly set at 1. This ratio is also industries but it is known as the Acid Test ratio. The Quick or Acid Test ratio is calculated by using the formula: Quick Ratio = Current Assets-Inventories Total Current Liability Quick Ratio = Cash+Marketable Securities+Accounts Receivable Total Current Liabilities % Illustrative Problem 3-4: The 2018 Balance Sheet of PAREX Company has Total current assets and total current liabilities amounting to P 400,000.00 and P 200,000.00 respectively. The current assets are composed of cash amounting to P 100,000.00, Marketable Securities of P 45,000.00, Accounts receivable of P 95,000.00 and Inventories of P 160,000.00 What is the Quick Ratio? SOLUTION: Quick Ratio Cash + Marketable Securities + Accounts Receivable = Total Current Liabilities Quick Ratio 100,000 + 45,000 + 95,000 = 200,000 Quick Ratio = 240,000 200,000 - 1.2:1 A.3. Cash Ratio: Cash ratio is considered to be the most stringent and conservative among the liquidity ratios because it only 67 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS uses cash and cash equivalents in paying the short term obligations of the company. This ratio shows the such as comparison of the company's most liquid assets Cash and marketable securities over its total current liabilities. The Cash ratio is calculated by using the formula: Cash+Marketable Securities Cash Ratio = Total Current Liabilities Illustrative Problem 3-5: IYSB Company has Total current assets and total current liabilities amounting to P 400,000.00 and P 200,000.00 respectively. The current assets are composed of cash amounting to P 100,000.00, Marketable Securities of P 50,000.00, Accounts receivable of P 90,000.00 and Inventories of P 160,000.00 What is the Cash Ratio? SOLUTION: Cash + Marketable Securities Cash Ratio = Cash Ratio = Total Current Liabilities 100,000 + 50,000 Cash Ratio = 200,000 150,000 200,000 : 0.75 : 1 A 4. Working Capital to Total Asset Ratio: Companies usually have higher value of current assets over the value of the current liabilities. Working Capital, which measures the company's potential value of cash reserves, is the difference between the total current 68 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS assets and total current liabilities. This is sometimes called as Net Working Capital. Financial managers often compare this Net Working Capital over the value of the Total Assets. The Working Capital to Total Asset Ratio is by using the formula: Working Capital to Total Asset Ratio = calculated Current Assets-Current Liabilities Total Assets Illustrative Problem 3-6: JMS Company's Statement of Financial Position for the year 200,000.00 2018 shows Total current assets of P and Non-current assets of P 300,000.00, and the Total Shareholder's Equity and Long Term Debt are P 300,000.00 and P 100,000.00 respectively. a. What is the amount of Net Working Capital? b. What is the Net Working Capital to Total Assets Ratio? SOLUTION: Net Working Capital = Total Current Assets - Total Current Llabilities Net Working Capital = 200,000 100,000 Net Working Capital = 100,000 Net Working Capital To Total Assets Ratio Net Working Capital To Total = Net Working Capital Total Assets Assets Ratio = 100,000 500,00 Net Working Capital To Total Assets Ratio = 0.20 69 or 20 % FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Equity Ratio Total Shareholder's Equity = Total Asset Illustrative Problem 3-8: ADCM Incorporated has a total Net worth of P 2018. 2,500,000.00 in an outstanding Loans payable, Bonds payable and Accounts payable amounting to P 600,000.00, P 1,400,000.00 and P 500,000.00, respectively. What is the Equity ratio of ADCM Incorporated? SOLUTION: Equity Ratio = Equity Ratio = Equity Ratio Total Shareholder's Equity Total Asset Total Shareholder's Equity Total Equity + Total Liability 2,500,000 = 2,500,000 + 2,500,000 Equity Ratio = 2, 500, 000 = 5, 000, 000 0.5 or 50 % B.3. Debt to Equity Ratio: Debt to Equity ratio is a ratio that shows the proportion of company's funds financed by debt compared to funds financed by equity. This ratio is a good measure of the financial status of the company. The higher debt to equity ratio implies that the company is highly financed by debt or creditors, thus increases the financial risk of the company. On the contrary, lower debt to equity ratio signifies that the contribution from the stockholders is more than from creditors, thus the company has better standing in terms of solvency yet it does not increase earnings through leverage. 72 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The debt to equity ratio is calculated by using the formula: Debt to Equity Ratio = Total Liability Total Shareholder's Equity Illustrative Problem 3-9: In 2018, ALGER Corporation has total amounting to 5,000,00 0.00 P stockholder's equity of P assets and total 2,000,000.00. What is the Debt to Equity ratio of ALGER Corporation? SOLUTION: Debt to Equity Ratio = Total Liability Total Shareholder's Equity Debt to Equity Ratio Total Asset - Total Shareolder's Equity Total Shareholder's Equity Debt to Equity Ratio Debt to 5,000,000 - 2,000,000 = Equity Ratio = 2,000,000 3, 000, 000 2, 000, 000 = 1.5 B.4. Times Interest Earned Ratio (TIER): Times Interest Earned Ratio, which is sometimes referred as interest coverage ratio, is a ratio that indicates the degree to which interests are covered by earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT). measures This ratio the number of times the interest payments can be made by the company through the use of EBIT. If the TIER of a company is low, this implies that the ability of the company to meet its interest expenses is impaired because of less earning generated from 73 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS operations. However, higher TIER shows a good financial standing of the company. The Times Interest Earned Ratio is calculated by using the formula: Times Interest Earned Ratio = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) Interest Expense * Illustrative Problem 3-10: CDA Corporation's Statement of Comprehensive Income presented a total Gross Profit of P 1,500,000.00, Operating expenses amounting to P 300,000.00 and Interest expense amounting to P 400,000.00. The tax rate is 30%. What is the Times Interest Earned Ratio of CDA Corporation? SOLUTION: Times Interest Earned Ratio Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) Interest Expense Times Interest Earned Ratio Gross Profit - Operating Expense Interest Times Interest Earned Ratio = Expense 1,500,000 - 300,000 400,000 Times Interest Earned Ratio = 1, 200, 000 400, 000 3 times B.5. Cash Coverage Ratio: Cash Coverage Ratio is a ratio that indicates the extent to which interests are covered not only by earnings but by the cash flows generated from operations. This ratio shows the use of company's earnings exclusive of non74 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS cash expenses in meeting its interest expenses. Thus, this measures how many times the interest payment can be made by the company through earnings before after and taxes interest adding back Depreciation. The Cash Coverage Ratio is calculated by using the formula: Cash Coverage Ratio = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT)+ Depreciation Interest Expense Illustrative Problem 3-11: CCR Corporation's Statement of Comprehensive Income presented a total Gross Profit of P 750,000.00, Operating expenses amounting to P 150,000.00 and Interest expense amounting to P 200,000.00. The tax rate is 30% and one-third (1/3) of the Operating expenses comes from annual depreciation. What is the Cash Coverage Ratio of CCR Corporation? SOLUTION: Cash Coverage Ratio Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) + Depreciation Interest Expense Cash Coverage Ratio (Gross Profit - Operating Expense) + Depreciation Interest Expense Cash Coverage Ratio = Cash Coverage 75 (750,000- 150,000) + 50,000 200,000 Ratio 650,000 200,000 = 3.25 times FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS C. ACTIVITY RATIO measures how efficiently the company produces revenue through the management of its assets. Moreover, this ratio indicates the company's capacity of converting its assets into the sales revenue. Activity ratios are also known as efficiency ratio or asset management ratio. Financial managers use the following activity ratios in analyzing the financial statements: Asset Turnover Ratio Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Days' Sales Receivable Inventory Turnover Ratio Days' Sales in Inventory Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio Days Payable Outstanding Cash Conversion Cycle C.1.Asset Turnover Ratio: Asset Turnover Ratio, which is also referred as Sales to Asset ratio, indicates the value of peso sales generated by the each peso of asset employed by the company. It is assumed that high asset turnover ratio signifies the effective use of company's assets. However, if this ratio is determined at a low level, which implies an inefficient use of assets, there is a need to analyze the performance of key assets such as receivable and inventories. The Asset Turnover Ratio is calculated by using the formula: Asset Turnover Ratio = 76 Sales Revenue Average Assets FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS ~ Illustrative Problem 3-12: Corporation's Comprehensive 2018 Statement Income presented a of total Sales Revenue of P 1,200,000.00 and Cost of Sales of P 750,000.00. The total assets of JCOO Corporation 2014 amounted to P 400,000.00 which is higher by P 200,000 as of 2018. What is the Asset in Turnover Ratio of JCOO Corporation? SOLUTION: Sales Revenue Asset Turnover Ratio Asset Turnover Ratio Average Assets 1,200,000 = ( 400,000 + 600,000)/ 2 Asset Turnover Ratio 1, 200, 000 500, 0000 = 2.4 times C.2.Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio and Days' Sales Receivable: Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio indicates how many times the company collects receivables during an its average accounts accounting period. Thus, measuring how fast the Collection Department of the company collects its credit sales. In Addition, the higher the Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio, the more efficient the company is managing its credits granting to customers, and vice versa. The Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio is calculated using the formula: 77 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Credit Sales Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio = Average Accounts Receivable Days' Sales Receivable indicates how fast the company collects it credit sales in terms of known as days. This is also Average Collection Period. In measuring the average collection period of the company in days, financial manager uses the formula: Days'Sales Receivable = Average Receivables (AR) Average Daily Sales [ Beginning AR +Ending AR)] Days' Sales Receivable = (Sales Revenue Illustrative Problem 3-13: Corporation's 2018 Statement Comprehensive Income presented a total of Sales Revenue of P 3,600,000.00. The 2018 accounts receivable of BERMEO Corporation amounted to P 400,000.00 which is higher by P 200,000 in 2017. a. What is the Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio? b. What is the Days' Sales Outstanding or the Average Collection Period? SOLUTION: Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio Credit Sales Average Accounts Receivable Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio 3,600,000 (200,000 + 400,000)/2 78 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Accounts Receivable Turnover Ratio = = 3, 600, 000 300, 000 6 times Days'Sales Receivable = Days'Sales Receivable = Days'Sales Receivable = Average Receivables (AR) Average Daily Sales (200,000 + 400,000)/2 3,600,000/360 300,000 10,000 = 30 days The analysts evaluate the two foregoing ratios by comparing them to the company's credit policy and industry average. C.3.Inventory Turnover Ratio and Days' Sales Inventory: Inventory Turnover Ratio measures the number of times the company replaces its average inventories during an accounting period due to sales. This ratio shows how the company manages its inventory efficiently. Thus, high inventory ratio implies better sales efficiency while low inventory ratio may signify obsolete inventories or that too much inventory is held in stock. The Inventory Turnover Ratio is calculated using the formula: Inventory Turnover Ratio Cost of Sales Sales Average Inventory Days' Sales Inventory indicates how quick the company can sell its inventories in terms of days or the number of days the company holds these inventories before selling to customers. This is also known as Average Inventory Period. In measuring the average inventory period of the company in days, financial manager uses formula: 79 the FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Average Inventory (Inv.) Days'Sales Inventory = Average Daily Sales ( Beginning Inv.+Ending Inv.) Days'Sales Inventory = Sales (Cost of 360 Illustrative Problem 3-14: Statement 2018 Corporation's of Comprehensive Income presented a total Sales Revenue of P 5,000,000.00 and Cost of Goods Sold of P 3,000,000.00. The Statement of Financial Position shows Inventory value of P 350,000.00 in 2018 and P 250,000.00 in 2017. C. What is the Inventory d. What is the Days' Turnover Ratio? Sales Inventory? SOLUTION: Inventory Turnover Ratio Inventory Turnover Ratio = Days 'Sales Receivable Average Inventory 3,000,000 (250,000 + 350,000)/2 Inventory Turnover Ratio = Days'Sales Invetory Cost of Sales = 3, 000,000 300, 000 10 times Average Inventory Average Daily Cost of Sales = Days'Sales Receivable (250,000 + 350,000)/2 3,000,000/360 300, 000 8,333.33 80 = 36 days FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS C.4.Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio and Days' Sales Inventory: Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio indicates the number of times the company pays its outstanding average accounts payable during an accounting period. ratio shows the creditworthiness how it manages its of This the company or payments to the creditors. Thus, high accounts payable turnover ratio means that the company pays its purchase on account in a short period of time. The Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio is calculated using the formula: Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio = Purchases* Average Accounts Payable *Purchases = Cost of Goods Sold + Ending Inventory - Beginning Inventory Days' Payable Outstanding shows the number of days it will take for the company to pay its liability from date of purchase. This is also termed as Accounts Payable Period. In measuring the accounts payable period of the company in days, financial manager uses the formula: Days' Payable Outstanding = Days'payable Outstanding 81 Average Accounts Payable (AP) Average Daily Purchases [( Beginning AP+Ending AP)/2] (Purchases*/360) FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Statement of Comprehensive Income of DPO Industries in 2018 shows an amount of P of Goods 750,000.00 Cost Statement of Financial Position Sold. Its 2018 shows Inventory value of P 175,000.00 and Accounts Payable of P 250,000.00. Last year, Inventory and Accounts Payable amounted to P 125,000.00 and P 150,000 respectively. a. What is the Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio? b. What is the Days' Payable Outstanding? SOLUTION: Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio Purchases = Average Accounts Payable * Purchases = Cost of Goods Sold + Ending Inventory Beginning Inventory * Purchases = 750,000 + 175,000- 125,000 = 800, 000 Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio 800,000 (150,000 + 250,000)/2 Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio = = 800, 000 200, 000 4 times Days 'Payable Outstanding Average Accounts Payable (AP) Average Daily Purchases Days' Payable Outstanding = (150,000 + 250,000)/2 (800,000 /360 days) 82 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS 200,000 Days' Payable Outstanding = 2222.22 90 days C.5. Normal Operating Cycle: This cycle starts from the purchase of materials from the supplier, followed by the sale of finished goods inventory to