Draft Guidelines for Conducting Comprehensive Green Transition Assessment (WP1) Contents 1. The key objectives of WP1: ............................................................................................................. 2 2. Purpose of the guidelines ............................................................................................................... 3 3. Target audience ............................................................................................................................... 3 4. Green transition in the EU............................................................................................................... 3 5. WP1 methodology .......................................................................................................................... 4 6. 5.1. Time and work plan................................................................................................................. 4 5.2. Phase 1: Thematic CGT assessment ........................................................................................ 4 5.3. Phase 2: National CGT assessment ......................................................................................... 5 5.4. Phase 3: Regional CGTA report summary ............................................................................... 5 Terms of Content for Desktop Study (Phase 1 - Step 1): ............................................................... 5 6.1. Key thematic-related indicators, statistics, and trends ........................................................... 6 6.1.1. Targets and indicators ..................................................................................................... 6 6.1.2. Key Statistics.................................................................................................................... 6 6.2. Thematic area stakeholders mapping ..................................................................................... 7 6.3. Thematic area governance gap assessment (to be developed further) .................................. 8 6.4. Institutional effectiveness and efficiency ................................................................................ 8 6.5. Human resources and capacities ............................................................................................ 8 6.6. Crosscutting areas of the thematic area ................................................................................. 8 6.6.1. Finance for transition .......................................................................................................... 8 6.6.2. Social impacts and just transition ....................................................................................... 8 6.6.3. Digitalisation ....................................................................................................................... 8 6.6.4. R&D and innovation ............................................................................................................ 8 7. Stakeholder consultations ............................................................................................................... 8 8. Thematic CGTA finalisation ............................................................................................................. 8 9. National CGT Assessment ............................................................................................................... 8 10. Regional CGTA summary report preparation .................................................................................. 8 List of acronyms CC KTA CGTA CN CSO EC EGD EU FP GT GUMA KTA NC NIP NT R&D TL TC ToC WP 1 Cross-cutting - Key thematic area Comprehensive green transition assessment Climate neutrality Civil society organizations European Commission European Green Deal European Union Focal point Green transition Georgia, Ukraine, Moldova, Armenia Key thematic area National coordinator National implementing partner National Team Research and development Thematic Leads Thematic coordinators Table of content Work package 1 1. The key objectives of WP1: • • To assess the current situation, gaps, and opportunities from all project thematic areas (8 Key thematic areas (KTAs) and 5 Cross-cutting thematic areas (CC TAs)) To provide a baseline and starting points for Roadmap development (WP2) If to summarise into key questions or dimensions WP1, it would be: • • • What are the targets for each thematic area? (what are the ambitions and aims for each area in relation to green transition?) Who are the key stakeholders in the area (who they are? Stake from non-public actors? Who might be supporting and blocking green transition?) How well functioning are key and cross-cutting thematic areas? (to reach targets, there must be a sufficient and advanced legal basis, smart policy mix, and effective and efficient institutions behind with enough and capable staff) • • Key issues with EU approximation and future steps? What is the alignment with the European Green Deal? 2. Purpose of the guidelines CGTA requires conducting green transition assessment across 8 KTAs and 5 CC Tas (please see Figure 1), in four countries, by a mixed team of more than 30 international and national experts. Against this background, the guidelines provide unifying and generic assessment frameworks, so that the extent of the analysis and reporting