E c o n o m i c &
S o c i a l
Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations
New York, 2013
A f f a i r s
World Population Prospects
The 2012 Revision
ST/ESA/SER.A/336
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Population Division
World Population Prospects
The 2012 Revision
Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations
New York, 2013
DESA
The Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat is a
vital interface between global policies in the economic, social and environmental
spheres and national action. The Department works in three main interlinked areas: (i)
it compiles, generates and analyses a wide range of economic, social and environmental
data and information on which States Members of the United Nations draw to review
common problems and take stock of policy options; (ii) it facilitates the negotiations of
Member States in many intergovernmental bodies on joint courses of action to address
ongoing or emerging global challenges; and (iii) it advises interested Governments on
the ways and means of translating policy frameworks developed in United Nations
conferences and summits into programmes at the country level and, through technical
assistance, helps build national capacities.
Note
The designations employed in this report and the material presented in it do not imply
the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United
Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its
authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with
figures.
This publication has been issued without formal editing.
Suggested citation:
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population
Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision,
Volume I: Comprehensive Tables ST/ESA/SER.A/336.
iv
PREFACE
The 2012 Revision of World Population Prospects represents the latest global demographic
estimates and projections prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and
Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat. It constitutes the twenty third round of the global
population estimates and projections produced by the Population Division since 1951.
This volume of the 2012 Revision presents the comprehensive tables of the official United
Nations population estimates and projections, displaying key demographic indicators for selected
periods or dates within 1950-2100, for the world, development groups, major areas, regions and
countries with more than 90,000 inhabitants in 2013. For countries with less than 90,000 inhabitants in
2013, only figures related to population size and growth are provided. In all data tables, figures for
1950-2010 are estimates and those thereafter are projections. The projections are presented as medium,
high, low and constant-fertility variants. The tables are accompanied by an executive summary,
highlights of the results and the assumptions underlying the 2012 Revision.
The Population Division has pursued its endeavour to develop probabilistic projections for all
countries and areas of the world, which was initiated in the 2010 Revision with the projections of
fertility. Aside from updating the methods used to yield the future trajectories of fertility, the 2012
Revision incorporates for the first time probabilistic projections of mortality. Detailed components of
the projections are presented for up to the year 2100. It should be stressed, however, that making
projections to such a far horizon at the country level is subject to a high degree of uncertainty. In that
regard, users are invited not to focus only on the outcomes of the medium variant, which corresponds to
the median of several thousands projected country trajectories for each component, but also to
appreciate the meaning of the uncertainty bounds in such an exercise. Detailed information on the
uncertainty bounds for different components at the country level can be accessed on the Population
Division’s website at www.unpopulation.org. The standard outputs of the 2012 Revision do not include
the probabilistic projections and are restricted to deterministic projection variants and scenarios
included in other Revisions of World Population Prospects.
The detailed results of the 2012 Revision are made available through a variety of media. The
Population Division’s website provide access to an extended set of data organized in Excel files (and
ASCII database files) as well as to an interactive database that enables users to obtain specific
information on a few countries at a time. Users requiring the complete results of the 2012 Revision will
be able to purchase them on CD-ROM/DVD. A description of the data contained in the different CDROM/DVD will be posted on the Population Division’s website. A wall chart providing key
demographic indicators for each development group, major area, region and country for the most recent
period will also be published.
The full results of the 2012 Revision will be presented in two volumes. In addition to the present
volume, the second volume will contain demographic profiles presenting time series and plots covering
the period from 1950 to 2100 for selected indicators for each country, as well as for development
groups, major areas and regions. This volume will provide, for each country and area, a brief description
of the data sources and demographic methods used to make the base-year estimates for each country or
area.
Responsibility for the 2012 Revision rests with the Population Division. In preparing the 2012
Revision, the Population Division relied on the collaboration of the regional commissions, especially the
Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as specialized agencies and other
relevant bodies of the United Nations system, including UNAIDS, UNICEF, UNHCR and the World
Bank. The Statistics Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat, through its United Nations Demographic Yearbook and its accompanying databases,
provided access to official national population statistics used in the preparation of the 2012 Revision.
iii
The Population Division also acknowledges the assistance and cooperation of Measure DHS, MICS
(UNICEF), the Human Mortality Database, and IPUMS-International as well as national statistical
offices who made available data and reports for recent censuses and surveys that informed the
development of the estimates presented in this report. The Population Division is grateful for the
contributions made by all these entities.
For further information about the 2012 Revision, please contact the Director, Population Division,
United Nations, New York, NY 10017, USA (Fax: 1 212 963 2147).
iv
CONTENTS
Page
Preface ................................................................................................................................................................. iii
Explanatory Notes ............................................................................................................................................... viii
Executive Summary...............................................................................................................................................................
xv
Chapters
I.
WORLD POPULATION TRENDS ................................................................................................................
A. Population size and growth ............................................................................................................
B. Population age composition ...........................................................................................................
1
1
6
II.
FERTILITY .............................................................................................................................................. 11
III.
MORTALITY ........................................................................................................................................... 15
A. Trends and prospects in world mortality .......................................................................................... 15
B. The demographic impact of HIV/AIDS............................................................................................ 18
IV.
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION .................................................................................................................. 21
V.
VI.
ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2012 REVISION ..................................................................................
A. Fertility assumptions: convergence toward low ferillity ................................................................
B. Mortality assumptions: increasing life expectancy for most countries ..........................................
C. International migration assumptions ..............................................................................................
D. Eight projection variants ................................................................................................................
E. Methodological changes introduced in the 2012 Revision.............................................................
23
23
36
46
47
47
SUMMARY TABLES................................................................................................................................. 49
TABLES
No.
I.1.
I.2.
I.3.
I.4.
I.5.
I.6.
II.1.
II.2.
Page
Population of the world, development groups and major areas, 1950, 1980, 2013. 2050 and 2100,
according to different variants............................................................................................................... 2
Percentage distribution of the world population by development group and major area, estimates
and projections according to different variants, 1950-2100 .................................................................. 2
Average annual rate of population change for the world, development groups and major areas,
for selected periods and different variants (percentage)........................................................................ 5
Distribution of the population of the world, development groups and major areas by broad age
groups, 2013, 2050 and 2100 (medium variant).................................................................................... 7
Median age for the world, development groups and major areas, 1950, 1980, 2013, 2050 and 2100
(medium variant) ................................................................................................................................... 8
Average annual rates of change of the total population and the population in broad age groups,
by development group and major area, 2013-2050 and 2050-2100 (medium variant).......................... 10
Estimated and projected total fertility for the world, development groups and major areas,
for selected periods and different variants............................................................................................. 12
Distribution of the world population as well as countries and areas according to the level of total
fertility in selected periods (medium variant)........................................................................................ 13
v
No.
III.1.
III.2.
IV.1.
V.1.
V.2.
V.3.
Page
Life expectancy at birth for the world, development groups and major areas, 2005-2010,
2045-2050 and 2095-2100.....................................................................................................................
Life expectancy by sex for the world and development groups, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 and
2095-2100 .............................................................................................................................................
Average annual net number of migrants per decade by development group and major area,
1950-2050 (medium variant).................................................................................................................
Low fertility countries having experienced some increase in at least two consecutive periods ............
Adult 15-49 HIV prevalence rate in the countries most affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic
between 1980 and 2011.........................................................................................................................
Projection variants in terms of assumptions for fertility, mortality and international migration...........
15
17
22
31
45
47
FIGURES
No.
1.
I.1.
II.1.
III.1.
III.2.
III.3.
V.1.
V.2.
V.3.
V.4.
V.5.
V.6.
V.7.
V.8.
V.9.
V.10.
V.11.
V.12.
V.13.
V.14.
V.15.
V.16.
Page
Population of the world, 1950-2100, according to different projections and variants...........................
Average annual rate of population change for the world and development groups, 1950-2100 ...........
Total fertility trajectories for the world and development groups, 1950-2100 (medium variant) .........
Life expectancy at birth for the world and development groups, 1950-2100 ........................................
Life expectancy at birth for the world and major areas, 1950-2100......................................................
Under-five mortality for the world and development groups, 1950-2100.............................................
Schematic phases of the fertility transition............................................................................................
Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic curves for Bangladesh
(systematic decline part)........................................................................................................................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Bangladesh .................................
Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic curves for Nigeria .....................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2015-2100) for Nigeria........................................
Nigeria 1970-2015 total fertility rate estimates based on various data sources and estimation
methods, and WPP estimates for the 2010 and 2012 Revisions............................................................
Comparison of total fertility projections for 2095-2100 with 80% projection intervals between
the 2010 and 2012 Revisions for 25 low fertility countries used to estimate the AR1 Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM) ...................................................................................................................
Projections of total fertility with 80% and 95% projection intervals for selected low fertility
countries ................................................................................................................................................
Comparison of total fertility projections for 2095-2100 with 80% projection intervals between the
2010 and 2012 Revisions for all low fertility countries in 2005-2010 not having experienced any
increase in at least two consecutive periods between 1950-2010..........................................................
Timing when countries reach lowest median total fertility ...................................................................
Median projection of total fertility by 2095-2100 compared to current level in 2005-2010 .................
Female gains in life expectancy at birth and projection intervals of double-logistic curves
for Canada (systematic decline part) .....................................................................................................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected female life expectancy at birth (2010-2100) for Canada ...........
Gap in female-male life expectancy at birth and projection intervals for Canada.................................
Probabilistic trajectories of projected male life expectancy at birth (2010-2100) for Canada ..............
Comparison of probabilistic projections of female and male life expectancies at birth for
selected periods for Canada...................................................................................................................
vi
xv
4
12
16
16
18
26
27
28
29
29
30
32
32
33
34
34
39
40
41
42
43
ANNEX TABLES
Population size and growth
No.
A.1.
A.2.
A.3.
A.4.
A.5.
A.6.
A.7.
A.8.
A.9.
A.10.
A.11.
A.12.
A.13.
A.14.
A.15.
A.16.
A.17.
A.18.
Page
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100....
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: high variant, 2015-2100 ................................
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: low variant, 2015-2100 .................................
Total population at mid-year by major area and region: constant-fertility variant, 2015-2100.............
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: high variant, 2010-2100 ...........
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: low variant, 2010-2100 ............
Average annual rate of population change by major area and region: constant-fertility
variant, 2010-2100 ................................................................................................................................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: high variant, 2015-2100 ..................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: low variant, 2015-2100 ...................
Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country: constant-fertility variant,
2015-2100 .............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: estimates
and medium variant, 1950-2100............................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: high variant,
2010-2100 .............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: low variant,
2010-2100 .............................................................................................................................................
Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country: constant-fertility
variant, 2010-2100 ...............................................................................................................................
Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: estimates, 1990-2010 ...
Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country: medium variant,
2011-2030 .............................................................................................................................................
96
98
99
100
102
104
105
106
108
119
125
131
138
149
155
161
168
180
Fertility
A.19.
A.20.
A.21.
A.22.
A.23.
A.24.
Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ..........
Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: high variant, 2010-2100 ......................................
Crude birth rate by major area, region and country: low variant, 2010-2100........................................
Total fertility by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100..............
Total fertility by major area, region and country: high variant, 2010-2100 ..........................................
Total fertility by major area, region and country: low variant, 2010-2100 ...........................................
192
202
208
214
224
230
Mortality
A.25.
A.26.
A.27.
A.28.
A.29.
A.30.
Crude death rate by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100.........
Crude death rate by major area, region and country: high variant, 2010-2100 .....................................
Crude death rate by major area, region and country: low variant, 2010-2100 ......................................
Life expectancy at birth by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2100.....
Infant mortality rate by major area, region and country: estimates and projections, 1950-2100...........
Under-five mortality by major area, region and country: estimates and projections 1950-2100...........
236
246
252
258
296
306
Population age composition and dependency ratios
A.31.
A.32.
A.33.
Population by broad age group, major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................ 316
Population in school ages by major area, region and country: estimates and medium
variant, 1950-2100 ................................................................................................................................ 354
Dependency ratios by major area, region and country: estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100 ..... 404
vii
EXPLANATORY NOTES
The following symbols have been used in the tables throughout this report:
Two dots (..) indicate that data are not available or are not reported separately.
A hyphen (-) indicates that the item is not applicable.
A minus sign (-) before a figure indicates a decrease.
A full stop (.) is used to indicate decimals.
Years given refer to 1 July.
Use of a hyphen (-) between years, for example, 1995-2000, signifies the full period involved, from 1
July of the first year to 1 July of the second year.
Numbers and percentages in tables do not necessarily add to totals because of rounding.
References to countries, territories and areas:
The designations employed and the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion
whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory
or area or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.
The designation “more developed” and “less developed” regions are intended for statistical purposes and do not
express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The term
“country” as used in this publication also refers, as appropriate, to territories or areas.
More developed regions comprise all regions of Europe plus Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (excluding Japan), and Latin America and the
Caribbean as well as Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia. Countries or areas in the more developed regions are
designated as “developed countries”. Countries or areas in the less developed regions are designated as “developing
countries”.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209,
59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania
and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. Those 49 countries are: Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin,
Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the
Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's
Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal,
Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, Săo Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan,
Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
The group denominated “other less developed countries” comprises all countries in the less developed regions minus
the least developed countries.
The term “sub-Saharan Africa” is used to designate the countries in Africa that exclude those in Northern Africa.
Countries and areas are grouped geographically into six major areas designated as: Africa; Asia; Europe; Latin
America and the Caribbean; Northern America, and Oceania. These major areas are further divided into 21
geographical regions.
The names and composition of geographical areas follow those presented in “Standard country or area codes for
statistical use” (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.M/49/Rev.3), available at http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/m49/m49.htm.
viii
The following abbreviations have been used:
AIDS
Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome
DESA
Department of Economic and Social Affairs
HIV
Human immunodeficiency virus
LDCs
Least developed countries
MDGs
Millennium Development Goals
SAR
Special Administrative Region
TFR
Total fertility rate
UNAIDS Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS
ix
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES BY MAJOR AREA
AND REGION OF THE WORLD
Africa
Eastern Africa
Middle Africa
Northern Africa
Western Africa
Burundi
Comoros
Djibouti
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Kenya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mauritius1
Mayotte
Mozambique
Réunion
Rwanda
Seychelles
Somalia
South Sudan
Uganda
United Republic of
Tanzania3
Zambia
Zimbabwe
Angola
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Chad
Congo
Democratic Republic of the
Congo
Equatorial Guinea
Gabon
São Tomé and Príncipe
Algeria
Egypt
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya
Morocco
Sudan
Tunisia
Western Sahara
Benin
Burkina Faso
Cape Verde
Côte d’Ivoire
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Liberia
Mali
Mauritania
Niger
Nigeria
Saint Helena2 *
Senegal
Sierra Leone
Togo
Southern Africa
Botswana
Lesotho
Namibia
South Africa
Swaziland
1
Including Agalega, Rodrigues, and Saint Brandon.
Including Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
3
Including Zanzibar.
2
x
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)
Asia
Eastern Asia
4
South-Central Asia
South-Eastern Asia
Western Asia
Brunei Darussalam
Cambodia
Indonesia
Lao People’s Democratic
Republic
Malaysia11
Myanmar
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Timor-Leste
Viet Nam
Armenia
Azerbaijan7
Bahrain
Cyprus9
Georgia10
Iraq
Israel
Jordan
Kuwait
Lebanon
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
State of Palestine12
Syrian Arab Republic
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Central Asia
China5
China, Hong Kong SAR6
China, Macao SAR 8
Democratic People’s
Republic of Korea
Japan
Mongolia
Republic of Korea
Other non-specified areas
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
Southern Asia
Afghanistan
Bangladesh
Bhutan
India
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Maldives
Nepal
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
4
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
6
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
7
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
8
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
9
Including Northern Cyprus.
10
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
11
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
12
Including East Jerusalem.
5
xi
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)
Europe
Southern Europe
Eastern Europe
Northern Europe
Belarus
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
Republic of Moldova15
Romania
Russian Federation
Slovakia
Ukraine
Channel Islands13
Denmark
Estonia
Faeroe Islands*
Finland14
Iceland
Ireland
Isle of Man*
Latvia
Lithuania
Norway17
Sweden
United Kingdom of Great
Britain and Northern
Ireland19
Albania
Andorra*
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Croatia
Gibraltar*
Greece
Holy See16 *
Italy
Malta
Montenegro
Portugal
San Marino*
Serbia18
Slovenia
Spain20
The former Yugoslav
Republic of Macedonia21
13
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Transnistria.
16
Refers to the Vatican City State.
17
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
18
Including Kosovo.
19
Also referred to as United Kingdom.
20
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
21
Also referred to as TFYR Macedonia.
14
15
xii
Western Europe
Austria
Belgium
France
Germany
Liechtenstein*
Luxembourg
Monaco*
Netherlands
Switzerland
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean
Central America
South America
Anguilla*
Antigua and Barbuda
Aruba
Bahamas
Barbados
British Virgin Islands*
Caribbean Netherlands*22
Cayman Islands*
Cuba
Curaçao
Dominica*
Dominican Republic
Grenada
Guadeloupe23
Haiti
Jamaica
Martinique
Montserrat*
Puerto Rico
Saint Kitts and Nevis*
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the
Grenadines
Sint Maarten (Dutch part)*
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks and Caicos Islands*
United States Virgin
Islands
Belize
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Mexico
Nicaragua
Panama
Argentina
Bolivia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Ecuador
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)*
French Guiana
Guyana
Paraguay
Peru
Suriname
Uruguay
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)
22
23
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
xiii
CLASSIFICATION OF COUNTRIES (continued)
Northern America
Bermuda*
Canada
Greenland*
Saint Pierre and Miquelon*
United States of America
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand
Melanesia
Micronesia
Polynesia24
Australia25
New Zealand
Fiji
New Caledonia
Papua New Guinea
Solomon Islands
Vanuatu
Guam
Kiribati
Marshall Islands*
Micronesia
(Federated States of)
Nauru*
Northern Mariana Islands*
Palau*
American Samoa*
Cook Islands*
French Polynesia
Niue*
Samoa
Tokelau*
Tonga
Tuvalu*
Wallis and Futuna Islands*
Sub-Saharan Africa
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Congo
Côte d'Ivoire
Democratic Republic
of the Congo
Djibouti
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mayotte
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Réunion
Rwanda
Saint Helena
São Tomé and Príncipe
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa
South Sudan
NOTE: Countries with a population of less than 90,000 in 2013 are indicated by an asterisk (*).
24
25
Including Pitcairn.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Norfolk Island.
xiv
Sudan
Swaziland
Togo
Uganda
United Republic
of Tanzania
Zambia
Zimbabwe
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The 2012 Revision is the twenty-third round of official United Nations population estimates and
projections, prepared by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the
United Nations Secretariat. The 2012 Revision builds on the previous revision by incorporating the results
of the 2010 round of national population censuses as well as findings from recent specialized
demographic surveys that have been carried out around the world. These sources provide both
demographic and other information to assess the progress made in achieving the internationally agreed
development goals, including the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). The comprehensive review of
past worldwide demographic trends and future prospects presented in the 2012 Revision provides the
population basis for the assessment of those goals.
According to the 2012 Revision of the official United Nations population estimates and projections,
the world population of 7.2 billion in mid-2013 is projected to increase by almost one billion people
within the next twelve years, reaching 8.1 billion in 2025, and to further increase to 9.6 billion in 2050
and 10.9 billion by 2100 (figure 1). These results are based on the medium-variant projection, which
assumes a decline of fertility for countries where large families are still prevalent as well as a slight
increase of fertility in several countries with fewer than two children per woman on average.
Figure 1. Population of the world, 1950-2100, according to different projections and variants
30
Population (billions)
25
20
15
10
5
0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Year
Medium
High
Low
Constant-fertility
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
xv
Small differences in the trajectory of fertility during the next decades will have major consequences
for population size, structure, and distribution in the long run. The “high-variant” projection depicted in
the figure above, for example, which assumes an extra half of a child per woman (on average) compared
to the medium variant, implies a world population of 10.9 billion in 2050 and 16.6 billion in 2100. The
“low-variant” projection, where women have half a child less, on average, than under the medium variant,
would produce a population of 8.3 billion in 2050. Thus, a constant difference of only half a child above
or below the medium variant would result in a global population in 2050 of around 1.3 billion more or
less compared to the medium variant of 9.6 billion.
Compared with the results from the previous revision, the projected global population total in this
revision is higher, particularly after 2075, for several reasons. First, fertility levels have been adjusted
upward in a number of countries on the basis of recently available information. In the new revision, the
estimated total fertility rate (TFR) for 2005-2010 has increased in several countries, including by more
than 5 per cent in 15 high-fertility countries from sub-Saharan Africa. In some cases, the actual level of
fertility appears to have risen in recent years; in other cases, the previous estimate was too low. The
cumulative effects of these higher estimates of current fertility levels will play out over several decades
and are responsible for significant upward adjustments in the projected population size of certain
countries between the two revisions. Second, slight modifications in the projected fertility trajectories of
some very populous countries have yielded important differences in long-run forecasts. Third, future
levels of life expectancy at birth are slightly higher in several countries within this latest projection;
longer survival, like higher fertility, generates larger populations. Lastly, a small portion of the difference
between revisions is attributable to changes in the projection methodology used for this revision.
Almost all of the additional 3.7 billion people from now to 2100 will enlarge the population of
developing countries, which is projected to rise from 5.9 billion in 2013 to 8.2 billion in 2050 and to 9.6
billion in 2100, and will mainly be distributed among the population aged 15-59 (1.6 billion) and 60 or
over (1.99 billion), as the number of children under age 15 in developing countries will hardly increase.
Growth is expected to be particularly dramatic in the least developed countries of the world, which are
projected to double in size from 898 million inhabitants in 2013 to 1.8 billion in 2050 and to 2.9 billion in
2100.
In contrast, the population of the more developed regions is expected to change minimally, passing
from 1.25 billion in 2013 to 1.28 billion in 2100, and would decline were it not for the net increase due to
migration from developing to developed countries, which is projected to average about 2.4 million
persons annually from 2013 to 2050 and 1 million from 2050 to 2100.
At the country level, much of the overall increase between 2013 and 2050 is projected to take place
in high-fertility countries, mainly in Africa, as well as countries with large populations such as India,
Indonesia, Pakistan, the Philippines and the United States of America.
The results of the 2012 Revision incorporate the findings of the most recent national population
censuses, including from the 2010 round of censuses, and of numerous specialized population surveys
carried out around the world. The 2012 Revision provides the demographic data and indicators to assess
trends at the global, regional and national levels and to calculate many other key indicators commonly
used by the United Nations system.
xvi
Population in developing countries still young
Currently the population of the less developed regions is still young, with children under age 15
accounting for 28 per cent of the population and young persons aged 15 to 24 accounting for a further 18
per cent. In fact, the numbers of children and young people in the less developed regions are at an all time
high (1.7 billion children and 1.1 billion young people), posing a major challenge for their countries,
which are faced with the necessity of providing education and employment to large cohorts of children
and youth. The situation in the least developed countries is even more pressing, as children under age 15
constitute 40 per cent of their population and young people account for a further 20 per cent.
In the more developed regions, children and youth account for 16 per cent and 12 per cent of the
population, respectively. Whereas the number of children is expected to change little in the future,
fluctuating from 206 million in 2013 to around 210 million in 2050 and then to 202 in 2100, the number
of young people is projected to decrease from 152 million currently to 142 million in 2050 and then to
138 million in 2100.
In both the more and the less developed regions, the number of people in the main working ages,
from 25 to 59 years, is at an all time high: 608 million and 2.6 billion, respectively. Yet, whereas in the
more developed regions that number is expected to peak in 2013 and decline thereafter, reaching 533
millions in 2050 and 504 million in 2100, in the less developed regions it will continue rising, reaching
3.7 billion in 2050 and 4.1 billion in 2100. In developing countries, this population is projected to
increase by over 400 million within the next decade. These population trends point to the urgency of
supporting employment creation in developing countries as part of any strategy to address the slow
economic recovery that the world is experiencing.
Globally, population aged 60 or over is the fastest growing
In the more developed regions, the population aged 60 or over is increasing at 1.0 per cent annually
before 2050 and 0.11 per cent annually from 2050 to 2100; it is expected to increase by 45 per cent by the
middle of the century, rising from 287 million in 2013 to 417 million in 2050 and to 440 million in 2100.
In the less developed regions, the population aged 60 or over is currently increasing at the fastest pace
ever, 3.7 per cent annually in the period 2010-2015 and is projected to increase by 2.9 per cent annually
before 2050 and 0.9 per cent annually from 2050 to 2100; its numbers are expected to rise from 554
million in 2013 to 1.6 billion in 2050 and to 2.5 billion in 2100.
Projected trends are contingent on fertility declines in developing countries
Population ageing results mainly from declining fertility. According to the 2012 Revision, fertility in
the less developed regions as a whole is expected to drop from 2.69 children per woman in 2005-2010 to
2.29 in 2045-2050 and to 1.99 in 2095-2100. The reduction projected for the group of 49 least developed
countries is even steeper: from 4.53 children per woman to 2.87 children per woman in 2045-2050 and to
2.11 in 2095-2100. To achieve such reductions, it is essential that access to family planning should
expand, particularly in the least developed countries. In 2013, the use of modern contraceptive methods in
the least developed countries is estimated at around 38 per cent among women of reproductive age who
are married or in union, and a further 23 per cent of such women have an unmet need for family planning.
The urgency of realizing the projected reductions of fertility is brought into focus by considering that, if
fertility were to remain constant at the levels estimated for 2005-2010, the population of the less
developed regions would increase to 9.8 billion in 2050 and to 27.5 billion in 2100 instead of the 8.2
billion and 9.6 billion projected by assuming that fertility declines. That is, without further reductions of
fertility, the world population by 2100 could increase by nearly six times as much as currently expected.
xvii
Key Findings
1.
In July 2013, the world population will reach 7.2 billion, 648 million more than in 2005 or an
average gain of 81 million persons annually. Even assuming that fertility levels will continue to
decline, the world population is still expected to reach 9.6 billion in 2050 and 10.9 billion in 2100,
according to the medium-variant projection.
2.
Future population growth is highly dependent on the path that future fertility will take. In the
medium variant, global fertility declines from 2.53 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.24
children per woman in 2045-2050 and 1.99 children per woman in 2095-2100. If fertility were to
remain, on average, half a child above the levels projected in the medium variant, world population
would reach 10.9 billion by 2050 and 16.6 billion by 2100. A fertility path half a child below the
medium variant would lead to a population of 8.3 billion by mid-century and 6.8 billion by the end
of the century. Consequently, population growth until 2050 is almost inevitable even if the decline
of fertility accelerates.
3.
In the more developed regions, fertility has increased slightly in recent years, with an estimated
level of 1.66 children per woman in 2005-2010. As a result of slightly higher projected fertility and
a sustained net in-migration averaging 2.4 million annually from 2013 to 2050, the population of
the more developed regions is still expected to increase slightly from 1.25 billion in 2013 to 1.3
billion in 2050 and then to fall back to about 1.28 billion by 2100.
4.
The 49 least developed countries (LDCs) as a whole still have the fastest growing population in the
world, at 2.3 per cent per year. Although this rate of increase is expected to slow significantly over
the next decades, the population of the LDCs is projected to double by mid-century, from 898
million in 2013 to 1.8 billion in 2050, further increasing to 2.9 billion in 2100. Growth in the rest of
the developing world is also projected to be robust, though less rapid, with its population rising
from 5.0 billion in 2013 to 6.4 billion 2050 and then to 6.6 billion in 2100 according to the medium
variant.
5.
Slow population growth brought about by reductions in fertility leads to population ageing; that is, it
produces populations where the proportion of older persons increases while that of younger persons
decreases. In the more developed regions, 23 per cent of the population is already aged 60 years or
over and that proportion is projected to reach 32 per cent in 2050 and 34 per cent in 2100. In
developed countries as a whole, the number of older persons has already surpassed the number of
children (persons under age 15), and by 2050 the number of older persons in developed countries
will be nearly twice the number of children; by 2100, that ratio will be closer to 2.2.
6.
Population ageing is less advanced in developing countries. Nevertheless, the populations of a
majority of them are poised to enter a period of rapid population ageing. In developing countries as
a whole, 9 per cent of the population today is aged 60 years or over, but that proportion will more
than double by 2050, reaching 19 per cent that year, and triple by 2100, reaching 27 per cent.
7.
Globally, the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to more than triple by 2100, increasing
from 841 million in 2013 to 2 billion in 2050 and close to 3 billion in 2100. Furthermore, already 66
per cent of the world’s older persons live in the less developed regions and by 2050, 79 per cent will
do so. By 2100, this figure will reach 85 per cent.
8.
In ageing populations, the number of persons grows faster and faster the higher the age range
considered. Thus, whereas the number of persons aged 60 or over is expected to more than triple by
2100, that of persons aged 80 or over is projected to increase almost seven-fold by 2100, increasing
xviii
from 120 million in 2013 to 392 million in 2050, and 830 million in 2100. Today, just over half of
all persons aged 80 and over live in developing countries, but that share is expected to reach 68 per
cent in 2050.
9.
Although the population of all countries is expected to age over the foreseeable future, the
population will remain relatively young in countries where fertility is still high.
10. High population growth rates prevail in many developing countries, most of which are on the UN’s
list of 49 least developed countries (LDCs). Between 2013 and 2100, the populations of 35
countries, most of them LDCs, could triple or more. Among them, the populations of Burundi,
Malawi, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Somalia, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania and Zambia are
projected to increase at least five-fold by 2100.
11. In sharp contrast, the populations of 43 countries or areas are expected to decrease between 2013
and 2050; of these, 40 are expected to continue to decrease between 2050 and 2100. Several
countries are expected to see their populations decline by more than 15 per cent by 2050, including
Belarus, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cuba, Georgia, Latvia, Lithuania, Republic of Moldova, Romania, the
Russian Federation, Serbia, and Ukraine.
12. Half of all population growth is concentrated in a small number of countries. During 2013-2100,
eight countries are expected to account for over half of the world’s projected population increase:
Nigeria, India, the United Republic of Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Niger,
Uganda, Ethiopia and the United States of America, listed according to the size of their contribution
to global population growth.
13. Fertility has continued to fall in the vast majority of countries in the less developed regions. Among
countries with at least 90,000 inhabitants in 2013, the number of developing countries with high
fertility (5 children or more per woman) declined from 58 in 1990-1995 to 31 in 2005-2010, and
their share of the world population dropped from 13 per cent to 9 per cent. Over the same period,
the number of developing countries with fertility levels below replacement increased from 14 to 32.
14. Most developed countries have had below-replacement fertility (below 2.1 children per woman) for
two or three decades. Among the 45 developed countries with at least 90,000 inhabitants in 2013,
41 and 43 had below-replacement fertility in 1990-1995 and 2005-2010, respectively. However,
between the 2000-2005 and 2005-2010, 36 developed countries experienced slight increases in
fertility. For the more developed regions as a whole, total fertility increased from 1.58 to 1.66
children per woman between those two periods. Yet, in 2005-2010, 26 developed countries,
including Japan and most of the countries in Southern and Eastern Europe, still had fertility levels
below 1.5 children per woman.
15. In 2005-2010, the 75 countries with below-replacement fertility accounted for 48 per cent of the
world’s population. The most populous countries with below replacement fertility are China, the
United States of America, Brazil, the Russian Federation, Japan, Viet Nam, Germany, the Islamic
Republic of Iran and Thailand, in order of population size.
16. Globally, total fertility is expected to fall from 2.53 children per woman in 2005-2010 to 2.24 in
2045-2050 and to 1.99 in 2095-2100 according to the medium variant. However, in the more
developed regions, total fertility is projected to increase from 1.66 children per woman currently to
1.85 in 2045-2050 and 1.93 in 2095-2100. A major reduction of fertility is projected for the group
of least developed countries (from 4.53 to 2.87 children per woman in 2045-2050 and to 2.11 in
2095-2100) and the fertility of the rest of the developing world is expected to drop from 2.40
xix
children per woman currently to 2.09 in 2045-2050 and 1.93 in 2095-2100, thus converging to the
fertility levels expected for the more developed countries by the end of the century.
17. The median age, that is, the age that divides the population in two halves of equal size, is an
indicator of population ageing. Globally, the median age is projected to increase from 29 to 36 years
between 2013 and 2050 and to 41 years in 2100. The median age is higher in countries or regions
that have been experiencing low fertility for a long time. Europe today has the oldest population,
with a median age of 41 years in 2013, which is expected to reach 46 years in 2050 and then 47
years in 2100.
18. Countries where fertility remains high and has declined only moderately will experience the slowest
population ageing. The median age for the least developed countries as a whole is below 20 years in
2013. It is projected to reach 26 years in 2050 and 36 years in 2100.
19. Increasing longevity also contributes to population ageing. Globally, life expectancy at birth is
projected to rise from 69 years in 2005-2010 to 76 years in 2045-2050 and to 82 years in 20952100. In the more developed regions, the projected increase is from 77 years in 2005-2010 to 83
years in 2045-2050 and to 89 years in 2095-2100, while in the less developed regions the increase is
expected to be from 67 years in 2005-2010 to 75 years by mid-century and 81 years by the end of
the century.
20. Life expectancy remains low in the least developed countries, at just 58 years in 2005-2010.
Although it is projected to reach 70 years in 2045-2050 and 78 years in 2095-2100, realizing such
an increase is contingent on reducing the spread of HIV and combating successfully other infectious
diseases as well as non-communicable diseases. Similar challenges must be confronted if the
projected increase of life expectancy in the rest of the developing countries, from under 69 years
today to 76 years by mid-century and to 82 year by the end of the century, is to be achieved.
21. The under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and the exact age of
five, is an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. In 1950-1955, 21 per
cent of all children born worldwide did not reach their fifth birthday. By 2005-2010, this rate had
fallen to 59 deaths per 1,000 births. However, this rate in least developed regions still remains at a
relatively high level, around 112 deaths per 1,000 births in 2005-2010, falling from 172 deaths per
1,000 births in 1990-95.
22. Among the more developed regions, Eastern Europe has the lowest life expectancy and has
experienced reductions in life expectancy at birth since the late 1980s. In 2005-2010 life expectancy
in the region increased somewhat but at 69.5 years it was almost the same as it had been in 19701975 (69.2 years). Despite having recorded some recovery since the late 1990s, Belarus, the
Republic of Moldova, the Russian Federation and Ukraine have currently the lowest life
expectancies among developed countries (below 70 years).
23. Although the HIV/AIDS epidemic continues to be a major global health concern, adult HIV
prevalence reached a peak over the past decade in most countries that are highly affected by the
epidemic; a growing number of them are reaching and maintaining lower prevalence levels.
Nevertheless, in countries where prevalence has been high, the impact of the epidemic in terms of
morbidity, mortality and slower population growth continues to be evident. Thus, in Southern
Africa, the region with the highest prevalence of the disease, life expectancy has fallen from 62
years in 1990-1995 to 52 years in 2005-2010 and is only recently beginning to increase.
Nevertheless, life expectancy in the region is not expected to recover to the level where it was in the
early 1990s until the year 2030.
xx
24. Given the low fertility prevailing in developed countries, deaths are expected to exceed births for
the foreseeable future. Consequently, the population of the more developed regions will decrease if
the excess of deaths over births is not counterbalanced by a net migration gain. During 2010-2050,
the net number of international migrants to more developed regions is projected to be about 96
million, whereas the excess of deaths over births is projected to be 33 million, implying an overall
growth of about 63 million.
25. In terms of annual averages, the major net receivers of international migrants during 2010-2050 are
projected to be the United States of America (1,000,000 annually), Canada (205,000), the United
Kingdom (172,500), Australia (150,000), Italy (131,250), the Russian Federation (127,500), France
(106,250) and Spain (102,500). The major countries of net emigration are projected to be
Bangladesh (-331,000 annually), China (-300,000), India (-284,000), Mexico (-210,000), Pakistan
(-170,000), Indonesia (-140,000) and the Philippines (-92,500). Economic and demographic
asymmetries across countries that may persist are likely to remain powerful generators of
international migration within the medium-term future.
xxi
I. WORLD POPULATION TRENDS
A. POPULATION SIZE AND GROWTH
In 2013 the world population reached 7.2 billion with 5.9 billion (or 82.5 per cent of the world’s total)
living in the less developed regions (table I.1). Out of these, 898 million reside in the 49 least developed
countries and account for 12.5 per cent of the world population. More developed countries, whose total
population amounts to 1.25 billion inhabitants, account for 17.5 per cent of the world population
(table I.2).
According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 9.6 billion persons by
2050, that is, 2.4 billion more than in 2013, an increase slightly under the combined populations of China
and India today. Most of this growth is projected to come from developing countries. Between 2013 and
2050, the population of the more developed regions will remain largely unchanged at around 1.3 billion
inhabitants, but the population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 5.9 billion in 2013 to
8.3 billion in 2050. At the same time, the population of the least developed countries is projected to
double, from 902 million inhabitants in 2013 to 1.8 billion in 2050. Consequently, by 2050, 86.4 per cent
of the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions, including 19.0 per cent in the
least developed countries, whereas only 13.6 per cent will live in the more developed regions.
According to the medium variant, the world population is projected to reach 10.9 billion persons by
2100, that is, 3.7 billion more than in 2013 and 1.3 billion more than in 2050. During the second part of
the 21st century, the growth of the world population will continue to occur mainly in the less developed
regions. The population of the more developed regions will remain relatively stable at 1.3 billion, but the
population of the less developed regions is projected to rise from 8.3 billion in 2050 to 9.6 billion in 2100.
The population growth in the less developed regions will predominantly occur in the least developed
countries whose population is projected to increase by almost 1.1 billion between 2050 and 2100. By
2100, 88.2 per cent of the world population is expected to live in the less developed regions, including 27
per cent in the least developed countries; only 11.8 per cent will live in the more developed regions.
Contrasting population trends across major areas, it worth noting that Asia’s population is expected to
continue to grow during 2013-2050 while its population should decline in the second half of the century;
yet, in Africa, the population is expected to grow by 1.8 billion during the second half of the century,
substantially more than during the earlier period of 2013-2050, that is by 1.3 billion. During 2050-2100,
Africa’s population increase will surpass that of the world.
The world population in 2050 would be substantially higher if the decline in fertility projected in the
medium variant fails to be realized. If fertility were to remain constant at current levels in all countries,
world population would increase significantly, reaching 11.1 billion by 2050. In the high variant, where
fertility is assumed to remain mostly half a child higher than in the medium variant, the world population
in 2050 would reach 10.9 billion persons. In the low variant, where fertility is projected to be half a child
lower than in the medium variant, world population would still grow, but only to reach 8.3 billion by
2050. According to the low variant, the population of the least developed countries would nearly double,
to reach 1.6 billion by 2050, but the population of the more developed regions would decline to 1.15
billion.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1
2
TABLE I.1. POPULATION OF THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, 1950, 1980, 2013. 2050 AND 2100, ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS
Population (millions)
Development group or major area
Population in 2050 (millions)
Constantfertility
Low
Medium
High
Population in 2100 (millions)
Constantfertility
Low
Medium
High
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1950
1980
2013
World.................................................
2 526
4 449
7 162
8 342
9 551
10 868
11 089
6 750
10 854
16 641
28 646
More developed regions ....................
Less developed regions......................
Least developed countries..............
Other less developed countries ......
813
1 713
195
1 518
1 083
3 366
393
2 973
1 253
5 909
898
5 011
1 149
7 193
1 594
5 599
1 303
8 248
1 811
6 437
1 470
9 398
2 043
7 355
1 268
9 821
2 552
7 269
801
5 949
1 944
4 005
1 284
9 570
2 928
6 642
1 960
14 682
4 266
10 416
1 152
27 494
13 590
13 904
Africa.................................................
Asia ...................................................
Europe ...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ......
Northern America..............................
Oceania..............................................
229
1 396
549
168
172
13
478
2 634
695
364
255
23
1 111
4 299
742
617
355
38
2 119
4 482
622
674
395
50
2 393
5 164
709
782
446
57
2 686
5 912
804
902
500
64
3 210
5 805
673
885
453
62
2 826
2 739
383
420
335
46
4 185
4 712
639
736
513
70
6 007
7 558
1 005
1 215
754
102
17 221
8 971
508
1 298
535
114
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
TABLE I.2. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS
ACCORDING TO DIFFERENT VARIANTS, 1950-2100
2050
2100
Constantfertility
Low
Medium
High
Constantfertility
1950
1980
2013
Low
World.........................................................
More developed regions ............................
Less developed regions..............................
Least developed countries......................
Other less developed countries ..............
100.0
32.2
67.8
7.7
60.1
100.0
24.3
75.7
8.8
66.8
100.0
17.5
82.5
12.5
70.0
100.0
13.8
86.2
19.1
67.1
100.0
13.6
86.4
19.0
67.4
100.0
13.5
86.5
18.8
67.7
100.0
11.4
88.6
23.0
65.6
100.0
11.9
88.1
28.8
59.3
100.0
11.8
88.2
27.0
61.2
100.0
11.8
88.2
25.6
62.6
100.0
4.0
96.0
47.4
48.5
Africa.........................................................
Asia ...........................................................
Europe .......................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ..............
Northern America......................................
Oceania......................................................
9.1
55.3
21.7
6.6
6.8
0.5
10.8
59.2
15.6
8.2
5.7
0.5
15.5
60.0
10.4
8.6
5.0
0.5
25.4
53.7
7.5
8.1
4.7
0.6
25.1
54.1
7.4
8.2
4.7
0.6
24.7
54.4
7.4
8.3
4.6
0.6
29.0
52.3
6.1
8.0
4.1
0.6
41.9
40.6
5.7
6.2
5.0
0.7
38.6
43.4
5.9
6.8
4.7
0.6
36.1
45.4
6.0
7.3
4.5
0.6
60.1
31.3
1.8
4.5
1.9
0.4
Development group or major area
Medium
High
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
Most of the world population lives in a few countries. In 2013, 37 per cent of the world population
lived in China and India. A further eight countries accounted for a further 22 per cent of the earth’s
inhabitants, namely, the United States of America, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh, the
Russian Federation and Japan, in order of population size (tables S.1 and S.3). However, most countries
of the world have small populations. Seventy-five per cent of the 233 countries or areas covered by the
2012 Revision had populations with fewer than 20 million inhabitants in 2013 and, as a group, they
account for 10 per cent of the world’s population.
By 2028, the population of India is projected to surpass that of China and taken together the two
countries will account then for about 35 per cent of the world population. By 2050, five least developed
countries—Bangladesh, Ethiopia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the United Republic of
Tanzania and Uganda—will be among the twenty most populous countries in the world. By 2100, among
the twenty most populous countries in the world, eight will be least developed countries—the United
Republic of Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Uganda, Niger, Bangladesh,
Sudan and Mozambique (tables S.2 and S.3).
Increments in the world population are also largely concentrated in a few countries, generally the
most populous. Thus, during 2005-2010, eight countries—India, China, Nigeria, Indonesia, Pakistan, the
United States of America, Ethiopia, and Brazil, in order of population increment—accounted for just over
half of the population increase at the world level (table S.4).
Over most of human history, the world population grew very slowly if at all. Growth rates began
increasing slowly during the 17th or 18th centuries as mortality started to decline. With accelerating gains
in longevity, the growth rate of the world population increased, especially during the 20th century, when it
reached a peak at 2.07 per cent per year in 1965-1970 (figure I.1). Since then, the speed of population
growth has been decelerating, largely as a result of falling fertility in the developing world. By 20052010, the population growth rate at the world level had reached 1.20 per cent per year and is projected to
decline to 0.51 per cent per year by 2045-2050 and to 0.11 by 2095-2100. As shown in table S.5, several
countries both in the more developed regions and the less developed regions are expected to experience
declining populations between 2013 and 2050.
However, because fertility decline has not occurred simultaneously in all countries, the pace of
population growth still differs considerably among development groups. Thus, whereas the population of
the more developed regions rose at an annual rate of 0.42 per cent during 2005-2010, that of the less
developed regions increased more than three times faster, at 1.37 per cent annually, and the least
developed countries as a group have experienced even more rapid population growth, at 2.28 per cent per
year. Such differences are expected to persist in the future. According to the medium variant, the
population of the more developed regions will be nearly stagnating by 2045-2050, whereas the population
of the less developed regions will still be rising at an annual rate of 0.60 per cent per year (figure I.1).
More importantly, the population of the least developed countries will likely be increasing at a robust
annual rate of 1.54 per cent. By the end of the 21st century, the population of the less developed regions
will reach a relatively low annual rate of population growth, similar to that of the more developed regions
in earlier years. Yet, the population growth rate of the least developed countries, albeit declining, will still
amount to 0.55 per cent per year in 2095-2100. Average annual rates of population change are also
presented in table I.3 for selected periods, depicting in addition the different levels of population change
across variants within the projections.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
3
Figure I.1. Average annual rate of population change for the world
and development groups, 1950-2100
Average annual rate of change (percentage)
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Period
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World
Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
.
4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE I.3. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATE OF POPULATION CHANGE FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS, FOR SELECTED PERIODS
AND DIFFERENT VARIANTS (PERCENTAGE)
2013-2050
2050-2100
Constantfertility
Constantfertility
Development group or major area
World.....................................................
1950-2013
1950-1980
1.65
1.89
1.44
0.41
0.78
1.13
1.18
-0.69
0.26
1.11
2.20
More developed regions.........................
Less developed regions..........................
Least developed countries..................
Other less developed countries ..........
0.69
1.97
2.42
1.90
0.96
2.25
2.33
2.24
0.44
1.71
2.51
1.58
-0.23
0.53
1.55
0.30
0.11
0.90
1.89
0.68
0.43
1.25
2.22
1.04
0.03
1.37
2.82
1.01
-0.97
-0.65
0.14
-0.95
-0.03
0.30
0.96
0.06
0.82
1.15
1.71
0.96
-0.25
2.41
4.03
1.54
Africa.....................................................
Asia........................................................
Europe ...................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ..........
Northern America ..................................
Oceania ..................................................
2.51
1.79
0.48
2.07
1.16
1.76
2.46
2.12
0.78
2.58
1.32
1.98
2.55
1.48
0.20
1.60
1.01
1.55
1.75
0.11
-0.48
0.24
0.29
0.74
2.07
0.50
-0.12
0.64
0.62
1.07
2.39
0.86
0.22
1.03
0.93
1.38
2.87
0.81
-0.26
0.98
0.66
1.31
0.33
-1.27
-1.23
-1.24
-0.57
-0.42
1.12
-0.18
-0.21
-0.12
0.28
0.41
1.84
0.76
0.70
0.88
1.05
1.17
3.95
1.10
-0.67
1.01
0.36
1.39
1980-2013
Low
Medium
High
Low
Medium
High
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
5
B. POPULATION AGE COMPOSITION
The primary demographic consequence of fertility decline, especially if combined with increases in
life expectancy, is population ageing, a process whereby the proportion of older persons in the population
increases and that of younger persons declines. In 1950, just 8 per cent of the world population was aged
60 years or over. By 2013 that proportion had risen to 12 per cent and it is expected to reach 21 per cent
in 2050 (table I.4; see table S.6 for figures at the country level). Globally, the number of older persons
(aged 60 years or over) will increase by a factor of 2.4, passing from 841 million in 2013 to more than 2
billion in 2050. In contrast, the number of children (persons under age 15) is projected to hardly increase
over the next 37 years, passing from 1.88 billion in 2013 to 2.03 billion in 2050 and their share of the
total population will drop from 26 per cent in 2013 to 21 per cent in 2050. During the second half of the
21st century, the number of older persons (aged 60 years or over) will increase by close to a billion, to
reach almost 3 billion in 2100, and the number of children will decrease by 90 million, to reach 1.94
billion in 2100.
Increases in the median age, the age at which half the population is older and half is younger than that
age, are indicative of population ageing (table I.5). In 2013, 30 countries or areas, almost all of them
developed countries, had a median age higher than 40 years. Japan led the group with a median age of
45.9 years, followed closely by Germany, with median age of 45.5 years, and Italy, with median age of
44.3 years (tables S.7 and S.8). In contrast, the median ages of Niger, Uganda and Chad in 2013 were
below 16 years, making their populations the youngest on the planet.
By 2050, close to 100 countries are expected to have a median age above 40 years, more than half of
which will be countries located in the developing world. That is, population ageing, which is already
pervasive in developed countries, is expected to be common in the developing world of the future and is
projected to occur more rapidly in developing countries than it did in their developed counterparts. In
2100, it is anticipated that 158 countries will have a median age above 40 years, more than two thirds of
which will be located in the developing world.
Despite the general trend toward population ageing, countries that still have relatively high fertility
will have a younger population than the rest in 2050 (table I.5). Many least developed countries are in this
group. In 2050, 24 countries are projected to have median ages below 25 years; among those, 20 are least
developed countries. The youngest populations on Earth are expected to be in Niger, Mali, Zambia, and
Somalia, in increasing order according to the value of their respective median ages (tables I.5 and S.7).
Because the least developed countries are expected to continue having some of the highest fertility levels
on Earth after 2050, several of these countries will remain with the youngest populations in 2100. By that
date, the median ages of the populations of Zambia, Niger, Mali, Somalia, and several other countries are
expected to be below 35 years.
6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE I.4. DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION OF THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS BY BROAD AGE GROUPS, 2013, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population in 2013 (millions)
Development group or major area
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries
Africa
Asia
Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
Population in 2050 (millions)
Population in 2100 (millions)
0-14
15-24
25-59
60+
80+
Total
0-14
15-24
25-59
60+
80+
Total
0-14
15-24
25-59
60+
80+
Total
1 878
1 205
3 238
841
120
7 162
2 034
1 312
4 184
2 020
392
9 551
1 944
1 325
4 600
2 984
830
10 854
206
1 672
360
1 313
152
1 053
180
874
608
2 630
311
2 319
287
554
49
505
57
63
5
59
1 253
5 909
898
5 011
210
1 825
545
1 279
142
1 169
319
850
533
3 651
763
2 888
417
1 603
183
1 420
124
268
21
247
1 303
8 248
1 811
6 437
202
1 743
618
1 125
138
1 187
411
777
504
4 096
1 299
2 797
440
2 544
600
1 944
164
666
121
545
1 284
9 570
2 928
6 642
454
1 065
116
166
68
9
217
738
87
109
49
6
380
2 027
370
276
168
17
60
469
170
65
71
6
5
58
33
10
13
1
1 111
4 299
742
617
355
38
771
925
109
137
80
12
437
642
73
97
55
8
973
2 357
289
351
189
25
212
1 239
238
196
122
13
20
220
67
44
36
4
2 393
5 164
709
782
446
57
907
735
98
107
85
11
603
514
68
75
57
8
1 879
1 950
251
286
204
29
795
1 511
222
267
167
22
141
442
82
99
58
8
4 185
4 712
639
736
513
70
Percentage distribution by age group
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries
Africa
Asia
Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
26
17
45
12
1.7
100
21
14
44
21
4.1
100
18
12
42
27
7.6
100
16
28
40
26
12
18
20
17
48
45
35
46
23
9.4
5.4
10
4.5
1.1
0.5
1.2
100
100
100
100
16
22
30
20
11
14
18
13
41
44
42
45
32
19
10
22
9.5
3.2
1.1
3.8
100
100
100
100
16
18
21
17
11
12
14
12
39
43
44
42
34
27
21
29
13
7.0
4.1
8.2
100
100
100
100
41
25
16
27
19
24
20
17
12
18
14
15
34
47
50
45
47
45
5.4
11
23
11
20
16
0.5
1.3
4.5
1.6
3.7
2.9
100
100
100
100
100
100
32
18
15
18
18
20
18
12
10
12
12
13
41
46
41
45
42
43
8.9
24
34
25
27
23
0.9
4.3
9.5
5.7
8.1
6.2
100
100
100
100
100
100
22
16
15
15
17
16
14
11
11
10
11
11
45
41
39
39
40
41
19
32
35
36
33
31
3.4
9.4
13
13
11
11
100
100
100
100
100
100
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
7
TABLE I.5. MEDIAN AGE FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS,
1950, 1980, 2013, 2050 AND 2100, MEDIUM VARIANT
1950
Median age (years)
1980
2013
2050
2010
World
23.5
22.6
29.2
36.1
41.2
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries
28.5
21.4
19.3
21.6
31.9
20.0
17.6
20.3
40.5
27.2
19.7
28.7
44.5
34.9
26.4
37.6
46.3
40.6
35.9
42.8
Africa
Asia
Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
19.2
22.0
28.9
19.9
29.8
27.9
17.6
21.0
32.7
19.8
30.0
26.4
19.4
29.7
40.9
28.3
37.7
32.6
24.7
39.8
45.7
40.6
40.9
37.0
34.9
45.4
46.8
48.1
44.6
44.1
Development group or major area
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
The more developed regions have been leading the process of population ageing and their experience
provides a point of comparison for the expected ageing of the population of the less developed regions. In
1950, the number of children (persons under age 15) in the more developed world was more than twice
the number of older persons (those aged 60 years or over), with children accounting for 27 per cent of the
total population and the older persons for only 12 per cent (table I.4; 1950 data not shown). By 2013, the
proportion of older persons in the more developed regions had surpassed that of children (23 per cent
versus 16 per cent) and in 2050, the proportion of older persons is expected to be double that of children
(32 per cent versus 16 per cent). In 2050, the number of older persons in more developed regions is
projected to be more than four times their number in 1950 (417 million versus 94 million) while the
number of children is projected to decline slightly from 223 million in 1950 to 210 million in 2050.
Because the fertility of the more developed regions is projected to increase, albeit slowly, over most of
the projection period, population ageing will slow down. As a result, between 2050 and 2100 the number
of older persons in the more developed regions is expected to increase by only 23 million, to reach 440
million and the number of children under age 15 is expected to remain fairly constant at just over 200
million.
Until 2013, population ageing had been considerably slower in the less developed regions where
fertility has been still relatively high. The proportion of children declined from 38 per cent in 1950 to 28
per cent in 2013, while the proportion of older persons increased from 6 per cent to 9 per cent (table I.4;
1950 data not shown). However, a period of more rapid population ageing lies ahead for the less
developed regions. By 2050, their proportion of older persons is projected to reach 19 per cent, whereas
their proportion of children is projected to decline to 22 per cent. After 2050, population ageing in the less
developed regions will continue but at a slower pace. By 2100, the proportion of older persons is
projected to increase to 27 per cent and the proportion of children is projected to decline to 18 per cent.
Trends in the number of persons of working age (those aged 15 to 59 years) are particularly important
for all countries. The proportion of the population in those ages is an important factor related to the
potential for economic growth. In the more developed regions, the proportion of the population of
working age decreased from 61 per cent in 1950 to 60 per cent in 1970 and then increased steadily to
reach 63 per cent in 2005. Since then, that proportion has been declining. Its value is projected to drop
8
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
from 61 per cent in 2013 to 52 in 2050 and then reach 50 per cent in 2100 (table I.4). That is, the major
change in the proportion of the population of working ages in the more developed regions will occur over
the next 40 years if, as projected in the medium variant, the fertility of the more developed regions rises
slowly for the rest of the century.
In the less developed regions, the proportion of the population of working age is expected to decline
slightly, passing from 62 per cent in 2013 to 58 per cent in 2050 and 55 per cent in 2100. However,
among the least developed countries, that proportion will rise from 55 per cent in 2013 to 60 per cent in
2050 and decline thereafter to 58 per cent in 2100, an increase that represents both an opportunity and a
challenge: an opportunity to spur economic growth provided that the challenge of creating gainful
employment for the growing numbers of persons of working age is met.
Among the older population, the number and proportion of the oldest-old, that is, persons aged 80
years or over, is rising. In 2013, there were 120 million oldest-old persons in the world, corresponding to
1.7 per cent of the world population (table I.4). By 2050, this segment of the population is projected to
reach 392 million or 4.1 per cent of the world population and by 2100 it would ascend to 830 million or
7.6 per cent of the population. The group of oldest-old is the fastest growing segment of the world
population. Particularly rapid increases in this group are expected in the less developed regions, where the
oldest-old are projected to increase from 63 million in 2013 to 268 million in 2050 and to 666 million in
2100, implying an average annual rate of increase of 3.9 per cent during 2013-2050 and of 1.8 per cent
per year during 2050-2100 (table I.6). Over half of the oldest-old already live in the less developed
regions but they are expected to become increasingly concentrated in developing countries. Thus, in 2050,
68 per cent of all persons aged 80 or over are expected to live in developing countries and by 2100 80 per
cent are expected to do so.
In 2013, 74 countries had populations where persons aged 80 years or older accounted for more than
1.68 per cent of the population (the proportion of oldest-old in the world). The oldest-old accounted for
over 7.3 per cent of the population of Japan and for more than 5.5 per cent of the populations of Italy,
France, Greece, Spain and Belgium, ordered according to the proportion of oldest-old (table S.6). By
2050, 103 countries are expected to have populations where persons aged 80 or over account for more
than 4.10 per cent of the population (the proportion of the oldest-old at the global level in 2050). The
oldest-old are projected to account for over 10 per cent of the population in 23 countries. In 2100, the
proportion of the oldest-old is projected to exceed 7.83 per cent (their share of the world population) in
128 countries and in 109 of them, the proportion of persons aged 80 years or over is projected to exceed
10 per cent.
Just as the overall population, the oldest-old tend to be concentrated in the most populous countries.
In 2013, 22.6 million lived in China, 11.9 million in the United States and 9.9 million in India. In 2050,
those countries will still have the largest numbers of persons aged 80 years or over: 90.4 million in China,
37.2 million in India and 31.7 million in the United States. By 2100, China is projected to have 120
million persons of aged 80 or over, India 116 million and the United States 52 million.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
9
10
TABLE I.6. AVERAGE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE OF THE TOTAL POPULATION AND THE POPULATION IN BROAD AGE GROUPS, BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA,
2013-2050 AND 2050-2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
2013-2050
2050-2100
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
Total
population
0.22
0.50
2.37
3.19
0.78
-0.09
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Other less developed countries
0.05
0.24
1.12
-0.07
-0.29
0.63
2.00
0.33
1.01
2.87
3.59
2.79
2.10
3.90
4.12
3.88
0.11
0.90
1.89
0.68
Africa
Asia
Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America
Oceania
1.43
-0.38
-0.16
-0.51
0.43
0.65
2.22
0.11
-0.60
0.27
0.32
0.88
3.41
2.63
0.91
2.96
1.48
2.05
3.67
3.62
1.91
4.11
2.70
3.14
2.07
0.50
-0.12
0.64
0.62
1.07
Development group or major area
World
0-14
15-59
Total
population
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
60+
80+
0.13
0.78
1.50
0.26
-0.08
-0.09
0.25
-0.26
-0.09
0.15
0.83
-0.11
0.11
0.92
2.37
0.63
0.56
1.82
3.53
1.58
-0.03
0.30
0.96
0.06
0.33
-0.46
-0.22
-0.49
0.12
-0.04
1.03
-0.40
-0.24
-0.45
0.13
0.21
2.65
0.40
-0.14
0.62
0.62
1.03
3.87
1.40
0.41
1.60
0.96
1.54
1.12
-0.18
-0.21
-0.12
0.28
0.41
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York:
United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
II. FERTILITY
According to the 2012 Revision, total fertility—that is, the average number of children a woman
would bear if fertility rates remained unchanged during her lifetime—is 2.53 children per woman in 20052010 at the world level (table II.1). This average masks the heterogeneity of fertility levels among
countries and regions (figure II.1 and table S.9). In 2005-2010, 75 countries or areas (45 of them located
in the more developed regions) have fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman, that is, below
replacement level26, whereas 126 countries or areas, all of which, except for Iceland and New Zealand,
are located in the less developed regions, and have total fertility levels at or above 2.1 children per
woman. Among these 126 countries, 31 have total fertility levels at or above 5 children per woman, 28 of
which are least developed countries (table II.2).
The 75 countries where total fertility is below replacement level in 2005-2010 account for 48.2 per
cent of the world population or approximately 3.3 billion people. Countries with fertility at or above
replacement level account for 3.5 billion people or 51.8 per cent of the world population.
Within the next decades, the number of countries with below-replacement fertility is expected to
almost double to reach 139 in 2045-2050. This means that by mid-century 7.1 billion people or 75.2 per
cent of the world population will be living in these countries. Under this medium fertility variant, it is
assumed that 184 countries will reach below-replacement fertility by 2095-2100, and more than 81 per
cent of the world population will be living in a country where the average number of children per woman
will be below 2.1.
As in the 2010 revision of the World Population Prospects, the assumptions and the projection model
used in this revision take into account the unique fertility decline experience of each country while also
using the experience of all other countries to inform future potential fertility trajectories. Based on the
historical experiences of fertility decline from all the countries and areas of the world since 1950, the
projection results of the 2012 revision show that, by mid-century, 22 countries out of 75 currently are
expected to still have on average 3 children or more per woman. By 2045-2050, 14.5per cent of the world
population is expected to live in such country compared to 18.4 per cent currently.
Since, 1974, when the first World Population Conference was held in Bucharest, Romania, fertility
has declined by more than 20 per cent in 155 developing countries and by over 50 per cent in 40 of them.
The fastest fertility reductions, among countries with fertility levels greater or equal to 4 children per
woman in 1975-1980, occurred in countries in Asia, including the Islamic Republic of Iran, Viet Nam,
United Arab Emirates, Maldives, Mongolia, Oman, Qatar, Bangladesh, Lebanon, Bhutan, Myanmar and
Saudi Arabia. Fertility also declined rapidly in countries of Northern Africa, namely in Libya, Tunisia,
Algeria, Morocco and Western Sahara as well as in Cape Verde and in Saint Lucia (table S.11). Among
the countries that have experienced a decline of fertility by over 50 per cent within the past thirty years,
current fertility levels are now on average 2.3 children per women instead of 5.6 in 1975-1980.
Although most developing countries are already far advanced in the transition from high to low
fertility, twelve countries still have fertility levels of 6 children per woman or higher in 2005-2010 and in
Niger and Somalia total fertility is greater than 7 children per woman (table II.2 and table S.10), and the
fertility in these country has decreased at most by about 1.3 child within the last 30 years. Based on the
experience of other countries with similar levels of fertility in the past, the fertility of those twelve
countries is projected to decline after 2010, at a pace of less than one child per decade after 2020, and
none, but one (Afghanistan), is expected to reach 2.1 children per woman by 2045-2050 in the medium
variant. As a result, their average fertility is expected to be just below 3.5 children per woman and their
26
Replacement-level fertility is the level that needs to be sustained over the long run to ensure that a population replaces itself. For most
countries having low or moderate mortality levels, replacement level is close to 2.1 children per woman.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
11
TABLE II.1. ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED TOTAL FERTILITY FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS,
FOR SELECTED PERIODS AND DIFFERENT VARIANTS
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
2045-2050
1970- 1990- 20051975 1995 2010
Low
Medium
World................................................ 4.44 3.04 2.53
1.78
More developed regions....................
Less developed regions.....................
Least developed countries ............
Other less developed countries .....
2.15
5.36
6.75
5.18
1.67
3.38
5.77
3.08
1.66
2.69
4.53
2.40
Africa................................................
Asia...................................................
Europe...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean .....
Northern America .............................
Oceania .............................................
6.66
4.99
2.17
5.02
2.01
3.23
5.71
2.96
1.57
3.02
2.00
2.49
4.88
2.25
1.54
2.30
2.02
2.47
2095-2100
ConstantHigh Fertility
Low
Medium
High
ConstantFertility
2.24
2.71
3.28
1.51
1.99
2.47
4.61
1.36
1.83
2.40
1.62
1.85
2.29
2.87
2.09
2.35
2.76
3.34
2.57
1.74
3.45
5.17
2.85
1.43
1.52
1.63
1.45
1.93
1.99
2.11
1.93
2.43
2.48
2.60
2.42
1.84
4.71
5.76
3.73
2.61
1.39
1.31
1.34
1.47
1.60
3.09
1.89
1.80
1.83
1.97
2.09
3.58
2.38
2.30
2.33
2.47
2.59
5.30
2.58
1.56
2.44
2.02
2.70
1.64
1.35
1.39
1.35
1.48
1.41
2.12
1.85
1.89
1.85
1.98
1.91
2.61
2.35
2.40
2.34
2.48
2.40
5.71
3.16
1.63
2.70
2.03
3.22
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population
Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
Figure II.1. Total fertility trajectories for the world and development groups, 1950-2100 (medium variant)
7.0
Total fertility (children per woman)
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Period
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
12
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE II.2. DISTRIBUTION OF THE WORLD POPULATION AS WELL AS COUNTRIES AND AREAS ACCORDING TO THE LEVEL OF TOTAL
FERTILITY IN SELECTED PERIODS (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Range of total fertility
Greater or equal to 7 ...........................
Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1 ...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
Total population (millions) .................
World population (1 January)
1953
1973
1993
2008
2028
2048
2098
108
1 060
589
36
285
583
4
―
―
―
―
2 665
182
525
995
1 086
92
411
542
85
―
―
―
3 919
188
288
248
300
1 480
555
1 633
335
353
197
―
5 578
24
336
268
225
390
2 258
979
1 427
346
492
7
6 753
―
32
300
447
590
2 289
1 423
2 728
442
39
―
8 290
―
―
65
85
1221
975
3531
3542
30
7
―
9 456
―
―
―
―
―
2 057
4 748
4 020
6
―
―
10 831
1953
1973
1993
2008
2028
2048
2098
4.1
39.8
22.1
1.4
10.7
21.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
4.7
13.4
25.4
27.7
2.3
10.5
13.8
2.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
100.0
3.4
5.2
4.4
5.4
26.5
9.9
29.3
6.0
6.3
3.5
0.0
100.0
0.4
5.0
4.0
3.3
5.8
33.4
14.5
21.1
5.1
7.3
0.1
100.0
0.0
0.4
3.6
5.4
7.1
27.6
17.2
32.9
5.3
0.5
0.0
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.9
12.9
10.3
37.3
37.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
100.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
19.0
43.8
37.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
100.0
Percentage of the world population (1 January)
Greater or equal to 7 ...........................
Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1 ...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
Total of the world population .............
Number of countries
1950-1955
1970-1975
1990-1995
2005-2010
2025-2030
2045-2050
2095-2100
Greater or equal to 7 ...........................
Between 6 and less than 7...................
Between 5 and less than 6...................
Between 4 and less than 5...................
Between 3 and less than 4...................
Between 2.1 and less than 3................
Between 1.85 and less than 2.1 ...........
Between 1.60 and less than 1.85 .........
Between 1.40 and less than 1.60 .........
Between 1.20 and less than 1.40 .........
Less than 1.2 .......................................
29
72
37
17
17
25
4
―
―
―
―
32
50
31
22
15
31
16
4
―
―
―
11
23
24
25
28
35
17
20
12
6
―
2
10
19
19
21
55
23
15
20
15
2
―
1
3
15
29
40
41
49
19
4
―
―
―
1
2
19
40
51
85
2
1
―
―
―
―
―
―
17
98
85
1
―
―
Total number of countries...................
201
201
201
201
201
201
201
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population
Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
13
population is expected nearly to triple, passing from about 330 million in 2008 to close to 950 million in
2048, and could reach over 2 billion in 2098.
These twelve countries are least developed countries—Afghanistan, Angola, Burkina Faso, Burundi,
Chad, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Somalia, Timor-Leste, Uganda—and
several are highly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Moreover, a number of them have been
experiencing civil strife and political instability in recent years, factors that militate against the provision
of basic services for the population. The continuation of rapid population growth poses serious challenges
to their future development.
Despite the important contribution to population growth of countries with the highest fertility (those
with a total fertility above 6 children per woman), these twelve countries account today for about 5.1 per
cent of the world population and are expected to constitute respectively 10.2 and 19.3 per cent of the
world population by 2048 and 2098, according to the medium variant. Countries with total fertility
ranging from 4 to 6 children per woman account today for 7.0 per cent of the world population, and will
account for about 12.1 per cent by 2048 (table II.2) because their fertility is expected to continue to
decline from just 4.95 children per woman on average currently to 2.85 children per woman on average
by 2045-2050, and to reach 2.1 children per woman by 2090-2095.
In 2008, the majority of people in the developing world live in the 74 countries with total fertility
ranging from 2.1 to 4 children per woman, which account for 43.7 per cent of the world population. Most
of those countries are projected to have a total fertility below replacement level by 2040-2045 or even
earlier, according to the medium variant. Overall, 139 countries or areas are projected to have belowreplacement fertility in 2045-2050, with 88 having a total fertility lower than 1.85 children per woman.
As a result, according to the medium variant, 75.2 per cent of the world population is expected to live in
countries with below-replacement fertility in 2045-2050. This percentage is expected to increase up to 81
per cent by the end of the century, but by then 98 countries are assumed to have reached a subreplacement fertility level between 1.85 and 2.1 children per woman on average.
Fertility levels in developed countries, many of which experienced a “baby-boom” during the 1950s
and 1960s, have generally declined since the early 1970s to below-replacement level. In fact, in 19751980, more than half of the 45 developed countries in the world already had below-replacement fertility.
By 2005-2010, almost all developed countries had reached fertility levels below 2.1 children per woman
(only Iceland and New Zealand have fertility levels equal or just above 2.1). Among them, 12 had reached
historically unprecedented low fertility levels (below 1.4 children per woman), with Austria, Bosnia and
Herzegovina, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Malta, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine
exhibiting the lowest levels in the developed world. But the top five countries or areas experiencing in
2005-2010 the lowest fertility levels (below 1.3 children per woman) were Macao and Hong Kong (SARs
of China), Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Republic of Korea and Singapore (table S.10).
At the world level, the medium variant projects total fertility to be 2.24 children per woman in 20452050 (table II.1), with a convergence between countries which leads to 1.85 children per woman in the
more developed regions and 2.29 children per woman in the less developed regions. That is, although the
difference in total fertility between the more and the less developed regions narrows considerably by midcentury, the less developed regions are still expected to have a higher total fertility than the more
developed regions, and some regions like Africa to have on average a fertility more than one child higher
than in Asia or Latin America. That difference persists in all projection variants. Total fertility in the low
variant is expected to be 1.36 children per woman in the more developed regions and 1.83 children per
woman in the less developed regions. In the high variant, total fertility is projected to be 2.35 children per
woman in the more developed regions and 2.76 children per woman in the less developed regions.
14
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
III. MORTALITY
A. TRENDS AND PROSPECTS IN WORLD MORTALITY
The twentieth century witnessed the most rapid decline in mortality in human history. In 1950-1955,
life expectancy at the world level was 47 years and it had reached 69 years by 2005-2010. Over the next
40 years, life expectancy at birth at the global level is expected to reach 76 years in 2045-2050 and 82
years in 2095-2100 (table III.1 and figure III.1). The more developed regions already had a high
expectation of life in 1950-1955 (64.7 years) and have since experienced further gains in longevity. By
2005-2010 their life expectancy stood at 76.9 years, 10 years higher than in the less developed regions
where the expectation of life at birth was 67.0 years. Although the gap between the two groups is
expected to narrow between 2005 and mid-century, in 2045-2050 the more developed regions are still
expected to have considerably higher life expectancy at birth than the less developed regions (82.8 years
versus 74.8 years). Throughout 2010-2100, systematic progress against mortality is further expected to
increase life expectancy at birth up to 88.9 years in the more developed regions and 80.8 years in the less
developed regions thereby further reducing the gap in mortality between the two groups.
TABLE III.1. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH FOR THE WORLD, DEVELOPMENT GROUPS AND MAJOR AREAS,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
Major area
2005-2010
2045-2050
2095-2100
World..............................................................................
More developed regions..................................................
Less developed regions...................................................
Least developed countries ...........................................
68.7
76.9
67.0
58.4
75.9
82.8
74.8
70.4
81.8
88.9
80.8
77.6
Other less developed countries ....................................
68.8
76.0
82.2
Africa..............................................................................
Asia.................................................................................
Europe ............................................................................
Latin America and the Caribbean ...................................
Northern America ...........................................................
Oceania ...........................................................................
55.6
70.3
75.3
73.4
78.4
76.8
68.9
76.9
81.3
81.8
83.7
81.7
77.1
83.0
87.9
87.9
89.0
86.6
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations
Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
The 49 least developed countries, which include 20 of the countries that are highly affected by
HIV/AIDS, have been experiencing higher mortality than other development groups. Their life
expectancy at birth was 58.4 years in 2005-2010 and is expected to remain relatively low, reaching 70.4
years in 2045-2050. During 2050-2100, provided a continued decline in mortality rates from HIV/AIDS
as well as from other major causes of death, it is conceivable that life expectancy at birth will further
climb to reach 77.6 years in 2095-2100. This gain is the most important factor in reducing gap in life
expectancy between the more developed and the less developed groups of countries.
The general upward trend in life expectancy for the more developed and the less developed regions
conceals different trends among the world’s major areas (table III.1 and figure III.2). In Asia, Latin
America and the Caribbean, Northern America and Oceania, life expectancy has been increasing at a
steady pace. In contrast, Europe as a whole experienced a slowdown in the increase of life expectancy
starting in the late 1960s and stagnating levels since the late 1980s. This trend is the result of severe
reductions in life expectancy in countries of Eastern Europe, particularly in the Russian Federation and
the Ukraine. The remaining regions of Europe have had increasing life expectancies which are currently
equal to or higher than that of Northern America.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
15
Figure III.1. Life expectancy at birth for the world and development groups, 1950-2100
100
Life expectancy at birth (years)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Period
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
.
Figure III.2. Life expectancy at birth for the world and major areas, 1950-2100
100
Life expectancy at birth (years)
90
80
70
60
50
`
40
30
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Period
World
Asia
Latin Am erica and the Caribbean
Oceania
Africa
Europe
Northern Am erica
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World
Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
16
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Africa has the lowest life expectancy levels of any major area. Furthermore, life expectancy in Africa
has virtually stagnated since the late 1980s. While this trend is due in large part to the HIV/AIDS
epidemic, other factors have also played a role, including armed conflict, economic stagnation, and
resurgent infectious diseases such as tuberculosis and malaria. The recent negative developments in many
countries of Africa represent major set backs in reducing mortality. Only in 2005-2010 is life expectancy
expected to begin rising again and, provided efforts to reduce the expansion of the HIV/AIDS epidemic
and to treat those affected by it succeed, it is expected to continue rising to reach 68.9 years in 2045-2050
and 77.1 in 2095-2100.
However, even if these gains materialize, by mid-century the population of Africa is still expected to
be subject to the highest mortality levels in the world, with its overall life expectancy being 6 years lower
than the next lowest one, that of Asia.
In nearly all countries of the world, female life expectancy at birth is higher than that of males. At the
world level, females have a life expectancy of 71.0 years in 2005-2010, compared to 66.5 years for males
(table III.2). The female advantage is considerably larger in the more developed regions (7 years) than in
the less developed regions (3.6 years). The gap between male and female life expectancy is particularly
narrow in the least developed countries (2.2 years). At the world level, a difference of 4.5 years between
female and male life expectancy is expected to persist until 2045-2050, but whereas the female to male
gap is life expectancy is expected to narrow in the more developed regions, it is expected to widen in the
less developed regions. By 2095-2100, the gap between male and female life expectancy is expected to
narrow on the world level and in all regions expect the least developed countries where it is expected to
stabilize since 2045-2050 at about 4 years.
TABLE III.2. LIFE EXPECTANCY BY SEX FOR THE WORLD AND DEVELOPMENT GROUPS,
2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
Life expectancy at birth (years)
2005-2010
2045-2050
Fema
Male
le
2095-2100
Major area
Male
Female
Male
Female
World ...................................................
66.5
71.0
73.7
78.2
79.9
83.7
More developed regions ........................
Less developed regions .........................
Least developed countries ....................
73.4
65.2
57.3
80.4
68.8
59.5
79.9
72.7
68.5
85.7
76.8
72.3
86.5
79.1
75.6
91.4
82.7
79.7
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
Under-five mortality, expressed as the probability of dying between birth and the exact age of five, is
an important indicator of development and the well-being of children. In 1950-1955, 21 per cent (215
deaths per 1,000 births) of all children born worldwide did not reach their fifth birthday (figure III.3). By
2005-2010, this rate had fallen to 59 deaths per 1,000 births. It is expected to continue declining to 26
deaths per 1,000 births by the middle of the century and 11 deaths per 1,000 births by the end of the
century. In more developed countries, children mortality rate dropped from 78 deaths per 1,000 births in
1950-55 to 8 deaths per 1,000 births in 2005-2010. It is expected to reach to 4 deaths per 1,000 births in
2045-2050 and 2 deaths per 1,000 by 2095-2010. However, this rate in least developed regions still
remains at a relatively high level today, around 112 deaths per 1,000 births in 2005-2010, falling from
318 deaths per 1,000 births in 1950-55; it is expect to decrease to 45 deaths per 1,000 births in 2045-2050
and to 19 deaths per 1,000 births in 2095-2100. Children mortality rate in less developed regions as a
whole were more or less close to that of the world: 247 deaths per 1,000 births in 1950-1955, 65 deaths
per 1,000 births in 2005-2010, 35 deaths per 1,000 births in 2045-2050 and 12 deaths per 1,000 births in
2095-2100.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
17
Figure III.3. Under-five mortality for the world and development groups, 1950-2100
Deaths under age five per 1,000 live births
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Period
World
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Least developed countries
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
B. THE DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF HIV/AIDS
More than thirty years into the HIV/AIDS epidemic, its effects on the populations of the highlyaffected countries is still evident. In the 2012 Revision, the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS is
explicitly modelled or estimated in 39 countries, down from 48 in the 2010 Revision. In most of these
countries, HIV prevalence reached 2 per cent or higher in the period from 1980 to 2011 among the
population aged 15-49 years. Among the 39 highly affected countries, 32 are in Africa, one in Asia, and
six in Latin America and the Caribbean.
In the 2012 Revision, the estimated and projected long-term impact of HIV/AIDS is similar in most
countries to that projected in the 2010 Revision. In other words, we still assume that antiretroviral therapy
will reach an ever increasing proportion of the persons who need it; and as a result, those persons will not
only survive longer but will be less infectious. However, realization of these projections is contingent on
sustained commitment by Governments to assure treatment for those infected and to promote preventive
measures and behavioural changes among the uninfected.
The 2012 Revision confirms yet again the devastating toll AIDS has in terms of increased morbidity,
mortality and population loss. Life expectancy in the most affected countries already shows dramatic
declines. In Botswana, where HIV prevalence is estimated at 23.4 per cent in 2011 among the population
aged 15-49 years, life expectancy has fallen from 64 years in 1985-1990 to 47 years in 2005-2010. By
2015-2020, life expectancy is expected to increase again to 51 years as a result of declining HIV
prevalence and increased access to antiretroviral therapy. In Southern Africa as a whole, where most of
the worst affected countries are, life expectancy has fallen from 61 to 52 years over the last 20 years.
18
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
While the impact in Southern Africa is particularly stark, the majority of highly affected countries in
Africa have experienced declines in life expectancy in the past twenty years because of the epidemic.
The toll that HIV/AIDS is taking is already retarding progress in reducing child mortality. The impact
of HIV on child mortality is particularly dramatic in countries that had achieved relatively low levels of
child mortality before the epidemic began. In Zimbabwe, for instance, where under-five mortality was
one of the lowest in sub-Saharan Africa, it has risen from 87 child deaths per 1,000 births in 1985-1990 to
99 per 1,000 in 2000-2005 and is projected to decline to 53 per 1,000 in 2010-2015. In Swaziland, underfive mortality has risen from 108 to 127 deaths per 1,000 births between 1985-1990 and 2000-2005, and
is expected to decline to 92 deaths per 1,000 in 2010-2015. The impact of HIV/AIDS on child mortality is
projected to decrease in the future with improved prevention of mother-to-child transmission and
expanding coverage for HIV/AIDS treatment.
Despite the effect of the epidemic on reducing population growth rates, the populations of affected
countries are generally expected to be larger by mid-century than today, mainly because most of them
maintain high to moderate fertility levels. In fact, owing to the downward revision of the prevalence of
HIV/AIDS combined with the expected expansion of access to antiretroviral therapy and efforts to control
the further spread of HIV, all the countries with the highest prevalence in 2011 are expected to experience
positive population growth rates between 2005 and 2050.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
19
IV. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
International migration is the component of population change most difficult to measure and estimate
reliably. Thus, the quality and quantity of the data used in the estimation and projection of net migration
varies considerably by country. Furthermore, the movement of people across international boundaries,
which is very often a response to changing socio-economic, political and environmental forces, is subject
to a great deal of volatility. Refugee movements, for instance, may involve large numbers of people
moving across boundaries in a short time. For these reasons, projections of future international migration
levels are the least robust part of current population projections and reflect mainly a continuation of recent
levels and trends in net migration. For those reasons, it was decided to provide an overview of the
projections of migration until 2050.
Estimates of net migration between the development groups show that since 1960 the more developed
regions have been net gainers of emigrants from the less developed regions (table IV.1). Furthermore, net
migration to the more developed regions has been increasing steadily from 1960 to 2010. During 20002010, the level of net migration to the more developed regions as a whole reached a peak of 3.46 million
migrants annually. Within that period, Europe was the major area that had the highest level of net
migration (1.88 million annually). Over the projection period, net migration to the more developed
regions is projected to decline smoothly to about 2.3 million per year during 2040-2050, while the
number of net migrants in Northern America is projected to remain almost constant at 1.2 million. With
respect to the other major areas, Asia was by far the major source of migrants during 2000-2010 (1.78
million annually), followed by Latin America and the Caribbean (1.16 million annually) and then Africa
(0.39 million annually). Over the projection period, Asia alone accounts for over half of all the net
number of emigrants from the less developed regions to the more developed regions.
At the country level, during 2000-2010, 32 of the 45 developed countries have been net receivers of
international migrants. This group includes traditional countries of immigration such as Australia,
Canada, New Zealand and the United States, most of the populous countries in Northern, Southern and
Western Europe as well as the Russian Federation and Japan. The movement of people from less
developed regions to more developed regions has dominated the world migration patterns for almost half
a century, but flows among developing countries have also been important. Several developing countries
or areas have been attracting migrants in large numbers, including, Israel, Kuwait, Malaysia, Qatar, Saudi
Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates. Jordan and the Syrian Arab
Republic have been the primary receivers of refugees from Iraq. Many African countries have been the
destination of refugee flows from neighbouring countries. During 2000-2010, the countries having the
highest levels of net emigration included Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico and the
Philippines. Pakistan also registered high levels of net emigration, partly as a result of the repatriation of
Afghani refugees.
Though the results are not portrayed in table IV.1, the assumption for international migration
after 2050 is that net migration will gradually decline and reach zero by 2100 in each country. We realize
that this assumption is very unlikely to be realized but it is quite impossible to predict the levels of
immigration or emigration within each country of the world for such a far horizon. Sending countries of
today may become receiving countries and vice versa.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
21
22
TABLE IV.1. AVERAGE ANNUAL NET NUMBER OF MIGRANTS PER DECADE BY DEVELOPMENT GROUP AND MAJOR AREA, 1950-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Net number of migrants (thousands)
19801990200020101990
2000
2010
2020
19501960
19601970
19701980
More developed regions.....................
Less developed regions .....................
Least developed countries ...............
Other less developed countries .......
29
- 29
- 105
76
601
- 601
- 169
- 433
1 307
- 1 307
- 917
- 390
1 475
- 1 475
- 1 038
- 437
2 548
- 2 548
- 73
- 2 475
3 455
- 3 455
- 1 210
- 2 246
Africa ................................................
Asia ...................................................
Europe ...............................................
Latin America and the Caribbean .....
Northern America .............................
Oceania .............................................
- 101
116
- 427
- 80
403
89
- 185
12
41
- 318
324
126
- 487
- 319
414
- 439
792
39
- 501
- 294
525
- 708
880
98
- 443
- 1 334
960
- 707
1 438
87
- 388
- 1 780
1 866
- 1 155
1 282
175
Major area
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
20202030
20302040
20402050
2 564
- 2 564
- 919
- 1 645
2 349
- 2 349
- 802
- 1 547
2 331
- 2 331
- 799
- 1 532
2 320
- 2 320
- 794
- 1 526
- 484
- 1 397
1 119
- 609
1 220
151
- 497
- 1 256
935
- 533
1 200
152
- 499
- 1 245
916
- 525
1 200
153
- 498
- 1 233
905
- 526
1 200
153
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The
2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
V. ASSUMPTIONS UNDERLYING THE 2012 REVISION
The preparation of each new revision of the official population estimates and projections of the
United Nations involves two distinct processes: (a) the incorporation of all new and relevant information
regarding the past demographic dynamics of the population of each country or area of the world; and (b)
the formulation of detailed assumptions about the future paths of fertility, mortality and international
migration. The data sources used and the methods applied in revising past estimates of demographic
27
indicators (i.e., those referring to 1950-2010) are presented online
and in an Excel file
(WPP2012_F02_METAINFO.XLS).
The future population of each country is projected starting with an estimated population for 1 July
2010. Because population data are not necessarily available for that date, the 2010 estimate is derived
from the most recent population data available for each country, obtained usually from a population
census or a population register, projected to 2010 using all available data on fertility, mortality and
international migration trends between the reference date of the population data available and 1 July 2010.
In cases where data on the components of population change relative to the past 5 or 10 years are not
available, estimated demographic trends are projections based on the most recent available data.
Population data from all sources are evaluated for completeness, accuracy and consistency, and adjusted
as necessary.
To project the population until 2100, the United Nations Population Division uses assumptions
regarding future trends in fertility, mortality and international migration. Because future trends cannot be
known with certainty, a number of projection variants are produced. The following paragraphs summarize
the main assumptions underlying the derivation of demographic indicators for the period starting in 2010
and ending in 2100.
A. FERTILITY ASSUMPTIONS: CONVERGENCE TOWARD LOW FERTILITY
The fertility assumptions are described in terms of the following groups of countries:
 High-fertility countries: Countries that until 2010 had no fertility reduction or only an incipient
decline;
 Medium-fertility countries: Countries where fertility has been declining but whose estimated
level is above the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman in 2005-2010;
 Low-fertility countries: Countries with total fertility at or below the replacement level of 2.1
children per woman in 2005-2010.
1. Medium-fertility assumption
The 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects uses the same probabilistic method for
projecting total fertility as the 2010 Revision with two notable enhancements. First, the new revision
incorporates the latest information from the 2010 round of censuses as well as newly-available surveys.
Second, once countries reach below-replacement fertility the long-term fertility assumption is more datadriven and country-specific compared to previous assumptions. The method for long-term fertility
projections was developed in collaboration with the Probabilistic Projections Group of the Center for
Statistics and the Social Sciences (CSSS) of the University of Washington, and the Department of
Statistics and Applied Probability and Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health of the National University
27
Data sources and related meta-information for the 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects are available for each country from the
following web page: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Documentation/data-sources.htm.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
23
28
of Singapore. The method is based on empirical fertility trends estimated for the 2012 Revision for all
29
countries of the world for the period 1950 to 2010 (or up to 2010-2015 for 37 countries with empirical
data up to 2011 or 2012).
There has been a general consensus that the evolution of fertility includes three broad phases (see
figure V.1): (i) a high-fertility pre-transition phase, (ii) the fertility transition itself and (iii) a low-fertility
post-transition phase during which fertility will probably fluctuate around or below 2.1 children per
woman. These historic trends of fertility decline are re-estimated every second year by the United Nations
Population Division, using the most recent empirical evidence from censuses, surveys, registers and other
sources and after extensive re-evaluation of past historical trends in the light of all the information
available and internal consistency checks with intercensal cohorts.
In past revisions of the World Population Prospects it was assumed that countries in the transition
from high to low fertility will ultimately approach a fertility floor of 1.85 children per woman, regardless
of their current position in the fertility transition. The transition from the current level of fertility to the
fertility floor was expressed by three models of fertility change over time. These fertility projection
models have been formalized since the 2004 Revision using a double-logistic function, defined by six
30
deterministic parameters. For countries that were below replacement level, a much simpler model of
fertility change was used. In general, it was assumed that fertility would recover from very low levels of
fertility, following a uniform pace that would also converge to the fertility floor of 1.85 children per
woman, just as in the high and medium fertility countries.
The new probabilistic method used in the 2010 and 2012 Revisions for projecting total fertility
consists of two separate processes:
The first process models the sequence of change from high to low fertility (phase II of the fertility
transition). For countries that are going through this fertility transition, the pace of the fertility decline is
decomposed into a systematic decline and random distortion terms. The pace of the systematic decline in
total fertility is modelled as a function of its level, based on the current UN methodology using a doublelogistic decline function. The parameters of the double-logistic function are estimated using a Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM), which results in country-specific distributions for the parameters of the
decline. These distributions are informed by historical trends within the country, as well as the variability
in historical fertility trends of all countries that have already experienced a fertility decline. This approach
not only allows one to take better into account the historical experience of each country, but also to reflect
the uncertainty about future fertility decline based upon the past experience of all other countries at
similar levels of fertility. Under these conditions, the pace of decline and the limit to which fertility will
decline vary for each projected trajectory. The model is hierarchical because in addition to the
information available at the country level, a second-level (namely, the world's experience through the
information of all countries) is also used to inform the statistical distributions of the parameters of the
double-logistic. This is particularly important for countries at the beginning of their fertility transition
because limited information exists as to their speed of decline and future trajectories, so the future
potential trajectories (and speed of decline) are mostly informed by the world's experience and the
variability in trends experienced in other countries at similar fertility levels in the past. The Bayesian
statistical approach itself is particularly adapted to estimate the parameters of the double-logistic model
28
Alkema L., A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S.J. Clark, F. Pelletier, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig (2011). Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility
Rate for All Countries. Demography, vol. 48, number 3, pp. 815-839, doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5 and Working Paper of the Center for
Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, 2010, vol. 97. URL http://www.csss.washington.edu/Papers/wp97.pdf; Raftery,
A.E., L. Alkema, and P. Gerland (2013). Bayesian Population Projections for the United Nations. Statistical Science. In press.
http://www.imstat.org/sts/future_papers.html.
29
Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
30
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2010). World Population Prospects. The 2006 Revision,
Vol. III, ST/ESA/SER.A/263. Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections, pp. 121-159.
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/WPP2006RevVol_III/WPP2006RevVol_III_final.pdf.
24
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
even when the number of empirical observations for each country is very limited (i.e., about 100 countries
that started their fertility transition since the 1960s have nine or fewer observations).
The second component of the projection model deals with countries once they have completed the
demographic transition, and have reached Phase III of low fertility. For these countries, a time series
model is used to project fertility which assumes that in the long run fertility will approach and fluctuate
31
around country-specific ultimate fertility levels based on a Bayesian hierarchical model. The time series
model uses the empirical evidence from low-fertility countries that have experienced fertility increases
from a sub-replacement level after a completed fertility transition. Future long-term fertility levels in the
2012 Revision are now country-specific and informed by statistical distributions that incorporate the
empirical experience of all low-fertility countries having already experienced a recovery, instead of the
more normative assumption used in the 2010 Revision that was assuming a global long-term replacementlevel of 2.1 children per woman. This new approach not only enables better accounting of the historical
experience of each country, but also reflects the variability in historical fertility trends of all low-fertility
countries, as well as the uncertainty about the pace of any potential fertility recovery and long-term
fertility levels. The world mean parameter for the country-specific asymptotes is restricted to be no
greater than the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman (with no lower limit, except to be greater
32
than zero ).
While the long-term assumption of a fertility increase is supported by the experience of many low33
fertility countries in Europe and East Asia, the new approach additionally draws upon the countryspecific experiences. In this approach, the projections for countries that have experienced extended
periods of low fertility with no empirical evidence of an increase in fertility, can result in continuing low
fertility levels with no fertility increase in the near future, as the research on “low fertility trap
34
hypothesis” has argued for some low-fertility countries in Europe and East Asia.35
The two processes are schematically explained in figure V.1. During the observation period, the start
of Phase II is determined by examining the maximum total fertility (or more precisely, the most recent
local maximum within half a child of the global maximum to exclude random fluctuations in Phase I): the
start of Phase II is deemed to be before 1950 for countries where this maximum is less than 5.5, and at the
period of the local maximum for all other countries. The end of Phase II during the observation period is
defined as the midpoint of the first two increases below 2 (if observed, else a country is still in Phase II).
31
Raftery, A.E., L. Alkema, and P. Gerland (2013). Bayesian Population Projections for the United Nations. Statistical Science. In press.
http://www.imstat.org/sts/future_papers.html.
32
While the asymptote does not have an explicit lower bound, it does implicitly because any given total fertility trajectory is restricted not be
smaller than 0.5 child.
33
Goldstein, J.R., T. Sobotka, and A. Jasilioniene (2009). The End of "Lowest-Low" Fertility? Population and Development Review, vol. 35,
number 4, pp. 663-699. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00304.x; Caltabiano, M., M. Castiglioni, and A. Rossina (2009). Lowest-low fertility:
Signs of a recovery in Italy? Demographic Research, vol. 21, pp. 681–718. doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.23; Myrskyla, M., H.- P. Kohler, and
F. C. Billari (2009). Advances in development reverse fertility declines. Nature, vol. 460, pp. 741–743. doi: 10.1038/nature08230; Sobotka, T.
(2011). Fertility in Central and Eastern Europe after 1989: Collapse and Gradual Recovery. Historical Social Research-Historische
Sozialforschung, vol. 36, number 2, pp. 246-296; Bongaarts, J.and T. Sobotka (2012). A Demographic Explanation for the Recent Rise in
European Fertility. Population and Development Review 38(1):83-120. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2012.00473.x; Myrskylä, M., J.R. Goldstein,
and Y.-h.A. Cheng (2013). New Cohort Fertility Forecasts for the Developed World: Rises, Falls, and Reversals. Population and Development
Review 39(1):31-56. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00572.x.
34
Wolfgang Lutz, V. Skirbekk, and M.R. Testa (2006). The Low Fertility Trap Hypothesis: Forces that May Lead to Further Postponement and
Fewer Births in Europe. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Volume 4 (Postponement of Childbearing in Europe):167-192; Lutz, W.
(2007). "The Future of Human Reproduction: Will Birth Rates Recover or Continue to Fall?" Ageing Horizons (7):15–21.
35
Jones, G.W., P.T. Straughan, and A.W.M. Chan (2009). Ultra-low fertility in Pacific Asia: trends, causes and policy issues. London; New
York: Routledge; Frejka, T., G.W. Jones, and J.-P. Sardon (2010). East Asian Childbearing Patterns and Policy Developments. Population and
Development Review 36(3):579-606. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00347.x; Basten, S. (2013). Re-Examining the Fertility Assumptions for
Pacific Asia in the UN's 2010 World Population Prospects. University of Oxford Department of Social Policy and Intervention, Barnett Papers
in Social Research: 2013/1. Available at SSRN: http://www.spi.ox.ac.uk/fileadmin/documents/pdf/Barnett_Paper_13-01.pdf.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
25
Figure V.1. Schematic phases of the fertility transition
9
Phase I: High-fertility pretransition phase. Not modelled.
8
7
Phase II. Fertility transition phase,
modelled by double-logistic
function using a Bayesian
Hierarchical Model (BHM).
Total Fertility
6
5
4
Phase III. Low-fertility posttransition phase, modelled with a
first order auto-regressive time
series model (AR(1)) in Bayesian
Hierarchical framework.
3
2
1
0
Start Phase II
Phase I
Time
Phase II
Start Phase III
Phase III
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
.
To construct projections for all countries still in Phase II, the BHM model is used to generate
36
600,000 double-logistic curves for all countries that have experienced a fertility decline (see example in
figure V.2), representing the uncertainty in the double-logistic decline function of those countries (graphs
37
of this double-logistic curve are available online ). The sample of double-logistic curves is then used to
calculate 60,000 total fertility projections for all countries which have not reached Phase III by 20052010. For each trajectory, at any given time, the double-logistic function gives the expected decrement in
total fertility based on its current level. A distortion term is added to the expected decrement to calculate
the projected change in total fertility. (This distortion term represents the deviations of fertility
decrements from the double-logistic curve, as observed in past declines).
Once a trajectory has decreased to a level that is around or below replacement-level fertility, and after
the pace of the fertility decline has decreased to zero, future changes of fertility are calculated using a
time series model of fertility recovery that is informed by the countries that have experienced fertility
increases.
An additional innovation starting in the 2010 Revision of the World Population Prospects was the
removal of the 1.85 floor which was used in previous revisions as the stabilization level after the fertility
transition; the total fertility is now allowed to decrease below replacement level in the projections because
of the uncertainty up to which level fertility will decline (end of Phase II) before it starts to recover
toward the replacement level (start of Phase III). The pace of the fertility change, the level and timing
when Phase II stops and Phase III starts varies for each of the 600,000 projected trajectories of change in
fertility for a country that has not reached Phase III by 2005-2010. Future trajectories are a combination
of total fertility in Phases II and III until all trajectories are in Phase III. For countries that are already in
Phase III, the time series model for that phase is used directly.
36
Actually ten simulations are run in parallel with 62,000 iterations performed for each simulation, and the first 2,000 are discarded.
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of total fertility decline curves (based on Double-Logistic function) from the Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM):
median, 80% and 95% projection intervals: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactive-figures_DL-functions.htm.
37
26
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure V.2. Total fertility decrements and projection intervals of double-logistic
curves for Bangladesh (systematic decline part)
NOTE: The observed five-year decrements by level of total fertility are shown by black dots. For clarity, only 60
trajectories from 600,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals
are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.
For each country, the end result is 60,000 projected trajectories of total fertility (based on a systematic
sampling of 1/10 of the 600,000 simulated trajectories of change in fertility). The median of these 60,000
trajectories is used as the medium fertility variant projection in the World Population Prospects. To
evaluate future trends in fertility, 80% and 95% projection intervals are also calculated (see figure V.3 for
38
39
Bangladesh, additional tables and graphs are available online for all countries). For countries which
have not reached Phase III by 2005-2010, the projected median trajectory reflects the uncertainty as to
when the fertility transition will end and at which level.
a. Caveat about medium-high fertility countries experiencing slower declines
than expected or even stalling
The 2012 Revision draws on new empirical evidence on fertility levels and trends that became
available since the 2010 Revision. The empirical evidence from available surveys and the 2010 round of
censuses provides a basis for a reassessment of recent fertility levels and trends experienced within the
last decade, including slower declines than expected or even stalling and, in a few instances, increases in
fertility in a substantial number of countries in sub-Saharan Africa. This upward revision of recent
fertility trends led to the decision not to apply the additional adjustment, which was used in the 2010
Revision, for a small set of countries at the very early stage of their fertility transition (e.g., Mali, Niger,
Nigeria, Somalia) or experiencing recent fertility stalling (e.g., Congo, Gabon, Kenya, Malawi,
Mozambique, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, United Republic of Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe). For
these countries, the recent fertility decline has been much slower than typically experienced in the past
38
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online tables of stochastic projections of total fertility: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/data/WPP2012_FERT_PPP_Total_Fertility.xls.
39
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of projections of total fertility: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals, high and low WPP fertility variants:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactive-figures_TF-trajectories.htm.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
27
Figure V.3. Probabilistic trajectories of projected total fertility (2010-2100) for Bangladesh
NOTE: For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 60,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red
line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. The
high-low fertility variants in the 2012 Revision correspond to +/- 0.5 child around the median trajectory displayed
as blue dashed lines. The replacement-level of 2.1 children per woman is plotted as green horizontal dashed line
only for reference.
decades by other countries at similar levels of fertility, and the additional adjustment would delay any
potential future decline, implying even further population growth than already anticipated with the
standard assumption of a generalized fertility decline.
The fertility projections for sub-Saharan Africa follow the general path from high to low fertility
experienced in other regions and are informed by fertility changes observed since 1950 in the countries of
Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean and in the countries of Africa that are more advanced in their
40
fertility transition. This assumption is rather optimistic in the face of the recent empirical evidence and
assumes in the long term that all sub-Saharan African countries will follow the general path from high to
low fertility experienced in other regions, albeit at a slower pace and through a different combination of
factors (in terms of different patterns of female education, union formation, length of birth intervals, ideal
number of children, adoption of modern contraceptive methods and so on).
In Nigeria, empirical evidence shows that fertility decline has been stalling at 6 children per woman
for the past decade: the decline between 2000-2005 and 2010-2015 was estimated to be much smaller
than in previous periods (≤ 0.05 child per woman by 5-year period) (figure V.4), especially compared to
other countries at a similar level of fertility in the past. The fertility projections reflect the long-term trend
informed both by the past changes in the particular country, as well as the experience of other countries
under similar conditions (figure V.5). Furthermore, the uncertainties around the true fertility levels and
trends are large, as seen in differences between the empirical evidence on fertility from various sources
and methodology used for estimating total fertility (see figure V.6 for Nigeria).
40
Bongaarts, J. and J. Casterline (2013). Fertility Transition: Is sub-Saharan Africa Different? Population and Development Review 38:153-168.
doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00557.x.
28
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure V.4. Total fertility decrements and projection
intervals of double-logistic curves for Nigeria
Figure V.5. Probabilistic trajectories of projected total
fertility (2015-2100) for Nigeria
NOTE: The black dots represent the observed decrements, which are
much smaller than the double-logistic-decrements in the last two
observation periods (2005-2015) because of a stall in the fertility
decline. For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 60,000 are displayed
NOTE: For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 60,000 are displayed.
The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the 80% and 95%
projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines
respectively. The high-low fertility variants in the 2012 Revision
correspond to +/- 0.5 child around the median trajectory displayed as
blue dashed lines. The replacement-level of 2.1 children per woman is
plotted as green horizontal dashed line only for reference.
In figure V.6, all empirical evidence used to derive total fertility estimates for the period 1970 to 2010
in Nigeria are shown in blue for the 2010 Revision. Multiple data sources were considered, and one or
multiple estimation methods were used for some of them: (a) direct estimates based on maternity-history
data adjusted for underreporting from the 1981-1982 Nigeria World Fertility Survey (WFS), 1990, 1999,
2003 and 2008 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), (b) recent births in the preceding 12 months (or
36 months) by age of mother, from these surveys and from the 1971-1973 National Fertility, Family
Planning and Knowledge, Attitudes and Practices survey, 1991 census, 2000 Nigeria Sentinel Survey,
41
2007 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS 3); (c) adjusted fertility using Brass P/F ratio and data
42
on children ever born from these sources; (d) cohort-completed fertility from these surveys and
censuses, and the 1995 MICS and 1999 MICS2 surveys.
41
United Nations, DIESA, Population Division and U.S. National Research Council, Committee on Population and Demography (1983).
Manual X: indirect techniques for demographic estimation. Population Studies no.81. New York: United Nations. Available online at:
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/Manual_X/Manual_X.htm.
42
Using Ryder’s (1964, 1983). Correspondence between period and cohort measures, the mean number of children ever born (CEB) to a cohort is
used to approximate the period total fertility rate at the time this cohort was at its mean age at childbearing. See Feeney (1995, 1996) for further
details about time translation of mean CEB for women age 40 and over.
Ryder, N. (1964). The Process of Demographic Translation, Demography 1(1):74-82. doi: 10.2307/2060032 and Ryder, N. (1983). Cohort and
period measures of changing fertility. In R. A. Bulatao, R. D. Lee and National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Population and
Demography. Panel on Fertility Determinants. (Eds.), Determinants of fertility in developing countries (pp. 737-756). New York: Academic
Press.
Feeney, G. (1995). "The Analysis of Children Ever Born Data for Post-Reproductive Age Women." Paper presented at the Notestein Seminar,
Office of Population Research, Princeton University, 14 November 1995. Available online at http://gfeeney.com/present/1995-ceb-forpraw/1995-ceb-for-praw.pdf and Feeney, G. (1996). A New Interpretation of Brass' P/F Ratio Method Applicable When Fertility is Declining.
[electronic resource]. Accessed 12 January 2004. Available online at http://gfeeney.com/notes/pfnote/pfnote.pdf.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
29
Figure V.6. Nigeria 1970-2015 total fertility rate estimates based on various data sources
and estimation methods, and WPP estimates for the 2010 and 2012 Revisions
8.0
1990 DHS (D)
2007 MICS3 (I)
7.5
2003 DHS (C)
1990 DHS (D-A)
7.0
2010 MIS (D)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
2010 MIS (C) 2011 MICS4 (C)
6.5
2010-2011 GHS (I)
1982 WFS (D)
1990 DHS (C)
2008 DHS (C)
6.0
1999 DHS (C)
1971-73 KAP (D)
2000 Sentinel survey (D-A)
1991 census (D-A)
1999 DHS (D-A)
5.5
1991 census (C)
2007 MICS3 (C)
1995 MICS (C)
5.0
2000 Sentinel survey (C)
2011 MICS4 (I)
2003 DHS (D-A)
1982 WFS (D-A)
2008 DHS (D-A)
2011 MICS4 (D)
2008 DHS (D) 2012 revision
2003 DHS (D)
2007 MICS3 (D-A)
2000 Sentinel survey (D)
2010 revision
1999 DHS (D)
4.5
4.0
2007 MICS3 (D)
1999 MICS2 (C)
2010 WPP revision
Maternity history (D)
Recent births (D)
3.5
Adjusted using P/F ratio (D‐A)
Cohort‐completed fertility (C)
3.0
1991 census (D)
2012 WPP revision
Maternity history (new)
2.5
Recent births (new)
Own‐children (new)
Cohort‐completed fertility (new)
2.0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
Since the 2010 Revision, results from several new surveys became available and were considered in
addition to those already used earlier. In particular the 2010 Malaria Indicator Survey (MIS) provided
maternity-history data covering the retrospective period 1990-2010, the 2011 Multiple Indicator Cluster
Survey (MICS4) provided fertility on the 12-months preceding the survey, and microdata available for
this survey as well as the previous 2007 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS3) and 2010-2011
General Household Survey (GHS) allowed to compute indirect fertility estimates using the own-children
method and the household composition at the time of the survey. These additional estimates are shown in
red in figure V.6 together with the 2012 WPP estimates revised upward to take into account this new set
of information indicating that fertility within the last decade has not been declining as much as suggested
by retrospective surveys available up to 2010.
