BES5- ENGINEERING ECONOMICS Module 1: INTRODUCTION Prepared by: ENGR. KARLA ANN D. PICOY Faculty, Civil Engineering Department This module has the following sections and corresponding icons: Title It shows the specific topic of the module. Overview The topics in this module are included in this section. Lecture Proper A brief debate on the lectures is given in this section. It helps you explore new ideas and capabilities. Practice Problems Assessment Supplementary Knowledge Answer Key References It involves questions or an expression that sets out the concepts and wordings that you learned from real-life circumstances. It is a job aimed at evaluating your mastery in acquiring learning skills. In this segment you will improve your awareness or experience through the lectures as an additional practice. This contains answers to all activities in the module. This is a list of all sources that this module uses for creation. Overview CONTENTS COURSE DESCRIPTION: ● This course deals with the study of concepts of the time value of money and equivalence; basic economic study methods; decisions under certainty; decisions recognizing risk; and decisions admitting uncertainty. COURSE OUTCOMES: At the end of this module, students will be able to: ● Apply the fundamental principles of engineering economics in solving problems involving decision making, interest and the time value of money PROGRAM OUTCOMES: ● Apply knowledge of mathematics and sciences to solve complex engineering problems; ● Identify, formulate and solve complex problems in electrical engineering; ● Understand the impact of engineering solutions in a global, economic, environmental, and societal context; and ● Apply techniques, skills and modern engineering tools necessary for electrical engineering practice. TIME FRAME: 1.1. Terms and Symbols 1.2. Principles of Engineering Economics 1.3. Engineering Economics and the Design Process 1.4. Cost Concepts for Decision Making 1.5. Present Economic Studies ● This module can be covered in two weeks. INTENDED LEARNING OUTCOMES At the end of this module, you should be able to: a. use engineering economic terminology and symbols in engineering economy studies b. discuss the steps in an engineering economy study; and c. apply the decision-making procedures in engineering economic studies Engineering Economic Terms and Symbols B efore we proceed to the fundamental principles of Engineering Economy, let us first define the terminologies used in this course. Engineering Economy – The application of economic principles to engineering problems, for example in comparing the comparative costs of two alternative capital projects or in determining the optimum engineering course from the cost aspect. It is the analysis and evaluation of the factors that will affect the economic success of engineering projects to the end that a recommendation can be made which will insure the best use of capital. Economics – is the science that deals with the production, allocation and use of goods and services. The two major subdivisions of economics are: a. Macroeconomics is the study of the entire system of economics. b. Microeconomics is the study of how the systems affect one business or parts of the economic system. Necessities – are products or services that are required to support human life and activities that will be purchased in somewhat the same quantity even though the prices vary considerably. Luxuries – are products and services that are desired by humans and will be purchased if money is available after the required necessities have been obtained. Goods – is defined as anything that anyone wants or needs. Services – would be the performance of any duties or work for another; helpful or professional activity. Marketing – refers to the distribution of goods and services. Marketing a Product – refers to the advertising, and other efforts to promote a products sale. Different Types of Goods 1. Consumer Goods – are those such as food and clothing that satisfy human wants and needs. 2. Producer Goods – are those such as raw materials and tools, used to make consumer goods. 3. Capital Goods – are the machinery, used in the production of commodities in producer goods. Supply – refers to how many of a certain good or services are available for people to purchase. Demand – means how many people wish to buy that good or service. Law of Supply and Demand - Under conditions of perfect competition, the price at which a given product will be supplied and purchased is the price that will result in the supply and demand being equal. Demand – it refers to the people’s willingness to buy a product or service. Demand Curve – is the plot or graph of the quantity demanded versus the price. Demand Schedule – is the schedule or table listing of the quantity demanded with the corresponding price. Types of Demand 1. Elastic Demand – exists when there is a greater change in quantity demanded as a response to a change in price. 2. Inelastic Demand – exists when there is a lesser change in quantity demanded as a response to a change in price. 