S-D Steve White 1. Markets Some terms and context for S-D What does S-D help explain? Mostly the prices of different products. Oil prices 2 wages (price for your labor) 3 interest rates (“price of a loan”) 4 Supply and Demand model market = group of buyers and sellers for some product (good or service) competitive = has many buyers and many sellers The basic idea here is that sellers can’t determine the price on their own. Neither can buyers. There is a standard price that everyone has to accept because they don’t have enough power to change it. Supply and demand is a model for prices and quantities bought/sold in competitive markets. 5 Practice Not all markets are competitive. Which of the following markets do you think are competitive? a. market for economics tutoring online b. market for a new iPhone 12 Pro c. market for a used iPhone 7 d. market for a mortgage loan 6 Example: market for a used iPhone 7 Source: eBay Outline 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Markets β Demand Supply Equilibrium Comparative Statics Models (post-class) 8 2. Demand Quantity Demanded quantity demanded, ππ· = amount of the good that buyers want to buy demand = relationship between ππ· and π - can represent this relationship different ways 10 Demand for what? We need to pick some specific good or service so we can try to model demand for it. My choice: 11 Poll Let’s do a poll. Raise you hand if you would pay for tutoring if it cost: i. $5/hr ii. $15/hr P Q iii. $50/hr $5 Law of Demand: π ↑ ⇒ ππ· ↓ (negative correlation) $15 $50 12 Represent demand as a curve or table (new small numbers I made up) P Q 1 8 2 6 4 2 5 0 13 Practice What is the independent variable in this model? 10 P 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q 14 What if . . . colleges decide to get rid of grades. You just have to show up and you get credit for your classes. Would that change the demand for tutoring? 15 Probably Most likely the quantity demanded for each P would be lower: New Old P Q P Q 1 8 1 3.75 2 6 2 2.5 4 2 5 0 4 0 5 0 ⇒ 16 New demand curve and equation 10 P 9 8 7 6 P Q 1 3.75 2 2.5 4 0 5 0 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q 17 Increase vs Decrease An increase (right shift) in demand means that larger quantities are demanded at any given price. A decrease (left shift) in demand is the opposite. Smaller quantities are demanded at any given price. Both increases and decreases are changes in demand. 18 Which of the following events would probably increase DEMAND for a Shiba dog? a. a stronger economy leads to higher pay for most workers b. a Shiba attacks and kills a beloved celebrity c. The price of a Shiba rises d. The price of a Shiba declines https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6CcUj2mDbI 19 Change in demand vs change in πΈπ« If the price increases from $2 to $4 does that decrease demand? Does it decrease the quantity demanded? 20 Change in demand vs change in πΈπ« P ($/dog) If doge virus discourages people from buying a doge but the price remained $2 would that change demand? 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 D D’ 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q (dogs) Does it change the quantity demanded? 21 Change in demand vs change in πΈπ« This same distinction applies for supply to. You can have one change and not the other. But you can also have both change. You could theoretically have nothing change, but that wouldn’t be interesting now would it? Ask yourself: Did the curve/relationship/equation change? Did the amount people want to to buy change? 22 3. Supply Quantity supplied quantity supplied, ππ = amount of good that sellers want to sell supply = relationship between ππ and π - can represent this relationship different ways Intuition for Supply “The market for online tutoring expanded significantly during the pandemic. You could get into that market using your computer and Zoom to offer tutoring sessions. Suppose that the current standard price you will get paid is $____/hour. How many hours per week would you want to tutor?” π ππ $5 687 $10 915 $15 1410 $25 1530 $50 1695 The Supply Curve π ππ $5 687 $10 $15 $25 915 1410 1530 $50 1695 Law of Supply π ↑ ⇒ ππ ↑ “But I thought if there was more supply the price would fall?” Which shows an increase in S? P SA S SB Q Left and Right (not up and down) Practice Which of the following events would probably increase the SUPPLY of online tutoring? a) many people lose their traditional job due to COVID-19 related lockdowns b) the price of online tutoring