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CM1 Practise

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CM1 Practise: cm1 handbook
Assurances and Life annuities:
Past exam questions:
Q1
𝑋 = 0 (𝑖𝑓 𝐾π‘₯ < 𝑛 + 1)
1 ( 𝑖𝑓 𝐾π‘₯ ≥ 𝑛)
π‘Œ = 1 ( 𝑖𝑓 𝐾π‘₯ < 𝑛 + 1)
=0 𝑖𝑓 𝐾π‘₯ ≥ 𝑛 + 1
π‘‹π‘Œ = 0 (∀ 𝐾π‘₯ )
πΆπ‘œπ‘£(𝑋, π‘Œ) = 𝐸(π‘‹π‘Œ) − 𝐸(𝑋)𝐸(π‘Œ) = 0 − 𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅1 | 𝐴1π‘₯:𝑛̅|
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(𝑋 + π‘Œ) = π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(𝑋) = π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(π‘Œ) − 2πΆπ‘œπ‘£(π‘‹π‘Œ)
= (^2𝐴 π‘₯:𝑛̅1 | − (𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅1 | )^2 ) + (^2𝐴 1π‘₯:𝑛̅| − (𝐴1π‘₯:𝑛̅| )^2 ) − 2(𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅1 | 𝐴1π‘₯:𝑛̅| )
2𝐴π‘₯:𝑛
Μ… 1|
=(
1
2
2
+2𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅| ) − (𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅1 | + 𝐴1π‘₯:𝑛̅| ) = 2 𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅| + (𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅| ) = π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(𝐴π‘₯:𝑛̅| )
Q2)
0.5
𝐸(𝑃. 𝑉) = 𝐴30:20
= (𝐴30 − 𝑉 𝑛 𝑛𝑝π‘₯ 𝐴50 ) ∗ (1.04)0.5 = 0.13271 ∗ (1.04)0.5
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…1 | (1.04)
= 0.013534
Error made -> forgot to multiply (1.04)^0.5 -> conversion from Eoyod to immediate
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ = 𝐸(𝑃. 𝑉 2 ) − 𝐸(𝑝. 𝑣)2 = 0.008814 Error made : Forgot to square (1.04)^0.5 in E(P.V^2)
Q4)
3π‘˜π΄40 − 2π‘˜π΄40:20
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…1 | − 20| 𝐴40:201 | = 691.68 − 68.58 − 𝐢 = 508.93
𝐴̅𝑛 = 𝑉 𝑇π‘₯ = 𝐴𝑛 (1 + 𝑖)0.5
𝐴𝑛 = 𝑉 (𝐾(π‘₯+1) )
𝑃(𝐾π‘₯ = π‘˜) = π‘˜|π‘žπ‘₯
Uncertain Annuities
∞
𝑑
π‘ŽΜˆ 𝑛 = π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
𝐾π‘₯ +1 | = ∑ 𝑉 𝑑𝑝π‘₯
0
(1−𝑉 𝐾π‘₯+1 )
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ (
)=
𝑑
1
(𝑉𝐾π‘₯ +1
𝑑2
)
π‘Žπ‘› = π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
𝐾π‘₯ |=π‘‰π‘žπ‘₯ +(𝑉+𝑉 2 )𝑝π‘₯ π‘žπ‘₯+1 +β‹―(π‘ŽΜˆ 𝑛
Μ… | )𝑛−1𝑝π‘₯ (π‘žπ‘₯+𝑛 )