the customers then finally the collection of cash payments made by these customers. The delay of time between purchase of materials and the sale of finished goods is called the Average Inventory period (AIP); and the delay of time between sale of finished goods and the collection of customer payment is the Average Receivable Period (ARP). Normal Operating Cycle is the summation of these two periods, the AIP and ARP, thus, is the delays in collecting cash payments. On the contrary, the delay of time between purchase of materials and the payment made to the supplier referred as Accounts is Payable Period (APP). (These periods which are considered as components of the working capital were discussed above.) Cash Conversion Cycle measures the number of days from cash being paid to the suppliers up to the time cash is received from sales. Hence, it is the period of time from the purchase of raw materials up to the collection of receivable. The objective in working capital management is to shorten the cash conversion cycle by implementing a policy that speeds up the collections and from customers slows down the payment to the supplier. The cash conversion cycle can be calculated by using the formula: 83 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Cash Conversion Cycle = AIP + ARP APP Illustrative Problem 3-15: CCC Company's Statement of Comprehensive Income in 2018 presented Sales Revenue amounting to P 1,000,000.00 and Cost of Goods Sold of P 750,000.00. Its 2018 Statement of Financial Position shows Inventory value of P 175,000.00, Accounts Receivable of P 50,000.00 and Accounts Payable of P 250,000.00. Last year, Inventory, Accounts Receivable and Accounts Payable amounted to P 125,000.00, P 150,000.00 and P 150,000.00 respectively. a. Calculate the Average Receivable Period or Average Collection Period b. Calculate the Average Inventory Period C. Calculate the Accounts Payable Period d. Calculate the Cash Conversion Cycle SOLUTION: A. Average Receivable Period = Average Receivables (AR) Average Daily Sales Average Receivable Period = Average Receivable Period = B. (150,000 + 50,000)/2 1,000,000/360 days 100,000 = 2,777.77 36 days Average Inventory Period Average Inventory (INV) Average Daily Cost of Sales Average Inventory Period 84 = (125,000 + 175,000)/2 750,000/360 days FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS 150,000 Average Inventory Period = 72 days 2,083.33 C. Accounts Payableble Period Average Accounts Payable (AP) Average Daily Purchases Accounts Payable Period (150,000 + 250,000)/2 = Accounts Payable Period = 800,000/360 days 200,000 = 2,222.22 D. Cash Conversion Cycle = ARP + AIP - 90 days APP Cash Conversion Cycle = NOC - APP Cash Conversion Cycle = (36 days + 72 days) 90duys Cash Conversion Cycle = > 18 days Notes: Account Receivable Period is also known as Day's Sales Outstanding Day's Sales Receivable Average Collection Period Inventory Period is also known as Day's Sales Inventory Average age of Inventory Inventory Conversion Period Accounts Payable Period is also Day's Purchases Payable Average age of Payable 85 known as FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS D. PROFITABILITY RATIO measures the overall financial provided by returns generated from investments and sales. The Profitability ratios can be classified into a) Margins b) Returns and performance of the company c) Shareholder's Interest. as The following are major profitability ratios used by financial managers to analyze the Financial Status of the company: 1. As to Margins: Gross Profit Margin (GPM) Operating Profit Margin (0PM) Net Profit Margin (NPM) 2. As to Returns Return on Sales (ROS) Return on Assets (ROA) Return on Equity (ROE) 3. As to Shareholder's Interest Earnings Per Share (EPS) Price-Earnings Ratio (PER) Dividend Yield (DY) Pay Out Ratio (POR) Plow Back Ratio (PBR) D.1. Margins: Statement of Comprehensive Income shows the earnings of the company in terms of gross profit, operating profit and net profit. The Gross profit is calculated by deducting the production cost from sales revenue while Operating profit is computed after deducting the operating expenses incurred by the company from its gross margin. The Operating profit is also referred as Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT). On one hand, the Net profit is equal to EBIT less the interest expenses and taxes. 86 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Gross Profit Margin indicates the proportion of gross profit over the sales revenue generated by the company from operations. This shows the earning capacity of the company after taking cost of account the into production. Thus, the formula is: Gross Gross Profit Profit Margin = Net Sales Operating Profit Margin shows the percentage of operating profit or the EBIT over the sales revenue generated by the company from operations. Thus, the formula is: Operating Profit Margin = Net Profit Margin reveals the Operating Profit Net Sales percentage of the Net Income After Tax (NIAT) over the sales revenue generated from operations. This shows the earning capacity of the company after paying all its expenses such as production costs, operating costs, financing costs and taxes. Thus, the formula is: Net Profit Margin = Net Income After Tax Net Sales Illustrative Problem 3-16: SGV Company's Income in Statement 2018 of revealed Comprehensive Sales Revenue amounting to P 2,000,000.00 and Cost of Goods Sold of P1,000,000.00. The Operating expenses and interest expense incurred by the company are P 400,000.00 and P 100,000.00, respectively. The tax rate is 30%. 87 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS a. Calculate the Gross Profit Margin of SGV Company. b. Calculate the Operating Profit Margin of SGV Company. C. Calculate the Net Profit Margin of SGV Company. SOLUTION: 2,000,000.00 Net Sales less: (Cost of Goods 1,000,000.00 Sold) 1,000,00 0.00 Gross Profit less: (Operating Expenses) 400,000.00 Operating Income / EBIT 600,000.00 less: (Interest Expense) 100,000.00 Earnings Before Tax 500,000.00 less: (Income 150,000.00 Tax) Net Income After Tax 350,000.00 1. Gross Profit Margin = Gross Profit Net Sales Gross Profit Margin = 1, 000, 000 2, 000, 000 Operating Profit B. Operating Profit Margin Net Sales Operating Profit Margin = = C. Profit Margin = Net Profit Margin = 0.5 or 50% 600, 000 2, 000, 000 0.3 or 30% Net Income After Tax Net Sales 350,000 2, 000,000 88 = 0.175 or 17.50% FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS These ratios indicate the profitability of the company through the relationship of the peso value of income generated from sales, employment of assets and investment in equity. The major components profitability ratios are Assets and c) a) Return on Sales b) of these Return on Return on Equity. Return on Sales shows the proportion of profit, after payment of all expenses, over the sales revenue. ratio is the This same as the net profit margin discussed above. Thus, the formula is: Return on Sales = Net Income Net Sales Return on Assets measures the relationship of the peso value of income generated for every peso of asset employed by the company. It shows how the company efficiently uses its assets. This ratio expresses the percentage of net income of the company over its total assets. Thus, the formula is: Return on Assets Return Net Income Average Assets on Equity illustrates the relationship of the peso value of income earned per equity investments by the shareholders. This ratio is one of profitability ratios, the most significant especially to shareholders, because it company is through the the owners shows how profitable the use of investments from its owners. Thus, the formula is: Return on 89 or Equity Net Income Average Equity FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS o Illustrative Problem 3-17: LEAD REVIEW Company's Statement of Comprehensive Income in 2018 revealed Sales Revenue amounting to P 4,000,000.00 and Cost of Goods Sold of P 2,000,000.00. The Operating expenses and interest expense incurred by the company are P 800,000.00 and P 200,000.00, respectively. The tax rate is 30%. The 2018 Statement of Financial Position of LEAD REVIEW Company shows a Total Assets 6,000,00 0.00 and 2,000,000.00. Last Year, amounted Total of P Liabilities of the Assets Total P to P 4,000,000.00 and Total Equity amounted to P 3,000,000.00 a. Calculate the Return on Sales of LEAD REVIEW Company. b. Calculate the Return on Asset of LEAD REVIEW Company. C. Calculate the Return on Equity of LEAD REVIEW Company. SOLUTION: Net Sales 4,000,000.00 less: (Cost of Goods Sold) Gross Profit 2,000,000.00 2,000,000.00 less: (Operating Expenses) Operating Profit / EBIT less: (Interest Expense) Earnings Before Tax less: (Income Tax) Net Income After Tax 90 800,000.00 1,200,000.00 200,000.00 1,000,000.00 300,000.00 700,000.00 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS A. Return on Sales = Net Income Net Sales 700, 000 Return on Sales B. Return On Assets 4, 000, 000 = 0.175 or17.50% Net Income After Tax = Return on Assets Average Assets 700,000 = (4,000,000 + 6,000,000)/2 Return on Assets = C. Return on Equity = Return on Equity 700,000 5, 000, 000 = 0.14 or 14 % Net Income After Tax Average Equity 700,000 (3,000,000 + 4,000,000)/2 Return on Equity = 700, 000 3, 500, 000 = 0.20 or 20 % D.2.Shareholder's Interest: The stockholders or investors may expect return on their investments through the dividends paid by the company or the capital gains from increasing stock price. Thus, these stockholders primarily look into the earnings, dividend policy and stock prices of the company throughout their investment. To aid them in their decision making, there are ratios that show the profitability of the company and its impact to the interest of these shareholders or investors. These ratios are usually translated in terms of share of stocks highlight the said impact on shareholder's interest. 91 to FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Earnings Per Share indicates the ratio of the annual income and the common stocks of the company. In addition, this shows how much of the total earnings may be given to each share of common stocks. Thus, the formula is: Earnings Per Share Net Income - Preferred Dividends Number of Outstanding Common Stocks Price Earnings Ratio reflects the ratio of the price per share of market common stock and the earnings per share. This ratio is used by the investors or stockholders in assessing the ability of the company to sustain growth and generate cash flows in the future. Thus, the formula is: Price Earnings Ratio Market Price Per Share = Earnings Per Share Payout Ratio shows the proportion of earnings that is paid out to shareholders as dividends. Investors, who prefer short term returns like cash dividends rather than capital gains, usually search for companies with high pay-out ratio. Thus, the formula is: Payout Ratio = Dividends Per Share Earnings Per Share Plowback Ratio, which is also referred as Retention Ratio, shows the proportion of earnings that is not paid out to stockholders rather reinvested to and growth. it is plowed back or the company to be used for its expansion This ratio is the complement of the payout ratio; hence, the higher the payout ratio will result to a lower plow back ratio. Thus, the formula is: Plow Back Ratio = Earnings Per Share - Dividends Per Share Earnings Per Share 92 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS Plowback Ratio can be calculated Or alternatively, using this formula: Plow Back Ratio = 1 - Payout Ratio Dividend Yield indicates the return on investment for the stockholders in terms of dividend paid. In addition, this implies how much the investors will receive as the dividend income for every peso invested in company's share of stock. Thus, the formula is: Dividend Yield = Dividend Per Share Market Price Per Share Illustrative Problem 3-18: DMZI Company's Statement of Comprehensive Income in 2018 reflects a total Net Income of P 2,000,000.00. DMZI Company has a total 500,000 outstanding common stocks which be sold at a market price of P 40.00 a share. the policy of the company to pay annual of can It is cash dividends of P 1.00 per share to common stocks. a. Calculate the Earnings Per Share of DMZI Company. b. Calculate the Price Earnings Ratio of DMZI Company. C. the Payout Ratio of DMZI Calculate Company. d. Calculate the Plowback Ratio of DMZI Company. e. Calculate the Dividend Yield of DMZI Company 93 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS SOLUTION: A. Earnings Per Share Net Income - - Preferred Dividends Number of Outstanding Common Stocks Earnings Per Share = = B. Price Earnings Ratio Price 2, 000, 000 - 0 500,000 4 per share Market Price Per Share = Earnings Per Share Earnings Ratio = 40 = 10:1 Dividend Per Share C. Payout Ratio = Payout Ratio Earnings Per Share 0.25: 1 = D. Plowback Ratio Earnings Per Share - Dividend Per Share Earnings Per Share Plowback Ratio E. Dividend Yield 4 = Dividend Per Share Market Price Per Share Dividend Yield = IV. = 0.75: 1 40 0.025 or 2.5% DuPont Technique is a tool that analyzes the return asset and on return on equity of the company by breaking down into component ratios. Hence, these component ratios are factors affecting the return on asset and equity. 94 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS The Return on Asset, which indicates the amount of earnings for every peso of assets employed, can be broken down into two component ratios such as: net profit margin and asset turnover. On the other hand, the Return on Equity, which shows the earned for every peso of amount of income equity invested by the shareholders, is calculated by multiplying the following ratios: leverage factor, asset turnover and net profit margin. Thus the formulas are: Return on Asset = Asset Turnover Return on Asset = x Net Profit Margin Net Sales_ Net Income Average Assets Net Sates Return on Asset = Net Income Average Asset Return on Equity = Net Profit Margin Leverage Factor x Asset Turnover X Return on Asset = Average Asset Net Income Net Sales Average Equity Average Assets Return on Equity = 95 Net Sales Net Income Average Equity INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN CHAPTER 4 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Generally, financial managers are tasked to perform functions requiring them to invest corporate funds in different types of investment. The idea is that these corporate funds earn a profit return. Like starting up a business, investments have potential returns as well as it may also involve potential losses. or These losses are viewed in the business as risks. Losses are direct manifestations of risks. In essence, returns and risks are direct opposites. Undeniably, investors wish that they would have higher returns but lower risks or have returns without risks. However, it is a reality that returns hand in hand with risks. go In fact, some old adage say that "the higher the risk, the higher the return." In this chapter, we shall validate this maxim and see if it is indeed true. In this chapter, we will deal with the following concept of risk and returns and some of the theories that existed before we enjoyed the simplicity of the models we utilize for computing risks and returns. INVESTMENT Overview of Investment in a single asset or Stand-alone Investments It is with business, as with human behavior, that we try to place our money and efforts in some activity that would give us a reward. Say for instance, we try to plant avocado seeds with the hope that one day we shall reap from this avocado seeds once it has become a full-grown seed. Similarly, businesses have assets that they want to utilize the profits or to be able to reap return in the future. More SO, it is or enjoy actually the idea of starting a business: investing or putting up money or seed capital with the hope of recouping this investment and 117 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN earn profit in the future. In this discussion, shall we particularly deal with investments in securities. generally pieces of paper containing the cost of be investing in such securities and the kind of return to Securities are = idea of expected in the future by holding