Unlike in the 2010 Revision, for all countries like Nigeria no additional adjustment is made to
compensate for the difference between the observed and expected decrement in the most recent period. In
the 2012 Revision, the recent stagnation is treated as a temporary phenomenon rather than a long term
situation because of the uncertainty that prevails as to the true fertility levels and trends in these countries.
Moreover, recent global and country-specific investments to accelerate access to modern contraceptive
methods in 69 of the poorest countries in the world (41 of which are in sub-Saharan Africa and including
43
almost all countries at the early stage of their fertility transition or with recent fertility stalls) provide
further reason to consider a slowdown in the pace of fertility decline as transitory.
43
London Summit on Family Planning, Technical Note: Data sources and methodology for developing the 2012 baseline, 2020 objective, impacts
and costings. London: Family Planning Summit Metrics Group, 2012. http://www.londonfamilyplanningsummit.co.uk/
30
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
44
The fertility projections, as with a separate effort to estimate and project contraceptive prevalence,
one of the key determinants of fertility, are informed both by historical trends and the assumption that the
conditions facilitating fertility decline (or an increase in contraceptive prevalence) will persist. Should
massive efforts to scale up family planning information, supplies and services to reach 120 million new
modern contraceptive method users by 2020 be realized (see www.familyplanning2020.org), then the
fertility projections may be too high. However, should prevailing conditions underlying fertility decline
deteriorate (e.g., a slowdown in modern contraceptive method uptake or persistent levels of early
marriage and desires for large family sizes), then the fertility projections may be too low.
b. Long-term ultimate fertility level once countries reach low fertility
Based on the estimates of the 2012 Revision, there is empirical evidence that at least 25 countries or
areas with total fertility below the 2.1 replacement level, between 1950 and 2010, have experienced slight
increases in total fertility, after they had reached their lowest fertility level. Some of these countries have
experienced slight increases in fertility for several years. The revised hierarchical AR1 model used for
low fertility countries uses the information on the rates of change in total fertility from countries that have
experienced at least two consecutive data points of (slight) increase in total fertility. Table V.1 provides a
list of these countries, which includes the five-year interval when the lowest level of total fertility was
reported:
TABLE V.1. LOW FERTILITY COUNTRIES HAVING EXPERIENCED SOME INCREASE IN AT LEAST TWO CONSECUTIVE PERIODS
Country or area
Lowest level
of total
fertility
Lowest level
of total
fertility
Region
Country or area
Barbados
Belgium
Bulgaria
Canada
Channel Islands
China, Hong Kong SAR
Czech Republic
Denmark
1995-2000
2000-2005
2000-2005
2005-2010
1985-1990
2000-2005
2000-2005
1985-1990
Caribbean
Western Europe
Eastern Europe
Northern America
Northern Europe
Eastern Asia
Eastern Europe
Northern Europe
Italy
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Norway
Russian Federation
Singapore
2000-2005
2000-2005
2005-2010
1985-1990
1985-1990
1985-1990
2000-2005
1985-1990
Estonia
Finland
France
Germany
2000-2005
1975-1980
1995-2000
1995-2000
Northern Europe
Northern Europe
Western Europe
Western Europe
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
United States of
America
2000-2005
2000-2005
1980-1985
1980-1985
Ireland
1995-2000
Northern Europe
Region
Southern Europe
Northern Europe
Northern Europe
Western Europe
Western Europe
Northern Europe
Eastern Europe
South-Eastern
Asia
Southern Europe
Northern Europe
Northern Europe
Northern
America
Country-specific ultimate fertility levels under the new AR1 hierarchical model are now smaller,
though within 0.25 of a child of the 2010 Revision projections for most low fertility countries. For 23 out
of these 25 countries, the 2010 projections are within the 80% projection intervals (PIs), as constructed
based on the new AR1 hierarchical model (figure V.7). By 2095-2100, the average median total fertility
for these countries is projected to be 1.89 (80% projection interval 1.59-2.17) instead of 2.04 (80%
projection interval 1.76-2.32). The main exception is Singapore, where the projection under the
hierarchical model is much lower, with the median fertility level estimated to only reach 1.5 instead of 2.0
by 2095-2100.
44
Alkema, L., V. Kantorova, C. Menozzi and A. Biddlecom (2013). National, regional, and global rates and trends in contraceptive prevalence
and unmet need for family planning between 1990 and 2015: a systematic and comprehensive analysis. Lancet, 381:1642-1652.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62204-1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
31
Figure V.7. Comparison of total fertility projections for 2095-2100 with 80% projection intervals
between the 2010 and 2012 Revisions for 25 low fertility countries used to estimate
the AR1 Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM)
The effect of the new AR1 hierarchical model varies for each low fertility country depending on its
past experience as can be seen in figure V.8 for countries like the Russian Federation and Singapore.
Figure V.8. Projections of total fertility with 80% and 95% projection intervals for selected low fertility countries
Panel A. Russian Federation
Panel B. Singapore
The new AR1 hierarchical model also projects only small differences in total fertility by 2095-2100
between the 2010 and 2012 Revisions for the 50 other countries or areas experiencing low fertility in
2005-2010 (and no sign of increase in at least two consecutive periods). In all instances, the 2012
projections compared to the 2010 Revision are slightly lower (on average by about 0.1 child) as seen in
figure V.9 with an average median fertility level of 1.85 (80% projection interval 1.5-2.1).
32
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Figure V.9. Comparison of total fertility projections for 2095-2100 with 80% projection intervals
between the 2010 and 2012 Revisions for all low fertility countries in 2005-2010 not having
experienced any increase in at least two consecutive periods between 1950-2010
Panel A: European countries
Panel B: Countries or areas in other regions
Overall the majority of countries (including among those in 2005-2010 still experiencing mediumhigh fertility) are assumed to experience low fertility sometimes between 2010 and 2100 as seen in figure
V.10 (right-lower quadrant B).
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
33
Figure V.10. Timing when countries reach lowest median total fertility
2.3
D
Lowest median total fertility
2.2
A
2.1
2.0
1.9
1.8
1.7
C
1.6
B
1.5
1.4
1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100
Figure V.11 shows the relationship between the total fertility estimates for the 2005-2010 period and the
median projection for the 2095-2100 period:
A. There are only 15 countries with fertility above 2.1 in 2005-2010, which are projected to have
fertility levels still above 2.1 children per woman in 2095-2100 (right-upper quadrant A).
B. Most of the high and medium fertility countries in 2005-2010 are projected to have fertility levels
below 2.1 children per woman in 2095-2100 (right-lower quadrant B).
C. Almost all low fertility countries (below 2.1 children per woman) in 2005-2010 will still have a
fertility of below 2.1 children per woman in 2095-2100 (left-lower quadrant C)
D. There is not a single country with below-replacement fertility in 2005-2010, for which the
fertility level is projected to be above 2.1 children per woman in 2095-2100 (left-higher quadrant
D).
Figure V.11. Median projection of total fertility by 2095-2100 compared to
current level in 2005-2010
2.6
A
Total Fertility in 2095‐2100
2.5
2.4
D
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.0
C
1.9
B
1.8
1.7
1.6
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
Total Fertility in 2005‐2010
In summary the 2012 Revision does not impose any long term convergence toward a replacement
level of 2.1 children per woman for all countries. Future long-term fertility levels are country-specific,
and informed by statistical distributions that incorporate the empirical experience of all 25 low-fertility
countries having already experienced some increase in at least two consecutive periods.
34
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
The results of this new modelling approach are country-specific projections of total fertility that are
fully reproducible and take into account past empirical trends. Extensive documentation for all countries
45
and areas has been posted online , and further details about the methodology are available from Alkema
46
47
et al. and Raftery et al. . In addition, an open-source and portable software implementation of the new
48
UN approach to project total fertility, based on the R statistical language, developed by Sevcikova et al.
49
is available as a fully documented R package (bayesTFR ) through the public R CRAN archive together
50
with a user-friendly Graphical User Interface (bayesDem ), and the full dataset used for the 2012
51
Revision . Version 3.0-9 of the bayesTFR package was used to compute the final set of projections used
52
for the 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects .
2. High-fertility assumption
Under the high variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children above the fertility in the medium
variant over most of the projection period. By 2020-2025, fertility in the high variant is therefore half a
child higher than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 2.1 children per
woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 2.6 children per woman in the high variant.
3. Low-fertility assumption
Under the low variant, fertility is projected to remain 0.5 children below the fertility in the medium
variant over most of the projection period. By 2020-2025, fertility in the low variant is therefore half a
child lower than that of the medium variant. That is, countries reaching a total fertility of 2.1 children per
woman in the medium variant have a total fertility of 1.6 children per woman in the low variant.
4. Constant-fertility assumption
For each country, fertility remains constant at the level estimated for 2005-2010.
5. Instant-replacement assumption
For each country, fertility is set to the level necessary to ensure a net reproduction rate of 1
starting in 2010-2015. Fertility varies over the rest of the projection period in such a way that
the net reproduction rate always remains equal to unity thus ensuring, over the long-run, the
replacement of the population.
45
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of projections of total fertility: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals, high and low WPP fertility variants:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/fertility_figures/interactive-figures_TF-trajectories.htm.
46
Alkema L., A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S.J. Clark, F. Pelletier, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig (2011). Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility
Rate for All Countries. Demography, vol. 48, number 3, pp. 815-839, doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5 and Working Paper of the Center for
Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington, 2010, vol. 97. URL http://www.csss.washington.edu/Papers/wp97.pdf.
47
Raftery, A.E., L. Alkema, and P. Gerland (2013). "Bayesian Population Projections for the United Nations." Statistical Science. In press.
http://www.imstat.org/sts/future_papers.html.
48
Sevcikova H., L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery (2011). bayesTFR: An R Package for Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate. Journal of
Statistical Software, vol. 43, number 1, pp. 1-29. URL: http://www.jstatsoft.org/v43/i01/.
49
Sevcikova H., L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery (2013). bayesTFR: Bayesian Fertility Projection. R Package and documentation:
http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bayesTFR/
50
Sevcikova H. (2013). bayesDem: Graphical User Interface for bayesTFR and bayesLife. R Package and documentation: http://cran.rproject.org/web/packages/bayesDem/.
51
Sevcikova H. et al. (2013). wpp2012: World Population Prospects 2012. R Package and documentation: http://cran.rproject.org/web/packages/wpp2012/.
52
The estimates of the double logistic parameters are based on ten parallel chains of 62,000 iterations discarding the first 2,000 of each chain to
yield a total of 180,000 samples of all model parameters. For each country, 100,000 trajectories were projected, and used to derive the median
and other projection intervals. Total computation time was about 1 day on a 64-bit Windows 7 workstation with multicore processors. The seed of
the random number generator for the Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation used was: 20130523.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
35
B. MORTALITY ASSUMPTIONS: INCREASING LIFE EXPECTANCY FOR MOST COUNTRIES
1. Normal-mortality assumption
Assumptions are made in terms of life expectancy at birth by sex. As in previous Revisions, for
countries where mortality was assumed to follow a declining trend starting in 2010, life expectancy was
generally assumed to rise over the projection period for most countries. In contrast with the assumptions
made about future fertility trends, only one variant of future mortality trends (median path) was used for
each country for the standard projection variants (e.g., high, medium and low fertility variants).
The 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects uses new probabilistic methods for projecting
life expectancy at birth building on the same approach used in earlier revisions (i.e., modelling of the pace
of change of life expectancy at a given level of mortality), but incorporates recent methodological
developments done in collaboration with the Probabilistic Projections Group of the Center for Statistics
53
and the Social Sciences (CSSS) of the University of Washington . The standard mortality projection
assumption used for the 2012 Revision introduces two new innovations: (1) future values of female life
expectancy at birth are based on a new probabilistic projection model of life expectancy at birth (random
54
walk with drift model where the drift is determined by a Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM)) , and (2)
future male life expectancies at birth take into account the correlation between female and male life
expectancies and the fact that female life expectancy is typically higher than for males. In the 2012
Revision, the gap between female and male life expectancies is a function of female life expectancy and
modelled using a new autoregressive model with an error term that has a Student’s t-distribution rather
than a normal one, to account for outliers, often corresponding to periods of conflicts, disasters or
55
crises . The method is based on empirical mortality trends estimated for the 2012 Revision for all
56
countries of the world (excluding those having ever experienced 2% or more adult HIV prevalence) for
the period 1950 to 2010 (or up to 2010-2015 for Afghanistan and Syria).
a. General approach
The often dramatic decline of mortality was - and is - a driving force behind the profound changes to
population trends observed during the past two centuries. While first limited to a small number of
countries in the world, the decline of mortality and rise in life expectancy has now become a global
phenomenon.
In past revisions of the World Population Prospects, for countries where mortality was assumed to
follow a declining trend starting in 2010, the pace of improvement of life expectancy at birth was set
deterministically for each sex and country based on one of five models of gains in life expectancy
estimated from a broad empirical basis of increasing life expectancy during the period 1950 to 2005,
57
covering life expectancies between 50 and about 85 years . The models represented the average
experience of this historical period grouped according to the 90th percentile (very fast, modelled on
Japan), the 75th percentile (fast model) the arithmetic mean (medium model), the lowest 25th percentile
(slow model), and the lowest 10th percentile (the very slow model). These models produce smaller gains
53
Raftery, A.E., N. Li, H. Ševčíková, P. Gerland, and G.K. Heilig (2012). "Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries."
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (35):13915-13921. doi:10.1073/pnas.1211452109.
54
Raftery, A. E., J. E. Chunn, P. Gerland, and H. Ševčíková (2013). "Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries".
Demography, 50(3), 777-801. doi:10.1007/s13524-012-0193-x.
55
Raftery, A. E., N. Lalic, and P. Gerland (2012). "Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life Expectancy". Paper presented at the
Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, 3-5 May 2012, San Francisco, CA.
http://paa2012.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionId=120140.
56
Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
57
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2010). World Population Prospects. The 2006 Revision,
Vol. III, ST/ESA/SER.A/263. Chapter VI. Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections, pp. 121-159.
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/WPP2006RevVol_III/WPP2006RevVol_III_final.pdf.
36
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
the higher the life expectancy already reached. The selection of a model for each country was based on
recent trends in life expectancy by sex. For countries highly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, the
model incorporating a slow pace of mortality decline was generally used to project a certain slowdown in
the reduction of general mortality risks not related to HIV/AIDS.
The new probabilistic method used in the 2012 Revision for projecting life expectancy at birth is done
in two separate steps:
The first step focuses on progress made in female life expectancy at birth, and models the sequence of
58
change from high to low mortality . The transition from high to low mortality can be decomposed into
two processes, each of which can be approximated by a logistic function. The first process consists of
initial slow growth and diffusion of progress against mortality (e.g., small mortality improvements at low
levels of life expectancy associated with diffusion of hygiene and improved nutrition), followed by a
period of accelerated improvements, especially for infants and children (e.g., larger gains associated with
greater social and economic development, mass immunization, etc.). The second process kicks in once the
easiest gains have been achieved against infectious diseases, and produces continuing gains against noncommunicable diseases. These improvements occur at a slower pace because of ever-greater challenges in
preventing premature deaths at older ages resulting, among other things, from cardiovascular diseases and
59
neoplasm, and to the delay of the onset of aging .
For all countries undergoing mortality transition, the pace of improvement in life expectancy at birth
is decomposed into a systematic decline and random distortion terms. The pace of the systematic gains in
life expectancy at birth is modelled as a function of its level, based on the current UN methodology using
a double-logistic improvement function. The parameters of the double-logistic function are estimated
using a Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM), which results in country-specific distributions for the
parameters of the gains in life expectancy. These distributions are informed by historical trends within the
60
country (including pre-1950 data for 29 countries with good vital registration ), as well as the variability
in historical mortality trends of all countries. For the 2012 Revision, historical series have only been
included in this analysis since 1870 due to the lack of clear mortality decline in the ten countries with
earlier data. This approach not only allows to better take into account the historical experience of each
country (at least since the 1950s for all countries), but also to reflect the uncertainty about future gains in
life expectancy at birth based the past experience of all other countries at similar level of mortality. The
model is hierarchical because in addition to the information available at the country level, a second-level
(i.e., the world's experience through the information of all the countries) is used to inform the statistical
distributions of the parameters of the double-logistic.
Under these conditions, the pace of improvement and the asymptotic limit in future gains in female
life expectancy vary for each projected trajectory, but ultimately is informed and constrained by the
finding that the rate of increase of maximum female life expectancy over the past 150 years has been
58
Raftery, A. E., J. E. Chunn, P. Gerland, and H. Ševčíková (2013). "Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries".
Demography, 50(3), 777-801. doi:10.1007/s13524-012-0193-x.
59
Fogel, R.W. (2004). The escape from hunger and premature death, 1700–2100: Europe, America, and the Third World. Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press. Riley, J. C. (2001). Rising life expectancy: A global history. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
60
Consolidated historical dataset (e0F_supplemental.txt and e0M_supplemental.txt for female and male respectively) for 29 countries or areas
covering the period 1750-1950 (including 20 countries with data since at least 1900) as part of the R Package used for this analysis (bayesLife
and wpp2012), and based on a series for 5-year periods from the following sources: (1) University of California at Berkeley (USA), and Max
Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany). (2012). Human Mortality Database Available at www.mortality.org or
www.humanmortality.de. Data downloaded on 9 Jan. 2012; (2) University of California at Berkeley (USA), Max Planck Institute for
Demographic Research (Germany), and Institut National d’Etudes Demographiques (France). Human Life-Table Database (2011). Available at
www.lifetable.de. Data downloaded on 29 Dec. 2011; (3) Statistics Finland (2006). Statistical Yearbook of Finland 2006; (4) Hungarian Central
Statistical Office (2006). Hungary Demographic Yearbook 2005; (5) Japan Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication (2012). Historical
Statistics of Japan. Available at: www.stat.go.jp/english/data/chouki/; (6) Andreev E.M. et al. (1998). Demographic History of Russia 1927-1959.
Informatika, Moscow.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
37
highly linear61 (i.e., about 2.4 years per decade), albeit at slightly lower pace once the leading countries
started to exceed 75 years of female life expectancy at birth in the 1960s62 (about 2.26 years of gains per
decade). By assuming that the asymptotic average rate of increase in life expectancy is nonnegative, life
expectancy is assumed to continually increase (on average), and no limit is imposed to life expectancy in
the foreseeable future. The increase in maximum female life span among countries with highest life
expectancy and reliable data on very old age provide further guidance on future rate of progress which
63
has also been increasingly linearly at least since the 1970s (about 1.25 years per decade for countries
like Sweden and Norway), and is used to inform the asymptotic average rate of increase in female life
64
expectancy used in the 2012 Revision .
The second step focuses on male mortality, and models the gap between female and male life
expectancy at birth. Probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth (obtained through step
one) are used in conjunction with stochastic projections of the gender gap to produce probabilistic
projections of male life expectancy at birth, taking into account the correlation between female and male
65
life expectancies, and the existence of outliers during periods of crises or conflict .
The gap in life expectancy at birth between females and males is modelled using an autoregressive
model with female life expectancy used as a covariate. A large body of literature exists on biological,
behavioural and socioeconomic factors underlying the gap in life expectancy between females and
males66, and the recent narrowing of the gap in high-income countries.67 The pattern of decline in the gap
in life expectancy observed for high-income countries, and for some emerging economies is assumed to
apply in the future to other countries as well through the diffusion of effective public health and safety
measures and medical interventions.68 Practically this means that based on past experience across the
world, the future gender gap is expected to widen when life expectancy is still low, but once female life
expectancy reaches about 75 years, the gap stops widening and starts narrowing up to about 83 years (as
observed in high income countries, and some emerging economies). Once projected future female life
expectancy reaches or exceeds the highest observed levels of female life expectancy (i.e., about 83 years
for the 2012 Revision), the gap is modelled as a random walk with normally distributed changes and no
drift because little information on the determinants of changes in the gap exist at these high ages and
beyond.
61
Oeppen J, and J.W. Vaupel (2002). Broken limits to life expectancy. Science 296:1029–1031. Vaupel, J.W. and K.G.V. Kistowski (2005).
"Broken Limits to Life Expectancy." Ageing Horizons (3):6-13.
62
Vallin, J., and F. Mesle (2009). The Segmented Trend Line of Highest Life Expectancies. Population and Development Review, 35(1), 159187. doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00264.x.
63
Wilmoth, J. R., L. J. Deegan, H. Lundstrom, and S. Horiuchi (2000). Increase of maximum life-span in Sweden, 1861-1999. Science,
289(5488), 2366-2368. Wilmoth, J. R. and J-M. Robine (2003). “The world trend in maximum life span,” in: J. R. Carey and S. Tuljapurkar
(eds.), Life Span: Evolutionary, Ecological, and Demographic Perspectives, supplement to vol. 29, Population and Development Review, pp.
239–257. Wilmoth, J. R. and N. Ouellette (2012). “Maximum human lifespan: Will the records be unbroken?”, Paper presented at the European
Population Conference, Stockholm, Sweden, 13-16 June.
64
Following Raftery et al. (2013). formal notation, to set the posterior median to an annual gain of 0.125 year (or 5-year gain of 0.625 in this
context), the upper bound value of 0.653 was used for the world prior (z) and country-specific prior (zc) in the estimation of the double-logistic
parameters.
65
Raftery, A. E., N. Lalic, and P. Gerland (2012). "Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life Expectancy". Paper presented at the
Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, 3-5 May 2012, San Francisco, CA.
http://paa2012.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionId=120140.
66
Oksuzyan, A., K. Juel, J. Vaupel, and K. Christensen (2008). Men: good health and high mortality. Sex differences in health and aging. Aging
Clinical and Experimental Research, 20 (2), 91. Rogers, R., B. Everett, J. Onge, and P. Krueger (2010). Social, behavioral, and biological factors,
and sex differences in mortality. Demography, 47 (3), 555–578. Trovato, F. and N. Heyen (2006). A varied pattern of change of the sex
differential in survival in the G7 countries. Journal of Biosocial Science, 38 (3), 391. Trovato, F. and N. Lalu (1996). Narrowing sex differentials
in life expectancy in the industrialized world: early 1970’s to early 1990’s. Social Biology, 43 (1-2), 20. Trovato, F. and N. Lalu (1998).
Contribution of cause-specific mortality to changing sex differences in life expectancy: seven nations case study. Social Biology, 45 (1-2), 1.
67
Glei, D. and S. Horiuchi (2007). The narrowing sex differential in life expectancy in high income populations: effects of differences in the age
pattern of mortality. Population Studies, 61 (2), 141–159. Meslé, F. (2004). Gender gap in life expectancy: the reasons for a reduction of female
advantage. Revue d’épidémiologie et de santé publique, 52 (4), 333. Oksuzyan, A., K. Juel, J. Vaupel, and K. Christensen (2008). Men: good
health and high mortality. Sex differences in health and aging. Aging Clinical and Experimental Research, 20 (2), 91. Pampel, F. (2005).
Forecasting sex differences in mortality in high income nations: The contribution of smoking. Demographic Research, 13 (18), 455–484.
68
Vallin, J. (2005). “Mortality, sex, and gender”. In Demography: Analysis and Synthesis, volume 2 (pp. 177–194). Academic Press. Bongaarts,
J. (2009). “Trends in senescent life expectancy”. Population Studies, 63 (3), 203–213.
38
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
To produce joint probabilistic projections of female and male life expectancy, a large number of
future trajectories for the gap in life expectancy are simulated. For each simulated value of the gap, the
simulated male life expectancy projection is obtained by subtracting it from a simulated value of female
life expectancy projection.
To construct projections of female life expectancy at birth for all countries without generalized
69
HIV/AIDS epidemic, the BHM model is used to generate 1,450,000 double-logistic curves for each
country (see example in figure V.12), representing the uncertainty in the double-logistic gain function
70
(graphs of this double-logistic curve are available online ). The sample of double-logistic curves is then
used to calculate over 100,000 life expectancy projections for each country. For each trajectory, at any
given time, the double-logistic function gives the expected improvement in life expectancy based on its
current level. A distortion term is added to the expected gain to calculate the projected change in life
expectancy. (This distortion term represents the deviations of life expectancy increments from the doublelogistic curve, as observed in past experiences).
Figure V.12. Female gains in life expectancy at birth and projection intervals
of double-logistic curves for Canada (systematic decline part)
NOTE: The observed five-year gains by level of life expectancy at birth (e(0)) are shown by black dots. For
clarity, only 60 trajectories from 1,450,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and the
80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. In addition to estimates
of female life expectancy at birth for the period 1950-2010 (based on the 2012 Revision), historical data for pre1950 periods are included in the analysis upon availability. For Canada, 5-year series for the period 1870-1950 are
only used.
69
Actually ten simulations are run in parallel with 155,000 iterations performed for each simulation, and the first 10,000 are discarded.
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of female gains in life expectancy at birth curves (based on Double-Logistic function) from the Bayesian Hierarchical
Model (BHM): median, 80% and 95% projection intervals: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_DLfunctions.htm.
70
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
39
For each country, the end result is over 100,000 projected trajectories of female life expectancy at
birth (based on a systematic sampling of 1/14 of the 1,450,000 simulated trajectories of change in
fertility). The median of these 100,000 trajectories is used as the standard mortality projection in the
World Population Prospects. To evaluate future trends in female life expectancy at birth, 80% and 95%
71
72
projection intervals are also calculated (see figure V.13 for Canada, additional tables and graphs are
available online for all countries).
Figure V.13. Probabilistic trajectories of projected female life expectancy
at birth (2010-2100) for Canada
NOTE: For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold
red line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. In
addition to estimates of female life expectancy at birth for the period 1950-2010 (based on the 2012 Revision),
historical data (i.e, before 1950 as marked by vertical grey line) are included in the analysis upon availability. For
Canada, 5-year series for the period 1870-1950 are used.
The approach works well for most countries that have experienced normal mortality improvements
since the 1950s. But two small sets of countries stand out for either (a) much faster or (b) much slower
improvements than typically experienced in the past by other countries. Countries that have experienced
much faster gains in life expectancy at birth since the 1950s are often countries that still have relatively
low life expectancy at birth even though they have made substantially faster progress than those
historically observed in other countries (e.g., Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Bolivia, Cambodia, Cape
Verde, Ecuador, Eritrea, Lao PDR, Lebanon, Madagascar, Maldives, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger, Oman,
Peru, Turkey, Western Sahara). The second set of countries includes economies in transition (e.g., Eastern
Europe and former Soviet Union) that have experienced long period of stagnating or even increasing
mortality. In both cases, the four parameters of the double logistic function responsible for future gains
beyond around 60 years of life expectancy have been informed by the experience of the leading countries
71
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online tables of probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/data/wpp2012_mort_ppp_life_expectancy_0_female.xls.
72
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_e0-trajectories-Female.htm.
40
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
73
in their region . In the first case, this approach was used to temper over-optimistic gains for some
countries in the distant future that would lead to implausible crossovers in long term projections (e.g.,
lagging countries today becoming leaders by 2100). In the second case, this approach was used to provide
further guidance on long term potential gains for countries that have experienced mortality stagnation or
worsening (i.e., in the long run these countries will gradually catch up with the more advanced countries
in their region).
To construct projections of male life expectancy at birth, the gender gap autoregressive model is used
in conjunction with probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth to generate 100,000
trajectories for each country (see example in figure V.14), representing the uncertainty in the future gap
between female and male life expectancy projections (graphs of the gender gap trajectories are available
74
online ).
Figure V.14. Gap in female-male life expectancy at birth and projection
intervals for Canada
NOTE: The observed gap between female and male life expectancy at birth are shown by black dots and solid
line. For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red line, and
the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively.
73
Following Raftery et al. (2013). formal notation, country-specific priors were specified for the first set of countries for the upper bound of the
Δc3, Δc4, kc and zc double-logistic parameters while for the second set of countries lower bound were used for these parameters. In general, the
upper quartile of the distribution of these parameters for the best performers in each region was used to inform other countries.
74
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of female-male gap in life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_e0-MFGap.htm.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
41
The sample of gender gap trajectories is then used to calculate over 100,000 male life expectancy
projections for each country. The median of these projections is used as the standard mortality projection
in the World Population Prospects. To evaluate future trends in male life expectancy at birth, 80% and
75
76
95% projection intervals are also calculated (see figure V.15 for Canada, additional tables and graphs
are available online for all countries).
Figure V.15. Probabilistic trajectories of projected male life expectancy at birth
(2010-2100) for Canada
NOTE: For clarity, only 60 trajectories from 100,000 are displayed. The median projection is the solid bold red
line, and the 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as dashed and dotted red lines respectively. In addition to
estimates of life expectancy at birth for the period 1950-2010 (based on the 2012 Revision), historical data (i.e, before
1950 as marked by vertical grey line) are included in the analysis upon availability. For Canada, 5-year series for the
period 1870-1950 are used.
The relationship between probabilistic projections of male and female life expectancies at birth for
selected projection periods (e.g., 2010–2015, 2050–2055 and 2095–2100) can be summarized through
scatter plots showing for a subsample of 500 probabilistic trajectories of life expectancy at birth for both
male and female (see example in figure V.16). The 80% and 95% projection intervals are displayed as
ellipses respectively. The relationship if both male and female life expectancies are equal is displayed
77
with a diagonal line. Graphs of the joint distributions of life expectancy by sex are available online.
As with the new modelling approach to fertility, the results of this new approach for life expectancy
produces country-specific projections of life expectancy at birth that are fully reproducible and take into
account past empirical trends. Extensive documentation for all countries and areas has been posted
75
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online tables of probabilistic projections of male life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/data/wpp2012_mort_ppp_life_expectancy_0_male.xls.
76
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_e0-trajectories-Male.htm.
77
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of Comparison between probabilistic projections of male and female life expectancies at birth for selected projection
periods: 80% and 95% prediction intervals: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_e0-MFCompare.htm.
42
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
78
79
online , and further details about the methodology are available from Raftery et al. . In addition, an
open-source and portable software implementation of the new UN approach to project life expectancy,
based on the R statistical language, developed by Sevcikova et al. is available as a fully documented R
80
package (bayesLife ) through the public R CRAN archive together with a user-friendly Graphical User
81
82
Interface (bayesDem ), and the full dataset used for the 2012 Revision . Version 2.0-0 of the bayesLife
package was used to compute the final set of projections used for the 2012 Revision of the World
83
Population Prospects .
Figure V.16. Comparison of probabilistic projections of female and male life expectancies
at birth for selected periods for Canada
NOTE: For clarity, only 500 projected trajectories from 100,000 are displayed for each sex. The 80% and 95% projection
intervals are displayed as ellipses respectively. The relationship if both male and female life expectancies are equal is displayed
with a diagonal line.
78
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.
New York. Online plots of probabilistic projections of female life expectancy at birth: median, 80% and 95% projection intervals:
http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/LifeExpectancy_figures/interactive-figures_e0-trajectories-Female.htm.
79
Raftery, A. E., J. E. Chunn, P. Gerland, and H. Ševčíková (2013). "Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of Life Expectancy for All Countries".
Demography, 50(3), 777-801. doi:10.1007/s13524-012-0193-x and Raftery, A. E., N. Lalic, and P. Gerland (2012). "Joint Probabilistic Projection
of Female and Male Life Expectancy". Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, 3-5 May 2012, San
Francisco, CA. http://paa2012.princeton.edu/download.aspx?submissionId=120140.
80
Sevcikova, H., A. Raftery and J. Chunn (2013). bayesLife: Bayesian Projection of Life Expectancy. R Package and documentation:
http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/bayesLife/index.html.
81
Sevcikova H. (2013). bayesDem: Graphical User Interface for bayesTFR and bayesLife. R Package and documentation: http://cran.rproject.org/web/packages/bayesDem/index.html.
82
Sevcikova H. et al. (2013). wpp2012: World Population Prospects 2012. R Package and documentation: http://cran.rproject.org/web/packages/wpp2012/.
83
The estimates of the double logistic parameters are based on ten parallel chains of 155,000 iterations discarding the first 10,000 of each chain to
yield a total of 1,450,000 samples of all model parameters. For each country, 100,000 trajectories for each sex were projected, and used to derive
the median and other projection intervals. Total computation time was about 2 days on a 64-bit Windows 7 workstation with multicore
processors. The seed of the random number generator for the Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation used was: 20130523.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
43
Projection of the age pattern of mortality
Once the path of future expectation of life was determined, mortality rates by five-year age group and
sex, consistent with the expectation of life at birth for each quinquennium were calculated.
For countries with recent empirical information on the age patterns of mortality, mortality rates for
the projection period were obtained by extrapolating the most recent set of mortality rates by the rates of
change from either (a) country-specific historical trends upon availability, reliability and consistency over
84
time using an extended Lee-Carter approach , or (b) typical age-specific patterns of mortality
improvement by level of mortality estimated from individual countries experiences included in the
85
86
Human Mortality Database , or from extended model life tables . In both instances additional constrains
might have been used at younger and/or older ages to insure greater consistency in sex differentials,
especially at very high levels of projected life expectancies.
In other words, under such procedures, the empirical or estimated age pattern of mortality is
transformed as life expectancy changes over time. For countries lacking recent or reliable information on
age patterns of mortality, mortality rates were directly obtained from an underlying model life table. A
choice could be made among nine model life table systems, four proposed by Coale and Demeny87;
Coale, Demeny and Vaughn88; Coale and Guo89 and five model systems for developing countries
produced by the United Nations90. These nine model life tables have been updated and extended by the
Population Division in order to cover the whole age range up 100 years, and a range of life expectancies
91
from 20 to 100.0 years . It must be noted that the last available entry in the revised system of model life
tables of 100.0 year of life expectancy, for both males and females, are not meant to represent a ceiling
for human longevity.
The general approach to the projection of mortality just described is not appropriate for countries
significantly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. A detailed description of assumptions made and
models used to estimate and project the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS is given in the next section.
2. The impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality
This Revision incorporates the demographic impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic for 39 countries
where HIV prevalence among persons aged 15 to 49 was ever equal to or greater than two per cent
between 1980 and 2011 in the general population. Among the 39 countries considered, 32 countries are in
Africa, 1 are in Asia and 6 in Latin America and the Caribbean (table V.2). For those countries, especially
those having experienced prevalence rates of five per cent or more, a different approach for the estimation
84
Li, N., R. Lee and P. Gerland (2013). Extending the Lee-Carter method to model the rotation of age patterns of mortality-decline for long-term
projection. Demography, In press. doi:10.1007/s13524-013-0232-2. In this case, the extended Lee-Carter approach is constrained to the projected
median UN life expectancy at birth by selecting appropriate increases in the level parameter (kt) for each of the projection periods with the age
pattern (ax) based on the most recent period or the average 1950-2010 period, and the age pattern of mortality improvement (bx) gradually
changes by level of mortality to reflect the fact that mortality decline is decelerating at younger ages and accelerating at old ages.
85
Andreev, K., D. Gu, and P. Gerland (2013). Patterns of Mortality Improvement by Level of Life Expectancy at Birth. Paper presented at the
Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA. http://paa2013.princeton.edu/papers/132554. Note: available
demographic data permits reliable estimation of the patterns of mortality improvement only up to 75-80 years of e0 for males, and 80-85 years for
females. For extrapolating patterns of mortality improvement into higher levels of life expectancy at birth, smoothed linear trends were
extrapolated for levels of life expectancy at birth up to 105-110 years of age.
86
Li, N. and P. Gerland (2011). Modifying the Lee-Carter Method to Project Mortality Changes up to 2100. Paper presented at the Annual
Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA), Washington, DC. http://paa2011.princeton.edu/papers/110555.
87
Coale, A. J., and Demeny, P. G. (1966). Regional model life tables and stable populations. Princeton, N.J., Princeton University Press.
88
Coale, A. J., Demeny, P. G., & Vaughan, B. (1983). Regional model life tables and stable populations (2nd ed.). New York: Academic Press.
89
Coale, A. J., and Guo, G. (1989). Revised Regional Model Life Tables at Very Low Levels of Mortality. Population Index, 55(4), 613-643.
http://www.jstor.org/stable/3644567.
90
United Nations, Dept. of International Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (1982). Model life tables for developing countries.
Population studies, no. 77. New York: United Nations.
http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/Model_Life_Tables/Model_Life_Tables.htm.
91
United Nations Population Division (2010). World population prospects: the 2010 revision—WPP 2010 extended model life tables. New York:
United Nations. Available online at: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Model-Life-Tables/download-page.html.
44
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
and projection of mortality must be used. Unlike other infectious diseases, HIV/AIDS has a very long
incubation period in which an infected person is mostly symptom-free but infectious. Also unlike many
other infectious diseases, individuals do not develop immunity, but, in the absence of treatment, almost
always die as a consequence of their compromised immune system. Another reason for an explicit
modelling of the HIV/AIDS is the avalanche-like process of the infection spreading through a population
and the particular age pattern exhibited by HIV/AIDS. The additional deaths due to HIV/AIDS,
predominantly adults in their reproductive age, are consequently distorting the usual U-shaped agespecific age profile of mortality, a feature which cannot be found in the model life tables that are available
to demographers92.Thus the particular dynamic of this disease and the severity of its outcome require an
explicit modelling of the epidemic.
As a consequence, instead of an overall mortality process that can be captured by standard age
patterns of mortality and smooth trends of changing life expectancy, for countries highly affected by
HIV/AIDS, two separate mortality processes must be modelled: the mortality due to the HIV/AIDS
epidemic itself and the mortality that prevails among the non-infected population. The latter is often
called “background mortality”.
Note that in countries with lower HIV prevalence rates (i.e., under 5-7%), when sufficient adult
mortality empirical evidences were available (e.g., from vital registration, recent household deaths and/or
parental survival from censuses and surveys, siblings survival from surveys), explicit modelling of adult
mortality by sex has been used in conjunction with estimates of under-five mortality to derive mortality
93
rates by age and sex (see online Data Sources for country-specific details).
TABLE V.2. ADULT 15-49 HIV PREVALENCE RATE IN THE COUNTRIES MOST AFFECTED
BY THE HIV/AIDS EPIDEMIC BETWEEN 1980 AND 2011
Region / Country
Africa
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Central African Rep.
Chad
Congo
Cote d’Ivoire
Djibouti
Equatorial Guinea
Ethiopia
Gabon
Ghana
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Malawi
Mozambique
Adult HIV
Maximum
prevalence HIV rate (%)
Year
rate (%) between 1980 maximum
in 2011
and 2011
reached
2.1
1.2
23.4
1.1
1.3
4.6
4.6
3.1
3.3
3.0
1.4
4.7
1.4
5.0
1.5
2.5
6.2
23.3
1.0
10.0
11.3
2.1
3.8
27.0
3.8
5.1
5.2
9.5
3.7
5.2
7.3
2.8
4.7
3.7
5.5
2.2
2.5
9.8
23.5
2.5
13.8
11.3
2011
1987
2001
1989
1996
2003
1995
1999
1992
1996
1999
2011
1999
2004
2000
2011
1997
2001
2000
2001
2007
Region/Country
Adult HIV
Maximum
prevalence HIV rate (%)
Year
rate (%) between 1980 maximum
in 2011
and 2011
reached
Africa
Namibia
13.4
Nigeria
3.7
Rwanda
2.9
South Africa
17.3
South Sudan
3.1
Swaziland
26.0
Togo
3.4
Uganda
7.2
UR of Tanzania
5.8
Zambia
12.5
Zimbabwe
14.8
Asia
Thailand
1.2
Latin America and the Caribbean
Bahamas
2.8
Belize
2.3
Haiti
1.8
Honduras
0.6
Jamaica
1.8
Suriname
1.0
15.9
3.8
5.8
17.3
3.1
26.0
4.2
13.6
8.4
14.9
27.3
2002
2002
1989
2011
2008
2011
2003
1989
1996
1993
1998
2.1
1995
4.0
2.4
3.3
2.8
2.5
3.3
1993
2004
1993
1995
1998
1996
SOURCE: 2011 set of UNAIDS/WHO estimates (unpublished tabulations) and UNAIDS. (2012). AIDS Info Database. Retrieved 30
November 2012, from Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) http://www.aidsinfoonline.org/
92
Heuveline, P. (2003). HIV and Population Dynamics: A General Model and Maximum-Likelihood Standards for East Africa. Demography,
40(2), 217-245. doi: 10.2307/3180799.
93
Data sources and related meta-information for the 2012 Revision of the World Population Prospects are available for each country from the
following web page: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Excel-Data/data-sources.htm and in an Excel file (WPP2012_F02_METAINFO.XLS).
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
45
However, in the countries most highly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic, their mortality is
projected by modelling explicitly the course of the epidemic and projecting the yearly incidence of HIV
94
infection. The model (and its latest Spectrum/EPP software implementation ) developed by the UNAIDS
95,96
Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections
, and all epidemiological parameters
97
(including treatment data) used by UNAIDS to prepare the 2011 set of UNAIDS/WHO estimates for the
98
2012 Global Report have been used to derive the mortality impact due to HIV/AIDS.
The projection assumptions used in the 2012 Revision assumes that the HIV incidence rate observed
though 2011 will decline by 2100 to about 1/10 its 2011 value following an exponential decay function.
The sex ratio of HIV incidence (female to male incidence for age 15-49) is assumed to follow a linear
trend from its 2011 value to reach 1.1 in 2050 and to remain constant afterwards. Both for children and
adults, the proportion of the HIV-positive population receiving treatment in each country uses estimates
prepared by the World Health Organization and UNAIDS, and coverage is projected to reach 85% in
2050 if it is current below 85% or stay constant if it is above it. Coverage of interventions to prevent
mother-to-child transmission of HIV is assumed to remain constant until 2100 at the level reached in each
of the affected countries in 2011.
3. Constant-mortality assumption
Under this assumption, mortality over the projection period is maintained constant for each country at
the level estimated for 2005-2010.
C. INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION ASSUMPTIONS
1. Normal migration assumption
Under the normal migration assumption, the future path of international migration is set on the basis
of past international migration estimates and consideration of the policy stance of each country with
regard to future international migration flows. Projected levels of net migration are generally kept
constant over the next decades. After 2050, it is assumed that net migration will gradually decline and
reach zero by 2100.
2. Zero-migration assumption
Under this assumption, for each country, international migration is set to zero starting in 2010-2015.
94
A special release of Spectrum (UNPOP100, 4 April 2013). Specially extended to handle higher life expectancy projections up to age 100 was
used for the 2012 revision. Public versions of Spectrum are available at: http://www.futuresinstitute.org/pages/resources.aspx.
95
Stanecki, K., Garnett, G. P., and Ghys, P. D. (2012). Developments in the field of HIV estimates: methods, parameters and trends. Sexually
Transmitted Infections, 88(Suppl 2), i1-i2. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2012-050885.
96
Stover, J., Brown, T., and Marston, M. (2012). Updates to the Spectrum/Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) model to estimate HIV
trends for adults and children. Sexually Transmitted Infections, 88 Suppl 2, i11-16. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2012-050640.
97
The only exception was a revised age pattern of incidence by sex for generalized epidemic provided by UNAIDS in Nov. 2012 (mean age of
new infections equal to 28.1 for females and 32.5 for males).
98
UNAIDS (2012). Global report: UNAIDS report on the global AIDS epidemic 2012 (pp. 210). Geneva, Switzerland: Joint United Nations
Programme on HIV/AIDS. Available online at: http://www.unaids.org/en/media/unaids/contentassets/documents/
epidemiology/2012/gr2012/20121120_UNAIDS_Global_Report_2012_with_annexes_en.pdf.
46
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
D. EIGHT PROJECTION VARIANTS
The 2012 Revision includes eight different projection variants (table V.3). Five of those variants
differ among themselves only with respect to the level of fertility in each, that is, they share the
assumptions made with respect to mortality and international migration. The five fertility variants are:
low, medium, high, constant-fertility and instant-replacement fertility. A comparison of their results
allows an assessment of the effects that different fertility paths have on other demographic parameters.
In addition to the five fertility variants, a constant-mortality variant, a zero-migration variant and a
“no change” variant (i.e., both fertility and mortality are kept constant) have been prepared. The constantmortality variant and the zero-migration variant both have the same fertility assumption (i.e., medium
fertility). Furthermore, the constant-mortality variant has the same international migration assumption as
the medium variant. Consequently, the results of the constant-mortality variant can be compared with
those of the medium variant to assess the effect that changing mortality has on various population
quantities. Similarly, the zero-migration variant differs from the medium variant only with respect to the
underlying assumption regarding international migration. Therefore, the zero-migration variant allows an
assessment of the effect that non-zero net migration has on various population quantities. Lastly, the “no
change” variant has the same international migration as the medium variant but differs from the latter by
having constant fertility and mortality. When compared to the medium variant, therefore, its results shed
light on the effects that changing fertility and mortality have on the results obtained.
TABLE V.3. PROJECTION VARIANTS IN TERMS OF ASSUMPTIONS FOR
FERTILITY, MORTALITY
AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION
Assumptions
Projection variant
Low fertility
Medium fertility
High fertility
Constant-fertility
Instant-replacement-fertility
Constant-mortality
No change
Zero-migration
Fertility
Mortality
International
migration
Low
Medium
High
Constant as of 2005-2010
Instant-replacement as of 2010-2015
Medium
Constant as of 2005-2010
Medium
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Constant as of 2005-2010
Constant as of 2005-2010
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Normal
Zero as of 2010-2015
E. METHODOLOGICAL CHANGES INTRODUCED IN THE 2012 REVISION
The following changes and adjustments were made in the 2012 Revision in relation to procedures
followed in the 2010 Revision.

The 2012 Revision uses the same stochastic model for fertility projection as used in the 2010
revision with only one modification: the AR1 model used for low fertility countries is
estimated using a Bayesian hierarchical model, and future long-term fertility levels are more
data-driven and country-specific as described above in section A.1 of Chapter V, and the
medium fertility variant corresponds to the median of 60,000 projected country trajectories.

The 2012 Revision uses two new stochastic models to project life expectancy at birth for all
countries not significantly affected by the HIV/AIDS epidemic: the first model uses for
female a Bayesian hierarchical approach modelling the rate of mortality improvement by
level of life expectancy at birth, and a second model is used for male to project the gender
gap conditionally on female mortality level as described above in section B.1 of Chapter V
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
47
The medium mortality variant corresponds to the median of 100,000 projected country
trajectories by sex.
48

The 2012 Revision uses new age-specific patterns of mortality improvement by level of
mortality to project mortality patterns for countries with reliable recent mortality data by age
and sex.

In the 2012 Revision, the impact of HIV/AIDS on mortality is modelled explicitly for 39
countries where HIV prevalence among persons aged 15 to 49 was ever equal to or greater
than two per cent between 1980 and 2011 in the general population.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
VI. SUMMARY TABLES
TABLE S.1. TOTAL POPULATION BY SEX IN 2013 AND SEX RATIO BY COUNTRY IN 2013 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Total
Male
Female
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
World .................................................. 7 162 119
3 610 470
3 551 649
102
Afghanistan ..........................................
30 552
Albania.................................................
3 173
Algeria..................................................
39 208
American Samoa ..................................
55
Andorra ................................................
79
Angola..................................................
21 472
Anguilla................................................
14
Antigua and Barbuda............................
90
Argentina..............................................
41 446
Armenia................................................
2 977
Aruba....................................................
103
Australia ...............................................
23 343
Austria..................................................
8 495
Azerbaijan ............................................
9 413
Bahamas ...............................................
377
Bahrain.................................................
1 332
Bangladesh ...........................................
156 595
Barbados ..............................................
285
Belarus .................................................
9 357
Belgium................................................
11 104
Belize ...................................................
332
Benin ....................................................
10 323
Bermuda ...............................................
65
Bhutan ..................................................
754
Bolivia (Plurinational State of).............
10 671
Bosnia and Herzegovina.......................
3 829
Botswana..............................................
2 021
Brazil....................................................
200 362
British Virgin Islands ...........................
28
Brunei Darussalam ...............................
418
Bulgaria................................................
7 223
Burkina Faso ........................................
16 935
Burundi ................................................
10 163
Cambodia .............................................
15 135
Cameroon .............................................
22 254
Canada..................................................
35 182
Cape Verde...........................................
499
Caribbean Netherlands .........................
19
Cayman Islands ....................................
58
Central African Republic .....................
4 616
Chad .....................................................
12 825
Channel Islands ....................................
162
Chile.....................................................
17 620
China .................................................... 1 385 567
China, Hong Kong SAR.......................
7 204
15 491
1 590
19 822
…
…
10 646
…
43
20 283
1 531
49
11 617
4 148
4 678
185
828
79 240
142
4 343
5 450
166
5 145
…
405
5 329
1 870
1 017
98 526
…
212
3 510
8 419
5 020
7 386
11 125
17 459
249
…
…
2 272
6 423
80
8 715
718 106
3 369
15 061
1 583
19 386
…
…
10 826
…
47
21 163
1 446
54
11 726
4 347
4 736
193
504
77 355
143
5 014
5 655
166
5 179
…
349
5 342
1 960
1 005
101 836
…
206
3 713
8 516
5 143
7 749
11 129
17 723
250
…
…
2 345
6 403
82
8 905
667 460
3 834
103
100
102
…
…
98
…
91
96
106
91
99
95
99
96
164
102
100
87
96
100
99
…
116
100
95
101
97
…
103
95
99
98
95
100
99
99
…
…
97
100
98
98
108
88
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
51
TABLE S.1 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Total
China, Macao SAR...............................
Colombia..............................................
Comoros ...............................................
Congo...................................................
Cook Islands.........................................
Costa Rica ............................................
Côte d'Ivoire.........................................
Croatia..................................................
Cuba .....................................................
Curaçao ................................................
Cyprus ..................................................
Czech Republic ....................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea................
Dem. Republic of the Congo................
Denmark...............................................
Djibouti ................................................
Dominica..............................................
Dominican Republic.............................
Ecuador ................................................
Egypt ....................................................
El Salvador...........................................
Equatorial Guinea.................................
Eritrea...................................................
Estonia..................................................
Ethiopia ................................................
Faeroe Islands ......................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) .................
Fiji ........................................................
Finland .................................................
France...................................................
French Guiana ......................................
French Polynesia ..................................
Gabon...................................................
Gambia .................................................
Georgia.................................................
Germany...............................................
Ghana ...................................................
Gibraltar ...............................................
Greece ..................................................
Greenland .............................................
Grenada ................................................
Guadeloupe ..........................................
Guam....................................................
Guatemala ............................................
Guinea ..................................................
Guinea-Bissau ......................................
Guyana .................................................
Haiti......................................................
Holy See...............................................
52
566
48 321
735
4 448
21
4 872
20 316
4 290
11 266
159
1 141
10 702
24 895
67 514
5 619
873
72
10 404
15 738
82 056
6 340
757
6 333
1 287
94 101
49
3
881
5 426
64 291
249
277
1 672
1 849
4 341
82 727
25 905
29
11 128
57
106
466
165
15 468
11 745
1 704
800
10 317
1
Male
272
23 759
370
2 223
…
2 474
10 355
2 070
5 662
72
583
5 268
12 168
33 537
2 788
438
…
5 204
7 868
41 206
3 005
388
3 160
597
47 073
…
…
449
2 666
31 127
125
141
840
915
2 046
40 602
12 843
…
5 491
…
53
219
84
7 544
5 883
847
406
5 098
…
Female
294
24 563
365
2 224
…
2 398
9 961
2 220
5 603
87
558
5 434
12 727
33 977
2 831
434
…
5 200
7 870
40 850
3 336
369
3 173
690
47 027
…
…
432
2 760
33 165
125
135
832
935
2 295
42 125
13 061
…
5 637
…
53
246
81
7 924
5 863
857
393
5 220
…
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
93
97
102
100
…
103
104
93
101
83
104
97
96
99
99
101
…
100
100
101
90
105
100
87
100
…
…
104
97
94
100
105
101
98
89
96
98
…
97
…
100
89
103
95
100
99
103
98
…
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.1 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Total
Honduras ..............................................
8 098
Hungary................................................
9 955
Iceland..................................................
330
India ..................................................... 1 252 140
Indonesia ..............................................
249 866
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ....................
77 447
Iraq .......................................................
33 765
Ireland ..................................................
4 627
Isle of Man ...........................................
86
Israel.....................................................
7 733
Italy ......................................................
60 990
Jamaica.................................................
2 784
Japan ....................................................
127 144
Jordan...................................................
7 274
Kazakhstan ...........................................
16 441
Kenya ...................................................
44 354
Kiribati .................................................
102
Kuwait..................................................
3 369
Kyrgyzstan ...........................................
5 548
Lao People's Dem. Republic ................
6 770
Latvia ...................................................
2 050
Lebanon................................................
4 822
Lesotho.................................................
2 074
Liberia ..................................................
4 294
Libya ....................................................
6 202
Liechtenstein ........................................
37
Lithuania ..............................................
3 017
Luxembourg .........................................
530
Madagascar ..........................................
22 925
Malawi .................................................
16 363
Malaysia ...............................................
29 717
Maldives...............................................
345
Mali ......................................................
15 302
Malta ....................................................
429
Marshall Islands ...................................
53
Martinique............................................
404
Mauritania ............................................
3 890
Mauritius ..............................................
1 244
Mayotte ................................................
222
Mexico .................................................
122 332
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ..................
104
Monaco ................................................
38
Mongolia ..............................................
2 839
Montenegro ..........................................
621
Montserrat ............................................
5
Morocco ...............................................
33 008
Mozambique.........................................
25 834
Myanmar ..............................................
53 259
Namibia................................................
2 303
Male
Female
4 051
4 731
166
647 437
125 701
38 958
17 069
2 297
…
3 828
29 630
1 371
61 858
3 712
7 916
22 129
51
2 014
2 736
3 370
937
2 450
1 024
2 162
3 101
…
1 389
264
11 425
8 201
14 422
174
7 711
214
…
186
1 959
614
111
59 269
53
…
1 407
307
…
16 292
12 630
25 850
1 118
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
4 047
5 224
164
604 703
124 165
38 490
16 696
2 330
…
3 905
31 360
1 413
65 286
3 562
8 525
22 225
51
1 355
2 811
3 400
1 113
2 372
1 051
2 132
3 100
…
1 628
266
11 500
8 162
15 295
171
7 590
215
…
218
1 931
630
111
63 063
51
…
1 433
314
…
16 716
13 203
27 409
1 185
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
100
91
101
107
101
101
102
99
…
98
94
97
95
104
93
100
99
149
97
99
84
103
97
101
100
…
85
99
99
100
94
101
102
100
…
85
101
97
100
94
105
…
98
98
…
97
96
94
94
53
TABLE S.1 (continued)
Population (thousands)
54
Country or area
Total
Nauru....................................................
Nepal ....................................................
Netherlands ..........................................
New Caledonia .....................................
New Zealand ........................................
Nicaragua .............................................
Niger ....................................................
Nigeria..................................................
Niue......................................................
Northern Mariana Islands.....................
Norway.................................................
Oman....................................................
Pakistan ................................................
Palau.....................................................
Panama .................................................
Papua New Guinea ...............................
Paraguay...............................................
Peru ......................................................
Philippines............................................
Poland ..................................................
Portugal ................................................
Puerto Rico...........................................
Qatar.....................................................
Republic of Korea ................................
Republic of Moldova............................
Réunion ................................................
Romania ...............................................
Russian Federation ...............................
Rwanda ................................................
Saint Helena .........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis............................
Saint Lucia ...........................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon....................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ............
Samoa...................................................
San Marino...........................................
Sao Tome and Principe ........................
Saudi Arabia.........................................
Senegal.................................................
Serbia ...................................................
Seychelles.............................................
Sierra Leone .........................................
Singapore .............................................
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ....................
Slovakia................................................
Slovenia................................................
Solomon Islands ...................................
Somalia ................................................
South Africa .........................................
10
27 797
16 759
256
4 506
6 080
17 831
173 615
1
54
5 043
3 632
182 143
21
3 864
7 321
6 802
30 376
98 394
38 217
10 608
3 688
2 169
49 263
3 487
875
21 699
142 834
11 777
4
54
182
6
109
190
31
193
28 829
14 133
9 511
93
6 092
5 412
45
5 450
2 072
561
10 496
52 776
Male
…
13 456
8 309
130
2 213
3 007
8 986
88 362
…
…
2 525
2 309
93 573
…
1 951
3 735
3 429
15 222
49 288
18 449
5 139
1 774
1 660
24 495
1 653
429
10 569
65 891
5 750
…
…
89
…
55
98
…
95
16 567
6 932
4 648
47
3 025
2 671
…
2 650
1 030
285
5 221
25 616
Female
…
14 342
8 450
127
2 293
3 073
8 846
85 254
…
…
2 518
1 323
88 570
…
1 913
3 586
3 374
15 153
49 105
19 768
5 469
1 915
509
24 768
1 835
446
11 130
76 943
6 026
…
…
93
…
54
92
…
98
12 262
7 202
4 862
46
3 067
2 741
…
2 800
1 042
276
5 275
27 160
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
…
94
98
102
97
98
102
104
…
…
100
175
106
…
102
104
102
100
100
93
94
93
326
99
90
96
95
86
95
…
…
96
…
102
106
…
98
135
96
96
104
99
97
…
95
99
103
99
94
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.1 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Total
Male
South Sudan .........................................
Spain ....................................................
Sri Lanka ..............................................
State of Palestine ..................................
Sudan....................................................
Suriname ..............................................
Swaziland .............................................
Sweden.................................................
Switzerland...........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ...........................
Tajikistan..............................................
TFYR Macedonia.................................
Thailand ...............................................
Timor-Leste..........................................
Togo .....................................................
Tokelau ................................................
Tonga ...................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ............................
Tunisia..................................................
Turkey ..................................................
Turkmenistan .......................................
Turks and Caicos Islands......................
Tuvalu ..................................................
Uganda .................................................
Ukraine.................................................
United Arab Emirates...........................
United Kingdom...................................
United Republic of Tanzania................
United States of America .....................
United States Virgin Islands.................
Uruguay................................................
Uzbekistan............................................
Vanuatu ................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ....
Viet Nam ..............................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ....................
Western Sahara.....................................
Yemen ..................................................
Zambia .................................................
Zimbabwe.............................................
Other non-specified areas.....................
11 296
46 927
21 273
4 326
37 964
539
1 250
9 571
8 078
21 898
8 208
2 107
67 011
1 133
6 817
1
105
1 341
10 997
74 933
5 240
33
10
37 579
45 239
9 346
63 136
49 253
320 051
107
3 407
28 934
253
30 405
91 680
13
567
24 407
14 539
14 150
23 330
5 651
23 187
10 395
2 196
19 046
270
616
4 770
3 983
11 155
4 120
1 055
32 817
576
3 362
…
53
663
5 451
36 797
2 577
…
…
18 840
20 846
6 549
31 112
24 629
157 491
51
1 646
14 391
128
15 245
45 305
…
298
12 304
7 252
6 986
11 694
Female
5 645
23 740
10 878
2 131
18 918
269
633
4 801
4 095
10 743
4 088
1 052
34 193
557
3 455
…
53
678
5 545
38 136
2 663
…
…
18 739
24 393
2 797
32 024
24 624
162 560
56
1 761
14 543
125
15 160
46 375
…
269
12 103
7 287
7 164
11 635
Sex ratio (males
per 100 females)
100
98
96
103
101
100
97
99
97
104
101
100
96
103
97
…
100
98
98
96
97
…
…
101
85
234
97
100
97
91
93
99
103
101
98
…
111
102
100
98
101
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Estimates by sex for countries or areas with less than 90,000 persons are not shown. They are included in the
totals for the world by sex.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
55
TABLE S.2. TOTAL POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 2013, 2025, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
1950
2013
2025
2050
2100
World...................................................
2 525 779
7 162 119
8 083 413
9 550 945
10 853 849
Afghanistan ..........................................
Albania .................................................
Algeria ..................................................
American Samoa ..................................
Andorra.................................................
Angola ..................................................
Anguilla ................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ............................
Argentina ..............................................
Armenia ................................................
Aruba ....................................................
Australia ...............................................
Austria ..................................................
Azerbaijan ............................................
Bahamas ...............................................
Bahrain .................................................
Bangladesh ...........................................
Barbados...............................................
Belarus..................................................
Belgium ................................................
Belize....................................................
Benin ....................................................
Bermuda ...............................................
Bhutan ..................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) .............
Bosnia and Herzegovina .......................
Botswana ..............................................
Brazil ....................................................
British Virgin Islands............................
Brunei Darussalam ...............................
Bulgaria ................................................
Burkina Faso.........................................
Burundi.................................................
Cambodia..............................................
Cameroon .............................................
Canada ..................................................
Cape Verde ...........................................
Caribbean Netherlands .........................
Cayman Islands ....................................
Central African Republic......................
Chad .....................................................
Channel Islands ....................................
Chile .....................................................
China ....................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .......................
China, Macao SAR ...............................
Colombia ..............................................
Comoros ...............................................
Congo ...................................................
7 451
1 214
8 872
19
6
4 148
5
46
17 150
1 354
38
8 177
6 938
2 896
79
116
37 895
211
7 745
8 628
69
2 255
37
177
2 714
2 661
413
53 975
7
48
7 251
4 284
2 309
4 433
4 466
13 737
178
7
6
1 327
2 502
102
6 082
543 776
1 974
196
12 000
156
808
30 552
3 173
39 208
55
79
21 472
14
90
41 446
2 977
103
23 343
8 495
9 413
377
1 332
156 595
285
9 357
11 104
332
10 323
65
754
10 671
3 829
2 021
200 362
28
418
7 223
16 935
10 163
15 135
22 254
35 182
499
19
58
4 616
12 825
162
17 620
1 385 567
7 204
566
48 321
735
4 448
39 571
3 283
46 480
59
86
30 446
16
101
45 423
2 989
107
26 920
8 871
10 309
430
1 571
177 885
301
8 773
11 526
424
13 891
66
863
12 801
3 751
2 245
217 519
31
478
6 527
23 428
14 429
18 120
29 628
39 185
555
22
65
5 795
18 185
171
19 285
1 448 984
7 743
667
54 955
954
5 970
56 551
3 094
54 522
62
95
54 324
15
115
51 024
2 782
103
33 735
9 354
10 492
494
1 835
201 948
314
7 359
12 055
590
22 137
64
980
16 621
3 332
2 780
231 120
34
546
5 077
40 932
26 691
22 569
48 599
45 228
636
23
67
8 491
33 516
179
20 839
1 384 977
8 004
797
62 942
1 508
10 577
59 249
2 217
54 887
56
91
97 337
12
114
50 436
2 023
86
41 497
9 587
8 433
504
1 520
182 238
316
5 601
12 594
693
32 944
65
870
19 510
2 374
3 025
194 533
33
501
3 533
75 274
56 285
23 587
82 393
50 882
552
22
61
11 851
63 286
165
18 843
1 085 631
6 876
818
60 223
2 538
21 322
56
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Cook Islands .........................................
Costa Rica.............................................
Côte d'Ivoire .........................................
Croatia ..................................................
Cuba .....................................................
Curaçao.................................................
Cyprus ..................................................
Czech Republic.....................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea................
Dem. Republic of the Congo ................
Denmark ...............................................
Djibouti.................................................
Dominica ..............................................
Dominican Republic .............................
Ecuador.................................................
Egypt ....................................................
El Salvador ...........................................
Equatorial Guinea .................................
Eritrea ...................................................
Estonia ..................................................
Ethiopia ................................................
Faeroe Islands.......................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) .................
Fiji ........................................................
Finland..................................................
France ...................................................
French Guiana ......................................
French Polynesia ..................................
Gabon ...................................................
Gambia .................................................
Georgia .................................................
Germany ...............................................
Ghana ...................................................
Gibraltar................................................
Greece...................................................
Greenland .............................................
Grenada ................................................
Guadeloupe...........................................
Guam ....................................................
Guatemala.............................................
Guinea ..................................................
Guinea-Bissau.......................................
Guyana..................................................
Haiti......................................................
Holy See ...............................................
Honduras ..............................................
Hungary ................................................
Iceland ..................................................
India......................................................
Indonesia ..............................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of).....................
Iraq .......................................................
1950
2013
2025
2050
2100
15
966
2 630
3 850
5 920
100
494
8 876
10 549
12 184
4 268
62
51
2 380
3 452
21 514
2 200
226
1 141
1 101
18 128
32
2
289
4 008
41 832
25
60
473
271
3 527
70 094
4 981
20
7 566
23
77
210
60
3 146
3 094
518
407
3 221
1
1 487
9 338
143
376 325
72 592
17 119
5 719
21
4 872
20 316
4 290
11 266
159
1 141
10 702
24 895
67 514
5 619
873
72
10 404
15 738
82 056
6 340
757
6 333
1 287
94 101
49
3
881
5 426
64 291
249
277
1 672
1 849
4 341
82 727
25 905
29
11 128
57
106
466
165
15 468
11 745
1 704
800
10 317
1
8 098
9 955
330
1 252 140
249 866
77 447
33 765
22
5 549
26 414
4 102
11 019
176
1 266
11 019
26 306
92 117
5 894
1 023
76
11 759
18 563
96 989
6 759
1 023
8 737
1 238
124 537
51
3
931
5 607
67 967
328
308
2 165
2 660
4 080
80 869
32 509
29
11 035
56
109
489
191
20 394
15 590
2 233
841
11 935
1
10 035
9 672
370
1 418 744
282 011
88 064
45 892
24
6 189
42 339
3 606
9 392
179
1 356
11 218
27 076
155 291
6 361
1 244
76
13 320
23 061
121 798
6 912
1 623
14 314
1 121
187 573
53
3
918
5 693
73 212
495
337
3 302
4 866
3 563
72 566
45 670
27
10 668
50
95
493
227
31 426
24 466
3 504
815
14 353
1
13 484
8 954
415
1 620 051
321 377
100 598
71 336
22
5 316
76 180
2 768
5 458
159
1 156
11 086
25 000
262 134
6 992
1 300
64
12 414
24 410
135 200
5 542
2 419
21 761
959
243 416
53
3
790
5 762
79 059
674
306
4 884
8 423
3 026
56 902
57 210
23
9 365
42
77
448
242
46 462
35 768
5 628
604
14 799
1
15 627
7 661
413
1 546 833
315 296
94 324
106 319
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
57
TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Ireland...................................................
Isle of Man............................................
Israel .....................................................
Italy.......................................................
Jamaica .................................................
Japan.....................................................
Jordan ...................................................
Kazakhstan ...........................................
Kenya ...................................................
Kiribati .................................................
Kuwait ..................................................
Kyrgyzstan............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic.................
Latvia....................................................
Lebanon ................................................
Lesotho .................................................
Liberia ..................................................
Libya.....................................................
Liechtenstein.........................................
Lithuania...............................................
Luxembourg .........................................
Madagascar...........................................
Malawi..................................................
Malaysia ...............................................
Maldives ...............................................
Mali ......................................................
Malta.....................................................
Marshall Islands....................................
Martinique ............................................
Mauritania ............................................
Mauritius ..............................................
Mayotte.................................................
Mexico..................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)...................
Monaco.................................................
Mongolia ..............................................
Montenegro ..........................................
Montserrat ............................................
Morocco................................................
Mozambique .........................................
Myanmar ..............................................
Namibia ................................................
Nauru ....................................................
Nepal ....................................................
Netherlands...........................................
New Caledonia .....................................
New Zealand.........................................
Nicaragua..............................................
Niger.....................................................
Nigeria ..................................................
Niue ......................................................
Northern Mariana Islands .....................
58
1950
2013
2025
2050
2100
2 913
55
1 258
46 367
1 403
82 199
449
6 703
6 077
26
152
1 740
1 683
1 949
1 335
734
930
1 113
14
2 567
296
4 084
2 881
6 110
74
4 638
312
13
222
660
493
15
28 296
32
20
780
395
14
8 986
6 442
17 527
485
3
8 140
10 027
65
1 908
1 295
2 560
37 860
5
7
4 627
86
7 733
60 990
2 784
127 144
7 274
16 441
44 354
102
3 369
5 548
6 770
2 050
4 822
2 074
4 294
6 202
37
3 017
530
22 925
16 363
29 717
345
15 302
429
53
404
3 890
1 244
222
122 332
104
38
2 839
621
5
33 008
25 834
53 259
2 303
10
27 797
16 759
256
4 506
6 080
17 831
173 615
1
54
5 167
92
9 071
61 335
2 926
123 256
8 742
18 116
59 386
123
4 432
6 557
8 253
1 912
5 043
2 325
5 716
7 145
40
2 882
608
31 741
22 776
34 956
414
22 319
438
56
414
5 097
1 283
296
138 195
115
42
3 270
615
5
37 723
34 459
57 650
2 830
11
31 493
17 180
296
5 021
7 038
28 477
239 874
1
56
5 994
99
11 843
60 015
2 808
108 329
11 510
20 186
97 173
156
6 342
7 976
10 579
1 674
5 316
2 818
9 392
8 350
44
2 557
706
55 498
41 203
42 113
504
45 168
417
67
400
7 921
1 231
466
156 102
130
53
3 753
557
6
42 884
59 929
58 645
3 744
11
36 479
16 919
364
5 778
8 355
69 410
440 355
1
52
6 596
98
15 011
54 598
2 052
84 471
12 924
20 938
160 423
185
7 960
8 924
11 153
1 459
4 114
3 183
15 905
7 639
47
2 105
716
105 128
84 986
42 400
474
100 751
336
80
335
12 397
983
656
139 795
127
70
3 937
422
6
42 726
112 018
47 413
4 263
10
34 410
15 964
403
6 187
7 902
203 781
913 834
1
32
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Norway .................................................
Oman ....................................................
Pakistan ................................................
Palau .....................................................
Panama .................................................
Papua New Guinea ...............................
Paraguay ...............................................
Peru.......................................................
Philippines ............................................
Poland...................................................
Portugal ................................................
Puerto Rico ...........................................
Qatar .....................................................
Republic of Korea.................................
Republic of Moldova ............................
Réunion ................................................
Romania................................................
Russian Federation ...............................
Rwanda.................................................
Saint Helena .........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ............................
Saint Lucia............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ....................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines.............
Samoa ...................................................
San Marino ...........................................
Sao Tome and Principe.........................
Saudi Arabia .........................................
Senegal .................................................
Serbia....................................................
Seychelles.............................................
Sierra Leone..........................................
Singapore..............................................
Sint Maarten (Dutch part).....................
Slovakia ................................................
Slovenia ................................................
Solomon Islands ...................................
Somalia.................................................
South Africa .........................................
South Sudan..........................................
Spain.....................................................
Sri Lanka ..............................................
State of Palestine ..................................
Sudan ....................................................
Suriname...............................................
Swaziland .............................................
Sweden .................................................
Switzerland ...........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ...........................
Tajikistan ..............................................
TFYR Macedonia .................................
Thailand................................................
1950
2013
2025
2050
2100
3 265
456
37 542
7
860
1 708
1 473
7 632
18 580
24 824
8 417
2 218
25
19 211
2 341
248
16 236
102 799
2 186
5
46
83
5
67
82
13
60
3 121
2 477
6 732
36
1 944
1 022
1
3 437
1 473
90
2 264
13 683
2 583
28 070
8 076
932
5 734
215
273
7 010
4 668
3 413
1 532
1 254
20 607
5 043
3 632
182 143
21
3 864
7 321
6 802
30 376
98 394
38 217
10 608
3 688
2 169
49 263
3 487
875
21 699
142 834
11 777
4
54
182
6
109
190
31
193
28 829
14 133
9 511
93
6 092
5 412
45
5 450
2 072
561
10 496
52 776
11 296
46 927
21 273
4 326
37 964
539
1 250
9 571
8 078
21 898
8 208
2 107
67 011
5 627
4 770
218 124
24
4 597
9 229
8 165
34 877
119 219
37 924
10 514
3 693
2 662
51 602
3 206
983
20 771
136 967
15 914
4
61
197
6
110
205
33
252
34 207
19 415
8 891
97
7 470
6 334
54
5 451
2 094
702
14 743
56 666
15 571
48 082
22 879
5 769
49 676
588
1 443
10 378
9 067
27 865
10 539
2 094
67 900
6 556
5 065
271 082
28
5 774
13 092
10 445
41 084
157 118
34 079
9 843
3 611
2 985
51 034
2 484
1 125
17 809
120 896
25 378
5
67
207
6
111
242
33
388
40 388
32 933
7 074
100
10 296
7 065
61
4 990
2 023
1 010
27 076
63 405
24 760
48 224
23 834
8 906
77 138
621
1 815
11 934
10 977
36 706
15 093
1 881
61 740
7 609
3 813
263 320
29
6 277
16 991
11 841
39 773
187 702
26 085
7 457
2 853
1 987
40 548
1 702
1 150
12 603
101 882
36 217
4
64
171
6
96
363
29
568
37 195
58 180
4 054
87
13 890
6 040
55
3 892
1 803
1 433
53 966
64 135
39 267
41 662
21 729
12 866
116 141
571
2 156
14 468
12 822
40 114
21 313
1 327
40 542
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
59
TABLE S.2 (continued)
Population (thousands)
Country or area
Timor-Leste ..........................................
Togo .....................................................
Tokelau.................................................
Tonga....................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ............................
Tunisia ..................................................
Turkey ..................................................
Turkmenistan........................................
Turks and Caicos Islands ......................
Tuvalu...................................................
Uganda..................................................
Ukraine .................................................
United Arab Emirates ...........................
United Kingdom ...................................
United Republic of Tanzania ................
United States of America......................
United States Virgin Islands .................
Uruguay ................................................
Uzbekistan ............................................
Vanuatu ................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) .....
Viet Nam ..............................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands.....................
Western Sahara.....................................
Yemen ..................................................
Zambia..................................................
Zimbabwe.............................................
Other non-specified areas .....................
1950
2013
2025
2050
2100
433
1 395
2
47
646
3 099
21 238
1 211
5
5
5 158
37 298
70
50 616
7 650
157 813
27
2 239
6 314
48
5 094
24 949
7
14
4 661
2 372
2 747
7 562
1 133
6 817
1
105
1 341
10 997
74 933
5 240
33
10
37 579
45 239
9 346
63 136
49 253
320 051
107
3 407
28 934
253
30 405
91 680
13
567
24 407
14 539
14 150
23 330
1 418
9 019
1
116
1 333
12 231
83 713
5 951
39
10
54 832
41 560
11 479
67 210
69 329
350 626
106
3 536
32 991
322
35 383
99 811
13
737
31 279
21 388
18 748
23 609
2 087
14 521
1
140
1 155
13 192
94 606
6 570
43
12
104 078
33 658
15 479
73 131
129 417
400 853
103
3 641
36 330
473
42 376
103 697
13
844
42 497
44 206
26 254
21 371
3 265
24 659
1
203
790
11 556
86 465
5 766
37
17
204 596
24 629
13 759
77 175
275 624
462 070
107
3 292
30 791
660
42 772
80 122
12
783
42 181
124 302
32 608
14 166
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
60
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.3. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR ABOUT 75 PER CENT OF THE WORLD POPULATION ORDERED BY POPULATION SIZE,
1950, 2013, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
Country or area
China
India
United States of America
Russian Federation
Japan
Indonesia
Germany
Brazil
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Bangladesh
Nigeria
Pakistan
Ukraine
Mexico
Spain
Viet Nam
Poland
Egypt
Turkey
Population
in 1950
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
544
376
158
103
82
73
70
54
51
46
42
38
38
38
37
28
28
25
25
22
21
21.5
36.4
42.7
46.7
50.0
52.9
55.7
57.8
59.8
61.6
63.3
64.8
66.3
67.8
69.2
70.4
71.5
72.5
73.4
74.3
75.1
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
Country or area
China
India
United States of America
Indonesia
Brazil
Pakistan
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Russian Federation
Japan
Mexico
Philippines
Ethiopia
Viet Nam
Germany
Egypt
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Turkey
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Thailand
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Myanmar
South Africa
Republic of Korea
Population
in 2013
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
1 386
1 252
320
250
200
182
174
157
143
127
122
98
94
92
83
82
77
75
68
67
64
63
61
53
53
49
19.3
36.8
41.3
44.8
47.6
50.1
52.6
54.7
56.7
58.5
60.2
61.6
62.9
64.2
65.3
66.5
67.6
68.6
69.6
70.5
71.4
72.3
73.1
73.9
74.6
75.3
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
61
TABLE S.3 (continued)
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
Country or area
India
China
Nigeria
United States of America
Indonesia
Pakistan
Brazil
Bangladesh
Ethiopia
Philippines
Mexico
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
United Rep. of Tanzania
Egypt
Russian Federation
Japan
Uganda
Viet Nam
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Kenya
Turkey
Sudan
France
United Kingdom
Germany
Iraq
Niger
South Africa
Colombia
Thailand
Italy
Population
in 2050
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
1 620
1 385
440
401
321
271
231
202
188
157
156
155
129
122
121
108
104
104
101
97
95
77
73
73
73
71
69
63
63
62
60
17.0
31.5
36.1
40.3
43.6
46.5
48.9
51.0
53.0
54.6
56.3
57.9
59.2
60.5
61.8
62.9
64.0
65.1
66.1
67.2
68.1
69.0
69.7
70.5
71.2
72.0
72.7
73.4
74.0
74.7
75.3
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
Country or area
India
China
Nigeria
United States of America
Indonesia
United Rep. of Tanzania
Pakistan
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Ethiopia
Uganda
Niger
Brazil
Philippines
Bangladesh
Kenya
Mexico
Egypt
Zambia
Sudan
Mozambique
Iraq
Madagascar
Russian Federation
Mali
Angola
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Turkey
Malawi
Japan
Cameroon
Viet Nam
Population
in 2100
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
1 547
1 086
914
462
315
276
263
262
243
205
204
195
188
182
160
140
135
124
116
112
106
105
102
101
97
94
86
85
84
82
80
14.3
24.3
32.7
36.9
39.8
42.4
44.8
47.2
49.5
51.3
53.2
55.0
56.7
58.4
59.9
61.2
62.4
63.6
64.6
65.7
66.7
67.6
68.6
69.5
70.4
71.3
72.1
72.8
73.6
74.4
75.1
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
62
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.4. COUNTRIES ACCOUNTING FOR 75 PER CENT OF THE ANNUAL POPULATION INCREASE IN THE WORLD,
1950-1955, 2005-2010 AND 2045-2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
Country or area
Annual
population
increase
1950-1955
(millions)
China
India
United States of America
Brazil
Russian Federation
Indonesia
Japan
Bangladesh
Mexico
Philippines
Viet Nam
Nigeria
Pakistan
Thailand
Turkey
Egypt
Ukraine
Poland
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Canada
Republic of Korea
11.444
6.530
2.625
1.786
1.751
1.313
1.238
1.043
0.922
0.720
0.677
0.653
0.644
0.609
0.603
0.575
0.544
0.506
0.441
0.399
0.391
WORLD
47.174
Cumulated
percentage
24.3
38.1
43.7
47.5
51.2
53.9
56.6
58.8
60.7
62.3
63.7
65.1
66.4
67.7
69.0
70.2
71.4
72.5
73.4
74.2
75.1
100.0
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
Country or area
Annual
population
increase
2005-2010
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
India
China
Nigeria
Indonesia
Pakistan
United States of America
Ethiopia
Brazil
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Bangladesh
Philippines
Mexico
Egypt
United Republic of Tanzania
Uganda
Kenya
Turkey
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
United Arab Emirates
Viet Nam
Sudan
Iraq
Afghanistan
Syrian Arab Republic
Colombia
South Africa
Algeria
Angola
15.696
8.329
4.024
3.239
3.036
2.816
2.186
1.814
1.633
1.598
1.525
1.431
1.260
1.230
1.052
1.025
0.879
0.862
0.859
0.820
0.813
0.717
0.707
0.673
0.652
0.643
0.620
0.601
19.5
29.9
34.9
38.9
42.7
46.2
48.9
51.2
53.2
55.2
57.1
58.9
60.4
61.9
63.3
64.5
65.6
66.7
67.8
68.8
69.8
70.7
71.6
72.4
73.2
74.0
74.8
75.5
WORLD
80.418
100.0
Rank
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Country or area
Nigeria
India
United Republic of Tanzania
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Ethiopia
Uganda
Niger
United States of America
Kenya
Pakistan
Philippines
Mozambique
Zambia
Sudan
Mali
WORLD
Annual
population
increase
2045-2050
(millions)
Cumulated
percentage
9.195
4.635
2.745
2.678
2.335
2.181
2.074
1.748
1.591
1.452
1.305
1.133
1.116
1.090
1.064
19.0
28.5
34.2
39.7
44.5
49.0
53.3
56.9
60.2
63.2
65.9
68.2
70.5
72.7
74.9
48.501
100.0
63
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
TABLE S.5. COUNTRIES OR AREAS WHOSE POPULATION IS PROJECTED TO DECREASE
BETWEEN 2013 AND 2050 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Population (thousands)
Rank
Country or area
2013
2050
Difference
Absolute
Percentage
More developed regions
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.
Bulgaria
Republic of Moldova
Serbia
Ukraine
Belarus
Latvia
Romania
Croatia
Russian Federation
Lithuania
Japan
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Estonia
Germany
Poland
TFYR Macedonia
Montenegro
Hungary
Slovakia
Portugal
Greece
Malta
Albania
Slovenia
Italy
7 223
3 487
9 511
45 239
9 357
2 050
21 699
4 290
142 834
3 017
127 144
3 829
1 287
82 727
38 217
2 107
621
9 955
5 450
10 608
11 128
429
3 173
2 072
60 990
5 077
2 484
7 074
33 658
7 359
1 674
17 809
3 606
120 896
2 557
108 329
3 332
1 121
72 566
34 079
1 881
557
8 954
4 990
9 843
10 668
417
3 094
2 023
60 015
-2 146
-1 004
-2 437
-11 581
-1 997
- 376
-3 890
- 684
-21 938
- 460
-18 814
- 498
- 166
-10 160
-4 138
- 226
- 65
-1 001
- 461
- 765
- 460
- 13
- 79
- 49
- 975
-29.7
-28.8
-25.6
-25.6
-21.3
-18.4
-17.9
-15.9
-15.4
-15.3
-14.8
-13.0
-12.9
-12.3
-10.8
-10.7
-10.4
-10.1
-8.5
-7.2
-4.1
-2.9
-2.5
-2.4
-1.6
- 778
-1 874
- 186
- 11
-1 959
-5 270
- 195
-4
- 77
- 13
-4
- 590
-17.9
-16.6
-13.9
-10.2
-8.4
-7.9
-6.5
-3.8
-2.1
-1.1
-0.9
0.0
Less developed regions
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
Georgia
Cuba
Trinidad and Tobago
Grenada
Other non-specified areas
Thailand
Armenia
United States Virgin Islands
Puerto Rico
Mauritius
Martinique
China
4 341
11 266
1 341
106
23 330
67 011
2 977
107
3 688
1 244
404
1 385 567
3 563
9 392
1 155
95
21 371
61 740
2 782
103
3 611
1 231
400
1 384 977
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
64
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.6. PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE POPULATION IN SELECTED AGE GROUPS BY COUNTRY,
2013, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
2013
Country or area
2050
2100
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
World...................................... 26.2
62.0
11.7
1.7
21.3
57.5
21.2
4.1
17.9
54.6
27.5
7.6
Afghanistan ............................. 46.6
49.5
3.9
0.2
24.1
67.4
8.5
0.6
15.8
56.7
27.5
4.4
Albania .................................... 20.6
64.1
15.3
2.1
13.8
55.3
30.9
8.3
14.3
46.0
39.7
14.6
Algeria.....................................
Angola .....................................
Antigua and Barbuda...............
Argentina.................................
Armenia...................................
Aruba.......................................
Australia ..................................
Austria .....................................
Azerbaijan ...............................
Bahamas ..................................
Bahrain ....................................
Bangladesh ..............................
Barbados..................................
Belarus.....................................
Belgium ...................................
Belize ......................................
Benin .......................................
Bhutan .....................................
Bolivia (Plurinational
State of) .................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina..........
Botswana .................................
Brazil .......................................
Brunei Darussalam ..................
Bulgaria ...................................
Burkina Faso ...........................
Burundi....................................
Cambodia ................................
Cameroon ................................
Canada.....................................
Cape Verde..............................
Central African Republic.........
Chad ........................................
Channel Islands .......................
Chile ........................................
China .......................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ..........
China, Macao SAR..................
Colombia .................................
Comoros ..................................
Congo ......................................
Costa Rica ...............................
Côte d'Ivoire ............................
Croatia .....................................
Cuba ........................................
Curaçao ...................................
Cyprus .....................................
Czech Republic .......................
27.8
47.5
25.0
24.2
20.2
19.4
19.1
14.5
22.2
21.3
21.0
30.0
18.9
15.3
17.0
33.9
42.8
28.1
64.8
48.6
64.9
60.6
65.4
63.5
61.2
61.8
69.3
67.0
75.4
63.0
65.0
65.2
59.0
60.3
52.7
65.0
7.4
3.9
10.2
15.1
14.4
17.2
19.8
23.7
8.5
11.7
3.6
7.0
16.2
19.5
24.0
5.8
4.6
7.0
0.8
0.3
1.7
2.7
2.6
1.9
3.8
5.0
1.1
1.4
0.3
0.8
2.5
3.4
5.5
0.9
0.3
0.9
20.2
34.8
17.7
18.0
15.1
15.1
17.9
15.0
16.4
17.0
13.4
17.3
17.0
16.0
16.8
20.6
31.0
16.7
59.3
59.1
57.5
56.8
53.4
56.4
54.4
51.5
58.1
56.7
58.4
60.4
54.9
53.7
51.4
60.3
61.0
59.8
20.5
6.1
24.8
25.2
31.5
28.5
27.6
33.5
25.5
26.3
28.1
22.3
28.1
30.3
31.8
19.1
8.0
23.5
2.2
0.5
6.7
5.4
6.7
8.0
8.2
11.5
3.9
6.2
3.2
3.7
6.1
5.4
10.3
3.3
0.5
3.4
16.7
21.0
15.3
15.1
15.0
15.2
15.1
14.9
15.4
15.5
13.4
14.3
16.2
16.2
15.7
14.4
20.9
14.7
54.8
60.3
50.1
50.0
50.3
50.0
49.4
48.8
52.7
50.6
48.7
48.4
51.3
54.3
49.5
48.9
61.2
49.4
28.4
18.7
34.6
34.9
34.7
34.8
35.5
36.3
31.8
34.0
37.9
37.3
32.5
29.5
34.7
36.7
17.9
36.0
7.4
2.8
11.7
12.3
12.4
10.6
14.1
14.1
9.0
11.4
13.2
14.0
10.1
8.2
13.5
14.0
2.0
13.1
34.9
15.7
33.5
24.1
25.3
13.7
45.5
44.6
31.1
43.0
16.4
29.5
39.8
48.4
14.9
21.1
18.0
11.7
12.4
27.7
42.1
42.5
23.5
41.3
14.9
16.2
19.3
17.0
14.9
57.8
63.4
60.6
64.8
67.2
59.9
50.6
51.5
61.0
52.2
62.3
63.2
54.4
47.8
62.3
64.7
68.1
68.2
74.2
62.8
53.3
52.3
66.0
53.6
60.0
65.3
60.6
65.8
61.5
7.4
20.9
5.9
11.2
7.5
26.4
3.9
3.9
7.9
4.9
21.2
7.2
5.7
3.8
22.7
14.2
13.9
20.1
13.4
9.5
4.6
5.1
10.5
5.1
25.1
18.5
20.0
17.2
23.7
0.8
2.6
0.6
1.6
0.7
4.4
0.3
0.4
1.2
0.5
4.1
1.4
0.5
0.3
4.4
2.3
1.6
3.9
1.8
1.2
0.4
0.5
1.6
0.3
4.5
3.2
3.0
2.7
3.9
24.5
12.5
22.2
15.3
15.7
14.8
34.0
36.6
20.9
31.9
16.5
16.4
28.2
35.8
13.7
15.4
14.7
11.4
13.1
18.0
32.3
34.6
14.8
33.3
13.8
11.3
16.2
13.9
16.0
61.6
52.5
65.2
55.8
56.0
48.7
59.2
56.5
57.9
60.1
52.8
59.5
61.8
58.6
51.9
53.4
52.5
46.5
51.1
58.3
59.5
57.5
55.0
59.5
50.2
46.8
49.2
53.1
50.8
13.8
34.9
12.6
28.9
28.3
36.5
6.8
6.9
21.2
8.1
30.7
24.1
10.0
5.6
34.4
31.3
32.8
42.1
35.9
23.8
8.2
7.9
30.2
7.2
36.0
41.9
34.6
33.1
33.2
1.7
9.3
1.0
6.8
6.8
7.6
0.4
0.5
4.9
0.7
9.7
4.3
0.8
0.4
10.4
9.3
6.5
15.5
9.3
5.2
0.6
0.8
7.5
0.5
9.8
14.5
12.1
7.6
7.5
17.3
14.3
16.4
13.9
13.9
15.8
21.7
23.0
14.9
20.8
15.3
13.8
18.4
21.4
13.4
14.2
15.2
12.9
14.2
14.7
22.8
23.3
13.6
22.6
14.4
12.9
15.4
14.1
15.7
56.2
48.4
55.2
47.6
47.5
51.9
60.2
59.8
49.9
59.0
49.7
47.9
57.4
60.4
47.7
47.1
50.5
44.9
47.7
49.6
61.0
59.3
46.4
60.6
48.7
44.9
50.1
47.8
50.7
26.5
37.3
28.4
38.4
38.6
32.2
18.0
17.2
35.2
20.2
35.0
38.3
24.2
18.2
38.9
38.7
34.3
42.3
38.1
35.6
16.2
17.5
40.0
16.7
36.9
42.2
34.5
38.1
33.6
5.8
12.9
5.6
15.0
14.3
10.2
2.6
3.1
13.8
3.6
13.4
13.8
5.0
2.7
14.8
16.2
11.0
19.6
15.0
12.4
1.9
3.1
16.7
2.2
13.6
18.0
13.0
15.1
12.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
65
TABLE S.6 (continued)
2013
2050
2100
Country or area
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea...
Dem. Republic of the Congo ...
Denmark..................................
Djibouti ...................................
Dominican Republic................
Ecuador ...................................
Egypt .......................................
El Salvador ..............................
Equatorial Guinea....................
Eritrea......................................
Estonia.....................................
Ethiopia ...................................
Fiji ...........................................
Finland.....................................
France......................................
French Guiana .........................
French Polynesia .....................
Gabon ......................................
Gambia ....................................
Georgia....................................
Germany ..................................
Ghana ......................................
Greece .....................................
Grenada ...................................
Guadeloupe .............................
Guam .......................................
Guatemala ...............................
Guinea .....................................
Guinea-Bissau .........................
Guyana ....................................
Haiti.........................................
Honduras .................................
Hungary...................................
Iceland .....................................
India ........................................
Indonesia .................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) .......
Iraq ..........................................
Ireland .....................................
Israel........................................
Italy .........................................
Jamaica....................................
Japan........................................
Jordan ......................................
Kazakhstan ..............................
Kenya ......................................
Kiribati ....................................
Kuwait .....................................
Kyrgyzstan ..............................
Lao People's Dem. Republic....
Latvia ......................................
Lebanon...................................
Lesotho....................................
21.7
45.0
17.6
33.7
30.2
30.0
31.1
30.0
38.9
43.2
15.8
42.7
28.9
16.4
18.2
32.2
22.6
38.5
45.9
17.9
13.1
38.5
14.7
26.8
21.5
26.2
40.4
42.3
41.5
36.1
35.0
35.2
14.7
20.7
29.1
28.9
23.8
40.1
21.6
27.7
14.1
27.2
13.1
34.0
25.8
42.2
31.9
24.8
30.4
35.2
14.8
20.8
36.4
65.8
50.5
58.3
60.3
60.6
60.6
60.2
60.3
56.5
53.1
60.0
52.1
62.5
57.2
57.7
59.8
66.6
54.2
50.3
62.4
59.8
56.2
59.7
63.4
60.1
61.5
53.0
52.6
53.2
58.5
58.2
58.2
61.4
61.4
62.6
63.0
68.1
54.9
61.5
57.0
58.8
61.6
54.6
60.6
64.0
53.5
61.6
71.4
63.2
59.0
60.8
67.0
57.3
12.5
4.5
24.1
6.0
9.2
9.5
8.7
9.8
4.7
3.7
24.1
5.2
8.7
26.3
24.1
7.9
10.8
7.3
3.7
19.7
27.1
5.4
25.7
9.8
18.5
12.3
6.6
5.1
5.3
5.4
6.8
6.5
23.9
18.0
8.3
8.1
8.1
5.0
16.9
15.3
27.2
11.2
32.3
5.3
10.2
4.3
6.5
3.8
6.5
5.8
24.3
12.1
6.3
1.1
0.3
4.3
0.5
1.5
1.5
0.9
1.7
0.4
0.2
4.6
0.5
0.6
5.0
5.7
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.3
3.4
5.4
0.5
5.7
1.9
3.7
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.6
1.0
4.3
3.6
0.8
0.8
1.0
0.5
2.9
3.0
6.4
2.1
7.3
0.4
1.1
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.9
0.6
4.6
1.5
0.8
17.2
34.2
17.2
23.7
19.1
19.4
21.8
18.8
28.6
29.6
16.2
26.0
20.9
16.2
17.0
23.3
16.1
28.6
35.7
16.3
12.6
27.5
14.2
17.3
16.1
18.3
27.1
30.9
32.1
21.0
23.2
21.8
14.8
16.9
19.5
18.9
16.7
28.2
17.8
21.8
13.9
17.9
12.5
22.3
22.0
31.1
22.4
19.4
24.7
21.0
16.9
13.4
25.8
58.0
59.2
54.3
60.6
58.8
58.4
60.3
59.5
61.7
61.2
51.3
63.7
59.4
52.3
52.0
59.6
55.9
61.1
58.4
51.7
47.8
62.0
47.9
54.9
50.1
57.1
60.7
61.3
60.0
62.2
62.4
61.0
52.5
53.3
62.2
60.0
53.9
61.1
52.5
55.7
47.4
57.9
44.8
60.2
59.4
59.3
61.7
64.4
60.1
63.2
52.7
52.8
64.9
24.9
6.6
28.5
15.7
22.1
22.1
17.9
21.6
9.7
9.2
32.5
10.3
19.7
31.5
31.0
17.1
28.0
10.3
5.9
32.0
39.6
10.5
37.9
27.7
33.8
24.6
12.2
7.8
7.9
16.8
14.4
17.2
32.7
29.8
18.3
21.1
29.4
10.8
29.7
22.5
38.7
24.2
42.7
17.4
18.6
9.5
16.0
16.3
15.2
15.7
30.4
33.8
9.3
4.8
0.5
8.7
1.7
4.9
5.0
2.3
4.6
1.2
0.7
7.8
1.1
3.0
10.2
10.7
3.7
6.8
1.0
0.4
7.6
14.4
0.7
11.7
4.3
12.8
6.9
1.9
0.5
0.4
2.1
1.4
3.0
6.9
8.6
2.3
3.0
4.9
1.0
7.7
5.9
13.8
5.9
15.6
2.2
2.4
0.9
2.4
1.3
1.8
1.8
6.5
8.1
0.7
15.5
21.7
16.2
16.6
14.5
14.6
15.6
14.8
18.2
18.0
15.9
16.5
16.3
15.2
15.8
16.7
14.2
19.0
21.5
15.3
13.4
19.4
14.4
15.2
14.6
14.4
17.2
20.8
22.4
17.6
17.0
14.6
15.2
14.6
15.9
15.7
14.8
18.8
15.7
15.8
14.4
14.9
13.6
15.3
17.5
19.7
16.5
16.6
17.8
15.0
16.7
13.5
17.7
51.6
61.0
50.4
55.4
49.2
49.4
52.7
49.3
57.3
57.2
52.0
54.7
53.7
49.1
48.8
52.1
48.1
58.2
62.1
51.1
46.7
60.4
48.2
51.8
47.3
48.0
53.9
61.2
61.0
55.6
56.1
49.9
51.1
48.0
53.9
52.1
48.6
57.5
49.5
50.3
47.1
50.1
45.3
52.2
56.9
58.4
53.2
53.7
57.6
50.8
54.0
45.9
57.6
32.9
17.3
33.4
27.9
36.3
36.0
31.7
35.9
24.5
24.8
32.0
28.8
30.0
35.7
35.4
31.2
37.8
22.8
16.3
33.6
39.9
20.2
37.5
33.0
38.1
37.6
28.9
18.0
16.6
26.8
26.9
35.5
33.7
37.4
30.2
32.2
36.6
23.7
34.8
34.0
38.5
35.1
41.1
32.4
25.7
21.9
30.2
29.7
24.6
34.2
29.2
40.6
24.8
9.8
2.2
11.6
6.8
13.1
13.0
9.1
13.3
5.1
5.3
10.6
7.1
8.0
13.9
14.3
10.3
14.4
4.2
1.6
11.3
16.4
2.6
15.2
10.3
17.0
14.8
8.7
2.0
1.8
5.4
5.6
12.7
10.8
15.3
7.5
8.8
14.3
4.8
13.8
13.1
16.4
11.5
19.1
9.9
5.8
4.5
8.3
7.6
5.5
10.5
8.6
16.9
4.8
66
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.6 (continued)
2013
2050
2100
Country or area
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
Liberia .....................................
Libya .......................................
Lithuania .................................
Luxembourg ............................
Madagascar .............................
Malawi.....................................
Malaysia ..................................
Maldives..................................
Mali .........................................
Malta .......................................
Martinique ...............................
Mauritania ...............................
Mauritius .................................
Mayotte ...................................
Mexico.....................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)......
Mongolia .................................
Montenegro .............................
Morocco ..................................
Mozambique............................
Myanmar .................................
Namibia ...................................
Nepal .......................................
Netherlands .............................
New Caledonia ........................
New Zealand ...........................
Nicaragua ................................
Niger........................................
Nigeria.....................................
Norway....................................
Oman .......................................
Pakistan ...................................
Panama ....................................
Papua New Guinea ..................
Paraguay..................................
Peru .........................................
Philippines...............................
Poland......................................
Portugal ...................................
Puerto Rico..............................
Qatar........................................
Republic of Korea ...................
Republic of Moldova...............
Réunion ...................................
Romania ..................................
Russian Federation ..................
Rwanda....................................
Saint Lucia ..............................
St. Vincent and the
Grenadines...............................
Samoa......................................
Sao Tome and Principe............
Saudi Arabia............................
42.9
29.4
15.2
17.5
42.4
45.3
26.1
28.7
47.4
14.7
18.4
40.1
19.7
45.2
28.5
35.1
27.3
18.7
27.9
45.4
24.9
36.0
34.7
17.1
22.7
20.2
32.8
50.1
44.4
18.6
23.5
33.8
28.3
38.0
32.4
28.8
34.1
15.0
14.8
19.5
13.6
14.9
16.6
25.1
15.1
15.8
42.9
24.0
52.3
63.4
64.1
63.1
53.1
49.8
65.4
64.6
48.4
61.9
59.5
54.9
66.6
51.0
62.0
57.9
66.8
62.2
64.3
49.6
66.7
58.5
57.5
59.5
63.3
60.5
60.4
45.7
51.2
59.8
72.5
59.7
61.3
57.1
59.4
61.9
59.4
63.9
60.5
61.5
84.5
68.0
66.2
62.4
63.9
65.2
53.0
63.9
4.8
7.2
20.8
19.3
4.5
4.9
8.5
6.7
4.2
23.5
22.1
5.0
13.7
3.8
9.5
7.0
5.9
19.0
7.8
5.0
8.4
5.4
7.8
23.4
14.1
19.3
6.8
4.2
4.5
21.6
4.0
6.5
10.3
4.9
8.2
9.3
6.4
21.1
24.7
19.0
1.9
17.1
17.2
12.5
21.0
19.0
4.0
12.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
4.0
0.4
0.4
0.7
0.8
0.3
2.8
4.5
0.4
1.6
0.4
1.4
0.8
0.5
2.3
0.9
0.4
0.8
0.5
0.6
4.2
1.9
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.2
4.4
0.4
0.6
1.7
0.3
1.1
1.2
0.5
3.8
5.1
3.6
0.1
2.4
2.3
2.0
3.5
2.9
0.4
2.3
31.7
16.9
15.7
16.3
32.6
35.5
17.4
16.3
39.8
12.5
14.0
30.9
14.7
25.4
16.6
23.1
21.4
15.1
20.1
34.8
17.3
23.3
19.0
15.6
17.4
17.0
19.0
44.4
37.1
17.7
14.7
21.2
19.0
27.4
22.5
18.1
24.1
13.9
12.0
14.1
9.6
12.0
14.6
17.4
13.8
17.1
28.8
15.3
60.2
58.5
53.0
54.6
59.1
58.2
59.5
57.9
55.2
50.7
48.8
59.9
55.7
61.2
57.4
64.6
58.8
55.3
58.8
59.1
60.5
64.0
62.8
51.5
57.9
54.1
59.7
51.6
56.9
54.1
49.6
64.0
57.8
62.8
60.9
58.6
62.2
49.4
47.1
53.5
47.7
46.9
54.2
55.3
49.4
54.4
60.9
57.5
8.1
24.6
31.2
29.1
8.3
6.3
23.1
25.8
5.1
36.8
37.2
9.2
29.6
13.4
25.9
12.3
19.8
29.6
21.0
6.1
22.3
12.7
18.1
32.9
24.7
28.8
21.3
4.0
6.0
28.1
35.7
14.8
23.3
9.8
16.6
23.3
13.7
36.7
40.8
32.5
42.7
41.1
31.2
27.3
36.7
28.5
10.3
27.2
0.6
3.9
6.8
8.5
0.8
0.5
3.5
4.7
0.3
10.3
15.7
0.7
6.6
2.8
5.9
1.2
2.2
5.9
3.0
0.7
2.3
1.3
2.4
11.2
5.7
8.9
4.1
0.3
0.3
8.4
2.5
1.4
5.6
0.8
2.5
4.9
1.6
8.6
12.4
9.1
3.8
14.2
4.4
8.4
7.7
4.7
1.0
6.3
20.8
13.8
16.1
14.9
21.6
23.4
15.0
13.4
24.1
13.4
14.2
22.0
15.1
15.3
13.8
17.7
17.2
15.2
16.0
21.4
16.8
16.7
15.3
15.3
15.2
14.7
14.0
27.4
23.3
15.9
15.5
16.3
14.8
19.8
16.4
14.1
17.3
14.8
13.3
13.9
12.4
13.4
15.7
14.8
14.8
17.0
17.0
14.4
59.3
48.1
53.2
48.4
58.7
59.7
50.2
46.0
61.9
46.4
45.9
60.7
50.1
50.7
46.8
56.2
54.8
51.1
52.6
59.6
55.8
55.4
50.4
48.8
49.7
48.6
47.8
61.6
61.2
50.0
49.2
55.9
49.4
60.7
54.3
48.3
56.2
49.5
45.4
47.5
47.2
44.4
53.9
47.8
50.4
55.2
56.5
49.1
19.8
38.0
30.7
36.7
19.7
16.8
34.8
40.6
14.0
40.1
39.9
17.4
34.7
34.0
39.4
26.1
28.0
33.7
31.4
19.0
27.4
27.9
34.3
36.0
35.1
36.7
38.2
11.1
15.5
34.1
35.3
27.7
35.8
19.5
29.3
37.6
26.5
35.7
41.3
38.7
40.4
42.3
30.3
37.4
34.8
27.8
26.5
36.5
3.2
14.6
9.2
14.4
3.8
2.7
11.0
17.6
1.4
16.6
17.9
2.1
11.7
12.4
15.9
4.6
7.6
10.0
9.3
3.3
5.4
6.1
10.7
13.6
12.3
14.4
14.8
1.0
1.9
12.7
14.3
5.4
13.2
2.8
7.7
14.0
5.6
13.4
17.7
15.2
15.3
19.4
8.3
15.7
11.9
7.1
6.2
12.6
25.3
37.7
41.6
29.0
64.5
54.7
53.7
66.1
10.2
7.5
4.7
4.9
1.5
1.0
0.6
0.7
16.9
27.9
29.4
15.9
58.6
57.8
60.0
58.8
24.4
14.3
10.6
25.3
4.8
3.6
0.9
3.6
15.3
18.2
19.7
14.0
51.7
54.8
58.7
49.3
33.0
26.9
21.6
36.7
9.9
8.0
3.9
14.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
67
TABLE S.6 (continued)
2013
2050
2100
Country or area
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
0-14
15-59
60+
80+
Senegal ....................................
