1 “UNEMPLOYMENT IN INDIA” PROJECT REPORT ON SEMINAR SUBMITTED IN THE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE IN FULFILMENT OF REQUIREMENT OF M.COM DEGREE Submitted By: Under The Supervision Of: Ranjeet Kaur Dr. Pawan Kumar 5403 Associated Prof. M.Com-I JUNE 2021 PATEL MEMORIAL NATIONAL COLLEGE, RAJPURA 2 INDEX CONTENT Introduction Literary Survey Objectives Of Study Scope Of The Study Research Methodology Types Of Unemployment o Disguised o Seasonal o Structural o Cyclic o Technological o Frictional Causes Of The Unemployment o Educational o Individual o Market o Services & Qualities o Spatial Impacts Of Unemployment On Economy Remedies To The Problem o Demand Solutions o Supply Solutions Measures Taken By Government Observations & Findings Conclusion Reference PAGE NO. 03 03 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 07 07 07 08 08 08 09 10 10 11 12 15 16 17 3 INTRODUCTION This era is witnessing a huge development and growth in economic development as well as many other fields. Development is concept of process that concerns all levels and fields of life. The embodiment of this process depends on several factors that vary in importance from one situation to another, and from one country to another. Despite this economic development, there is a phenomenon of unemployment witnessed by the individual and society. Unemployment is defined as people who do not have a job. Its statistics are probably one of the most closely monitored indicators of the work market. Unemployment occurs when a person who is actively searching for employment is unable to find work. Unemployment is one of the key indicators of the economy. 1. LITERARY SURVEY Unemployment is recognised as one of the most challenging social problems currently. In the last two decades and more recently with the global recession high levels of unemployment have become an established feature of the social and economic landscape, with young people aged 15 to 24 years among those hardest hit by unemployment. The absence of employment, therefore, can mean that many people do not have vital human needs met such as an opportunity to exercise control, to use and develop skills and have contact with others. The research literature shows a strong association between unemployment and ill health. Some illness is caused by unemployment whilst other health problems are exacerbated by unemployment ( Smith, 1987; Mathers & Schofield,1998). An Australian summary of the health and unemployment literature by Mathers and Schofield (1998) identified that unemployment has detrimental effects on mental health, physical health and health related behaviours. 4 OBJECTIVES OF STUDY To find the reasons for unemployment in India. To study various measures of raising employment To study the effects of unemployment on economy. To Study the Issues associated with India’s employment. To Analyse Problems and give their solutions related to unemployment in India. SCOPE OF THE STUDY You can complete small-scale or short-term studies while in receipt of unemployment benefits. If your studies are more extensive, you should transfer onto a study grant (unless such studies consist of employability training or so-called and self-directed studies). If your studies have been interrupted and you think that graduation or the completion of another educational qualification would improve your employment prospects, ask the TEOffice about self-directed studies. Should the TE Office approve payment of unemployment benefits for the duration of a period of self-directed study, the unemployment benefits can be paid for a maximum of 2 years. You may also receive an increased earnings-related allowance during your self-study period. RESEARCH METHODLOGY This study is of analytical nature and makes use of secondary data. The required& relevant secondary data are collected from various publications of Government of India, census data, from the data of Five Year Plans, relevant books on the topic of research, seminar write-ups, journal, magazines, newspapers, and bulletins and various other websites. The time series data and the relevant data have been collected for the period 1950 to 2017 Both quantitative and/or qualitative methodologies have been used in unemployment research. During the last 15 years however, quantitative methods have dominated. It is argued that strictly quantitative studies on their own may no longer advance knowledge in this field. Therefore, to deepen the understanding in this important research area, qualitative techniques need to be reintegrated into unemployment research. An example of this is the author's study of employment commitment and mental health of 532 long-term unemployed people. The instruments used were the General Health Questionnaire-12, the Rosenberg Self-esteem Scale, a questionnaire and an in-depth self-selection interview. This procedure was repeated with 99 people in a follow-up study one year later. The results of the quantitative data collection method on employment commitment are compared with results obtained by the qualitative method and are discussed with reference to the benefits of incorporating a qualitative component into an otherwise quantitative methodology. 