such securities. The â‘ securities comes from the two-way concept of business. companies need money to run Some â‘¡ while others their businesses that needs have money to spare. When these two meet, the one money shall borrow money from the one who has the money. one borrowing shall issue a paper (security) as a commitment or promise to the holder of the security The (investor) to have a claim in the future for their investment. While the concept may be simple, securities vary from form-to- form and may involve several complexities. A concept is prevalent with securities: they represent economic claims against future benefits. Further to this concept investments have common important features which is risk and return. The ultimate goal of understanding risks and returns determine what kind and how much return do investors and the is to want accompanying risk they will undertake. Or simply, for a financial theory point of view, we want to discover the amount of return the investors will demand money in a security with a for investing or putting up particular level of risk. In the sections below, we shall be dealing with single type a of security or a single-asset investment or a stand-alone investment. Further topics will then focus on investment in a portfolio of securities or assets. isang RETURN (Stand-alone or Behaviorally speaking, single asset) a income has the free reign person who controls tao , is a hanak a disposable on what to do with such income. As succinctly discussed in the previous section, because of a lang a person invests potential income from executing such particular 118 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN investment. In fact, it is the return or profit-making characteristic of a person that drives expectation him/her to invest. The of return is inherent in investing. In fact, the motivation to increase wealth is, by far, the most important reason for investing. What then is return? Return is simply a profit earned on top of the investment made. Simply put, it is the percentage of let the growth of an investment. Mathematically speaking, it can be represented through the formula: return (%) = proceeds or current value of investment - investment investment above formula shows that return could simply be a percentage change equation. Investors typically measure The return in terms of how much cash flow as generated when such investment is collected (proceeds) or how much is the current value of the investment. Below is an example of the application of return: * Illustrative Problem 4-1 Mr. Alexis recently placed inherited from his father to a his P1,000,000 money market placement today. After one year, Mr. Alexis decided to move the funds and instead use the money to purchase shares in Sam Michael Corporation. Mr. Alexis received P1,040,000 from the money market placement. To determine the return Mr. Alexis generated: return (%) = return (%) proceeds or current value of investment - investment investment P1,040,000 - P1,000,000 P1,000,000 return (%) = 4% 119 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Therefore, Mr. Alexis generated a 4% return on his investment in the money market placement. The above example shows us a typical computation of return. However, for some other securities, there may be other computation considering the different circumstance and complexity of the security in particular. Narrowing down these complexities, we can identify two forms of return or yield behaviors of returns: fixed returns and variable returns. As evident from the name securities behave in behave. Below are of the return type, investments a manner some or relative to how their returns cases of describing the returns of both fixed- and variable-income investments: CASE 1: Fixed-income Mr. Billyilly recently purchased a bond at a nominal rate of 3% for P1,000,000. He immediately researched the quality of the bonds with similar features and found that such bond is expected to have a return or yield of 4%. In the above problem, the return as it is there is no need to compute for already provided: 4%. Note however that the nominal rate of 3% is not the return as it represents only the annual interest payment to be made by the issuer to the bondholder. CASE 2: Variable-income (series of time) Mr. Clarkson purchased the stock of IY Convergence, Inc. which proposed a five year return plan. After one year of holding their stock, Mr. Clarkson is expected to earn 7%. Returns for the succeeding years are 5%, 10%, 8% and 9%. 120 INVESTMENTS. RISK AND RETURN To determine the expected return average return of IY of Mr. Clarkson, the Convergence, Inc. must be computed: return = 7% + 5% + 10% + 8% + 9% return = 7.8% CASE 3: Variable-income (probability-based) Mr. Dylan purchased stock of Benguett Consolidated Mining Corp. which provided, in its prospectus, paya off table of the amount of return expected in a given market condition for copper which is its prime product. The pay-off table is as follows: Demand for copper Return on Probability particular of demand demand High (>10 billion metric 18% 20% 12% 50% 8.7% 30% tons) Normal (5-10 billion metric tons) Low (<5 billion metric tons) In the problem above, we can compute for Mr. Dylan's expected return on Benguett by extending the pay-off table to include expected returns on each particular condition demand by multiplying the return on particular by its probability of occurring: 121 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Demand for Return on Probability Expected copper particular of demand return demand High >10 18% x 20% = 12% x 50% = 3.6% billion metric tons) Normal (5-10 6% billion metric tons) Low (<5 billion -8.7% 30% x metric tons) -2.61% = - Expected Return on Benguett = 6.99% z→ stock By looking at the three scenarios above, we can see that the computation of returns may vary depending on the situation of the particular security. above may show a You can particularly expect that Case 3 realistic example on how returns are computed in real life. In some of our discussions below, we may refer to Case 3 as an example. Notes: Expected Rate of Return return that is - the percentage expected to be realized on or rate of an investment after taking into account the probability of possible outcomes. Required Rate of Return - the minimum rate of return acceptable by the investor on the portfolio investment. 122 Expected Return INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Actual Rate of Return the percentage or rate that is actually earned by the investor on the portfolio investment. Market Equilibrium - the event when the required rate of return is equal to the expected rate of return on an investment. RISK (Stand-alone or single asset) It is quite difficult to discuss with ease the concept of risk without touching on the topic of return. More importantly, it should be emphasized that risk involves a probability of loss on the part of the investor. As it was previously mentioned, losses incurred are actually manifestations of risk. other hand, the Risk, on the is a measure of the chance of loss. to While several measures of risk are available, the standard deviation is one of the primary tools by financial managers in determining the level of risk. Why standard deviation? Standard deviation is a statistical tool to determine the amount of variability or dispersion or of data from the average, the mean the midpoint. Generally, a low standard deviation indicates that the data points tend to be very close to the mean; high standard deviation indicates that the data points are spread out over a large range of values. To refresh, standard deviation's formula (population) is: x)2P where; o = standard deviation X= data within x = mean the population or average of the population P = the corresponding probability of each data 123 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Translating this to investments, the higher the standard deviation means a higher the probability of experiencing different amounts of return. experiencing the different Now, what is amounts of return? The problem with different amounts of return is that there is experiencing a wrong in a danger of loss. Let us discuss the impact of standard deviation using Case 3 above: Illustrative Problem 4-2 Mr. Dylan purchased a stock of Benguett Consolidated Mining Corp. which provided, in its prospectus, a pay-off table of the amount of return expected in a given market condition for copper which is its prime product. The payoff table is as follows: A B C Demand for copper Return on Probability particular of demand demand High >10 billion metric 18% 20% 12% 50% 8.7% 30% tons): Normal (5-10 billion metric tons) Low (<5 billion metric tons) In this problem, we are given the same information and we are to find out the standard deviation of Benguett Consolidated to measure its corresponding risk. Again we will create additional columns in the table but this to include several other new columns to account components of the standard deviation computation: 124 for INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN A B C D Demand for copper Return on Probability Expected particular of demand return 18% 20% 3.6% 12% 50% 6% -8.7% 30% -2.61% demand High (>10 billion metric tons) Normal (5-10 billion metric tons) Low (<5 billion metric tons) Expected Return on 6.99% Benguett stock (x) F G (x-x)2 (x - x)2P [B - x] [E2] [C x F] High >10 billion 18%-6.99% = 1.212201% 0.24244% metric tons) 11.01% E or 0.0024244 Normal (5-10 billion 12%-6.99% = metric tons) 5.01% 0.251001% 0.12550% or 0.0012550 Low (<5 billion -8.7%-6.99% metric tons) 2.461761% 0.73853% or -15.69% 0.0073853 i 0.0110647 E(x - x)2P (variance) 0.1051889 or (standard deviation) 10.51889% 125 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN As computed above, we can conclude that Benguett' Consolidated Mining's standard deviation is around 10.52%. expected from Benguett This means that the return Consolidated Mining is between 10.52% above or below its expected return of 6.99%. Further expounding, investors can expect, with this level of risk (standard deviation) that it could statistically earn anywhere close to -3.53% (6.99% 10.52%) and 17.51% (6.99% + 10.52%). If we are to look at the general notion of risk as presented above using standard deviation, it seems that risk is about the dispersal of the possible returns rather than the loss itself. That notion is exactly the notion of risk. of return that could be expected It is the from a possible range security. If we are look at Investor Mr. Billy from Case 1, we notice that to the investor expects a single amount of return which is 4%. This is virtually riskless as the investor expects no other return lower than 4%. However, he must expect as well that no other return will occur higher than 4%. Consequently, Mr. Dylan from Case 3 and Illustrative Problem 3-2 holding Benguett Consolidated Mining expects a return of 6.99% subject however to the possibility of earning a lower or a higher amount. As such, Mr. Dylan has no assurance that he shall receive the expected 6.99%. He runs the risk of earning a negative return or a return lower than 6.99%. Special Metric: Coefficient of Variation It is quite easy to compare investments with similar return but different standard deviations or investments with similar standard deviations but different returns. However, it is quite difficult to compare investments which have different returns and different standard deviations. So to allow investors to compare different investments, the coefficient of variation may be utilized. 126 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN The coefficient of variation is a formula to represent the deviation) per unit of return: relative level of risk (standard O Using the coefficient of variation, investors could easily compare several investments with different returns and risks. Risk Aversion and Risk Premium Again, comparing Case 1 and 3 above, we notice that the "riskless" security acquired in Case 1 by Mr. Billy earned a 4% yield while the "risky" security in Case expected return of mentioned 3 for Mr. Dylan has an 6.99%. We notice that the earlier maxim ("The higher the risk, the higher the return") is actually true. Naturally, investors who take on more risks with "risky" securities tend to demand a higher return. In fact, most financial management and financial economic theories are developed under the assumption that a normal behaves in that way. That behavior is what we investor call risk aversion. Ideally, investors do not want risk but if you provide them securities with a considerable amount of risk, they will higher return. Consequently, securities that have higher risk tend to have higher returns. ask for a cases mentioned, the riskier asset (Benguett Consolidated Mining in Case 3) has a higher return at 6.99% In the than the less risky asset (the bond in Case 1) 4%. The difference of 2.99% is with more return of what we call the risk premium. Risk premium is the additional or excess return investors for taking on a a risky security. 127 provided to INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN iba 't PORTFOLIO j - nd iba hanak Stoll In the previous sections, we discussed return and risk in the context of a stand-alone investment. Realistically speaking however, investments are executed using various types of securities. These securities operate, interact and correlate with each other in a given market. The idea of portfolio is that investors do not put their money in but instead put it in several types of investment. The mere a single type of investment act putting money in several types of investment already constitutes establishing a portfolio. What then is a portfolio? of A portfolio is a collection of assets or securities that a particular firm has for it investors. If you can remember that a security is piece of paper, then portfolio figuratively a place where you put all your "paper" securities. While there are largely similar concepts for returns and risks in standa alone investment and a a is portfolio, there are largely other concepts that are different. Risk in a Portfolio context: Diversifying portfolios by adding more securities It was discussed previously that risk can be measured by a securities' standard deviation. Moreover, we established that the higher the standard deviation, the higher the expected risk that investors assume on the security. However, risk in a portfolio context involves another element. Notice that securities do not securities. "stand alone" but coexist with several other The market (environment) is actually a large portfolio of securities, each of which has its own risk and return. Nonetheless, even if each security has its own characteristics, its coexistence with other securities exhibit characteristic that is essential in the context correlation. 128 of a portfolio: INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Correlation, statistically speaking, is the measure of the relationship between two variables. In the investments and portfolio, correlation is the context measure of of the kind of coexistence between two securities. For instance, In 0 Offset Security A increased its return by 10% while Security B N ' decreasedits return by 10%. We can simply say that Security A inversely related to Security B. We note, however, that Security A has its own risk as well as Security B. When we place them together in a portfolio, the risk is eventually is reduced or tempered. This is due to the fact that the two securities are negatively correlated. If we add more securities to the portfolio of Security A and B, we expect that the relevant risk of the whole portfolio is decreasing. We should note, though, that while the risk decreases as we add more securities to the portfolio, we can never eliminate risk. The process of adding more securities and thus decreasing the risk is what we call diversification. During diversification, the risk of the overall portfolio decreases up to a point that the risk stops decreasing. The risk that can be eliminated through diversification is called unsystematic or diversifiable risk. On the other hand, the risk that can eliminated even never be if the investment is fully diversified is called the systematic, non-diversifiable or market risk. In addition, the market risk represents the particular risk of a security in relation to its existence in the market containing all types of securities. Consequently, among these two kinds of risk, we are more interested with the systematic or the market risk provides us that is a as picture of the true risk of a security or the risk common to all investors. Furthermore, this market risk directly impacts the return of a particular security which will be discussed in the immediately succeeding section. 