CHAPTER 1 SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS §1.1 SAMPLING Def 1.1 : The totality of elements which are under discussion and about which information is desired is called the target population. Def 1.2 : Let X1,, Xn be random variables having a joint density as follows : f X1 ,,Xn f X1 ,,Xn x ,, x 1 ,, that factors f x f x f x , n 1 2 n where f is the common density of each Xi . Then X1,, Xn is defined to be a random sample of size n from a population with density f . Note : x1,, xn are observed values (or observations) of X1,, Xn . Def 1.3 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population with a density f , then this population is called the sample population. Ex1.1 : 20-year-old males in the US target population some large city we sampled sample population Goal : Study the religious habits of 20-year-old males in the US. Def 1.4 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population with a density f . The distribution of X1,, Xn is defined to be the joint distribution of X1,, Xn ; that is , f X1 ,,Xn x ,, x f x f x f x . n 1 1 2 n Ex 1.2 : Suppose X is a random variable having a Bernoulli distribution f x p q , x 0,1.Let x 1x X1 and X2 be a random sample from f .Then f X1,X2 x , x f x f x p 1 2 1 2 x1 x 2 2x1 x 2 q , x1, x 2 0,1 . Remark 1.1 : The definition of random sampling here has ruled out sampling from a finite population without replacement, since then, the results of drawings are not independent. Note : Suppose the form of a density f ; is known, but the parameter is unknown. Let X1,, Xn be a t random sample from f ; and T (x1,, xn ) represent the value of some function which estimates the unknown parameter . We want to determine which function will be the best one to estimate . Def 1.5 : Suppose X1,, Xn is a random sample from the distribution of a random variable X. Then any function T (X1,, Xn ) of the sample is t called a statistic. Ex1.3 : Suppose X1,, Xn is a random sample from a population. Then 1 n 1. X Xi is a statistic. n i 1 2. min X1,, Xn max X1,, Xn is also a statistic. Def 1.6 : Let X be a random variable. The rth (population) moment of X is defined as E X .In particular,if r 1, then , r r E X , the mean of X . , 1 Def 1.7 : Let X be a random variable. The rth central moment of X about is defined r by r E X . In particular,if r 2, then 2 2 E X 2, the variance of X . Def 1.8 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population. The rth sample moment n 1 about 0 is defined to be Mr' Xir . If r 1, n i 1 1 n we get the sample mean X Xn Xi . n i 1 Also,the rth sample moment about X is defined 1 n by Mr (Xi X )r . n i 1 Thm 1.1 : Let X 1, , X n be a random sample from a population. Then 1 (b )Var M E X E X n (a )E M r' r' ' r if r' exists ; 2r r 2 2 1 ' ' ' 2r r if 2r exists . n In particular, if r 1 ,then E X and Var X 2 , where and are the mean 2 n and variance of the population, respectively. Def 1.9 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population.The sample variance is defined by n 1 2 S S (Xi X ) ,n 1. n 1 i 1 2 2 n Thm1.2 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population with mean and variance . Then 2 E S 2 2 and Var S 2 1 n 3 4 , n 1. 4 n n 1 where and 2 are the mean and variance of the population, respectively. §1.2 SAMPLE MEAN Thm1.3 :(Weak law of large number) Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a distribution with mean E Xi and variance Var Xi 2 < . Then , for every 0, we have lim P Xn < 1. n Thm1.4 :(Strong law of large number) Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a distribution with mean E Xi and variance Var Xi = < . 2 Then , for every 0, we have P lim Xn < 1. n Thm1.5 : (Central limit theorem; CLT) Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a distribution with finite mean E Xi and variance Var Xi = < . Then, the random 2 variable Zn = Xn approaches the standard n normal distribution N 0,1 as n . That is, FZ z P Zn z n z 1 2 e dz z . z 2 2 §1.3 SAMPLING FROM THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION Thm1.6 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a 2 2 N , .Then X N , . n Thm1.7 : Let X1,, Xn be independent random variables and Xi N i , i 2 , i 1,, n. Than Xi i U i i 1 n 2 2 n . X 2 Cor1.1 : If X N , , then 1 . 