Uploaded by kalexo23

04Demand&SupplyREVChap2

advertisement
CHAPTER 2
Market Forces: Demand and Supply
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
Learning Objectives
1. Explain the laws of demand and supply, and identify
factors that cause demand and supply to shift.
2. Calculate consumer surplus and producer surplus, and
describe what they mean
3. Explain price determination in a competitive market,
and show how equilibrium changes in response to
changes in determinates of demand and supply.
4. Apply supply and demand analysis as a qualitative
forecasting tool to see the “big picture” in competitive
markets.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
3
Demand
Demand
• Market demand curve
– Illustrates the relationship between the total
quantity and price per unit of a good all
consumers are willing and able to purchase,
holding other variables constant.
• Law of demand
– The quantity of a good consumers are willing and
able to purchase increases (decreases) as the
price falls (rises).
– Price and quantity demanded are inversely
related.
Copyright
by the McGraw-Hill
Companies,
Inc. All rights reserved.
© 2017©
by2014
McGraw-Hill
Education. All
Rights Reserved.
2-4
Demand
Market Demand Curve
Price ($)
$40
$30
$20
$10
Demand
0
20
40
60
80
Quantity
(thousands per year)
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-5
Demand
Shift in Quantity Demanded versus a
Shift in Demand
• Changing only price leads to changes in
quantity demanded.
– This type of change is graphically represented by a
movement along a given demand curve, holding
other factors that impact demand constant.
• Changing factors other than price lead to
changes in demand.
– These types of changes are graphically
represented by a shift of the entire demand curve.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-6
Changes in Demand
Demand
Price
Increase
in
demand
A
Decrease
in
demand
B
D1
D2
D0
0
Quantity
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-7
Demand Shifters
Demand
• Income
– Normal good
– Inferior good
• Prices of related goods
– Substitute goods
– Complement goods
• Advertising and consumer tastes
– Informative advertising
– Persuasive advertising
• Population
• Consumer expectations
• Other factors
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-8
Demand
Advertising and the Demand for
Clothing
Price of
high-style
clothing
Due to an
increase in
advertising
$50
$40
D2
D1
0
50,000 60,000
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Quantity of
high-style
clothing
2-9
The Demand Function
Demand
• The demand function for good X is a
mathematical representation describing how
many units will be purchased at different
prices for X, the price of a related good Y,
income and other factors that affect the
demand for good X.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-10
The Linear Demand Function
Demand
• One simple, but useful, representation of a
demand function is the linear demand function:
𝑑
𝑄𝑋 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼𝑋 𝑃𝑋 + π›Όπ‘Œ π‘ƒπ‘Œ + 𝛼𝑀 𝑀 + 𝛼𝐻 𝐻
where:
–
–
–
–
–
𝑄𝑋 𝑑 is the number of units of good X demanded;
𝑃𝑋 is the price of good X;
π‘ƒπ‘Œ is the price of a related good Y;
𝑀 is income;
𝐻 is the value of any other variable affecting demand.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-11
Demand
Understanding the Linear Demand
Function
• The signs and magnitude of the 𝛼 coefficients
determine the impact of each variable on the
number of units of X demanded.
𝑄𝑋 𝑑 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼𝑋 𝑃𝑋 + π›Όπ‘Œ π‘ƒπ‘Œ + 𝛼𝑀 𝑀
• For example:
– 𝛼𝑋 < 0 by the law of demand;
– π›Όπ‘Œ > 0 if good Y is a substitute for good X;
– 𝛼𝑀 < 0 if good X is an inferior good.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-12
Demand
The Linear Demand Function in Action
• Suppose that an economic consultant for X Corp. recently
provided the firm’s marketing manager with this estimate of the
demand function for the firm’s product:
𝑄𝑋 𝑑 = 12,000 − 3𝑃𝑋 + 4π‘ƒπ‘Œ − 1𝑀 + 2𝐴𝑋
Question: How many of good X will consumers purchase when
𝑃𝑋 = $200 per unit, π‘ƒπ‘Œ = $15 per unit, 𝑀 = $10,000 and 𝐴𝑋 =
2,000? Are goods X and Y substitutes or complements? Is good X a
normal or an inferior good?
