McKinsey Case Interview Case Interviews igotanoffer.com Case interviews Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. How to make the most of the sample cases Our sample cases are based on past McKinsey case interviews to ensure you train with the most realistic material possible. Here are a few tips to make the most of them: 1. No calculator The cases are designed to be completed by yourself or with a partner interviewing you. In both situations, you should aim to solve the full case without a calculator and without looking at the answer key. 2. Do cases out loud If you are practicing by yourself, you should both play the role of the interviewer and of the interviewee and you should speak out loud. This might sound a little odd but candidates who force themselves to use this technique are progressing much faster than others because it better reproduces the conditions of the interview. 3. Complete the case in 30 to 40mins McKinsey interviews usually last between 45 and 60 minutes. The personal experience part of the interview takes 25% of the time on average and the case interview takes the remaining 75%. We therefore strongly advise you to complete each of the following cases in 30 to 40 minutes. 4. Study the answer key carefully After completing the case, you should study the answer key in details. You need to pay attention both to the content of the answers and to the way it is communicated. Most candidates are only focused on the content and whether they got to the right answer. But in reality, your interviewer will also evaluate you on how you communicate. Do not hesitate to repeat parts of the answer out loud. This will help you develop a habit of communicating in a structured way. 5. Do cases multiple times Finally, do the cases multiple times. You might think that you will remember the answers, but if you wait a couple of days you probably won’t remember them very Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 2 well. In our experience, it is better to do 20 cases and to learn a lot from them than 40 cases without spending time analysing the best way to answer them. Doing cases a second time will enable you to keep track of your progress and to double check that you are not making the same mistakes twice. We also recommend that you keep a notebook where you write down what you've learned at the end of each case. You can then refer back to it when you do a case for the second time. Finally, we are here to answer any of your questions, so if you get stuck trying to understand the explanations in the answer key, just drop us a line at: support@igotanoffer.com. We’ll be happy to fill any gaps! Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 3 Table of Contents Case #1 - Meditech ................................................................................................................. 5 Case #2 – Alset ......................................................................................................................15 Case #3 – Zeta Bank .............................................................................................................26 Case #4 – Quidi Market .......................................................................................................38 Case #5 - Electron .................................................................................................................49 Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 4 Case #1 - Meditech 1. Situation Your client is a pharmaceutical company called Meditech. It supplies European hospitals with machines to store and analyse blood at a price of approximately $10k per machine. The profits for the whole industry have been declining over the past two years and Meditech is looking for new ways to increase profitability. The CEO is considering entering a new market with a device called the Gloucoskov. People who suffer from diabetes can use this device at home in order to monitor their glucose levels. The device will be priced at $120 and customers will also have to purchase disposable paper stripes. 2. Framework development What areas would you investigate to determine whether Meditech should enter this new market? 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. Meditech wants your team to investigate if the UK could be a good market for the Gloucoskov. What is the size of the UK market for this new product today, in two years and in four years? Assume the price of the device will drop by 33% and 45% of the initial price within two and four years respectively. Question 3.b. Your team has collected information about Meditech’s competitors in the UK. This information is presented in the table below: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 5 UK sales for monitoring diabetes devices Companies 4 years 3 years 2 years ago ago ago 1 year ago Present A $900,000 $1,800,000 $2,600,000 $3,000,000 $3,100,000 B $1,000,000 $1,900,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 C $500,000 $700,000 $1,200,000 $1,500,000 $1,600,000 D $1,000,000 $1,100,000 $1,200,000 $1,300,000 $1,300,000 Others $1,500,000 $1,600,000 $1,800,000 $1,850,000 $1,850,000 Total $4,900,000 $7,100,000 $9,300,000 $10,650,000 $10,850,000 What are some of the insights you can draw from this table and how could they affect Meditech’s decision to enter the new market? Meditech also provided you with the following information: • R&D cost for the Gloucoskov device: $30m • Variable cost: $40 / device • Targeted payback period if selling the device at $120: 5 years 4. Creativity question What are some of the things Meditech could do to make selling the Gloucoskov devices more profitable? 5. Recommendation After eight weeks of rigorous analysis it is time for your team to present its findings to Meditech’s CEO. What would you tell the CEO? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 6 Answers 1. Situation Before answering the framework question, you should: • Play back the company situation • Define the case objective To play back the company situation, you should summarise what your interviewer told you. This will enable you to avoid any misunderstandings. In addition, you could also ask follow up questions that will help you get a better grip on the situation. For instance, you could ask: • Does Meditech design, manufacture and distribute the Gloucoskov devices? Or does it outsource any parts of the process? • Is the product ready to be launched or is still under development? • Does Meditech plan to launch the product worldwide or in a specific geography? Prior to diving into the framework question, it is also advisable to further define the objective of the case. Examples of questions you could ask include: • I understand the CEO wants to increase profitability. Do we know by how much and by when he wants to increase profitability? • I understand the CEO wants us to focus on new markets. Can you confirm there aren’t any other devices than the Gloucoskov he wants us to analyse? 2. Framework development To answer framework questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts • Extract the main elements from the case question and situation • Break down these elements into simple components In this situation, the main elements that can be extracted from the case question and situation include: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 7 A. The CEO wants to increase the company’s profitability. Analysing if the market you are entering is profitable is therefore essential B. In addition, entering new markets or launching new devices in healthcare usually requires regulatory approvals. As a consequence, this area is also likely to be very important Let’s now breakdown these main elements into sub components: A. Market profitability 1. Revenue a. Number of units sold: What is the market size for diabetes devices? Who are the biggest competitors in the market? What can Meditech do to capture a high market share? b. Price: Are customers willing to pay $120 for the device? Does this price enable Meditech to recover its costs? How much does the competition charge for similar devices? 2. Costs a. Upfront costs: Could Meditech acquire a company to get into this new market quicker? b. Fixed costs: How much is Meditech expected to spend to develop its Gloucoskov devices? Does Meditech need a new manufacturing unit for its Gloucoskov devices? c. Variable costs: How high are raw materials and labour costs to manufacture the Gloucoskov device? Can Meditech take advantage of its existing assets in order to reduce variable costs (i.e. use the same distribution channels)? B. Regulation 1. Regulatory approvals: Does Meditech need regulatory approvals to launch the Gloucoskov? What are the different approvals required and the chances of success for each approval? 2. Technology standards: Are there technological standards that Meditech needs to respect to obtain certain certifications (E.g.: ISO)? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 8 3. Distribution regulation: Can Meditech sell its Gloucoskov devices directly to customers or does it have to distribute them via third parties (E.g.: Pharmacies)? This framework includes a number of elements that can be prioritised in order of importance. Here the first priority is to understand if the market is profitable. If it isn’t then it will not be interesting for Meditech to launch the Gloucoskov devices. However, if it is profitable, it then makes sense to worry about the regulation. 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. To answer maths questions, you should: • Map out the calculations you are going to do • Present your plan to your interviewer to get feedback before starting the calculations • Do your calculations and simplify the numbers when possible If a plan does not come to you naturally when trying to answer the question, it is ok to ask your interviewer for a few seconds to gather your thoughts. Here is a potential plan you could have shown to your interviewer for this specific question: 1. Estimate number of people with diabetes in the UK 2. Estimate number of monitoring devices sold per year 3. Estimate market value today, in two years and in four years Let’s now do the calculations and simplify the numbers when possible: 1. Number of people with diabetes in the UK • There are about 60m people in the UK • The UK population can be split in 5 age groups of equal sizes assuming 75 as life expectancy. Each group can be assumed to have the same number of people. