5/15/2016 Women’s Wear in Russia Report Paper Author [COMPANY NAME] Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................. 2 2. MARKET OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................ 2 2.1 Exports of European fashion in Russia ................................................................................. 3 2.2 International players .............................................................................................................. 6 2.3 Main trends of women’s fashion market ............................................................................... 7 2.4 Distribution channels............................................................................................................. 8 2.5 Structure of clothing market .................................................................................................. 9 2.6 Conclusions & Challenges .................................................................................................. 10 3. REFERENCES ..................................................................................................................................... 12 4. APPENDICES ..................................................................................................................................... 13 1|Page 1. INTRODUCTION This reported main goal is to analyses women wear for middle and upper middle segments. Female segment: the largest and most mature in Russia. The share of women's clothing accounts for about 60 percent of sales, calculated in INFOLine. At the same time women's clothing is not only the largest but also the most mature, full-bodied players, highly competitive market segment, which determines ultimately the general trend of slowing down. According to analysts, fashion retail is one of the most attractive areas of the industry for the development of modern trade formats. "According to our data, the annual clothing market is growing by 8-10%, which is significantly higher than the growth of retail trade turnover (4-6% per year), - says CEO Ivan INFOLine Fedyakov. - In addition, the clothing market is dominated by traditional formats (retail markets) that allows you to effectively develop modern retail chains in the region." 2. MARKET OVERVIEW According to the data of January - September 2015 the retail turnover of clothes in the Russian Federation, not including clothing made of fur, amounted to 1.193 trillion rubles, or 20.13 billion dollars, that is 6% of turnover. (For the same period in 2014 - 6.2%). Compared with the corresponding period last year, clothing turnover in Russia increased by 3% in rubles, but, taking into account changes in the dollar, the retail clothing trade turnover in Russia in January-September 2015 has become 38% lower than in 2014 year. Retail turnover for clothes Moscow during the same period amounted to 469 billion. Rubles or 7.91 billion. Dollars, an increase compared with the corresponding period last year by 1.2% in 2|Page ruble terms, but with the change of the dollar becoming the first 9 months of 2015 by 40% compared to the same period in 2014. in Moscow on a national circulation of clothes made for the first 9 months of 2015 it was still 40%, which was flat compared to the same period in 2014. In St. Petersburg apparel retail turnover in January-September 2015 amounted to 36 billion. Rubles, or 3% of the total Russian retail clothing trade. 2.1 Exports of European fashion in Russia It continues to decline and the volume of exports of European fashion in Russia. Imported products in Russia takes 80% of the total turnover of the clothing market, shoes and accessories (data Fashion Consulting Group). As the president of the European Council exporters of clothing and textile (EFTEC) Depfer Reinhard, in 2015 the EU clothing exports have fallen by 29% in Russia. Also, imports drop 30% mentions Anna Lebsak-Kleimans, CEO of Fashion Consulting Group (FCG). Most reduced export women's underwear - 43%, export men's wear decreased by 25%, women's clothing - by 29%. Export from Italy decreased by 30% and exports of Germany - 28%, UK - 42%. Even Spain, which had a very good position in Russia (Mango, Inditex), reduced exports by 1%. The expert is confident that before the end of the year the volume of clothing that "comes" to us from Europe, will be reduced by another 25%. According to the director of Fashion Consulting Group Anush Gasparyan Turkey - one of the major importers in the Russian fashion market. According to 2014 data for 2015 yet, Turkey is the third largest clothing imports 6% of imports, after China and Italy. For imports of fabrics Turkey in second place after China, while in the first half of 2015 apparel exports from China to Russia decreased by 20%.2.1 Main players within the sector. 