1 + π‘Žπ‘› = π‘ŽΜˆ 𝑛
\𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑑𝑦
π‘ŽΜ…π‘› = π‘ŽΜ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
𝑇π‘₯ | = ∫
𝑉 𝑑 𝑑𝑝π‘₯ 𝑑𝑑 = (π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯ − 0.5)
0
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| = π‘Žπ‘₯:𝑛̅| + (1 − 𝑉 𝑛 𝑛𝑝π‘₯) = π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
min(𝐾π‘₯ +1,𝑛)|
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| = π‘ŽΜ…π‘₯:𝑛̅| + 0.5(1 − 𝑉 𝑛 𝑛𝑝π‘₯)
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯ ∗ 𝑑 =
1 − 𝐴π‘₯
π‘ŽΜ…π‘₯:𝑛̅| ∗ 𝑑 = 1 − 𝐴̅π‘₯:𝑛̅|
Guaranteed:
𝑛
π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
(π‘₯:𝑛̅| )
max(𝐾π‘₯ +1,𝑛)| = π‘ŽΜˆ 𝑛̅| + 𝑉 𝑛𝑝π‘₯ π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯+𝑛 = π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
Monthly payments:
(π‘š)
π‘Žπ‘₯
= π‘Žπ‘₯ +
π‘š+1
2π‘š
(π‘š )
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯
= π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯ −
π‘š−1
2π‘š
π‘š−1
2π‘š
(π‘š)
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| = π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| −
Past Exam Questions:
Q1)
(12)
(12)
10
200π‘˜ = π‘‹π‘ŽΜˆ 10
10𝑝60 π‘ŽΜˆ 70
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…| + 𝑋𝑉
11
24
(12)
10
= 𝑋 (π‘ŽΜˆ 10
10𝑝60 (π‘ŽΜˆ 70 − ( )))
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…| + 𝑉
(𝟏𝟐)
𝟏𝟏
-> error made π‘½πŸπŸŽ πŸπŸŽπ’‘πŸ”πŸŽ π’‚Μˆ πŸ•πŸŽ = π‘½πŸπŸŽ πŸπŸŽπ’‘πŸ”πŸŽ π’‚Μˆ πŸ•πŸŽ ∗ (πŸπŸ’)
Q2)
∞
𝐸(𝑝. 𝑣) = ∫ 𝐸π‘₯𝑝(−0.05𝑑 − 0.02𝑑)𝑑𝑑 = 0.07−1 = 13.2857
0
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(𝑝. 𝑉) =
1
(π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(π‘ŠπΏπ΄)) =
𝑑2
∞
∞
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(π‘ŠπΏπ΄) = ∫ 𝐸π‘₯𝑝(−0.05𝑑 ∗ 2 − 0.02𝑑) ∗ 0.02𝑑𝑑 − ∫ 𝐸π‘₯𝑝(−0.05𝑑 − 0.02𝑑) ∗ 0.02𝑑𝑑 =
0
Var(p.V) = 34.smtn smtn
No errors
Q3)
= 0 𝑖𝑓 𝑇π‘₯ ≤ 2
= 5π‘˜ ∗ 𝑉 2 ∗ π‘ŽΜ…π‘‡63 −2 else
0
= 100 ∗ 5π‘˜ ∗ 𝑉 2 2𝑝63 ∗ (π‘ŽΜˆ65 − 0.5) = 6594347
Error made: Wrong mortality used (Am92)-> silly error
Var(P.V)= 𝐸(𝑃𝑉 2 ) − 𝐸(𝑝. 𝑉)2
iii) Variance of deffered annuity -> unable to solve???
