CONTENTS HA NOI | Q1/2020 01 02 03 Retail Market Apartment for Sale Market Villa/ Townhouse Market Quarterly Report Retail Q3/2017 Main Report HANOI, Vietnam Prepared by Savills Vietnam Co., Ltd October 2017 18th Floor, Continental Tower 6th Floor, Sentinel Place, 81-85 Ham Nghi Street, District 1, 41 A Ly Thai To Street, Hoan Kiem District, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Hanoi, Vietnam T: +84 8 3 8239 205 T: +84 4 9461 300 Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................3 1. 2. SUPPLY ....................................................................................................................................4 1.1. OVERALL ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 1.2. BY LOCATION .............................................................................................................................................. 6 1.3. BY TYPE .......................................................................................................................................................... 8 PERFORMANCE ......................................................................................................................9 2.1. OVERALL ........................................................................................................................................................ 9 2.2. BY LOCATION ............................................................................................................................................ 10 2.3. BY TYPE ........................................................................................................................................................ 12 3. DEMAND .............................................................................................................................. 14 4. OUTLOOK ............................................................................................................................. 22 5. 4.1. SUPPLY ......................................................................................................................................................... 22 4.2. DEMAND PROSPECTS ............................................................................................................................ 24 SWOT .................................................................................................................................... 27 Research Parameters................................................................................................................... 28 Term Definitions .......................................................................................................................... 29 Appendix 1: Existing Supply ...................................................................................................... 30 Appendix 2: Future Supply ........................................................................................................ 34 Disclaimer ..................................................................................................................................... 38 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation Figures Map 1.1 Existing supply ............................................................................................................................................5 Figure 1.1 Area supply...................................................................................................................................................6 Figure 1.2 Retail density by location .......................................................................................................................7 Table 1.1 Top supply districts ...................................................................................................................................7 Figure 1.3 Districts Retail density ..............................................................................................................................7 Figure 1.4 Supply by type ............................................................................................................................................8 Figure 2.1 Retail performance 2015 – Q1/2020 ..................................................................................................9 Figure 2.2 GF gross rent by location .................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 2.3 Occupancy by location ......................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 2.4 GF gross rent by type ............................................................................................................................ 13 Figure 2.5 Occupancy by type................................................................................................................................. 13 Figure 3.1 Take-up by type ...................................................................................................................................... 14 Figure 3.2 Take-up by location ............................................................................................................................... 14 Figure 3.3 Category revenue changes ................................................................................................................. 15 Figure 3.4 Tenant proposals by category ........................................................................................................... 16 Figure 3.5 Hanoi retail sales growth Q1/2020 .................................................................................................. 18 Figure 3.6 Ha Noi CPI Q1/2020 .............................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 3.7 Regional retail sales 2016 – 2020E .................................................................................................. 19 Figure 3.8 Regional urbanisation Q1/2020 ........................................................................................................ 20 Figure 3.9 Regional GDP growth 2020E - 2021E ............................................................................................. 20 Figure 4.1 2020E – 2021E supply by status ........................................................................................................ 22 Figure 4.2 2020E – 2021E supply by location ................................................................................................... 23 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation Executive Summary COVID-19 Performance Stock at approximately 1.6 million m² was stable QoQ and up 13% YoY. Average ground floor (GF) gross rents decreased -2% QoQ and -4% YoY and occupancy was down -1 ppt QoQ and stable YoY. Non-CBD projects had steeper declines in rents and occupancy. Retailers have seen footfall drop and short-term vacancies will escalate. Landlords and Tenants Street Retail had more widespread closures. Lease conditions are changing to support struggling tenants. Shopping Channels Pre lock down stocking up saw a move to hypermarkets, supermarkets and minimarkets. COVID-19 is accelerating e-commerce and doubly hitting classic Retail. Online platforms are increasingly harnessing the effective home delivery networks. Outlook To end 2021, 19 projects with approximately 195,000 m² will enter, mostly in the West and Secondary areas. Continuous supply expansion to non-CBD areas will soften rents. Projects scheduled to enter in 2020 are considering delays. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 3 1. SUPPLY 1.1. OVERALL Total stock from 73 projects and 125 Supermarkets and Wholesale centres was approximately 1,563,000 m². With no new projects launched, stock remained stable QoQ and up 13% YoY. Over the past five years, stock growth has been an average 7% pa. We sub-divide Hanoi Retail into five main areas: ▪ CBD: Hoan Kiem district. ▪ Secondary: Dong Da, Ba Dinh, Hai Ba Trung, Thanh Xuan and Tay Ho districts. ▪ The West: Cau Giay and Tu Liem districts. ▪ The East: Long Bien and Gia Lam districts. ▪ Others: Ha Dong, Hoang Mai, Me Linh, Dong Anh and Hoai Duc districts. And five main Retail approaches: ▪ Department Store. ▪ Shopping Centre. ▪ Retail Podium. ▪ Supermarket. ▪ Wholesale Centre. Any projects comprising multiple forms are separately evaluated. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 4 Map 1.1 Existing supply Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 5 1.2. BY LOCATION The Secondary area with 664,000m², up 4% YoY accounted for 42% of stock, and had the highest Retail density of 0.46 m²/person. The ‘Others’ with a 23% share usurped the West 20% share, to become second-largest supplier after large-scale Aeon Mall Ha Dong entered in Q4/2019. These two areas had the most robust YoY growth, the Others by 28% and The West by 31 percent. In the East, stock was around 50% of the West, but density was almost as high, while the CBD had the lowest stock and density. Figure 1.1 Area supply CBD 1,800,000 Secondary The West The East Others m2 1,500,000 1,200,000 900,000 600,000 300,000 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 6 Figure 1.2 700 Retail density by location NLA Thousand m² Retail density m²/person 600 0.5 0.4 500 400 0.3 300 0.2 200 0.1 100 0 0.0 Secondary Others The West The East CBD Source: Savills Research & Consultancy The district share and density is detailed below: Table 1.1 Top supply districts District Projects NLA (m²) Share Retail density (m²/person) Thanh Xuan 19 277,900 18% 0.94 Ha Dong 18 206,000 13% 0.56 Long Bien 18 190,200 12% 0.63 Total 55 674,100 43% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Figure 1.3 300 Districts Retail density Thousand m² NLA Retail density 250 200 m²/person 1.0 0.8 0.6 150 100 0.4 50 0.2 0 0.0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 7 1.3. BY TYPE ▪ Department Store: Stock increased 61% YoY to 195,200 m2 after staying stable for three years. Aeon Mall Long Bien and Aeon Mall Ha Dong were the newest and largest projects. Five department stores have an average 39,000 m² scale. ▪ Shopping Centre: 33 projects supplied 893,000 m², up 11% YoY representing 57% of stock. Stock is almost 300% higher than 2012 with the entries of four large-scale Vingroup projects: Vincom Mega Mall Royal City with 161,300 m², Vincom Mega Mall Times City with 73,000 m², Vincom Centre Nguyen Chi Thanh with 65,300 m² and 45,000 m2 in Vincom Centre Tran Duy Hung. ▪ Retail Podium: Stock of 184,200 m2 from 35 projects represents a 12% share. With continuous Residential and Commercial development, Retail Podium has grown 10% pa on average for five years, faster than the Department Store and Shopping Centres. ▪ Supermarket: 122 projects with 224,700 m² represented a 14% share. Key players include Central Group with Big C, and VinCommerce with Vinmart. In early December 2019, VinCommerce merged with Masan Consumer Holdings and Masan Group will be operator of the new venture. ▪ Wholesale Centre: Supplying 65,700 m² for a 4% share, stock remained unchanged from the three Mega Market Vietnam centres, formerly Metro Cash & Carry. Figure 1.4 Supply by type Department store 1,800,000 Shopping centre Retail podium Supermarket Wholesale center m2 1,500,000 1,200,000 900,000 600,000 300,000 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 8 2. PERFORMANCE 2.1. OVERALL Wholesale Centres and Supermarkets are typically self-owned and fully occupied, ground floor asking rents are unavailable. Our analysis focuses on Department Store, Shopping Centre and Retail Podium performance. COVID-19 effects saw average GF gross rent drop -2% QoQ and -4% YoY to US$41/m²/mth. Average occupancy was 95%, down -1 ppts QoQ and stable YoY. Figure 2.1 50 Retail performance 2015 – Q1/2020 Avg. GF gross rent US$/m2/mth Occupancy % 100 40 90 30 80 20 70 10 60 0 50 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 9 2.2. BY LOCATION Rents and occupancy shrank in most areas with non-CBD projects having the steepest declines. CBD average GF gross rent has remained within US$100-110/m²/mth for two years, and this quarter was at US$104/m²/mth, stable QoQ but down -4% YoY. Most projects remained fully occupied with consistent rents. CBD rent was nearly triple that in the non-CBD. Average occupancy increased 3 ppts QoQ and 5 ppts YoY to 99% after improvements in Trang Tien Plaza, Central Building, Pacific Place and the Press Club. The Secondary area is the largest supplier and had the greatest performance fluctuation. Average GF gross rent fell -1% QoQ and -6% YoY to US$48/m²/mth, staying second to the CBD. The sharpest drops were in Sun Plaza Ancora, Sun Plaza Thuy Khue, The Artemis and Sky City Tower. Average occupancy of 94% was stable QoQ and YoY but eased in Shopping Centres, such as The Artemis, Vincom Mega Mall Times City and Vincom Centre Metropolis. Occupancy improved in Retail Podiums Ruby Plaza, Hapumedicentre and The Lancaster, and Lotte Centre Department Store. For five years, the West has seen rapid property and infrastructure development and robust Retail performance, but this quarter saw rent and occupancy decline. Average GF gross rent was US$40/m²/mth, down -4% QoQ and stable YoY after reductions in Discovery Complex, Bamboo Airway Tower and Keangnam Palace Landmark. Average occupancy eased -1 ppt QoQ and -1 ppt YoY to 97% after lower performance in Discovery Complex, Vincom Centre Tran Duy Hung and Vincom Plaza Bac Tu Liem. The West occupancy was highest in the five study areas. The East is an increasingly appealing destination for entertainment. Average GF gross rent was US$31/m²/mth, stable QoQ but 2% higher than last year; rents stayed unchanged in Vincom Centre Long Bien and Savico Mega Mall but were reduced in Mipec Riverside. Average occupancy dropped -5 ppts QoQ and -4 ppts YoY to 94%, after decreases in all projects except Savico Mega Mall. The ‘Others’ had the lowest rent of the five study areas. Average GF gross rent slumped -8% QoQ and -16% YoY to US$16/m²/mth after rent adjustments in multiple projects, notably Melinh Plaza Ha Dong, Truong Dinh Plaza and Machinco. However, average occupancy was up 2 ppts QoQ and 1 ppt YoY at 96%, after growth in the recently launched large-scale Aeon Mall Ha Dong. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 10 Figure 2.2 GF gross rent by location CBD 140 Secondary The West The East Others US$/m2/mth 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Figure 2.3 100 Occupancy by location CBD Secondary 2015 2016 The West The East Others % 90 80 70 60 50 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 11 2.3. BY TYPE Department Store Average occupancy has stayed above 95% since 2015 and over 98% for four years. Q1/2020 average occupancy reached 97%, up 1 ppt QoQ and stable YoY, after improvements in Aeon Mall Ha Dong. Average GF gross rent was US$52/m²/mth, stable QoQ and up 4% YoY. Revenue sharing was applied in Robins Department Store and two Aeon Malls. The Garden customer base is mostly Korean expats and nearby residents. Lotte Centre targets mid- to high-end customers. Robins Department Store focuses on the growing middle class while Aeon Mall concentrates on youth and young families. Shopping Centre Average occupancy at 94%, down -1 ppt QoQ and stable YoY was the lowest in the three segments. The largest decreases were in The Artemis, Vincom Centre Long Bien and Vincom Centre Metropolis. Average GF gross rent dropped -1% QoQ and -3% YoY to US$42/m²/mth after many projects reduced rent, notably Truong Dinh Plaza, Melinh Plaza Ha Dong and Syrena with minimum -20% reductions. Retail Podium Average occupancy was 95%, stable QoQ and down -4 ppts YoY. Most CBD projects increased or were full occupancy, whilst several non-CBD projects decreased, such as Keangnam Palace Landmark, Golden Palace and The Legend. Average GF gross rent was US$29/m²/mth, down 9% QoQ and -14% YoY, and the steepest segment falls. Rents were reduced most in Keangnam Palace Landmark, Golden Westlake and Golden Palace. CBD podiums are typically located in Grade A Office and high occupancy 5-star Hotels with rents from US$35/m²/mth to US$180/m²/mth. Non-CBD podiums are in high-rise residential buildings and usually Convenience outlets or Supermarkets. Average GF gross rent was US$27/m²/mth in the Secondary and West areas, and US$14/m²/mth in the ‘Others’. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 12 Figure 2.4 GF gross rent by type Department store 60 Shopping centre Retail podium US$/m2/mth 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Figure 2.5 Occupancy by type Department store 100 Shopping centre Retail podium % 90 80 70 60 50 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 13 3. DEMAND ANALYSIS Take-Up Q1/2020 take-up was -8,900 m², the lowest for two years, mainly due to the softer performance in Eastern area Shopping Centres. Highest take-ups were in Department Stores and the ‘Others’ after occupancy improvements in the recently launched Aeon Mall Ha Dong. Figure 3.1 Take-up by type Department store 200,000 Shopping centre Retail podium m2 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 (50,000) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Figure 3.2 Take-up by location CBD 200,000 Secondary The West The East Others m² 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 (50,000) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 14 Tenant Trends Savills conducted a recent Retail survey on COVID-19 and retailer demands. In the survey, 65% of respondents stated that their businesses have been affected since February whilst the other 35% saw March as the tipping point. Footfall declining in February fell precipitously in midMarch after the first Hanoi infection was reported. Concerns led to temporary closures of Malls, Restaurants, Cinemas, Social-Entertainments and Fitness Centres. Examples include CGV shuttered March 15th, Golden Gate restaurant chain March 16th, Dream Game March 24th, Trang Tien Plaza March 26th, TiniWorld, March 28th, Aeon Malls March 28th and Vincom malls on March 27th. The survey found 55% had revenue drop by over -50% QoQ. Most categories were affected and only Supermarkets registered up to 20% growth. Figure 3.3 Category revenue changes Others Supermarket Healthcare Entertainment Education & Entertainment Furniture, Houseware & Electronics F&B Fashion & Cosmetics 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Down >50% Down 30-50% Down <30% Stable Up 10-20% Up >20% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Mall occupancy stayed high since well-known brands are better equipped to endure and wanted to avoid losing security deposits or risk legal action. Street Retail had more widespread closures with smaller business more sensitive to economic fluctuations. Brands with outlets in both initially closed their street stores. Small and large street retailers suffered with rents accounting for up to 50% of total operation costs. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 15 Lease amendments were proposed by struggling tenants. Operating tenants have suggested rent exemptions over the lockdown and up to -50% reductions for three to 12 months. Many are continuing to negotiate further reductions in other business expenses, and some will not renew their leases. New tenants considering entry have been renegotiating rents or have postponed finalizing contracts. Our survey found 57% were seeking up to -50% reductions and 31% seeking exemptions. Figure 3.4 Tenant proposals by category Others Supermarket Healthcare Entertainment Education & Entertainment Furniture, Houseware & Electronics F&B Fashion & Cosmetics 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Rent reduction Stop the lease Rent being paid on monthly basis Others Rent exemption Temporary store shutdown Extension of the payment schedule Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Landlords had varying responses. Big developers implemented approaches early including up to -50% rent reductions or even exemptions, depending on how each business was affected. To retain quality and improve loyalty, tenants were engaged to find equable solutions such as deferrals and concessions. Relief requests have been handled individually in the last two months. Smaller developers adopted a wait-and-see approach, but most would reduce by around -30 percent. Suggestions to develop sustainable outcomes for landlords include: ▪ Close tenant engagement, review case-by-case and provide flexible support. ▪ Make reductions dependant on location and sales. ▪ Rent suspension during lockdown. ▪ Rents paid monthly. ▪ Extend payment schedules. ▪ Reduce service charges to minimum and switch to monthly payments. ▪ Explore integrating online opportunities. E-commerce trends point to an increased share when the crisis ends. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 16 The pandemic has hit classic retail, accelerated e-commerce and amplified home delivery opportunities. Our survey revealed 28% retailers were using online channels and 28% are solely online seeing 30% growth in online sales. The related surge in F&B moving to delivery platforms is an innovative way to stay operating. Mid- and high-end restaurant brands were immediately affected, but most switched to home-delivery. Low-end had less changes with many already prioritizing online channels for cost savings. Fewer shopping trips effected by lockdown stocking up saw a move away from street Retail and convenience stores to hypermarkets, supermarkets and minimarkets with their large range of better priced products and home-delivery services. E-commerce and home delivery are expected to grow as a result of pandemic affected consumer sentiment and behaviour. The survey found 61% occupiers were positive about recovery if the pandemic ends in Q2; but if it continues, 86% felt recovery would take at least six months. F&B, Entertainment, Education and Fitness Centres are anticipated the first to bounce back as local consumers will want to rapidly embrace ‘normality’ after extended social isolation. Categories such as Fashion & Cosmetics; or Furniture, Households & Electronic goods may take longer to recover. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 17 Economic Factors In Q1/2020, total goods and service retail sales, were approx. VND 135.7 trillion (or US$5.9 billion), up 2.3% YoY, 7.8 ppts lower YoY. Growth eased from 11.7% in January to 7.6% in February and fell -3% in March. Retail sales have increased 10% pa on average the five years. Q1/2020 sales of VND 87.6 trillion (or US$3.8 billion), maintained high 9.3% YoY growth. Despite incomes and purchasing power under pressure, growth was attributed to temporary higher demand from stocking up household essentials and increased moves to e-commerce. Accommodation and F&B sales fell -20.2% YoY, apart from COVID-19 effects, stricter drinkdrive laws in Decree No. 100/2019/ ND-CP, effective since January 2020, has seen a significant drop in tourists and locals drinking and eating out. Figure 3.5 Total Hanoi retail sales growth Q1/2020 Retail sales Accomodation, F&B services Tourism Other services 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% Jan Feb Mar Q1/2020 Source: Ha Noi Statistics Office CPI has been on a downward trend over three months. The index increased 1.07% MoM in January but decreased -0.07% in February and -0.89% MoM in March. Five of 11 groups reported sharp falls, including Transportation; Culture, Entertainment & Tourism; Food, Foodstuffs & Catering; Housing, Electricity, Water, Fuel & Construction Materials; Beverages & Tobacco. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 18 Figure 3.6 Ha Noi CPI Q1/2020 2% Transportation 0% Culture, entertainment & tourism -2% Food, foodstuff & catering service -4% Housing, electricity, water, fuel & construction material Beverage & tobacco -6% Jan Feb Mar Source: Ha Noi Statistics Office Retail sales growth has been relatively higher than regional peers. In Q1/2020, sales reached VND 985.8 trillion, or US$42.8 billion, were up 7.7% YoY. Viet Nam is forecast to have strong compared to regional peers in 2020. Figure 3.7 16 % Regional retail sales 2016 – 2020E Viet Nam Indonesia China Philippines Malaysia Singapore Thailand 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E -4 Source: Focus Economics, Viet Nam General Statistics, National Bureau of Statistics of China, Singapore Department of Statistics, Retail Group Malaysia, Trading Economics Urbanization growth was approximately 3% pa, more than double population growth and regionally among the highest. As of April 2020, urbanization at 38% was low among regional peers at is expected to reach 40% in 2020 and 50% by 2030. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 19 Figure 3.8 Regional urbanisation Q1/2020 Population 300 Urbanization rate million people % 250 100 80 200 60 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 Indonesia Philippines Viet Nam Thailand Malaysia Singapore Source: United Nations The Asian Development Bank forecasts Vietnam will maintain economic stability and growth. GDP growth is forecast to ease to 4.8% in 2020 but rebound to 6.8% in 2021 - if the COVID-19 pandemic is contained within 1H/2020. Vietnam will retain its position as one of the fastest growing SE Asian nations. Figure 3.9 Regional GDP growth 2020E - 2021E 2020F 2021F 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% Source: Asian Development Bank Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 20 Vietnam participates in many free trade agreements (FTAs), including the ASEAN-China FTA, ASEAN-Korea FTA, ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership, Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand FTA, Vietnam-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement, Vietnam-Korea FTA, Vietnam-Chile FTA, Vietnam-EEU FTA and the Vietnam-Israel FTA. Most will affect Retail performance due to tariff commitments, enhanced competition, innovation, increasing FDI and economic growth. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 21 4. OUTLOOK 4.1. SUPPLY From Q2/2020 onwards, approximately 503,000 m² will enter, mostly in the Secondary and West areas. In 2020, thirteen projects with 154,400 m² are scheduled to launch. One was completed, 11 are in fit-out, and one is under construction. The most significant projects include Vincom Mega Mall Smart City with 44,000 m² in the West, Vincom Mega Mall Ocean Park with 36,000 m² in the East, and 21,000 m² from Hinode City in the Secondary area. In 2021, six new projects will enter, supplying 40,900 m². And 2022 anticipates the entry of Lotte Mall with 39,000 m². Figure 4.1 2020E – 2021E supply by status 12% 7% Completed 6% Fitting out Under construction Foundation 75% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 22 Figure 4.2 2020E – 2021E supply by location 1% 9% CBD 28% Secondary 19% The West The East Others 43% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Large-scale projects such as Lotte Mall and Vincom Mega Malls are expected to affect their surrounding areas. Most future projects are in fast-growing Residential and Commercial areas with new and developing infrastructure. Retail as a component of residential complexes attract tenants and local shoppers with convenient amenities. By 2022, these will account for 88% of Hanoi projects and 82% of NLA. Vingroup will retain market leadership with new large-scale projects, Vinhomes Galaxy, Vinhomes Gallery, Vinhomes Ocean Park and Vinhomes Smart City Tay Mo Dai Mo. Vingroup intends to open 13 projects throughout Vietnam, increasing the number of Vincom Shopping Centres to seventy-nine. By 2021, if project timelines are not delayed, the developer will have launched 200 centres. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 23 4.2. DEMAND PROSPECTS According to The Conference Board, consumer confidence was high in early 2020 but COVID19 was causing increasing concern. As COVID-19 cases escalated, consumers reported personal health as their primary concern, surpassing previously top of mind worries about the economy. The Conference Board predicted consumer confidence would significantly decline in the coming months. Government lockdowns saw weakened consumer demand and job losses affect personal finances and curb spending intentions. In 2019, around 66% of the total population, or 64 million were regular internet users, 96% of via mobile devices and 64%, or 62 million were active social media users; 94% via mobile devices. The 25-34-year-old group was the most engaged, followed by the 18-24-year-old group. The mindset of local consumers has been rapidly evolving with technology. Consumers are easily influenced by word of mouth and social media but also quick to react, requiring retailers to innovate to catch up with emerging trends and survive in the fiercely competitive environment. The Industry 4.0 revolution has been creating further digital technology and platform opportunities. Vietnam E-commerce Association (VECOM) found 83% of consumers rely on online product reviews and 74% seek social network commentary before any purchase. According to a Vietnam Report in 2019, in a survey of retail businesses, the three main online product categories included travel, airline tickets and hotels (54.4%), clothing and footwear (41.2%) and household appliances (38.2 percent). The survey revealed the top three Retail trends for the next three years will be eco-friendly products (72.7%), customer experience (72.7%), and artificial intelligence (63.64 percent). The Government E-commerce development master plan for 2016 - 2020 estimates 50% of enterprises will have websites and 80% will be e-commerce enabled. The plan targets 20% pa growth to US$10 billion in e-commerce turnover, representing 5% of Retail sales by 2020. VECOM is more optimistic predicting over 30% pa growth to US$13 billion by 2020. Deloitte believes the e-commerce market will be worth US$15 billion by 2025, the second largest in SE Asia, only behind Indonesia. The Hanoi ‘Plan on E-commerce Development in 2020’, aims for online shopping accounting for 75% of internet users, up 7 ppts YoY. The city also expects its e-business index to remain the second nationwide, 90% of retailers and 25% gas stations enabled for digital payments, and 95% of enterprises to have websites. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 24 Although local consumption patterns remain tied to wet markets for daily basics, preferences are aligning to modern Retail. Nielsen found traditional Retail accounts for a 74% market share yet has only increased 1% pa, while modern Retail accounts for 26% and 12% pa growth. The proportion of modern Retail in Vietnam is relatively lower than the Philippines (33%), Thailand (34%), China (51%) and Malaysia (60%) indicating significant room for growth. The Ministry of Industry and Trade estimates traditional Retail share will drop to 60% by 2020. Nielsen projected Vietnamese middle class would increase to 44 million with US$310 billion consumption by 2020: and 95 million with US$940 billion pa consumption by 2030. As average income increases, consumers are willing to pay for higher-quality products. The shift will create new recreation and personal services demand and push more consumers to modern retail channels. Most shopping malls such as Vincom projects, Big C Thang Long and Lotte Centre included Supermarkets allowing consumer access to new shopping options and steadily changing purchasing habits. Steadily rising urbanization has led to more hectic lifestyles and an increased need for convenience. Competition from Convenience Stores is healthy with the continuous expansion of existing chains and new entries. According to Deloitte’s ‘Retail in Vietnam - Navigating the Digital Retail Landscape’ found Convenience Stores in Vietnam had 37.4% pa compound annual growth rate (CAGR), outperforming the Philippines (24.2%), Indonesia (15.8%), Malaysia (10.5%), India (10.3%), China (7.1%) and Thailand (6.6%). In the high-end segment, online channels are becoming popular for consumers looking for premium products with exclusive product ranges and more compelling deals. According to Nielsen, the majority (69%) of consumers prefer purchasing premium products from classic Retail in their home country, whereas 48% prefer local E-tailers. Twenty-three percent purchased premium products overseas outlets while 27% purchased from overseas E-tailers. Foreign investors are increasingly attracted to the fast-growing retail sector in Viet Nam. The Ministry of Industry and Trade reported foreign enterprises to have a significant share in local Retail: 17% of Shopping Centres and Supermarkets, 70% of Convenience Stores, 15% of Minimarts and 50% of Online and TV shopping channels. Aeon and Lotte Groups are planning two large-scale projects in Hoang Mai and Tay Ho districts. Aeon will launch 20 shopping centres by 2025 in suburban areas with large land banks, while simultaneously developing urban area Supermarkets. South Korean E-Mart will build its first hypermarket in Hanoi in Starlake urban area and aim to open 50 stores in the next five years. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 25 Japanese Convenience Store Lawson Inc. has shown interest in entering Vietnam. Key Ecommerce players are Chinese, including Alibaba Group with Lazada and Tencent Holdings Ltd. with Shopee and Tiki. Amazon supports Vietnamese SMEs via Amazon Fulfilment services. Amazon cooperated with Vietnam Post to build a large-scale warehouse near Noi Bai airport and introduced order portal services.amazon.vn and the official Vietnamese Amazon Global Selling Facebook page. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 26 5. SWOT The SWOT analysis considers strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to this market segment and is a brief overview of factors apparent from our research. The details of the report cover many other aspects and the SWOT analysis should not be read in isolation. Strengths ▪ Wider product ranges and improved customer service. ▪ Foreign retailers establishing a stronger presence. ▪ Domestic retailers increasingly investing in modern Retail. ▪ More tenant choices. ▪ Decreased rent and occupancy QoQ. ▪ Take-up at a two-year low. ▪ Poorly defined target groups have resulted in several shopping centres Weaknesses Opportunities restructuring. ▪ Traditional retail near residential areas dominate. ▪ Local owners lack management and leasing experience. ▪ Limited quality retail space below international tenant requirements. ▪ Strong regional growth of Retail sales, GDP, consumption, urbanization. ▪ Young and educated, upper and middle-income groups increasing. ▪ Consumers evolving,more willing to spend on big-ticket items, Recreation and Personal Services. ▪ Modern Retail rapidly expanding. ▪ Robust growth of E-commerce expected. ▪ Convenience Stores expanding fast.. ▪ Most future supply is a component of residential complexes. ▪ Rents and occupancy under pressure from sizeable future supply. ▪ Fierce competition between Domestic and Foreign Retailers due to Threats WTO commitments, CPTPP and FTA participation. ▪ Online shopping threatening Classic Retail. ▪ COVID-19 affecting consumer confidence and purchasing power. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 27 Research Parameters Data collection: methods include observation, personal interview, telephone survey, internet survey, mail survey, and Savills inter-department group discussions. Analysis methods: direct comparison, descriptive analysis, in-depth analysis, trend analysis, event-history analysis. Scope of study: fourteen urban and rural districts including Hoan Kiem, Ba Dinh, Dong Da, Hai Ba Trung, Tay Ho, Thanh Xuan, Cau Giay, Tu Liem, Hoang Mai, Long Bien, Gia Lam, Ha Dong, Dong Anh and Hoai Duc. Research limitations: Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Note: the exchange rate used is VND 23,050/US$1. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 28 Term Definitions Terms Anchor tenant Definitions A well-known commercial retail business such as a national chain store strategically placed in a shopping centre so as to generate the most customers for all of the stores located in the shopping centre. Department A large retail establishment with an extensive assortment in variety and range of goods, store organized into separate departments. All departments are housed under the same roof, and all goods purchased from all categories and brands are paid at common counters to facilitate buying, customer service, merchandising and control. The number of counters depends on size of the department store. Shopping A building or set of buildings that contain a variety of retail units, with interconnecting centre walkways enabling visitors to easily navigate the area. Goods are for sales in different shops leased by different tenants. Tenancy mix is one of most important points for conceptualizing a shopping centre. It consists of which tenants can lease the location and how to mix these tenants, resulting in who the target customers are, create shopper flows, and result in the operations of the centre. In a shopping centre, each shop has its own counter. Retail podium A retail podium is a podium of a building that contains a variety of retail units, with interconnecting walkways enabling visitors to easily walk from unit to unit. Goods are for sale in different shops leased by different tenants. It is smaller in size compared with a shopping centre. Supermarket Large retail store operated on a self-service basis, selling groceries, produce, meat, bakery and dairy products, and sometimes non-food goods. Supermarkets usually offer products at low prices. Customers usually shop by placing their selected merchandise into baskets (self-service) and pay for the merchandise at the check-out. Wholesale The sale of goods, generally in large quantity, to a retailer for resale purposes. Gross floor area The area included within the surrounding exterior walls of a building, exclusive of vent (GFA) shafts, elevator shafts, stairwells, second story atriums and lobbies. Net floor area Usable floor area after deducting stairs, walls, mechanical areas, corridors, vents, (NFA) balconies, etc. CBD Central business district (CBD). In Hanoi, it refers to the Hoan Kiem district. Secondary The Secondary area includes Dong Da, Ba Dinh, Hai Ba Trung, Thanh Xuan and Tay Ho districts, which are old districts of Hanoi surrounding the CBD. The “secondary” term could be defined differently between office and other real estate sectors in Savills reports. The West The West area includes Cau Giay and Tu Liem districts The East The East area includes Long Bien and Gia Lam districts Others ‘Others’ area includes Ha Dong, Dong Anh, Hoang Mai and Hoai Duc districts Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 29 Appendix 1: Existing Supply Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 30 Appendix 1: Existing Supply Please note: rents are ground floor asking rents, including service charge, but excluding VAT. No. Project District NLA (m²) Rent (US$/m²/mth) Occupancy rate (%) 1 The Garden Tu Liem 20,211 43 98 2 Robins Department Store Thanh Xuan 10,000 N/A 99 3 Lotte Center Hanoi Ba Dinh 20,000 61 100 4 Aeon Mall Long Bien Long Bien 71,000 N/A 99 5 Aeon Mall Ha Dong Ha Dong 74,000 N/A 98 6 Vincom Center Ba Trieu - Tower A&B Hai Ba Trung 17,506 115 98 7 Big C Thang Long Cau Giay 12,402 39 100 8 Melinh Plaza Dong Anh 68,707 13 95 9 Syrena Tay Ho 4,513 30 89 10 Vincom Center Ba Trieu Tower C Hai Ba Trung 10,974 90 100 11 Vincom Center Long Bien Long Bien 29,000 28 70 12 Savico MegaMall Long Bien 32,000 26 100 13 Indochina Plaza Ha Noi Cau Giay 17,663 50 100 14 Melinh Plaza Ha Dong Ha Dong 36,193 16 94 15 Trang Tien Plaza Hoan Kiem 12,000 120 100 16 Vincom Mega Mall - Royal City Thanh Xuan 161,317 43 91 17 Vincom Mega Mall - Times City Hai Ba Trung 72,950 40 97 18 Lotte Mart Dong Da Dong Da 10,000 35 99 19 Ho Guom Plaza Ha Dong 17,535 25 98 20 Xuan Mai Park State Ha Dong 8,000 7 93 21 Vincom Center Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 65,328 68 97 22 Mipec Riverside Long Bien 30,866 39 97 23 Vincom Center Pham Ngoc Thach Dong Da 27,000 61 94 24 Vincom Plaza Bac Tu Liem Tu Liem 20,000 30 98 25 Gemek Tower Hoai Duc 11,000 9 99 26 Ha Noi Center Point Thanh Xuan 13,200 27 100 27 The Artemis Thanh Xuan 24,000 30 73 28 Truong Dinh Plaza Hoang Mai 6,474 23 98 29 Discovery Complex Cau Giay 24,794 28 98 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 31 No. Project District NLA (m²) Rent (US$/m²/mth) Occupancy rate (%) 30 Machinco Ha Dong 8,357 30 93 31 Sun Plaza Thuy Khue Tay Ho 9,750 48 92 32 Vincom Center Metropolis Ba Dinh 24,507 65 93 33 D’ Le Roi Soleil Tay Ho 13,000 44 100 34 Sun Plaza Ancora Hai Ba Trung 16,124 30 97 35 Vincom Plaza Skylake Tu Liem 13,000 40 99 36 Vincom Center Tran Duy Hung Cau Giay 45,000 60 99 37 Bamboo Airways Tower Cau Giay 14,846 43 98 38 Stellar Palace Thanh Xuan 15,000 50 100 39 Hoang Thanh Tower Hai Ba Trung 900 70 87 40 Metropole Arcade Hoan Kiem 650 182 100 41 Ha Noi Tower Hoan Kiem 2,515 50 100 42 63 Ly Thai To Building Hoan Kiem 651 153 100 43 Central Building Hoan Kiem 550 71 100 44 ICC Building Dong Da 725 12 100 45 Pacific Place Hoan Kiem 2,300 83 100 46 Opera Business Centre Hoan Kiem 370 100 100 47 Ruby Plaza Hai Ba Trung 2,400 40 100 48 Press Club Hoan Kiem 300 137 100 49 Sun City Hoan Kiem 861 35 100 50 Asia Tower Hoan Kiem 500 70 73 51 Golden Westlake Tay Ho 1,000 25 94 52 Sky City Tower Dong Da 5,400 17 100 53 Han Viet Tower Hai Ba Trung 600 35 94 54 Rainbow Tower Ha Dong 900 10 100 55 Hapumedicenter Thanh Xuan 18,500 20 100 56 Nam Do Complex Hoang Mai 4,200 12 85 57 The Lancaster Ha Noi Ba Dinh 3,123 23 100 58 Mandarin Garden Residential Cau Giay 11,000 25 98 59 CTM Cau Giay 2,336 23 100 60 Watermark Cau Giay 747 32 100 61 Golden Palace Tu Liem 19,500 23 97 62 Keangnam Palace Landmark Tu Liem 31,994 53 87 63 Handico Tower Tu Liem 1,500 33 100 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 32 No. Project District NLA (m²) Rent (US$/m²/mth) Occupancy rate (%) 64 T1 Thang Long Victory Hoai Duc 6,000 9 100 65 Thang Long Garden Hai Ba Trung 4,249 13 100 66 Victoria Van Phu Ha Dong 25,000 20 100 67 Sun Square Tu Liem 1,950 14 100 68 Home City Cau Giay 8,916 13 97 69 Ellipse Tower Ha Dong 3,575 18 76 70 The Legend Thanh Xuan 8,205 28 90 71 Goldmark City Tu Liem 7,200 30 98 72 Rivera Park Ha Noi Thanh Xuan 2,600 19 100 73 BID Tower Thanh Xuan 3,000 18 76 1,272,434 41 95 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 33 Appendix 2: Future Supply Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 34 Appendix 2: Future Supply No. Project District Est. completion NLA (m²) Status 1 Sunshine Centre Tu Liem 2020 14,366 Completed 2 Samsora Premier Ha Dong 2020 7,720 Fitting out 3 Hinode City Hai Ba Trung 2020 20,762 Fitting out 4 3A Quang Trung Hoan Kiem 2020 2,736 Fitting out 5 Hateco La Roma Dong Da 2020 2,400 Fitting out 6 Hatay Millennium Ha Dong 2020 4,000 Fitting out 7 Capital Place Ba Dinh 2020 6,007 Fitting out 8 Golden Park Cau Giay 2020 6,177 Fitting out 9 H9-CT1 Starlake Tu Liem 2020 6,134 Fitting out 10 PCC1 Thanh Xuan Thanh Xuan 2020 3,510 Fitting out 11 Syrena Tay Ho 2020 N/A Under construction 12 Vincom Mega Mall Ocean Park Gia Lam 2020 36,400 Fitting out 13 Vincom Mega Mall Smart City Tu Liem 2020 44,200 Fitting out 13 Subtotal 2020 14 Summit Building Cau Giay 2021 6,400 Fitting out 15 The Zei Tu Liem 2021 6,000 Under construction 16 Sun Grand City Dong Da 2021 12,500 Foundation 17 The Terra An Hung Ha Dong 2021 6,000 Under construction 18 QMS Tower Ha Dong 2021 N/A Under construction 19 Lancaster Luminaire Dong Da 2021 10,000 Foundation 6 Subtotal 2021 Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 154,412 40,900 35 No. Project District Est. completion NLA (m²) Status 20 DLC Complex Thanh Xuan Onwards N/A Under construction 21 Mipec Xuan Thuy Cau Giay Onwards N/A Under construction 22 Lotte Mall Ha Noi Tay Ho Onwards 39,000 Foundation 23 Manhattan Tower Thanh Xuan Onwards 6,154 Under construction - Pending 24 Mo Market Hai Ba Trung Onwards 5,306 Fitting out - Pending 25 Vietinbank Tower Tay Ho Onwards 38,911 Under construction - Pending 26 Diamond Tower Tu Liem Onwards N/A Planning 27 Heritage West Lake Tay Ho Onwards 15,904 Foundation 28 Ha Noi Time Tower Ha Dong Onwards 5,171 Under construction - Pending 29 VIC Tower Cau Giay Onwards 3,689 Under construction - Pending 30 Vincom Le Thanh Tong Hoan Kiem Onwards 12,000 Planning 31 Bac Qua Trade Centre Hoan Kiem Onwards 5,800 Planning 32 Western Bank Tower Ba Dinh Onwards 12,000 Foundation - Pending 33 1283 Giai Phong Complex Hoang Mai Onwards 3,750 Planning 34 Thuong Dinh Plaza Thanh Xuan Onwards 4,929 Planning 35 Ha Noi Petrolimex Building Long Bien Onwards 6,789 Planning 36 Xuan La Tower Tay Ho Onwards 5,115 Planning 37 Thang Long Royal Plaza Cau Giay Onwards 10,000 Under construction 38 PVT Diamond Tower Cau Giay Onwards 10,000 Planning 39 Ha Noi Time Square Cau Giay Onwards 12,908 Planning 40 ParkCity Mall Ha Dong Onwards 33,150 Planning 41 Khuong Dinh Commercial Centre Thanh Xuan Onwards 6,500 Planning Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 36 No. Project District Est. completion NLA (m²) Status 42 Thaco Building Long Bien Onwards N/A Planning 43 Cuu Long Trade & Service Centre Thanh Xuan Onwards 2,600 Planning 44 Vinhomes Gallery Dong Da Onwards 29,250 Planning 45 Phung Khoang NUA Thanh Xuan Onwards 17,500 Planning 46 Sunshine Boulevard Thanh Xuan Onwards N/A Site clearance 47 Viet Nam Airlines Tower Tu Liem Onwards 16,705 Site clearance 48 Sunset Tower Hanoi Tay Ho Onwards 1,243 Foundation 49 E-mart Tay Ho Onwards N/A Site clearance 50 CJ Tay Ho Onwards N/A Site clearance 51 Vinhomes Galaxy Thanh Xuan Onwards N/A Site clearance 52 Newtatco Complex Tu Liem Onwards 3,300 Planning 53 Aeon Mall Hoang Mai Giap Bat Hoang Mai Onwards N/A Planning 34 Subtotal onwards Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 307,673 37 Disclaimer The property market research is verified to the best of Savills Vietnam ability. Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills Vietnam does not guarantee the accuracy of research and forecasts contained herein. Savills Vietnam does not accept any responsibility for losses arising from reliance on the research and forecasting. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Reproduction of this report, in any manner whatsoever, in whole or in part, without written prior consent from Savills Vietnam is prohibited. Approval should be obtained from Savills Vietnam before any reference to this report can be made in any statement, published document, or circular. Where information is given without reference to another party, it shall be taken that this information has been obtained or gathered through Savills best efforts and to Savills best knowledge. Processed data references there from shall be taken as Savills opinion and shall not be freely quoted without acknowledgement. Hanoi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 - Retail Sector Nam Long Corporation 38 18th Floor, Continental Tower 6th Floor, Sentinel Place, 81-85 Ham Nghi Street, District 1, 41 A Ly Thai To Street, Hoan Kiem District, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam Ha Noi, Viet Nam T: +84 8 3 8239 205 T: +84 4 9461 300 Contents ...................................................................................................... 4 ................................................................................................................... 5 1.1. OVERALL ........................................................................................................................................................ 5 1.2. PRIMARY SUPPLY ....................................................................................................................................... 6 1.3. SECONDARY SUPPLY .............................................................................................................................. 10 ................................................................................................... 11 2.1. OVERALL ...................................................................................................................................................... 11 2.2. PRIMARY MARKET ................................................................................................................................... 12 2.3. SECONDARY MARKET ............................................................................................................................ 15 .............................................................................................................. 16 3.1. DEMOGRAPHY .......................................................................................................................................... 16 3.2. AFFORDABLE DEMAND ......................................................................................................................... 18 3.3. FOREIGN BUYERS ..................................................................................................................................... 19 ............................................................................................................. 20 4.1. SUPPLY ......................................................................................................................................................... 20 4.2. DEMAND PROSPECTS ............................................................................................................................ 23 ................................................................................................................... 27 Research Parameters .................................................................................................. 28 Definitions................................................................................................................... 29 Appendix 1: Primary Projects ................................................................................... 30 Appendix 2: Average Constant Basket Secondary Asking Prices .......................... 36 Appendix 3: Future Supply ........................................................................................ 57 Disclaimer.................................................................................................................... 63 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation Tables Table 1.1 Summary................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Table 1.2 Launches ................................................................................................................................................................... 7 Figures Figure 1.1 Primary & secondary stock ............................................................................................................................... 5 Figure 1.2 Newly launched units .......................................................................................................................................... 6 Figure 1.3 Primary stock by district ..................................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 1.4 Primary stock by grade ....................................................................................................................................... 9 Figure 1.5 Secondary stock ..................................................................................................................................................10 Figure 2.1 Yearly sales ............................................................................................................................................................11 Figure 2.2 District absorption ..............................................................................................................................................12 Figure 2.3 District performance ..........................................................................................................................................13 Figure 2.4 Grades performance ..........................................................................................................................................14 Figure 2.5 Average secondary prices ................................................................................................................................15 Figure 3.1 Ha Noi demography 2009 v. 2019 ...............................................................................................................16 Figure 3.2 Household occupancy, 2009 v. 2019 ..........................................................................................................17 Figure 3.3 Sales by price range ...........................................................................................................................................18 Figure 3.4 Korean billionaire preferred ............................................................................................................................19 Figure 4.1 Future yearly supply ...........................................................................................................................................20 Figure 4.2 Future supply by grade.....................................................................................................................................21 Figure 4.3 Future districts Grade supply ..........................................................................................................................22 Figure 4.4 Future supply status ...........................................................................................................................................22 Figure 4.5 APAC Proptech disclosed funding ...............................................................................................................23 Figure 4.6 National remittances 2015 - 2019................................................................................................................24 Figure 4.7 Corporate Bond value by source 2019 .......................................................................................................24 Figure 4.8 Asia Pacific stimuli ..............................................................................................................................................25 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation Pandemic performance Five new, and the next phases of six existing projects, provided approximately 4,800 units, to see new supply down -64% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and -50% year-on-year (YoY). Launches were at their lowest in five years as developer plans changed rapidly. Primary supply decreased -17% QoQ and -19% YoY to 27,900 units. There were approximately 4,900 sales, down - 53% QoQ and -50% YoY. Low quarterly performance, initially from Tet in January, was further affected by social distancing. Local buyers are avoiding crowded sales events and travel bans have limited foreign purchasers. First quarter absorption was 18%, decreasing -14 ppts QoQ and -11 ppts YoY. Grade B suffers Grade B had the lowest absorption, down -16 ppts QoQ and -14 ppts YoY to 17% after sales fell -57% QoQ and -51% YoY. Grade B sales eased to 70% from 75% in Q4/2019. With abundant supply, developers face severe competition to maintain performance. Primary prices decreased -2% QoQ but increased 5% YoY. Long-term demand drivers By 2019, Hanoi population reached 8.1 million, driven by steady 2.2% pa growth for ten years. The urban population, up 8 ppts over 2009, represent 49% of the total. Average household sizes are on a downward trend and currently at 3.5 people/household. Apartment living rates of 12.9% are the highest nationwide with 2.8% of this group planning to buy new units. There was increased foreign interest in high-end products, with 30% project quotas quickly taken up. Outlook In 2020, approximately 39,600 units from four existing, and 24 future projects will enter, and Grade B will continue to lead segment share. Of the 28 projects announced, 43% are under construction and 36% at foundation. Leading future suppliers are Tu Liem district with 37% of stock, Gia Lam with 24% and Hoang Mai with 23 percent. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 4 1.1. OVERALL Stock increased to 280,923 units from 112 active and 391 fully sold projects, up 2% QoQ and 13% YoY. Table 1.1 Summary Type Projects Primary supply Secondary supply Units Active primary 112 27,892 61,204 89,096 Fully sold 391 0 191,827 191,827 Total 503 27,892 253,031 280,923 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Tu Liem district led with 61,687 units, followed by Hoang Mai district with 43,332 units and Ha Dong district with 36,166 units. Figure 1.1 Primary & secondary stock Units Primary stock Secondary stock 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 5 1.2. PRIMARY SUPPLY New Projects Five new projects and the next phases of six existing projects provided 4,812 units, down -64% QoQ and -50% YoY. New launches were at their lowest for five years as developer plans rapidly changed in response to the pandemic. Grade B led with an 83% market share from 4,018 units in six projects. Grade C had 514 units from four projects, equivalent to an 11% share. Grade A supplied 280 units from one project. Tu Liem provided 2,771 units or 58% of new supply, Long Bien had a 16% share, representing 779 units and Gia Lam supplying 550 units was equivalent to an 11% share. Figure 1.2 Newly launched units Grade A 40,000 Grade B Grade C Units 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 6 Table 1.2 Launches Project Entry approach District Grade Launched The Matrix One Newly Launched Tu Liem A 280 Park Kiara Newly Launched Ha Dong B 432 Newly Launched Tu Liem B 1,020 The Park Home Newly Launched Cau Giay B 49 Duyen Thai Newly Launched Thuong Tin C 17 Vinhomes Ocean Park - Sapphire Added Gia Lam B 550 Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Added Tu Liem B 1,471 Mipec Rubik360 Added Cau Giay B 496 The Terra An Hung Added Ha Dong C 287 Anland Lake View (Block A & B) Added Ha Dong C 60 Gardenia Hong Ha Eco City Added Thanh Tri C 150 Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Parkville Total 4,812 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy One Grade A project entered In Q1/2020. ▪ Developed by MIK Group, The Matrix One has two 44-level towers offering 740 two- to 3-bedroom units from 87 m2 to 113 m2, with an average asking price of US$2,620/m2. Well located near the new CBD and set in a 14-ha park, high-quality facilities including a pool, yoga, gym, library, co-working space, schools, tennis court, billiards room, football pitch and basketball court. Three new Grade B projects entered: ▪ Park Kiara was the first Park City NUA Apartment project in Ha Dong district. Comprising two 31-level towers with 432 units from 60 m2 to 233 m2 priced at approximately US$1,735/m2. Utilities include a pool, gym, spa, yoga, lounge, library and BBQ area. ▪ Vingroup launched three 35-level towers in Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Parkville with approximately 1,020 units with an average asking US$1,400/m2 price. Product mix is studio to 3-bedroom units from 25 m2 to 102 m2. Utilities include sports facilities, playgrounds, schools, hospitals and shopping malls. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 7 The Park Home is a 29-level tower with 398 units developed by Handico 52. Units are ▪ two- and four-bedrooms from 80 m2 to 154 m2 with an average asking price of US$1,420/m2. The project is Cau Giay district located with good connectivity to public facilities. One Grade C project entered: Duyen Thai is a 12-level tower developed by Hacomland Duyen Thai in Thuong Tin ▪ district. The project supplies 63 two-bedroom units ranging from 45 m2 to 60 m2 with an average asking price of US$630/m2. By Location Primary stock was approximately 27,900 units from 112 active projects. Tu Liem and Gia Lam districts supplied approximately 14,700 units, equivalent to a 53% market share. Tu Liem provided 9,000 units or 32% of primary stock. Notable projects include ▪ Vinhomes Smart City, The Matrix One, The Zei and Iris Garden. Gia Lam with 5,700 units in Vinhomes Ocean Park was the second-largest primary ▪ supplier, representing a 21% share. Ha Dong district had 12 projects with 3,400 units and a 12% share. Districts Hai Ba Trung, Cau Giay, Long Bien, Hoang Mai and Tay Ho supplied 52 projects and a combined 7,000 units accounted for a 25% share. The balance, including districts Thanh Xuan, Dong Anh, Thanh Tri, Hoai Duc, Dong Da, Ba Dinh and Thuong Tin accounted for the smallest share of 10 percent. Figure 1.3 10,000 Units Primary stock by district Grade A Grade B Grade C No. of projects Projects 20 8,000 16 6,000 12 4,000 8 2,000 4 0 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 8 By Grade Primary stock was down -17% QoQ and -19% YoY to approximately 27,900 units. Grade B continues to lead with a 73% share. Grade A provided approximately 1,300 units, up 3% QoQ and -17% YoY. Tu Liem district with 29% had most primary supply. With one newly launched project - The Matrix One; and 17 active projects, Grade A accounted for 5% of primary supply. Developers Tan Hoang Minh and MIK had a combined 44% share. Grade B remained the largest primary supplier with 20,400 units but first quarter supply decreased -16% QoQ and -9% YoY. Tu Liem district was the largest Grade B supplier with a 41% share. Vingroup with over 12,500 units, or a 61% share, was the largest segment developer. Grade C supply of 6,200 units, was down -23% QoQ and -40% YoY and equivalent to a 22% share. Grade supply was strong in Ha Dong at 33%, while in Dong Anh and Hoang Mai, both further from the CBD, had 15% each. Notable projects included the Eurowindow River Park with 2,058 units; Gelexia Riverside with 1,485; and The Terra An Hung supplying 1,328 units. Figure 1.4 Primary stock by grade Grade A 70,000 Grade B Grade C Units 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 9 1.3. SECONDARY SUPPLY Secondary supply was approximately 253,000 units, increasing 4% QoQ. Seventy-six percent are from 100% sold projects, the balance from active primary projects. By Q4/2019, secondary market supply was nine times higher than primary supply. Leading secondary suppliers included Tu Liem district with 21% of stock; Hoang Mai, 17% and Ha Dong representing 13% of secondary supply. Districts Thanh Xuan, Cau Giay and Hai Ba Trung had a combined 25% market share. Gia Lam, Long Bien, Tay Ho, Thanh Tri, Hoai Duc, Dong Da, and Ba Dinh districts each had between a 2- and 5% share. Figure 1.5 Secondary stock Secondary stock 60,000 Market share Units % 24 50,000 20 40,000 16 30,000 12 20,000 8 10,000 4 0 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 10 2.1. OVERALL Q1/2020 saw approximately 4,900 sales, down - 53% QoQ and -50% YoY. Local buyers are avoiding crowded sales events and travel bans have limited foreign purchase. First quarter absorption was 18%, decreasing -14 ppts QoQ and -11 ppts YoY. From 2016-2019, Grade B represented between 43% and 73% of sales, alongside increasing end-user demand. Grade C transactions were high but consistently less than Grade B. Grade A had the lowest sales due to limited supply, high average prices and large floor areas. Figure 2.1 40,000 Yearly sales Grade A Units Grade B Grade C 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 11 PRIMARY MARKET By Location Absorption Tu Liem district led with approximately 1,000 sales and 11% absorption for a 21% share. Most completed deals were from the large-scale Vinhomes Smart City and An Binh Plaza. Hoang Mai district was the second-best performer with an 11% share after good performance in Bea Sky, Sky Central and the Zen Residence. Ha Dong, Gia Lam, Tay Ho and Thanh Xuan districts had approximately 1,900 sales, equivalent to a 38% share. The most robust performance was from Park Kiara, Vinhomes Ocean Park, 6th Element and 90 Nguyen Tuan. Figure 2.2 District absorption Grade A Sales Grade B Grade C Absorption rate % 1,200 100 900 75 600 50 300 25 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation Thuong Tin Dong Da Hoai Duc Thanh Tri Hai Ba Trung Dong Anh Cau Giay Long Bien Thanh Xuan Tay Ho Gia Lam Ha Dong 0 Hoang Mai 0 Tu Liem 2.2. 12 Primary Price Primary prices were stable QoQ and up 10% YoY to US$1,460/m2. Unless COVID-19 restrictions continue into 2H/2020, a sharp primary price correction is unlikely. District average primary asking prices varied from US$630/m2 in Thuong Tin, to US$3,290/m2 in Ba Dinh. Dong Da, Cau Giay and Tay Ho districts average asking prices ranged from US$2,030/m2 to US$2,530/m2. Prices in Hai Ba Trung, Tu Liem, Thanh Xuan, Gia Lam, Long Bien, Hoang Mai, Dong Anh and Ha Dong districts ranged from US$1,110/m2 to US$1,630/m2. Hoai Duc and Thanh Tri districts at US$630/m2 to US$920/m2 had the lowest average asking prices. Figure 2.3 District performance Primary stock 10,000 Sales Average asking price Units US$/m2 4,000 7,500 3,000 5,000 2,000 2,500 1,000 0 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 13 By Grade Grade A Grade A had 257 sales, up 8% QoQ but down -40% YoY, with 19% absorption: the average asking price was US$3,170/m2, up 1% QoQ and 7% YoY. Despite new projects having lower asking prices, some active projects with limited inventory, high rental yield and capital growth potential saw primary prices increase, such as: D'.El Dorado Phu Thanh, D'Le Roi Soleil and Sunshine Crystal River. Grade B Grade B had the lowest absorption, down -16 ppts QoQ and -14 ppts YoY to 17% after sales fell -57% QoQ and -51% YoY. Grade sales eased to 70% from 75% in Q4/2019. With abundant supply, developers are facing strong competition to maintain performance. Primary prices decreased -2% QoQ but increased 5% YoY. Grade C Sales decreased -48% QoQ and -49% YoY to 2,350. This Grade with 20% had the highest absorption, fuelled by increasing demand for more affordable units. The average price was US$1,070/m2, up 1% QoQ and 13% YoY. Figure 2.4 Grades performance Primary stock 25,000 Sales Avg. primary asking price US$/m² Units 3,500 20,000 2,800 15,000 2,100 10,000 1,400 5,000 700 0 0 Grade A Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Grade B Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation Grade C 14 2.3. SECONDARY MARKET To analyse secondary price movement, 1,800 samples in fully sold projects from the early 2000s to Q4/2019 have been utilised. Secondary price was up 2% QoQ and YoY to US$1,165/m2, Thanh Tri was stable QoQ. Ba Dinh and Dong Anh districts were down -4% to -8% QoQ, whilst the ‘Other’s saw 1% to 5% QoQ increase. Cau Giay had the highest QoQ. secondary market price increase. With new supply limited, occupiers are increasingly considering the secondary market, where price increases were 95% from completed projects and the rest under construction. The highest secondary asking price of US$3,171/m2 was in Hoan Kiem district, which only has Grade A projects. Ba Dinh district had the second-highest asking price of US$2,228/m2. Tay Ho, Hai Ba Trung, Dong Da, Cau Giay, Gia Lam, Thanh Xuan and Tu Liem districts average prices were between US$1,232-1,694/m2. Other districts Long Bien, Hoang Mai, Thanh Tri, Ha Dong, Dong Anh, Hoai Duc and Dan Phuong. had lower asking prices of US$532/m2 to US$991/ m2. Figure 2.5 3,500 Average secondary prices US$/m2 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 15 3.1. DEMOGRAPHY Strong population growth, high urbanization and new household formation have all contributed to strong housing demand. By 2019, Hanoi population was 8.1 million, driven by steady 2.2% pa growth for ten years. Delivering approx. 