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Ewin EntEcon notes - Copy

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1st exam period
9/25/2023
Topic ideas for Term paper
investment from interest groups in news vs viewer retention and viewership
the airliners effects on the ocean liner and ship building industry in america
the chip shortages effect on the gaming industry
The four basic broadcast media are
For radio: AM (amplitude modulation) and FM (frequency modulation)
For television VHF (very high frequency) and UHF (Ultra high frequency)
All four operate under the same macroeconomic conditions but different microeconomic conditions
AM and VHF began to emerge in the 1920’s
1950’s - big breakthrough for television (Post war era)
FM and UHF did not become finically viable until the late 1960’s early 70’s
FM – Moved to album-oriented popular music (teens/young adults)
UHF – Helped along by the emergence of a third major network ABC. More powerful UHF transmitters,
and a congressional mandate to manufacture UHF tuners
AM Radio – in the 1970s more of a local rather than national service
AM signals and the ionosphere (nighttime) FCC rules (sunset) and clear channel stations (50,000 watts)
Fm is for local markets signal range on average is a 60-mile radius
Web radio allows local content to be distributed globally (late 1990s)
Pay radio satellite services (Sirus XM)
Still decent in strength but now competing against iPod and internet stations
VHF signals are similar to FM need relay stations to extend their signal outward about 100 miles
UHF signals are weaker than VHF signals even though they require more power for the broadcast signal
2018: 4,800 AM radio stations; 6500 commercial FM stations 1380 VHF and UHF stations in the US
Basic operations and Spectrum
Basic operations –success of TV and Radio measured by ratings points
Ratings:
Nielsen – Television Arbitron – Radio
Sweeps months: November February May and July –they determine advertising rates for local stations
Advertising central to the success of all publications
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Publishing is sensitive to economic conditions
Publishing profits can be impacted by raw material and distribution costs changes
Costs of star writers can be very expensive
Book publishing accounts for 1/3 of industry revenues
The other two major sectors are
-
Education/professional
Trade (general interest)
Total revenues in 2018 were 33 billion
Book publishers
Contract with authors agents hire editor's, artwork designers, arrange: printing and distribution and
sales and marketing
The operational characteristics mirror film, tv, and music
Digital technology has upended everything
Educational and Professional
-
High operating margins
Significant barriers to entry
Colleges: Half of revenue
Primary and secondary other half of revenue
Demographic changes in schooling can be predicted about ten years in advance
-
Helps with forecasting demand for books etc
South and west: mostly the states purchase the educational materials
-
Determined by state boards of education/adoption
New threat: OER open education materials
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Free and on the internet (or a modest fee)
Students: more freedom in how they aquire the book
Trade
Costs to puplisher for publication of
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hardbound book: 2-3 dollars per unit
Paper titles: 1 dollar
Ebook: 10 cents
In 2018 e-books made up 13% of all trade sales with hardback 39% and paperback 34%
The trade market is “hit-driven” sometimes publishers subsidize retailer in-store promotions
About35% of profits come from older titles; 70% will not earn back monies advanced to authors
Self-publishing and distribution via online services has become less expensive and authors may retain up
to 70% of the online royalties from sales
Will publishers retain their literary gatekeeping function?
Consolidation:
mix major trade publishers account for 60% of books sold in the US
penguin/random house (25% alone)
Pressure on publishers’ margins have also been impacted by amazon, Walmart, target, and Costco. Also
the diminishing role of Barnes & Noble, loss of Borders, Etc.
At their peak the name of bookstore retailers sold 40% of adult titles
Downloads, in all forms have impacted pricing and profit
E-books may become more profitable than hardcovers
Traditional costs: printing shipment inventory carriage and returns are largely eliminated due to eBooks
New costs: digitization, computer servers, website development, and fraud, and privacy prevention
Tradeoffs for readers: old vs new.
In the us there are currently 1279 daily newspapers
Newsroom employment at us newspapers dropped by 51% between 2008 and 2019
Revenues for newspapers come from: advertising, subscriptions, and newsstand sales
-2/3’s content is advertising (80% of revenues)
Thus, newspapers/magazines are sensitive to economic conditions/local advertising is critical
Newspapers have become monopolies in their markets
Newspapers have perishable content/speed of delivery critical to success
-manufacturing and distribution costs higher
Operate in a two-sided market: they sell to advertisers and readers
Revenues: 80% from adv./20% forms of subscriptions a big shift occurring in retail—moving from print
advertising to electronic media [50%]
Classified advertising-tied to economy-also shifting
Digital revenues may not even make up 10% of total revenues. Print reading advertisers still important.
Physical paper subscription has significantly declined
Physical paper subscription has significantly declined while on-line subscriptions have become more
important
Household penetration of newspapers
-100% in 1970
-50% in 2000
The internet: news gathering/future advertising
Today in age category 18-34 only 25% read a physical hard copy paper
Revenue stabilization: paywalls—digital access fees
Magazines and other periodicals
Magazines: as of today—7357 in publication.
They count for about 1/6 of publishing revenues
Major categories:
Consumer and general interest
Trade and technical
Farm
Noncommercial literary
Comics
Magazines: costs = circulation/distribution/postage
-50% of revenues come from subscriptions
-paywalls becoming more important
-discounting on advertising involves the competition
Fewer magazines are now independent
It traditionally takes 5 years for a magazine to turn profitable
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