Serbia ......................................
Seychelles................................
Sierra Leone ............................
Singapore.................................
Slovakia...................................
Slovenia...................................
Solomon Islands ......................
Somalia....................................
South Africa ............................
South Sudan ............................
Spain........................................
Sri Lanka .................................
State of Palestine .....................
Sudan.......................................
Suriname .................................
Swaziland ................................
Sweden ....................................
Switzerland..............................
Syrian Arab Republic ..............
Tajikistan.................................
TFYR Macedonia ....................
Thailand...................................
Timor-Leste.............................
Togo ........................................
Tonga ......................................
Trinidad and Tobago ...............
Tunisia.....................................
Turkey .....................................
Turkmenistan...........................
Uganda ....................................
Ukraine....................................
United Arab Emirates ..............
United Kingdom ......................
United Republic of Tanzania...
United States of America.........
United States Virgin Islands....
Uruguay...................................
Uzbekistan...............................
Vanuatu ...................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian
Republic of)...........................
Viet Nam .................................
Western Sahara........................
Yemen .....................................
Zambia.....................................
Zimbabwe................................
Other non-specified areas ........
43.5
16.2
22.1
41.6
16.1
15.1
14.3
40.2
47.2
29.5
42.1
15.4
25.2
40.1
41.2
27.4
37.8
16.9
14.8
35.1
35.9
16.7
18.2
45.8
41.8
37.2
20.8
23.2
25.7
28.5
48.4
14.5
15.3
17.6
44.9
19.5
20.7
21.8
28.6
37.1
51.9
62.7
67.0
54.0
68.2
65.7
61.9
54.7
48.3
61.9
52.7
61.5
62.1
55.3
53.8
62.9
56.8
57.6
61.8
58.6
59.3
65.3
67.3
49.0
53.7
54.8
65.6
66.0
63.5
65.0
47.9
64.3
83.8
59.2
50.3
60.7
56.7
59.4
64.8
56.8
4.5
21.1
10.8
4.4
15.8
19.2
23.8
5.1
4.5
8.6
5.2
23.1
12.7
4.6
5.0
9.7
5.4
25.5
23.4
6.3
4.9
18.0
14.5
5.2
4.4
8.0
13.6
10.8
10.8
6.5
3.7
21.3
1.0
23.2
4.9
19.7
22.6
18.7
6.5
6.1
0.4
3.3
1.9
0.2
2.1
3.0
4.6
0.5
0.3
1.0
0.4
5.6
1.4
0.4
0.4
1.2
0.4
5.2
5.0
0.6
0.6
2.3
1.9
0.3
0.3
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.4
0.8
0.4
3.4
0.1
4.8
0.4
3.7
2.7
4.0
0.9
0.5
33.3
12.6
17.4
30.3
11.8
14.0
14.4
28.4
37.0
21.6
30.9
13.9
18.7
26.6
30.0
17.9
27.2
18.0
15.4
20.5
28.8
13.3
12.5
32.9
31.8
27.4
16.3
16.2
16.4
19.5
35.8
16.1
11.2
16.6
35.7
18.2
18.3
17.0
18.8
25.3
59.1
51.0
54.8
61.7
52.8
50.6
48.5
61.0
57.6
62.8
60.7
45.9
55.6
62.0
61.0
59.1
65.1
53.5
54.2
61.3
59.3
52.1
50.0
62.0
60.0
59.7
53.5
53.7
56.2
62.4
58.0
53.2
54.7
52.6
57.0
54.8
52.5
55.6
61.8
60.4
7.6
36.4
27.7
8.0
35.5
35.4
37.1
10.6
5.3
15.6
8.4
40.2
25.7
11.4
9.0
23.0
7.7
28.5
30.4
18.1
11.9
34.6
37.5
5.1
8.3
13.0
30.3
30.1
27.3
18.1
6.2
30.8
34.0
30.7
7.3
27.0
29.2
27.4
19.4
14.3
0.5
7.1
6.2
0.3
11.2
7.1
10.9
1.0
0.4
2.0
0.8
12.8
5.5
1.4
0.8
4.2
0.7
8.8
9.8
2.7
1.4
7.3
10.0
0.7
0.5
2.5
4.8
6.1
5.7
2.0
0.6
5.0
1.2
9.5
0.8
7.9
11.8
6.8
2.5
1.9
22.6
14.1
15.4
21.2
10.7
15.0
14.6
18.6
23.2
16.7
19.8
14.0
15.5
17.4
20.7
15.9
18.0
16.3
14.7
14.7
19.4
14.2
13.8
18.3
21.4
18.7
15.8
14.7
14.2
16.6
21.2
16.6
12.0
15.4
23.0
16.7
15.1
15.0
16.0
17.1
60.7
48.4
51.0
61.4
43.4
50.4
48.9
57.5
61.8
55.5
58.9
47.0
50.9
54.8
60.5
52.6
58.3
50.3
48.0
50.0
58.8
48.8
47.0
56.8
60.0
55.6
52.5
49.1
48.1
56.1
59.2
55.9
46.5
49.4
58.8
51.1
49.1
49.5
54.6
54.0
16.7
37.5
33.6
17.5
46.0
34.6
36.5
23.9
15.0
27.7
21.4
39.1
33.6
27.8
18.8
31.6
23.7
33.4
37.3
35.3
21.8
37.0
39.2
24.9
18.6
25.8
31.7
36.2
37.8
27.2
19.6
27.5
41.5
35.2
18.2
32.2
35.8
35.5
29.4
28.9
2.1
12.9
11.1
1.7
20.7
11.7
14.4
4.9
1.6
6.7
3.9
17.2
11.3
7.2
2.5
8.8
4.4
12.6
14.8
11.5
4.5
13.1
14.9
5.6
2.8
6.5
9.0
13.9
14.2
5.8
3.8
6.9
15.3
13.4
3.6
11.2
14.3
12.7
7.3
8.3
28.5
22.7
26.6
40.2
46.6
39.5
14.6
62.0
67.7
68.7
55.2
49.5
54.9
68.4
9.4
9.6
4.8
4.6
3.9
5.7
16.9
1.1
2.0
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.7
2.9
18.9
14.5
17.8
23.7
39.5
25.8
11.1
59.1
54.9
59.6
65.8
54.4
62.7
46.6
22.0
30.6
22.5
10.5
6.1
11.5
42.3
4.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.5
0.8
13.4
14.9
14.2
16.1
16.1
28.9
16.6
13.6
50.6
48.2
54.0
58.0
58.2
54.9
45.6
34.5
37.6
29.9
25.8
12.8
28.5
40.8
11.3
14.6
7.1
3.8
2.0
7.4
17.6
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects:
The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
68
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.7. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE OLDEST AND TEN COUNTRIES WITH THE YOUNGEST POPULATIONS, 1950, 1980, 2013, 2050 AND 2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
1950
Country or area
1980
Median
age
(years)
Country or area
2013
Median
age
(years)
Country or area
2050
Median
age
(years)
2100
Country or area
Median
age
(years)
Country or area
Median
age
(years)
A. Oldest populations
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Channel Islands
Austria
Belgium
Germany
Luxembourg
United Kingdom
France
Sweden
Switzerland
Czech Republic
35.7
35.7
35.5
35.3
35.0
34.9
34.5
34.2
33.2
32.7
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Germany
Sweden
Luxembourg
Latvia
Channel Islands
Austria
Switzerland
Hungary
United Kingdom
Denmark
36.7
36.3
35.0
35.0
34.9
34.9
34.6
34.4
34.4
34.3
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Japan
Germany
Italy
Bulgaria
Greece
Austria
Croatia
Slovenia
China, Hong Kong SAR
Finland
45.9
45.5
44.3
43.0
42.8
42.7
42.6
42.4
42.4
42.3
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Qatar
Other non-specified areas
Cuba
China, Hong Kong SAR
Republic of Korea
Japan
Portugal
Germany
Thailand
Oman
55.8
54.5
54.1
53.9
53.5
53.4
52.5
51.5
51.1
50.8
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Singapore
United Arab Emirates
China, Hong Kong SAR
Cuba
Republic of Korea
Qatar
Portugal
Japan
Maldives
Lebanon
56.4
53.6
52.9
52.8
52.6
52.5
52.2
51.8
51.7
51.4
Niger
Uganda
Chad
Angola
Mali
Somalia
Afghanistan
Timor-Leste
Zambia
Gambia
15.0
15.8
15.8
16.3
16.3
16.3
16.5
16.6
16.6
17.0
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Niger
Mali
Zambia
Somalia
Nigeria
Burundi
Uganda
Chad
Gambia
United Rep. of Tanzania
17.5
19.7
20.1
21.3
21.4
22.0
22.0
22.0
22.1
22.3
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Zambia
Niger
Mali
Somalia
Nigeria
Malawi
Congo
Burundi
Comoros
Côte d'Ivoire
27.8
28.4
31.7
32.6
32.6
32.8
33.2
33.2
33.4
33.5
WORLD
29.2
WORLD
36.1
WORLD
41.2
B. Youngest populations
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Niger
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Tonga
Grenada
Paraguay
Djibouti
Samoa
Fiji
Vanuatu
United Rep. of Tanzania
15.2
15.4
15.5
16.3
16.5
16.5
16.6
16.6
16.8
16.9
WORLD
23.5
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Kenya
State of Palestine
Mayotte
Jordan
Yemen
Zimbabwe
Swaziland
Syrian Arab Republic
Rwanda
Uganda
15.0
15.1
15.4
15.5
15.5
15.5
15.6
15.6
16.0
16.2
WORLD
22.6
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
69
TABLE S.8. MEDIAN AGE OF THE POPULATION BY COUNTRY, 1950, 1980, 2013, 2050 AND 2100
(MEDIUM VARIANT)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2013
2050
2100
World..........................................................
23.5
22.6
29.2
36.1
41.2
Afghanistan .................................................
Albania ........................................................
Algeria .........................................................
Angola .........................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ...................................
Argentina .....................................................
Armenia .......................................................
Aruba ...........................................................
Australia ......................................................
Austria .........................................................
Azerbaijan ...................................................
Bahamas ......................................................
Bahrain ........................................................
Bangladesh ..................................................
Barbados......................................................
Belarus.........................................................
Belgium .......................................................
Belize...........................................................
Benin ...........................................................
Bhutan .........................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ....................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ..............................
Botswana .....................................................
Brazil ...........................................................
Brunei Darussalam ......................................
Bulgaria .......................................................
Burkina Faso................................................
Burundi........................................................
Cambodia.....................................................
Cameroon ....................................................
Canada .........................................................
Cape Verde ..................................................
Central African Republic.............................
Chad ............................................................
Channel Islands ...........................................
Chile ............................................................
China ...........................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ..............................
China, Macao SAR ......................................
Colombia .....................................................
Comoros ......................................................
Congo ..........................................................
Costa Rica....................................................
Côte d'Ivoire ................................................
Croatia .........................................................
Cuba ............................................................
Curaçao........................................................
Cyprus .........................................................
Czech Republic............................................
18.5
20.9
19.4
19.4
20.6
25.7
22.4
18.5
30.4
35.7
22.8
20.7
18.9
19.3
24.6
27.2
35.5
20.8
24.2
18.0
19.2
20.0
19.2
19.2
22.4
27.3
19.5
19.5
18.7
20.3
27.7
23.0
22.5
21.5
35.7
22.2
23.7
23.7
26.5
18.7
21.2
20.0
21.6
18.3
27.9
22.3
22.6
23.7
32.7
16.6
20.5
16.7
16.7
22.5
27.2
23.5
26.0
29.4
34.9
21.1
20.2
22.3
17.6
24.5
31.3
34.2
16.4
17.5
18.9
18.5
25.8
16.6
20.3
20.4
34.2
17.1
17.6
19.2
17.7
29.2
16.4
18.9
17.5
34.9
22.6
22.1
25.1
25.5
18.8
17.3
17.6
20.0
17.5
32.8
23.9
23.3
28.3
33.0
16.5
32.9
26.9
16.3
30.5
31.1
32.7
39.5
37.2
42.7
29.7
31.8
30.1
25.1
36.9
39.3
41.6
23.0
18.4
25.8
22.4
39.5
22.5
30.3
30.5
43.0
17.1
17.6
24.4
18.3
40.1
24.2
19.7
15.8
42.0
33.1
35.4
42.4
37.4
27.7
19.1
18.8
29.7
19.0
42.6
40.1
40.8
35.2
40.3
30.3
47.6
36.3
22.6
40.5
40.1
45.6
45.2
40.6
46.1
41.6
41.2
45.1
39.9
42.6
43.6
43.8
35.7
25.3
40.5
31.2
50.4
32.5
44.4
43.7
48.1
23.2
22.0
36.2
24.8
43.3
41.7
27.6
22.0
47.6
45.4
46.3
53.9
49.1
39.6
24.6
23.1
45.4
23.9
48.9
54.1
46.2
47.6
44.8
43.4
49.9
43.2
35.4
46.7
47.0
47.1
46.7
47.3
47.9
45.6
46.3
50.3
48.9
45.0
43.8
46.4
48.5
35.4
47.9
41.4
48.7
43.3
49.8
50.0
45.3
34.6
33.2
47.3
36.0
46.9
50.0
39.6
34.9
50.5
49.8
46.9
52.9
49.6
47.7
33.4
33.2
51.0
33.5
48.7
52.8
46.5
49.6
46.1
70
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.8 (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2013
2050
2100
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea.......................
Dem. Republic of the Congo .......................
Denmark ......................................................
Djibouti........................................................
Dominican Republic ....................................
Ecuador........................................................
Egypt ...........................................................
El Salvador ..................................................
Equatorial Guinea ........................................
Eritrea ..........................................................
Estonia .........................................................
Ethiopia .......................................................
Fiji ...............................................................
Finland.........................................................
France ..........................................................
French Guiana .............................................
French Polynesia .........................................
Gabon ..........................................................
Gambia ........................................................
Georgia ........................................................
Germany ......................................................
Ghana ..........................................................
Greece..........................................................
Grenada .......................................................
Guadeloupe..................................................
Guam ...........................................................
Guatemala....................................................
Guinea .........................................................
Guinea-Bissau..............................................
Guyana.........................................................
Haiti.............................................................
Honduras .....................................................
Hungary .......................................................
Iceland .........................................................
India.............................................................
Indonesia .....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)............................
Iraq ..............................................................
Ireland..........................................................
Israel ............................................................
Italy..............................................................
Jamaica ........................................................
Japan............................................................
Jordan ..........................................................
Kazakhstan ..................................................
Kenya ..........................................................
Kiribati ........................................................
Kuwait .........................................................
Kyrgyzstan...................................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic........................
Latvia...........................................................
Lebanon .......................................................
18.0
18.1
31.7
16.5
17.0
20.6
20.4
18.5
23.8
17.3
29.9
17.9
16.6
27.8
34.5
26.6
18.7
28.1
19.5
27.3
35.3
17.4
26.0
16.3
20.9
22.8
17.5
21.9
20.9
20.4
20.2
18.8
30.1
26.5
21.3
20.0
21.9
22.0
30.0
25.5
28.6
22.2
22.3
17.2
23.2
20.0
21.3
21.5
25.3
19.8
30.5
23.2
21.9
17.7
34.3
16.5
18.2
18.8
19.5
17.2
17.3
16.8
33.9
17.6
19.5
32.8
32.5
23.1
19.5
21.6
17.8
29.1
36.7
17.0
34.2
18.8
22.4
22.6
17.2
19.1
18.8
18.0
19.1
16.4
34.4
26.9
20.2
19.1
18.0
16.6
26.6
25.0
34.2
19.2
32.6
15.5
23.5
15.0
18.9
20.8
20.8
17.7
35.0
19.9
33.6
17.4
41.1
22.8
25.8
26.1
25.2
24.1
20.6
18.4
40.9
18.2
27.1
42.3
40.6
24.9
30.9
20.7
17.0
37.6
45.5
20.6
42.8
26.3
37.7
29.8
19.4
18.6
19.1
22.6
22.2
21.9
40.6
35.5
26.4
27.8
28.5
19.7
35.3
30.1
44.3
27.7
45.9
23.4
29.4
18.8
23.5
29.2
24.6
21.4
41.5
29.8
41.1
23.2
42.3
32.4
38.0
37.5
34.6
38.5
27.3
26.7
44.4
29.2
35.6
44.2
43.4
33.1
43.1
27.5
22.1
43.4
51.5
28.4
48.9
41.3
47.0
39.8
28.8
25.4
24.7
35.8
32.4
34.1
46.1
42.9
36.7
38.4
42.2
27.8
41.9
36.1
49.9
40.2
53.4
33.8
34.9
25.5
33.1
35.6
31.8
34.3
42.7
48.8
45.8
34.5
45.3
42.7
48.3
48.0
45.1
47.7
39.9
40.2
45.1
43.1
43.7
47.4
46.7
43.8
49.3
38.6
34.5
46.4
51.1
37.5
49.1
46.3
49.2
49.0
42.3
35.6
33.8
41.1
41.9
47.7
46.5
48.9
44.3
45.3
48.3
39.0
46.6
45.9
49.6
47.2
51.8
45.8
41.1
37.4
43.7
43.9
40.4
46.9
43.3
51.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
71
TABLE S.8 (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2013
2050
2100
Lesotho ........................................................
Liberia .........................................................
Libya............................................................
Lithuania......................................................
Luxembourg ................................................
Madagascar..................................................
Malawi.........................................................
Malaysia ......................................................
Maldives ......................................................
Mali .............................................................
Malta............................................................
Martinique ...................................................
Mauritania ...................................................
Mauritius .....................................................
Mayotte........................................................
Mexico.........................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)..........................
Mongolia .....................................................
Montenegro .................................................
Morocco.......................................................
Mozambique ................................................
Myanmar .....................................................
Namibia .......................................................
Nepal ...........................................................
Netherlands..................................................
New Caledonia ............................................
New Zealand................................................
Nicaragua.....................................................
Niger............................................................
Nigeria .........................................................
Norway ........................................................
Oman ...........................................................
Pakistan .......................................................
Panama ........................................................
Papua New Guinea ......................................
Paraguay ......................................................
Peru..............................................................
Philippines ...................................................
Poland..........................................................
Portugal .......................................................
Puerto Rico ..................................................
Qatar ............................................................
Republic of Korea........................................
Republic of Moldova ...................................
Réunion .......................................................
Romania.......................................................
Russian Federation ......................................
Rwanda........................................................
Saint Lucia...................................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines....................
Samoa ..........................................................
Sao Tome and Principe................................
19.8
19.1
21.0
27.8
35.0
20.9
17.1
19.8
18.6
20.9
23.7
21.9
17.9
17.3
30.3
18.7
19.8
25.0
21.6
19.5
19.1
22.4
20.9
19.9
28.0
22.5
29.4
18.2
15.2
19.1
32.6
18.8
19.8
18.8
20.3
16.5
19.1
18.2
25.8
26.1
18.4
18.9
19.0
26.6
20.3
26.3
24.3
18.0
20.7
15.4
16.6
24.5
17.6
17.5
16.9
31.9
35.0
16.8
16.4
19.6
17.3
18.2
28.3
23.5
17.2
21.5
15.4
17.4
16.3
17.8
26.6
17.5
18.0
19.2
16.7
19.2
31.2
22.2
27.9
16.3
16.3
18.0
33.3
17.6
18.3
19.1
17.3
18.4
18.7
18.1
29.5
30.7
24.6
23.3
22.2
27.7
19.8
30.7
31.3
16.0
17.5
17.4
16.4
16.3
20.7
18.5
26.6
39.3
39.0
18.4
17.2
27.4
25.0
16.3
40.9
41.7
19.8
34.6
17.8
27.0
21.0
26.8
37.1
27.0
17.3
29.0
21.2
22.4
41.8
32.8
37.0
23.1
15.0
17.8
39.0
26.3
22.5
27.9
20.9
23.9
26.5
23.0
38.8
42.2
35.7
31.7
39.4
35.8
30.7
39.4
38.3
18.2
30.5
29.0
21.0
19.2
29.0
24.9
40.6
44.2
43.6
24.4
22.3
39.8
41.6
19.7
50.7
50.2
25.7
46.0
30.3
41.9
30.8
35.7
45.0
36.7
22.5
40.1
31.6
38.2
45.7
40.6
42.3
38.0
17.5
21.4
41.4
50.8
34.1
38.5
28.3
33.4
39.3
31.5
48.9
52.5
47.1
55.8
53.5
45.8
41.5
48.8
41.6
27.1
43.7
40.8
28.6
26.9
40.4
36.0
50.0
44.5
48.1
35.1
32.8
47.1
51.7
31.7
51.3
50.5
34.3
46.9
46.2
50.5
41.1
42.4
46.5
44.8
35.1
42.6
42.6
46.5
47.4
47.1
48.3
49.7
28.4
32.6
46.0
46.6
43.0
47.7
37.0
43.4
49.3
41.5
48.0
52.2
50.1
52.5
52.6
44.7
48.5
47.4
42.4
41.6
48.3
46.0
40.2
37.4
72
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.8 (continued)
Median age (years)
Country or area
1950
1980
2013
2050
2100
Saudi Arabia ................................................
Senegal ........................................................
Serbia...........................................................
Seychelles....................................................
Sierra Leone.................................................
Singapore.....................................................
Slovakia .......................................................
Slovenia .......................................................
Solomon Islands ..........................................
Somalia........................................................
South Africa ................................................
South Sudan.................................................
Spain............................................................
Sri Lanka .....................................................
State of Palestine .........................................
Sudan ...........................................................
Suriname......................................................
Swaziland ....................................................
Sweden ........................................................
Switzerland ..................................................
Syrian Arab Republic ..................................
Tajikistan .....................................................
TFYR Macedonia ........................................
Thailand.......................................................
Timor-Leste .................................................
Togo ............................................................
Tonga...........................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ...................................
Tunisia .........................................................
Turkey .........................................................
Turkmenistan...............................................
Uganda.........................................................
Ukraine ........................................................
United Arab Emirates ..................................
United Kingdom ..........................................
United Republic of Tanzania .......................
United States of America.............................
United States Virgin Islands ........................
Uruguay .......................................................
Uzbekistan ...................................................
Vanuatu .......................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ............
Viet Nam .....................................................
Western Sahara............................................
Yemen .........................................................
Zambia.........................................................
Zimbabwe....................................................
Other non-specified areas ............................
19.0
19.2
25.8
26.1
20.4
20.0
27.0
27.7
18.3
19.5
20.9
18.1
27.5
21.6
17.3
18.1
20.1
18.4
34.2
33.2
20.3
22.3
21.8
18.6
19.6
19.4
15.5
20.9
19.3
19.7
23.5
18.2
27.6
18.9
34.9
16.9
30.0
22.0
27.8
24.1
16.8
18.3
24.5
18.7
18.9
17.4
19.0
19.1
18.0
16.6
30.4
20.0
18.3
24.5
28.8
31.7
16.3
18.1
19.1
17.7
30.7
21.7
15.1
16.5
18.8
15.6
36.3
34.6
15.6
18.0
26.1
19.7
19.2
16.8
18.3
21.7
18.4
19.8
18.7
16.2
33.5
26.0
34.4
16.7
30.1
22.0
30.1
18.7
17.5
19.1
19.0
21.2
15.5
16.3
15.5
22.7
27.5
18.1
38.7
32.6
19.1
38.1
38.2
42.4
19.7
16.3
26.0
18.6
41.4
31.4
19.1
19.2
28.5
20.1
41.0
42.0
22.4
21.7
37.1
36.9
16.6
18.9
21.3
33.3
30.3
29.4
25.6
15.8
39.7
30.0
40.2
17.5
37.4
40.2
34.4
25.3
21.7
27.0
29.8
28.3
19.1
16.6
19.5
38.6
41.7
24.0
50.6
41.0
25.8
50.0
48.2
48.2
27.6
21.3
33.7
25.5
50.4
39.7
29.0
26.2
39.7
27.7
41.1
44.4
35.3
28.3
49.1
51.1
23.1
25.1
28.6
43.6
43.4
42.4
36.5
22.0
43.4
46.9
43.3
22.3
40.6
40.8
42.2
37.6
30.8
38.1
45.6
38.8
30.8
20.1
29.5
54.5
49.4
33.6
49.2
46.3
35.2
56.4
47.3
48.5
39.2
32.6
42.4
37.4
50.5
46.2
41.8
35.9
44.8
39.7
45.3
48.7
47.6
37.8
49.0
50.5
39.8
35.0
39.5
45.1
48.2
49.4
42.5
35.3
42.7
53.6
47.0
33.5
44.4
47.5
47.4
44.0
42.5
47.0
49.2
44.2
42.5
27.8
42.8
51.4
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
73
TABLE S.9. TOTAL FERTILITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
1975-1980
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
World.........................................
3.85
2.59
2.53
2.50
2.45
2.41
2.24
1.99
Afghanistan.................................
Albania .......................................
Algeria ........................................
Angola ........................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..................
Argentina ....................................
Armenia ......................................
Aruba ..........................................
Australia .....................................
Austria ........................................
Azerbaijan...................................
Bahamas .....................................
Bahrain .......................................
Bangladesh .................................
Barbados.....................................
Belarus........................................
Belgium ......................................
Belize..........................................
Benin ..........................................
Bhutan ........................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...
Bosnia and Herzegovina .............
Botswana ....................................
Brazil ..........................................
Brunei Darussalam .....................
Bulgaria ......................................
Burkina Faso...............................
Burundi.......................................
Cambodia....................................
Cameroon ...................................
Canada ........................................
Cape Verde .................................
Central African Republic............
Chad ...........................................
Channel Islands...........................
Chile ...........................................
China ..........................................
China, Hong Kong SAR .............
China, Macao SAR .....................
Colombia ....................................
Comoros .....................................
Congo .........................................
Costa Rica...................................
Côte d'Ivoire ...............................
Croatia ........................................
Cuba ...........................................
Curaçao.......................................
Cyprus ........................................
Czech Republic...........................
7.67
4.02
7.18
7.20
2.24
3.44
2.50
2.45
1.99
1.65
3.62
2.95
5.23
6.63
2.16
2.09
1.70
6.20
7.00
6.67
5.80
2.24
6.37
4.31
4.71
2.19
7.02
7.48
5.29
6.47
1.73
6.62
5.95
6.87
1.52
2.80
3.01
2.31
1.41
4.34
7.05
6.29
3.78
7.81
2.02
2.15
2.45
2.29
2.32
7.39
2.15
2.38
6.75
2.27
2.35
1.72
1.82
1.75
1.38
2.00
1.87
2.67
2.87
1.80
1.24
1.68
3.35
5.78
3.14
3.96
1.23
3.18
2.25
2.28
1.24
6.43
6.91
3.46
5.49
1.52
3.28
5.30
7.24
1.41
2.00
1.55
0.96
0.83
2.55
5.30
5.13
2.25
5.17
1.36
1.63
2.09
1.59
1.19
6.33
1.75
2.72
6.50
2.17
2.25
1.74
1.74
1.89
1.40
2.00
1.91
2.23
2.40
1.83
1.42
1.82
2.94
5.31
2.55
3.50
1.22
2.90
1.90
2.11
1.43
6.08
6.52
3.08
5.21
1.63
2.60
4.85
6.85
1.42
1.90
1.63
1.03
0.94
2.45
5.08
5.10
1.92
4.89
1.43
1.50
1.98
1.51
1.43
5.00
1.79
2.82
5.90
2.10
2.18
1.74
1.68
1.88
1.47
1.93
1.89
2.10
2.20
1.85
1.48
1.85
2.70
4.89
2.26
3.25
1.28
2.64
1.82
2.01
1.53
5.65
6.08
2.88
4.81
1.66
2.33
4.41
6.31
1.46
1.83
1.66
1.13
1.07
2.30
4.74
5.00
1.81
4.92
1.49
1.45
1.92
1.46
1.55
4.04
1.77
2.55
5.42
2.03
2.12
1.74
1.66
1.87
1.52
1.86
1.87
1.98
2.05
1.86
1.54
1.87
2.52
4.50
2.07
3.04
1.36
2.44
1.75
1.92
1.61
5.22
5.64
2.71
4.45
1.70
2.14
3.99
5.77
1.49
1.79
1.69
1.21
1.19
2.17
4.43
4.69
1.73
4.56
1.55
1.45
1.88
1.47
1.64
3.32
1.76
2.35
4.95
1.98
2.06
1.75
1.67
1.87
1.57
1.81
1.85
1.88
1.93
1.87
1.59
1.89
2.37
4.14
1.92
2.86
1.43
2.29
1.71
1.85
1.67
4.81
5.22
2.57
4.12
1.74
2.01
3.62
5.25
1.52
1.77
1.72
1.29
1.29
2.06
4.15
4.40
1.69
4.25
1.59
1.49
1.86
1.50
1.71
1.97
1.75
1.93
3.15
1.86
1.89
1.79
1.76
1.86
1.74
1.77
1.82
1.69
1.69
1.91
1.75
1.93
1.93
2.93
1.67
2.26
1.67
1.85
1.71
1.73
1.84
3.25
3.57
2.09
2.96
1.83
1.73
2.48
3.32
1.62
1.80
1.81
1.55
1.61
1.80
3.13
3.26
1.71
3.16
1.74
1.66
1.84
1.67
1.87
1.75
1.84
1.90
2.00
1.87
1.87
1.86
1.86
1.89
1.85
1.85
1.86
1.81
1.82
1.93
1.86
1.96
1.82
2.02
1.82
1.87
1.83
1.82
1.83
1.82
1.92
2.09
2.20
1.84
2.05
1.89
1.82
1.90
2.04
1.72
1.87
1.88
1.75
1.81
1.84
2.17
2.23
1.84
2.12
1.85
1.83
1.88
1.83
1.94
74
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.9 (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ......
Dem. Republic of the Congo ......
Denmark .....................................
Djibouti.......................................
Dominican Republic ...................
Ecuador.......................................
Egypt ..........................................
El Salvador .................................
Equatorial Guinea .......................
Eritrea .........................................
Estonia ........................................
Ethiopia ......................................
Fiji ..............................................
Finland........................................
France .........................................
French Guiana ............................
French Polynesia.........................
Gabon .........................................
Gambia .......................................
Georgia .......................................
Germany .....................................
Ghana..........................................
Greece.........................................
Grenada ......................................
Guadeloupe.................................
Guam ..........................................
Guatemala...................................
Guinea ........................................
Guinea-Bissau.............................
Guyana........................................
Haiti ............................................
Honduras ....................................
Hungary ......................................
Iceland ........................................
India............................................
Indonesia ....................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...........
Iraq .............................................
Ireland.........................................
Israel ...........................................
Italy.............................................
Jamaica .......................................
Japan...........................................
Jordan .........................................
Kazakhstan .................................
Kenya..........................................
Kiribati........................................
Kuwait ........................................
Kyrgyzstan..................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic.......
Latvia..........................................
Lebanon ......................................
1975-1980
2.68
6.46
1.68
6.64
4.76
5.09
5.50
5.46
5.68
6.62
2.06
7.18
4.00
1.66
1.86
3.30
4.23
5.57
6.34
2.39
1.51
6.69
2.32
4.30
3.06
3.52
6.20
6.45
6.11
4.41
5.80
6.60
2.13
2.45
4.89
4.73
6.28
6.80
3.25
3.47
1.94
4.00
1.83
7.38
3.06
7.64
5.10
5.89
4.05
6.15
1.87
4.23
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2.01
6.91
1.76
4.22
2.83
2.97
3.15
2.60
5.64
5.74
1.39
6.13
2.98
1.75
1.88
3.68
2.36
4.47
5.85
1.58
1.35
4.55
1.28
2.43
2.06
2.74
4.60
5.75
5.66
2.65
4.00
3.72
1.30
1.99
3.00
2.48
1.97
4.75
1.97
2.91
1.25
2.54
1.30
3.85
2.01
5.00
3.56
2.58
2.50
3.70
1.29
2.01
2.00
6.50
1.85
3.80
2.67
2.75
2.98
2.35
5.36
5.20
1.64
5.26
2.75
1.84
1.97
3.27
2.17
4.29
5.79
1.80
1.36
4.22
1.46
2.30
2.14
2.54
4.15
5.39
5.28
2.77
3.55
3.31
1.33
2.13
2.66
2.50
1.89
4.38
2.00
2.91
1.39
2.40
1.34
3.64
2.54
4.80
3.16
2.71
2.78
3.52
1.49
1.58
2.00
5.98
1.88
3.42
2.50
2.58
2.79
2.20
4.89
4.74
1.59
4.59
2.61
1.85
1.98
3.08
2.07
4.12
5.78
1.81
1.42
3.89
1.52
2.18
2.08
2.42
3.82
4.95
4.96
2.55
3.18
3.03
1.41
2.08
2.50
2.35
1.93
4.06
2.00
2.91
1.48
2.27
1.41
3.27
2.44
4.41
2.98
2.60
3.10
3.05
1.59
1.51
1.94
5.47
1.89
3.11
2.35
2.43
2.62
2.08
4.40
4.30
1.66
4.00
2.47
1.86
1.98
2.92
1.99
3.80
5.53
1.82
1.46
3.60
1.57
2.07
2.03
2.31
3.52
4.55
4.65
2.40
2.90
2.80
1.47
2.04
2.37
2.22
1.89
3.77
1.99
2.80
1.55
2.16
1.48
2.98
2.36
4.08
2.82
2.51
2.91
2.72
1.67
1.48
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2020-2025
1.90
4.99
1.90
2.86
2.22
2.31
2.48
1.98
3.95
3.89
1.71
3.52
2.36
1.87
1.98
2.78
1.92
3.50
5.21
1.82
1.50
3.35
1.61
1.98
1.98
2.22
3.26
4.17
4.35
2.28
2.67
2.61
1.53
2.00
2.25
2.12
1.86
3.52
1.99
2.69
1.61
2.07
1.54
2.75
2.28
3.79
2.68
2.43
2.75
2.48
1.73
1.48
2045-2050
2095-2100
1.84
3.23
1.94
2.17
1.84
1.91
2.03
1.75
2.55
2.58
1.85
2.30
1.98
1.89
1.99
2.31
1.77
2.58
3.42
1.85
1.64
2.54
1.76
1.79
1.90
1.94
2.45
2.89
3.14
1.99
2.06
2.04
1.71
1.88
1.92
1.87
1.83
2.69
1.97
2.26
1.79
1.85
1.72
2.05
2.03
2.82
2.19
2.18
2.24
1.88
1.87
1.63
1.87
2.04
1.95
1.84
1.83
1.83
1.84
1.82
1.89
1.90
1.91
1.83
1.86
1.91
1.99
1.95
1.83
1.94
2.01
1.89
1.76
1.92
1.86
1.84
1.90
1.87
1.92
1.99
2.13
1.91
1.83
1.82
1.84
1.88
1.84
1.86
1.88
1.97
1.97
1.92
1.88
1.86
1.85
1.81
1.90
1.96
1.87
2.01
1.92
1.83
1.94
1.82
75
TABLE S.9 (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Lesotho .......................................
Liberia ........................................
Libya...........................................
Lithuania.....................................
Luxembourg ...............................
Madagascar.................................
Malawi........................................
Malaysia .....................................
Maldives .....................................
Mali ............................................
Malta...........................................
Martinique ..................................
Mauritania...................................
Mauritius ....................................
Mayotte.......................................
Mexico........................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of).........
Mongolia ....................................
Montenegro.................................
Morocco......................................
Mozambique ...............................
Myanmar ....................................
Namibia ......................................
Nepal ..........................................
Netherlands.................................
New Caledonia ...........................
New Zealand...............................
Nicaragua....................................
Niger...........................................
Nigeria ........................................
Norway .......................................
Oman ..........................................
Pakistan ......................................
Panama .......................................
Papua New Guinea .....................
Paraguay .....................................
Peru.............................................
Philippines ..................................
Poland.........................................
Portugal ......................................
Puerto Rico .................................
Qatar ...........................................
Republic of Korea.......................
Republic of Moldova ..................
Réunion ......................................
Romania......................................
Russian Federation .....................
Rwanda.......................................
Saint Lucia..................................
St. Vincent and the
Grenadines..................................
Samoa .........................................
76
1975-1980
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2045-2050
2095-2100
5.69
6.93
7.94
2.10
1.49
7.00
7.60
3.93
6.85
7.01
2.12
2.65
6.57
3.11
7.91
5.25
6.40
6.65
2.37
5.90
6.53
5.21
6.60
5.83
1.60
3.91
2.18
6.35
7.63
6.76
1.81
8.10
6.60
4.19
5.87
5.20
5.38
5.46
2.26
2.55
2.76
6.11
2.92
2.44
3.12
2.53
1.94
8.43
5.20
3.79
5.68
2.92
1.28
1.65
5.28
6.07
2.45
2.76
6.81
1.41
1.98
5.23
1.93
4.45
2.54
4.05
2.08
1.78
2.52
5.73
2.25
3.81
3.70
1.73
2.26
1.95
3.00
7.67
6.05
1.81
3.21
4.00
2.76
4.35
3.48
2.80
3.70
1.27
1.45
1.82
2.95
1.22
1.50
2.45
1.28
1.30
5.60
2.10
3.37
5.23
2.67
1.42
1.62
4.83
5.83
2.07
2.42
6.80
1.40
1.91
4.96
1.58
4.30
2.37
3.62
2.37
1.73
2.38
5.57
2.07
3.40
2.99
1.75
2.24
2.14
2.76
7.58
6.00
1.92
2.89
3.65
2.62
4.10
3.08
2.60
3.27
1.33
1.36
1.70
2.21
1.23
1.50
2.40
1.33
1.44
5.13
2.04
3.07
4.83
2.38
1.51
1.67
4.50
5.42
1.98
2.29
6.86
1.36
1.83
4.70
1.51
3.83
2.20
3.33
2.44
1.67
2.78
5.22
1.95
3.08
2.32
1.77
2.13
2.05
2.52
7.58
6.00
1.93
2.91
3.22
2.48
3.81
2.89
2.43
3.07
1.41
1.32
1.64
2.05
1.32
1.46
2.24
1.41
1.53
4.56
1.92
2.82
4.47
2.15
1.58
1.71
4.21
5.05
1.91
2.07
6.71
1.37
1.79
4.39
1.50
3.47
2.06
3.08
2.33
1.64
2.56
4.86
1.86
2.83
2.11
1.79
2.04
1.99
2.33
7.41
5.73
1.93
2.54
2.89
2.36
3.55
2.72
2.29
2.89
1.48
1.33
1.61
1.92
1.39
1.46
2.11
1.48
1.60
4.09
1.82
2020-2025
2.62
4.13
1.97
1.63
1.74
3.95
4.71
1.85
1.90
6.40
1.42
1.78
4.10
1.53
3.17
1.94
2.88
2.25
1.64
2.40
4.51
1.79
2.63
1.96
1.81
1.98
1.94
2.19
7.15
5.43
1.93
2.28
2.65
2.26
3.32
2.58
2.17
2.74
1.53
1.38
1.62
1.83
1.46
1.50
2.02
1.53
1.66
3.71
1.75
2.07
2.97
1.62
1.79
1.83
3.01
3.45
1.76
1.66
4.21
1.64
1.80
3.05
1.69
2.26
1.74
2.23
2.01
1.72
1.96
3.09
1.71
2.03
1.71
1.86
1.84
1.83
1.82
5.03
3.79
1.94
1.71
1.99
1.94
2.58
2.10
1.83
2.20
1.72
1.62
1.70
1.67
1.68
1.67
1.86
1.72
1.81
2.55
1.68
1.84
2.05
1.81
1.88
1.88
2.11
2.28
1.84
1.83
2.24
1.83
1.88
2.13
1.84
1.83
1.84
1.85
1.94
1.84
1.87
2.05
1.83
1.83
1.82
1.90
1.87
1.86
1.82
2.51
2.18
1.94
1.83
1.82
1.86
1.96
1.85
1.82
1.86
1.84
1.82
1.84
1.81
1.84
1.83
1.88
1.85
1.90
1.80
1.82
4.42
6.49
2.24
4.44
2.13
4.47
2.01
4.16
1.90
3.90
1.82
3.66
1.72
2.84
1.84
2.03
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.9 (continued)
Total fertility (average number of children per woman)
Country or area
Sao Tome and Principe...............
Saudi Arabia ...............................
Senegal .......................................
Serbia..........................................
Seychelles ...................................
Sierra Leone................................
Singapore....................................
Slovakia ......................................
Slovenia ......................................
Solomon Islands .........................
Somalia.......................................
South Africa................................
South Sudan................................
Spain...........................................
Sri Lanka ....................................
State of Palestine ........................
Sudan ..........................................
Suriname.....................................
Swaziland ...................................
Sweden .......................................
Switzerland .................................
Syrian Arab Republic .................
Tajikistan ....................................
TFYR Macedonia .......................
Thailand......................................
Timor-Leste ................................
Togo ...........................................
Tonga..........................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..................
Tunisia ........................................
Turkey ........................................
Turkmenistan..............................
Uganda........................................
Ukraine .......................................
United Arab Emirates .................
United Kingdom .........................
United Republic of Tanzania ......
United States of America............
United States Virgin Islands .......
Uruguay ......................................
Uzbekistan ..................................
Vanuatu ......................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian
Republic of) ................................
Viet Nam ....................................
Western Sahara ...........................
Yemen ........................................
Zambia........................................
Zimbabwe ...................................
Other non-specified areas ...........
1975-1980
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2045-2050
2095-2100
6.50
7.28
7.45
2.37
4.27
7.02
1.84
2.46
2.18
7.04
7.00
5.00
6.92
2.55
3.61
7.50
6.92
4.20
6.73
1.66
1.54
7.32
5.90
2.64
3.92
4.31
7.28
5.50
3.24
5.69
4.65
5.32
7.10
1.98
5.66
1.73
6.73
1.77
3.49
2.89
5.58
5.75
4.61
3.54
5.39
1.55
2.20
5.73
1.35
1.22
1.23
4.60
7.44
2.80
5.92
1.29
2.26
5.03
5.25
2.62
4.01
1.67
1.41
3.67
3.71
1.58
1.60
6.96
5.15
4.23
1.75
2.04
2.33
2.76
6.75
1.15
2.40
1.66
5.66
2.04
2.14
2.20
2.55
4.11
4.45
3.03
5.11
1.41
2.30
5.16
1.26
1.31
1.44
4.40
7.10
2.55
5.43
1.41
2.31
4.42
4.83
2.42
3.75
1.89
1.47
3.19
3.68
1.48
1.49
6.53
4.89
4.03
1.80
2.05
2.16
2.50
6.38
1.39
1.97
1.88
5.58
2.06
2.44
2.12
2.49
3.63
4.10
2.68
4.98
1.37
2.18
4.75
1.28
1.39
1.50
4.06
6.61
2.40
4.97
1.50
2.35
4.05
4.46
2.28
3.36
1.92
1.53
3.00
3.85
1.44
1.41
5.91
4.68
3.79
1.80
2.02
2.05
2.34
5.91
1.46
1.82
1.88
5.24
1.97
2.49
2.05
2.32
3.41
3.79
2.43
4.62
1.38
2.08
4.37
1.31
1.46
1.55
3.77
6.10
2.28
4.54
1.57
2.25
3.73
4.12
2.16
3.06
1.94
1.58
2.75
3.60
1.43
1.36
5.30
4.33
3.57
1.79
1.91
1.96
2.21
5.44
1.52
1.73
1.89
4.91
1.98
2.38
2.00
2.18
3.22
2020-2025
3.53
2.24
4.30
1.43
2.00
4.03
1.33
1.52
1.60
3.51
5.60
2.18
4.15
1.62
2.16
3.45
3.82
2.06
2.82
1.95
1.62
2.54
3.38
1.46
1.38
4.73
4.02
3.37
1.79
1.84
1.89
2.11
4.98
1.57
1.66
1.89
4.59
1.98
2.29
1.96
2.07
3.04
2.66
1.78
3.17
1.64
1.84
2.87
1.40
1.71
1.75
2.65
3.63
1.87
2.86
1.79
1.91
2.57
2.81
1.84
2.12
1.98
1.76
1.92
2.63
1.65
1.61
2.87
2.96
2.69
1.81
1.76
1.75
1.82
3.24
1.74
1.64
1.90
3.34
1.99
2.01
1.86
1.79
2.44
1.96
1.81
2.14
1.83
1.87
2.00
1.47
1.84
1.86
1.94
2.14
1.83
1.98
1.88
1.87
1.91
2.01
1.86
1.83
2.00
1.86
1.80
1.98
1.83
1.82
1.93
2.04
2.00
1.87
1.85
1.83
1.83
2.05
1.86
1.81
1.91
2.22
1.99
1.92
1.87
1.83
1.91
4.47
5.50
6.23
8.58
7.38
7.30
2.64
2.72
1.93
2.81
5.91
6.00
4.01
1.43
2.55
1.89
2.57
4.91
5.90
3.90
1.26
2.40
1.75
2.38
4.15
5.71
3.51
1.21
2.28
1.67
2.22
3.57
5.47
3.20
1.21
2.17
1.62
2.09
3.15
5.19
2.96
1.28
1.86
1.68
1.76
2.03
4.02
2.17
1.58
1.84
1.83
1.82
1.74
2.80
1.83
1.81
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
77
78
TABLE S.10. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST TOTAL FERTILITY,
1975-1980, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100 (MEDIUM VARIANT)
1975-1980
Rank
Country or area
2005-2010
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Rank
Country or area
2045-2050
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Rank
2095-2100
Country or area
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
Rank
Country or area
Total fertility
(average
number of
children per
woman)
A. Highest fertility
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Yemen
Rwanda
Oman
Libya
Mayotte
Côte d'Ivoire
Afghanistan
Kenya
Niger
Malawi
8.58
8.43
8.10
7.94
7.91
7.81
7.67
7.64
7.63
7.60
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Niger
Somalia
Chad
Mali
Timor-Leste
Burundi
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Angola
Uganda
Afghanistan
7.58
7.10
6.85
6.80
6.53
6.52
6.50
6.50
6.38
6.33
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Niger
Mali
Zambia
Nigeria
Somalia
Burundi
Malawi
Gambia
United Rep. of Tanzania
Chad
5.03
4.21
4.02
3.79
3.63
3.57
3.45
3.42
3.34
3.32
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Zambia
Niger
Malawi
Mali
Congo
United Rep. of Tanzania
Burundi
Nigeria
Comoros
Somalia
2.80
2.51
2.28
2.24
2.23
2.22
2.20
2.18
2.17
2.14
China, Macao SAR
China, Hong Kong SAR
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Republic of Korea
Singapore
Other non-specified areas
Slovakia
Hungary
Poland
Romania
0.94
1.03
1.22
1.23
1.26
1.26
1.31
1.33
1.33
1.33
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Singapore
China, Hong Kong SAR
Other non-specified areas
China, Macao SAR
Thailand
Channel Islands
Portugal
Libya
Lebanon
Serbia
1.40
1.55
1.58
1.61
1.61
1.62
1.62
1.62
1.63
1.64
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Singapore
Channel Islands
Yemen
China, Hong Kong SAR
Afghanistan
Germany
Syrian Arab Republic
Rwanda
Saudi Arabia
Jordan
1.47
1.72
1.74
1.75
1.75
1.76
1.80
1.80
1.81
1.81
WORLD
2.53
WORLD
2.24
WORLD
1.99
B. Lowest fertility
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
China, Macao SAR
Luxembourg
Germany
Channel Islands
Switzerland
Netherlands
Austria
Finland
Sweden
Denmark
1.41
1.49
1.51
1.52
1.54
1.60
1.65
1.66
1.66
1.68
WORLD
3.85
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
TABLE S.11. FIFTEEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LARGEST AND FIFTEEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE SMALLEST
PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN TOTAL FERTILITY BETWEEN 1975-1980 AND 2005-2010, AMONG COUNTRIES WITH
TOTAL FERTILITY IN 1975-1980 GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 4 CHILDREN PER WOMAN (MEDIUM VARIANT)
Rank
Country or area
Total fertility
(average number of
children per woman)
Change from 1975-1980 to
2005-2010
1975-1980
Difference
Percentage
1.89
2.67
1.89
1.97
2.42
2.37
2.89
2.05
2.21
2.40
1.58
2.72
1.49
2.55
2.04
-4.39
-5.27
-3.61
-3.69
-4.44
-4.28
-5.21
-3.64
-3.90
-4.23
-2.66
-4.45
-2.43
-4.12
-3.16
-69.9
-66.3
-65.7
-65.2
-64.8
-64.3
-64.3
-63.9
-63.8
-63.8
-62.8
-62.0
-62.0
-61.8
-60.8
6.85
6.50
7.58
3.27
7.10
2.14
6.80
2.17
1.47
1.89
5.36
1.97
1.63
1.92
1.82
-0.02
0.04
-0.05
-0.03
0.10
-0.04
-0.21
-0.07
-0.07
-0.10
-0.32
0.11
-0.11
0.11
0.11
-0.3
0.6
-0.7
-0.9
1.5
-1.7
-2.9
-3.0
-4.4
-5.1
-5.6
6.0
-6.1
6.3
6.6
2005-2010
A. Largest fertility change
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Iran (Islamic Republic of)
Libya
Viet Nam
United Arab Emirates
Maldives
Mongolia
Oman
Tunisia
Qatar
Bangladesh
Lebanon
Algeria
Thailand
Bhutan
Saint Lucia
6.28
7.94
5.50
5.66
6.85
6.65
8.10
5.69
6.11
6.63
4.23
7.18
3.92
6.67
5.20
B. Smallest fertility change
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
Chad
Dem. Republic of the Congo
Niger
French Guiana
Somalia
New Zealand
Mali
Antigua and Barbuda
Switzerland
Australia
Equatorial Guinea
France
Canada
Norway
Belgium
6.87
6.46
7.63
3.30
7.00
2.18
7.01
2.24
1.54
1.99
5.68
1.86
1.73
1.81
1.70
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
79
TABLE S.12. TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AND THE TEN COUNTRIES OR AREAS WITH THE LOWEST
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, 2005-2010, 2045-2050 AND 2095-2100
2005-2010
Country or area
2045-2050
Life
expectancy
(years)
Country or area
2095-2100
Life
expectancy
(years)
Country or area
Life
expectancy
(years)
A. Highest life expectancy at birth
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Japan
China, Hong Kong SAR
Switzerland
Australia
Italy
Iceland
Singapore
Spain
Sweden
France
82.7
82.4
81.8
81.7
81.5
81.4
81.2
81.2
81.1
80.9
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
China, Hong Kong SAR
Republic of Korea
Japan
Singapore
Martinique
Italy
Switzerland
Australia
Guadeloupe
Spain
89.0
88.4
88.4
87.7
87.7
87.3
87.2
87.2
87.1
86.8
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Republic of Korea
China, Hong Kong SAR
Japan
Martinique
Singapore
Guadeloupe
Italy
Australia
Switzerland
Spain
95.5
94.9
94.2
94.1
94.0
93.5
93.3
93.2
93.0
92.5
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Sierra Leone
Guinea
Benin
Gambia
Guinea-Bissau
Mauritania
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Ghana
Papua New Guinea
Comoros
69.4
69.6
69.6
70.1
70.5
70.9
71.0
71.6
72.0
72.5
WORLD
81.8
B. Lowest life expectancy at birth
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Sierra Leone
Lesotho
Central African Republic
Botswana
Zimbabwe
Swaziland
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Mozambique
Chad
Côte d'Ivoire
44.0
45.6
46.4
46.5
47.3
47.4
48.3
48.4
48.7
48.7
WORLD
68.7
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Sierra Leone
Dem. Rep. of the Congo
Guinea-Bissau
Swaziland
Guinea
Côte d'Ivoire
Benin
Gambia
Angola
Somalia
56.1
60.4
62.0
62.3
63.4
64.0
64.2
64.5
64.7
65.0
WORLD
75.9
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
80
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.13. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH, BOTH SEXES COMBINED, BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
World ......................................................
67.1
68.7
70.0
71.0
71.9
75.9
81.8
Afghanistan..............................................
Albania.....................................................
Algeria .....................................................
Angola .....................................................
Antigua and Barbuda ...............................
Argentina .................................................
Armenia ...................................................
Aruba .......................................................
Australia...................................................
Austria .....................................................
Azerbaijan................................................
Bahamas...................................................
Bahrain.....................................................
Bangladesh...............................................
Barbados ..................................................
Belarus .....................................................
Belgium ...................................................
Belize .......................................................
Benin........................................................
Bhutan......................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ................
Bosnia and Herzegovina ..........................
Botswana .................................................
Brazil .......................................................
Brunei Darussalam...................................
Bulgaria ...................................................
Burkina Faso............................................
Burundi ....................................................
Cambodia.................................................
Cameroon.................................................
Canada .....................................................
Cape Verde ..............................................
Central African Republic .........................
Chad.........................................................
Channel Islands........................................
Chile ........................................................
China........................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ..........................
China, Macao SAR ..................................
Colombia .................................................
Comoros...................................................
Congo.......................................................
Costa Rica................................................
Côte d'Ivoire ............................................
Croatia .....................................................
55.8
75.4
69.4
47.2
74.1
74.3
72.7
74.0
80.4
78.8
67.8
73.2
75.0
66.4
73.6
67.8
78.3
71.3
56.0
62.1
63.9
74.8
48.2
71.0
76.5
72.1
51.6
48.9
64.5
51.6
79.7
71.0
44.1
47.0
78.3
77.9
73.4
81.3
78.1
71.7
58.5
52.8
78.1
46.2
74.9
58.4
76.3
70.3
49.6
75.0
75.3
74.0
74.7
81.7
80.1
70.1
74.3
75.8
68.4
74.5
69.3
79.5
72.7
58.2
65.7
65.6
75.5
46.5
72.4
77.5
73.0
54.0
51.3
69.5
52.7
80.5
73.2
46.4
48.7
79.5
78.6
74.4
82.4
79.2
72.9
59.7
55.7
78.8
48.7
76.1
60.7
77.3
70.9
51.7
75.9
76.2
74.5
75.4
82.4
81.0
70.6
75.1
76.5
70.5
75.3
69.8
80.4
73.8
59.2
68.0
67.1
76.3
47.4
73.8
78.4
73.5
56.1
53.9
71.6
54.9
81.4
74.9
49.9
51.0
80.2
79.8
75.2
83.3
80.3
73.9
60.8
58.6
79.8
50.5
77.0
62.6
78.3
71.5
53.7
76.7
77.1
75.1
76.0
83.1
81.8
71.2
76.0
77.2
72.4
76.1
70.4
81.3
74.8
60.1
70.0
68.4
77.1
50.5
75.1
79.4
74.0
58.1
55.9
73.5
57.0
82.1
76.4
52.8
53.1
81.0
81.0
76.0
84.2
81.3
74.9
61.8
60.4
80.9
52.4
77.8
64.1
79.3
72.1
55.6
77.6
78.0
75.8
76.7
83.8
82.6
71.7
76.8
77.9
74.0
76.9
71.0
82.0
76.1
60.9
71.7
69.6
77.9
55.1
76.4
80.4
74.6
60.1
57.4
75.0
59.1
82.8
77.8
55.5
54.9
81.7
82.0
76.7
85.0
82.2
75.9
62.7
62.2
81.7
54.4
78.7
69.1
83.2
74.6
64.7
81.7
81.9
79.1
80.1
87.2
85.9
74.5
80.8
81.4
80.1
81.0
74.0
85.3
82.8
64.2
77.2
73.5
81.6
70.1
81.7
84.3
77.6
68.2
68.4
80.2
68.6
85.8
82.2
67.6
65.5
84.6
85.7
79.9
89.0
85.9
80.6
66.5
70.1
85.1
64.0
82.3
75.3
88.9
80.4
75.4
87.6
87.8
84.6
85.3
93.2
91.9
80.9
86.7
87.1
87.3
87.1
79.9
91.0
91.1
69.6
84.8
80.1
87.1
79.8
88.3
90.2
83.4
76.8
78.6
85.6
77.2
91.2
87.5
78.1
75.8
90.2
91.6
85.3
94.9
91.8
86.8
72.5
77.7
90.7
75.0
87.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
81
TABLE S.13 (continued)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area
Cuba.........................................................
Curaçao....................................................
Cyprus......................................................
Czech Republic ........................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea ...................
Dem. Republic of the Congo....................
Denmark ..................................................
Djibouti....................................................
Dominican Republic ................................
Ecuador....................................................
Egypt........................................................
El Salvador...............................................
Equatorial Guinea ....................................
Eritrea ......................................................
Estonia .....................................................
Ethiopia....................................................
Fiji............................................................
Finland .....................................................
France ......................................................
French Guiana..........................................
French Polynesia......................................
Gabon.......................................................
Gambia.....................................................
Georgia ....................................................
Germany ..................................................
Ghana.......................................................
Greece......................................................
Grenada....................................................
Guadeloupe ..............................................
Guam .......................................................
Guatemala ................................................
Guinea......................................................
Guinea-Bissau..........................................
Guyana.....................................................
Haiti .........................................................
Honduras..................................................
Hungary ...................................................
Iceland .....................................................
India .........................................................
Indonesia..................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ........................
Iraq...........................................................
Ireland......................................................
Israel ........................................................
Italy..........................................................
Jamaica ....................................................
Japan ........................................................
Jordan.......................................................
82
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
77.2
75.0
78.3
75.4
68.1
47.4
77.3
57.3
71.1
74.2
69.0
70.2
47.9
57.4
71.3
54.0
68.0
78.3
79.5
75.1
73.2
59.3
55.9
72.6
78.6
57.5
79.1
70.9
77.9
75.9
69.0
51.3
51.9
63.7
58.1
71.0
72.6
80.5
63.1
68.1
70.6
70.4
77.6
79.6
80.2
70.8
81.8
72.2
78.3
76.1
79.0
76.8
68.4
48.3
78.6
59.1
72.2
75.0
69.9
71.3
50.1
60.0
73.6
59.3
68.8
79.5
80.9
75.9
75.0
61.3
57.5
73.5
79.8
60.0
79.8
72.0
79.4
77.4
70.3
54.5
53.0
65.2
60.7
72.1
73.8
81.4
64.9
69.6
72.3
68.5
79.6
80.8
81.5
72.2
82.7
73.0
79.2
77.0
79.8
77.6
69.9
49.8
79.3
61.6
73.3
76.4
71.1
72.5
52.9
62.6
74.3
63.3
69.7
80.5
81.7
77.0
76.1
63.3
58.7
74.2
80.7
61.0
80.7
72.7
80.8
78.7
72.0
55.9
54.2
66.2
63.0
73.7
74.5
82.0
66.3
70.7
73.9
69.4
80.6
81.7
82.3
73.5
83.5
73.8
80.1
77.9
80.6
78.4
71.2
51.3
80.0
63.7
74.4
77.6
72.1
73.6
55.0
65.1
75.1
65.9
70.6
81.2
82.5
78.1
77.2
64.9
59.8
74.9
81.4
61.9
81.5
73.4
81.9
80.0
73.4
57.3
55.4
67.0
64.3
75.1
75.2
82.7
67.5
71.7
75.4
70.2
81.5
82.5
83.1
74.1
84.3
74.5
80.9
78.8
81.4
79.2
72.3
52.8
80.8
65.5
75.4
78.8
73.0
74.7
57.2
67.4
75.8
67.9
71.4
81.9
83.2
79.3
78.3
66.3
60.8
75.7
82.2
62.7
82.2
74.1
82.9
81.2
74.8
58.6
56.5
67.6
65.4
76.5
76.0
83.3
68.5
72.7
76.7
71.0
82.3
83.2
83.8
74.8
85.0
75.3
84.3
82.4
84.5
82.6
77.2
60.4
83.9
72.1
80.3
83.2
77.3
79.7
68.3
74.4
79.3
74.5
75.3
85.2
86.6
83.3
83.1
71.7
64.5
79.3
85.4
66.1
85.3
77.6
87.1
85.5
80.7
63.4
62.0
70.7
71.5
82.0
79.6
86.4
72.9
77.0
82.4
74.3
85.7
86.4
87.3
78.0
88.4
79.0
89.8
87.6
90.0
88.2
84.5
71.0
89.3
78.6
86.9
88.7
84.6
86.1
78.5
81.8
84.7
81.3
82.7
90.8
92.5
89.3
89.6
79.3
70.1
85.0
91.2
71.6
90.9
84.3
93.5
92.1
87.5
69.6
70.5
76.7
78.3
89.5
85.4
92.1
80.6
84.5
89.5
81.0
91.4
92.4
93.3
83.9
94.2
85.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.13 (continued)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area
Kazakhstan...............................................
Kenya.......................................................
Kiribati.....................................................
Kuwait .....................................................
Kyrgyzstan...............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ....................
Latvia .......................................................
Lebanon ...................................................
Lesotho ....................................................
Liberia......................................................
Libya........................................................
Lithuania..................................................
Luxembourg.............................................
Madagascar ..............................................
Malawi .....................................................
Malaysia...................................................
Maldives ..................................................
Mali..........................................................
Malta........................................................
Martinique................................................
Mauritania................................................
Mauritius..................................................
Mayotte....................................................
Mexico .....................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ......................
Mongolia..................................................
Montenegro..............................................
Morocco...................................................
Mozambique ............................................
Myanmar..................................................
Namibia ...................................................
Nepal........................................................
Netherlands ..............................................
New Caledonia.........................................
New Zealand............................................
Nicaragua.................................................
Niger ........................................................
Nigeria .....................................................
Norway ....................................................
Oman .......................................................
Pakistan....................................................
Panama.....................................................
Papua New Guinea...................................
Paraguay ..................................................
Peru..........................................................
Philippines ...............................................
Poland ......................................................
Portugal....................................................
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
64.6
53.0
65.5
73.4
66.6
63.2
70.7
75.6
43.7
52.4
72.7
71.6
78.3
60.0
46.8
73.3
71.8
50.3
77.9
78.9
60.0
72.1
76.5
75.0
67.6
64.1
73.4
68.7
47.6
62.8
53.4
63.5
78.7
74.1
79.0
70.9
52.4
47.3
79.2
73.3
64.5
75.6
59.6
70.8
71.6
67.1
74.5
77.3
65.7
57.2
67.1
73.8
66.7
65.8
71.5
78.2
45.6
58.1
74.2
71.3
79.5
62.2
51.6
74.0
75.5
52.7
78.8
80.1
60.7
72.8
77.9
76.3
68.3
66.1
74.2
69.7
48.4
64.2
60.1
65.9
80.2
75.2
80.2
72.9
55.6
50.2
80.6
74.9
65.7
76.4
61.5
71.8
73.1
67.8
75.5
78.7
66.4
61.6
68.8
74.2
67.5
68.1
72.1
79.8
49.5
60.3
75.2
72.1
80.5
64.5
55.1
74.9
77.7
54.8
79.7
81.3
61.5
73.5
79.0
77.4
68.9
67.4
74.8
70.8
50.2
65.1
64.3
68.2
80.9
76.2
81.0
74.7
58.1
52.3
81.4
76.4
66.5
77.5
62.3
72.2
74.7
68.6
76.3
79.8
67.2
63.1
70.2
74.8
68.2
70.2
72.7
81.3
50.4
62.1
76.2
72.8
81.3
66.6
56.9
75.8
79.4
56.8
80.5
82.4
62.2
74.3
80.2
78.5
69.5
68.5
75.3
71.9
51.8
65.9
65.3
70.1
81.7
77.3
81.8
76.2
60.5
54.2
82.1
77.6
67.2
78.5
63.1
72.7
76.1
69.4
77.2
80.8
67.9
64.4
71.6
75.3
68.9
72.1
73.2
82.6
52.4
63.9
77.2
73.5
82.0
68.5
58.6
76.7
80.9
58.7
81.4
83.4
62.9
75.1
81.2
79.5
70.0
69.5
75.8
72.8
54.6
66.7
66.3
71.8
82.3
78.4
82.5
77.6
62.6
56.2
82.7
78.9
68.0
79.5
63.8
73.1
77.4
70.2
78.0
81.7
71.2
71.5
77.2
78.3
71.9
78.4
76.3
86.3
65.0
70.7
81.7
77.0
85.4
74.2
66.0
80.9
85.8
65.7
84.7
87.7
65.9
79.0
85.4
83.9
72.4
73.9
78.3
76.7
67.4
70.1
71.9
77.5
85.2
82.9
85.6
82.9
68.6
65.4
85.6
83.8
71.1
83.4
66.7
75.8
82.7
73.6
81.6
85.3
78.4
79.4
85.1
84.2
78.6
85.3
82.0
90.7
76.3
77.9
88.0
82.4
91.4
81.3
77.0
87.0
91.4
73.3
90.6
94.1
70.9
85.1
91.7
90.0
77.8
81.9
83.2
83.6
77.4
76.3
79.4
84.9
90.6
88.9
91.4
88.8
73.3
75.6
91.1
90.0
76.8
89.3
72.0
82.2
88.9
80.9
87.2
91.4
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
83
TABLE S.13 (continued)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area
Puerto Rico ..............................................
Qatar ........................................................
Republic of Korea....................................
Republic of Moldova ...............................
Réunion....................................................
Romania...................................................
Russian Federation...................................
Rwanda ....................................................
Saint Lucia ...............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines................
Samoa ......................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ............................
Saudi Arabia ............................................
Senegal.....................................................
Serbia .......................................................
Seychelles ................................................
Sierra Leone.............................................
Singapore .................................................
Slovakia ...................................................
Slovenia ...................................................
Solomon Islands.......................................
Somalia ....................................................
South Africa.............................................
South Sudan .............................................
Spain ........................................................
Sri Lanka..................................................
State of Palestine......................................
Sudan .......................................................
Suriname ..................................................
Swaziland.................................................
Sweden.....................................................
Switzerland ..............................................
Syrian Arab Republic...............................
Tajikistan .................................................
TFYR Macedonia ....................................
Thailand ...................................................
Timor-Leste .............................................
Togo.........................................................
Tonga .......................................................
Trinidad and Tobago................................
Tunisia .....................................................
Turkey......................................................
Turkmenistan ...........................................
Uganda.....................................................
Ukraine ....................................................
United Arab Emirates ..............................
United Kingdom ......................................
United Republic of Tanzania ...................
84
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
76.8
77.0
77.4
67.6
76.8
71.5
65.0
50.1
72.1
70.7
70.1
63.8
73.1
58.9
72.4
72.1
40.1
79.2
73.8
76.7
64.4
51.5
52.8
50.2
79.6
73.2
71.3
58.9
68.1
45.8
80.1
80.5
73.9
64.4
73.8
71.5
61.5
53.9
71.2
68.7
73.7
71.4
64.2
50.5
67.5
74.8
78.4
51.5
77.9
77.6
80.0
68.2
78.2
73.1
67.2
59.8
74.0
71.9
71.5
65.5
74.3
62.2
73.3
72.4
44.0
81.2
74.7
78.6
66.4
53.2
52.2
52.1
81.2
73.4
72.2
60.9
69.6
47.4
81.1
81.8
75.0
66.3
74.4
73.3
64.5
54.7
71.8
69.3
74.6
73.4
64.7
55.2
67.9
75.9
79.6
56.6
78.8
78.3
81.4
68.8
79.5
73.7
67.9
63.6
74.7
72.4
73.0
66.2
75.4
63.3
74.0
73.1
45.3
82.2
75.3
79.5
67.5
54.9
57.1
55.0
82.0
74.2
73.1
61.9
70.9
49.2
81.7
82.5
74.4
67.1
75.1
74.3
67.3
56.4
72.6
69.8
75.8
75.1
65.4
59.0
68.5
76.7
80.4
61.4
79.6
79.0
82.6
69.4
80.7
74.4
68.5
66.0
75.4
73.0
74.4
66.9
76.4
64.2
74.6
74.0
46.8
83.1
76.0
80.3
68.6
56.5
57.7
57.7
82.8
75.1
74.0
62.9
71.9
48.7
82.4
83.2
75.5
67.9
75.9
75.2
69.5
57.9
73.4
70.3
76.9
76.6
66.1
60.8
69.0
77.6
81.2
63.1
80.4
79.8
83.7
70.0
81.6
75.1
69.2
68.0
76.2
73.5
75.7
67.6
77.4
65.0
75.3
74.8
48.2
83.9
76.7
81.0
69.6
58.1
59.0
59.4
83.5
75.9
74.8
63.8
72.9
50.4
83.1
83.9
76.6
68.6
76.7
76.2
71.2
59.4
74.2
70.9
77.9
78.0
66.8
62.5
69.5
78.5
82.0
64.5
83.3
83.1
88.4
73.0
85.5
78.7
72.4
74.4
79.8
76.4
81.3
70.5
81.8
68.2
78.7
79.0
56.1
87.7
80.2
84.1
73.8
65.0
68.2
68.5
86.8
79.9
78.7
67.7
76.4
62.3
86.1
87.2
81.5
71.8
80.5
80.5
76.9
67.6
78.1
73.6
82.4
83.0
69.9
71.1
71.9
82.7
85.0
72.5
88.5
88.5
95.5
79.7
91.8
84.8
78.9
81.3
85.5
82.6
88.1
76.1
87.8
73.5
84.6
84.7
69.4
94.0
85.6
89.9
81.2
73.5
77.6
77.2
92.5
85.8
85.2
73.9
82.3
75.7
91.8
93.0
87.6
78.4
86.4
86.4
85.1
76.5
84.6
79.9
88.1
89.0
76.3
79.7
77.5
88.6
90.5
80.6
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.13 (continued)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Country or area
United States of America .........................
United States Virgin Islands ....................
Uruguay ...................................................
Uzbekistan ...............................................
Vanuatu....................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of).........
Viet Nam..................................................
Western Sahara ........................................
Yemen......................................................
Zambia .....................................................
Zimbabwe ................................................
Other non-specified areas ........................
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
77.1
78.1
75.3
67.2
68.4
72.8
74.4
63.9
61.0
43.9
43.1
76.9
78.1
78.9
76.4
67.6
70.0
73.7
75.1
66.0
62.0
50.9
47.3
78.2
78.9
80.0
77.1
68.2
71.5
74.5
75.9
67.6
63.0
57.7
59.8
79.3
79.6
81.1
77.9
68.8
72.8
75.3
76.6
68.9
63.9
61.3
62.5
80.3
80.4
82.0
78.7
69.3
74.0
76.1
77.4
69.9
64.7
63.4
63.6
81.1
83.5
85.7
82.1
72.0
79.3
80.1
80.7
73.6
68.0
70.4
71.0
84.5
88.8
91.3
87.7
78.0
86.6
86.0
86.0
79.9
73.4
77.8
80.8
90.3
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World Population
Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
85
TABLE S.14. INFANT MORTALITY RATE BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
World ....................................................
48.3
42.3
36.8
33.1
30.2
18.3
8.2
Afghanistan ............................................
Albania...................................................
Algeria ...................................................
Angola....................................................
Antigua and Barbuda .............................
Argentina ...............................................
Armenia .................................................
Aruba .....................................................
Australia.................................................
Austria....................................................
Azerbaijan ..............................................
Bahamas.................................................
Bahrain...................................................
Bangladesh.............................................
Barbados ................................................
Belarus ...................................................
Belgium..................................................
Belize .....................................................
Benin......................................................
Bhutan....................................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..............
Bosnia and Herzegovina ........................
Botswana................................................
Brazil......................................................
Brunei Darussalam.................................
Bulgaria..................................................
Burkina Faso ..........................................
Burundi ..................................................
Cambodia ...............................................
Cameroon...............................................
Canada ...................................................
Cape Verde.............................................
Central African Republic .......................
Chad .......................................................
Channel Islands......................................
Chile.......................................................
China......................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR.........................
China, Macao SAR ................................
Colombia................................................
Comoros.................................................
Congo.....................................................
Costa Rica ..............................................
Côte d'Ivoire...........................................
Croatia....................................................
90.7
20.2
34.8
116.1
12.2
15.0
27.0
17.8
5.0
4.5
52.0
11.6
9.8
55.4
13.9
9.6
4.3
17.7
82.4
50.3
55.6
9.9
51.8
27.4
6.6
13.2
90.0
98.9
66.7
86.8
5.2
28.0
112.1
110.2
10.3
8.0
21.3
2.3
6.5
20.5
77.8
79.6
10.5
93.6
6.5
78.3
16.1
29.7
104.3
10.0
13.4
21.0
16.0
4.4
3.8
41.1
10.0
8.0
43.7
11.6
6.3
3.8
15.6
73.8
40.8
45.6
9.0
38.9
23.6
5.1
9.9
80.4
93.4
51.1
82.5
5.2
21.6
105.5
105.3
8.8
7.2
18.4
1.9
5.1
19.1
72.3
72.9
9.9
86.6
5.7
67.3
14.4
26.4
96.2
8.5
11.4
19.0
14.8
3.9
3.1
39.6
9.1
6.9
32.3
10.1
5.6
3.2
12.9
68.7
30.7
39.1
7.6
31.8
19.5
4.2
9.0
69.8
87.0
40.6
73.5
4.4
17.2
93.3
95.8
8.1
5.9
13.0
1.9
4.1
16.3
67.2
63.6
8.5
75.3
5.1
59.1
12.5
23.6
87.7
7.2
9.8
16.9
13.7
3.5
2.7
35.4
8.1
6.1
24.7
8.7
5.0
2.8
10.9
64.3
23.3
32.9
6.6
26.9
15.9
3.4
8.1
61.1
80.1
33.3
65.3
3.9
13.9
83.5
86.8
7.5
4.9
11.3
1.7
3.4
13.8
62.7
56.5
7.2
65.1
4.6
52.6
10.9
21.3
79.4
6.4
8.3
15.1
12.6
3.1
2.4
31.7
7.2
5.4
19.0
7.4
4.4
2.5
8.8
60.5
18.7
28.1
5.9
23.0
13.0
2.7
7.4
53.5
74.0
27.7
58.3
3.6
11.6
74.7
78.1
6.9
4.2
9.9
1.5
2.9
11.7
58.6
50.3
6.3
56.0
4.1
32.1
5.9
14.3
45.1
3.6
5.0
9.6
8.4
1.9
1.5
18.6
3.8
3.3
7.1
3.0
2.6
1.6
3.5
45.8
8.2
15.1
3.9
12.1
6.4
1.2
5.0
24.0
36.0
14.9
32.9
2.3
6.5
36.1
43.6
4.9
2.6
4.8
1.1
1.7
6.1
42.7
29.0
3.8
28.5
2.6
14.4
2.2
9.3
17.8
1.8
2.4
4.6
4.8
0.8
0.8
7.9
1.6
2.1
2.1
1.1
1.1
0.9
1.3
26.6
2.6
6.6
2.2
1.7
2.7
0.4
3.1
7.7
13.7
7.5
15.2
1.2
3.5
13.7
17.8
2.4
1.2
2.3
0.7
0.9
2.8
21.4
14.2
1.7
7.6
1.5
86
2000-2005
2005-2010
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.14 (continued)
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Cuba .......................................................
Curaçao ..................................................
Cyprus....................................................
Czech Republic ......................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea .................
Dem. Republic of the Congo..................
Denmark.................................................
Djibouti ..................................................
Dominican Republic ..............................
Ecuador ..................................................
Egypt......................................................
El Salvador.............................................
Equatorial Guinea ..................................
Eritrea.....................................................
Estonia ...................................................
Ethiopia..................................................
Fiji..........................................................
Finland ...................................................
France.....................................................
French Guiana........................................
French Polynesia ....................................
Gabon.....................................................
Gambia...................................................
Georgia...................................................
Germany.................................................
Ghana .....................................................
Greece ....................................................
Grenada..................................................
Guadeloupe ............................................
Guam......................................................
Guatemala ..............................................
Guinea....................................................
Guinea-Bissau ........................................
Guyana ...................................................
Haiti .......................................................
Honduras................................................
Hungary .................................................
Iceland....................................................
India .......................................................
Indonesia................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of) ......................
Iraq.........................................................
Ireland ....................................................
Israel ......................................................
Italy ........................................................
Jamaica...................................................
Japan ......................................................
Jordan.....................................................
2000-2005
6.1
14.7
5.6
4.0
28.5
119.9
4.7
68.1
35.0
24.9
29.3
22.9
112.2
61.8
7.4
78.2
19.0
3.3
4.3
15.4
9.4
57.7
64.7
29.0
4.2
60.9
4.8
12.0
8.7
13.5
38.7
95.2
108.1
35.9
56.1
31.2
7.4
2.6
58.3
35.0
26.4
34.3
5.5
5.0
4.2
26.8
3.0
22.4
2005-2010
5.1
13.0
4.4
3.1
27.3
115.9
3.8
63.4
29.6
21.1
23.5
20.6
101.7
53.9
4.8
60.2
17.9
2.8
3.7
14.0
8.8
51.2
60.4
22.0
3.7
55.4
4.2
10.2
7.0
11.4
30.1
81.0
101.9
31.0
48.6
27.8
5.6
2.0
50.6
29.3
20.7
32.9
3.7
3.9
3.4
24.4
2.6
19.7
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
4.5
11.2
3.7
2.6
22.0
108.6
3.4
55.3
25.6
17.0
18.9
17.3
88.9
41.8
4.2
49.7
16.0
2.3
3.2
12.2
6.9
43.3
55.3
19.4
3.1
51.1
3.6
8.9
5.6
9.7
23.4
73.5
93.9
28.5
40.2
22.3
4.8
1.8
43.8
25.6
15.7
28.1
2.9
3.3
2.8
20.9
2.2
17.1
3.9
9.7
3.2
2.4
17.8
102.0
3.1
48.9
21.8
14.0
15.6
14.7
77.1
32.0
3.9
42.5
14.3
2.1
2.8
10.5
5.7
38.1
51.5
17.0
2.7
47.5
3.1
7.9
4.8
8.3
18.9
67.1
86.1
26.4
36.1
19.0
4.4
1.6
37.8
22.5
12.1
24.5
2.4
2.9
2.3
18.7
1.9
14.8
3.5
8.6
2.8
2.1
14.6
95.3
2.9
43.5
18.6
11.9
13.3
12.5
67.1
24.2
3.7
36.3
12.8
1.9
2.5
9.2
4.8
33.2
48.2
14.8
2.4
44.4
2.8
7.1
4.2
7.3
15.3
61.4
78.7
24.5
32.7
15.3
4.1
1.5
33.0
19.8
9.4
21.5
2.0
2.6
1.9
17.0
1.7
12.8
2.3
5.1
1.8
1.4
7.5
64.6
2.1
25.5
9.5
6.3
7.3
7.2
31.9
9.2
2.8
20.1
7.0
1.3
1.6
5.8
2.7
17.7
36.3
8.7
1.6
32.9
1.9
4.1
2.4
4.4
6.7
43.0
53.4
17.4
14.4
6.7
3.7
1.0
17.1
9.8
4.1
12.3
1.0
1.6
1.0
10.5
1.0
6.8
1.3
2.6
1.0
1.0
5.3
28.9
1.3
13.6
3.9
2.8
5.6
3.3
13.0
7.2
1.8
10.4
1.8
0.8
0.8
2.7
1.3
9.0
21.1
3.9
0.8
17.6
1.0
2.4
1.0
1.8
2.6
23.8
23.0
7.5
6.0
2.3
3.7
0.6
6.6
2.4
1.7
5.9
0.4
0.8
0.4
4.6
0.5
2.9
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
87
TABLE S.14 (continued)
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Kazakhstan.............................................
Kenya .....................................................
Kiribati ...................................................
Kuwait....................................................
Kyrgyzstan .............................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic ..................
Latvia .....................................................
Lebanon .................................................
Lesotho...................................................
Liberia....................................................
Libya ......................................................
Lithuania ................................................
Luxembourg...........................................
Madagascar ............................................
Malawi ...................................................
Malaysia.................................................
Maldives.................................................
Mali........................................................
Malta ......................................................
Martinique..............................................
Mauritania ..............................................
Mauritius................................................
Mayotte ..................................................
Mexico ...................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) ....................
Mongolia................................................
Montenegro ............................................
Morocco .................................................
Mozambique ..........................................
Myanmar................................................
Namibia..................................................
Nepal......................................................
Netherlands ............................................
New Caledonia.......................................
New Zealand ..........................................
Nicaragua ...............................................
Niger ......................................................
Nigeria ...................................................
Norway...................................................
Oman......................................................
Pakistan..................................................
Panama...................................................
Papua New Guinea.................................
Paraguay.................................................
Peru ........................................................
Philippines .............................................
Poland ....................................................
Portugal..................................................
88
2000-2005
2005-2010
32.1
67.9
47.4
10.2
40.3
58.4
9.9
13.8
84.1
96.9
20.8
7.7
5.0
58.0
107.4
6.8
29.7
108.9
7.1
8.5
77.3
13.4
7.6
20.5
37.9
40.8
11.6
38.0
99.8
58.4
57.2
55.2
4.9
17.4
5.5
26.4
81.8
104.0
3.5
14.6
76.6
20.2
56.2
35.5
27.4
26.3
7.2
4.7
27.0
59.7
40.8
9.7
36.4
47.3
7.8
10.0
75.7
71.8
16.8
6.0
2.3
45.5
95.2
4.8
15.2
100.3
5.8
7.6
76.3
13.2
5.6
16.7
34.9
30.5
10.9
32.2
87.1
52.7
43.2
44.7
4.1
15.1
5.0
21.5
63.7
89.9
3.0
9.8
71.4
17.1
50.1
32.0
21.0
23.0
6.1
3.4
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
24.6
51.6
34.3
8.6
33.1
36.2
7.3
8.3
60.1
61.2
13.8
5.4
2.0
36.8
86.1
4.1
10.4
86.7
4.8
6.2
71.7
11.5
4.2
14.2
32.7
25.8
9.6
26.3
74.3
48.9
33.5
35.5
3.6
13.1
4.3
16.6
53.6
76.3
2.6
7.3
65.1
14.6
47.6
30.4
16.6
21.0
5.5
2.8
22.6
46.3
28.9
7.7
30.3
28.2
6.7
7.1
50.1
52.2
11.4
5.0
1.8
29.3
78.2
3.5
7.8
76.2
4.0
5.2
67.1
9.9
3.3
12.1
30.6
22.2
8.8
21.8
64.3
45.4
29.1
28.2
3.3
11.4
3.9
12.9
45.3
65.3
2.3
6.2
58.7
12.8
45.3
28.3
13.1
19.2
4.9
2.4
20.8
42.1
24.6
6.9
27.8
22.2
6.2
6.2
42.3
44.4
9.7
4.6
1.6
23.5
71.5
2.9
6.1
67.0
3.3
4.5
63.0
8.5
2.7
10.3
28.7
18.3
8.2
18.3
54.8
42.2
25.4
22.8
3.0
10.1
3.5
10.8
38.5
57.4
2.1
5.4
52.9
11.1
43.2
26.4
11.0
17.6
4.5
2.1
13.0
23.7
11.9
4.2
16.1
10.8
4.5
4.0
21.9
17.2
5.9
3.5
1.1
9.7
48.0
1.2
2.9
37.6
1.9
2.3
47.2
3.6
1.5
5.3
21.2
8.6
6.5
9.7
29.0
29.0
15.5
11.9
2.0
6.1
2.3
5.4
20.8
27.6
1.5
3.2
31.8
6.4
34.6
17.1
5.3
11.0
2.9
1.3
5.8
12.1
4.7
2.1
6.7
5.5
3.1
2.2
9.9
6.6
4.0
2.5
0.7
4.6
25.1
0.4
1.5
15.6
1.0
0.9
25.9
1.6
0.8
2.1
10.7
3.7
6.4
6.7
13.9
13.1
8.2
5.8
1.1
2.9
1.1
2.5
13.2
7.4
0.8
1.7
12.1
2.7
21.6
6.7
2.4
3.0
1.6
0.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.14 (continued)
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Puerto Rico.............................................
Qatar ......................................................
Republic of Korea ..................................
Republic of Moldova .............................
Réunion..................................................
Romania .................................................
Russian Federation.................................
Rwanda ..................................................
Saint Lucia .............................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines ..............
Samoa.....................................................
Sao Tome and Principe ..........................
Saudi Arabia...........................................
Senegal...................................................
Serbia .....................................................
Seychelles ..............................................
Sierra Leone ...........................................
Singapore ...............................................
Slovakia .................................................
Slovenia .................................................
Solomon Islands.....................................
Somalia ..................................................
South Africa ...........................................
South Sudan ...........................................
Spain ......................................................
Sri Lanka................................................
State of Palestine....................................
Sudan .....................................................
Suriname ................................................
Swaziland...............................................
Sweden...................................................
Switzerland ............................................
Syrian Arab Republic.............................
Tajikistan ...............................................
TFYR Macedonia...................................
Thailand .................................................
Timor-Leste............................................
Togo .......................................................
Tonga .....................................................
Trinidad and Tobago ..............................
Tunisia ...................................................
Turkey....................................................
Turkmenistan .........................................
Uganda ...................................................
Ukraine...................................................
United Arab Emirates.............................
United Kingdom.....................................
United Republic of Tanzania..................
2000-2005
8.0
9.4
5.3
18.9
7.6
16.9
16.2
90.0
14.2
21.3
25.7
51.9
18.0
61.2
14.1
10.6
139.6
2.5
7.3
4.0
51.4
97.0
57.2
101.4
3.9
13.1
24.6
66.8
24.2
86.7
3.3
4.6
17.8
63.1
12.9
14.3
64.0
77.4
23.5
28.9
23.0
24.7
51.8
79.3
14.8
9.2
5.3
76.7
2005-2010
7.0
7.5
4.6
15.5
5.6
12.0
10.7
60.3
11.9
18.5
22.4
46.1
14.0
54.1
12.4
10.2
127.2
2.2
6.3
2.9
42.9
89.8
51.9
89.7
3.6
10.5
22.2
59.7
22.2
75.9
2.5
4.2
14.9
56.0
11.9
11.8
51.0
74.7
22.0
26.6
18.7
16.4
50.5
66.8
12.6
6.9
4.9
60.6
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
6.3
6.5
3.4
14.0
4.2
10.5
9.7
49.8
10.5
16.9
19.7
43.5
11.2
49.3
10.9
8.2
116.7
1.8
5.4
2.8
38.0
79.5
38.3
78.0
3.1
9.0
19.2
55.0
17.4
64.6
2.3
3.6
17.7
56.8
10.1
9.9
39.3
66.4
20.4
24.1
15.5
12.0
46.7
57.0
11.7
5.7
4.2
48.7
5.7
5.8
2.6
12.5
3.3
9.3
9.1
42.6
9.3
15.6
17.4
41.3
9.0
45.3
9.8
6.6
106.8
1.5
4.9
2.5
33.7
70.9
33.5
67.5
2.8
7.8
17.1
51.3
15.0
57.9
2.1
3.2
14.4
51.7
8.6
8.5
30.9
59.7
19.0
22.1
12.5
9.0
43.3
50.2
11.1
4.9
3.6
42.9
5.2
5.2
2.1
11.2
2.7
8.3
8.6
36.4
8.3
14.4
15.7
39.1
7.6
42.0
8.8
5.8
97.0
1.3
4.7
2.3
30.0
64.5
30.1
59.8
2.5
6.7
15.4
47.9
13.2
51.7
1.9
2.9
11.7
46.9
7.4
7.3
24.9
53.8
17.7
20.2
10.9
7.1
40.2
44.7
10.6
4.3
3.2
37.8
3.4
3.5
0.9
6.8
1.5
4.6
5.6
20.1
5.7
9.2
10.1
30.0
3.8
29.0
6.2
3.7
57.2
0.7
4.0
1.5
17.9
41.1
18.8
33.5
1.6
3.8
10.4
34.3
7.8
26.5
1.3
1.7
5.5
28.5
4.4
4.3
11.7
24.4
12.9
12.5
6.3
3.3
26.7
23.4
7.6
2.4
1.9
20.7
1.9
2.0
0.3
3.9
0.8
2.5
4.0
10.4
3.2
4.6
4.7
17.2
1.8
14.9
5.7
2.3
18.9
0.4
4.0
0.9
7.3
18.7
10.2
15.2
0.8
2.1
5.5
18.0
4.1
10.6
0.7
0.8
2.3
11.5
2.4
2.3
4.7
7.3
7.1
6.4
3.7
1.5
9.9
11.3
5.3
1.3
0.8
10.5
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
89
TABLE S.14 (continued)
Infant mortality rate (infant deaths per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
United States of America .......................
United States Virgin Islands...................
Uruguay .................................................
Uzbekistan .............................................
Vanuatu..................................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of).......
Viet Nam................................................
Western Sahara ......................................
Yemen....................................................
Zambia ...................................................
Zimbabwe ..............................................
Other non-specified areas.......................
2000-2005
2005-2010
7.0
11.5
14.4
49.9
34.6
18.9
19.6
53.0
68.0
92.7
67.4
6.1
6.9
10.6
13.1
47.1
28.7
17.0
15.8
44.1
61.3
78.0
52.7
5.2
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
6.1
9.4
11.5
44.0
23.9
15.0
14.1
37.2
56.2
65.5
37.2
4.2
5.5
8.5
10.2
40.4
20.2
13.1
12.6
32.3
51.7
56.4
33.4
3.5
4.9
7.8
9.0
37.2
17.3
11.4
11.2
28.6
47.9
49.7
31.0
3.0
3.2
5.4
5.5
24.2
9.0
6.5
7.4
18.2
32.0
28.8
19.5
1.8
1.7
2.6
2.7
10.2
3.9
3.3
4.3
8.4
14.4
14.3
9.7
1.0
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013).
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
90
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.15. UNDER-FIVE MORTALITY BY COUNTRY FOR SELECTED PERIODS
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
World................................................
2000-2005
68.8
59.1
51.9
46.8
42.8
25.5
10.7
Afghanistan .......................................
Albania ..............................................
Algeria ...............................................
Angola ...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda .........................
Argentina ...........................................
Armenia .............................................
Aruba .................................................
Australia ............................................
Austria ...............................................
Azerbaijan .........................................
Bahamas ............................................
Bahrain ..............................................
Bangladesh ........................................
Barbados............................................
Belarus...............................................
Belgium .............................................
Belize.................................................
Benin .................................................
Bhutan ...............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ..........
Bosnia and Herzegovina ....................
Botswana ...........................................
Brazil .................................................
Brunei Darussalam ............................
Bulgaria .............................................
Burkina Faso......................................
Burundi..............................................
Cambodia...........................................
Cameroon ..........................................
Canada ...............................................
Cape Verde ........................................
Central African Republic...................
Chad ..................................................
Channel Islands .................................
Chile ..................................................
China .................................................
China, Hong Kong SAR ....................
China, Macao SAR ............................
Colombia ...........................................
Comoros ............................................
Congo ................................................
Costa Rica..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire ......................................
Croatia ...............................................
Cuba ..................................................
Curaçao..............................................
Cyprus ...............................................
Czech Republic..................................
Dem. People's Rep. of Korea.............
129.1
24.5
42.6
193.0
15.2
17.6
30.2
20.8
6.0
5.4
61.3
17.5
11.8
73.9
16.4
12.2
5.4
21.2
131.4
79.9
71.5
11.8
69.6
33.7
7.9
15.8
173.0
160.1
86.3
137.6
6.1
33.9
182.8
181.3
11.9
9.8
24.6
3.9
8.7
28.8
108.8
125.7
12.3
133.7
7.6
7.7
17.4
6.7
5.0
36.3
109.5
17.6
35.8
170.5
12.5
15.7
23.7
18.7
5.3
4.6
47.6
14.9
10.6
56.0
13.4
8.1
4.7
18.5
116.1
63.3
60.4
10.6
50.5
29.2
6.1
11.8
156.5
150.7
64.0
130.6
6.0
25.7
172.1
172.3
10.2
8.8
21.0
3.1
6.9
26.4
100.1
113.8
11.5
122.6
6.8
6.5
15.4
5.2
3.9
34.6
92.3
15.7
31.9
155.7
10.6
13.4
21.5
17.2
4.6
3.8
47.1
13.3
9.3
41.8
11.6
7.3
3.9
15.4
108.2
48.0
51.8
9.0
40.7
24.2
4.9
10.8
136.9
139.4
51.1
115.5
5.1
20.2
150.4
154.8
9.4
7.2
16.4
2.8
5.5
22.7
92.2
97.5
9.9
107.5
6.1
5.7
13.3
4.4
3.3
27.9
79.5
13.6
28.4
140.2
9.1
11.5
19.2
16.0
4.1
3.3
42.1
11.8
8.2
32.1
9.9
6.6
3.4
13.1
101.4
36.7
43.6
7.7
33.6
19.9
3.9
9.7
119.7
127.4
42.1
101.1
4.6
16.1
133.2
138.8
8.7
6.0
14.2
2.4
4.5
19.3
85.0
85.1
8.5
94.1
5.5
5.0
11.5
3.8
2.9
22.5
69.3
11.9
25.7
125.3
8.0
9.9
17.2
14.8
3.7
3.0
37.8
10.3
7.2
24.9
8.3
5.8
3.1
10.5
95.4
29.7
37.2
7.0
28.1
16.3
3.0
8.8
104.2
116.4
35.3
88.6
4.1
13.4
117.5
123.5
8.1
5.2
12.2
2.2
3.9
16.3
78.7
74.3
7.5
81.8
5.0
4.4
10.2
3.3
2.7
18.5
39.2
6.6
17.1
65.2
4.4
5.9
11.1
10.1
2.2
1.9
22.4
5.1
4.4
9.6
3.3
3.4
2.0
4.3
71.6
13.4
19.8
4.6
14.2
8.0
1.3
6.0
44.1
49.8
19.1
44.8
2.7
7.5
50.0
62.8
5.8
3.1
5.7
1.5
2.3
8.5
54.0
38.2
4.5
41.7
3.2
3.0
6.1
2.2
1.8
9.4
16.8
2.6
11.1
22.2
2.2
2.9
5.4
5.7
1.0
0.9
9.6
2.1
2.7
2.9
1.2
1.5
1.1
1.5
38.7
4.4
8.5
2.6
2.3
3.4
0.4
3.7
12.1
17.2
9.7
19.1
1.4
4.0
17.5
22.4
2.8
1.5
2.7
1.0
1.2
3.6
25.2
18.5
2.1
10.4
1.8
1.7
3.1
1.2
1.2
6.3
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
91
TABLE S.15 (continued)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Dem. Republic of the Congo .............
Denmark ............................................
Djibouti..............................................
Dominican Republic ..........................
Ecuador..............................................
Egypt .................................................
El Salvador ........................................
Equatorial Guinea ..............................
Eritrea ................................................
Estonia ...............................................
Ethiopia .............................................
Fiji .....................................................
Finland...............................................
France ................................................
French Guiana ...................................
French Polynesia ...............................
Gabon ................................................
Gambia ..............................................
Georgia ..............................................
Germany ............................................
Ghana ................................................
Greece................................................
Grenada .............................................
Guadeloupe........................................
Guam .................................................
Guatemala..........................................
Guinea ...............................................
Guinea-Bissau....................................
Guyana...............................................
Haiti...................................................
Honduras ...........................................
Hungary .............................................
Iceland ...............................................
India...................................................
Indonesia ...........................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)..................
Iraq ....................................................
Ireland................................................
Israel ..................................................
Italy....................................................
Jamaica ..............................................
Japan..................................................
Jordan ................................................
Kazakhstan ........................................
Kenya ................................................
Kiribati ..............................................
Kuwait ...............................................
Kyrgyzstan.........................................
Lao People's Dem. Republic..............
Latvia.................................................
Lebanon .............................................
Lesotho ..............................................
92
2000-2005
201.5
5.6
105.5
38.4
30.0
38.2
29.8
185.1
83.8
9.4
122.8
23.8
4.0
5.2
18.0
10.2
87.6
123.1
32.0
5.1
93.7
5.6
16.4
10.0
15.7
48.6
161.2
179.6
44.4
92.7
44.7
8.7
3.4
77.4
43.0
37.1
41.3
6.5
6.2
5.0
32.2
4.1
26.2
38.5
103.0
61.1
13.3
48.6
75.5
12.3
16.0
115.9
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
193.9
4.5
97.5
32.8
25.8
30.0
25.4
165.4
71.7
6.1
91.6
22.5
3.5
4.5
16.3
9.6
76.7
109.4
25.0
4.5
83.9
4.9
13.9
7.8
13.2
39.6
139.5
168.1
37.7
80.6
40.1
6.6
2.9
64.4
35.4
28.3
37.6
4.5
4.9
4.1
28.9
3.5
22.8
32.8
90.4
51.1
12.5
45.7
58.6
9.4
11.6
104.9
180.0
4.0
83.4
28.5
21.0
24.2
21.5
142.9
55.7
5.4
73.6
19.9
2.9
3.9
14.2
7.6
65.1
100.4
22.1
3.8
77.5
4.2
12.2
6.3
11.2
31.1
127.1
155.8
34.5
66.8
32.4
5.8
2.6
55.8
30.7
21.7
32.3
3.6
4.1
3.3
24.8
3.0
19.8
29.9
77.0
42.1
11.2
41.6
44.8
8.7
9.7
82.0
167.5
3.7
72.3
24.4
17.3
19.9
18.2
122.0
42.5
5.1
60.7
17.6
2.6
3.4
12.4
6.2
56.7
93.2
19.4
3.3
72.2
3.7
10.9
5.4
9.6
25.1
116.0
143.6
31.7
59.6
27.6
5.3
2.4
48.0
26.7
16.8
28.2
2.9
3.7
2.7
22.2
2.6
17.2
27.5
67.6
34.9
10.0
38.1
34.0
8.0
8.3
66.7
155.1
3.4
62.6
20.9
14.8
16.9
15.6
104.3
32.0
4.8
50.3
15.7
2.4
3.1
10.9
5.4
48.8
86.8
16.9
2.9
67.5
3.3
9.7
4.7
8.5
20.3
106.0
132.0
29.3
53.2
22.3
5.0
2.2
41.9
23.3
13.0
24.7
2.4
3.3
2.3
20.3
2.3
14.9
25.4
60.0
29.4
8.9
34.9
26.2
7.4
7.2
54.8
99.6
2.5
32.7
10.8
7.9
9.2
9.0
43.1
11.6
3.6
25.4
8.2
1.6
1.9
7.0
3.1
23.9
63.2
10.1
1.9
49.6
2.2
5.6
2.7
5.1
9.1
72.7
88.7
20.4
22.2
9.4
4.5
1.5
21.4
11.1
5.7
14.4
1.2
2.0
1.1
12.6
1.4
7.9
15.9
30.2
13.8
5.3
20.3
12.7
5.4
4.6
26.7
37.9
1.5
17.1
4.6
3.4
6.7
4.0
16.7
8.8
2.3
13.1
2.0
1.0
0.9
3.2
1.5
10.4
32.3
4.5
1.0
24.7
1.2
3.1
1.1
2.0
3.4
36.1
34.1
8.4
8.3
3.0
4.5
0.8
8.1
2.7
2.3
7.0
0.5
1.0
0.4
5.6
0.6
3.4
7.0
15.7
5.4
2.6
8.4
6.4
3.7
2.6
11.7
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
TABLE S.15 (continued)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Liberia ...............................................
Libya..................................................
Lithuania............................................
Luxembourg ......................................
Madagascar........................................
Malawi...............................................
Malaysia ............................................
Maldives ............................................
Mali ...................................................
Malta..................................................
Martinique .........................................
Mauritania .........................................
Mauritius ...........................................
Mayotte..............................................
Mexico...............................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of)................
Mongolia ...........................................
Montenegro .......................................
Morocco.............................................
Mozambique ......................................
Myanmar ...........................................
Namibia .............................................
Nepal .................................................
Netherlands........................................
New Caledonia ..................................
New Zealand......................................
Nicaragua...........................................
Niger..................................................
Nigeria ...............................................
Norway ..............................................
Oman .................................................
Pakistan .............................................
Panama ..............................................
Papua New Guinea ............................
Paraguay ............................................
Peru....................................................
Philippines .........................................
Poland................................................
Portugal .............................................
Puerto Rico ........................................
Qatar ..................................................
Republic of Korea..............................
Republic of Moldova .........................
Réunion .............................................
Romania.............................................
Russian Federation ............................
Rwanda..............................................
Saint Lucia.........................................
St. Vincent and the Grenadines..........
Samoa ................................................
Sao Tome and Principe......................
Saudi Arabia ......................................
2000-2005
139.8
24.2
9.8
6.1
86.8
159.2
8.7
37.3
205.1
9.3
10.0
116.5
16.1
9.0
24.8
47.5
49.4
12.7
46.8
157.8
78.3
75.0
73.4
5.9
20.4
6.8
32.2
191.1
171.8
4.5
17.9
89.4
25.4
75.1
42.6
40.4
34.9
8.4
6.2
9.7
11.5
6.8
23.3
9.0
20.0
19.6
145.4
19.2
26.8
31.1
77.4
20.8
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
99.9
19.5
7.4
3.3
67.4
135.7
6.1
18.3
187.3
7.9
8.9
113.9
15.2
6.6
20.4
43.1
37.0
11.7
39.2
136.4
69.3
55.8
57.1
4.9
17.5
6.2
25.9
149.0
142.2
3.7
11.8
77.7
21.5
65.8
38.5
32.6
30.2
7.0
4.3
9.1
9.2
5.9
19.2
6.6
14.2
13.2
91.9
16.0
23.4
26.8
67.1
15.4
85.2
16.2
6.7
3.1
54.5
118.5
5.1
12.6
164.6
6.7
7.3
107.2
13.1
4.8
17.3
40.0
31.4
10.4
32.0
115.6
63.4
42.0
43.9
4.3
15.2
5.5
20.1
126.6
122.2
3.1
8.9
71.0
18.5
62.0
36.6
26.2
27.4
6.3
3.5
8.1
7.9
4.3
17.3
4.8
12.5
11.9
73.8
14.2
21.4
23.4
62.6
12.3
73.0
13.5
6.1
2.8
43.1
104.9
4.3
9.5
145.0
5.7
6.1
100.5
11.2
3.7
14.8
37.2
26.9
9.6
26.5
98.6
58.0
35.7
34.1
3.9
13.2
4.9
15.7
106.2
105.9
2.8
7.6
64.2
16.2
58.6
34.1
20.6
24.9
5.7
3.0
7.2
7.0
3.3
15.5
3.7
11.1
11.2
61.0
12.7
19.8
20.7
58.6
10.0
62.2
11.5
5.7
2.5
34.3
93.9
3.6
7.5
127.3
5.0
5.3
94.5
9.5
3.0
12.6
34.7
22.3
8.9
22.3
81.9
53.2
30.7
27.1
3.6
11.6
4.4
13.1
89.1
93.3
2.6
6.6
58.0
14.2
55.6
31.7
17.2
22.6
5.2
2.6
6.6
6.3
2.6
13.9
3.0
9.9
10.6
50.4
11.3
18.2
18.6
54.8
8.4
23.9
7.0
4.4
1.7
13.8
58.9
1.3
3.6
68.5
3.1
2.7
70.4
3.9
1.6
6.6
24.9
10.6
7.3
11.8
38.4
35.0
18.3
14.0
2.4
7.1
2.9
6.7
43.7
44.0
1.8
4.0
35.3
8.1
43.2
20.6
8.1
13.7
3.4
1.7
4.3
4.2
1.1
8.4
1.6
5.6
7.0
25.4
7.6
11.6
11.9
39.6
4.3
9.0
4.7
3.1
0.9
6.2
29.2
0.5
1.8
23.7
1.5
1.0
36.4
1.7
0.9
2.6
12.4
4.6
7.2
7.9
18.0
15.2
9.5
6.9
1.3
3.3
1.4
3.1
21.6
10.6
1.0
2.1
13.7
3.4
25.8
8.2
3.2
3.4
1.9
0.9
2.3
2.4
0.4
4.8
0.9
3.0
4.9
13.2
4.1
5.6
5.6
22.0
2.1
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
93
TABLE S.15 (continued)
Under-five mortality (deaths under age five per 1,000 live births)
Country or area
Senegal ..............................................
Serbia.................................................
Seychelles..........................................
Sierra Leone.......................................
Singapore...........................................
Slovakia .............................................
Slovenia .............................................
Solomon Islands ................................
Somalia..............................................
South Africa ......................................
South Sudan.......................................