Answer:
𝑄𝑋 𝑑 = 12,000 − 3 200 + 4 15 − 1 10,000 + 2 2,000 =
5,460 units. Goods X and Y are substitutes. Good X is an inferior
good.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-13
Inverse Demand Function
Demand
• By setting π‘ƒπ‘Œ = $15 and 𝑀 = $10,000 and 𝐴 =
2,000 the demand function is
𝑄𝑋 𝑑 = 12,000 − 3𝑃𝑋 + 4 15 − 1 10,000 + 2 2,000
the linear demand function simplifies to
𝑑
𝑄𝑋 = 6,060 − 3𝑃𝑋
Solving this for 𝑃𝑋 in terms of 𝑄𝑋 𝑑 results in
1 𝑑
𝑃𝑋 = 2,020 − 𝑄𝑋
3
which is called the inverse demand function. This
function is used to construct a market demand
curve.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-14
Graphing the Inverse Demand
Function in Action
Demand
Price
$2,020
1
𝑃𝑋 = 2,020 − 𝑄𝑋 𝑑
3
0
6,060
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Quantity
2-15
Supply
Supply
• Market supply curve
– A curve indicating the total quantity of a good
that all producers in a competitive market would
produce at each price, holding input prices,
technology, and other variables affecting supply
constant.
• Law of supply
– As the price of a good rises (falls), the quantity
supplied of the good rises (falls), holding other
factors affecting supply constant.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-18
Supply
Changes in Quantity Supplied versus
Changes in Supply
• Changing only price leads to changes in
quantity supplied.
– This type of change is graphically represented by a
movement along a given supply curve, holding other
factors that impact supply constant.
• Changing factors other than price lead to
changes in supply.
– These types of changes are graphically represented
by a shift of the entire supply curve.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-19
Supply
Changes in Supply
Price
S1
S0
B
Decrease
in supply
S2
Increase
in supply
A
0
Quantity
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-20
Supply Shifters
Supply
• Input prices
• Technology or government regulation
• Number of firms
– Entry
– Exit
• Substitutes in production
• Taxes
– Excise tax: a tax on each unit of output sold, where
tax revenue is collected from the supplier
– Ad valorem tax: percentage tax
• Producer expectations
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-21
The Supply Function
Supply
• The supply function for good X is a
mathematical representation describing how
many units will be produced at alternative
prices for X, alternative input prices W, and
alternative values of other variables that
affect the supply for good X.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-24
The Linear Supply Function
Supply
• One simple, but useful, representation of a
supply function is the linear supply function:
𝑠
𝑄𝑋 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽𝑋 𝑃𝑋 + π›½π‘Š π‘Š + π›½π‘Ÿ π‘ƒπ‘Ÿ + 𝛽𝐻 𝐻
–
–
–
–
–
𝑄𝑋 𝑠 is the number of units of good X produced;
𝑃𝑋 is the price of good X;
π‘Š is the price of an input;
π‘ƒπ‘Ÿ is price of technologically related goods;
𝐻 is the value of any other variable affecting supply.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-25
Understanding the Linear Supply
Function
Supply
• The signs and magnitude of the 𝛽 coefficients
determine the impact of each variable on the
number of units of X produced.
𝑄𝑋 𝑠 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽𝑋 𝑃𝑋 + π›½π‘Š π‘Š + π›½π‘Ÿ π‘ƒπ‘Ÿ
• For example:
– 𝛽𝑋 > 0 by the law of supply.
– π›½π‘Š < 0 increasing input price.
– π›½π‘Ÿ > 0 technology lowers the cost of producing
good X.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-26
Supply
The Linear Supply Function in Action
• Your research department estimates that the
supply function for televisions sets is given by:
𝑠
𝑄𝑋 = 2,000 + 3𝑃𝑋 − 4𝑃𝑅 − 1π‘ƒπ‘Š
Question: How many televisions are produced
when 𝑃𝑋 = $400, 𝑃𝑅 = $100 per unit, and π‘ƒπ‘Š =
$2,000?
Answer:
𝑄𝑋 𝑠 = 2,000 + 3 400 − 4 100 − 1 2,000 =
800 television sets.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-27
Inverse Supply Function
Supply
• By setting π‘ƒπ‘Š = $2,000 and π‘ƒπ‘Ÿ = $100 in
𝑠
𝑄𝑋 = 2,000 + 3𝑃𝑋 − 4 100 − 1 2,000
the linear supply function simplifies to
𝑄𝑋 𝑠 = 3𝑃𝑋 − 400
𝑠
Solving this for 𝑃𝑋 in terms of 𝑄𝑋 results in
400 1 𝑠
𝑃𝑋 =
+ 𝑄𝑋
3
3
which is called the inverse supply function.
