Grade 10 (Statistics and Probability) 1st Classroom Observation “Dependent and Independent Events” CONTENT STANDARD: The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of combinatory and probability. PERFORMANCE STANDARD: The learners are able to use precise counting technique and probability in formulating conclusions and making decisions. LEARNING COMPETENCY: The learners are able solves problems involving probability. (M10SP-IIIi-j-1) I. OBJECTIVES/TARGET OF THE LESSON At the end of the lesson, the learners are expected to: 1. differentiate dependent from independent events, 2. solve the probability of dependent and independent events; and 3. cite a significant application of computing the probability of dependent and independent events in real life. II. SUBJECT MATTER/CONTENT AND MATERIALS Topic: Dependent and Independent Events Learning resources: A. References: Grade 10 Mathematics Teacher’s Guide, pp. 296 - 300 Grade 10 Mathematics Learner’s Module, pp. 341 - 345 Exploring Mathematics 10 by Baccay, Elisa S., et.al., pp. 333–338 B. Other Learning Resources: www.tutorVista.com C. Pre-requisite concept: Mutually and non-mutually exclusive events D. Instructional Materials: Blackboard, Chalk, Enlarged Images/visual Aids, Activity Sheet, Rubric, Calculator and Peso Coins. E. Skills to Develop: Knowing and Understanding, computing and solving, applying and connecting. F. Values Integration: Accuracy, objectivity, and perseverance, honesty. G. Subjects to be integrated: English, Filipino, P.E., ESP H. Math Concepts: The study of probability mostly deals with combining different events and studying these events alongside with each other. How these different events relate to each other determines the methods and rules to follow when we’re studying their probabilities. Events can be divided into two major categories, dependent and independent events. Independent Events – the occurrence of one of the events gives us no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that is, the events have no influence on each other. Dependent Events – when the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another event or the probability of one event occurring influences the likelihood of the other event. I. Methodology: 7 E’s of Learning (Elicit, Engage, Explore, Explain, Elaborate, Evaluate, Extend) III. PROCEDURE Time Frame 5 mins Teacher’s Hint Teacher’s Activity Instructional Materials Student’s Activity A. Preliminary Activities 1. Greetings Good afternoon class! Good afternoon sir! 2. Prayer May I request everyone to please (the students will pray the stand and let us pray. interfaith prayer) 3. Securing the cleanliness and orderliness of the classroom Before you take your seat, please (students will arrange their chairs arrange your chairs properly and and will pick-up all the pieces of pick-up all the pieces of paper paper) under your chair. 4. Checking the Class joyful, kindly checks the (class joyful will check attendance attendance of your classmate. attendance of the class) 5. House Rules the Glad to hear that that only few are absent! May I remind everyone of the things we need to remember during our MATH Time. Maintain proper behavior. Actively participate. Time conscious. Help others; ask for Help. COT Indicator No. 5: Managed learner behavior constructively by applying positive and nonviolent discipline to ensure learning-focused environments. Annotation: The teacher imposed house rules “MATH” before the start of the new lesson which will be followed by the students throughout the whole period for the smooth flow of the discussion. ELICIT 5 mins Checking of assignment Let us check the assignment (the students will exchange their assignment) Enlarged You randomly choose a card from a standard deck of 52 playing cards, find the probability of getting: 1. a 9 or a king 2. an ace or a spade 3. a face card or a diamond 4. a jack or a queen 5. a face card or a black card 2 mins Images/ visual Aids 1. 2/13 2. 4/13 3. 11/26 4. 2/13 5. 8/13 Recall/Review Last meeting, we tackled about, mutually and non-mutually exclusive events. So, who can recall what mutually Sir! Two events A and B are said exclusive event is? to be mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time. That’s right! We said that the two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time. Or we can also said that this events are disjoint which means that the probability of them both occurring at the same time is 0. Say for example, Neric will going forward and backward. The first thing he can do is to move forward first or to move backward. He can’t do both at the same time. How about the non-mutually Sir! Non-mutually exclusive exclusive events? events, if two events A and B can occur on the same time Excellent! Non-mutually exclusive