Course Syllabus – Introductory Statistics for Business 01:960:285 Fall - 2023 Section 02 (Index # 10183): Class Meets Tuesdays: 5:40 PM – 8:40 PM Lucy Stone Hall, Auditorium – Livingston Campus Section 04 (Index # 10185): Class Meets Thursdays: 5:40 PM – 8:40 PM Vorhees Hall, Room 105 – College Avenue Campus INSTRUCTOR: Andrew Magyar, PhD e-mail: amagyar@stat.rutgers.edu Mail Box: Hill Center Room 558 – Busch Campus COURSE DESCRIPTION: Whether in business, politics, sports, economics, medicine, public health or social policy, we are constantly inundated with statistics in today’s world. Its ubiquity alone merits ascertaining a basic familiarity & understanding of the subject. Unfortunately, not all statistics presented today are good, honest or even meaningful! This is an introductory course on statistics focusing on basic methodology, its applications & interpretation and elementary theory. The class examples and material covered will be geared for business applications. For students not intending to take any more courses in statistics, your focus in this course should be to obtain a basic grasp of the subject towards the goal of being able to understand commonly presented statistics and recognizing bad statistical practice when encountered. For students genuinely interested in the subject, view this course as the necessary prep work needed for laying a strong foundational knowledge on top of which one can build their understanding further. CLASS STYLE: The class materials will be presented on slide decks, with supplementation of the material using computational examples (mostly in Microsoft Excel). Lectures will be a mix of methodology, applications & examples and elementary theory. PREREQUISITES: Math 115 (Precalculus College Mathematics) or an equivalent course. SPECIAL PERMISSION NUMBERS: I cannot to dispense special permission numbers (SPNs). SPNs must be requested via the link below: https://secure.sas.rutgers.edu/apps/special_permission/esharkey@stat.rutgers.edu OFFICE HOURS & E-MAIL: E-mails to the professor should be limited to only administrative matters and submission of late assignments. The proper arena for clarification on course materials and/or questions on assignments is during office hours, NOT via e-mail. Professor’s Session 1 Location: Lucy Stone Hall, Auditorium – Livingston Campus Time: 8:40 PM – 9:40 PM Session 2 Location: Vorhees Hall, Room 105 – College Avenue Campus Time: 8:40 PM – 9:40 PM CLASS LEARNING MANAGEMENT SYSTEM (LMS): This class will utilize Canvas as its LMS. All class material will be posted on the Canvas Site. TEXTBOOK: It is not required to purchase the textbook for the course, however, it is STRONGLY recommended you have access to a textbook. Department Recommended Textbook Introductory Statistics, 13th Edition James T. McClave, P. George Benson & Terry Sincich. Pearson, 2016. ISBN: 978-0-13-450659-3 https://www.pearson.com/store/p/statistics/P100002572090/9780134080215 Other Recommended Textbooks Introductory Statistics, 10th Edition (STAT 211 & 212 Textbook) Niel A. Weiss, Pearson, 2015. ISBN: 978-0-321-98917-8 https://www.pearson.com/en-us/subject-catalog/p/introductory-statistics-mylabrevision/P200000006415/9780136872832?creative=612763545824&keyword=&matchtype=&network=g&device=c&g EAIaIQobChMI6sL9z_Hg-QIV8ciUCR2SNQxwEAAYASAAEgJU2_D_BwE&gclsrc=aw.ds Statistics: Principles and Methods, 7th Edition (Old STAT 401 Textbook) Richard A. Johnson & Gouri K. Bhattacharya. John Wiley & Sons, 2014. ISBN: 978-0-470-90411-4 https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Statistics:+Principles+and+Methods,+7th+Edition-p-9780470904114 Statistics: Elementary Statistics, 14th Edition (Current STAT 401 Textbook) Triola, Mario F. Pearson, 2021. ISBN: 978-0-137-36644-6 https://www.pearson.com/store/p/elementary-statistics/P100003050170/9780137366446 ASSIGNMENTS: There will be approximately 12 assignments throughout the semester of differing point values. Collaboration on assignments is not only allowed, but strongly encouraged. However, each student must submit his/her own unique write-up. Students caught sharing part, or all, of their write-ups will also split the grade for the combined effort. Unless stated otherwise, assignment solutions are to be typed. A ½ point deduction will be applied to an assignment if it is not typed. An electronic copy of the assignment solutions is to be submitted by uploading it to Canvas, not by e-mail. It is the student’s responsibility to ensure that the correct assignment has been properly submitted into Canvas. Assignments