STAB23: Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences Nnenna Asidianya Fall, 2023 E-mail: nnenna.asidianya@mail.utoronto.ca Office Hours: IC412: TBD Class time: Tuesday: 2:00-3:00pm (IC130) Thursday: 11:00-1:00PM (HW 216) Course Description Statistics is the science of collecting, organizing and interpreting data. In science, society and everyday life, people use data to help them understand the world and choose how to act, and statistical methods help to separate sense from nonsense.This course covers the basic concepts of statistics and the statistical methods most commonly used in the social sciences. The emphasis will be on the application of statistical methods to real data. In this class you will learn how to read and interpret statistical data within the context of social sciences, collect, explore, and analyze data using appropriate statistical methods. In this course, you will learn how to check the validity of conclusions drawn from statistical analysis by proper collection of data and proper application of statistical ideas and tools. Prerequisites/Corequisites There are no prerequisites for this course. No advanced mathematical training is necessary, however, students are expected to have some familiarity with quantitative subjects, and a willingness to work hard. Email Policy To ensure your email gets to me, please ensure that you are awae of the following: • Use your academic email, for example mine is nnenna.asidianyal@mail.utoronto.ca • Use the following format in the subject of your email: CourseName/LASNTNAME For example: STAB23H3/ASIDIANYA • Be very clear and concise. • Response time may take up to 48 hours. 1 Summer 2022 Note: Emails should be adminstrative in nature (i.e. missed asessments or tutorials, course policies, etc.). Use the piazza board or office hours to ask course related content. Emails regarding Required Materials • Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences, Fifth Edition, by Alan Agresti, Publisher: Pearson. ISBN-13: 978-0-13-450710-1. Course Assessment Item Syllabus quiz Tutorial Worksheets Term Test 1 Mini Assignment 1 Term Test 2 Mini Assignment 2 Final Exam Description Due September 12th, 2023 Ongoing To be determined To be determined To be determined To be determined To be determined Description Quercus Quiz Ongoing To be determined Data Analysis Project Midterm Examination Data Analysis Project Final Examination Scheme A 5% 10% 15% 10% 15% 10% 35% Scheme B 5% 10% 0% 10% 0% 10% 65% If you miss any tutorial worksheet the weight will not be moved to the final exam. Instead, your overall quiz and tutorial worksheet averages will be computed based on the reduced number of assessments (i.e., averaged on 9 assessments intead of 11). You are allowed to miss at most two tutorial worksheets without penality. Scheme A is the grading scheme that most students will have to tally their grades, but if you miss any term test for a valid reason, you default to Scheme B. Lectures Theree is no plan for zoom recordings this semester. Lectures will be in person. Because the class sizes are larger in the fall, there may be integrated Web Option (though at the moment there are no guarantees). I will post lecture notes but comprehensive notes are best created by attending class. Tutorial Worksheets I will assign tutorial worksheets on a weekly basis. They will be completed in tutorials. You will discuss with your Teaching Assistant (TA) and peers. Everyone will submit the worksheets by the end of the tutorial. The goal of these worksheets are to prepare you, alongside the homework, for the term test. 2/10 Summer 2022 Homework On a weekly basis, I will assign a set of exercises from the course textbook, but they are not graded. It is recommend that you work on these questions with your peers and if you need clarification with any questions visit my office hours. Term Tests There will be two in person multiple choice exam that takes place outside of class time. The term test will cover all the material covered in class and exercises until the last week before the test. Information about the break down of the test will be released closer to the exam date. Both term tests are mandatory, but the weighting will be preferential towards the higher test (i.e., 10% versus 20% for lower versus higher score.) Weekly Office Hours I will have office hours in person in IC412 starting the second week of class. The times are to be determined. The Tutorial times will serve as the pseudo office hours from the TAs. Tutorials are facilitated by your Teaching Assistant in person. You should use the time to ask your Teaching Assistants about confusions pertaining to homework, the tutorial worksheet, or your course project (later on). Please make sure you are registered for a tutorial section on ACORN. Mini-Assignments There are two mini-assignments during the duration of the course. They are based on the data from the Fall 2020 inception of this cours, during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Students were asked to select an article from Statistics Canada, that assessed the impacts of the COVID-19 pademic on a multitude of domains (education, mental health, social structures, economics). After having analyzed an article of their choice, students proposed one survey question that they wanted to ask to the class. This was in some sense similar to crowdsourcing (i.e. the data was collected from the students in this course via an online survey that I administered.) Responses to the survey questions were anonymous. In the past students had to complete a formal report based on the data. This was done in groups of 4-5. This term the work will be done individually based on the 2020 generated data. The first assignment will be a series of questions based on descriptive statistics, and the later assignment will be a series of questions based on inferential statistics. More information will be given closer to the assignment release dates. 