This function is used to construct a market
supply curve.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-28
Market Equilibrium
Market Equilibrium
• Competitive Market Equilibrium
– Determined by the intersection of the market
demand and market supply curves.
– A price and quantity such that there is no shortage
or surplus in the market.
– Forces that drive market demand and market
supply are balanced, and there is no pressure on
prices or quantities to change.
– The equilibrium price is the price that equates
quantity demanded with quantity supplied
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-31
Market Equilibrium
Price
Market Equilibrium
Supply
Surplus
𝑃𝐻
𝑃𝑒
𝑃𝐿
Shortage
0
𝑄0
𝑄𝑒
Demand
𝑄1
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
280
Quantity
2-32
Market Equilibrium
Market Equilibrium in Action
• Consider a market with demand and supply
functions, respectively, as
𝑄𝑑 = 10 − 2𝑃 and 𝑄 𝑠 = 2 + 2𝑃
• A competitive market equilibrium exists at a
price, 𝑃𝑒 , such that 𝑄𝑑 𝑃𝑒 = 𝑄 𝑠 𝑃𝑒 . That is,
10 − 2𝑃 = 2 + 2𝑃
8 = 4𝑃
𝑃𝑒 = $2
𝑄𝑒 = 10 − 2 $2 = 6 and 𝑄𝑒 = 2 + 2($2) =6
𝑄𝑒 = 6 units
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-33
Comparative Statics
Comparative Statics
• Comparative static analysis
– The study of the movement from one equilibrium
to another.
• Competitive markets, operating free of price
restraints, will be analyzed when:
– Demand changes
– Supply changes
– Demand and supply simultaneously change
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-39
Comparative Statics
Changes in Demand
• Increase in demand only
– Increase equilibrium price
– Increase equilibrium quantity
• Decrease in demand only
– Decrease equilibrium price
– Decrease equilibrium quantity
• Example of change in demand
– Suppose that consumer incomes are projected to
increase 2.5% and the number of individuals over 25
years of age will reach an all time high by the end of
next year. What is the impact on the rental car
market?
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-40
Comparative Statics
Effect of a Change in Demand for
Rental Cars
Price
Supply
$49
$45
Demand1
Demand0
0
100
104
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
108
Quantity
(thousands
rented per day)
2-41
Comparative Statics
Changes in Supply
• Increase in supply only
– Decrease equilibrium price
– Increase equilibrium quantity
• Decrease in supply only
– Increase equilibrium price
– Decrease equilibrium quantity
• Example of change in supply
– Suppose that a bill before Congress would require
all employers to provide health care to their
workers. What is the impact on retail markets?
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-42
Comparative Statics
Effect of a Change in Supply
Price
Supply1
Supply0
𝑃1
𝑃0
Demand
0
𝑄1
𝑄0
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Quantity
2-43
Comparative Statics
Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and
Demand
• Suppose that simultaneously the following
events occur:
– An earthquake hit Kobe, Japan and decreased the
supply of fermented rice used to make sake wine.
– The stress caused by the earthquake led many to
increase their demand for sake, and other
alcoholic beverages.
• What is the combined impact on Japan’s sake
market?
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-44
Comparative Statics
Simultaneous Shifts in Supply and
Demand in Action
Japan’s Sake Market
Price
Supply2
C
𝑃2
Supply1
B
𝑃1
Supply0
A
𝑃0
Demand1
Demand0
0
𝑄2 𝑄0
𝑄1
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Quantity
2-45
Definition of Welfare Economics
• Welfare economics
– The study of how the allocation of resources affects
economic well-being
• Benefits that buyers and sellers receive from engaging in
market transactions
• How society can make these benefits as large as possible
• In any market, the equilibrium of supply and demand
maximizes the total benefits received by all buyers and
sellers combined
46
Basis of Consumer Surplus
• Willingness to pay
– Maximum amount that a buyer will pay for a good
– How much that buyer values the good
47
Link between CS & Demand Curve
• Consumer surplus
– Measures the benefit buyers receive from
participating in a market
– Closely related to the demand curve
• Demand curve
– Derived from the willingness to pay of the possible
buyers
48
Consumer Surplus (CS)
Demand
• Marketing strategies – like value pricing and
price discrimination – rely on understanding
consumer value for products.