that are submitted late will be penalized ½ a point for each day past the deadline. ASSIGNMENT REGRADES: After an assignment is graded, the solutions and grading criterion will be posted in Canvas. In the event you believe you were unfairly penalized points by the grader, you have the option of submitting your assignment to me for a regrade (except for the case where I was the original grader), but only after the solutions have been posted. The entire assignment will be regraded so it is possible the regrade could result in a lower score. In order to have an assignment considered for a regrade, the request must be made no later than one week after the solutions are posted. Only the original version that was submitted in Canvas will be regraded. Inquiries and appeals of grades should always be directed towards me, NEVER the graders or teacher assistants. COMPUTING SOFTWARE: Some assignments will require the use of computing software to analyze data. Microsoft Excel is more than sufficient. If there is a specific statistical software commonly used in your respective areas of academic focus (SAS, SPSS etc.) you are encouraged to use this software. LETTERS OF RECOMMENDATION: Requests for letters of recommendation will only be considered for students who pass the course with an A. When writing letters of recommendations for students, the scope of the letter will be limited to your class performance and/or qualities you demonstrate as a student and how they relate to the position/program you are asking a letter of recommendation for. Prior to asking me to write on your behalf, please take the prior into consideration to properly evaluate my suitability to do so. I will not provide non-specific, blanket letters of recommendation. MAKING UP INCOMPLETES: Not being party to discussions with previous professors, I am not obliged to honor any arrangements made between you and a previous professor regarding making up incompletes from a previous semester. Students wishing to take this class to make up an incomplete from a prior semester MUST contact me regarding this request as soon as possible. They must complete all assignments & exams as specified in this syllabus. The make-up grade will be the grade earned in my class with a grade deducted for each semester beyond the one the student was initially registered for the class. For example, if a student took an incomplete during the Spring of 2023, and earned an A in my class, the make-up grade would be a B since currently it is two semesters removed (i.e. Summer of 2023 and Fall of 2023). GRANTING INCOMPLETES: Incompletes are intended for students experiencing circumstances beyond their control that interfere with their ability to successfully complete the course. Incompletes will NOT be granted solely as a means to avoid a bad grade. Students experiencing extraneous circumstances must make me aware of any issues as soon as possible and be able to provide confirmation of their situation. Requests for incompletes WILL NOT be granted once grades have been submitted to the Registrar. Be advised that circumstances communicated to the Professor as reasons to solicit incompletes, or any other deviation from the policies laid out in the syllabus, should not be expected to be kept in confidentiality. Should the Professor deem the health, safety and/or well-being of any student is in jeopardy, the Professor reserves the right (in some instances is legally obligated) to escalate the situation to the appropriate party (i.g. the Dean’s Office, Student Mental Health Services, Law Enforcement etc.). COURSE GRADING CRITERION: I don’t give you grades, you earn them!!! As the assignments will have different point values, your Assignments Score will be calculated as: There will be an optional final examination. If you elect to take the final, your final letter grade will be determined by the criterion below. Criterion 1 Grade A B+ B C+ C D F Class Score 94 ≤ x 87 ≤ x < 94 80 ≤ x < 87 70 ≤ x < 80 60 ≤ x < 70 50 ≤ x < 60 x < 50 Weightings Assignments Final Percentage 87% 13% If you choose to waive taking the final, your final letter grade will be determined by the criterion below. Criterion 2 Grade B+ B C+ C D F Assignment Score 96 ≤ x 88 ≤ x < 96 77 ≤ x < 88 66 ≤ x < 77 55 ≤ x < 66 x < 55 Weightings Assignments Percentage 100% It is not permitted to take the final and then decide after the fact which grading criterion one wishes to have their letter grade be determined by. Sitting for the final will lock one into Criterion 1. STUDENT SUPPORT AND MENTAL WELLNESS: • Student Success Essentials: https://success.rutgers.edu • Student Support Services: https://www.rutgers.edu/academics/student-support • The Learning Centers: https://rlc.rutgers.edu/ • Rutgers Libraries: https://www.libraries.rutgers.edu/ • Bias Incident Reporting: https://studentaffairs.rutgers.edu/bias-incident-reporting • Office of Veteran and Military Programs and Services: https://veterans.rutgers.edu • Student Health Services: http://health.rutgers.edu/ • Counseling, Alcohol and Other Drug Assistance Program & Psychiatric Services (CAPS): http://health.rutgers.edu/medical-counseling-services/counseling/ • Office for Violence Prevention and Victim Assistance: www.vpva.rutgers.edu/ Stat 285 Schedule of Topics – Spring 2023 Lecture #: Class Date Section 02 Section 04 1: Tuesday, September 5th Thursday, September 7th Topics & Due Dates - Syllabus & Introduction - Graphical Displays for Qualitative Data - Graphical Displays for Quantitative Data Assignment 1 Posted Thursday, September 7 2: Tuesday, September 12th Thursday, September 14th Supplemental Readings (From McClave et. al. Textbook) Chapter 1: Introduction, 1.1, 1.2, 1.3, 1.5 Chapter 2: Introduction, 2.1, 2.2 th - Measures of Central Tendency - Measures of Dispersion Chapter 2: 2.3, 2.4, 2.6 Appendix A Assignment 1 Due Friday, September 15th Assignment 2 Posted Thursday, September 14th 3: Tuesday, September 19th Thursday, September 21st - Review Assignment 1 - Bivariate Data Chapter 2: 2.7, 2.8 Assignment 2 Due Friday, September 22nd Assignment 3 Posted Thursday, September 21st 4: Tuesday, September 26th Thursday, September 28th - Review Assignment 2 - Combinatorics & Examples Appendix B Assignment 3 Due Friday, September 29th Assignment 4 Posted Thursday, September 28th 5: Tuesday, October 3rd Thursday, October 5th - Review Assignment 3 - Naïve Set Theory - Buffer Assignment 4 Due Friday, October 6th Assignment 5 Posted Thursday, October 5th 6: Tuesday, October 10th Thursday, October 12th - Review Assignment 4 - Basic Probability - Conditional Probability & Independence Chapter 3: Introduction, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.4, 3.5, 3.6 Assignment 5 Due Friday, October 13th Assignment 6 Posted Thursday, October 12th 7: Tuesday, October 17th Thursday, October 19th - Review Assignment 5 - Discrete Random Variables - Continuous Random Variables Assignment 6 Due Friday, October 20th Assignment 7 Posted Thursday, October 19th Chapter 4: Introduction, 4.1, 4.2, 4.5 8: Tuesday, October 24th Thursday, October 26th - Review Assignment 6 - The Normal Random Variable - Jointly Distributed Random Variables & Independent Random Variables Chapter 4: 4.6 Assignment 7 Due Friday, October 27th Assignment 8 Posted Thursday, October 26th 9: Tuesday, October 31th Thursday, November 2nd - Review Assignment 7 - Sampling & Sampling Distributions - Statistical Modeling - Buffer Chapter 1: 1.6 Chapter 5: Introduction, 5.1 Assignment 8 Due Friday, November 3rd Assignment 9 Posted Thursday, November 2nd 10: Tuesday, November 7th Thursday, November 9th - Review Assignment 8 - Estimation of a Population Mean - Sampling Distribution of the Sample Average - Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean for σ known Chapter 5: Section 5.2, 5.3 (up to page 284) Chapter 6: Introduction, 6.1, 6.2 Assignment 9 Due Friday, November 10th Assignment 10 Posted Thursday, November 9th 11: Tuesday, November 14th Thursday, November 16th - Review Assignment 9 - Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean for σ unknown - t-distributions - Precision - Sample Size Calculations for Confidence Intervals Chapter 6: 6.3, 6.5 Assignment 10 Due Friday, November 17th Assignment 11 Posted Thursday, November 16th 12: Tuesday, November 21st - Bayes’ Theorem - The Law of Total Probability Thursday, November 23rd Thanksgiving No Class 13: Tuesday, November 28th Thursday, November 30th - Review Assignment 10 - Assessing Normality - Addressing Non-Normality and the Central Limit Theorem Assignment 11 Due Friday, December 1st Assignment 12 Posted Thursday, November 30th Chapter 3: 3.7 Chapter 4: 4.7 Chapter 5: 5.3 14: Tuesday, December 5th Thursday, December 7th - Review Assignment 11 - Estimation and Confidence Intervals for a Population Proportion - Buffer Chapter 5: 5.4 Chapter 6: 6.4, 6.5 Assignment 12 Due Friday, December 8th 15: Tuesday, December 12th - Bayes’ Theorem - The Law of Total Probability Thursday, December 14th No Class – Reading Day Tuesday, December 19th Final Examination Time: 8:00 PM – 11:00 PM Location: TBD Chapter 3: 3.7