120,000 babies pa and gaining up to 100,000 immigrants pa, Ha Noi growth is higher than the national 1.1 percent; and the urban population up 8 ppts over 2009, represents 49% of the total. The 2019 Population and Housing Census reported approximately 2.2 million households in Ha Noi. Average household sizes are on a downward trend and currently at 3.5 people/household. Apartment living was the highest nationwide at 12.9%, with 2.8% planning to buy new units. NFA per capita was 26.1 m2/person in 2019, up from 23.6 m2/person in 2014. Figure 3.1 Ha Noi demography 2009 v. 2019 Urban population 9 Rural population Households Million people Million households 3 6 2 3 1 0 Source: GSO 0 2009 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 2019 16 Figure 3.2 Household occupancy, 2009 v. 2019 1 ppl 2 ppl 3-4 ppl 5-6 ppl >= 7 ppl 2019 2009 0 20 40 60 80 100 % Source: GSO Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 17 3.2. AFFORDABLE DEMAND There is escalating demand for products priced between US$1,000-1,500/m2; from 2016Q1/2020 the Affordable Segment has accounted for 38-66% of sales. In 2019, there were 26,000 sales up 54% YoY from a substantial pool of end-users. Affordable projects are mostly in districts Tu Liem, Gia Lam, Ha Dong, Long Bien and Hoang Mai. Price ranges are as follows: ▪ Luxury (>US$3,000/m²) ▪ High-end (US$2,501-3,000/m²) ▪ Upper middle (US$2,001-2,500/m²) ▪ Middle (US$1,501-2,000/m²) ▪ Affordable (US$1,000-1,500/m²) ▪ Other (<US$1,000/m²) Figure 3.3 Sales by price range Luxury 100 High-end Upper middle Middle Affordable Other % 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Hanoi average annual income is US$5,134. With an average 1.8 employees per household, average household income was US$9,241. Given an average US$1,380/m2 price and typical 70 m2 unit sizes, this equates to a unit US$96,600 price , equivalent to 10.5 years of total household income. Despite these figures being under-reported compared to actual equity, it indicates the time to purchase. Hanoians renting were 15.8%, higher than the national 11.7% average. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 18 3.3. FOREIGN BUYERS There was increased overseas interest in high-end products, with 30% project quotas for foreign buyers quickly taken up. Launched in Q1/2020, Park Kiara and The Matrix One gained a great deal of attention from wealthy locals and foreigners, mostly from Hong Kong and Korea. This trend is expected to continue for well located, premium projects. Regionally, Hanoi prices are very competitive and capital growth prospects together with appealing yields are piquing foreign interest. Korea with US$7.92 billion was the leading FDI source in 2019, followed by Hong Kong with US$7.87 billion. In Q1/2020, Korea ranked 4th while Hong Kong ranked 5th for scale of Vietnam investment. The ‘Korea Wealth Report 2019’ published by KB Financial Group Research Institute, found Viet Nam is now most preferred for Real Estate investment by 57% of surveyed Korean billionaires; next for 32% was Singapore; China had 31% and Malaysia, 26 percent. However, the effects of COVID-19 will affect each country differently. Vietnam having the most successful containment measures may see interest increased post pandemic. Figure 3.4 Korean billionaire preferred With assets worth less than W5 bil. With assets worth more than W5 bil. 0 30 Viet Nam Singapore China Malaysia Europe US Hong Kong Japan 10 20 Source: KB Financial Group Research Institute Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 40 50 60 % 19 4.1. SUPPLY By Year In 2020 approximately 39,600 units from 28 combined existing and new projects, will enter and Grade B will continue to lead segment share. Of the 28 announced, 43% are under construction and 36% at foundation. Leading future suppliers are Tu Liem district with 37% of stock, Gia Lam with 24% and Hoang Mai with 23 percent. When containment restrictions are lifted, developers will offer more flexible payment terms, smaller deposits and extended payment schedules. In 2021 around 47,600 units will enter and 85% will be in Grade B. From 2022 onwards, 32,300 units from 58 projects will come online. Figure 4.1 Future yearly supply Grade A 60,000 Grade B Grade C Projects Units Projects 60 50,000 50 40,000 40 30,000 30 20,000 20 10,000 10 0 0 2020 2021 2022 onwards Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 20 By Grade Grade B will provide 88,300 units from 56 projects; Grade C will supply 20,800 units from 44 projects and Grade A has the lowest share of nine percent. Figure 4.2 Future supply by grade 17% 9% Grade A Grade B Grade C 74% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy By Location Districts Tu Liem, Gia Lam and Hoang Mai were the three top suppliers. ▪ Tu Liem district will provide 33% of future supply, equivalent to 39,400 units from 22 projects. ▪ Gia Lam district will supply 25,000 units from seven projects for a 21% share. ▪ Hoang Mai district expects 13,300 units from 17 projects. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 21 Figure 4.3 50,000 Future districts Grade supply Units Grade A Grade B Grade C Market share % 35 40,000 28 30,000 21 20,000 14 10,000 7 0 0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy By Status Of the 116 announced projects, 77% are in planning, 21% are under construction or at foundation; and 2 projects, or 2% are fitting out. Figure 4.4 Future supply status Under construction, 8% Fitting out, 2% Foundation, 13% Planning, 77% Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 22 4.2. DEMAND PROSPECTS Technology Two recent app launches, Vingroup introducing ‘Online Trading Floor’ and Sunshine releasing their ‘Sunshine App’ are supported by 66% of Vietnamese being online with a high average daily use of 6 hours and 42 minutes. 148% have mobile phones and 45% of mobile connections are 3G & 4G. However, technology will not completely replace the role of personal interaction in developing buyer confidence. Property management will implement 4.0 technologies to remotely connect with residents. Developed by Savills, ‘Property Cube’ enables real-time communication between investors, residents and property management teams. Property Cube has improved property management for all stakeholders and ensures any Savills managed property runs smoothly, with refined data for analytics to enhance the next iteration UX. There has been a growing focus on the SE Asia PropTech start-up scene. In 2019, SE Asian property focused start-ups raised US$72.9 million, out of Asia Pacific’s total US$625.9 million of disclosed funding. Of the total 38 deals in Asia Pacific in 2019, SE Asia accounted for eleven; usurping India to become second to China in disclosed funding and deal volume. Figure 4.5 APAC Proptech disclosed funding China 1,200 Southeast Asia India Others US$ million 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Source: Tech in Asia 2017 2018 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 2019 23 Wider Capital Sources 2019 remittances reached a new high of US$16.7 billion, making Viet Nam the ninth largest beneficiary globally. Funds moving into Real Estate investments were 16% of the total through 2015-2017, to over 20% in 2019. Figure 4.6 20 National remittances 2015 - 2019 US$ billion 16 12 8 4 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: World Bank The recent Corporate Bond boom demonstrated continuing high demand for capital and capital mobilization channels. As of 2019, Viet Nam Corporate Bond Value was equivalent to 11% of GDP and up 2 ppts YoY. Real Estate firms in 2019 issued bonds worth over US$4.6 billion representing a 38% share and second only to commercial banks; the average coupon was 10.3% and the average maturity was 3.7 years. Figure 4.7 Corporate Bond value by source 2019 10% 3% 4% Banks Real estate 5% 41% Energy & minerals Financial institutions 38% Infrastructure development Others Source: HNX, SSI Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 24 Promising Future The scale of pandemic relief and stimulus programs have Viet Nam in the global top twenty. Key measures include: tax cuts to VAT, CIT and PIT; land rental deferrals up to five months; firms and worker Pension Fund and Survivorship Fund contributions allowed to defer up to 12 months without interest penalty; potentially lower CIT rates for SMEs and micro firms; cash transfer packages for affected entities; and temporarily cutting electricity prices by a maximum 10% for 3 months to better support business and households. The World Bank projects economic expansion in Vietnam may decline to around 4.9% in 2020, -1.6 ppts lower than their pre Covid-19 forecast. However, mid-term prospects for the local economy remain favourable with growth projected to rebound to 7.5% in 2021 and around 6.5% in 2022. Figure 4.8 Asia Pacific stimuli Japan 20.0 Singapore 12.2 Australia 9.9 Thailand 8.9 Viet Nam 3.0 Indonesia 2.6 China 2.5 South Korea 0.8 India 0.8 Philippines 0.2 0 5 10 15 Source: IMF Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 20 25 % of GDP 25 Changing Demand New regulations will also help reshape supply. Technical regulations on Apartment buildings state units must have a minimum 25 m2 NLA; and units less than 45 m2 must not exceed 25% of the total project units. Decreased unit sizes helps lower unit prices and reach further into an already wide pool of potential purchasers. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 26 The SWOT analysis will consider strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to this market segment. The details of the report cover many other aspects: the SWOT analysis should not be read in isolation. ▪ Mid-end the most significant primary supplier and sales leader. ▪ High-end continues to attract demand with increasing primary prices. Strengths Weaknesses ▪ Increasing YoY primary prices. ▪ Affordability improving. ▪ Lowest new launches for five years. ▪ Sales and absorption damaged by COVID-19 effects. ▪ Obstacles in foreign ownership, slow LURC process. ▪ Momentum from good demographics and economic outlook. ▪ Strong population growth, high urbanisation and decreasing household sizes supporting demand. ▪ Opportunities Threats Increasing HNWI and middle-income classes nurturing demand for Grade A and B projects. ▪ Increased foreign interest in high-end products. ▪ Infrastructure improvements. ▪ Mobile apps and property management 4.0 technologies. ▪ Government initiatives and stimulus. ▪ Wider capital sources such as Remittances and Corporate Bonds. ▪ Short-term COVID -19 economic impact will be significant. ▪ High inventory and new supply. ▪ Tightening Real Estate credit. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 27 Research Parameters Data Collection: Methods of data collection include observation, personal interviews, telephone surveys, internet surveys, mail surveys, and Savills inter-departmental discussions. Analysis Methods: Direct comparison, descriptive analysis, in-depth analysis, trend analysis and event-history analysis. Scope of Study: Fifteen urban and rural districts including Hoan Kiem, Ba Dinh, Dong Da, Hai Ba Trung, Tay Ho, Thanh Xuan, Cau Giay, Tu Liem, Hoang Mai, Thanh Tri, Long Bien, Gia Lam, Ha Dong, Hoai Duc and Dan Phuong. Research Limitation: Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Note: The exchange rate used is VND 23,050/US$. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 28 Definitions Terms Definitions Primary market projects launching their sales phase before or in the studied Active projects quarter but not yet fully sold. Refers to apartments for sale in active projects in the study quarter. Buyers Primary stock Secondary stock buy apartments directly from developers. Refers to the volume of primary supply sold before the study period. Savills Vietnam have reviewed Ministry of Construction Circular 14/2008/TTBXD issued 02 June 2008) and have applied a modified Apartment Grading system since Q2/2009 for all nationwide apartment projects. Apartment Grading Vietnam have adapted twelve of Circular 14’s twenty-four criteria. Three Grades: Grade A (high-end); Grade B (medium end) and Grade C (low-end) are applied. Please note the apartment grading-related analysis is for reference only. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 29 Appendix 1: Primary Projects Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 30 Appendix 1: Q1/2020 Primary Projects No. Project District Units Launched units to end Q1/2020 Expected Completion Est. sales to end Q1/2020 Avg. primary price (US$/m2) Q1/2020 Hai Ba Trung 192 192 2014-Q4 96% 3,569 Hoang Mai 500 500 2022-Q4 49% 907 1 Hoang Thanh Tower 2 Sky Garden 3 Kinh Do Tower Ba Dinh 64 64 2022-Q4 70% 2,721 4 Capital Garden Dong Da 416 416 2016-Q3 100% 1,321 5 D'LePont D'or Dong Da 308 308 2016-Q1 97% 1,972 6 New Horizon City Hoang Mai 1,244 1,244 2017-Q1 100% 1,025 7 Vinafor Building Ha Dong 688 519 2019-Q4 29% 828 8 Goldmark City - Sapphire Tu Liem 2,184 2,184 2017-Q4 82% 1,440 9 Comatce Tower Thanh Xuan 100 100 2017-Q3 91% 1,183 10 D'Le Roi Soleil Tay Ho 498 498 2018-Q4 94% 3,254 11 Tabudec Plaza Thanh Tri 252 252 2017-Q4 88% 670 12 The Link - L3,L4, L5 Tay Ho 594 594 2018-Q3 93% 1,913 13 Eco City Viet Hung Long Bien 412 412 2018-Q2 100% 1,203 14 Vien Dong Star Hoang Mai 294 294 2020-Q1 63% 1,045 15 The Legend Thanh Xuan 460 460 2018-Q1 96% 2,288 16 Gelexia Riverside Hoang Mai 1,485 1,485 2018-Q3 99% 769 17 Viet Duc Complex Thanh Xuan 704 704 2018-Q2 90% 1,203 18 Paragon Tower Cau Giay 495 495 2018-Q3 91% 1,518 19 The Golden Palm Le Van Luong Thanh Xuan 405 405 2018-Q2 95% 1,479 20 Anland Complex Ha Dong 534 534 2018-Q2 100% 1,085 21 Hoang Cau Skyline Dong Da 168 168 2018-Q2 100% 2,248 22 Osaka Complex Hoang Mai 360 360 2018-Q4 90% 887 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 31 No. Project District Units Launched units to end Q1/2020 Expected Completion Est. sales to end Q1/2020 Avg. primary price (US$/m2) Q1/2020 Ha Dong 762 762 2018-Q4 69% 1,065 23 HPC Landmark 105 24 Thong Nhat Complex Thanh Xuan 528 528 2019-Q2 96% 1,282 25 Eco Lake View Hoang Mai 1,218 1,218 2018-Q4 98% 1,380 26 My Dinh Pearl Tu Liem 984 984 2019-Q1 90% 1,873 27 Mandarin Garden 2 Hoang Mai 640 640 2018-Q1 100% 1,282 28 Stellar Palace Thanh Xuan 368 368 2019-Q4 83% 1,499 29 Emerald Center Park Tu Liem 1,344 1,344 2019-Q2 98% 1,380 30 Vinata Tower Thanh Xuan 216 216 2018-Q2 93% 1,302 31 Northern Diamond Long Bien 200 200 2018-Q3 96% 1,085 32 Booyoung Ha Dong 5,000 756 2018-Q2 9% 1,203 33 HDI Tower Hai Ba Trung 56 56 2019-Q3 70% 3,412 34 Sunshine Garden Hai Ba Trung 1,263 1,263 2019-Q4 58% 1,459 35 Tay Ho Riverview Tay Ho 236 236 2018-Q2 77% 1,085 36 PentStudio Tay Ho 319 319 2018-Q4 94% 2,268 37 The Zen Residence Hoang Mai 927 927 2019-Q3 90% 1,420 38 Sky Park Residence Cau Giay 496 496 2018-Q4 94% 2,189 39 Sunshine City Tay Ho 1,790 1,790 2019-Q4 91% 1,814 40 Roman Plaza Tu Liem 804 804 2019-Q4 85% 1,420 41 One18 Long Bien 220 220 2019-Q1 86% 1,282 42 Dreamland Bonanza Cau Giay 386 386 2020-Q1 90% 1,400 43 Sakura Hong Ha Eco City Thanh Tri 150 150 2018-Q4 100% 907 44 Green Pearl Hai Ba Trung 504 504 2019-Q3 94% 1,420 45 Imperia Sky Garden Hai Ba Trung 1,866 1,866 2019-Q2 62% 1,558 46 Eco Dream Thanh Tri 506 506 2020-Q1 100% 1,163 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 32 No. Project District Units Launched units to end Q1/2020 Expected Completion Est. sales to end Q1/2020 Avg. primary price (US$/m2) Q1/2020 47 Housinco Grand Tower Thanh Tri 350 350 2019-Q4 94% 1,104 48 D' Palais de Louis Cau Giay 238 238 2019-Q4 3% 6,113 49 Sun Tower Tay Ho 160 160 2020-Q1 81% 1,873 50 Intracom Riverside Vinh Ngoc Dong Anh 1,036 1,036 2019-Q4 100% 927 51 Samsora Premier 105 Ha Dong 696 696 2019-Q2 90% 1,025 52 Eurowindow River Park Dong Anh 2,058 2,058 2020-Q1 72% 1,183 53 Dong Phat Resident Thanh Tri 1,092 35 2020-Q4 0% 907 54 The Sun Tu Liem 270 270 2019-Q4 92% 1,538 55 6th Element Tay Ho 1,176 1,176 2019-Q4 100% 1,834 56 Hinode City Hai Ba Trung 1,100 1,100 2019-Q4 85% 2,228 57 Sky Central Hoang Mai 902 902 2019-Q4 100% 1,203 58 Kosmo Tay Ho Tay Ho 648 648 2019-Q4 100% 1,735 59 Golden Park Tower Cau Giay 360 360 2020-Q4 79% 2,051 60 Iris Garden Tu Liem 1,400 1,400 2019-Q4 72% 1,400 61 Gold Tower Thanh Xuan 170 170 2019-Q4 95% 1,696 62 Amber Riverside Hai Ba Trung 285 285 2019-Q3 100% 1,183 63 Sunshine Center Tu Liem 208 208 2019-Q3 90% 1,854 64 Udic Westlake Tay Ho 408 408 2019-Q3 78% 1,617 65 Ha Tay Millennium Ha Dong 683 485 2020-Q3 41% 1,085 66 FLC Garden City - HH01 Tu Liem 384 384 2019-Q3 41% 848 67 Vinhomes West Point Tu Liem 904 904 2020-Q3 100% 2,110 68 Tecco Skyville Tower Thanh Tri 704 704 2019-Q3 91% 749 69 Ruby City - CT3 Long Bien 1,120 1,120 2019-Q2 74% 868 70 H9 Starlake Tay Ho 603 603 2020-Q3 87% 2,485 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 33 No. Project District Units Launched units to end Q1/2020 Expected Completion Est. sales to end Q1/2020 Avg. primary price (US$/m2) Q1/2020 Tay Ho 252 252 2020-Q2 93% 2,465 71 D'. El Dorado Phu Thanh 72 Thang Long Capital Hoai Duc 540 540 2020-Q3 69% 848 73 Hateco La Roma Dong Da 281 281 2019-Q4 62% 2,702 74 Anland Premium Ha Dong 575 575 2020-Q2 81% 1,144 75 90 Nguyen Tuan Thanh Xuan 832 832 2019-Q4 100% 1,124 76 King Palace Thanh Xuan 410 410 2020-Q1 73% 2,149 77 Vinhomes Ocean Park - Sapphire Gia Lam 15,700 16,250 2020-Q1 72% 1,380 78 Premier Berriver Long Bien 216 216 2019-Q4 84% 1,499 79 Luxury Park Views Cau Giay 119 119 2019-Q4 94% 1,775 80 Bea Sky Hoang Mai 441 441 2020-Q2 85% 1,459 81 Pandora Tower Thanh Xuan 286 286 2020-Q2 73% 1,104 82 Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Tu Liem 10,900 12,371 2020-Q3 69% 1,400 83 Sunshine Golden River Tay Ho 217 80 2020-Q4 25% 2,386 84 The Zei Tu Liem 891 891 2021-Q1 39% 1,637 85 The Terra An Hung Ha Dong 1,328 885 2021-Q4 27% 947 86 Five Star Westlake Tay Ho 32 32 2020-Q4 75% 2,702 87 Vinhomes Ocean Park - Ruby Gia Lam 12,000 1,244 2021-Q2 8% 1,873 88 The Legacy Thanh Xuan 252 252 2019-Q4 84% 1,440 89 HC Golden City Long Bien 512 512 2019-Q4 60% 1,499 90 Summit Building Cau Giay 288 288 2020-Q3 76% 2,702 91 PHC Complex Long Bien 117 117 2020-Q1 67% 1,479 92 An Binh Plaza Tu Liem 280 280 2022-Q1 93% 1,223 93 E2- Chelsea Residences Cau Giay 322 322 2020-Q4 84% 1,656 94 Athena Complex Phap Van Hoang Mai 400 400 2021-Q1 43% 907 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 34 No. Project District Units Launched units to end Q1/2020 Expected Completion Est. sales to end Q1/2020 Avg. primary price (US$/m2) Q1/2020 Long Bien 328 328 2020-Q1 69% 1,163 95 TSG Lotus Sai Dong 96 Sunshine Crystal River Tay Ho 950 60 2021-Q4 1% 3,451 97 Phu Thinh Green Park Ha Dong 532 532 2021-Q2 10% 986 98 Skyview Plaza Thanh Xuan 924 84 2021-Q4 7% 1,341 99 PCC1 Thanh Xuan Thanh Xuan 480 480 2020-Q2 85% 1,361 100 Le Grand Jardin Long Bien 1,120 250 2020-Q2 16% 1,223 101 Anland Lake View (Block A & B) Ha Dong 606 240 2021-Q1 16% 1,124 102 BID Residence Ha Dong 804 350 2021-Q3 13% 907 103 Grandeur Palace - Giang Vo Ba Dinh 78 72 2020-Q4 38% 3,550 104 Mipec Rubik360 Cau Giay 976 976 2021-Q4 33% 1,696 105 Vinhomes Smart City - Ruby Tu Liem 2,900 573 2021-Q2 18% 1,775 106 Gardenia Hong Ha Eco City Thanh Tri 250 250 2020-Q3 40% 986 107 Vinhomes Symphony Long Bien 1,508 800 2020-Q3 42% 1,854 108 Park Kiara Ha Dong 432 432 2022-Q1 35% 1,735 109 Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Parkville Tu Liem 3,060 1,020 2020-Q4 2% 1,400 110 The Park Home Cau Giay 398 49 2021-Q4 5% 1,420 111 Duyen Thai Thuong Tin 63 17 2022 16% 631 112 The Matrix One Tu Liem 740 280 2021-Q4 0% 2,623 Note: The average primary price excludes VAT. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 35 Appendix 2: Average Constant Basket Secondary Asking Prices Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 36 Appendix 2: Average Constant Basket Secondary Asking Prices No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 1 Dinh Cong NUA Hoang Mai 922 2 North Linh Dam Dwelling Hoang Mai 729 3 Linh Dam Peninsula Area Hoang Mai 818 4 Dai Kim - Dinh Cong NUA Hoang Mai 815 5 A6 Giang Vo Ba Dinh 1,615 6 Housing for the preferential objects in Yen Hoa Urban Area Cau Giay 1,288 7 Thang long international village Cau Giay 1,188 8 299 Cau Giay Cau Giay 1,156 9 27 Huynh Thuc Khang Dong Da 1,213 10 Thanh Cong Tower Dong Da 1,108 11 27 Lang Ha Highrise Apartment Dong Da 1,131 12 Ciputra (South Thang Long NUA)- Phase I Tay Ho 1,475 13 My Dinh II NUA Tu Liem 898 14 Yen Hoa pubic facilities and dwelling area Cau Giay 1,276 15 18 Yen Ninh Ba Dinh 1,454 16 Nghia Do-Dich Vong NUA Cau Giay 1,411 17 Dich Vong NUA (4B2 and 6B2 Blocks) Cau Giay 1,173 18 M3-M4 Thanh Cong Dwelling Quarter Dong Da 1,279 19 Spring Garden Apartment Dong Da 1,194 20 Ha Thanh Plaza Dong Da 1,191 21 Kinh Do Building Hai Ba Trung 1,642 22 Northern Linh dam II Expanded Residential Area (X1) Hoang Mai 785 23 Northern Linh dam II Expanded Residential Area (X2) Hoang Mai 819 24 Phap Van -Tu Hiep Urban Area Hoang Mai 650 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 37 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 25 Vimeco Building Tu Liem 1,153 26 Me Tri Ha NUA Tu Liem 1,089 27 Project of Ba Dinh Construction JS Co. Tu Liem - 28 Project at 124 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 1,058 29 Project at 38 Quan Nhan Cau Giay 1,025 30 Me Tri Dwelling Quarter – CT3B – CT2 Tu Liem 880 31 Project at 130 Doc Ngu Ba Dinh 1,407 32 671 Hoang Hoa Tham Ba Dinh 1,219 33 15-17 Ngoc Khanh Ba Dinh 1,510 34 195 Doi Can Ba Dinh 1,337 35 Artex Building Ba Dinh 1,505 36 6 Doi Nhan Ba Dinh 1,234 37 Project of Water Electrical Mechanical installation and Construction JSC Cau Giay 1,134 38 Trung Hoa - Nhan Chinh NUA Cau Giay 994 39 Trung Yen NUA Cau Giay 1,117 40 Vimeco's Vocational School, Kindergarten cum Residential Complex Cau Giay 1,057 41 M5 Tower Dong Da 1,130 42 151A Nguyen Duc Canh Apartment Project Hai Ba Trung 776 43 10 Hoa Lu Hai Ba Trung 1,596 44 Pacific Place Hoan Kiem 2,666 45 96 Dinh Cong Hoang Mai 756 46 Licogi 13's Residential Project Thanh Xuan 971 47 My Dinh I NUA (C6 Block) Tu Liem 1,107 48 Construction Co. No. 34's project Thanh Xuan 957 49 Hacisco Building Dong Da 1,174 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 38 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 50 My Dinh - Me Tri NUA Tu Liem 891 51 Project at 25 Tan Mai Hoang Mai 868 52 Project at 229 Pho Vong Hai Ba Trung 1,052 53 141 Truong Dinh Hai Ba Trung 916 54 789 Company's Residential Project Tu Liem 892 55 181 Nguyen Luong Bang Dong Da 1,279 56 Silver Wing Long Bien 1,166 57 An Lac Building Tu Liem 853 58 Van Quan New Urban Area Ha Dong 832 59 Bien Bac Project Ba Dinh 1,315 60 Xuan Thuy Tower Cau Giay 1,129 61 Chelsea Park Cau Giay 1,309 62 Phap Van -Tu Hiep Urban Area (NO9+NO19+NO20) Hoang Mai 706 63 Viet Hung NUA (low-rise Blocks - Lot K, P, H) Long Bien 648 64 Vuon Dao Apartment (Lot E) Tay Ho 1,260 65 Tam Da Public service, office and residential complex Tay Ho 2,034 66 Ciputra (Two Parklane Apartment Towers of Phase II) Tay Ho 1,392 67 Trung Van NUA (CT1 Block) Tu Liem 989 68 Co Nhue - Xuan Dinh NUA (OTC3B, OTC3C, OTC3D) Tu Liem 723 69 Trung Yen 1 Cau Giay 993 70 335 Cau Giay Cau Giay 1,110 71 102 Truong Chinh Dong Da 1,322 72 Dich Vong NUA (N09B1) Cau Giay 1,167 73 The Garden-Officetel Tu Liem 1,456 74 Viet Hung NUA (Highrise Blocks- Lot K, P, H) Long Bien 655 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 39 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Hai Ba Trung 1,077 75 Skylight Twin Towers 76 131 Thai Ha Dong Da 1,316 77 Happy House Garden (T1, T3, T9, T10) Long Bien 671 78 45 Nguyen Son Long Bien 977 79 The Manor Tu Liem 1,601 80 Golden West Lake Ba Dinh 2,117 81 N05 - Vinaconex's Project Cau Giay 1,187 82 Vinaconex 6 Tower Thanh Xuan 1,071 83 15 - storey residential building at Trung Hoa Nhan Chinh NUA Thanh Xuan 1,299 84 A1-A4 My Dinh I Tu Liem 814 85 Residential, commercial and hotel complex at 1 Lac Long Quan Tay Ho 897 86 Van Khe Residential Area Ha Dong 584 87 Bac Ha Residential Area Ha Dong 852 88 La Khe - Van Khe Ha Dong 587 89 Song Da - Ha Dong Tower Ha Dong 677 90 Nang Huong Project Ha Dong 862 91 N09B2 - Dich Vong NUA Cau Giay 1,203 92 B14 Kim Lien Dong Da 1,576 93 CT1 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 804 94 Ho Dac Di Apartment Project Dong Da 1,238 95 1 Luong Yen Hai Ba Trung 2,304 96 Phung Khoang Housing Area Tu Liem 818 97 CT4-Trung Van NUA Tu Liem 834 98 Project at 310 Minh Khai Hai Ba Trung 1,002 99 Vincom Park Place Hai Ba Trung 2,984 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 40 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 100 Sky City Towers Dong Da 1,578 101 CT2A - Nghia Do NUA Tu Liem 1,202 102 GP Building Dong Da 1,380 103 151 Nguyen Duc Canh Hoang Mai 783 104 Megastar Dominium West Westlake Tu Liem 722 105 CT1 & CT2 - Dang Xa NUA Gia Lam 628 106 Xa La New Urban Area Ha Dong 561 107 Mipec Tower Dong Da 1,354 108 Licogi 13 - Phase II Thanh Xuan 987 109 28-level Residential Complex Building Cau Giay 1,170 110 Vinaconex 7 Tower Hoang Mai 884 111 CT3 - Dang Xa NUA Gia Lam 647 112 57 Vu Trong Phung Street Thanh Xuan 1,030 113 CT1- Co Nhue NUA Tu Liem 987 114 Sakura Tower Thanh Xuan 954 115 CT4 & CT5 - Dang Xa NUA Gia Lam 599 116 Ba Hang A Apartments Hoang Mai 655 117 Hoa Binh Green Ba Dinh 1,272 118 Song Hong Park View Dong Da 1,232 119 Licogi 12 Office and Residential Complex Hoang Mai 889 120 Pacific Place (Phase 2) Hoan Kiem 2,459 121 Vinaconex 1's project Thanh Xuan 1,028 122 Lilama Plaza Hoang Mai 704 123 B4 Kim Lien Project Dong Da 1,413 124 Project at 671 Hoang Hoa Tham (Phase II) Ba Dinh 1,252 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 41 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Tay Ho 1,984 125 Ciputra Link 126 Hoa Phat Giai Phong Building Dong Da 1,246 127 The Westa Ha Dong 773 128 SME Hoang Gia Ha Dong 656 129 Euroland - TSQ Ha Dong 816 130 Hemisco Ha Dong 643 131 Binh Vuong Tower Ha Dong 579 132 CT3 - Trung Van New Urban Area Tu Liem 915 133 City View Ha Dong 677 134 Hong Kong Tower Dong Da 1,768 135 The Light - CT2 Trung Van Tu Liem 948 136 Tincom Phap Van Hoang Mai 758 137 Intracom 2' s Project Tu Liem 843 138 Rainbow Building Ha Dong 989 139 Canal Park Long Bien 710 140 Green Park Towers - Unit A Cau Giay 1,289 141 Packexim 1 Tay Ho 933 142 FLC Landmark Tower Tu Liem 766 143 VNT Building Thanh Xuan 1,120 144 N 07- Dich Vong NUA Cau Giay 1,161 145 183 Hoang Van Thai Thanh Xuan 1,196 146 7 Tran Phu Street Ha Dong 876 147 Dream Tower Tu Liem 749 148 Central Linh Dam Plaza - VP3 Hoang Mai 918 149 My Dinh Plaza Tu Liem 1,035 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 42 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 150 Richland Southern Cau Giay 1,239 151 C7 Giang Vo Ba Dinh 1,907 152 Udic Complex (N04 South East Tran Duy Hung NUA) Cau Giay 1,468 153 Trung Yen 2 Cau Giay 1,381 154 Ha Do Parkview Cau Giay 1,385 155 Spring Home Thanh Xuan 1,103 156 85 Ha Dinh Thanh Xuan 863 157 BMM Xa La Ha Dong 662 158 Ngoc Khanh Plaza Ba Dinh 1,203 159 Golden West Lake (Phase 2) Ba Dinh 2,652 160 Keangnam Hanoi Landmark Tower Tu Liem 1,551 161 Indochina Plaza Ha Noi Cau Giay 1,858 162 Dolphin Plaza Tu Liem 1,113 163 Watermark Cau Giay 2,091 164 Hoang Thanh Tower Hai Ba Trung 3,397 165 Vinhomes Royal City Thanh Xuan 1,453 166 Star City Le Van Luong Thanh Xuan 1,269 167 Thang Long No.1 Tu Liem 1,418 168 Eurowindow Multi Complex Cau Giay 1,472 169 Mandarin Garden Cau Giay 1,878 170 Times city (T1-T11, T18) Hai Ba Trung 1,364 171 Lancaster Ha Noi Ba Dinh 2,667 172 MulberryLane (Block A-B-D-E) Ha Dong 903 173 Star Tower Cau Giay 1,152 174 Hillstate Ha Dong 934 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 43 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 175 New Skyline Ha Dong 814 176 Cleve_CT2 Ha Dong 1,064 177 Golden Land Building - Block A, B, C Thanh Xuan 1,083 178 Hoa Binh Green City Hai Ba Trung 1,279 179 Platinum Residences Ba Dinh 1,827 180 D2 Giang Vo Ba Dinh 1,933 181 Diamond Flower Tower Cau Giay 1,388 182 Discovery Complex Cau Giay 1,386 183 Green House Long Bien 881 184 187 Tay Son Dong Da 1,347 185 HP LandMark Tower Ha Dong 787 186 The Sparks Le Van Luong - CT7 (A,B,C,D, E,F,G) Ha Dong 630 187 The Sparks Le Van Luong Residentials - CT8 (A,B,C,D) Ha Dong 564 188 The Sparks Le Van Luong , HH2 -Block D,E Ha Dong 547 189 Nam Do Complex Hoang Mai 989 190 HUD3 Tower Ha Dong 722 191 Sail Tower (A) Ha Dong 586 192 CT3 Le Duc Tho Tu Liem 1,040 193 Green Life Tower (VP2-VP4) Hoang Mai 1,143 194 Mefrimex Project at Cau Dien Town Tu Liem 912 195 Ho Guom Plaza Ha Dong 959 196 Thang Long Garden Hai Ba Trung 1,132 197 Xuan Mai Park State Ha Dong 867 198 Golden Palace Me Tri Tu Liem 1,256 199 Phu Gia Residence Thanh Xuan 1,150 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 44 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 200 Berriver Long Bien Long Bien 1,228 201 Unimax Ha Dong Ha Dong 587 202 Tay Ho Residence Tay Ho 1,707 203 MD complex Tu Liem 1,107 204 HEI Tower Thanh Xuan 1,057 205 Phuc Thinh Tower Dan Phuong 518 206 Cho Mo Shopping Centre Hai Ba Trung 1,150 207 OCT2 Xuan Phuong Tu Liem 798 208 Tay Ha Tower Tu Liem 1,078 209 Sky Garden 210 Intracom 1 Trung Van 211 Sai Dong Residence 212 Hoang Mai Tu Liem 814 Long Bien 665 136 Ho Tung Mau-A1 Tu Liem 971 213 CTM building Cau Giay 1,183 214 Golden West - Phase 1 Thanh Xuan 1,233 215 Resco Co Nhue - Block A&B Tu Liem 940 216 CT1B - Tan Tay Do Dan Phuong 551 217 CT12 Van Phu Ha Dong 835 218 South tower Hoang Mai 824 219 Thăng Long Victory-T1 Hoai Duc 587 220 Lotus Lake View Long Bien 1,124 221 Van Phu Victoria CT9 (V1-V2-V3) Ha Dong 672 222 VP5 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 936 223 Rainbow Linh Dam Hoang Mai 996 224 CT12 - Golden Silk Hoang Mai 697 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 45 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 225 CT3 - Co Nhue New Urban Area Tu Liem 1,153 226 Dai Thanh CT8A,B,C - CT10A,B,C Thanh Tri 555 227 CT2 - Co Nhue New Urban Area Tu Liem 670 228 Splendora - Phase 1 Hoai Duc 1,077 229 Block D - CT2 Kim Van Kim Lu Hoang Mai 962 230 CT3 Tay Nam Linh Dam Hoang Mai 1,144 231 Mipec Riverside Long Bien 1,548 232 VP6 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 750 233 Hapulico Complex Thanh Xuan 1,100 234 HH4 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 701 235 Kinh Do Tower Ba Dinh - 236 Bac Ha Tower - C37 Bac Ha Tu Liem 993 237 Dong Do - BQP Tu Liem 1,122 238 Green Star - B4, B5 Tu Liem 1,131 239 Hoa Binh Green City - Tower B Hai Ba Trung 1,420 240 Vinhomes Nguyen Chi Thanh Dong Da 2,430 241 Homecity Trung Kinh Cau Giay 1,429 242 HH3(A,B,C) Linh Dam Hoang Mai 674 243 Sapphire Palace Thanh Xuan 1,044 244 G3AB Yen Hoa Cau Giay 1,384 245 Goldmark City - Block A (Ruby 1,2,3,4) Tu Liem 1,201 246 Sun square Tu Liem 1,193 247 The Golden Central Tower Hoang Mai 706 248 Scitech Tower Tu Liem 892 249 283 Khuong Trung - Tower B Thanh Xuan 1,001 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 46 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Thanh Xuan 1,093 250 283 Khuong Trung - Tower A 251 CT2C Nghia Do Tu Liem 1,400 252 CT2B Nghia Do Tu Liem 1,372 253 My Son Tower Thanh Xuan 975 254 Dreamhome CT36 Dinh Cong Hoang Mai 935 255 Park Hill - Park 3 (Times City - Phase 2) Hai Ba Trung 1,608 256 Five Star Garden Thanh Xuan 1,196 257 Capital Garden Dong Da 1,270 258 The One Residence Hoang Mai 960 259 Gemek Tower Hoai Duc 625 260 FLC Complex Tu Liem 1,140 261 PCC1 Complex Ha Dong 757 262 Yen Hoa Thang Long Cau Giay 1,129 263 Helios Tower Hoang Mai 1,139 264 Diamond Blue Thanh Xuan 710 265 379 Doi Can tower Ba Dinh 1,347 266 HH1 (A,B,C) Linh Dam Hoang Mai 690 267 The Crown - Mulberry Lane Ha Dong 979 268 CT2A - B Hoang Quoc Viet Tu Liem 1,134 269 The Golden An Khanh Hoai Duc 725 270 The Sun Garden Ha Dong 750 271 D'LePont D'or Dong Da 1,716 272 Xuan Mai Sparks HH2 ABC Ha Dong 761 273 New Horizon City Hoang Mai 973 274 Hateco Hoang Mai Hoang Mai 762 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 47 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Cau Giay 1,609 Hoang Mai 676 275 Trang An Complex 276 HH2 (A, B, C) Linh Dam 277 Parkview Residence Ha Dong 744 278 Thanh Ha Apartment Ha Dong 500 279 Ecogreen city Thanh Tri 1,116 280 A1,2 D1,2 CT2 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 994 281 Goldsilk Complex Ha Dong 881 282 Thang Long Victory-T2 Hoai Duc 644 283 Ruby City Long Bien 781 284 Golden Millennium Ha Dong 866 285 VOV Complex Tu Liem 1,060 286 Thanh Binh - Yen Hoa Cau Giay 1,068 287 Dong Phat Park View Hoang Mai 875 288 Handico - Handi Resco Thanh Xuan 1,264 289 CT1A CT1B Nghia Do Tu Liem 1,162 290 Green star - A3 Tu Liem 1,090 291 Imperia Garden Thanh Xuan 1,345 292 Hoang Ngan Plaza Thanh Xuan 1,074 293 Seasons Avenue Ha Dong 1,116 294 Golden Palace Le Van Luong Thanh Xuan 1,376 295 Vinafor Building Ha Dong 296 HACC1 Complex Thanh Xuan 1,270 297 Park Hill - Park 7, 8, 1 (Times City - Phase 2) Hai Ba Trung 1,631 298 Happy House Hoang Mai 667 299 Taseco Complex Tay Ho 1,341 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 48 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Hoai Duc 385 Hoang Mai 1,660 300 TV Tower 301 Park Hill Premium - Park 9, 11 (Times City - Phase 2) 302 Packexim 2 Tay Ho 1,204 303 Aqua Spring Thanh Xuan 947 304 FLC Twin Towers Cau Giay 1,282 305 Central Point Trung Kinh Cau Giay 1,590 306 Goldmark City - Sapphire Tu Liem 1,220 307 PVV Vinapharm Thanh Xuan 1,064 308 Ecolife Capitol Tu Liem 1,199 309 Oriental Westlake Tay Ho 1,453 310 CT4 Vimeco Cau Giay 1,348 311 The Artemis Thanh Xuan 1,886 312 Park Hill Premium - Park 12, 10 (Times City - Phase 2) Hoang Mai 1,722 313 FLC Star Tower Ha Dong 726 314 Comatce Tower Thanh Xuan 1,148 315 317 Truong Chinh Thanh Xuan 1,269 316 HD Mon City Tu Liem 1,402 317 CT2E - Me Tri Plaza Tu Liem 1,021 318 Gemek II Hoai Duc 696 319 Him Lam Thach Ban Long Bien 699 320 Ecolife Tay Ho Tay Ho 1,144 321 Vinhomes Gardenia Tu Liem 1,412 322 Anh Quan Strong Ha Dong 853 323 D'Le Roi Soleil Tay Ho 2,672 324 New Space Giang Bien Long Bien 893 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 49 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 325 Lac Hong Lotus I Tu Liem 1,404 326 Phu My Complex Tu Liem 1,597 327 Tabudec Plaza Thanh Tri 733 328 The Link - L3,L4, L5 Tay Ho 1,597 329 283 Khuong Trung - Tower C Thanh Xuan 1,093 330 B1 B2 CT2 Linh Dam Hoang Mai 973 331 Central Point My Dinh Tu Liem 1,222 332 Tu Hiep Plaza Thanh Tri 776 333 Xuan Mai Riverside Ha Dong 966 334 Center Home Hoang Mai 968 335 Gold Season Thanh Xuan 1,308 336 The Two Residence Hoang Mai 1,108 337 T&T Riverview Hoang Mai 996 338 Eco City Viet Hung Long Bien 1,214 339 Happy Star Tower Long Bien 883 340 Park View City Yen Hoa Cau Giay 1,308 341 FLC Garden City Tu Liem 812 342 Hanhud Co Nhue Tu Liem 990 343 N03-T3, T4 Diplomatic NUA Tu Liem 1,262 344 Vien Dong Star Hoang Mai 1,308 345 The Legend Thanh Xuan 1,421 346 Hanoi Aqua Central Ba Dinh 2,955 347 Vinhomes Metropolis Ba Dinh 3,003 348 Sun Grand City Tay Ho 2,468 349 Gelexia Riverside Hoang Mai 817 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 50 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 350 Ecohome Phuc Loi Long Bien 817 351 Viet Duc Complex Thanh Xuan 1,140 352 Rivera Park Hanoi Thanh Xuan 1,502 353 Paragon Tower Cau Giay 1,459 354 Riverside Garden Thanh Xuan 1,446 355 The Golden Palm Le Van Luong Thanh Xuan 1,527 356 An Binh City (A1,A2,A7,A8) Tu Liem 1,343 357 Garden Hill Cau Giay 1,186 358 Anland Complex Ha Dong 1,088 359 Hoang Cau Skyline Dong Da 2,130 360 Imperial Plaza Thanh Xuan 1,028 361 Osaka Complex Hoang Mai 842 362 Sunshine Riverside Tay Ho 1,448 363 Sunshine Palace Hoang Mai 1,105 364 HPC Landmark 105 Ha Dong 874 365 C1C2 Xuan Dinh Tu Liem 1,102 366 Lac Hong Lotus II Tu Liem 1,306 367 FLC Green Home Tu Liem 942 368 Thong Nhat Complex Thanh Xuan 1,251 369 Eco Lake View Hoang Mai 925 370 Vinhomes D’ Capitale Cau Giay 2,245 371 HUD3 - Hanel Building Hoang Mai 1,101 372 My Dinh Pearl Tu Liem 1,588 373 Vinhomes Skylake Tu Liem 1,816 374 Xuan Mai Complex (K,L) Ha Dong 799 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 51 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 375 VC2 Golden Heart Hoang Mai 944 376 Smile Building Trung Yen Hoang Mai 956 377 An Binh City (A3,A4,A5,A6) Tu Liem 1,338 378 Udic Riverside Hoang Mai 1,049 379 Mandarin Garden 2 Hoang Mai 1,222 380 Ha Noi Center Point Thanh Xuan 1,542 381 Stellar Palace Thanh Xuan 1,248 382 Emerald Center Park Tu Liem 1,190 383 Sun Grand City Ancora Hai Ba Trung 2,112 384 Valencia Garden Long Bien 984 385 Vinata Tower Thanh Xuan 1,211 386 Viwaseen Tower Tu Liem 508 387 South Building Hoang Mai 839 388 Northern Diamond Long Bien 1,186 389 Booyoung Ha Dong 1,064 390 HDI Tower Hai Ba Trung 3,287 391 Sunshine Garden Hai Ba Trung 1,245 392 Tay Ho Riverview Tay Ho 1,117 393 My Dinh Plaza 2 Tu Liem 1,253 394 Vinhomes Green Bay Tu Liem 1,529 395 N01-T8 Diploma NUA Tu Liem 1,404 396 CC1 Hado Park Side Cau Giay 1,597 397 PentStudio Tay Ho 2,211 398 The Zen Residence Hoang Mai 1,294 399 Sky Park Residence Cau Giay 1,961 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 52 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Hoai Duc 729 400 The Golden An Khanh phase 2 (Blocks A,B,C) 401 Thanh Xuan Complex Thanh Xuan 1,341 402 534A-536A Minh Khai Apartment Hoang Mai 1,184 403 Sunshine City Tay Ho 1,461 404 Hateco Apollo Tu Liem 945 405 N03-T5 Diploma NUA Tu Liem 1,099 406 Hong Ha Tower Hoang Mai 948 407 Start-up Tower Tu Liem 685 408 Roman Plaza Tu Liem 1,119 409 One18 Long Bien 1,317 410 Dreamland Bonanza Cau Giay 1,337 411 Sakura Hong Ha Eco City Thanh Tri 772 412 The Golden Armor Ba Dinh 2,140 413 Green Pearl Hai Ba Trung 1,324 414 Imperia Sky Garden Hai Ba Trung 1,474 415 The K Park K3 Ha Dong 1,079 416 Eco Dream Thanh Tri 1,091 417 Housinco Grand Tower Thanh Tri 1,072 418 A10 Nam Trung Yen Cau Giay 1,236 419 Cau Giay Center Point Cau Giay 1,361 420 D' Palais de Louis Cau Giay 5,069 421 Sun Tower Tay Ho 1,611 422 Intracom Riverside Vinh Ngoc Dong Anh 831 423 Samsora Premier 105 Ha Dong 1,046 424 Xuan Mai Spark Complex Ha Dong 721 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 53 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 425 Eurowindow River Park Dong Anh 743 426 ICID Complex Ha Dong 721 427 Dong Phat Resident Thanh Tri - 428 Xuan La Westlake Tay Ho 1,307 429 The Sun Tu Liem 1,383 430 Mipec Kien Hung (M1, M2, M3) Ha Dong 615 431 6th Element Tay Ho 1,786 432 Hinode City Hai Ba Trung 2,004 433 97 Lang Ha Dong Da 1,672 434 Sky Central Hoang Mai 1,054 435 Kosmo Tay Ho Tay Ho 1,659 436 D'. El Dorado Phu Thuong 1 Tay Ho 2,409 437 Golden Park Tower Cau Giay 1,693 438 @Home Hoang Mai 832 439 Iris Garden Tu Liem 1,081 440 Manhattan Tower Cau Giay 1,183 441 Lieu Giai Tower Ba Dinh 2,369 442 Gold Tower Thanh Xuan 1,121 443 An Binh I Hoang Mai 1,267 444 Florence Tu Liem 1,243 445 Bohemia Hanoi Thanh Xuan 1,186 446 Amber Riverside Hai Ba Trung 1,291 447 Ha Noi Homeland Long Bien 929 448 Sunshine Center Tu Liem 1,428 449 CT15 Green Park Viet Hung Long Bien 1,087 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 54 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) Tay Ho 1,462 450 Udic Westlake 451 Ha Tay Milenium Ha Dong 1,063 452 FLC Garden City - HH01 Tu Liem 710 453 Vinhomes West Point Tu Liem 1,880 454 Tecco Skyville Tower Thanh Tri 696 455 Ruby City - CT3 Long Bien 802 456 H9 Starlake Tay Ho 2,265 457 D'. El Dorado Phu Thanh Tay Ho 2,387 458 Thang Long Capital Hoai Duc 770 459 Hateco La Roma Dong Da 2,436 460 Anland 2 Ha Dong 1,108 461 Rosa Hong Ha Eco City Thanh Tri 748 462 90 Nguyen Tuan Thanh Xuan 1,123 463 King Palace Thanh Xuan 1,410 464 Vinhomes Ocean Park - Sapphire Gia Lam 1,365 465 Premier Berriver Long Bien 1,283 466 Luxury Park Views Cau Giay 1,710 467 Bea Sky Hoang Mai 1,228 468 Pandora Tower Thanh Xuan 1,153 469 Housing for Government cipher committee Thanh Xuan 988 470 N03-T7 Diplomatic NUA Tu Liem 1,179 471 The Terra 83 Hao Nam Dong Da 2,209 472 Vinhomes Smart City - Sapphire Tu Liem 1,411 473 Sunshine Golden River Tay Ho 2,081 474 The Zei Tu Liem 1,268 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 55 No. Project Location Secondary Price Q1/2020 (US$/m2) 475 The Terra An Hung Ha Dong 975 476 Five Star Westlake Tay Ho 2,537 477 T-place Hoan Kiem 9,524 478 Vinhomes Ocean Park - Ruby Gia Lam 1,241 479 The Legacy Thanh Xuan 1,297 480 HC Golden City Long Bien 1,412 481 Summit Building Cau Giay 1,961 482 PHC Complex Long Bien 1,380 483 An Binh Plaza Tu Liem 1,284 484 E2- Chelsea Residences Cau Giay 1,550 485 Athena Complex Phap Van Hoang Mai 793 486 TSG Lotus Sai Dong Long Bien 1,083 487 Sunshine Crystal River Tay Ho 3,046 488 Phu Thinh Green Park Ha Dong 863 489 Skyview Plaza Thanh Xuan 1,153 490 PCC1 Thanh Xuan Thanh Xuan 1,072 491 Le Grand Jardin Long Bien 1,032 492 Anland Lake View (Block A & B) Ha Dong 859 493 BID Residence Ha Dong 852 494 Grandeur Palace - Giang Vo Ba Dinh 3,337 495 Mipec Rubik360 Cau Giay 1,740 496 Vinhomes Smart City - Ruby Tu Liem 1,548 497 Gardenia Hong Ha Eco City Thanh Tri 801 498 Vinhomes Symphony Long Bien 1,517 Note: Average secondary price excludes VAT. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 56 Appendix 3: Future Supply Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 57 Appendix 3: Future Supply No. Name Location Units Status Expected launch 1 BRG Grand Plaza Ba Dinh 128 Fitting out 2020 2 Hai Dang Tower Dong Da 176 Fitting out 2020 3 3A Quang Trung Hoan Kiem 30 Under construction 2020 4 N03-T6 Diploma NUA Tu Liem 170 Under construction 2020 5 Rose Town Hoang Mai 1,452 Under construction 2020 6 AQH Riverside Long Bien 378 Under construction 2020 7 BRG Park Residence Thanh Xuan 405 Under construction 2020 8 Phuong Dong Green Park Hoang Mai 960 Under construction 2020 9 QMS Tower Ha Dong 210 Under construction 2020 10 T&T DC Complex Hoang Mai 336 Under construction 2020 11 DLC Complex Thanh Xuan 350 Under construction 2020 12 MIPEC Kien Hung (M5, M6, M7) Ha Dong 765 Under construction 2020 13 Sunshine Diamond River Tay Ho 932 Foundation 2020 14 N01-T6 Diploma NUA Tu Liem 304 Foundation 2020 15 N01-T7 Diploma NUA Tu Liem 304 Foundation 2020 16 Binh Minh Garden Long Bien 494 Foundation 2020 17 Lancaster Luminaire Dong Da 126 Foundation 2020 18 MHD Trung Van Tu Liem 285 Foundation 2020 19 Thang Long Victory - T4 Hoai Duc 500 Foundation 2020 20 Berriver Long Bien (N02,N04,N05) Long Bien N/A Foundation 2020 21 Panorama Hoang Mai Hoang Mai 1,650 Foundation 2020 22 The Wings Hoang Mai 1,500 Foundation 2020 23 Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam 9,350 Planning 2020 24 Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem 11,509 Planning 2020 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 58 No. Name Location Units Status Expected launch 25 Vinhomes Galaxy Thanh Xuan 2,000 Planning 2020 26 The Jade Orchid Tu Liem 2,176 Planning 2020 27 The Manor Central Park Hoang Mai 763 Planning 2020 28 Athena Fulland Hoang Mai 2,393 Planning 2020 Total of 2020 29 Ha Noi Garden City 30 Sky Line 31 39,646 Long Bien 500 Foundation 2021 Tay Ho 234 Foundation 2021 Green Building Dong Da N/A Foundation 2021 32 Ha Noi Golden City Ba Dinh 500 Foundation 2021 33 Goldlight Complex Thanh Xuan 1,000 Planning 2021 34 Five Star Ha Dong Ha Dong 677 Planning 2021 35 Grandeur Palace - Pham Hung Tu Liem 492 Planning 2021 36 BRG Sumitomo Smart City Dong Anh 7,000 Planning 2021 37 Sunshine Boulevard Thanh Xuan 686 Planning 2021 38 Heritage Tay Ho 380 Planning 2021 39 63 Nguyen Huy Tuong Thanh Xuan N/A Planning 2021 40 Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam 10,400 Planning 2021 41 Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem 10,300 Planning 2021 42 59-63 Huynh Thuc Khang Dong Da 80 Planning 2021 43 Sunshine Empire Tay Ho N/A Planning 2021 44 Galaxy Tower Thanh Tri 1,044 Planning 2021 45 Him Lam Galaxy 2 Ha Dong 120 Planning 2021 46 Louis City Tu Liem 600 Planning 2021 47 40 Thinh Liet Hoang Mai 1,276 Planning 2021 48 Sao Vang - Hoanh Son (Lotus Sun City) Thanh Xuan N/A Planning 2021 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 59 No. Name Location Units Status Expected launch 49 Sunset Tower Tay Ho 180 Planning 2021 50 Lilaha Complex Tay Ho N/A Planning 2021 51 Rivera Park Nghia Do Cau Giay 600 Planning 2021 52 Vinhomes Co Loa Dong Anh 3,000 Planning 2021 53 Sunshine Sky Park Long Bien 5,000 Planning 2021 54 A7 Nam Trung Yen Cau Giay 400 Planning 2021 55 Rivera Park Long Bien Long Bien N/A Planning 2021 56 Viha Complex Thanh Xuan 468 Planning 2021 57 Sun Grand City Constrexim Xuan Thuy Cau Giay 1,900 Planning 2021 58 Sun Grand City Lang Ha Dong Da 725 Planning 2021 Total of 2021 59 Duoi Ca Building 60 47,562 Hoang Mai N/A Planning 2022 Gold Silk City Ha Dong 318 Planning 2022 61 Sun Grand City 125 Van Cao Residence Ba Dinh N/A Planning 2022 62 Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam 5,200 Planning 2022 63 Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem 10,300 Planning 2022 64 Imperia Smart City Tu Liem N/A Foundation 2022 65 Minh Tan - Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam N/A Planning 2022 66 TCO - Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam N/A Planning 2022 67 Sunshine Dragon Twin Towers Tu Liem N/A Planning 2022 68 Commercial housing for low-income people Dong Anh 423 Planning 2022 69 SV Tay Ha Noi - Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem N/A Planning 2022 70 SV Tay Ha Noi - Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam N/A Planning 2022 71 Gia Lam NUA Gia Lam N/A Planning 2022 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 60 No. 72 Name 254 Hoang Quoc Viet Location Units Status Expected launch Tu Liem N/A Planning 2022 Total of 2022 73 Lake Garden 74 16,241 Tu Liem N/A Planning Onwards Vinhomes Lo Duc Hai Ba Trung 500 Planning Onwards 75 Dragon Riverside Thanh Tri 280 Planning Onwards 76 Vinhomes Gallery Giang Vo Ba Dinh 4,000 Planning Onwards 77 Aurora Garden Hoang Mai 863 Planning Onwards 78 Sunshine Lake View Sky Villas Tu Liem 1,536 Planning Onwards 79 Newtatco Complex Tu Liem 236 Planning Onwards 80 SYM Cantavil Complex Ha Dong 370 Planning Onwards 81 370 Quang Trung Ha Dong 233 Planning Onwards 82 25-27 Truong Dinh Hoang Mai N/A Planning Onwards 83 BIDhomes Golden South Hoang Mai 874 Planning Onwards 84 VIC Tower Cau Giay 405 Planning Onwards 85 1283 Giai Phong Hoang Mai 246 Planning Onwards 86 Legend Park Ha Dong 318 Planning Onwards 87 Phuong Thanh Tranconsin Cau Giay 200 Planning Onwards 88 Orient Star Long Bien 800 Planning Onwards 89 Vinhomes Dan Phuong Dan Phuong N/A Planning Onwards 90 Thang Long Royal Plaza Cau Giay 242 Planning Onwards 91 An Thai Tower Ha Dong N/A Planning Onwards 92 Sky Palace Tu Liem 1,170 Planning Onwards 93 181 Nguyen Huy Tuong Thanh Xuan N/A Planning Onwards 94 Vinh Quynh Project Thanh Tri N/A Planning Onwards 95 93 Linh Nam Hoang Mai N/A Planning Onwards Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 61 No. Name Location Units Status Expected launch Hoang Mai N/A Planning Onwards 96 1267 Giai Phong 97 HDB Plaza Thanh Tri N/A Planning Onwards 98 Green House project Hoai Duc N/A Planning Onwards 99 Landmark Lake view Tu Liem N/A Planning Onwards 100 48 Tran Duy Hung Cau Giay 126 Planning Onwards 101 Oriental Landmark Ha Dong Ha Dong N/A Planning Onwards 102 Thuong Dinh Plaza Thanh Xuan 322 Planning Onwards 103 Megastar Dominium Vinh Hung Hoang Mai 950 Planning Onwards 104 Premium Apartment Complex Tu Liem N/A Planning Onwards 105 New Space My Dinh Tu Liem N/A Planning Onwards 106 Dragon Plaza Tu Liem N/A Planning Onwards 107 Song Da 2 Van Phuc apartment Ha Dong N/A Planning Onwards 108 Thuong Dinh Residence Thanh Xuan N/A Planning Onwards 109 Kepler Land Ha Dong 1,280 Planning Onwards 110 Ao Trung Long Bien 144 Planning Onwards 111 Crystal Tower Hai Ba Trung 100 Planning Onwards 112 Hanoi Time Towers Ha Dong 600 Planning Onwards 113 Skyview Doi Cung Hai Ba Trung 52 Planning Onwards 114 Five Star An Khanh Hoai Duc N/A Planning Onwards 115 New Space Dinh Cong Hoang Mai N/A Planning Onwards 116 Hateco Thach Ban Long Bien 187 Planning Onwards Total of Onwards 16,034 TOTAL 119,483 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 62 Disclaimer The property market research is verified to the best of Savills Vietnam ability. Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills Vietnam does not guarantee the accuracy of research and forecasts contained herein. Savills Vietnam does not accept any responsibility for losses arising from reliance on the research and forecasting. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Reproduction of this report, in any manner whatsoever, in whole or in part, without written prior consent from Savills Vietnam is prohibited. Approval should be obtained from Savills Vietnam before any reference to this report can be made in any statement, published document, or circular. Where information is given without reference to another party, it shall be taken that this information has been obtained or gathered through Savills best efforts and to Savills best knowledge. Processed data references there from shall be taken as Savills opinion and shall not be freely quoted without acknowledgement. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Apartment Sector Nam Long Corporation 63 Contents Executive Summary ...................................................................................................... 4 1. SUPPLY ................................................................................................................... 5 1.1. OVERALL ........................................................................................................................................................ 5 1.2. PRIMARY SUPPLY ....................................................................................................................................... 7 1.3. SECONDARY SUPPLY .............................................................................................................................. 10 2. PERFORMANCE ................................................................................................... 11 2.1. PRIMARY MARKET ................................................................................................................................... 11 2.2. SECONDARY MARKET ............................................................................................................................ 15 3. DEMAND .............................................................................................................. 18 4. OUTLOOK............................................................................................................. 21 4.1. SUPPLY ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 4.2. TRENDS ........................................................................................................................................................ 23 5. SWOT ................................................................................................................... 26 Research Parameters .................................................................................................. 27 Definitions................................................................................................................... 28 Appendix 1: Primary Villa/Townhouse Projects ..................................................... 30 Appendix 2: Secondary Villa/Townhouse Projects ................................................. 33 Appendix 3: Future Projects ...................................................................................... 45 Disclaimer.................................................................................................................... 51 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Sector Nam Long Corporation Tables Table 1.1 Newly launched supply ...........................................................................................................................5 Table 1.2 Project sales .................................................................................................................................................5 Table 1.3 Primary share ...............................................................................................................................................8 Table 2.1 Average new supply prices ................................................................................................................. 14 Table 4.1 2020 – 2021 projects ............................................................................................................................. 21 Figures Figure 1.1 District supply..............................................................................................................................................6 Figure 1.2 Districts primary stock .............................................................................................................................7 Figure 1.3 Developer share .........................................................................................................................................8 Figure 1.4 Secondary stock ...................................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 2.1 Primary performance ............................................................................................................................. 11 Figure 2.2 Primary absorption ................................................................................................................................. 12 Figure 2.3 District sales .............................................................................................................................................. 12 Figure 2.4 Newly launched performance ............................................................................................................ 13 Figure 2.5 Primary asking price .............................................................................................................................. 14 Figure 2.6 Secondary district asking prices ....................................................................................................... 15 Figure 2.7 Average secondary asking prices ..................................................................................................... 16 Figure 2.8 Zone prices ................................................................................................................................................ 17 Figure 3.1 Dwelling prices......................................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 3.2 Quarterly absorption ............................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 3.3 Average secondary prices by year ................................................................................................... 20 Figure 4.1 Future districts supply ........................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 4.2 New supply by year ............................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 4.3 Rural districts ............................................................................................................................................ 25 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Sector Nam Long Corporation Executive Summary New supply limited Following a late 2019 rebound, the effects of Tet and mostly Covid-19, saw new supply down 76% (quarter on quarter) QoQ. The two first quarter launches, Green Center Villas in Tay Ho district and Him Lam New Star in Long Bien, provided a total 130 dwellings: and the primary market with 1,345 dwellings from 24 active projects. Ha Dong with over 50% share continued to lead primary supply. Low absorption Quarterly absorption fell 21%, down -27 ppts QoQ and -16 ppts year on year (YoY) to its lowest since 2017. However, first quarter absorption is typically the lowest of the year, with the highest in the second or fourth quarters. With COVID-19 contained so far, absorption is likely to increase in the following quarters. Socially distanced Social distancing has significantly limited activities, including construction. The government has responded with financial support and policies to help business survive. However, post COVID19 more property related abatements may be required to stimulate demand. Increased secondary prices Villa average secondary prices of US$3,119/m², increased 1% QoQ and 7% YoY; the Townhouse average was US$3,802/m², up 3% QoQ and 8% YoY. Shophouse was US$5,714/m², increasing 3% QoQ and 4% YoY. Since 2015, average Villa secondary prices have increased 7% YoY, and Townhouse prices by 6% pa. Outlook uncertain New supply fell -42% YoY from 2019 but is forecast to remain steady in 2020. In the next nine months, approximately 13 Villa/Townhouse projects will enter providing 2,100 dwellings, mostly in districts Hoang Mai, Ha Dong, and Tu Liem. The pandemic has led to many 2020 launches delayed for a minimum of a year. From 2020 to 2025, Hoai Duc, Gia Lam, Dong Anh, Dan Phuong, and Thanh Tri are becoming new urban districts, boosting their appeal and demand. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 4 1. SUPPLY 1.1. OVERALL The Villa/Townhouse market is subdivided into two zones of Hanoi districts. ▪ Zone 1: Ba Dinh, Hoan Kiem, Hai Ba Trung, Dong Da, Tay Ho, Hoang Mai, Long Bien, Cau Giay, Tu Liem, Thanh Xuan, Thanh Tri and Gia Lam. ▪ Zone 2: Ha Dong, Hoai Duc, Quoc Oai, Dan Phuong, Chuong My, Dong Anh, Me Linh, Thuong Tin and Thach That. Stock from 217 projects was approximately 51,207 dwellings, up 3% QoQ and 7% YoY. Break down is 21,437 Villas, 25,941 Townhouses and 3,829 Shophouses. ▪ Two newly launched projects provided 130 dwellings. ▪ Three active projects launched their next phases, adding a total 506 dwellings. ▪ One project added to the database provided 40 dwellings. Table 1.1 Newly launched supply Project District Type Villa Green Center Villas - Phase 1 Tay Ho New project 6 Long Bien New project Him Lam New Star Total Town house Shop house Total 75 81 49 6 49 49 75 130 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy The primary market had 1,345 dwellings from 24 active projects, accounting for a 3% share. In the secondary market, 49,862 dwellings from 193 fully sold developments and 21 active projects were equivalent to 97% of total stock. Zone 1 led with 26,694 dwellings, representing a 52% share. With 24% of total stock, Ha Dong district in Zone 2 was the leading supplier. Table 1.2 Project sales Type Projects Primary Secondary Total Active projects 24 1,345 2,856 4,201 Fully sold projects 193 - 47,006 47,006 Total 217 1,345 49,862 51,207 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 5 District supply Zone 1 Thuong Tin Chuong My Dong Anh Quoc Oai Dan Phuong Shophouse Thach That Me Linh Hoai Duc Townhouse Others Gia Lam Long Bien Tu Liem Hoang Mai Tay Ho Villa Ha Dong Dwellings 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Cau Giay Figure 1.1 Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 6 1.2. PRIMARY SUPPLY Twenty-four active projects provided 1,345 dwellings: 580 villas, 445 townhouses and 320 shophouses. Zone 1 had 16 projects, supplying 526 dwellings, equivalent to 39% of primary stock. ▪ Long Bien district led Zone 1 primary supply, providing 137 dwellings from five active projects and a 10% share. ▪ Gia Lam district had 1 active project and 114 dwellings for an 8% share; Tay Ho District with two active projects, providing 111 dwellings accounted for an 8% share. And Hoang Mai district with three active projects and a total 96 dwellings , had a 7% share. ▪ The ‘Others’ districts; Ba Dinh, Tu Liem, Dong Da, and Hai Ba Trung, had a total five projects providing 68 dwellings and a 5% share. Eight projects in Zone 2 supplied 819 dwellings, representing 61% of primary stock. ▪ Ha Dong district had 684 dwellings, equivalent to a 51% share. Dong Anh district had a 9% share from one project providing 121 dwellings. ▪ Thach That and Me Linh had two projects supplying 14 dwellings and representing 1% of stock. Figure 1.2 Districts primary stock Dwellings 800 Villa Townhouse Shophouse Projects Projects 700 6 5 600 4 500 400 3 300 2 200 1 100 0 0 Long Bien Gia Lam Tay Ho Hoang Mai Others Ha Dong Dong Anh Me Linh Zone 1 Thach That Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 7 Zone 1 Villas accounted for 24% of primary stock: Townhouses for 23%, and Shophouses, 53 percent. Zone 1 central locations with high population density had more Shophouses than Zone two. Zone 2 Townhouses represented 40% of primary stock and Villas, fifty-five percent. Table 1.3 Primary share Zone Zone 1 Zone 2 Total Villa Townhouse Shophouse Total Projects 124 120 282 526 16 24% 23% 53% 100% 456 325 38 819 55% 40% 5% 100% 580 445 320 1,345 8 24 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Nam Cuong Group had 33% of primary stock from three active projects. GTC, 16% from TSQ Galaxy, while Dong Anh Development JSC had a 9% share from Happy Land. Vimefulland and Hai Phat Invest each had a 9% share: Bitexco, 7% and CenInvest, four percent. Figure 1.3 Developer share 7% 4% 13% Others Nam Cuong Group 9% GTC., JSC 9% Dong Anh Development JSC 33% 9% Vimefulland Hai Phat Invest 16% Bitexco CenInvest Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 8 New supply was from two projects, Green Center Villas in Tay Ho district, and Him Lam New Star in Long Bien. Green Center Villas was developed by Vimefulland in the Ciputra International Urban Area, Phu Thuong Ward, Tay Ho district. It has three blocks referenced as BT5A, BT5B and BT5C, providing 81 dwellings: and an entertainment complex with an outdoor pool, fitness, spa, golf range, international school and shopping centre. It benefits from excellent local infrastructure and easy access to Noi Bai Airport, E Hospital, My Dinh national sports complex and central Ha Noi. Him Lam New Star developed by the Him Lam Corporation is on a 0.4ha site in Thuong Thanh Ward, Long Bien district. The project launched all its 49 townhouses with land areas (LA) from 64 m2 to 83 m2. Project highlights are convenient local and regional connectivity: the central districts are a 15 minute-drive, and Noi Bai Airport and the northern provinces easily accessible. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 9 SECONDARY SUPPLY Stock was approximately 49,862 dwellings from 214 projects, comprising 20,857 Villas, 25,496 Townhouses and 3,509 Shophouses. Zone One had 52% stock from 146 projects providing 26,168 dwellings made up of 11,285 Villas, 11,963 Townhouses, and 2,920 Shophouses. ▪ Hoang Mai in Zone 1 with 7,218 dwellings or 14%, led secondary supply. Tu Liem District accounted had a 12% share from 6,023 dwellings. With 4,848 dwellings Long Bien District represented 10% of secondary stock. ▪ The least supply was from the ‘Others’ districts - Thanh Tri, Thanh Xuan, Hai Ba Trung, Ba Dinh and Dong Da – cumulatively 27 projects providing 1,682 dwellings for a 3% share. Zone 2 had 48% of secondary stock from 68 projects and 23,694 dwellings: 9,572 Villas, 13,533 Townhouses and 589 Shophouses. ▪ Ha Dong district with approximately 11,713 dwellings from 32 projects was the largest Zone 2 secondary supplier. Hoai Duc followed with 7,153 dwellings, or 14% from 16 projects. ▪ Thach That, Dan Phuong, Quoc Oai, Dong Anh, Chuong My, and Thuong Tin had the lowest secondary stock. Eleven projects supplying 2,832 dwellings, represented 6% of secondary supply. Secondary stock Zone 1 Projects Thuong Tin Chuong My 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Dong Anh Quoc Oai Projects Dan Phuong Thach That Me Linh Shophouse Hoai Duc Ha Dong Gia Lam Long Bien Tu Liem 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Townhouse Others Villa Tay Ho Dwellings Cau Giay Figure 1.4 Hoang Mai 1.3. Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 10 2. PERFORMANCE 2.1. PRIMARY MARKET By Year From 2015-2017, segment sales increased 50% pa and from 2017 to 2019 yearly sales of 4,500 and absorption in 2019 was 87%, up 24 ppts YoY. However, first quarter absorption was its lowest in three years with Townhouse and Shophouse accounting for 48% of sales. Figure 2.1 Primary performance Dwellings 5,000 Villa Townhouse Shophouse Absorption rate % 100 4,500 90 4,000 80 3,500 70 3,000 60 2,500 50 2,000 40 1,500 30 1,000 20 500 10 0 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q1/2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 11 Q1/2020 Absorption was 98%, down -0.7 ppts QoQ and up 2 ppts YoY. Quarterly absorption fell 21%, down -27 ppts QoQ and -16 ppts YoY. There were just 281 sales, down -54% QoQ and -75% YoY. Figure 2.2 Primary absorption Inventory Dwellings Sales Absorption to date 800 100% 700 80% 600 500 60% 400 40% 300 200 20% 100 0 0% Long Bien Gia Tay Ho Hoang Tu Lam Mai Liem Ba Dinh Dong Hai Ba Ha Dong Da Trung Dong Anh Zone 1 Me Linh Thach That Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Villas accounted for 52% of sales, Shophouses for 30% and Townhouses, nineteen percent. Ha Dong district had 46% while Gia Lam District and Hoang Mai both made 14% of sales. Long Bien and Tu Liem Districts each had 9%, and the ‘Others’ seven percent. Figure 2.3 District sales 7% Ha Dong 9% Gia Lam 9% 46% Hoang Mai Long Bien 14% Tu Liem 14% Others Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 12 The two newly launched projects achieved 24 sales for a 9% share. Green Center Villas absorption was 16% and Him Lam New Star was at twenty two percent. Figure 2.4 90 Newly launched performance Dwellings Inventory Sales Absorption to date 100% 80 80% 70 60 60% 50 40 40% 30 20 20% 10 - 0% Green Center Villas - Phase 1 Him Lam New Star Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Average Primary Prices Villa average primary price was US$3,996/m², down -27% QoQ and -11% YoY. Townhouse was US$4,082/m², down -7% QoQ but up 33% YoY; and the Shophouse average was US$6,216/m2, down -24% QoQ and up 32% YoY. The overall average price decline is a result of supply increases in lower priced outer urban districts, mainly Ha Dong and Gia Lam. Ba Dinh district had the highest average Villa primary price of US$15,776/m² and Ha Dong district was lowest at approximately US$2,870/m². Dong Da district had the highest average Townhouse primary price of approximately US$10,325/m2, and Me Linh District was lowest at US$1,402/m². Tay Ho District Shophouses had the highest average primary price of US$9,779/m² and Gia Lam District at US$2,819/m², the lowest. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 13 Figure 2.5 Primary asking price US$/m² Villa Townhouse Shophouse 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Ba Dinh Dong Da Tay Ho Hoang Tu Liem Mai Long Bien Gia Lam Ha Dong Dong Anh Zone 1 Me Linh Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Note: The price included land, bare shell construction cost Newly launched Green Center Villas average primary price for Villas was US$10,189/m² and their Shophouses were US$9,779/m². The Him Lam New Star Townhouse average was US$4,103/m². Table 2.1 Average new supply prices Project District Villa (US$/m²) Green Center Villas - Phase 1 Tay Ho 10,189 Him Lam New Star Long Bien Townhouse (US$/m²) Shophouse (US$/m²) 9,779 4,103 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 14 SECONDARY MARKET Average Villa secondary price was US$3,119/m², up 1% QoQ and 7% YoY; while the Townhouse average secondary price was US$3,802/m², up 3% QoQ and 8% YoY; and Shophouse was US$5,714/m², increasing 3% QoQ and 4% YoY. Zone 1 average asking prices are higher than Zone 2, supported by a superior location, infrastructure and public facilities. ▪ The average Zone 1 Villa price was approximately US$4,221/m² whilst Townhouses averaged US$5,138/m²: and Shophouses, US$6,295/m². o Ba Dinh district in Zone 1 had the highest Villa asking price of US$17,494/m² but Dong Da district had the highest Townhouse price of US$11,113/m² and the highest Shophouse price of US$11,862/m². o Thanh Tri District had the lowest Villa price of US$2,519/m² and the lowest Townhouse price of US$2,859/m². Gia Lam District had the lowest shophouse price of US$4,379/m². ▪ Zone 2 Villa average price was approximately US$1,798/m² and a Townhouse average of approximately US$2,674/m² with Shophouses at US$3,823/m². o Ha Dong in Zone 2 had the highest Villa asking prices of US$2,721/m² with Townhouses at US$3,093/m²; but Shophouse was highest at US$4,933/m². o The lowest Villa prices in Thach That District were US$781/m²; the lowest Townhouse price of US$1,374/m² was in Me Linh district, while Quoc Oai district Shophouse prices were lowest at US$1,559/m². Zone 1 Thach That Me Linh Chuong My Thuong Tin Quoc Oai Dan Phuong Dong Anh Shophouse Hoai Duc Ha Dong Long Bien Townhouse Tu Liem Thanh Xuan Hoang Mai Hai Ba Trung Tay Ho Cau Giay Villa Thanh Tri US$/m² Dong Da 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Secondary district asking prices Gia Lam Figure 2.6 Ba Dinh 2.2. Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 15 Unit Prices Typical Townhouse/Shophouse LAs are 90 to 120 m²: and for Villas, between 150 to 300 m². ▪ Ba Dinh district at US$3,199,566 had the highest Villa asking price. ▪ Tay Ho district at US$887,695 had the highest Townhouse asking price . ▪ Cau Giay district with US$1,658,895 had the highest Shophouse asking price. ▪ The lowest Villa average asking price of US$235,716 was in Me Linh district. ▪ Lowest Townhouse average asking price of US$105,791 was in Chuong My. ▪ The lowest Shophouse asking price of US$225,217 was in Hoai Duc district. Figure 2.7 Average secondary asking prices US$/unit 3,500,000 Villa Townhouse Shophouse 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 Zone 1 Chuong My Thuong Tin Me Linh Quoc Oai Dan Phuong Thach That Dong Anh Hoai Duc Ha Dong Thanh Tri Gia Lam Hoang Mai Long Bien Thanh Xuan Tay Ho Tu Liem Hai Ba Trung Dong Da Cau Giay Ba Dinh 0 Zone 2 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 16 Fifty-eight percent of Zone 2 average secondary prices were under US$300,000/dwelling. Thirteen percent of Zone 1 average secondary prices were over US$1,000,000/dwelling, whilst Zone 2 had none. Zone 2 Zone prices Villa/Townhouse/Shophouse Zone 1 Figure 2.8 Villa/Townhouse/Shophouse 0% ≤ US$300,000 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% US$300,000 - 500,000 US$500,000 - 1,000,000 ≥ US$1,000,000 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 17 3. DEMAND Overview Dwellings priced below US$300,000 account for 35% of stock; 7% of stock was valued over US$1,000,000 and the remaining 58% were from US$300,000 to US$1,000,000. Dwellings over US$1,000,000 accounted for 4% of stock in 2015, since increasing to 10% in 2019. However, only 7% of dwellings valued over US$1,000,000 in Q1/2020 were up for sale. Figure 3.1 Dwelling prices 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2016 ≤ US$300,000 2017 US$300,000 - 500,000 2018 2019 US$500,000 - 1,000,000 2020 ≥ US$1,000,000 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 18 Low Absorption Quarterly absorption fell 21%, down -27 ppts QoQ and -16 ppts YoY to its lowest in 3 years. However, first quarter absorption is typically the lowest of the year alongside the highest sales in the second or fourth quarters. Figure 3.2 Quarterly absorption 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2018 Q2 Q3 2019 Q4 Q1 2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy For five years, Q1 has represented around 18% of total sales, but Q1/2020 performance was affected by seasonal factors, and more by COVID-19. Absorption is expected to be higher in the following quarters if COVID-19 remains contained. Social Distancing Social distancing has greatly limited activities, including construction. According to Real Estate Trading Law, Article 57, payment schedules are to align with construction progress. Any construction delays would see a corresponding delay in payments, adding pressure on developers to ensure their schedules are maintained as published. Ha Noi Department of Construction recently issued a permit for all construction works in the area to get underway again, but only through strict compliance with containment measures. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 19 Prices By end Q1/2020, most developers by not reducing asking prices, kept prices stable and even led to increases in some projects. With fluctuating Stock and Commodity Markets, Real Estate, notably landed property, remains a favored investment. Should the pandemic continue, developers may be pushed to offer price reductions or more flexible payment schedules. Average secondary prices have steadily increased; since 2015 average Villa secondary prices have increased 7% pa, and Townhouses by 6% pa. Figure 3.3 Average secondary prices by year Villa 4,000 Townhouse US$/m2 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy From 2015 to 2017, average Villa and Townhouse secondary prices saw robust growth. The average secondary Villa price in 2016 was US$2,480/m², up 11% YoY, whilst in 2017, the average price was US$2,825/m², up 14% YoY. The average secondary Townhouse price in 2016 was US$3,227/m², up 15% YoY; and in 2017, the average was US$3,418/m², up 6% YoY. In Q1/2020, average Villa secondary prices were US$3,119/m², Townhouse was US$3,802/m². Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 20 4. OUTLOOK 4.1. SUPPLY From 2020 until year-end 2021, twenty-one projects will enter on a combined scale of approximately 951 ha, including the BRG Smart City project with 272 ha in Dong Anh district. In the next nine months, eleven projects will provide approximately 2,100 dwellings, mostly in districts Hoang Mai, Tu Liem, Tay Ho, and Ha Dong. Table 4.1 2020 – 2021 projects Project Developer District Units Status Sunshine Group Tay Ho 27 Under Construction CenInvest Long Bien 44 Under Construction Bac Ha Tay Ho 10 Under Construction Sunshine Group Tay Ho 60 Infrastructure Him Lam Corp Ha Dong 222 Under Construction Nam Cuong Group Ha Dong 72 Under Construction Vimefulland Hoang Mai 43 Infrastructure HD Mon Holdings Tu Liem 20 Under Construction Vimefulland Tu Liem 238 Infrastructure La Vong Group Hoang Mai 503 Site Clearance FLC Tu Liem 145 Planning Bitexco Hoang Mai 508 Infrastructure Sunshine Wonder Villas 2 Sunshine Group Tay Ho 206 Infrastructure Athena Fulland - Athens Vimefulland Thanh Tri 528 Site Clearance An Vuong Villa - Phase 2 Nam Cuong Group Ha Dong 420 Infrastructure MIK Tu Liem 22 Site Clearance An Lac Investment Jsc Hoai Duc 300 Under Construction Sunshine Golden River Binh Minh Garden 6th Element Sunshine Crystal River Him Lam Van Phuc Sol Lake Villa Aurora Garden The Zei Jade Orchid Garden Louis City Hoang Mai FLC Premier Park The Manor Central Park The Matrix One An Lac Green Symphony Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 21 Project Him Lam Vinh Tuy Green Center Villas - Phase 2 BRG Smart city Developer District Units Status Him Lam Corp Long Bien 147 Infrastructure Vimefulland Tay Ho 150 Under Construction BRG - Sumitomo Dong Anh N/A Under Construction Vingroup Dong Anh 4,245 Planning Vinhomes Co Loa Source: Savills Research & Consultancy From 2020 onwards, 130 new projects on a combined 9,287ha will enter mainly in Zone 2; and in Zone 1 54 new projects will provide approximately 2,221 ha. Figure 4.1 2,500 Future districts supply Ha Scale Projects Projects 30 25 2,000 20 1,500 15 1,000 10 Zone 1 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation Son Tay Quoc Oai Dan Phuong Ha Dong Me Linh Hoai Duc Thach That Dong Anh Cau Giay Hai Ba Trung Thanh Xuan Tay Ho Thanh Tri 0 Tu Liem 0 Hoang Mai 5 Long Bien 500 Zone 2 22 4.2. TRENDS New Supply New supply has switched direction in the last five years. From 2016 to 2017 it increased over 150% from new projects increasing 48% YoY. However, in 2017-2019 new supply decreased 30% pa and new projects reduced from 34 to seventeen. Figure 4.2 New supply by year New Supply 6,000 New Projects Projects Dwellings 40 35 5,000 30 4,000 25 3,000 20 15 2,000 10 1,000 5 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy In Q1/2020, new supply of 676 dwellings included 130 dwellings from two newly launched projects and 546 dwellings from active projects. New supply in 2020 is expected to be stable. The pandemic has already resulted in delays for many 2020 launches. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 23 COVID-19 In response to social distancing, the Government released multiple policies to spur investment and support recovery. These include credit packages with preferential interest rates; postponed payments of VAT, corporate income tax, and land rent; plus, temporary suspension of social insurance fund payments and union fees. Business continuity initiatives may mitigate any initial damage, but in the longer term more property restrictions may need easing to stimulate recovery post COVID-19. Over recent years many restrictions have been applied to Real Estate. The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) regulates the rate of using short-term capital for medium and long-term loans to 40%, a slight downturn of 5% compared to the former period. These changes would force commercial banks to increase long-term mobilization and enterprises to engage with short-term loans whilst creating pressure on liquidity and rotation of short-term cash flow. Besides, the increase in risk weighting has squeezed credit flows in Real Estate. Government response to COVID-19 has been highly appraised after mass mobilization of the health care system and transparency in news and media. The situation was regularly updated through trusted websites and VTV. A mobile app ‘NCOVI’ was created by the Information & Communications and Health Ministries. For a Universal Health Declaration and situation updates, when launched it became most downloaded app in App Store, Vietnam. A further app, Ha Noi SmartCity monitored infections and those requiring quarantine and provided regular updates of the situation in Ha Noi and Viet Nam. COVID-19 has urged Government to move forward with the Smart City concept. Recently, BRG and Sumitomo commenced a 271 ha Smart City project in Dong Anh. The project will be over five phases and supply approximately 7,000 Apartments and Villa/townhouses. Major features to be implemented include Smart Energy, Smart Mobility, Smart Governance, Smart Learning, Smart Economy, and Smart Living. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 24 Urban Districts Hoai Duc, Gia Lam, Dong Anh, Dan Phuong, and Thanh Tri are set to become new urban districts, giving a boost to Real Estate in these areas. National Assembly Standing Committee Resolution No. 1211/2016/ UBTVQH13 outlines the guidelines for urban district status: a minimum 150,000 population, an area of at least 35 km2; and a minimum 12 wards meeting defined structural and socio-economic development standards. Figure 4.3 Rural districts Population 300 Area Thousand People Km2 200 180 250 160 140 200 120 150 100 80 100 60 40 50 20 0 0 Hoai Duc Gia Lam Dong Anh Thanh Tri Dan Phuong Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 25 5. SWOT The SWOT analysis will consider strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to this market segment. The details of the report cover many other aspects and the SWOT analysis should not be read in isolation. Strengths ▪ Landed properties remain most favoured. ▪ More affordable products. ▪ Shophouses are rising in popularity. ▪ Stable primary prices in most projects. ▪ Average secondary price increases. ▪ Low absorption due to COVID-19 and Tet. ▪ Large secondary supply. ▪ NUAs lacking essential infrastructure affects affordable landed development. Weaknesses ▪ Projects are generally located in outlying districts, lacking effective infrastructure and long commutes. Opportunities Threats ▪ High unit price, small target market. ▪ Rural districts becoming urban districts in the next five years. ▪ Existing and new future infrastructure will ease congestion and improve outlying area accessibility. ▪ Possible NUAs around priority Metro lines 2, 3 and 5 in 2018-2025. ▪ Social distancing and COVID-19 effects. ▪ Q1 and Q3 performance temporarily decreased. ▪ Increasing competition from affordable private landed houses. ▪ Lower short-term capital rates for medium and long-term loans and higher risk weighting for Real Estate businesses. ▪ Inflation may lead to tighter SBV monetary policy. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 26 Research Parameters Data Collection: methods include observation, personal interview, telephone survey, internet survey, mail survey, and Savills inter-department group discussions. Analysis Methods: direct comparison, descriptive analysis, in-depth analysis, trend analysis, event-history analysis. Scope of Study: focused on the Villa/Townhouse market in two zones: Zone 1: original Hanoi districts: Ba Dinh, Hoan Kiem, Hai Ba Trung, Dong Da, Tay Ho, Hoang Mai, Long Bien, Cau Giay, Tu Liem, Thanh Xuan, Thanh Tri and Gia Lam. Zone 2 covers Ha Dong, Hoai Duc, Quoc Oai, Dan Phuong, Chuong My, Dong Anh, Me Linh, Thuong Tin and Thach That. Research Limitation: The Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Note: the exchange rate used is VND 23,050/US$1. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 27 Definitions Term Term explanation Primary stock Villas/Townhouses available for sale directly from the developer in the studied quarter. Secondary stock Villas/Townhouses that have been offered by the original purchasers. Quarterly absorption Number of primary Villa/Townhouses sold in a quarter over total available primary stock. Absorption to date Number of primary Villa/Townhouses sales plus secondary dwellings over total stock in the quarter. Zone 1 Including the original city districts: Ba Dinh, Hoan Kiem, Hai Ba Trung, Dong Da, Tay Ho, Hoang Mai, Long Bien, Cau Giay, Tu Liem, Thanh Xuan, Thanh Tri and Gia Lam. Zone 2 Including: Ha Dong, Hoai Duc, Quoc Oai, Dan Phuong, Chuong My, Dong Anh, Me Linh, Thuong Tin and Thach That. VAT Value Added Tax of 10% payable by the buyer of a property. NUA New Urban Area Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 28 Appendix 1: Current Projects Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 29 Appendix 1: Primary Villa/Townhouse Projects Launched dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Absorption (%) Shop house Total Villa Town house Primary price (US$/m²) excl. VAT Shop house Villa Town house Shop house 1 Xanh Villas Thach That 500 500 99% 99% 2 Khai Son Hill Long Bien Long Bien 72 72 64% 64% 3 The Manor Central Park Hoang Mai 558 123 56 91% 67% 100% 4 An Khang Villa Ha Dong 395 353 42 96% 96% 100% 5 Porte De Villa Lang Ha Dong Da 34 34 91% 91% 6 Green Park Vinh Hung Hoang Mai 94 94 100% 100% 7 Golden Pearl Hoang Mai 20 20 75% 75% 5,052 8 Park city - The Mansions Ha Dong 146 146 86% 86% 5,266 9 An Vuong Villa Ha Dong 475 475 10 Minori Village Hai Ba Trung 42 4 11 Hateco Green Park Tu Liem 54 26 12 Khai Son Town Long Bien 210 210 100% 100% 5,316 13 TSG Lotus Sai Dong Long Bien 21 21 90% 90% 5,914 14 Long Viet Riverside Me Linh 136 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 379 4,268 43% 43% 38 100% 100% 100% 28 93% 85% 100% 136 95% 97% 6,232 9,468 4,073 10,325 3,275 95% 2,870 2,884 1,402 30 Launched dwellings No. Project 15 Thuan An Central Lake 16 Happy Land 17 Sunshine Wonder Villa 18 District Total Villa Town house Absorption (%) Shop house Total 250 70% Villa Town house Primary price (US$/m²) excl. VAT Shop house Villa Town house Gia Lam 250 Dong Anh 346 Tay Ho 237 141 Sol Lake Villa Ha Dong 37 19 Grandeur Palace - Giang Vo Ba Dinh 32 20 Binh Minh Garden Long Bien 57 21 TSQ Galaxy Ha Dong 315 6 22 Green Center Villas - Phase 1 Tay Ho 81 6 23 Him Lam New Star Long Bien 49 49 22% 22% 4,103 24 Iris Garden Xuan Hoa Tu Liem 40 40 45% 45% 5,369 Total 4,201 346 70% 65% 2,819 65% 2,073 87% 79% 37 14% 14% 1,913 32 84% 84% 15,776 1,775 96 252 1,281 57 23% 57 32% 100% 75 16% 67% 1,145 75% 100% 8,241 23% 76% 30% 4,987 33% 12% 69% Shop house 79% 4,891 10,189 3,996 8,606 9,779 4,082 6,216 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 31 Appendix 2: Secondary Projects Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 32 Appendix 2: Secondary Villa/Townhouse Projects Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 1 Housing for the preferential objects in Yen Hoa Urban Area Cau Giay 96 96 2 Yen Hoa NUA Cau Giay 206 86 120 2,226,485 746,204 7,454 8,291 3 Dich Vong NUA Cau Giay 154 72 82 1,635,141 764,317 7,059 8,040 4 Trung Yen NUA Cau Giay 704 62 642 1,686,551 622,397 7,666 8,288 5 Thang long international village Cau Giay 95 55 40 1,334,779 825,163 6,674 7,501 6 Yen Hoa Dwelling Quarter and public facilities Cau Giay 38 38 7 Trung Hoa - Nhan Chinh NUA Cau Giay 138 28 8 Vimeco 's Vocational School, Kindergarten cum Residential Complex Cau Giay 23 23 9 RichLand Southern Cau Giay 19 10 Vinaconex 3's Residential Area Tu Liem 20 20 744,324 11 Chelsea Park (in Yen Hoa NUA - Lot E1) Cau Giay 10 10 1,704,881 12 Trung Hoa - Nhan Chinh Resettlement Area (Ba Dinh) Cau Giay 80 80 803,181 8,407 13 An Sinh Residences Cau Giay 39 39 1,191,902 9,225 14 My Dinh II NUA Tu Liem 205 205 15 My Dinh - Me Tri NUA Tu Liem 234 132 16 Trung Van NUA Tu Liem 110 110 17 My Dinh I NUA Tu Liem 169 92 18 Me Tri Ha NUA Tu Liem 86 86 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 1,420,824 5,857 1,995,174 110 1,337,039 8,260 597,469 1,431,128 19 515,401 1,150,990 598,698 631,092 1,156,021 5,727 4,285 5,443 9,970 4,653 1,017,874 765,727 77 8,270 10,601 795,452 102 6,508 6,010 8,529 4,497 518,091 5,136 5,373 6,025 33 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 19 Trung Van Dwelling - Vinaconex 3 Tu Liem 147 82 65 765,727 598,698 4,497 5,443 20 Co Nhue - Xuan Dinh NUA Tu Liem 113 66 47 724,986 315,172 2,815 2,987 21 Me Tri Thuong NUA Tu Liem 64 64 748,030 5,320 22 Nghia Do NUA Tu Liem 57 57 908,623 5,689 23 The Manor Tu Liem 103 24 24 Dai Mo Residence Area Tu Liem 20 25 Vimeco E9 Tu Liem 14 14 26 Vietnam International Exchange City Urban Area Tu Liem 448 8 346 27 Xuan Dinh Residential Complex Tu Liem 100 40 28 Dream Town NUA Tu Liem 50 29 Xuan Phuong NUA Tu Liem 400 30 Licogi 13's Residential Project (Thanh Xuan) Thanh Xuan 14 14 31 Project at 38 Quan Nhan (Thanh Xuan) Thanh Xuan 15 15 32 Ha Dinh NUA Thanh Xuan 70 30 33 Project at 310 Minh Khai (Hai Ba Trung) Hai Ba Trung 9 9 1,021,692 7,046 34 Project at 229 Pho Vong (Hai Ba Trung) Hai Ba Trung 31 31 1,036,009 8,101 35 Phap Van -Tu Hiep NUA Hoang Mai 309 309 650,222 2,348 36 Linh Dam Peninsula NUA Hoang Mai 174 174 780,965 2,931 37 Dinh Cong NUA Hoang Mai 1,000 120 38 Northern Linh dam II Expanded NUA (X2) Hoang Mai 109 109 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 79 1,368,764 20 1,331,020 1,043,341 730,956 60 498,915 8 42 35 365 40 880 9,440 235,662 94 9,179 2,618 1,011,800 5,291 7,515 637,918 2,876 7,876 704,989 212,408 2,169 2,689 499,810 252,061 2,483 3,008 427,983 687,362 798,671 666,296 206,074 359,785 7,937 6,765 4,177 4,370 3,932 4,691 2,893 34 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 39 Northern Linh dam I Expanded NUA (X1) Hoang Mai 109 90 19 614,384 498,626 3,119 4,350 40 North Linh Dam Dwelling Hoang Mai 359 75 284 1,206,074 442,886 3,769 4,477 41 151 Nguyen Duc Canh's Residential Area Hoang Mai 60 60 42 Dai Kim - Dinh Cong NUA Hoang Mai 1,060 60 43 Vinh Hoang Residential Area Hoang Mai 110 44 Den Lu I Urban Area Hoang Mai 345 45 Den Lu II Urban Area Hoang Mai 46 Giap Bat Residential Area 47 Megastar Dominium Vinh Hung (Linh Nam) 48 483,586 3,764 1,000 405,531 335,537 2,099 5,007 47 63 666,215 637,874 5,807 5,559 39 306 267,679 5,677 351 351 228,872 4,634 Hoang Mai 24 24 132,043 3,176 Hoang Mai 12 12 237,744 2,503 Lilama Plaza Hoang Mai 15 15 49 South West Linh Dam Lake - TT1 - TT4 - TT6 - TT5 - TT2 - TT3 Hoang Mai 260 260 50 Gamuda Garden - Phase 