– Total consumer value is the sum of the maximum
amount a consumer is willing to pay at different
quantities.
– Total expenditure is the per-unit market price
times the number of units consumed.
– Consumer surplus is the extra value that
consumers derive from a good but do not pay
extra for.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-49
Demand
Market Demand and Consumer Surplus in Action
Consumer Surplus
Price per
liter
Consumer Surplus:
0.5($5 - $3)x(2-0) = $2
Total Consumer Value:
0.5($5 - $3)x2+(3-0)(2-0) = $8
$5
$4
Expenditures:
$(3-0) x (2-0) = $6
$3
$2
$1
Demand
0
1
2
3
4
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
5
Quantity
in liters
2-50
How CS can be increased?
• A lower price raises consumer surplus
1. Existing buyers: increase in consumer surplus
• Buyers who were already buying the good at the higher
price are better off because they now pay less
2. New buyers enter the market: increase in
consumer surplus
• Willing to buy the good at the lower price
51
CS & economic well-being
• Consumer surplus
– Benefit that buyers receive from a good
• As the buyers themselves perceive it
– Good measure of economic well-being
– Exception: illegal drugs
• Drug addicts are willing to pay a high price for heroin
• Society’s standpoint
– Drug addicts don’t get a large benefit from being able to buy
heroin at a low price
52
Basis of Producer Surplus (PS)
• Cost
– Value of everything a seller must give up to produce
a good
– Measure of willingness to sell
• Producer surplus
– Amount a seller is paid for a good minus the seller’s
cost of providing it
– Price received minus willingness to sell
53
Producer Surplus
Supply
• Producer surplus: the amount producers
receive in excess of the amount necessary to
induce them to produce the good.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
2-54
Supply curve & Producer Surplus (PS)
• Supply curve
– Reflects sellers’ costs
– Used to measure producer surplus
• Producer surplus in a market
– Area below the price and above the supply curve
55
Producer Surplus in Action
400 1 𝑆
𝑃𝑋 =
+ 𝑄𝑋
3
3
Price
Supply
Supply
$400
Producer surplus
$400
3
0
800
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
Quantity
2-56
How to increase PS?
• A higher price raises producer surplus
1. Existing sellers: increase in producer surplus
• Sellers who were already selling the good at the lower
price are better off because they now get more for what
they sell
2. New sellers enter the market: increase in producer
surplus
• Willing to produce the good at the higher price
57
Market Efficiency
• Total surplus = Consumer surplus + Producer
surplus
• Consumer surplus = Value to buyers – Amount paid by
buyers
• Producer surplus = Amount received by sellers – Cost to
sellers
• Amount paid by buyers = Amount received by sellers
• Total surplus = Value to buyers – Cost to sellers
58
Efficiency Vs. Equality
• Efficiency
– Property of a resource allocation
– Maximizing the total surplus received by all
members of society
• Equality
– Property of distributing economic prosperity
uniformly among the members of society
59
What is market efficiency?
• Market outcomes
1. Free markets allocate the supply of goods to the
buyers who value them most highly
•
Measured by their willingness to pay
2. Free markets allocate the demand for goods to the
sellers who can produce them at the least cost
3. Free markets produce the quantity of goods that
maximizes the sum of consumer and producer
surplus
60
How to achieve market efficiency?
• Market equilibrium
– Efficient allocation of resources
• The benevolent social planner
– “Laissez faire” = “let people do as they will”
61
What is the best way to organize
economic activity?
• Adam Smith’s invisible hand
– Takes all the information about buyers and sellers
into account
– Guides everyone in the market to the best outcome
– Economic efficiency
• Free markets
– Best way to organize economic activity
62
References
• Baye, Michael R. & Jeffrey T. Prince (2017)
Managerial Economics and Business Strategies.
9na. Edición. McGraw Hill.
• Mankiw, N. Gregory (2016) Principios de
Economía. 7ma Edición: Cengage Learning.
© 2017 by McGraw-Hill Education. All Rights Reserved.
63
Download