Spain..................................................
Sri Lanka ...........................................
State of Palestine ...............................
Sudan .................................................
Suriname............................................
Swaziland ..........................................
Sweden ..............................................
Switzerland ........................................
Syrian Arab Republic ........................
Tajikistan ...........................................
TFYR Macedonia ..............................
Thailand.............................................
Timor-Leste .......................................
Togo ..................................................
Tonga.................................................
Trinidad and Tobago .........................
Tunisia ...............................................
Turkey ...............................................
Turkmenistan.....................................
Uganda...............................................
Ukraine ..............................................
United Arab Emirates ........................
United Kingdom ................................
United Republic of Tanzania .............
United States of America...................
United States Virgin Islands ..............
Uruguay .............................................
Uzbekistan .........................................
Vanuatu .............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) ..
Viet Nam ...........................................
Western Sahara..................................
Yemen ...............................................
Zambia...............................................
Zimbabwe..........................................
Other non-specified areas ..................
2000-2005
114.1
16.8
13.4
227.7
3.3
8.9
4.9
67.3
160.7
76.7
164.9
5.2
16.4
28.9
106.1
31.9
127.7
4.0
5.5
20.8
82.4
13.6
16.6
87.2
123.7
28.2
36.5
25.6
34.1
65.9
123.5
18.1
10.7
6.3
118.8
8.3
13.4
17.3
60.0
42.5
24.3
25.0
69.8
93.7
143.6
96.7
7.8
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2045-2050
2095-2100
82.1
14.7
12.7
201.8
2.8
7.6
3.6
54.3
147.0
71.7
143.2
4.8
13.1
25.8
93.3
29.5
113.5
3.2
4.9
17.4
72.5
12.5
13.7
66.7
115.6
26.3
33.5
20.4
23.0
64.3
102.1
15.1
8.1
5.7
91.6
8.0
12.3
15.9
57.0
34.6
21.9
22.8
56.1
83.2
121.6
75.9
6.5
74.9
12.9
10.2
186.6
2.3
6.6
3.4
47.4
131.2
50.8
122.8
4.1
11.3
23.0
86.2
23.2
92.0
3.0
4.2
20.6
73.0
10.7
11.6
49.1
103.1
24.4
30.5
17.0
17.6
59.5
86.1
13.9
6.7
4.9
72.0
7.1
10.9
14.1
53.3
28.4
19.4
20.4
46.1
76.3
101.8
52.8
5.3
68.9
11.6
8.4
172.3
1.9
6.0
3.1
41.3
116.8
42.8
104.5
3.6
9.8
20.5
79.5
20.2
80.6
2.7
3.7
16.8
66.3
9.1
9.9
37.5
93.0
22.6
27.9
13.9
13.3
55.2
74.1
13.2
5.8
4.2
61.5
6.4
9.9
12.5
49.0
23.7
16.9
18.3
39.4
70.2
85.0
45.7
4.3
63.7
10.4
7.3
158.0
1.6
5.7
2.8
36.4
105.3
37.7
91.0
3.3
8.4
18.4
73.3
17.6
70.5
2.5
3.3
13.7
60.1
7.8
8.5
29.6
84.0
21.0
25.5
12.1
10.6
51.2
64.3
12.7
5.0
3.7
52.7
5.8
9.1
11.1
45.1
20.2
14.7
16.3
34.5
64.9
73.6
41.6
3.7
43.5
7.4
4.7
95.8
0.9
4.9
1.9
20.9
61.1
22.7
45.6
2.0
4.7
12.5
48.0
10.3
33.8
1.7
2.0
6.5
36.2
4.8
5.0
13.6
37.3
15.3
15.8
7.2
4.8
33.8
30.0
9.2
2.8
2.2
26.4
3.8
6.2
6.8
29.4
10.5
8.5
10.6
21.4
42.8
38.0
25.2
2.2
20.7
6.7
2.8
28.5
0.5
4.8
1.1
8.5
21.9
12.0
19.1
1.0
2.5
6.6
21.1
5.2
12.9
0.9
0.9
2.7
14.4
2.7
2.8
5.5
10.3
8.4
7.9
4.4
2.0
12.3
14.5
6.3
1.6
1.0
13.5
2.1
3.0
3.2
12.3
4.5
4.2
5.8
9.8
18.2
18.1
12.6
1.2
Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (2013). World
Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. New York: United Nations.
NOTE: Only countries or areas with 90,000 persons or more in 2013 are considered.
94
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
ANNEX TABLES
Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area and region
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2 525 779 3 026 003 3 691 173 4 449 049 4 863 602 5 320 817 5 741 822 6 127 700 6 514 095 6 916 183
812 943
915 034 1 008 230 1 083 077 1 116 068 1 148 278 1 173 484 1 193 355 1 215 149 1 240 935
1 712 836 2 110 969 2 682 943 3 365 971 3 747 533 4 172 538 4 568 339 4 934 346 5 298 945 5 675 249
195 229
241 274
309 088
392 990
446 371
509 354
585 010
663 251
748 299
838 807
1 517 607 1 869 695 2 373 855 2 972 982 3 301 162 3 663 184 3 983 329 4 271 094 4 550 646 4 836 442
1 159 327 1 446 548 1 849 797 2 358 846 2 660 297 2 980 723 3 303 109 3 624 715 3 950 676 4 284 697
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
179 495
220 762
282 158
370 298
426 167
490 115
560 675
638 974
728 004
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
228 827
67 033
26 193
49 332
15 588
70 681
285 270
84 398
31 910
64 508
19 724
84 730
366 475
110 545
40 472
84 317
25 454
105 686
478 459
147 750
52 552
108 161
32 998
136 998
549 846
170 967
60 521
123 679
37 490
157 188
629 987
198 386
70 000
139 872
42 053
179 675
716 505
225 197
82 676
155 830
47 382
205 419
808 304
260 001
93 751
169 331
51 420
233 803
911 528 1 031 084
298 112
342 595
108 366
124 978
183 523
199 620
55 169
58 803
266 358
305 088
1 395 749 1 694 650 2 128 631 2 634 161 2 907 535
666 249
794 375
983 980 1 179 550 1 268 426
510 298
619 262
777 588
984 455 1 108 258
17 499
24 103
32 803
40 952
45 418
492 799
595 159
744 785
943 503 1 062 840
167 986
214 941
281 123
356 606
399 831
51 216
66 071
85 940
113 549
131 019
3 213 123
1 379 415
1 241 734
50 087
1 191 647
443 735
148 239
3 482 719
1 458 428
1 373 066
53 065
1 320 001
485 063
166 161
3 717 372
1 506 561
1 502 898
55 047
1 447 851
524 410
183 503
3 942 882
1 548 621
1 627 159
57 704
1 569 455
561 840
205 261
4 165 440
1 593 571
1 743 101
61 694
1 681 407
597 097
231 671
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
831 464
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
549 043
220 144
78 030
108 352
142 517
605 517
253 599
81 933
117 685
152 300
657 369
276 243
87 354
127 115
166 657
694 510
295 145
89 901
138 136
171 329
709 189
303 885
90 720
141 474
173 111
723 248
310 763
92 113
143 387
176 985
729 743
310 133
93 212
144 187
182 211
729 105
304 512
94 423
145 630
184 541
732 970
298 222
96 188
150 295
188 265
740 308
296 183
98 795
154 712
190 618
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
167 869
17 091
38 318
112 460
220 439
20 743
51 930
147 766
287 588
25 326
70 700
191 562
364 150
29 749
93 384
241 018
404 329
31 952
103 827
268 550
445 203
34 262
115 106
295 835
486 345
36 475
127 818
322 052
526 278
38 436
139 596
348 246
562 546
40 163
149 795
372 588
596 191
41 625
160 546
394 021
Northern America
171 615
204 352
231 429
254 800
267 831
282 286
297 458
315 417
330 546
346 501
12 675
10 085
2 199
148
242
15 775
12 664
2 620
183
308
19 681
15 724
3 306
241
410
22 968
17 856
4 339
299
475
24 872
19 060
4 944
355
513
26 969
20 495
5 513
413
548
29 052
21 799
6 208
465
580
31 224
23 117
6 998
495
613
33 623
24 655
7 826
502
641
36 659
26 773
8 729
498
660
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
96
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.1. Total population at mid-year by major area and region (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Major area and region
7 324 782 7 716 749 8 424 937 9 038 687 9 550 945 9 957 399 10 277 339 10 524 161 10 717 401 10 853 849 World
1 259 588
6 065 194
940 125
5 125 069
1 274 929
6 441 820
1 049 413
5 392 406
1 293 905
7 131 033
1 287 043
5 843 990
1 301 301
7 737 386
1 544 053
6 193 333
1 303 110
8 247 835
1 810 590
6 437 244
1 300 218
8 657 181
2 075 829
6 581 352
1 295 499
8 981 841
2 329 164
6 652 677
1 292 140
9 232 021
2 559 793
6 672 229
1 289 669
9 427 732
2 760 183
6 667 549
1 284 035
9 569 814
2 927 745
6 642 069
4 632 282 4 977 204 5 645 644 6 270 367 6 832 686 7 315 489 7 714 774 8 034 403 8 281 198 8 462 323
949 175 1 077 571 1 368 192 1 704 671 2 074 446 2 459 565 2 844 033 3 208 854 3 536 438 3 815 646
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
1 166 239 1 312 142 1 634 366 1 998 821 2 393 175 2 797 337 3 195 254 3 569 537 3 903 239 4 184 577
394 754
451 015
575 796
717 040
869 221 1 024 908 1 177 739 1 320 710 1 448 244 1 557 309
143 293
163 510
209 350
260 981
316 111
371 931
425 356
473 556
514 201
546 195
217 064
234 571
266 174
294 150
318 729
337 773
351 221
360 682
366 801
368 932
61 346
63 484
67 420
71 197
74 562
76 969
78 309
78 570
77 999
76 762
349 783
399 562
515 626
655 453
814 552
985 756 1 162 629 1 336 018 1 495 994 1 635 380
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
4 384 844
1 637 559
1 859 787
66 172
1 793 616
633 031
254 467
4 581 523
1 669 647
1 970 051
70 464
1 899 587
666 110
275 714
4 886 846
1 688 309
2 162 637
77 158
2 085 479
722 790
313 110
5 080 419
1 664 480
2 306 188
82 209
2 223 980
763 854
345 897
5 164 061
1 605 341
2 398 180
86 154
2 312 026
787 535
373 006
5 152 203
1 523 818
2 440 117
88 010
2 352 108
796 572
391 696
5 074 753
1 440 379
2 437 820
88 686
2 349 133
795 011
401 543
4 957 154
1 362 969
2 402 814
88 822
2 313 991
786 610
404 761
4 833 369
1 305 631
2 350 075
88 406
2 261 670
773 420
404 243
4 711 514
1 261 446
2 291 182
87 733
2 203 449
758 021
400 865
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
743 123
292 501
101 477
156 157
192 988
743 569
287 930
104 156
156 616
194 867
736 364
274 819
108 754
155 815
196 976
723 887
260 262
112 356
154 077
197 192
709 067
246 523
115 768
150 889
195 887
690 622
232 927
118 489
145 487
193 719
672 505
220 296
120 569
139 555
192 084
658 812
210 560
122 323
134 988
190 940
648 740
204 082
123 492
131 649
189 518
638 816
198 674
123 853
128 527
187 761
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
630 089
43 101
171 934
415 053
661 724
44 429
182 729
434 566
716 671
46 525
202 408
467 738
756 997
47 636
217 982
491 378
781 566
47 647
228 833
505 086
791 300
46 833
235 098
509 369
788 223
45 579
237 167
505 478
775 596
44 122
236 059
495 415
756 993
42 563
232 483
481 947
736 228
41 131
227 613
467 484
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
361 128
375 724
403 373
426 332
446 201
464 996
482 299
496 124
506 345
513 065
Northern America
39 359
28 519
9 636
519
684
42 066
30 254
10 553
548
711
47 317
33 544
12 412
602
760
52 232
36 565
14 218
644
804
56 874
39 513
15 858
671
832
60 940
42 093
17 290
690
867
64 305
44 231
18 465
703
907
66 939
45 944
19 348
707
941
68 715
47 106
19 938
707
964
69 648
47 684
20 278
704
983
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
97
Table A.2. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:
high variant, 2015-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 392 233 7 893 904 8 881 519 9 847 909 10 868 444 11 911 465 12 989 484 14 141 742 15 370 937 16 641 244
1 270 029
6 122 204
948 221
5 173 983
1 301 526
6 592 377
1 072 179
5 520 198
1 358 551
7 522 968
1 353 990
6 168 978
1 407 397
8 440 512
1 675 799
6 764 713
1 470 258 1 544 393
9 398 185 10 367 073
2 043 024 2 444 937
7 355 162 7 922 136
1 624 912
11 364 573
2 874 766
8 489 807
1 723 031 1 838 735 1 959 544
12 418 711 13 532 202 14 681 700
3 327 235 3 792 617 4 265 929
9 091 477 9 739 585 10 415 771
4 675 265 5 093 191 5 959 723 6 844 800 7 784 548 8 746 423 9 727 798 10 746 757 11 796 504 12 866 905
956 791 1 099 157 1 433 593 1 839 246 2 322 321 2 866 881 3 464 921 4 105 101 4 767 418 5 439 629
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
1 175 951 1 339 364 1 714 697 2 160 201 2 685 586 3 271 448 3 909 194 4 590 319 5 294 469 6 007 405
397 992
460 341
604 558
776 392
978 075 1 202 532 1 446 595 1 706 068 1 974 650 2 249 368
144 382
166 620
218 969
281 159
353 653
433 851
519 740
609 331
699 698
789 322
219 161
240 207
281 104
320 955
363 265
404 567
444 273
485 218
527 051
567 776
61 974
65 144
71 741
78 948
87 160
95 245
103 231
111 192
119 021
126 819
352 443
407 052
538 324
702 747
903 433 1 135 252 1 395 355 1 678 510 1 974 050 2 274 119
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
4 426 814
1 653 226
1 877 780
66 855
1 810 926
638 978
256 829
4 690 564
1 708 325
2 017 987
72 277
1 945 711
682 180
282 071
5 160 390
1 775 969
2 289 230
81 737
2 207 493
765 259
329 932
5 553 565
1 808 640
2 531 195
90 218
2 440 977
837 830
375 900
5 911 979
1 827 461
2 756 955
99 388
2 657 567
905 473
422 091
6 228 459
1 836 741
2 959 248
107 334
2 851 913
968 063
464 406
6 525 638
1 854 913
3 140 942
115 131
3 025 810
1 027 948
501 836
6 837 475
1 894 800
3 314 278
123 808
3 190 469
1 090 797
537 601
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
749 437
295 251
102 287
157 442
194 457
759 414
294 691
106 273
159 771
198 679
773 625
289 898
114 124
163 163
206 439
784 600
284 773
121 339
165 910
212 577
804 400
285 015
130 063
169 264
220 058
827 783
287 096
139 701
171 851
229 135
855 920
292 188
149 468
174 613
239 651
897 188
303 193
160 436
180 445
253 114
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
636 264
43 496
173 663
419 105
678 073
45 465
187 359
445 249
759 392
49 187
214 752
495 453
832 679
52 305
240 088
540 287
902 109
55 060
264 320
582 729
965 683 1 025 263 1 085 233 1 147 651 1 214 818
57 506
60 008
62 862
66 040
69 652
286 753
307 723
328 651
349 823
372 041
621 424
657 532
693 721
731 788
773 125
Northern America
364 073
383 523
423 688
460 379
500 480
546 544
594 370
644 720
699 033
753 838
39 694
28 760
9 720
524
690
42 966
30 895
10 784
560
727
49 727
35 219
13 072
635
801
56 485
39 431
15 475
703
877
63 889
44 184
17 990
766
950
71 548
49 108
20 567
830
1 043
79 099
53 907
23 146
895
1 150
86 807
58 887
25 694
961
1 265
94 485
63 905
28 168
1 031
1 381
101 859
68 693
30 561
1 103
1 501
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
98
7 185 909
1 967 042
3 488 408
132 556
3 355 852
1 156 748
573 710
7 558 007
2 056 430
3 666 650
141 715
3 524 935
1 225 116
609 811
949 390 1 005 317
319 020
336 915
172 524
184 659
188 974
198 385
268 872
285 358
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.3. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:
low variant, 2015-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 256 925 7 539 163 7 969 407 8 255 351 8 341 706 8 248 967 8 016 514 7 660 738 7 226 104 6 750 256
1 249 148
6 007 777
931 934
5 075 843
1 248 332
6 290 830
1 026 512
5 264 318
1 229 312
6 740 095
1 220 162
5 519 934
1 197 350
7 058 001
1 415 842
5 642 159
1 148 504
7 193 202
1 593 999
5 599 202
1 086 172
7 162 795
1 745 911
5 416 884
1 019 176
948 853
875 725
801 409
6 997 338 6 711 885 6 350 379 5 948 847
1 862 364 1 933 824 1 959 062 1 943 545
5 134 974 4 778 061 4 391 317 4 005 301
4 588 892 4 860 785 5 332 481 5 714 789 5 957 793 6 060 974 6 032 369 5 881 180 5 634 750 5 328 602
941 560 1 055 985 1 302 946 1 573 452 1 841 791 2 091 276 2 305 460 2 466 354 2 564 733 2 599 106
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
1 156 527 1 284 920 1 554 213 1 841 470 2 119 218 2 369 995 2 578 233 2 727 465 2 810 260 2 826 100
391 516
441 689
547 102
659 212
767 295
865 029
946 123 1 004 238 1 036 966 1 044 816
142 203
160 401
199 756
241 320
280 884
316 006
343 749
361 719
369 083
366 358
214 968
228 935
251 266
268 017
277 428
278 718
272 773
261 111
245 527
226 993
60 718
61 824
63 110
63 729
63 135
61 262
58 107
53 744
48 702
43 406
347 123
392 072
492 978
609 192
730 477
848 980
957 481 1 046 653 1 109 981 1 144 527
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
4 342 468
1 621 892
1 841 794
65 489
1 776 306
626 669
252 113
4 472 051
1 630 969
1 922 115
68 652
1 853 464
649 604
269 362
4 613 904
1 600 738
2 036 354
72 584
1 963 770
680 548
296 264
4 623 588
1 525 467
2 089 115
74 431
2 014 684
692 402
316 604
4 481 713
1 403 750
2 070 200
74 034
1 996 166
680 238
327 525
4 219 865
1 254 343
1 989 218
71 177
1 918 042
648 806
327 497
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
736 809
289 750
100 668
154 872
191 519
727 724
281 168
102 039
153 462
191 056
699 147
259 771
103 392
148 470
187 514
664 732
236 661
103 550
142 468
182 053
621 781
211 921
102 461
133 934
173 466
571 707
186 846
99 749
122 483
162 630
520 909
162 469
96 088
110 296
152 057
472 447
140 594
91 561
99 020
141 272
426 847
122 606
85 953
88 754
129 534
383 464
107 174
79 614
78 977
117 700
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
623 914
42 707
170 205
411 001
645 376
43 393
178 099
423 883
674 173
43 874
190 123
440 176
684 809
43 173
196 838
444 798
673 500
40 984
196 899
435 618
643 704
37 770
191 181
414 753
599 128
34 030
180 583
384 514
543 395
30 034
166 209
347 152
481 683
26 000
149 215
306 468
420 331
22 335
131 473
266 524
Northern America
358 182
367 926
383 061
392 694
395 173
392 203
386 102
374 333
356 452
334 831
39 025
28 279
9 552
515
678
41 166
29 613
10 322
536
696
44 909
31 869
11 753
569
719
48 058
33 742
12 996
587
733
50 321
35 143
13 870
584
723
51 493
35 850
14 363
567
712
51 675
35 961
14 471
542
702
50 789
35 404
14 197
507
681
48 830
34 108
13 609
465
648
46 051
32 201
12 817
423
610
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
3 880 467 3 492 309 3 102 032 2 739 479
1 100 919
950 604
820 820
712 258
1 857 935 1 691 362 1 511 071 1 337 671
66 819
61 569
56 008
50 616
1 791 116 1 629 792 1 455 064 1 287 056
604 493
551 636
494 084
438 030
317 121
298 707
276 057
251 521
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
99
Table A.4. Total population at mid-year by major area and region:
constant-fertility variant, 2015-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area and region
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 353 522 7 809 497 8 750 296 9 806 383 11 089 178 12 729 809 14 953 882 18 050 975 22 432 681 28 646 425
1 258 535
6 094 988
951 240
5 143 748
1 271 094
6 538 402
1 086 097
5 452 306
1 281 964
7 468 332
1 427 978
6 040 354
1 279 737
8 526 646
1 894 904
6 631 742
1 268 070
9 821 109
2 551 857
7 269 252
1 248 792 1 226 055 1 202 818 1 179 088 1 152 181
11 481 017 13 727 827 16 848 157 21 253 593 27 494 244
3 484 347 4 816 715 6 738 660 9 527 680 13 590 176
7 996 671 8 911 111 10 109 496 11 725 912 13 904 068
4 663 865 5 079 093 6 002 673 7 093 371 8 461 414 10 223 748 12 573 307 15 798 470 20 292 976 26 610 518
957 085 1 106 781 1 494 583 2 043 991 2 832 065 3 963 632 5 592 524 7 947 191 11 359 637 16 315 492
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
1 174 368 1 343 794 1 773 035 2 368 245 3 210 362 4 405 687 6 111 997
400 153
468 943
646 319
896 180 1 253 316 1 761 474 2 483 757
144 151
167 529
229 497
318 240
447 262
636 356
914 122
217 283
237 013
278 452
324 254
378 297
442 054
519 473
61 726
64 601
71 005
78 679
87 866
98 110
109 325
351 055
405 708
547 761
750 892 1 043 620 1 467 692 2 085 320
8 564 878 12 103 530 17 220 916
3 514 683 4 989 788 7 104 245
1 324 238 1 932 082 2 834 541
617 686
743 893
905 424
121 771
135 725
151 349
2 986 499 4 302 043 6 225 357
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
4 402 780
1 635 228
1 874 332
66 403
1 807 929
636 588
256 633
4 635 610
1 662 974
2 013 976
71 248
1 942 728
676 222
282 439
5 052 420
1 665 095
2 298 987
79 984
2 219 004
753 166
335 172
5 433 465
1 624 520
2 589 926
88 859
2 501 067
825 122
393 897
5 804 809
1 540 241
2 907 314
98 168
2 809 147
893 768
463 486
6 188 271
1 425 647
3 254 606
107 658
3 146 948
963 571
544 448
6 643 498
1 309 508
3 652 974
118 553
3 534 422
1 040 112
640 905
7 216 915
1 191 778
4 133 137
131 373
4 001 764
1 129 286
762 713
7 975 765
1 091 193
4 729 533
146 756
4 582 778
1 235 040
920 000
8 970 690
1 003 760
5 483 270
165 133
5 318 137
1 361 143
1 122 518
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
741 477
291 479
101 439
155 800
192 759
738 862
284 980
104 015
155 675
194 192
723 910
267 425
108 284
153 169
195 032
701 857
247 570
111 644
148 945
193 698
673 442
226 133
114 567
142 481
190 260
639 156
204 042
116 623
133 153
185 339
603 370
182 036
118 065
122 615
180 655
569 878
161 963
119 031
112 822
176 062
538 913
145 006
119 244
103 890
170 773
508 045
129 458
118 672
94 893
165 021
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
633 387
43 356
173 219
416 812
671 382
45 160
186 533
439 690
746 302
48 739
214 456
483 108
817 079
52 175
242 999
521 905
885 363
55 673
272 884
556 806
952 630 1 022 204 1 099 352 1 189 447 1 297 971
59 626
64 537
70 859
78 862
88 895
304 887
340 442
382 036
431 966
493 229
588 117
617 226
646 457
678 620
715 847
Northern America
362 032
377 430
406 090
430 737
453 064
474 089
494 095
511 261
524 788
534 919
39 478
28 537
9 728
523
689
42 419
30 299
10 837
558
725
48 538
33 686
13 414
635
803
55 000
36 864
16 525
715
896
62 139
39 993
20 345
800
1 001
69 976
42 813
25 108
905
1 150
78 717
45 245
31 086
1 032
1 354
88 690
47 265
38 625
1 189
1 611
100 238
48 766
48 150
1 385
1 936
113 884
49 712
60 186
1 632
2 354
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
100
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.5. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
1.79
1.91
1.96
1.78
1.78
1.80
1.52
1.30
1.22
1.20
1.20
2.06
2.00
2.06
1.08
2.26
2.40
2.24
0.78
2.39
2.33
2.39
0.66
2.15
2.47
2.11
0.60
2.15
2.55
2.09
0.57
2.15
2.64
2.08
0.43
1.81
2.77
1.68
0.34
1.54
2.51
1.40
0.36
1.43
2.41
1.27
0.42
1.37
2.28
1.22
2.07
2.45
2.43
2.43
2.41
2.27
2.05
1.86
1.72
1.62
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
1.95
2.38
2.66
2.78
2.81
2.80
2.69
2.61
2.61
2.66
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
2.09
2.20
1.86
2.57
2.30
1.67
2.46
2.62
2.29
2.71
2.56
2.14
2.60
2.86
2.52
2.41
2.67
2.50
2.73
2.94
2.70
2.57
2.52
2.69
2.78
2.92
2.82
2.68
2.55
2.75
2.72
2.98
2.91
2.46
2.30
2.67
2.57
2.54
3.33
2.16
2.39
2.68
2.41
2.87
2.51
1.66
1.64
2.59
2.40
2.74
2.90
1.61
1.41
2.61
2.46
2.78
2.85
1.68
1.28
2.71
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
1.94
1.91
1.79
2.64
1.76
2.29
2.52
2.09
1.76
2.23
3.54
2.18
2.71
2.66
2.29
2.18
2.30
2.39
2.29
2.51
2.77
1.97
1.44
2.42
2.05
2.44
2.25
2.81
1.98
1.45
2.37
2.07
2.38
2.29
2.86
2.00
1.68
2.27
1.96
2.29
2.08
2.47
1.61
1.11
2.01
1.16
2.05
1.78
2.28
1.30
0.65
1.81
0.73
1.85
1.56
1.98
1.18
0.55
1.59
0.94
1.61
1.38
2.24
1.10
0.57
1.38
1.34
1.38
1.22
2.42
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
0.99
1.50
0.40
0.88
0.60
0.95
1.01
0.72
0.82
1.07
0.61
0.67
0.38
0.87
0.43
0.49
0.66
0.20
0.79
0.13
0.42
0.58
0.18
0.48
0.21
0.39
0.45
0.31
0.27
0.44
0.18
-0.04
0.24
0.11
0.58
-0.02
-0.37
0.26
0.20
0.25
0.11
-0.42
0.37
0.63
0.40
0.20
-0.14
0.54
0.58
0.25
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
2.71
1.92
2.94
2.76
2.77
2.16
3.13
2.72
2.43
1.75
2.96
2.32
2.29
1.47
2.61
2.27
2.09
1.43
2.12
2.16
1.93
1.40
2.06
1.94
1.77
1.25
2.10
1.70
1.58
1.05
1.76
1.56
1.33
0.88
1.41
1.35
1.16
0.72
1.39
1.12
Northern America
1.69
1.43
0.95
0.97
1.00
1.05
1.05
1.17
0.94
0.94
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
2.23
2.36
1.59
1.95
2.49
2.07
2.00
2.22
2.74
3.15
1.76
1.53
2.83
1.93
1.57
1.33
1.01
2.61
2.40
1.38
1.59
1.30
2.61
3.44
1.55
1.62
1.45
2.18
3.05
1.32
1.49
1.23
2.37
2.37
1.12
1.44
1.17
2.40
1.25
1.11
1.48
1.29
2.23
0.25
0.91
1.73
1.65
2.18
-0.16
0.58
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
102
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.5. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area and region
1.15
1.04
0.83
0.66
0.51
0.39
0.30
0.22
0.17
0.30
1.33
2.28
1.16
0.24
1.21
2.20
1.02
0.12
0.96
1.99
0.74
0.04
0.77
1.77
0.53
0.01
0.60
1.54
0.34
-0.03
0.45
1.31
0.19
-0.04
0.34
1.10
0.09
-0.02
0.25
0.89
0.01
-0.02
0.20
0.71
-0.01
-0.06
0.13
0.55
-0.05
1.56
1.44
1.20
1.00
0.81
0.64
0.50
0.38
0.28
0.20
2.65
2.54
2.34
2.15
1.90
1.64
1.39
1.15
0.92
0.71
2.46
2.83
2.73
1.68
0.85
2.73
2.36
2.67
2.64
1.55
0.69
2.66
2.15
2.38
2.41
1.18
0.57
2.52
1.97
2.13
2.13
0.95
0.53
2.36
1.74
1.86
1.85
0.75
0.43
2.11
1.50
1.58
1.56
0.53
0.28
1.84
1.27
1.33
1.27
0.35
0.14
1.59
1.05
1.09
1.01
0.24
0.00
1.32
0.84
0.87
0.76
0.14
-0.10
1.07
0.65
0.68
0.55
0.03
-0.18
0.83
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
1.03
0.55
1.30
1.40
1.29
1.17
1.88
0.88
0.39
1.15
1.26
1.15
1.02
1.60
0.57
0.03
0.85
0.79
0.86
0.75
1.18
0.33
-0.20
0.58
0.61
0.57
0.49
0.94
0.11
-0.41
0.33
0.41
0.33
0.25
0.69
-0.06
-0.55
0.12
0.16
0.12
0.07
0.42
-0.18
-0.56
-0.05
0.06
-0.05
-0.05
0.20
-0.25
-0.54
-0.17
0.00
-0.18
-0.12
0.05
-0.25
-0.39
-0.23
-0.06
-0.24
-0.18
-0.03
-0.26
-0.34
-0.26
-0.08
-0.27
-0.20
-0.10
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
0.08
-0.25
0.54
0.19
0.25
0.01
-0.32
0.52
0.06
0.19
-0.13
-0.51
0.40
-0.07
0.08
-0.18
-0.55
0.31
-0.13
-0.01
-0.22
-0.55
0.29
-0.24
-0.08
-0.28
-0.57
0.21
-0.40
-0.11
-0.26
-0.54
0.17
-0.41
-0.07
-0.19
-0.42
0.14
-0.31
-0.06
-0.15
-0.28
0.08
-0.24
-0.08
-0.16
-0.27
0.01
-0.24
-0.10
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
1.11
0.70
1.37
1.04
0.98
0.61
1.22
0.92
0.73
0.41
0.95
0.67
0.49
0.18
0.67
0.44
0.27
-0.06
0.43
0.22
0.08
-0.21
0.22
0.04
-0.08
-0.29
0.05
-0.11
-0.19
-0.34
-0.08
-0.23
-0.26
-0.36
-0.18
-0.29
-0.28
-0.33
-0.22
-0.31
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
0.83
0.79
0.68
0.52
0.45
0.40
0.35
0.26
0.19
0.11
1.42
1.26
1.98
0.86
0.72
1.33
1.18
1.82
1.06
0.77
1.12
0.98
1.56
0.89
0.63
0.95
0.83
1.29
0.60
0.52
0.82
0.76
1.03
0.36
0.28
0.65
0.59
0.81
0.25
0.43
0.50
0.47
0.61
0.15
0.44
0.37
0.35
0.42
0.05
0.34
0.23
0.22
0.26
-0.02
0.23
0.10
0.09
0.14
-0.05
0.18
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.11 World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Northern America
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
103
Table A.6. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.33
1.31
1.12
1.02
0.97
0.90
0.86
0.85
0.83
0.78
0.46
1.52
2.45
1.35
0.49
1.48
2.46
1.29
0.39
1.25
2.27
1.04
0.36
1.13
2.10
0.90
0.47
1.05
1.94
0.81
0.49
0.96
1.75
0.72
0.52
0.91
1.58
0.69
0.61
0.88
1.42
0.69
0.66
0.85
1.27
0.69
0.63
0.80
1.15
0.66
1.75
1.71
1.50
1.36
1.26
1.13
1.04
0.98
0.92
0.85
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.81
2.77
2.60
2.46
2.28
2.05
1.85
1.64
1.45
1.28
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
2.63
3.00
2.89
1.87
1.05
2.89
2.60
2.91
2.87
1.83
1.00
2.88
2.41
2.65
2.67
1.47
0.93
2.75
2.28
2.46
2.45
1.30
0.98
2.64
2.13
2.25
2.24
1.21
0.98
2.46
1.92
2.01
1.98
1.03
0.86
2.23
1.74
1.80
1.75
0.91
0.79
2.01
1.56
1.60
1.54
0.87
0.73
1.79
1.38
1.42
1.33
0.81
0.67
1.57
1.23
1.27
1.16
0.72
0.62
1.37
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
1.22
0.74
1.49
1.61
1.48
1.36
2.06
1.16
0.66
1.44
1.56
1.44
1.31
1.88
0.87
0.30
1.17
1.10
1.18
1.07
1.47
0.70
0.16
0.96
0.99
0.96
0.86
1.27
0.60
0.08
0.82
0.93
0.81
0.75
1.12
0.50
0.05
0.67
0.72
0.67
0.64
0.90
0.46
0.12
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.59
0.74
0.47
0.25
0.53
0.72
0.52
0.59
0.68
0.51
0.41
0.51
0.67
0.50
0.58
0.64
0.50
0.44
0.50
0.67
0.49
0.57
0.60
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
0.25
-0.06
0.70
0.35
0.40
0.27
-0.04
0.77
0.29
0.43
0.15
-0.21
0.67
0.18
0.35
0.16
-0.14
0.61
0.17
0.29
0.28
0.04
0.72
0.21
0.37
0.29
0.08
0.70
0.13
0.41
0.36
0.22
0.68
0.19
0.47
0.51
0.42
0.72
0.38
0.57
0.58
0.53
0.72
0.48
0.61
0.57
0.55
0.66
0.49
0.59
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
1.30
0.88
1.57
1.23
1.27
0.89
1.52
1.21
1.06
0.74
1.29
1.00
0.89
0.59
1.07
0.83
0.77
0.49
0.93
0.73
0.65
0.42
0.78
0.62
0.59
0.44
0.69
0.55
0.56
0.47
0.65
0.53
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.54
0.57
0.54
0.62
0.55
Northern America
0.99
1.04
0.95
0.80
0.86
0.88
0.83
0.81
0.80
0.74
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
1.59
1.43
2.15
1.03
0.89
1.58
1.43
2.08
1.33
1.03
1.40
1.24
1.86
1.20
0.94
1.25
1.11
1.64
0.95
0.87
1.23
1.15
1.46
0.84
0.78
1.09
1.02
1.30
0.80
0.96
0.98
0.91
1.15
0.74
0.98
0.91
0.88
1.01
0.71
0.94
0.82
0.80
0.89
0.70
0.86
0.73
0.70
0.79
0.67
0.82
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
104
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.7. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
0.96
0.76
0.51
0.29
0.04
-0.16
-0.33
-0.49
-0.61
-0.70
0.13
1.14
2.11
0.97
-0.01
0.92
1.93
0.73
-0.18
0.64
1.68
0.42
-0.30
0.40
1.42
0.15
-0.46
0.12
1.11
-0.15
-0.58
-0.09
0.85
-0.39
-0.65
-0.28
0.58
-0.58
-0.74
-0.46
0.31
-0.76
-0.82
-0.58
0.07
-0.87
-0.91
-0.68
-0.13
-0.94
1.37
1.15
0.88
0.63
0.35
0.12
-0.10
-0.30
-0.47
-0.59
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.49
2.29
2.06
1.82
1.49
1.20
0.90
0.60
0.32
0.07
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
2.30
2.67
2.58
1.48
0.64
2.58
2.10
2.41
2.41
1.26
0.36
2.44
1.86
2.08
2.14
0.85
0.18
2.26
1.63
1.78
1.80
0.58
0.06
2.06
1.33
1.43
1.43
0.27
-0.14
1.73
1.05
1.12
1.10
-0.02
-0.35
1.43
0.77
0.82
0.76
-0.28
-0.59
1.13
0.49
0.52
0.43
-0.49
-0.84
0.81
0.24
0.26
0.13
-0.66
-1.03
0.51
0.00
0.02
-0.14
-0.83
-1.19
0.24
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
0.83
0.35
1.10
1.19
1.10
0.97
1.69
0.59
0.11
0.85
0.94
0.85
0.72
1.32
0.25
-0.26
0.50
0.46
0.51
0.40
0.87
-0.06
-0.56
0.17
0.19
0.17
0.09
0.59
-0.39
-0.92
-0.17
-0.15
-0.18
-0.26
0.25
-0.67
-1.18
-0.47
-0.47
-0.47
-0.54
-0.08
-0.89
-1.34
-0.75
-0.68
-0.75
-0.76
-0.40
-1.10
-1.50
-1.00
-0.86
-1.00
-0.97
-0.66
-1.20
-1.44
-1.16
-0.97
-1.17
-1.14
-0.83
-1.25
-1.42
-1.23
-1.02
-1.24
-1.21
-0.97
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
-0.10
-0.44
0.38
0.02
0.09
-0.25
-0.60
0.27
-0.18
-0.05
-0.43
-0.83
0.11
-0.35
-0.21
-0.54
-0.97
-0.01
-0.44
-0.33
-0.72
-1.15
-0.14
-0.69
-0.54
-0.87
-1.29
-0.30
-0.95
-0.67
-0.95
-1.43
-0.39
-1.07
-0.67
-0.99
-1.44
-0.52
-1.08
-0.77
-1.02
-1.35
-0.67
-1.10
-0.90
-1.09
-1.35
-0.80
-1.19
-0.98
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
0.91
0.51
1.17
0.84
0.68
0.32
0.91
0.62
0.38
0.06
0.59
0.32
0.08
-0.25
0.26
0.03
-0.25
-0.61
-0.08
-0.28
-0.52
-0.88
-0.36
-0.56
-0.78
-1.09
-0.64
-0.83
-1.04
-1.30
-0.89
-1.09
-1.26
-1.48
-1.14
-1.29
-1.39
-1.52
-1.30
-1.42
Northern America
0.66
0.54
0.38
0.20
0.02
-0.10
-0.18
-0.36
-0.53
-0.66
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
1.25
1.09
1.80
0.68
0.55
1.07
0.92
1.55
0.79
0.50
0.83
0.69
1.24
0.55
0.30
0.63
0.53
0.92
0.23
0.13
0.41
0.36
0.57
-0.14
-0.24
0.18
0.15
0.28
-0.34
-0.14
-0.01
-0.01
0.01
-0.51
-0.17
-0.23
-0.21
-0.26
-0.72
-0.35
-0.44
-0.43
-0.47
-0.90
-0.54
-0.63
-0.63
-0.64
-0.96
-0.62
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
105
Table A.8. Average annual rate of population change by major area and region:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area and region
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.23
1.20
1.12
1.16
1.26
1.43
1.68
1.95
2.25
2.51
0.28
1.43
2.52
1.23
0.20
1.41
2.65
1.17
0.06
1.31
2.75
0.98
-0.04
1.34
2.86
0.93
-0.11
1.44
3.01
0.92
-0.17
1.61
3.15
0.98
-0.19
1.85
3.27
1.12
-0.19
2.12
3.39
1.31
-0.20
2.39
3.49
1.54
-0.24
2.63
3.57
1.76
1.70
1.71
1.66
1.69
1.79
1.93
2.12
2.34
2.56
2.76
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.81
2.91
3.03
3.17
3.29
3.38
3.46
3.53
3.59
3.63
Africa
Eastern Africa .......................................
Middle Africa........................................
Northern Africa.....................................
Southern Africa.....................................
Western Africa ......................................
2.60
3.11
2.85
1.70
0.97
2.81
2.69
3.17
3.01
1.74
0.91
2.89
2.80
3.22
3.18
1.57
0.95
3.04
2.93
3.29
3.30
1.52
1.05
3.19
3.08
3.37
3.44
1.55
1.12
3.32
3.19
3.41
3.55
1.56
1.09
3.44
3.30
3.44
3.64
1.64
1.08
3.54
3.40
3.48
3.73
1.77
1.08
3.61
3.48
3.51
3.79
1.89
1.09
3.66
3.54
3.54
3.84
1.99
1.09
3.71
Asia
Eastern Asia ..........................................
South-Central Asia (f) ..........................
Central Asia
Southern Asia
South-Eastern Asia................................
Western Asia .........................................
1.11
0.52
1.45
1.47
1.45
1.28
2.05
1.03
0.34
1.44
1.41
1.44
1.21
1.92
0.81
-0.08
1.28
1.09
1.28
1.03
1.66
0.71
-0.30
1.18
1.05
1.18
0.88
1.61
0.65
-0.62
1.15
0.97
1.15
0.78
1.63
0.65
-0.81
1.13
0.92
1.13
0.75
1.61
0.74
-0.87
1.17
0.98
1.18
0.77
1.65
0.86
-0.96
1.26
1.04
1.27
0.84
1.77
1.05
-0.85
1.38
1.13
1.39
0.91
1.91
1.22
-0.85
1.51
1.19
1.52
0.99
2.02
Europe
Eastern Europe ......................................
Northern Europe....................................
Southern Europe....................................
Western Europe .....................................
0.03
-0.32
0.53
0.14
0.22
-0.07
-0.45
0.50
-0.02
0.15
-0.24
-0.68
0.37
-0.20
0.01
-0.33
-0.80
0.29
-0.31
-0.10
-0.44
-0.94
0.25
-0.50
-0.21
-0.55
-1.06
0.16
-0.73
-0.27
-0.58
-1.17
0.12
-0.84
-0.25
-0.57
-1.16
0.07
-0.83
-0.27
-0.56
-1.09
0.00
-0.83
-0.32
-0.61
-1.16
-0.07
-0.94
-0.35
Latin America and the Caribbean
Caribbean ..............................................
Central America ....................................
South America ......................................
1.21
0.82
1.52
1.13
1.17
0.82
1.48
1.07
1.02
0.74
1.36
0.89
0.88
0.67
1.22
0.74
0.78
0.65
1.14
0.62
0.72
0.70
1.10
0.53
0.71
0.83
1.11
0.47
0.74
0.97
1.17
0.46
0.81
1.10
1.25
0.50
0.90
1.23
1.35
0.55
Northern America
0.88
0.83
0.70
0.56
0.49
0.44
0.40
0.32
0.24
0.17
Oceania
Australia/New Zealand .........................
Melanesia ..............................................
Micronesia.............................................
Polynesia (g) .........................................
1.48
1.28
2.17
0.99
0.86
1.44
1.20
2.16
1.30
1.01
1.32
1.01
2.12
1.28
1.03
1.23
0.87
2.08
1.15
1.10
1.22
0.80
2.08
1.14
1.12
1.18
0.65
2.11
1.25
1.47
1.18
0.52
2.14
1.34
1.67
1.20
0.41
2.18
1.44
1.76
1.23
0.28
2.21
1.56
1.87
1.29
0.16
2.24
1.66
1.98
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
106
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2 525 779 3 026 003 3 691 173 4 449 049 4 863 602 5 320 817 5 741 822 6 127 700 6 514 095 6 916 183
812 943
915 034 1 008 230 1 083 077 1 116 068 1 148 278 1 173 484 1 193 355 1 215 149 1 240 935
1 712 836 2 110 969 2 682 943 3 365 971 3 747 533 4 172 538 4 568 339 4 934 346 5 298 945 5 675 249
195 229
241 274
309 088
392 990
446 371
509 354
585 010
663 251
748 299
838 807
1 517 607 1 869 695 2 373 855 2 972 982 3 301 162 3 663 184 3 983 329 4 271 094 4 550 646 4 836 442
1 159 327 1 446 548 1 849 797 2 358 846 2 660 297 2 980 723 3 303 109 3 624 715 3 950 676 4 284 697
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
179 495
220 762
282 158
370 298
426 167
490 115
560 675
638 974
728 004
Africa
228 827
285 270
366 475
478 459
549 846
629 987
716 505
808 304
911 528 1 031 084
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
67 033
2 309
156
62
1 141
18 128
6 077
4 084
2 881
493
15
6 442
248
2 186
36
2 264
2 583
5 158
7 650
2 372
2 747
84 398
2 787
190
84
1 405
22 151
8 105
5 099
3 525
660
24
7 647
336
2 933
41
2 756
2 955
6 788
10 074
3 083
3 752
110 545
3 457
232
160
1 797
28 415
11 252
6 576
4 530
826
37
9 453
462
3 755
52
3 445
3 647
9 446
13 605
4 191
5 206
147 750
4 127
314
359
2 415
35 241
16 268
8 747
6 237
966
55
12 142
509
5 141
66
6 090
4 702
12 550
18 687
5 847
7 289
170 967
4 774
363
424
2 832
40 777
19 660
9 981
7 265
1 016
71
13 339
559
6 113
69
6 068
5 446
14 661
21 850
6 838
8 860
198 386
5 606
413
590
3 273
48 043
23 446
11 546
9 447
1 056
92
13 568
611
7 215
69
6 322
5 764
17 535
25 485
7 845
10 462
225 197
6 210
466
664
3 408
57 024
27 418
13 453
9 964
1 129
122
15 982
674
5 664
75
6 346
5 434
20 741
29 944
8 841
11 639
260 001
6 674
528
723
3 939
66 024
31 285
15 745
11 321
1 185
149
18 276
736
8 396
80
7 385
6 653
24 276
34 021
10 101
12 504
298 112
7 770
601
777
4 854
76 167
35 786
18 290
12 925
1 213
175
21 010
791
9 429
87
8 467
8 039
28 725
38 824
11 470
12 711
342 595
9 233
683
834
5 741
87 095
40 909
21 080
15 014
1 231
204
23 967
845
10 837
91
9 636
9 941
33 987
44 973
13 217
13 077
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
26 193
4 148
4 466
1 327
2 502
808
12 184
226
473
60
31 910
4 966
5 361
1 504
3 003
1 014
15 248
252
499
64
40 472
5 928
6 771
1 829
3 645
1 335
20 010
291
589
74
52 552
7 637
8 932
2 274
4 513
1 796
26 357
221
726
95
60 521
9 064
10 381
2 623
5 092
2 079
30 040
313
826
104
70 000
10 334
12 070
2 913
5 952
2 383
34 911
374
947
117
82 676
12 105
13 930
3 276
6 980
2 721
42 013
442
1 080
130
93 751
13 925
15 928
3 638
8 301
3 126
46 949
518
1 226
139
108 366
16 544
18 138
3 961
10 014
3 543
54 028
604
1 379
155
124 978
19 549
20 624
4 350
11 721
4 112
62 191
696
1 556
178
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
49 332
8 872
21 514
1 113
8 986
5 734
3 099
14
64 508
11 278
27 998
1 428
12 329
7 527
3 915
33
84 317
14 691
36 342
2 076
15 916
10 233
4 983
77
108 161
19 475
44 932
3 078
19 799
14 418
6 308
151
123 679
22 847
50 347
3 739
22 278
17 098
7 189
182
139 872
26 240
56 337
4 260
24 675
20 009
8 135
217
155 830
29 315
61 168
4 748
26 833
24 530
8 983
253
169 331
31 719
66 137
5 176
28 710
27 730
9 553
306
183 523
33 961
71 778
5 594
30 125
31 586
10 051
428
199 620
37 063
78 076
6 041
31 642
35 652
10 632
515
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
15 588
413
734
485
13 683
273
19 724
524
851
603
17 396
349
25 454
693
1 032
780
22 503
446
32 998
998
1 307
1 013
29 077
603
37 490
1 185
1 468
1 149
32 983
705
42 053
1 384
1 598
1 415
36 793
863
47 382
1 583
1 754
1 654
41 427
963
51 420
1 755
1 856
1 898
44 846
1 064
55 169
1 876
1 926
2 027
48 235
1 105
58 803
1 969
2 009
2 179
51 452
1 193
Western Africa
70 681
84 730
105 686
136 998
157 188
179 675
205 419
233 803
266 358
305 088
108
831 464
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Major area, region and country
7 324 782 7 716 749 8 424 937 9 038 687 9 550 945 9 957 399 10 277 339 10 524 161 10 717 401 10 853 849 World
1 259 588
6 065 194
940 125
5 125 069
1 274 929
6 441 820
1 049 413
5 392 406
1 293 905
7 131 033
1 287 043
5 843 990
1 301 301
7 737 386
1 544 053
6 193 333
1 303 110
8 247 835
1 810 590
6 437 244
1 300 218
8 657 181
2 075 829
6 581 352
1 295 499
8 981 841
2 329 164
6 652 677
1 292 140
9 232 021
2 559 793
6 672 229
1 289 669
9 427 732
2 760 183
6 667 549
1 284 035
9 569 814
2 927 745
6 642 069
4 632 282 4 977 204 5 645 644 6 270 367 6 832 686 7 315 489 7 714 774 8 034 403 8 281 198 8 462 323
949 175 1 077 571 1 368 192 1 704 671 2 074 446 2 459 565 2 844 033 3 208 854 3 536 438 3 815 646
1 166 239 1 312 142 1 634 366 1 998 821 2 393 175 2 797 337 3 195 254 3 569 537 3 903 239 4 184 577
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
394 754
10 813
770
900
6 738
98 942
46 749
24 235
17 309
1 254
234
27 122
895
12 428
94
11 123
12 152
40 141
52 291
15 520
15 046
451 015
12 579
860
965
7 727
111 521
52 906
27 798
19 895
1 271
264
30 553
941
14 123
96
12 820
13 853
47 088
60 385
18 252
17 118
575 796
16 392
1 057
1 075
9 782
137 670
66 306
36 000
25 960
1 288
331
38 876
1 021
17 771
98
16 880
17 297
63 388
79 354
24 957
20 292
717 040
21 082
1 281
1 168
12 040
163 553
81 354
45 289
33 115
1 271
401
48 861
1 084
21 601
100
21 691
20 940
82 659
102 686
33 552
23 313
869 221 1 024 908 1 177 739 1 320 710 1 448 244 1 557 309
26 691
32 577
38 833
45 130
50 997
56 285
1 508
1 738
1 968
2 183
2 374
2 538
1 244
1 289
1 312
1 320
1 314
1 300
14 314
16 376
18 220
19 766
20 953
21 761
187 573
208 352
224 786
235 902
241 778
243 416
97 173
112 869
127 746
140 990
152 000
160 423
55 498
66 219
76 966
87 313
96 789
105 128
41 203
49 969
59 076
68 191
76 955
84 986
1 231
1 182
1 130
1 075
1 024
983
466
522
571
611
640
656
59 929
71 768
83 459
94 381
104 053
112 018
1 125
1 148
1 162
1 167
1 161
1 150
25 378
28 801
31 681
33 883
35 382
36 217
100
98
95
92
89
87
27 076
32 859
38 741
44 403
49 539
53 966
24 760
28 537
32 024
35 040
37 471
39 267
104 078
126 551
148 966
170 070
188 847
204 596
129 417
158 542
189 120
219 778
249 035
275 624
44 206
56 821
71 390
87 743
105 505
124 302
26 254
28 690
30 494
31 674
32 339
32 608
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
143 293
22 820
23 393
4 803
13 606
4 671
71 246
799
1 751
203
163 510
26 475
26 405
5 286
15 733
5 268
81 252
909
1 955
227
209 350
34 783
33 074
6 318
20 878
6 754
103 743
1 139
2 382
278
260 981
44 245
40 584
7 399
26 888
8 556
128 755
1 378
2 840
335
316 111
54 324
48 599
8 491
33 516
10 577
155 291
1 623
3 302
388
371 931
64 663
56 715
9 496
40 424
12 753
181 853
1 858
3 733
438
425 356
74 622
64 499
10 351
47 218
15 023
206 976
2 064
4 121
482
473 556
83 650
71 545
11 032
53 504
17 278
229 351
2 230
4 447
519
514 201
91 316
77 559
11 533
58 915
19 409
247 871
2 349
4 703
547
546 195
97 337
82 393
11 851
63 286
21 322
262 134
2 419
4 884
568
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
217 064
40 633
84 706
6 317
33 955
39 613
11 235
604
234 571
43 830
91 062
6 767
35 936
44 499
11 783
694
266 174
48 561
102 553
7 459
39 190
55 078
12 561
771
294 150
51 810
113 001
7 978
41 404
66 169
12 969
819
318 729
54 522
121 798
8 350
42 884
77 138
13 192
844
337 773
55 827
128 296
8 473
43 604
87 615
13 109
848
351 221
55 810
132 748
8 380
43 665
97 051
12 732
835
360 682
55 740
135 135
8 199
43 482
105 017
12 291
819
366 801
55 657
135 884
7 956
43 224
111 361
11 915
804
368 932
54 887
135 200
7 639
42 726
116 141
11 556
783
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
61 346
2 056
2 120
2 392
53 491
1 286
63 484
2 150
2 226
2 609
55 131
1 368
67 420
2 348
2 419
3 042
58 096
1 516
71 197
2 564
2 612
3 420
60 938
1 664
74 562
2 780
2 818
3 744
63 405
1 815
76 969
2 958
2 983
4 005
65 077
1 946
78 309
3 064
3 089
4 181
65 930
2 046
78 570
3 099
3 151
4 270
65 941
2 110
77 999
3 082
3 180
4 292
65 301
2 144
76 762
3 025
3 183
4 263
64 135
2 156
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
349 783
399 562
515 626
655 453
814 552
985 756 1 162 629 1 336 018 1 495 994 1 635 380
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Western Africa
109
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2 255
4 284
178
2 630
271
4 981
3 094
518
930
4 638
660
2 560
37 860
5
2 477
1 944
1 395
2 432
4 829
212
3 475
368
6 653
3 577
636
1 120
5 099
858
3 337
45 212
5
3 178
2 160
1 581
2 908
5 625
275
5 242
447
8 597
4 209
683
1 420
5 716
1 149
4 413
56 132
5
4 218
2 532
2 116
3 718
6 823
302
8 266
604
10 802
4 495
818
1 893
6 735
1 534
5 834
73 698
5
5 569
3 180
2 721
4 287
7 728
331
10 158
732
12 717
5 067
910
2 197
7 405
1 767
6 705
83 902
6
6 438
3 584
3 253
5 001
8 811
352
12 116
917
14 629
6 020
1 017
2 103
7 964
2 024
7 754
95 617
6
7 514
4 043
3 788
5 986
10 090
399
14 217
1 066
16 761
7 837
1 140
2 080
8 989
2 334
9 167
108 425
5
8 712
3 927
4 284
6 949
11 608
442
16 131
1 229
18 825
8 746
1 273
2 892
10 261
2 708
10 990
122 877
5
9 862
4 140
4 865
8 182
13 422
479
17 394
1 437
21 384
9 576
1 422
3 270
11 941
3 146
13 184
139 586
5
11 271
5 120
5 540
9 510
15 540
488
18 977
1 681
24 263
10 876
1 587
3 958
13 986
3 609
15 894
159 708
4
12 951
5 752
6 306
1 395 749 1 694 650 2 128 631 2 634 161 2 907 535 3 213 123 3 482 719 3 717 372 3 942 882 4 165 440
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
666 249
543 776
1 974
196
10 549
82 199
780
19 211
7 562
794 375
650 680
3 076
171
11 424
92 501
956
25 074
10 493
983 980 1 179 550 1 268 426 1 379 415 1 458 428 1 506 561 1 548 621 1 593 571
814 378
984 016 1 062 299 1 165 429 1 237 531 1 280 429 1 318 177 1 359 821
3 958
5 054
5 415
5 794
6 144
6 835
6 897
7 050
251
246
296
360
398
432
468
535
14 410
17 372
18 778
20 194
21 764
22 840
23 813
24 501
103 708
115 912
119 989
122 249
124 483
125 715
126 979
127 353
1 279
1 690
1 922
2 184
2 298
2 397
2 527
2 713
31 437
37 451
40 502
42 972
44 653
45 977
47 033
48 454
14 559
17 810
19 226
20 232
21 156
21 935
22 728
23 146
South-Central Asia (7)
510 298
619 262
777 588
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
17 499
6 703
1 740
1 532
1 211
6 314
24 103
9 714
2 173
2 064
1 594
8 559
32 803
12 757
2 964
2 920
2 188
11 973
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
492 799
7 451
37 895
177
376 325
17 119
74
8 140
37 542
8 076
595 159
8 774
49 537
224
449 595
21 958
89
9 545
45 541
9 895
744 785
11 016
66 309
292
555 200
28 607
114
11 559
59 204
12 485
943 503 1 062 840 1 191 647 1 320 001 1 447 851 1 569 455 1 681 407
13 180
11 529
11 731
17 586
20 595
24 861
28 398
82 498
94 288
107 386
119 870
132 383
143 135
151 125
413
469
536
509
564
650
717
698 966
781 737
868 891
955 804 1 042 262 1 127 144 1 205 625
38 890
47 532
56 362
60 468
65 911
70 152
74 462
154
184
216
245
273
298
326
14 385
16 144
18 111
20 587
23 184
25 292
26 846
79 984
94 783
111 091
126 690
143 832
157 971
173 149
15 033
16 175
17 324
18 242
18 846
19 951
20 759
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
167 986
48
4 433
72 592
1 683
6 110
17 527
18 580
1 022
20 607
433
214 941
82
5 720
88 693
2 120
8 161
21 486
26 272
1 634
27 362
500
281 123
130
7 022
114 067
2 685
10 909
27 166
35 805
2 074
36 879
604
356 606
193
6 699
145 494
3 251
13 834
34 475
47 398
2 415
47 369
581
110
984 455 1 108 258 1 241 734 1 373 066 1 502 898 1 627 159 1 743 101
40 952
14 519
3 627
3 918
2 861
16 027
45 418
15 403
4 013
4 541
3 229
18 231
399 831
223
7 777
162 459
3 678
15 764
38 546
54 325
2 709
52 032
660
50 087
16 172
4 395
5 297
3 668
20 555
443 735
257
9 057
178 633
4 245
18 211
42 123
61 949
3 016
56 583
751
53 065
15 550
4 592
5 784
4 188
22 951
485 063
295
10 769
194 113
4 871
20 725
45 330
69 607
3 483
58 984
867
55 047
14 576
4 955
6 186
4 501
24 829
524 410
332
12 223
208 939
5 388
23 421
48 453
77 652
3 918
62 343
854
57 704
15 064
5 042
6 806
4 748
26 044
561 840
368
13 356
224 481
5 791
25 843
50 181
85 821
4 496
65 559
996
61 694
15 921
5 334
7 627
5 042
27 769
597 097
401
14 365
240 676
6 396
28 276
51 931
93 444
5 079
66 402
1 079
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
10 880
17 915
508
21 295
1 970
26 984
12 348
1 788
4 503
16 259
4 080
19 268
183 523
4
14 967
6 319
7 171
12 344
20 542
531
23 770
2 297
29 746
13 927
2 004
5 086
19 060
4 577
23 422
210 159
4
17 123
6 894
8 076
15 507
26 564
577
29 227
3 056
35 264
17 322
2 473
6 395
26 034
5 640
34 513
273 120
5
21 856
8 058
10 015
18 838
33 472
613
35 426
3 933
40 715
20 898
2 981
7 861
34 838
6 776
49 756
350 720
5
27 209
9 218
12 195
22 137
40 932
636
42 339
4 866
45 670
24 466
3 504
9 392
45 168
7 921
69 410
440 355
5
32 933
10 296
14 521
25 254
48 670
643
49 627
5 788
49 789
27 803
4 018
10 943
56 536
9 033
93 082
537 735
5
38 693
11 287
16 852
28 004
56 362
634
57 005
6 650
53 030
30 710
4 505
12 447
68 452
10 082
119 778
639 301
5
44 350
12 173
19 142
30 235
63 581
610
64 126
7 402
55 321
33 033
4 945
13 811
80 248
11 017
148 166
739 689
4
49 649
12 906
21 274
31 878
69 963
580
70 624
7 998
56 663
34 709
5 322
14 971
91 180
11 790
176 734
832 684
4
54 290
13 473
23 130
2100 Major area, region and country
32 944
75 274
552
76 180
8 423
57 210
35 768
5 628
15 905
100 751
12 397
203 781
913 834
4
58 180
13 890
24 659
4 384 844 4 581 523 4 886 846 5 080 419 5 164 061 5 152 203 5 074 753 4 957 154 4 833 369 4 711 514
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
1 637 559 1 669 647 1 688 309 1 664 480 1 605 341 1 523 818 1 440 379 1 362 969 1 305 631 1 261 446
1 401 587 1 432 868 1 453 297 1 435 499 1 384 977 1 313 300 1 240 621 1 173 048 1 123 491 1 085 631
7 314
7 550
7 885
8 004
8 004
7 875
7 633
7 366
7 124
6 876
584
626
702
755
797
826
839
836
827
818
25 155
25 766
26 719
27 086
27 076
26 837
26 482
26 064
25 551
25 000
126 818
125 382
120 625
114 517
108 329
102 507
96 464
91 260
87 478
84 471
2 923
3 114
3 388
3 587
3 753
3 824
3 858
3 900
3 928
3 937
49 750
50 769
52 190
52 270
51 034
48 959
46 509
44 126
42 140
40 548
23 428
23 572
23 504
22 762
21 371
19 691
17 974
16 370
15 092
14 166
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 859 787 1 970 051 2 162 637 2 306 188 2 398 180 2 440 117 2 437 820 2 402 814 2 350 075 2 291 182
South-Central Asia (7)
66 172
16 770
5 708
8 610
5 373
29 710
87 733
20 938
8 924
21 313
5 766
30 791
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1 793 616 1 899 587 2 085 479 2 223 980 2 312 026 2 352 108 2 349 133 2 313 991 2 261 670 2 203 449
32 007
35 667
43 500
50 834
56 551
60 634
62 895
63 028
61 525
59 249
160 411
169 566
185 064
195 861
201 948
203 701
201 590
196 337
189 369
182 238
776
822
898
950
980
987
971
940
905
870
1 282 390 1 353 305 1 476 378 1 565 509 1 620 051 1 643 519 1 640 126 1 617 471 1 584 183 1 546 833
79 476
84 149
91 336
96 772
100 598
101 872
100 658
98 075
95 877
94 324
358
388
436
473
504
520
522
511
493
474
28 441
30 001
32 853
35 053
36 479
37 228
37 355
36 768
35 613
34 410
188 144
203 351
231 744
254 769
271 082
280 107
281 913
278 197
271 487
263 320
21 612
22 338
23 271
23 759
23 834
23 541
23 102
22 662
22 216
21 729
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
633 031
429
15 677
255 709
7 020
30 651
54 164
101 803
5 619
67 401
1 173
70 464
17 519
6 162
9 602
5 685
31 495
666 110
454
16 947
269 413
7 651
32 858
56 125
110 404
6 057
67 858
1 286
77 158
18 573
6 871
11 407
6 160
34 147
722 790
499
19 144
293 482
8 806
36 846
58 698
127 797
6 578
67 554
1 555
82 209
19 441
7 429
13 214
6 438
35 687
763 854
532
21 023
311 334
9 791
39 850
59 410
143 516
6 904
65 520
1 820
86 154
20 186
7 976
15 093
6 570
36 330
787 535
546
22 569
321 377
10 579
42 113
58 645
157 118
7 065
61 740
2 087
88 010
20 541
8 304
16 676
6 542
35 946
796 572
547
23 588
325 634
11 130
43 671
56 713
168 305
7 096
56 954
2 371
88 686
20 774
8 523
18 129
6 389
34 871
795 011
542
24 139
326 491
11 436
44 198
54 102
176 681
6 989
52 028
2 637
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
88 822
20 968
8 726
19 440
6 185
33 503
786 610
533
24 250
325 214
11 492
43 878
51 569
182 397
6 752
47 543
2 877
88 406
21 021
8 856
20 475
5 973
32 081
773 420
519
23 986
321 239
11 370
43 230
49 341
185 902
6 433
43 687
3 088
758 021
501
23 587
315 296
11 153
42 400
47 413
187 702
6 040
40 542
3 265
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
111
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Viet Nam .............................................
24 949
32 912
43 783
54 897
61 658
68 910
76 020
80 888
84 948
89 047
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
51 216
1 354
2 896
116
494
3 527
5 719
1 258
449
152
1 335
456
25
3 121
932
3 413
21 238
70
4 661
66 071
1 867
3 898
163
573
4 160
7 290
2 090
889
262
1 805
552
47
4 072
1 069
4 593
27 553
90
5 100
85 940
2 518
5 178
213
614
4 707
9 918
2 850
1 655
750
2 297
724
109
5 803
1 124
6 379
34 772
232
6 097
113 549
3 096
6 164
360
685
5 073
13 653
3 745
2 281
1 371
2 605
1 154
224
9 843
1 510
8 956
43 906
1 015
7 907
131 019
3 339
6 674
419
704
5 287
15 576
4 083
2 783
1 730
2 677
1 498
371
13 274
1 759
10 667
49 178
1 347
9 651
148 239
3 545
7 217
496
767
5 460
17 518
4 499
3 358
2 060
2 703
1 810
477
16 206
2 081
12 452
53 995
1 806
11 790
166 161
3 223
7 771
564
855
5 067
20 363
5 332
4 320
1 586
3 033
2 155
501
18 567
2 598
14 338
58 522
2 346
15 018
183 503
3 076
8 118
668
943
4 744
23 801
6 014
4 767
1 906
3 235
2 193
594
20 145
3 205
16 371
63 174
3 026
17 523
205 261
3 015
8 563
880
1 033
4 475
27 377
6 604
5 239
2 296
3 987
2 522
821
24 690
3 560
18 167
67 743
4 149
20 140
231 671
2 963
9 095
1 252
1 104
4 389
30 962
7 420
6 455
2 992
4 341
2 803
1 750
27 258
4 013
21 533
72 138
8 442
22 763
549 043
605 517
657 369
694 510
709 189
723 248
729 743
729 105
732 970
740 308
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
220 144
7 745
7 251
8 876
9 338
24 824
2 341
16 236
102 799
3 437
37 298
253 599
8 190
7 866
9 578
10 001
29 646
3 004
18 458
120 057
4 137
42 662
276 243
9 040
8 495
9 828
10 346
32 632
3 595
20 332
130 358
4 532
47 087
295 145
9 659
8 865
10 313
10 759
35 641
4 010
22 400
138 536
4 989
49 974
303 885
9 999
8 960
10 330
10 573
37 285
4 215
22 898
143 524
5 158
50 944
310 763
10 260
8 821
10 326
10 385
38 150
4 364
23 372
148 149
5 278
51 659
310 133
10 189
8 358
10 339
10 352
38 480
4 339
22 964
148 602
5 363
51 147
304 512
9 981
8 001
10 250
10 224
38 351
4 107
22 388
146 763
5 388
49 057
298 222
9 665
7 683
10 231
10 096
38 206
3 767
22 113
143 933
5 391
47 136
296 183
9 491
7 389
10 554
10 015
38 199
3 573
21 861
143 618
5 433
46 050
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
78 030
102
4 268
1 101
32
4 008
143
2 913
55
1 949
2 567
3 265
7 010
50 616
81 933
109
4 581
1 217
34
4 430
176
2 829
48
2 132
2 771
3 582
7 480
52 544
87 354
121
4 930
1 360
39
4 607
204
2 963
57
2 366
3 137
3 876
8 049
55 645
89 901
128
5 123
1 474
43
4 779
228
3 418
65
2 513
3 432
4 083
8 311
56 303
90 720
134
5 113
1 522
46
4 902
241
3 534
64
2 582
3 564
4 148
8 351
56 517
92 113
141
5 140
1 565
48
4 987
255
3 531
70
2 664
3 697
4 240
8 559
57 214
93 212
144
5 233
1 433
44
5 108
267
3 611
72
2 488
3 628
4 360
8 827
57 997
94 423
149
5 338
1 366
46
5 176
281
3 804
77
2 371
3 498
4 492
8 872
58 951
96 188
154
5 418
1 325
49
5 246
297
4 158
80
2 228
3 287
4 624
9 030
60 291
98 795
160
5 551
1 299
50
5 368
318
4 468
84
2 091
3 068
4 891
9 382
62 066
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
108 352
1 214
6
2 661
3 850
20
7 566
1
46 367
117 685
1 619
13
3 306
4 059
22
8 333
1
49 519
127 115
2 139
24
3 719
4 171
25
8 793
1
53 324
138 136
2 735
36
4 100
4 401
27
9 643
1
56 221
141 474
3 078
45
4 322
4 571
27
9 934
1
56 772
143 387
3 447
55
4 527
4 794
27
10 161
1
56 832
144 187
3 358
64
3 521
4 690
27
10 672
1
56 967
145 630
3 305
65
3 834
4 475
27
10 987
1
56 986
150 295
3 196
81
3 880
4 389
29
11 042
1
58 672
154 712
3 150
78
3 846
4 338
29
11 110
1
60 509
Europe
112
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
93 387
97 057
101 830
104 155
103 697
100 564
95 770
90 106
84 624
80 122
Viet Nam .............................................
254 467
2 989
9 613
1 360
1 165
4 305
35 767
7 920
7 690
3 583
5 054
4 158
2 351
29 898
4 549
22 265
76 691
9 577
25 535
275 714
2 991
10 030
1 480
1 219
4 202
40 699
8 507
8 087
4 015
4 877
4 514
2 543
32 341
5 140
25 736
80 309
10 602
28 423
313 110
2 970
10 474
1 642
1 306
3 953
50 967
9 632
9 355
4 833
5 172
4 920
2 760
35 634
6 410
29 934
86 825
12 330
33 991
345 897
2 901
10 614
1 760
1 351
3 738
61 249
10 776
10 528
5 610
5 304
5 007
2 912
38 193
7 681
33 662
91 778
14 064
38 769
373 006
2 782
10 492
1 835
1 356
3 563
71 336
11 843
11 510
6 342
5 316
5 065
2 985
40 388
8 906
36 706
94 606
15 479
42 497
391 696
2 622
10 143
1 848
1 336
3 417
80 765
12 739
12 188
6 929
5 219
5 014
2 895
41 251
10 058
38 992
95 331
16 110
44 840
401 543
2 450
9 702
1 796
1 294
3 293
89 176
13 523
12 623
7 345
5 001
4 729
2 639
40 818
11 061
40 355
94 289
15 833
45 617
404 761
2 274
9 216
1 695
1 242
3 183
96 326
14 186
12 896
7 655
4 685
4 247
2 327
39 844
11 857
40 834
92 089
15 044
45 161
404 243
2 127
8 795
1 597
1 196
3 098
102 045
14 682
13 007
7 871
4 361
3 893
2 109
38 623
12 450
40 681
89 374
14 408
43 928
400 865
2 023
8 433
1 520
1 156
3 026
106 319
15 011
12 924
7 960
4 114
3 813
1 987
37 195
12 866
40 114
86 465
13 759
42 181
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
743 123
743 569
736 364
723 887
709 067
690 622
672 505
658 812
648 740
638 816
292 501
9 260
7 113
10 777
9 911
38 222
3 437
21 579
142 098
5 458
44 646
287 930
9 027
6 827
10 924
9 799
38 158
3 323
21 226
140 011
5 469
43 164
274 819
8 488
6 213
11 053
9 525
37 448
3 066
20 232
133 556
5 396
39 842
260 262
7 905
5 611
11 101
9 213
35 840
2 773
19 056
127 005
5 204
36 554
246 523
7 359
5 077
11 218
8 954
34 079
2 484
17 809
120 896
4 990
33 658
232 927
6 832
4 573
11 223
8 678
32 305
2 265
16 427
115 023
4 743
30 859
220 296
6 382
4 146
11 126
8 345
30 206
2 063
15 055
110 091
4 447
28 434
210 560
6 049
3 848
11 094
8 073
28 279
1 898
13 955
106 428
4 196
26 739
204 082
5 805
3 659
11 107
7 867
27 015
1 784
13 187
104 044
4 029
25 584
198 674
5 601
3 533
11 086
7 661
26 085
1 702
12 603
101 882
3 892
24 629
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
101 477
164
5 662
1 280
49
5 461
337
4 727
87
2 031
2 999
5 143
9 694
63 844
104 156
167
5 775
1 261
50
5 542
354
4 963
90
1 973
2 940
5 407
10 033
65 600
108 754
174
6 009
1 212
52
5 650
384
5 347
94
1 856
2 817
5 838
10 691
68 631
112 356
178
6 197
1 163
53
5 673
404
5 688
97
1 749
2 677
6 210
11 267
71 001
115 768
179
6 361
1 121
53
5 693
415
5 994
99
1 674
2 557
6 556
11 934
73 131
118 489
179
6 533
1 077
53
5 733
421
6 194
100
1 607
2 442
6 866
12 590
74 695
120 569
177
6 704
1 032
53
5 770
422
6 316
101
1 544
2 318
7 129
13 172
75 831
122 323
175
6 848
1 000
53
5 790
421
6 433
100
1 503
2 220
7 355
13 712
76 715
123 492
171
6 944
977
53
5 788
418
6 546
100
1 481
2 159
7 518
14 149
77 189
123 853
165
6 992
959
53
5 762
413
6 596
98
1 459
2 105
7 609
14 468
77 175
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
156 157
3 197
81
3 820
4 255
29
11 126
1
61 142
156 616
3 243
84
3 789
4 183
29
11 079
1
61 386
155 815
3 311
89
3 700
4 015
29
10 976
1
61 212
154 077
3 255
93
3 537
3 821
28
10 858
1
60 812
150 889
3 094
95
3 332
3 606
27
10 668
1
60 015
145 487
2 931
95
3 129
3 394
26
10 332
1
58 499
139 555
2 752
95
2 916
3 197
25
9 980
1
56 897
134 988
2 539
94
2 699
3 023
24
9 735
1
55 960
131 649
2 345
93
2 511
2 882
23
9 560
1
55 348
128 527
2 217
91
2 374
2 768
23
9 365
1
54 598
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2100 Major area, region and country
Europe
113
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
312
395
8 417
13
6 732
1 473
28 070
1 254
314
479
8 875
15
7 658
1 580
30 419
1 471
305
532
8 670
19
8 236
1 670
33 796
1 692
330
579
9 765
21
9 057
1 832
37 493
1 896
354
595
9 938
23
9 445
1 948
38 472
1 950
375
615
9 899
24
9 735
2 004
38 883
2 010
396
615
10 097
26
10 375
1 992
39 421
1 967
408
611
10 306
27
10 272
1 990
40 283
2 052
415
616
10 511
30
9 956
2 000
43 387
2 090
425
620
10 590
31
9 647
2 054
46 182
2 102
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
142 517
6 938
8 628
41 832
70 094
14
296
20
10 027
4 668
152 300
7 056
9 141
45 699
73 336
17
315
22
11 419
5 296
166 657
7 489
9 664
50 704
79 287
21
340
23
12 958
6 169
171 329
7 555
9 856
53 941
79 169
26
364
27
14 087
6 304
173 111
7 576
9 893
55 414
78 896
27
367
29
14 452
6 456
176 985
7 670
9 978
56 846
80 487
29
382
29
14 890
6 674
182 211
7 985
10 162
58 009
83 148
31
408
31
15 420
7 017
184 541
8 020
10 268
59 213
83 512
33
436
32
15 860
7 166
188 265
8 239
10 508
61 445
83 836
35
458
34
16 302
7 409
190 618
8 402
10 941
63 231
83 017
36
508
37
16 615
7 831
167 869
220 439
287 588
364 150
404 329
445 203
486 345
526 278
562 546
596 191
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
17 091
5
46
38
79
211
7
7
6
5 920
100
51
2 380
77
210
3 221
1 403
222
14
2 218
46
83
67
1
646
5
27
20 743
6
55
54
110
231
8
8
8
7 141
127
60
3 312
90
275
3 869
1 629
282
12
2 356
51
90
81
3
848
6
33
25 326
6
65
59
169
239
10
10
9
8 715
144
71
4 524
94
319
4 713
1 869
325
12
2 710
45
104
90
7
946
6
64
29 749
7
70
60
211
249
11
11
16
9 835
148
75
5 826
89
326
5 692
2 132
325
12
3 188
43
118
101
13
1 085
8
98
31 952
7
66
63
235
254
13
12
19
10 097
150
74
6 524
100
354
6 389
2 297
340
11
3 370
42
126
104
19
1 171
10
105
34 262
8
62
62
256
259
16
13
25
10 601
147
71
7 245
96
385
7 110
2 365
358
11
3 518
41
138
108
29
1 222
12
103
36 475
10
68
80
280
263
18
15
32
10 932
144
71
7 978
100
403
7 838
2 462
369
10
3 690
43
147
108
35
1 255
15
107
38 436
11
78
91
298
267
21
14
42
11 138
132
70
8 663
102
425
8 578
2 582
384
5
3 797
46
157
108
31
1 268
19
109
40 163
13
83
100
329
274
23
14
49
11 292
129
71
9 343
103
444
9 261
2 682
396
5
3 761
49
165
109
37
1 297
26
108
41 625
14
87
102
360
280
27
18
56
11 282
148
71
10 017
105
459
9 896
2 741
401
5
3 710
52
177
109
43
1 328
31
106
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
38 318
69
966
2 200
3 146
1 487
28 296
1 295
860
51 930
92
1 334
2 773
4 141
2 002
38 677
1 775
1 136
70 700
122
1 822
3 736
5 416
2 691
52 988
2 400
1 526
93 384
144
2 348
4 661
7 001
3 636
70 353
3 250
1 990
103 827
165
2 699
5 004
7 920
4 238
77 859
3 710
2 233
115 106
188
3 079
5 344
8 890
4 904
86 077
4 138
2 487
127 818
207
3 478
5 748
9 984
5 592
95 393
4 659
2 757
139 596
239
3 930
5 959
11 204
6 236
103 874
5 101
3 055
149 795
272
4 320
6 073
12 679
6 899
110 732
5 455
3 366
160 546
309
4 670
6 218
14 342
7 621
117 886
5 822
3 678
Latin America and the Caribbean
114
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
431
622
10 610
32
9 424
2 079
47 199
2 109
436
620
10 579
32
9 169
2 093
47 789
2 107
437
608
10 433
33
8 582
2 086
48 235
2 069
428
586
10 213
33
7 863
2 060
48 504
1 986
417
557
9 843
33
7 074
2 023
48 224
1 881
404
527
9 331
33
6 297
1 967
46 759
1 760
389
497
8 782
32
5 545
1 911
44 907
1 630
370
468
8 278
31
4 888
1 868
43 507
1 505
352
443
7 851
30
4 392
1 836
42 581
1 403
336
422
7 457
29
4 054
1 803
41 662
1 327
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
192 988
8 558
11 183
64 983
82 562
37
543
38
16 844
8 239
194 867
8 716
11 364
66 570
81 881
39
577
40
17 033
8 648
196 976
9 005
11 664
69 286
79 552
41
637
44
17 269
9 477
197 192
9 202
11 890
71 523
76 354
43
682
48
17 215
10 235
195 887
9 354
12 055
73 212
72 566
44
706
53
16 919
10 977
193 719
9 439
12 156
74 635
68 416
46
719
58
16 603
11 648
192 084
9 513
12 273
76 006
64 864
47
726
62
16 411
12 182
190 940
9 586
12 419
77 363
61 881
47
728
66
16 284
12 566
189 518
9 616
12 532
78 386
59 233
48
724
69
16 126
12 784
187 761
9 587
12 594
79 059
56 902
47
716
70
15 964
12 822
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
630 089
661 724
716 671
756 997
781 566
791 300
788 223
775 596
756 993
736 228
43 101
15
92
104
388
287
29
20
60
11 249
164
73
10 652
107
470
10 604
2 813
406
5
3 680
55
185
109
47
1 347
34
107
44 429
15
96
106
410
294
30
21
63
11 162
171
74
11 235
108
480
11 288
2 877
410
5
3 679
58
192
110
51
1 349
37
107
46 525
16
105
108
447
306
32
23
67
10 847
179
77
12 219
107
496
12 537
2 950
416
6
3 704
63
202
110
57
1 308
41
105
47 636
16
111
107
475
312
34
23
68
10 267
180
77
12 924
103
500
13 581
2 922
413
6
3 684
66
207
111
60
1 244
43
103
47 647
15
115
103
494
314
34
23
67
9 392
179
76
13 320
95
493
14 353
2 808
400
6
3 611
67
207
111
61
1 155
43
103
46 833
15
116
99
508
316
34
23
65
8 346
174
74
13 457
90
482
14 861
2 650
382
6
3 493
68
203
109
61
1 055
42
102
45 579
14
117
96
514
317
34
23
63
7 379
170
72
13 387
86
472
15 095
2 485
367
6
3 342
67
197
107
60
963
41
104
44 122
13
117
93
514
317
34
22
62
6 600
167
69
13 148
82
465
15 110
2 321
357
6
3 174
66
189
103
59
888
40
105
42 563
12
116
89
510
316
34
22
62
5 945
163
67
12 801
79
457
14 992
2 165
346
6
3 004
65
180
100
57
832
39
107
41 131
12
114
86
504
316
33
22
61
5 458
159
64
12 414
77
448
14 799
2 052
335
6
2 853
64
171
96
55
790
37
107
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
171 934
348
5 002
6 426
16 255
8 424
125 236
6 257
3 988
182 729
386
5 295
6 614
18 281
9 235
131 955
6 665
4 296
202 408
461
5 760
6 875
22 566
10 811
143 663
7 391
4 882
217 982
530
6 055
6 971
27 002
12 248
151 821
7 972
5 383
228 833
590
6 189
6 912
31 426
13 484
156 102
8 355
5 774
235 098
637
6 177
6 737
35 618
14 469
156 857
8 551
6 054
237 167
669
6 050
6 469
39 321
15 162
154 700
8 569
6 228
236 059
687
5 829
6 136
42 399
15 549
150 720
8 423
6 315
232 483
695
5 563
5 797
44 771
15 676
145 477
8 175
6 330
227 613
693
5 316
5 542
46 462
15 627
139 795
7 902
6 277
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2100 Major area, region and country
Latin America and the Caribbean
115
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
112 460
17 150
2 714
53 975
6 082
12 000
3 452
2
25
407
1 473
7 632
215
2 239
5 094
147 766
20 624
3 353
72 776
7 649
16 006
4 515
2
32
560
1 907
9 932
290
2 539
7 580
191 562
23 979
4 217
96 060
9 579
21 345
6 025
2
49
721
2 485
13 195
372
2 810
10 724
241 018
28 120
5 369
121 740
11 192
26 935
7 909
2
68
777
3 199
17 329
366
2 916
15 096
268 550
30 340
6 041
136 223
12 127
30 077
8 962
2
87
752
3 704
19 525
376
3 012
17 323
295 835
32 625
6 794
149 648
13 214
33 307
10 124
2
117
725
4 250
21 772
407
3 110
19 741
322 052
34 833
7 635
161 891
14 440
36 574
11 316
2
139
728
4 802
23 939
436
3 224
22 092
348 246
36 903
8 495
174 505
15 454
39 898
12 533
3
165
744
5 350
26 000
467
3 321
24 408
372 588
38 648
9 355
186 142
16 338
43 184
13 777
3
202
761
5 904
27 723
500
3 325
26 726
394 021
40 374
10 157
195 210
17 151
46 445
15 001
3
231
786
6 460
29 263
525
3 372
29 043
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
171 615
37
13 737
23
5
157 813
204 352
45
17 909
31
5
186 362
231 429
52
21 434
46
5
209 891
254 800
56
24 511
50
6
230 176
267 831
58
25 843
53
6
241 870
282 286
60
27 658
56
6
254 507
297 458
61
29 295
56
6
268 040
315 417
63
30 697
56
6
284 594
330 546
64
32 253
57
6
298 166
346 501
65
34 126
57
6
312 247
12 675
15 775
19 681
22 968
24 872
26 969
29 052
31 224
33 623
36 659
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
10 085
8 177
1 908
12 664
10 292
2 372
15 724
12 905
2 820
17 856
14 708
3 147
19 060
15 791
3 269
20 495
17 097
3 398
21 799
18 124
3 675
23 117
19 259
3 858
24 655
20 521
4 134
26 773
22 404
4 368
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
2 199
289
65
1 708
90
48
2 620
393
78
1 967
118
64
3 306
521
105
2 435
160
85
4 339
635
142
3 215
231
116
4 944
712
154
3 678
271
130
5 513
728
169
4 158
312
147
6 208
776
189
4 716
359
168
6 998
812
210
5 379
412
185
7 826
822
229
6 096
469
209
8 729
861
246
6 859
526
236
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
148
60
26
13
32
3
7
7
183
67
33
15
45
4
10
10
241
84
44
20
61
6
13
11
299
104
55
31
73
7
17
12
355
117
62
38
86
8
30
14
413
130
71
47
96
9
44
15
465
146
76
51
108
10
58
17
495
155
83
52
107
10
68
19
502
158
90
52
106
10
64
20
498
159
98
52
104
10
54
20
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
242
19
15
60
5
82
2
47
5
7
308
20
18
78
5
109
2
62
6
9
410
27
21
110
5
143
2
84
7
9
475
32
18
152
3
156
2
93
8
11
513
39
18
175
3
160
2
94
9
14
548
47
18
198
2
163
2
95
9
14
580
53
18
215
2
170
2
96
9
14
613
58
18
237
2
175
2
98
9
14
641
59
19
255
2
180
1
101
10
14
660
56
20
268
1
186
1
104
10
14
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
116
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
2015-2100: Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100 Major area, region and country
415 053
42 155
11 025
203 657
17 924
49 529
16 226
3
262
808
7 033
31 161
548
3 430
31 293
434 566
43 835
11 913
211 102
18 645
52 379
17 416
3
294
825
7 607
33 079
570
3 482
33 417
467 738
46 859
13 665
222 748
19 815
57 219
19 649
3
362
853
8 693
36 514
604
3 581
37 172
491 378
49 275
15 257
229 403
20 532
60 757
21 571
3
430
851
9 644
39 220
621
3 636
40 179
505 086
51 024
16 621
231 120
20 839
62 942
23 061
3
495
815
10 445
41 084
621
3 641
42 376
509 369
51 997
17 726
228 378
20 758
63 940
24 093
3
549
768
11 075
42 090
621
3 609
43 761
505 478
52 206
18 539
221 983
20 444
63 968
24 690
3
593
719
11 506
42 284
615
3 546
44 381
495 415
51 864
19 064
213 199
19 974
63 187
24 893
3
629
671
11 751
41 821
603
3 465
44 291
481 947
51 228
19 365
203 636
19 386
61 849
24 771
3
656
628
11 855
40 906
587
3 375
43 702
467 484
50 436
19 510
194 533
18 843
60 223
24 410
3
674
604
11 841
39 773
571
3 292
42 772
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
361 128
66
35 871
57
6
325 128
375 724
66
37 612
57
6
337 983
403 373
67
40 617
55
6
362 629
426 332
66
43 042
53
6
383 165
446 201
64
45 228
50
6
400 853
464 996
64
47 114
48
6
417 764
482 299
64
48 693
46
6
433 489
496 124
64
49 896
44
6
446 113
506 345
64
50 644
42
6
455 588
513 065
65
50 882
42
6
462 070
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
39 359
42 066
47 317
52 232
56 874
60 940
64 305
66 939
68 715
69 648
28 519
23 923
4 596
30 254
25 440
4 814
33 544
28 336
5 208
36 565
31 045
5 521
39 513
33 735
5 778
42 093
36 124
5 969
44 231
38 120
6 111
45 944
39 741
6 203
47 106
40 882
6 224
47 684
41 497
6 187
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
9 636
893
263
7 632
584
264
10 553
916
280
8 422
643
292
12 412
939
312
10 044
764
352
14 218
940
340
11 634
891
414
15 858
918
364
13 092
1 010
473
17 290
887
383
14 371
1 121
527
18 465
855
396
15 417
1 222
574
19 348
827
404
16 195
1 309
613
19 938
805
406
16 707
1 379
641
20 278
790
403
16 991
1 433
660
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
519
170
106
53
104
10
55
21
548
180
114
55
110
10
56
22
602
200
131
58
121
11
57
25
644
215
144
64
127
11
55
27
671
227
156
67
130
11
52
28
690
235
167
69
133
11
46
29
703
241
175
73
133
11
41
30
707
244
179
76
129
11
38
30
707
244
183
78
127
11
35
29
704
242
185
80
127
10
32
29
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
684
56
21
283
1
193
1
106
10
13
711
57
21
296
1
199
1
111
10
13
760
61
22
318
1
211
1
121
11
13
804
62
23
331
1
229
1
132
11
13
832
62
24
337
1
242
1
140
12
13
867
61
24
337
1
263
1
152
13
13
907
60
24
332
1
292
1
168
15
13
941
58
24
324
1
321
1
182
16
13
964
57
23
315
1
344
1
194
16
12
983
56
22
306
1
363
1
203
17
12
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
Oceania
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
117
Table A.9. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
118
1950
1960
1970
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
high variant, 2015-2100
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 392 233 7 893 904 8 881 519 9 847 909 10 868 444 11 911 465 12 989 484 14 141 742 15 370 937 16 641 244
1 270 029
6 122 204
948 221
5 173 983
1 301 526
6 592 377
1 072 179
5 520 198
1 358 551
7 522 968
1 353 990
6 168 978
1 407 397
8 440 512
1 675 799
6 764 713
1 470 258 1 544 393
9 398 185 10 367 073
2 043 024 2 444 937
7 355 162 7 922 136
1 624 912
11 364 573
2 874 766
8 489 807
1 723 031 1 838 735 1 959 544
12 418 711 13 532 202 14 681 700
3 327 235 3 792 617 4 265 929
9 091 477 9 739 585 10 415 771
4 675 265 5 093 191 5 959 723 6 844 800 7 784 548 8 746 423 9 727 798 10 746 757 11 796 504 12 866 905
956 791 1 099 157 1 433 593 1 839 246 2 322 321 2 866 881 3 464 921 4 105 101 4 767 418 5 439 629
1 175 951 1 339 364 1 714 697 2 160 201 2 685 586 3 271 448 3 909 194 4 590 319 5 294 469 6 007 405
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
397 992
10 895
776
908
6 796
99 736
47 158
24 445
17 443
1 265
236
27 339
903
12 534
95
11 200
12 244
40 458
52 720
15 644
15 196
460 341
12 816
877
987
7 893
113 837
54 057
28 405
20 283
1 302
270
31 168
963
14 428
98
13 045
14 122
48 014
61 615
18 611
17 551
604 558
17 095
1 108
1 135
10 278
144 831
69 763
37 884
27 186
1 364
349
40 794
1 077
18 695
104
17 595
18 126
66 362
83 202
26 090
21 521
776 392
22 552
1 384
1 275
13 049
177 616
88 469
49 221
35 742
1 398
438
52 909
1 182
23 425
110
23 213
22 592
89 114
111 033
36 038
25 633
978 075 1 202 532 1 446 595 1 706 068 1 974 650 2 249 368
29 563
37 435
46 484
56 547
67 040
77 933
1 694
2 040
2 423
2 831
3 256
3 689
1 425
1 557
1 683
1 813
1 941
2 068
16 144
19 290
22 516
25 766
28 921
31 957
211 518
245 154
277 176
306 470
332 948
357 047
110 166
133 910
159 343
185 802
212 450
238 789
62 836
78 372
95 617
114 399
134 189
154 727
46 123
58 228
71 914
87 042
103 361
120 480
1 423
1 452
1 488
1 532
1 590
1 662
528
619
710
801
888
970
67 503
84 325
102 666
122 123
142 128
162 165
1 281
1 375
1 471
1 572
1 674
1 783
28 642
33 961
39 182
44 241
48 991
53 422
115
120
125
132
139
147
30 005
37 848
46 545
55 938
65 667
75 524
27 759
33 377
39 209
45 183
51 089
56 814
116 500
147 479
181 486
217 598
254 633
291 943
145 430
185 697
231 790
282 997
337 978
395 662
49 178
65 578
85 784
110 170
138 699
171 593
30 244
34 714
38 983
43 113
47 068
50 992
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
144 382
22 995
23 588
4 843
13 707
4 710
71 763
805
1 766
205
166 620
26 980
26 956
5 398
16 028
5 374
82 728
927
1 997
232
218 969
36 389
34 731
6 647
21 810
7 080
108 320
1 192
2 508
293
281 159
47 702
43 945
8 051
28 894
9 253
138 374
1 489
3 087
365
353 653
60 836
54 676
9 646
37 351
11 893
173 245
1 825
3 740
441
433 851
75 526
66 564
11 315
46 872
14 963
211 484
2 182
4 424
521
519 740
91 321
79 279
13 006
57 226
18 466
252 159
2 545
5 133
605
609 331
107 797
92 557
14 705
68 123
22 342
294 357
2 904
5 857
690
699 698
124 445
106 017
16 382
79 111
26 493
336 652
3 249
6 573
775
789 322
140 886
119 420
18 021
90 020
30 829
378 437
3 574
7 275
860
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
219 161
41 044
85 539
6 384
34 287
39 945
11 351
610
240 207
44 928
93 302
6 944
36 805
45 430
12 087
710
281 104
51 320
108 512
7 908
41 399
57 848
13 303
815
320 955
56 456
123 907
8 727
45 217
71 611
14 144
893
363 265
62 016
139 935
9 519
48 957
86 857
15 021
960
404 567
66 832
155 230
10 151
52 464
103 118
15 757
1 016
444 273
70 655
170 184
10 603
55 671
119 883
16 214
1 062
485 218
75 157
184 958
11 058
59 125
137 036
16 770
1 113
527 051
80 232
199 507
11 535
62 942
154 106
17 557
1 172
567 776
84 741
213 826
11 951
66 715
170 958
18 357
1 227
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
61 974
2 078
2 142
2 416
54 040
1 298
65 144
2 210
2 285
2 675
56 572
1 403
71 741
2 507
2 581
3 228
61 812
1 613
78 948
2 848
2 906
3 756
67 592
1 845
87 160
3 243
3 307
4 302
74 188
2 121
95 245
3 635
3 702
4 843
80 666
2 400
103 231
3 990
4 080
5 337
87 149
2 676
111 192
4 322
4 462
5 806
93 655
2 947
119 021
4 633
4 842
6 253
100 081
3 211
126 819
4 922
5 228
6 674
106 517
3 478
352 443
407 052
538 324
702 747
Western Africa
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
903 433 1 135 252 1 395 355 1 678 510 1 974 050 2 274 119
119
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
10 967
18 051
514
21 468
1 986
27 225
12 446
1 802
4 540
16 373
4 112
19 400
184 863
4
15 093
6 369
7 231
12 592
20 932
546
24 253
2 342
30 407
14 205
2 043
5 189
19 383
4 666
23 809
213 927
4
17 478
7 031
8 245
16 257
27 771
614
30 651
3 194
37 132
18 159
2 589
6 709
27 055
5 905
35 811
284 594
5
22 919
8 447
10 512
20 339
35 985
677
38 277
4 221
44 265
22 575
3 212
8 503
37 096
7 300
52 807
374 952
5
29 377
9 963
13 193
24 823
45 618
738
47 511
5 408
51 765
27 459
3 919
10 558
49 618
8 858
75 774
486 559
5
36 912
11 573
16 333
29 546
56 470
790
58 066
6 689
59 166
32 573
4 686
12 842
64 307
10 537
104 825
616 482
6
45 206
13 269
19 793
34 336
68 338
831
69 816
8 024
66 420
37 733
5 502
15 304
80 920
12 319
139 613
763 357
6
54 227
15 033
23 575
2080
2090
2100
39 090
43 657
47 969
80 948
93 871
106 795
866
901
943
82 615
96 008
109 598
9 375
10 681
11 913
73 518
80 249
86 619
42 831
47 713
52 332
6 360
7 236
8 114
17 877
20 482
23 071
99 024
117 870
136 956
14 181
16 051
17 904
179 481
223 246
269 405
924 020 1 091 951 1 262 449
6
6
7
63 859
73 713
83 645
16 845
18 667
20 492
27 613
31 747
35 907
4 426 814 4 690 564 5 160 390 5 553 565 5 911 979 6 228 459 6 525 638 6 837 475 7 185 909 7 558 007
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 653 226 1 708 325 1 775 969 1 808 640 1 827 461 1 836 741 1 854 913 1 894 800 1 967 042 2 056 430
1 415 311 1 466 679 1 529 399 1 561 529 1 579 557 1 586 752 1 603 190 1 638 422 1 701 573 1 779 674
7 388
7 735
8 306
8 634
8 958
9 254
9 427
9 646
9 996
10 341
591
644
742
818
895
970
1 030
1 086
1 145
1 208
25 374
26 352
28 224
29 571
31 080
32 650
34 261
36 293
38 445
40 653
127 759
127 695
126 020
122 988
121 195
120 957
120 714
122 236
126 408
131 696
2 955
3 198
3 590
3 937
4 333
4 669
5 014
5 441
5 887
6 350
50 198
51 895
54 891
56 433
57 215
57 816
58 150
58 876
60 604
62 937
23 650
24 128
24 798
24 730
24 226
23 675
23 127
22 800
22 983
23 573
South-Central Asia (7)
1 877 780 2 017 987 2 289 230 2 531 195 2 756 955 2 959 248 3 140 942 3 314 278 3 488 408 3 666 650
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
120
66 855
16 937
5 766
8 693
5 430
30 029
72 277
17 951
6 319
9 828
5 837
32 342
81 737
19 629
7 267
12 015
6 544
36 282
90 218
21 292
8 128
14 374
7 088
39 337
99 388
23 246
9 171
17 170
7 610
42 191
107 334
25 005
10 078
19 893
8 040
44 317
115 131
26 889
10 978
22 806
8 389
46 069
123 808
29 069
12 028
25 946
8 773
47 992
132 556
31 254
13 069
29 036
9 185
50 012
141 715
33 467
14 120
32 217
9 613
52 298
1 810 926 1 945 711 2 207 493 2 440 977 2 657 567 2 851 913 3 025 810 3 190 469 3 355 852 3 524 935
32 247
36 377
45 809
55 419
64 253
72 293
79 155
84 482
88 678
92 331
162 136
174 170
197 162
217 347
235 623
251 696
265 981
279 166
292 430
306 770
784
844
953
1 045
1 128
1 199
1 253
1 302
1 355
1 413
1 294 624 1 385 734 1 561 811 1 717 519 1 862 301 1 993 664 2 114 092 2 231 173 2 349 670 2 470 443
80 407
86 508
96 933
106 219
115 399
123 054
129 181
135 126
142 519
151 308
362
399
464
520
578
626
663
695
723
754
28 743
30 829
35 110
38 976
42 484
45 760
48 743
51 305
53 598
55 989
189 808
207 997
244 702
277 992
308 521
335 106
356 943
375 860
393 731
410 916
21 813
22 853
24 550
25 939
27 281
28 516
29 798
31 360
33 147
35 012
638 978
433
15 786
258 144
7 091
30 979
54 721
102 756
5 671
68 011
1 181
682 180
465
17 304
275 829
7 850
33 759
57 580
113 036
6 197
69 390
1 310
765 259
527
20 178
310 535
9 358
39 217
62 324
135 202
6 945
71 210
1 632
837 830
580
22 851
341 820
10 804
43 775
65 259
157 375
7 485
71 506
1 973
905 473
622
25 677
369 904
12 239
48 246
67 631
180 511
7 931
70 718
2 363
968 063 1 027 948 1 090 797 1 156 748 1 225 116
657
691
727
764
802
28 185
30 459
32 647
34 617
36 655
396 261
422 985
451 499
480 788
510 369
13 561
14 763
15 844
16 857
17 847
52 629
56 217
59 469
62 929
66 353
69 565
70 978
73 053
75 887
78 857
203 693
226 388
248 942
271 371
293 589
8 342
8 619
8 796
8 954
9 035
69 377
68 281
68 076
68 865
70 519
2 817
3 290
3 789
4 306
4 823
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Viet Nam .............................................