rises c) the government requires tutors pass a hard and expensive certification test 30 4. Equilibrium What makes that point special? There is an obvious geometric answer but what is the economic explanation?!?!?! P 12 11 S 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q Equilibrium It is easier to see that all the other prices are bad than to see why the price at the intersection is good. π > 6 ⇒ ππ· < ππ or a surplus, downward pricing pressure P 12 11 S 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q Equilibrium π > 6 ⇒ ππ· < ππ or a surplus, downward pricing pressure π < 6 ⇒ ππ· > ππ or a shortage, upward pricing pressure P 12 11 S 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q Equilibrium π > π∗ ⇒ ππ· < ππ or a surplus, downward pricing pressure π < π∗ ⇒ ππ· > ππ or a shortage, upward pricing pressure π = 6 ⇒ ππ· = ππ so stable, no pressure to change, an equilibrium P 12 11 S 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 D 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q 5. Comparative Statics Comparative Statics One of the main uses of a model is to make predictions. “If [something] happens, what would happen to the price?” comparative statics = comparing equilibriums, or more generally comparing before and after a change all else equal = phrase used to emphasize that you don’t generally want to look at 26 things changing at once 37 Example: Spiny Lobster The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically reduced demand for spiny lobster. What probably happened to P? Did the supply decrease? 38 I saw this on a trash can 39 More comparative statics (if time) The market for an apartment in Boston is heating up. Should we buy one? Before we can answer that it is probably helpful to think about the factors that could cause rents to rise and fall over time. How would the following events impact the rent for an apartment in Boston? a) more colleges open in the area, leading to a larger population of students b) Boston creates a new income tax, all residents must pay 4% of their income to the city c) many apartment buildings in Chinatown are condemned for not being safe(this means no one can live there) d) what would happen to the rent if the events in (b) and (c) happened at the same time? 40 More comparative statics a) more colleges open in the area, leading to a larger population of students 41 More comparative statics b) Boston creates a new income tax, all residents must pay 4% of their income to the city 42 More comparative statics c) many apartment buildings in Chinatown are condemned for not being safe (this means no one can live there) 43 Two shifts d) what would happen to the rent if the events in (b) and (c) happened at the same time? S and D both decreased 44 Two shifts d) what would happen to the rent if the events in (b) and (c) happened at the same time? S and D both decreased 45 Two shifts d) what would happen to the rent if the events in (b) and (c) happened at the same time? S and D both decreased Event Effect on P Effect on Q (b) π· ⇐ (c) π ⇐ Overall 46 Further study There is so much more to S-D than we could fit into one day. If you take Ec101 you will learn a lot more about this model including: i. measuring gains from trade ii. modeling government policies (min. wage, taxes) iii. applications, e.g. international trade 47 6. Models There is a post-class video on this topic What is a model? The best way to understand is by seeing many examples. Source: news.sky.com 49 Example: Subway map Models are simplified pictures that help you understand the world. They strip away what you don’t need so you can focus on important connections and relationships. 50 But . . . Don’t models oversimplify? And isn’t that misleading? YES! Distance from Lechmere to Kendall 0.7 miles Riverside to Cleveland Circle 5.4 miles 51 Balancing act So would it be better to use this subway map? 52 Lesson: Balancing act Our models need to balance not leaving out something important against including too much detail and complexity Example: physics and air resistance Economics examples: 1. “the” price of tutoring 2. lumping all “tutoring” together 53 What did we learn? Summary 1. Models help us understand the world. 2. S-D is a model for P and Q in comparative markets. 3. Demand, quantity demanded, shifts of D, etc. 4. Repeat for S 5. Equilibrium is a result of pricing pressure. You should be able to explain that process in your own words. 6. Comparative statics exercises involve using a model to make predicts. We did some for S-D THE END