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 9 o 0 – 15 o 16 – 30 o 31 – 45 o 46 – 60 o 61 – 75 • People above the age of 60 are older and therefore probably more likely to suffer from diabetes. Let’s assume that 5% of people in this age group suffers from the disease. For the other age groups, let’s assume that 1% of the group is a diabetes sufferer. • The number of diabetes sufferers in the UK is therefore: o 60m x 20% x 5% + 60m x 80% x 1% = 1.08m people 2. Number of monitoring devices sold per year • Assuming patients replace their monitoring kit every 10 years on average, 10% of patients will buy a new kit every year. • The number of devices sold yearly is therefore: o 1.08m x 10% = 108,000 or about 100,000 3. Market value today, in two years and in four years • We can assume the suggested selling price of $120 for the Gloucoskov is the average market price and therefore the current market size is: a. 100,000 x $120 = $12m b. In 2 years, the market size will be: 100,000 x $120 x (1 – 0.33) = $8m c. In 4 years: 100,000 x $120 x (1 – 0.45) = $6.6m Once you found the answer to the maths question, you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis In this case, the size of the market seems to be falling rapidly. If our price assumptions are correct, it will almost halve in 4 years. This suggests the market is not very attractive for Meditech unless it manages to decrease its production costs as rapidly as the price falls. A potential next step could be to analyse where this price reduction comes from and if it is due to intense competition in the market. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 10 IGotAnOffer Special Tip Assumptions You need to make assumptions to answer this question (e.g. percentage of diabetes sufferers in each age group). These assumptions should be anchored to some sort of argument whenever possible (e.g. older people are more likely to have diabetes). Before actually diving in the calculation, you should check whether your interviewer is ok with your assumptions or not. The easiest way to do this is through eye contact. If you look at your interviewer you will quickly realise if he agrees with the assumption you have just made or not. Rounding up / down You can round numbers up or down to make your calculations easier within reason. A good rule of thumb is that you should not round numbers up or down by more than 10%. As you do this you should keep an eye on your interviewers’ reactions to make sure he is comfortable with your estimates Question 3.b. At the start of a data interpretation question, you need to make sure you understand the headers, axes and units of the graphs you will be interpreting. Whenever possible, you should read tables horizontally first and focus on extracting trends from the totals. You can then switch to reading the table vertically to extract complimentary insights. Here are some insights that can be extracted by reading the table horizontally: • First of all, looking at the total market size we notice that the market has more than doubled over the past four years. That being said, growth has slowed down over the past two years Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 11 • The individual companies all grew every year until a year ago. Some of them did not grow in the past year. This is consistent with the trend observed on the total market size and raises concerns about the attractiveness of the market The following trends can also be extracted by reading the table vertically: • Four years ago, four big players of similar sizes accounted for approximately 60% of the market. The remaining 40% was probably distributed among many smaller companies • Three years ago, companies A and B started to clearly grow market share vs. the rest of the competition. Today companies A and B account for about 55% of the market. This high market concentration could raise barriers to entry for Meditech The information provided also indicates that Meditech intends to achieve a pay back of five years for its investment. The number of devices that needs to be sold to break even in five years can be calculated as follows: • # units = Fixed cost / (Selling price – Variable cost) = $30m / ($120 - $40) = 375k Once you have analysed the data at hand you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis Here, Meditech needs to sell 375k units over five years and therefore 75k units on average every year for five years to break even. The UK total market size is about 100k according to the previous question. It is therefore unrealistic for Meditech to break even in five years by entering the UK market, as it will need to capture 75% of the market. If Meditech wants to enter the UK market it therefore needs to lower the cost of its Gloucoskov device to be able to break even with a lower market. This could be the next area we focus. 4. Creativity question Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 12 To answer creativity questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts if necessary • Develop a simple mini framework • Brainstorm within this mini framework In this case, we can think of two areas to make the Gloucoskov more profitable: 1. Increasing revenue by: • Adding valuable features to the device such as a mobile app recording the test results • Providing a service that automatically sends stripes to the device user before he runs out • Launching in more markets than just the UK 2. Decreasing costs by: • Acquiring existing players and minimising manufacturing expenses • Selling directly to customers rather than through a network of distributors • Outsourcing part or all the manufacturing as it decreases capital expenditure Once you have developed the ideas above, you should: • Prioritise them by impact • And highlight risks related to them if necessary In this case, it could make sense to start by exploring ways to increase revenue, as an important jump in profitability seems to be needed. This jump in profitability is less likely to come from the cost side where improvements are usually incremental. One risk the bear in mind as we explore ways to increase revenue is that some of the ideas we listed involve upfront costs that will further decrease profitability in the short-term. 5. Recommendation Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 13 The recommendation is a critical part of the case. Almost without exceptions, this is what your conclusion should contain: 1. Give your recommendation statement first 2. Then provide supporting arguments, ideally three or more 3. And finally, talk about next steps (additional analysis, potential risks, etc.) The initial analysis indicates that Meditech should not enter the UK home-kit diabetes market for the following reasons: 1. It needs to capture virtually the whole market to break even in five years which is not realistic 2. The value of the home-kit diabetes market seems to be plateauing making suggesting that competition is likely to be increasingly fierce over time 3. There are already two big players in the market (companies A and B) and it will be difficult for a new player like Meditech to take a large share of the market away from them However, there are further areas that could be explored to solve Meditech’s profitability issue: 1. It could analyse other markets than the UK 2. It could think about buying one of the existing players 3. It could also explore ways to fix the profitability of its current product IGotAnOffer Special Tip Note that in most cases, there is no right or wrong conclusion. As long as you follow the method above and give a good rational for your conclusion, your interviewer will accept it. Outlining next steps is important. This is something all consultants do at the end of projects to sell on the next project. Including that in your conclusion will show your interviewer that you are aware of how actual projects work! Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 14 Case #2 – Alset 1. Situation Alset is the 3rd largest automotive company in the world. Alset has recently been experiencing a decline in profitability in the SUV (Sports Utility Vehicle) category. Its CEO wants to identify the reasons behind this decline and bring the profit margin of the SUV category back to where it was two years ago. Note: SUVs are large 4 by 4 vehicles originally designed to drive in the mountain or forest. Customers in urban areas have also adopted them. 2. Framework development What are the areas you would look at to identify the reasons for the profit margin decline in the SUV category? 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. The CEO believes that one of the reasons for the decline in Alset’s profit margin is the growth in manufacturing costs. He asked your team to look into each manufacturing facility to verify his hypothesis. Which manufacturing facility is producing at the lowest cost? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 15 Manufacturing Cost per Facility ($m) Oldcastle, 1,550 Reeds, 2,800 Northampton, 1,400 Perminton, 2 000 Nacaster, 800 Facility Oldcastle Perminton Nacaster Northampton SUVs manufactured 250,000 200,000 100,000 70,000 Reeds 280,000 Question 3.b. A group of analysts from your team collected the data below regarding the cost per SUV of Alset’s competitors and the total cost for each company for 2015. What are some of the insights that can be concluded from the data? Cost Per SUV Sold 14,000 12,000 10,000 $ 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Panther WMB Alset Manufacturing Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. Ronda SG&A Gexus Nord R&D 16 Total cost ($bn) Panther WMB Alset Ronda Gexus Nord 11.50 14.70 11.07 11.00 12.10 13.91 4. Creativity question What could Alset do to increase sales in the SUV category? 