94 206
99 460
108 133
114 402
119 632
122 976
125 276
127 953
131 410
136 268
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
256 829
3 018
9 717
1 372
1 176
4 344
36 079
7 987
7 762
3 616
5 114
4 190
2 362
30 157
4 588
22 483
77 450
9 668
25 749
282 071
3 062
10 293
1 511
1 248
4 297
41 590
8 684
8 284
4 105
5 032
4 603
2 572
33 032
5 254
26 338
82 297
10 822
29 047
329 932
3 130
11 082
1 719
1 379
4 164
53 628
10 104
9 874
5 073
5 510
5 151
2 828
37 277
6 751
31 674
91 896
12 838
35 854
375 900
3 169
11 658
1 893
1 469
4 091
66 429
11 628
11 478
6 046
5 823
5 395
3 045
40 982
8 329
36 828
100 386
15 002
42 248
422 091
3 199
12 149
2 045
1 539
4 118
80 282
13 273
13 078
7 075
6 124
5 669
3 206
44 961
10 006
41 854
108 228
17 008
48 277
464 406
3 204
12 478
2 150
1 597
4 197
94 801
14 911
14 514
8 045
6 339
5 884
3 205
47 909
11 777
46 619
114 959
18 318
53 498
501 836
3 223
12 851
2 203
1 639
4 337
109 538
16 575
15 837
8 926
6 455
5 895
3 068
49 808
13 536
50 849
120 643
18 901
57 553
537 601
3 268
13 282
2 223
1 688
4 537
124 313
18 317
17 144
9 808
6 554
5 746
2 896
51 653
15 236
54 624
126 399
19 095
60 818
573 710
3 354
13 846
2 259
1 756
4 784
138 910
20 063
18 412
10 690
6 668
5 768
2 823
53 587
16 889
58 186
132 553
19 564
63 598
609 811
3 496
14 529
2 324
1 833
5 066
153 068
21 785
19 568
11 520
6 877
6 090
2 868
55 480
18 485
61 629
139 082
20 144
65 967
749 437
759 414
773 625
784 600
804 400
827 783
855 920
897 188
949 390 1 005 317
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
295 251
9 346
7 169
10 872
9 998
38 584
3 473
21 775
143 463
5 510
45 061
294 691
9 239
6 963
11 160
10 016
39 069
3 411
21 707
143 353
5 599
44 173
289 898
8 959
6 515
11 592
10 033
39 521
3 254
21 306
140 984
5 692
42 042
284 773
8 660
6 094
11 985
10 009
38 952
3 070
20 773
139 521
5 659
40 051
285 015
8 543
5 834
12 656
10 188
38 815
2 940
20 456
140 761
5 686
39 137
287 096
8 486
5 633
13 306
10 447
39 082
2 886
20 127
142 932
5 735
38 463
292 188
8 553
5 541
13 943
10 667
38 953
2 868
19 894
147 671
5 736
38 363
303 193
8 836
5 647
14 840
11 061
39 368
2 916
20 139
155 110
5 837
39 439
319 020
9 230
5 885
15 884
11 613
40 863
3 013
20 811
164 548
6 074
41 098
336 915
9 675
6 199
16 975
12 154
42 594
3 148
21 680
175 169
6 329
42 991
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
102 287
165
5 704
1 291
50
5 502
340
4 771
88
2 049
3 027
5 183
9 768
64 350
106 273
171
5 886
1 288
51
5 649
362
5 077
91
2 017
3 011
5 515
10 232
66 924
114 124
182
6 304
1 275
54
5 918
403
5 620
99
1 956
2 979
6 124
11 205
72 005
121 339
191
6 693
1 263
57
6 114
436
6 149
105
1 905
2 923
6 694
12 134
76 674
130 063
201
7 153
1 278
59
6 396
467
6 731
111
1 920
2 941
7 339
13 352
82 114
139 701
210
7 718
1 302
62
6 771
497
7 283
118
1 962
2 993
8 044
14 732
88 009
149 468
219
8 329
1 330
66
7 173
526
7 805
125
2 008
3 033
8 754
16 131
93 970
160 436
229
8 999
1 385
71
7 640
557
8 408
132
2 105
3 138
9 522
17 692
100 558
172 524
239
9 724
1 462
75
8 163
592
9 092
140
2 239
3 307
10 334
19 353
107 804
184 659
248
10 452
1 543
80
8 694
628
9 767
148
2 369
3 473
11 131
21 012
115 114
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
157 442
3 225
82
3 853
4 289
30
11 215
1
61 615
159 771
3 318
85
3 875
4 267
30
11 296
1
62 555
163 163
3 506
93
3 910
4 214
30
11 480
1
64 000
165 910
3 556
100
3 863
4 144
30
11 680
1
65 308
169 264
3 536
106
3 828
4 109
31
11 960
1
66 982
171 851
3 568
111
3 831
4 107
31
12 190
1
68 628
174 613
3 582
116
3 829
4 139
32
12 463
1
70 460
180 445
3 575
122
3 862
4 240
33
12 972
1
73 587
188 974
3 633
129
3 953
4 399
35
13 651
1
77 762
198 385
3 760
135
4 094
4 599
36
14 357
1
82 137
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
121
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
435
627
10 698
32
9 508
2 096
47 608
2 129
445
633
10 795
33
9 378
2 136
48 766
2 156
459
641
10 939
35
9 062
2 184
50 422
2 185
464
640
11 019
36
8 613
2 219
52 067
2 170
473
640
11 063
37
8 203
2 277
53 857
2 163
483
645
11 056
38
7 854
2 332
54 820
2 156
494
652
11 047
39
7 548
2 399
55 666
2 145
507
666
11 172
41
7 409
2 507
57 589
2 163
523
688
11 459
43
7 457
2 644
60 383
2 215
542
715
11 808
45
7 652
2 790
63 421
2 295
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
194 457
8 626
11 270
65 481
83 179
38
548
39
16 970
8 306
198 679
8 894
11 589
67 871
83 465
40
589
41
17 360
8 831
206 439
9 452
12 222
72 603
83 345
43
669
46
18 095
9 964
212 577
9 924
12 816
77 115
82 277
46
737
52
18 570
11 040
220 058
10 490
13 549
82 244
81 608
50
794
58
19 013
12 253
229 135
11 114
14 361
88 054
81 391
53
848
66
19 676
13 571
239 651
11 766
15 268
94 382
81 841
57
902
74
20 548
14 812
253 114
12 536
16 396
101 855
83 552
61
958
82
21 641
16 032
268 872
13 397
17 654
110 066
86 366
66
1 019
90
22 941
17 273
285 358
14 243
18 946
118 629
89 540
70
1 081
97
24 339
18 414
636 264
678 073
759 392
832 679
902 109
965 683 1 025 263 1 085 233 1 147 651 1 214 818
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
43 496
15
93
105
391
290
29
20
60
11 341
166
73
10 758
108
474
10 702
2 840
409
5
3 714
56
187
110
47
1 360
35
108
45 465
16
99
108
420
301
31
22
64
11 395
175
76
11 516
111
490
11 558
2 949
418
5
3 765
60
196
112
52
1 381
38
109
49 187
17
111
113
473
322
34
24
70
11 399
187
82
12 967
115
521
13 276
3 134
436
6
3 913
66
214
117
60
1 381
43
110
52 305
17
122
116
518
339
37
25
73
11 173
195
85
14 289
114
542
14 915
3 241
447
6
4 038
72
228
123
65
1 367
47
112
55 060
18
132
117
562
357
39
26
76
10 770
201
88
15 516
113
558
16 524
3 312
452
7
4 163
77
240
130
69
1 348
50
116
57 506
18
141
120
606
379
41
27
78
10 256
207
91
16 639
115
576
18 074
3 363
456
7
4 273
82
250
136
72
1 324
52
123
60 008
18
151
124
647
404
43
28
81
9 881
215
94
17 718
119
599
19 520
3 438
467
7
4 383
87
259
143
75
1 321
54
131
62 862
19
162
129
687
431
45
30
86
9 776
226
99
18 792
124
631
20 935
3 546
486
8
4 517
92
269
150
78
1 345
56
142
66 040
20
173
135
729
462
48
31
91
9 847
237
103
19 895
130
667
22 367
3 684
508
9
4 679
98
280
158
81
1 394
59
154
69 652
21
184
141
773
496
51
33
97
10 124
251
108
21 073
138
707
23 810
3 880
533
9
4 884
104
293
166
85
1 462
62
166
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
173 663
351
5 052
6 497
16 407
8 508
126 499
6 324
4 025
187 359
396
5 429
6 804
18 713
9 467
135 307
6 847
4 396
214 752
489
6 100
7 359
23 847
11 457
152 472
7 872
5 157
240 088
582
6 644
7 806
29 531
13 455
167 338
8 840
5 891
264 320
677
7 113
8 214
35 838
15 485
180 641
9 743
6 610
286 753
766
7 497
8 576
42 518
17 456
192 091
10 555
7 293
307 723
849
7 828
8 914
49 337
19 323
202 233
11 288
7 950
328 651
929
8 137
9 265
56 219
21 085
212 450
11 959
8 606
349 823
1 006
8 460
9 667
63 044
22 769
222 992
12 617
9 268
372 041
1 082
8 853
10 192
69 795
24 438
234 426
13 324
9 931
Latin America and the Caribbean
122
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
419 105
42 548
11 125
205 687
18 091
50 014
16 382
3
264
815
7 100
31 463
554
3 460
31 600
445 249
44 869
12 191
216 394
19 083
53 667
17 836
3
301
846
7 792
33 887
583
3 559
34 237
495 453
49 528
14 446
236 202
20 923
60 618
20 790
3
382
907
9 202
38 667
640
3 780
39 367
540 287
53 995
16 718
252 745
22 439
66 845
23 663
3
466
948
10 580
43 033
682
3 983
44 185
582 729
58 618
19 071
267 574
23 851
72 676
26 469
3
558
966
11 996
47 170
718
4 192
48 865
621 424
63 088
21 431
280 234
25 102
78 057
29 115
3
648
983
13 394
50 937
762
4 405
53 264
657 532
67 394
23 754
291 555
26 330
83 209
31 618
4
734
1 008
14 739
54 310
804
4 628
57 444
693 721
71 872
26 064
303 045
27 671
88 358
34 045
4
823
1 040
16 061
57 531
849
4 879
61 478
731 788
76 660
28 379
315 876
29 126
93 638
36 432
4
912
1 083
17 378
60 737
896
5 161
65 506
773 125
81 798
30 713
330 869
30 826
99 184
38 826
4
1 000
1 147
18 683
64 064
946
5 479
69 585
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
364 073
66
36 165
58
6
327 778
383 523
67
38 391
58
6
345 000
423 688
70
42 607
58
6
380 947
460 379
71
46 354
58
7
413 890
500 480
73
50 561
58
7
449 781
546 544
76
55 080
60
7
491 321
594 370
81
59 583
62
8
534 636
644 720
86
64 375
65
8
580 185
699 033
93
69 371
68
9
629 492
753 838
101
74 180
73
9
679 475
39 694
42 966
49 727
56 485
63 889
71 548
79 099
86 807
94 485
101 859
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
28 760
24 126
4 634
30 895
25 981
4 915
35 219
29 748
5 471
39 431
33 466
5 965
44 184
37 694
6 489
49 108
42 084
7 024
53 907
46 359
7 548
58 887
50 788
8 099
63 905
55 249
8 656
68 693
59 500
9 193
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
9 720
901
265
7 697
590
266
10 784
938
286
8 604
657
299
13 072
995
328
10 573
804
371
15 475
1 037
369
12 649
969
450
17 990
1 071
411
14 827
1 146
535
20 567
1 106
452
17 052
1 333
624
23 146
1 148
491
19 263
1 530
714
25 694
1 204
528
21 425
1 734
803
28 168
1 274
565
23 500
1 938
891
30 561
1 353
600
25 487
2 143
978
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
524
171
107
53
105
10
56
21
560
184
117
56
112
11
57
23
635
211
138
61
128
11
60
26
703
235
157
69
139
12
60
29
766
259
177
76
150
13
59
32
830
283
199
82
162
13
56
34
895
307
219
92
172
14
54
37
961
332
238
102
180
15
54
39
1 031
357
259
111
192
15
55
41
1 103
383
279
121
205
16
55
44
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
690
56
21
285
1
195
1
107
10
13
727
59
22
304
1
203
1
113
10
13
801
64
24
336
1
222
2
127
11
14
877
68
26
362
1
248
2
143
12
15
950
72
28
386
1
274
2
159
14
15
1 043
76
30
407
1
313
2
181
16
16
1 150
80
31
426
1
364
2
210
19
17
1 265
85
33
446
2
419
2
239
21
18
1 381
91
34
468
2
474
2
268
24
19
1 501
98
36
493
2
528
2
298
26
19
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
123
Table A.10. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
124
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
low variant, 2015-2100
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 256 925 7 539 163 7 969 407 8 255 351 8 341 706 8 248 967 8 016 514 7 660 738 7 226 104 6 750 256
1 249 148
6 007 777
931 934
5 075 843
1 248 332
6 290 830
1 026 512
5 264 318
1 229 312
6 740 095
1 220 162
5 519 934
1 197 350
7 058 001
1 415 842
5 642 159
1 148 504
7 193 202
1 593 999
5 599 202
1 086 172
7 162 795
1 745 911
5 416 884
1 019 176
948 853
875 725
801 409
6 997 338 6 711 885 6 350 379 5 948 847
1 862 364 1 933 824 1 959 062 1 943 545
5 134 974 4 778 061 4 391 317 4 005 301
4 588 892 4 860 785 5 332 481 5 714 789 5 957 793 6 060 974 6 032 369 5 881 180 5 634 750 5 328 602
941 560 1 055 985 1 302 946 1 573 452 1 841 791 2 091 276 2 305 460 2 466 354 2 564 733 2 599 106
1 156 527 1 284 920 1 554 213 1 841 470 2 119 218 2 369 995 2 578 233 2 727 465 2 810 260 2 826 100
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
391 516
10 730
764
891
6 680
98 148
46 339
24 026
17 174
1 242
232
26 904
887
12 322
93
11 045
12 061
39 825
51 861
15 395
14 896
441 689
12 343
842
942
7 562
109 206
51 754
27 191
19 507
1 241
258
29 938
920
13 818
94
12 595
13 584
46 161
59 155
17 893
16 685
547 102
15 691
1 006
1 015
9 288
130 524
62 860
34 123
24 738
1 212
313
36 962
965
16 849
93
16 166
16 469
60 419
75 518
23 825
19 066
659 212
19 637
1 180
1 063
11 053
149 817
74 455
41 479
30 561
1 151
366
44 917
988
19 815
91
20 198
19 320
76 358
94 574
31 124
21 065
767 295
23 966
1 332
1 077
12 599
165 075
85 114
48 680
36 585
1 059
408
52 833
982
22 319
86
24 296
21 936
92 398
114 443
39 518
22 587
865 029
28 113
1 464
1 053
13 756
175 231
94 161
55 381
42 501
953
436
60 442
950
24 165
79
28 280
24 154
107 574
134 097
48 819
23 417
946 123 1 004 238 1 036 966 1 044 816
32 060
35 452
37 988
39 570
1 574
1 645
1 678
1 677
1 001
930
848
763
14 528
14 867
14 778
14 293
179 718
178 040
170 720
159 498
100 970
104 944
105 948
104 112
61 085
65 375
68 039
69 084
47 937
52 549
56 058
58 288
842
729
621
531
453
459
452
431
66 881
71 578
74 307
74 938
906
849
779
704
25 237
25 440
24 867
23 662
71
63
54
47
31 841
34 642
36 512
37 415
25 785
26 651
26 762
26 196
120 714
130 696
136 989
139 363
152 342
167 802
179 451
186 596
58 721
68 796
78 628
87 750
23 456
22 733
21 487
19 899
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
142 203
22 645
23 198
4 764
13 504
4 633
70 730
793
1 736
201
160 401
25 970
25 854
5 175
15 439
5 161
79 775
892
1 912
222
199 756
33 183
31 422
5 991
19 946
6 429
99 178
1 085
2 257
263
241 320
40 882
37 310
6 767
24 928
7 880
119 378
1 270
2 599
306
280 884
48 218
42 905
7 421
29 900
9 348
138 424
1 435
2 893
339
316 006
54 862
47 841
7 888
34 555
10 768
155 045
1 569
3 115
363
343 749
60 212
51 740
8 121
38 483
12 062
167 840
1 656
3 257
377
361 719
63 815
54 246
8 113
41 331
13 126
175 715
1 688
3 305
381
369 083
65 490
55 272
7 893
42 912
13 886
178 326
1 665
3 265
374
366 358
65 258
54 916
7 497
43 224
14 300
176 062
1 592
3 149
360
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
214 968
40 223
83 872
6 250
33 623
39 282
11 120
598
228 935
42 731
88 821
6 590
35 068
43 569
11 478
678
251 266
45 804
96 606
7 011
36 986
52 312
11 820
728
268 017
47 246
102 446
7 238
37 687
60 844
11 809
747
277 428
47 501
105 190
7 253
37 237
68 024
11 486
736
278 718
46 009
104 850
6 985
35 759
73 639
10 778
698
272 773
43 141
101 847
6 499
33 519
77 326
9 796
644
261 111
39 982
96 323
5 901
30 916
78 698
8 706
584
245 527
36 770
89 130
5 240
28 212
77 994
7 656
525
226 993
33 212
80 918
4 545
25 466
75 688
6 698
466
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
60 718
2 035
2 099
2 369
52 943
1 273
61 824
2 091
2 166
2 544
53 690
1 332
63 110
2 189
2 258
2 856
54 389
1 418
63 729
2 288
2 328
3 092
54 533
1 488
63 135
2 357
2 372
3 226
53 645
1 535
61 262
2 372
2 360
3 267
51 712
1 551
58 107
2 305
2 280
3 210
48 786
1 527
53 744
2 156
2 145
3 052
44 929
1 461
48 702
1 958
1 981
2 826
40 571
1 366
43 406
1 739
1 805
2 568
36 038
1 256
347 123
392 072
492 978
609 192
730 477
848 980
Western Africa
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
957 481 1 046 653 1 109 981 1 144 527
125
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
10 792
17 778
503
21 123
1 954
26 744
12 250
1 774
4 467
16 144
4 048
19 137
182 184
4
14 842
6 269
7 110
12 095
20 152
517
23 286
2 253
29 085
13 648
1 965
4 983
18 737
4 487
23 035
206 391
4
16 769
6 758
7 906
14 758
25 360
540
27 807
2 919
33 400
16 487
2 357
6 082
25 016
5 376
33 219
261 671
4
20 794
7 669
9 519
17 370
31 013
551
32 647
3 650
37 251
19 261
2 755
7 235
32 627
6 264
46 769
326 990
4
25 091
8 491
11 221
19 613
36 508
545
37 483
4 353
39 981
21 656
3 114
8 298
40 934
7 039
63 334
396 509
4
29 188
9 096
12 823
21 371
41 564
520
41 991
4 963
41 405
23 496
3 412
9 229
49 356
7 668
82 163
465 356
4
32 785
9 499
14 199
22 511
45 874
478
45 881
5 440
41 598
24 634
3 636
9 977
57 320
8 132
101 891
529 351
3
35 746
9 700
15 308
22 913
49 046
421
48 797
5 740
40 576
24 957
3 768
10 457
64 133
8 385
120 904
583 011
3
37 828
9 663
16 051
22 622
50 892
358
50 582
5 846
38 575
24 528
3 807
10 648
69 233
8 418
137 775
621 998
3
38 899
9 418
16 380
21 777
51 405
300
51 156
5 769
35 981
23 513
3 763
10 578
72 357
8 268
151 124
644 146
2
39 047
9 023
16 317
4 342 468 4 472 051 4 613 904 4 623 588 4 481 713 4 219 865 3 880 467 3 492 309 3 102 032 2 739 479
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 621 892 1 630 969 1 600 738 1 525 467 1 403 750 1 254 343 1 100 919
1 387 863 1 399 056 1 377 276 1 314 296 1 208 828 1 078 180
944 400
7 239
7 364
7 465
7 383
7 122
6 677
6 135
578
609
661
693
706
701
678
24 936
25 181
25 214
24 657
23 422
21 808
20 076
125 877
123 069
115 234
106 182
96 408
86 412
76 204
2 891
3 031
3 185
3 248
3 222
3 087
2 901
49 302
49 643
49 490
48 168
45 291
41 216
36 768
23 206
23 016
22 212
20 839
18 752
16 262
13 756
South-Central Asia (7)
1 841 794 1 922 115 2 036 354 2 089 115 2 070 200 1 989 218 1 857 935 1 691 362 1 511 071 1 337 671
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
126
65 489
16 604
5 649
8 528
5 317
29 391
68 652
17 088
6 005
9 376
5 534
30 648
72 584
17 517
6 475
10 800
5 776
32 015
74 431
17 640
6 748
12 084
5 805
32 154
74 034
17 372
6 872
13 164
5 616
31 010
71 177
16 634
6 739
13 808
5 242
28 753
66 819
15 685
6 461
14 151
4 741
25 781
950 604
813 129
5 554
638
18 158
66 668
2 698
32 375
11 384
61 569
14 609
6 107
14 193
4 181
22 479
820 820
700 740
4 969
588
16 152
58 317
2 486
28 236
9 332
56 008
13 445
5 699
13 929
3 641
19 294
712 258
607 602
4 405
538
14 274
50 913
2 268
24 559
7 698
50 616
12 231
5 264
13 451
3 159
16 511
1 776 306 1 853 464 1 963 770 2 014 684 1 996 166 1 918 042 1 791 116 1 629 792 1 455 064 1 287 056
31 766
34 957
41 194
46 348
49 347
50 264
49 154
45 897
41 117
35 950
158 686
164 962
173 041
175 484
171 928
163 365
150 593
134 572
117 078
100 302
769
801
842
857
845
805
741
661
579
500
1 270 156 1 320 876 1 391 126 1 418 914 1 398 674 1 339 311 1 248 994 1 137 909 1 019 095
905 248
78 545
81 790
85 758
87 690
87 170
83 652
77 397
69 494
61 875
55 165
354
377
408
428
436
428
405
369
325
281
28 139
29 172
30 605
31 256
30 949
29 780
27 898
25 293
22 160
19 170
186 480
198 705
218 801
232 076
236 173
231 259
218 421
199 813
178 781
158 059
21 410
21 824
21 994
21 631
20 646
19 177
17 512
15 785
14 054
12 380
626 669
424
15 473
253 274
6 949
30 323
53 607
100 849
5 567
66 791
1 165
649 604
443
16 455
262 998
7 452
31 957
54 669
107 771
5 917
66 326
1 262
680 548
472
17 985
276 497
8 257
34 475
55 073
120 411
6 211
63 918
1 479
692 402
485
19 021
281 994
8 815
35 997
53 653
130 110
6 330
59 832
1 671
680 238
477
19 492
277 176
9 068
36 425
50 312
135 636
6 256
53 783
1 827
648 806
452
19 315
264 661
9 030
35 814
45 475
137 346
6 007
46 604
1 967
604 493
420
18 600
247 547
8 713
34 129
40 021
135 336
5 625
39 281
2 070
551 636
384
17 390
227 554
8 123
31 497
34 644
129 980
5 126
32 416
2 124
494 084
341
15 799
204 811
7 357
28 452
29 733
122 256
4 540
26 277
2 133
438 030
296
14 149
181 501
6 541
25 418
25 669
113 413
3 911
21 163
2 109
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Viet Nam .............................................
92 247
94 353
95 771
94 495
89 787
82 135
72 749
62 399
52 385
43 860
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
252 113
2 961
9 508
1 348
1 154
4 265
35 455
7 852
7 617
3 551
5 008
4 126
2 334
29 639
4 509
22 047
75 931
9 486
25 321
269 362
2 920
9 766
1 449
1 190
4 107
39 808
8 330
7 890
3 925
4 743
4 425
2 497
31 650
5 026
25 133
78 322
10 381
27 800
296 264
2 810
9 869
1 565
1 233
3 743
48 311
9 160
8 837
4 593
4 828
4 690
2 651
33 993
6 070
28 197
81 760
11 825
32 130
316 604
2 645
9 620
1 631
1 236
3 401
56 192
9 938
9 601
5 185
4 765
4 627
2 744
35 460
7 046
30 581
83 402
13 167
35 363
327 525
2 408
9 017
1 642
1 189
3 066
62 926
10 499
10 049
5 659
4 552
4 501
2 733
36 121
7 868
31 941
82 164
14 103
37 086
327 497
2 127
8 178
1 585
1 109
2 755
68 080
10 789
10 117
5 935
4 202
4 242
2 546
35 324
8 500
32 282
78 380
14 224
37 119
317 121
1 831
7 215
1 459
1 009
2 455
71 499
10 892
9 893
5 997
3 736
3 743
2 198
33 177
8 906
31 572
72 687
13 360
35 491
298 707
1 527
6 205
1 281
895
2 161
73 064
10 793
9 465
5 907
3 170
3 041
1 786
30 311
9 043
29 889
65 601
11 960
32 610
276 057
1 260
5 297
1 105
785
1 899
72 800
10 477
8 866
5 695
2 591
2 462
1 463
27 160
8 925
27 527
57 948
10 705
29 091
251 521
1 051
4 514
956
686
1 668
71 024
9 974
8 108
5 355
2 117
2 168
1 247
23 930
8 623
24 839
50 415
9 451
25 398
736 809
727 724
699 147
664 732
621 781
571 707
520 909
472 447
426 847
383 464
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
289 750
9 174
7 057
10 682
9 825
37 859
3 401
21 383
140 733
5 406
44 231
281 168
8 816
6 691
10 689
9 582
37 247
3 235
20 745
136 668
5 339
42 155
259 771
8 018
5 912
10 514
9 018
35 375
2 878
19 163
126 149
5 100
37 644
236 661
7 176
5 145
10 237
8 430
32 776
2 489
17 407
115 067
4 758
33 176
211 921
6 294
4 396
9 900
7 817
29 704
2 080
15 436
103 213
4 350
28 731
186 846
5 422
3 670
9 405
7 136
26 415
1 748
13 296
91 481
3 884
24 388
162 469
4 631
3 021
8 775
6 405
22 921
1 433
11 175
80 285
3 379
20 443
140 594
3 944
2 487
8 139
5 710
19 533
1 157
9 297
70 245
2 907
17 175
122 606
3 379
2 078
7 534
5 074
16 745
948
7 788
61 905
2 516
14 639
107 174
2 910
1 764
6 915
4 493
14 518
792
6 580
54 439
2 190
12 573
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
100 668
162
5 620
1 269
49
5 420
334
4 682
86
2 014
2 971
5 103
9 620
63 338
102 039
164
5 664
1 233
49
5 435
347
4 850
88
1 929
2 869
5 299
9 835
64 276
103 392
165
5 715
1 149
50
5 382
364
5 074
90
1 756
2 654
5 552
10 177
65 265
103 550
164
5 707
1 065
49
5 240
371
5 235
90
1 597
2 435
5 732
10 414
65 452
102 461
159
5 622
976
47
5 041
367
5 304
88
1 448
2 204
5 823
10 609
64 773
99 749
151
5 484
880
44
4 819
353
5 225
85
1 299
1 964
5 818
10 684
62 943
96 088
142
5 323
784
42
4 585
334
5 045
80
1 157
1 725
5 743
10 640
60 487
91 561
131
5 108
695
39
4 307
311
4 825
75
1 028
1 502
5 593
10 466
57 479
85 953
119
4 813
617
36
3 987
285
4 576
69
919
1 315
5 345
10 116
53 756
79 614
106
4 472
549
33
3 649
258
4 263
63
823
1 159
5 021
9 634
49 585
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
154 872
3 169
80
3 787
4 221
29
11 037
1
60 669
153 462
3 167
82
3 703
4 098
29
10 861
1
60 217
148 470
3 115
84
3 490
3 816
28
10 471
1
58 425
142 468
2 957
86
3 220
3 508
26
10 050
1
56 381
133 934
2 683
85
2 886
3 152
24
9 474
1
53 523
122 483
2 376
82
2 536
2 786
22
8 705
1
49 572
110 296
2 061
77
2 184
2 434
19
7 901
1
45 429
99 020
1 721
72
1 824
2 096
17
7 164
1
41 768
88 754
1 391
66
1 492
1 794
15
6 485
1
38 254
78 977
1 140
60
1 236
1 536
13
5 808
1
34 627
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
127
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
428
616
10 522
32
9 340
2 062
46 791
2 090
426
606
10 362
32
8 960
2 050
46 811
2 057
414
574
9 927
32
8 103
1 988
46 049
1 953
393
533
9 422
31
7 138
1 904
45 009
1 808
366
481
8 722
30
6 064
1 790
43 028
1 627
336
426
7 839
28
4 989
1 650
39 710
1 426
304
370
6 910
25
3 956
1 506
35 902
1 216
268
315
6 016
23
3 021
1 366
32 339
1 009
231
265
5 193
21
2 269
1 236
29 214
829
198
224
4 425
18
1 737
1 110
26 158
687
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
191 519
8 489
11 097
64 485
81 945
37
539
38
16 718
8 171
191 056
8 538
11 139
65 269
80 297
38
564
39
16 707
8 464
187 514
8 559
11 107
65 971
75 758
39
604
42
16 442
8 991
182 053
8 490
10 979
66 031
70 525
40
628
45
15 879
9 437
173 466
8 298
10 669
64 831
64 218
39
625
48
14 961
9 776
162 630
7 964
10 212
62 803
57 137
39
605
50
13 888
9 933
152 057
7 606
9 738
60 478
50 741
37
577
52
12 904
9 924
141 272
7 211
9 224
57 730
44 807
36
542
52
11 950
9 720
129 534
6 732
8 632
54 311
39 080
34
499
52
10 907
9 288
117 700
6 206
7 994
50 485
33 938
31
452
49
9 872
8 672
623 914
645 376
674 173
684 809
673 500
643 704
599 128
543 395
481 683
420 331
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
42 707
14
91
103
384
285
29
20
59
11 156
163
72
10 546
106
466
10 505
2 786
403
5
3 646
55
183
108
47
1 333
34
106
43 393
15
94
103
400
288
30
21
62
10 929
168
73
10 954
105
470
11 019
2 806
402
5
3 593
57
187
107
50
1 317
36
105
43 874
15
99
102
422
290
31
22
63
10 299
171
72
11 475
100
471
11 799
2 767
396
5
3 495
59
190
103
54
1 235
39
100
43 173
14
101
98
433
285
31
22
62
9 413
167
70
11 628
92
460
12 284
2 619
380
5
3 349
59
187
100
56
1 126
39
95
40 984
13
99
90
432
275
30
21
58
8 186
158
65
11 360
79
433
12 344
2 361
352
5
3 124
58
178
95
54
984
38
90
37 770
12
95
81
421
261
29
20
53
6 778
146
60
10 780
69
400
12 035
2 055
318
5
2 846
55
164
87
51
829
35
85
34 030
10
89
73
403
245
27
18
49
5 456
134
54
9 965
60
367
11 400
1 742
286
4
2 530
51
148
79
48
682
31
80
30 034
9
83
65
376
228
25
17
44
4 323
121
48
8 967
51
336
10 516
1 429
257
4
2 192
46
129
69
44
552
28
76
26 000
7
74
56
345
209
23
15
40
3 330
108
41
7 876
43
301
9 515
1 136
227
4
1 856
41
110
60
39
447
24
71
22 335
6
66
48
312
190
20
14
36
2 550
96
35
6 803
37
267
8 529
905
197
3
1 554
37
93
51
34
364
21
66
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
170 205
344
4 951
6 355
16 103
8 340
123 972
6 189
3 951
178 099
377
5 162
6 424
17 850
9 004
128 603
6 484
4 195
190 123
434
5 421
6 394
21 290
10 168
134 895
6 913
4 609
196 838
481
5 496
6 177
24 556
11 087
137 000
7 145
4 897
196 899
512
5 368
5 753
27 351
11 659
134 123
7 112
5 021
191 181
526
5 071
5 199
29 530
11 882
127 119
6 858
4 995
180 583
522
4 650
4 552
30 911
11 752
116 947
6 411
4 839
166 209
503
4 124
3 843
31 395
11 267
104 713
5 789
4 575
149 215
471
3 553
3 147
30 998
10 504
91 243
5 071
4 229
131 473
431
3 018
2 580
29 859
9 585
77 818
4 360
3 823
Latin America and the Caribbean
128
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
411 001
41 762
10 924
201 628
17 757
49 045
16 070
3
259
800
6 965
30 860
543
3 400
30 985
423 883
42 802
11 635
205 809
18 207
51 091
16 995
3
287
805
7 422
32 270
556
3 404
32 596
440 176
44 202
12 887
209 384
18 712
53 837
18 512
3
343
798
8 187
34 369
568
3 384
34 989
444 798
44 747
13 844
207 322
18 713
54 943
19 565
3
394
758
8 740
35 545
562
3 305
36 358
435 618
44 161
14 367
198 877
18 143
54 192
19 972
3
436
679
9 025
35 544
533
3 146
36 540
414 753
42 513
14 479
185 238
17 089
51 958
19 783
2
462
584
9 057
34 472
501
2 932
35 682
384 514
39 931
14 201
167 638
15 753
48 575
19 071
2
474
489
8 838
32 493
461
2 679
33 910
347 152
36 638
13 560
147 420
14 205
44 255
17 898
2
473
394
8 392
29 774
415
2 399
31 327
306 468
33 013
12 680
126 622
12 519
39 381
16 375
2
461
310
7 798
26 590
365
2 111
28 241
266 524
29 369
11 706
107 178
10 916
34 442
14 661
2
439
253
7 122
23 311
319
1 841
24 964
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
358 182
65
35 578
57
6
322 477
367 926
65
36 834
56
6
330 966
383 061
63
38 628
52
6
344 313
392 694
61
39 781
48
5
352 799
395 173
57
40 257
42
5
354 812
392 203
53
40 061
38
5
352 046
386 102
49
39 430
34
5
346 584
374 333
46
38 172
29
4
336 082
356 452
42
36 250
25
4
320 131
334 831
39
33 837
21
4
300 930
39 025
41 166
44 909
48 058
50 321
51 493
51 675
50 789
48 830
46 051
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
28 279
23 720
4 559
29 613
24 898
4 714
31 869
26 923
4 946
33 742
28 659
5 083
35 143
30 030
5 113
35 850
30 816
5 033
35 961
31 069
4 891
35 404
30 730
4 673
34 108
29 743
4 365
32 201
28 198
4 003
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
9 552
884
261
7 566
579
261
10 322
894
273
8 240
629
286
11 753
884
295
9 517
724
333
12 996
846
312
10 645
814
378
13 870
779
321
11 472
883
415
14 363
698
322
11 971
930
441
14 471
614
317
12 126
958
456
14 197
534
304
11 938
963
459
13 609
462
284
11 467
947
449
12 817
403
260
10 808
915
430
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
515
168
105
53
104
10
55
21
536
176
111
54
107
10
55
22
569
189
123
55
114
10
54
23
587
197
132
59
115
10
51
24
584
198
136
59
112
10
45
25
567
194
138
57
107
9
38
24
542
187
137
56
99
8
31
23
507
177
131
55
88
8
26
22
465
163
124
52
78
7
21
20
423
147
116
49
71
6
16
18
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
678
55
21
280
1
192
1
106
10
13
696
56
21
289
1
196
1
109
10
13
719
58
21
300
1
201
1
115
10
13
733
56
21
301
1
210
1
121
10
12
723
53
21
293
1
211
1
122
10
12
712
48
20
277
1
218
1
126
11
11
702
43
19
256
1
230
1
132
11
10
681
37
17
231
1
239
1
135
11
9
648
32
15
204
1
242
1
135
11
8
610
28
13
179
1
240
1
132
10
7
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
129
Table A.11. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
130
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country:
constant-fertility variant, 2015-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
7 353 522 7 809 497 8 750 296 9 806 383 11 089 178 12 729 809 14 953 882 18 050 975 22 432 681 28 646 425
1 258 535
6 094 988
951 240
5 143 748
1 271 094
6 538 402
1 086 097
5 452 306
1 281 964
7 468 332
1 427 978
6 040 354
1 279 737
8 526 646
1 894 904
6 631 742
1 268 070
9 821 109
2 551 857
7 269 252
1 248 792 1 226 055 1 202 818 1 179 088 1 152 181
11 481 017 13 727 827 16 848 157 21 253 593 27 494 244
3 484 347 4 816 715 6 738 660 9 527 680 13 590 176
7 996 671 8 911 111 10 109 496 11 725 912 13 904 068
4 663 865 5 079 093 6 002 673 7 093 371 8 461 414 10 223 748 12 573 307 15 798 470 20 292 976 26 610 518
957 085 1 106 781 1 494 583 2 043 991 2 832 065 3 963 632 5 592 524 7 947 191 11 359 637 16 315 492
1 174 368 1 343 794 1 773 035 2 368 245 3 210 362 4 405 687 6 111 997 8 564 878 12 103 530 17 220 916
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
400 153
10 921
777
909
6 825
101 027
47 306
24 491
17 514
1 257
238
27 412
900
12 624
94
11 259
12 309
40 700
52 798
15 540
15 253
468 943
12 957
883
995
8 026
118 397
54 661
28 621
20 565
1 278
276
31 516
955
14 773
97
13 284
14 371
49 009
62 077
18 433
17 770
646 319
18 013
1 145
1 177
11 009
163 662
72 797
39 166
28 649
1 298
373
42 841
1 064
20 167
102
18 847
19 308
71 653
86 367
26 130
22 552
896 180 1 253 316 1 761 474 2 483 757 3 514 683 4 989 788 7 104 245
25 385
36 622
52 993
77 055
112 747
165 122
241 923
1 501
1 975
2 618
3 503
4 713
6 369
8 639
1 380
1 633
1 940
2 310
2 778
3 367
4 089
15 124
20 820
28 551
39 121
53 673
73 639
100 978
224 976
310 010
428 112
590 324
813 854 1 123 202 1 551 265
97 325
130 626
175 491
236 136
318 331
429 503
579 749
53 455
73 095
100 014
136 892
187 550
257 190
352 941
40 281
57 128
81 475
116 663
167 716
241 955
350 045
1 277
1 231
1 172
1 104
1 029
953
883
503
667
880
1 160
1 526
2 005
2 631
59 685
84 527
120 798
173 031
248 299
356 729
512 792
1 168
1 265
1 359
1 459
1 564
1 674
1 792
27 315
37 099
50 369
68 254
92 548
125 610
170 529
106
110
114
117
122
127
133
27 213
39 988
59 601
89 721
136 012
207 176
316 568
26 032
35 533
48 861
67 499
93 532
129 933
180 789
105 929
158 255
237 413
357 312
538 999
814 245 1 231 792
121 851
173 221
247 105
353 421
506 233
725 899 1 041 741
37 275
53 472
77 046
111 325
161 295
234 134
340 174
28 398
36 038
45 562
57 349
72 164
90 954
114 791
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
144 151
23 226
23 701
4 855
13 819
4 682
71 092
810
1 761
205
167 529
27 742
27 386
5 458
16 451
5 339
81 976
943
1 999
235
229 497
39 870
36 828
6 994
23 910
7 146
110 585
1 277
2 583
306
318 240
58 233
50 091
9 076
35 378
9 691
150 277
1 740
3 354
401
447 262
86 375
68 849
11 926
53 280
13 221
206 315
2 400
4 371
524
636 356
129 671
95 137
15 781
81 160
18 130
286 749
3 335
5 708
684
914 122 1 324 238 1 932 082 2 834 541
196 425
299 471
458 476
703 717
131 943
183 503
255 787
357 043
20 965
27 935
37 339
49 979
124 629
192 613
298 660
464 251
24 949
34 424
47 580
65 832
402 202
568 839
810 757 1 162 060
4 646
6 484
9 068
12 697
7 467
9 789
12 858
16 903
897
1 180
1 556
2 058
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
217 283
40 474
85 040
6 392
33 422
40 094
11 252
609
237 013
43 977
92 314
6 984
35 157
46 015
11 859
708
278 452
50 202
107 309
8 102
38 515
60 678
12 832
814
324 254
55 734
123 804
9 203
41 249
79 853
13 507
904
378 297
61 816
142 160
10 380
43 525
105 385
14 041
990
442 054
67 687
162 248
11 506
45 555
139 657
14 330
1 071
519 473
73 337
184 713
12 570
47 483
185 835
14 384
1 151
617 686
80 236
210 029
13 751
49 614
248 406
14 404
1 246
743 893
88 436
238 999
15 075
52 180
333 336
14 511
1 356
905 424
97 051
272 092
16 456
55 102
448 594
14 657
1 472
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
61 726
2 076
2 142
2 423
53 782
1 304
64 601
2 207
2 293
2 699
55 982
1 421
71 005
2 529
2 642
3 327
60 819
1 688
78 679
2 943
3 095
4 047
66 550
2 044
87 866
3 453
3 704
4 904
73 274
2 530
98 110
4 033
4 445
5 929
80 552
3 150
109 325
4 652
5 321
7 136
88 294
3 923
121 771
5 326
6 383
8 567
96 605
4 890
135 725
6 081
7 683
10 286
105 568
6 106
151 349
6 921
9 261
12 351
115 177
7 640
351 055
405 708
547 761
Western Africa
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
750 892 1 043 620 1 467 692 2 085 320 2 986 499 4 302 043 6 225 357
131
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
11 025
18 144
514
21 275
1 972
27 280
12 502
1 806
4 559
16 257
4 113
19 268
183 700
4
15 025
6 397
7 213
12 810
21 302
547
24 004
2 318
30 660
14 439
2 062
5 268
19 138
4 687
23 528
212 101
4
17 441
7 141
8 258
17 285
29 658
620
30 890
3 213
38 462
19 351
2 694
7 100
27 048
6 075
35 736
286 392
5
23 459
8 944
10 829
23 281
41 771
698
40 209
4 466
48 029
26 065
3 543
9 653
39 047
7 862
55 158
393 907
5
31 567
11 320
14 311
31 457
59 543
779
53 090
6 224
59 959
35 378
4 706
13 226
57 133
10 196
86 020
549 756
5
42 556
14 519
19 074
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
42 645
58 005
79 243
108 682
149 553
85 695
124 191
180 811
263 918
385 756
858
936
1 014
1 102
1 204
70 889
95 406
129 196
175 683
239 359
8 703
12 213
17 197
24 288
34 400
74 842
93 665
117 752
148 544
187 889
48 296
66 263
91 419
126 745
176 423
6 302
8 511
11 590
15 890
21 898
18 237
25 258
35 077
48 788
67 917
84 586
126 443
190 224
287 464
435 912
13 274
17 367
22 834
30 144
39 927
135 079
213 016
336 862
533 829
847 481
776 370 1 106 845 1 587 536 2 284 501 3 293 503
5
5
5
4
4
57 439
77 741
105 598
143 816
196 252
18 907
24 993
33 469
45 288
61 783
25 566
34 462
46 673
63 356
86 094
4 402 780 4 635 610 5 052 420 5 433 465 5 804 809 6 188 271 6 643 498 7 216 915 7 975 765 8 970 690
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 635 228 1 662 974 1 665 095 1 624 520 1 540 241 1 425 647 1 309 508 1 191 778 1 091 193 1 003 760
1 399 787 1 427 598 1 433 917 1 402 593 1 330 943 1 231 095 1 131 220 1 029 255
942 814
868 263
7 280
7 458
7 642
7 591
7 357
6 922
6 363
5 750
5 121
4 494
581
617
673
703
713
701
667
614
551
486
25 162
25 832
26 988
27 617
27 971
28 201
28 351
28 517
28 639
28 723
126 488
124 504
118 277
110 279
101 571
92 734
83 345
74 414
66 621
59 506
2 914
3 107
3 418
3 696
3 955
4 172
4 399
4 664
4 966
5 293
49 540
50 221
50 753
49 652
47 048
43 272
38 894
34 497
30 350
26 511
23 475
23 637
23 427
22 389
20 683
18 550
16 269
14 067
12 131
10 484
South-Central Asia (7)
1 874 332 2 013 976 2 298 987 2 589 926 2 907 314 3 254 606 3 652 974 4 133 137 4 729 533 5 483 270
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
132
66 403
16 843
5 637
8 556
5 413
29 953
71 248
17 695
6 055
9 566
5 794
32 138
79 984
19 129
6 803
11 677
6 464
35 911
88 859
20 679
7 533
14 188
7 054
39 405
98 168
22 338
8 309
17 259
7 634
42 628
107 658
23 997
9 086
20 927
8 160
45 487
118 553
25 913
9 971
25 533
8 693
48 443
131 373
28 109
11 020
31 323
9 289
51 631
146 756
30 562
12 267
38 585
9 968
55 373
165 133
33 230
13 725
47 709
10 744
59 724
1 807 929 1 942 728 2 219 004 2 501 067 2 809 147 3 146 948 3 534 422 4 001 764 4 582 778 5 318 137
33 272
39 608
57 707
83 785
122 210
179 208
263 195
387 497
572 022
845 843
161 734
173 438
196 694
219 036
240 825
261 683
282 107
302 707
324 520
348 653
785
848
970
1 089
1 210
1 327
1 441
1 562
1 696
1 847
1 290 151 1 377 221 1 550 052 1 717 553 1 889 283 2 064 187 2 250 198 2 455 616 2 686 755 2 948 769
79 329
84 037
91 273
96 952
101 210
102 725
101 920
99 798
97 932
96 751
359
395
462
526
592
652
704
752
799
851
29 228
32 008
38 196
45 074
53 158
62 370
73 005
85 225
99 309
115 773
191 492
212 817
260 059
312 431
375 253
448 732
535 005
640 800
770 776
929 334
21 580
22 355
23 590
24 621
25 405
26 065
26 845
27 807
28 970
30 316
636 588
430
15 771
257 211
7 143
30 763
54 410
102 532
5 612
67 596
1 191
676 222
459
17 251
273 707
8 003
33 196
56 818
112 635
6 039
68 330
1 347
753 166
514
20 219
306 694
9 899
37 872
60 676
135 469
6 515
68 359
1 799
825 122
560
23 331
338 430
12 137
41 770
63 000
160 735
6 783
66 339
2 460
893 768
592
26 835
367 821
14 875
45 204
64 208
189 979
6 877
62 412
3 466
963 571 1 040 112 1 129 286 1 235 040 1 361 143
615
635
654
671
685
30 583
34 719
39 402
44 746
51 107
397 265
429 196
464 830
503 551
545 335
18 131
22 045
26 787
32 586
39 722
48 224
50 383
51 872
53 195
54 375
64 605
64 542
64 683
65 164
65 806
224 443
264 907
313 159
371 097
440 489
6 816
6 601
6 257
5 817
5 300
57 236
51 666
46 332
41 414
36 966
5 023
7 359
10 842
16 028
23 716
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Viet Nam .............................................
93 928
98 437
105 150
109 577
111 497
110 630
108 058
104 467
100 770
97 640
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
256 633
2 990
9 638
1 368
1 167
4 303
36 132
7 920
7 806
3 600
5 072
4 154
2 358
30 288
4 620
22 414
77 014
9 625
26 165
282 439
2 988
10 108
1 502
1 223
4 194
41 928
8 542
8 412
4 062
4 924
4 572
2 565
33 392
5 363
26 302
81 244
10 745
30 374
335 172
2 958
10 686
1 699
1 307
3 937
55 711
9 846
10 318
4 974
5 249
5 179
2 824
38 214
7 191
32 134
89 605
12 728
40 611
393 897
2 886
11 014
1 871
1 346
3 719
72 726
11 327
12 617
5 912
5 389
5 555
3 037
43 349
9 454
38 578
97 116
14 753
53 247
463 486
2 748
11 123
2 020
1 340
3 517
94 643
12 938
15 453
6 905
5 414
6 081
3 195
49 764
12 433
45 862
103 390
16 589
70 071
544 448
2 571
11 042
2 120
1 303
3 354
123 020
14 678
18 697
7 854
5 310
6 614
3 202
55 736
16 329
54 208
108 313
17 687
92 410
640 905
2 381
10 899
2 171
1 240
3 205
159 752
16 644
22 657
8 752
5 064
7 020
3 061
61 763
21 350
63 494
112 113
17 905
121 434
762 713
2 175
10 725
2 187
1 162
3 059
207 764
18 854
27 625
9 689
4 711
7 413
2 881
69 131
27 941
74 072
115 383
17 666
160 275
920 000 1 122 518
2 000
1 864
10 626
10 571
2 214
2 271
1 085
1 010
2 942
2 832
270 596
352 527
21 329
24 119
33 674
41 047
10 676
11 686
4 330
4 005
8 095
9 189
2 803
2 830
77 690
87 603
36 582
47 902
86 504
101 153
118 662
122 094
17 583
17 471
212 609
282 342
741 477
738 862
723 910
701 857
673 442
639 156
603 370
569 878
538 913
508 045
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
291 479
9 235
7 085
10 724
9 879
38 100
3 443
21 518
141 551
5 440
44 504
284 980
8 951
6 753
10 785
9 709
37 766
3 330
21 058
138 484
5 414
42 731
267 425
8 285
6 037
10 716
9 282
36 290
3 063
19 790
129 960
5 240
38 761
247 570
7 568
5 316
10 509
8 784
34 033
2 760
18 264
120 570
4 944
34 821
226 133
6 802
4 608
10 250
8 262
31 269
2 439
16 538
110 599
4 579
30 787
204 042
6 041
3 926
9 828
7 670
28 223
2 186
14 614
100 554
4 147
26 852
182 036
5 341
3 306
9 249
6 996
24 929
1 942
12 652
90 733
3 665
23 222
161 963
4 720
2 793
8 653
6 339
21 663
1 720
10 896
81 850
3 204
20 127
145 006
4 195
2 397
8 077
5 723
18 909
1 547
9 457
74 229
2 811
17 662
129 458
3 724
2 074
7 458
5 120
16 615
1 399
8 226
66 891
2 463
15 487
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
101 439
163
5 658
1 282
50
5 459
337
4 728
87
2 024
2 988
5 142
9 686
63 836
104 015
167
5 765
1 260
51
5 536
356
4 966
90
1 951
2 907
5 405
10 009
65 554
108 284
172
5 978
1 201
53
5 631
389
5 353
94
1 797
2 722
5 829
10 619
68 447
111 644
174
6 134
1 143
56
5 642
414
5 705
97
1 657
2 531
6 193
11 141
70 757
114 567
173
6 259
1 082
58
5 639
433
6 022
98
1 525
2 330
6 530
11 721
72 698
116 623
169
6 378
1 016
60
5 648
448
6 235
98
1 393
2 113
6 824
12 261
73 979
118 065
164
6 483
949
64
5 652
461
6 377
98
1 266
1 894
7 071
12 715
74 870
119 031
158
6 553
886
68
5 632
474
6 516
97
1 149
1 686
7 279
13 096
75 437
119 244
149
6 565
832
73
5 583
486
6 653
95
1 048
1 507
7 418
13 348
75 488
118 672
139
6 520
781
78
5 507
498
6 732
92
954
1 348
7 483
13 470
75 069
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
155 800
3 198
81
3 813
4 247
29
11 101
1
60 944
155 675
3 252
84
3 764
4 159
29
11 013
1
60 873
153 169
3 306
88
3 607
3 950
29
10 807
1
59 845
148 945
3 224
91
3 364
3 701
28
10 538
1
58 311
142 481
3 081
92
3 066
3 412
26
10 132
1
55 997
133 153
2 897
90
2 740
3 112
25
9 548
1
52 641
122 615
2 688
86
2 400
2 814
23
8 904
1
48 940
112 822
2 469
82
2 049
2 529
22
8 316
1
45 632
103 890
2 247
77
1 715
2 269
21
7 777
1
42 451
94 893
2 080
71
1 440
2 035
19
7 202
1
39 024
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
133
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
432
623
10 622
32
9 438
2 074
47 054
2 113
437
622
10 597
32
9 191
2 080
47 427
2 114
437
613
10 417
32
8 576
2 052
47 339
2 071
426
593
10 103
32
7 797
1 996
46 761
1 979
410
566
9 608
31
6 928
1 916
45 356
1 859
391
537
8 932
30
6 041
1 811
42 645
1 714
368
507
8 164
28
5 157
1 696
39 286
1 554
340
477
7 409
26
4 352
1 584
36 144
1 393
311
449
6 706
23
3 691
1 479
33 426
1 248
282
425
6 003
21
3 176
1 370
30 617
1 126
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
192 759
8 537
11 171
64 971
82 411
37
542
38
16 830
8 221
194 192
8 655
11 330
66 534
81 431
39
574
40
16 996
8 593
195 032
8 822
11 572
69 191
78 275
41
628
44
17 158
9 301
193 698
8 863
11 727
71 353
74 106
42
665
49
16 995
9 898
190 260
8 797
11 779
72 930
69 004
42
679
54
16 560
10 416
185 339
8 593
11 740
74 212
63 173
42
678
60
16 065
10 775
180 655
8 339
11 702
75 426
57 812
42
669
66
15 653
10 947
176 062
8 038
11 655
76 591
52 820
41
652
70
15 273
10 921
170 773
7 643
11 551
77 391
47 942
39
629
74
14 838
10 665
165 021
7 170
11 387
77 827
43 364
37
599
77
14 365
10 195
633 387
671 382
746 302
817 079
885 363
952 630 1 022 204 1 099 352 1 189 447 1 297 971
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
43 356
15
92
104
388
287
29
20
60
11 266
165
73
10 725
107
471
10 742
2 827
406
5
3 688
56
186
110
47
1 347
35
107
45 160
15
97
106
411
294
30
21
63
11 195
172
75
11 450
110
483
11 697
2 917
412
5
3 698
59
194
111
51
1 349
37
107
48 739
16
107
109
450
304
33
23
66
10 875
181
78
12 912
112
503
13 827
3 069
421
6
3 742
65
209
114
57
1 312
42
106
52 175
16
116
108
479
308
35
24
67
10 261
185
79
14 404
111
515
16 273
3 158
422
6
3 740
70
220
119
60
1 247
46
107
55 673
16
123
104
502
309
37
24
66
9 329
185
79
15 947
108
517
19 222
3 201
412
6
3 682
74
228
124
60
1 161
48
109
59 626
16
128
100
518
307
38
24
63
8 194
184
79
17 591
109
518
22 819
3 236
399
7
3 574
78
233
128
58
1 063
49
113
64 537
16
134
97
528
305
39
24
61
7 114
183
78
19 409
112
521
27 151
3 298
388
7
3 425
82
236
132
56
971
51
120
70 859
15
139
93
532
301
41
24
60
6 200
182
77
21 454
116
530
32 471
3 394
382
7
3 252
86
238
135
52
895
52
129
78 862
15
144
89
532
296
42
24
58
5 388
182
75
23 796
121
539
39 032
3 529
376
7
3 068
90
240
139
48
837
54
139
88 895
15
149
84
531
290
44
24
57
4 725
182
74
26 503
128
550
47 022
3 728
369
8
2 893
94
242
143
44
791
56
149
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
173 219
351
5 023
6 469
16 457
8 516
126 074
6 321
4 009
186 533
396
5 356
6 737
18 921
9 513
134 400
6 849
4 359
214 456
493
5 918
7 234
24 898
11 722
151 155
7 945
5 089
242 999
600
6 330
7 674
32 562
14 252
166 634
9 116
5 831
272 884
719
6 603
8 076
42 559
17 218
180 776
10 347
6 586
304 887
848
6 742
8 459
55 485
20 678
193 668
11 648
7 358
340 442
988
6 773
8 843
72 126
24 720
205 781
13 047
8 163
382 036
1 145
6 717
9 248
93 635
29 482
218 202
14 574
9 033
431 966
1 324
6 614
9 722
121 513
35 172
231 331
16 303
9 986
493 229
1 531
6 521
10 339
157 732
42 045
245 714
18 318
11 030
Latin America and the Caribbean
134
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
416 812
42 267
11 124
204 314
17 973
49 822
16 331
3
264
814
7 084
31 359
551
3 438
31 468
439 690
44 162
12 214
212 985
18 770
53 241
17 730
3
300
844
7 764
33 660
578
3 502
33 937
483 108
47 893
14 679
227 842
20 111
59 909
20 673
3
382
910
9 211
38 365
630
3 643
38 859
521 905
51 412
17 512
238 437
21 029
66 264
23 781
3
476
964
10 776
43 052
671
3 757
43 772
556 806
54 737
20 892
244 952
21 576
72 391
27 057
3
585
1 005
12 551
47 756
706
3 842
48 755
588 117
57 761
24 978
247 386
21 761
78 399
30 517
3
705
1 057
14 572
52 492
750
3 909
53 828
617 226
60 467
29 924
246 421
21 722
84 511
34 231
3
842
1 130
16 867
57 292
796
3 963
59 058
646 457
63 075
35 978
243 170
21 531
90 899
38 300
3
1 004
1 225
19 522
62 348
845
4 015
64 543
678 620
65 818
43 442
239 018
21 220
97 769
42 832
3
1 195
1 347
22 641
67 881
898
4 074
70 482
715 847
68 768
52 623
234 924
20 935
105 275
47 934
3
1 423
1 509
26 289
74 078
957
4 148
76 983
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
362 032
66
35 830
58
6
326 073
377 430
66
37 468
58
6
339 832
406 090
66
40 127
57
6
365 834
430 737
65
42 120
57
6
388 489
453 064
63
43 648
56
7
409 290
474 089
61
44 648
57
7
429 316
494 095
60
45 210
58
7
448 759
511 261
59
45 199
59
7
465 936
524 788
58
44 544
61
8
480 117
534 919
57
43 286
63
8
491 504
39 478
42 419
48 538
55 000
62 139
69 976
78 717
88 690
100 238
113 884
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
28 537
23 927
4 610
30 299
25 448
4 852
33 686
28 372
5 314
36 864
31 136
5 727
39 993
33 871
6 122
42 813
36 325
6 489
45 245
38 404
6 841
47 265
40 089
7 175
48 766
41 296
7 470
49 712
41 981
7 731
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
9 728
898
264
7 709
591
266
10 837
932
283
8 660
664
299
13 414
987
321
10 892
838
375
16 525
1 042
358
13 593
1 066
467
20 345
1 098
395
16 918
1 358
576
25 108
1 167
429
21 064
1 740
708
31 086
1 262
461
26 250
2 247
866
38 625
1 387
491
32 776
2 915
1 056
48 150
1 545
518
41 007
3 793
1 287
60 186
1 737
542
51 396
4 944
1 568
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
523
170
106
54
106
10
55
21
558
182
116
57
113
11
56
23
635
207
138
67
132
11
56
25
715
230
160
82
150
12
53
28
800
252
185
102
172
12
48
30
905
276
215
129
200
12
41
31
1 032
301
248
170
234
13
34
33
1 189
328
286
225
275
13
29
33
1 385
356
330
299
329
13
23
34
1 632
387
382
399
397
14
18
35
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
689
56
21
284
1
195
1
107
10
13
725
59
22
300
1
205
1
114
10
13
803
65
23
327
1
229
2
130
11
14
896
71
26
348
1
270
2
151
12
15
1 001
77
28
366
1
320
2
176
15
15
1 150
86
31
380
1
401
2
215
18
16
1 354
97
33
392
2
519
3
270
22
17
1 611
113
35
403
2
673
3
338
26
18
1 936
133
38
413
2
872
4
423
31
20
2 354
158
41
426
2
1 133
5
530
38
21
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
135
Table A.12. Total population at mid-year by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
136
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
2060
2070
2080
2090
2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
1.79
1.91
1.96
1.78
1.78
1.80
1.52
1.30
1.22
1.20
1.20
2.06
2.00
2.06
1.08
2.26
2.40
2.24
0.78
2.39
2.33
2.39
0.66
2.15
2.47
2.11
0.60
2.15
2.55
2.09
0.57
2.15
2.64
2.08
0.43
1.81
2.77
1.68
0.34
1.54
2.51
1.40
0.36
1.43
2.41
1.27
0.42
1.37
2.28
1.22
2.07
2.45
2.43
2.43
2.41
2.27
2.05
1.86
1.72
1.62
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
1.95
2.38
2.66
2.78
2.81
2.80
2.69
2.61
2.61
2.66
Africa
2.09
2.46
2.60
2.73
2.78
2.72
2.57
2.41
2.40
2.46
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
2.20
1.84
2.14
2.31
1.94
1.91
2.77
2.13
1.89
2.92
4.52
1.58
3.23
2.89
1.35
1.92
1.04
2.68
2.67
2.49
3.08
2.62
2.00
1.77
6.36
2.41
2.43
3.19
2.47
2.40
2.64
4.79
2.05
3.04
1.94
2.36
2.15
1.99
3.32
2.96
3.00
3.29
2.86
1.23
2.35
6.79
2.70
2.73
3.62
2.83
3.14
1.53
4.15
2.33
0.96
2.99
2.55
2.38
2.43
2.73
3.22
3.38
3.40
2.94
2.31
3.68
9.43
3.21
1.58
3.75
2.87
3.26
1.59
3.85
2.68
0.99
3.30
2.06
9.01
2.65
2.95
3.13
3.28
3.33
2.92
2.92
2.93
3.33
3.19
2.92
3.79
2.64
3.05
1.00
5.04
1.88
1.85
3.46
0.98
-0.07
2.94
3.11
3.13
3.13
3.90
2.98
3.21
2.57
6.59
2.89
3.28
3.52
2.91
5.25
0.77
5.29
0.34
1.78
3.32
0.14
0.82
1.13
3.58
3.08
2.75
3.32
2.54
2.05
2.42
2.37
0.81
3.43
3.13
3.06
1.06
1.33
5.55
3.27
1.96
-4.84
1.65
0.08
-1.18
3.36
3.23
2.39
2.13
2.87
1.44
2.52
1.70
2.90
2.93
2.64
3.15
2.55
0.98
3.98
2.68
1.78
7.87
1.12
3.03
4.05
3.15
2.55
2.66
1.43
2.74
3.04
2.57
1.43
4.18
2.86
2.69
3.00
2.65
0.46
3.23
2.79
1.44
2.32
1.76
2.73
3.79
3.37
2.64
2.54
0.33
2.78
3.45
2.57
1.43
3.36
2.68
2.68
2.84
3.00
0.29
3.10
2.63
1.31
2.78
0.92
2.59
4.25
3.36
2.94
2.84
0.57
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
1.86
1.82
1.75
1.07
1.78
2.14
2.08
1.05
0.38
-0.41
2.29
1.80
2.21
1.85
1.96
2.66
2.61
1.33
1.28
0.17
2.52
2.26
2.68
1.96
2.30
3.04
2.70
-4.00
1.91
2.13
2.70
2.81
2.87
2.40
1.97
2.90
2.81
-1.54
2.28
2.79
2.82
3.42
3.01
2.86
2.41
2.92
2.62
6.98
2.57
1.89
2.91
2.62
3.02
2.10
3.12
2.73
3.00
3.57
2.73
2.35
3.33
3.16
2.87
2.35
3.19
2.65
3.70
3.34
2.64
2.10
2.51
2.80
2.68
2.10
3.47
2.78
2.22
3.19
2.52
1.34
2.90
3.45
2.60
1.70
3.75
2.50
2.81
3.05
2.37
2.07
2.85
3.34
2.57
1.87
3.15
2.98
2.81
2.85
2.41
2.84
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
2.57
2.23
2.51
1.96
3.12
2.64
2.37
8.59
2.71
2.49
2.73
3.62
2.67
2.98
2.51
8.84
2.41
2.72
2.10
3.98
2.11
3.31
2.20
-0.51
2.57
2.92
2.15
3.91
2.26
3.54
2.52
13.99
2.68
3.19
2.28
3.89
2.36
3.41
2.61
3.80
2.46
2.77
2.25
2.61
2.04
3.15
2.47
3.46
2.16
2.22
1.65
2.17
1.68
4.07
1.98
3.11
1.66
1.58
1.56
1.73
1.35
2.45
1.23
3.75
1.61
1.37
1.64
1.55
0.96
2.60
1.02
6.73
1.68
1.75
1.68
1.53
0.98
2.42
1.12
3.70
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
2.30
2.60
1.42
2.04
2.34
2.36
2.56
2.56
1.84
2.49
2.60
2.29
2.67
3.43
2.15
2.98
2.66
2.96
2.52
3.85
2.58
2.24
2.47
3.09
2.55
3.44
2.31
2.53
2.52
3.13
2.30
3.11
1.69
4.16
2.19
4.02
2.39
2.69
1.87
3.12
2.37
2.21
1.64
2.06
1.14
2.75
1.59
1.98
1.41
1.33
0.74
1.32
1.46
0.76
1.28
0.97
0.85
1.45
1.29
1.54
Western Africa
1.67
2.14
2.50
2.69
2.75
2.67
2.68
2.59
2.61
2.71
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
138
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
1.15
1.04
0.83
0.66
0.51
0.39
0.30
0.22
0.17
0.30
1.33
2.28
1.16
0.24
1.21
2.20
1.02
0.12
0.96
1.99
0.74
0.04
0.77
1.77
0.53
0.01
0.60
1.54
0.34
-0.03
0.45
1.31
0.19
-0.04
0.34
1.10
0.09
-0.02
0.25
0.89
0.01
-0.02
0.20
0.71
-0.01
-0.06
0.13
0.55
-0.05
1.56
1.44
1.20
1.00
0.81
0.64
0.50
0.38
0.28
0.20
2.65
2.54
2.34
2.15
1.90
1.64
1.39
1.15
0.92
0.71
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.46
2.36
2.15
1.97
1.74
1.50
1.27
1.05
0.84
0.65
Africa
2.83
3.16
2.40
1.51
3.20
2.55
2.67
2.79
2.85
0.37
2.71
2.47
1.16
2.74
0.55
2.87
4.02
3.33
3.02
3.21
2.81
2.67
3.03
2.20
1.39
2.74
2.39
2.47
2.74
2.79
0.28
2.41
2.38
1.00
2.56
0.43
2.84
2.62
3.19
2.88
3.24
2.58
2.38
2.55
2.04
0.99
2.26
2.00
2.20
2.52
2.62
0.07
2.22
2.41
0.76
2.21
0.23
2.71
2.10
2.90
2.70
3.09
1.58
2.13
2.52
1.86
0.79
2.01
1.63
1.99
2.23
2.37
-0.19
1.82
2.22
0.54
1.87
0.12
2.44
1.85
2.57
2.52
2.92
1.34
1.86
2.28
1.56
0.56
1.63
1.28
1.71
1.97
2.12
-0.36
1.38
1.99
0.32
1.52
-0.07
2.15
1.62
2.21
2.24
2.70
1.12
1.58
1.92
1.38
0.29
1.26
0.98
1.43
1.70
1.86
-0.42
1.07
1.73
0.17
1.18
-0.25
1.86
1.35
1.87
1.96
2.45
0.81
1.33
1.70
1.20
0.14
1.00
0.69
1.17
1.44
1.61
-0.47
0.83
1.44
0.10
0.88
-0.29
1.57
1.09
1.55
1.70
2.23
0.55
1.09
1.43
0.98
0.03
0.75
0.42
0.93
1.20
1.38
-0.51
0.63
1.16
0.02
0.61
-0.30
1.29
0.84
1.25
1.44
2.01
0.33
0.87
1.16
0.79
-0.06
0.53
0.19
0.70
0.98
1.15
-0.47
0.41
0.92
-0.07
0.38
-0.31
1.03
0.62
0.98
1.19
1.79
0.17
0.68
0.93
0.63
-0.12
0.33
0.03
0.49
0.78
0.94
-0.39
0.19
0.68
-0.11
0.19
-0.27
0.80
0.42
0.74
0.96
1.59
0.05
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
2.73
3.09
2.52
1.98
2.98
2.55
2.72
2.77
2.36
2.58
2.64
2.97
2.42
1.92
2.91
2.40
2.63
2.58
2.20
2.27
2.41
2.66
2.20
1.73
2.76
2.47
2.38
2.15
1.92
1.99
2.13
2.31
1.99
1.53
2.45
2.31
2.09
1.83
1.71
1.78
1.85
1.97
1.74
1.32
2.12
2.06
1.80
1.58
1.44
1.39
1.56
1.67
1.48
1.05
1.79
1.81
1.51
1.27
1.16
1.14
1.27
1.36
1.22
0.80
1.48
1.58
1.23
0.98
0.93
0.90
1.01
1.07
0.98
0.59
1.18
1.34
0.96
0.71
0.71
0.68
0.76
0.81
0.75
0.40
0.90
1.11
0.72
0.46
0.51
0.50
0.55
0.58
0.56
0.23
0.66
0.89
0.51
0.24
0.34
0.34
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
1.68
1.84
1.63
0.90
1.41
2.11
1.10
3.21
1.55
1.51
1.45
1.38
1.13
2.33
0.95
2.77
1.18
0.88
1.12
0.86
0.76
2.06
0.53
0.92
0.95
0.61
0.92
0.63
0.49
1.75
0.27
0.52
0.75
0.47
0.69
0.39
0.30
1.47
0.13
0.24
0.53
0.15
0.47
0.07
0.12
1.21
-0.13
-0.03
0.35
-0.03
0.30
-0.15
-0.01
0.96
-0.33
-0.18
0.24
0.00
0.14
-0.24
-0.05
0.73
-0.35
-0.19
0.14
-0.04
0.03
-0.33
-0.07
0.54
-0.30
-0.20
0.03
-0.17
-0.08
-0.43
-0.13
0.38
-0.31
-0.29
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
0.85
0.87
1.08
1.87
0.78
1.49
0.69
0.90
0.97
1.73
0.60
1.24
0.57
0.89
0.79
1.45
0.50
0.98
0.53
0.87
0.77
1.09
0.47
0.93
0.43
0.78
0.74
0.85
0.37
0.84
0.28
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.23
0.65
0.14
0.28
0.31
0.37
0.10
0.45
0.00
0.07
0.17
0.16
-0.03
0.26
-0.10
-0.09
0.07
0.02
-0.12
0.13
-0.18
-0.22
-0.01
-0.10
-0.20
0.04
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
2.73
2.66
2.52
2.36
2.11
1.84
1.59
1.32
1.07
0.83
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
0.11 World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Western Africa
139
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
0.42
1.06
1.87
2.49
2.27
2.63
1.39
2.56
1.65
0.87
2.46
2.71
1.65
-0.11
2.33
0.93
1.09
1.59
1.38
2.60
3.88
1.72
2.95
1.60
0.72
2.24
1.05
2.90
2.79
2.11
-0.53
2.77
1.44
1.56
2.31
1.80
2.52
4.63
3.05
2.68
0.66
2.61
2.75
1.60
2.91
2.78
2.49
1.17
3.00
2.16
2.61
2.61
2.06
-0.71
4.48
2.97
1.88
0.66
1.01
3.00
1.69
2.88
2.81
2.96
0.57
2.56
2.40
2.42
2.85
2.49
1.86
4.12
3.83
3.26
2.39
2.13
2.99
1.90
2.83
2.78
2.59
0.94
2.90
2.39
3.57
3.08
2.62
1.23
3.52
4.50
2.80
3.45
2.22
-0.88
1.46
2.72
2.91
2.61
-0.20
3.09
2.41
3.04
3.59
2.71
2.53
3.20
3.01
2.72
5.28
2.27
-0.22
2.42
2.85
3.35
2.51
-0.90
2.96
-0.58
2.46
2.99
2.80
2.04
2.53
2.85
2.32
2.19
2.22
6.59
2.65
2.97
3.63
2.50
-0.67
2.48
1.05
2.54
3.27
2.90
1.57
1.51
3.12
2.55
1.81
2.20
2.46
3.03
3.00
3.64
2.55
-1.76
2.67
4.25
2.60
3.01
2.93
0.37
1.74
3.14
2.53
2.54
2.20
3.82
3.16
2.75
3.74
2.69
-1.97
2.78
2.33
2.59
1.94
2.09
2.29
1.97
1.98
2.00
1.61
1.30
1.18
1.10
1.91
2.00
4.64
-1.59
-0.90
1.45
1.83
1.94
3.15
1.76
1.79
4.24
3.76
1.88
1.02
2.94
2.49
3.43
2.18
2.30
1.91
-0.22
2.43
1.32
2.92
1.98
1.99
1.44
1.49
2.97
-0.16
1.30
0.90
2.65
1.52
2.04
1.45
1.53
1.38
3.70
1.56
0.69
2.58
1.57
1.53
1.68
1.85
1.35
3.88
1.45
0.37
2.56
1.18
1.02
1.11
1.20
1.18
2.04
1.50
0.36
1.02
0.77
0.89
0.65
0.68
2.13
1.61
0.97
0.20
0.85
0.58
0.72
0.55
0.58
0.18
1.61
0.83
0.20
1.05
0.45
0.71
0.57
0.62
0.44
2.66
0.57
0.06
1.42
0.60
0.37
South-Central Asia (7)
1.79
2.23
2.30
2.42
2.37
2.27
2.01
1.81
1.59
1.38
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
2.64
2.73
1.79
2.94
2.25
2.78
3.54
3.53
3.39
3.75
3.41
3.58
2.39
1.51
2.14
3.12
2.82
3.10
2.05
1.08
1.90
2.76
2.54
2.73
2.07
1.18
2.02
2.95
2.42
2.58
1.96
0.97
1.81
3.08
2.55
2.40
1.16
-0.79
0.88
1.76
2.65
2.21
0.73
-1.29
1.52
1.34
1.44
1.57
0.94
0.66
0.35
1.91
1.07
0.96
1.34
1.11
1.13
2.28
1.20
1.28
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
1.76
1.45
2.58
2.48
1.66
2.42
1.44
1.56
1.65
1.79
2.18
2.14
2.88
2.40
2.04
2.61
2.61
1.80
2.56
2.33
2.29
2.61
1.72
3.61
2.28
2.78
3.22
2.15
2.82
1.94
2.44
0.98
2.65
3.34
2.33
3.36
2.81
2.22
3.20
1.78
2.38
-2.68
2.67
2.57
2.24
4.01
3.47
2.31
3.40
1.46
2.29
0.35
2.60
2.65
2.11
3.41
3.24
2.30
3.17
1.37
2.05
8.10
2.20
-1.02
1.91
1.41
2.53
2.56
2.63
1.03
1.85
3.16
1.99
2.06
1.73
1.72
2.15
2.38
2.54
0.65
1.61
3.77
1.56
2.84
1.57
1.25
1.74
1.74
1.88
1.14
1.38
2.66
1.09
1.95
1.35
1.19
1.81
1.19
1.84
0.79
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
2.29
5.56
2.58
1.73
2.32
2.77
1.91
3.54
4.90
2.76
1.26
2.71
4.51
2.45
2.47
2.32
3.19
2.23
3.25
2.80
3.02
1.84
2.51
4.29
1.47
2.49
2.52
2.42
2.41
2.85
1.74
2.76
1.85
2.25
3.66
-2.41
2.37
1.30
2.33
2.36
2.76
1.30
2.25
-2.65
2.29
2.89
2.98
2.21
2.47
2.61
2.23
2.73
2.30
1.88
2.56
2.08
2.83
3.05
1.90
2.87
2.89
1.77
2.63
2.15
1.68
2.60
1.78
2.76
3.46
1.66
2.75
2.59
1.47
2.33
2.88
0.83
2.85
1.56
2.35
2.53
1.47
2.02
2.44
1.33
2.19
2.36
1.11
-0.31
1.38
2.06
1.77
1.44
1.44
1.97
0.70
2.00
2.75
1.01
3.08
1.22
1.71
1.46
1.39
1.99
1.80
0.69
1.70
2.44
0.26
1.62
Asia
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
140
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.69
2.84
0.83
2.31
3.18
2.13
2.54
2.39
2.58
3.01
2.45
3.85
2.78
-0.57
2.90
1.88
2.57
2.52
2.74
0.89
2.20
3.07
1.95
2.41
2.28
2.43
3.18
2.30
3.90
2.71
0.78
2.69
1.74
2.38
2.20
2.51
0.77
2.02
2.78
1.63
2.11
2.04
2.25
3.08
2.03
3.84
2.60
0.52
2.37
1.51
2.10
1.86
2.24
0.55
1.89
2.43
1.37
1.80
1.81
2.00
2.85
1.77
3.59
2.46
0.16
2.13
1.28
1.93
1.53
1.94
0.31
1.74
2.03
1.07
1.50
1.55
1.71
2.51
1.49
3.24
2.21
-0.01
1.83
1.05
1.68
1.25
1.66
0.04
1.53
1.64
0.80
1.20
1.31
1.47
2.16
1.26
2.83
1.93
-0.16
1.54
0.88
1.43
0.96
1.40
-0.21
1.34
1.31
0.57
0.93
1.09
1.23
1.83
1.05
2.42
1.66
-0.28
1.31
0.71
1.22
0.70
1.14
-0.43
1.12
0.99
0.37
0.67
0.88
0.98
1.51
0.83
2.03
1.39
-0.32
1.07
0.54
1.00
0.48
0.90
-0.51
0.91
0.70
0.20
0.44
0.69
0.75
1.20
0.63
1.68
1.12
-0.34
0.84
0.40
0.78
0.28
0.68
-0.48
0.71
0.46
0.07
0.26
0.52
0.56
0.93
0.46
1.34
0.87
-0.32
0.65
0.28
0.59
1.03
0.88
0.57
0.33
0.11
-0.06
-0.18
-0.25
-0.25
-0.26
0.55
0.61
0.74
1.78
0.53
-0.08
1.49
0.53
0.24
0.39
0.44
0.64
1.39
0.48
-0.23
1.27
0.41
0.12
0.03
0.06
0.36
1.02
0.31
-0.43
0.71
0.23
-0.09
-0.20
-0.18
0.09
0.66
0.08
-0.54
0.56
-0.06
-0.41
-0.41
-0.42
-0.02
0.52
-0.03
-0.55
0.39
-0.29
-0.70
-0.55
-0.56
-0.21
0.31
-0.11
-0.56
0.13
-0.45
-0.85
-0.56
-0.57
-0.34
0.10
-0.14
-0.62
0.09
-0.53
-0.93
-0.54
-0.55
-0.36
-0.07
-0.17
-0.52
0.11
-0.52
-0.93
-0.39
-0.39
-0.33
-0.10
-0.21
-0.40
0.06
-0.44
-0.77
-0.34
-0.34
-0.36
-0.13
-0.22
-0.34
0.01
-0.37
-0.59
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1.30
1.15
0.85
0.58
0.33
0.12
-0.05
-0.17
-0.23
-0.26
South-Central Asia (7)
1.40
1.04
1.35
2.42
1.27
1.35
1.26
0.87
1.53
2.18
1.13
1.17
0.79
0.50
0.94
1.58
0.69
0.69
0.61
0.46
0.78
1.47
0.38
0.38
0.41
0.33
0.65
1.25
0.14
0.11
0.16
0.14
0.33
0.93
-0.10
-0.17
0.06
0.11
0.26
0.81
-0.27
-0.34
0.00
0.08
0.22
0.65
-0.34
-0.42
-0.06
0.01
0.12
0.48
-0.35
-0.43
-0.08
-0.05
0.07
0.38
-0.35
-0.40
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1.29
2.39
1.19
1.60
1.24
1.30
1.89
1.15
1.66
0.81
1.15
2.17
1.11
1.15
1.08
1.14
1.59
1.07
1.55
0.66
0.86
1.89
0.79
0.79
0.80
0.73
1.04
0.85
1.21
0.34
0.57
1.43
0.50
0.49
0.52
0.54
0.77
0.59
0.86
0.17
0.33
0.96
0.24
0.25
0.29
0.33
0.56
0.34
0.54
-0.02
0.12
0.62
0.04
0.01
0.10
0.06
0.24
0.16
0.26
-0.15
-0.05
0.28
-0.15
-0.21
-0.06
-0.17
-0.03
-0.01
0.00
-0.19
-0.18
-0.06
-0.30
-0.35
-0.16
-0.28
-0.26
-0.21
-0.17
-0.19
-0.24
-0.29
-0.38
-0.39
-0.22
-0.20
-0.39
-0.35
-0.26
-0.20
-0.27
-0.40
-0.38
-0.39
-0.24
-0.17
-0.39
-0.33
-0.32
-0.22
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
1.17
1.35
1.75
1.21
1.86
1.61
0.84
1.71
2.02
0.30
1.66
1.02
1.16
1.56
1.04
1.72
1.39
0.71
1.62
1.50
0.14
1.85
0.75
0.89
1.10
0.80
1.30
1.05
0.36
1.39
0.76
-0.10
1.86
0.49
0.53
0.89
0.52
0.99
0.71
0.05
1.09
0.39
-0.38
1.49
0.25
0.18
0.64
0.26
0.70
0.51
-0.19
0.85
0.19
-0.66
1.34
0.07
-0.02
0.38
0.10
0.45
0.31
-0.38
0.64
0.00
-0.85
1.24
-0.05
-0.11
0.18
0.01
0.21
0.06
-0.49
0.44
-0.20
-0.92
1.00
-0.12
-0.19
0.00
-0.06
0.00
-0.11
-0.47
0.28
-0.39
-0.89
0.83
-0.18
-0.29
-0.13
-0.14
-0.13
-0.16
-0.43
0.16
-0.52
-0.83
0.67
-0.20
-0.35
-0.18
-0.19
-0.21
-0.21
-0.39
0.08
-0.67
-0.72
0.53
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
141
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
Viet Nam .............................................
2.54
2.96
2.32
2.20
2.32
2.22
1.96
1.24
0.98
0.94
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
2.52
2.88
2.78
2.90
1.41
1.70
2.57
6.24
7.27
4.93
2.76
1.66
7.20
2.59
1.16
2.78
2.65
2.33
0.54
2.66
3.32
3.22
2.85
0.28
1.47
2.78
3.76
4.62
12.20
2.96
2.49
8.82
3.38
2.16
3.23
2.36
9.81
1.78
2.77
2.30
1.90
4.49
1.14
0.84
3.28
3.16
3.64
6.72
2.29
3.95
8.15
4.80
3.23
3.41
2.39
16.67
1.82
2.81
1.83
1.59
6.00
1.07
0.66
3.11
2.31
2.78
5.34
0.23
5.38
6.17
5.77
2.66
3.38
2.27
12.89
3.38
2.86
1.51
1.59
3.06
0.53
0.83
2.63
1.73
3.98
4.65
0.54
5.22
10.12
5.98
3.06
3.50
2.27
5.67
3.99
2.47
1.20
1.56
3.35
1.71
0.64
2.35
1.94
3.76
3.48
0.20
3.78
5.00
3.99
3.36
3.09
1.87
5.87
4.00
2.28
-1.90
1.48
2.56
2.19
-1.50
3.01
3.40
5.04
-5.23
2.31
3.48
1.01
2.72
4.44
2.82
1.61
5.23
4.84
1.98
-0.93
0.87
3.40
1.96
-1.32
3.12
2.41
1.97
3.68
1.29
0.35
3.39
1.63
4.19
2.65
1.53
5.09
3.08
2.24
-0.40
1.07
5.50
1.81
-1.16
2.80
1.87
1.89
3.72
4.18
2.80
6.49
4.07
2.10
2.08
1.40
6.31
2.78
2.42
-0.34
1.20
7.05
1.33
-0.39
2.46
2.33
4.17
5.29
1.70
2.11
15.13
1.98
2.40
3.40
1.26
14.21
2.45
0.99
0.95
0.61
0.49
0.42
0.39
0.18
-0.02
0.11
0.20
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
1.50
0.15
0.79
0.96
1.02
1.94
2.31
1.37
1.64
2.08
1.41
1.01
0.99
0.85
0.32
0.34
1.15
2.10
0.62
1.07
1.13
1.18
0.67
0.71
0.54
0.43
0.38
0.83
1.32
1.09
0.57
0.92
0.70
0.66
0.61
0.31
0.53
0.41
0.94
0.87
0.85
0.65
1.00
0.49
0.58
0.69
0.21
0.03
-0.35
0.90
1.00
0.44
0.71
0.67
0.39
0.45
0.52
-0.31
-0.01
-0.36
0.46
0.70
0.41
0.63
0.46
0.28
-0.04
-0.14
-1.08
0.03
-0.06
0.17
-0.12
-0.35
0.06
0.32
-0.20
-0.37
-0.41
-0.88
-0.17
-0.25
-0.07
-1.10
-0.51
-0.25
0.09
-0.83
-0.42
-0.65
-0.81
-0.04
-0.25
-0.08
-1.73
-0.25
-0.39
0.01
-0.80
-0.14
-0.36
-0.78
0.62
-0.16
0.00
-1.06
-0.23
-0.04
0.16
-0.47
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
0.40
0.65
0.79
1.03
0.20
1.10
1.99
-0.08
-1.06
0.67
0.48
0.98
0.70
0.22
0.72
0.99
0.77
1.18
1.19
0.60
1.82
0.32
0.92
1.17
1.37
0.78
0.69
0.68
0.38
0.84
0.53
0.89
0.98
0.45
1.28
1.44
1.44
0.76
1.01
0.66
0.35
0.21
0.20
0.28
0.24
0.72
1.19
0.29
0.91
1.42
1.32
0.45
0.79
0.38
0.29
0.02
0.18
0.85
-0.04
0.64
1.27
0.51
1.13
0.67
-0.20
0.54
0.75
0.32
0.10
0.08
0.31
1.00
0.11
0.56
0.93
0.34
1.08
-0.02
1.74
0.63
0.74
0.44
0.49
0.25
0.24
0.48
0.36
-1.76
-1.71
0.48
0.97
0.45
0.53
-1.37
-0.38
0.56
0.62
0.27
0.26
0.64
0.40
-0.96
1.06
0.27
1.00
1.04
1.24
-0.96
-0.73
0.60
0.10
0.33
0.37
0.74
0.30
-0.61
1.12
0.27
1.07
1.78
0.90
-1.25
-1.25
0.58
0.35
0.45
0.54
0.67
0.49
-0.41
0.17
0.46
1.39
1.44
0.89
-1.27
-1.38
1.12
0.77
0.58
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
0.88
2.70
7.98
2.49
0.67
0.51
1.03
0.00
0.75
0.82
2.93
6.48
1.40
0.35
1.54
0.52
-1.16
0.77
0.87
2.52
4.70
1.06
0.49
0.62
0.57
2.36
0.65
0.79
2.39
3.22
0.89
0.58
0.87
1.28
-0.08
0.41
0.48
2.36
4.25
1.05
0.76
0.03
0.60
0.57
0.20
0.27
2.26
4.01
0.93
0.95
0.17
0.45
0.61
0.02
0.11
-0.52
3.16
-5.02
-0.44
0.33
0.98
0.28
0.05
0.20
-0.32
0.48
1.71
-0.94
0.05
0.58
0.15
0.01
0.63
-0.67
4.33
0.24
-0.39
1.23
0.10
0.28
0.58
0.58
-0.29
-0.83
-0.18
-0.23
0.12
0.12
0.03
0.62
Europe
142
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
0.95
0.77
0.40
0.17
-0.12
-0.36
-0.53
-0.63
-0.62
-0.52
Viet Nam .............................................
1.88
0.18
1.11
1.66
1.08
-0.39
2.88
1.30
3.50
3.61
3.04
7.89
5.90
1.85
2.51
0.67
1.22
2.52
2.30
1.60
0.01
0.85
1.70
0.91
-0.48
2.58
1.43
1.01
2.27
-0.71
1.64
1.57
1.57
2.44
2.90
0.92
2.03
2.14
1.18
-0.13
0.32
0.89
0.63
-0.63
2.10
1.20
1.36
1.73
0.50
0.62
0.72
0.82
2.11
1.43
0.73
1.43
1.66
0.94
-0.27
0.08
0.63
0.25
-0.53
1.75
1.10
1.13
1.43
0.18
0.06
0.48
0.68
1.71
1.09
0.49
1.27
1.21
0.69
-0.48
-0.19
0.34
-0.04
-0.47
1.45
0.88
0.81
1.15
-0.03
0.11
0.15
0.50
1.41
0.80
0.24
0.84
0.82
0.42
-0.62
-0.37
-0.02
-0.20
-0.42
1.18
0.69
0.50
0.80
-0.24
-0.19
-0.47
0.11
1.15
0.54
0.03
0.26
0.44
0.20
-0.70
-0.47
-0.37
-0.35
-0.36
0.93
0.57
0.31
0.52
-0.49
-0.73
-1.06
-0.16
0.88
0.28
-0.15
-0.31
0.09
0.05
-0.75
-0.52
-0.63
-0.41
-0.33
0.72
0.45
0.18
0.38
-0.70
-1.14
-1.27
-0.26
0.64
0.07
-0.26
-0.53
-0.15
-0.03
-0.63
-0.44
-0.57
-0.36
-0.25
0.53
0.31
0.05
0.24
-0.70
-0.70
-0.85
-0.33
0.44
-0.07
-0.31
-0.40
-0.31
-0.10
-0.47
-0.42
-0.48
-0.36
-0.25
0.37
0.19
-0.10
0.07
-0.54
-0.10
-0.56
-0.40
0.29
-0.16
-0.34
-0.51
-0.43
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
0.08
0.01
-0.13
-0.18
-0.22
-0.28
-0.26
-0.19
-0.15
-0.16
-0.25
-0.49
-0.76
0.42
-0.21
0.01
-0.78
-0.26
-0.21
0.09
-0.62
-0.32
-0.51
-0.82
0.27
-0.23
-0.03
-0.67
-0.33
-0.30
0.04
-0.68
-0.51
-0.66
-0.99
0.06
-0.31
-0.25
-0.89
-0.53
-0.50
-0.21
-0.85
-0.55
-0.71
-1.01
0.06
-0.33
-0.48
-1.02
-0.62
-0.50
-0.40
-0.85
-0.55
-0.72
-1.01
0.11
-0.27
-0.50
-1.15
-0.70
-0.50
-0.43
-0.83
-0.57
-0.74
-1.05
-0.04
-0.34
-0.56
-0.94
-0.84
-0.49
-0.55
-0.88
-0.54
-0.65
-0.94
-0.09
-0.39
-0.70
-0.92
-0.86
-0.42
-0.66
-0.78
-0.42
-0.50
-0.68
-0.01
-0.31
-0.62
-0.79
-0.71
-0.31
-0.54
-0.56
-0.28
-0.39
-0.45
0.01
-0.25
-0.41
-0.57
-0.52
-0.21
-0.37
-0.42
-0.27
-0.35
-0.32
-0.04
-0.27
-0.34
-0.45
-0.44
-0.22
-0.35
-0.37
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
0.54
0.50
0.40
-0.28
-0.03
0.34
1.14
1.13
0.72
-0.57
-0.46
1.00
0.65
0.56
0.52
0.45
0.40
-0.31
0.32
0.30
1.01
0.98
0.62
-0.58
-0.40
1.00
0.69
0.54
0.40
0.34
0.39
-0.43
0.32
0.15
0.72
0.68
0.44
-0.60
-0.46
0.74
0.60
0.42
0.31
0.18
0.28
-0.40
0.17
0.02
0.45
0.61
0.28
-0.56
-0.52
0.58
0.52
0.32
0.29
0.06
0.27
-0.37
-0.06
0.05
0.23
0.49
0.19
-0.41
-0.44
0.53
0.59
0.28
0.21
-0.04
0.27
-0.42
0.00
0.07
0.10
0.28
0.08
-0.41
-0.48
0.44
0.51
0.19
0.17
-0.10
0.25
-0.41
0.08
0.06
0.02
0.18
0.00
-0.39
-0.52
0.36
0.44
0.14
0.14
-0.16
0.20
-0.30
0.00
0.02
-0.04
0.19
-0.04
-0.23
-0.39
0.29
0.39
0.10
0.08
-0.24
0.12
-0.21
-0.08
-0.01
-0.09
0.16
-0.09
-0.13
-0.25
0.19
0.29
0.05
0.01
-0.35
0.05
-0.19
-0.09
-0.06
-0.12
0.05
-0.11
-0.16
-0.26
0.10
0.20
-0.02
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
0.19
0.30
0.77
-0.14
-0.39
0.07
0.03
0.03
0.21
0.06
0.28
0.64
-0.16
-0.35
0.01
-0.09
0.10
0.08
-0.07
0.17
0.59
-0.27
-0.43
-0.17
-0.11
0.08
-0.04
-0.13
-0.30
0.42
-0.51
-0.52
-0.33
-0.11
0.12
-0.08
-0.24
-0.55
0.19
-0.61
-0.59
-0.40
-0.21
0.12
-0.16
-0.40
-0.54
-0.03
-0.64
-0.61
-0.43
-0.35
0.10
-0.28
-0.41
-0.68
-0.08
-0.73
-0.60
-0.40
-0.33
-0.07
-0.26
-0.31
-0.84
-0.07
-0.78
-0.54
-0.38
-0.22
-0.07
-0.14
-0.24
-0.76
-0.12
-0.69
-0.46
-0.33
-0.18
-0.02
-0.11
-0.24
-0.49
-0.25
-0.51
-0.39
-0.25
-0.22
-0.05
-0.15
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Europe
143
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
0.20
2.23
0.57
1.49
1.53
0.79
0.72
1.82
-0.46
1.13
0.03
2.50
0.78
0.63
1.08
1.41
0.20
0.85
1.16
0.61
0.90
0.85
1.12
0.93
1.37
0.86
1.22
1.62
1.00
1.01
0.96
1.35
1.44
0.53
0.35
1.25
0.84
1.23
0.52
0.57
1.14
0.67
-0.08
1.16
0.61
0.57
0.21
0.60
1.05
0.00
0.40
1.24
1.27
-0.12
0.28
-0.43
0.59
-0.11
0.41
0.98
-0.20
-0.02
0.43
0.85
0.35
0.15
0.39
1.98
-0.63
0.11
1.49
0.37
0.48
0.14
0.15
0.72
-0.63
0.53
1.25
0.12
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
0.60
0.06
0.55
0.72
0.44
1.50
0.62
-0.35
1.26
1.26
1.07
0.64
0.65
1.34
0.89
2.44
0.97
0.73
1.35
1.92
0.43
0.34
0.22
0.81
0.11
1.94
0.83
1.41
0.97
0.60
0.13
-0.17
0.18
0.43
-0.14
1.98
0.56
1.19
0.71
-0.17
0.21
0.06
0.08
0.54
-0.07
1.05
0.16
1.50
0.51
0.48
0.44
0.25
0.17
0.51
0.40
1.06
0.80
0.41
0.60
0.67
0.58
0.81
0.37
0.41
0.65
1.40
1.34
0.84
0.70
1.00
0.25
0.09
0.21
0.41
0.09
1.42
1.32
0.88
0.56
0.42
0.40
0.54
0.46
0.74
0.08
0.97
0.97
1.05
0.55
0.67
0.25
0.39
0.81
0.57
-0.20
0.78
2.07
1.72
0.38
1.11
2.71
2.77
2.43
2.29
2.09
1.93
1.77
1.58
1.33
1.16
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
1.92
2.13
2.56
2.77
2.28
1.47
0.65
1.48
0.80
1.99
3.09
1.31
3.22
1.10
2.34
1.75
1.89
2.03
1.12
0.26
1.03
0.91
1.86
6.86
2.73
0.59
1.83
2.16
0.84
1.74
1.13
4.92
0.38
1.85
2.45
1.24
2.15
1.06
1.61
3.27
1.02
1.74
2.00
1.55
1.99
-0.43
1.80
-0.79
1.38
1.20
9.09
1.45
-0.19
8.38
1.75
0.71
1.15
0.53
2.18
0.58
1.33
1.25
5.83
1.60
0.90
0.28
2.67
-0.42
0.51
1.75
1.48
0.17
0.26
1.58
-0.27
1.05
1.11
6.62
1.34
3.01
5.84
1.47
0.20
0.30
-0.19
2.18
0.25
0.98
0.32
5.57
0.82
-0.30
0.87
2.39
-0.76
-0.11
2.02
1.16
-0.15
0.24
1.67
-0.49
1.44
1.00
6.31
1.41
2.79
2.75
1.43
-0.11
-1.34
0.95
2.16
0.44
3.80
1.42
3.56
0.53
0.32
-0.45
2.26
2.31
1.65
2.31
1.49
0.87
-1.02
1.11
-0.56
1.38
0.78
7.47
1.52
4.67
1.23
1.40
4.48
-1.20
-0.28
1.76
0.39
4.25
1.58
5.17
0.97
-0.50
-0.75
2.10
-0.74
1.70
2.14
0.58
1.06
-1.07
0.86
-0.57
1.78
0.57
8.11
0.85
3.90
-0.27
1.25
3.25
1.98
5.13
1.77
0.29
2.26
2.98
4.72
0.62
-0.38
0.12
1.93
0.81
0.92
1.95
0.80
0.56
-0.96
0.95
0.98
1.24
0.11
4.27
0.54
5.67
0.72
1.05
2.42
2.55
2.46
1.23
0.30
2.27
-0.97
5.49
0.37
-1.71
-0.48
1.65
0.27
1.08
1.80
0.95
0.83
-14.50
0.57
1.20
1.30
-0.04
-2.40
0.21
4.16
0.28
0.88
2.65
1.23
1.92
2.00
0.47
2.31
0.02
3.08
0.27
-0.41
0.25
1.51
0.26
0.85
1.53
0.76
0.61
-0.74
-0.19
1.52
1.05
0.16
3.53
0.45
6.75
-0.14
0.72
1.71
1.10
0.31
1.82
0.49
3.23
4.03
2.65
-0.02
2.63
0.18
1.39
0.33
0.65
1.33
0.44
0.23
0.72
-0.28
1.27
1.40
0.10
2.57
0.48
3.17
-0.26
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
2.94
2.95
3.12
2.01
2.80
2.87
3.02
3.04
2.67
3.13
2.84
3.42
3.13
2.69
3.22
3.18
3.01
2.99
2.96
1.74
2.38
2.50
2.69
2.88
3.05
3.07
2.79
2.61
1.57
2.70
1.93
2.45
3.14
2.62
3.00
2.53
2.12
2.69
2.78
1.42
2.47
3.06
2.03
2.64
2.30
2.06
2.57
2.63
1.32
2.31
2.92
2.01
2.18
2.15
2.10
1.97
2.44
1.46
2.32
2.63
2.06
2.38
2.06
1.76
2.84
2.44
0.72
2.31
2.18
1.70
1.81
2.05
1.41
2.62
1.90
0.38
2.47
2.02
1.28
1.34
1.94
1.39
2.53
1.56
0.47
2.46
1.99
1.25
1.30
1.77
Latin America and the Caribbean
144
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
0.30
0.05
0.04
0.60
-0.47
0.24
0.44
0.07
0.21
-0.07
-0.06
0.35
-0.55
0.13
0.25
-0.02
-0.04
-0.23
-0.16
0.19
-0.71
-0.08
0.06
-0.24
-0.24
-0.42
-0.24
0.07
-0.93
-0.14
0.05
-0.45
-0.28
-0.53
-0.41
-0.07
-1.09
-0.20
-0.11
-0.57
-0.32
-0.56
-0.57
-0.20
-1.19
-0.29
-0.36
-0.69
-0.41
-0.60
-0.61
-0.29
-1.29
-0.28
-0.40
-0.79
-0.49
-0.60
-0.58
-0.28
-1.23
-0.21
-0.29
-0.79
-0.50
-0.54
-0.52
-0.24
-1.01
-0.17
-0.20
-0.67
-0.47
-0.45
-0.52
-0.26
-0.73
-0.19
-0.23
-0.52
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
0.25
0.37
0.44
0.55
-0.11
0.73
1.35
0.79
0.27
1.02
0.19
0.37
0.32
0.48
-0.17
0.70
1.19
0.80
0.22
0.97
0.08
0.30
0.24
0.38
-0.33
0.59
0.93
0.98
0.10
0.89
-0.01
0.20
0.18
0.29
-0.43
0.36
0.60
0.90
-0.08
0.74
-0.08
0.16
0.13
0.22
-0.54
0.29
0.27
0.94
-0.19
0.70
-0.11
0.08
0.08
0.19
-0.59
0.25
0.15
0.86
-0.18
0.56
-0.07
0.08
0.11
0.18
-0.51
0.20
0.08
0.73
-0.10
0.41
-0.06
0.07
0.12
0.17
-0.47
0.13
0.00
0.55
-0.08
0.28
-0.08
0.02
0.08
0.12
-0.43
0.03
-0.07
0.33
-0.10
0.14
-0.10
-0.05
0.04
0.07
-0.40
-0.09
-0.12
0.12
-0.10
-0.01
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
1.11
0.98
0.73
0.49
0.27
0.08
-0.08
-0.19
-0.26
-0.28
0.70
1.19
1.02
0.45
1.45
0.50
1.13
2.44
1.54
-0.06
2.17
0.42
1.23
0.38
0.50
1.38
0.52
0.24
0.88
-0.16
1.12
0.83
0.01
1.97
0.28
2.05
0.10
0.61
0.88
0.98
0.32
1.11
0.47
0.95
1.43
0.98
-0.16
0.82
0.46
1.06
0.28
0.42
1.25
0.45
0.22
0.65
-0.01
0.97
0.71
0.02
1.56
0.03
1.47
-0.03
0.41
0.24
0.79
0.16
0.80
0.34
0.62
0.57
0.44
-0.32
0.32
0.25
0.77
-0.20
0.27
0.98
0.16
0.11
0.46
0.06
0.66
0.45
0.06
1.00
-0.38
0.84
-0.21
0.18
-0.10
0.51
-0.18
0.53
0.15
0.36
0.09
0.07
-0.63
0.03
-0.03
0.50
-0.52
0.03
0.74
-0.18
-0.13
0.25
-0.09
0.41
0.18
0.16
0.47
-0.54
0.41
-0.15
-0.06
-0.36
0.26
-0.40
0.38
0.07
0.13
-0.13
-0.20
-0.98
-0.14
-0.18
0.24
-0.86
-0.20
0.49
-0.47
-0.39
0.07
-0.24
0.18
-0.04
-0.06
0.07
-0.81
0.01
-0.01
-0.21
-0.49
0.10
-0.34
0.23
0.05
-0.04
-0.15
-0.30
-1.23
-0.25
-0.25
0.06
-0.51
-0.24
0.30
-0.61
-0.46
-0.06
-0.36
0.03
-0.22
-0.19
-0.10
-0.92
-0.23
0.01
-0.29
-0.55
0.05
-0.30
0.09
0.03
-0.06
-0.12
-0.19
-1.21
-0.22
-0.32
-0.09
-0.46
-0.19
0.11
-0.65
-0.36
-0.11
-0.47
-0.07
-0.35
-0.27
-0.16
-0.90
-0.29
0.13
-0.34
-0.55
-0.03
-0.37
-0.03
-0.01
-0.08
-0.12
-0.13
-1.09
-0.22
-0.40
-0.21
-0.47
-0.14
-0.02
-0.70
-0.28
-0.11
-0.53
-0.14
-0.45
-0.33
-0.26
-0.78
-0.30
0.17
-0.36
-0.49
-0.13
-0.41
-0.09
-0.01
-0.12
-0.14
-0.14
-1.02
-0.24
-0.42
-0.28
-0.35
-0.20
-0.10
-0.68
-0.34
-0.11
-0.55
-0.19
-0.50
-0.37
-0.33
-0.61
-0.34
0.10
-0.33
-0.47
-0.15
-0.37
-0.13
-0.03
-0.14
-0.31
-0.13
-0.79
-0.24
-0.32
-0.31
-0.26
-0.18
-0.14
-0.48
-0.30
-0.13
-0.50
-0.22
-0.48
-0.38
-0.37
-0.49
-0.39
0.02
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
1.37
2.38
1.37
0.66
2.50
2.00
1.21
1.44
1.62
1.22
2.11
1.14
0.58
2.35
1.84
1.04
1.27
1.49
0.95
1.67
0.75
0.34
2.02
1.49
0.78
0.98
1.20
0.67
1.31
0.43
0.08
1.72
1.17
0.48
0.68
0.90
0.43
0.99
0.15
-0.14
1.45
0.89
0.21
0.40
0.64
0.22
0.68
-0.07
-0.30
1.19
0.64
-0.01
0.18
0.42
0.05
0.43
-0.25
-0.44
0.93
0.41
-0.18
-0.03
0.24
-0.08
0.23
-0.41
-0.55
0.70
0.20
-0.28
-0.21
0.11
-0.18
0.07
-0.48
-0.56
0.50
0.05
-0.37
-0.32
0.00
-0.22
-0.05
-0.45
-0.40
0.33
-0.05
-0.40
-0.34
-0.12
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Latin America and the Caribbean
145
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
2.76
1.98
2.05
3.06
2.13
2.84
2.61
-0.53
2.27
3.46
2.56
2.55
3.02
1.16
4.03
2.72
1.56
2.24
2.96
2.47
2.96
2.88
-0.66
3.90
2.68
2.66
2.88
2.71
1.19
3.65
2.32
1.67
2.46
2.38
1.70
2.34
2.80
-0.76
3.19
0.76
2.43
2.78
-0.43
0.14
3.44
2.27
1.51
2.37
2.36
1.42
2.31
2.65
-0.65
3.49
0.74
2.63
2.67
0.07
0.59
3.39
2.16
1.52
2.36
2.25
1.60
2.21
2.50
0.00
5.10
-0.66
2.93
2.39
0.56
0.65
2.75
1.94
1.45
2.35
1.88
1.72
2.04
2.44
1.42
5.82
-0.72
2.75
2.18
1.57
0.64
2.61
1.70
1.31
2.34
1.57
1.77
1.87
2.23
4.04
3.43
0.09
2.44
1.90
1.38
0.72
2.25
1.56
1.15
2.13
1.50
1.36
1.74
2.04
3.33
3.44
0.44
2.16
1.65
1.37
0.59
1.99
1.35
0.92
1.93
1.29
1.11
1.58
1.89
0.52
4.05
0.44
1.97
1.28
1.36
0.03
1.82
1.12
0.87
1.65
0.95
0.97
1.46
1.70
0.40
2.70
0.65
1.80
1.08
0.99
0.28
1.66
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
1.69
1.74
2.71
2.33
0.66
1.60
1.43
1.77
1.90
3.90
0.70
1.38
0.95
0.95
1.53
1.47
1.50
0.89
0.97
0.65
1.16
0.24
0.39
0.96
1.00
0.61
1.06
1.17
0.36
0.99
1.05
0.68
1.36
0.89
0.56
1.02
1.05
0.53
1.15
0.07
0.07
1.04
1.17
0.46
0.94
0.13
-0.10
1.20
0.94
0.41
0.99
0.28
-0.43
0.93
0.94
0.25
1.13
-0.14
-0.30
0.92
Oceania
2.23
2.07
1.76
1.33
1.59
1.62
1.49
1.44
1.48
1.73
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
2.36
2.38
2.26
2.00
1.99
2.05
1.53
1.48
1.79
1.01
1.14
0.41
1.30
1.42
0.76
1.45
1.59
0.78
1.23
1.17
1.57
1.17
1.22
0.97
1.29
1.27
1.38
1.65
1.76
1.10
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
1.59
2.95
0.88
1.28
2.56
2.82
2.22
3.30
3.11
1.88
2.99
3.08
2.83
2.05
3.99
2.87
3.76
3.13
2.61
1.94
2.02
2.70
3.52
2.93
2.61
2.27
1.63
2.69
3.21
2.35
2.18
0.46
1.81
2.45
2.82
2.40
2.37
1.26
2.31
2.52
2.83
2.75
2.40
0.91
2.08
2.63
2.76
1.91
2.23
0.27
1.71
2.50
2.59
2.47
2.18
0.91
1.49
2.36
2.30
2.42
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
1.95
0.98
2.07
1.34
3.38
4.08
2.74
2.09
2.74
2.29
2.78
3.29
3.19
5.16
2.05
2.24
1.93
2.14
1.97
4.53
0.55
1.70
2.86
1.35
2.40
2.19
2.38
3.57
2.89
1.15
2.25
-0.14
3.44
2.26
2.62
4.52
3.21
1.75
11.53
2.32
3.05
2.25
2.67
4.20
2.34
2.27
7.42
1.93
2.37
2.19
1.45
1.51
2.20
1.70
5.37
2.68
1.25
1.30
1.61
0.44
-0.02
0.14
3.48
2.11
0.25
0.39
1.77
-0.04
-0.23
0.14
-1.22
0.75
-0.16
0.13
1.55
0.14
-0.49
-0.18
-3.57
0.56
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
2.49
0.80
1.65
2.66
0.10
2.75
0.50
3.17
1.48
2.15
3.15
3.23
0.76
3.59
1.07
3.13
0.54
3.77
2.21
1.49
1.57
1.85
-1.01
3.35
-5.12
1.12
-0.55
0.92
1.04
0.62
1.38
1.62
-2.88
2.99
-3.10
0.54
-0.27
1.03
0.93
4.17
1.55
3.80
0.11
2.88
-4.51
0.57
1.96
0.20
1.43
3.73
1.32
3.62
-0.12
2.48
-3.04
0.35
-1.25
0.26
0.81
0.51
1.12
2.34
0.77
1.63
-1.47
0.88
-1.14
0.16
0.49
0.38
1.11
1.69
-0.53
1.95
-2.63
0.52
0.42
0.42
0.41
0.49
0.91
0.55
1.69
1.43
-2.39
0.60
-4.98
0.60
0.58
-0.35
0.58
-1.21
0.89
1.01
-2.77
0.67
-1.28
0.61
0.27
-0.98
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
146
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
1.04
0.86
1.64
0.85
0.88
1.29
1.57
0.27
2.48
0.54
1.70
1.26
0.88
0.34
1.49
0.92
0.78
1.55
0.72
0.79
1.12
1.42
0.13
2.33
0.43
1.57
1.19
0.75
0.30
1.31
0.67
0.62
1.31
0.48
0.54
0.81
1.14
-0.09
2.00
0.28
1.25
0.92
0.52
0.26
0.99
0.44
0.47
1.04
0.24
0.30
0.53
0.87
-0.17
1.62
-0.13
0.97
0.65
0.20
0.12
0.71
0.22
0.31
0.80
0.02
0.10
0.30
0.61
-0.17
1.35
-0.52
0.74
0.40
-0.05
-0.02
0.48
0.04
0.15
0.59
-0.16
-0.08
0.12
0.39
-0.25
0.95
-0.62
0.53
0.19
-0.02
-0.11
0.27
-0.11
0.01
0.40
-0.32
-0.17
-0.03
0.20
-0.17
0.72
-0.66
0.33
0.00
-0.13
-0.19
0.10
-0.23
-0.09
0.24
-0.43
-0.25
-0.15
0.05
-0.14
0.54
-0.71
0.18
-0.14
-0.22
-0.24
-0.06
-0.29
-0.13
0.13
-0.46
-0.31
-0.23
-0.08
-0.14
0.37
-0.62
0.06
-0.24
-0.27
-0.27
-0.16
-0.31
-0.16
0.06
-0.45
-0.27
-0.28
-0.17
-0.11
0.24
-0.30
-0.04
-0.29
-0.29
-0.24
-0.23
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
0.83
0.19
1.00
0.26
0.01
0.81
0.79
0.16
0.95
-0.12
-0.01
0.78
0.68
0.03
0.72
-0.51
0.00
0.67
0.52
-0.16
0.55
-0.43
0.00
0.51
0.45
-0.20
0.49
-0.60
-0.01
0.44
0.40
-0.07
0.39
-0.34
-0.02
0.41
0.35
0.01
0.31
-0.43
0.00
0.35
0.26
0.02
0.22
-0.48
-0.01
0.27
0.19
0.05
0.13
-0.36
0.00
0.19
0.11
0.08
0.02
-0.16
0.14
0.12
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
1.42
1.33
1.12
0.95
0.82
0.65
0.50
0.37
0.23
0.10
1.26
1.31
1.02
1.18
1.23
0.93
0.98
1.02
0.73
0.83
0.89
0.54
0.76
0.81
0.43
0.59
0.64
0.30
0.47
0.51
0.22
0.35
0.39
0.12
0.22
0.25
0.01
0.09
0.11
-0.08
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
1.98
0.73
1.32
2.13
2.09
2.21
1.82
0.52
1.22
1.97
1.90
2.06
1.56
0.18
1.03
1.69
1.69
1.80
1.29
-0.06
0.82
1.39
1.47
1.54
1.03
-0.29
0.65
1.12
1.19
1.27
0.81
-0.36
0.46
0.87
0.99
1.03
0.61
-0.37
0.30
0.65
0.82
0.80
0.42
-0.32
0.15
0.44
0.65
0.59
0.26
-0.25
0.01
0.27
0.48
0.41
0.14
-0.17
-0.09
0.14
0.36
0.26
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
0.86
1.27
1.54
0.21
0.16
0.19
0.44
0.79
1.06
1.19
1.53
0.73
0.98
0.62
0.31
1.06
0.89
0.97
1.30
0.62
0.90
0.38
0.06
0.96
0.60
0.67
0.91
0.95
0.42
0.17
-0.33
0.64
0.36
0.47
0.75
0.31
0.21
-0.02
-0.82
0.45
0.25
0.32
0.63
0.28
0.18
-0.11
-1.15
0.35
0.15
0.22
0.40
0.64
-0.13
-0.16
-1.10
0.16
0.05
0.11
0.24
0.43
-0.26
-0.15
-0.86
-0.03
-0.02
-0.03
0.16
0.19
-0.13
-0.16
-0.91
-0.07
-0.05
-0.11
0.08
0.23
-0.05
-0.14
-0.84
-0.13
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
0.72
-0.04
0.53
1.07
-2.85
0.76
1.93
0.43
0.18
-0.62
0.77
0.68
0.48
0.94
-2.05
0.63
1.67
0.86
0.36
-0.10
0.63
0.54
0.44
0.63
0.17
0.57
0.51
0.89
0.61
0.13
0.52
0.12
0.43
0.33
0.18
0.77
-0.15
0.83
0.24
0.01
0.28
-0.14
0.29
0.14
0.07
0.48
-0.30
0.50
0.88
-0.06
0.43
-0.15
0.06
-0.04
0.04
0.95
-0.19
0.93
1.05
-0.09
0.44
-0.21
-0.11
-0.17
0.09
1.04
-0.10
0.99
0.84
-0.18
0.34
-0.23
-0.21
-0.26
-0.04
0.88
-0.12
0.75
0.64
-0.18
0.23
-0.24
-0.33
-0.30
-0.16
0.66
-0.28
0.56
0.50
-0.29
0.18
-0.11
-0.34
-0.28
-0.20
0.51
-0.33
0.46
0.22
-0.34
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
Oceania
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
147
Table A.13. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
148
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.33
1.31
1.12
1.02
0.97
0.90
0.86
0.85
0.83
0.78
0.46
1.52
2.45
1.35
0.49
1.48
2.46
1.29
0.39
1.25
2.27
1.04
0.36
1.13
2.10
0.90
0.47
1.05
1.94
0.81
0.49
0.96
1.75
0.72
0.52
0.91
1.58
0.69
0.61
0.88
1.42
0.69
0.66
0.85
1.27
0.69
0.63
0.80
1.15
0.66
1.75
1.71
1.50
1.36
1.26
1.13
1.04
0.98
0.92
0.85
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.81
2.77
2.60
2.46
2.28
2.05
1.85
1.64
1.45
1.28
Africa
2.63
2.60
2.41
2.28
2.13
1.92
1.74
1.56
1.38
1.23
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
3.00
3.31
2.56
1.70
3.37
2.71
2.84
2.96
3.00
0.56
2.88
2.63
1.34
2.91
0.74
3.01
4.17
3.48
3.18
3.37
3.00
2.91
3.25
2.44
1.67
2.99
2.65
2.73
3.00
3.02
0.57
2.67
2.62
1.27
2.81
0.70
3.05
2.86
3.42
3.12
3.47
2.88
2.65
2.77
2.31
1.28
2.53
2.30
2.49
2.80
2.88
0.40
2.53
2.69
1.06
2.49
0.54
2.94
2.37
3.15
2.97
3.32
1.91
2.46
2.80
2.18
1.16
2.34
1.96
2.34
2.57
2.69
0.21
2.16
2.56
0.89
2.20
0.54
2.72
2.16
2.89
2.86
3.21
1.73
2.25
2.64
1.97
1.07
2.04
1.68
2.14
2.40
2.50
0.18
1.79
2.40
0.77
1.94
0.48
2.52
2.02
2.60
2.64
3.06
1.61
2.01
2.29
1.83
0.83
1.71
1.41
1.89
2.15
2.27
0.22
1.53
2.16
0.69
1.62
0.38
2.25
1.78
2.28
2.38
2.82
1.31
1.80
2.13
1.68
0.77
1.50
1.17
1.69
1.94
2.06
0.25
1.32
1.91
0.67
1.37
0.46
2.01
1.56
2.01
2.16
2.65
1.12
1.60
1.89
1.52
0.73
1.30
0.95
1.49
1.74
1.86
0.31
1.16
1.68
0.65
1.16
0.52
1.78
1.37
1.75
1.94
2.45
0.97
1.42
1.65
1.36
0.66
1.11
0.79
1.29
1.55
1.67
0.39
1.00
1.47
0.63
0.97
0.56
1.55
1.18
1.52
1.72
2.26
0.85
1.27
1.46
1.22
0.63
0.96
0.67
1.13
1.38
1.49
0.46
0.84
1.27
0.62
0.83
0.61
1.35
1.03
1.32
1.53
2.08
0.78
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
2.89
3.25
2.69
2.15
3.13
2.71
2.86
2.92
2.53
2.77
2.87
3.20
2.67
2.17
3.13
2.64
2.84
2.80
2.46
2.54
2.67
2.92
2.48
2.02
3.01
2.73
2.62
2.42
2.20
2.27
2.45
2.64
2.32
1.89
2.75
2.65
2.40
2.17
2.05
2.14
2.24
2.37
2.13
1.77
2.50
2.46
2.19
1.99
1.87
1.83
1.98
2.09
1.91
1.54
2.20
2.25
1.93
1.72
1.62
1.62
1.75
1.84
1.70
1.35
1.93
2.06
1.71
1.48
1.45
1.45
1.54
1.60
1.50
1.19
1.68
1.85
1.50
1.27
1.28
1.27
1.33
1.38
1.31
1.05
1.44
1.66
1.29
1.08
1.12
1.13
1.16
1.20
1.15
0.92
1.25
1.47
1.13
0.91
0.98
1.00
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
1.87
2.04
1.83
1.10
1.61
2.27
1.31
3.40
1.83
1.81
1.74
1.68
1.42
2.57
1.26
3.04
1.47
1.16
1.43
1.17
1.06
2.34
0.83
1.22
1.30
0.93
1.31
0.95
0.85
2.07
0.58
0.85
1.21
0.93
1.17
0.83
0.78
1.88
0.60
0.69
1.03
0.68
1.00
0.57
0.66
1.66
0.42
0.52
0.91
0.54
0.90
0.41
0.58
1.46
0.26
0.43
0.87
0.65
0.81
0.43
0.61
1.29
0.38
0.49
0.81
0.64
0.74
0.41
0.62
1.14
0.47
0.51
0.72
0.52
0.68
0.34
0.57
1.01
0.43
0.44
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
1.05
1.07
1.28
2.06
0.98
1.69
1.00
1.23
1.29
2.04
0.92
1.55
0.93
1.27
1.17
1.78
0.86
1.34
0.98
1.28
1.22
1.45
0.92
1.37
0.98
1.29
1.29
1.33
0.92
1.37
0.86
1.08
1.07
1.13
0.81
1.19
0.79
0.89
0.95
0.93
0.76
1.06
0.73
0.77
0.87
0.82
0.70
0.93
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.72
0.65
0.84
0.62
0.59
0.76
0.63
0.61
0.78
Western Africa
2.89
2.88
2.75
2.64
2.46
2.23
2.01
1.79
1.57
1.37
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
149
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
2.85
3.00
1.04
2.47
3.34
2.30
2.70
2.54
2.74
3.15
2.61
3.99
2.92
-0.38
3.06
2.04
2.74
2.76
2.96
1.21
2.44
3.30
2.21
2.64
2.51
2.67
3.38
2.53
4.09
2.92
1.05
2.93
1.98
2.62
2.47
2.76
1.12
2.29
3.02
1.92
2.38
2.30
2.52
3.29
2.28
4.04
2.82
0.82
2.63
1.78
2.36
2.17
2.54
0.95
2.21
2.72
1.71
2.12
2.12
2.32
3.11
2.07
3.83
2.73
0.50
2.44
1.61
2.25
1.93
2.31
0.83
2.13
2.39
1.51
1.90
1.94
2.11
2.83
1.89
3.53
2.55
0.47
2.22
1.47
2.09
1.68
2.07
0.62
1.96
2.04
1.28
1.64
1.74
1.91
2.51
1.69
3.15
2.31
0.41
1.97
1.34
1.87
1.45
1.85
0.48
1.81
1.75
1.12
1.42
1.56
1.70
2.23
1.52
2.77
2.08
0.34
1.77
1.22
1.71
1.25
1.64
0.40
1.64
1.49
0.98
1.22
1.41
1.50
1.95
1.37
2.42
1.85
0.42
1.59
1.11
1.53
1.06
1.43
0.40
1.46
1.24
0.84
1.04
1.25
1.31
1.68
1.20
2.10
1.61
0.46
1.39
1.00
1.35
0.91
1.25
0.47
1.28
1.04
0.74
0.89
1.11
1.15
1.45
1.06
1.81
1.40
0.50
1.23
0.91
1.19
1.22
1.16
0.87
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.46
0.47
0.51
0.50
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
0.74
0.80
0.94
2.00
0.70
0.06
1.71
0.71
0.43
0.66
0.71
0.92
1.71
0.76
-0.01
1.58
0.67
0.40
0.30
0.33
0.62
1.28
0.62
-0.18
1.00
0.50
0.20
0.16
0.19
0.33
0.92
0.44
-0.25
0.95
0.21
-0.10
0.08
0.09
0.40
0.91
0.52
-0.10
0.93
0.13
-0.22
0.05
0.04
0.28
0.75
0.48
-0.01
0.69
0.09
-0.23
0.12
0.13
0.17
0.57
0.50
-0.01
0.74
0.05
-0.23
0.25
0.25
0.27
0.52
0.59
0.19
0.83
0.16
-0.10
0.41
0.42
0.37
0.54
0.56
0.37
0.77
0.33
0.14
0.44
0.45
0.33
0.52
0.56
0.42
0.76
0.39
0.29
South-Central Asia (7)
1.49
1.44
1.17
0.96
0.82
0.67
0.57
0.53
0.51
0.50
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1.61
1.24
1.56
2.62
1.48
1.56
1.56
1.16
1.83
2.46
1.44
1.49
1.10
0.80
1.23
1.85
1.01
1.01
0.99
0.85
1.16
1.83
0.76
0.78
0.93
0.86
1.18
1.71
0.69
0.66
0.72
0.70
0.88
1.41
0.50
0.44
0.71
0.75
0.88
1.37
0.42
0.39
0.72
0.78
0.91
1.25
0.46
0.41
0.67
0.71
0.80
1.09
0.45
0.42
0.67
0.68
0.77
1.02
0.46
0.46
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
1.48
2.54
1.41
1.80
1.42
1.54
2.12
1.37
1.84
0.99
1.44
2.41
1.43
1.46
1.36
1.46
1.92
1.40
1.83
0.93
1.18
2.22
1.15
1.12
1.11
1.03
1.35
1.23
1.52
0.64
0.96
1.79
0.93
0.87
0.91
0.90
1.12
1.00
1.21
0.54
0.81
1.39
0.76
0.73
0.78
0.79
1.01
0.82
0.99
0.49
0.67
1.11
0.63
0.56
0.65
0.59
0.73
0.72
0.77
0.43
0.57
0.84
0.53
0.42
0.57
0.46
0.55
0.60
0.59
0.45
0.52
0.60
0.47
0.38
0.53
0.46
0.44
0.49
0.50
0.53
0.50
0.46
0.46
0.40
0.51
0.56
0.39
0.43
0.45
0.56
0.49
0.39
0.48
0.42
0.50
0.60
0.43
0.44
0.42
0.55
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
1.36
1.54
1.89
1.40
2.06
1.83
1.05
1.90
2.20
0.48
1.80
1.31
1.43
1.84
1.32
2.04
1.72
1.02
1.91
1.77
0.40
2.08
1.07
1.19
1.40
1.12
1.63
1.38
0.69
1.71
1.06
0.20
2.15
0.86
0.88
1.23
0.91
1.39
1.03
0.41
1.47
0.66
0.00
1.83
0.75
0.65
1.13
0.75
1.19
0.97
0.35
1.34
0.58
-0.14
1.81
0.64
0.52
0.87
0.67
0.98
0.82
0.25
1.17
0.47
-0.20
1.72
0.59
0.50
0.76
0.65
0.81
0.61
0.20
1.02
0.28
-0.14
1.50
0.59
0.52
0.67
0.65
0.68
0.56
0.32
0.93
0.19
0.01
1.39
0.58
0.49
0.58
0.62
0.61
0.56
0.39
0.84
0.17
0.15
1.24
0.57
0.48
0.58
0.59
0.56
0.52
0.38
0.77
0.06
0.26
1.11
Asia
150
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Viet Nam .............................................