events are events that can both be true at the same time. Or we can say that it is the opposite of mutually exclusive events. For example, Neric will move forward while laughing. Moving forward and laughing happened at the same time. So, that’s a nonmutually exclusive event because both events can be true. How can you solve for the probability of the mutually exclusive events? If two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive, then the probability that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities. In symbols, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) How about for the non-mutually If two events, A and B, are exclusive events? not mutually exclusive, then the probability that either A or B occurs is the sum of their probabilities decreased by the probability of both occurring. In symbols, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) Good job class! It seems that you are now ready for our next lesson. 7mins ENGAGE But, before that let’s have first a game. Our game is called, “Tails Never Fails” On this game, your luck and honesty will be tested. So to guide you in playing this game, here are the following mechanics: MECHANICS 1. The teacher will choose 15 (The students will listen to the Peso participants to join the game. teacher as he reads the coins Others will observe the game. mechanics of the game) 2. All participants will form one big circle. 3. Each participant will get one peso coin and sit like Indian style on the floor. 4. On a count of three, all participants will flip their coin in a moderate level. 5. A participant/s that landed their coin head will be eliminated and those who landed tail will remain on the game. 6. The process of the game will continue until there’s only five or less participants remain. 7. Those who remain on the game will be the winner and will gain a prize. Are you ready class? Yes sir! Let the game begins! (the students will play the game ) How did you find our game class? (students will answer) What do you think is the chance that the coin will landed tail? It’s ½ or 50% sir because there’s only two possible outcomes. Very good! Head or tail COT Indicator No. 1: Applied knowledge of content within and across curriculum teaching areas. Annotation: The teacher integrate game which is a part of the physical education concept and also apply the virtue of honesty in the ESP in conducting the activity. 12 mins. B. Lesson Proper 1. Presentation of the lesson In the game, all of you flipped a Yes sir! coin right? Among of you, who only flipped their coin twice? So, on your first attempt in flipping a coin, you got tail right? (the students who only flipped their coin twice will raise their hand) Yes sir! When you flipped your coin on the No sir. Because when you flipped second time, does the result affect a coin, the possible result can by the outcome on the first? either be head or tail. Very Good! On the game we conducted, the first round of our game consists of 15 participants. On the second round, how many students remained? Only 10 students remained. And on the third round, only five Yes sir! students remained on the game and declared to be the winners right? In every round, does the chance that Dustine will be one of the five students who remained on the game will be affected? Okay, based on the observation of Sir, it is all about Independent the game you played, What do you and Dependent Events think is our lesson for today? Discussion Correct! The events are independent if the occurrence of one of the events gives us no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that is, the events have no influence on each other. While, when the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another event, then, they are dependent events. Okay, I will give situations and you are going to tell whether it is independent or dependent events. Are you ready? Yes, sir! Who has an idea of what is the difference between independent and dependent events? 1. Flipping a coin and rolling a die 2. Reading books and Increasing of English vocabulary 3. Drawing 2 red cards without replacement of the first card 4. Drawing 2 face card with replacement of the first card 5. Eating healthy foods and washing clothes 1. Independent events 2. Dependent events Enlarged Images/ visual Aids Enlarged Images/ visual Aids 3. Dependent events 4. Independent events 5. Independent events Very Good! Who can recall about conjunction in your English class? There are 7 coordinating conjunctions and you can remembered using the acronym FANBOYS. (for, and, nor, but, or, yet, so). In your Filipino, it is called pangatnig/pang-ugnay. A conjunction is a word used to connect words, phrases and clauses. As you observe class, the conjunction that is used in the independent and