5 TYPES OF UNEMPLOYMENT Disguised unemployment Disguised unemployment is unemployment that does not affect aggregate economic output. It occurs when productivity is low and too many workers are filling too few jobs. It can refer to any part of the population that is not employed at full capacity. Seasonal Unemployment You might also hear of seasonal unemployment as another type of unemployment. As its name suggests, seasonal unemployment results from regular changes in the season. Workers affected by seasonal unemployment include resort workers, ski instructors, and ice cream vendors. It could also include people who harvest crops. Construction workers are laid off in the winter in most parts of the country. School employees can also be considered seasonal workers. Structural Unemployment Structural unemployment is long-lasting unemployment that comes about due to shifts in an economy. This type of unemployment happens because though jobs are available, there’s a mismatch between what companies need and what available workers offer. 6 Cyclic Unemployment Cyclical unemployment is caused by the contraction phase of the business cycle. That's when the demand for goods and services falls dramatically. It forces businesses to lay off large numbers of workers to cut costs. Cyclical unemployment creates more unemployment. The laid-off workers have less money to buy the goods and services they need. That further lowers demand. In the form of expansive monetary policy and fiscal policy, government intervention is required to stop the downward spiral. After the stock market crash of 1929, the government did not step in right away. This delay led to the Great Depression, which lasted 10 years and led to a 25% unemployment rate. Frictional Unemployment Frictional unemployment occurs when workers leave their old jobs but haven't yet found new ones. Most of the time, workers leave voluntarily, either because they need to move or have saved enough money to allow them to look for a better job. Frictional unemployment also occurs when students are looking for that first job or when mothers are returning to the workforce. It also happens when workers are fired or, in some cases, laid off due to business-specific reasons, such as a plant closure. Frictional unemployment is short-term and a natural part of the job search process. In fact, frictional unemployment is good for the economy, as it allows workers to move to jobs where they can be more productive. Technological unemployment Technological unemployment is the loss of jobs caused by technological change. It is a key type of structural unemployment. Technological change typically includes the introduction of labour-saving "mechanical-muscle" machines or more efficient "mechanical-mind" processes (automation), and humans' role in these processes are minimized. Just as horses were gradually made obsolete as transport by the automobile and as labourer by the tractor, humans' jobs have also been affected throughout modern history. That technological change can cause short-term job losses is widely accepted. The view that it can lead to lasting increases in unemployment has long been controversial. Participants in the technological unemployment debates can be broadly divided into optimists and pessimists. i. Optimists agree that innovation may be disruptive to jobs in the short term, yet hold that various compensation effects ensure there is never a long-term negative impact on jobs. ii. Whereas pessimists contend that at least in some circumstances, new technologies can lead to a lasting decline in the total number of workers in employment. 7 CAUSES OF UNEMPLOYMENT The literature discusses unemployment as being caused by many things. Figure shows the dimensions of the unemployment problem. Educational Dimension Regarding the educational dimension, one of the causes of unemployment is the field of study. The student should know what the careers of their field of study are and what the market needs in relation to their study. Without doing that, this will lead to market saturation in some fields and a lack of skilled labour in others. For example, in South Africa, specific majors of graduated students were Affected with the time to find employment, and therefore, may cause unemployment problems. Consequently, it demonstrates that graduated students in the areas of human resources, industrial psychology, labour relations management, public administration, public management, and politics must wait a long time before finding a job after graduation. In particular, the wait time is about 19 months for graduated students in the fields of public management, public administration, and politics, compared to only 10.5 months in human resources, industrial psychology, and labour relations. On the other hand, graduated students in the fields of accounting, math, education, and health have the shortest average wait periods. Individual Dimension In terms of individual dimensions, the studies showed that age was negatively related to unemployment. Thus, young people between 21 and 25 years have the highest unemployment rate. Therefore, for every one unit increase in age, unemployment is expected to be lower, for example, by 0.2% in Pakistan. Thus, the unemployment rate for adults is less than for the young. The reason behind this is the lack of acquired skills and experience in young people. Moreover, gender is another cause of unemployment. It contributes to 39.5% of unemployment in educated females, compared to only 25.8% of educated males in Iran. Unemployment among females is also higher in urban than in rural areas. In addition, the study pointed out that single people are more unemployed than married, because married people often accept lower wages to do their liabilities after marriage. Furthermore, 8 demographic youth bulges and housing discrimination have played roles in unemployment, especially among blacks in the central cities. Additionally, a lack of confidence and poor English communication skills are considered other factors that lead to unemployment, especially in countries