Idea Generation for Entrepreneurs Stephen Daze Dom Herrick Entrepreneur in Residence and Visiting Professor uOttawa, Telfer School of Management https://pmfshow.buzzsprout.com/1889238/9572245-how-to-come-up-with-an-idea-mallorie-brodiefounder-of-bridgit and https://mistral.vc/the-product-market-fit-show/episodes/how-to-come-up-with-anidea-bridgit Fundamental Premise “ Entrepreneurship is neither a science nor an art. It’s a practice. - Peter Drucker ” Generating business ideas is nothing more then practice surrounded by some core principles. Ideas and their Value Ideas don’t determine success – executing on the idea does. There are 8 Billion people in the world, someone else already has the idea – some are ahead of you, some behind you and some at the same stage. 4 Ideas and their Value Usually not shared enough out of fear. 1. Idea will be stolen. - Are infrequently stolen; but could be stolen at any time. - Ideas can’t be “protected” – if they could, there’d only be one of everything. - You give up a lot by not talking to people about your idea. Think of the risk involved in driving, or flying vs. what you’d give up by being “safe.” - There are 8 Billion people in the world.. 2. Someone will judge me. - Good, this is helpful - feedback is good! 5 Foundation Elements of Entrepreneurial Idea Seeking Job/Hobby/Great Business Idea Interest: - Excited - Stay awake - Want to learn - Passionate - Want to help Great Business Idea! Personal Assets: - Network - Expertise - Resources Opportunity: - Gap/need - Customers - Economics ($) 6 Start with a Problem, Not a Solution 7 Based on the work of Gary G. Schoeniger, The Entrepreneurial Learning Initiative Entrepreneurial Skills Problem identification skills - empathy and engagement - observation and associational thinking - curiosity and inquiry Problem solving skills - creativity and innovation - critical thinking - experimentation mindset - collaboration and teamwork - adapting and improvising - networking - communication - resourcefulness Self direction - internal locus of control (confidence and esteem) - ambiguity tolerant 8 1 Idea Generation Principles Idea Generation Principles A Good Business Ideas Generate Enough Revenue. They have a value proposition for a critical mass of addressable customers. Value Proposition 1. There is enough pain for someone to pay for a solution; and, 2. Relative to competition. Critical Mass Big enough market to matter: to make money and to allow for pivots when your first idea doesn’t work! Addressable I can reach them with my revenues greater than expenses. 10 Idea Generation Principles B Ideas evolve over time or start as mistakes Ideas don’t come out fully formed, they only become clear as you work on them. You just have to get started. Mark Zuckerberg 11 Idea Generation Principles B Ideas evolve over time or start as mistakes Ideas evolve over time Start as mistakes (eg. Facebook, Blackberry) (eg. 3M Sticky Notes.) 12 Idea Generation Principles IKEA- Ingvar Kamprad founded IKEA in 1943 at his Uncle Ernst’s kitchen table. IKEA was basically an acronym of his name Ingvar Kamprad and Elmtaryd, his family farm and the village Agunnaryd. At first the business was typically mail-order and included only small household goods such as picture frames, wallets, nylon stockings, pens and wallets. 13 Idea Generation Principles Nintendo: The Nintendo Corporation’s domination of the gaming industry didn’t start with their first video game console. They have actually established themselves 70 years before the first video game came to life, in the 19th century when they brought back the popularity of card games to Japan. A new card game, Hanafuda, was invented, by Fusajiro Yamauchi (Nintendo founder) which used images instead of numbers, making it difficult for gambling. 14 Idea Generation Principles Netflix : The genesis of Netflix came in 1997 when I got this late fee, about $40, for Apollo 13. I remember the fee because I was embarrassed about it. That was back in the VHS days, and it got me thinking that there's a big market out there. So I started to investigate the idea of how to create a movie-rental business by mail. I didn't know about DVDs, and then a friend of mine told me they were coming. I ran out to Tower Records in Santa Cruz, Calif., and mailed CDs to myself, just a disc in an envelope. It was a long 24 hours until the mail arrived back at my house, and I ripped them open and they were all in great shape. That was the big excitement point. 16 Idea Generation Principles C Ideas can come from anywhere, most often we see good business ideas starting with one (or more) of the following: Personal Pain I have a problem that needs solving. 1.7m merchants 170 countries $1.2B Revenue 17 Idea Generation Principles C Ideas can come from anywhere, most often we see good business ideas starting with one (or more) of the following: Market Gap A critical mass of customers are looking for solution. 18 Idea Generation Principles C Ideas can come from anywhere, most often we see good business ideas starting with one (or more) of the following: Interest I love this so much, I can see myself working on it 24/7. 