129 lang INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Returns in a Portfolio context It was discussed in detail that returns are the potential profits of each particular type of security. Return in a portfolio context is not at all difficult; it is simply the weighted average returns of each type returns of of all the security. However, we emphasize that computed in a portfolio context shall be directly related to the risk determined also in a portfolio context and in particular its market risk. Financial theorists developed model to help estimate or determine a particular security's required return by taking into account benchmark returns as well as the market risk identified in the previous section. This model is what we call the Capital Asset Pricing Model or CAPM. Capital Asset Pricing Model or CAPM Before we deal with the totality of the CAPM, we should first equip ourselves with its basic assumptions, as compiled and summarized by William N. Goetzmann: 1. All assets/securities in the world are traded. 2. All assets/securities are infinitely divisible. 3. All investors in the world collectively hold all assets. 4. For every borrower, there is a lender. 5. There is a riskless security in the world. 6. All investors borrow and lend at the riskless rate. 7. Everyone agrees on return and 8. the inputs to the Mean-STD (the risk in a stand-alone context) picture.* Preferences are well-described by simple utility functions.* 9. Security distributions are normal, or at least well described by two parameters.* 10. There are only two periods of time in our world. * Represent those statistical parameters essential to develop the model though may not necessarily reveal economic condition. 130 an INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN The list above simply describes the characteristics of a perfect frictionless economy. Nonetheless, more than anything listed above, the CAPM simply wants to put a security's risk as the only variable in the model. The CAPM factors out nuances of imperfection to fully identify how a security would behave in terms of risk and return in a portfolio context. With the above condition, the risk, the only remaining variable in the model, will help determine the amount of return a particular security must provide or simply determines the required return from a particular security. Before we provide the mathematical model, must we first identify the components needed: r = the required return of a particular security I= refers to the risk-free rate of return or the return of the riskless security; An example of a are riskless securities government notes and bonds (Treasury Notes, Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds) which exhibit virtually a low amount of risk. I'm = refers to the market return or the overall return of the whole market containing all the "risky" and "non- risky" securities MRP = refers to the market risk premium or the additional or excess return provided by the market as premium for having "risky" securities; this can a be determined by subtracting the risk-free rate of return from the market return This is the measure of the riskiness of a security. The Beta also measures the responsiveness of a B = Beta particular security with the fluctuations of returns the market. In relation to the earlier discussion risk, the Beta is in on conceptually the measurement of the systematic or market risk 131 of particular security. INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN ' to As such, the formula for the CAPM is: T= T, + B(MRP) r= Risk free rate + Risk Premium From the equation, we can fully understand that all components except the Beta context. The is other constant in the CAPM Beta, therefore, represents the security and, in particular, its risk in relation to the market. We can ultimately see that a security's return is largely dependent on the level of risk that particular security exhibits. Illustrations below are provided to show several cases involving various levels of Beta: CASE 1: Beta is exactly 1.0 (Average Beta) Company A recently acquired the shares of PDMT with a Beta of 1.0. It wishes to determine the required return of such particular stock. The government Treasury Bills yield 4%. On the other hand, the prevailing market return is 10%. To determine the required return on PDMT shares: r= 4% + 1.0(10% 4%) r = 4% + 1.0(6%) r = 10% Notice that the return of PDMT shares is which is 10% equal to market return. This means that PDMT shares will respond directly to the fluctuations of the market. Simply put, a 10% 132 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN increase in the return of the market will also make PDMT shares increase by 10%. Conversely, a 50% decrease in the market return will make PDMT shares decrease by 50%. CASE 2: Beta is below 1.0 (Defensive or Conservative Beta) Company B recently acquired the shares Equity Ventures with a of ABBA Beta of 0.8. It wishes to determine the required return of such particular stock. The government Treasury Bills yield 4%. On the other hand, the prevailing market return is 10%. To determine the required return on ABBA shares: r= 4% + 0.8(10% r= 4% + 0.8(6%) 4%) r= 8.8% In this example, we see that ABBA's return is less than the market return. This periods means that in of fluctuations, ABBA shares will respond directly at a lower degree than it could have responded had its Beta been 1.0. This means that a 20% increase in the market return will translate to a lower increase in the return for ABBA. Note however, that it is not simply a matter of proportion (meaning 1:0.8 ratio) but rather a degree of responsiveness. Further to this, we could also conclude that a 30% decrease in the market return will translate to a lower decrease in return for ABBA and thus minimized the losses experienced. 133 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN CASE 3: Beta is above 1.0 (Aggressive Beta) Company C recently acquired the shares of Carcamo Corporation with a Beta wishes to determine the of 1.5. It required return of such particular stock. The government Treasury Bills yield 4%. On the other hand, the prevailing market return is 10%. To determine the required return on Carcamo Corporation shares: r= B(r'm 4% + 1.5(10% r= 4% + 1.5(6%) r'= If + 4%) r = 13% Taking the applied concepts above, Carcamo's return is higher than that of the market. Consequently, any change or fluctuation in the market returns will cause a higher degree of change for Carcamo. However, note that in the three cases above, the direction of the movement of the shares shall be in the same direction as the movement of the market only that we could notice the varying degrees of responsiveness with the market. The Security Market Line (SML) The Security Market Line was developed together with the CAPM to graphically depict the interaction between the Beta (risk) and the further relation required rates of returns. The SML can encapsulate several scenarios that could occur to the changes in risk-free rates of in returns and market returns as well as the Beta of individual securities. 134 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN basic graphical representation of the SML is shown in The Figure 4-1 below: Figure 4-1 The Security Market Line The Security Required Rate of Return A line representing the risk-free rate of return Beta In the figure above, the elements of the Security Market Line is provided. Note that a special line is drawn representing the risk-free rate of return. The region from the horizontal axis to the special line represents the riskfree rate of return. As the Beta increases, the required rate of return plotted along the Security Market Line also increases consistent with how Beta behaves in the CAPM formula. In fact the SML is has an equation similar to that of the CAPM: In some instances, the Security Market Line shifts due to changes occurring with its components most especially with the risk-free rate of return and the market return. First, when inflation expectations increase, the risk-free rate also increases. However, it should be emphasized that the market return must also increase in the same degree as the risk-free rate: 135 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Illustrative Problem 4-3 Previously, the Treasury bills yield 4% while the market return is at 10%. Currently, the investors believe due to expected inflation, the risk-free rate should be pegged at that of return 6% rather than 4%. The SML Equation previously would have looked like: SML = 4% + B(10% - 4%) Because of the expected inflation, the SML equation would become: SML = 6% + B(12% Note that a - 6%) 2% increase in the risk-free rate of return also translated to an increase in the market return of 2%. Thus the risk-free rate of return and the market return shifted to 6% and 12%. Note also that the increase in inflation expectations SHOULD the market risk NOT change premium (MRP). In the example above, the 6% MRP from the original equation (10% not change can 4%) did in the new SML equation (12% 6%). We graphically depict this situation in Figure 4-2 below: Figure 4-2 Change in SML due to change in inflation expectations 136 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN We can see that the SML equation shifted upward as result of the change in inflation expectation. Second, the SML may change because of a a consequent change in the behavior of investors. More importantly, there is a considerable of amount change in the risk aversion of the investors. The change in the risk aversion of the investors manifest through the increase in the risk premium they are demanding for "risky" securities. The change may markets or occur extreme because of the restlessness of the changes in macroeconomic factors or any other factor that will drive the investors to change their behavior towards "risky" securities. Illustrative Problem 4-4 Currently, the risk-free rate of return based on the yield of Treasury bills amount to 4%. During the previous year, investors project the market return at 10%. However, due to the increasing volatility of the European market, the investors have become more averse of the risk involved in holding securities other than government-issued securities. As a result, the investors believe that the market risk premium should increase by 2%. The first SML equation should be presented as: SML = 4% + B(10% 4%) SML = 4% + B(6%) We notice that the MRP in the first SML equation is 6%. Now we present the second SML equation to reflect the change in risk aversion of the investors: SML = 4% + B(12% 4%) SML = 4% + B(8%) 137 INVESTMENTS: RISK AND RETURN Note that the MRP increased by 2% to become 8% to reflect the increase in risk aversion of the investors. Consequently, the market return of 10% should to 12%. In this case, we hold the risk-free rate of return constant as there are no changes increase also by 2% in inflation averse expectations but rather behavior a change in risk- of the investors. We can also graphically depict this situationin Figure 4-3: Figure 4-3 investors' risk aversion Change in SML due to change in In this situation, rather than shifting upward, the SML's slope became steeper due to the increase in the investors' risk aversion. 138 INTEREST RATES CHAPTER 5 INTEREST RATES When investors put up money in particular demand a certain cost for the use of their securities, they money. In the previous chapter, we identified that this is the return. Similar to that of profit, the return is the cost of using investor or lender's money. As we discovered the concept of risk premium, we also know that investors would demand a higher return. Thus, this is in line with the maxim that "the higher the expected risk, the higher the expected return". In this section, we shall focus which particular kind of security is debt. Moreover, we will be discussing the following: on a Nominal interest rates and Annual percentage rate Effective interest rates and Annual percentage yield Real risk free rate Inflation premium Default risk premium Liquidity premium Maturity risk premium INTEREST RATES Most of us are more familiar with the term interest return. Interest rates are as benchmark for other rates than essential as they are commonly used types of securities in determining an acceptable level of required return. More importantly, interest rates depict certain macroeconomic factors. Essentially, debt securities would show a quoted or nominal interest rate to indicate how much would the lender be paid upon settlement of such debt. The interest quarterly or may be paid annually, semi-annually, monthly. More so, the interest may either be simple interest or compounded interest. The Nominal Interest Rate, also known as stated or coupon rate, is the interest rate used to compute the interest payment 157 INTEREST RATES received by the investors from debt securities. The interest payment does not consider compounding effect. Annual Percentage Rate (APR) is the cost of source of financing that considers simple interest. This rate is computed using the formula: APR = Where: I- is the interest amount P - is the principal T- is the time period Illustrative Problem 5-1: Antonio Tenedero Company (ATC) issued 100 bond certificates with P1,000 face value each. The total interest of Annual P3,000 is payable semi-annually. What is the Percentage Rate of Interest or Coupon rate? SOLUTION: APR: APR P3,000 = P100,000 x 180 360 APR = 6% The result shows coupon rate or pays that the annual percentage rate or nominal rate is 6%. Hence, the issuer interest of P6,000 per year or P 3,000 months. 158 every six INTEREST RATES The Effective Interest Rate, the interest rate also known as the discount rate, is used to compute the present value factors. The interest payment considers the compounding effect. % Annual Percentage Yield (APY) is the cost of of fund that considers the effect of source compounding. This is also known as Effective Annual Rate. This yield is computed using the formula: APY or EAR or Eff%= {[1+ m Im - 1} Where: APY - is the Annual Percentage Yield i - is the nominal interest rate per year is m the number of compounding periods within a year % Illustrative Problem 5-2: ABC Company borrowed P 200,000 for 180 day period. The firm will repay the P 200,000 principal amount and P6,000 interest. What is the Annual Percentage Yield considering the compounding effect? APR = SOLUTION: P6,000 APR = P200,000 x 180 360 APR = 6% Based on the Annual Percentage Rate formula, the nominal interest rate in this problem is 6% without be used considering compounding effect. This rate shall in computing for the Annual Percentage Yield (APY). 159 INTEREST RATES Since the said loan matures in 180 days, the number of compounding period within a year is 2 m = 360 semi- annual]. Thus, APY = ([1 + APY = m ]m - 1} {1.0609 - 1} APY = 0.0609 or 6. 