3|Page However, for example, expanding their geographical presence in the Russian market brands such as H & M, Uniqlo. In reporting the world's largest retail chain selling clothing Hennes & Mauritz (H & M) for the first 9 months of the 2014-2015 fiscal year (December 1, 2014 - August 31, 2015) refers to the increase in sales in Russia by 15% compared with the previous year - up to 2.629 billion SEK including VAT (about 312.429 million US dollars). At the end of the third quarter of the current fiscal year, the company increased its revenues by 16% - up to 1.018 billion Swedish kronor (about 120.978 million US dollars). At the end of the quarter ended number of stores in Russia has increased by 2 units. In just nine months, 15 new stores were opened retailer in Russia. Also, despite the difficulties in 2015, in the Russian Federation continue to receive new international brands, such as On & On, Tsumori Chisato, Brums, Original Marines, Rocco P., Intersport Run & Fit and others. A number of Russian players have stopped growing, but not reduced the number of stores - Befree, O'stin, Baon, Love Republic, Modis, Sportmaster, Sela. This trend is confirmed by the cofounder of a network of salons "Kangaroo", Sophia Svetlosanova. "On the whole, while reducing traffic, the number of checks, - she says, - we have kept the level of sales in 2014. In principle we support the profitability. If we talk about the stores, we managed to move in three places, in particular in Krasnoyarsk. In Vnukovo Outlet we now have a large area, where we have increased. In principle, we are on these points is significantly reduced rents. I think this is a good result. We do not fire. All optimizations that was possible, we did in 2014. In 2015, already in this sense, it was nothing to do. " 4|Page Diagrams below demonstrate the situation with women cloth from 2009-2014 years 2014 € 1.557 million (+41%) Outdoor Jackets/Coats 15% 16% Dresses Costumes 4% 9% 19% Sweaters / Cardigans Trousers Blouses 17% 8% Denim Trousers 12% Other Women's Wear 2009 € 1.107 million Outdoor Jackets/Coats Dresses 16% 12% Costumes 3% 13% 8% Sweaters / Cardigans Trousers 15% Blouses Denim Trousers 17% 16% Other Women's Wear Despite the attempt to keep the price level in 2015, on the eve of the fall season on clothes retailers have raised prices by 20% or more. Most prices have risen in the Russian network stores. According to a study Fashion Consulting Group, which was presented at the Russian Fashion 5|Page Retail Forum, the minimum prices for women's clothing fashion season "2015-2016" increased compared to the minimum prices of the season "2014-2015" by 20-40%. 2.2 International players 142 new international brands entered the Russian securities industry during the last three years. According to the latest retail research -nBy global property advisor CBRE, new market entrants have opened around 390 new stocks since the beginning of 2013 and are planning to open, at least, 70 more by the end of 2016. For example, such retail chains as Dippin Dots, Krispy Kreme, Takko Fashion, Anta Sports, Bimbus, Deichmann, Forever 21, Monki, and Derimod have already heralded a further development in Russia. Over 52 new brands entered the Russian market in 2015. This is only 2 brands less than a year earlier. 12 new retail chains have announced plans to introduce the Russian market in 2016. According to CBRE research, 31 percent of most active brands are retail chains of fashion segment. In 2015 such chains as Circle of Gentlemen and Wrangler opened their first mono stores in Russia. Malo, Henry Cotton’s, MCS, Nelva, and Tsumori Chisato also entered the Russian market. Usually new players open 2-3 stores at once. Despite Moscow is the first city to open in 85 percent, 17 new retail chains opened their first stores in the Russian regions. This choice is mainly due to lower rental rates, comparable level of quality supply and relatively high purchasing power. Michael Rogozhin, Managing Director of Retail Department CBRE in Russia, commented: “During 2013-2015, 2014 was the most active year for new entries when 54 new brands entered the market place. In 2015, despite negative economic conditions, the natural action of international retail chains and the interest to Russian retail market have been saved. 52 new brands have entered the market 6|Page during the twelvemonth. Nearly 60 percent of new participants are retail chains of middle and budget price segments. Consumer goods of these segments are in high demand in Russia. The decrease in real disposable income causes an increased demand for new budget makes. New retail chains will highly likely continue to come in the market in 2016 and develop as consumer demand stabilizes, both in Moscow and in regional markets. We expect in 2016–2017 about 30 new brands to enter the Russian marketplace. In fact, this number could be higher.” Turnover per segment, market share, average retail price points, categories of retail channels, key supplier nations: 2.3 Main trends of women’s fashion market In late December, it became known about the possible transfer of the production of Zara, Mango and H & M in Turkey in connection with the Russian sanctions. Analysts do not doubt that it will lead to higher prices. 7|Page "Deliveries are from Turkey, because it is economically feasible. Even if the company has manufacturing facilities in other countries, restructuring of supply chains, renegotiation of contracts and other formalities cannot lead to a rise in prices ", - explains financial analyst THEIR" Finam "Timur Nigmatullin. He also stresses that the transfer of production will result in the reduction range. Networks do not profitable new delivery, when due to the increased prices are not sold out prior.50% (in volume terms). About 30% of heat-insulating materials in Germany - is polystyrene. Over the forecast period womenswear in Russia is expected to register a value CAGR of 1% at constant 2015 prices to reach sales of RUB1,169 billion in 2020. This moderate growth will be related to the increasingly challenging trading environment in Russia. Russian consumers are likely to remain rather price-sensitive when it comes to apparel purchases, especially in light of an anticipated increase in the cost of living and fall in consumers’ disposable incomes. Those who value quality over price are expected to reduce the frequency with which they purchase womenswear. 