5. Recommendation Alset’s CEO is meeting your team tomorrow to discuss your findings and he wants to know whether it’s possible for his company to increase the profit margin of the SUV category and what they need to do in order to achieve this. What is your recommendation? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 17 Answers 1. Situation Before answering the framework question, you need to: • Play back the company situation • Define the case objective To play back the company situation, you should summarise what your interviewer told you. This will enable you to avoid any misunderstandings about the situation. In addition, you could also ask follow up questions that will help you get a better grip on the situation. For instance, you could ask: • Has the decline in profit affected all categories or is it specific to SUVs? • Have Alset’s competitors experienced similar issues? Prior to diving into the framework question, it is also advisable to further define the objective of the case. Examples of questions you could ask include: • I understand the CEO wants us to get profitability back to where it was two years ago. But how much is profitability today? And how much was it two years ago? • By when does the CEO want to return to historical profitability levels? • Can you confirm we are only interested in improving the profitability of the SUV category? 2. Framework development To answer framework questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts • Extract the main elements from the case question and situation • Break down these elements into simple components In this situation, there are two potential drivers behind the decrease in profits: A. SUV industry total profits: The SUV industry as a whole might be experiencing difficulties which could partly explain why Alset is experiencing declining profits Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 18 B. Alset’s share of total profits: Alset might be underperforming and losing ground in the SUV category against its peers Let’s now breakdown these main elements into sub components: A. SUV industry total profits 1. Revenues a. Number of units: How many SUVs are sold every year? Is the number of SUVs sold growing / shrinking? b. Price: What is the average price of an SUV? Is the price growing / shrinking? c. Which company is the market leader? 2. Costs a. What is the average cost of an SUV? Is the cost growing / shrinking? b. Which company has got the best-cost structure? B. Alset’s share of total profits 1. Revenues a. Number of units: How many SUVs did Alset sell over the past few years? Has this number been growing / shrinking? b. Price: At what price is Alset selling its SUVs? c. What type of SUVs does Alset market? Luxury, entry price, etc.? 2. Costs a. What is the average production cost for an Alset SUV? Is the cost growing / shrinking? For this particular framework it is necessary to analyse both areas to make a conclusion on Alset’s profits. As a consequence prioritising one part of the framework vs. the other adds no value. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 19 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a To answer maths questions, you should: • Map out the calculations you are going to do • Present your plan to your interviewer to get feedback before starting the calculations • Do your calculations and simplify the numbers when possible If a plan does not come to you naturally when trying to answer the question, it is ok to ask your interviewer for a few seconds to gather your thoughts. Here is a potential plan you could have shown to your interviewer for this specific question: • Calculate the cost per SUV for each facility • Identify the lowest cost per SUV facility Let’s now do the calculations and simplify the numbers when possible. The cost per SUV can be calculated by dividing the total cost of each facility by the number of vehicles it produces: • Oldcastle: 1,550,000 / 250 = $6,200 / SUV • Perminton: 2,000,000 / 200 = $10,000 / SUV • Nacaster: 800,000 / 100 = $8,000 / SUV • Northampton: 1,400,000 / 70 = $20,000 / SUV • Reeds: 2,800,000 / 280 = $10,000 / SUV Oldcastle is therefore the lowest-cost facility. In fact, Oldcastle is about 70% cheaper than Northampton; 40% cheaper than Perminton and Reeds; and 25% cheaper than Nacaster. Once you found the answer to the maths question, you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 20 Oldcastle has managed to develop a better cost structure than other facilities. This is particularly impressive given it is not the facility with the largest scale. Understanding how Oldcastle manages to produce at such a low cost could therefore help determining a path to return to profitability. Similarly, understanding why large facilities such as Northampton produce at high cost would also prove to be very helpful. Potential drivers of Oldcastle good profitability include: new machinery, lower cost of labour, cheaper real estate, etc. We could look into this as a next step in the analysis. Question 3.b At the start of a data interpretation question, you need to make sure you understand the headers, axes and units of the graphs you will be interpreting. Whenever possible, you should read tables and graphs horizontally first and focus on extracting trends from the totals. You can then switch to reading the table vertically to extract complimentary insights. In this particular case, the graph is simple enough to be analysed in one go. We can extract the following insights: • Manufacturing costs are the largest contributor to the total cost per SUV for every company • Alset has the highest cost per SUV mainly because of proportionally higher manufacturing costs than its competitors. This confirms our previous hypothesis that understanding why Oldcastle performs so well could help improving profitability • Ronda has the lowest total cost and manufacturing cost per SUV. But it also has the highest R&D costs. This might indicate that high expenditure in R&D leads to better product designs and therefore lower manufacturing costs. But it might also just be that Ronda has its manufacturing facilities in areas where labour and real estate costs are low • Alset has both the lowest total cost and the highest cost per SUV. It is therefore the company that sells the least number of SUVs. This indicates Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 21 that contrary to the CEO’s assumption, Alset might have more than a cost problem • WMB has the highest total cost but the second to lowest cost per SUV. This indicates it is likely to be the market leader Once you have analysed the data at hand you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis In summary, it seems that Alset has the highest cost per SUV of the group of peers studied. This is mainly because of high manufacturing costs that are likely to hurt profitability. However, Alset also seems to have lower sales than their direct competitor, which means it probably also needs to improve demand for its products. We have already found that analysing Oldcastle could give us ways to decrease Alset’s costs. A potential next step could be to analyse ways in which Alset can improve its profitability by growing revenues. IGotAnOffer Special Tip: You should not hesitate to summarise where your analysis is standing when you feel you are coming to a natural transition point between questions. This will help you keep an eye on the broader objective of the case. And it will also keep your interviewer on board with your progress. Consultants very often do that in client meetings or at various points during client projects to make sure everyone is kept on the same page. This is a best practice you should not hesitate to replicate in case interviews. 4. Creativity question To answer creativity questions, you should: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 22 • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts if necessary • Develop a simple mini framework • Brainstorm within this mini framework In this case, Alset could explore the following solutions to increase sales in the SUV category: 1. Short-term: • Increase advertising activities. This could include launching new TV spots, or sponsoring a major automotive event or increasing spending on online marketing and social media • Focus on growth markets. Some countries such as China probably experience a booming demand for SUVs and Alset needs to make sure it is well positioned there • Refresh the current SUV models. Slightly update the exterior and interior designs of the current model to reflect the latest trends and boost sales 2. Long-term: • Identify gaps in the market. Analyse the demand for different types of SUVs as well as the offer from the competition. And identify specific gaps in the market that could be addressed by Alset • Launch new SUVs in identified gaps. This could include sporty design, connected car, new hybrid or electric motors, etc. • Building the brand. Today’s consumers are examining more factors when buying cars such as sustainability and corporate responsibility. It seems important for Alset to adopt these principles and communicate on its efforts in this space Once you have developed the ideas above, you should: • Prioritise them by impact • And highlight risks related to them if necessary Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 23 In terms of prioritisation, it makes sense to first focus on the short-term actions, as they are easier to implement than the long-term ones. It should also be highlighted that there are some risks involved related to these actions. The main one is that most of them require some form of investment. As a consequence, in the very near term these actions are likely to degrade profitability. IGotAnOffer Special Tip: If you do not feel that you have enough context from your interviewer to brainstorm relevant ideas it is ok to ask a few questions to clarify the company’s situation. This will help you get specific ideas that are well adapted to the company. Your interviewer will value this, as