Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 UCI Research Analysis Summary/Overview UCI through its operations has been able to win over customers and make sales. This has resulted in a well-performing organization. One thing UCI has not focused on is on getting to know their customers and store visitors. If they can identify the people attracted to their store, they will be better prepared to adjust their marketing strategies as well as pricing and optimize their performance. UCI is willing to undergo the task of learning about their store visitors and we are here to help. Problem/Research Question Proper customer and market knowledge is necessary to develop successful products, marketing campaigns, and pricing strategies. Without the knowledge of these important factors, organizations will make decisions without a clear direction. Since UCI does not have knowledge of the type of people that visit their store most of the marketing efforts and pricing have been carried on from a blind perspective. UCI needs an in-depth understanding of who their clients are to better market and price their products. The research identified the type of people that visit UCI’s stores based on a 16-question survey. The survey responses produced data to help classify the type of people that visit the UCI stores. This data will then allow UCI to create more accurate marketing materials, better price their products, and provide information for expanding bicycle riding globally. The objective of this study is to collect data about cycling store visitors and develop a demographical, geographical, and psychological profile through analysis of the collected data. From there, relationships between factors will be discovered and communicated to UCI. These relationships will allow us to discover UCI’s target customers which then can be continued to be targeted or chosen to pursue new customers. The main variable that we believe has a strong relationship is income level and the bicycle price purchased. Hypothesis Alternative Hypothesis: There is a relationship between income and sales of bikes. Null Hypothesis: There is not relationship between income and sales of bikes. Alternative Hypothesis: b1 ≠ 0 Null Hypothesis: b1 = 0 Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 Background/Literature Review Because of the considerable time that has passed since the bicycle was invented and its global success there is a good amount of research on the bicycle market from different country perspectives. R. Petty has an older study that investigates the Schwinn market in America post World War 2. It focuses on the state of the market in1930’s, 40’s, and 50’s. Imported bikes were in demand and to counteract that the United States market promoted lowering of costs through modernization of production. The study also sheds light on Schwinn’s distribution and branding strategies which in this modern time we can learn from. The Italian bicycle brand Bianci has also been dissected and studied for its marketing practices and approaches shedding some light on potential ideas that can be implemented by UCI. More recently C. Zhao conducted a study on bike-forward planning and attitudes in Beijing and Copenhagen and saw a great positive push from city planners on implementing bike-friendly city designs in Copenhagen. Beijing citizens saw the city as too big to utilize bicycles as transportation and inferior to public transportation. Research Design/Methodology The research consisted of data collection from store visitors inform of an in person digital survey conducted by field workers. Data from these surveys was then added to spreadsheets to be cleaned and prepared for analysis. From there, a linear regression between income and sales was executed. Through observation and graphs and charts, patterns in data were discovered and income level showed to influence whether the visitor purchased a bicycle and the price of the bike. The linear regression is going to allow us to see the relationship between these variables and be useful to predict sales according to income. Sampling/Data Collection We used the systematic sampling method. Systematic sampling will allow us to collect data in a randomized manner to ensure we reduce the introduction of bias. We surveyed 50% of the store’s visitors for a week. Different stores throughout the world were chosen. The field worker asked every other visitor of the store to fill in the survey. The interview would entail asking the respondents to answer the 6 questions stated above. The questions and the way they are asked will result in short and concise answers that are easy to record and won’t be cumbersome to the participants. The fieldworkers will be instructed to be courteous and professional and keep a consistent method of executing the surveys with everyone. The data that we gathered describes the visitors to the store. The respondents were asked to answer in a few short words that capture their ideas. Responses for every sixteen questions were collected per survey. We used iPads for the distribution of digital surveys to store visitors. We provide the fieldworkers with badges to foster credibility and made sure they wore the appropriate attire. After all the data was collected in each store the data was cleaned and organized on a spreadsheet. The spreadsheet was organized by respondents and will include the 16 responses. Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 Data Description The entire data set includes survey responses from 514 different people. Each individual has 16 variables to it. These variables include marital status, gender, children, homeowner, education, occupation, cars, commute region, age, bike ownership, income, bike price, model of interest, and if they purchased. The variables we focused on were income and bike price while filtering with purchase status and age. Bike price was our dependent and income was the independent variable. The data was organized and cleaned and analyzed in Excel and Tableau was used for further analysis and data visualization. Exhibit 1 Exhibit 2 Here we have two exhibits. These graphs and charts help understand the data and get to know the visitors and customers of UCI. Exhibit 1 shows the price range of bikes and the preference of the customers. The 1,000 - 2,000 range was highly preferred by visitors of the stores. We can also see that the majority of the store visitors come from North America, followed by Europe, followed by the Pacific. Lastly, exhibit 1 shows us the number of visitors categorized by their income. The most common visitor income is 40,000 next is 60,000, and third is 70,000. Exhibit 2 illustrates purchaser data. This data can be of great use to UCI. The most common purchaser income amounts were 40,000, 60,000, and 30,000 in that order. Next, Exhibit 2 shows the percentages of male and female purchasers. Lastly, the age range percentages of the purchasers are illustrated. Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 Exhibit 3 Exhibit 3 includes descriptive statistics for the data utilized. The mean is extremely useful for seeing the average for the 4 variables. We are able to see that the average age of the visitors is 25 years old’s. This can highlight the main target customer. UCI can then decide to focus on this age range or develop other markets. Another important descriptive statistic is the mean bike price. The mean bike price is 2,904.09. Data Processing and Analysis The statistical process used to analyze the data was linear regression. A UCI’s goal is to obtain insight from the data and discover relationships as well as use the data to create predictions linear regression is the most appropriate. The two software used were Excel and Tableau and all of this was run on a Mac laptop. There were plenty of missing data points discovered within the data set during cleaning and preparation. To address this, a N/A category was added to gender to account for individuals not wanting to share this information, for missing income figures average income for their profession was imputed, and pairwise deletion for the children category would be utilized when analyzing to ensure retainment of maximum data. Exhibit 4 Exhibit 5 Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 statistical model After visual analysis of the scatter plot and trend line, and review of the linear regression and ANOVA stats we can see no real relationship between these two variables. The slope is not exactly 0 but it is close enough at -.0006265. To add to this, the ANOVA calculated a significance of .6952 which is not lower than the set alpha at .05 resulting in a non-significant model. Conclusions In conclusion, there is no significant relationship between income level and the price of bikes purchased. Individuals with higher incomes do not buy more expensive bicycles and individuals with lower incomes don’t buy lower-priced bicycles. Bicycle prices are distributed all over the range within each income level, but you can see favoring around the average price of 2,444 throughout the income levels. This goes against our original beliefs and that has something to do with the bias brought into the study. The belief that individuals with more income would buy more expensive bicycles is not true. A limitation of this study is that UCI stores are only located in North America, Europe, so these spending habits might not be true in other regions. Even though this specific analysis did not result in significant variable relationship other insights are observable from the data. Thanks to the data set developed during this research we can continue looking at other variables for relationships. Jose Garcia QUMT 6310 References 1. Laird, P. W. (2012). <I>peddling bicycles to America: The rise of an industry</i> (review). Technology and Culture, 53(2), 505–507. https://doi.org/10.1353/tech.2012.0052 2. Mari, C. (2015), "Putting the Italians on bicycles: marketing at Bianchi, 1885-1955", Journal of Historical Research in Marketing, Vol. 7 No. 1, pp. 133-158. https://doi.org/10.1108/JHRM-07-2013-0049 3. Petty, R. (2007, May). Peddling Schwinn Bicycles: Marketing Lessons from the Leading Post-WWII US Bicycle Brand. In Proceedings of the Conference on Historical Analysis and Research in Marketing (Vol. 13, pp. 162-171). 4. Zhao, C., Carstensen, T. A., Nielsen, T. A., & Olafsson, A. S. (2018). Bicyclefriendly infrastructure planning in Beijing and Copenhagen - between adapting design solutions and learning local planning cultures. Journal of Transport Geography, 68, 149– 159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.03.003