that do not use English as a native language. Market Dimension As for the market dimension, supply and demand are pointed out as other important factors that affect unemployment . Consequently, an increasing number of universities graduates do not match the jobs available. Moreover, the decrease in demanded skills causes an increase in the unemployment rate, especially when this decrease is more than the increase in qualified labour. In addition, the people who possess specific outdated qualifications and skills are also unemployed as there is no demand for their expertise and they have not acquired new skills. This resulted from an inability to predict future market demand and a fast response to change. Finally, being excluded from the labour market for many years was cited as the biggest barriers to work that is faced by long-term unemployment, as mentioned in study Services & Quality Of System Dimension About the services and the quality of systems dimension, there are two likely factors that lead to ineffective career guidance and counselling services, then leading to unemployment problem. Those factors were the lacking of career guidance and counselling policy and the lacking of career counsellors. Consequently, the governments should pay more attention towards career guidance and counselling services, as they help students choosing the careers that match the need of the market, and therefore reducing the probability of unemployment. Also, an ineffective labour market information system leads to having no knowledge regarding the works available, which then contribute to unemployment problem. Therefore, the governments should strength this system and disseminate information about employers and the jobs status. In addition, a few studies pointed out that gaps in the employment policy may be leading to unemployment. One of the challenges of employment was an imbalance between the policies and reality such as the imbalance between the supply and demand, new entrants in the labour market, freezing employment in the public sector, and lacking the needs analysis. Spatial Dimensions Apart from the services and the quality of systems dimension, the studies showed that geographic mismatch is considered as one of the minor causes of unemployment. In particular, it can reduce the unemployment rate only by 5.3%, and it did not increase since the great recession. Therefore, if the governments want to reduce the unemployment rate to the lower level, they have to solve other causes than this one. 9 IMPACTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT ON ECONOMY The unemployment have the following effects on the economy: The problem of unemployment gives rise to the problem of poverty. The government suffers extra borrowing burden because unemployment causes a decrease in the production and less consumption of goods and services by the people. Unemployed persons can easily be enticed by antisocial elements. This makes them lose faith in the democratic values of the country. People unemployed for a long time may indulge in illegal and wrong activities for earning money which increases crime in the country. Unemployment affects the economy of the country as the workforce that could have been gainfully employed to generate resources actually gets dependent on the remaining working population, thus escalating socio-economic costs for the state. For instance, a 1 % increase in unemployment reduces the GDP by 2 %. It is often seen that unemployed people end up getting addicted to drugs and alcohol or attempts suicide, leading to losses to the human resources of the country. An economy with high unemployment is not using all of the resources, specifically labour, available to it. Since it is operating below its production possibility frontier it could have higher output if all of the workforce were usefully employed. However, there is a trade-off between economic efficiency and unemployment: if all frictionally unemployed accepted the first job that they were offered, they would be likely to be operating at below their skill level, reducing the economy's efficiency 10 REMEDIES TO THE PROBLEM Societies try a number of different measures to get as many people as possible into work, and various societies have experienced close to full employment for extended periods, particularly during the post-World War II economic expansion The United Kingdom in the 1950s and 1960s averaged 1.6% unemployment and in Australia, the 1945 White Paper on Full Employment in Australia established a government policy of full employment, which lasted until the 1970s. However, mainstream economic discussions of full employment since the 1970s suggest that attempts to reduce the level of unemployment below the natural rate of unemployment will fail but result only in less output and more inflation. DEMAND SOLUTIONS Increases in the demand for labour move the economy along the demand curve, increasing wages and employment. The demand for labour in an economy is derived from the demand for goods and services. As such, if the demand for goods and services in the economy increases, the demand for labour will increase, increasing employment and wages. There are many ways to stimulate demand for goods and services. Increasing wages to the working class (those more likely to spend the increased funds on goods and services, rather than various types of savings or commodity purchases) is one theory that is proposed. Increased wages are believed to be more effective in boosting demand for goods and services than central banking strategies, which put the increased money supply mostly into the hands of wealthy persons