09% The result shows that the cost of short term fund is 6.09%. This is the effective rate the effect of interest considering of compounding. Assume instead that the loan is payable or outstanding for 90-day period. What is the Annual Percentage Yield (APY)? APR = APR = P6,000 P200,000 x 90 360 APR = 12% Based on the Annual Percentage Rate formula, the nominal interest rate in this problem is 12% without considering the effect of compounding. This rate shall be used in computing for the Annual Percentage Yield (APY). Since the said loan matures in 90 days, the number of compounding 360 period within a year is quarter]. Thus, m 160 4 [m = INTEREST RATES APY = ([1+ 44 ]4 - 1} APY = {1.1255 1} APY = 0..1255 or 12.55% This time the cost of short term fund is 12.55% after assuming that the loan is payable in 90 days. Components of Nominal Interest Rates: Real risk-free interest rate (r*) The real risk-free rate of interest represents the actual yield of risk-free debt security. Common to many territories, government-issued Treasury bills simulate risk-free debt securities. However, these Treasury bills are infused with inflation premium to provide a premium for the possibility of encountering inflation. The real risk-free interest rate is the "true" rate assuming there is no expected inflation. Risk-free interest rate We have risk-free (ror r* + IP) previously encountered and utilized above the risk-free interest rate Asset Pricing Model return serves as as a component of the Capital (CAPM). Again, the risk-free rate of a component of the nominal interest However, we may closely attribute this to the preceding component which is the real risk-free interest rate. is noted in the title of this section, the riskfree interest rate is imputed with inflation premium rate. As it (IP) to protect the investors from the effects of inflation. 161 INTEREST RATES may also be either applicable to shortterm or long-term securities and would definitely differ Risk-free rates under the two. As discussed in the previous chapter, the Security Market Line (SML) changes due to the increase or decrease in the inflation rates. In this chapter, the nominal risk free rate or simply risk free rate (r) is calculated using either a) simple format or b) cross term format. r* The simple format, [r + IP], is used when the real risk free rate and inflation rate is relatively low thereby having an immaterial cross term result. On the other hand, the cross term format shall be used to compute the nominal risk free rate if the real risk free rate and inflation is relatively high. In this case, the cross term result shall be material or significant. Thus, the cross term format is: * Rfr = r* + IP + Inflation Premium (r* X IP) (IP) Inflation generally affects investment technically decisions "eats" up the interest to be received lender-investor after a certain period as it by a of time. The inflation premium, as described previously, protects the lender from the effects of inflation. But how does inflation affect interest? We all know that interest is a form you have of return. Suppose money today amounting to P1,000 pesos. You have no immediate use for the money today so you chose to invest your investible money at a particular investment opportunity that will provide a 5% interest for one year. As such, you expect to receive P1,050 pesos at the end of one year. Before you made the 162 INTEREST RATES investment, you noticed a nice USB flash disk costing P1,000. Since you really do not need one at that time, you have forgone purchasing the same. After one year, receive your P1,050, the principal you lent plus the 5% interest rate. Shortly thereafter, you needed the USB flash disk for school work. Upon seeing the same flash you disk you saw one year ago in the store, the price had already gone up to P1,070. This is because there was 7% inflation for the year. In the illustration above, the lender lost the opportunity to purchase the USB flash disk because the proceeds he received one year after was not enough to pay for the new price of the item. Now, to protect lenders from this situation, the real risk-free interest rates are increased or "padded" by an inflation premium to provide allowance for possible inflation. Default Risk Premium (DRP) The default risk premium originated from the risk where the borrower is unable to make timely interest or principal payments. Normally, sovereign state-issued debt securities carry no or governments-issued debt securities default risk as most sovereign states and governments ensure timely payment of interest and principal. Therefore, default risk premium is closely inherent to corporate-issued debt securities where the possibility of default is present. In most instances, the default risk premium depends on several characteristics of the issuing corporation. credit These characteristics are ultimately embodied in some credit scores or credit ratings. The lower the credit score 163 or INTEREST RATES credit rating, the higher will the default risk premium be. Liquidity Premium (LP) Liquidity premium is an additional interest provided for debt securities that are to cash. Liquidity, per instrument to fairly more difficult to se, refers to convert the ability of an be easily converted into Therefore, cash. securities that are easier to be converted into cash have low liquidity premium as they have less risk of not being convertible into cash. Conversely, securities that are more difficult to be converted liquidity premium to into cash have higher compensate for the risk assumed by investors of not being able to dispose or convert these securities into cash. Maturity Risk Premium (MRP) Generally, market interest rates increase. However, the price of debt instruments decrease when interest rates increase. This phenomenon is further discussed Chapter 6 of this text. In this section, in we are more concerned with risk generated by the decrease in the price of debt instruments caused by the general increase in interest rates. be encountered instruments, a To offset the losses that could by the decreasing price of debt maturity risk premium is imputed on long-term debt securities. Nominal interest rate, therefore, is the sum total of the components mentioned above. The formula for which is: NIR = [r* + IP] + DRP + LP + MRP 164 INTEREST RATES However, it is noteworthy to mention that not all kinds of debt security can hold the same component altogether. The components of interest rates depend on the kind of debt securities being issued such whether this security is either: A. Government issued or Corporate issued B. Short term or Long term security INTEREST RATES COMPONENTS OF THE GOVERNMENT AND CORPORATE ISSUED SECURITIES: Short- term debt security: Government issued security such as Treasury Bill or T-Bill. Interest rate = r* + IP Corporate issued security such as Corporate Note. Interest rate = r* + IP + DRP + LP > Long term debt security: Government issued security such as Treasury Bond Interest rate = r* + IP + MRP Corporate issued security such as Corporate Bond Interest rate = r* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP 165 VALUATION OF BONDS CHAPTER 6 VALUATION OF BONDS Companies primarily accumulate cash inflows through its earnings from the operating and investing activities. However, these earnings may not be enough to fund other activities of the company. Thus, there is a need to raise additional fund through issuance of financial instruments to the investors such as equity or debt instruments. The issuance of equity instruments such as shares of stock is selling interest of the company. The investors of these equity instruments, who are part owner of the company, are known as shareholders. On the other hand, the issuance of debt instruments such as bonds is borrowing money with the intention to repay at a certain date. The investors of these debt instruments, who are not part owners but lenders of the known as at a premium or at a company, are bondholders. In this chapter, we will discuss the following: Characteristics of bonds Valuation of bonds: issued at par, discount Determine the difference between yield to maturity and yield to call Computation of the required rate of return Computation of the expected total returns on bond investments long-term debt instrument issued by government to raise needed agencies or corporations to the public in order A Bond is a funds. Moreover, it holder of is a long term contract indicating that the these instruments will receive a fixed interest payment, known as coupon payment, each year until its maturity date and also receive a principal payment, known as face value, on the said maturity date. 183 VALUATION OF BONDS CHARACTERISTICS OF BONDS: There are different kinds of bonds in the market. In general, bonds are issued at par in which the coupon interest rate is in equilibrium with the market interest rate. However, bonds can be valued above or below its face value depending on the fluctuation of interests in the market. Some bonds would have attached provisions which or give rights or privilege to the issuer bondholder while other bonds do bonds have differences, they A. not have. Though these still have common characteristics. Common Characteristics: Maturity Date is the date which payment of the specified in the bond on Face Value is to be made by the issuer. Face Value is the amount borrowed by the issuer which is to be paid at maturity date. It is also known as the Par value or Maturity value. For illustrations and problem solving, we assume that the face value of the bond is P1,000. (Note amount which is however that any other multiple of P1,000 such as P10,000 or P500,000 can be used) > Coupon Payment is the amount of interest payment fixed each year until maturity of the bond. It is calculated by multiplying the coupon interest rate to the face value of the bond. Coupon Interest Rate is the rate stated which is used for annual in the bond interest payment calculation. It is also known as Stated Interest rate or Nominal Interest Rate. 184 VALUATION OF BONDS % CBM Corporation issued a 20 year, P1000 bond with stated rate of 6% on January 31. 2012. The Maturity Date is January 31, 2032 which is 20 years from the date of issuance. The Face Value or Par Value is P1000 which shall be redeemed on January 31, 2032 (maturity date) The Coupon interest rate or stated rate is 6% The Annual Coupon Payment is P60 [Face Value x Stated Rate] B. Other Characteristics: 1. Issued with Call Provision - A provision that gives rights or privilege to the issuer to redeem the bond "call price" prior to its maturity. at a certain feature is normally attached to a This corporate bond but not to a treasury bond. Bonds with call provision are referred to as callable bonds. These callable bonds may have a provision stating that A) the issuer may exercise the right to call the bond starting from issue date, or B) the issuer may not call until five(5) years after issuance. The bond which contains a provides call protection such a as deferred call callable bond with provision B. When to exercise its rights to call? The issuer will call the bond provided that the right to call is already exercisable, such that the 185 VALUATION OF BONDS call protection of the bond expires. Moreover, the decline in the market interest rate which the value of the bond to appreciate will causes initiate the issuer to call the said bond. In the event that the market interest rate significantly declines, it is more advantageous, cost-wise, for the issuer to call the old bonds and replace them by new bonds at a lower interest rate. * Will investor demand higher interest rate? Since the issuer will call the bond any time prior to its maturity provided that the right exercisable and the is market interest rates declines, it will be detrimental to the long term investors who will reinvest in a lower interest rate bond after the call made by the issuer. Thus, this is the risk borne by a callable bondholder. In contrast with the Non-Callable Bond, there is no risk of early redemption of bonds, thus, bondholder may retain the bond until it matures. Because of the higher risk to be borne by investors in a Callable bond than in Non-callable bond, the investors in former bond will demand a higher interest rate in addition to call premium than in the latter bond. C) Issued with Put Provision - It is a provision that gives right or privilege to the bondholder to "put back" or require the issuer to repurchase the said bond at a certain "put price" prior to 186 VALUATION OF BONDS maturity. Bonds with put provisions are called putable bond. When to exercise its rights to put back? The bondholder will require the issuer to repurchase the bond prior to its maturity provided that the right to put back is already exercisable. Moreover, the rise in the market interest rate which causes the value of the bond to decline will initiate the bondholder to put back the said bond. D) Issued with Convertible features -this gives the bondholders the right or option to convert the bond into number of shares of common stocks at a predetermined price. The bondholders have to pay cash in order to exercise their option rather they have to exchange certain number do not the bonds for of stocks. Therefore, the bond considered as the payment in exchange is for the stocks. The bond with such features is known as convertible bonds. The coupon payment offered to a convertible bond is practically lower than those offered to a non-convertible bond with same credit risk. Issued with Warrants this gives the bondholder the right or option not to convert the bond but an option to buy shares of common stock from a company at a predetermined price. bondholders have to pay cash in order exercise their rights provided by warrant. 187 The to VALUATION OF BONDS PARTIES IN THE ISSUANCE OF BONDS: The parties involved in the issuance of bonds are: Bondholder and Issuer. 1. The Bondholder is the investor who extends loans to the company certain amount of money equivalent to the value of known the bond issued. These Bondholders are also as lenders or creditors of the company. 2. The Issuers of bonds may either be the Government or a Corporation. > The bonds issued by the government are generally referred to as Treasury bonds or Government bonds. Since these bonds are issued by the government which is bankrupt, it is certain that the bondholder will receive payment at an entity that does not go maturity date, thus, Treasury bonds has no default risk or credit risk. However, the prices of these bonds vary indirectly as to market interest rates. As the market interest rate increases, the value of the bond decreases, and vice versa. The bonds issued by the corporation are known as corporate bonds. It is a reality that some of the corporations encounter financial crisis or worse, they turn into bankruptcy. A corporation facing these scenario may not be able to pay the agreed interest and the face value of the bond, thus, there is a high probability of default risk in these kinds bonds. It is well settled that the higher of the expected risk, the higher the expected return. Since corporate bonds have higher default or credit risks as 188 VALUATION OF BONDS compared to Treasury bonds, the investors of the former type of bond may demand additional yield or interest in order to compensate for default risk. This additional yield on a corporate bond is called default premium. Default Risk - it is the risk that the issuer may not pay its obligation. It is also known as Credit risk Default Premium investor of a the additional yield that the bond requires due to credit or default risk is embedded in such bond. VALUATION OF BONDS: There are four factors affecting the valuation of the bonds. These are coupon interest rates, the discount rate, years until maturity or call, and the face value of the bond. The coupon interest rate used to compute the made or simply, interest rate is the rate peso amount of interest payments to be by the issuer throughout the life of the bond. This rate is bond upon its also known as the "stated rate" indicated in the issuance and it will be constant until the bond matures. referred to as the effective interest The discount rate, which is This is also rate is used to compute the present value factors. which is the minimum known as the required rate of return acceptable rate as an for an investor. This rate fluctuates over adjustment based on company, the political Bonds are Coupon Payments the financial status of the issuing and economic status and other factors. classified either Bond. The time as Nonzero Coupon Bond or Zero former offers a stream of coupon during the life interest of the bond while the latter does not 189 VALUATION OF BONDS pay any interest at all. However, both kinds of bonds pay the terminal value or the face value at the maturity date. A. Nonzero Coupon Bond: equal to the present values of cash flows from interest or coupon payments and cash flow from The Value of this Bond is the terminal or face