3. Unitary Demand – exists when there is an equal change in price and quantity demanded (increase or decrease). Factors that Influence Demand are: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Income Population Taste and preference Price Expectation Price of Related Goods Supply – it is the willingness of a producer to manufacture goods. Supply Curve – is the plot or graph of the quantity supplied versus the price. Supply Schedule – is the schedule or table listing of the quantity supplied with the corresponding price. Factors that Influence Supply are: 1. Price of Goods 2. Cost of Production 3. Availability of Resources 4. Number of Producer and Sellers 5. Technological Advancement 6. Taxes 7. Subsidies Relationship of Supply and Demand a. b. c. Shortage – the supply is less than the demand. Surplus – the supply exceeds the demand. Equilibrium Point – the supply is equal to the demand. Market – is the place where the vendors and buyers meet to transact. Market Structures a. b. c. Perfect Competition – occurs in a situation where a commodity or service is supplied by a number of vendors and there is nothing to prevent additional vendors entering the market. Perfect Monopoly – exist when a unique product or services is available from a single vendor and that the vendor can prevent the entry of all others into the market. Oligopoly – exist when there are so few suppliers of a product or service that action by one will almost inevitably result in similar action by the others. Aside from these terms, Engineering Economics also uses equations and procedures which utilize the following symbols: value or amount of money at a time designated as the present or time 0. Also, P is referred to as present worth (PW), present value (PV), net present value (NPV), discounted cash flow (DCF), and capitalized cost (CC); monetary units, such as pesos value or amount of money at some future time. Also, F is called future worth (FW) and future value (FV); pesos series of consecutive, equal, end-of-period amounts of money. Also, A is called the annual worth (AW) and equivalent uniform annual worth (EUAW); pesos per year, pesos per month amount of money earned or paid over time based on an initial amount and interest rate; monetary units, such as pesos number of interest periods; years, months, days interest rate per time period; percent per year, percent per month time, stated in periods; years, months, days Additional symbols used in this course are defined in the succeeding modules. Principles of Engineering Economics F or you to be able to understand how an engineer can take economic principles into account in any engineering problem, you must first know the requirements of the solutions to be made. Solutions to engineering problems must: 1. 2. 3. 4. Promote the well-being and survival of an organization; Embody creative and innovative technology and ideas; Permit identification and scrutiny of their estimated outcomes; and Translate profitability to the “bottom line” through a valid and acceptable measure of merit. Here are some situations where engineering economic analysis plays an important role. 1. Choosing the best design for a high-efficiency gas furnace. 2. Selecting the most suitable robot for a welding operation on an automotive assembly line. 3. Making a recommendation about whether jet airplanes for an overnight delivery service should be purchased or leased. 4. Determining the optimal staffing plan for a computer help desk. These are the seven fundamental principles of engineering economy. 1. Develop the alternatives. The final choice (decision) is among alternatives. Alternatives need to be identified and then defined for subsequent analysis. 2. Focus on the differences. Only the differences in expected future outcomes among the alternatives are relevant to their comparison and should be considered in the decision. 3. Use a consistent viewpoint. The prospective outcomes of the alternatives, economic and other, should be consistently developed from a defined viewpoint (perspective). 4. Use a common unit of measure. Using a common unit of measurement to enumerate as many of the prospective outcomes as possible will make easier the analysis and comparison of alternatives. 5. Consider all relevant criteria. Selection of a preferred alternative (decision making) requires the use of a criterion (or several criteria). The decision process should consider the outcomes enumerated in the monetary unit and those expressed in some other unit of measurement or made explicit in a descriptive manner. 6. Make uncertainty explicit. Uncertainty is inherent in projecting (or estimating) the future outcomes of the alternatives and should be recognized in their analysis and comparison. 7. Revisit your decisions. Improved decision-making results from an adaptive process; to the extent practicable, the initial projected outcomes of the selected alternative should be subsequently compared with actual results achieved. Engineering Economics and the Design Process E ngineering economics study comprises various factors: recognizing problems, determining goals, estimating cash flow, financial analysis, and decision-making. The easiest way to choose the best approach is to introduce a formal process. The procedure in an engineering economy analysis are as follows: 1. Problem definition. Identify and understand the problem; identify the objective of the project. 2. Development of alternatives. Collect relevant, available data and define viable solution alternatives. 