and institutions. Monetarists suggest that increasing money supply in general increases short-term demand. As for the long-term demand, the increased demand is negated by inflation. A rise in fiscal expenditures is another strategy for boosting aggregate demand. Providing aid to the unemployed is a strategy that is used to prevent cutbacks in consumption of goods and services, which can lead to a vicious cycle of further job losses and further decreases in consumption and demand. Many countries aid the unemployed through social welfare programs. Such unemployment benefits include unemployment insurance, unemployment compensation, welfare, and subsidies to aid in retraining. The main goal of such programs is to alleviate shortterm hardships and, more importantly, to allow workers more time to search for a job. A direct demand-side solution to unemployment is government-funded employment of the able-bodied poor. This was notably implemented in Britain from the 17th century until 1948 in the institution of the workhouse, which provided jobs for the unemployed with harsh conditions and poor wages to dissuade their use. A modern alternative is a job guarantee in which the government guarantees work at a living wage. Temporary measures can include public works programs such as the Works Progress Administration Government-funded employment is not widely advocated as a solution to unemployment except in times of crisis. That is attributed to the public sector jobs' existence depending directly on the tax receipts from private sector employment. 11 In the US, the unemployment insurance allowance is based solely on previous income (not time worked, family size, etc.) and usually compensates for one third of previous income. To qualify, people must reside in their respective state for at least a year and work. The system was established by the Social Security Act of 1935. Although 90% of citizens are covered by unemployment insurance, less than 40% apply for and receive benefits However, the number applying for and receiving benefits increases during recessions. For highly-seasonal industries, the system provides income to workers during the off-season, thus encouraging them to stay attached to the industry. According to classical economic theory, markets reach equilibrium where supply equals demand; everyone who wants to sell at the market price can do so. Those who do not want to sell at that price do not; in the labour market, this is classical unemployment. Monetary policy and fiscal policy can both be used to increase shortterm growth in the economy, increasing the demand for labour and decreasing unemployment. SUPPLY SOUTIONS However, the labour market is not 100% efficient although it may be more efficient than the bureaucracy. Some] argue that minimum wages and union activity keep wages from falling, which means that too many people want to sell their labour at the going price but cannot. That assumes perfect competition exists in the labour market, specifically that no single entity is large enough to affect wage levels and that employees are similar in ability. Advocates of supply-side policies believe those policies can solve the problem by making the labour market more flexible. These include removing the minimum wage and reducing the power of unions. Supply-siders argue that their reforms increase long-term growth by reducing labour costs. The increased supply of goods and services requires more workers, increasing employment. It is argued that supply-side policies, which include cutting taxes on businesses and reducing regulation, create jobs, reduce unemployment, and decrease labour's share of national income. Other supply-side policies include education to make workers more attractive to employers. 12 MEASURES TAKEN BY GOVERNMENT TO CONTROL UNEMPLOYMENT 1 Integrated Rural Development Programme (IRDP) The Government of India introduced IRDP in 1978-79, intending to create full employment opportunities in the rural areas. This program included agriculture, forests, fisheries, animal husbandry, cottage industries, construction of canals, roads, and so on. To provide employment, a sum of INR 312 crore was also spent in the Seventh plan, which benefited 182 families. 2. Training for Self–Employment: The program was launched on August 15th, 1979, and is called the National Scheme of Training of Rural Youth for Self Employment (TRYSEM). Its main objective is to reduce unemployment among the youth. Under this, during the seventh plan, around 11.6 lakh youth given training, which gave young men financial assistance from banks, which varies from INR 3000 to INR 5000 to start any work. Composite Rural Training and Technical Centres were set up to give training to 2.8 lakh rural youth during 1995-96. 3. Jawahar Rozgar Yojana: This started on April 28th, 1989, intending to employ one member of every rural family. The job is provided for around 50 to 100 days per year at a workplace, which is nearby the place of residence. 30% of the employment generated is reserved for women. The Central Government has the duty to finance around 80% of the program, which reduces the burden of the state government to only 20%. National Rural Landless Employment Guarantee Programmes were merged with the Jawahar Rozgar Yojana in the year 1989. 