of findings are standardized and comparable among the KTAs, and among the countries to the extent possible. Figure 1 Key thematic areas (KTAs) and Cross-cutting thematic areas (CC TAs) for green transition readiness assessment for GUMA countries 3. Target audience Key target audience for this guide are Thematic Leads (TLs), Thematic Coordinators (TCs) and Team experts (national and international) of 8 KTAs and 5 CC TAs. The TLs are expected to customize the generic assessment and reporting frameworks to suit their own KTA needs. The Cross-cutting thematic leads should use this guide to the degree that is possible. Otherwise, they should be customized to fit the needs of the overall WP1 aims (to provide situation, stakeholders, statistics and key gaps and opportunities of CCA in each KTA and generally). 4. Green transition in the EU Green transition refers to the overall economy’s shift from fossil-based energy production and consumption systems — including oil, natural gas, and coal — to renewable energy sources like wind, biomass, hydro and solar. The green transition in the EU is driven by European Gren Deal (EGD) initiative of the European Commission (EC). In the European Green Deal perspective, the term "green transition" signifies a comprehensive and ambitious strategy to transform the European Union (EU) into a more sustainable, environmentally friendly, and climate-neutral economy and society. This transition encompasses a wide spectrum of policies, initiatives, and actions to tackle urgent challenges related to climate change, environmental degradation, and sustainable development. At its core, the green transition commits the EU to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, effectively balancing greenhouse gas emissions with removals. This involves, among other significant emissions reductions across all sectors, a rapid expansion of renewable energy sources, enhanced energy efficiency, and the transition to a circular economy that emphasizes waste reduction and sustainable resource use. Moreover, it strongly focuses on biodiversity conservation, sustainable agriculture, clean mobility, green finance, social inclusivity through a "just transition," and ongoing innovation and research. 5. WP1 methodology 5.1. Time and work plan WP 1 will be conducted in three main phases and a number of steps (Please see Figure 2). Furthermore, there will be two rounds of stakeholder consultation and a few rounds of National Steering Committee meetings (NSC). NSC meetings will aim to assure ownership and approval of the process and findings by the national government representatives. Q4-2023 # Activities Expected outputs Q1-2024 Q2-2024 Phase 1: Thematic CGT Assessment Step 1 Desktop study Step 2 Stakeholder consultations Step 3 Thematic CGTA workshop Step 4 Thematic CGTA report finalization D1-8: 8 Thematic CGTA report D 8-12: 4 Cross-cutting CGTA reports Phase 2: National CGT Assessment Step 5 Experts national synthesis workshop (prioritization) Step 6 Preparation of first National CGTA report Step 7 Stakeholder consultations Step 8 National CGTA report finalization D13-16: 4 National CGTA reports Phase 3: Regional CGTA reports summary Step 9 Selected team will prepare regional summary report D 17: Regional CGTA report summary Stakeholder consutlations SH consultations Number of SH consultations National Steering Committee rounds NSC National Steering Committees Figure 2 WP 1 Implementation phases and steps 5.2. Phase 1: Thematic CGT assessment Objectives: • • • • Q3-2024 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep To identify what thematic targets and indicators are used To identify thematic area-related statistics (e.g. economic outputs, employment, emission etc.) To identify the key stakeholders in the thematic area for the project process (who are key decision makers, influencers, knowledge providers) and for Green transition (who might be supporting the green transition and who might be blocking) and who to consult in different stakeholder consultations (step 2 or step 7). On EGD thematic level to assess how well functioning the areas are and what are the critical gaps and opportunities • • To identify critical gaps in EU approximation work To assess the alignment with the European Green Deal framework (targets and indicators) Deliverables (per country): • • 8 Key thematic areas reports, with emphasis on: o TA targets and indicators and relevant statistics o Key gaps and recommendations in legal, policy, institutional, HR and capacity part o Key gaps in the EU approximation process o Alignment of EGD and national policies and future opportunities and needs o 4 chapters on 4 Cross-cutting areas and their gap analysis in TA Four crosscutting thematic areas reports summarising the situation, gaps and opportunities for the future within each area for green transition 5.3. Phase 2: National CGT assessment Objectives: • • • • • • To prioritize thematic areas in accordance to its importance and influence for the green transition To score all thematic areas in how well or not well they are doing (key gaps and opportunities) To identify overarching and crosscutting key areas that need to be addressed (e.g. finances, capacity, institutional efficiency..) To present To present national alignment with To present it in a way so that it can be used as a baseline for Roadmap work Deliverables (per