value which is the maturity value of the bond. The equation used to calculate present values of these cash inflows in order to determine the bond's value (BV) is (1 + D1 Where CP is the Coupon Payment year, (1+ D)T T (1 + D)T (1+D)2 or the Interest payment per FV is the Face Value or the maturity value and number of years until maturity of n is the the bonds. Alternatively, the Bond's Value can also be computed by getting the present value of the cash inflows of interest payments and face value through the following formula: 1) Interest payments or coupon payments: CP = [CIR x FV] > PVCP= [ CP X PV(OA - D. D) ] 2) Face value or par value. > Where: CP is PVrV = [FV X PV(- D, D) 1 Coupon Payment CIR is Coupon Interest Rate or the Stated Rate FV is the Face Value or the Par Value of the Bond PV CP is the Present Value of the Coupon Payment PVFy is the Present Value of the Face Value payment (OA- D, n) is the Present Value Factor Ordinary 190 Annuity VALUATION OF BONDS PV (-D. n) is the Present Value Factor of One or Single payment Dis the Discount Rate or the Effective Interest Rate n is the number of years or periods for discounting Thus, the Bond's Value is (BV) = [PV cP + Investors of bonds (creditor) pay certain amount to the issuer (debtor) in exchange for the bond's value. The amount of payment could be equal to the face value known as issued at par, above the face is known as of the bond which is value of the bond which issued at a premium; or below the face value of the bond which is known as issued at a discount. Illustrative Problem 6-1 What is the value of a fifteen-year (15), P1000 corporate bond with stated rate of 10% per annum? Assume that: A. The bond of similar quality yields 10% rate. B. The bond of similar quality yields 8% rate. C. The bond of similar quality yields 12% rate Scenario A: The bond yields a rate of 10% and the stated rate of 10%. + (1+ D)1 100 (1+ 0.1)1 (1+D)" (1+ D)2 (1 + D) (1+ D)" 100 (1+ 0.1)2 191 100 1,000 (1+ 0.1)15 (1+ 0.1)15 VALUATION OF BONDS Alternatively; = [ (CP x PV(OA- D. n) ) + (FV x PV(1- D.n) ) ] =[(10% x P1000) x PV(0A-10%.15)]+[P1,000 x PV(1- 10%, 15) ] = [P100 x 7.36669] + [P1,000 x 0.26333] 736.67 + 263.33 = P 1,000 The Present Value factor of ordinary annuity payment at 10% for a period of fifteen (15) periods value factor for is 7.36669. The present one or single payment for fifteen (15) periods at the same discount rate of 10% is 0.26333. The present value of the cash inflows from interest payments amount to P736.67 while the principal payment which is the face value has a present value of P 263.33. Moreover, the following analyses are discussed below. Analyses: If the Discount rate is equal to the Stated rate; The Market Value of the bond amounts P1,000 which is equal to to the Face or Par value. The Amount to be paid by the investor is equal to the Face or Par value. > The Bond is issued at par or at face. Scenario B: The bond yields a rate of 8% and the stated rate of 10%. + (1+ D)1 (1+D)" (1+ D)2 192 (1 + Dya (1 + D)" VALUATION OF BONDS 100 (1+ 0.08)1 + 100 100 1,000 (1+ 0.08)2 (1+ 0.08)15 (1+ 0.08)15 BV = P 1,171.19 Alternatively; + = [ (CP x PV(0A- D.n)) + (FV x PV(1- D. n) ) ] =[(10% x P1000): PV(0A-8%, 15) ]+[P1,000 x PV(1 - 8%,15) ] = [P100 x 8.55948] + = P855.95 [P1,000 x 0.31524] P315.24 + = P1,171.19 The Present Value factor of ordinary annuity payment at for a period of fifteen (15) periods value factor for one or 8% is 8.55948. The present single payment for fifteen (15) periods at the 8% discount rate is 0.31524. The present value of the cash inflows from interest payments amounted to P855.95 while the present value of the principal payment is P315.24. Moreover, the following analyses are discussed below. Analysis: If the Discount rate is lower than the Stated rate; The Market value of the bond amounts to P1,171.19 which is above the Face or Par value. The Amount to be paid by the investor is higher than the Face or Par value. The Bond is issued at a premium. The difference between the market value of the bond and the face value is called bond premium. 193 VALUATION OF BONDS Scenario C: The bond yields a rate of 12% and the stated rate of 10%. + (1+D)" + D)2 (1+ D)" (1 + D)" (1+ D)1 100 100 (1+ 0.12)1 + 100 (1+ 0.12)2 1,000 (1+ 0.12)15 (1 + 0.12)15 Alternatively; + = [ (CP x PV(0A-D.m)) + (FVXPV@-D.m)) ] =[(10% x P1000) x PV(0A- 12%, 15) ]+[P1,000xPV(1 - 12%.15) ] = [ P100 x 6.81086] + [P1,000 x 0.18269] = P681.09 + P182.69 = P 863.78 The Present Value factor of ordinary annuity payment at 12% period of fifteen (15) periods is 6.81086. The present value factor for one or single payment for fifteen (15) periods for a at the 12% discount rate is 0.18269. The present value of the cash inflows from interest payments amounted to P681.09 while the present value of the principal payment is P182.78. Moreover, the following analyses are discussed below. Analyses: if the Discount rate is higher than the Stated rate; The Market value of the bond amounts to P 863.78 which is below the Face or Par value. 194 VALUATION OF BONDS The Amount be paid by the investor lower than the Face or Par value. to is The Bond is issued at discount. The difference between the market value of the bond and the face value is called bond discount. B. Zero Coupon Bonds: This bond has no coupon interest payment but are usually sold below its Face Value or issued at a discount. The investors of this kind of bonds receive earnings through the appreciation or from rise in the bond's value the discounted selling price (price paid by the bondholder) to the Face value (price paid by the issuer) when redeemed at the date of maturity. Since there are no periodic interest payments in this kind of bonds, the only cash inflow to be expected by the bondholder is the principal payment or face value. Thus, to calculate the valuation of a zero coupon bond, the following equations can be used: = [FV xPV(1-D,n) ] Illustrative Problem 6-2: BlueBlurry Corporation issued a zero coupon bond with 15 years until maturity and a P1000 Face value. Determine the value of the bond if the Discount rates (required rate of return) are as follows: 195 VALUATION OF BONDS A. 8% B. 9% Case A: If the Discount rate or the required rate of return is 8%: (1+ D)" 1,000 (1+ 0.08)15 Alternatively; [P1000x PV(1- D,n ] [P1000 x 0.31524] = = The present discount or P315.24 value factor for one or single payment required rate of return for 15 periods is at 8% 0.31524. Using the formula for valuing a Zero Coupon Bond, the bond can is selling at P315.24. Thus, the investor who will eventually be the bondholder can purchase the bond at P315.24 today then wait for amount 15 years until maturity in order to receive the of P1,000 which is the face value of the said bond. Case B: If the Discount rate or the required rate of return is 9%: (1+ D)n 1,000 (1 + 0.09) 15 BV = P 274.54 Alternatively; PV Face Value 196 VALUATION OF BONDS [P1000 x PV(1- D,n) ] [P1000 x 0.27454] = P274.54 The present value factor for one or single payment at 9% discount or required rate of return for 15 periods is 0.27454. Thus, the investor can purchase the bond at a value of P274.54 today but will receive the amount of P1000 which is the face value when NOTE: maturity date comes. In compounding other than annual payments, semi-annual or quarterly payment, determine first such as the number of payment periods in a year. Adjust number of periods (n) by multiplying the number of payment periods per year by number of years until maturity. Before computing the coupon payment (CP), adjust the coupon interest rate (CIR) by dividing the number of payment period from the annual coupon interest rate. Also, for the adjusted discount rate (D) used in present value functions, divide the Discount rate by the number of payment periods in a year. If a bond issued and sells at 100, this means that the selling price of the bond or the value of the bond is 100 percent of the par selling at value, thus issued at par. However if the bond is 90, this means that the value of the bond is 90 percent of the par, thus issued at a discount; while selling at 110 means that the value of the bond is 110 percent of its par value, thus issued at a premium. REQUIRED RATE OF RETURN: A bond's yield is the required rate of return or discount rate that will make the discounted value of the expected future cash inflows equal to the current market value the intrinsic value of a bond to 197 of the bond. When the investor equates to the VALUATION OF BONDS market value, there is equilibrium between the required rate return of of a bond and the bond's yield. The bond's yield is commonly known as the yield to (YTM) which is the required rate of return on bond if the bondholder does not a maturity intend to sell the bond but rather hold it until its maturity. The YTM is the discount rate used to compute the present value factors for single payment and annuity due which in turn are used to calculate the bond's market value. This is sometimes referred to as the internal rate of return which can be calculated through interpolation; or trial and error solution. Thus, using the above formula shown in the Nonzero Coupon Bond Valuation discussion which is; BV = 21-17 + (1+D)" or [PV Coupon Payment + PV Face Value] We can do interpolation or trial and error calculation for the YTM the or the Discount rate (D) given the current market value of bond, the coupon payment and the face value or maturity value. The aim here is to get the economic rate of return or the estimated discount rate that will equate the current market value of the bond and the discounted cash inflows from the coupon payments and principal payment. The Bond Valuation (BV) to be used must be the current market value of the or bond the bond price. Illustrative Problem 6-3 A P1000 ABCD Corporate bond was issued on January 1, 2018 with annual coupon interest rate of 8%. The current market value of the bond is P935.82 and it matures in 10 years. 198 VALUATION OF BONDS Determine the Discount rate or the Yield to Maturity. The current market value is P935.82 which is below the bond's par value of P1000. It shows that the bond was issued at a discount. Based from the analyses summarized in Scenario 3 where the Bond Valuation (BV) calculated is also at a discount, here it is safe to assume that the discount rate must be higher than the stated rate of 8%. Since we want to equalize the current market value with the present values of the expected cash inflows, the discount rate that should used in calculating the present values may be not be any rate below 8%, thus let us try to interpolate using 8.5% and 9.5%. Using 8.5% as the discount rate, we must determine the first present values of the expected cash inflows of the bond. The present value factor for single payment is a 6.56135 while the present value factor of ordinary annuity is 0.44229. Using such factors, the bond valuation with 8.5% discount rate is calculated as follows: BV = [ PVcoupon Payment + PVFace value] BV = [ P 80 (6.56135) + P 1000 (0.44229)] BV = P 524.91 + P 442.29 BV = P967.20 The valuation of a bond with the following characteristics: 8.5% discount rate, 8% stated rate and 10 years until maturity; amounted to P967.20 which is higher than the current market value of P 935.82. Thus, we must now determine a bond 199 VALUATION OF BONDS valuation lower than the current market value of 935.82. It is well settled that the there is an P inverse relationship with the Discount rate and the present value factors. We now try a higher discount rate of 9.5%. With 9.5% as the discount rate, the present value for a single payment and ordinary annuity are 0.40351 and 6.278798. The bond valuation factors with the following factors is calculated as follows: PV Coupon Payment BV = [ P 80 (6.278798) + + P 1000 (0.40351)] BV = P 502.30 + P 403.51 BV = P905.81 The above computation shows that the valuation of a bond with the 9.5% discount rate amounted to P905.81 which is below than the current market value of P 935.82. Since the current market value of P935.82 is between the bond prices of P905.81 P967.20, we can assume that the Yield or the appropriate Discount to and Maturity rate for the current market value is any rate between 8.5 to 9.5%. To illustrate, we interpolate rates between 8.5% and 9.5%: Table A: Summary of Rates and Bond Prices 8.50% Discount Rates 9.50% 967.20 P 935.82 P 905.81 Bond Prices 200 VALUATION OF BONDS Interpolation Process R1 - R2 P1 - P2 R1 - R3 P1 -P3 The above table shows the summary of the discount rates with their corresponding Bond Prices calculated from Problem the given the Sample 6-3. The said problem required to calculate the Discount Rate (R) Maturity (YTM). Discount Rate It is or the Yield clearly shown in Table (R2) signifies the to A that YTM with corresponding bond price (P2) of P935.82. Thus, in determining the value of R2(YTM), we must use the interpolation process formula as follows: STEP 1: Interpolation Process Formula 8.5% 8.5% P967.20 - 9.5% P935.82 P967.20 - P905.81 STEP 2: Interpolation Process Formula 8.5% P31.38 (-1%) P61.39 STEP 3: Interpolation Process Formula [8.5%- R2] (P61.39) P31.38 (-1%) 201 VALUATION OF BONDS STEP 4: Interpolation Process Formula P5.21815 (- P0.3138) P61.39 R2 STEP 5: Interpolation Process Formula P61.39 R2 P5.21815 + P0.3138 STEP 6: Interpolation Process Formula P61.39 R2 P5.53195 STEP 7: Interpolation Process Formula P 5.53195 P61.39 R2 P61.39 P61.39 = P5.53195 : P61.39 = From the 0.090111 or 9 % Interpolation Process, we determined the Discount Rate (R2) or The Yield to Maturity of the given bond with a current market value of P935.82. The YTM which is also known as calculated from the the internal rate of return (/RR) given sample problem is approximately 9%. In order to check if the approximated YTM or Discount rate of 9% equates the present values of the expected cash inflows from the bond and the current market value, we must use the Present value factors of 9% and substitute it to the bond valuation formula. 