3. Development of prospective outcomes. Make realistic cash flow estimates. 4. Selection of a decision criterion. Identify an economic measure of worth criterion for decision making. 5. Analysis and comparison of alternatives. Evaluate each alternative; consider noneconomic factors; use sensitivity analysis as needed. 6. Select the best alternative. 7. Performance monitoring and post evaluation of results. Implement the solution and monitor the results. This process ensures that the best solution to an engineering problem is selected. Cost Concepts for Decision Making R ational analysis approach is used in the decision-making process to choose one of the best alternatives available. The following nine steps can be followed sequentially, but decision makers often repeat some steps, undertake some simultaneously, and skip others altogether. 1. Recognize the problem. 2. Define the goal or objective: What is the task? 3. Assemble relevant data: What are the facts? Are more data needed, and is it worth more than the cost to obtain it? 4. Identify feasible alternatives. 5. Select the criterion for choosing the best alternative: possible criteria include political, economic, environmental, and humanitarian. The single criterion may be a composite of several different criteria. 6. Mathematically model the various interrelationships. 7. Predict the outcomes for each alternative. 8. Choose the best alternative. 9. Audit the results. Engineering decisions include solving significant problems of engineering where economic aspects dominate and the criterion of preference is economic performance. The entire decision-making process is a special event. Some of the exceptional facets of the decision-making process are: 1. Cost-accounting systems, while an important source of cost data, contain allocations of indirect costs that may be inappropriate for use in economic analysis. 2. The various consequences--costs and benefits---of an alternative may be of three types: (a) Market consequences-there are established market prices (b) Extra-market consequences-there are no direct market prices, but prices can be assigned by indirect means (c) Intangible consequences-valued by judgment, not by monetary prices 3. The economic criteria for judging alternatives can be reduced to three cases: (a) For fixed input: maximize benefits or other outputs. (b) For fixed output: minimize costs or other inputs. (c) When neither input nor output is fixed: maximize the difference between benefits and costs or, more simply stated, maximize profit. The third case states the general rule from which both the first and second cases may be derived. 4. To choose among the alternatives, the market consequences and extramarket consequences are organized into a cash flow diagram. You will see in the preceding chapters that engineering economic calculations can be used to compare differing cash flows. These outcomes are compared against the selection criterion. From this comparison plus the consequences not included in the monetary analysis, the best alternative is selected. 5. An essential part of engineering decision making is the post audit of results. This step helps to ensure that projected benefits are obtained and to encourage realistic estimates in analyses. Present Economic Studies E ngineering economic analysis is ideally suited for studies of this nature: 1. The issue is sufficiently important to explain our serious considerations and efforts. 2. The problem cannot be solved in one's own mind, that is, a thorough study would require us to organize the problem and all its various consequences. 3. In making a decision the issue is economically relevant. Engineering economic analysis is used to answer many different questions. ⮚ Which engineering projects are worthwhile: Has the mining or petroleum engineer shown that the mineral or oil deposit is worth developing? ⮚ Which engineering projects should have a higher priority: Has the industrial engineer shown which factory improvement projects should be funded with the available fund? ⮚ How should the engineering project be designed: Has the mechanical or electrical engineer chosen the most economical motor size? Has the civil or mechanical engineer chosen the best thickness for insulation? Has the aeronautical engineer made the best trade-offs between: 1) lighter materials that are expensive to buy but cheaper to fly and 2) heavier materials that are cheap to buy and more expensive to fly? Engineering economic analysis can also be used to answer questions that are personally important. ⮚ How to achieve long-term financial goals: How much should you save each month to buy a house, retire or fund a trip around the world? Is going to graduate school a good investment-Will your additional earnings in later years balance your lost income while in graduate school? ⮚ How to compare different ways to finance purchases: Is it better to finance your car purchase by using the dealer's low interest rate loan or by taking the rebate and borrowing money from your bank or credit union? ⮚ How to make short and long-term investment decisions: Is a higher salary better than stock options? Should you buy a 1-or 2-semester parking pass? Present Economy involves the analysis of problems for manufacturing a product or rendering a service based on present or immediate costs. Present economy studies usually occur when the effects of time Such as interest and depreciation are negligible. Present economic analysis is employed when the alternatives to be compared will provide the same result and the length of time involved in the study is relatively short. Present economy studies occur in the following situations: 1. selection of materials; 2. selection of method to be used; 3. selection of design; 4. selection of site location for a project; 5. comparison of proficiency among workers; 6. economy of tool and equipment maintenance; and 7. economy of number of workers. 