2 Cor1.2 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a N , 2 . n Then X i 1 i 2 2 n . 2 Thm1.8 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a N , . Then (a)X and S are independent random 2 variables. (b) 2 2 1 n S 2 n 1 . 2 Thm1.9 : Suppose U and V are independent variables Um 2 2 and U m and V n .Then X F m,n . Vn Cor1.3 : Let X1,, Xm be a random sample sample from a N , . Suppose the two from a N X , , and let Y1,,Yn be a random 2 X 2 Y Y samples are independent. Then SX2 X2 SY2 Y2 F m 1, n 1 . In particular,if , then 2 X 2 Y S 2 X 2 Y S F m 1, n 1 . Remark1.2 : If X F m, n , then n 1. X = for n 2 and n2 2n 2 m n 2 for n 4. Var X = 2 m n 2 n 4 1 1 2. F n, m and F m, n . X F1 n, m Thm1.10 : If N 0,1 and U 2 r .Then X U r t r . Remark1.3 : (1) If r 1, then the t-distribution reduces to a Cauchy distribution. (2) As r increases, the t-distribution approaches the N 0,1 . Z (3)X F 1,r . Ur 2 2 Cor1.4 : Suppose that X1,, Xn is a random sample froma N , . Then 2 X S n t n 1 X and S n 2 2 F 1,n 1 . §1.4 ORDER STATISTICS 1.4.1 DEFINITIONS AND DISTRIBUTIONS Def 1.10 : Let X1,, Xn be a random sample from a population. Then Y1 Y2 Yn X X X , where Y X ,i 1,n, 1 2 n i i are the Xi arranged in order of increasing magnitudes and are defined to be the order statistics corresponding to X1,, Xn . Note : (i) Yi are statistics functions of X1,, Xn and are in order. (ii) Order statistics are NOT independent Y y Y j j 1 y . (iii) Y1= min X1,, Xn and Yn =max X1,, Xn . Thm1.11 : Let Y1,,Yn denote the order statistics of a random sample, X1,, Xn from a c.d.f F . n Then FY y j n j F y 1 F y j n j . Cor1.5 : From Theorem 1.11,we have F y 1 F y F y y F y 1 F y (a) FY y n (b) FY 1 n n n n j 1 n j 1 1 F y 0 j n nj n ; Thm1.12 :Let Y1,,Yn denote the order statistics of a random sample, X1,, Xn from a continuous population with c.d.f F and p.d.f f . (a)The p.d.f of Y is n 1 n! F y 1 F y f y . fY y n ! ! 1 (b) The joint p.d.f of Y and Y , 1 n, is fY ,Y y ,y 1 n! F y ! ! n ! 1 1 F y F y y y . 1 n 1 F y (c) The joint p.d.f of Y1,,Yn is f y f y , for n ! f y1 f yn y1 y2 yn fY Y y1,, yn 1 n otherwise. 0 Def1.11 : Let Y1,,Yn be the order statistics of a random sample, X1,, Xn , from a population. (i) The sample median is defined by Yn1 if n is odd 2 M Y Y n n 1 2 2 if n is even. 2 (ii) The sample range is defined to be R Yn Y1. Y1 Yn (iii) The sample midrange is defined to beT . 2 Remark1.4 : (i) If n 2k 1, then Yk 1 is the sample median and fk 1 y is given by Theorem1.12(a). Y (ii) If n 2k, the sample median is k Yk 1 . We 2 can obtain the distribution by a transformation starting with the joint density of Yk and Yk 1 given by Theorem1.12(b). Thm1.13 : If R is the sample range and T is the sample midrange from a continuous population with cdf F and pdf f . Then the joint pdf of R and T is given by fR,T r,t n n 1 F t r 2 F t r 2 f t r 2 f t r 2 , r 0, and the marginal distributions are given by n 2 fR r fR,T r,t dt and fT t fR,T r,t dr . 0 Ex1.5 : X1,, Xn iid U 0,1 r r fR,T r, t n n 1 t t 1 1 2 2 r r n 2 n n 1 r , 0 < r < 1, < t < 1 2 2 fR r fR,T r, t dt r 1 2 r 2 n 2 n n 1 r dt n n 1 r t r n 2 n n 11 r r n 2 , 0 < r < 1. 1 2 r 2 fT t fR,T r, t dr 21t 1 n 2 0 n n 1 r dr, < t < 1 2 2t n n 1 r n 2dr, 0 < t 1 0 2 n 1 1 n 2t , 0 < t 2 n 1 n 2 1 t , 1 < t < 1 2 n 1 R Beta n 1, 2 , E R n 1 E T t fT t dt or t Y1 Yn 1 E T E E Y1 E Yn 2 2 n 1 1 1 2 n 1 n 1 2 1.4.2 ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTIONS Ex1.6 : Let Y1,,Yn denote the order statistics of a sample of size n from U 0, . 1 x Then f x , 0 < x < . F x y n n , 0 y < So FY y F y n 1 , y< 0, 0 y < Thus, lim FY y n n 1, y < Ex1.7 : Yn : nth order statistics of a random sample from U 0, . Let Zn n Yn . Then the p.d.f of is z dy hZ z fY n n n dz n1 z 1 1 n n n n1 z n , 0< z < n n So the p.d.f of Zn is 0, z < 0 z HZ z hZ u du, 0 z < n n n 0 1, n z 0, z < 0 n 1 u n z n z du 1 1 , 0 z < n n 0 n 1, n z < Hence the limiting distribution of Zn is 0, z < 0 n HZ lim HZ z z n n lim , z 1 1 0 n n 0, z < 0 z 1 e , z 0