Case Study 32 Taylor Borden, Sean Croley, Gavin McCluskie Abstract The purpose of this study is to determine a new van replacement schedule that minimizes costs while maximizing the amount of available vans for use. This study utilizes Equivalent Uniform Annual Worth analysis. It also analyzes the projected maintenance and operating costs for the vans to help determine which factors are the most important to the van replacement schedule. It also contains the proposed changes to the van replacement schedule. The final results indicate that the ideal time to replace a van would be after 6 years of use taking into account practicality, tax, and monetary factors. Introduction Mr. Speedy is an HVAC company owned by George Moustakis that has a fleet of 24 vans. 20 of the vans are used by the company, while four of the vans are reserved as backup vans for when the regular vans break down or need routine maintenance. Mr. Moustakis wants to determine what changes, if any, need to be made to the current van replacement schedule to minimize costs. As van operation, maintenance, and replacement is an ongoing process lasting theoretically indefinitely, we felt that condensing all of these processes into a single uniform annual expense using EUAC analysis was most appropriate. With analysis proceeding as such, it would be possible to determine the uniform annual cost for van operation assuming van replacement at each year in the analysis range, and select the option with the lowest annual cost. Currently, vans are retired after seven years or six if a major repair needs to be made. Mr. Moustakis has found that assigning each technician to a specific van is the best way to ensure that the vans are treated with respect by the technicians. The vans do not all operate at the same time because the company has the technicians split between day, night, and weekend shifts. The shop manager, Igor, suggested replacing the vans every four years as opposed to every seven years. However, the book keeper, Vincent, suggested that the owner continue to replace the vans every seven years. In this report, all of the calculations, tables, and graphs were done using Google Sheets. All equations were taken from Engineering Economic Analysis (Newman et al. 2020). Content The vans that Mr. Speedy has in its fleet have maintenance and operating costs that increase as the van ages. The operating costs start at $250 in the first year and increase by $750 in each subsequent year. The maintenance cost begins at $500 and increases by $200 every year after. A new van costs $14,000 and must be fitted with a special liner that costs an additional $4,000. Each van also contains a tool inventory worth $5,000. The tool inventory can be transferred from a retired van to a new van, but the liner cannot be. This puts the replacement cost at $18,000. All initial analysis uses a 10% interest rate for the Time Value of Money (TVM). Using Equation (1), we can calculate the EUAC of each van. π΄ = 750 + 950(π΄/πΊ, π, π) + 18000(π΄/πΉ, π, π) (1) Where A is the EUAC, (A/G,i,n) is the gradient uniform series for interes i and number of years n, and (A/F,i,n) is the sinking fund factor for the same variables. The EUAC of each van over a period of ten years is shown in Exhibit 1. 1 Exhibit 1. EUAC of each van at 10% interest recovery factor was applied to the sum of the tax savings up until that year to yield the EUAB. Using the results from the process above and the same EUAC process from Equation 1, the Equivalent Uniform Annual Worth (EUAW) of the van can be calculated using Equation 2. πΈππ΄π = πΈππ΄π΅ − πΈππ΄πΆ This analysis suggests that the ideal year for replacement is year seven, because that is the year with the lowest EUAC. However, the EUAC for years six, seven, and eight are very close and differ by less than $100 annually. This means that the business owner will not be majorly impacted by needing to replace the van one year sooner or one year later should some situation necessitating such deviation occur, such as a large increase in the cost of vehicles or a breakdown. Option 1. The first portion of this case study was to determine the difference between an analysis using 10% interest and an analysis using 6% interest 40% marginal tax rate. For the purposes of this analysis it is assumed that taxes on deductions are money not spent and therefore a benefit. The MACRS depreciation rate is shown in Exhibit 2. Exhibit 2. MACRS five year depreciation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 20% 32% 19.2% 11.52% 11.52% 5.76% This benefit was calculated through the following method: first, the depreciation schedule for the vans was calculated using the corresponding MACRS schedule. Then, the marginal tax rate of 40% was applied to this depreciation schedule, and the present value of each of these tax savings was calculated. Finally, for each