country): • One National CGTA report, with emphasis on o Prioritised key and crosscutting thematic areas o Key priority gaps and opportunities o Overarching issues o Alignment with EGD 5.4. Phase 3: Regional CGTA report summary Objectives: • To showcase how the region of GUMA countries as a hole is doing when it comes to readiness for Green Transition and Climate neutrality Deliverable: • One Regional CGTA summary report 6. Terms of Content for Desktop Study (Phase 1 - Step 1): The parts below will be the key areas of assessment and data collection. The structure below will be the structure of the desktop study (Step 1). After the desktop study is finished, stakeholder consultations (Step 2) will be conducted. And after the inputs from stakeholder consultation, the finalization of the thematic area CGTA report will be done (Step 4). 1. Key thematic-related indicators, statistics, and trends 2. Thematic area stakeholders mapping1 3. Thematic area governance2 gap assessment a. Legal and policy framework i. General ii. EU approximation gap assessment (from a thematic area point of view) iii. European Green Deal alignment assessment b. Institutional effectiveness and efficiency c. Human resources and capacities 4. Crosscutting areas of the thematic area a. Transitional finance b. Social impacts and just transition c. Digitalisation d. R&D and innovation 6.1. Key thematic-related indicators, statistics, and trends This part aims to showcase the current ambitions (targets) in the area and how (targets) they aim to achieve that. Furthermore, we want to understand the importance and influence of each thematic area through key statistics. 6.1.1. Targets and indicators How to do it? • • Collect all available thematic area-related strategic and planning documents (e.g. National Energy Plan 2030, National Development Strategy 2030, National Energy and Climate plans Assess them and identify key agreed targets and indicators guiding thematic area What should be the output: A short few-page summary of key indicators and targets 6.1.2. Key Statistics How to do it? 1 Stakeholders include public institutions (National, regional, local), businesses, academia, Civil Society organisations, individuals, media, political leaders, groups and other organisations who will be impacted by the GT, or who could influence the outcome of GT. 2 Governance relates to the political and institutional processes and outcomes that are necessary to achieve the goals of GT. Governance structure refers to the framework of legal rules, procedures, roles, and the division of responsibilities within the whole decision-making process for implementing GT, from national to local levels. i. Collect all key relevant and available statistics in relation to the thematic area (for at least the last 5 years): a. Emissions in the thematic area b. Energy usage/consumption in the thematic area c. Employment d. GDP input e. Natural resource use f. ..?? What should be the output: A short few-page summary of key thematic area related statistics Example for indicators and targets Relevant Statistics/indicators Aggregated GHG Emissions in the thematic area Primary energy consumption Employment rate GDP contribution Percentage of natural resource use 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Comments 6.2. Thematic area stakeholders mapping The aim here is to identify the key stakeholders of the thematic area (Public institutions, private sector, academia, Civil Society Organizations, International actors and others) to: • • • Understand who are the key stakeholders for the GUMA project and Green Transition To identify key stakeholder groups to be consulted during Step 2 and or Step 7 (consultation stage) Understand which stakeholder groups might be supporting and who might be hindering the green transition process (stakeholders who might not need to be consulted but who should be taken into consideration when planning the Roadmaps (WP2) How to do it? Please use the stakeholder mapping tool provided in Annex 1 and the guidance on excel tool in Annex 2. Each team should fill in Annex 1 in relation to its specific thematic area. What should be the output: A short few-page summary (internal) with: • • Key stakeholders (influence and interest) critical for green transition from different sectors List of stakeholder groups/names for stakeholder consultations (Step 2 and or Step 7) • • Groups of stakeholders who could be championing green transition Groups of stakeholders who could be blocking the transition 6.3. Thematic area governance gap assessment (to be developed further) a. b. c. d. Legal framework Policy Framework (including EU approx. and EGD alignment) Institutions HR and Capacity To start with: i. Start with the collection/mapping of: a. Legal framework for the thematic area b. Policies that guide thematic area c. Institutional mapping (focusing on what institutions perform which functions) Further desktop study info Information below is being finalised and will be shared soon 6.4. Institutional effectiveness and efficiency 6.5. Human resources and capacities 6.6. Crosscutting areas of the thematic area 6.6.1. Finance for transition 6.6.2. Social impacts and just transition 6.6.3. Digitalisation 6.6.4. R&D and innovation 7. Stakeholder consultations 8. Thematic CGTA finalisation 9. National CGT Assessment 10. Regional CGTA summary report preparation