202 VALUATION OF BONDS PV Coupon Payment + PVFace value] BV = [ P 80 (6.41766) + P 1000 (0.42241)] BV = P 513.41 + P 422.41 The present value factors for single payment and ordinary annuity of the 9% discount rate and are 0.42241 6.41766, respectively. Using such PV factors, the present value of interest payments amounted to P531.41 while present value of the Face value or maturity value amounted to 422.241. Thus, summation of these present value cash inflows equates to the current market value of P935.82. We illustrated the process of determining the YTM through interpolation. Aside from the interpolation process, how to calculate the of return or there are other ways on approximated required rate the YTM such as using excel and financial calculator. > Alternatively, we can approximate YT using this equation: CP + [(Face Value - Bond Value)/t] Bond Value (0.6) + Face Value (0.4) Yield to Maturity is the rate of return earned by the bondholder who held the bond until maturity. However, there are bonds with features that prevent the bondholder holding the bond until maturity, such as callable 203 from bond. The call VALUATION OF BONDS provision shall be exercised by the issuer prior to the maturity bond especially when the market interest rate falls below the coupon rate of the bond. of the In the perspective of the issuer, it is advantageous to call or redeem the bond because there is an increase in the bond price the issuing company can save annual interest payments if they redeem a when market interest rate falls. high rate coupon bond when such Moreover, rate falls. The amount paid by the issuer in order to call or redeem the bond is which is usually equal to As to the price the par value plus one year interest. perspective of the bondholders or investors, there is the risk that their income from a bond portfolio the interest rate falls. This risk, which is bonds, is call SO will decline if significant on callable called reinvestment risk This shows that the expected savings in the perspective of the issuer is the corresponding expected decline in bondholder when the To illustrate, assume the income of the former will exercise its right to call. that a 10 year callable bond has 12% coupon interest rate upon issuance and assume that it issued at 1,000 par value. This bond is with call period of 4 years from issuance, meaning, the issuer the bond from issue date (year 0) until the was protection cannot call end of fourth year (year 4). In the beginning of year 5, the market interest rate falls from 12% to 10%. The call premium is 5%. The market interest rate decline to 10% will increase the bond value from P 1,000 to P 1,087.11 BV = [ PVCoupon Payment t PV Face valuel BV = [P 120 (4.35526) + P 1000 (0.5644739)] BV = P 522.63 + P 564.47 BV = P1, 087.11 204 VALUATION OF BONDS The issuer, in exercising its right to call, will have to pay the call price of P1,050 [P1,000 face value + 50 call premium] to the bondholder and in turn redeem the P 1,000 callable bond. This shows that the issuer is willing to pay the excess or premium of P50 on the fifth year (year 5) to redeem the 12% callable bond and replace these with 10% bond. Hence, assuming the new bonds will still be issued at par value, (effective interest rate equals nominal interest rate) the issuer will interest save payment of 2% due to the decline in market rate from 12% to 10%. Or, if it will be issued at the new bond price of P 1,087.11, the bond premium received amounting to P87.11 is higher than the call premium paid of P50, thus earning excess amount. The savings or earnings of the issuer, due to decline in interest rate, are the corresponding decline in the income of the bondholder. Thus in this case, when interest rate decreased and issuer redeemed the bond, the payment received by the bondholder in year 5 shall be reinvested at a lower rate of 10%. This illustrates the SO called reinvestment risk discussed above. On the other hand, when the interest rate increases resulting to decline in the bond price, the risk is known as interest rate risk or price risk Thus, if the issuer exercised its right to call when interest rate fall, the rate of return that will be earned by the bondholder of this kind of bond is is the SO called yield to call (YTC). Shown below equation on how to calculate the approximate YTC: Call Price t=1 205 VALUATION OF BONDS Where: Dc is the Yield to Call or the Rate of return when called CP is the Coupon interest payment Call Price exercise is the price paid by the issuer upon of its right to call n is the number of years until the issuer can call or redeem the bond Alternatively, we can approximate YTC using this equation: CP + [(Call Price - Bond Price)/ n] Bond Price (0.6) + Call Price (0.4) Illustrative Problem 6-4 CBA Corporation has bonds outstanding with P1000 face value and 10 years left until maturity. They have 12 annual coupon payments, and the current market value is P1120. These bonds can be called starting 5 years at 105% of the face value. 1. Determine the Yield to Maturity assuming the Corporation did not exercise its rights to call. 2. Determine the Yield to Call if assuming the corporation called in 5 years. Approximate Yield to Maturity (YTM): CP + (Face Value - Bond Value)/t] Bond Value (0.6) + Face Value (0.4) [P120 + (P1000 - P1120) / 10] P1120 (0.6) Y = 10.075% 206 + P1000 (0.4) VALUATION OF BONDS The approximate YTM which is the required rate of return the bondholder will receive at maturity date is 10.075%. This rate is also the Discount rate that which equates the Present value of the income stream: interest payments and maturity value; with the current market value of the bond. To check whether the approximated TYM is correct, let us determine the current market value of the bond: + BV = P 1,117.90 or P1,118 Using the Approximated YTM of 10.075% in discounting the income streams, the approximated bond value calculated amounted to P1,118 which is near the current market value of P1,120. There is a discrepancy due to rounding off differences in the Present value factors. Thus, we can use this formula in lieu of the interpolation process for convenience. Approximate Yield to Call (YTC): [CP + (Call Price Bond Price)/n] Bond Price (0.6) + Call Price (0.4) [P120 + (P1050 - P1120)/ 5] = P1120 (0.6) + P1050 (0.4) P106 P1092 = 9.707% approximated Yield to call (YTC) is 9.707% which is the rate of return earned by the bondholder, who bought : callable The 207 VALUATION OF BONDS bond with a price of P1120, when the issuing corporation called or redeemed the bond 5 years from today. The callable bond given in Sample Problem 6-4 protection which exercise its is has a call 4 years. This means that the issuer can only rights to call starting on the 5th years from the issuance of the bond, thereby protecting the bondholder from redeeming the bond. However, after the protection period, the call protection ceases and the bondholder now bears the risk of redemption prior to maturity. In this case, when the issuing company exercised its rights to call on the 5th year, the bondholder's return will be 9.707% (YTC) instead of 10.075% (YTM) because the bond was redeemed prior to maturity. Moreover, when the right of the company to call is already exercisable, it does not mean that the issuing company will call or redeem outright the said bond. Thus, the issuer may or may not redeem the bond depending on the interest rates or the bond values in the market. If the bond price on the call period is higher than call price, the issuer will be expected to redeem or call the bond. Note: for discussion and problem solving, we assume that the bonds are not callable unless otherwise stated or if it deals with the yield to call calculation. Expected Total Returns on Bonds: The expected total returns on bonds are the amount of cash inflows from interest payments, maturity value (face value) and call price. The total return attributable to the bondholder can either until be the Yield to Maturity (YTM) if the bond is maturity, or the Yield to Call (YTC) if the bond was by the issuer prior to held called maturity. Moreover, the bondholder may opt not to hold the bond until maturity but sell it to other investors when the market interest rate declines. When this 208 VALUATION OF BONDS happens, the bondholder's return on such investment will be the cash inflows from the interest payments and the gain on sale of the said bond. In this case, we can use another equation calculate the expected total return on the bond without using the YTM and YTC formula. The expected total return to formula on a bond is the summation of the Current Yield and Capital Gain / (Loss) Yield: ETR = ETR + CG/(L)Y + Where: ETR is the Expected Total Return or the rate on of return investment CY is the Current Yield which is the rate of return on the interest payments received CGY/(L)Y is the Capital Gains/Loss Yield which is the rate of return when the bond is sold BPn is the Bond Price New (Selling Price) calculated after the BPo change in the Discount rate is the Bond Price Old (Cost) which is the current market value of the Bond Illustrative Problem 6-5 AMV purchased on January 1, 2017 a P1000 face value bond issued by CBM Corporation with 9% annual coupon interest and 10 years to maturity for P950. If AMV sold the bond on January 1, 2018 for P970 to Wash Sy Gorres, what is the total rate of return earned by AMV on the investment? 209 VALUATION OF BONDS ETR + CG/(L)Y = CY ETR = ETR =. + 90 + 970 - 950 950 ETR The = 950 11.58% Expected total return received by AMV from selling the bond 1 year from issuance is 11.58% which is composed of the current yield of 9.47% and the capital gains yield of 2.11%. The price of the bond increases from P950 to P970 which encouraged the bondholder to sell the bond to other investor (Wash Sy Gorres). In case said bond but held it that the bondholder did not sell the until maturity, the expected total returns received will not be 11.58% rather the Yield to Maturity (YTM) which is 9.79% (calculated using the approximate YTM formula). Therefore, in selling the said bond, the bondholder earned a higher return by 1.79%. 210 VALUATION OF STOCKS CHAPTER 7 VALUATION OF STOCKS Stock or share of stocks generally represents some form of ownership in an entity. Shares may take several forms for different organizations and these several forms entitle the owner or the shareholder different rights. Some classes have voting rights while some do not have. Other classes may receive priority rights in dividends distribution and liquidation over all other classes of shares. By merely looking at these benefits from stocks, it could be easily compared to bonds (which were previously discussed in Chapter 6 of this book). One very important difference between stocks and bonds is the regularity of cash flows. For bonds, the contractual cash flows in the form of interest payments are made periodically while the dividends for stocks may not be made regularly. In this chapter, we will discuss the following: Different kinds of stocks Different kinds of preference shares Non-discounted method in valuing stocks Discounted method in valuing stocks: Discounted Dividend Model Corporate Valuation Model Stocks or shares of stock, in this chapter, shall be common or ordinary shares of stock. A separate construed as portion in this chapter shall deal with preference shares. Stocks are securities that represent ownership of a company and entitlement of such company's net assets and profits. Usually, stocks are classified into common or ordinary and preferred. There are several distinctions between ordinary and preferred shares. In the table below, the characteristics of each class of shares are briefly provided: 231 VALUATION OF STOCKS Table 7-1 Characteristics of Ordinary and Preference Shares Preference Ordinary 1. Claim Yes but with Yes over priority in assets distribution during liquidation 2. Claim over Yes but Yes but with earnings depends on priority in distribution the plan dividend (dividends) distribution distribution of Preference Shares May not receive dividends 3. Voting rights No Yes (influence/control over corporate actions) While ordinary and preference shares may have common characteristics such as par value or stated value, preference shares have more distinct kinds. This is due to the fact that preference shares characteristics are considered hybrid having of bond or an instrument/security with liability and that of a stock. Below is preference shares: 232 a list of different kinds of VALUATION OF STOCKS Cumulative - Those shares which entitle the holder to 1. current or dividends as well as those dividends in those dividends which were not arrears provided in previous years. Non-cumulative 2. - Those shares which entitles the holder to only current dividends. The company is longer liable for dividends not declared in no previous years to holders of these shares. 3. Participating - Those shares that entitles the holder to surplus profits after the provision of the basic dividend to all classes of shares. 4. Only the basic dividend shall be Non-participating provided to holders of this kind of preference shares. Surplus profits after the provision of the basic dividend shall be given 5. Redeemable to other classes of shares. - These are preference shares that grant the right or power to redeem, purchase or "buy back" the shares after a certain period. the issuing company 6. Convertible These are shares that can be converted into another class of shares (usually convertible to ordinary shares). The succeeding segments on this chapter will discuss how the value of two classes of stock are determined and why it is necessary to determine such value. 233 VALUATION OF STOCKS Stock Valuation Stock Valuation is simply the process of determining a stock's value. In some countries, stock value is a part of a service rendered to an entity called Fairness Opinion or Valuation Services. In the Philippines, non-listed and -traded entities wishing to trade in the local stock exchange are mandated to acquire a Fairness Opinion or a Valuation Report from accredited firms. The opinion or report contains a computation of the value of the company's stock. However, why is it necessary to determine the value of a stock? Investors make decisions by simply determining the potential for profit or loss. Each security an investor hold may either give such investor gains or losses in a particular period of time. As in the case of stocks, of the investors profit from the appreciation stock's value. It is necessary therefore that the investor is guided in determining whether a stock shall profit or not. That is the time stock valuation enters. Fundamentally speaking, investors are at advantage if it would be able to estimate properly a stock's intrinsic (or "true") value. By comparing the intrinsic value with is traded, an investor will the amount at which be guided. The basic a stock principle of using the intrinsic value is shown below as: Intrinsic Value > Stock Price (Traded Price) "undervalued" = Buy/Acquire Intrinsic Value < Stock Price (Traded Price) ¾ "overvalued" = Sell/Do not acquire The rules developed to provided above are rudimentary rules guide an investor in possession of the intrinsic value. 234 correct VALUATION OF STOCKS Methods of Stock Valuation A. Non-discounted Techniques The valuation of stocks may involve summarily, on financial a computation based, statements and fundamental information. This method of stock valuation takes into consideration the financial performance of the company or the current book value of its shareholders' equity. Furthermore, these techniques utilize market information and employ the market information to the net income of the firm being valued. 1. Book Value or Net Asset Value Approach The net asset value or book value shareholders' equity portion objective of this approach is Per Share or approach utilizes the total of the financial statements. The to determine the Net Asset Value the Book Value Per Share which ultimately represents the equity or the value of each ordinary share. It is also the amount that would be paid on each share assuming that the company is liquidated. The term net asset value is generally used for funds (such as mutual funds) value is while book general term used for different types of businesses. several applications of this approach, net assets are In the book values of the adjusted to reflect its current fair value rather than historical costs. The formula for the book value or net asset value approach is: Book Value or Net Asset Value per share Total Shareholders'Equity (or Total Assets Total Liabilities) Number of outstanding shares In this formula, it is assumed that the company is using only a single class of shares which are common or ordinary shares. However, in instances when there are other classes of 235 VALUATION OF STOCKS shares other than ordinary shares, the portion of the preference shares are excluded to reflect the correct value per share: Book Value or Net Asset Value per share Total Shareholders'Equity- Total equity attributable to preference shares Number of outstanding common shares In both situations, the total assets of the company may be adjusted as deemed necessary to reflect its current fair market value. This approach is commonly used for companies that are currently not traded in any market or companies that are closely-held. This approach is also prevalently used by mutual funds to represent the value of each unit of the fund. It commonly uses the notation NAVPU which is the Net Asset Value Per Unit. While it can be seen from that the value of stock can be computed with ease, it is valuation approach. on not all too perfect for a One prevailing weakness of this formula is, hand, very evident from its definition. It assumes that the company shall liquidate presently and that shows approximately how the value computed much the shareholders will receive upon liquidation. This condition, however, goes against the very basic principle of accounting which is the Going Concern principle. The Going Concern principles simply states that an accounting method shall be adopted under the assumption that the company will continue operations for an indefinite period of time and under no circumstances that near future. Furthermore, it it shall liquidate in the also factors out the expected profits in future periods. 