1.13
1.09
0.73
0.53
0.41
0.23
0.18
0.22
0.29
0.39
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
2.06
0.37
1.32
1.83
1.27
-0.21
3.06
1.47
3.69
3.79
3.28
8.04
6.00
2.02
2.68
0.86
1.42
2.71
2.46
1.88
0.28
1.15
1.94
1.20
-0.22
2.84
1.68
1.30
2.54
-0.32
1.88
1.71
1.82
2.71
3.17
1.21
2.25
2.41
1.47
0.15
0.61
1.13
0.92
-0.34
2.38
1.46
1.65
1.98
0.79
0.87
0.86
1.04
2.40
1.75
1.04
1.62
1.97
1.27
0.13
0.50
0.92
0.56
-0.10
2.07
1.40
1.47
1.71
0.51
0.37
0.71
0.96
2.02
1.44
0.84
1.53
1.55
1.12
0.07
0.36
0.71
0.44
0.11
1.84
1.29
1.24
1.52
0.49
0.52
0.42
0.89
1.78
1.23
0.72
1.14
1.26
0.90
0.01
0.26
0.43
0.34
0.21
1.61
1.13
0.98
1.21
0.29
0.31
-0.14
0.55
1.57
1.02
0.56
0.62
0.94
0.74
0.08
0.31
0.19
0.25
0.37
1.39
1.04
0.85
1.00
0.16
-0.08
-0.52
0.36
1.33
0.82
0.47
0.22
0.67
0.68
0.16
0.34
0.08
0.32
0.47
1.22
0.98
0.78
0.93
0.15
-0.27
-0.56
0.37
1.14
0.69
0.47
0.10
0.52
0.64
0.30
0.45
0.20
0.41
0.55
1.07
0.89
0.69
0.84
0.19
0.19
-0.13
0.36
1.00
0.62
0.48
0.29
0.42
0.60
0.44
0.48
0.30
0.42
0.57
0.94
0.81
0.58
0.72
0.35
0.62
0.21
0.34
0.87
0.56
0.48
0.27
0.35
0.25
0.27
0.15
0.16
0.28
0.29
0.36
0.51
0.58
0.57
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
-0.06
-0.31
-0.61
0.59
-0.03
0.20
-0.57
-0.08
-0.02
0.28
-0.43
-0.04
-0.23
-0.58
0.52
0.04
0.25
-0.36
-0.06
-0.02
0.32
-0.40
-0.21
-0.36
-0.71
0.31
-0.01
0.03
-0.57
-0.24
-0.21
0.08
-0.55
-0.14
-0.30
-0.62
0.38
0.00
-0.17
-0.55
-0.24
-0.05
-0.07
-0.42
0.04
-0.10
-0.39
0.58
0.24
0.02
-0.42
-0.14
0.11
0.09
-0.19
0.08
-0.06
-0.34
0.46
0.23
0.05
-0.19
-0.18
0.18
0.06
-0.17
0.22
0.14
-0.08
0.49
0.22
-0.05
0.00
-0.07
0.38
0.01
0.05
0.42
0.38
0.27
0.66
0.42
0.18
0.21
0.19
0.52
0.25
0.34
0.53
0.45
0.45
0.68
0.49
0.42
0.36
0.36
0.61
0.43
0.42
0.55
0.48
0.54
0.66
0.44
0.41
0.46
0.42
0.62
0.40
0.46
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
0.70
0.66
0.54
-0.12
0.09
0.49
1.31
1.32
0.86
-0.40
-0.27
1.16
0.81
0.72
0.77
0.69
0.63
-0.05
0.51
0.53
1.27
1.24
0.84
-0.31
-0.10
1.24
0.93
0.78
0.67
0.61
0.67
-0.14
0.60
0.42
0.99
0.94
0.71
-0.31
-0.15
1.01
0.86
0.69
0.61
0.47
0.59
-0.05
0.49
0.32
0.74
0.90
0.59
-0.20
-0.17
0.87
0.81
0.63
0.72
0.48
0.70
0.17
0.37
0.51
0.67
0.90
0.61
0.16
0.14
0.94
1.00
0.71
0.70
0.45
0.77
0.18
0.53
0.57
0.60
0.75
0.58
0.21
0.16
0.90
0.96
0.68
0.68
0.42
0.76
0.24
0.64
0.58
0.55
0.69
0.55
0.27
0.15
0.84
0.90
0.65
0.72
0.45
0.78
0.46
0.62
0.65
0.59
0.76
0.58
0.54
0.41
0.85
0.93
0.69
0.72
0.43
0.77
0.55
0.63
0.66
0.60
0.78
0.59
0.62
0.54
0.80
0.88
0.69
0.66
0.36
0.71
0.54
0.64
0.62
0.58
0.70
0.59
0.55
0.47
0.72
0.81
0.64
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
0.35
0.47
0.94
0.04
-0.23
0.22
0.19
0.15
0.36
0.29
0.57
0.88
0.12
-0.10
0.24
0.14
0.22
0.30
0.18
0.50
0.84
0.05
-0.15
0.10
0.14
0.32
0.21
0.17
0.02
0.70
-0.16
-0.16
0.02
0.19
0.35
0.21
0.21
-0.04
0.57
-0.05
-0.06
0.10
0.24
0.43
0.27
0.13
0.11
0.44
0.01
0.01
0.16
0.18
0.39
0.23
0.19
0.00
0.44
0.00
0.11
0.27
0.25
0.25
0.29
0.38
0.00
0.51
0.13
0.28
0.38
0.45
0.25
0.48
0.48
0.22
0.52
0.26
0.39
0.47
0.52
0.26
0.56
0.49
0.37
0.44
0.38
0.46
0.56
0.50
0.27
0.54
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
151
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
0.47
0.22
0.20
0.76
-0.29
0.41
0.61
0.25
0.46
0.20
0.18
0.59
-0.28
0.37
0.48
0.26
0.24
0.08
0.11
0.44
-0.39
0.17
0.30
0.06
0.10
-0.05
0.06
0.35
-0.53
0.18
0.34
-0.08
0.21
0.03
0.04
0.36
-0.47
0.27
0.32
-0.02
0.22
0.09
-0.02
0.30
-0.44
0.23
0.14
-0.05
0.22
0.12
0.01
0.27
-0.37
0.31
0.18
-0.03
0.27
0.25
0.15
0.38
-0.12
0.48
0.39
0.13
0.32
0.35
0.28
0.47
0.12
0.54
0.49
0.27
0.38
0.39
0.30
0.47
0.30
0.53
0.49
0.38
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
0.40
0.53
0.59
0.70
0.04
0.88
1.51
0.91
0.42
1.18
0.43
0.61
0.56
0.72
0.07
0.94
1.44
1.00
0.45
1.23
0.35
0.57
0.50
0.65
-0.06
0.87
1.21
1.25
0.38
1.16
0.29
0.48
0.48
0.60
-0.14
0.64
0.89
1.16
0.22
1.00
0.37
0.59
0.58
0.67
-0.06
0.70
0.70
1.27
0.26
1.07
0.41
0.57
0.58
0.68
-0.02
0.73
0.65
1.26
0.37
0.99
0.47
0.58
0.64
0.71
0.09
0.69
0.60
1.12
0.46
0.84
0.57
0.65
0.73
0.78
0.25
0.69
0.62
0.99
0.54
0.78
0.61
0.66
0.73
0.77
0.35
0.66
0.61
0.86
0.59
0.73
0.59
0.60
0.70
0.74
0.36
0.57
0.58
0.70
0.59
0.61
1.30
1.27
1.06
0.89
0.77
0.65
0.59
0.56
0.56
0.57
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
0.88
1.38
1.21
0.60
1.64
0.67
1.30
2.57
1.71
0.11
2.32
0.61
1.43
0.60
0.66
1.57
0.71
0.39
1.05
0.02
1.32
1.03
0.21
2.12
0.47
2.24
0.25
0.89
1.16
1.27
0.55
1.40
0.73
1.21
1.63
1.23
0.09
1.05
0.77
1.36
0.62
0.66
1.54
0.75
0.45
0.88
0.27
1.27
1.01
0.33
1.80
0.31
1.73
0.19
0.74
0.56
1.11
0.48
1.10
0.63
0.89
0.81
0.72
-0.03
0.57
0.57
1.11
0.15
0.56
1.31
0.52
0.39
0.75
0.37
0.98
0.78
0.41
1.26
-0.08
1.14
0.06
0.59
0.32
0.88
0.18
0.86
0.51
0.67
0.38
0.43
-0.25
0.36
0.34
0.93
-0.05
0.35
1.13
0.30
0.20
0.65
0.31
0.79
0.59
0.59
0.77
-0.09
0.79
0.22
0.49
0.20
0.77
0.12
0.82
0.54
0.58
0.32
0.29
-0.41
0.33
0.38
0.79
-0.14
0.29
0.99
0.19
0.08
0.57
0.30
0.70
0.49
0.51
0.50
-0.17
0.52
0.49
0.42
0.17
0.67
0.28
0.73
0.60
0.49
0.36
0.30
-0.50
0.29
0.35
0.67
0.21
0.32
0.86
0.15
0.12
0.55
0.25
0.60
0.40
0.45
0.41
-0.16
0.38
0.55
0.44
0.23
0.68
0.36
0.63
0.63
0.50
0.45
0.46
-0.31
0.40
0.37
0.62
0.36
0.42
0.74
0.25
0.28
0.58
0.27
0.57
0.37
0.47
0.41
0.04
0.42
0.72
0.47
0.33
0.69
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.57
0.54
0.57
-0.05
0.50
0.43
0.58
0.45
0.55
0.69
0.32
0.42
0.64
0.31
0.60
0.38
0.50
0.42
0.22
0.49
0.81
0.50
0.42
0.64
0.43
0.60
0.71
0.58
0.56
0.62
0.12
0.52
0.44
0.57
0.54
0.55
0.65
0.41
0.45
0.69
0.37
0.58
0.41
0.51
0.42
0.40
0.51
0.76
0.54
0.46
0.65
0.47
0.57
0.70
0.57
0.47
0.63
0.33
0.56
0.54
0.58
0.59
0.59
0.62
0.56
0.51
0.70
0.45
0.57
0.46
0.53
0.43
0.50
0.51
0.73
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
1.57
2.58
1.57
0.88
2.69
2.20
1.41
1.65
1.80
1.52
2.41
1.44
0.92
2.63
2.14
1.35
1.59
1.76
1.29
1.99
1.06
0.73
2.33
1.81
1.11
1.33
1.51
1.07
1.68
0.80
0.57
2.08
1.55
0.88
1.11
1.28
0.93
1.45
0.64
0.48
1.88
1.35
0.73
0.92
1.11
0.78
1.17
0.49
0.41
1.65
1.15
0.58
0.76
0.95
0.69
0.99
0.42
0.38
1.44
0.98
0.50
0.64
0.84
0.65
0.87
0.38
0.39
1.26
0.84
0.49
0.56
0.78
0.62
0.78
0.40
0.44
1.11
0.75
0.48
0.53
0.73
0.62
0.72
0.47
0.56
0.99
0.70
0.51
0.55
0.68
Latin America and the Caribbean
152
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.23
1.05
1.82
1.05
1.07
1.48
1.76
0.41
2.66
0.73
1.89
1.45
1.06
0.51
1.69
1.21
1.06
1.83
1.01
1.07
1.41
1.70
0.36
2.60
0.73
1.86
1.49
1.04
0.57
1.60
1.00
0.94
1.62
0.81
0.85
1.14
1.46
0.19
2.28
0.66
1.57
1.24
0.86
0.57
1.31
0.83
0.85
1.42
0.65
0.67
0.94
1.25
0.19
1.93
0.36
1.35
1.02
0.59
0.51
1.12
0.73
0.81
1.28
0.54
0.59
0.80
1.08
0.32
1.76
0.15
1.22
0.88
0.49
0.51
0.97
0.62
0.71
1.13
0.44
0.49
0.69
0.91
0.33
1.41
0.19
1.06
0.73
0.57
0.49
0.83
0.55
0.65
1.00
0.39
0.48
0.63
0.80
0.47
1.22
0.26
0.93
0.62
0.54
0.50
0.73
0.53
0.64
0.91
0.39
0.50
0.59
0.72
0.59
1.12
0.33
0.84
0.56
0.54
0.54
0.66
0.54
0.65
0.83
0.43
0.52
0.58
0.67
0.65
0.99
0.44
0.77
0.54
0.54
0.57
0.63
0.55
0.65
0.78
0.48
0.58
0.57
0.63
0.67
0.90
0.62
0.71
0.53
0.54
0.61
0.60
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
0.99
0.34
1.16
0.43
0.18
0.97
1.04
0.39
1.19
0.16
0.26
1.02
0.95
0.31
0.98
-0.18
0.33
0.95
0.80
0.17
0.82
0.01
0.34
0.80
0.86
0.30
0.89
0.03
0.48
0.86
0.88
0.50
0.84
0.32
0.55
0.88
0.83
0.59
0.78
0.38
0.59
0.83
0.81
0.69
0.77
0.44
0.64
0.82
0.80
0.77
0.73
0.57
0.68
0.81
0.74
0.76
0.65
0.72
0.75
0.75
Oceania
1.59
1.58
1.40
1.25
1.23
1.09
0.98
0.91
0.82
0.73
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
1.43
1.48
1.18
1.43
1.48
1.18
1.24
1.29
1.01
1.11
1.16
0.84
1.15
1.20
0.85
1.02
1.06
0.77
0.91
0.95
0.71
0.88
0.90
0.70
0.80
0.82
0.65
0.70
0.72
0.59
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
2.15
0.92
1.49
2.31
2.27
2.39
2.08
0.80
1.49
2.23
2.15
2.33
1.86
0.52
1.32
1.98
1.98
2.09
1.64
0.39
1.14
1.74
1.82
1.87
1.46
0.30
1.05
1.54
1.63
1.68
1.30
0.33
0.92
1.35
1.48
1.49
1.15
0.40
0.80
1.18
1.35
1.30
1.01
0.50
0.72
1.03
1.21
1.15
0.89
0.58
0.65
0.89
1.08
1.01
0.79
0.61
0.58
0.79
0.98
0.90
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
1.03
1.44
1.72
0.37
0.33
0.37
0.64
0.96
1.33
1.46
1.81
0.94
1.26
0.89
0.57
1.34
1.20
1.27
1.61
0.90
1.24
0.68
0.36
1.28
0.95
1.04
1.22
1.33
0.76
0.50
0.02
0.94
0.84
0.95
1.21
0.78
0.73
0.46
-0.32
0.85
0.80
0.85
1.13
0.82
0.79
0.44
-0.47
0.82
0.74
0.82
0.90
1.21
0.51
0.45
-0.29
0.68
0.71
0.78
0.84
1.01
0.50
0.54
0.02
0.56
0.70
0.71
0.82
0.82
0.65
0.58
0.09
0.58
0.67
0.69
0.72
0.90
0.63
0.60
0.18
0.54
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
0.89
0.13
0.72
1.26
-2.65
0.91
2.03
0.60
0.33
-0.45
1.03
0.94
0.78
1.22
-1.77
0.86
1.91
1.10
0.63
0.16
0.94
0.87
0.76
0.94
0.45
0.87
0.89
1.19
0.98
0.45
0.87
0.53
0.79
0.69
0.61
1.12
0.19
1.17
0.65
0.38
0.78
0.49
0.79
0.62
0.59
0.96
0.26
0.98
1.39
0.46
0.96
0.54
0.59
0.52
0.59
1.42
0.47
1.41
1.57
0.48
0.98
0.56
0.51
0.45
0.66
1.50
0.53
1.46
1.33
0.45
0.94
0.65
0.51
0.46
0.66
1.36
0.61
1.26
1.22
0.54
0.86
0.66
0.45
0.49
0.57
1.18
0.55
1.11
1.10
0.49
0.82
0.73
0.48
0.52
0.54
1.05
0.50
1.03
0.86
0.47
a
b
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
153
Table A.14. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
154
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
0.96
0.76
0.51
0.29
0.04
-0.16
-0.33
-0.49
-0.61
-0.70
0.13
1.14
2.11
0.97
-0.01
0.92
1.93
0.73
-0.18
0.64
1.68
0.42
-0.30
0.40
1.42
0.15
-0.46
0.12
1.11
-0.15
-0.58
-0.09
0.85
-0.39
-0.65
-0.28
0.58
-0.58
-0.74
-0.46
0.31
-0.76
-0.82
-0.58
0.07
-0.87
-0.91
-0.68
-0.13
-0.94
1.37
1.15
0.88
0.63
0.35
0.12
-0.10
-0.30
-0.47
-0.59
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.49
2.29
2.06
1.82
1.49
1.20
0.90
0.60
0.32
0.07
Africa
2.30
2.10
1.86
1.63
1.33
1.05
0.77
0.49
0.24
0.00
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
2.67
3.01
2.23
1.33
3.03
2.39
2.49
2.62
2.69
0.18
2.53
2.31
0.98
2.57
0.36
2.73
3.87
3.17
2.85
3.05
2.61
2.41
2.80
1.96
1.10
2.48
2.13
2.21
2.48
2.55
-0.02
2.14
2.14
0.73
2.29
0.15
2.63
2.38
2.95
2.63
3.01
2.27
2.08
2.31
1.76
0.66
1.96
1.68
1.90
2.21
2.34
-0.29
1.88
2.11
0.43
1.90
-0.10
2.46
1.81
2.63
2.42
2.83
1.23
1.78
2.22
1.51
0.40
1.66
1.28
1.61
1.86
2.03
-0.61
1.45
1.87
0.17
1.52
-0.31
2.13
1.52
2.23
2.18
2.61
0.93
1.43
1.89
1.12
0.03
1.19
0.87
1.25
1.52
1.73
-0.90
0.96
1.55
-0.14
1.08
-0.63
1.76
1.19
1.80
1.82
2.31
0.62
1.12
1.51
0.90
-0.31
0.79
0.51
0.93
1.21
1.42
-1.10
0.60
1.27
-0.38
0.70
-0.93
1.44
0.89
1.43
1.51
2.05
0.28
0.82
1.25
0.65
-0.56
0.47
0.17
0.62
0.90
1.13
-1.28
0.31
0.93
-0.52
0.34
-1.11
1.10
0.57
1.06
1.20
1.78
-0.07
0.52
0.92
0.38
-0.80
0.15
-0.18
0.31
0.61
0.85
-1.50
0.06
0.60
-0.70
0.00
-1.27
0.76
0.25
0.71
0.89
1.52
-0.39
0.26
0.62
0.14
-0.96
-0.13
-0.50
0.02
0.33
0.58
-1.62
-0.23
0.30
-0.91
-0.30
-1.41
0.45
-0.03
0.39
0.60
1.28
-0.62
0.02
0.34
-0.05
-1.08
-0.40
-0.73
-0.24
0.09
0.33
-1.55
-0.56
0.02
-1.04
-0.56
-1.43
0.18
-0.27
0.10
0.32
1.04
-0.82
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
2.58
2.94
2.35
1.82
2.83
2.39
2.57
2.61
2.19
2.39
2.41
2.74
2.17
1.66
2.68
2.16
2.41
2.34
1.93
2.00
2.14
2.39
1.90
1.41
2.50
2.18
2.11
1.86
1.60
1.67
1.80
1.98
1.64
1.15
2.13
1.96
1.76
1.48
1.34
1.40
1.43
1.55
1.31
0.85
1.72
1.63
1.39
1.15
0.98
0.92
1.10
1.20
1.01
0.53
1.36
1.35
1.05
0.80
0.66
0.62
0.76
0.84
0.71
0.21
0.98
1.06
0.71
0.45
0.37
0.30
0.43
0.50
0.40
-0.08
0.63
0.77
0.38
0.11
0.07
0.02
0.13
0.18
0.12
-0.34
0.30
0.49
0.07
-0.22
-0.19
-0.23
-0.14
-0.10
-0.12
-0.57
0.00
0.23
-0.19
-0.53
-0.42
-0.44
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
1.48
1.64
1.43
0.68
1.21
1.94
0.90
3.02
1.26
1.21
1.15
1.06
0.84
2.07
0.64
2.49
0.85
0.56
0.77
0.52
0.44
1.77
0.20
0.59
0.58
0.25
0.52
0.26
0.11
1.41
-0.07
0.16
0.27
-0.02
0.18
-0.07
-0.20
1.02
-0.36
-0.24
-0.02
-0.42
-0.10
-0.48
-0.47
0.72
-0.73
-0.62
-0.28
-0.70
-0.36
-0.79
-0.70
0.41
-1.02
-0.87
-0.49
-0.77
-0.62
-1.02
-0.84
0.10
-1.22
-0.99
-0.66
-0.87
-0.83
-1.25
-0.94
-0.15
-1.30
-1.09
-0.83
-1.06
-1.01
-1.47
-1.05
-0.35
-1.35
-1.23
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
0.64
0.65
0.87
1.67
0.57
1.29
0.36
0.55
0.64
1.42
0.28
0.92
0.18
0.48
0.38
1.08
0.10
0.58
0.06
0.42
0.28
0.69
-0.01
0.44
-0.14
0.25
0.15
0.34
-0.22
0.26
-0.35
-0.01
-0.13
0.06
-0.42
0.05
-0.59
-0.39
-0.42
-0.26
-0.64
-0.23
-0.84
-0.75
-0.66
-0.58
-0.88
-0.51
-1.03
-1.03
-0.84
-0.83
-1.06
-0.72
-1.19
-1.24
-0.96
-1.00
-1.22
-0.87
Western Africa
2.58
2.44
2.26
2.06
1.73
1.43
1.13
0.81
0.51
0.24
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
155
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
2.53
2.69
0.62
2.14
3.02
1.95
2.38
2.23
2.42
2.87
2.29
3.71
2.63
-0.77
2.73
1.72
2.40
2.28
2.51
0.55
1.95
2.84
1.68
2.16
2.04
2.19
2.98
2.06
3.71
2.50
0.47
2.44
1.50
2.12
1.91
2.25
0.40
1.74
2.52
1.31
1.82
1.76
1.95
2.86
1.75
3.64
2.36
0.18
2.09
1.22
1.81
1.53
1.92
0.13
1.56
2.13
1.01
1.46
1.48
1.65
2.57
1.45
3.33
2.17
-0.19
1.80
0.94
1.58
1.12
1.54
-0.20
1.32
1.64
0.61
1.08
1.14
1.28
2.16
1.08
2.93
1.84
-0.50
1.41
0.61
1.25
0.78
1.22
-0.56
1.07
1.21
0.27
0.73
0.84
1.00
1.77
0.79
2.49
1.52
-0.74
1.09
0.38
0.95
0.43
0.91
-0.95
0.82
0.82
-0.03
0.39
0.57
0.70
1.40
0.52
2.04
1.21
-0.99
0.79
0.15
0.69
0.10
0.59
-1.38
0.55
0.44
-0.32
0.05
0.29
0.40
1.03
0.24
1.60
0.88
-1.17
0.49
-0.10
0.40
-0.20
0.30
-1.68
0.30
0.10
-0.56
-0.24
0.04
0.11
0.68
-0.02
1.21
0.57
-1.36
0.21
-0.31
0.14
-0.44
0.04
-1.76
0.05
-0.21
-0.74
-0.48
-0.17
-0.12
0.36
-0.23
0.83
0.28
-1.45
-0.02
-0.47
-0.10
0.83
0.59
0.25
-0.06
-0.39
-0.67
-0.89
-1.10
-1.20
-1.25
0.35
0.41
0.53
1.56
0.35
-0.23
1.27
0.35
0.05
0.11
0.16
0.34
1.06
0.20
-0.45
0.94
0.14
-0.16
-0.26
-0.23
0.08
0.74
-0.03
-0.70
0.38
-0.07
-0.41
-0.56
-0.56
-0.18
0.39
-0.30
-0.86
0.15
-0.35
-0.73
-0.92
-0.93
-0.42
0.14
-0.58
-1.00
-0.18
-0.71
-1.16
-1.18
-1.20
-0.71
-0.14
-0.75
-1.13
-0.50
-1.01
-1.50
-1.34
-1.36
-0.88
-0.40
-0.86
-1.30
-0.65
-1.18
-1.73
-1.50
-1.53
-1.03
-0.69
-1.06
-1.33
-0.75
-1.30
-1.94
-1.44
-1.46
-1.14
-0.83
-1.20
-1.34
-0.84
-1.38
-1.99
-1.42
-1.43
-1.22
-0.91
-1.24
-1.37
-0.94
-1.39
-1.88
South-Central Asia (7)
1.10
0.85
0.50
0.17
-0.17
-0.47
-0.75
-1.00
-1.16
-1.23
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1.19
0.84
1.15
2.23
1.06
1.14
0.94
0.57
1.22
1.90
0.80
0.84
0.46
0.17
0.62
1.29
0.33
0.33
0.19
0.04
0.38
1.09
-0.04
-0.05
-0.15
-0.23
0.09
0.75
-0.43
-0.47
-0.47
-0.49
-0.28
0.40
-0.77
-0.85
-0.68
-0.62
-0.46
0.20
-1.08
-1.17
-0.86
-0.74
-0.60
-0.03
-1.31
-1.43
-0.97
-0.86
-0.72
-0.24
-1.40
-1.55
-1.02
-0.97
-0.82
-0.39
-1.42
-1.55
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
1.10
2.24
0.98
1.39
1.04
1.07
1.66
0.94
1.48
0.62
0.85
1.91
0.78
0.83
0.78
0.81
1.25
0.72
1.27
0.38
0.51
1.54
0.40
0.42
0.45
0.40
0.69
0.42
0.87
0.01
0.17
1.04
0.05
0.09
0.11
0.16
0.40
0.15
0.49
-0.23
-0.18
0.50
-0.29
-0.23
-0.22
-0.14
0.10
-0.18
0.07
-0.55
-0.47
0.09
-0.59
-0.57
-0.50
-0.50
-0.27
-0.45
-0.30
-0.79
-0.75
-0.33
-0.89
-0.91
-0.76
-0.87
-0.64
-0.73
-0.66
-0.94
-1.00
-0.80
-1.20
-1.20
-0.98
-1.13
-1.04
-1.07
-0.96
-1.07
-1.17
-1.18
-1.45
-1.38
-1.13
-1.15
-1.34
-1.39
-1.15
-1.19
-1.24
-1.39
-1.56
-1.47
-1.20
-1.16
-1.45
-1.44
-1.25
-1.28
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
0.97
1.16
1.49
1.02
1.66
1.40
0.64
1.52
1.84
0.12
1.52
0.72
0.88
1.23
0.75
1.40
1.05
0.39
1.33
1.22
-0.14
1.61
0.40
0.56
0.79
0.44
0.93
0.68
-0.01
1.04
0.43
-0.42
1.54
0.09
0.17
0.49
0.11
0.56
0.35
-0.35
0.68
0.11
-0.75
1.11
-0.26
-0.28
0.16
-0.26
0.19
0.05
-0.75
0.33
-0.19
-1.17
0.83
-0.54
-0.59
-0.17
-0.52
-0.12
-0.24
-1.09
0.06
-0.47
-1.51
0.70
-0.76
-0.77
-0.45
-0.71
-0.44
-0.57
-1.33
-0.22
-0.72
-1.77
0.44
-0.97
-0.97
-0.75
-0.89
-0.79
-0.87
-1.48
-0.46
-1.00
-1.97
0.20
-1.14
-1.24
-1.00
-1.11
-1.05
-1.05
-1.54
-0.66
-1.28
-2.14
0.00
-1.21
-1.44
-1.13
-1.22
-1.21
-1.15
-1.44
-0.78
-1.55
-2.15
-0.15
Asia
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
156
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Viet Nam .............................................
0.71
0.45
0.08
-0.21
-0.62
-0.98
-1.29
-1.61
-1.78
-1.77
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
1.69
-0.02
0.89
1.48
0.88
-0.57
2.71
1.13
3.31
3.43
2.86
7.73
5.77
1.68
2.33
0.47
1.02
2.33
2.13
1.32
-0.28
0.54
1.45
0.62
-0.76
2.32
1.18
0.70
2.00
-1.09
1.40
1.35
1.31
2.17
2.62
0.62
1.80
1.87
0.87
-0.44
0.00
0.63
0.32
-0.95
1.79
0.91
1.04
1.46
0.11
0.35
0.52
0.58
1.80
1.08
0.39
1.23
1.33
0.59
-0.67
-0.35
0.34
-0.07
-0.97
1.42
0.77
0.75
1.14
-0.21
-0.27
0.28
0.38
1.39
0.72
0.12
1.01
0.84
0.25
-1.03
-0.75
-0.03
-0.50
-1.06
1.04
0.47
0.35
0.78
-0.54
-0.30
-0.17
0.10
1.01
0.35
-0.24
0.57
0.36
-0.08
-1.30
-1.04
-0.46
-0.75
-1.09
0.71
0.22
-0.02
0.37
-0.89
-0.71
-0.90
-0.34
0.70
0.03
-0.54
-0.08
-0.11
-0.40
-1.58
-1.33
-0.95
-1.01
-1.18
0.42
0.05
-0.28
0.03
-1.28
-1.46
-1.66
-0.71
0.39
-0.31
-0.83
-0.80
-0.56
-0.66
-1.89
-1.55
-1.40
-1.25
-1.30
0.15
-0.14
-0.49
-0.20
-1.77
-2.24
-2.17
-0.96
0.07
-0.63
-1.09
-1.15
-0.93
-0.83
-1.91
-1.58
-1.47
-1.32
-1.28
-0.10
-0.35
-0.71
-0.43
-2.06
-1.94
-1.87
-1.14
-0.19
-0.88
-1.29
-1.09
-1.21
-0.97
-1.77
-1.61
-1.45
-1.40
-1.32
-0.30
-0.54
-0.95
-0.68
-1.99
-1.10
-1.56
-1.31
-0.39
-1.07
-1.42
-1.34
-1.40
-0.10
-0.25
-0.43
-0.54
-0.72
-0.87
-0.95
-0.99
-1.02
-1.09
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
-0.44
-0.68
-0.92
0.24
-0.38
-0.18
-0.99
-0.44
-0.41
-0.10
-0.81
-0.60
-0.80
-1.06
0.01
-0.50
-0.33
-1.00
-0.61
-0.59
-0.25
-0.96
-0.83
-0.99
-1.28
-0.21
-0.63
-0.57
-1.25
-0.84
-0.83
-0.52
-1.17
-0.97
-1.15
-1.42
-0.28
-0.69
-0.82
-1.52
-1.01
-0.96
-0.75
-1.29
-1.15
-1.37
-1.64
-0.36
-0.78
-1.03
-1.90
-1.27
-1.13
-0.95
-1.49
-1.29
-1.52
-1.86
-0.57
-0.96
-1.22
-1.80
-1.57
-1.23
-1.20
-1.68
-1.43
-1.60
-1.97
-0.72
-1.11
-1.49
-2.05
-1.78
-1.33
-1.45
-1.78
-1.44
-1.60
-1.92
-0.76
-1.16
-1.61
-2.15
-1.84
-1.32
-1.50
-1.71
-1.35
-1.53
-1.76
-0.78
-1.19
-1.50
-1.93
-1.74
-1.25
-1.42
-1.57
-1.35
-1.49
-1.60
-0.89
-1.22
-1.41
-1.76
-1.67
-1.30
-1.38
-1.51
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
0.38
0.34
0.25
-0.46
-0.17
0.19
0.97
0.94
0.57
-0.75
-0.65
0.85
0.50
0.41
0.27
0.20
0.16
-0.58
0.11
0.06
0.75
0.71
0.39
-0.86
-0.70
0.76
0.44
0.29
0.11
0.05
0.08
-0.73
0.02
-0.14
0.42
0.40
0.16
-0.92
-0.80
0.44
0.31
0.12
-0.01
-0.13
-0.05
-0.77
-0.17
-0.31
0.12
0.28
-0.04
-0.94
-0.89
0.28
0.22
0.00
-0.14
-0.35
-0.18
-0.92
-0.51
-0.41
-0.22
0.07
-0.23
-1.00
-1.03
0.12
0.17
-0.15
-0.30
-0.55
-0.26
-1.08
-0.57
-0.46
-0.43
-0.22
-0.43
-1.11
-1.19
-0.05
0.04
-0.33
-0.39
-0.66
-0.31
-1.17
-0.55
-0.52
-0.57
-0.38
-0.58
-1.17
-1.33
-0.16
-0.07
-0.42
-0.52
-0.82
-0.45
-1.21
-0.71
-0.67
-0.76
-0.46
-0.73
-1.17
-1.39
-0.31
-0.21
-0.55
-0.67
-1.02
-0.64
-1.19
-0.93
-0.80
-0.91
-0.56
-0.89
-1.11
-1.31
-0.50
-0.38
-0.71
-0.80
-1.22
-0.76
-1.18
-1.03
-0.91
-1.01
-0.76
-0.99
-1.11
-1.26
-0.67
-0.52
-0.84
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
0.02
0.12
0.59
-0.31
-0.55
-0.08
-0.13
-0.10
0.05
-0.18
-0.01
0.40
-0.45
-0.59
-0.23
-0.32
-0.10
-0.15
-0.35
-0.20
0.31
-0.62
-0.73
-0.46
-0.38
-0.13
-0.31
-0.44
-0.65
0.13
-0.88
-0.89
-0.68
-0.43
-0.16
-0.38
-0.69
-1.07
-0.18
-1.16
-1.13
-0.89
-0.66
-0.16
-0.58
-0.95
-1.25
-0.50
-1.33
-1.26
-1.02
-0.90
-0.19
-0.82
-1.07
-1.50
-0.62
-1.56
-1.39
-1.12
-0.98
-0.39
-0.87
-1.08
-1.91
-0.69
-1.88
-1.52
-1.25
-0.98
-0.40
-0.83
-1.10
-2.17
-0.84
-2.02
-1.56
-1.34
-1.01
-0.30
-0.90
-1.19
-1.89
-1.10
-1.82
-1.55
-1.32
-1.14
-0.31
-1.03
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
157
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
0.14
-0.13
-0.13
0.44
-0.65
0.07
0.26
-0.12
-0.06
-0.34
-0.31
0.11
-0.83
-0.11
0.01
-0.31
-0.35
-0.57
-0.45
-0.08
-1.05
-0.35
-0.19
-0.58
-0.58
-0.82
-0.56
-0.23
-1.35
-0.47
-0.25
-0.83
-0.75
-1.09
-0.85
-0.49
-1.72
-0.67
-0.53
-1.13
-0.88
-1.26
-1.13
-0.71
-2.03
-0.85
-0.88
-1.38
-1.07
-1.45
-1.30
-0.89
-2.42
-0.93
-1.03
-1.66
-1.34
-1.65
-1.41
-1.02
-2.77
-0.99
-1.04
-1.92
-1.49
-1.75
-1.50
-1.08
-2.86
-1.01
-1.02
-1.97
-1.54
-1.67
-1.63
-1.18
-2.57
-1.11
-1.14
-1.84
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
0.09
0.21
0.28
0.39
-0.26
0.58
1.18
0.66
0.12
0.85
-0.05
0.11
0.08
0.24
-0.41
0.46
0.93
0.60
-0.01
0.71
-0.21
0.01
-0.05
0.09
-0.62
0.29
0.63
0.70
-0.20
0.58
-0.33
-0.11
-0.15
-0.03
-0.75
0.06
0.28
0.63
-0.41
0.45
-0.54
-0.27
-0.33
-0.23
-1.01
-0.12
-0.16
0.60
-0.65
0.32
-0.67
-0.44
-0.46
-0.34
-1.20
-0.25
-0.37
0.46
-0.76
0.11
-0.67
-0.46
-0.48
-0.39
-1.18
-0.32
-0.50
0.31
-0.72
-0.05
-0.77
-0.57
-0.57
-0.50
-1.28
-0.48
-0.68
0.09
-0.80
-0.27
-0.90
-0.72
-0.69
-0.64
-1.39
-0.70
-0.87
-0.23
-0.95
-0.52
-0.98
-0.84
-0.79
-0.76
-1.42
-0.89
-1.01
-0.54
-1.01
-0.74
0.91
0.68
0.38
0.08
-0.25
-0.52
-0.78
-1.04
-1.26
-1.39
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
0.51
1.00
0.83
0.30
1.25
0.33
0.95
2.31
1.38
-0.22
2.02
0.23
1.03
0.16
0.34
1.19
0.32
0.09
0.72
-0.35
0.92
0.64
-0.19
1.82
0.08
1.86
-0.05
0.32
0.58
0.68
0.07
0.81
0.21
0.69
1.22
0.73
-0.41
0.58
0.14
0.76
-0.06
0.17
0.95
0.14
-0.02
0.41
-0.30
0.67
0.41
-0.29
1.32
-0.25
1.20
-0.26
0.06
-0.10
0.44
-0.18
0.47
0.02
0.32
0.32
0.14
-0.62
0.04
-0.10
0.39
-0.59
-0.04
0.62
-0.22
-0.20
0.14
-0.28
0.31
0.09
-0.33
0.71
-0.71
0.51
-0.50
-0.25
-0.51
0.12
-0.56
0.18
-0.22
0.03
-0.22
-0.29
-1.01
-0.31
-0.42
0.04
-1.03
-0.32
0.32
-0.67
-0.48
-0.14
-0.49
0.01
-0.23
-0.29
0.16
-1.01
0.02
-0.54
-0.61
-0.93
-0.26
-0.92
-0.07
-0.42
-0.33
-0.57
-0.70
-1.53
-0.61
-0.75
-0.32
-1.63
-0.69
-0.04
-1.16
-0.86
-0.42
-0.76
-0.34
-0.58
-0.64
-0.35
-1.47
-0.50
-0.53
-0.88
-1.20
-0.51
-1.00
-0.31
-0.54
-0.59
-0.67
-0.94
-1.99
-0.82
-0.90
-0.59
-1.33
-0.83
-0.32
-1.46
-1.07
-0.65
-0.99
-0.59
-0.86
-0.88
-0.62
-1.77
-0.86
-0.57
-1.09
-1.43
-0.63
-1.03
-0.51
-0.65
-0.68
-0.70
-0.92
-2.21
-0.89
-1.08
-0.85
-1.45
-0.86
-0.62
-1.72
-1.06
-0.81
-1.24
-0.80
-1.13
-1.09
-0.76
-2.02
-1.05
-0.51
-1.30
-1.61
-0.84
-1.26
-0.74
-0.79
-0.81
-0.82
-0.96
-2.38
-1.02
-1.37
-1.12
-1.69
-0.92
-0.87
-2.07
-1.07
-0.92
-1.50
-1.00
-1.42
-1.31
-0.99
-2.13
-1.20
-0.55
-1.48
-1.67
-1.09
-1.51
-0.91
-0.89
-0.97
-0.93
-1.08
-2.68
-1.16
-1.54
-1.35
-1.63
-1.13
-1.04
-2.35
-1.31
-1.01
-1.71
-1.17
-1.65
-1.49
-1.20
-2.10
-1.39
-0.69
-1.52
-1.70
-1.19
-1.51
-1.01
-0.95
-1.06
-1.26
-1.13
-2.63
-1.25
-1.47
-1.49
-1.51
-1.21
-1.10
-2.20
-1.41
-1.14
-1.78
-1.26
-1.74
-1.59
-1.35
-2.02
-1.56
-0.86
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
1.17
2.18
1.17
0.44
2.32
1.80
1.01
1.22
1.43
0.91
1.80
0.83
0.22
2.06
1.53
0.73
0.93
1.20
0.59
1.32
0.41
-0.09
1.69
1.14
0.41
0.59
0.87
0.26
0.93
0.04
-0.43
1.34
0.77
0.06
0.24
0.51
-0.08
0.54
-0.33
-0.81
1.00
0.42
-0.30
-0.14
0.17
-0.36
0.17
-0.64
-1.08
0.69
0.12
-0.61
-0.44
-0.12
-0.64
-0.15
-0.95
-1.41
0.38
-0.19
-0.91
-0.76
-0.38
-0.89
-0.45
-1.28
-1.79
0.08
-0.50
-1.17
-1.10
-0.62
-1.14
-0.72
-1.55
-2.05
-0.20
-0.76
-1.45
-1.39
-0.84
-1.30
-0.95
-1.65
-1.93
-0.43
-0.96
-1.62
-1.54
-1.07
Latin America and the Caribbean
158
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
0.84
0.68
1.46
0.65
0.70
1.09
1.38
0.12
2.31
0.35
1.51
1.06
0.69
0.17
1.29
0.62
0.49
1.26
0.41
0.50
0.82
1.12
-0.09
2.06
0.13
1.27
0.89
0.46
0.02
1.01
0.32
0.28
0.96
0.12
0.22
0.45
0.79
-0.39
1.69
-0.15
0.91
0.56
0.16
-0.09
0.63
0.03
0.06
0.63
-0.18
-0.08
0.12
0.47
-0.53
1.29
-0.66
0.57
0.26
-0.22
-0.30
0.30
-0.28
-0.20
0.29
-0.49
-0.38
-0.22
0.12
-0.66
0.94
-1.25
0.24
-0.09
-0.62
-0.56
-0.03
-0.56
-0.44
0.01
-0.78
-0.66
-0.49
-0.16
-0.86
0.48
-1.57
-0.03
-0.38
-0.67
-0.75
-0.30
-0.83
-0.69
-0.26
-1.07
-0.86
-0.74
-0.44
-0.89
0.19
-1.86
-0.32
-0.66
-0.88
-0.95
-0.58
-1.09
-0.91
-0.52
-1.35
-1.09
-1.00
-0.70
-0.97
-0.08
-2.24
-0.58
-0.94
-1.12
-1.15
-0.86
-1.29
-1.08
-0.71
-1.57
-1.31
-1.22
-0.95
-1.09
-0.33
-2.41
-0.78
-1.19
-1.30
-1.32
-1.09
-1.42
-1.19
-0.82
-1.69
-1.38
-1.37
-1.15
-1.14
-0.54
-1.85
-0.94
-1.35
-1.37
-1.37
-1.27
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
0.66
0.04
0.83
0.08
-0.18
0.65
0.54
-0.08
0.69
-0.41
-0.29
0.52
0.38
-0.28
0.44
-0.87
-0.34
0.37
0.20
-0.51
0.25
-0.88
-0.39
0.20
0.02
-0.70
0.08
-1.26
-0.53
0.02
-0.10
-0.69
-0.08
-1.05
-0.64
-0.10
-0.18
-0.65
-0.19
-1.35
-0.66
-0.18
-0.36
-0.77
-0.37
-1.63
-0.78
-0.36
-0.53
-0.85
-0.56
-1.62
-0.86
-0.53
-0.66
-0.82
-0.73
-1.36
-0.60
-0.65
1.25
1.07
0.83
0.63
0.41
0.18
-0.01
-0.23
-0.44
-0.63
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
1.09
1.14
0.85
0.92
0.97
0.67
0.69
0.74
0.43
0.53
0.59
0.22
0.36
0.43
0.00
0.15
0.21
-0.20
-0.01
0.04
-0.32
-0.21
-0.16
-0.51
-0.43
-0.38
-0.74
-0.63
-0.59
-0.91
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
1.80
0.54
1.14
1.96
1.92
2.03
1.55
0.22
0.95
1.71
1.63
1.78
1.24
-0.19
0.71
1.38
1.37
1.48
0.92
-0.53
0.49
1.03
1.09
1.18
0.57
-0.92
0.24
0.66
0.72
0.84
0.28
-1.15
-0.02
0.35
0.46
0.55
0.01
-1.32
-0.23
0.06
0.23
0.26
-0.26
-1.42
-0.48
-0.23
0.00
-0.02
-0.47
-1.44
-0.73
-0.46
-0.22
-0.27
-0.64
-1.32
-0.92
-0.63
-0.37
-0.49
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
0.68
1.09
1.36
0.06
-0.01
0.02
0.25
0.62
0.79
0.92
1.23
0.53
0.69
0.36
0.03
0.78
0.55
0.64
0.96
0.32
0.52
0.06
-0.26
0.61
0.23
0.29
0.57
0.53
0.03
-0.18
-0.68
0.30
-0.14
-0.02
0.28
-0.20
-0.35
-0.51
-1.30
0.04
-0.34
-0.23
0.08
-0.32
-0.51
-0.71
-1.86
-0.16
-0.51
-0.41
-0.19
-0.04
-0.92
-0.83
-2.01
-0.41
-0.72
-0.62
-0.46
-0.25
-1.22
-0.94
-1.93
-0.71
-0.90
-0.89
-0.62
-0.58
-1.17
-1.09
-2.28
-0.86
-0.96
-1.08
-0.72
-0.62
-0.98
-1.11
-2.44
-0.98
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
0.55
-0.20
0.35
0.87
-3.01
0.61
1.80
0.27
0.03
-0.79
0.50
0.40
0.17
0.64
-2.33
0.39
1.37
0.61
0.08
-0.37
0.30
0.17
0.08
0.29
-0.14
0.25
0.12
0.56
0.20
-0.22
0.13
-0.33
0.06
-0.04
-0.28
0.38
-0.54
0.46
-0.22
-0.37
-0.24
-0.83
-0.21
-0.35
-0.48
-0.05
-0.90
-0.02
0.31
-0.58
-0.14
-0.97
-0.51
-0.63
-0.52
0.43
-0.95
0.40
0.47
-0.71
-0.17
-1.16
-0.77
-0.86
-0.65
0.52
-0.75
0.46
0.27
-0.86
-0.35
-1.40
-1.03
-1.08
-0.82
0.33
-0.96
0.17
-0.02
-1.01
-0.54
-1.57
-1.29
-1.28
-1.06
0.06
-1.36
-0.09
-0.22
-1.26
-0.62
-1.41
-1.39
-1.32
-1.39
-0.14
-1.52
-0.22
-0.56
-1.41
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
159
Table A.15. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
160
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country:
constant-fertility variant, 2010-2100
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.23
1.20
1.12
1.16
1.26
1.43
1.68
1.95
2.25
2.51
0.28
1.43
2.52
1.23
0.20
1.41
2.65
1.17
0.06
1.31
2.75
0.98
-0.04
1.34
2.86
0.93
-0.11
1.44
3.01
0.92
-0.17
1.61
3.15
0.98
-0.19
1.85
3.27
1.12
-0.19
2.12
3.39
1.31
-0.20
2.39
3.49
1.54
-0.24
2.63
3.57
1.76
1.70
1.71
1.66
1.69
1.79
1.93
2.12
2.34
2.56
2.76
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
2.81
2.91
3.03
3.17
3.29
3.38
3.46
3.53
3.59
3.63
Africa
2.60
2.69
2.80
2.93
3.08
3.19
3.30
3.40
3.48
3.54
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
3.11
3.36
2.58
1.73
3.46
2.97
2.91
3.00
3.08
0.42
3.04
2.69
1.26
3.05
0.64
3.11
4.27
3.61
3.21
3.24
3.08
3.17
3.42
2.56
1.79
3.24
3.17
2.89
3.12
3.21
0.34
2.95
2.79
1.20
3.14
0.57
3.31
3.10
3.72
3.24
3.42
3.06
3.22
3.27
2.63
1.63
3.15
3.22
2.87
3.13
3.35
0.08
3.07
3.15
1.04
3.08
0.46
3.54
2.92
3.82
3.34
3.50
2.32
3.29
3.51
2.72
1.60
3.19
3.18
2.92
3.11
3.43
-0.23
2.93
3.36
0.90
3.04
0.44
3.72
3.02
3.94
3.47
3.57
2.33
3.37
3.69
2.75
1.70
3.19
3.22
2.95
3.13
3.51
-0.40
2.79
3.52
0.77
3.07
0.36
3.89
3.14
4.03
3.53
3.62
2.39
3.41
3.70
2.85
1.72
3.15
3.23
2.96
3.13
3.56
-0.52
2.77
3.58
0.71
3.05
0.28
4.02
3.20
4.06
3.56
3.66
2.33
3.44
3.76
2.93
1.76
3.15
3.21
2.97
3.14
3.60
-0.63
2.75
3.60
0.71
3.04
0.33
4.11
3.24
4.10
3.58
3.69
2.29
3.48
3.81
2.98
1.87
3.16
3.21
2.99
3.15
3.64
-0.72
2.74
3.62
0.69
3.05
0.40
4.17
3.27
4.12
3.60
3.71
2.30
3.51
3.82
3.02
1.93
3.16
3.22
3.00
3.16
3.67
-0.77
2.73
3.63
0.68
3.06
0.44
4.22
3.29
4.13
3.61
3.73
2.32
3.54
3.82
3.06
1.95
3.16
3.23
3.00
3.17
3.70
-0.77
2.71
3.63
0.68
3.06
0.49
4.25
3.31
4.14
3.61
3.74
2.33
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
2.85
3.45
2.78
2.20
3.29
2.60
2.67
3.02
2.48
2.83
3.01
3.55
2.89
2.34
3.49
2.63
2.85
3.05
2.53
2.70
3.18
3.67
2.98
2.51
3.78
2.96
3.02
3.03
2.57
2.65
3.30
3.83
3.11
2.64
3.97
3.07
3.08
3.13
2.63
2.72
3.44
3.98
3.20
2.76
4.13
3.12
3.20
3.24
2.66
2.65
3.55
4.09
3.24
2.81
4.23
3.17
3.32
3.30
2.67
2.67
3.64
4.17
3.28
2.85
4.31
3.20
3.40
3.32
2.69
2.72
3.73
4.23
3.31
2.88
4.37
3.23
3.49
3.34
2.71
2.75
3.79
4.27
3.33
2.91
4.39
3.24
3.56
3.36
2.73
2.78
3.84
4.29
3.34
2.92
4.42
3.25
3.61
3.37
2.74
2.80
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
1.70
1.76
1.71
1.13
1.09
2.35
1.13
3.36
1.74
1.66
1.64
1.77
1.01
2.75
1.05
3.01
1.57
1.21
1.47
1.40
0.85
2.76
0.69
1.29
1.52
1.03
1.42
1.25
0.64
2.75
0.47
1.00
1.55
1.03
1.36
1.18
0.51
2.79
0.35
0.88
1.56
0.86
1.31
0.98
0.44
2.83
0.15
0.75
1.64
0.80
1.29
0.87
0.41
2.87
0.01
0.73
1.77
0.94
1.28
0.91
0.45
2.91
0.03
0.81
1.89
0.97
1.29
0.91
0.52
2.95
0.09
0.85
1.99
0.92
1.30
0.87
0.55
2.98
0.10
0.81
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
0.97
1.05
1.28
2.12
0.89
1.77
0.91
1.22
1.37
2.15
0.80
1.72
0.95
1.42
1.43
2.05
0.83
1.74
1.05
1.55
1.65
1.94
0.92
1.98
1.12
1.61
1.83
1.92
0.97
2.16
1.09
1.52
1.81
1.89
0.94
2.19
1.08
1.40
1.80
1.84
0.91
2.20
1.08
1.34
1.83
1.83
0.90
2.21
1.09
1.32
1.86
1.83
0.88
2.23
1.09
1.28
1.87
1.83
0.87
2.24
Western Africa
2.81
2.89
3.04
3.19
3.32
3.44
3.54
3.61
3.66
3.71
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
161
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
2.96
3.10
1.05
2.29
3.20
2.34
2.79
2.59
2.83
3.01
2.61
3.85
2.80
-0.53
2.97
2.13
2.69
3.00
3.21
1.24
2.41
3.23
2.34
2.88
2.65
2.89
3.26
2.61
4.00
2.88
0.83
2.98
2.20
2.71
2.99
3.34
1.25
2.55
3.27
2.24
2.94
2.68
3.01
3.52
2.59
4.23
3.05
0.57
2.96
2.27
2.72
2.98
3.46
1.17
2.67
3.30
2.22
3.00
2.77
3.09
3.71
2.58
4.37
3.23
0.20
2.98
2.39
2.81
3.02
3.57
1.06
2.81
3.33
2.22
3.07
2.86
3.17
3.84
2.61
4.46
3.37
0.04
2.99
2.52
2.89
3.05
3.66
0.94
2.91
3.36
2.22
3.12
2.94
3.23
3.95
2.65
4.53
3.48
-0.11
3.00
2.68
2.94
3.09
3.73
0.85
2.99
3.40
2.25
3.18
3.03
3.27
4.04
2.70
4.56
3.57
-0.25
3.04
2.83
3.00
3.13
3.77
0.80
3.04
3.43
2.30
3.23
3.11
3.29
4.10
2.75
4.59
3.62
-0.30
3.07
2.95
3.04
3.17
3.79
0.84
3.08
3.46
2.33
3.28
3.17
3.30
4.14
2.79
4.61
3.65
-0.34
3.09
3.05
3.06
3.20
3.80
0.91
3.10
3.49
2.36
3.32
3.22
3.31
4.17
2.82
4.63
3.66
-0.35
3.11
3.12
3.07
1.11
1.03
0.81
0.71
0.65
0.65
0.74
0.86
1.05
1.22
0.52
0.58
0.64
1.66
0.53
-0.14
1.43
0.44
0.28
0.34
0.39
0.48
1.19
0.53
-0.32
1.28
0.27
0.14
-0.08
-0.05
0.16
0.75
0.39
-0.57
0.86
0.04
-0.17
-0.30
-0.28
-0.14
0.35
0.18
-0.74
0.77
-0.31
-0.55
-0.62
-0.61
-0.37
0.09
0.12
-0.84
0.64
-0.62
-0.87
-0.81
-0.81
-0.68
-0.25
0.07
-0.94
0.51
-0.91
-1.15
-0.87
-0.86
-0.89
-0.57
0.05
-1.11
0.54
-1.11
-1.36
-0.96
-0.96
-1.05
-0.91
0.06
-1.12
0.60
-1.22
-1.48
-0.85
-0.84
-1.19
-1.13
0.04
-1.10
0.64
-1.30
-1.48
-0.85
-0.84
-1.34
-1.31
0.03
-1.15
0.64
-1.36
-1.45
South-Central Asia (7)
1.45
1.44
1.28
1.18
1.15
1.13
1.17
1.26
1.38
1.51
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1.47
1.13
1.11
2.30
1.42
1.51
1.41
0.99
1.43
2.23
1.36
1.41
1.09
0.74
1.08
1.93
1.01
1.02
1.05
0.80
1.02
1.97
0.85
0.91
0.97
0.75
0.96
1.94
0.76
0.74
0.92
0.72
0.89
1.93
0.64
0.63
0.98
0.79
0.95
2.01
0.64
0.63
1.04
0.82
1.02
2.05
0.67
0.65
1.13
0.84
1.09
2.10
0.72
0.72
1.19
0.83
1.13
2.13
0.76
0.76
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
1.45
3.17
1.36
1.82
1.36
1.27
1.95
1.70
2.01
0.78
1.44
3.49
1.40
1.53
1.31
1.15
1.90
1.82
2.11
0.71
1.28
3.77
1.20
1.28
1.13
0.73
1.46
1.72
1.94
0.50
1.18
3.73
1.04
1.13
1.00
0.57
1.27
1.66
1.82
0.41
1.15
3.80
0.91
1.03
0.94
0.37
1.14
1.64
1.83
0.28
1.13
3.83
0.81
0.89
0.87
0.08
0.90
1.59
1.77
0.26
1.18
3.85
0.74
0.81
0.86
-0.12
0.74
1.57
1.76
0.31
1.27
3.88
0.70
0.80
0.88
-0.23
0.64
1.54
1.82
0.37
1.39
3.90
0.70
0.83
0.91
-0.16
0.60
1.53
1.85
0.42
1.52
3.92
0.72
0.86
0.94
-0.12
0.65
1.53
1.88
0.46
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
1.28
1.43
1.87
1.33
2.21
1.69
0.93
1.86
2.00
0.36
1.97
1.21
1.29
1.79
1.24
2.27
1.52
0.87
1.88
1.47
0.22
2.46
1.03
1.08
1.50
1.10
2.07
1.23
0.58
1.81
0.68
-0.07
2.98
0.88
0.78
1.43
0.94
2.04
0.91
0.32
1.69
0.32
-0.38
3.19
0.78
0.50
1.38
0.80
2.02
0.76
0.15
1.67
0.09
-0.68
3.51
0.75
0.35
1.29
0.77
1.97
0.60
0.03
1.66
-0.15
-0.92
3.76
0.77
0.32
1.27
0.78
1.95
0.39
-0.02
1.66
-0.38
-1.05
3.83
0.84
0.29
1.26
0.80
1.95
0.27
0.04
1.68
-0.59
-1.10
3.89
0.91
0.24
1.29
0.80
1.97
0.25
0.08
1.70
-0.78
-1.13
3.91
0.99
0.21
1.35
0.80
1.98
0.21
0.10
1.72
-0.98
-1.14
3.92
Asia
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
162
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Viet Nam .............................................
1.07
0.94
0.58
0.36
0.10
-0.13
-0.27
-0.36
-0.35
-0.31
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
2.05
0.18
1.16
1.78
1.11
-0.40
3.09
1.30
3.80
3.70
3.11
7.87
5.96
2.11
2.82
0.80
1.31
2.62
2.79
1.92
-0.01
0.95
1.87
0.94
-0.51
2.98
1.51
1.50
2.42
-0.60
1.92
1.68
1.95
2.98
3.20
1.07
2.20
2.98
1.66
-0.16
0.45
1.09
0.60
-0.64
2.75
1.41
1.98
1.91
0.54
1.02
0.88
1.20
2.87
1.96
0.94
1.60
2.84
1.61
-0.29
0.27
0.93
0.20
-0.56
2.65
1.40
2.04
1.69
0.19
0.65
0.69
1.32
2.72
1.79
0.76
1.44
2.69
1.63
-0.56
0.04
0.71
-0.13
-0.55
2.63
1.30
2.00
1.50
0.00
0.96
0.42
1.36
2.75
1.72
0.58
1.07
2.77
1.61
-0.68
-0.09
0.41
-0.34
-0.46
2.62
1.26
1.89
1.22
-0.26
0.78
-0.11
1.06
2.71
1.65
0.43
0.50
2.76
1.65
-0.81
-0.14
0.18
-0.54
-0.46
2.61
1.26
1.94
1.05
-0.54
0.54
-0.54
1.04
2.68
1.56
0.32
0.01
2.73
1.77
-0.92
-0.16
0.06
-0.67
-0.46
2.63
1.24
1.99
1.01
-0.78
0.58
-0.58
1.15
2.69
1.54
0.28
-0.14
2.79
1.91
-0.80
-0.07
0.16
-0.69
-0.37
2.64
1.23
1.98
0.95
-0.85
1.00
-0.15
1.17
2.69
1.55
0.28
-0.02
2.83
2.02
-0.68
-0.06
0.27
-0.76
-0.40
2.65
1.23
1.98
0.89
-0.75
1.32
0.13
1.21
2.70
1.57
0.29
-0.11
2.84
0.03
-0.07
-0.24
-0.33
-0.44
-0.55
-0.58
-0.57
-0.56
-0.61
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
-0.32
-0.55
-0.84
0.32
-0.27
-0.05
-0.74
-0.32
-0.29
0.03
-0.68
-0.45
-0.62
-0.96
0.11
-0.35
-0.18
-0.67
-0.43
-0.44
-0.10
-0.81
-0.68
-0.82
-1.17
-0.12
-0.48
-0.47
-0.92
-0.68
-0.67
-0.40
-1.01
-0.80
-0.94
-1.31
-0.21
-0.57
-0.70
-1.08
-0.84
-0.78
-0.63
-1.10
-0.94
-1.11
-1.48
-0.27
-0.63
-0.90
-1.30
-1.05
-0.89
-0.82
-1.28
-1.06
-1.20
-1.64
-0.48
-0.79
-1.07
-1.11
-1.30
-0.97
-1.05
-1.39
-1.17
-1.24
-1.73
-0.64
-0.95
-1.30
-1.21
-1.48
-1.04
-1.29
-1.47
-1.16
-1.23
-1.66
-0.67
-0.99
-1.42
-1.19
-1.49
-1.02
-1.35
-1.40
-1.09
-1.17
-1.49
-0.70
-1.04
-1.33
-1.02
-1.40
-0.97
-1.29
-1.29
-1.16
-1.21
-1.43
-0.84
-1.14
-1.29
-1.02
-1.40
-1.07
-1.34
-1.33
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
0.53
0.47
0.38
-0.26
0.01
0.34
1.18
1.13
0.71
-0.65
-0.53
1.00
0.64
0.56
0.50
0.40
0.38
-0.35
0.43
0.28
1.07
0.98
0.60
-0.74
-0.55
1.00
0.66
0.53
0.37
0.26
0.35
-0.50
0.53
0.13
0.81
0.70
0.42
-0.80
-0.69
0.72
0.55
0.40
0.29
0.08
0.23
-0.50
0.42
-0.01
0.58
0.62
0.24
-0.80
-0.74
0.57
0.48
0.32
0.25
-0.09
0.20
-0.56
0.33
0.01
0.41
0.50
0.13
-0.85
-0.87
0.52
0.52
0.25
0.16
-0.24
0.18
-0.65
0.51
0.02
0.32
0.30
0.01
-0.92
-1.01
0.41
0.42
0.15
0.12
-0.34
0.15
-0.69
0.61
0.00
0.28
0.21
-0.09
-0.96
-1.12
0.34
0.35
0.11
0.07
-0.45
0.09
-0.67
0.63
-0.05
0.26
0.22
-0.15
-0.97
-1.17
0.27
0.27
0.06
0.00
-0.59
-0.01
-0.62
0.65
-0.10
0.25
0.20
-0.21
-0.91
-1.11
0.16
0.16
-0.01
-0.07
-0.76
-0.09
-0.64
0.65
-0.15
0.25
0.09
-0.26
-0.96
-1.12
0.06
0.07
-0.08
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
0.14
0.30
0.79
-0.17
-0.43
0.05
-0.02
0.03
0.14
-0.02
0.34
0.65
-0.26
-0.42
-0.03
-0.16
0.10
-0.02
-0.20
0.06
0.51
-0.49
-0.55
-0.23
-0.21
0.08
-0.19
-0.31
-0.33
0.28
-0.76
-0.69
-0.42
-0.27
0.12
-0.28
-0.50
-0.50
0.00
-0.98
-0.85
-0.53
-0.44
0.12
-0.45
-0.73
-0.66
-0.31
-1.17
-0.94
-0.60
-0.64
0.10
-0.67
-0.84
-0.77
-0.45
-1.38
-1.03
-0.61
-0.71
-0.07
-0.73
-0.83
-0.88
-0.52
-1.65
-1.08
-0.65
-0.67
-0.07
-0.69
-0.83
-0.94
-0.67
-1.80
-1.08
-0.65
-0.68
-0.02
-0.74
-0.94
-0.70
-0.95
-1.71
-1.09
-0.60
-0.80
-0.05
-0.88
Europe
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
163
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
0.33
0.09
0.06
0.55
-0.44
0.19
0.37
0.10
0.23
-0.01
-0.05
0.26
-0.53
0.05
0.16
0.01
-0.07
-0.20
-0.20
0.05
-0.75
-0.19
-0.06
-0.28
-0.31
-0.38
-0.35
-0.12
-1.02
-0.30
-0.15
-0.50
-0.40
-0.49
-0.56
-0.34
-1.23
-0.45
-0.37
-0.67
-0.50
-0.54
-0.78
-0.54
-1.42
-0.60
-0.69
-0.86
-0.65
-0.60
-0.93
-0.72
-1.63
-0.67
-0.85
-1.02
-0.82
-0.61
-0.98
-0.82
-1.70
-0.69
-0.82
-1.11
-0.92
-0.59
-1.01
-0.87
-1.62
-0.69
-0.78
-1.08
-0.99
-0.55
-1.14
-0.99
-1.46
-0.80
-0.92
-1.02
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
0.22
0.32
0.42
0.54
-0.15
0.69
1.31
0.82
0.26
0.97
0.15
0.28
0.28
0.48
-0.24
0.63
1.13
0.85
0.20
0.89
0.01
0.16
0.19
0.38
-0.44
0.47
0.83
1.06
0.06
0.75
-0.10
0.02
0.11
0.28
-0.58
0.21
0.48
0.99
-0.15
0.58
-0.21
-0.11
0.02
0.20
-0.76
0.08
0.11
1.04
-0.28
0.49
-0.27
-0.27
-0.04
0.17
-0.91
-0.03
-0.05
0.98
-0.30
0.29
-0.25
-0.31
-0.03
0.16
-0.88
-0.11
-0.16
0.84
-0.25
0.12
-0.27
-0.40
-0.05
0.15
-0.92
-0.24
-0.28
0.68
-0.25
-0.08
-0.32
-0.54
-0.10
0.09
-0.98
-0.42
-0.40
0.48
-0.30
-0.29
-0.35
-0.67
-0.16
0.04
-1.02
-0.61
-0.50
0.28
-0.33
-0.51
1.21
1.17
1.02
0.88
0.78
0.72
0.71
0.74
0.81
0.90
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
0.82
1.27
1.08
0.49
1.47
0.49
1.19
2.48
1.52
-0.03
2.21
0.47
1.37
0.47
0.54
1.64
0.62
0.27
0.95
-0.12
1.21
0.92
0.11
2.00
0.28
2.16
0.06
0.82
1.01
1.08
0.38
1.14
0.45
1.06
1.49
0.96
-0.13
0.88
0.54
1.31
0.46
0.49
1.70
0.63
0.28
0.75
0.06
1.14
0.87
0.20
1.58
0.04
1.65
0.00
0.74
0.41
0.94
0.17
0.83
0.30
0.78
0.64
0.41
-0.33
0.40
0.35
1.17
0.10
0.38
1.65
0.45
0.19
0.64
0.10
0.90
0.68
0.31
0.94
-0.36
1.08
-0.05
0.67
0.10
0.71
-0.18
0.58
0.10
0.57
0.19
0.03
-0.67
0.14
0.09
1.07
-0.13
0.17
1.63
0.24
-0.06
0.50
-0.05
0.71
0.47
0.48
0.37
-0.55
0.72
0.06
0.65
-0.13
0.53
-0.36
0.44
-0.01
0.40
-0.01
-0.26
-1.05
0.00
-0.03
1.00
-0.30
0.00
1.68
0.10
-0.29
0.40
-0.19
0.58
0.31
0.36
-0.08
-0.78
0.42
0.29
0.70
-0.21
0.42
-0.36
0.28
-0.06
0.31
-0.01
-0.38
-1.36
-0.08
-0.07
0.98
0.15
0.02
1.72
0.12
-0.33
0.36
-0.34
0.50
0.20
0.30
-0.33
-0.90
0.27
0.45
0.83
-0.24
0.43
-0.33
0.16
-0.09
0.34
0.05
-0.29
-1.41
-0.04
-0.12
0.99
0.27
0.10
1.75
0.22
-0.23
0.38
-0.45
0.46
0.12
0.28
-0.47
-0.90
0.28
0.62
0.97
-0.22
0.39
-0.41
0.05
-0.14
0.36
0.06
-0.25
-1.37
-0.02
-0.18
1.01
0.36
0.18
1.81
0.31
-0.15
0.43
-0.54
0.46
0.08
0.28
-0.65
-0.78
0.33
0.71
1.10
-0.18
0.34
-0.52
-0.01
-0.17
0.37
0.05
-0.27
-1.41
-0.02
-0.18
1.05
0.50
0.16
1.85
0.42
-0.19
0.47
-0.59
0.45
0.07
0.28
-0.84
-0.63
0.33
0.72
1.23
-0.19
0.35
-0.51
-0.05
-0.20
0.38
-0.11
-0.28
-1.27
-0.02
-0.10
1.09
0.55
0.21
1.87
0.59
-0.16
0.48
-0.58
0.44
0.10
0.27
-1.00
-0.54
0.31
0.70
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
1.52
2.57
1.46
0.79
2.75
2.22
1.34
1.64
1.72
1.48
2.42
1.28
0.81
2.79
2.21
1.28
1.61
1.67
1.36
2.12
0.90
0.69
2.72
2.04
1.12
1.46
1.50
1.22
1.92
0.60
0.57
2.68
1.94
0.93
1.35
1.32
1.14
1.77
0.36
0.49
2.67
1.87
0.78
1.24
1.19
1.10
1.61
0.16
0.46
2.64
1.82
0.66
1.17
1.08
1.11
1.51
0.01
0.44
2.62
1.78
0.60
1.12
1.03
1.17
1.47
-0.11
0.45
2.61
1.76
0.59
1.10
1.01
1.25
1.45
-0.16
0.52
2.61
1.77
0.59
1.13
1.00
1.35
1.45
-0.14
0.65
2.61
1.79
0.61
1.18
0.99
Latin America and the Caribbean
164
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
1.13
0.92
1.82
0.91
0.94
1.40
1.70
0.26
2.63
0.71
1.85
1.38
0.98
0.39
1.60
1.07
0.88
1.87
0.83
0.87
1.33
1.64
0.13
2.58
0.72
1.83
1.42
0.94
0.37
1.51
0.89
0.78
1.81
0.62
0.62
1.13
1.50
-0.11
2.36
0.74
1.66
1.27
0.82
0.38
1.30
0.74
0.69
1.76
0.41
0.39
0.97
1.37
-0.19
2.14
0.52
1.55
1.12
0.59
0.28
1.16
0.62
0.61
1.77
0.22
0.21
0.86
1.26
-0.20
2.05
0.40
1.52
1.01
0.48
0.21
1.05
0.53
0.52
1.79
0.06
0.05
0.78
1.19
-0.31
1.83
0.55
1.48
0.92
0.60
0.16
0.97
0.47
0.44
1.81
-0.07
-0.04
0.74
1.14
-0.23
1.77
0.70
1.46
0.86
0.59
0.13
0.91
0.46
0.42
1.85
-0.15
-0.11
0.73
1.12
-0.22
1.76
0.84
1.47
0.84
0.60
0.13
0.88
0.50
0.43
1.90
-0.18
-0.15
0.73
1.12
-0.23
1.74
1.00
1.49
0.85
0.62
0.15
0.88
0.55
0.44
1.92
-0.17
-0.13
0.74
1.13
-0.21
1.75
1.17
1.50
0.88
0.64
0.19
0.88
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
0.88
0.18
0.97
0.36
0.07
0.87
0.83
0.13
0.89
0.08
0.13
0.83
0.70
-0.03
0.63
-0.24
0.22
0.70
0.56
-0.23
0.44
-0.10
0.25
0.57
0.49
-0.30
0.33
-0.12
0.32
0.51
0.44
-0.22
0.20
0.17
0.38
0.47
0.40
-0.16
0.10
0.15
0.44
0.43
0.32
-0.18
-0.04
0.19
0.48
0.36
0.24
-0.20
-0.18
0.30
0.52
0.28
0.17
-0.19
-0.33
0.43
0.63
0.22
Oceania
1.48
1.44
1.32
1.23
1.22
1.18
1.18
1.20
1.23
1.29
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
1.28
1.31
1.08
1.20
1.23
1.02
1.01
1.04
0.87
0.87
0.90
0.72
0.80
0.82
0.65
0.65
0.66
0.56
0.52
0.53
0.52
0.41
0.40
0.46
0.28
0.26
0.39
0.16
0.13
0.33
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
2.17
0.86
1.39
2.34
2.33
2.37
2.16
0.73
1.36
2.33
2.30
2.34
2.12
0.55
1.23
2.27
2.35
2.25
2.08
0.54
1.05
2.20
2.41
2.16
2.08
0.51
0.95
2.19
2.43
2.09
2.11
0.65
0.81
2.19
2.50
2.04
2.14
0.83
0.69
2.21
2.57
2.01
2.18
0.98
0.60
2.23
2.61
1.98
2.21
1.11
0.51
2.25
2.64
1.98
2.24
1.18
0.45
2.26
2.65
1.98
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
0.99
1.34
1.69
0.50
0.39
0.26
0.44
0.85
1.30
1.33
1.78
1.26
1.39
0.74
0.25
1.18
1.28
1.21
1.66
1.70
1.49
0.55
-0.10
1.10
1.15
1.02
1.45
2.17
1.25
0.38
-0.57
0.78
1.14
0.92
1.47
2.09
1.39
0.26
-1.17
0.63
1.25
0.88
1.48
2.50
1.57
0.23
-1.68
0.55
1.34
0.87
1.42
2.82
1.53
0.24
-1.84
0.38
1.44
0.86
1.42
2.81
1.67
0.30
-1.77
0.22
1.56
0.82
1.46
2.85
1.83
0.33
-2.12
0.20
1.66
0.82
1.46
2.89
1.88
0.36
-2.42
0.14
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
0.86
0.11
0.68
1.15
-2.69
0.95
2.23
0.60
0.32
-0.49
1.01
0.94
0.74
1.07
-1.78
0.97
2.25
1.17
0.60
0.12
1.03
0.99
0.81
0.80
0.52
1.20
1.42
1.40
1.04
0.45
1.10
0.81
0.92
0.59
0.72
1.67
0.94
1.54
0.92
0.45
1.12
0.87
0.91
0.47
0.76
1.73
1.32
1.54
1.69
0.53
1.47
1.15
0.77
0.34
0.85
2.37
1.64
2.11
2.03
0.57
1.67
1.33
0.72
0.29
0.94
2.61
1.75
2.28
1.93
0.60
1.76
1.51
0.72
0.27
0.97
2.60
1.95
2.24
1.87
0.67
1.87
1.67
0.69
0.27
0.94
2.60
1.97
2.24
1.88
0.65
1.98
1.79
0.72
0.32
0.90
2.62
1.95
2.26
1.76
0.65
a
b
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
165
Table A.16. Average annual rate of population change by major area, region and country (continued)
Constant-fertility variant
Annual rate of change (per cent)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
166
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country:
estimates, 1990-2010
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
5 320 817 5 408 909 5 494 900 5 578 865 5 661 086 5 741 822 5 821 017 5 898 688 5 975 304 6 051 478
1 148 278 1 153 934 1 159 264 1 164 280 1 169 010 1 173 484 1 177 704 1 181 697 1 185 559 1 189 413
4 172 538 4 254 975 4 335 635 4 414 585 4 492 077 4 568 339 4 643 313 4 716 991 4 789 744 4 862 065
509 354
523 679
538 605
553 954
569 481
585 010
600 469
615 907
631 423
647 167
3 663 184 3 731 296 3 797 031 3 860 631 3 922 596 3 983 329 4 042 844 4 101 084 4 158 322 4 214 898
2 980 723 3 045 319 3 109 860 3 174 327 3 238 737 3 303 109 3 367 416 3 431 652 3 495 886 3 560 214
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
490 115
503 697
517 534
531 633
546 009
560 675
575 644
590 930
606 560
622 565
Africa
629 987
646 850
663 971
681 313
698 832
716 505
734 327
752 336
770 604
789 232
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
198 386
5 606
413
590
3 273
48 043
23 446
11 546
9 447
1 056
92
13 568
611
7 215
69
6 322
5 764
17 535
25 485
7 845
10 462
203 643
5 750
423
613
3 312
49 744
24 237
11 898
9 658
1 068
98
13 894
622
6 974
70
6 320
5 698
18 156
26 337
8 038
10 733
208 770
5 883
433
629
3 332
51 526
25 037
12 264
9 759
1 083
104
14 350
635
6 545
71
6 294
5 589
18 788
27 236
8 229
10 981
213 930
6 004
444
642
3 345
53 358
25 839
12 644
9 801
1 098
110
14 893
648
6 066
73
6 269
5 475
19 430
28 157
8 423
11 211
219 352
6 112
455
653
3 366
55 200
26 635
13 040
9 852
1 114
116
15 453
661
5 728
74
6 279
5 411
20 081
29 067
8 625
11 429
225 197
6 210
466
664
3 408
57 024
27 418
13 453
9 964
1 129
122
15 982
674
5 664
75
6 346
5 434
20 741
29 944
8 841
11 639
231 534
6 294
478
676
3 473
58 815
28 186
13 883
10 153
1 142
128
16 463
686
5 930
76
6 481
5 561
21 408
30 780
9 073
11 846
238 307
6 370
490
688
3 560
60 584
28 944
14 329
10 404
1 155
133
16 915
699
6 471
77
6 673
5 779
22 085
31 586
9 320
12 046
245 411
6 448
502
700
3 668
62 354
29 702
14 790
10 700
1 166
138
17 351
712
7 170
78
6 905
6 061
22 780
32 378
9 577
12 230
252 680
6 545
515
712
3 795
64 159
30 479
15 263
11 013
1 176
144
17 798
724
7 853
79
7 149
6 362
23 508
33 183
9 839
12 385
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
70 000
10 334
12 070
2 913
5 952
2 383
34 911
374
947
117
72 384
10 653
12 430
2 980
6 143
2 447
36 253
386
973
120
74 954
11 003
12 797
3 051
6 339
2 512
37 731
400
999
123
77 609
11 372
13 169
3 125
6 542
2 578
39 257
413
1 026
126
80 215
11 743
13 547
3 201
6 756
2 648
40 712
428
1 053
128
82 676
12 105
13 930
3 276
6 980
2 721
42 013
442
1 080
130
84 953
12 452
14 317
3 350
7 216
2 798
43 123
456
1 109
132
87 088
12 791
14 709
3 425
7 463
2 878
44 078
471
1 137
134
89 179
13 138
15 108
3 498
7 724
2 961
44 961
487
1 167
136
91 366
13 511
15 514
3 570
8 003
3 044
45 889
502
1 196
137
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
139 872
26 240
56 337
4 260
24 675
20 009
8 135
217
143 153
26 894
57 388
4 360
25 128
20 841
8 319
224
146 437
27 535
58 371
4 459
25 570
21 772
8 499
231
149 680
28 158
59 308
4 558
26 000
22 745
8 672
238
152 823
28 753
60 232
4 654
26 421
23 683
8 834
246
155 830
29 315
61 168
4 748
26 833
24 530
8 983
253
158 684
29 845
62 124
4 837
27 237
25 263
9 117
261
161 406
30 345
63 094
4 924
27 632
25 904
9 237
268
164 044
30 820
64 084
5 009
28 014
26 491
9 347
278
166 668
31 276
65 098
5 093
28 374
27 085
9 451
290
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
42 053
1 384
1 598
1 415
36 793
863
43 099
1 425
1 628
1 466
37 694
887
44 197
1 465
1 660
1 514
38 650
908
45 308
1 505
1 693
1 559
39 623
926
46 382
1 545
1 725
1 606
40 562
944
47 382
1 583
1 754
1 654
41 427
963
48 294
1 621
1 779
1 705
42 204
985
49 130
1 657
1 802
1 758
42 907
1 007
49 910
1 692
1 822
1 810
43 558
1 029
50 666
1 725
1 840
1 857
44 196
1 048
179 675
184 571
189 614
194 786
200 061
205 419
210 862
216 404
222 060
227 853
Western Africa
168
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 Major area, region and country
6 127 700 6 204 147 6 280 854 6 357 992 6 435 706 6 514 095 6 593 228 6 673 106 6 753 649 6 834 722 6 916 183 World
1 193 355 1 197 397 1 201 540 1 205 842 1 210 369 1 215 149 1 220 229 1 225 557 1 230 943 1 236 131 1 240 935
4 934 346 5 006 750 5 079 314 5 152 149 5 225 337 5 298 945 5 372 999 5 447 549 5 522 706 5 598 590 5 675 249
663 251 679 713 696 511 713 593 730 873 748 299 765 849 783 568 801 552 819 934 838 807
4 271 094 4 327 037 4 382 803 4 438 556 4 494 463 4 550 646 4 607 150 4 663 981 4 721 154 4 778 657 4 836 442
3 624 715 3 689 428 3 754 365 3 819 544 3 884 975 3 950 676 4 016 622 4 082 845 4 149 487 4 216 735 4 284 697
831 464
Less dev. regions, excl. China
638 974
655 801
673 067
690 821
709 119
728 004
747 493
767 584
788 280
808 304
827 848
847 882
868 465
889 664
911 528
934 079
957 318
981 243 1 005 838 1 031 084
260 001
6 674
528
723
3 939
66 024
31 285
15 745
11 321
1 185
149
18 276
736
8 396
80
7 385
6 653
24 276
34 021
10 101
12 504
267 346
6 839
542
734
4 102
67 957
32 126
16 236
11 623
1 193
154
18 786
748
8 760
81
7 609
6 924
25 088
34 895
10 362
12 587
274 767
7 038
556
744
4 282
69 948
33 001
16 736
11 927
1 199
159
19 320
759
8 988
83
7 826
7 187
25 943
35 806
10 625
12 641
282 317
7 264
570
755
4 473
71 990
33 905
17 245
12 239
1 204
164
19 873
770
9 126
84
8 038
7 450
26 838
36 761
10 895
12 673
290 078
7 511
585
766
4 666
74 066
34 835
17 763
12 569
1 209
170
20 439
780
9 254
86
8 250
7 730
27 767
37 765
11 175
12 693
298 112
7 770
601
777
4 854
76 167
35 786
18 290
12 925
1 213
175
21 010
791
9 429
87
8 467
8 039
28 725
38 824
11 470
12 711
306 423
8 043
617
788
5 035
78 291
36 757
18 826
13 308
1 217
181
21 587
802
9 661
88
8 688
8 377
29 711
39 942
11 782
12 724
315 001
8 328
633
799
5 210
80 441
37 752
19 371
13 714
1 220
186
22 171
813
9 928
89
8 911
8 737
30 729
41 120
12 110
12 740
323 872
8 624
649
810
5 382
82 621
38 773
19 927
14 138
1 223
192
22 763
823
10 223
90
9 140
9 118
31 779
42 354
12 457
12 784
333 064
8 927
666
822
5 558
84 838
39 825
20 496
14 573
1 227
198
23 361
834
10 530
91
9 381
9 521
32 864
43 640
12 825
12 889
342 595
9 233
683
834
5 741
87 095
40 909
21 080
15 014
1 231
204
23 967
845
10 837
91
9 636
9 941
33 987
44 973
13 217
13 077
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
93 751
13 925
15 928
3 638
8 301
3 126
46 949
518
1 226
139
96 365
14 385
16 350
3 704
8 621
3 206
48 167
535
1 255
142
99 178
14 887
16 782
3 767
8 960
3 284
49 517
551
1 285
144
102 153
15 421
17 223
3 830
9 311
3 363
50 972
569
1 316
147
105 230
15 977
17 675
3 894
9 665
3 449
52 487
586
1 347
151
108 366
16 544
18 138
3 961
10 014
3 543
54 028
604
1 379
155
111 554
17 122
18 612
4 032
10 357
3 647
55 591
622
1 413
159
114 809
17 713
19 098
4 107
10 694
3 759
57 188
640
1 447
163
118 130
18 314
19 595
4 185
11 031
3 876
58 819
658
1 483
168
121 519
18 927
20 104
4 266
11 371
3 995
60 486
677
1 519
173
124 978
19 549
20 624
4 350
11 721
4 112
62 191
696
1 556
178
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
169 331
31 719
66 137
5 176
28 710
27 730
9 553
306
172 047
32 150
67 204
5 259
29 021
28 435
9 652
326
174 815
32 573
68 303
5 340
29 311
29 186
9 750
351
177 645
33 003
69 432
5 423
29 587
29 974
9 847
378
180 545
33 461
70 591
5 507
29 856
30 779
9 947
404
183 523
33 961
71 778
5 594
30 125
31 586
10 051
428
186 586
34 507
72 991
5 686
30 395
32 398
10 160
448
189 734
35 097
74 230
5 782
30 667
33 218
10 274
466
192 963
35 725
75 492
5 877
30 955
34 040
10 391
482
196 262
36 383
76 775
5 964
31 277
34 853
10 511
498
199 620
37 063
78 076
6 041
31 642
35 652
10 632
515
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
51 420
1 755
1 856
1 898
44 846
1 064
52 174
1 783
1 872
1 931
45 513
1 075
52 923
1 809
1 885
1 958
46 188
1 082
53 670
1 833
1 899
1 981
46 869
1 088
54 418
1 855
1 912
2 003
47 553
1 095
55 169
1 876
1 926
2 027
48 235
1 105
55 927
1 896
1 940
2 053
48 919
1 118
56 689
1 915
1 956
2 081
49 603
1 135
57 438
1 934
1 972
2 111
50 267
1 154
58 148
1 952
1 990
2 143
50 890
1 174
58 803
1 969
2 009
2 179
51 452
1 193
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
233 803
239 916
246 199
252 681
259 392
266 358
273 589
281 085
288 840
296 844
305 088
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
809 576
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
Western Africa
169
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
5 001
8 811
352
12 116
917
14 629
6 020
1 017
2 103
7 964
2 024
7 754
95 617
6
7 514
4 043
3 788
5 183
9 050
360
12 530
949
15 043
6 352
1 041
2 066
8 130
2 081
8 004
98 085
5
7 750
4 053
3 888
5 378
9 297
369
12 951
980
15 472
6 734
1 065
2 029
8 323
2 141
8 270
100 592
5
7 991
4 032
3 985
5 582
9 552
379
13 375
1 008
15 907
7 136
1 089
2 006
8 535
2 203
8 553
103 145
5
8 235
3 991
4 082
5 787
9 817
390
13 799
1 037
16 339
7 514
1 114
2 019
8 759
2 267
8 852
105 753
5
8 476
3 952
4 181
5 986
10 090
399
14 217
1 066
16 761
7 837
1 140
2 080
8 989
2 334
9 167
108 425
5
8 712
3 927
4 284
6 176
10 373
409
14 632
1 096
17 169
8 095
1 165
2 198
9 222
2 404
9 500
111 166
5
8 940
3 920
4 392
6 361
10 665
418
15 042
1 127
17 568
8 296
1 192
2 365
9 462
2 476
9 850
113 979
5
9 164
3 928
4 504
6 546
10 968
426
15 436
1 159
17 969
8 457
1 218
2 558
9 712
2 550
10 216
116 867
5
9 388
3 962
4 621
6 740
11 282
434
15 802
1 193
18 384
8 601
1 246
2 742
9 977
2 628
10 596
119 832
5
9 619
4 030
4 741
3 213 123 3 270 765 3 326 386 3 380 074 3 432 105 3 482 719 3 531 856 3 579 497 3 625 999 3 671 836
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 379 415 1 398 450 1 415 758 1 431 395 1 445 557 1 458 428 1 469 966 1 480 185 1 489 415 1 498 093
1 165 429 1 183 008 1 198 875 1 213 104 1 225 922 1 237 531 1 247 897 1 257 022 1 265 223 1 272 915
5 794
5 856
5 911
5 969
6 044
6 144
6 275
6 431
6 592
6 733
360
369
378
385
392
398
405
412
419
425
20 194
20 510
20 838
21 166
21 479
21 764
22 017
22 241
22 445
22 642
122 249
122 703
123 180
123 659
124 102
124 483
124 795
125 049
125 267
125 481
2 184
2 218
2 244
2 263
2 281
2 298
2 317
2 336
2 356
2 376
42 972
43 364
43 721
44 049
44 357
44 653
44 941
45 221
45 489
45 742
20 232
20 422
20 612
20 800
20 982
21 156
21 319
21 474
21 625
21 778
South-Central Asia (7)
1 241 734 1 268 284 1 294 618 1 320 793 1 346 919 1 373 066 1 399 231 1 425 353 1 451 383 1 477 249
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
170
50 087
16 172
4 395
5 297
3 668
20 555
50 828
16 155
4 442
5 418
3 772
21 042
51 486
16 070
4 476
5 523
3 882
21 534
52 068
15 930
4 507
5 617
3 992
22 023
52 590
15 751
4 543
5 703
4 096
22 498
53 065
15 550
4 592
5 784
4 188
22 951
53 496
15 326
4 659
5 862
4 268
23 381
53 888
15 086
4 739
5 937
4 336
23 790
54 261
14 858
4 824
6 013
4 395
24 171
54 640
14 680
4 899
6 095
4 449
24 518
1 191 647 1 217 456 1 243 132 1 268 725 1 294 329 1 320 001 1 345 735 1 371 465 1 397 122 1 422 609
11 731
12 612
13 812
15 175
16 485
17 586
18 415
19 021
19 497
19 987
107 386
109 935
112 431
114 898
117 369
119 870
122 401
124 945
127 479
129 967
536
535
528
519
512
509
513
521
534
549
868 891
886 349
903 750
921 108
938 453
955 804
973 148
990 460 1 007 747 1 025 015
56 362
57 472
58 307
58 982
59 663
60 468
61 441
62 543
63 713
64 859
216
222
228
234
239
245
251
256
262
267
18 111
18 569
19 051
19 552
20 065
20 587
21 115
21 647
22 175
22 690
111 091
114 229
117 291
120 337
123 451
126 690
130 084
133 597
137 139
140 580
17 324
17 533
17 733
17 921
18 091
18 242
18 368
18 474
18 576
18 695
443 735
257
9 057
178 633
4 245
18 211
42 123
61 949
3 016
56 583
751
452 232
264
9 378
181 786
4 370
18 710
42 782
63 476
3 100
57 184
777
460 590
272
9 722
184 917
4 498
19 205
43 422
64 997
3 193
57 661
805
468 829
280
10 077
188 019
4 626
19 701
44 053
66 517
3 291
58 070
832
476 979
287
10 430
191 086
4 751
20 207
44 686
68 051
3 389
58 491
854
485 063
295
10 769
194 113
4 871
20 725
45 330
69 607
3 483
58 984
867
493 082
303
11 091
197 098
4 987
21 260
45 992
71 185
3 570
59 562
869
501 026
310
11 396
200 050
5 097
21 806
46 664
72 781
3 653
60 207
863
508 896
317
11 685
202 991
5 201
22 355
47 321
74 393
3 736
60 903
853
516 691
325
11 960
205 947
5 298
22 896
47 926
76 018
3 823
61 623
848
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
6 949
11 608
442
16 131
1 229
18 825
8 746
1 273
2 892
10 261
2 708
10 990
122 877
5
9 862
4 140
4 865
7 175
11 946
451
16 420
1 267
19 293
8 895
1 302
2 999
10 563
2 791
11 396
126 005
5
10 119
4 296
4 992
7 415
12 296
459
16 675
1 307
19 786
9 046
1 331
3 071
10 883
2 877
11 817
129 225
5
10 390
4 493
5 124
7 666
12 659
467
16 910
1 349
20 302
9 205
1 361
3 124
11 220
2 966
12 254
132 550
5
10 674
4 713
5 259
7 923
13 034
474
17 144
1 392
20 836
9 380
1 391
3 185
11 573
3 055
12 709
135 999
5
10 968
4 928
5 398
8 182
13 422
479
17 394
1 437
21 384
9 576
1 422
3 270
11 941
3 146
13 184
139 586
5
11 271
5 120
5 540
8 444
13 822
482
17 662
1 482
21 948
9 799
1 453
3 385
12 326
3 238
13 680
143 315
5
11 583
5 281
5 686
8 707
14 235
484
17 949
1 529
22 526
10 047
1 484
3 522
12 726
3 330
14 197
147 187
4
11 905
5 416
5 835
8 973
14 660
485
18 260
1 578
23 110
10 315
1 517
3 673
13 138
3 423
14 738
151 208
4
12 239
5 532
5 987
9 241
15 095
486
18 601
1 628
23 692
10 593
1 551
3 821
13 559
3 516
15 303
155 381
4
12 587
5 641
6 144
2010 Major area, region and country
9 510
15 540
488
18 977
1 681
24 263
10 876
1 587
3 958
13 986
3 609
15 894
159 708
4
12 951
5 752
6 306
3 717 372 3 762 760 3 808 002 3 853 120 3 898 086 3 942 882 3 987 509 4 032 014 4 076 463 4 120 930 4 165 440
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
1 506 561 1 514 952 1 523 283 1 531 639 1 540 072 1 548 621 1 557 334 1 566 233 1 575 283 1 584 418 1 593 571
1 280 429 1 287 890 1 295 322 1 302 810 1 310 414 1 318 177 1 326 146 1 334 344 1 342 733 1 351 248 1 359 821
6 835
6 893
6 912
6 907
6 897
6 897
6 911
6 935
6 968
7 007
7 050
432
438
444
451
459
468
480
493
508
522
535
22 840
23 043
23 248
23 449
23 639
23 813
23 970
24 112
24 244
24 372
24 501
125 715 125 974 126 249 126 524 126 773 126 979 127 136 127 249 127 319 127 353 127 353
2 397
2 420
2 443
2 469
2 496
2 527
2 559
2 595
2 633
2 672
2 713
45 977
46 193
46 394
46 592
46 801
47 033
47 291
47 573
47 868
48 165
48 454
21 935
22 101
22 271
22 438
22 593
22 728
22 840
22 933
23 010
23 080
23 146
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 502 898 1 528 331 1 553 546 1 578 472 1 603 026 1 627 159 1 650 817 1 674 047 1 697 023 1 719 985 1 743 101
South-Central Asia (7)
55 047
14 576
4 955
6 186
4 501
24 829
61 694
15 921
5 334
7 627
5 042
27 769
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1 447 851 1 472 844 1 497 581 1 521 984 1 545 959 1 569 455 1 592 412 1 614 879 1 637 041 1 659 157 1 681 407
20 595
21 348
22 203
23 116
24 019
24 861
25 631
26 349
27 032
27 708
28 398
132 383 134 730 137 006 139 186 141 235 143 135 144 869 146 457 147 970 149 503 151 125
564
581
598
616
634
650
666
679
692
705
717
1 042 262 1 059 501 1 076 706 1 093 787 1 110 626 1 127 144 1 143 289 1 159 095 1 174 662 1 190 138 1 205 625
65 911
66 858
67 727
68 543
69 342
70 152
70 977
71 809
72 661
73 543
74 462
273
278
283
288
293
298
303
308
314
320
326
23 184
23 655
24 103
24 526
24 922
25 292
25 634
25 950
26 249
26 545
26 846
143 832 146 857 149 694 152 420 155 151 157 971 160 906 163 928 167 008 170 094 173 149
18 846
19 037
19 261
19 502
19 738
19 951
20 138
20 302
20 452
20 602
20 759
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
524 410
332
12 223
208 939
5 388
23 421
48 453
77 652
3 918
62 343
854
55 487
14 559
4 988
6 289
4 552
25 099
532 062
339
12 473
211 970
5 470
23 926
48 894
79 298
4 023
63 069
871
55 965
14 623
5 003
6 404
4 600
25 334
539 649
346
12 709
215 038
5 545
24 414
49 261
80 954
4 136
63 798
899
56 489
14 748
5 009
6 530
4 648
25 554
547 154
354
12 934
218 146
5 619
24 891
49 577
82 605
4 255
64 488
933
57 067
14 902
5 019
6 664
4 697
25 784
554 555
361
13 149
221 294
5 699
25 365
49 875
84 231
4 375
65 087
967
57 704
15 064
5 042
6 806
4 748
26 044
561 840
368
13 356
224 481
5 791
25 843
50 181
85 821
4 496
65 559
996
58 406
15 227
5 082
6 955
4 802
26 341
568 993
375
13 555
227 710
5 896
26 327
50 500
87 367
4 614
65 884
1 018
59 169
15 396
5 134
7 111
4 858
26 669
576 031
381
13 747
230 973
6 013
26 814
50 829
88 876
4 732
66 077
1 036
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
59 982
15 568
5 197
7 275
4 918
27 023
583 012
388
13 941
234 243
6 139
27 302
51 174
90 371
4 849
66 185
1 050
60 828
15 744
5 265
7 447
4 979
27 393
590 017
394
14 144
237 487
6 268
27 790
51 540
91 886
4 964
66 277
1 064
597 097
401
14 365
240 676
6 396
28 276
51 931
93 444
5 079
66 402
1 079
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
171
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Viet Nam .............................................