general ideas are usually less effective than specific ones. For instance, here you could have asked: “When did Alset launch its latest SUV model?” or “Which countries is the company currently focusing on?” or “Does the company have any vehicles with hybrid or electric motors?” etc. 5. Recommendation The recommendation is a critical part of the case. Almost without exceptions, this is what your conclusion should contain: 4. Give your recommendation statement first 5. Then provide supporting arguments, ideally three or more 6. And finally, talk about next steps (additional analysis, potential risks, etc.) This initial analysis indicates that it seems possible for Alset to increase its profit margin in the SUV category by focusing on the following: • Reduce the manufacturing cost in underperforming facilities like Northampton by adopting the success factors of other facilities like Oldcastle Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 24 • Use the savings to increase the R&D budget. This should help further decrease manufacturing costs in the long-term and create a virtuous profitability increase loop • Identify market gaps in the SUV category and fill them with new SUV models to boost Alset’s sales This recommendation is based on initial findings and could be consolidated by further analysing certain areas. Next steps could include: • Understanding if the SUV industry as a whole is profitable and growing. This should give a good indication of whether the SUV segment is the right segment for Alset to focus on • Understanding how much of Alset’s total profits are driven by the sales of SUVs. This should also give a good indication of whether Alset should continue pursuing SUVs or if it should redeploy its efforts in other areas IGotAnOffer Special Tip: Note that in most case interviews, there is no right or wrong conclusion. As long as you follow the method above and give a good rationale for your conclusion, your interviewer will accept it. Outlining next steps is important. This is something all consultants do at the end of projects to sell on the next project. Including that in your conclusion will show your interviewer that you are aware of how actual projects work! Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 25 Case #3 – Zeta Bank 1. Situation Your client is Zeta Bank, a major UK bank. Zeta Bank’s aging IT system and its myriad of new products has increased the complexity of its operations. A lot of simple tasks such as changing a customer address or updating a customer on the status of his loan application require manual intervention. This has led to an increase in customer complaints about service quality and response times. The Chief Information Officer (CIO) wants to increase next year’s IT budget to develop digital tools that will decrease manual intervention to answer simple customer questions. The CEO also wishes to improve customer service because he is planning to expand Zeta Bank’s presence globally. That being said he is concerned that the £5m increase in the CIO’s budget will not deliver the expected improvement in customer satisfaction. 2. Framework development What areas would you look at to address the CEO’s concerns? 3. Quantitative question – Data provided The analytics team at Zeta Bank collected data on customers who call the bank for simple queries that require a lot of manual intervention from the Operations team to resolve. It then calculated average processing and resolution times: Queries regarding Processing Resolution time Queries per time (h) (h) month Loan applications 2 48 150 Online banking 2 24 300 Credit cards 1 2 500 Change of contact details 10 11 100 Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 26 The time between a customer making a query and the operations team starting work on the query is called the “Processing time”. The time between a customer making a query and the query being fully resolved is the “Resolution time”. The analytics team at Zeta Bank also provided you with the customer survey below. Customers who had to call Zeta Bank for each type of query described above were asked two questions: • How much of an inconvenience was it to call us for this query and to wait for our reply? (1 = low, 5 = high) • How likely are you to leave Zeta Bank because you had to call us for this query and to wait for our reply? (1 = very unlikely, 5 = very likely) Zeta Bank Customer Survey Loan applications Online banking Credit cards Change of contact details 0 Likelihood of leaving 1 2 3 4 5 6 Level of inconvenience Question 3.a. The CIO wants to know which type of query the operations team spends the most time on and how many FTEs it accounts for? An FTE (Full Time Equivalent) is the hours worked by an employee on a full time basis. Question 3.b. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 27 What are some of the insights you can drive from the customer survey presented above? 4. Creativity question Zeta Bank’s main IT team is based in the UK but it also has a software development team in China. The CEO is considering using the team in China to develop the digital tools the CIO is asking for. What factors should the CEO consider before making that decision? 5. Recommendation After two months of rigorous analysis it’s time for your team to present its findings to the CEO and CIO of Zeta Bank. What would you tell them? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 28 Answers 1. Situation Before answering the framework question, you should: • Play back the company situation • Define the case objective To play back the company situation, you should just summarise what your interviewer told you. This will enable you to avoid any misunderstandings. In addition, you could also ask follow up questions that will help you get a better grip on the situation. For instance, you could ask: • What is the total CIO budget? How material is a £5m increase in that budget? • Has the volume of customer complaints only recently increased or have they been an on-going issue? • Has the CIO run similar digital initiatives in the past? Were these initiatives successful in improving customer satisfaction? Prior to diving into the framework question, it is also advisable to further define the objective of the case. Examples of questions you could ask include: • I understand the CEO wants to improve customer satisfaction. Do we know how customer satisfaction is measured today? And by how much it changed in recent years? • I understand the CEO is concerned that the digital tools proposed by the CIO will not improve customer satisfaction. Does he think that the tools per se will not make a difference to customer satisfaction? Or does he think his team lacks the skills to roll out and use these tools? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 29 IGotAnOffer Special Tips Asking the right questions to your interviewer at the beginning of the case can unveil parts of the framework your interviewer has in mind. As you become more and more comfortable with case interviews, the questions you ask at the beginning should both aim to clarify the situation and objectives but they should also help you develop your framework. 2. Framework development To answer framework questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts • Extract the main elements from the case question and situation • Break down these elements into simple components In this situation, the main elements that can be extracted from the case question and situation include: A. First, the overarching goal of the CEO is to improve customer satisfaction. It would therefore be helpful to understand the fundamental drivers behind the decrease in customer satisfaction B. Second, the CEO actually wants to know if the digital tools suggested by the CIO would help increase satisfaction. Analysing these digital tools is therefore important Let’s now breakdown these main elements into sub components: A. Customer satisfaction 1. Internal environment a. Customer expectations: what are customers’ expectations for Zeta Bank’s products? And for the quality of its customer service? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 30 b. Service performance: where exactly does Zeta Bank’s products or customer service fall short of these expectations? Are there any obvious pain points in the customer experience leading to a lot of queries? 2. External environment a. Competition: how does Zeta Bank’s customer satisfaction ratings compare to competitors’? Is the bank losing customers because of low customer satisfaction compared to its peers? b. Best practices: are there customer service best practices that Zeta Bank has not adopted yet and could roll out? B. Digital tools 1. New technology: what sort of tools is the CIO planning on rolling out exactly? How are they addressing the main customer pain points? How will these improvements be measured? 2. Daily operations: Can Zeta Bank run these digital tools alongside its legacy IT systems? Is this going to cause any issues in the day-to-day operations? 3. Skills: Does Zeta Bank have people in house to develop these tools or is the development going to be outsourced? Does the CIO have any experience in rolling out this type of tools? 4. Cost: How will the £5m requested by the CIO be used? What is the expected financial return of this investment in digital tools? Have alternative plans been studied? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 31 IGotAnOffer Special Tip Your interviewer will often ask you follow up questions after you have laid out your framework. A typical question he could ask is if there are additional areas that are not part of the initial framework that could be explored. The framework above mainly focuses on technology. Your interviewer might therefore ask you: “What other solutions do you think could be considered beyond rolling out new technology?” Additional ideas you could give could include: improving the training of customer service employees to enhance customer satisfaction; increasing customer service staff, etc. 