236 VALUATION OF STOCKS * Illustrative Problem 7-1: Company has the following information derived from its most recent audited financial statements: SEC Total Assets = P20,000,000,000 Total Liabilities = P10,000,000,000 Total Shareholders' Equity = P10,000,000,000 No. of ordinary shares issued and outstanding = 1,000,000,000 shares To determine the NAVPS or BVPS: Total Shareholders' Equity No. of ordinary shares issued and outstanding NAVPS or BVPS P10,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 NAVPS or BVPS = P10 per share If the company had another class of stock such as preferred shares amounting to 600,000,000 shares with a total equity of P2,500,000,000, then the NAVPS or BVPS shall be P7.50 per share. Total Shareholders'Equity - Total equity attributabte to preference shares No. of ordinary shares issued and outstanding P10,000,000,000 - P2,500,000,000 1,000,000,000 NAVPS or BVPS = P7.50 per share 2. Price-Earnings Relative Valuation Approach Several investors believe that the value (price) of a stock is related to its financial performance, particularly its net income. Furthermore, these investors believe that the change in the 237 VALUATION OF STOCKS price of a stock is directly attributable to its earnings. We understand from the discussion in Statement Analysis) the price of a stock that a multiplier and its earnings - Chapter 3 (Financial can be derived that is the by using Price-Earnings company in target, the prevailing Price-Earnings Ratio (or also called the Price-Earnings Ratio. In the valuation of a Multiple) of similar or comparable entities is utilized determine the value of the to target stock. The basic argument of this approach is that the income statement provides a more accurate view in valuing a business It also argues that the value of an operating business arises from its ability to generate income and not from historical accumulation of assets. Furthermore, income statement data are substantially derived from a particular reporting period and as such encounters a considerably lower level of distortion than the balance sheet with which values come from varying periods. The computation of the value of the stock using this approach can be illustrated using this formula: Corporate Value = Net Income X PE Ratio or Value of Stock = PE Multiple of similar companies Corporate Value No. of ordinary shares issued and outstanding In the above formula, the current (or projected) net of the company is multiplied by the Price-Earnings income Ratio or Multiple of similar companies. Similar companies may be interpreted in the manner most relative to the entity being valued such as it may be companies in the same geographical same sector or industry or other qualifications deemed appropriate. area, 238 that iS VALUATION OF STOCKS Illustrative Problem 7-2 NA Technologies, Inc. has a net income of P1 billion reported on the previous year's audited financial statements. In the same period, the company has billion in shares issued outstanding. and 1 NA Technologies is currently operating in the computer and gadgets industry. Information has been gathered that the prevailing P/E Ratio (price-earnings ratio) in the computer industry is 5x. To determine the value of the stock: Corporate Value = Net Income Multiple of similar companies X PE Ratio or PE Corporate Value = P1 billion x 5x Corporate Value = P5,000,000,000 Value of Stock Corporate Value = Value of Stock = No. of ordinary shares issued and outstanding P5 billion billion shares Value of Stock = P5 per share Note: In some instances, the corporate value is Liquidity Discount to reflect or adjust reduced by a the expected marketability of a stock. This is usually done during initial public offerings. Christopher Glover, in his book Valuation of Unquoted Companies (5th ed.), mentioned that the most popular level of discount is 25%. Applying the same in the case above, the Corporate Value of P5 billion should be reduced by 25% to equal P3.75 billion. B. Discounted Techniques involve the consideration of future cash flows that may generated from The most common valuation 239 techniques VALUATION OF STOCKS such stock. Considering that the computations may involve future cash flows, appropriate discounting should be made to place these future cash flows to its present value. Discounted Dividend Model This model takes into consideration the expected cash flows of investment in stocks which are dividends and stock price upon sale. Simply put, the value of the stock depends value of all the dividends and the price on the present of the stock once it is sold. This model primarily relies on the proper estimation of a stock's growth rate which is one of the key features of this valuation method. Common elements exist in this stock valuation method: Po stock price today D1 or D - dividends or dividend at the end of the year ke or r - required return or cost of equity g growth rate TD - terminal date or horizon TV - terminal value The Discounted Dividend Model assumes that dividends grow in three possible ways namely: a) Zero or No Growth stocks - A situation where a stock and its dividends do not that this valuation model is grow. Considering primarily based on dividends and growth rate, preferred shares exhibit the same characteristics as that no growth ordinary stocks. of zero Under or this assumption, dividends today (Do) is equal to future dividends such as D1. D2, D3 and so on. 240 VALUATION OF STOCKS The formula for the valuation of zero or no growth stockis: 110 Po * Illustrative Problem 7-3: RF Hotels Corporation has paid P5.00 dividends last year to its stockholders. The company expects that this dividend will not grow in its succeeding years of operation. The shareholders expect a 10% return on RF's stock. To determine Po - Po = RF's stock price: D r P5.00 10% Po= P50.00 b) Constant Growth stocks - A situation where a stock and its dividends grow at a constant rate throughout its life. Constant growth stocks exhibit a kind of growth rate that does not change during the life of such stock. In fact, zero or no growth stock may be a form of constant growth stock, only that it has zero or no growth during the life of that stock. The formula for the valuation of constant growth stock is: Po = Emphasis should be drawn on the D1 component. The used in of the dividend this formula should always be the dividend at the year and not any other dividend such 241 as end dividends VALUATION OF STOCKS recently declared (Do). Further the formula above, however, must be used with care as the growth rate must always be than the required rate become of return. less Otherwise, the formula may inoperable or illogical. Illustrative Problem 7-4 NN Stock is expected to declare a P7.00 dividend at the end of the year. Similar stocks return 16%. NN's stock is expected to grow at a rate of 6% annually for the rest of the stock's life. To determine NN's stock price: Po = Po = P7.00 16% - 6% P. E P70.00 c Non-constant Growth stocks A situation where a stock and its dividends grow at a different rate at the earlier part of its life. Such growth shall terminate at a horizon or terminal date where the stock and its dividends begin constant rate. As to grow at a such, there are two phases in the life of non-constant growth stocks: the non- constant growth phase and the constant growth phase. The non-constant growth phase consists of dividends growing at a varying rate or at a rate different from the constant growth rate. After the non-constant phase (at the terminal date), the constant growth phase then consists of dividends growing constantly until infinity. 242 VALUATION OF STOCKS As mentioned above, which the terminal date is the period in the dividends stop growing non-constantly and begins growing at a constant rate forever. In relation to this terminal date, relevant value comes up which is called the terminal value. The terminal value is computed similarly to a constant growth stocks in which the dividends in the constant growth phase of the stock is collected and discounted to the terminal date. The formula for the valuation Po: In (1+r) (1+r)2 of non-constant growth stock is: (1+ r)3 computing for dividends beyond D1, the growth rate applicable may be utilized on a D1 to compute for succeeding dividends. This concept can be illustrated in this equation: D2 = D, X (1 + g) D3 = D, X (1 + 9) or D2 X (1+g) In the above formulas, care must be taken in using a correct growth rate if the dividend is within the non-constant growth phase or already at the constant growth phase. Once the non-constant growth phase stops (at the terminal date), the dividends then grow constantly. Analyzing the situation at the terminal date, it could be understood that dividends will grow at the same rate until infinity. To be able to express these dividends, it should be "collected" (discounted) at the terminal date. The terminal value TV = 243 is then computed as: VALUATION OF STOCKS It should be emphasized that the dividend in the computation terminal value is the dividend after the terminal date in which the growth rate utilized is the constant growth rate. Illustrative Problem 7-5 A Industries, Inc. expects to pay P3.00 per share dividend to its common stockholders at the end of the year. The dividend is expected to grow 25 percent a year until the end of the third year (t = 3), after which time the dividends is expected to grow at a constant rate of 5 percent a year. A Industries' stockholders require a 12% return on this stock To determine the A's stock price: A timeline should be made to assist the analyst in understanding the characteristics of the stock, the dividends and the relevant periods in which these dividends appear. Proper analysis should be made on how the dividends are to be recognized and placed on the timeline. 25% 5% growth in dividends forever growth in dividends D. D. D1 = P3.00 D2 = D1 X (1 + r) D2 = P3.00 X (1 + D2 = P3.75 25%) D3 = D2 X (1 + r) D3 = P3.75 x (1 + 25%) D3 = P4.6875 244 D. D. VALUATION OF STOCKS Note: D3, in this problem, is the dividend at the terminal date D4 = D3 X (1 + r) D4 = P4.6875 X (1: 5%) D4 = P4.921875 Note: The growth rate for D4 now becomes 5% (as opposed to 25%) considering that the stock has already entered the constant growth phase. Further, D4 is the dividend after the terminal date (DTD+1). TV = P4.921875 TV = 12% - 5% TV = P70.3125 With all the components of the stock price already determined and pre-computed, the stock price can already be computed: Po + = (1 + 12%) P4.6875 P3.75 P3.00 (1+ 12%)2 (1+ 12%)3 P70.3125 (1 + 12%)3 P.= P59.05 Note: It should be emphasized that the terminal value should be discounted at the same rate as that of the dividend at the terminal date (D3 in this problem). 245 VALUATION OF STOCKS 1. Corporate Valuation or Free Cash Flow Model This model computes a present value of the npany's market value based on the company's free cash flows. Upon determination of the market value of the company, the longterm debt and preferred share capital is deducted leaving the market value of the common stock to be divided by the number of outstanding common shares to determine the stock's intrinsic value. The discounting concepts are very similar to that of the discounted dividend model, however with some new elements: Po - stock price today MV Firm market value of the firm _ Debt+Preferred market value of debt and preferred stock free cash flow at the end of year WACC - weighted average cost of capital g - growth rate TD - terminal date or horizon TV - terminal value OCS - outstanding common stock As mentioned previously, the corporate valuation or free cash flow model uses the same structure of discounting as that of the discounted dividend model. It may also be in the form of a zero or no growth, constant growth or non-constant growth stock. Before we discuss the formulas in computing the stock price, we should first familiarize ourselves with the new elements of this valuation method. The market value of the firm represents the total value of the company (the total market value of its assets). It is the sum of all the free cash flows of the company discounted to its 246 VALUATION OF STOCKS present value. It should also be noted that these assets are primarily sourced out from the firm's liabilities, preference shares and ordinary shares. types of sources It is understood that these three each have claim over the market value of the firm. In the same manner, considering the three sources of cash each have their own required returns, the WACC or weighted average cost of capital should be used to discount such free The WACC, therefore, is the composite weighted average of all the required returns of creditors, preference shareholders and ordinary shareholders. The computation of cash flows. the WACC is discussed in detail in Chapter 7 of this text. The free cash flow (FCF) is the cash generated before any payment is made creditors and to the above investors (the sources shareholders). Free cash flow originally comes from the computation of the net income but distinctly modified to reflect the actual cash flows of the firm: FCF = [EBIT(1 - TAX RATE) + Depreciation and Amortization] - [Capital Expenditures + ANet Working Capital] Before free cash being able to compute the stock price using the flow model, it is first important to determine the market value of the firm. The market value firm is computed as follows: Zero or no growth firms: MV Firm Constant growth firms: Firm - - g 247 VALUATION OF STOCKS Non-constant growth firms: MV Firm (1+ WACC) (1 + WACC)2 (1 + WACC)3 (1+ WACC)™D (1+ WACC)™D After computing for the market value of the firm (MV Firm), the stock price can already be computed by dividing the market value of the firm minus the sum of the market values of debt and preferred shares by the number of outstanding common stock: Po = MVFirm - MVDebt+Preferred The market value of the firm less the market value of debt and preferred shares represent the remainder of the firm's market value that is available to common or ordinary shareholders. This amount then represents the intrinsic value of the firm's common stock. 8479 Corporation has projected Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) for the next year of P600 million, with tax rate of 40%, projected depreciation expense, capital expenditures and increase in working capital for the next year of P100 million, P200 million and P120 million, respectively. The capital structure of the company is 40% for debt and 60% for equity. Its WACC is 10%. The company's free cash flow is expected to at a constant grow rate of 6 percent a year. The firm has P500 million in debt and preferred shares with 20 million preferred shares outstanding and 300 million ordinary shares outstanding. 248 VALUATION OF STOCKS To compute for 8479's stock price: It is first important to compute for the correct free cash flow of the company. Considering that this is a constant growth stock, it is also important to note that the free cash flow needed for the computation is the free cash flow at the end of the year (FCF1). +ANet Working Capital] FCF:=[P600 million (1-40%)+P100 million]-[P200 million+P120 million] FCF.=P140 million After computing the correct FCF, the market value of the firm should be computed next: WACC - g P140 million 10% 6% = P3.5 billion Once the market value of the firm values is computed, the market of debt and preferred must first be deducted from the market value of the firm. The resulting market value common or ordinary shares shall outstanding ordinary shares: Po = Po = P3.5 billion - P500 million 300 million shares P.= P10 per share 249 of be divided by the number VALUATION OF STOCKS Choosing the best valuation method Valuation methods above present to us various kinds of techniques and points-of-view in computing for stock. As investors are wary of the price of the each kind of valuation technique, choosing the best valuation method does not all the picking the most accurate one. As it is in providing luations, uncertainties arising from Opinions and more mean Fairness each different valuation method are addressed by comparatively looking at the results of each valuation method. Rather than choosing one alternative, it is best to look at the varying results as a reasonable range of the correct intrinsic or "true" value. 250