1. SELECTION OF MATERIAL. In manufacturing a product, it usually happens that two or more materials are available and such materials will be equally satisfactory. The problem therefore reduces to which among the materials will result in the most economical product and at the same time give the best results. In the studies the costs of the materials and their processing are taken into account. 2. SELECTION OF METHOD. In digging ditches or irrigation canals, manual labor or ditch digging machine may be used and both methods will give satisfactory results. In mechanical operations, a product may be made by two or more methods giving equivalent results. Some goods may be delivered by various methods such as by using different capacity trucks, and the results would still be the same regardless of the truck used. These are but a few of the examples that may be cited to show that certain operations are capable of being accomplished by two or more methods. The present economy study reduces to determining the most economical among the different methods. 3. SELECTION OF DESIGN. In the design of a machine to produce a certain product, the engineer responsible for the work will usually make as many designs as possible and from which, by a process of elimination, he will select the design best suited for the work to be done with particular care being given to the one which will do the work with the utmost economy. I the design of packages for goods sold in the market, the manufacturer will always select that one which he believes has the best appeal to the buying public. 4. SITE SELECTION. In the choice of a factory site, many factors are to be considered, among which are the cost of the land, the construction cost at the different possible sites, the availability of skilled labor, and many other factors. In highway or dam construction, the location of the borrow pit will affect the cost of the earth to be transported in these canes, care must be taken in the economic study to include all pertinent factors that will affect the work. 5. COMPARISON OF PROFICIENCY OF WORKERS. In industrial operations where the efficiency of workers is a factor affecting costs, it is usually observed that workers have varying efficiencies. Where the proficiencies of workers can be translated into monetary values, efficient and diligent workers are paid higher wages 6. ECONOMY OF TOOL AND EQUIPMENT MAINTENANCE. In many activities, tools have to be sharpened from time to time, and equipment have to be kept in optimum operating condition all the time. In certain cases, experience will indicate the best time to perform certain operations to maintain equipment at the highest level of efficiency. 7. ECONOMY IN THE UTILIZATION OF PERSONNEL. In many industrial operations, it is observed that a certain number of workers cooperating on a specific phase of the work will lead to the highest productivity. An increase beyond this number will often cause the taking into effect of the Law of Diminishing Returns. An excess of workers will result in some being idle at certain periods while waiting for the work of others to be completed. In such case, economy dictates that only a sufficient number of workers be assigned to minimize idleness. PRACTICE PROBLEMS 1. Identify the four engineering economy symbols and their values from the following problem statement. Use a question mark with the symbol whose value is to be determined. Vision Technologies, Inc., is a small company that uses ultra-wideband technology to develop devices that can detect objects (including people) inside of buildings, behind walls, or below ground. The company expects to spend ₱5 Million per year for labor and ₱6.25 Million per year for supplies before a product can be marketed. At an interest rate of 15% per year, what is the total equivalent future amount of the company’s expenses at the end of 3 years? 2. Identify the four engineering economy symbols and their values from the following problem statement. Use a question mark with the symbol whose value is to be determined. A green alga, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii, can produce hydrogen when temporarily deprived of sulfur for up to 2 days at a time. A small company needs to purchase equipment costing ₱170 million to commercialize the process. If the company wants to earn a rate of return of 10% per year and recover its investment in 8 years, what must be the net value of the hydrogen produced each year? 3. An executive receives an annual salary of ₱300.000 and his secretary salary of ₱60,000 a year. A certain task be performed by the executive, working alone, is 4 hours. If he delegates the task to his secretary it