19 Idea Generation Principles C Ideas can come from anywhere, most often we see good business ideas starting with one (or more) of the following: Insight I understand the industry and see where it is going. $4B Revenue 1998 2020 20 Idea Generation Principles D Ideas are truly innovative when you invent brand new solutions and industries rather than make an existing one a bit better. Guy Kawasaki: “Jump the innovation curve.” Guy Kawasaki on Innovation (4:14 – 6:47): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mtjatz9r-Vc 21 Idea Generation Principles The best business ideas satisfy most (or all) conditions - If your current idea doesn’t, look to evolve it sufficiently such that it does. Good Business Ideas Necessary conditions: a. Can make money (or not lose it): has value (value proposition) to a critical mass of addressable customers. And b. Evolve over time. c. Usually start with one or a combination of: o Personal pain (I have a problem that needs solving.) o Market gap/need (Others will pay for a solution.) o Interest (I can see myself doing this 24/7.) o Insight (I understand the industry and the trends.) d. Jump the innovation curve. 22 Idea Generation Principles The best business ideas satisfy most (or all) conditions - If your current idea doesn’t, look to evolve it sufficiently such that it does. Good Business Ideas Necessary conditions: Can make money (or not lose it): has value (value proposition) to a critical mass of addressable customers. And Evolve over time. Usually start with one or a combination of: o Personal pain (I have a problem that needs solving.) o Market gap/need (Others will pay for a solution.) o Interest (I can see myself doing this 24/7.) o Insight (I understand the industry and the trends.) Jump the innovation curve. 23 2 Other Considerations Other Considerations Expanded Thinking: Business Opportunities What are the businesses associated with coffee? 25 Any more? Coffee Marketing Chain Production Initial processing Smallholder Medium-sized farmers Collection Trader Initial processing (wet) Manufacturer Assembling Curing (hulling, grading) Intermediation Trader/Agent Cooperative union Manufacturer Auction/Brokers Shipping Roasting Distribution Consumption Large farms and estates Exporters Domestic roasters Wholesalers and retailers Domestic consumer Importing consumer Other Considerations Design vs. User Experience 28 Other Considerations Opportunity Recognition and Leveraging One's Experience https://ecorner.stanford.edu/videos/opportunity-recognition-and-leveraging-ones-experience/ 29 Other Considerations Think big, start small Successful companies often start with executing very well on an initial concept that is the beginning to a much bigger offering. 30 Other Considerations Innovative Ideas with the User in Mind (4:40 – 6:55) https://www.ted.com/talks/steven_johnson_where_good_ideas_come_from#t-257714 31 3 Idea Assessment 32 Idea Assessment Considerations 1 Idea • What is the problem hypothesis? Why is it a problem? • Are there potential solutions (v.1)? • What’s compelling about this idea for you? • What “assets” can you mobilize to help you? 33 Idea Assessment Considerations 2 Market • Who specifically has this problem? Do they hold the budget to pay for a solution? If not, who does? • What is the size of that market? • What does the competitive landscape look like? • What would a sale look like – ie how would it work? • Do you have any advantage? 34 Idea Assessment Considerations 3 Any Big Issues • What key resources are required? • What are the rules? Regulations? • Any big logistical issues? • What risks: economic, political etc? • Any big concerns? 35 Idea Assessment Considerations 4 Revenue Model • Who pays you; how do you get paid; how do you make money? • What are the big fixed costs? What are the incremental costs each time your produce one? • What is your pricing plan? • Do you have any advantage? 36 Generating Ideas 37 Start with a Problem, Not a Solution 38 Exercise PART 1 1 Generating business idea. They don’t have to be good. 39 So, Start with Problem Seeking 1. List customer segments (groups of people) you belong to: A. Old guy B. University employee 2. Pick industries you know something about, or are connected to: A. Consulting B. Teaching C. Coffee 3. List things you are passionate about: A. Music B. Basketball C. Entrepreneurship 40 4. For each of the three, list three possible problems that each of these groups are having. Don’t consider solutions yet. - Teaching: 1. hard to network with like minded peers; 2. hard to find most up to date methods; 3. dislike marking - University employee: 1. don’t have access to food options at south end of campus; 2…; 3.. - Music lovers: 1. may not see when relevant concerts are coming to their city; 2…; 3… 41 5. From the 9 problems, think about the possible ways to solve this problem. Don’t consider the details of possible solutions, just the broad opportunity to solve that problem. eg> how can I determine that enough people want new food options at the south end of campus – not: provide food options at the south end of campus not: food truck, food delivery, Thai food restaurant etc. 42 6. Now that you have 9 possible business ideas, find the one that fits the following models best: 43 Ideation and Creativity Group PART 2 2 Everyone share your idea and talk about how it satisfies the conditions. 3 Take note of +/- and indirect feedback. 4 Prepare to share your idea and or learnings from sharing. 44 Pitching Your Idea (vs your business) Cover off: - Problem/gap hypothesis - Assumed market - Assumed solution - Revenue model University professors don’t have easy access to caffeinated beverages during their lectures so we believe we could provide a delivery service using existing coffee providers on campus and students looking to earn extra cash by making deliveries. We’ll make money from service fees using a subscription revenue model. Or..once you know what you are actually offering to whom: “My company, _(insert name)_, is developing _(a defined offering)_ to help _(a defined audience)_ _(solve a problem)_ with _(secret sauce)_”. 45 Volunteers? (Does anyone want to share their idea to try to build a team for this class?) 46 Questions? 47