dependent event is “AND” while in our previous lesson about mutually and not mutually exclusive events, the conjunction was “OR” Yes, sir! Agree? Now, how we will be able to find the probability of Independent events? If two events, A and B, are independent, then the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the probability of B. In symbols, P (A and B) = P (A) • P (B) If two events, A and B, are Enlarged Images/ visual Aids How about the probability of dependent events? For Example, dependent, then the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probability of A and the probability of B after A occurs. In symbols, P (A and B) = P (A) • P (B following A) Let us try to find the probability of the given problem below: A jar of marbles contains 4 blue marbles, 5 red marbles, 3 green marble, and 2 black marbles. A marble is chosen at random from the jar. After replacing it, a second marble is chosen. Find the probability of drawing green and red marbles. How about if there is no replacement of the first marble, what is the probability of drawing both green marbles? P(green and red marbles) = P(green marbles) • P(red marbles) = 3/14 • 5/14 = 15/196 Enlarged Images/ visual Aids P(green and green marbles) = P(green marbles) • P(green/green marbles) = 3/14 • 2/13 = 6/182 or 3/91 Do you have any question about dependent and independent events? Superb! It seems that you really understand the concept of dependent and independent events. COT Indicator No. 1: Applied knowledge of content within and across curriculum teaching areas. Annotation: The teacher applies English & Filipino lessons in introducing the lesson. COT Indicator No. 3: Applied a range of teaching strategies to develop critical and creative thinking, as well as other higherorder thinking skills. Annotation: The teacher asked HOTS questions in the lesson part from the presentation of the lesson to the discussion like “HOW” 10 mins. EXPLORE a. Pre-activity For your activity, I will divide you into three groups. You will count 1 – 4. (the student will do the task) Those who had the same number belong to the same group. Each group will be given an activity sheet. It contains tasks to be done by the group. I will give you Activity sheet 5minutes to finish the task. You need to choose a leader and a member. The chosen member will be the in-charge of writing your solutions on the board. The leader will act as the group facilitator and at the same time the one who will explain your output. Rubric Here are the rubrics in grading your group output: CRITERIA: Accuracy – 4 Cooperation – 2 Time Management – 2 Presentation – 2 TOTAL: 10 POINTS Are you now ready to perform the group activity? Yes sir! Okay, your time start now! b. Activity proper Group 1: (the students will do Consider a box that contains 14 activity) red balls,12 blue balls, and 9 yellow balls. A ball is drawn at random and the color is noted and then put back inside the box. Then, another ball is drawn at P(blue and blue balls) random. Find the probability that: = 12/35 • 12/35 = 144/1225 both are blue the Group 2: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls,12 blue balls, and 9 yellow balls. A ball is drawn at random and the color is noted and then put back inside the box. P(red and yellow balls) Then, another ball is drawn at = 14/35 • 9/35 random. Find the probability that: = 126/1225 or 18/175 the first is red and the second is yellow Group 3: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, 9 yellow balls. Suppose that two balls are drawn one after the other without putting back the first ball. Find the probability that: both are blue Group 4: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, 9 yellow balls. Suppose that two balls are drawn one after the other without putting back the first ball. Find the probability that: the first is red and the second is yellow COT Indicator No. 4: Managed classroom structure to engage learners, individually or in P(blue and blue balls) = 12/35 • 11/34 = 132/1190 or 66/595 P(red and yellow balls) = 14/35 • 9/34 = 126/1190 or 9/85 groups, in meaningful exploration, discovery and hands-on activities within a range of physical learning environment. 