Q4)
(12)
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:1Μ…| = π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:1Μ…| −
(12)
π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:1Μ…| = 1 −
11
(1 − 𝑉 1 ∗ 1𝑝π‘₯)
24
11
(1 − 1.06−1 ∗ 0.99) = 09697 = 𝐴
24
1(π‘Žπ‘)π‘₯ = 0.99 ∗ 0.8 = 𝐡
𝑃. 𝑉 = 240 ∗ 120 ∗ (𝐴 + 𝐴 ∗ 𝐡 ∗ 1.06−1 + 1.06−2 ∗ 𝑏 2 ∗ 𝐴) = 64,386π‘˜
Error: Used concept of one year term annuities -> failed to realise π’‚Μˆ 𝒙:πŸΜ…| = 𝟏
Q5)
(12)
= 5π‘˜π‘ŽΜˆ Μ…5|
(12)
(12)
+ 5 |7π‘˜ π‘ŽΜˆ 60 − 5| 1π‘˜ π‘Ž60:5Μ…|
Better method:
(12)
= 5π‘˜π‘ŽΜˆ 5Μ…|
(12)
(12)
+ 5 |6π‘˜ π‘ŽΜˆ 60 + 10| 1π‘˜π‘ŽΜˆ 60
UDD:π‘‘π‘žπ‘₯ = 𝑑 ∗ π‘žπ‘₯
CFM: 𝑑𝑝π‘₯ = 𝑝π‘₯𝑑
∀ 𝑑 ∈ (0,1)
∀𝑑 ∈ (0,1)
Constant force of mortality
UDD and CFM:
(4)
(4)
Q21) π‘Ž73.25 = π‘Ž73.25:0.75
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…| + 1|π‘Ž73
(4)
0.25
π‘Ž73.25:0.75
∗ 0.25𝑝73.25 + 𝑉 0.5 ∗ 0.5 𝑝 73.25 + π‘½πŸŽ.πŸ•πŸ“ 𝟎. πŸ•πŸ“π’‘ πŸ•πŸ‘. πŸπŸ“ ]
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…| = [𝑣
𝑝73 =
= [𝑣 0.25 ∗ (𝑝73)0.25 + 𝑉 0.5 ∗ (𝑝 73)0.5 + 𝑉 0.75 𝑝( 73)0.75 ] = 0.729953
(4)
(4)
1|π‘Ž73 = 𝑉 1 ∗ 𝑝73 ∗ π‘Ž74 =
Variable Benefits:
Q4) Overhead expense : expenses independent of the amount of business conducted
Direct expense: expenses that vary with the amount of business -> commission to salesmen,
renewal expense
Note: commissions are also expenses.
Q 19.7)
1
1
(12 )
= 1500 ∗ (
) ∗ (π‘ŽΜˆ 67 −
)
12
(1 + 𝑏)
12 @4%
Q13) Explain why an insurance firm sets up reserves for endowment contracts sold:
The expected cost of paying benefits usually increases as the life ages and the probability of a claim
by death increases. In the final year the probability of payment is large, since the payment will be
made if the life survives the term, and for most contracts the probability of survival is large. Level
premiums received in the early years of a contract are more than enough to pay the benefits that fall
due in those early years, but in the later years, and in particular in the last year of an endowment
assurance policy, the premiums are too small to pay for the benefits. It is therefore prudent for the
premiums that are not required in the early years of the contract to be set aside, or reserved, to
fund the shortfall in the later years of the contract. If premiums received that were not required to
pay benefits were spent by the company, perhaps by distributing to shareholders, then later in the
contract the company may not be able to find the money to pay for the excess of the cost of benefits
over the premiums received.
𝟏𝟎𝟎
(πŸ“πŸ )
Q21) 𝑓𝑒𝑛𝑑 = π’—πŸ’πŸ“∗πŸ’πŸ“π’‘πŸπŸ ∗ (π’‚πŸπŸ:πŸ’πŸ“
Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…| )
Error made: i) do not multiply by 100 -> question asks for value of fund for each student
ii) Use π‘ŽΜ…π‘₯:𝑛̅| instead -> weekly payments can be considered as continuous -> easier.
Q22) Errors made: I) Death benefit payble immediately -> silly mistake (used eoyod)
II) IN EXPENSES: 2.5% OF each quarterly premium from the start of 2nd policy year.
Subtract a one year term annuity (to account for start from 2nd year) .