1 Hoang Mai 344 124 220 920,463 316,377 3,185 3,515 51 Dang Xa I Gia Lam 214 132 82 349,783 225,076 2,129 1,705 52 Lam Vien NUA Gia Lam 70 21 49 314,577 226,291 2,383 1,714 53 Sai Dong NUA Long Bien 240 120 120 676,790 272,736 3,384 3,315 54 Viet Hung NUA Long Bien 600 440 160 656,440 383,861 3,451 3,286 55 Vinhomes Riverside Long Bien 1,706 1,706 56 Project at 45 Nguyen Son Long Bien 11 57 Thach Ban New City-Phase 1 Long Bien 173 173 58 Golden Westlake Tay Ho 16 16 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 1,028,742 4,223 835,047 3,057 346,956 2,524 11 35 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 59 Ciputra (South Thang Long NUA-Tay Ho) Tay Ho 825 825 801,591 5,401 60 Ciputra - Phase 3 Tay Ho 96 96 883,673 5,310 61 Cau Buou NUA (Thanh Tri) Thanh Tri 200 200 62 Dai Thanh Mix-Use Thanh Tri 345 45 300 63 Van Khe NUA Ha Dong 926 94 832 450,343 202,805 64 Van Phu NUA Ha Dong 2,600 530 2,070 414,946 231,236 65 Van Quan NUA Ha Dong 1,236 19 1,217 708,677 66 Xa La NUA Ha Dong 700 200 500 510,195 67 Bac Ha Residential Area Ha Dong 120 22 98 68 Hyundai Hill State phase 1+2 Ha Dong 100 88 69 Vietnamese European Village Ha Dong 530 256 70 Park city - Nadyne Gardens Ha Dong 177 24 71 Chuom Ngo - Bong Do (South La Khe) Ha Dong 123 10 72 La Khe - Van Khe apartment and townhouse Ha Dong 59 73 Duong Noi NUA Phase 1 Ha Dong 713 284 429 429,501 252,495 2,512 2,820 74 Phung Khoang NUA Ha Dong 148 44 104 708,292 206,594 5,019 4,781 75 An Hung NUA Ha Dong 800 300 500 669,957 291,323 2,564 3,420 76 Van Phuc Sub-NUA Ha Dong 26 26 77 Kien Hung Residential Area (CT6) Ha Dong 60 60 145,336 2,422 78 Ha Phong NUA - P1 Me Linh 278 278 273,631 1,544 79 Ba Dinh Residential Project Me Linh 36 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 298,265 240,616 2,386 158,959 2,538 2,480 2,120 3,130 2,473 2,569 324,794 3,140 3,319 257,787 2,690 3,183 890,374 482,592 4,096 5,652 12 602,499 237,744 3,759 2,797 274 699,566 329,978 4,348 4,389 153 767,896 350,542 3,200 2,921 113 295,011 196,491 2,950 3,015 59 212,364 190,456 557,729 3,922 3,689 2,399 36 36 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 80 Chi Dong NUA - P1 Me Linh 450 450 81 Quang Minh NUA - Long Viet Me Linh 331 331 82 Tung Phuong P1 Me Linh 60 83 Kim Hoa - Phuc Thang NUA Me Linh 154 40 114 84 Minh Giang Dam Va NUA - P1+2+3 Me Linh 408 324 84 85 Quang Minh NUA - Vinaconex 2 Me Linh 150 150 86 Le Trong Tan NUA - zone A Hoai Duc 1,000 70 930 491,811 213,484 1,817 2,341 87 Le Trong Tan NUA - zone B, C, D Hoai Duc 1,200 200 1,000 374,187 205,249 1,540 2,161 88 An Khanh - An Thuong NUA Hoai Duc 340 200 140 405,748 251,627 1,179 1,258 89 Bao Son villas Hoai Duc 90 90 472,046 1,752 90 Phuong Vien Villas Hoai Duc 70 70 91 Hoa Phuong Villas Hoai Duc 147 147 364,666 1,546 92 Duc Thuong Residential Area Hoai Duc 200 Hoai Duc 500 380 120 318,364 151,844 1,744 1,997 Hoai Duc 553 236 317 732,104 285,524 2,664 2,139 251 509,761 216,078 1,649 1,937 93 94 North National Highway 32 Urban Area Splendora (North An Khanh) NUA Phase 1 181,279 LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 784 318,807 60 859 60,547 165,744 144,625 366,811 200 569 949 142,911 1,748 95 Van Canh NUA Hoai Duc 472 221 96 Orange Garden NUA Hoai Duc 621 621 97 Kim Chung - Di Trach Phase 1 Hoai Duc 400 200 200 98 South An Khanh Phase 1 Hoai Duc 153 100 53 99 CEO Quoc Oai Quoc Oai 350 350 281,475 1,010 100 New House Urban Area Quoc Oai 265 265 230,051 1,056 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 323,183 1,318 194,360 281,955 1,178 965 241,944 1,944 1,253 1,501 37 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house 174 Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 101 Tan Tay Do Urban Area Dan Phuong 289 115 102 The Phoenix Garden Dan Phuong 468 468 103 Lexington (Ao Sao Urban Area) Hoang Mai 277 104 Expanded Dai Kim - Dinh Cong New Urban Area Hoang Mai 35 105 The Premier Cau Giay 55 106 Xanh Villas Thach That 500 107 HDI - C9 Vu Pham Ham Cau Giay 50 50 1,092,191 9,210 108 671 Hoang Hoa Tham Tay Ho 33 33 922,256 7,980 109 Wall Street Residence Cau Giay 30 110 TIG Dai Mo - Green Garden House Tu Liem 46 111 Park city - Evelyne Gardens Ha Dong 165 18 147 640,889 428,590 3,369 3,262 112 Gamuda Garden - Phase 2 Hoang Mai 235 111 124 589,841 335,792 3,172 3,681 113 HDI Homes Nguyen Tuan Thanh Xuan 20 114 Tay Ho Residence Tay Ho 28 28 115 FLC Garden City Tu Liem 143 20 116 HD Mon City Tu Liem 147 117 Five Star My Dinh Tu Liem 53 118 A10 Nam Trung Yen Cau Giay 182 182 119 Pandora Thanh Xuan 104 86 120 Imperia Garden Thanh Xuan 42 121 Goldsilk Complex Ha Dong 47 47 122 Westpoint (Phase 1) Hoai Duc 549 479 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 260,094 200,477 LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 1,128 297,180 277 987 270,456 35 3,481 171,367 2,142 55 500 1,417,267 343,586 30 10,716 759 890,817 46 2,190,889 7,939 221,987 20 8,535 901,989 678,001 147 6,768 261,570 2,892 778,568 53 8,110 7,172 1,166,681 42 549,458 11,514 877,440 1,074,751 3,711 5,690 5,436 362,256 70 2,669 527,838 18 14,164 2,523 829,617 123 2,278 149,727 4,331 190,889 2,080 2,651 38 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa 100 Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 123 Diplomatic Villas Tu Liem 100 124 The Victoria Van Phu Ha Dong 148 88 60 272,885 500,651 3,315 5,563 125 Vinhomes Gardenia Tu Liem 364 38 93 233 1,851,302 528,069 983,485 5,617 7,008 7,146 126 Vinhomes Thang Long Hoai Duc 781 593 115 73 391,063 246,317 258,134 2,548 2,700 2,450 127 96-96B Nguyen Huy Tuong Thanh Xuan 60 19 41 789,588 577,585 4,935 8,489 128 Green Pearl Hai Ba Trung 61 20 41 1,279,826 589,397 7,757 7,965 129 Athena Complex Tu Liem 51 130 Trang An Complex Cau Giay 31 131 Gamuda Gardens - The One Central Hoang Mai 44 44 689,978 5,188 132 Gamuda Gardens - The Two Central Hoang Mai 55 55 556,876 5,486 133 Gamuda Gardens - The Three Central Hoang Mai 15 15 675,054 5,625 134 Phu Luong NUA Ha Dong 1,060 391 135 An Phu Shop Villa Ha Dong 246 246 136 La Casa Villa Dong Da 25 16 137 FLC Ecohouse Long Bien Long Bien 108 108 138 B4 Nam Trung Yen Cau Giay 66 23 139 Shophouse Van Phuc Ha Dong 130 140 Green Daisy (Gelex Le Trong Tan) Ha Dong 190 49 141 236,443 165,050 1,333 1,255 141 Gamuda Gardens- Phase 3 Hoang Mai 210 77 133 750,412 390,456 3,833 4,338 142 Rice City Song Hong Long Bien 58 143 Starlake (Tay Ho Tay) Tu Liem 364 280 61 23 1,366,692 967,150 1,403,037 6,680 7,726 10,629 144 Tasco Xuan Phuong Tu Liem 813 315 382 116 501,189 242,733 284,136 2,841 2,344 3,118 145 Vinhomes Green Bay Tu Liem 390 266 80 44 2,277,657 856,833 1,232,278 9,286 8,397 9,355 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 1,392,769 LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 51 11 5,066 201,232 20 1,162,961 669 460,738 2,854 606,276 5,017 160,521 1,920 456,030 9 2,568 2,719 1,159,983 1,361,388 7,323 252,972 43 6,714 1,207,520 130 12,155 3,203 1,567,028 10,063 370,499 58 11,063 6,175 189,119 3,502 39 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house Shop house Long Bien 1,499 687 754 58 16 43 146 Vinhomes The Harmony 147 Romantic Park Tay Ho 59 148 Lavender-124 Vinh Tuy Hai Ba Trung 34 149 Khai Son Hill Long Bien Long Bien 72 150 Riverside Garden Thanh Xuan 10 10 151 Sunshine Riverside Tay Ho 48 48 152 The Manor Central Park Hoang Mai 558 153 Dream Land Tu Liem 46 154 82 Nguyen Tuan Thanh xuan 48 155 Roman Plaza Tu Liem 59 156 Gelexia Riverside Hoang Mai 100 157 An Khang Villa Ha Dong 395 158 Van Phu La Casta Ha Dong 359 159 Hoa Vien - Dang Xa II Gia Lam 67 20 160 Eurowindow Riverpark Dong Anh 65 65 161 Porte De Villa Lang Ha 162 622 Minh Khai Townhouse 163 Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 863,731 365,004 1,110,629 861,171 34 379 1,076,551 611,106 700,998 6,347 737,961 6,825 436,367 3,905 2,611 281,996 337,527 5,261 4,116 536,139 116 260,562 358,581 294,317 3,204 2,064 2,353 Dong Da 34 34 880,130 10,837 61 61 769,111 8,360 Green Park Vinh Hung Hoang Mai 94 94 340,795 3,953 164 Golden Pearl Hoang Mai 20 20 260,564 3,706 165 Loc Ninh Singashine Chuong My 171 171 105,791 1,489 166 Splendora (North An Khanh) NUA Phase 2 (BT5) Hoai Duc 77 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 723,698 3,409 1,968 Hai Ba Trung 77 8,273 6,005 271,688 42 6,173 606,508 100 47 4,824 5,919 559,653 39 243 9,108 603,037 981,866 48 353 6,941 3,780 4,217 46 20 3,875 4,299 766,450 56 3,493 255,965 72 123 1,125,553 LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 2,475 40 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Tay Ho 161 161 Town house 167 GardenVille Tay Ho Residence (K Ciputra-Phase 3) 168 Park city - The Mansions Ha Dong 146 169 The Eden Rose Thanh Tri 233 52 181 170 Louis City Tu Liem 571 28 307 171 An Vuong Villa Ha Dong 475 475 172 Hateco 3 Tu Liem 58 36 173 319 Bo De Long Bien Long Bien 93 93 174 Lucky House Hoang Mai Hoang Mai 43 43 175 Phu Cat City Thach That 336 336 176 Embassy Garden- VAD 177 Minori Village 178 2,140,774 146 340,998 236 22 472,885 323,210 628,254 256,659 2,842 406,074 375,792 130 53 42 4 Athena Fulland - Larissa Hoang Mai 119 179 Shophouse Luxury 103 Nguyen Xien Thanh Xuan 12 180 Shophouse 120 Dinh Cong Hoang Mai 32 181 Gamuda Gardens- Phase 4 Hoang Mai 417 56 361 182 Hateco Green Park Tu Liem 54 26 28 183 Khai Son Town Long Bien 210 184 Imperia Plaza 360 Giai Phong Thanh Xuan 45 185 Sunshine City Ciputra Tu Liem 69 186 IA20 Ciputra Tu Liem 46 46 187 689 Pham Van Dong Townhouse Tu Liem 10 10 188 Rose Town 79 Ngoc Hoi UA Hoang Mai 43 43 3,028 3,486 2,739 2,408 261,085 2,982 600,954 77 2,328 6,908 813 1,788,069 1,380,755 7,158 11,015 38 564,756 5,497 119 605,568 6,131 12 570,499 32 6,522 403,181 5,962 390,456 392,191 4,338 306,956 210 45 3,529 3,188 256,236 Tu Liem LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 5,255 558,152 Hai Ba Trung Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 2,724 2,819 442,516 1,176,009 69 5,022 6,720 1,020,738 5,546 405,423 3,796 351,410 3,254 41 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa 311 Town house Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 407,918 4,274 189 Hacinco Nguyen Xien Hoang Mai 190 TSG Lotus Sai Dong Long Bien 21 191 Long Viet Riverside Me Linh 136 136 109,761 1,508 192 Duyen Thai Residential Thuong Tin 98 98 130,152 1,549 193 Thuan An Central Lake Gia Lam 250 194 The Terra - Hao Nam Dong Da 25 15 195 Happy Land Dong Anh 346 346 196 Vinhomes Ocean Park Gia Lam 2,421 197 CEO Sunny Garden City Quoc Oai 72 72 244,396 1,559 198 Landcom Diamond Ha Dong 12 12 237,657 3,772 199 Yen Nghia Townhouse Ha Dong 88 200 Vinhomes Smart City Tu Liem 98 98 201 Honor Village Thanh Xuan 30 1 202 90 Nguyen Tuan Townhouse Thanh Xuan 87 87 683,731 8,731 203 Nam Do Complex Hoang Mai 15 15 570,065 7,309 204 The Terra An Hung Ha Dong 166 205 Sunshine Wonder Villa Tay Ho 237 141 206 The Legacy Thanh Xuan 9 9 207 Hateco Apollo 6 Tu Liem 83 20 208 Kim Van - Kim Lu UA Hoang Mai 50 50 689,610 3,912 209 Sol Lake Villa Ha Dong 37 37 439,335 1,704 210 Grandeur Palace - Giang Vo Ba Dinh 32 32 3,199,566 17,494 211 Elegant Park Villas Long Bien 88 55 976,139 4,523 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 311 21 429,067 250 1,441 253 513,666 10 581,345 727 716,703 425,163 316,703 33 3,517 167,228 15 401,371 1,210,412 390,456 11,598 4,128 4,692 1,834 4,809 498,265 37 96 63 11,627 1,967 1,064,136 129 2,704 713,666 145,336 88 14 5,265 712,625 313,594 909,328 191,584 6,956 4,408 8,069 2,519 8,286 4,825 7,705 2,777 42 Dwellings No. Project District Total Villa Town house 100 11 89 252 212 Hoang Thanh Villas Ha Dong 213 Binh Minh Garden Long Bien 57 214 TSQ Galaxy Ha Dong 315 6 215 Green Center Villas - Phase 1 Tay Ho 81 6 216 Him Lam New Star Long Bien 49 49 217 Iris Garden Xuan Hoa Tu Liem 40 40 Total 51,207 Shop house Secondary asking price (US$/dwelling) Town Shop Villa house house 762,042 528,044 57 21,437 LA secondary asking price (US$/m²) Town Shop Villa house house 5,147 5,803 367,028 57 483,731 433,839 334,152 598,691 4,554 5,297 4,692 3,802 5,714 75 25,941 3,829 665,417 3,119 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 43 Appendix 3: Future Projects Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 44 Appendix 3: Future Projects No. Project District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) Tay Ho Sunshine Group 2020 N/A Long Bien CenInvest 2020 4.0 Tay Ho Bac Ha 2020 2.4 Tay Ho Sunshine Group 2020 5.0 Ha Dong Him Lam Corp 2020 7.0 Ha Dong Nam Cuong Group 2020 22.9 Hoang Mai Vimefulland 2020 N/A The Zei Tu Liem HD Mon Holdings 2020 0.7 Jade Orchid Garden Tu Liem Vimefulland 2020 8.0 Hoang Mai La Vong Group 2020 30.5 1 Sunshine Golden River 2 Binh Minh Garden 3 6th Element 4 Sunshine Crystal River 5 Him Lam Van Phuc 6 Sol Lake Villa 7 Aurora Garden 8 9 10 Louis City Hoang Mai 11 FLC Premier Park 12 The Manor Central Park 13 Tu Liem FLC 2020 6.4 Hoang Mai Bitexco 2020 90.0 Sunshine Wonder Villas 2 Tay Ho Sunshine Group 2020 4.3 14 Athena Fulland - Athens Thanh Tri Vimefulland 2021 18.2 15 An Vuong Villa - Phase 2 Ha Dong Nam Cuong Group 2021 138.6 16 The Matrix One Tu Liem MIK 2021 1.0 17 An Lac Green Symphony Hoai Duc An Lac Investment Jsc 2021 15.1 18 Him Lam Vinh Tuy Long Bien Him Lam Corp 2021 16.2 19 Green Center Villas - Phase 2 20 Vinhomes Wonder Park 21 Tay Ho Vimefulland 2021 10.0 Dan Phuong Vingroup Onwards 133.0 BRG Smart city Dong Anh BRG - Sumitomo 2021 271.8 22 Vinhomes Co Loa Dong Anh Vingroup 2021 299.0 23 Cityland Luxury Villas Tu Liem Cityland Onwards 6.0 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 45 No. Project District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) 24 An Vuong Villa - Phase 3 Ha Dong Nam Cuong Group Onwards 138.6 25 Doan Ket Villa Tay Ho Doan Ket Village Ltd. Onwards 1.8 26 Van Tri Avenue Villas Dong Anh Noble (Vietnam) Co.,Ltd Onwards 4.1 27 Green Planet Tu Liem THT Group Onwards 0.2 28 NewTatco Complex My Dinh Tu Liem Newtatco Co., Ltd Onwards 1.1 29 City of Dream Tu Liem Vimefulland Onwards 3.5 30 MIC Tower 54 To Huu 31 Grand Sevilla 32 Vinhomes Me Linh - Villa 33 FLC Asia Park 34 Vinhomes Me Tri 2 - Villa +Shophouse 35 Van Tri Eco-Land 36 Vibex UA 37 38 39 Tu Liem MIC Onwards 1.6 Hai Ba Trung Vimefulland Onwards 10.2 Me Linh Vingroup Onwards 30.9 Quoc Oai FLC Onwards 50.0 Tu Liem Vingroup Onwards 35.0 Dong Anh TIG Onwards 36.0 Tu Liem Vibex.,Jsc Onwards 48.6 Ha Cau Housing area Ha Dong Van Phu invest Onwards 2.3 Huu Hoa UA Thanh Tri Van Phu invest Onwards 156.0 Hoang Van Thu New Urban Area Hoang Mai Hoang Mai Urban., JSC Onwards 8.9 40 Torre Agbar Parkview Hoang Mai Vimefulland Onwards 1.7 41 Ao Mo Eco urban area Hoang Mai Vimefulland Onwards 22.9 42 Annecy Garden Hoang Mai Hoang Mai Vimefulland Onwards 7.2 43 Dong Mai Residential Area Ha Dong Phong Phu Investment & Development Jsc Onwards 209.8 44 Hanel Alphanam Urban Area Long Bien Hanel One member co., Ltd Onwards 56.0 45 Phu Lam Residential area Ha Dong Van Phu invest + Hai Phat Invest Onwards 12.9 46 Starlake Phase II Tay Ho Daewon E&C (THT) Onwards 71.5 47 Kien Hung urban area Ha Dong Van Phu invest + Hai Phat Invest Onwards 7.6 48 Lien Ninh urban area Thanh Tri N/A Onwards 8.5 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 46 No. Project District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) Onwards 8.0 49 Thanh Liet Low-rise Thanh Tri Telecommunication Technology Investment JSC. & Thanh Tri Real Estate Investment JSC. 50 Bac Lam NUA Ha Dong Van Phu invest + Hai Phat Invest Onwards 41.8 51 Highrise and Lowrise house, kinder garten and commercial Long Bien Sai Dong Land.,Jsc Onwards 1.0 52 Low rise (Plot TT-01-II, TT-02-III, TT-04-V) Cau Giay Indeco., JSC Onwards 0.7 53 Nam An Khanh new urban station Hoai Duc Dat Quang Corp., JSC Onwards 2.3 54 Thuong Thanh Urban Area Long Bien Onwards 124.3 55 Rose Valley Residences Vinh Son JSC Onwards 83.0 56 VIT Eco Villas Me Linh VIT Onwards 11.2 57 Gamuda Lakes Hoang Mai Gamuda Land Vietnam Onwards 73.0 58 South West Tan Lap NUA Dan Phuong DIA Investment and Development Ltd Onwards 39.3 Hoai Duc Viwaseen - MOC, Van Minh Import and Export Ltd Onwards 516.0 Hoang Mai Handico 7 Onwards 1.8 Me Linh Handico 59 An Thinh Hoai Duc NUA 60 Vinh Hung residential area 61 Thanh Lam - Dai Thinh 2 Me Linh HUD Onwards 55.0 62 Dong Truc - Ngoc Liep Eco-tourism Area Quoc Oai Geleximco Onwards 250.6 63 South West Kim Giang 1 New Urban Area Thanh Xuan Housing and Urban Development Corporation (HUD) Onwards 49.9 64 Hong Thai NUA Dan Phuong Song Da 9.06 Joint Stock Company Onwards 198.0 65 Son Dong New Urban Area Hoai Duc Licogic 18 Onwards 39.3 66 Yen Phu NUA Hoai Duc Vingroup Onwards N/A 67 Tay Do NUA Hoai Duc Lideco Onwards 87.9 68 Duc Giang Petroleum NUA Hoai Duc PVFC Land Onwards 58.0 69 Trung Kenh Function NUA Hoang Mai Ha Thanh Onwards 19.6 70 Ngoc Thuy urban area Long Bien VINACONEX and Song Hong Corp. Onwards 193.3 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 47 No. District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) 71 Me Linh - Dai Thinh Project Me Linh HUD Onwards 142.0 72 Thanh Lam - Dai Thinh 1 Me Linh HUD Onwards 54.0 73 Wonderland NUA Me Linh Vietnam Real Estate Information JSC Onwards N/A 74 West Ring Road 4 NUA Dan Phuong N/A Onwards 115.5 75 North Phu Cat NUA Quoc Oai VINACONEX Corporation Onwards N/A 76 Ngo Sai Residential Project Quoc Oai Cavico Land Development Onwards 10.8 77 Metropole Villas Quoc Oai Ha Tay Praha JSC Onwards 17.8 Quoc Oai Song Da 7 Jsc and Vinaconex Onwards 118.6 78 Dong Quang Urban Area 79 Ngoi-Cau Trai Tu Liem HANHUD and Gia Loc Phat Jsc Onwards 14.0 80 Eco-Minh Giang NUA Dong Anh Minh Giang Co.Ltd and Ocean Group Onwards 300.0 81 Nam Hong NUA Dong Anh UDIC Onwards 305.0 82 Song Ca Lo NUA Dong Anh Vinalines, VSG and TGEC of Switzland Onwards 450.0 83 Dong Anh Eco-Tourism Area Dong Anh Mefrimex Onwards 65.0 84 HBI - Dong Anh Complex Dong Anh Hoa Binh Investment and Development JSC Onwards 50.0 85 HimLam NUA Dong Anh Him Lam Corporation Onwards 300.0 86 Phan Trong Tue NUA Thanh Tri Lai Chau No. 1 Onwards N/A 87 CEO Me Linh NUA Me Linh CEO Group Onwards 20.2 88 Son Dong Sunshine City Hoai Duc Minh Duong Onwards 28.8 89 Tay Thien Minh Eco-NUA Quoc Oai D&S International Trading JSC Onwards 33.4 90 South Lang Hoa Lac NUA Thach That Geleximco Onwards 948.0 91 Khuong Dinh NUA Thanh Xuan VNPT land Onwards 30.0 92 Tien Duong NUA Dong Anh N/A Onwards 125.0 93 Uy No NUA Dong Anh N/A Onwards 81.0 94 Green Technology City NUA Tu Liem Blenheim Real Estate Group Onwards 57.5 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 48 No. Project District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) Tu Liem N/A Onwards 86.6 South Linh Dam Lake NUA Hoang Mai N/A Onwards 148.0 97 Him Lam Dong Do NUA Long Bien Him Lam Onwards 440.0 98 Him Lam City Long Bien Him Lam Onwards 320.0 99 Me Tri - Trung Van house Tu Liem BIC Vietnam Jsc Onwards 1.6 100 South An Khanh expanded Phase 3 Hoai Duc HUD Onwards 33.7 101 Phu La ward Residential area Ha Dong DLHC. Jsc Onwards 0.4 102 Picenza My Hung Son Tay Picenza My Hung Jsc. Onwards 4.5 103 Van La Residential area Ha Dong Sudico Onwards 12.3 104 River Land Me Linh Tien Phong invest Onwards 4.9 105 Vinhomes Hoang Mai Hoang Mai Vingroup Onwards N/A 106 Vinhomes Sai Dong Long Bien Vingroup Onwards N/A 107 Tan Hoang Mai NUA Hoang Mai Tan Hoang Minh Onwards 1.2 108 Hoang Van Residential Area Me Linh Hoang Van Consruction .Ltd Onwards 9.6 109 Tung Phuong P2 Me Linh Tung Phuong Co. Ltd Onwards 3.1 110 Cienco 5 Me Linh UA Me Linh Cienco 5 Onwards 49.9 111 Phuc Viet Eco UA Me Linh N/A Onwards 23.7 112 Minh Duc Residential Area Me Linh Minh Giang CPC Co. Ltd Onwards 17.4 113 Minh Giang Dam Va NUA - P2 Me Linh Minh Giang CPC Co. Ltd Onwards 3.6 114 AIC Me Linh NUA Me Linh AIC Onwards 94.0 115 Red River Urban Area Me Linh Royal Red River Jsc Onwards 46.6 116 Spring Hill City Me Linh N/A Onwards N/A 117 Hung Nga Me Linh Me Linh Hung Nga Onwards 9.8 118 Tien Phong UA Me Linh CID18 Onwards 3.5 119 Cienco 5 Me Linh Expansion UA Me Linh 507 Building and Construction Jsc Onwards N/A 95 Tay Tuu Urban Functional Area 96 Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 49 District Developer Expected launch time Expected total scale (ha) 120 No. Phuong Vien Residential Area Project Me Linh Phuong Vien Commercial Tourism Services Jsc Onwards 30.9 121 BMC NUA Me Linh CEO Group Onwards 40.6 122 An Thinh NUA Me Linh An Thinh Construction and Investment Ltd. Onwards 77.3 123 Vietracimex Eco Residential Area Me Linh Vietracimex Onwards 2.8 124 SYM Cantavil Ha Dong N/A Onwards 1.1 125 Duc Giang, Thuong Thanh Urban Functional Area Long Bien VIID Onwards 13.4 126 Park city - Next Phase Ha Dong Perdana ParkCity Onwards 75.0 127 Kien Hung NUA Ha Dong HUD 3 - Son Ha - Hop Phu - Tin Phu Onwards 47.5 Hoai Duc Lung Lo 5 Construction Investment and Development JSC Onwards 46.0 128 West Point (Phase 2 + 3) 129 Vinhomes Hoa Lac Urban Area 1 Thach That Vingroup Onwards 200.0 130 Vinhomes Hoa Lac Urban Area 2 Thach That Vingroup Onwards 300.0 Source: Savills Research & Consultancy Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 50 Disclaimer The property market research is verified to the best of Savills Vietnam ability. Savills quarterly report reflects an overview of the current property market and is indicative research only. Savills Vietnam does not guarantee the accuracy of research and forecasts contained herein. Savills Vietnam does not accept any responsibility for losses arising from reliance on the research and forecasting. Savills recommends that the reader obtain a detailed market study of the specific sector of interest should a deeper understanding of the market be required. Reproduction of this report, in any manner whatsoever, in whole or in part, without written prior consent from Savills Vietnam is prohibited. Approval should be obtained from Savills Vietnam before any reference to this report can be made in any statement, published document, or circular. Where information is given without reference to another party, it shall be taken that this information has been obtained or gathered through Savills best efforts and to Savills best knowledge. Processed data references there from shall be taken as Savills opinion and shall not be freely quoted without acknowledgement. Ha Noi Quarterly Market Report Q1/2020 – Villa/Townhouse Nam Long Corporation 51