2.4 Distribution channels Among the distribution channels in the women's clothing market is still dominated by the uncivilized retail. In early 2013, it accounted for about 46% of sales. Although the proportion of Russians in the flea markets of consumption model is gradually reduced, this channel is often the only place for clothes shopping in the small towns and cities with a population of less than 100 thousand. Man. Reducing the share of market is mainly due to an increasingly dynamic development of retail chains in medium and large cities in the Russian regions. It is interesting that the civilized retail offers are often much more competitive prices in the lower and middle price segments. Thus, market prices 15-20% higher than the prices for similar product 8|Page categories in these stores of retail chains in the lower price segment as Oodji, Sela, Gloria Jeans and Jennyfer. However, despite the structural changes in the lower price segment and the transition to the regional markets apparel consumption in the retail network of Western-style, at flea markets will still account for about 35% by 2015. Multibrand and multi-format stores in the second place in popularity among Russian women - they account for 20.3%. This is partly due to the inheritance of the Soviet model of consumption, when the store was the main place to shop. In many cities today and in the buildings of the Soviet Tsumov and shopping centers are located players lower price segment, the assortment differ little from the flea markets are nearby. 2.5 Structure of clothing market In the Russian market of women's clothing, regardless of price segment is not the first season of the rise in the share of sales of dresses. This is due to focus on femininity and the desire to create the most cost-effective one-piece look. On dresses today accounts for an average of 20% of sales (15% - in the medium price segment, about 23% - at the top). A growing share of the dresses, and generally focus on femininity occur as opposed to style and fashion for unisex androgyny that prevailed eight or ten years ago. The increased popularity of dresses is also associated with the crisis: the dress can more efficiently create a whole image, suitable for a hike on the job, and for everyday life. Moreover, almost all brands offer "input group" dresses at a price close to the knitwear, which makes this category range is also very accessible to a wider audience. T-shirts, T-shirts and similar categories make up the largest offer on the market - their share in sales of women's clothing on the market is 30%: on the jersey for 20%, in the "lower classes" - 9|Page 11 on the outer clothing - 7.5%. The smallest share of sales accounted for coats / jackets - about 0.5%. In general, the structure of the range of both product categories as well as for functional and stylistic groups is fairly typical and a little different from the structure of the markets, for example, in Europe. The greatest demand is for casual wear - it accounts for more than half of women's clothing sales (53%). However, even in casual clothes Russia distinguishes brightness, decorative - it should emphasize femininity, and not just be a basic and minimalistic. 2.6 Conclusions & Challenges Market access conditions for imported clothing remaining difficult. The studies of the situation in the country showed that in the first 9 months of 2015, Russia is in recession. Considerable influence on the situation is prevailing geopolitical situation and the existing EU sanctions. Continued decline in GDP, the production, the dynamics of investment and construction. At the same time, falling living standards, its real purchasing power is reduced and the retail trade - sums up the year Elena Kuznetsova. Market entry in Russia has become more difficult over the past five years due to: Mandatory registration of economically active companies and legal entities at the Register of the Attorney General of Russia, due until December 31, 2009 Foundation of the Eurasian Customs Union (EAC) between Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan in 2010 WTO Access of Russia after DUMA-ratification in August 2012 Consolidation of Consumer Safety Rules and Regulations in one unified “Technical Regulation” replacing the former GOST-R Certification by the EAC Conformity Declaration and Hygiene 10 | P a g e Certification, Baby- and Childrenswear Safety Certification and EAC Product Labeling, enforced for clothing products on July 1, 2014 Players affected by such legislative changes are: Foreign suppliers, smaller and medium size European brands (SMEs) in particular which sell directly to retail clients in the EAC-area Fashion agencies and import distributors operating as “Representative Offices” but not as registered OOO (LLC, SrL, GmbH) Customers residing in the three member-states of the Customs Union which do not provide the legal status of a registered OOO and which are not accredited at the Attorney General’s Company Register (most of the privately owned multi-brand shops and boutiques are not registered and do not pay V.A.T.) 11 | P a g e 3. 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Available at: http://www.fashionunited.ru/78-fashion/6092obiem-rynka-odezhdy-vyrastet-na-7-mlrd-dollarov.html [Accessed 15 May 2016]. 12 | P a g e Ivan Fedyakov, city (2014). Liberally dressed women. [Online] Expert.ru. Available at: http://expert.ru/northwest/2014/11/obilno-odetyie-zhenschinyi/ [Accessed 15 May 2016]. Rosbalt. (2016). Analysts: In the market of women's clothing in Russia is dominated by "uncivilized retail." [Online] Available at: http://www.rosbalt.ru/business/2013/09/23/1178868.html [Accessed 15 May 2016]. 4. APPENDICES 13 | P a g e 14 | P a g e