year the capital (2) Exhibit 3 shows the EUAW of each van over a period of ten years, contrasted with the EUAC as previously calculated but using the new TVM interest rate. Exhibit 3. EUAW of each van at 6% interest and 40% marginal tax rate The results of this analysis recommend replacement of each van when it reaches six years of age. Years five and seven are of very similar EUAW to year six, again allowing for early or late replacement if necessitated by external circumstances with little overall impact on the annual upkeep. Option 2. The second portion of this case study was to determine what factors are the most important in deciding the van replacement schedule. In addition, this portion contains two possible solutions to the problem of not having enough backup vans. As can be seen in Exhibit 4, the maintenance and operating costs increase dramatically over time. 2 Exhibit 4. Projected maintenance and operating costs for each van This dramatic increase over time makes the operating and maintenance costs incredibly important to the EUAW analysis. It was found that the difference between replacement years six, seven, and eight for the analysis using 10% interest was very negligible. It was similarly found that the difference between replacement years five, six, and seven for the analysis using 6% interest was very negligible. These years were very similar and only differed by approximately one hundred dollars each. This means that while the recommended replacement years are year seven and year six respectively, it does not impact the business owner very much if it is more convenient to replace a year sooner or later. This case study recommends two possible ways to increase the amount of available working vans. A possible solution may lie in assigning the working vans as “backup-backup” vans. By having a technician borrow a van from a specific other technician, it creates a sense of accountability with stocking and taking care of the van. This is similar to what the business owner tried before, except the hope is that there will not be any communication breakdown between technicians and mechanics. This method also makes it easier to track who is using which van. The second solution is to recommend adding a fifth backup van to the fleet. The proposal is that the business owner transitions one of the older vans that has already depreciated, but is still in decent working condition, to be a backup van. This van would have been retired in a few years and a new van would need to be bought. By buying the new van a few years early, this minimizes the cost of adding a fifth backup van to the fleet to just the cost of a new tool inventory. The increase in van availability will soon far outweigh the cost of a tool inventory, because the company will not be forced to decline repair jobs. In addition, this will also increase employee happiness because the technicians will not be prevented from going on jobs and missing out on their completion bonus. Conclusion and Recommendation After all of the preceding analysis, the results indicate that the ideal time for replacement would be after 6 years of use. Without taking tax benefits into account, this time is only marginally more expensive than replacement after 7 years, and should save many a headache over maintenance and breakdowns. Taking tax benefits into account, this option becomes the cheapest to maintain annually in addition to the other stated benefits. Appendices Appendix A: EUAC for 10% TVM Year of Replacem ent A Maintenan ce A Operating A Replacem ent-Salvag e Total 1 500 250 18000 18750 2 595.2 607 8571.6 9773.8 3 694.6 979.75 5437.8 7112.15 4 776.2 1285.75 3879 5940.95 5 862 1607.5 2948.4 5417.9 6 944.8 1918 2332.8 5195.6 7 1024.4 2216.5 1897.2 5138.1 8 1100.8 2503 1573.2 5177 9 1174.4 2779 1324.8 5278.2 10 1245 3043.75 1128.6 5417.35 3 Appendix B: EUAW for 6% TVM, 40% MTR Year of A Replac Mainte ement nance A Replac A ementOperati Salvag ng e A Saving s Sched ule Total Total-S avings 1 500 250 18000 18750 1440.0 17309. 2 597 613.75 8737.2 9947.9 1859.2 8088.6 3 692.2 970.75 5653.8 7316.7 1709.5 5607.2 4 785.4 1320.2 5 4114.8 6220.4 5 1508.4 30949 4712.0 19051 5 876.8 1663 3193.2 5733 1387.9 4345.0 6 966 1997.5 2581.2 5544.7 1248.6 4296.0 7 1053.6 2326 2143.8 5523.4 1099.4 4423.9 8 1139 2646.2 1818 5603.2 988.36 4614.8 9 1222.6 2959.7 1566 5748.3 902.42 4845.9 10 1304.4 3266.5 1366.2 5937.1 834.28 5102.8 Deprec Market iation Value Year Deprec iation Tax Saving s P Deprec iation 1 3600 14400 1440 1358.4 2 5760 8640 2304 2050.5 3 3456 5184 1382.4 1160.6 4 2073.6 3110.4 829.44 656.99 5 2073.6 1036.8 829.44 619.84 6 1036.8 0 414.72 292.37 7 0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Reference 1. Newnan, Donald G., Eschenbach, Ted G., and Lavelle, Jerome P., Engineering Economic Analysis, fourteenth edition Oxford University Press (2020). 4