CHAPTER 8 Retail Site Location ©McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education. Learning Objectives Learning Objective 8-1 Summarize the factors considered in locating a number of stores. Learning Objective 8-2 Review the characteristics of a particular site. Learning Objective 8-3 Understand how retailers analyze the trade area for a site. Learning Objective 8-4 Determine the forecasted sales for a new store location. Learning Objective 8-5 Illustrate the site selection process. Learning Objective 8-6 Explain the different types and terms of leases. ©McGraw-Hill Education. EXHIBIT 8-1 Factors Affecting the Attractiveness of an Area for Locating Stores ©McGraw-Hill Education. Evaluating Areas for Locations and Determining the Number of Stores in an Area Considerations in Evaluating Store Locations ©McGraw-Hill Education. • Economic • Population and employment growth levels, how it will effect demand for merchandise sold in its stores • Competition • Strategic fit • Right demographic and lifestyle fit, size and composition of households in an area • Operating costs • Proximity of area, Local and state regulations has effect. Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 1 of 2 Site Characteristics • Traffic flow and accessibility • Natural barriers • Artificial barriers • Parking • Congestion • Visibility • Ability to see the store • Adjacent tenants • Cumulative attraction • locations with complementary as well as competing adjacent retailers have the potential to build traffic. • Restrictions and costs • rental ©McGraw-Hill Education. Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 1. Traffic Flow and Accessibility • One of the most important factors affecting store sales is the number of vehicles and pedestrians that pass by the site, or the traffic flow. When the traffic is greater, more consumers are likely to stop in and shop at the store. • Traffic counts are particularly important for retailers offering merchandise and services bought on impulse, but less important for destination retailers. • The accessibility of a site is the ease with which a customer can get into and out of it. Natural barriers, such as rivers or mountains, and artificial barriers, such as railroad tracks, divided or limited-access highways, or parks may also affect accessibility. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 2. Parking • The amount and quality of parking facilities are critical to a site’s overall accessibility. It’s hard to assess how many parking spaces are enough, although location analysts use parking ratios as a starting point. • If there are not enough spaces or the spaces are too far from the store, customers will be discouraged from patronizing the site and the store. • On the other hand, if there are too many open spaces, the shopping centre may be perceived as having unpopular stores. Congestion is an excess level of traffic that can result in customer delays. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 3. Visibility • Visibility refers to customers' ability to see the store from the street. Good visibility is less important for stores with a well-established and loyal customer base. However, most retailers still want a direct, unimpeded view of their store. • In an area with a highly transient population, such as a tourist centre or large city, good visibility from the road is particularly important. • The meaning of visibility changes somewhat in the modern mobile era when shoppers have smartphones in hand. They can readily search for the location of a store they want. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 4. Adjacent Tenants Locations with complementary, as well as competing, adjacent retailers have the potential to build traffic. Complementary retailers target the same market but with non-competing merchandise. Customers are able to make their choice easily in the case of convenience shopping, or they want to have a good assortment so that they can ‘shop around’ in the case of shopping goods. The principle of cumulative attraction states that a cluster of similar and complementary retailing activities will generally have greater drawing power than isolated stores that engage in the same retailing activities. 5. Restrictions and Costs Some locations may place restrictions on the type of retail tenants that are allowed in a shopping centre in their lease agreements. These restrictions may work in favour of the retailer by restricting competing retailers from the location. The restrictions may also work to the disadvantage of the retailer by limiting their efforts to create visibility with signs and other external features. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Traffic Flow Airports are an appealing location for some retailers because there are lots of potential customers with time to shop. ©McGraw-Hill Education. © EyesWideOpen/Getty Images Parking at a Retail Store The parking around this Best Buy store contributes to the quality of this location. ©McGraw-Hill Education. © Michael Neelon/Alamy Stock Photo Evaluating a Site for Locating a Retail Store 2 of 2 Locations within a Shopping Center • Affects both sales and occupancy costs. • Strip shopping center – closest to the supermarket more expensive as more foot traffic • Enclosed shopping mall – retailers who sell comparison shopping goods locate close to the department store anchors • Locate stores that appeal to similar target markets • Principle of cumulative attraction (next slide) ©McGraw-Hill Education. Principle of Cumulative Attraction Based on the principle of cumulative attraction, stores selling similar merchandise to similar target markets, such as Rolex and Piaget, should locate in close proximity to one another to increase the appeal of the location to its customers. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Defining Trade Areas 1 of 6 Trade Area Definition • Primary trading area • 50 to 70 percent of customers • Secondary trading area • 20 to 30 percent of a store’s sales • Tertiary trading area or fringe trading area • Customers who come from widely dispersed areas, might travel long distances ©McGraw-Hill Education. Defining Trade Areas 3 of 6 Measuring the Trade Area for a Retail Site • Customer spotting Sources of Information about Trade Areas • Demographic data from the U.S. Census Bureau • Census every ten years • Census blocks • Block group ©McGraw-Hill Education. Defining Trade Areas 4 of 6 Sources of Information about Trade Areas continued • Geographic Information System Suppliers • GIS used to store, retrieve, map, analyze geographic data • Identified with coordinate system that references particular place on Earth ©McGraw-Hill Education. EXHIBIT 8-4 GIS Map for the Trade Area of a Bank ©McGraw-Hill Education. Jump to long description in appendix Source: ESRI Exhibit 8-5 Information Provided by GIS Report Gender Education Occupation Household expenditures by NAICS categories Income Travel time to work Age Disposable Income Geodemographic market segment Transportation mode to work Race/ethnicity Net worth Household composition Market potential index Employment status Spending potential index ©McGraw-Hill Education. Source: ESRI EXHIBIT 8-7 Location of Target Customers In a Shopping Center Trade Area ©McGraw-Hill Education. Jump to long description in appendix Source: ESRI Defining Trade Areas 6 of 6 Competition in the Trade Area • Sources of information • Retailer websites • Yelp – business directory service • Trade association directories • Chamber of Commerce • Chain Store Guide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Estimating Potential Sales for a Store Site Learning Objective 8-4 Determine the forecasted sales for a new store location. Regression Analysis • Factors that affect existing stores will have same impact on stores being considered for new sites • Statistical model predicts sales at existing locations Analog Approach • Used by small chains • Retailer describes site and trade area for successful store and tries to find a site that is similar ©McGraw-Hill Education. ILLUSTRATION OF SITE SELECTION EDWARD BEINER PURVEYOR OF FINE EYEWEAR 1 of 5 Learning Objective 8-5 Illustrate the site selection process. Using the analog approach to evaluate potential sites 1. 2. 3. 4. Conduct a competitive analysis. Define present trade area. Analyze trade area characteristics. Match characteristics of present trade area with potential sites. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Courtesy of The Edward Beiner Group EXHIBIT 8-8 Competitive Analysis of Potential Locations Edward Beiner Company Trade Area Total Eyeglasses Potential Estimated Eyeglasses Sold Trade Area Potential Units Trade Area Potential Percentage Relative Level of Competition Eyeglasses/ Year/Person Trade Area Population South Miami 0.2 85,979 17,196 7,550 9,646 56.09% Low Site A 0.2 91,683 18,337 15,800 2,537 13.83 Medium Site B 0.2 101,972 20,394 12,580 7,814 38.32 Low Site C 0.2 60,200 12,040 11,300 740 6.15 High Site D 0.2 81,390 16,278 13,300 2,978 18.29 ©McGraw-Hill Education. Medium Jump to Appendix 7 long image description ILLUSTRATION OF SITE SELECTION EDWARD BEINER PURVEYOR OF FINE EYEWEAR 2 of 5 Step 1: Conduct Competitive Analysis • On the basis of the information in Exhibit 8–8, Edward Beiner should locate its new store at site B. The trade area potential is high and competition is relatively low. • Relative competition is only one issue to consider. ©McGraw-Hill Education. EXHIBIT 8-9 Trade Area for Edward Beiner Purveyor of Fine Eyewear ©McGraw-Hill Education. Jump to long description in appendix Source: ESRI ILLUSTRATION OF SITE SELECTION EDWARD BEINER PURVEYOR OF FINE EYEWEAR 3 of 5 Step 2: Define Present Trade Area • The zones are based on drive times: 5 minutes for the primary trade area (red), 10 minutes for the secondary trade area (purple), and 20 minutes for the tertiary trade area (green). • Not only do the north–south highways bring traffic to the area, but heavy traffic often makes them difficult to cross. Biscayne Bay also limits the trade area on the east. ©McGraw-Hill Education. ILLUSTRATION OF SITE SELECTION EDWARD BEINER PURVEYOR OF FINE EYEWEAR 4 of 5 Step 3: Identify Trade Characteristics • Average household income $92,653 • Three-mile ring around Edward Beiner is very affluent • Population more than 50 percent Hispanic ©McGraw-Hill Education. ILLUSTRATION OF SITE SELECTION EDWARD BEINER PURVEYOR OF FINE EYEWEAR 5 of 5 Step 4: Match Characteristics of Present Trade Area with Potential Sites • ©McGraw-Hill Education. Edward Beiner current trade area • High income • White-collar occupations • Large percentage of older residents • Upscale geodemographic segments • Relatively low competition EXHIBIT 8-10 Four Potential Locations for a New Store Average Household Income White-Collar Occupations Percentage Residents Age 45 and Over Predominant Geographic Segments Edward Beiner Optical $100,000 High 37% Top One Percent Low Site A 60,000 High 25 Young Immigrant Families Medium Site B 70,000 Low 80 Gray Power Low Site C 100,000 High 30% Young Literati High Site D 120,000 High 50 Upper-Income Medium Empty-Nesters Store Location ©McGraw-Hill Education. Level of Competition Negotiating a Lease 1 of 3 Learning Objective 8-6 Explain the different types and terms of leases. Types of Leases • Percentage Leases • Percentage lease with a specified maximum • Percentage lease with a specified minimum • Sliding scale lease e.g. 1st $200k sales, pay 4%, 3% on sales > $200k • Fixed-Rate Leases • Graduated lease – e.g. rent = $1k/ month for first 2 years, $1.2k for next 3 years. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Negotiating a Lease 2 of 3 Terms of the Lease • Cotenancy Clause • Certain percentage of center be leased to specified stores included • Prohibited-use Clause • Limits center from leasing to certain kinds of tenants e.g pool, bars (may harm image) • Exclusive-use Clause • Prohibits center from leasing to tenants that sell competing products • Outparcel e.g. ATM, kiosk ©McGraw-Hill Education. Negotiating a Lease 3 of 3 Terms of the Lease continued • Common Area Maintenance Costs • Involve extensive negotiations • Assign responsibility for taking care of common areas • Might include • Contributions for capital improvements • Paying for new roof • Participate in purchase of adjoining land parcels ©McGraw-Hill Education. The end ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 1 of 6 accessibility (1) The degree to which customers can easily get into and out of a shopping center; (2) ability of the retailer to deliver the appropriate retail mix to customers in the segment. analog approach A method of trade area analysis also known as the similar store or mapping approach. The analysis is divided into four steps: (1) describing the current trade areas through the technique of customer spotting; (2) plotting the customers on a map; (3) defining the primary, secondary, and tertiary area zones; and (4) matching the characteristics of stores in the trade areas with the potential new store to estimate its sales potential. artificial barrier In site evaluations, for accessibility, a barrier such as railroad tracks, a major highway, or a park. block group A collection of adjacent census blocks that contain between 300 and 3,000 people that is the smallest unit for the sample data. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 2 of 6 census A count of the population of a country as of a specified date. census block An area bounded on all sides by visible (roads, rivers) and/or invisible (county, state boundaries) features that is the smallest geographic entity for which census data are available. common area maintenance (CAM) clause Shopping center real estate contract clauses that assign responsibility for maintaining common areas, such as parking lots and sidewalks. congestion The amount of crowding of either cars or people. cotenancy clause A clause in a leasing contract that requires a certain percentage of a shopping center be leased, while others name specific retailers or types of retailers that are to remain open. cumulative attraction The principle that a cluster of similar and complementary retailing activities will generally have greater drawing power than isolated stores that engage in the same retailing activities. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 3 of 6 customer spotting A technique used in trade area analysis that “spots” (locates) residences of customers for a store or shopping center. exclusive-use clause A clause in a lease that prohibits the landlord from leasing to retailers selling competing products. fixed-rate lease A lease that requires the retailer to pay a fixed amount per month over the life of the lease. fringe trading area The outermost ring of a trade area; includes customers who occasionally shop at the store or shopping center. Also called tertiary trading area. geographic information system (GIS) A computerized system that enables analysts to visualize information about their customers’ demographics, buying behavior, and other data in a map format. graduated lease A lease that requires rent to increase by a fixed amount over a specified period of time. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 4 of 6 metropolitan statistical area (MSA) A city with 50,000 or more inhabitants or an urbanized area of at least 50,000 inhabitants and a total MSA population of at least 100,000 (75,000 in New England). micropolitan statistical area city with only 10,000 inhabitants in its core urban area. natural barrier A barrier, such as a river or mountain, that impacts accessibility to a site. outparcel A building or kiosk that is in the parking lot of a shopping center but isn’t physically attached to a shopping center. percentage lease A lease in which rent is based on a percentage of sales. percentage lease with a specified maximum A lease that pays the lessor, or landlord, a percentage of sales up to a maximum amount. percentage lease with a specified minimum The retailer must pay a minimum rent no matter how low sales are. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 5 of 6 primary trading area The geographic area from which a store or shopping center derives 50 to 70 percent of its customers. prohibited-use clause A clause in a lease that keeps a landlord from leasing to certain kinds of tenants. regression analysis A statistical approach for evaluating retail locations based on the assumption that factors that affect the sales of existing stores in a chain will have the same impact on stores located at new sites being considered. secondary trading area The geographic area of secondary importance in terms of customer sales, generating about 20 percent of a store’s sales. sliding scale lease A part of some leases that stipulates how much the percentage of sales paid as rent will decrease as sales go up. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Key Terms 6 of 6 spending potential index (SPI) Compares the average expenditure in a particular area for a product to the amount spent on that product nationally. tertiary trading area The outermost ring of a trade area; includes customers who occasionally shop at the store or shopping center. trade area A geographic sector that contains potential customers for a particular retailer or shopping center. traffic flow The balance between a substantial number of cars and not so many that congestion impedes access to the store. visibility Customers’ ability to see the store and enter the parking lot safely. ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix of Image Long Descriptions ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 1 EXHIBIT 8-2 Location of Customers Patronizing a Retailer’s Store Four retail locations are shown on a map: city central store, city east store, north east store, and south east store. Surrounding each store, three zones radiate outward. The zones show how far customers travel (in 3, 6, and 9 minute ranges) to reach that particular store. The map indicates there is very little overlap between each store’s patrons, except for the area between the city east and south east stores. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 2 EXHIBIT 8-3 Zones In a Trade Area A shopping center is located at the center of the map. Surrounding it, three zones radiate outward. Each represents a different length of driving time it takes for customers to reach the shopping center. The zones represented are 5 minutes, 10 minutes, and 15 minutes. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 3 EXHIBIT 8-4 GIS Map for the Trade Area of a Bank A map shows three branches of a bank spread throughout the map area. Lines stretch from each of the branch locations, indicating the residences of the bank’s customers compared to where they do their banking. At the center of the map, the proposed new branch is highlighted. The lines radiating from this location to bank customers intersect with the lines of the other branches, suggesting cannibalization. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 4 EXHIBIT 8-6 GIS Data for Retail Expenditures In a Trade Area The proposed location is 100 South Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL 60606-4006. The ring is a 1 mile radius. The latitude and longitude are also listed. Top Tapestry Segments include metro renters 68.4 percent; laptops and lattes 23.4 percent; city strivers 2.7 percent; main street, USA 1.8 percent; and metropolitans 1.6 percent. The demographic summary covers segments for 2010 and 2015. Population: 45,534; 50,151. Households: 24,338; 26,808. Families: 7,223; 7,843. Median age: 35.7; 35.8. Median household income: 81,441 dollars; 100,632 dollars. The spending potential, average amount spent, and total are listed for different segments. Apparel and services: 120 potential; 2,873.94 dollars average; 69,945,928 dollars total. Men’s: 112 potential; 512.65 dollars average; 12,476,953 dollars total. Women’s: 104 potential; 861.55 dollars average; 20,968,522 dollars total. Children’s: 121 potential; 485.96 dollars average; 11,827.277 dollars total. Footwear: 84 potential; 349.13 dollars average; 8,497,153 dollars total. Watches and jewelry: 173 potential; 335.43 dollars average; 8,163,589 dollars total. Apparel products and services: 352 potential; 329.21 dollars average; 8,012,434 dollars total. Computer. Computers and hardware for home use: 169 potential; 324.62 dollars average; 7,900,647 dollars total. Software and accessories for home use: 169 potential; 48.15 dollars average; 1,171,788 dollars total. Entertainment & Recreation: 155 potential; 4,996.06 dollars average; 121,594,105 dollars total. Fees and Admissions: 155 potential; 960.54 dollars average; 23,377,534 dollars total. Membership fees for clubs: 155 potential; 253.65 dollars average; 6,173,216 dollars total. Fees for participant sports, excluding trips: 145 potential; 154.42 dollars average; 3,758,358 dollars total. Admission to movie/theatre/opera/ballet: 172 potential; 260.56 dollars average; 6,341,578 dollars total. Admission to sporting events, excluding trips: 149 potential; 88.77 dollars average; 2,160,410 dollars total. Fees for recreational lessons: 147 potential; 201.16 dollars average; 4,895,736 dollars total. Dating services: 257 potential; 1.98 dollars average; 48,236 dollars total. TV/Video/Audio: 161 potential; 2,003.60 dollars average; 48,763,617 dollars total. Community antenna or cable TV: 157 potential; 1,130.81 dollars average; 27,521,629 dollars total. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 5 EXHIBIT 8-7 Location of Target Customers In a Shopping Center Trade Area A shopping center is marked at the center of the map. Three marked areas spread out from the shopping center, indicating a small primary trade area first, then a larger secondary trade area, and, finally, the tertiary trade area, which is the largest of the three. Scattered through the map, dots indicate the location of customers with a desirable geodemographic profile. According to the map, while some are located close to the shopping center, most of the desired customers are outside of the tertiary trade area. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education. Appendix 6 EXHIBIT 8-9 Trade Area for Edward Beiner Purveyor of Fine Eyewear The map has an Edward Beiner store marked on it. Radiating outward from it are three zones based on drive times for the trade areas. They are 5 minutes for the primary area, 10 minutes for the secondary area, and 20 minutes for the tertiary trade area. Return to original slide ©McGraw-Hill Education.