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. You should clearly lay out your plan to identify the query category taking up the most time before diving into any calculation. Here you can simply: • Calculate the time spent per query for each category • Calculate the total time spent on each category per month • Convert this time into a number of FTEs per year for the top category The time spent by the operations team per query for each category is simply the total resolution time minus the processing time: • Loan applications: 48 - 2 = 46 h / query • Online banking: 24 - 2 = 22 h / query • Credit cards: 2 - 1 = 1 h / query • Change of contact details: 11 - 10 = 1 h / query Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 32 The total time spent on each category per month is simply the number of queries per month times the time per query: • Loan applications: 46 x 150 = 6,900 hours • Online banking: 22 x 300 = 6,600 hours • Credit cards: 1 x 500 = 500 hours • Change of contact details: 1 x 100 = 100 hours Loan applications are therefore the category taking up the most time per month. In order to convert this number of hours into a number of FTEs you can simply assume that 1 FTE works 8 hours a day and 20 days a month. FTEs needed for the loan application category: • 6,900 (hours/month) / (8 (hours/day) x 20 (days/month)) = 43 FTEs “Loan applications” therefore account for 43 FTEs. “Online banking” also accounts for about 40 FTEs. Together, these two categories count towards more than 90% of the total FTEs needed. As a consequence, developing digital tools to handle these types of queries automatically will save the most cost to the bank. At this point, it might be interesting to analyse if “Loan applications” and “Online banking” are also the two categories that really dissatisfy customers. Question 3.b. Here is a simple plan you could follow to drive as many insights as possible from the survey: 1. First focus on the two questions asked in the survey individually 2. Then focus on combining the insights from each question asked 3. And finally relate your findings back to the other questions in the case Let’s focus on the “Likelihood of leaving“ question first. The category with the worst rating is “Online banking”. This indicates that Zeta Bank is falling short of customers’ expectations in online banking. It seems that customers consider they should not have to contact the bank for a query regarding online banking. They probably Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 33 consider that they should have been able to resolve their query by themselves directly online. In terms of level of inconvenience, “Loan applications”, “Online banking” and “Credit cards” were all rated 4 or 5. This seems to reflect that customers are generally annoyed with having to call the bank. Overall, there does not seem to be a direct correlation between the level of inconvenience and the customers’ likelihood to leave the bank. This might reflect that customers are ready to endure some inconvenience for certain specific queries but not for others. In other words, customers seem to have different service expectations for different query categories. The CEO’s objective is to improve customer satisfaction. As a consequence, Zeta Bank should probably focus its efforts on the categories for which customers are most likely to leave: “Online banking” and “Credit card”. These categories also happen to be the ones with the highest number of queries per month and “Online banking” is the second largest consumer of FTEs according to our earlier calculation that confirms they are good areas to focus on. 4. Creativity question Creativity questions are best answered using a simple framework. This will ensure that you cover the question comprehensively. It is ok to ask for some time at the beginning of a creativity question to put a simple framework together if it does not come to you naturally. Once you identified a framework, you can then brainstorm in each of its different sections to answer your interviewer’s question. The factors the CEO needs to consider in order to make his decision can be split into two categories: quantitative and qualitative. 1. Quantitative: • Cost: What are the cost implications of using the software development team in China? Will it be cheaper / more expensive than using another Zeta Bank team or a third party? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 34 • Time: How long will it take for the development team in China to complete the project? • Capacity: Does the team in China have sufficient capacity to take this project on next year? Or would extra personnel need to be hired? 2. Qualitative: • Project management: Who will lead the management of the project? The team in the UK or in China? What are the dynamics between the two teams? • Communication: Given this is a critical project, how can the team in China and the team in the UK best communicate? Won’t time differences be an issue when the tools need to be rolled out in the UK? • Team skills: Are the skills of the team in China similar to the ones of the team in the UK? Can they develop the same type of tools in the same timeline? • Tools maintenance: How will futures updates to the tools be handled if they are used mostly in the UK but the software developers are in China? How will the customer feedback received in the UK be transferred back to the development team in China? Before deciding, the most important thing to determine is if the China team has got the right skills to develop the tools and if it is realistic for them to maintain the digital tools in the future taking the customer feedback on board. The risk of having the team in China develop the software is that it adds communication and time difference complexities to a project that seems critical to improve customer satisfaction. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 35 IGotAnOffer Special Tip: Notice here how after brainstorming different ideas we are summarising the most important things to understand before the CEO decides. In addition, we are also highlighting the risks related to the CEO’s ideas. Prioritising ideas and highlighting risks are two really helpful habits in creativity questions. We definitely encourage you to emulate these habits. 5. Recommendation Your conclusion should be structured as follows: 1. Give your conclusion statement first 2. Then provide three or more supporting arguments 3. And finally, talk about next steps (additional analysis, opportunities encountered during the case, etc.) Based on our initial analysis, Zeta Bank should develop digital tools with a particular focus on improving how queries regarding “Online banking”, “Loan applications” and “Credit cards” are handled. There are two main reasons for suggesting this: • First, “Online banking” and “Credit card” are the two categories for which customers are most likely to leave the bank if they are dissatisfied. Developing digital tools to handle such queries is therefore likely to help improving customer satisfaction. • Then, “Online banking” and “Loan applications” account for more than 90% of FTEs dedicated to handling customer queries. Developing digital tools to handle such queries will therefore decrease costs. This recommendation is based on initial findings and could be consolidated by further analysing certain areas. Next steps could include: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 36 • First, Zeta Bank could analyse by how much the digital tools will reduce the resolution time • Second, it could try to estimate if it will increase customer satisfaction and by how much • Third, it needs to understand if £5m is the right cost estimate for the development of the tools and if it should use an internal team or an external company to develop the tools Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 37 Case #4 – Quidi Market 1. Situation Your client is Quidi Market (QM), a small supermarket chain in the North East England that opened its first shops in the 1980s in Gateshead and Darlington. The chain is known for its friendly staff, local products and support to the local communities. In the past five years big super market chains from the South of England have been expanding in the North East. QM is a family-owned business and its owner is concerned that his business will not be able to compete with the large supermarket chains. He fears he will not be able to keep his business up and running as it happened with other small supermarkets in other areas of England where the big chains recently established themselves. 2. Framework development What areas would you look at to assess how much of a threat the arrival of large super market chains is to QM? 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. The National Consumer Agency in England considers that a city is under served when it has less than 1 supermarket per 10,000 people. Below that number, people need to travel long distances to find a supermarket. Your team has collected the information below about the population of five cities in the North East of England and the number of supermarkets per city. The total number of supermarkets includes QM shops. QM’s owner wants to invest in one of these cities and open new shops. Which city would you recommend? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 38 City Population Total # of Total # of QM supermarkets supermarkets Newcastle 280,000 45 15 Sunderland 275,000 35 15 North Tyneside 200,000 20 8 Gateshead 205,000 20 10 Darlington 105,000 20 12 Population Trends in North East England 330,000 280,000 Newcastle 230,000 Sunderland Gateshead 180,000 North Tyneside 130,000 Darlington 2030 2029 2028 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 80,000 Question 3.b. QM’s owner is planning to invest £5m in new stores in one of the above locations. He wants to open small and big stores. Each small store will yield £100k in annual profits compared to £200k for a large store. The owner wants the ratio of the number of small to big stores to be 3:1. How many stores of each kind does QM need to open to achieve a 5-year payback? 