4. Nehru Rozgar Yojana (NRY): The Yojana was started in the year 1989 and included three schemes under itself : The first scheme provides a subsidy to urban poor so that they can set up microenterprises. Under this program, in the year 1995, 1.25 lakh families were benefitted. The second scheme ensures arrangements for wage-employment to labourers in the cities with less than 10 lakh population is by the means of providing Indian Economic Development and Elementary Static facilities. In the year 1995, under this scheme, 93 lakhs days of employment have been provided. The third scheme provides urban poor with employment opportunities like house repairing, etc. 13 5. The Swaran Jayanti Rozgar Yojana: The plan, which started on 1st December, is meant for providing employment to unemployed in urban areas. It aims at providing self or wage employment to unemployed youth of urban areas. It works upon two plans: a) Urban Self- Employment Programme b) Urban Wage Employment Programme 75% of the expenditure is incurred by the Central Government, and the rest is upon state governments. A sum of INR 125 crore was spent upon this during 1997-98. 6. Drought Prone Area Programme: This program was launched in 70 districts of 13 states, which were prone to drought. It has proved fruitful in removing seasonal unemployment, and under the sixth plan, the program has provided 17 crore and 70 lakh employment days. Under the seventh plan, INR 474 crores were spent on this program. 7. Prime Minister’s Integrated Urban Poverty Eradication Program (PMIUPEP): The program has been implemented in 1995-96 and aims to provide employment to the poor in the urban area. It aims to cover 50 lakh urban poor from 345 towns. The total expenditure of INR 800 crores is under the Central government, and the rest is with the state’s government. 8. Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY): It is a nationwide plan for the country to provide good all-weather connectivity of roads to unconnected villages. This was introduced in the year 2000 and aimed for the following: a) To provide roads to all villages with a population of 1000 people and above by the year 2003 b) To also provide roads in hill states, desert areas, and tribal areas with a population of 250 and above. The scheme has changed the conditions of many villages which fall under the scheme. 14 9. National Rural Employment Guarantee Act: This act was later named as Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act – MGNREGA. It aims to guarantee the Right to Work and was passed in September 2005. a) The main objective is to enhance the livelihood in the rural areas by providing 100 days of wage employment in a financial year to every household which has adult members to do unskilled manual work. b) Employment has to be provided within 5 km of the applicant’s residence. c) The minimum wage has to be provided. d) If the government fails to provide the employment, it has to pay unemployment allowances as compensation. 10. Employment Assurance Scheme: The Employment Assurance Scheme (EAS) was launched in the year 1994 in 1752 blocks, which are backward in the country. Its main objective was to provide 100 days of the unskilled manual job to the poor in Rural areas. Apart from the above 10, the Government of India has also launched several other employment and educational schemes such as the NTR Vidyonnathi Scheme for the empowerment of the country’s youth. 15 OBSERVATION AND FINDINGS We have been exposed to various socio-economic problems that cause unemployment during the course of this project. While the main root of this work is unemployment, we also have an insight into the Indian economy, which we have hardly no idea about it earlier. It was a wonderful experience studying one of our country's and world's serious contemporary challenges. This project on unemployment has made us learn many new information regarding the contemporary challenges in the world and made us to explore widely from the roots and brought us knowledge on how the world is facing the problem and effects of this problem. By completing this project, I came to know that unemployment affects the countries overall income. . Through completing this project, I can understand that industrialization can affect unemployment positively as well as negatively. Lack of skills is also an important cause of unemployment. The primary reason for unemployment is the lack of technical education and the interest of youth towards white collared jobs. Through doing this project gives me more awareness of effects, measures, causes, etc. on unemployment 16 CONCLUSION For any economy, unemployment is a serious problem. It creates negative effects for the unemployed as they are unemployed and suffer from worse prospects of finding new jobs, and those who are employed feel less secure in the future to maintain their jobs. However, steps must be taken to increase productivity and improve living standards for the overall development of the economy, government and individuals. Even the government has proposed and started programs such as Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), Mission Swarna Jayanti Shahari Rozgar Yojana (SJSRY), Ministry of Micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME) and National Skill Development to increase the employment rate has improved to better conditions providing quality education and improvement, engaging workforce policies etc. We should keep in mind that self-help is the best help. We must admit the bitter fact that no government can provide jobs to all unemployed youth. More government measures cannot solve such an enormous problem. Still, the government should adopt measures to create opportunities for self-employment Promoting jobs for self may be preventing unemployment from limiting. 17 REFERENCES : Wiley Online Library World development econo.com. Financial times magazine Fosters govt. rate.com. infoindianeconomy.com Economics Textbook Times of India (TOI) Financial pro weekly *****