3/10 Summer 2022 Missed Assessments Every student is allowed at most two missed tutorials for the term. Please use them wisely as no accommodations will be accepted after those missed assessments. You will receive a zero for any other missed assessments. There are NO make-up term tests. If a term test is missed for a valid reason, you must email the instructor within 24 hours of the missed exam. If your missed term test is valid, we will put the code: “-1” for an excused missed work in your Gradebook in Quercus. If you require an extension for an assignment then notification must be provided 48 hours before the due date. Notifying me on the due date without exceptional circumstances will not warrant an extension. As an example, stating that you have COVID the due day of a two week old assignment will not suffice. The general policy is a 5% deduction per day. Remark Concerns Any request to have a work remarked must be emailed to your instructor (not you TA) within one week of the grades being posted. Your request must include a detailed written justification referring to your work/answer(s) and the relevant course material to be considered. 4/10 Summer 2022 1 Final Exam Details The Final exam will be administered in person and will be held during the final examination period. The final exam will cover the entire course, but a larger emphasis will be placed on the material in the latter half of the course. The final exam accounts for 35% of your course grade. 2 Missed Final Exam Students who cannot complete their final examination due to illness or other serious causes must file an online petition within 72 hours of the missed examination. Late petitions will not be considered. Students must also record their absence on ACORN on the day of the missed exam or by the day after at the latest. ACCESSIBILITY STATEMENT Students with diverse learning styles and needs are welcome in this course. In particular, if you have a disability/health consideration that may require accommodations, please feel free to approach me and/or the AccessAbility Services Office as soon as possible. I will work with you and AccessAbility Services to ensure you can achieve your learning goals in this course. Enquiries are confidential. The UTSC AccessAbility Services staff (located in S302) are available by appointment to assess specific needs, provide referrals and arrange appropriate accommodations (416) 287-7560 or ability@utsc.utoronto.ca. ACADEMIC INTEGRITY STATEMENT Academic integrity is essential to the pursuit of learning and scholarship in a university, and to ensuring that a degree from the University of Toronto is a strong signal of each student’s individual academic achievement. As a result, the University treats cases of cheating and plagiarism very seriously. The University of Toronto’s Code of Behaviour on Academic Matters (http://www.governingcouncil.utoronto.ca/policies/behaveac.htm) outlines the behaviours that constitute academic dishonesty and the processes for addressing academic offences. Potential offences include, but are not limited to: IN PAPERS AND ASSIGNMENTS: Using someone else’s ideas or words without appropriate acknowledgement. Submitting your own work in more than one course without the permission of the instructor. Making up sources or facts. Obtaining or providing unauthorized assistance on any assignment. ON TESTS AND EXAMS: Using or possessing unauthorized aids. Looking at someone else’s answers during an exam or test. Misrepresenting your identity. IN ACADEMIC WORK: Falsifying institutional documents or grades. Falsifying or altering any documentation required by the University, including (but not limited to) doctor’s notes. All suspected cases of academic dishonesty will be investigated following procedures outlined in 5/10 Summer 2022 the Code of Behaviour on Academic Matters. If you have questions or concerns about what constitutes appropriate academic behaviour or appropriate research and citation methods, you are expected to seek out additional information on academic integrity from your instructor or from other institutional resources (see http://academicintegrity.utoronto.ca/). 6/10 Summer 2022 Schedule and weekly learning goals Table 1: Tenative Weekly Schedule 1.1 Introduction to Statistical Methodology Week 1 1.2 Descriptive Statistics and Inferential Statistics Ch. 1 Introduction 1.4 Chapter Summary 2.1 Variables and Their Measurement 2.2. Randomization Week 2 2.3 Sampling Variability and Potential Bias Ch. 2 Sampling and Measurement 2.4 Other Probability Sampling Methods 2.5. Chapter Summary 3.1 Describing Data with Tables and Graphs Week 3 3.2. Describing the Centre of the Data Ch. 3 Descriptive Statistics 3.3 Describing the Variability of the Data 3.4 Measure of Position 3.5. Bivariate Descriptive Statistics Week 4 3.6 Sample Statistics and Population Parameters 3.7 Chapter Summary 7/10 Ch. 3 Descriptive Statistics Summer 2022 Table 2: Tenative Weekly Schedule Week 5 Week 6 4.1 Introduction to Probability 4.2 Probability Distribution for Discrete and Continuous Variables 4.3 The Normal Distribution Ch. 4 Probability distributions Ch. 4 Probability distributions Reading Week : No Classes 4.4 Sampling Distribution Describes How Statistics Vary Week 8 4.5 Sampling Distribution of Sample Means Ch. 4 Probability distributions 4.6 Review: Probability, sample data, and sampling distributions 4.7 Chapter Summary 5.1 Point and Interval Estimation 5.2 Confidence Interval for Proportion Week 9 5.3 Confidence Interval for a Mean 5.6 Chapter Summary (for sections to 5.1 - 5.3) 8/10 Ch. 5 Statistical Inference: Estimation Summer 2022 Table 3: Tenative Weekly Schedule 6.1 The Five Parts of a Significance Test 6.2 Significance for a Mean Week 10 6.3 Significance Test for a Proportion Ch. 6 Statistical Inference: Statistical Tests 6.4 Decisions and Types of Errors in Tests 6.5 Limitations of Significance Tests Week 10 6.7 Chapter Summary (for sections 6.1 - 6.5) Ch. 6 Statistical Inference: Statistical Tests 7.1 Preliminaries for Comparing Groups 7.2 Categorical Data: Comparing Two Proportions Week 11 7.3 Quantitative Data: Comparing Two Means Ch. 7 Comparison of Two Groups 7.4 Comparing Means with Dependent Samples 7.8 Chapter Summary (for sections 7.1 - 7.4) 8.1 Contingency Tables 8.2 Chi-Squared Test of Independence Week 12 8.4 Measuring Association in Contingency Tables (pp. 233 - 235) 8.7 Chapter Summary (pertaining to 8.1 - 8.4) 9/10 Ch. 8 Analyzing Associations Between Categorical Variables Summer 2022 Table 4: Tenative Weekly Schedule 9.1 Linear Relationships 9.2 Least Squares Prediction Equations Week 13 9.3 The Linear Regression Model 9.4 Measuring Linear Association: The Correlation 9.5 Inference for the Slope and Correlation 10/10 Ch. 9 Linear Regression and Correlations