4. Creativity question Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 39 QM’s owner also wants to decrease costs to be in a healthy financial position to face the large chains getting into the region. What are the different costs that could be cut? 5. Recommendation After four months of analysis, QM’s owner wants to know what are the best ways for his team to respond to the entry of large chains in the region. What would you tell him? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 40 Answers 1. Situation Before answering the framework question, you should: • Play back the company situation • Define the case objective To play back the company situation, you should summarise what your interviewer told you. This will enable you to avoid any misunderstandings. In addition, you could also ask follow up questions that will help you get a better grip on the situation. For instance, you could ask: • How many stores do QM and the large chains have in the North East respectively? • What is the typical size of a QM store and of a large chain store? • Is QM in a healthy financial position at the moment? Prior to diving into the framework question, it is also advisable to further define the objective of the case. Examples of questions you could ask include: • I understand the owner of QM is concerned about the competition. Do we know more specifically what the owner is worried about? Is it lower prices, more products variety or bigger stores? • I understand QM is a family owned business. Does the owner want the business to remain independent or would he consider selling to a large chain? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 41 IGotAnOffer Special Tips Asking the right questions to your interviewer at the beginning of the case can unveil parts of the framework your interviewer has in mind. As you become more and more comfortable with case interviews, the questions you ask at the beginning should both aim to clarify the situation and objectives but they should also help you develop your framework. Here for instance, the last question on whether the owner would consider an acquisition can unveil a lot about the direction in which your interview is going to take the case. 2. Framework development To answer framework questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts • Extract the main elements from the case question and situation • Break down these elements into simple components In this situation, the main elements that can be extracted from the case question and situation include: A. QM’s owner is worried about the competitive threat represented by the arrival of the large supermarket chains. Understanding the competition in detail and how it is positioned vs. QM is therefore important B. The other main area to look at is the competitive response that QM can launch to counter the arrival of the large chains Let’s now breakdown these main elements into sub components: A. Competitive threat: 1. Price: How price-aggressive are large chains compared to QM? Do they run more promotions and discount more products? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 42 2. Products: Do competitors have more product variety than QM? Do they compete with QM on local products, one of the company’s strengths? 3. Stores: Do competitors have similar types of stores than QM? Do they locate their stores in similar areas as QM? 4. Service: Do competitors offer more services than QM such as online shopping, click and collect, etc.? 5. Other markets: In other areas of England, what happened to the local players when the large supermarkets entered their region? What techniques did the large supermarkets use to dominate the market? B. QM response: 1. Consolidate current position a. Reinforce what makes QM different including: the friendly staff, local products and support to the community b. Keep up with customers’ demand for new services such as online shopping, click and collect, etc. c. Refurbish current stores and adapt store format to evolving customer needs if required 2. Scale up a. Open new stores in strategic locations to gain in scale and be able to compete with the larger competitors b. Alternatively, if QM needs to grow very fast, it could also acquire one or several other local supermarket chains c. QM could also create partnerships with other chains to buy products together and therefore gain scale and lower costs This framework includes a number of elements that can be prioritised in order of importance. In this case, understanding the scale of the threat represented by large chains is really the priority. Once this has been determined an appropriate response can be designed for QM. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 43 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a. This question is a mix of maths and data interpretation. Let’s first calculate the number of supermarkets per 10,000 people and then extract insights from the graph. Cities can be ranked by their number of supermarkets per 10,000 people: 1. Darlington: (20 / 105k) x 10k = 1.9 supermarket per 10,000 people 2. Newcastle: 1.6 3. Sunderland: 1.3 4. Gateshead: 1.0 5. North Tyneside: 1.0 Gateshead and North Tyneside are therefore close to be underserved and seem like good targets to open new stores. Here are some insights that can be extracted by reading the graph: 1. Darlington’s population looks set to decrease, which will likely increase its 1.9 ratio in the near future. This makes the city unattractive for new investments 2. Newcastle’s population is going to increase. This will help decreasing its 1.6 ratio in the mid-term and might make it a more attractive investment in a few years 3. Sunderland’s population will stay the same over the next few years meaning its 1.3 ratio is likely to stay unattractive in the near term 4. Gateshead has got the fastest growing population and is underserved. This makes it extremely attractive for investments 5. North Tyneside is underserved but its population is decreasing making it a less attractive opportunity than Gateshead Once you have analysed the data at hand you need to: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 44 • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis Based on the analysis above, Gateshead is clearly the best city to invest in. It both has a growing population and is currently underserved in terms of number of supermarkets. An additional area we could look at is the market penetration of QM in the different cities. There is a small risk of cannibalisation if QM adds a lot of stores in a city where its penetration is already very high. But given Gateshead is underserved and growing this risk seems limited. Question 3.b. To answer maths questions, you should: • Map out the calculations you are going to do • Present your plan to your interviewer to get feedback before starting the calculations • Do your calculations and simplify the numbers when possible If a plan does not come to you naturally when trying to answer the question, it is ok to ask your interviewer for a few seconds to gather your thoughts. Here is a potential plan you could have shown to your interviewer for this specific question: 1. Layout the basic equation for the payback period 2. Express the relationship between the number of small to big stores as an equation 3. Inject the store ratio equation in the payback equation Let’s now do the calculations and simplify the numbers when possible. • The payback period equation is: o Payback period = Initial investment / Annual profits o 5yr = £5m / (£0.1m / yr x A + £0.2m / yr x B) Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 45 o Where A is the number of small stores and B the number of large stores • The ratio of small to big stores is 3:1. If A is the number of small stores and B the number of big stores: o A = 3B • Let’s now replace A by B in the payback equation: o 5yr = £5m / (£0.1m / yr x 3B + £0.2m / yr x B) o 5yr = £5m / (£0.5m / yr x B) o B = 1 / 0.5 = 2 • The number of large stores is therefore 2. Given A = 3B, it follows that the number of small stores is 3 x 2 = 6 Therefore, QM could open 8 stores in total, 2 big and 6 small, in order to achieve a 5-year payback period for a £5m investment. Once you found the answer to the maths question, you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis Investing in new store is a good idea to consolidate QM’s position and fight back the entrance of new players. However, if eight stores were built in Gateshead the number of stores in the city would increase by 80%. This is probably very aggressive and might lead to reaching the saturation point of the market. A good next step in the analysis could be to analyse if it would be an interesting idea to install some of these new stores in cities where QM is not already present. 4. Creativity question To answer creativity questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts if necessary • Develop a simple mini framework • Brainstorm within this mini framework In this case, QM could explore the following options to cut costs: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 46 1. Fixed Costs • Real estate: QM’s owner could try to lower the rents paid by renewing and lengthening the company’s leases. If QM owns some of its stores it could consider selling them to generate cash in the short-term • Equipment (i.e. fridges, checkout registers): QM should consider leasing its equipment to avoid having to replace it every time a new technology comes out. It could also partner with other retailers to lease the same equipment and obtain better prices • Utilities: QM could take measures to increase its energy efficiency and therefore decrease its electricity bills. It could achieve this by using energy efficient lighting, closed fridges, etc. These initiatives might carry some cost initially and then pay for themselves over the course of a few months 2. Variable Costs • Product costs: QM could reduce product costs by making its suppliers compete harder for its business. QM could also create partnerships with other retailers and gain scale to get better prices • Advertising: QM could reduce its advertising to the minimum given it is already known in the region. The downside of doing this is that it might lose visibility as new players enter the region • Labour: QM could try to naturally decrease its labour costs by not replacing people who retire and by stopping to hire new employees in the short-term. For instance, it could install automatic tills in its current stores as well as its new stores and reshuffle its current cashiers across its stores Once you have developed the ideas above, you should: • Prioritise them by impact • And highlight risks related to them if necessary In this case, it makes sense to focus a lot of attention on product costs and real estate costs, as they are likely the highest costs QM incurs. It should also be highlighted that some of the cost cutting measures suggested require an initial investment. As a consequence, in the very near term some of these actions are likely to degrade profitability. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 47 5. Recommendation The recommendation is a critical part of the case. Almost without exceptions, this is what your conclusion should contain: 1. Give your recommendation statement first 2. Then provide supporting arguments, ideally three or more 3. And finally, talk about next steps (additional analysis, potential risks, etc.) The initial analysis indicates that QM should expand in Gateshead in response to the market entry of large chains for three reasons: • First, Gateshead is quasi under served with currently only one supermarket per 10,000 people. It is therefore very likely that there is enough demand for QM to roll out new stores • Then, Gateshead’s population is forecasted to grow over the next 15 years making it attractive for investment • Finally, expanding could help QM gain in scale and reduce its cost per store. For instance, it could get better deals from suppliers thanks to its scale and it could roll out automatic tills and split its staff across its current and new stores to decrease staff costs However, there are further areas that could be explored. Next steps could include: • Making sure that QM has got the financial resources to expand in Gateshead. We should make sure that the expansion does not weaken QM financially before the arrival of the large chains • Understanding in more detail how large chains managed to get market share in other regions they recently got into could help enhance QM’s competitive response • Looking into potential acquisitions of other local chains or into partnerships with these chains could also help QM drive costs down Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 48 Case #5 - Electron 1. Situation Your client is a high-tech British start-up called Electron. Electron launched the first cooking thermometer in the UK two years ago and it was a huge success. A cooking thermometer is used to measure the internal temperature of meat when cooking. The CEO of Electron thinks the UK market is extremely competitive. He aims to maintain market share in the UK between 2015 and 2020. At the same time, he wants to enter at least two new markets and is considering countries in continental Europe and Asia. His overall aim is to quadruple sales between 2015 and 2020. He is convinced that to achieve his vision he needs to add new innovative products to Electron’s portfolio and to diversify the company’s culture by hiring international employees. Currently Electron hires 40 British employees based in London and outsources the manufacturing of its product to a manufacturer in the UK. Electron’s CEO hired your team to help him define a strategy in order to achieve his vision. 2. Framework development What key factors would you analyse to design the CEO’s strategy? 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Electron’s CEO decided that the countries he wants to enter are China and Germany. Your team collected the information below about Electron’s competition in these countries. 2014 Cooking thermometer sales ($m) China Xi- H- Ion Chen 170 150 Germany Others iWarme 20 Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 5 KlugL VatenT 20 12 SGlim 10 eKoch Other 8 9 49 Assume that the population in China and Germany is respectively 1,360m and 80m inhabitants and that the average price of a cooking thermometer is $50 and $80 respectively in these two countries. Question 3.a What is the market penetration of cooking thermometers in each country? Question 3.b The CEO believes that Electron can capture 10% of the German and Chinese markets in 2015. Is it realistic? Would it put Electron on track to achieve its 2020 revenue target? In 2014 Electron had revenues of $15m. 4. Creativity question What measures can be taken to reduce the risks related to entering the German and Chinese markets? 5. Recommendation It’s time for your team to present your findings to Electron’s CEO. What are your recommendations for Electron’s strategy? Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 50 Answers 1. Situation Before answering the framework question, you need to: • Play back the company situation • Define the case objective To play back the company situation, you should summarise what your interviewer told you. This will enable you to avoid any misunderstandings about the situation. In addition, you could also ask follow up questions that will help you get a better grip on the situation. For instance, you could ask: • Is there any particular reason why the CEO is only considering Europe and Asia and not the US for example? • Has Electron already started developing new products or is it just focused on the kitchen thermometer? • Does Electron have any stores or does it only sell its product online? Prior to diving into the framework question, it is also advisable to further define the objective of the case. Examples of questions you could ask include: • I understand that the CEO wants to quadruple sales by 2020. Do we know what sales are today? • Does the CEO only have a sales target or does he also have a profit target in mind for 2020? • The CEO seems to be expecting most of the sales growth in the next 5 years to come from the UK. Can you confirm that’s right? 2. Framework development To answer framework questions, you should: • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts • Extract the main elements from the case question and situation • Break down these elements into simple components Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 51 In this situation, the main elements correspond to the means the CEO wants to use quadruple sales by 2020. These means include: • Entering two new markets – one in Asia and one in Europe • Diversifying the product portfolio • Diversifying the company’s culture with international employees Therefore, the three areas that can be used to structure your framework are new markets, products and company culture. Let’s now breakdown these main elements into sub components: A. New markets: 1. Market size: What is the size of the market and the customer segments for Electron’s products in different countries? Are customers in those markets early adopters of smart kitchen technology? Given Electron’s products are related to cooking, is there a strong cooking culture in these countries? 2. Competition: How many competitors does Electron have in the different countries? How concentrated is this competition? How do their products compare to Electron’s (price, features)? 3. Barriers to entry: Are there any legal issues preventing Electron from entering the targeted markets? B. New Products 1. When: Is it wise for Electron to invest in the development of new products before entering the new markets? Or should it launch the smart thermometer in new markets first and then reinvest some of the revenues in developing new products? 2. What: Should Electron focus only on smart kitchen related appliances or should it launch smart home products too? Is the vision of the company to become a specialist leader in smart kitchen appliances or does it want to play across more markets? 3. Where: Where should the company design and manufacture its new products? Should it move the manufacturing to a lower cost facility than Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 52 in the UK? Should Electron launch its new products in the UK or in one of its new markets? C. Company culture • Diversity: How can Electron ensure that it attracts diverse talent in terms gender, nationality, ethnicity, etc.? • Inclusiveness: How can Electron create an inclusive working culture where diversity is celebrated? • Values: How can Electron ensure that its values are preserved while it transforms into a more diverse place to work at? This framework includes a number of elements that can be prioritised in order of importance. Developing new products and building a more diverse culture both take time. As a consequence, it probably makes sense to first focus on taking Electron’s existing product, the cooking thermometer, and trying to sell it in new markets. This is the area of the framework that is most likely to deliver sales growth in the short term. 3. Quantitative question – Data provided Question 3.a To answer maths questions, you should: • Map out the calculations you are going to do • Present your plan to your interviewer to get feedback before starting the calculations • Do your calculations and simplify the numbers when possible If a plan does not come to you naturally when trying to answer the question, it is ok to ask your interviewer for a few seconds to gather your thoughts. Here, for each country we simply need to calculate: 4. The value of the cooking thermometers market 5. The number of cooking thermometers sold 6. The number of households in each country Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 53 7. The market penetration Let’s estimate the market penetration for each country following the steps above: 1. Value of the cooking thermometers market: • The market value can be calculated by adding the sales of competitors in each country • China: 170 + 150 + 20 = $340m • Germany: 5 + 20 + 12 + 10 + 8 + 9 = $64m 2. Number of cooking thermometers sold: • The number of cooking thermometers can be calculated by dividing the market value by the price of a cooking thermometer • China: $340m / $50 = 6.8m • Germany: $64m / $80 = 0.8m 3. Number of households: • The number of households can be calculated by dividing the population by the number of people per household. Four people per household can be assumed as a simplification assumption • China: 1,360m / 4 = 340m • Germany: 80m / 4 = 20m 4. Market penetration: • The market penetration can be calculated by dividing the number of thermometers by the number of households: • China: 6.8m / 340m = 2% • Germany 0.8m / 20m = 4% Once you found the answer to the maths question, you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis The CEO wants to enter at least two new markets. The market penetration for China and Germany is respectively 2% and 4%. It is difficult to know by how much this penetration can grow and how much opportunity there is left in these two countries. Comparing these penetrations to the UK’s penetration or to other countries could provide more information on this. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 54 However, given China’s penetration is twice as low as Germany’s we can conclude that there is still headroom for growth in China. The Chinese market could potentially double in size, which is an attractive opportunity for Electron. As a next step, it might be helpful to understand the highest limit these market penetrations can reach. This could be done by looking at the penetration of cooking thermometers or similar kitchen products in other countries. Question 3.b This question is a mix of maths and data interpretation. Asking if you think that Electron can capture 10% of the German and Chinese markets is a form of data interpretation question. The Chinese market is extremely concentrated, with Xi-Ion and H-Chen having more than 90% market share. By comparison, the German market is more fragmented with KlugL and VantenT accounting for 50% of the market. Based on this simple concentration analysis, it seems that it might be easier for Electron to get 10% market share in Germany than in China. To achieve 10% market share in China, Electron would need to have some sort of price advantage or technological advantage that its Chinese competitors do not have. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 55 IGotAnOffer Special Tip: Answering with limited information To answer this question comprehensively, you would need to know if Electron’s prices and technology are better than its competitors. This information is not available here. In this type of situations, you should ask your interviewer if he has information about prices and technology. If he doesn’t, you should then make an initial conclusion based on the information you have and outline the conditions under which your conclusion would need to be revised. This is what we are doing here by saying that it would seem difficult for Electron to grab a 10% market share in China unless it has superior prices and technology. Let’s assume for a moment that Electron can achieve 10% market share. Calculating if that would be sufficient for Electron to reach its target is a form of maths questions. To answer maths questions, you should: • Map out the calculations you are going to do • Present your plan to your interviewer to get feedback before starting the calculations • Do your calculations and simplify the numbers when possible If a plan does not come to you naturally when trying to answer the question, it is ok to ask your interviewer for a few seconds to gather your thoughts. You can take a three steps approach to calculate if China and Germany would be enough for Electron to be on track to meet its 2020 target: 1. Calculate additional 2015 sales needed to be on track for the 2020 target 2. Calculate the realistic share that could come from Germany Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 56 3. Calculate the realistic share that could come from China Let’s now do the calculations and simplify the numbers when possible. 1. Additional 2015 sales required • Electron wants to quadruple sales by 2020. 2014 sales were $15m. Electron therefore needs to add $45m in sales in 6 years. Assuming a linear growth, Electron needs to grow by $45m / 6 = $7.5m in additional sales every year 2. Share of revenue from Germany • Germany’s market size in 2014 was $64m. Assuming that the German market size remains unchanged and that the company captures 10% of the market, Electron would get revenues of $6.4m in 2015. That would leave Electron short of $1.1m ($7.5m - $6.4m) in sales to be on track to meet its target 3. Share of revenue from China • $1.1m is less than 1% of the Chinese market. It therefore seems realistic to say that Electron could be on track to reach its 2020 target by achieving a 10% share of German market and 1% share of the Chinese one Once you found the answer to the maths question, you need to: • Relate the result back to the broader case question • Suggest next steps in the analysis Overall, the CEO’s revenue objective seems realistic. To confirm this, it could make sense to further analyse Electron’s pricing and technology compared to its competition. In addition, we could also look at whether there is enough room for growth in Germany and China for Electron in 2016 onwards. If it is not the case, Electron might have to consider expanding in other countries or launching new products. 4. Creativity question To answer creativity questions, you should: Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 57 • Ask for some time to gather your thoughts if necessary • Develop a simple mini framework • Brainstorm within this mini framework Here you first need to identify the main risks related to the strategy and then suggest how they can be mitigated both in the short-term and in the long-term. 1. Main risks • Being unable to compete with the two very large Chinese players • Focusing too much on China and Germany and ending up neglecting the UK • Focusing too much on market development and ending up neglecting product development 2. Mitigation strategies • Short-term: o Electron should perform a detailed analysis of the two Chinese players (price, technology, region, etc.) to identify any gaps in the market o Electron might want to think about a more ambitious goal for the UK than just maintaining its position in order to avoid losing momentum in its home market. For instance, it could try to achieve a reasonable yearly growth target o Electron might also want to continue investing in its technology or at least to have a clear roadmap for the development of new products • Long-term: o Concentrate all efforts in China on a single gap identified. Examples of gaps could include a region that is underserved by the two large players or a segment of the market for which Electron’s technology is particularly well adapted, etc. o As the CEO spends more and more time developing new markets, he might want to appoint a strong figure of the company to continue leading the development of Electron in the UK o Finally, the CEO should make sure the company keeps on developing new interesting products. This will probably be best achieved by continuing to recruit the best possible engineering talent. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 58 Once you have developed the ideas above, you should: • Prioritise them by impact • And highlight risks related to them if necessary Here the prioritisation has already been done by splitting the framework in shortterm vs. long-term. Similarly, the framework focuses on risks so there is no need to outline risks after the brainstorming exercise. 5. Recommendation The recommendation is a critical part of the case. Almost without exceptions, this is what your conclusion should contain: 4. Give your recommendation statement first 5. Then provide supporting arguments, ideally three or more 6. And finally, talk about next steps (additional analysis, potential risks, etc.) Based on the initial findings from our analysis it seems possible for Electron to reach its 2020 sales target by focusing on the following: 1. Capture 10% of the German market and 1% of the Chinese market by focusing on gaps left by current competitors 2. Maintain momentum in the UK market to make sure sales do not start decreasing as the CEO’s attention is focused on other countries 3. Continue developing innovative products by attracting the best possible engineering talent In addition, further work could be done to consolidate the strategy outlined above: 1. Electron should define a more detailed plan to diversify its workforce and attract the best possible talent 2. Explore alternative markets to China as it seems to be very concentrated with high barriers to entry 3. Examine the option of moving the manufacturing facilities to Asia while keeping the design of its products in the UK Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 59 IGotAnOffer Special Tip: Note that in most case interviews, there is no right or wrong conclusion. As long as you follow the method above and give a good rational for your conclusion, your interviewer will accept it. Outlining next steps is important. This is something all consultants do at the end of projects to sell on the next project. Including that in your conclusion will show your interviewer that you are aware of how actual projects work! Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 60 IGotAnOffer is not affiliated to McKinsey & Company. Use of “McKinsey”, or any other variations do not imply any affiliation with or endorsement by McKinsey & Company. The information provided on igotanoffer.com and its related products is for educational purposes only. It is provided on an "as is" basis with no warranties expressed or implied. The information is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed to be so. By reading this content, you agree to waive IGotAnOffer Ltd. of any liability from the action you may take as a result of using the information available on igotanoffer.com and its related products. Copyright © IGotAnOffer Ltd. 61