68 910
70 403
71 899
73 363
74 748
76 020
77 167
78 199
79 141
80 028
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
148 239
3 545
7 217
496
767
5 460
17 518
4 499
3 358
2 060
2 703
1 810
477
16 206
2 081
12 452
53 995
1 806
11 790
151 799
3 512
7 333
510
783
5 418
18 010
4 642
3 538
2 000
2 752
1 885
485
16 740
2 169
12 818
54 911
1 908
12 385
155 419
3 449
7 451
523
801
5 346
18 547
4 807
3 743
1 890
2 822
1 966
490
17 264
2 266
13 188
55 815
2 013
13 041
159 057
3 370
7 567
536
819
5 253
19 124
4 986
3 956
1 759
2 901
2 044
492
17 758
2 370
13 563
56 713
2 121
13 727
162 650
3 290
7 675
549
837
5 156
19 732
5 164
4 154
1 648
2 975
2 109
495
18 197
2 481
13 946
57 613
2 232
14 397
166 161
3 223
7 771
564
855
5 067
20 363
5 332
4 320
1 586
3 033
2 155
501
18 567
2 598
14 338
58 522
2 346
15 018
169 577
3 173
7 852
580
873
4 990
21 017
5 486
4 451
1 585
3 071
2 176
512
18 848
2 722
14 746
59 443
2 471
15 579
172 932
3 138
7 922
597
891
4 922
21 694
5 630
4 552
1 636
3 093
2 178
529
19 061
2 852
15 169
60 372
2 609
16 088
176 305
3 113
7 984
618
908
4 862
22 387
5 764
4 631
1 722
3 114
2 171
550
19 283
2 981
15 591
61 308
2 753
16 564
179 802
3 094
8 048
641
925
4 803
23 091
5 891
4 699
1 818
3 157
2 172
572
19 621
3 100
15 996
62 244
2 894
17 036
723 248
725 255
726 928
728 243
729 179
729 743
729 911
729 736
729 396
729 127
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
310 763
10 260
8 821
10 326
10 385
38 150
4 364
23 372
148 149
5 278
51 659
311 258
10 271
8 745
10 330
10 370
38 255
4 375
23 356
148 578
5 298
51 679
311 399
10 265
8 654
10 336
10 365
38 343
4 379
23 294
148 798
5 317
51 648
311 221
10 246
8 552
10 342
10 364
38 411
4 375
23 197
148 843
5 335
51 555
310 782
10 220
8 452
10 344
10 361
38 457
4 361
23 083
148 764
5 351
51 390
310 133
10 189
8 358
10 339
10 352
38 480
4 339
22 964
148 602
5 363
51 147
309 292
10 156
8 275
10 328
10 335
38 480
4 308
22 842
148 375
5 372
50 821
308 271
10 121
8 200
10 311
10 311
38 461
4 269
22 717
148 080
5 379
50 422
307 106
10 081
8 131
10 291
10 283
38 429
4 222
22 596
147 716
5 384
49 974
305 840
10 035
8 066
10 270
10 253
38 390
4 168
22 485
147 276
5 386
49 511
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
92 113
141
5 140
1 565
48
4 987
255
3 531
70
2 664
3 697
4 240
8 559
57 214
92 358
142
5 154
1 549
47
5 009
257
3 538
71
2 645
3 699
4 262
8 617
57 367
92 583
142
5 171
1 523
47
5 035
260
3 549
71
2 611
3 689
4 286
8 678
57 520
92 793
143
5 191
1 491
46
5 061
262
3 566
71
2 569
3 672
4 310
8 738
57 674
93 000
143
5 211
1 460
45
5 086
265
3 587
72
2 525
3 650
4 334
8 789
57 833
93 212
144
5 233
1 433
44
5 108
267
3 611
72
2 488
3 628
4 360
8 827
57 997
93 431
145
5 254
1 413
44
5 126
270
3 638
73
2 458
3 606
4 386
8 849
58 169
93 658
146
5 277
1 397
44
5 141
273
3 670
74
2 435
3 583
4 413
8 859
58 347
93 895
147
5 299
1 386
45
5 153
276
3 707
75
2 415
3 559
4 440
8 861
58 534
94 149
148
5 319
1 376
46
5 165
278
3 751
76
2 395
3 531
4 466
8 864
58 735
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
143 387
3 447
55
4 527
4 794
27
10 161
1
56 832
143 599
3 460
57
4 374
4 799
27
10 247
1
56 855
143 769
3 447
59
4 143
4 788
27
10 350
1
56 894
143 912
3 417
61
3 883
4 762
27
10 462
1
56 937
144 045
3 384
63
3 659
4 729
27
10 572
1
56 964
144 187
3 358
64
3 521
4 690
27
10 672
1
56 967
144 335
3 341
64
3 486
4 648
27
10 758
1
56 937
144 501
3 331
64
3 536
4 602
27
10 834
1
56 887
144 735
3 325
64
3 641
4 555
27
10 897
1
56 850
145 098
3 318
64
3 752
4 512
27
10 948
1
56 873
Europe
172
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
80 888
81 729
82 548
83 353
84 151
84 948
85 748
86 553
87 369
88 200
89 047
Viet Nam .............................................
183 503
3 076
8 118
668
943
4 744
23 801
6 014
4 767
1 906
3 235
2 193
594
20 145
3 205
16 371
63 174
3 026
17 523
187 415
3 060
8 195
699
961
4 682
24 517
6 130
4 835
1 981
3 358
2 239
612
20 892
3 292
16 701
64 100
3 132
18 030
191 524
3 047
8 280
733
980
4 622
25 238
6 239
4 903
2 048
3 516
2 308
630
21 825
3 364
16 995
65 022
3 224
18 551
195 855
3 036
8 370
772
998
4 565
25 960
6 349
4 984
2 116
3 690
2 389
660
22 852
3 427
17 298
65 938
3 369
19 081
200 433
3 026
8 465
821
1 016
4 515
26 674
6 468
5 092
2 196
3 854
2 464
720
23 839
3 490
17 676
66 846
3 659
19 613
205 261
3 015
8 563
880
1 033
4 475
27 377
6 604
5 239
2 296
3 987
2 522
821
24 690
3 560
18 167
67 743
4 149
20 140
210 364
3 003
8 665
951
1 048
4 446
28 064
6 759
5 429
2 417
4 080
2 555
968
25 372
3 639
18 805
68 626
4 876
20 662
215 703
2 990
8 770
1 032
1 063
4 426
28 741
6 930
5 656
2 555
4 140
2 570
1 152
25 916
3 725
19 561
69 497
5 797
21 182
221 145
2 977
8 878
1 116
1 077
4 413
29 430
7 107
5 911
2 702
4 186
2 594
1 359
26 366
3 818
20 346
70 364
6 799
21 704
226 511
2 968
8 986
1 192
1 091
4 401
30 163
7 274
6 181
2 850
4 247
2 663
1 564
26 796
3 914
21 032
71 241
7 718
22 230
231 671
2 963
9 095
1 252
1 104
4 389
30 962
7 420
6 455
2 992
4 341
2 803
1 750
27 258
4 013
21 533
72 138
8 442
22 763
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
729 105
729 384
729 934
730 744
731 770
732 970
734 361
735 929
737 546
739 047
740 308
304 512
9 981
8 001
10 250
10 224
38 351
4 107
22 388
146 763
5 388
49 057
303 127
9 920
7 935
10 231
10 196
38 315
4 041
22 310
146 170
5 388
48 621
301 714
9 853
7 870
10 214
10 169
38 281
3 969
22 250
145 521
5 388
48 201
300 360
9 784
7 807
10 204
10 142
38 250
3 896
22 202
144 880
5 387
47 807
299 172
9 720
7 745
10 208
10 118
38 225
3 828
22 158
144 331
5 388
47 450
298 222
9 665
7 683
10 231
10 096
38 206
3 767
22 113
143 933
5 391
47 136
297 554
9 620
7 623
10 275
10 077
38 194
3 716
22 065
143 715
5 397
46 871
297 136
9 585
7 563
10 338
10 061
38 189
3 673
22 016
143 652
5 406
46 653
296 863
9 556
7 504
10 412
10 046
38 190
3 637
21 965
143 677
5 415
46 461
296 583
9 526
7 446
10 486
10 031
38 194
3 604
21 913
143 690
5 425
46 267
296 183
9 491
7 389
10 554
10 015
38 199
3 573
21 861
143 618
5 433
46 050
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
94 423
149
5 338
1 366
46
5 176
281
3 804
77
2 371
3 498
4 492
8 872
58 951
94 718
150
5 355
1 357
47
5 188
284
3 866
78
2 345
3 462
4 515
8 888
59 184
95 035
151
5 369
1 348
48
5 200
287
3 936
78
2 317
3 421
4 537
8 911
59 432
95 381
152
5 383
1 339
48
5 213
290
4 011
79
2 288
3 378
4 560
8 942
59 698
95 764
153
5 399
1 332
49
5 228
293
4 086
80
2 258
3 333
4 588
8 981
59 984
96 188
154
5 418
1 325
49
5 246
297
4 158
80
2 228
3 287
4 624
9 030
60 291
96 656
155
5 441
1 319
49
5 268
301
4 226
81
2 197
3 239
4 669
9 090
60 621
97 164
156
5 468
1 313
50
5 292
305
4 291
82
2 167
3 190
4 721
9 159
60 970
97 700
158
5 496
1 308
50
5 318
309
4 352
83
2 138
3 143
4 778
9 235
61 333
98 248
159
5 524
1 303
50
5 344
314
4 410
83
2 112
3 102
4 836
9 310
61 701
98 795
160
5 551
1 299
50
5 368
318
4 468
84
2 091
3 068
4 891
9 382
62 066
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
145 630
3 305
65
3 834
4 475
27
10 987
1
56 986
146 347
3 286
68
3 879
4 447
28
11 013
1
57 200
147 227
3 264
72
3 898
4 426
28
11 026
1
57 501
148 222
3 239
76
3 896
4 411
28
11 032
1
57 868
149 263
3 216
79
3 887
4 400
29
11 035
1
58 267
150 295
3 196
81
3 880
4 389
29
11 042
1
58 672
151 307
3 180
82
3 875
4 379
29
11 053
1
59 078
152 295
3 166
81
3 869
4 369
29
11 067
1
59 486
153 220
3 157
80
3 861
4 360
29
11 083
1
59 874
154 036
3 151
79
3 853
4 350
29
11 098
1
60 220
154 712
3 150
78
3 846
4 338
29
11 110
1
60 509
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2010 Major area, region and country
Europe
173
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
375
615
9 899
24
9 735
2 004
38 883
2 010
380
616
9 920
24
9 857
2 005
38 973
2 005
384
617
9 955
25
10 003
2 003
39 080
1 993
388
616
10 001
25
10 156
2 000
39 197
1 979
392
616
10 050
25
10 286
1 995
39 312
1 969
396
615
10 097
26
10 375
1 992
39 421
1 967
399
614
10 141
26
10 415
1 990
39 514
1 975
401
613
10 182
26
10 413
1 989
39 604
1 992
404
612
10 223
26
10 378
1 989
39 730
2 013
406
611
10 264
27
10 328
1 989
39 945
2 034
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
176 985
7 670
9 978
56 846
80 487
29
382
29
14 890
6 674
178 040
7 726
10 011
57 098
81 026
29
386
30
14 993
6 740
179 177
7 797
10 050
57 339
81 625
30
391
30
15 101
6 814
180 317
7 872
10 091
57 570
82 225
30
397
30
15 211
6 890
181 352
7 938
10 130
57 792
82 750
30
402
30
15 318
6 960
182 211
7 985
10 162
58 009
83 148
31
408
31
15 420
7 017
182 852
8 009
10 187
58 216
83 389
31
414
31
15 515
7 060
183 306
8 014
10 206
58 418
83 491
32
420
31
15 603
7 090
183 659
8 009
10 223
58 636
83 501
32
426
32
15 688
7 114
184 041
8 008
10 242
58 895
83 491
33
431
32
15 773
7 137
445 203
453 442
461 687
469 928
478 152
486 345
494 505
502 618
510 647
518 545
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
34 262
8
62
62
256
259
16
13
25
10 601
147
71
7 245
96
385
7 110
2 365
358
11
3 518
41
138
108
29
1 222
12
103
34 718
9
62
65
261
260
17
13
26
10 685
146
71
7 392
96
389
7 255
2 381
361
11
3 552
41
140
108
30
1 230
12
104
35 170
9
63
68
266
261
17
14
27
10 758
146
71
7 540
97
393
7 400
2 399
363
11
3 587
41
142
108
32
1 237
13
104
35 614
9
65
72
271
262
18
14
29
10 822
146
71
7 688
98
396
7 545
2 419
365
11
3 623
42
144
108
34
1 244
14
105
36 050
10
67
77
276
262
18
15
30
10 879
145
71
7 834
99
399
7 691
2 440
366
11
3 657
42
145
108
35
1 250
15
106
36 475
10
68
80
280
263
18
15
32
10 932
144
71
7 978
100
403
7 838
2 462
369
10
3 690
43
147
108
35
1 255
15
107
36 889
10
70
83
284
264
19
15
34
10 981
142
71
8 119
101
407
7 987
2 485
371
9
3 719
43
149
108
35
1 258
16
108
37 291
10
72
85
287
265
19
15
36
11 024
140
71
8 256
101
412
8 136
2 509
375
8
3 747
44
151
108
34
1 261
17
108
37 681
11
74
87
290
265
20
15
38
11 064
137
70
8 393
101
416
8 286
2 534
378
7
3 770
44
153
108
33
1 263
17
108
38 063
11
76
89
293
266
20
15
40
11 102
134
70
8 528
101
421
8 433
2 559
381
6
3 787
45
155
108
32
1 265
18
108
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
115 106
188
3 079
5 344
8 890
4 904
86 077
4 138
2 487
117 579
191
3 156
5 425
9 099
5 042
87 890
4 237
2 539
120 126
195
3 234
5 511
9 313
5 181
89 758
4 342
2 592
122 711
198
3 312
5 597
9 533
5 320
91 654
4 450
2 646
125 287
202
3 394
5 678
9 756
5 457
93 542
4 557
2 701
127 818
207
3 478
5 748
9 984
5 592
95 393
4 659
2 757
130 297
212
3 567
5 807
10 215
5 724
97 202
4 757
2 815
132 725
218
3 658
5 855
10 450
5 853
98 969
4 849
2 873
135 091
225
3 751
5 895
10 691
5 980
100 679
4 937
2 933
137 383
232
3 842
5 929
10 942
6 107
102 317
5 021
2 994
Latin America and the Caribbean
174
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
408
611
10 306
27
10 272
1 990
40 283
2 052
409
612
10 351
27
10 215
1 990
40 757
2 065
410
612
10 396
28
10 154
1 990
41 347
2 074
412
613
10 439
29
10 090
1 991
42 016
2 081
413
615
10 478
29
10 024
1 995
42 710
2 086
415
616
10 511
30
9 956
2 000
43 387
2 090
417
617
10 537
30
9 889
2 009
44 038
2 094
419
618
10 556
30
9 824
2 020
44 664
2 097
421
619
10 570
31
9 761
2 032
45 243
2 099
423
619
10 581
31
9 702
2 044
45 754
2 101
425
620
10 590
31
9 647
2 054
46 182
2 102
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
184 541
8 020
10 268
59 213
83 512
33
436
32
15 860
7 166
185 191
8 049
10 301
59 601
83 583
33
440
32
15 950
7 201
185 958
8 092
10 339
60 048
83 685
34
444
33
16 042
7 242
186 780
8 142
10 385
60 528
83 788
34
447
33
16 134
7 289
187 571
8 193
10 441
61 003
83 849
34
452
33
16 221
7 345
188 265
8 239
10 508
61 445
83 836
35
458
34
16 302
7 409
188 844
8 277
10 588
61 845
83 740
35
466
34
16 376
7 482
189 333
8 311
10 678
62 211
83 579
35
476
35
16 443
7 565
189 763
8 342
10 773
62 553
83 380
36
487
36
16 504
7 653
190 180
8 372
10 862
62 888
83 183
36
498
36
16 561
7 743
190 618
8 402
10 941
63 231
83 017
36
508
37
16 615
7 831
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
526 278
533 838
541 231
548 468
555 567
562 546
569 400
576 136
582 806
589 476
596 191
38 436
11
78
91
298
267
21
14
42
11 138
132
70
8 663
102
425
8 578
2 582
384
5
3 797
46
157
108
31
1 268
19
109
38 801
11
79
93
303
268
21
14
43
11 175
130
70
8 799
102
430
8 720
2 605
387
5
3 799
46
159
108
32
1 272
20
109
39 159
12
80
95
309
270
22
14
45
11 212
129
70
8 935
102
433
8 860
2 627
390
4
3 795
47
160
108
33
1 278
22
108
39 506
12
81
97
316
271
22
14
46
11 246
128
70
9 071
102
437
8 996
2 647
392
4
3 785
48
162
108
34
1 284
23
108
39 842
12
82
99
322
272
23
14
47
11 273
128
70
9 207
103
441
9 130
2 666
394
5
3 773
48
163
109
36
1 290
25
108
40 163
13
83
100
329
274
23
14
49
11 292
129
71
9 343
103
444
9 261
2 682
396
5
3 761
49
165
109
37
1 297
26
108
40 470
13
83
101
336
275
24
15
50
11 301
132
71
9 479
103
447
9 389
2 696
398
5
3 750
50
168
109
39
1 303
28
107
40 764
13
84
101
342
276
25
15
51
11 302
135
71
9 615
104
450
9 514
2 708
399
5
3 739
50
170
109
40
1 310
29
107
41 051
13
85
101
348
278
26
16
53
11 296
139
71
9 750
104
453
9 638
2 719
399
5
3 729
51
173
109
41
1 316
29
107
41 336
14
86
101
354
279
27
17
54
11 289
143
71
9 884
104
456
9 765
2 730
400
5
3 719
52
175
109
42
1 323
30
107
41 625
14
87
102
360
280
27
18
56
11 282
148
71
10 017
105
459
9 896
2 741
401
5
3 710
52
177
109
43
1 328
31
106
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
139 596
239
3 930
5 959
11 204
6 236
103 874
5 101
3 055
141 721
245
4 013
5 985
11 479
6 365
105 340
5 177
3 116
143 766
252
4 094
6 008
11 766
6 496
106 724
5 249
3 178
145 765
258
4 171
6 029
12 063
6 628
108 056
5 318
3 241
147 763
265
4 246
6 050
12 368
6 762
109 382
5 386
3 303
149 795
272
4 320
6 073
12 679
6 899
110 732
5 455
3 366
151 871
279
4 392
6 097
12 995
7 037
112 117
5 525
3 429
153 985
286
4 463
6 123
13 318
7 178
113 530
5 596
3 491
156 138
294
4 533
6 152
13 648
7 322
114 968
5 668
3 553
158 327
301
4 601
6 183
13 989
7 470
116 423
5 743
3 616
160 546
309
4 670
6 218
14 342
7 621
117 886
5 822
3 678
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2010 Major area, region and country
Latin America and the Caribbean
175
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
295 835
32 625
6 794
149 648
13 214
33 307
10 124
2
117
725
4 250
21 772
407
3 110
19 741
301 145
33 075
6 957
152 154
13 456
33 957
10 361
2
122
723
4 360
22 213
413
3 132
20 219
306 392
33 521
7 123
154 598
13 706
34 608
10 598
2
126
723
4 471
22 650
419
3 155
20 692
311 603
33 962
7 293
157 011
13 958
35 260
10 836
2
131
724
4 581
23 082
424
3 178
21 160
316 815
34 399
7 464
159 433
14 205
35 915
11 075
2
135
726
4 692
23 511
430
3 201
21 627
322 052
34 833
7 635
161 891
14 440
36 574
11 316
2
139
728
4 802
23 939
436
3 224
22 092
327 320
35 264
7 807
164 392
14 662
37 236
11 557
3
143
731
4 912
24 366
442
3 248
22 557
332 602
35 691
7 979
166 925
14 872
37 901
11 799
3
148
734
5 021
24 790
448
3 271
23 020
337 874
36 109
8 150
169 472
15 072
38 568
12 042
3
153
738
5 131
25 207
454
3 292
23 483
343 099
36 515
8 322
172 006
15 266
39 234
12 287
3
159
741
5 240
25 611
460
3 309
23 945
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
282 286
60
27 658
56
6
254 507
285 209
60
28 009
56
6
257 077
288 124
60
28 349
56
6
259 652
291 090
61
28 676
56
6
262 290
294 185
61
28 991
56
6
265 070
297 458
61
29 295
56
6
268 040
300 942
62
29 586
56
6
271 232
304 597
62
29 867
56
6
274 606
308 319
62
30 141
56
6
278 054
311 960
63
30 416
56
6
281 419
26 969
27 388
27 803
28 217
28 633
29 052
29 476
29 905
30 339
30 779
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
20 495
17 097
3 398
20 768
17 322
3 446
21 032
17 529
3 503
21 289
17 725
3 565
21 544
17 921
3 623
21 799
18 124
3 675
22 056
18 339
3 717
22 316
18 563
3 752
22 578
18 795
3 783
22 845
19 027
3 817
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
5 513
728
169
4 158
312
147
5 641
735
172
4 262
321
151
5 775
744
176
4 369
330
155
5 915
755
181
4 480
339
160
6 060
766
185
4 596
349
164
6 208
776
189
4 716
359
168
6 360
785
193
4 841
369
172
6 517
793
198
4 971
380
175
6 676
801
202
5 105
390
178
6 836
807
206
5 241
401
181
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
413
130
71
47
96
9
44
15
425
134
72
48
99
9
47
15
436
137
73
49
101
10
49
16
446
140
74
50
104
10
52
16
456
143
75
51
106
10
55
17
465
146
76
51
108
10
58
17
473
148
78
51
108
10
60
18
480
150
79
52
109
10
63
18
486
152
80
52
108
10
65
19
491
154
81
52
108
10
67
19
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
548
47
18
198
2
163
2
95
9
14
554
48
18
202
2
164
2
95
9
14
561
50
18
205
2
166
2
95
9
14
567
51
18
208
2
167
2
96
9
14
573
52
18
212
2
169
2
96
9
14
580
53
18
215
2
170
2
96
9
14
586
54
18
219
2
171
2
96
9
14
593
55
18
224
2
172
2
97
9
14
599
56
18
228
2
173
2
97
9
14
606
57
18
233
2
174
2
97
9
14
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
176
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010 Major area, region and country
348 246
36 903
8 495
174 505
15 454
39 898
12 533
3
165
744
5 350
26 000
467
3 321
24 408
353 315
37 273
8 669
176 968
15 639
40 559
12 781
3
172
748
5 461
26 372
473
3 327
24 870
358 306
37 628
8 843
179 394
15 820
41 216
13 030
3
179
751
5 571
26 730
480
3 328
25 334
363 197
37 970
9 017
181 753
15 996
41 872
13 280
3
187
754
5 682
27 073
487
3 325
25 797
367 962
38 309
9 188
184 010
16 168
42 528
13 529
3
195
757
5 793
27 404
493
3 324
26 261
372 588
38 648
9 355
186 142
16 338
43 184
13 777
3
202
761
5 904
27 723
500
3 325
26 726
377 059
38 989
9 517
188 134
16 505
43 841
14 024
3
208
765
6 015
28 031
505
3 330
27 191
381 387
39 331
9 676
189 997
16 669
44 498
14 268
3
214
770
6 125
28 328
510
3 338
27 656
385 617
39 676
9 834
191 766
16 831
45 153
14 512
3
220
776
6 236
28 626
515
3 349
28 120
389 814
40 024
9 993
193 491
16 992
45 803
14 756
3
225
781
6 347
28 934
520
3 360
28 583
394 021
40 374
10 157
195 210
17 151
46 445
15 001
3
231
786
6 460
29 263
525
3 372
29 043
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
315 417
63
30 697
56
6
284 594
318 645
63
30 987
56
6
287 533
321 680
63
31 284
57
6
290 270
324 601
64
31 592
57
6
292 883
327 528
64
31 914
57
6
295 487
330 546
64
32 253
57
6
298 166
333 681
64
32 611
57
6
300 943
336 900
65
32 986
57
6
303 787
340 154
65
33 370
57
6
306 657
343 372
65
33 753
57
6
309 492
346 501
65
34 126
57
6
312 247
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
31 224
31 672
32 125
32 593
33 090
33 623
34 198
34 808
35 437
36 059
36 659
23 117
19 259
3 858
23 394
19 487
3 907
23 677
19 715
3 962
23 974
19 953
4 021
24 298
20 218
4 079
24 655
20 521
4 134
25 051
20 866
4 185
25 479
21 246
4 233
25 923
21 645
4 278
26 360
22 037
4 323
26 773
22 404
4 368
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
6 998
812
210
5 379
412
185
7 160
815
214
5 519
424
189
7 323
816
218
5 660
435
194
7 487
817
221
5 803
446
199
7 655
819
225
5 948
458
204
7 826
822
229
6 096
469
209
8 002
828
232
6 246
481
215
8 181
835
236
6 398
492
220
8 363
844
239
6 551
504
225
8 546
852
243
6 705
515
231
8 729
861
246
6 859
526
236
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
495
155
83
52
107
10
68
19
498
156
84
52
107
10
69
19
500
157
86
52
107
10
68
20
501
158
87
52
107
10
68
20
502
158
89
52
107
10
66
20
502
158
90
52
106
10
64
20
501
158
92
52
106
10
62
20
499
158
93
52
105
10
60
20
498
158
95
52
104
10
57
20
497
159
96
52
104
10
55
20
498
159
98
52
104
10
54
20
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
613
58
18
237
2
175
2
98
9
14
619
58
18
241
2
176
2
99
9
15
625
59
18
245
2
177
1
99
10
14
631
59
19
249
2
178
1
100
10
14
636
59
19
252
2
179
1
100
10
14
641
59
19
255
2
180
1
101
10
14
645
59
20
258
2
181
1
102
10
14
649
58
20
260
2
182
1
102
10
14
653
57
20
263
2
183
1
103
10
14
656
56
20
265
2
185
1
104
10
14
660
56
20
268
1
186
1
104
10
14
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
Oceania
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
177
Table A.17. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
178
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country:
medium variant, 2011-2030
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
World
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
Africa
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
6 997 999 7 080 072 7 162 119 7 243 784 7 324 782 7 404 977 7 484 325 7 562 760 7 640 245 7 716 749
1 245 276 1 249 203 1 252 805 1 256 231 1 259 588 1 262 897 1 266 116
5 752 723 5 830 870 5 909 315 5 987 553 6 065 194 6 142 080 6 218 209
858 205
878 097
898 433
919 129
940 125
961 405
982 979
4 894 518 4 952 772 5 010 882 5 068 424 5 125 069 5 180 675 5 235 230
1 269 221
6 293 539
1 004 840
5 288 699
1 272 169
6 368 076
1 026 986
5 341 090
1 274 929
6 441 820
1 049 413
5 392 406
4 353 429 4 422 828 4 492 648 4 562 552 4 632 282 4 701 733 4 770 923 4 839 865 4 908 615 4 977 204
853 951
877 025
900 633
924 701
949 175
974 036
999 290 1 024 949 1 051 036 1 077 571
1 056 985 1 083 524 1 110 635 1 138 229 1 166 239 1 194 637 1 223 425 1 252 599 1 282 169 1 312 142
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
352 479
9 540
700
847
5 933
89 393
42 028
21 679
15 458
1 235
210
24 581
855
11 144
92
9 908
10 381
35 148
46 355
13 634
13 359
362 701
9 850
718
860
6 131
91 729
43 178
22 294
15 906
1 240
216
25 203
865
11 458
92
10 195
10 838
36 346
47 783
14 075
13 724
373 202
10 163
735
873
6 333
94 101
44 354
22 925
16 363
1 244
222
25 834
875
11 777
93
10 496
11 296
37 579
49 253
14 539
14 150
383 906
10 483
752
886
6 536
96 506
45 546
23 572
16 829
1 249
228
26 473
885
12 100
93
10 806
11 739
38 845
50 757
15 021
14 599
394 754
10 813
770
900
6 738
98 942
46 749
24 235
17 309
1 254
234
27 122
895
12 428
94
11 123
12 152
40 141
52 291
15 520
15 046
405 724
11 153
788
913
6 937
101 407
47 959
24 915
17 802
1 258
240
27 781
905
12 760
94
11 446
12 531
41 468
53 851
16 034
15 483
416 826
11 501
806
926
7 135
103 901
49 179
25 612
18 307
1 261
246
28 450
914
13 095
95
11 777
12 878
42 826
55 439
16 564
15 914
428 065
11 857
823
939
7 331
106 419
50 409
26 325
18 825
1 265
252
29 134
923
13 433
95
12 116
13 205
44 215
57 056
17 111
16 332
439 457
12 217
842
952
7 529
108 961
51 651
27 054
19 354
1 268
258
29 834
932
13 776
95
12 463
13 526
45 635
58 704
17 673
16 734
451 015
12 579
860
965
7 727
111 521
52 906
27 798
19 895
1 271
264
30 553
941
14 123
96
12 820
13 853
47 088
60 385
18 252
17 118
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
128 503
20 180
21 156
4 436
12 080
4 225
63 932
716
1 594
183
132 093
20 821
21 700
4 525
12 448
4 337
65 705
736
1 633
188
135 750
21 472
22 254
4 616
12 825
4 448
67 514
757
1 672
193
139 482
22 137
22 819
4 709
13 211
4 559
69 360
778
1 711
198
143 293
22 820
23 393
4 803
13 606
4 671
71 246
799
1 751
203
147 182
23 521
23 977
4 898
14 009
4 785
73 173
821
1 791
208
151 150
24 238
24 571
4 993
14 422
4 901
75 137
843
1 832
213
155 195
24 971
25 174
5 090
14 846
5 019
77 140
865
1 872
217
159 315
25 717
25 785
5 188
15 283
5 141
79 178
887
1 913
222
163 510
26 475
26 405
5 286
15 733
5 268
81 252
909
1 955
227
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
203 034
37 763
79 392
6 103
32 059
36 431
10 753
532
206 499
38 482
80 722
6 155
32 521
37 195
10 875
549
210 002
39 208
82 056
6 202
33 008
37 964
10 997
567
213 529
39 929
83 387
6 253
33 493
38 764
11 117
586
217 064
40 633
84 706
6 317
33 955
39 613
11 235
604
220 602
41 316
86 010
6 395
34 388
40 519
11 351
623
224 135
41 977
87 298
6 484
34 795
41 474
11 464
643
227 650
42 615
88 569
6 580
35 182
42 468
11 574
662
231 133
43 232
89 824
6 676
35 561
43 481
11 680
679
234 571
43 830
91 062
6 767
35 936
44 499
11 783
694
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
59 395
1 987
2 030
2 218
51 949
1 212
59 932
2 004
2 052
2 259
52 386
1 231
60 425
2 021
2 074
2 303
52 776
1 250
60 891
2 039
2 098
2 348
53 140
1 268
61 346
2 056
2 120
2 392
53 491
1 286
61 791
2 075
2 142
2 436
53 835
1 303
62 225
2 093
2 163
2 479
54 170
1 320
62 651
2 112
2 184
2 522
54 496
1 336
63 070
2 131
2 205
2 565
54 816
1 352
63 484
2 150
2 226
2 609
55 131
1 368
313 573
322 300
331 255
340 421
349 783
359 338
369 088
379 038
389 194
399 562
Western Africa
180
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030 Major area, region and country
7 792 209 7 866 580 7 939 877 8 012 143 8 083 413 8 153 677 8 222 927 8 291 193 8 358 519 8 424 937 World
1 277 500
6 514 710
1 072 111
5 442 598
1 279 897
6 586 683
1 095 068
5 491 615
1 282 129
6 657 748
1 118 274
5 539 474
1 284 212
6 727 931
1 141 720
5 586 211
1 286 157
6 797 256
1 165 399
5 631 857
1 287 969
6 865 708
1 189 301
5 676 407
1 289 649
6 933 278
1 213 421
5 719 857
1 291 198
6 999 995
1 237 752
5 762 243
1 292 616
7 065 903
1 262 294
5 803 609
1 293 905
7 131 033
1 287 043
5 843 990
5 045 606 5 113 756 5 181 613 5 249 126 5 316 254 5 382 970 5 449 261 5 515 131 5 580 590 5 645 644
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
1 104 552 1 131 973 1 159 845 1 188 181 1 216 991 1 246 278 1 276 039 1 306 278 1 336 996 1 368 192
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
1 342 510 1 373 265 1 404 417 1 435 982 1 467 973 1 500 389 1 533 229 1 566 501 1 600 211 1 634 366
Africa
462 733
12 943
878
977
7 927
114 100
54 173
28 558
20 447
1 274
270
31 293
950
14 474
96
13 187
14 190
48 572
62 100
18 847
17 477
474 606
13 310
897
989
8 128
116 694
55 453
29 333
21 011
1 277
277
32 053
958
14 829
96
13 562
14 532
50 088
63 849
19 457
17 813
486 640
13 679
916
1 001
8 330
119 300
56 747
30 122
21 587
1 279
283
32 834
967
15 188
97
13 947
14 879
51 637
65 634
20 084
18 130
498 845
14 052
935
1 012
8 533
121 916
58 057
30 925
22 175
1 281
290
33 636
975
15 550
97
14 341
15 226
53 218
67 460
20 727
18 439
511 228
14 429
954
1 023
8 737
124 537
59 386
31 741
22 776
1 283
296
34 459
983
15 914
97
14 743
15 571
54 832
69 329
21 388
18 748
523 790
14 809
974
1 034
8 943
127 162
60 733
32 570
23 389
1 285
303
35 302
991
16 281
98
15 154
15 914
56 479
71 244
22 066
19 059
536 529
15 195
995
1 045
9 149
129 789
62 099
33 411
24 014
1 286
310
36 167
999
16 651
98
15 573
16 257
58 159
73 203
22 761
19 369
549 444
15 586
1 015
1 055
9 358
132 416
63 483
34 263
24 651
1 287
317
37 051
1 006
17 022
98
16 001
16 601
59 871
75 208
23 475
19 679
562 534
15 984
1 036
1 065
9 569
135 043
64 885
35 126
25 300
1 288
324
37 955
1 014
17 396
98
16 437
16 948
61 614
77 258
24 206
19 987
575 796
16 392
1 057
1 075
9 782
137 670
66 306
36 000
25 960
1 288
331
38 876
1 021
17 771
98
16 880
17 297
63 388
79 354
24 957
20 292
Eastern Africa
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
167 780
27 244
27 033
5 386
16 199
5 400
83 359
932
1 996
232
172 123
28 023
27 669
5 488
16 678
5 536
85 499
954
2 038
237
176 538
28 816
28 313
5 589
17 170
5 678
87 673
977
2 080
242
181 025
29 623
28 966
5 692
17 673
5 822
89 879
1 000
2 122
247
185 581
30 446
29 628
5 795
18 185
5 970
92 117
1 023
2 165
252
190 206
31 286
30 299
5 899
18 706
6 121
94 385
1 046
2 208
257
194 897
32 140
30 980
6 003
19 235
6 274
96 684
1 069
2 251
262
199 653
33 008
31 669
6 108
19 773
6 430
99 010
1 092
2 294
267
204 471
33 890
32 367
6 213
20 321
6 590
101 364
1 115
2 338
273
209 350
34 783
33 074
6 318
20 878
6 754
103 743
1 139
2 382
278
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
237 958
44 407
92 282
6 851
36 311
45 520
11 881
706
241 292
44 961
93 484
6 930
36 679
46 546
11 976
715
244 572
45 491
94 668
7 005
37 040
47 579
12 066
723
247 801
45 998
95 836
7 076
37 388
48 622
12 151
730
250 981
46 480
96 989
7 145
37 723
49 676
12 231
737
254 111
46 939
98 127
7 213
38 042
50 741
12 307
744
257 190
47 373
99 249
7 278
38 347
51 814
12 377
751
260 222
47 787
100 360
7 340
38 639
52 895
12 443
758
263 215
48 182
101 460
7 401
38 920
53 984
12 504
765
266 174
48 561
102 553
7 459
39 190
55 078
12 561
771
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
63 895
2 169
2 246
2 653
55 443
1 383
64 305
2 188
2 266
2 697
55 755
1 399
64 712
2 207
2 286
2 742
56 063
1 414
65 114
2 226
2 306
2 786
56 368
1 429
65 509
2 245
2 325
2 830
56 666
1 443
65 898
2 265
2 344
2 873
56 958
1 458
66 282
2 286
2 363
2 916
57 245
1 472
66 662
2 306
2 382
2 959
57 528
1 487
67 041
2 327
2 401
3 001
57 812
1 501
67 420
2 348
2 419
3 042
58 096
1 516
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
410 144
420 939
431 955
443 197
454 673
466 384
478 331
490 519
502 950
515 626
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Western Africa
181
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
9 780
15 995
491
19 390
1 735
24 821
11 162
1 624
4 080
14 417
3 703
16 511
164 193
4
13 331
5 865
6 472
10 051
16 460
494
19 840
1 791
25 366
11 451
1 664
4 190
14 854
3 796
17 157
168 834
4
13 726
5 979
6 643
10 323
16 935
499
20 316
1 849
25 905
11 745
1 704
4 294
15 302
3 890
17 831
173 615
4
14 133
6 092
6 817
10 600
17 420
504
20 805
1 909
26 442
12 044
1 746
4 397
15 768
3 984
18 535
178 517
4
14 548
6 205
6 993
10 880
17 915
508
21 295
1 970
26 984
12 348
1 788
4 503
16 259
4 080
19 268
183 523
4
14 967
6 319
7 171
11 165
18 420
513
21 784
2 033
27 532
12 656
1 830
4 615
16 775
4 177
20 033
188 630
4
15 390
6 432
7 349
11 454
18 935
517
22 274
2 097
28 083
12 968
1 873
4 729
17 315
4 276
20 829
193 842
4
15 816
6 547
7 529
11 747
19 460
522
22 765
2 162
28 638
13 284
1 916
4 846
17 878
4 375
21 659
199 162
4
16 246
6 663
7 710
12 044
19 996
527
23 263
2 229
29 192
13 604
1 960
4 965
18 461
4 475
22 523
204 599
4
16 682
6 779
7 892
12 344
20 542
531
23 770
2 297
29 746
13 927
2 004
5 086
19 060
4 577
23 422
210 159
4
17 123
6 894
8 076
4 210 008 4 254 524 4 298 723 4 342 255 4 384 844 4 426 377 4 466 844 4 506 199 4 544 430 4 581 523
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 602 731 1 611 854 1 620 807 1 629 421 1 637 559 1 645 167 1 652 226 1 658 685 1 664 502 1 669 647
1 368 440 1 377 065 1 385 567 1 393 784 1 401 587 1 408 922 1 415 770 1 422 075 1 427 785 1 432 868
7 096
7 148
7 204
7 260
7 314
7 365
7 414
7 461
7 506
7 550
546
557
566
575
584
593
602
610
618
626
24 631
24 763
24 895
25 027
25 155
25 282
25 406
25 529
25 649
25 766
127 319
127 250
127 144
127 000
126 818
126 598
126 342
126 052
125 731
125 382
2 754
2 796
2 839
2 881
2 923
2 964
3 003
3 042
3 079
3 114
48 733
49 003
49 263
49 512
49 750
49 976
50 188
50 389
50 582
50 769
23 210
23 272
23 330
23 382
23 428
23 467
23 500
23 528
23 552
23 572
South-Central Asia (7)
1 766 433 1 789 913 1 813 416 1 836 755 1 859 787 1 882 467 1 904 818 1 926 847 1 948 587 1 970 051
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
182
62 575
16 098
5 403
7 815
5 107
28 152
63 469
16 271
5 474
8 009
5 173
28 541
64 370
16 441
5 548
8 208
5 240
28 934
65 273
16 607
5 625
8 409
5 307
29 325
66 172
16 770
5 708
8 610
5 373
29 710
67 062
16 931
5 795
8 811
5 439
30 087
67 941
17 086
5 887
9 011
5 503
30 454
68 803
17 237
5 980
9 210
5 565
30 811
69 645
17 381
6 073
9 407
5 626
31 159
70 464
17 519
6 162
9 602
5 685
31 495
1 703 858 1 726 444 1 749 046 1 771 482 1 793 616 1 815 405 1 836 877 1 858 044 1 878 942 1 899 587
29 105
29 825
30 552
31 281
32 007
32 730
33 453
34 181
34 917
35 667
152 862
154 695
156 595
158 513
160 411
162 285
164 142
165 977
167 786
169 566
729
742
754
766
776
787
796
805
814
822
1 221 156 1 236 687 1 252 140 1 267 402 1 282 390 1 297 075 1 311 476 1 325 620 1 339 553 1 353 305
75 424
76 424
77 447
78 470
79 476
80 460
81 423
82 360
83 269
84 149
332
338
345
352
358
364
370
376
382
388
27 156
27 474
27 797
28 121
28 441
28 757
29 071
29 383
29 693
30 001
176 166
179 160
182 143
185 133
188 144
191 177
194 223
197 274
200 320
203 351
20 926
21 098
21 273
21 446
21 612
21 771
21 923
22 069
22 207
22 338
604 277
407
14 606
243 802
6 521
28 759
52 351
95 053
5 192
66 576
1 096
611 529
412
14 865
246 864
6 646
29 240
52 797
96 707
5 303
66 785
1 114
618 793
418
15 135
249 866
6 770
29 717
53 259
98 394
5 412
67 011
1 133
625 982
423
15 408
252 812
6 894
30 188
53 719
100 096
5 517
67 223
1 152
633 031
429
15 677
255 709
7 020
30 651
54 164
101 803
5 619
67 401
1 173
639 920
434
15 940
258 553
7 146
31 106
54 591
103 509
5 717
67 541
1 194
646 660
439
16 197
261 341
7 273
31 552
54 999
105 218
5 811
67 652
1 216
653 259
444
16 450
264 077
7 400
31 991
55 390
106 934
5 901
67 738
1 238
659 738
449
16 700
266 766
7 526
32 426
55 765
108 662
5 983
67 805
1 262
666 110
454
16 947
269 413
7 651
32 858
56 125
110 404
6 057
67 858
1 286
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
12 647
21 099
536
24 285
2 367
30 299
14 253
2 049
5 208
19 676
4 679
24 358
215 843
4
17 571
7 009
8 261
12 954
21 666
541
24 807
2 438
30 852
14 583
2 094
5 332
20 310
4 782
25 331
221 651
4
18 023
7 124
8 448
13 263
22 243
546
25 336
2 511
31 405
14 915
2 140
5 458
20 961
4 886
26 341
227 588
4
18 482
7 239
8 636
13 576
22 830
550
25 872
2 585
31 957
15 251
2 186
5 586
21 631
4 991
27 390
233 661
4
18 946
7 354
8 827
13 891
23 428
555
26 414
2 660
32 509
15 590
2 233
5 716
22 319
5 097
28 477
239 874
4
19 415
7 470
9 019
14 210
24 036
559
26 963
2 737
33 060
15 932
2 280
5 848
23 025
5 204
29 604
246 230
4
19 891
7 587
9 214
14 531
24 653
564
27 519
2 815
33 612
16 276
2 327
5 982
23 750
5 312
30 770
252 730
4
20 373
7 704
9 410
14 854
25 281
568
28 081
2 894
34 162
16 623
2 375
6 118
24 493
5 420
31 977
259 376
5
20 861
7 822
9 609
15 179
25 918
573
28 650
2 975
34 713
16 972
2 424
6 256
25 254
5 530
33 224
266 173
5
21 355
7 940
9 811
2030 Major area, region and country
15 507
26 564
577
29 227
3 056
35 264
17 322
2 473
6 395
26 034
5 640
34 513
273 120
5
21 856
8 058
10 015
4 617 431 4 652 110 4 685 569 4 717 830 4 748 915 4 778 815 4 807 525 4 835 075 4 861 505 4 886 846
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Saint Helena (3) ..................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
1 674 090 1 677 831 1 680 919 1 683 433 1 685 435 1 686 942 1 687 952 1 688 498 1 688 608 1 688 309
1 437 289 1 441 051 1 444 204 1 446 827 1 448 984 1 450 689 1 451 943 1 452 776 1 453 219 1 453 297
7 592
7 633
7 671
7 708
7 743
7 776
7 807
7 835
7 861
7 885
635
643
651
659
667
674
681
688
695
702
25 881
25 994
26 102
26 206
26 306
26 400
26 489
26 572
26 648
26 719
125 006
124 604
124 177
123 728
123 256
122 765
122 254
121 726
121 183
120 625
3 148
3 181
3 212
3 242
3 270
3 296
3 320
3 344
3 366
3 388
50 951
51 125
51 293
51 452
51 602
51 742
51 872
51 992
52 098
52 190
23 588
23 601
23 609
23 611
23 609
23 600
23 586
23 565
23 538
23 504
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
1 991 229 2 012 081 2 032 561 2 052 612 2 072 191 2 091 273 2 109 856 2 127 940 2 145 532 2 162 637
South-Central Asia (7)
71 258
17 652
6 248
9 795
5 743
31 820
77 158
18 573
6 871
11 407
6 160
34 147
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
1 919 971 1 940 056 1 959 798 1 979 140 1 998 037 2 016 469 2 034 430 2 051 917 2 068 933 2 085 479
36 431
37 207
37 992
38 781
39 571
40 360
41 148
41 934
42 718
43 500
171 312
173 019
174 684
176 307
177 885
179 417
180 901
182 336
183 724
185 064
831
839
847
855
863
871
878
885
891
898
1 366 878 1 380 244 1 393 372 1 406 216 1 418 744 1 430 941 1 442 807 1 454 336 1 465 527 1 476 378
84 995
85 808
86 588
87 339
88 064
88 764
89 437
90 088
90 720
91 336
393
399
404
409
414
419
423
427
432
436
30 306
30 609
30 908
31 203
31 493
31 778
32 057
32 329
32 595
32 853
206 364
209 356
212 319
215 244
218 124
220 953
223 729
226 452
229 124
231 744
22 461
22 576
22 684
22 784
22 879
22 968
23 051
23 129
23 202
23 271
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
672 370
459
17 191
272 018
7 774
33 288
56 467
112 160
6 123
67 897
1 311
72 025
17 777
6 331
9 985
5 798
32 133
678 507
464
17 432
274 580
7 897
33 714
56 791
113 926
6 181
67 921
1 337
72 763
17 896
6 409
10 173
5 852
32 433
684 518
469
17 667
277 098
8 018
34 136
57 096
115 696
6 234
67 929
1 364
73 473
18 009
6 485
10 357
5 903
32 719
690 400
473
17 897
279 576
8 136
34 550
57 383
117 462
6 284
67 922
1 390
74 153
18 116
6 557
10 539
5 951
32 991
696 150
478
18 120
282 011
8 253
34 956
57 650
119 219
6 334
67 900
1 418
74 804
18 216
6 625
10 716
5 998
33 249
701 765
482
18 335
284 405
8 368
35 353
57 898
120 964
6 384
67 862
1 445
75 426
18 310
6 691
10 891
6 042
33 493
707 242
487
18 544
286 755
8 480
35 741
58 128
122 695
6 434
67 810
1 473
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
76 023
18 400
6 753
11 064
6 083
33 723
712 575
491
18 747
289 055
8 591
36 120
58 337
124 412
6 484
67 741
1 500
76 599
18 487
6 813
11 236
6 123
33 941
717 760
495
18 946
291 299
8 699
36 488
58 527
126 113
6 532
67 656
1 528
722 790
499
19 144
293 482
8 806
36 846
58 698
127 797
6 578
67 554
1 555
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
183
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Viet Nam .............................................
89 914
90 796
91 680
92 548
93 387
94 191
94 962
95 697
96 395
97 057
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
236 567
2 964
9 202
1 293
1 117
4 374
31 837
7 542
6 731
3 125
4 478
3 025
1 911
27 762
4 114
21 804
73 059
8 925
23 304
241 228
2 969
9 309
1 318
1 129
4 358
32 778
7 644
7 009
3 250
4 647
3 314
2 051
28 288
4 219
21 890
73 997
9 206
23 852
245 707
2 977
9 413
1 332
1 141
4 341
33 765
7 733
7 274
3 369
4 822
3 632
2 169
28 829
4 326
21 898
74 933
9 346
24 407
250 098
2 984
9 515
1 344
1 153
4 323
34 769
7 822
7 505
3 479
4 966
3 926
2 268
29 369
4 436
21 987
75 837
9 446
24 969
254 467
2 989
9 613
1 360
1 165
4 305
35 767
7 920
7 690
3 583
5 054
4 158
2 351
29 898
4 549
22 265
76 691
9 577
25 535
258 823
2 992
9 706
1 381
1 176
4 286
36 752
8 028
7 820
3 680
5 075
4 312
2 415
30 414
4 663
22 775
77 485
9 756
26 107
263 140
2 993
9 795
1 405
1 187
4 266
37 729
8 144
7 902
3 769
5 041
4 403
2 461
30 923
4 780
23 470
78 228
9 961
26 683
267 407
2 992
9 879
1 431
1 198
4 246
38 706
8 266
7 956
3 852
4 975
4 447
2 493
31 418
4 898
24 271
78 933
10 183
27 263
271 603
2 991
9 957
1 457
1 209
4 224
39 694
8 388
8 011
3 933
4 912
4 477
2 519
31 892
5 018
25 055
79 621
10 401
27 844
275 714
2 991
10 030
1 480
1 219
4 202
40 699
8 507
8 087
4 015
4 877
4 514
2 543
32 341
5 140
25 736
80 309
10 602
28 423
741 276
741 971
742 452
742 813
743 123
743 393
743 596
743 712
743 710
743 569
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
295 628
9 450
7 333
10 611
9 996
38 205
3 543
21 809
143 438
5 440
45 803
294 945
9 405
7 278
10 660
9 976
38 211
3 514
21 755
143 170
5 446
45 530
294 162
9 357
7 223
10 702
9 955
38 217
3 487
21 699
142 834
5 450
45 239
293 334
9 308
7 168
10 740
9 933
38 221
3 461
21 640
142 468
5 454
44 941
292 501
9 260
7 113
10 777
9 911
38 222
3 437
21 579
142 098
5 458
44 646
291 664
9 213
7 057
10 812
9 890
38 219
3 413
21 516
141 729
5 461
44 354
290 803
9 167
7 000
10 844
9 868
38 212
3 390
21 449
141 348
5 464
44 062
289 906
9 121
6 943
10 873
9 845
38 200
3 368
21 379
140 943
5 467
43 767
288 953
9 075
6 885
10 900
9 823
38 182
3 346
21 305
140 501
5 468
43 469
287 930
9 027
6 827
10 924
9 799
38 158
3 323
21 226
140 011
5 469
43 164
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
99 335
160
5 575
1 294
50
5 389
322
4 523
85
2 073
3 044
4 944
9 449
62 427
99 871
161
5 598
1 291
50
5 408
326
4 576
85
2 060
3 028
4 994
9 511
62 783
100 404
162
5 619
1 287
49
5 426
330
4 627
86
2 050
3 017
5 043
9 571
63 136
100 938
163
5 640
1 284
49
5 443
333
4 677
86
2 041
3 008
5 092
9 631
63 489
101 477
164
5 662
1 280
49
5 461
337
4 727
87
2 031
2 999
5 143
9 694
63 844
102 019
164
5 684
1 277
50
5 478
340
4 776
88
2 021
2 988
5 196
9 759
64 200
102 562
165
5 706
1 273
50
5 494
344
4 824
88
2 009
2 977
5 250
9 826
64 555
103 101
166
5 729
1 269
50
5 511
347
4 872
89
1 997
2 964
5 304
9 895
64 908
103 633
167
5 752
1 265
50
5 527
351
4 919
89
1 985
2 952
5 356
9 964
65 257
104 156
167
5 775
1 261
50
5 542
354
4 963
90
1 973
2 940
5 407
10 033
65 600
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
155 226
3 154
78
3 839
4 324
29
11 119
1
60 729
155 585
3 162
78
3 834
4 307
29
11 125
1
60 885
155 827
3 173
79
3 829
4 290
29
11 128
1
60 990
156 004
3 185
80
3 825
4 272
29
11 128
1
61 070
156 157
3 197
81
3 820
4 255
29
11 126
1
61 142
156 299
3 207
82
3 814
4 240
29
11 120
1
61 211
156 420
3 217
82
3 808
4 225
29
11 111
1
61 272
156 518
3 226
83
3 802
4 211
29
11 100
1
61 325
156 586
3 234
83
3 796
4 197
29
11 089
1
61 363
156 616
3 243
84
3 789
4 183
29
11 079
1
61 386
Europe
184
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
97 680
98 264
98 812
99 326
99 811
100 267
100 695
101 096
101 474
101 830
Viet Nam .............................................
279 741
2 991
10 097
1 501
1 229
4 179
41 725
8 623
8 191
4 098
4 877
4 563
2 567
32 762
5 263
26 287
81 000
10 787
29 001
283 692
2 991
10 158
1 520
1 239
4 155
42 764
8 736
8 318
4 182
4 905
4 617
2 592
33 157
5 388
26 738
81 690
10 965
29 577
287 571
2 991
10 213
1 538
1 248
4 130
43 811
8 848
8 460
4 266
4 951
4 673
2 617
33 528
5 514
27 120
82 375
11 138
30 149
291 385
2 991
10 264
1 555
1 257
4 105
44 856
8 959
8 604
4 350
5 001
4 725
2 640
33 876
5 641
27 484
83 051
11 309
30 717
295 139
2 989
10 309
1 571
1 266
4 080
45 892
9 071
8 742
4 432
5 043
4 770
2 662
34 207
5 769
27 865
83 713
11 479
31 279
298 835
2 987
10 350
1 586
1 274
4 054
46 916
9 183
8 871
4 513
5 077
4 808
2 683
34 519
5 896
28 270
84 362
11 649
31 836
302 474
2 984
10 387
1 601
1 283
4 029
47 931
9 295
8 995
4 594
5 105
4 842
2 703
34 814
6 025
28 685
84 998
11 819
32 386
306 062
2 979
10 419
1 615
1 291
4 003
48 941
9 407
9 116
4 674
5 129
4 871
2 723
35 095
6 153
29 107
85 622
11 988
32 928
309 606
2 975
10 448
1 629
1 299
3 978
49 951
9 519
9 235
4 754
5 151
4 897
2 742
35 368
6 282
29 525
86 231
12 159
33 464
313 110
2 970
10 474
1 642
1 306
3 953
50 967
9 632
9 355
4 833
5 172
4 920
2 760
35 634
6 410
29 934
86 825
12 330
33 991
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
743 288
742 880
742 355
741 730
741 020
740 230
739 362
738 423
737 421
736 364
286 834
8 979
6 768
10 948
9 775
38 127
3 301
21 143
139 471
5 468
42 854
285 673
8 929
6 709
10 969
9 751
38 089
3 278
21 056
138 887
5 466
42 539
284 452
8 878
6 649
10 988
9 725
38 043
3 255
20 965
138 268
5 462
42 218
283 182
8 826
6 588
11 005
9 699
37 988
3 231
20 869
137 625
5 458
41 892
281 870
8 773
6 527
11 019
9 672
37 924
3 206
20 771
136 967
5 451
41 560
280 519
8 718
6 465
11 030
9 644
37 849
3 180
20 668
136 298
5 443
41 223
279 131
8 662
6 402
11 038
9 616
37 765
3 152
20 563
135 618
5 433
40 881
277 714
8 605
6 339
11 044
9 586
37 670
3 124
20 455
134 932
5 422
40 536
276 274
8 547
6 276
11 049
9 556
37 565
3 095
20 344
134 243
5 410
40 189
274 819
8 488
6 213
11 053
9 525
37 448
3 066
20 232
133 556
5 396
39 842
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
104 667
168
5 799
1 256
50
5 556
358
5 007
90
1 961
2 929
5 454
10 103
65 936
105 167
169
5 822
1 252
51
5 570
361
5 049
91
1 949
2 917
5 499
10 173
66 265
105 655
169
5 846
1 248
51
5 583
364
5 089
91
1 936
2 906
5 542
10 242
66 587
106 133
170
5 870
1 243
51
5 596
367
5 129
92
1 924
2 894
5 584
10 311
66 902
106 599
171
5 894
1 238
51
5 607
370
5 167
92
1 912
2 882
5 627
10 378
67 210
107 054
171
5 918
1 233
51
5 618
373
5 204
93
1 901
2 870
5 669
10 443
67 510
107 498
172
5 942
1 228
51
5 627
376
5 241
93
1 889
2 857
5 712
10 507
67 802
107 930
172
5 965
1 223
52
5 636
378
5 277
93
1 878
2 844
5 755
10 570
68 087
108 348
173
5 987
1 217
52
5 643
381
5 312
94
1 867
2 830
5 797
10 631
68 363
108 754
174
6 009
1 212
52
5 650
384
5 347
94
1 856
2 817
5 838
10 691
68 631
Northern Europe
Channel Islands (14) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Faeroe Islands .....................................
Finland (15) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Isle of Man ..........................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (16) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
156 614
3 251
84
3 782
4 167
29
11 070
1
61 393
156 585
3 260
85
3 775
4 151
29
11 061
1
61 388
156 534
3 268
85
3 767
4 135
29
11 053
1
61 375
156 465
3 276
86
3 759
4 119
29
11 045
1
61 356
156 383
3 283
86
3 751
4 102
29
11 035
1
61 335
156 289
3 290
87
3 742
4 085
29
11 024
1
61 313
156 183
3 297
87
3 733
4 068
29
11 013
1
61 290
156 069
3 303
88
3 723
4 051
29
11 000
1
61 266
155 946
3 307
88
3 712
4 033
29
10 988
1
61 240
155 815
3 311
89
3 700
4 015
29
10 976
1
61 212
Southern Europe
Albania................................................
Andorra ...............................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Gibraltar ..............................................
Greece .................................................
Holy See (17) ......................................
Italy .....................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030 Major area, region and country
Europe
185
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
426
621
10 598
31
9 597
2 062
46 514
2 104
428
621
10 604
31
9 553
2 068
46 755
2 106
429
621
10 608
31
9 511
2 072
46 927
2 107
430
622
10 610
32
9 468
2 076
47 066
2 108
431
622
10 610
32
9 424
2 079
47 199
2 109
432
621
10 607
32
9 377
2 083
47 333
2 110
433
621
10 603
32
9 327
2 086
47 462
2 110
434
621
10 596
32
9 275
2 089
47 586
2 109
435
620
10 588
32
9 222
2 091
47 696
2 108
436
620
10 579
32
9 169
2 093
47 789
2 107
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
191 086
8 433
11 007
63 582
82 893
36
516
37
16 666
7 915
191 570
8 464
11 060
63 937
82 800
37
524
38
16 714
7 997
192 060
8 495
11 104
64 291
82 727
37
530
38
16 759
8 078
192 537
8 526
11 144
64 641
82 652
37
537
38
16 802
8 158
192 988
8 558
11 183
64 983
82 562
37
543
38
16 844
8 239
193 411
8 589
11 222
65 316
82 453
38
550
39
16 885
8 320
193 811
8 621
11 259
65 641
82 331
38
557
39
16 924
8 401
194 186
8 653
11 295
65 959
82 194
38
563
39
16 962
8 483
194 538
8 684
11 330
66 269
82 044
39
570
40
16 998
8 565
194 867
8 716
11 364
66 570
81 881
39
577
40
17 033
8 648
602 974
609 807
616 645
623 422
630 089
636 630
643 056
649 372
655 591
661 724
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
41 919
14
88
102
366
282
28
18
57
11 276
152
71
10 148
105
461
10 033
2 755
402
5
3 701
53
179
109
43
1 333
32
106
42 218
14
89
102
372
283
28
19
58
11 271
155
72
10 277
105
464
10 174
2 769
403
5
3 694
54
181
109
44
1 337
32
106
42 517
14
90
103
377
285
28
19
58
11 266
159
72
10 404
106
466
10 317
2 784
404
5
3 688
54
182
109
45
1 341
33
107
42 813
14
91
103
383
286
29
20
59
11 259
162
72
10 529
106
468
10 461
2 799
405
5
3 684
55
184
109
46
1 344
34
107
43 101
15
92
104
388
287
29
20
60
11 249
164
73
10 652
107
470
10 604
2 813
406
5
3 680
55
185
109
47
1 347
34
107
43 382
15
93
104
392
289
29
20
61
11 236
167
73
10 773
107
472
10 744
2 827
407
5
3 678
56
186
109
48
1 349
35
107
43 654
15
94
105
397
290
29
21
61
11 221
168
73
10 892
107
474
10 882
2 840
408
5
3 677
57
188
109
49
1 350
35
107
43 919
15
95
105
401
292
30
21
62
11 204
169
74
11 009
108
476
11 019
2 853
408
5
3 677
57
189
109
49
1 350
36
107
44 178
15
96
105
405
293
30
21
62
11 184
170
74
11 123
108
478
11 154
2 866
409
5
3 677
58
190
109
50
1 350
36
107
44 429
15
96
106
410
294
30
21
63
11 162
171
74
11 235
108
480
11 288
2 877
410
5
3 679
58
192
110
51
1 349
37
107
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
162 800
316
4 738
6 256
14 707
7 777
119 361
5 905
3 740
165 087
324
4 805
6 297
15 083
7 936
120 847
5 992
3 802
167 387
332
4 872
6 340
15 468
8 098
122 332
6 080
3 864
169 676
340
4 938
6 384
15 860
8 261
123 799
6 169
3 926
171 934
348
5 002
6 426
16 255
8 424
125 236
6 257
3 988
174 153
355
5 064
6 467
16 653
8 587
126 635
6 342
4 050
176 334
363
5 124
6 506
17 055
8 749
128 000
6 425
4 111
178 485
371
5 183
6 544
17 460
8 911
129 336
6 507
4 173
180 614
379
5 240
6 580
17 869
9 073
130 652
6 587
4 235
182 729
386
5 295
6 614
18 281
9 235
131 955
6 665
4 296
Latin America and the Caribbean
186
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
436
619
10 568
32
9 115
2 094
47 866
2 105
437
618
10 556
33
9 061
2 095
47 933
2 103
437
617
10 543
33
9 006
2 095
47 990
2 101
438
616
10 529
33
8 949
2 095
48 039
2 098
438
615
10 514
33
8 891
2 094
48 082
2 094
438
614
10 499
33
8 832
2 093
48 119
2 090
438
612
10 483
33
8 772
2 092
48 151
2 085
438
611
10 467
33
8 710
2 090
48 180
2 080
437
609
10 450
33
8 647
2 088
48 208
2 075
437
608
10 433
33
8 582
2 086
48 235
2 069
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
San Marino..........................................
Serbia (18) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (19) ............................................
TFYR Macedonia (20) ........................
195 173
8 748
11 397
66 862
81 706
39
583
40
17 066
8 731
195 454
8 779
11 431
67 146
81 517
39
589
41
17 098
8 815
195 713
8 810
11 463
67 423
81 314
40
596
41
17 128
8 899
195 950
8 841
11 495
67 696
81 098
40
602
41
17 155
8 983
196 169
8 871
11 526
67 967
80 869
40
608
42
17 180
9 067
196 368
8 899
11 555
68 237
80 627
40
614
42
17 203
9 150
196 549
8 928
11 584
68 504
80 373
41
620
43
17 224
9 233
196 711
8 955
11 611
68 769
80 109
41
626
43
17 241
9 315
196 853
8 981
11 638
69 030
79 834
41
631
43
17 256
9 397
196 976
9 005
11 664
69 286
79 552
41
637
44
17 269
9 477
Western Europe
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Liechtenstein .......................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Monaco ...............................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
667 767
673 708
679 540
685 251
690 833
696 281
701 593
706 764
711 792
716 671
44 673
15
97
106
414
296
30
22
63
11 137
172
75
11 345
108
482
11 421
2 889
411
5
3 681
59
193
110
51
1 347
37
107
44 909
15
98
106
418
297
31
22
64
11 110
173
75
11 452
109
484
11 552
2 899
412
5
3 684
59
194
110
52
1 344
38
106
45 138
15
99
106
422
298
31
22
64
11 080
174
75
11 557
109
486
11 681
2 909
412
5
3 687
60
195
110
53
1 341
38
106
45 359
16
100
107
426
299
31
22
65
11 050
175
76
11 659
109
487
11 809
2 918
413
5
3 690
60
196
110
53
1 337
39
106
45 573
16
101
107
430
301
31
22
65
11 019
176
76
11 759
109
489
11 935
2 926
414
5
3 693
61
197
110
54
1 333
39
106
45 781
16
102
107
434
302
32
23
65
10 988
177
76
11 856
108
490
12 059
2 933
414
6
3 696
61
198
110
55
1 329
39
106
45 981
16
103
107
437
303
32
23
66
10 956
177
76
11 951
108
492
12 181
2 939
415
6
3 699
61
199
110
55
1 324
40
106
46 172
16
103
107
441
304
32
23
66
10 923
178
77
12 043
108
493
12 302
2 943
415
6
3 701
62
200
110
56
1 319
40
105
46 354
16
104
108
444
305
32
23
66
10 887
178
77
12 132
108
495
12 420
2 947
416
6
3 703
62
201
110
56
1 313
40
105
46 525
16
105
108
447
306
32
23
67
10 847
179
77
12 219
107
496
12 537
2 950
416
6
3 704
63
202
110
57
1 308
41
105
Caribbean
Anguilla...............................................
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
British Virgin Islands ..........................
Caribbean Netherlands (21) ................
Cayman Islands...................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominica.............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (22) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Montserrat ...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Kitts and Nevis ..........................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) ...................
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
Turks and Caicos Islands ....................
United States Virgin Islands................
184 830
394
5 349
6 647
18 698
9 397
133 246
6 743
4 357
186 911
402
5 402
6 677
19 118
9 558
134 520
6 818
4 418
188 969
409
5 453
6 705
19 541
9 718
135 774
6 892
4 478
190 997
417
5 502
6 732
19 966
9 877
137 000
6 965
4 538
192 992
424
5 549
6 759
20 394
10 035
138 195
7 038
4 597
194 951
432
5 594
6 784
20 825
10 193
139 357
7 111
4 655
196 874
439
5 638
6 809
21 257
10 349
140 485
7 182
4 713
198 759
447
5 680
6 833
21 692
10 505
141 579
7 253
4 770
200 605
454
5 721
6 855
22 128
10 658
142 638
7 323
4 827
202 408
461
5 760
6 875
22 566
10 811
143 663
7 391
4 882
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
2030 Major area, region and country
Latin America and the Caribbean
187
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
398 255
40 729
10 324
196 935
17 308
47 079
15 246
3
237
791
6 573
29 615
530
3 383
29 501
402 502
41 087
10 496
198 656
17 465
47 704
15 492
3
243
795
6 687
29 988
535
3 395
29 955
406 740
41 446
10 671
200 362
17 620
48 321
15 738
3
249
800
6 802
30 376
539
3 407
30 405
410 932
41 803
10 848
202 034
17 773
48 930
15 983
3
255
804
6 918
30 769
544
3 419
30 851
415 053
42 155
11 025
203 657
17 924
49 529
16 226
3
262
808
7 033
31 161
548
3 430
31 293
419 096
42 501
11 202
205 231
18 073
50 119
16 467
3
268
811
7 148
31 550
553
3 441
31 729
423 067
42 840
11 379
206 760
18 220
50 700
16 707
3
274
815
7 264
31 937
557
3 451
32 160
426 968
43 175
11 557
208 247
18 365
51 270
16 945
3
281
819
7 379
32 321
561
3 461
32 585
430 800
43 507
11 735
209 694
18 506
51 830
17 181
3
287
822
7 493
32 702
566
3 471
33 004
434 566
43 835
11 913
211 102
18 645
52 379
17 416
3
294
825
7 607
33 079
570
3 482
33 417
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
349 527
65
34 487
57
6
314 912
352 471
65
34 838
57
6
317 505
355 361
65
35 182
57
6
320 051
358 236
65
35 525
57
6
322 583
361 128
66
35 871
57
6
325 128
364 041
66
36 222
57
6
327 690
366 967
66
36 575
57
6
330 263
369 897
66
36 927
57
6
332 841
372 819
66
37 274
57
6
335 416
375 724
66
37 612
57
6
337 983
37 229
37 775
38 304
38 829
39 359
39 897
40 438
40 982
41 525
42 066
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
27 154
22 741
4 414
27 510
23 050
4 460
27 848
23 343
4 506
28 182
23 630
4 551
28 519
23 923
4 596
28 864
24 223
4 641
29 211
24 526
4 685
29 560
24 832
4 728
29 909
25 137
4 772
30 254
25 440
4 814
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
8 910
868
250
7 013
538
242
9 092
875
253
7 167
550
247
9 273
881
256
7 321
561
253
9 454
887
260
7 476
573
258
9 636
893
263
7 632
584
264
9 819
898
266
7 788
596
270
10 002
903
270
7 946
608
275
10 185
908
273
8 104
619
281
10 369
912
276
8 263
631
287
10 553
916
280
8 422
643
292
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
500
161
99
52
103
10
53
21
504
163
101
53
103
10
53
21
508
165
102
53
104
10
54
21
514
168
104
53
104
10
55
21
519
170
106
53
104
10
55
21
525
172
107
53
105
10
55
22
531
174
109
54
106
10
56
22
536
176
111
54
107
10
56
22
542
178
112
55
109
10
56
22
548
180
114
55
110
10
56
22
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
664
55
20
271
1
187
1
105
10
13
669
55
21
274
1
189
1
105
10
13
674
55
21
277
1
190
1
105
10
13
679
55
21
280
1
192
1
106
10
13
684
56
21
283
1
193
1
106
10
13
690
56
21
286
1
195
1
107
10
13
695
56
21
288
1
196
1
108
10
13
700
57
21
291
1
197
1
109
10
13
706
57
21
294
1
198
1
110
10
13
711
57
21
296
1
199
1
111
10
13
Oceania
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
(continued on next page)
188
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030 Major area, region and country
438 264
44 162
12 092
212 471
18 781
52 917
17 649
3
301
829
7 721
33 450
573
3 492
33 823
441 888
44 485
12 270
213 800
18 913
53 444
17 881
3
307
832
7 833
33 816
577
3 504
34 223
445 433
44 803
12 448
215 085
19 041
53 960
18 110
3
314
835
7 945
34 176
581
3 515
34 617
448 895
45 116
12 625
216 326
19 165
54 464
18 338
3
321
838
8 056
34 530
585
3 526
35 004
452 268
45 423
12 801
217 519
19 285
54 955
18 563
3
328
841
8 165
34 877
588
3 536
35 383
455 549
45 723
12 977
218 664
19 400
55 433
18 785
3
335
844
8 273
35 219
592
3 546
35 756
458 738
46 017
13 151
219 760
19 511
55 899
19 005
3
342
846
8 380
35 553
595
3 556
36 121
461 833
46 304
13 324
220 806
19 617
56 352
19 222
3
349
849
8 486
35 880
598
3 565
36 479
464 833
46 584
13 496
221 803
19 718
56 792
19 437
3
355
851
8 590
36 201
601
3 573
36 829
467 738
46 859
13 665
222 748
19 815
57 219
19 649
3
362
853
8 693
36 514
604
3 581
37 172
South America
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
Falkland Islands (Malvinas)................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
378 610
66
37 941
57
6
340 539
381 476
66
38 262
57
6
343 085
384 322
66
38 575
56
6
345 618
387 144
66
38 882
56
6
348 133
389 939
66
39 185
56
6
350 626
392 706
66
39 483
56
6
353 095
395 440
67
39 776
55
6
355 537
398 135
67
40 063
55
6
357 945
400 782
67
40 344
55
6
360 311
403 373
67
40 617
55
6
362 629
Northern America
Bermuda..............................................
Canada.................................................
Greenland............................................
Saint Pierre and Miquelon ..................
United States of America ....................
42 604
43 141
43 675
44 206
44 734
45 258
45 778
46 295
46 808
47 317
30 596
25 740
4 857
30 937
26 038
4 899
31 275
26 334
4 941
31 610
26 628
4 981
31 941
26 920
5 021
32 269
27 208
5 061
32 592
27 494
5 099
32 913
27 777
5 136
33 230
28 057
5 173
33 544
28 336
5 208
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (23) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
10 738
920
283
8 583
654
298
10 923
923
286
8 743
666
304
11 109
926
290
8 905
678
310
11 295
929
293
9 067
690
316
11 481
931
296
9 229
702
322
11 667
933
299
9 392
714
328
11 853
935
302
9 555
727
334
12 040
937
305
9 719
739
340
12 226
938
309
9 882
752
346
12 412
939
312
10 044
764
352
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
553
182
116
55
111
11
56
23
559
184
117
56
112
11
56
23
565
187
119
56
113
11
56
23
570
189
121
56
114
11
56
23
576
191
123
56
115
11
56
24
581
193
124
57
116
11
57
24
586
194
126
57
118
11
57
24
592
196
128
57
119
11
57
24
597
198
129
58
120
11
57
25
602
200
131
58
121
11
57
25
Micronesia
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Marshall Islands ..................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
Nauru...................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ...................
Palau....................................................
716
58
21
299
1
201
1
112
10
13
722
58
21
301
1
202
1
113
10
13
727
59
22
304
1
203
1
114
10
13
731
59
22
306
1
204
1
115
10
13
736
59
22
308
1
205
1
116
10
13
741
60
22
310
1
206
1
117
10
13
746
60
22
312
1
207
1
118
11
13
750
60
22
314
1
208
1
119
11
13
755
61
22
316
1
210
1
120
11
13
760
61
22
318
1
211
1
121
11
13
Polynesia (24)
American Samoa.................................
Cook Islands........................................
French Polynesia.................................
Niue.....................................................
Samoa..................................................
Tokelau................................................
Tonga...................................................
Tuvalu .................................................
Wallis and Futuna Islands ...................
Oceania
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
189
Table A.18. Annual interpolated mid-year population by major area, region and country (continued)
Medium variant
Population (thousands)
Major area, region and country
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
190
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Ascension and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Refers to the Vatican City State.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Pitcairn.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
37.0
35.3
31.1
28.3
27.8
27.4
24.3
21.8
20.6
20.1
22.4
43.7
48.2
43.2
19.7
41.9
47.6
41.1
16.0
36.6
46.7
35.3
14.9
32.8
46.0
31.1
14.5
31.9
45.2
30.1
13.9
31.2
43.3
29.6
12.4
27.5
41.2
25.5
11.2
24.4
39.3
22.2
11.1
22.9
37.2
20.6
11.4
22.0
35.0
19.8
44.5
43.0
39.1
37.5
35.9
33.6
30.9
28.4
26.6
25.0
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
47.4
47.3
47.1
46.8
46.1
44.9
43.3
42.1
41.0
39.6
Africa
48.1
47.4
45.9
45.5
44.4
42.6
40.4
38.8
37.7
36.7
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
49.3
49.4
45.0
41.0
47.1
49.3
51.2
49.1
47.5
43.5
41.2
49.4
49.6
53.8
39.0
48.9
47.7
51.3
49.0
46.7
48.3
48.8
48.2
46.9
44.2
47.7
48.0
51.0
48.4
49.9
43.8
44.9
48.6
43.0
50.7
38.5
47.4
51.4
49.3
49.1
48.6
48.2
48.5
47.4
44.6
44.8
46.8
48.6
50.8
48.5
53.4
26.8
47.8
47.2
26.8
51.1
32.9
46.0
50.1
48.7
48.0
48.6
47.6
48.4
49.9
45.2
42.2
46.3
48.5
49.9
47.4
55.0
26.5
49.4
46.9
23.5
53.4
28.5
45.6
48.8
48.9
47.4
47.6
47.6
47.5
51.2
46.1
39.9
46.1
49.3
48.4
42.5
53.9
20.3
43.7
45.9
23.4
53.1
26.2
46.1
47.5
49.2
46.0
45.1
44.9
46.4
51.4
40.3
40.4
45.3
48.3
45.1
45.2
52.2
21.0
42.3
43.6
24.2
50.7
24.2
47.5
47.9
49.6
44.8
44.1
39.5
44.4
47.7
36.8
39.3
43.5
46.6
39.6
44.8
48.2
20.4
34.1
43.5
22.0
44.6
22.1
49.2
46.6
49.8
43.2
44.1
35.3
43.1
43.4
38.3
32.1
40.0
45.4
38.2
42.9
47.1
17.9
34.3
43.4
20.1
43.2
18.8
49.7
44.0
48.7
41.8
45.6
32.8
41.5
42.5
39.4
29.3
40.1
41.3
38.9
39.2
43.4
16.1
34.4
44.8
19.7
38.9
19.1
47.4
41.1
47.6
41.8
44.9
31.9
39.4
44.8
38.3
28.9
39.4
36.4
37.9
36.3
41.8
12.4
33.7
42.3
18.2
38.1
19.2
46.2
38.5
45.8
41.6
43.4
32.6
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
46.1
54.1
42.1
41.7
46.4
42.2
46.1
40.9
30.3
47.7
46.8
54.3
43.7
43.8
45.6
42.8
46.8
40.1
34.3
46.9
46.7
51.8
45.2
42.7
48.1
43.1
46.4
36.8
37.1
40.4
46.8
52.3
45.3
42.2
49.4
42.8
46.3
32.9
37.6
40.9
47.5
52.8
46.4
42.4
50.0
41.0
47.1
41.7
38.0
40.5
47.7
52.9
45.6
41.9
50.6
39.0
47.7
47.4
37.6
38.3
47.7
52.1
43.6
40.1
51.3
38.0
48.8
45.0
36.3
36.3
46.9
51.0
41.6
39.9
51.3
38.9
48.3
41.3
34.3
35.8
45.8
49.8
40.9
38.5
50.4
39.3
46.8
38.5
33.4
37.2
44.3
48.2
39.6
35.8
48.7
39.1
45.1
37.5
32.9
37.6
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
50.7
52.5
50.8
49.9
51.3
46.7
51.2
48.3
47.6
48.9
46.0
50.3
49.5
46.6
49.7
52.0
42.1
46.5
39.3
45.6
41.6
46.9
38.3
44.4
40.8
45.2
38.3
43.4
39.4
46.1
37.4
44.1
38.8
42.0
36.8
38.8
37.6
44.2
34.3
39.9
34.7
35.6
34.0
31.4
32.1
42.1
29.4
34.8
30.0
28.8
28.2
26.5
28.1
41.6
24.3
31.3
26.4
21.6
25.6
22.7
23.7
40.3
18.7
25.9
24.8
19.3
24.3
22.7
20.9
38.9
16.9
24.1
25.2
23.4
24.5
22.6
20.1
36.1
17.5
22.6
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
43.8
47.0
42.1
43.4
43.7
48.1
41.4
46.6
42.3
42.3
41.0
47.9
38.5
45.4
42.7
44.2
37.7
49.3
36.8
45.0
41.9
43.8
35.8
48.4
34.9
42.5
39.8
41.2
33.9
47.7
32.1
37.2
36.7
39.1
31.1
46.1
28.4
32.2
34.1
36.8
27.5
39.9
25.6
29.0
33.1
33.1
24.7
34.1
24.3
26.1
29.8
30.4
23.6
31.8
22.8
24.9
28.2
28.1
22.1
31.4
Western Africa (3)
46.8
47.4
47.8
47.7
46.7
45.1
43.7
42.9
42.1
41.2
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
192
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
19.5
18.5
16.6
15.6
14.8
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.4
12.0 World
11.2
21.3
33.1
19.2
11.0
20.0
31.3
17.8
10.4
17.8
28.0
15.6
10.5
16.5
25.1
14.4
10.7
15.5
22.6
13.5
10.6
14.6
20.4
12.8
10.6
13.9
18.6
12.3
10.7
13.3
17.0
11.9
10.5
12.7
15.6
11.5
10.4
12.2
14.5
11.2
23.8
22.4
19.9
18.2
16.8
15.6
14.6
13.8
13.1
12.5
38.0
35.9
32.3
29.1
25.8
23.0
20.6
18.4
16.6
15.2
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
35.5
33.5
30.0
27.3
24.5
21.9
19.8
17.9
16.2
14.9
Africa
37.1
44.8
35.5
27.6
37.0
33.3
35.1
34.8
39.9
11.6
29.1
39.1
16.8
35.4
16.7
43.9
36.3
43.4
39.3
43.0
31.3
34.9
42.1
32.7
25.6
33.3
30.7
32.5
33.5
38.3
11.3
26.1
37.0
15.4
32.5
14.9
42.1
34.4
40.9
37.1
41.4
29.5
30.8
35.0
30.2
20.4
27.3
25.7
28.9
30.3
35.0
10.8
24.4
34.3
13.6
27.8
12.5
38.3
30.2
36.1
33.8
37.9
23.7
27.4
32.7
27.8
18.4
24.5
21.5
26.1
27.0
31.3
9.8
20.9
30.3
12.5
24.1
12.1
33.7
26.2
31.6
30.9
35.1
20.6
24.3
29.0
24.5
16.4
21.0
18.2
23.1
24.5
28.1
9.5
17.2
26.4
11.5
20.6
11.4
29.6
23.2
27.4
27.5
32.3
18.1
21.6
24.8
22.5
14.1
18.0
15.7
20.5
22.0
25.2
9.5
15.0
23.4
10.9
17.6
10.7
25.9
20.4
23.8
24.6
29.5
15.3
19.3
22.6
20.6
13.1
16.1
13.8
18.3
19.8
22.6
9.5
13.2
20.5
10.5
15.3
10.6
22.7
18.0
20.8
22.0
27.3
13.8
17.5
20.0
18.6
12.2
14.3
12.4
16.2
17.9
20.3
9.6
11.8
18.1
10.1
13.5
10.4
20.1
16.1
18.2
19.7
25.1
12.6
15.9
17.7
17.1
11.4
12.9
11.5
14.6
16.2
18.3
9.7
10.8
16.2
9.9
12.2
10.1
17.8
14.6
16.1
17.7
23.1
11.6
14.6
16.1
15.8
11.1
12.0
10.9
13.3
14.7
16.5
9.9
10.1
14.6
9.8
11.3
10.1
16.1
13.4
14.5
16.0
21.4
11.0
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
41.9
44.3
37.5
34.4
46.1
37.9
42.9
35.6
32.1
34.2
39.6
41.7
35.2
32.5
43.5
35.2
40.8
33.1
29.7
30.5
35.0
36.9
30.9
27.7
38.1
32.4
36.1
27.9
25.8
27.0
30.6
31.6
27.3
23.8
32.7
29.9
31.5
24.1
23.3
24.9
26.7
27.0
24.1
20.8
28.1
26.7
27.5
21.1
20.6
21.3
23.2
23.4
21.4
18.0
24.2
24.1
23.9
18.2
18.2
19.3
20.4
20.3
19.1
16.0
21.0
21.8
20.9
16.1
16.5
17.5
18.1
17.9
17.1
14.4
18.4
19.6
18.5
14.4
14.9
15.6
16.2
15.9
15.5
13.2
16.3
17.8
16.5
13.1
13.6
14.4
14.7
14.3
14.2
12.3
14.7
16.2
15.0
12.1
12.7
13.4
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
25.0
24.6
23.3
20.9
23.2
33.7
17.3
20.7
22.8
21.3
21.4
18.4
20.2
31.7
15.9
18.6
19.0
15.5
18.1
13.6
16.0
28.4
12.3
14.5
17.3
14.1
16.5
12.2
14.4
25.1
11.0
12.6
16.0
14.2
14.6
11.2
13.7
22.4
11.2
12.2
14.5
12.5
13.0
9.8
12.4
20.1
10.1
11.5
13.5
11.7
12.2
9.3
11.5
18.1
9.5
10.9
12.8
11.9
11.3
9.4
11.3
16.4
10.0
10.9
12.1
11.4
10.7
9.1
10.9
15.1
9.8
10.8
11.5
10.9
10.3
9.0
10.5
14.1
9.5
10.5
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
21.7
23.7
27.6
26.2
21.0
30.0
20.3
22.4
26.2
24.7
19.6
28.2
17.8
19.5
22.5
21.5
17.2
24.0
16.4
17.0
19.9
18.1
16.0
21.5
14.7
15.0
17.8
16.0
14.4
18.9
13.4
13.2
15.5
14.3
13.2
16.4
12.6
12.1
14.1
12.9
12.4
14.8
11.8
11.4
13.1
12.0
11.7
13.5
11.4
10.9
12.2
11.4
11.3
12.5
11.0
10.7
11.7
11.0
11.0
11.9
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
40.2
38.2
34.7
31.7
28.3
25.1
22.4
19.9
17.9
16.1
Western Africa (3)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
193
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
40.8
47.2
48.9
51.9
43.6
44.7
47.1
54.5
47.0
48.5
48.7
54.5
46.1
49.7
44.1
47.5
45.3
47.2
44.9
54.3
49.7
47.3
45.5
40.2
49.2
49.2
48.4
56.4
46.1
50.3
47.3
47.7
46.9
47.5
41.2
51.9
50.9
45.9
45.7
54.5
49.1
49.1
45.4
55.9
46.8
50.4
49.3
48.3
47.2
48.8
41.7
49.9
51.6
44.0
46.9
45.3
49.0
49.0
44.0
55.0
47.1
49.5
48.9
47.7
47.2
49.0
41.4
46.4
50.0
42.3
47.4
47.5
48.5
48.8
42.2
55.2
46.2
47.1
47.4
46.1
46.8
47.8
40.8
42.9
48.2
40.1
47.0
45.2
46.7
48.0
41.2
55.1
44.8
44.8
45.3
44.0
45.6
47.1
36.4
40.3
46.9
37.7
45.5
44.6
44.1
47.7
40.1
54.9
43.6
42.4
43.8
41.3
43.6
46.7
31.5
39.2
45.8
35.1
43.2
42.4
43.5
48.0
38.8
54.0
43.1
40.5
43.9
39.3
41.7
45.6
26.2
37.5
44.8
34.3
41.1
40.9
41.6
48.2
37.5
52.1
42.7
39.6
43.1
38.7
39.1
43.8
21.9
36.1
43.6
33.1
39.2
39.4
38.6
48.0
36.0
50.4
42.2
38.8
39.8
38.0
42.0
39.7
34.3
29.7
28.9
28.7
24.5
21.0
19.3
18.5
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
39.5
42.2
39.0
34.0
25.3
23.8
40.0
35.8
40.9
36.8
39.5
34.6
25.1
32.5
17.2
48.0
39.9
36.1
29.7
31.1
20.4
10.0
32.6
19.0
43.1
30.3
25.0
21.4
22.0
17.3
10.2
19.7
15.2
39.6
23.1
23.1
21.3
22.3
15.4
19.9
21.8
12.8
38.2
20.4
20.8
23.7
25.6
13.1
21.9
20.6
11.2
36.3
15.5
17.3
18.0
18.9
12.0
15.7
20.8
9.9
27.5
16.0
16.0
13.4
13.7
8.1
11.3
19.1
9.5
21.2
13.6
14.7
12.1
12.4
8.5
7.7
16.7
8.9
18.9
10.2
11.8
12.6
13.1
8.9
8.8
14.7
8.7
22.2
9.6
10.2
South-Central Asia (7)
44.2
42.1
38.5
37.4
35.9
33.8
30.5
27.5
25.0
22.8
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
39.8
34.2
35.1
47.8
45.5
44.0
40.1
33.7
38.2
44.7
44.9
45.7
32.4
25.0
29.7
40.8
36.7
37.7
31.4
24.0
27.8
38.3
34.4
36.9
31.9
25.0
31.7
40.7
35.3
35.2
32.7
25.6
32.4
42.1
36.4
35.4
29.0
20.7
29.1
37.7
32.9
32.0
23.6
16.3
24.4
32.8
25.0
25.6
21.5
16.7
20.8
29.2
23.3
22.2
23.5
21.6
24.1
31.1
22.1
22.8
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
44.4
53.6
48.5
48.7
43.8
51.1
43.3
42.7
42.8
37.2
42.2
53.7
47.9
49.9
41.1
46.5
55.6
42.8
44.1
35.1
38.8
52.7
46.4
47.8
37.2
41.6
47.4
41.9
42.4
28.9
37.7
51.9
44.3
46.0
35.9
42.9
43.6
41.2
42.4
27.7
36.1
51.3
41.6
42.6
34.0
44.5
47.7
40.5
42.3
25.8
33.9
50.7
37.4
40.6
32.1
38.1
45.7
39.2
42.0
21.9
30.6
50.4
32.9
34.7
29.2
28.0
36.0
36.4
38.1
19.8
27.7
51.1
28.8
30.4
26.7
20.7
28.4
34.4
34.2
18.6
25.1
47.9
25.3
25.0
24.6
17.9
21.9
30.8
28.7
18.6
22.8
41.7
21.9
21.5
22.0
18.8
21.7
25.6
27.8
18.6
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
43.7
49.8
49.0
42.7
45.4
42.7
47.3
48.6
46.5
42.4
46.5
40.0
42.6
41.9
46.0
43.6
42.9
39.5
42.8
43.0
33.6
42.1
45.9
40.8
37.2
37.8
42.1
38.3
43.0
31.4
38.7
38.3
22.1
34.7
40.0
35.6
34.2
35.6
39.7
34.9
42.6
29.4
36.8
37.4
16.9
29.1
33.0
33.0
31.8
31.4
49.0
31.7
42.8
29.5
34.6
35.7
17.0
24.3
44.0
31.5
28.6
32.0
46.0
27.5
43.1
28.7
29.1
34.1
17.8
20.5
42.0
29.8
25.7
30.1
37.8
24.5
41.5
27.5
24.9
31.9
17.6
18.1
44.2
26.7
22.3
24.7
29.8
21.9
34.7
25.3
22.4
30.2
14.3
15.7
45.7
18.7
20.9
21.3
26.5
21.5
28.3
20.1
19.7
28.8
11.3
13.6
39.0
17.0
19.9
18.1
26.3
21.0
29.2
17.8
18.5
25.8
10.1
11.8
37.5
17.0
Asia
194
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
36.6
41.1
20.4
36.9
42.9
31.1
37.1
37.7
35.7
47.3
34.3
49.8
41.5
38.1
36.9
36.7
34.4
38.5
18.8
34.8
41.0
28.7
34.9
35.7
33.4
45.6
32.2
48.8
39.4
35.3
34.3
33.8
30.5
34.0
15.0
31.0
36.7
24.9
30.6
31.8
30.0
41.5
29.0
45.8
35.9
31.1
30.2
29.5
26.9
29.8
12.3
28.1
32.5
22.5
26.9
28.4
26.6
37.1
26.3
41.7
32.8
28.4
26.5
26.8
23.7
26.0
10.9
25.5
28.0
19.9
23.6
25.2
23.5
32.4
23.7
37.4
29.0
25.3
23.2
23.9
21.1
23.0
9.8
22.9
24.1
17.8
20.9
22.6
21.0
28.1
21.5
32.9
25.6
22.7
20.8
21.3
18.9
20.4
9.2
20.7
20.9
16.2
18.6
20.3
18.8
24.5
19.6
28.8
22.6
20.6
18.7
19.4
17.0
18.1
9.0
18.8
18.3
14.8
16.8
18.4
16.9
21.4
17.9
25.2
20.0
18.7
16.8
17.4
15.5
16.3
8.9
17.0
16.3
13.8
15.3
16.8
15.3
18.8
16.4
22.1
17.8
16.9
15.5
15.8
14.4
14.8
9.0
15.4
14.8
13.0
14.2
15.6
14.1
16.8
15.3
19.5
16.0
15.6
14.4
14.6
17.7
16.4
14.0
12.8
11.9
11.2
10.8
10.5
10.3
10.2
12.9
13.4
9.4
10.1
14.4
8.4
22.8
9.6
9.3
11.8
12.2
9.1
10.5
14.3
8.1
20.4
9.4
8.6
9.7
9.8
7.7
8.8
13.1
7.8
15.3
8.9
8.0
9.5
9.7
6.7
8.0
11.6
7.9
15.2
7.9
7.2
9.4
9.6
7.9
9.0
11.6
8.1
14.6
7.8
7.1
9.2
9.3
8.1
9.3
11.1
8.2
12.6
8.2
7.5
9.4
9.5
7.7
9.0
10.5
8.4
12.7
8.2
7.7
9.7
9.8
8.2
9.3
10.6
8.7
12.4
8.3
8.0
9.8
9.9
8.5
9.5
10.4
8.8
11.6
8.6
8.5
9.8
9.9
8.1
9.2
10.1
8.8
11.5
8.7
8.8
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
21.3
19.6
16.7
14.6
13.1
12.0
11.3
10.9
10.5
10.4
South-Central Asia (7)
23.3
20.5
27.4
33.3
21.5
21.6
21.4
18.7
25.0
30.3
20.0
19.8
17.0
15.2
18.8
23.8
16.1
15.6
16.1
15.7
18.1
22.9
14.3
13.8
15.1
14.8
17.5
21.0
13.4
12.7
13.3
13.1
14.5
17.9
12.1
11.3
13.0
13.1
14.0
17.0
11.5
11.0
12.5
12.6
13.6
15.5
11.4
10.8
11.8
11.8
12.3
13.9
11.0
10.4
11.6
11.7
12.0
13.2
10.9
10.5
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
21.3
34.5
20.3
19.8
20.7
19.0
22.3
21.1
25.4
18.1
19.5
30.3
18.4
17.9
19.0
16.8
19.2
19.7
23.5
16.2
16.7
25.3
15.1
14.4
16.5
12.9
13.8
16.9
19.6
13.8
14.6
20.5
12.7
12.2
14.5
11.9
11.8
14.3
16.6
13.2
13.0
16.2
11.3
11.1
13.1
11.2
11.0
12.4
14.5
12.3
12.0
13.9
10.3
10.3
12.1
10.3
9.6
11.4
13.0
11.2
11.3
12.2
9.7
9.8
11.4
9.9
9.0
10.7
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
9.4
9.6
10.9
9.9
8.9
10.2
11.3
10.6
10.5
10.6
9.3
9.6
10.6
9.8
8.7
10.0
10.9
10.3
10.3
10.3
9.3
9.5
10.4
9.7
8.7
10.0
10.7
10.2
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
18.4
15.8
25.8
18.9
26.9
17.7
17.3
24.6
9.9
10.4
35.7
15.6
17.1
14.2
23.5
17.3
24.6
17.3
16.0
23.5
9.9
9.4
35.8
14.0
15.1
12.8
18.1
15.5
19.5
14.8
13.5
21.0
9.4
8.6
32.8
11.1
13.5
11.2
16.4
13.8
16.4
12.4
12.1
18.5
7.8
8.0
26.9
10.2
12.4
10.1
14.4
12.5
14.1
11.6
11.6
16.6
7.6
7.6
23.9
9.4
11.7
9.8
12.6
11.7
12.2
11.0
11.1
15.0
7.7
7.6
20.6
8.9
11.1
9.4
11.5
11.2
11.1
10.3
10.9
13.7
7.2
7.9
17.1
8.9
10.8
9.1
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.0
11.1
12.7
6.9
8.2
15.2
8.9
10.5
9.1
10.2
10.5
10.0
10.0
11.1
11.9
6.9
8.5
13.6
9.1
10.3
9.0
9.8
10.3
9.8
9.7
11.0
11.4
6.6
8.9
12.2
9.3
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
195
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
47.1
33.8
41.3
45.0
27.8
26.8
53.3
33.0
47.4
43.7
40.2
49.1
47.5
47.8
45.9
50.8
51.2
49.5
48.7
42.8
34.9
41.3
45.6
24.8
24.6
43.7
25.5
53.5
43.7
37.2
49.1
40.8
47.4
52.1
47.3
44.1
46.3
52.1
39.3
22.5
26.8
35.2
18.8
19.4
43.7
27.4
48.9
47.8
31.4
48.0
34.6
46.0
48.8
46.0
39.7
32.5
51.8
37.6
22.1
25.2
33.0
18.9
18.8
41.2
26.2
42.7
40.8
30.4
50.1
35.6
43.8
47.3
45.4
36.7
29.1
54.9
36.0
22.9
25.6
33.0
20.6
18.4
39.0
23.7
39.7
36.6
28.8
48.2
33.3
42.5
44.9
42.8
33.4
30.5
56.3
32.8
23.2
27.3
31.4
19.6
18.0
38.3
22.7
35.3
25.0
25.9
43.0
24.9
38.1
43.1
38.4
28.0
28.4
53.2
30.0
19.1
26.1
26.7
18.1
15.5
37.1
21.4
34.0
16.8
23.3
32.9
21.4
33.4
46.0
33.5
24.5
22.9
49.3
27.6
13.5
18.9
22.5
14.6
12.7
36.4
21.4
32.3
25.4
20.6
26.5
20.2
29.6
41.1
32.0
22.6
18.1
41.9
25.2
13.8
17.3
20.2
12.3
11.9
35.2
21.2
30.2
21.2
16.3
22.2
18.0
24.7
36.0
28.7
20.4
16.2
37.5
23.3
14.2
18.4
17.1
11.9
13.8
33.3
21.1
30.0
21.7
12.7
21.6
12.7
22.0
32.3
25.8
18.5
16.5
33.5
21.5
19.0
15.6
14.8
14.4
13.7
11.5
10.2
10.1
10.8
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
26.0
23.0
21.3
19.3
21.0
30.3
29.9
24.4
26.9
27.3
25.5
19.3
22.4
16.7
14.9
13.5
19.2
25.6
15.4
21.1
20.4
17.9
16.3
15.8
16.1
17.1
15.5
17.7
19.8
19.5
15.5
19.3
15.5
16.6
15.7
15.9
17.5
15.9
19.2
20.3
19.2
15.9
20.2
15.2
16.5
16.6
13.9
13.9
12.7
19.1
21.6
15.8
16.8
18.2
15.1
15.6
15.7
13.1
12.9
12.3
15.9
21.1
16.1
16.1
16.2
14.5
11.5
12.1
10.5
11.6
11.7
13.2
15.7
11.5
10.8
13.9
11.3
9.3
9.3
8.3
8.7
9.7
10.5
12.7
10.1
8.9
10.8
8.6
9.5
9.1
8.5
9.1
9.4
9.4
11.5
9.9
9.8
9.7
8.5
10.8
10.6
9.4
10.8
9.6
10.3
12.3
10.2
11.3
10.4
10.5
Northern Europe (14)
Channel Islands (15) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (16) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (17) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
16.6
14.5
17.8
17.0
22.4
27.9
22.1
17.0
21.9
18.7
15.4
15.4
17.8
17.0
17.3
15.5
18.2
25.9
22.7
15.1
20.3
17.4
14.8
18.0
14.2
13.5
14.4
15.7
12.9
21.0
22.9
14.5
16.8
15.2
13.5
13.6
12.7
11.8
12.3
15.1
13.5
19.1
21.2
13.7
15.5
12.9
11.7
12.1
13.0
11.6
10.4
15.3
13.3
18.0
19.1
15.0
15.6
12.3
11.3
12.9
13.7
12.1
11.3
15.6
12.6
17.2
15.5
15.5
15.8
13.3
13.0
13.7
13.2
12.3
12.8
11.2
12.9
17.2
13.8
11.4
13.5
13.9
13.6
13.2
12.1
11.3
12.6
9.1
11.5
15.5
14.5
8.0
10.6
13.4
10.4
12.4
11.4
10.7
12.0
9.7
11.0
14.4
15.3
8.9
9.1
12.4
10.8
11.4
12.4
10.0
11.8
11.4
11.2
15.0
15.9
10.3
10.3
12.6
11.9
12.5
Southern Europe (18)
Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (19) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (20) ............................................
