Li 1 ACTION MEMO FOR THE MINISTER December 7, 2022 FROM: Jin Zhuanglong (Minister, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology) SUBJECT: An Economic Response to US Speaker McCarty’s Visit to Taiwan BACKGROUND US Speaker of the House Kevin McCarty recently made an unannounced visit to Taipei, during which he stated that “the United States will act to protect a free and democratic Taiwan.” Clearly, his statement highlights a growth in thought by foreign governments of a separation of the two ideas of Taiwan and China, as evidenced by the referral of protecting “Taiwan” from an inferred hostility of “China.” Additionally, the National Chengchi University also finds that people increasingly identify as “Taiwanese” and not “Chinese.” Though, Biden did declare back in 2022 that the US would be “willing to use force to defend Taiwan” in case of an invasion, and reassured Xi that the US is still committed to the “One China Policy.” In any case, McCarty’s recent event furthers the emergence of an increase in US involvement in the Taiwan conflict, and the separation of the idea of Taiwan and China. Traditionally, both the CCP and the People’s Republic of China both lay claim to the idea that there is “one China,” however, both differ in the belief of what that China is - a PRC or a ROC? According to Phillip C. Saunders, the PRC aims to prevent Taiwan from achieving independence and fights for a reunification. However, the ROC and ROT and Taiwanese public opinion has increasingly grown for support for independence. This US involvement furthers this divide in support of Taiwanese public opinion, but clearly is detrimental to the PRC goals. In turn, this may lead to rapid mobilization of the Chinese Military (according to Oriana Skylar Mastro). The last time that the CCP government acted on a US official’s visit Taiwan for Nancy Pelosi led to economic targeted suspending of Taiwan agricultural imports. Li 2 INCENTIVES We, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People’s Republic of China strive to “promote the development of major technological equipment and innovation concerning the communication sector.” As Evelyn Cheng of CNBC analyzed, Taiwan is home to 90% of the production of the world’s most advanced semiconductors. China being home to leading telecommunications producers such as Huawei and XiaoMi needs the semiconductors of Taiwanese origin. Our chipmakers are significantly behind in technology. There is an incentive for the success of our ministry to allow for an increase in technological trade between the Taiwan and China. With the additional pressures coming from the United States’ governmental sanctions blocking US chips from reaching China, we need Taiwan’s high-tech chipmakers more than ever. Additionally, China’s Thousand Talents Program draws the human capital of the brightest minds from across oceans to bring them into work within the Chinese technological industry. We, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People’s Republic of China strive to keep expanding our wide asset of brilliant minds in development of the best information technology. Thus, there exists an incentive to keep immigration into our country open by solidifying relations with other states, and allowing a swift access between our government and international consulates/embassies. This only can be guaranteed through peaceful relations, as any violent or conflict acts will likely lead to the closing down of borders, sanctions, and the barring of emigration from other states to ours. Otherwise, we will have to sustain the Thousand Talents Program by forceful takeover of the states in which those bright minds reside in. Finally, our Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is tasked with the construction of the national information system and to safeguard our information security. With Martin Beraja clearly emphasizing the importance of AI in China in terms of our nationwide facial recognition Li 3 system in order to maintain political unrest, it becomes evidently apparent that we should secure increased funding and greater technological improvements to enhance these systems. Thus, there exists a final incentive to devote resources and time to the construction of our own domestic projects. OBJECTIVES • To increase the imports to China of high-tech chips from Taiwan by investing more funds into imports from Taiwan, securing trade channels. • To increase the immigration of talented individuals from Taiwan and other countries by increasing collaboration and cultural unity. • To devote a greater number of resources into domestic developments, ignoring China’s desire to conquer Taiwan, and maintaining peace. RECCOMENDATIONS AND ANALYSIS I, Jin Zhuanglong, as a minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People’s Republic of China am asking for a Status quo on China’s economic response to Speaker McCarthy’s words in his surprise visit to Taiwan. By continuing the status quo, and even improving it, we allow for a greater number of technologies such as chips to be imported into our nation in a time of trade sanctions from other nations, and avoid further conflicts with international forces prompting an increased devotion of time into our domestic intelligence and surveillance projects. Wang Yi and Qin Gang, would likely take the same stance as it would be beneficial to foreign relations to take this economic stance. Fellow He Lifeng would also likely take the same stance as this economic decision would allow for greater assets to be contributed to national development domestically. Li 4 Some may say that the response to defend the national indignity as part of regime legitimacy would be more appropriate of a response – to impose trade barriers and condemn Speaker McCarty. However, in the long run, what defines the success of our country is not a short-term conflict caused by a few words from a foreign official, but rather the rise of our nation’s economic prowess. The world already knows of our military power, and the US clearly is keen to keep it in check through the protection of Taiwan as evidenced by their 2021 Report on our Military. So, we must divert our attention to growing our power and strength internally without the interference of other states. Addressing the McCarty situation from an economic perspective thus is highly important, and maintaining the status quo is what will benefit the People’s Republic of China the most. BIBLOGRAPHY Beraja, M., Kao, A., Yang, D. Y., & Yuchtman, N. (2021). Ai-Tocracy. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3958653 Cheng, E. (2022, August 17). China needs Taiwan’s biggest chipmaker — more than the other way around. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/17/china-needs-taiwans-biggestchipmaker-more-than-the-other-way-around.html Mastro, O. S. (2022). The Taiwan temptation. In Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2021-06-03/china-taiwan-war-temptation Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. (n.d.). Retrieved December 7, 2022, from http://english.www.gov.cn/state_council/2014/08/23/content_281474983035940.htm Saunders, P. C. (n.d.). Crossing the strait: China’s military prepares for war with Taiwan. 台北時報. (2021, July 24). Survey shows ‘Chinese’ identity at a record low. 台北時報. https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2021/07/24/2003761369