Total annuity – one year term
ii) 𝐴160:5Μ…| @0% = ∑40 𝑑|π‘ž60 = ∑
𝒍
𝒅
𝒕|𝒒𝒙 = 𝒍𝒙 ∗ 𝒍 𝒙+𝒕 =
𝒙
𝒙+𝒕
π’…πŸ”πŸŽ+𝒕
π‘³πŸ”πŸŽ
𝒅𝒙+𝒕
𝒍𝒙
Calculated reserves using wrong basis
Bonuses were certain -> to be included in prospective reserve calculation
Q23) Error : P.V given represents an increasing term assurance.
Q24) Error: silly mistakes in reading question
iii) Error: Mistook age of policy holder. (wrote as 49) -> age!= policy year
Age 40 at 1J 2000 => Age = 50 at 31 Dec 2009
Q28) i) net premium ignores all bonuses -> given to confuse
ii) a super compound bonus increases more gradually than a simple compound or simple
bonus -> allows life office to retain surplus for longer for the same bonus payments.
Q31) Note renewal expense -> from start of second and subsequent payments->
= π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| − 1 -> this removes the first payment -> continue to use this instead of arrears
If using arrears -> need to remove last payment
Error : 75 pa from 2nd year + 5pa from 3rd year
= 65(π‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| − 1) + 5(Iπ‘ŽΜˆ π‘₯:𝑛̅| − 1)
Note: since its an increasing annuity, 2nd payment is 10 not 5
Q34) Describe use of terminal bonus:
Distributes surplus available to policy based on asset share.
Distributing available surplus as a terminal bonus -> delays distribution of surplus-> firm can
invest in more long-term assets.
Q49) Error:
ii) calculation of gross prem prospective reserve -> forgot to include bonuses vested till date.
 Took V_7 instead of V_17
Project Appraisal:
Q17) Errors made: time of sale is calculated from time 0, not from completion of development
(πŸ’)
ii) Rental income increases by 50k annually -> π‘°π’‚Μˆ 𝒏̅|
question doesn’t mention that it increases in the BOY -> this would be more complex
 Can just account for a 50k increase over 4 quarters
Q22) Errors made: silly -> discounted inflow to 0 but discounted outflows to t=5
 Conecptualy okay -> need to be faster
Q26) Error made : Time between 01 Jan 2001 – 30 June 2004 -> 3.5 years (I took 4.5)
 Unecesarry balancing for compound increase
 Arrear w/ 10% compound increase -> balance denom
 Adv -> no balancing in denom required
Bond Valuation:
JOINT LIFE and Reversionary Benefits:
Q39)
𝑃. 𝑉 = π‘ŽΜ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…Μ…
𝑇_(π‘₯𝑦)
|
Q40) joint life annuity of 1 pa payable in advance, as long as both lives aged 60,50 are alive or a
maximum of 20 years
= π‘ŽΜˆ 60:50 − 𝑣 20 ∗ 20𝑝60 ∗ 20𝑝50 ∗ π‘ŽΜˆ 80:70 = 12.747
(12)
Q41) 20π‘˜ (π‘ŽΜˆ 5Μ…|
(12)
(12)
(12)
+ 𝑉 5 ∗ 5𝑝65 ∗ π‘ŽΜˆ 70 ) + 10π‘˜ ∗ 𝑉 5 ( 5π‘ž65 ∗ 5𝑝62 ∗ π‘ŽΜˆ 67 + 5𝑝65: 62 ∗ π‘ŽΜˆ (70|67) )
Error made: The first 5 yrs are guaranteed-> reversionary bit starts only after 5 years.
Q46) Benefits -> reversionary annuity payble on death of 65m to 60 f.
Premiums -> “paid monthly until the annuity commences (male dies) or risk ceases (female
dies-> no one receives money).
Error made: Premiums taken as simple annuity contingent on 65(m).
Premium-> Joint life annuity -> ceases on death of either life.
Q47) Error: didn’t notice it was continuous-> used d instead of 𝛿
1
π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿ(𝑔(𝑇)) = (𝐴π‘₯𝑦 @𝑖 2 + 2𝑖 + 𝐴2π‘₯𝑦 ) 𝛿 2
Q48)
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