21.3
42.9
43.2
22.8
18.5
18.2
30.2
32.0
23.9
28.1
21.8
20.6
20.4
39.5
31.7
17.8
18.1
18.4
21.3
26.1
23.8
20.1
17.9
20.9
18.0
33.1
21.3
15.0
15.7
16.3
16.8
20.9
19.7
18.5
17.0
19.3
16.1
30.7
19.5
15.7
15.9
13.4
19.6
19.3
18.2
19.2
17.0
17.4
13.4
28.0
18.2
15.0
13.6
10.9
18.9
17.6
14.6
18.1
14.6
13.3
11.7
26.5
17.1
13.5
10.9
9.9
17.6
15.5
12.0
16.3
12.5
10.8
10.8
23.7
12.9
10.7
10.0
9.7
14.8
13.7
11.3
13.8
10.3
9.8
10.1
21.0
11.8
10.5
9.7
9.2
12.1
13.6
11.1
12.4
9.2
9.4
10.0
16.7
8.7
9.1
9.4
9.2
9.4
13.0
10.8
11.5
8.9
10.3
10.1
12.9
8.5
9.4
10.2
9.5
9.5
12.5
9.7
10.5
10.1
10.9
Europe
196
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
21.8
13.8
18.0
15.5
11.5
13.4
31.3
20.5
27.3
20.7
13.5
21.4
11.2
19.6
30.6
24.3
17.0
14.8
31.4
20.0
12.5
15.7
13.3
11.2
12.2
29.4
18.8
24.0
19.2
13.6
16.9
9.8
17.0
29.2
22.4
15.5
11.1
29.1
16.8
10.1
11.6
10.4
10.3
10.0
25.8
16.9
18.9
15.7
11.3
12.0
6.8
10.9
25.4
19.3
13.4
7.9
23.8
15.1
10.1
11.4
9.6
9.3
10.7
22.7
16.4
17.2
14.6
9.2
10.3
6.3
11.0
21.5
15.9
11.9
8.7
19.4
13.7
9.7
10.7
9.0
9.2
10.5
20.2
14.8
15.0
13.8
8.9
10.0
6.7
11.0
18.9
13.7
10.7
7.4
16.3
12.5
9.1
10.0
8.3
8.8
10.0
18.1
13.3
13.0
12.7
8.6
9.5
6.3
9.4
16.9
12.2
10.0
7.1
13.9
11.7
9.4
10.2
8.2
8.7
10.4
16.3
12.6
11.9
12.1
8.1
9.0
6.4
9.0
14.9
11.0
9.6
7.5
12.3
11.2
9.5
10.0
8.4
9.0
10.3
14.8
11.8
11.1
11.8
8.3
9.4
7.3
9.4
13.4
10.3
9.4
7.5
11.4
10.7
9.5
10.0
8.6
9.1
10.0
13.5
10.9
10.4
11.4
8.6
10.2
7.9
9.2
12.4
9.8
9.3
7.7
10.8
10.4
9.8
10.1
8.7
9.1
10.1
12.6
10.5
10.0
11.1
8.7
10.2
7.9
9.0
11.5
9.6
9.2
7.7
10.5
10.8
10.5
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.0
10.2
10.3
10.2
10.1
11.2
11.0
9.6
11.0
9.9
10.8
12.2
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.8
10.8
10.6
9.3
10.7
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.0
11.3
10.5
10.4
9.4
9.2
8.4
9.3
9.2
9.2
9.0
8.6
9.8
9.0
8.8
10.0
9.8
9.1
10.2
9.3
8.5
9.4
8.7
10.9
8.7
9.8
10.4
10.3
9.5
10.7
9.8
9.4
9.3
9.0
11.0
9.4
10.4
10.1
9.9
9.3
10.2
9.7
9.1
8.8
8.7
10.8
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.4
9.9
10.7
9.8
8.8
9.7
9.1
11.4
9.1
10.6
10.8
10.7
10.4
10.9
10.1
9.6
10.0
9.5
11.3
9.8
11.1
10.7
10.5
10.2
10.5
10.1
9.8
10.0
9.5
11.2
9.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.5
10.4
9.9
9.4
10.3
9.6
11.2
9.7
10.9
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
12.1
9.6
11.3
10.8
11.2
14.5
15.5
10.9
11.2
12.4
11.9
12.2
12.0
9.3
11.5
10.9
11.2
13.9
14.1
11.2
11.5
12.4
12.2
12.0
11.3
9.1
12.0
9.7
10.6
12.4
11.9
9.9
10.1
12.1
11.7
11.3
11.2
8.9
11.6
10.2
10.4
11.6
12.3
10.3
9.5
11.7
11.7
11.1
11.4
8.9
11.5
10.7
10.8
11.3
12.1
11.5
10.8
11.8
12.2
11.2
11.1
9.0
11.8
10.2
10.6
10.6
11.2
10.9
10.4
11.6
12.0
11.0
10.9
9.0
11.5
10.4
10.4
10.2
11.1
10.9
10.1
11.3
11.6
10.7
10.9
8.9
11.1
10.9
10.4
10.1
11.2
11.7
10.9
11.1
11.6
10.7
10.6
8.8
11.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.9
10.8
11.3
10.5
10.3
8.6
10.7
10.5
10.0
9.5
10.4
10.9
10.4
10.5
10.9
10.1
Northern Europe (14)
Channel Islands (15) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (16) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (17) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
9.8
13.0
8.9
9.5
9.8
9.2
9.2
11.7
8.8
9.8
10.0
10.5
9.2
13.2
9.5
9.4
9.1
8.8
9.0
11.2
8.0
9.4
9.5
9.4
8.6
12.8
9.6
8.9
8.5
8.7
8.4
10.5
7.8
8.7
8.4
8.2
8.9
9.6
8.0
8.8
9.1
8.9
8.0
10.0
7.9
8.2
9.1
9.0
8.9
9.0
8.3
8.9
9.2
9.1
8.2
9.7
7.6
7.9
9.5
9.0
8.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
9.0
9.2
8.2
9.6
7.7
7.9
9.2
8.5
9.2
8.6
8.3
9.1
9.5
9.5
8.2
9.6
8.2
8.0
9.6
9.2
9.4
8.2
8.7
9.2
9.7
9.7
8.5
9.7
8.3
8.3
9.9
9.5
9.3
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5
8.6
9.8
8.4
8.7
9.6
9.1
9.3
9.2
9.1
9.4
9.4
9.4
8.7
9.9
8.7
9.1
9.6
9.2
Southern Europe (18)
Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (19) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (20) ............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
Europe
197
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
TFYR Macedonia (21) ........................
33.8
29.3
23.6
22.2
20.9
18.7
16.9
13.7
11.9
11.2
Western Europe (22)
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
17.2
15.1
16.6
19.1
15.6
14.8
22.0
17.2
18.2
18.4
17.2
18.2
17.8
16.4
21.1
18.9
13.5
13.5
13.6
16.1
11.4
11.8
15.3
14.3
11.9
11.6
12.3
13.9
10.4
11.0
12.6
11.7
12.2
12.0
12.1
14.3
10.7
11.5
12.2
11.6
12.1
11.4
11.9
13.8
10.9
11.8
12.6
11.9
11.4
11.7
11.9
12.9
9.9
13.1
12.8
12.0
11.0
10.4
11.2
12.7
9.5
13.1
12.4
11.3
10.6
9.6
11.1
12.8
8.8
11.8
12.4
10.1
10.4
9.3
11.7
12.7
8.4
11.4
11.3
10.1
42.6
41.0
35.2
33.0
30.7
27.9
25.4
23.6
21.6
19.3
Caribbean (23)
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (25) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
United States Virgin Islands................
39.4
35.3
44.3
33.7
34.4
31.6
37.1
54.3
39.8
40.7
45.7
34.7
41.6
37.4
47.0
49.5
39.6
34.1
39.4
32.1
32.9
33.6
29.2
35.4
30.5
49.5
41.0
35.7
43.5
41.6
35.3
32.3
45.9
46.3
35.9
41.7
31.4
26.9
22.9
27.1
20.5
26.5
22.2
39.2
29.1
28.2
38.2
32.8
25.9
25.0
37.1
38.3
26.9
38.7
27.4
19.4
22.5
24.9
18.0
17.4
20.7
35.4
29.8
20.9
40.0
29.3
18.4
23.7
37.4
32.8
27.5
28.3
27.2
19.2
22.3
27.1
17.6
16.5
20.3
33.4
32.5
19.9
42.8
29.1
17.1
20.5
33.3
29.2
28.9
24.4
26.0
18.8
20.8
24.1
16.5
17.7
20.6
31.0
31.6
20.5
39.1
26.8
18.0
18.6
30.2
25.8
23.6
23.9
23.7
19.0
18.1
23.5
15.3
15.4
18.6
28.7
24.8
17.8
35.5
24.9
16.5
17.5
26.1
24.0
18.1
21.2
21.6
20.4
15.3
20.1
13.9
13.6
15.2
25.8
20.7
17.1
32.7
23.0
15.1
15.4
21.7
21.4
15.1
15.6
20.1
19.5
13.2
15.6
13.2
12.5
13.4
24.4
18.8
15.6
29.7
21.0
14.4
13.8
18.0
18.6
14.9
14.4
18.6
17.6
11.5
15.7
13.0
10.5
12.2
22.8
19.3
14.8
27.7
19.1
12.5
12.7
17.2
17.7
15.3
15.9
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
48.3
51.2
44.6
46.7
50.3
52.1
48.0
54.9
41.4
45.2
43.7
44.3
47.7
46.0
49.5
44.7
48.5
40.9
42.4
42.0
30.5
42.1
44.0
45.9
42.4
46.3
36.1
37.5
42.4
30.1
39.7
43.5
44.5
36.4
45.2
32.5
33.5
39.9
30.0
36.1
42.2
42.3
31.7
42.9
29.5
30.8
37.2
28.9
33.0
39.6
39.5
29.1
38.2
27.3
29.1
34.4
24.7
30.5
38.9
37.1
27.5
35.4
25.5
26.9
30.6
21.4
27.5
37.3
33.4
25.4
30.1
24.6
24.2
27.8
18.8
22.0
35.8
30.0
22.8
26.3
23.1
22.1
25.4
16.3
20.7
33.3
27.7
20.6
24.8
21.3
South America (26)
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
41.1
25.4
46.9
44.0
36.1
47.1
45.5
36.8
41.5
44.2
47.1
48.0
21.2
46.4
39.7
23.2
45.9
42.0
37.7
43.9
43.6
31.9
36.3
41.2
46.3
44.8
21.9
45.0
33.1
23.4
45.3
33.7
27.3
34.6
39.5
30.4
34.2
35.6
40.5
34.8
21.1
35.1
32.0
25.6
41.1
32.5
23.0
32.9
36.3
25.9
34.1
36.1
38.0
30.2
20.2
34.2
30.0
23.1
38.6
30.8
23.4
30.3
33.3
29.1
24.7
37.3
33.7
30.0
18.3
32.0
27.0
22.1
37.1
26.3
23.6
28.1
31.5
30.3
22.7
34.9
31.3
25.4
18.2
30.3
24.2
21.2
36.0
22.6
21.9
26.3
28.5
31.7
23.2
32.0
28.4
22.5
18.2
26.9
22.5
19.7
32.7
21.6
18.0
24.0
26.2
29.6
22.3
29.3
25.4
23.6
16.9
24.5
20.7
18.0
30.3
19.8
15.7
22.0
24.5
27.9
21.8
26.9
23.0
21.2
15.9
22.9
18.3
17.5
27.3
16.4
14.7
20.6
22.7
25.0
22.6
24.8
21.3
19.1
15.1
21.4
Northern America (27)
Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................
24.6
27.4
24.4
22.5
24.8
22.3
15.6
15.6
15.6
14.9
15.0
14.9
15.4
14.6
15.5
15.7
14.1
15.8
15.4
13.7
15.6
14.2
11.6
14.4
13.8
10.5
14.2
13.7
11.1
14.0
Oceania
27.4
26.2
24.1
21.0
20.4
19.8
19.6
18.7
17.8
17.8
Latin America and the Caribbean
198
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
10.7
10.3
9.2
8.5
8.6
8.4
8.5
8.9
9.0
9.2
TFYR Macedonia (21) ........................
10.3
9.5
11.7
12.3
8.5
11.6
10.7
10.3
10.3
9.7
11.5
12.1
8.6
11.7
10.6
10.8
10.0
9.6
10.8
11.7
8.2
11.8
10.6
10.9
9.8
9.3
11.0
11.5
7.8
11.2
10.3
10.4
10.0
9.9
11.2
11.4
8.2
10.8
10.1
10.7
10.1
10.1
10.9
11.3
8.5
10.6
10.4
10.9
10.0
10.0
10.9
11.1
8.4
10.3
10.4
10.4
10.0
10.1
11.0
10.9
8.6
10.1
10.1
10.2
10.0
10.0
10.6
10.7
8.8
9.9
10.1
10.1
9.8
9.7
10.4
10.5
8.6
9.8
10.1
9.6
Western Europe (22)
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
18.0
16.7
14.5
12.8
11.6
10.8
10.2
9.8
9.6
9.5
17.5
16.5
10.3
15.3
12.7
9.6
12.0
21.0
19.4
13.3
25.8
18.1
11.3
12.1
15.5
16.4
14.6
15.2
16.5
16.0
10.3
14.9
12.4
9.2
11.6
19.3
18.1
12.8
24.0
17.4
10.7
11.6
14.5
15.1
12.9
13.6
14.6
14.4
11.3
13.0
11.7
8.4
10.3
16.4
13.6
12.1
20.6
14.9
10.6
10.4
12.4
12.9
10.8
12.1
13.0
12.6
10.3
11.7
11.4
7.5
10.0
14.2
12.1
10.8
17.8
12.8
9.7
9.5
10.8
11.8
11.1
12.4
11.9
11.9
9.6
11.5
11.3
7.3
9.8
12.5
11.2
10.1
15.7
11.7
8.9
9.1
10.0
11.1
10.2
12.0
11.1
11.3
10.3
11.1
11.2
7.3
9.7
11.2
9.9
9.7
14.1
10.6
9.1
8.8
9.6
10.5
9.9
11.4
10.6
10.7
9.9
10.6
11.1
7.4
10.0
10.4
10.2
9.8
12.9
10.0
9.3
8.7
9.3
10.2
10.3
11.3
10.2
10.5
9.6
10.4
11.0
7.7
10.1
9.8
10.1
9.8
12.1
9.7
9.1
8.8
9.2
10.1
10.0
10.8
10.0
10.2
9.9
10.4
10.9
8.0
10.1
9.5
9.9
9.6
11.5
9.6
9.1
8.9
9.3
10.0
10.2
10.2
9.9
10.0
9.9
10.1
10.7
8.3
10.1
9.4
10.0
9.6
11.2
9.7
9.3
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.4
10.1
Caribbean (23)
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (25) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
United States Virgin Islands................
20.3
23.6
15.3
20.2
31.2
26.0
18.6
22.9
19.6
18.7
21.8
14.1
19.2
29.2
24.1
17.0
20.9
18.3
16.0
18.4
11.9
15.9
25.3
20.2
14.3
17.1
16.2
13.8
15.7
10.5
13.6
22.0
17.1
12.2
14.5
14.2
12.3
13.7
9.7
12.2
19.2
14.8
10.9
12.5
12.7
11.3
12.2
9.1
10.9
16.8
12.9
10.0
11.0
11.7
10.5
11.1
8.8
10.1
14.9
11.6
9.4
10.1
10.9
10.0
10.4
8.7
9.7
13.4
10.6
9.1
9.5
10.4
9.7
9.8
8.7
9.6
12.3
10.0
9.0
9.2
10.0
9.5
9.4
8.8
9.6
11.4
9.5
9.0
9.1
9.7
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
17.1
16.8
25.9
15.1
14.0
18.9
21.0
23.6
20.3
23.9
19.8
17.9
14.5
19.9
15.9
16.0
24.5
14.0
13.3
17.4
19.4
22.7
19.1
22.6
18.5
16.7
14.1
18.4
13.9
14.2
21.7
12.2
11.8
14.9
16.8
20.6
18.3
19.6
15.8
15.0
12.9
15.8
12.3
12.9
19.0
10.8
10.6
13.1
14.6
18.1
15.6
17.2
13.6
12.9
11.9
14.0
11.3
12.0
17.0
9.9
10.2
11.8
13.0
16.4
13.7
15.5
12.0
11.8
11.2
12.5
10.5
11.2
15.3
9.4
9.7
11.0
11.7
14.9
12.8
13.9
10.9
11.3
10.7
11.5
10.0
10.7
13.9
9.1
9.4
10.4
10.9
13.4
12.1
12.8
10.1
10.8
10.3
10.8
9.7
10.4
12.8
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.2
12.6
11.5
11.9
9.6
10.6
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.1
12.0
9.0
9.3
9.7
9.8
11.8
11.5
11.3
9.3
10.5
9.9
9.9
9.5
9.9
11.4
9.0
9.3
9.6
9.5
11.1
11.6
10.8
9.2
10.4
9.8
9.7
South America (26)
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
13.0
11.2
13.2
12.9
11.3
13.1
12.5
10.7
12.7
12.1
10.4
12.3
12.1
10.9
12.2
12.0
10.8
12.2
11.7
10.6
11.8
11.5
10.6
11.6
11.3
10.4
11.4
11.0
10.0
11.1
Northern America (27)
Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................
17.1
16.4
15.2
14.4
13.9
13.1
12.4
11.9
11.4
10.9
Oceania
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Latin America and the Caribbean
199
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (28) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
23.5
23.0
25.6
22.2
21.4
25.8
19.5
19.1
21.0
16.0
15.8
17.0
15.6
15.5
15.9
15.3
15.1
16.6
15.0
14.7
16.6
13.7
13.5
14.9
13.0
12.7
14.2
13.7
13.4
14.9
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
42.9
46.5
34.9
42.5
39.4
51.0
41.8
42.3
34.1
41.8
41.1
47.5
43.2
33.0
37.0
45.4
47.9
40.9
39.9
33.7
29.3
41.1
46.0
39.8
37.2
33.1
25.7
38.0
42.4
38.4
34.6
29.7
23.6
35.4
41.0
36.7
34.2
28.3
23.6
35.2
38.8
35.5
34.1
25.7
20.8
35.8
36.3
33.8
32.2
24.0
18.3
33.7
35.1
30.9
30.2
22.4
17.2
31.5
34.1
28.2
Micronesia (29)
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
39.7
31.6
43.7
47.9
41.6
38.6
46.4
42.7
35.9
31.5
33.1
39.9
35.1
29.9
36.0
38.2
34.3
27.2
37.4
39.3
32.1
27.1
36.5
35.5
29.8
24.0
35.0
32.8
27.4
23.0
31.3
31.4
24.0
20.7
26.4
28.1
21.2
18.3
23.8
24.5
Polynesia (30)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................
47.6
46.1
51.7
47.2
44.5
38.9
47.3
45.8
36.1
34.3
39.7
33.1
34.3
31.8
37.7
33.8
33.5
30.4
36.2
34.9
32.3
30.2
34.3
31.5
29.6
25.8
32.2
30.9
26.7
21.3
31.6
28.4
24.6
19.1
29.6
28.6
23.1
17.5
29.2
28.3
a
b
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and
Polynesia.
c The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55,
67/L.43) included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group
includes 49 countries - Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad,
Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati,
Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda,
Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda,
United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These countries are also included in the less developed regions.
d Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
e Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
1 Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
2 Including Zanzibar.
3 Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
4 For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan
Province of China.
5 As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
6 As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
7 The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
8 Including Sabah and Sarawak.
9 Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
10 Including Northern-Cyprus.
11 Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
12 Including East Jerusalem.
13 Including Transnistria.
14 Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
15 Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
16 Including Åland Islands.
17 Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
18 Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
19 Including Kosovo.
20 Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
21 The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
22 Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
23 Including Anguilla, British Virgin Islands, Caribbean Netherlands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Sint Maarten
(Dutch part) and Turks and Caicos Islands.
(continued on next page)
200
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.19. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
13.3
13.2
13.8
12.9
12.9
13.3
11.9
11.9
12.2
11.7
11.7
11.5
11.7
11.8
11.3
11.2
11.3
10.8
10.9
11.0
10.4
10.7
10.8
10.2
10.3
10.4
9.9
9.9
10.0
9.6
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (28) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
27.9
20.7
15.7
29.1
31.1
26.9
26.2
18.7
15.0
27.4
28.4
25.2
23.7
16.2
13.6
24.7
25.4
22.5
21.3
14.9
12.4
22.1
22.9
20.1
19.2
13.6
11.8
19.8
20.2
17.8
17.5
12.4
11.3
18.0
18.1
15.9
16.0
11.7
10.8
16.4
16.3
14.4
14.8
11.3
10.4
15.2
14.7
13.1
13.8
10.9
10.2
14.1
13.4
12.1
13.0
10.7
10.0
13.3
12.4
11.3
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
19.8
17.5
23.3
23.6
18.9
16.9
22.9
24.0
17.6
15.2
20.4
22.7
15.4
13.3
16.8
17.8
13.7
12.3
15.7
15.8
12.9
11.4
14.5
15.2
12.0
10.6
12.7
13.1
11.1
10.1
12.0
12.1
10.7
9.7
11.5
12.2
10.4
9.4
10.8
11.5
Micronesia (29)
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
21.3
16.5
26.4
25.7
19.8
15.5
24.2
23.4
18.2
13.1
23.0
22.8
16.6
11.2
22.0
21.7
14.8
10.7
18.9
18.2
14.0
10.2
17.3
17.3
13.4
9.6
16.6
16.8
12.4
9.4
14.7
14.4
11.6
9.4
13.1
13.2
11.2
9.2
12.4
12.8
Polynesia (30)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................
Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
Including Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
201
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
high variant, 2010-2100
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
19.5
18.5
16.6
15.6
14.8
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.4
12.0
11.2
21.3
33.1
19.2
11.0
20.0
31.3
17.8
10.4
17.8
28.0
15.6
10.5
16.5
25.1
14.4
10.7
15.5
22.6
13.5
10.6
14.6
20.4
12.8
10.6
13.9
18.6
12.3
10.7
13.3
17.0
11.9
10.5
12.7
15.6
11.5
10.4
12.2
14.5
11.2
23.8
22.4
19.9
18.2
16.8
15.6
14.6
13.8
13.1
12.5
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
38.0
35.9
32.3
29.1
25.8
23.0
20.6
18.4
16.6
15.2
Africa
35.5
33.5
30.0
27.3
24.5
21.9
19.8
17.9
16.2
14.9
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
37.1
44.8
35.5
27.6
37.0
33.3
35.1
34.8
39.9
11.6
29.1
39.1
16.8
35.4
16.7
43.9
36.3
43.4
39.3
43.0
31.3
34.9
42.1
32.7
25.6
33.3
30.7
32.5
33.5
38.3
11.3
26.1
37.0
15.4
32.5
14.9
42.1
34.4
40.9
37.1
41.4
29.5
30.8
35.0
30.2
20.4
27.3
25.7
28.9
30.3
35.0
10.8
24.4
34.3
13.6
27.8
12.5
38.3
30.2
36.1
33.8
37.9
23.7
27.4
32.7
27.8
18.4
24.5
21.5
26.1
27.0
31.3
9.8
20.9
30.3
12.5
24.1
12.1
33.7
26.2
31.6
30.9
35.1
20.6
24.3
29.0
24.5
16.4
21.0
18.2
23.1
24.5
28.1
9.5
17.2
26.4
11.5
20.6
11.4
29.6
23.2
27.4
27.5
32.3
18.1
21.6
24.8
22.5
14.1
18.0
15.7
20.5
22.0
25.2
9.5
15.0
23.4
10.9
17.6
10.7
25.9
20.4
23.8
24.6
29.5
15.3
19.3
22.6
20.6
13.1
16.1
13.8
18.3
19.8
22.6
9.5
13.2
20.5
10.5
15.3
10.6
22.7
18.0
20.8
22.0
27.3
13.8
17.5
20.0
18.6
12.2
14.3
12.4
16.2
17.9
20.3
9.6
11.8
18.1
10.1
13.5
10.4
20.1
16.1
18.2
19.7
25.1
12.6
15.9
17.7
17.1
11.4
12.9
11.5
14.6
16.2
18.3
9.7
10.8
16.2
9.9
12.2
10.1
17.8
14.6
16.1
17.7
23.1
11.6
14.6
16.1
15.8
11.1
12.0
10.9
13.3
14.7
16.5
9.9
10.1
14.6
9.8
11.3
10.1
16.1
13.4
14.5
16.0
21.4
11.0
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
41.9
44.3
37.5
34.4
46.1
37.9
42.9
35.6
32.1
34.2
39.6
41.7
35.2
32.5
43.5
35.2
40.8
33.1
29.7
30.5
35.0
36.9
30.9
27.7
38.1
32.4
36.1
27.9
25.8
27.0
30.6
31.6
27.3
23.8
32.7
29.9
31.5
24.1
23.3
24.9
26.7
27.0
24.1
20.8
28.1
26.7
27.5
21.1
20.6
21.3
23.2
23.4
21.4
18.0
24.2
24.1
23.9
18.2
18.2
19.3
20.4
20.3
19.1
16.0
21.0
21.8
20.9
16.1
16.5
17.5
18.1
17.9
17.1
14.4
18.4
19.6
18.5
14.4
14.9
15.6
16.2
15.9
15.5
13.2
16.3
17.8
16.5
13.1
13.6
14.4
14.7
14.3
14.2
12.3
14.7
16.2
15.0
12.1
12.7
13.4
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
25.0
24.6
23.3
20.9
23.2
33.7
17.3
20.7
22.8
21.3
21.4
18.4
20.2
31.7
15.9
18.6
19.0
15.5
18.1
13.6
16.0
28.4
12.3
14.5
17.3
14.1
16.5
12.2
14.4
25.1
11.0
12.6
16.0
14.2
14.6
11.2
13.7
22.4
11.2
12.2
14.5
12.5
13.0
9.8
12.4
20.1
10.1
11.5
13.5
11.7
12.2
9.3
11.5
18.1
9.5
10.9
12.8
11.9
11.3
9.4
11.3
16.4
10.0
10.9
12.1
11.4
10.7
9.1
10.9
15.1
9.8
10.8
11.5
10.9
10.3
9.0
10.5
14.1
9.5
10.5
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
21.7
23.7
27.6
26.2
21.0
30.0
20.3
22.4
26.2
24.7
19.6
28.2
17.8
19.5
22.5
21.5
17.2
24.0
16.4
17.0
19.9
18.1
16.0
21.5
14.7
15.0
17.8
16.0
14.4
18.9
13.4
13.2
15.5
14.3
13.2
16.4
12.6
12.1
14.1
12.9
12.4
14.8
11.8
11.4
13.1
12.0
11.7
13.5
11.4
10.9
12.2
11.4
11.3
12.5
11.0
10.7
11.7
11.0
11.0
11.9
Western Africa (3)
40.2
38.2
34.7
31.7
28.3
25.1
22.4
19.9
17.9
16.1
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
202
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
36.6
41.1
20.4
36.9
42.9
31.1
37.1
37.7
35.7
47.3
34.3
49.8
41.5
38.1
36.9
36.7
34.4
38.5
18.8
34.8
41.0
28.7
34.9
35.7
33.4
45.6
32.2
48.8
39.4
35.3
34.3
33.8
30.5
34.0
15.0
31.0
36.7
24.9
30.6
31.8
30.0
41.5
29.0
45.8
35.9
31.1
30.2
29.5
26.9
29.8
12.3
28.1
32.5
22.5
26.9
28.4
26.6
37.1
26.3
41.7
32.8
28.4
26.5
26.8
23.7
26.0
10.9
25.5
28.0
19.9
23.6
25.2
23.5
32.4
23.7
37.4
29.0
25.3
23.2
23.9
21.1
23.0
9.8
22.9
24.1
17.8
20.9
22.6
21.0
28.1
21.5
32.9
25.6
22.7
20.8
21.3
18.9
20.4
9.2
20.7
20.9
16.2
18.6
20.3
18.8
24.5
19.6
28.8
22.6
20.6
18.7
19.4
17.0
18.1
9.0
18.8
18.3
14.8
16.8
18.4
16.9
21.4
17.9
25.2
20.0
18.7
16.8
17.4
15.5
16.3
8.9
17.0
16.3
13.8
15.3
16.8
15.3
18.8
16.4
22.1
17.8
16.9
15.5
15.8
14.4
14.8
9.0
15.4
14.8
13.0
14.2
15.6
14.1
16.8
15.3
19.5
16.0
15.6
14.4
14.6
17.7
16.4
14.0
12.8
11.9
11.2
10.8
10.5
10.3
10.2
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
12.9
13.4
9.4
10.1
14.4
8.4
22.8
9.6
9.3
11.8
12.2
9.1
10.5
14.3
8.1
20.4
9.4
8.6
9.7
9.8
7.7
8.8
13.1
7.8
15.3
8.9
8.0
9.5
9.7
6.7
8.0
11.6
7.9
15.2
7.9
7.2
9.4
9.6
7.9
9.0
11.6
8.1
14.6
7.8
7.1
9.2
9.3
8.1
9.3
11.1
8.2
12.6
8.2
7.5
9.4
9.5
7.7
9.0
10.5
8.4
12.7
8.2
7.7
9.7
9.8
8.2
9.3
10.6
8.7
12.4
8.3
8.0
9.8
9.9
8.5
9.5
10.4
8.8
11.6
8.6
8.5
9.8
9.9
8.1
9.2
10.1
8.8
11.5
8.7
8.8
South-Central Asia (7)
21.3
19.6
16.7
14.6
13.1
12.0
11.3
10.9
10.5
10.4
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
23.3
20.5
27.4
33.3
21.5
21.6
21.4
18.7
25.0
30.3
20.0
19.8
17.0
15.2
18.8
23.8
16.1
15.6
16.1
15.7
18.1
22.9
14.3
13.8
15.1
14.8
17.5
21.0
13.4
12.7
13.3
13.1
14.5
17.9
12.1
11.3
13.0
13.1
14.0
17.0
11.5
11.0
12.5
12.6
13.6
15.5
11.4
10.8
11.8
11.8
12.3
13.9
11.0
10.4
11.6
11.7
12.0
13.2
10.9
10.5
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
21.3
34.5
20.3
19.8
20.7
19.0
22.3
21.1
25.4
18.1
19.5
30.3
18.4
17.9
19.0
16.8
19.2
19.7
23.5
16.2
16.7
25.3
15.1
14.4
16.5
12.9
13.8
16.9
19.6
13.8
14.6
20.5
12.7
12.2
14.5
11.9
11.8
14.3
16.6
13.2
13.0
16.2
11.3
11.1
13.1
11.2
11.0
12.4
14.5
12.3
12.0
13.9
10.3
10.3
12.1
10.3
9.6
11.4
13.0
11.2
11.3
12.2
9.7
9.8
11.4
9.9
9.0
10.7
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
9.4
9.6
10.9
9.9
8.9
10.2
11.3
10.6
10.5
10.6
9.3
9.6
10.6
9.8
8.7
10.0
10.9
10.3
10.3
10.3
9.3
9.5
10.4
9.7
8.7
10.0
10.7
10.2
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
18.4
15.8
25.8
18.9
26.9
17.7
17.3
24.6
9.9
10.4
35.7
15.6
17.1
14.2
23.5
17.3
24.6
17.3
16.0
23.5
9.9
9.4
35.8
14.0
15.1
12.8
18.1
15.5
19.5
14.8
13.5
21.0
9.4
8.6
32.8
11.1
13.5
11.2
16.4
13.8
16.4
12.4
12.1
18.5
7.8
8.0
26.9
10.2
12.4
10.1
14.4
12.5
14.1
11.6
11.6
16.6
7.6
7.6
23.9
9.4
11.7
9.8
12.6
11.7
12.2
11.0
11.1
15.0
7.7
7.6
20.6
8.9
11.1
9.4
11.5
11.2
11.1
10.3
10.9
13.7
7.2
7.9
17.1
8.9
10.8
9.1
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.0
11.1
12.7
6.9
8.2
15.2
8.9
10.5
9.1
10.2
10.5
10.0
10.0
11.1
11.9
6.9
8.5
13.6
9.1
10.3
9.0
9.8
10.3
9.8
9.7
11.0
11.4
6.6
8.9
12.2
9.3
Asia
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
203
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
21.8
13.8
18.0
15.5
11.5
13.4
31.3
20.5
27.3
20.7
13.5
21.4
11.2
19.6
30.6
24.3
17.0
14.8
31.4
20.0
12.5
15.7
13.3
11.2
12.2
29.4
18.8
24.0
19.2
13.6
16.9
9.8
17.0
29.2
22.4
15.5
11.1
29.1
16.8
10.1
11.6
10.4
10.3
10.0
25.8
16.9
18.9
15.7
11.3
12.0
6.8
10.9
25.4
19.3
13.4
7.9
23.8
15.1
10.1
11.4
9.6
9.3
10.7
22.7
16.4
17.2
14.6
9.2
10.3
6.3
11.0
21.5
15.9
11.9
8.7
19.4
13.7
9.7
10.7
9.0
9.2
10.5
20.2
14.8
15.0
13.8
8.9
10.0
6.7
11.0
18.9
13.7
10.7
7.4
16.3
12.5
9.1
10.0
8.3
8.8
10.0
18.1
13.3
13.0
12.7
8.6
9.5
6.3
9.4
16.9
12.2
10.0
7.1
13.9
11.7
9.4
10.2
8.2
8.7
10.4
16.3
12.6
11.9
12.1
8.1
9.0
6.4
9.0
14.9
11.0
9.6
7.5
12.3
11.2
9.5
10.0
8.4
9.0
10.3
14.8
11.8
11.1
11.8
8.3
9.4
7.3
9.4
13.4
10.3
9.4
7.5
11.4
10.7
9.5
10.0
8.6
9.1
10.0
13.5
10.9
10.4
11.4
8.6
10.2
7.9
9.2
12.4
9.8
9.3
7.7
10.8
10.4
9.8
10.1
8.7
9.1
10.1
12.6
10.5
10.0
11.1
8.7
10.2
7.9
9.0
11.5
9.6
9.2
7.7
10.5
10.8
10.5
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.0
10.2
10.3
10.2
10.1
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
11.2
11.0
9.6
11.0
9.9
10.8
12.2
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.8
10.8
10.6
9.3
10.7
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.0
11.3
10.5
10.4
9.4
9.2
8.4
9.3
9.2
9.2
9.0
8.6
9.8
9.0
8.8
10.0
9.8
9.1
10.2
9.3
8.5
9.4
8.7
10.9
8.7
9.8
10.4
10.3
9.5
10.7
9.8
9.4
9.3
9.0
11.0
9.4
10.4
10.1
9.9
9.3
10.2
9.7
9.1
8.8
8.7
10.8
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.4
9.9
10.7
9.8
8.8
9.7
9.1
11.4
9.1
10.6
10.8
10.7
10.4
10.9
10.1
9.6
10.0
9.5
11.3
9.8
11.1
10.7
10.5
10.2
10.5
10.1
9.8
10.0
9.5
11.2
9.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.5
10.4
9.9
9.4
10.3
9.6
11.2
9.7
10.9
Northern Europe (14)
Channel Islands (15) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (16) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (17) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
12.1
9.6
11.3
10.8
11.2
14.5
15.5
10.9
11.2
12.4
11.9
12.2
12.0
9.3
11.5
10.9
11.2
13.9
14.1
11.2
11.5
12.4
12.2
12.0
11.3
9.1
12.0
9.7
10.6
12.4
11.9
9.9
10.1
12.1
11.7
11.3
11.2
8.9
11.6
10.2
10.4
11.6
12.3
10.3
9.5
11.7
11.7
11.1
11.4
8.9
11.5
10.7
10.8
11.3
12.1
11.5
10.8
11.8
12.2
11.2
11.1
9.0
11.8
10.2
10.6
10.6
11.2
10.9
10.4
11.6
12.0
11.0
10.9
9.0
11.5
10.4
10.4
10.2
11.1
10.9
10.1
11.3
11.6
10.7
10.9
8.9
11.1
10.9
10.4
10.1
11.2
11.7
10.9
11.1
11.6
10.7
10.6
8.8
11.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.9
10.8
11.3
10.5
10.3
8.6
10.7
10.5
10.0
9.5
10.4
10.9
10.4
10.5
10.9
10.1
Southern Europe (18)
Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (19) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (20) ............................................
9.8
13.0
8.9
9.5
9.8
9.2
9.2
11.7
8.8
9.8
10.0
10.5
9.2
13.2
9.5
9.4
9.1
8.8
9.0
11.2
8.0
9.4
9.5
9.4
8.6
12.8
9.6
8.9
8.5
8.7
8.4
10.5
7.8
8.7
8.4
8.2
8.9
9.6
8.0
8.8
9.1
8.9
8.0
10.0
7.9
8.2
9.1
9.0
8.9
9.0
8.3
8.9
9.2
9.1
8.2
9.7
7.6
7.9
9.5
9.0
8.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
9.0
9.2
8.2
9.6
7.7
7.9
9.2
8.5
9.2
8.6
8.3
9.1
9.5
9.5
8.2
9.6
8.2
8.0
9.6
9.2
9.4
8.2
8.7
9.2
9.7
9.7
8.5
9.7
8.3
8.3
9.9
9.5
9.3
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5
8.6
9.8
8.4
8.7
9.6
9.1
9.3
9.2
9.1
9.4
9.4
9.4
8.7
9.9
8.7
9.1
9.6
9.2
Europe
204
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
TFYR Macedonia (21) ........................
10.7
10.3
9.2
8.5
8.6
8.4
8.5
8.9
9.0
9.2
Western Europe (22)
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
10.3
9.5
11.7
12.3
8.5
11.6
10.7
10.3
10.3
9.7
11.5
12.1
8.6
11.7
10.6
10.8
10.0
9.6
10.8
11.7
8.2
11.8
10.6
10.9
9.8
9.3
11.0
11.5
7.8
11.2
10.3
10.4
10.0
9.9
11.2
11.4
8.2
10.8
10.1
10.7
10.1
10.1
10.9
11.3
8.5
10.6
10.4
10.9
10.0
10.0
10.9
11.1
8.4
10.3
10.4
10.4
10.0
10.1
11.0
10.9
8.6
10.1
10.1
10.2
10.0
10.0
10.6
10.7
8.8
9.9
10.1
10.1
9.8
9.7
10.4
10.5
8.6
9.8
10.1
9.6
18.0
16.7
14.5
12.8
11.6
10.8
10.2
9.8
9.6
9.5
Caribbean (23)
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (25) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
United States Virgin Islands................
17.5
16.5
10.3
15.3
12.7
9.6
12.0
21.0
19.4
13.3
25.8
18.1
11.3
12.1
15.5
16.4
14.6
15.2
16.5
16.0
10.3
14.9
12.4
9.2
11.6
19.3
18.1
12.8
24.0
17.4
10.7
11.6
14.5
15.1
12.9
13.6
14.6
14.4
11.3
13.0
11.7
8.4
10.3
16.4
13.6
12.1
20.6
14.9
10.6
10.4
12.4
12.9
10.8
12.1
13.0
12.6
10.3
11.7
11.4
7.5
10.0
14.2
12.1
10.8
17.8
12.8
9.7
9.5
10.8
11.8
11.1
12.4
11.9
11.9
9.6
11.5
11.3
7.3
9.8
12.5
11.2
10.1
15.7
11.7
8.9
9.1
10.0
11.1
10.2
12.0
11.1
11.3
10.3
11.1
11.2
7.3
9.7
11.2
9.9
9.7
14.1
10.6
9.1
8.8
9.6
10.5
9.9
11.4
10.6
10.7
9.9
10.6
11.1
7.4
10.0
10.4
10.2
9.8
12.9
10.0
9.3
8.7
9.3
10.2
10.3
11.3
10.2
10.5
9.6
10.4
11.0
7.7
10.1
9.8
10.1
9.8
12.1
9.7
9.1
8.8
9.2
10.1
10.0
10.8
10.0
10.2
9.9
10.4
10.9
8.0
10.1
9.5
9.9
9.6
11.5
9.6
9.1
8.9
9.3
10.0
10.2
10.2
9.9
10.0
9.9
10.1
10.7
8.3
10.1
9.4
10.0
9.6
11.2
9.7
9.3
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.4
10.1
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
20.3
23.6
15.3
20.2
31.2
26.0
18.6
22.9
19.6
18.7
21.8
14.1
19.2
29.2
24.1
17.0
20.9
18.3
16.0
18.4
11.9
15.9
25.3
20.2
14.3
17.1
16.2
13.8
15.7
10.5
13.6
22.0
17.1
12.2
14.5
14.2
12.3
13.7
9.7
12.2
19.2
14.8
10.9
12.5
12.7
11.3
12.2
9.1
10.9
16.8
12.9
10.0
11.0
11.7
10.5
11.1
8.8
10.1
14.9
11.6
9.4
10.1
10.9
10.0
10.4
8.7
9.7
13.4
10.6
9.1
9.5
10.4
9.7
9.8
8.7
9.6
12.3
10.0
9.0
9.2
10.0
9.5
9.4
8.8
9.6
11.4
9.5
9.0
9.1
9.7
South America (26)
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
17.1
16.8
25.9
15.1
14.0
18.9
21.0
23.6
20.3
23.9
19.8
17.9
14.5
19.9
15.9
16.0
24.5
14.0
13.3
17.4
19.4
22.7
19.1
22.6
18.5
16.7
14.1
18.4
13.9
14.2
21.7
12.2
11.8
14.9
16.8
20.6
18.3
19.6
15.8
15.0
12.9
15.8
12.3
12.9
19.0
10.8
10.6
13.1
14.6
18.1
15.6
17.2
13.6
12.9
11.9
14.0
11.3
12.0
17.0
9.9
10.2
11.8
13.0
16.4
13.7
15.5
12.0
11.8
11.2
12.5
10.5
11.2
15.3
9.4
9.7
11.0
11.7
14.9
12.8
13.9
10.9
11.3
10.7
11.5
10.0
10.7
13.9
9.1
9.4
10.4
10.9
13.4
12.1
12.8
10.1
10.8
10.3
10.8
9.7
10.4
12.8
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.2
12.6
11.5
11.9
9.6
10.6
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.1
12.0
9.0
9.3
9.7
9.8
11.8
11.5
11.3
9.3
10.5
9.9
9.9
9.5
9.9
11.4
9.0
9.3
9.6
9.5
11.1
11.6
10.8
9.2
10.4
9.8
9.7
Northern America (27)
Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................
13.0
11.2
13.2
12.9
11.3
13.1
12.5
10.7
12.7
12.1
10.4
12.3
12.1
10.9
12.2
12.0
10.8
12.2
11.7
10.6
11.8
11.5
10.6
11.6
11.3
10.4
11.4
11.0
10.0
11.1
Oceania
17.1
16.4
15.2
14.4
13.9
13.1
12.4
11.9
11.4
10.9
Latin America and the Caribbean
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
205
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (28) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
13.3
13.2
13.8
12.9
12.9
13.3
11.9
11.9
12.2
11.7
11.7
11.5
11.7
11.8
11.3
11.2
11.3
10.8
10.9
11.0
10.4
10.7
10.8
10.2
10.3
10.4
9.9
9.9
10.0
9.6
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
27.9
20.7
15.7
29.1
31.1
26.9
26.2
18.7
15.0
27.4
28.4
25.2
23.7
16.2
13.6
24.7
25.4
22.5
21.3
14.9
12.4
22.1
22.9
20.1
19.2
13.6
11.8
19.8
20.2
17.8
17.5
12.4
11.3
18.0
18.1
15.9
16.0
11.7
10.8
16.4
16.3
14.4
14.8
11.3
10.4
15.2
14.7
13.1
13.8
10.9
10.2
14.1
13.4
12.1
13.0
10.7
10.0
13.3
12.4
11.3
Micronesia (29)
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
19.8
17.5
23.3
23.6
18.9
16.9
22.9
24.0
17.6
15.2
20.4
22.7
15.4
13.3
16.8
17.8
13.7
12.3
15.7
15.8
12.9
11.4
14.5
15.2
12.0
10.6
12.7
13.1
11.1
10.1
12.0
12.1
10.7
9.7
11.5
12.2
10.4
9.4
10.8
11.5
Polynesia (30)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................
21.3
16.5
26.4
25.7
19.8
15.5
24.2
23.4
18.2
13.1
23.0
22.8
16.6
11.2
22.0
21.7
14.8
10.7
18.9
18.2
14.0
10.2
17.3
17.3
13.4
9.6
16.6
16.8
12.4
9.4
14.7
14.4
11.6
9.4
13.1
13.2
11.2
9.2
12.4
12.8
a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
206
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.20. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
High variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
23 Including Anguilla, British Virgin Islands, Caribbean Netherlands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Sint Maarten (Dutch
part) and Turks and Caicos Islands.
24 Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
25 Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
26 Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
27 Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
28 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
29 Including Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
30 Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
207
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country:
low variant, 2010-2100
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
World
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
19.5
18.5
16.6
15.6
14.8
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.4
12.0
11.2
21.3
33.1
19.2
11.0
20.0
31.3
17.8
10.4
17.8
28.0
15.6
10.5
16.5
25.1
14.4
10.7
15.5
22.6
13.5
10.6
14.6
20.4
12.8
10.6
13.9
18.6
12.3
10.7
13.3
17.0
11.9
10.5
12.7
15.6
11.5
10.4
12.2
14.5
11.2
23.8
22.4
19.9
18.2
16.8
15.6
14.6
13.8
13.1
12.5
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
38.0
35.9
32.3
29.1
25.8
23.0
20.6
18.4
16.6
15.2
Africa
35.5
33.5
30.0
27.3
24.5
21.9
19.8
17.9
16.2
14.9
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
37.1
44.8
35.5
27.6
37.0
33.3
35.1
34.8
39.9
11.6
29.1
39.1
16.8
35.4
16.7
43.9
36.3
43.4
39.3
43.0
31.3
34.9
42.1
32.7
25.6
33.3
30.7
32.5
33.5
38.3
11.3
26.1
37.0
15.4
32.5
14.9
42.1
34.4
40.9
37.1
41.4
29.5
30.8
35.0
30.2
20.4
27.3
25.7
28.9
30.3
35.0
10.8
24.4
34.3
13.6
27.8
12.5
38.3
30.2
36.1
33.8
37.9
23.7
27.4
32.7
27.8
18.4
24.5
21.5
26.1
27.0
31.3
9.8
20.9
30.3
12.5
24.1
12.1
33.7
26.2
31.6
30.9
35.1
20.6
24.3
29.0
24.5
16.4
21.0
18.2
23.1
24.5
28.1
9.5
17.2
26.4
11.5
20.6
11.4
29.6
23.2
27.4
27.5
32.3
18.1
21.6
24.8
22.5
14.1
18.0
15.7
20.5
22.0
25.2
9.5
15.0
23.4
10.9
17.6
10.7
25.9
20.4
23.8
24.6
29.5
15.3
19.3
22.6
20.6
13.1
16.1
13.8
18.3
19.8
22.6
9.5
13.2
20.5
10.5
15.3
10.6
22.7
18.0
20.8
22.0
27.3
13.8
17.5
20.0
18.6
12.2
14.3
12.4
16.2
17.9
20.3
9.6
11.8
18.1
10.1
13.5
10.4
20.1
16.1
18.2
19.7
25.1
12.6
15.9
17.7
17.1
11.4
12.9
11.5
14.6
16.2
18.3
9.7
10.8
16.2
9.9
12.2
10.1
17.8
14.6
16.1
17.7
23.1
11.6
14.6
16.1
15.8
11.1
12.0
10.9
13.3
14.7
16.5
9.9
10.1
14.6
9.8
11.3
10.1
16.1
13.4
14.5
16.0
21.4
11.0
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
41.9
44.3
37.5
34.4
46.1
37.9
42.9
35.6
32.1
34.2
39.6
41.7
35.2
32.5
43.5
35.2
40.8
33.1
29.7
30.5
35.0
36.9
30.9
27.7
38.1
32.4
36.1
27.9
25.8
27.0
30.6
31.6
27.3
23.8
32.7
29.9
31.5
24.1
23.3
24.9
26.7
27.0
24.1
20.8
28.1
26.7
27.5
21.1
20.6
21.3
23.2
23.4
21.4
18.0
24.2
24.1
23.9
18.2
18.2
19.3
20.4
20.3
19.1
16.0
21.0
21.8
20.9
16.1
16.5
17.5
18.1
17.9
17.1
14.4
18.4
19.6
18.5
14.4
14.9
15.6
16.2
15.9
15.5
13.2
16.3
17.8
16.5
13.1
13.6
14.4
14.7
14.3
14.2
12.3
14.7
16.2
15.0
12.1
12.7
13.4
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
25.0
24.6
23.3
20.9
23.2
33.7
17.3
20.7
22.8
21.3
21.4
18.4
20.2
31.7
15.9
18.6
19.0
15.5
18.1
13.6
16.0
28.4
12.3
14.5
17.3
14.1
16.5
12.2
14.4
25.1
11.0
12.6
16.0
14.2
14.6
11.2
13.7
22.4
11.2
12.2
14.5
12.5
13.0
9.8
12.4
20.1
10.1
11.5
13.5
11.7
12.2
9.3
11.5
18.1
9.5
10.9
12.8
11.9
11.3
9.4
11.3
16.4
10.0
10.9
12.1
11.4
10.7
9.1
10.9
15.1
9.8
10.8
11.5
10.9
10.3
9.0
10.5
14.1
9.5
10.5
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
21.7
23.7
27.6
26.2
21.0
30.0
20.3
22.4
26.2
24.7
19.6
28.2
17.8
19.5
22.5
21.5
17.2
24.0
16.4
17.0
19.9
18.1
16.0
21.5
14.7
15.0
17.8
16.0
14.4
18.9
13.4
13.2
15.5
14.3
13.2
16.4
12.6
12.1
14.1
12.9
12.4
14.8
11.8
11.4
13.1
12.0
11.7
13.5
11.4
10.9
12.2
11.4
11.3
12.5
11.0
10.7
11.7
11.0
11.0
11.9
Western Africa (3)
40.2
38.2
34.7
31.7
28.3
25.1
22.4
19.9
17.9
16.1
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
208
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
36.6
41.1
20.4
36.9
42.9
31.1
37.1
37.7
35.7
47.3
34.3
49.8
41.5
38.1
36.9
36.7
34.4
38.5
18.8
34.8
41.0
28.7
34.9
35.7
33.4
45.6
32.2
48.8
39.4
35.3
34.3
33.8
30.5
34.0
15.0
31.0
36.7
24.9
30.6
31.8
30.0
41.5
29.0
45.8
35.9
31.1
30.2
29.5
26.9
29.8
12.3
28.1
32.5
22.5
26.9
28.4
26.6
37.1
26.3
41.7
32.8
28.4
26.5
26.8
23.7
26.0
10.9
25.5
28.0
19.9
23.6
25.2
23.5
32.4
23.7
37.4
29.0
25.3
23.2
23.9
21.1
23.0
9.8
22.9
24.1
17.8
20.9
22.6
21.0
28.1
21.5
32.9
25.6
22.7
20.8
21.3
18.9
20.4
9.2
20.7
20.9
16.2
18.6
20.3
18.8
24.5
19.6
28.8
22.6
20.6
18.7
19.4
17.0
18.1
9.0
18.8
18.3
14.8
16.8
18.4
16.9
21.4
17.9
25.2
20.0
18.7
16.8
17.4
15.5
16.3
8.9
17.0
16.3
13.8
15.3
16.8
15.3
18.8
16.4
22.1
17.8
16.9
15.5
15.8
14.4
14.8
9.0
15.4
14.8
13.0
14.2
15.6
14.1
16.8
15.3
19.5
16.0
15.6
14.4
14.6
17.7
16.4
14.0
12.8
11.9
11.2
10.8
10.5
10.3
10.2
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
12.9
13.4
9.4
10.1
14.4
8.4
22.8
9.6
9.3
11.8
12.2
9.1
10.5
14.3
8.1
20.4
9.4
8.6
9.7
9.8
7.7
8.8
13.1
7.8
15.3
8.9
8.0
9.5
9.7
6.7
8.0
11.6
7.9
15.2
7.9
7.2
9.4
9.6
7.9
9.0
11.6
8.1
14.6
7.8
7.1
9.2
9.3
8.1
9.3
11.1
8.2
12.6
8.2
7.5
9.4
9.5
7.7
9.0
10.5
8.4
12.7
8.2
7.7
9.7
9.8
8.2
9.3
10.6
8.7
12.4
8.3
8.0
9.8
9.9
8.5
9.5
10.4
8.8
11.6
8.6
8.5
9.8
9.9
8.1
9.2
10.1
8.8
11.5
8.7
8.8
South-Central Asia (7)
21.3
19.6
16.7
14.6
13.1
12.0
11.3
10.9
10.5
10.4
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
23.3
20.5
27.4
33.3
21.5
21.6
21.4
18.7
25.0
30.3
20.0
19.8
17.0
15.2
18.8
23.8
16.1
15.6
16.1
15.7
18.1
22.9
14.3
13.8
15.1
14.8
17.5
21.0
13.4
12.7
13.3
13.1
14.5
17.9
12.1
11.3
13.0
13.1
14.0
17.0
11.5
11.0
12.5
12.6
13.6
15.5
11.4
10.8
11.8
11.8
12.3
13.9
11.0
10.4
11.6
11.7
12.0
13.2
10.9
10.5
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
21.3
34.5
20.3
19.8
20.7
19.0
22.3
21.1
25.4
18.1
19.5
30.3
18.4
17.9
19.0
16.8
19.2
19.7
23.5
16.2
16.7
25.3
15.1
14.4
16.5
12.9
13.8
16.9
19.6
13.8
14.6
20.5
12.7
12.2
14.5
11.9
11.8
14.3
16.6
13.2
13.0
16.2
11.3
11.1
13.1
11.2
11.0
12.4
14.5
12.3
12.0
13.9
10.3
10.3
12.1
10.3
9.6
11.4
13.0
11.2
11.3
12.2
9.7
9.8
11.4
9.9
9.0
10.7
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
9.4
9.6
10.9
9.9
8.9
10.2
11.3
10.6
10.5
10.6
9.3
9.6
10.6
9.8
8.7
10.0
10.9
10.3
10.3
10.3
9.3
9.5
10.4
9.7
8.7
10.0
10.7
10.2
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
18.4
15.8
25.8
18.9
26.9
17.7
17.3
24.6
9.9
10.4
35.7
15.6
17.1
14.2
23.5
17.3
24.6
17.3
16.0
23.5
9.9
9.4
35.8
14.0
15.1
12.8
18.1
15.5
19.5
14.8
13.5
21.0
9.4
8.6
32.8
11.1
13.5
11.2
16.4
13.8
16.4
12.4
12.1
18.5
7.8
8.0
26.9
10.2
12.4
10.1
14.4
12.5
14.1
11.6
11.6
16.6
7.6
7.6
23.9
9.4
11.7
9.8
12.6
11.7
12.2
11.0
11.1
15.0
7.7
7.6
20.6
8.9
11.1
9.4
11.5
11.2
11.1
10.3
10.9
13.7
7.2
7.9
17.1
8.9
10.8
9.1
10.7
10.7
10.4
10.0
11.1
12.7
6.9
8.2
15.2
8.9
10.5
9.1
10.2
10.5
10.0
10.0
11.1
11.9
6.9
8.5
13.6
9.1
10.3
9.0
9.8
10.3
9.8
9.7
11.0
11.4
6.6
8.9
12.2
9.3
Asia
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
209
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
21.8
13.8
18.0
15.5
11.5
13.4
31.3
20.5
27.3
20.7
13.5
21.4
11.2
19.6
30.6
24.3
17.0
14.8
31.4
20.0
12.5
15.7
13.3
11.2
12.2
29.4
18.8
24.0
19.2
13.6
16.9
9.8
17.0
29.2
22.4
15.5
11.1
29.1
16.8
10.1
11.6
10.4
10.3
10.0
25.8
16.9
18.9
15.7
11.3
12.0
6.8
10.9
25.4
19.3
13.4
7.9
23.8
15.1
10.1
11.4
9.6
9.3
10.7
22.7
16.4
17.2
14.6
9.2
10.3
6.3
11.0
21.5
15.9
11.9
8.7
19.4
13.7
9.7
10.7
9.0
9.2
10.5
20.2
14.8
15.0
13.8
8.9
10.0
6.7
11.0
18.9
13.7
10.7
7.4
16.3
12.5
9.1
10.0
8.3
8.8
10.0
18.1
13.3
13.0
12.7
8.6
9.5
6.3
9.4
16.9
12.2
10.0
7.1
13.9
11.7
9.4
10.2
8.2
8.7
10.4
16.3
12.6
11.9
12.1
8.1
9.0
6.4
9.0
14.9
11.0
9.6
7.5
12.3
11.2
9.5
10.0
8.4
9.0
10.3
14.8
11.8
11.1
11.8
8.3
9.4
7.3
9.4
13.4
10.3
9.4
7.5
11.4
10.7
9.5
10.0
8.6
9.1
10.0
13.5
10.9
10.4
11.4
8.6
10.2
7.9
9.2
12.4
9.8
9.3
7.7
10.8
10.4
9.8
10.1
8.7
9.1
10.1
12.6
10.5
10.0
11.1
8.7
10.2
7.9
9.0
11.5
9.6
9.2
7.7
10.5
10.8
10.5
9.6
9.9
10.1
10.0
10.2
10.3
10.2
10.1
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
11.2
11.0
9.6
11.0
9.9
10.8
12.2
10.3
11.8
10.7
10.8
10.8
10.6
9.3
10.7
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.0
11.3
10.5
10.4
9.4
9.2
8.4
9.3
9.2
9.2
9.0
8.6
9.8
9.0
8.8
10.0
9.8
9.1
10.2
9.3
8.5
9.4
8.7
10.9
8.7
9.8
10.4
10.3
9.5
10.7
9.8
9.4
9.3
9.0
11.0
9.4
10.4
10.1
9.9
9.3
10.2
9.7
9.1
8.8
8.7
10.8
9.2
9.9
10.6
10.4
9.9
10.7
9.8
8.8
9.7
9.1
11.4
9.1
10.6
10.8
10.7
10.4
10.9
10.1
9.6
10.0
9.5
11.3
9.8
11.1
10.7
10.5
10.2
10.5
10.1
9.8
10.0
9.5
11.2
9.9
10.7
10.7
10.6
10.5
10.4
9.9
9.4
10.3
9.6
11.2
9.7
10.9
Northern Europe (14)
Channel Islands (15) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (16) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (17) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
12.1
9.6
11.3
10.8
11.2
14.5
15.5
10.9
11.2
12.4
11.9
12.2
12.0
9.3
11.5
10.9
11.2
13.9
14.1
11.2
11.5
12.4
12.2
12.0
11.3
9.1
12.0
9.7
10.6
12.4
11.9
9.9
10.1
12.1
11.7
11.3
11.2
8.9
11.6
10.2
10.4
11.6
12.3
10.3
9.5
11.7
11.7
11.1
11.4
8.9
11.5
10.7
10.8
11.3
12.1
11.5
10.8
11.8
12.2
11.2
11.1
9.0
11.8
10.2
10.6
10.6
11.2
10.9
10.4
11.6
12.0
11.0
10.9
9.0
11.5
10.4
10.4
10.2
11.1
10.9
10.1
11.3
11.6
10.7
10.9
8.9
11.1
10.9
10.4
10.1
11.2
11.7
10.9
11.1
11.6
10.7
10.6
8.8
11.0
10.6
10.2
9.8
10.7
11.3
10.9
10.8
11.3
10.5
10.3
8.6
10.7
10.5
10.0
9.5
10.4
10.9
10.4
10.5
10.9
10.1
Southern Europe (18)
Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (19) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (20) ............................................
9.8
13.0
8.9
9.5
9.8
9.2
9.2
11.7
8.8
9.8
10.0
10.5
9.2
13.2
9.5
9.4
9.1
8.8
9.0
11.2
8.0
9.4
9.5
9.4
8.6
12.8
9.6
8.9
8.5
8.7
8.4
10.5
7.8
8.7
8.4
8.2
8.9
9.6
8.0
8.8
9.1
8.9
8.0
10.0
7.9
8.2
9.1
9.0
8.9
9.0
8.3
8.9
9.2
9.1
8.2
9.7
7.6
7.9
9.5
9.0
8.8
9.6
8.7
8.9
9.0
9.2
8.2
9.6
7.7
7.9
9.2
8.5
9.2
8.6
8.3
9.1
9.5
9.5
8.2
9.6
8.2
8.0
9.6
9.2
9.4
8.2
8.7
9.2
9.7
9.7
8.5
9.7
8.3
8.3
9.9
9.5
9.3
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5
8.6
9.8
8.4
8.7
9.6
9.1
9.3
9.2
9.1
9.4
9.4
9.4
8.7
9.9
8.7
9.1
9.6
9.2
Europe
210
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
TFYR Macedonia (21) ........................
10.7
10.3
9.2
8.5
8.6
8.4
8.5
8.9
9.0
9.2
Western Europe (22)
Austria.................................................
Belgium...............................................
France..................................................
Germany..............................................
Luxembourg ........................................
Netherlands .........................................
Switzerland .........................................
10.3
9.5
11.7
12.3
8.5
11.6
10.7
10.3
10.3
9.7
11.5
12.1
8.6
11.7
10.6
10.8
10.0
9.6
10.8
11.7
8.2
11.8
10.6
10.9
9.8
9.3
11.0
11.5
7.8
11.2
10.3
10.4
10.0
9.9
11.2
11.4
8.2
10.8
10.1
10.7
10.1
10.1
10.9
11.3
8.5
10.6
10.4
10.9
10.0
10.0
10.9
11.1
8.4
10.3
10.4
10.4
10.0
10.1
11.0
10.9
8.6
10.1
10.1
10.2
10.0
10.0
10.6
10.7
8.8
9.9
10.1
10.1
9.8
9.7
10.4
10.5
8.6
9.8
10.1
9.6
18.0
16.7
14.5
12.8
11.6
10.8
10.2
9.8
9.6
9.5
Caribbean (23)
Antigua and Barbuda ..........................
Aruba...................................................
Bahamas..............................................
Barbados .............................................
Cuba ....................................................
Curaçao ...............................................
Dominican Republic ...........................
Grenada ...............................................
Guadeloupe (25) ..................................
Haiti.....................................................
Jamaica................................................
Martinique...........................................
Puerto Rico..........................................
Saint Lucia ..........................................
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines .......
Trinidad and Tobago ...........................
United States Virgin Islands................
17.5
16.5
10.3
15.3
12.7
9.6
12.0
21.0
19.4
13.3
25.8
18.1
11.3
12.1
15.5
16.4
14.6
15.2
16.5
16.0
10.3
14.9
12.4
9.2
11.6
19.3
18.1
12.8
24.0
17.4
10.7
11.6
14.5
15.1
12.9
13.6
14.6
14.4
11.3
13.0
11.7
8.4
10.3
16.4
13.6
12.1
20.6
14.9
10.6
10.4
12.4
12.9
10.8
12.1
13.0
12.6
10.3
11.7
11.4
7.5
10.0
14.2
12.1
10.8
17.8
12.8
9.7
9.5
10.8
11.8
11.1
12.4
11.9
11.9
9.6
11.5
11.3
7.3
9.8
12.5
11.2
10.1
15.7
11.7
8.9
9.1
10.0
11.1
10.2
12.0
11.1
11.3
10.3
11.1
11.2
7.3
9.7
11.2
9.9
9.7
14.1
10.6
9.1
8.8
9.6
10.5
9.9
11.4
10.6
10.7
9.9
10.6
11.1
7.4
10.0
10.4
10.2
9.8
12.9
10.0
9.3
8.7
9.3
10.2
10.3
11.3
10.2
10.5
9.6
10.4
11.0
7.7
10.1
9.8
10.1
9.8
12.1
9.7
9.1
8.8
9.2
10.1
10.0
10.8
10.0
10.2
9.9
10.4
10.9
8.0
10.1
9.5
9.9
9.6
11.5
9.6
9.1
8.9
9.3
10.0
10.2
10.2
9.9
10.0
9.9
10.1
10.7
8.3
10.1
9.4
10.0
9.6
11.2
9.7
9.3
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.4
10.1
Central America
Belize ..................................................
Costa Rica ...........................................
El Salvador..........................................
Guatemala ...........................................
Honduras .............................................
Mexico ................................................
Nicaragua ............................................
Panama................................................
20.3
23.6
15.3
20.2
31.2
26.0
18.6
22.9
19.6
18.7
21.8
14.1
19.2
29.2
24.1
17.0
20.9
18.3
16.0
18.4
11.9
15.9
25.3
20.2
14.3
17.1
16.2
13.8
15.7
10.5
13.6
22.0
17.1
12.2
14.5
14.2
12.3
13.7
9.7
12.2
19.2
14.8
10.9
12.5
12.7
11.3
12.2
9.1
10.9
16.8
12.9
10.0
11.0
11.7
10.5
11.1
8.8
10.1
14.9
11.6
9.4
10.1
10.9
10.0
10.4
8.7
9.7
13.4
10.6
9.1
9.5
10.4
9.7
9.8
8.7
9.6
12.3
10.0
9.0
9.2
10.0
9.5
9.4
8.8
9.6
11.4
9.5
9.0
9.1
9.7
South America (26)
Argentina.............................................
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) ...........
Brazil...................................................
Chile....................................................
Colombia.............................................
Ecuador ...............................................
French Guiana.....................................
Guyana ................................................
Paraguay..............................................
Peru .....................................................
Suriname .............................................
Uruguay...............................................
Venezuela (Bolivarian Rep. of)...........
17.1
16.8
25.9
15.1
14.0
18.9
21.0
23.6
20.3
23.9
19.8
17.9
14.5
19.9
15.9
16.0
24.5
14.0
13.3
17.4
19.4
22.7
19.1
22.6
18.5
16.7
14.1
18.4
13.9
14.2
21.7
12.2
11.8
14.9
16.8
20.6
18.3
19.6
15.8
15.0
12.9
15.8
12.3
12.9
19.0
10.8
10.6
13.1
14.6
18.1
15.6
17.2
13.6
12.9
11.9
14.0
11.3
12.0
17.0
9.9
10.2
11.8
13.0
16.4
13.7
15.5
12.0
11.8
11.2
12.5
10.5
11.2
15.3
9.4
9.7
11.0
11.7
14.9
12.8
13.9
10.9
11.3
10.7
11.5
10.0
10.7
13.9
9.1
9.4
10.4
10.9
13.4
12.1
12.8
10.1
10.8
10.3
10.8
9.7
10.4
12.8
9.0
9.3
10.0
10.2
12.6
11.5
11.9
9.6
10.6
10.0
10.2
9.6
10.1
12.0
9.0
9.3
9.7
9.8
11.8
11.5
11.3
9.3
10.5
9.9
9.9
9.5
9.9
11.4
9.0
9.3
9.6
9.5
11.1
11.6
10.8
9.2
10.4
9.8
9.7
Northern America (27)
Canada.................................................
United States of America ....................
13.0
11.2
13.2
12.9
11.3
13.1
12.5
10.7
12.7
12.1
10.4
12.3
12.1
10.9
12.2
12.0
10.8
12.2
11.7
10.6
11.8
11.5
10.6
11.6
11.3
10.4
11.4
11.0
10.0
11.1
Oceania
17.1
16.4
15.2
14.4
13.9
13.1
12.4
11.9
11.4
10.9
Latin America and the Caribbean
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
211
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
Australia/New Zealand
Australia (28) ......................................
New Zealand .......................................
13.3
13.2
13.8
12.9
12.9
13.3
11.9
11.9
12.2
11.7
11.7
11.5
11.7
11.8
11.3
11.2
11.3
10.8
10.9
11.0
10.4
10.7
10.8
10.2
10.3
10.4
9.9
9.9
10.0
9.6
Melanesia
Fiji .......................................................
New Caledonia....................................
Papua New Guinea..............................
Solomon Islands..................................
Vanuatu ...............................................
27.9
20.7
15.7
29.1
31.1
26.9
26.2
18.7
15.0
27.4
28.4
25.2
23.7
16.2
13.6
24.7
25.4
22.5
21.3
14.9
12.4
22.1
22.9
20.1
19.2
13.6
11.8
19.8
20.2
17.8
17.5
12.4
11.3
18.0
18.1
15.9
16.0
11.7
10.8
16.4
16.3
14.4
14.8
11.3
10.4
15.2
14.7
13.1
13.8
10.9
10.2
14.1
13.4
12.1
13.0
10.7
10.0
13.3
12.4
11.3
Micronesia (29)
Guam...................................................
Kiribati ................................................
Micronesia (Fed. States of) .................
19.8
17.5
23.3
23.6
18.9
16.9
22.9
24.0
17.6
15.2
20.4
22.7
15.4
13.3
16.8
17.8
13.7
12.3
15.7
15.8
12.9
11.4
14.5
15.2
12.0
10.6
12.7
13.1
11.1
10.1
12.0
12.1
10.7
9.7
11.5
12.2
10.4
9.4
10.8
11.5
Polynesia (30)
French Polynesia.................................
Samoa..................................................
Tonga...................................................
21.3
16.5
26.4
25.7
19.8
15.5
24.2
23.4
18.2
13.1
23.0
22.8
16.6
11.2
22.0
21.7
14.8
10.7
18.9
18.2
14.0
10.2
17.3
17.3
13.4
9.6
16.6
16.8
12.4
9.4
14.7
14.4
11.6
9.4
13.1
13.2
11.2
9.2
12.4
12.8
a
b
c
d
e
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
212
More developed regions comprise Europe, Northern America, Australia/New Zealand and Japan.
Less developed regions comprise all regions of Africa, Asia (except Japan), Latin America and the Caribbean plus Melanesia, Micronesia and Polynesia.
The least developed countries, as defined by the United Nations General Assembly in its resolutions (59/209, 59/210, 60/33, 62/97, 64/L.55, 67/L.43)
included 49 countries in June 2013: 34 in Africa, 9 in Asia, 5 in Oceania and one in Latin America and the Caribbean. The group includes 49 countries Afghanistan, Angola, Bangladesh, Benin, Bhutan, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cambodia, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of
the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Kiribati, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Lesotho,
Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Myanmar, Nepal, Niger, Rwanda, Samoa, São Tomé and Príncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone,
Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Timor-Leste, Togo, Tuvalu, Uganda, United Republic of Tanzania, Vanuatu, Yemen and Zambia. These
countries are also included in the less developed regions.
Other less developed countries comprise the less developed regions excluding the least developed countries.
Sub-Saharan Africa refers to all of Africa except Northern Africa.
Including Agalega, Rodrigues and Saint Brandon.
Including Zanzibar.
Including Saint Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha.
For statistical purposes, the data for China do not include Hong Kong and Macao, Special Administrative Regions (SAR) of China, and Taiwan Province
of China.
As of 1 July 1997, Hong Kong became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
As of 20 December 1999, Macao became a Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China.
The regions Southern Asia and Central Asia are combined into South-Central Asia.
Including Sabah and Sarawak.
Including Nagorno-Karabakh.
Including Northern-Cyprus.
Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
Including East Jerusalem.
Including Transnistria.
Including Faeroe Islands, and Isle of Man.
Refers to Guernsey, and Jersey.
Including Åland Islands.
Including Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands.
Including Andorra, Gibraltar, Holy See, and San Marino.
Including Kosovo.
Including Canary Islands, Ceuta and Melilla.
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia.
Including Liechtenstein, and Monaco.
(continued on next page)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.21. Crude birth rate by major area, region and country (continued)
Low variant
Crude birth rate (births per 1,000 population)
Major area, region and country
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100
23 Including Anguilla, British Virgin Islands, Caribbean Netherlands, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Sint Maarten (Dutch
part) and Turks and Caicos Islands.
24 Refers to Bonaire, Saba and Sint Eustatius.
25 Including Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin (French part).
26 Including Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
27 Including Bermuda, Greenland, and Saint Pierre and Miquelon.
28 Including Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands and Norfolk Island.
29 Including Marshall Islands, Nauru, Northern Mariana Islands, and Palau.
30 Including American Samoa, Cook Islands, Niue, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Tuvalu, and Wallis and Futuna Islands.
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
213
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country:
estimates and medium variant, 1950-2100
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
World
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
4.97
5.02
4.44
3.85
3.60
3.45
3.04
2.73
2.59
2.53
2.83
6.08
6.55
6.02
2.68
6.11
6.70
6.03
2.15
5.36
6.75
5.18
1.92
4.57
6.68
4.30
1.84
4.18
6.55
3.88
1.81
3.92
6.20
3.64
1.67
3.38
5.77
3.08
1.56
2.99
5.36
2.68
1.58
2.80
4.93
2.50
1.66
2.69
4.53
2.40
6.07
6.12
5.64
5.24
4.85
4.40
3.95
3.57
3.28
3.06
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
6.53
6.64
6.75
6.77
6.69
6.51
6.17
5.90
5.65
5.39
Africa
6.59
6.70
6.66
6.61
6.46
6.16
5.71
5.35
5.08
4.88
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
7.01
6.80
6.00
6.31
6.96
7.17
7.48
7.30
6.78
5.89
7.91
6.60
6.93
8.00
5.00
7.25
6.65
6.90
6.74
6.75
6.80
7.07
7.07
6.91
6.55
6.82
6.90
8.06
7.30
7.00
6.20
7.91
6.60
6.56
8.20
5.59
7.25
6.75
7.05
6.80
7.15
7.30
7.13
7.34
7.05
6.84
6.62
7.10
7.99
7.30
7.40
3.47
7.91
6.58
3.88
8.28
5.38
7.10
6.90
7.10
6.75
7.42
7.40
7.11
7.48
7.05
6.64
6.62
7.18
7.64
7.00
7.60
3.10
7.91
6.53
3.12
8.43
4.27
7.00
6.92
7.10
6.73
7.38
7.30
7.00
7.43
7.05
6.26
6.62
7.42
7.22
6.10
7.58
2.30
7.35
6.44
2.78
8.38
3.51
7.07
6.78
7.10
6.55
6.95
6.74
6.82
7.59
6.00
6.18
6.51
7.37
6.54
6.30
7.40
2.31
6.73
6.33
2.71
7.99
2.94
7.26
6.83
7.10
6.36
6.66
5.66
6.40
7.43
5.30
5.85
6.43
7.09
5.57
6.14
6.59
2.25
5.08
6.12
2.40
6.55
2.57
7.53
6.65
7.06
6.05
6.30
4.77
6.09
7.18
5.30
4.81
6.11
6.83
5.07
5.80
6.43
2.03
4.76
5.85
2.33
6.18
2.18
7.70
6.32
6.95
5.75
6.15
4.20
5.76
6.91
5.30
4.22
5.74
6.13
5.00
5.28
6.07
1.93
4.45
5.73
2.44
5.60
2.20
7.44
5.92
6.75
5.66
6.00
4.01
5.38
6.52
5.08
3.80
5.20
5.26
4.80
4.83
5.83
1.58
4.30
5.57
2.40
5.13
2.30
7.10
5.43
6.38
5.58
5.90
3.90
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
5.99
7.00
5.49
5.52
6.10
5.68
5.98
5.50
3.99
6.20
6.19
7.40
5.80
5.90
6.30
5.99
6.04
5.53
4.59
6.30
6.42
7.20
6.31
5.95
6.67
6.29
6.29
5.68
5.23
6.52
6.57
7.20
6.47
5.95
6.87
6.29
6.46
5.68
5.57
6.50
6.75
7.20
6.70
5.95
7.04
5.99
6.72
5.79
5.72
6.24
6.85
7.20
6.60
5.90
7.21
5.55
6.97
5.89
5.58
5.66
6.90
7.10
6.22
5.65
7.39
5.21
7.24
5.89
5.22
5.16
6.76
6.92
5.77
5.54
7.41
5.15
7.20
5.87
4.77
4.80
6.51
6.75
5.49
5.30
7.24
5.13
6.91
5.64
4.47
4.61
6.17
6.50
5.21
4.85
6.85
5.10
6.50
5.36
4.29
4.45
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
6.81
7.65
6.62
7.27
6.61
6.65
6.74
6.34
6.91
7.65
6.55
7.62
7.15
6.75
7.14
6.53
6.36
7.57
5.70
7.92
6.43
6.90
6.04
6.57
6.09
7.17
5.50
7.94
5.90
6.92
5.69
6.23
5.67
6.49
5.20
7.34
5.40
6.63
4.92
5.33
4.98
5.37
4.80
5.70
4.45
6.30
3.97
4.54
4.14
4.13
3.90
4.32
3.70
6.00
3.13
3.96
3.50
2.88
3.50
3.30
2.97
5.63
2.32
3.18
3.12
2.38
3.15
2.92
2.52
5.25
2.04
2.81
3.07
2.72
2.98
2.67
2.38
4.83
2.05
2.57
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
6.28
6.50
5.84
6.00
6.30
6.70
6.12
6.65
5.81
6.20
6.10
6.75
5.57
6.55
5.80
6.60
5.47
6.87
5.14
6.37
5.69
6.60
5.00
6.73
4.71
5.96
5.46
6.20
4.56
6.54
4.16
5.11
5.13
5.55
4.00
6.13
3.50
4.32
4.70
4.91
3.34
5.29
3.10
3.70
4.37
4.29
2.95
4.49
2.90
3.18
3.79
3.81
2.80
4.01
2.64
2.90
3.37
3.40
2.55
3.75
Western Africa (3)
6.35
6.52
6.81
6.91
6.86
6.66
6.36
6.09
5.89
5.73
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
214
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.50
2.45
2.37
2.30
2.24
2.18
2.13
2.07
2.03
1.99 World
1.68
2.63
4.20
2.36
1.71
2.56
3.91
2.30
1.78
2.45
3.46
2.21
1.84
2.36
3.13
2.14
1.85
2.29
2.87
2.09
1.88
2.22
2.65
2.05
1.90
2.15
2.47
2.01
1.91
2.09
2.33
1.98
1.92
2.04
2.21
1.95
1.93
1.99
2.11
1.93
2.93
2.80
2.61
2.47
2.36
2.27
2.19
2.12
2.06
2.00
5.10
4.76
4.14
3.64
3.22
2.89
2.62
2.42
2.26
2.14
Sub-Saharan Africa (e)
4.67
4.39
3.88
3.45
3.09
2.81
2.57
2.38
2.24
2.12
Africa
4.93
6.08
4.74
3.42
4.74
4.59
4.41
4.50
5.42
1.51
3.83
5.22
2.24
4.55
2.18
6.61
4.97
5.91
5.24
5.71
3.51
4.51
5.64
4.43
3.11
4.30
4.00
4.08
4.21
5.05
1.50
3.47
4.86
2.11
4.09
2.08
6.10
4.54
5.44
4.91
5.47
3.20
3.83
4.82
3.90
2.67
3.52
3.14
3.54
3.71
4.39
1.56
2.93
4.17
1.95
3.40
1.94
5.13
3.80
4.55
4.29
4.92
2.74
3.35
4.12
3.47
2.37
2.96
2.63
3.13
3.32
3.87
1.63
2.55
3.57
1.88
2.91
1.86
4.30
3.25
3.81
3.77
4.44
2.41
2.99
3.57
3.13
2.17
2.58
2.30
2.82
3.01
3.45
1.69
2.26
3.09
1.86
2.54
1.84
3.63
2.86
3.24
3.34
4.02
2.17
2.71
3.14
2.87
2.02
2.32
2.08
2.56
2.76
3.12
1.74
2.06
2.75
1.85
2.25
1.84
3.14
2.57
2.85
3.00
3.68
2.00
2.51
2.82
2.65
1.93
2.14
1.95
2.35
2.55
2.85
1.77
1.93
2.50
1.86
2.04
1.84
2.78
2.34
2.55
2.74
3.40
1.90
2.35
2.57
2.46
1.88
2.02
1.87
2.17
2.37
2.63
1.80
1.86
2.31
1.87
1.91
1.85
2.51
2.17
2.33
2.54
3.16
1.85
2.22
2.36
2.30
1.85
1.95
1.84
2.04
2.22
2.44
1.82
1.83
2.16
1.87
1.83
1.86
2.29
2.06
2.16
2.36
2.96
1.83
2.13
2.20
2.17
1.84
1.90
1.83
1.96
2.11
2.28
1.84
1.83
2.05
1.88
1.80
1.87
2.14
1.98
2.05
2.22
2.80
1.83
Eastern Africa (1)
Burundi ...............................................
Comoros..............................................
Djibouti ...............................................
Eritrea..................................................
Ethiopia ...............................................
Kenya ..................................................
Madagascar .........................................
Malawi ................................................
Mauritius (1) .......................................
Mayotte ...............................................
Mozambique .......................................
Réunion ...............................................
Rwanda ...............................................
Seychelles ...........................................
Somalia ...............................................
South Sudan ........................................
Uganda ................................................
United Republic of Tanzania (2) ........
Zambia ................................................
Zimbabwe ...........................................
5.68
5.90
4.81
4.41
6.31
5.00
5.98
4.89
4.12
4.10
5.21
5.42
4.45
3.99
5.77
4.69
5.47
4.40
3.80
3.79
4.37
4.50
3.82
3.29
4.77
4.12
4.54
3.55
3.25
3.31
3.67
3.73
3.33
2.80
3.94
3.64
3.79
2.94
2.86
2.94
3.16
3.15
2.96
2.48
3.32
3.26
3.23
2.55
2.58
2.66
2.78
2.75
2.69
2.25
2.87
2.96
2.83
2.28
2.36
2.45
2.51
2.46
2.47
2.10
2.56
2.73
2.54
2.11
2.20
2.27
2.30
2.25
2.29
1.99
2.32
2.53
2.32
2.00
2.08
2.13
2.14
2.10
2.15
1.93
2.15
2.37
2.15
1.93
1.99
2.03
2.04
2.00
2.05
1.90
2.04
2.23
2.04
1.89
1.94
1.96
Middle Africa
Angola.................................................
Cameroon............................................
Central African Republic ....................
Chad ....................................................
Congo..................................................
Democratic Republic of the Congo.....
Equatorial Guinea ...............................
Gabon..................................................
Sao Tome and Principe .......................
3.04
2.82
2.79
2.38
2.78
4.46
2.02
2.38
2.85
2.55
2.62
2.15
2.56
4.12
1.91
2.22
2.57
2.20
2.37
1.82
2.27
3.55
1.79
1.98
2.32
2.02
2.18
1.65
2.08
3.12
1.75
1.83
2.20
1.93
2.03
1.62
1.96
2.81
1.76
1.76
2.12
1.90
1.93
1.66
1.90
2.56
1.78
1.75
2.03
1.89
1.88
1.71
1.87
2.36
1.80
1.76
1.97
1.89
1.85
1.75
1.86
2.20
1.82
1.78
1.94
1.89
1.84
1.79
1.86
2.08
1.84
1.80
1.91
1.90
1.84
1.81
1.87
2.01
1.85
1.82
Northern Africa
Algeria.................................................
Egypt ...................................................
Libya ...................................................
Morocco ..............................................
Sudan...................................................
Tunisia.................................................
Western Sahara....................................
2.48
2.64
3.07
3.08
2.40
3.36
2.34
2.44
2.82
2.83
2.28
3.06
2.14
2.15
2.47
2.47
2.09
2.63
1.99
1.96
2.24
2.21
1.95
2.33
1.89
1.85
2.07
2.03
1.87
2.12
1.84
1.80
1.96
1.92
1.83
1.98
1.82
1.78
1.89
1.86
1.82
1.89
1.82
1.79
1.86
1.83
1.81
1.85
1.82
1.80
1.84
1.82
1.82
1.83
1.83
1.82
1.84
1.83
1.83
1.83
Southern Africa
Botswana.............................................
Lesotho................................................
Namibia...............................................
South Africa ........................................
Swaziland............................................
5.63
5.34
4.75
4.16
3.64
3.20
2.84
2.57
2.36
2.20
Western Africa (3)
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
More developed regions (a)
Less developed regions (b)
Least developed countries (c)
Other less developed countries (d)
Less dev. regions, excl. China
215
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
5.86
6.10
6.57
6.77
5.29
6.44
6.00
7.41
6.27
6.48
6.34
6.89
6.35
6.57
5.76
6.33
6.42
6.35
6.97
7.53
5.70
6.84
6.13
5.87
6.47
6.75
6.79
7.13
6.35
7.06
6.19
6.65
6.83
6.70
6.86
7.93
6.20
6.90
6.27
7.34
6.80
6.93
6.75
7.52
6.61
7.41
6.81
7.20
7.00
7.02
6.62
7.81
6.34
6.69
6.45
6.11
6.93
7.01
6.57
7.63
6.76
7.45
7.02
7.28
7.01
7.17
6.10
7.31
6.29
6.35
6.60
6.70
6.96
7.07
6.28
7.77
6.76
7.25
7.01
7.06
6.88
7.07
5.63
6.69
6.14
5.88
6.63
6.68
6.72
7.09
6.09
7.76
6.60
6.88
6.71
6.63
6.56
6.93
4.93
6.05
6.08
5.34
6.46
6.54
6.27
7.01
5.85
7.76
6.37
6.35
6.34
6.02
6.16
6.73
4.14
5.60
5.99
4.81
6.12
6.05
6.05
6.88
5.53
7.77
6.17
5.78
6.07
5.48
5.78
6.43
3.28
5.17
5.85
4.55
5.75
5.66
5.68
6.81
5.23
7.67
6.05
5.39
5.73
5.14
5.31
6.08
2.60
4.89
5.79
4.22
5.39
5.28
5.23
6.80
4.96
7.58
6.00
5.11
5.16
4.89
5.83
5.76
4.99
4.08
3.71
3.52
2.96
2.54
2.35
2.25
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
5.60
6.11
4.44
4.39
3.46
3.00
5.60
5.05
5.90
5.45
6.11
5.31
4.41
3.85
1.99
7.50
5.63
5.29
4.36
4.76
3.29
1.79
4.00
2.13
7.50
4.28
3.38
2.86
3.01
2.31
1.41
2.68
1.83
6.65
2.92
2.64
2.59
2.69
1.72
1.98
2.80
1.75
5.75
2.23
2.20
2.72
2.87
1.36
1.94
2.36
1.66
4.84
1.60
1.85
2.00
2.05
1.24
1.41
2.25
1.48
3.27
1.70
1.79
1.55
1.56
0.87
1.12
2.01
1.37
2.40
1.51
1.73
1.52
1.55
0.96
0.83
2.01
1.30
2.08
1.22
1.43
1.61
1.63
1.03
0.94
2.00
1.34
2.37
1.23
1.26
South-Central Asia (7)
6.02
6.01
5.54
5.21
4.83
4.43
3.91
3.45
3.05
2.72
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
5.23
4.41
4.51
6.00
6.00
5.97
5.62
4.43
5.39
6.30
6.75
6.80
5.00
3.46
4.73
6.83
6.19
6.30
4.43
3.06
4.05
5.90
5.32
5.58
4.06
2.96
4.10
5.54
4.79
4.73
3.99
3.03
4.02
5.41
4.55
4.40
3.55
2.55
3.61
4.88
4.03
3.88
2.88
2.00
2.99
4.29
3.03
3.05
2.55
2.01
2.50
3.71
2.75
2.55
2.67
2.54
2.78
3.68
2.50
2.49
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
6.05
7.67
6.36
6.67
5.90
6.91
6.03
5.99
6.60
5.80
6.02
7.67
6.80
6.67
5.82
6.91
7.12
5.99
6.60
5.20
5.56
7.67
6.91
6.67
5.26
6.24
7.17
5.93
6.60
4.00
5.25
7.67
6.63
6.67
4.89
6.28
6.85
5.83
6.60
3.61
4.87
7.67
5.98
6.39
4.47
6.53
7.26
5.65
6.44
3.19
4.44
7.69
5.03
6.11
4.09
5.62
6.81
5.33
6.30
2.64
3.92
7.70
4.11
5.07
3.67
3.95
5.25
4.96
5.67
2.38
3.47
7.88
3.41
4.13
3.30
2.61
3.93
4.41
4.99
2.24
3.07
7.39
2.87
3.14
3.00
1.97
2.76
3.70
4.00
2.26
2.72
6.33
2.40
2.55
2.66
1.89
2.42
2.99
3.65
2.31
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
5.92
7.00
6.95
5.49
5.94
6.23
6.00
7.42
6.61
6.14
6.44
5.40
6.08
6.55
6.95
5.62
5.97
6.03
6.10
6.98
5.12
6.13
6.37
6.42
5.48
5.87
6.16
5.30
5.99
4.56
5.74
5.98
2.82
5.05
5.54
6.33
4.80
4.71
5.29
4.73
6.15
3.93
5.21
5.46
1.84
3.92
4.30
5.50
4.20
3.92
6.17
4.11
6.36
3.73
4.73
4.92
1.69
2.94
5.39
4.60
3.58
3.72
5.99
3.40
6.27
3.59
3.80
4.53
1.70
2.30
5.21
3.85
3.10
3.28
5.13
2.90
5.88
3.42
3.10
4.14
1.73
1.99
5.68
3.23
2.65
2.60
4.14
2.55
4.81
3.17
2.65
3.90
1.57
1.77
7.00
2.18
2.45
2.28
3.46
2.48
3.70
2.45
2.25
3.70
1.35
1.60
6.96
1.93
2.35
2.11
3.08
2.50
3.52
2.07
2.07
3.27
1.26
1.49
6.53
1.89
Asia
216
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
4.89
5.65
2.33
4.92
5.78
3.89
4.95
4.96
4.83
6.86
4.70
7.58
6.00
4.98
4.75
4.68
4.50
5.22
2.14
4.56
5.53
3.60
4.55
4.65
4.47
6.71
4.39
7.41
5.73
4.62
4.37
4.33
3.83
4.42
1.90
3.98
4.86
3.13
3.84
4.06
3.83
5.97
3.84
6.78
5.10
4.02
3.72
3.75
3.31
3.76
1.78
3.52
4.11
2.80
3.29
3.56
3.34
5.05
3.40
5.91
4.42
3.54
3.22
3.30
2.93
3.25
1.73
3.16
3.42
2.54
2.89
3.14
2.97
4.21
3.05
5.03
3.79
3.17
2.87
2.96
2.65
2.88
1.73
2.88
2.89
2.33
2.60
2.83
2.69
3.54
2.78
4.25
3.27
2.88
2.59
2.70
2.43
2.60
1.75
2.64
2.52
2.17
2.38
2.59
2.47
3.05
2.57
3.62
2.86
2.64
2.38
2.48
2.25
2.38
1.77
2.44
2.28
2.05
2.21
2.39
2.29
2.69
2.40
3.13
2.57
2.44
2.21
2.30
2.11
2.21
1.80
2.26
2.11
1.97
2.08
2.24
2.15
2.43
2.24
2.78
2.35
2.27
2.09
2.15
2.02
2.09
1.82
2.12
2.01
1.92
1.99
2.13
2.05
2.24
2.13
2.51
2.18
2.14
2.00
2.04
2.19
2.12
2.02
1.94
1.89
1.86
1.84
1.84
1.84
1.85
1.66
1.66
1.13
1.07
2.00
1.41
2.44
1.32
1.21
1.67
1.69
1.21
1.19
1.94
1.48
2.33
1.39
1.21
1.72
1.74
1.36
1.37
1.88
1.58
2.17
1.52
1.35
1.77
1.78
1.46
1.51
1.85
1.66
2.07
1.61
1.47
1.79
1.81
1.55
1.61
1.84
1.72
2.01
1.68
1.58
1.82
1.83
1.61
1.68
1.84
1.76
1.98
1.73
1.66
1.84
1.85
1.66
1.73
1.85
1.79
1.96
1.77
1.71
1.85
1.86
1.70
1.76
1.85
1.81
1.95
1.80
1.75
1.87
1.87
1.73
1.79
1.86
1.83
1.94
1.82
1.79
1.88
1.88
1.75
1.81
1.87
1.85
1.94
1.84
1.81
Eastern Asia
China (4) .............................................
China, Hong Kong SAR (5) ...............
China, Macao SAR (6) .......................
Dem. People's Republic of Korea .......
Japan ...................................................
Mongolia .............................................
Republic of Korea ...............................
Other non-specified areas ...................
2.54
2.39
2.16
2.00
1.90
1.85
1.83
1.82
1.82
1.83
South-Central Asia (7)
2.61
2.44
3.10
3.85
2.34
2.32
2.48
2.36
2.91
3.60
2.21
2.18
2.26
2.22
2.62
3.18
2.02
1.98
2.13
2.11
2.41
2.88
1.89
1.85
2.05
2.03
2.24
2.63
1.82
1.79
1.99
1.97
2.12
2.44
1.79
1.77
1.95
1.93
2.03
2.27
1.79
1.78
1.92
1.91
1.98
2.14
1.80
1.79
1.90
1.90
1.94
2.04
1.81
1.81
1.89
1.90
1.92
1.98
1.83
1.83
Central Asia........................................
Kazakhstan..........................................
Kyrgyzstan ..........................................
Tajikistan.............................................
Turkmenistan ......................................
Uzbekistan...........................................
2.53
5.00
2.20
2.26
2.50
1.93
2.29
2.32
3.22
2.35
2.38
4.04
2.05
2.07
2.37
1.89
2.07
2.11
2.89
2.25
2.15
2.85
1.83
1.81
2.16
1.84
1.77
1.86
2.46
2.08
2.00
2.29
1.72
1.69
2.01
1.83
1.65
1.74
2.18
1.97
1.90
1.97
1.69
1.67
1.92
1.83
1.66
1.71
1.99
1.91
1.84
1.79
1.70
1.69
1.86
1.84
1.70
1.71
1.88
1.87
1.82
1.71
1.73
1.73
1.83
1.85
1.74
1.74
1.83
1.86
1.82
1.70
1.76
1.77
1.83
1.86
1.78
1.77
1.81
1.86
1.82
1.73
1.79
1.79
1.83
1.87
1.81
1.79
1.81
1.87
1.83
1.75
1.82
1.82
1.84
1.88
1.83
1.82
1.82
1.87
Southern Asia .....................................
Afghanistan .........................................
Bangladesh..........................................
Bhutan .................................................
India ....................................................
Iran (Islamic Republic of)...................
Maldives..............................................
Nepal ...................................................
Pakistan ...............................................
Sri Lanka.............................................
2.23
2.01
2.88
2.35
3.05
1.98
1.95
3.07
1.28
1.41
5.91
1.75
2.14
1.92
2.71
2.22
2.72
1.91
1.86
2.89
1.31
1.36
5.30
1.67
2.02
1.79
2.45
2.04
2.30
1.81
1.74
2.61
1.34
1.43
4.22
1.61
1.94
1.74
2.25
1.93
2.04
1.77
1.70
2.38
1.37
1.53
3.40
1.64
1.90
1.73
2.09
1.87
1.88
1.76
1.71
2.20
1.40
1.61
2.87
1.68
1.87
1.74
1.98
1.84
1.81
1.77
1.73
2.06
1.42
1.68
2.51
1.72
1.85
1.76
1.91
1.84
1.79
1.78
1.76
1.96
1.43
1.73
2.25
1.76
1.84
1.78
1.87
1.84
1.80
1.80
1.79
1.90
1.45
1.77
2.09
1.79
1.85
1.81
1.85
1.85
1.81
1.82
1.81
1.87
1.46
1.80
1.99
1.82
1.85
1.82
1.84
1.86
1.83
1.84
1.83
1.86
1.47
1.82
1.93
1.83
South-Eastern Asia
Brunei Darussalam..............................
Cambodia ............................................
Indonesia .............................................
Lao People's Democratic Republic .....
Malaysia (8) ........................................
Myanmar .............................................
Philippines...........................................
Singapore ............................................
Thailand ..............................................
Timor-Leste.........................................
Viet Nam .............................................
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Benin ...................................................
Burkina Faso .......................................
Cape Verde ..........................................
Côte d'Ivoire........................................
Gambia................................................
Ghana ..................................................
Guinea .................................................
Guinea-Bissau .....................................
Liberia .................................................
Mali .....................................................
Mauritania ...........................................
Niger ...................................................
Nigeria.................................................
Senegal................................................
Sierra Leone ........................................
Togo ....................................................
Asia
217
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
Estimates: 1950-2010
Total fertility (children per woman)
Major area, region and country
Western Asia
Armenia...............................................
Azerbaijan (9) .....................................
Bahrain................................................
Cyprus (10) .........................................
Georgia (11) ........................................
Iraq ......................................................
Israel....................................................
Jordan..................................................
Kuwait.................................................
Lebanon...............................................
Oman...................................................
Qatar....................................................
Saudi Arabia........................................
State of Palestine (12) .........................
Syrian Arab Republic..........................
Turkey .................................................
United Arab Emirates .........................
Yemen .................................................
1950-1955 1960-1965 1970-1975 1975-1980 1980-1985 1985-1990 1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010
6.32
4.49
5.49
6.97
3.71
3.00
7.30
4.28
7.38
7.21
5.74
7.25
6.97
7.17
7.38
7.23
6.62
6.97
7.27
6.06
4.45
5.64
7.17
3.44
2.98
6.60
3.85
8.00
7.31
5.69
7.25
6.97
7.26
8.00
7.54
6.14
6.87
7.33
5.68
3.04
4.29
5.95
2.49
2.60
7.15
3.81
7.79
6.90
4.67
7.41
6.76
7.30
7.69
7.54
5.34
6.36
7.67
5.34
2.50
3.62
5.23
2.29
2.39
6.80
3.47
7.38
5.89
4.23
8.10
6.11
7.28
7.50
7.32
4.65
5.66
8.58
4.99
2.38
3.04
4.63
2.45
2.27
6.35
3.13
7.05
5.03
3.75
8.32
5.45
7.01
7.05
6.77
4.07
5.23
9.23
4.46
2.58
2.95
4.08
2.43
2.26
6.09
3.07
6.02
3.13
3.23
7.85
4.41
6.22
6.43
5.87
3.35
4.83
8.93
4.00
2.38
2.90
3.40
2.33
2.05
5.65
2.93
5.09
2.02
2.80
6.27
3.74
5.45
6.61
4.80
2.87
3.88
8.24
3.58
1.75
2.20
2.87
1.89
1.72
5.19
2.93
4.34
3.03
2.43
4.46
3.46
4.51
5.80
4.26
2.60
2.97
6.87
3.20
1.72
2.00
2.67
1.59
1.58
4.75
2.91
3.85
2.58
2.01
3.21
2.95
3.54
5.03
3.67
2.33
2.40
5.91
2.92
1.74
2.00
2.23
1.51
1.80
4.38
2.91
3.64
2.71
1.58
2.89
2.21
3.03
4.42
3.19
2.16
1.97
4.91
2.67
2.56
2.17
1.98
1.88
1.82
1.57
1.43
1.43
1.54
Eastern Europe
Belarus ................................................
Bulgaria...............................................
Czech Republic ...................................
Hungary...............................................
Poland .................................................
Republic of Moldova (13) ...................
Romania ..............................................
Russian Federation..............................
Slovakia...............................................
Ukraine................................................
2.91
2.61
2.53
2.68
2.69
3.62
3.50
2.87
2.85
3.50
2.81
2.42
2.69
2.22
2.24
1.86
2.65
3.15
1.95
2.55
2.91
2.13
2.14
2.25
2.16
2.19
2.06
2.25
2.56
2.62
2.03
2.51
2.08
2.07
2.09
2.19
2.32
2.13
2.26
2.44
2.53
1.94
2.46
1.98
2.09
2.09
2.01
2.00
1.82
2.33
2.55
2.25
2.04
2.27
2.00
2.11
2.04
1.95
1.93
1.86
2.15
2.64
2.27
2.12
2.15
2.03
1.63
1.68
1.55
1.66
1.74
1.89
2.11
1.50
1.54
1.87
1.64
1.29
1.31
1.20
1.18
1.38
1.48
1.70
1.31
1.25
1.41
1.23
1.26
1.24
1.24
1.19
1.29
1.27
1.50
1.28
1.30
1.22
1.15
1.41
1.42
1.43
1.43
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.33
1.44
1.31
1.39
Northern Europe (14)
Channel Islands (15) ...........................
Denmark..............................................
Estonia.................................................
Finland (16) .........................................
Iceland.................................................
Ireland .................................................
Latvia ..................................................
Lithuania .............................................
Norway (17) ........................................
Sweden................................................
United Kingdom..................................
2.32
2.06
2.55
2.06
3.00
3.86
3.42
2.00
2.71
2.60
2.24
2.18
2.72
2.56
2.58
1.94
2.66
3.94
4.07
1.85
2.43
2.90
2.31
2.81
2.05
1.86
1.96
2.15
1.62
2.87
3.82
2.00
2.30
2.25
1.91
2.01
1.80
1.52
1.68
2.06
1.66
2.45
3.25
1.87
2.10
1.81
1.66
1.73
1.79
1.44
1.43
2.09
1.69
2.23
2.75
2.03
2.04
1.69
1.64
1.77
1.85
1.45
1.54
2.20
1.66
2.12
2.18
2.13
2.06
1.80
1.91
1.84
1.80
1.46
1.75
1.63
1.82
2.19
1.91
1.63
1.82
1.89
2.01
1.77
1.70
1.40
1.76
1.33
1.74
2.06
1.94
1.17
1.47
1.86
1.56
1.74
1.66
1.41
1.76
1.39
1.75
1.99
1.97
1.29
1.28
1.81
1.67
1.66
1.86
1.42
1.85
1.64
1.84
2.13
2.00
1.49
1.42
1.92
1.89
1.88
Southern Europe (18)
Albania................................................
Bosnia and Herzegovina .....................
Croatia.................................................
Greece .................................................
Italy .....................................................
Malta ...................................................
Montenegro .........................................
Portugal ...............................................
Serbia (19) ...........................................
Slovenia...............................................
Spain (20) ............................................
2.68
6.11
4.82
2.76
2.29
2.36
4.14
4.03
3.10
3.22
2.58
2.53
2.70
5.86
3.81
2.27
2.20
2.47
3.15
3.26
3.19
2.57
2.34
2.81
2.56
4.76
2.63
1.96
2.32
2.35
2.01
2.63
2.83
2.36
2.21
2.85
2.27
4.02
2.24
2.02
2.32
1.94
2.12
2.37
2.55
2.37
2.17
2.55
1.84
3.40
1.99
1.96
1.96
1.54
2.04
2.17
2.01
2.32
1.87
1.88
1.56
3.12
1.90
1.84
1.53
1.34
2.07
1.97
1.62
2.23
1.61
1.46
1.42
2.83
1.53
1.52
1.37
1.28
2.01
1.81
1.50
1.96
1.36
1.28
1.34
2.59
1.53
1.54
1.30
1.22
1.81
1.84
1.48
1.74
1.25
1.19
1.35
2.15
1.23
1.36
1.28
1.25
1.41
1.78
1.45
1.55
1.23
1.29
1.43
1.75
1.22
1.43
1.46
1.39
1.40
1.73
1.36
1.41
1.44
1.41
Europe
218
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume I: Comprehensive Tables
Table A.22. Total fertility by major area, region and country (continued)
2010-2100: Medium variant
Total fertility (children per woman)
2010-2015 2015-2020 2025-2030 2035-2040 2045-2050 2055-2060 2065-2070 2075-2080 2085-2090 2095-2100 Major area, region and country
2.74
1.74
1.93
2.10
1.46
1.81
4.06
2.91
3.27
2.60
1.51
2.91
2.05
2.68
4.05
3.00
2.05
1.82
4.15
2.58
1.74
1.86
1.98
1.47
1.82
3.77
2.80
2.98
2.51
1.48
2.54
1.92
2.43
3.73
2.75
1.96
1.73
3.57
2.35
1.75
1.78
1.81
1.54
1.83
3.31
2.59
2.56
2.36
1.50
2.08
1.75
2.10
3.21
2.37
1.83
1.62
2.82
2.17
1.77
1.77
1.71
1.61
1.84
2.95
2.41
2.27
2.26
1.56
1.81
1.68
1.89
2.84
2.10
1.77
1.61
2.35
2.04
1.79
1.77
1.69
1.67
1.85
2.69
2.25
2.05
2.18
1.63
1.71
1.67
1.78
2.57
1.92
1.75
1.64
2.03
1.97
1.81
1.78
1.71
1.72
1.86
2.47
2.13
1.91
2.12
1.68
1.71
1.69
1.74
2.35
1.83
1.76
1.68
1.82
1.91
1.82
1.80
1.7