wiil require him 30 minutes to explain the work and another 45 minutes to check the finished work. Due to the unfamiliarity of the secretary to do the task, it takes her an additional time of 6 hours after being instructed. Considering salary cost, only determine the cost of performing the task by each method, if the secretary works 2,400 hours a year and the executive 3,000 hours a year. 4. A contractor has a job which should be completed in 100 days. At present, he has 80 men on the job and it is estimated that they will finish the work in 130 days. Of the 80 men, 50 are each paid ₱120.00 a day, 25 at ₱180.00 day, and 5 at ₱250.00 day. For each day beyond the original 100 days, the contractor has to pay ₱500.00 liquidated damages. a. How many more men should the contractor add so tht he can complete the work on time? b. If of the additional men, 2 are paid ₱180.00 day, and the rest at ₱120.00 a day, would the contractor save money by employing more men and not paying the fine? ASSESSMENT Case Study: REFRIGERATOR SHELLS Background Large refrigerator manufacturers may subcontract the molding of their plastic liners and door panels. Because of improvements in mechanical properties, the molded plastic can sustain increased vertical and horizontal loading, thus significantly reducing the need for attached metal anchors for some shelving. However, improved molding equipment is needed to enter this market now. The company president of one of the prime national subcontractors wants a recommendation on whether the company should offer the new technology to the major manufacturers and an estimate of the necessary capital investment to enter this market. You work as an engineer for the subcontractor company. At this stage, you are not expected to perform a complete engineering economic analysis, for not enough information is available. You are asked to formulate reasonable alternatives, determine what data and estimates are needed for each one, and ascertain what criteria (economic and noneconomic) should be utilized to make the final decision. Information: Some information useful at this time is as follows: • The technology and equipment are expected to last about 10 years before new methods are developed. • Inflation and income taxes will not be considered in the analysis. • The expected returns on capital investment used for the last three new technology projects were compound rates of 15%, 5%, and 18%. The 5% rate was the criterion for enhancing an employeesafety system on an existing chemical-mixing process. • Equity capital financing beyond ₱250 million is not possible. The amount of debt financing and its cost are unknown. • Annual operating costs have been averaging 8% of first cost for major equipment. • Increased annual training costs and salary requirements for handling the new plastics and operating new equipment can range from ₱40 million to ₱60 million. There are two manufacturers working on the new- generation equipment. You label these options as alternatives A and B. Case Study Exercises 1. Use the first four steps of the decision-making process to generally describe the alternatives and identify what economicrelated estimates you will need to complete an engineering economy analysis for the president. 2. Identify any noneconomic factors and criteria to be considered in making the alternative selection. 3. During your inquiries about alternative B from its manufacturer, you learn that this company has already produced a prototype molding machine and has sold it to a company in Germany for ₱150 million. Upon inquiry, you further discover that the German company already has unused capacity on the equipment for manufacturing plastic shells. The company is willing to sell time on the equipment to the subcontractor immediately to produce its own shells for U.S. delivery. This could allow immediate market entry into the United States. Consider this as alternative C, and develop the estimates necessary to evaluate C at the same time as alternatives A and B. SUPPLEMENTARY KNOWLEDGE For additional information, you may visit and view the following videos: https://vimeo.com/267155456E Economics in Engineering Decision Making https://youtu.be/j5j8p9a0gSw Introduction to Economics | Engineering Economics ANSWER KEY Practice Problems 1. P = ₱ 11.25 Million i = 15% n = 3 years F = ?, ₱ 2. P = ₱ 170 Million i = 10% n = 8 years A = ?, ₱ 3. Executive alone: ₱400.00 Executive and Secretary: ₱287.50 4. a. 24 men b. The contractor saves ₱67,500.00 Assessments. Refer to rubrics for case study. References 1. Koelling C.P., et.al. Engineering economy 16th Edition 2. Blank L., et.al.; Engineering economy 7th Edition, 2012 3. Sta. Maria, Hipolito; Engineering economy 3rd Edition 4. Arreola, M.; Engineering economy 3rd Edition 5. Fraser, N.M., et.al., Engineering economics: Financial decision making for engineers 5th Edition, Pearson, 2013 6. Blank,L., et.al., Basics of engineering economy; McGraw-Hill, 2008 7. Eschenbach T.G., et.al., Engineering economy: Applying theory to practice 2nd Edition, 2003 8. Riggs, JL., et.al., Engineering economics 4th Edition, McGraw-Hill, 2002 9. Chadderton, R.A., Purposeful engineering economics, Springer, 2015 10. Pannerselvam, R., Engineering economics 2nd Edition, PHI Learning Private Limited, Delhi 2013.