5 mins. EXPLAIN c. Post activity Annotation: In performing the activity, the teacher will monitor the behavior of the learners towards their fellow group mates and ensure that the instructions and the criteria in the rubrics are strictly follow. So now, each representative on (each representative will present each group will now present their their output) output. The teacher will supplement/ explain further the presentation of the students. Bravo class! You all did presentation. an excellent All group performed well in the activity. Give yourself a round of applause! (students will clap their hands) In your activity, how did you We base from the definition of and independent determine whether the given dependent scenario is dependent or events sir. independent events? Good job! Based from the definition of dependent and independent events, you can easily determine whether an event is dependent or independent. How about in computing the Sir, we just follow the formula for probability of dependent and computing the probability of dependent and independent independent events? events. Just multiply the event of first and second for independent. Magnificent! COT Indicator No. 2: Used ranged of teaching strategies that enhance learner achievement in literacy and numeracy skills. Annotation: The teacher utilized varied teaching strategies in teaching the concepts to enhance the literacy and numeracy skills of the learners like inductive, the use of game, discovery, cooperative learning, problem solving and discussion. And for dependent events, multiply the events of the first to the event of the second after the first event occur. 3 mins ELABORATE Again class, what is the difference The events are independent if between independent and the occurrence of one of the dependent events? events gives us no information about whether or not the other event will occur; that is, the events have no influence on each other. While, when the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another event, then, they are dependent events. That’s right! Independent events are the opposite of dependent events. So, what is the basis for Sir, if the given problem has an determining whether events are statement of “replaced” then it is dependent or independent? independent, but if it has “did not replaced” then it is dependent. Very good! 5 mins APPLY The word “replaced” and “did not replaced can be the hint to determine the dependent and independent events. So, how would you use the concept For example sir, you join a raffle of probability of dependent and draw. We can know our chances independent events in real life? of winning on the raffle draw by applying the concept of dependent events. That’s right! We can determine the probability of winning the raffle draw by applying the concept of our topic this day. So who can solve this problem? (students will answer) A random sample of parts coming off a machine is done by an inspector. He found that 5 out of 100 parts are bad on average. If he were to do a new sample, what is P(bad part & bad part)=P(bad the probability that he picks a bad part)*P(bad part / bad part) part and then, picks another bad =5/100x4/99 part if he doesn’t replace the first? = 1/495 Excellent class! It seems that you really understand our topic this afternoon. COT Indicator No. 6: Used differentiated, developmentally appropriate learning experiences to address learners’ gender, needs, strengths, interests and experiences. Annotation: The teacher utilized varied teaching in every part of the lesson like inductive, the use of game, discovery, cooperative learning, problem solving and discussion to address learners’ gender, needs, strengths, interests and experiences IV. EVALUATE: Directions: Distinguish the following events if it is a dependent event or an independent event. Write DE if the event is a dependent, and IE if the events are independent. _________1. Turning off the lights and winning the lottery. _________2. Killing a person and going to jail. _________3. Winning a contest and a dog barking. _________4. Singing a high tone note and having a typhoon. _________5. Drinking an alcohol and getting drunk. Directions: Answer the following problems. 1. A bag of jelly beans contains 10 red, 6 green, 7 yellow, and 5 orange jelly beans. What is the probability of randomly choosing a red jelly bean, replacing it, and then randomly choosing an orange jelly bean? 2. Rene and Cris went to a grocery store to buy drinks. They chose from 10 different brands of juice drinks, 6 different brands of carbonated drinks, and 3 different brands of mineral water. What is the probability that Rene and Cris both chose juice drinks, if Rene randomly chose first and like the first brand he picked up? V. EXTEND/ASSIGNMENT/ADDITIONAL ACTIVITIES FOR REMEDIAL AND ENRICHMENT Directions: Solve the following: 1. A bag of beans contains 10 Patani seeds, 6 Kasoy seeds, 7 Cacao seeds, and 5 Langka seeds. What is the probability of randomly choosing a patani seed, replacing it, randomly choosing another patani, replacing it, and then randomly choosing a langka seed? 2. There are 6 black pens and 8 blue pens in a jar. If you take a pen without looking and then take another pen without replacing the first, what is the probability that you will get 2 black pens? 3. What is Conditional Probability of an event? VI. REMARKS: VII. REFLECTION: