Casebook May 2022 Note to the reader Dear AUBCC member, This casebook has been crafted to help you navigate the consulting recruiting process and help you prepare for potential interviews. Inside, you will find two sections: the first tackles the fit/behavioral segment of the interview while the second revolves around the case solving part. Please note that this is meant to supplement the excellent work done by other consulting clubs around the world, so we strongly encourage you to not make this casebook your sole reference. Good luck! - 2021/22 AUBCC Cabinet Fit Interview A fit interview is your opportunity to shine 10-15 minutes long Tell your story Expand beyond CV/CL • First segment of an actual interview • It is your opportunity to shine • You are more than your CV and Cover Letter • Can run longer than 15 min. if the interviewer is interested in your story • Tell them who you are and what makes you special • Show your charisma • As important as the case • Make it engaging, captivating and straight to the point! • Talk about the experiences that make you “you” and distinguish you from the typical AUB applicant The fit part helps the interviewer answer key questions Are you an agreeable person they want to work with? Are you someone they feel comfortable putting in front of a client? Tell me about yourself Typical Question #1 Be exhaustive You’re a complex person that extends beyond a GPA and a major! Make it fun! You’re more than academics and extracurriculars, make the personal details that make you “you” shine too! It’s a story not an obituary The interviewer is not here to listen to a list of bullet points but to an intricate story! Sample answer It’s a pleasure to meet you! My name is […], I’m currently a second-year student at AUB pursuing a degree in Mechanical Engineering with a minor in Economics. I initially decided to major in MECH because of my love of cars and machines and how they continue to impact our lives on a massive scale. This led me to joining ASME which helped meet fellow-minded people and organize […]. However, I also developed a strong interest in Economics and Finance which led me to the Investment Club where I was able to […]. In addition, I am also an avid Basketball fan and player which was a strong driver behind joining the Basketball Varsity Team. All of these experiences were great opportunities to learn, grow outside the classroom, and become a better team player and a well-rounded individual. Last but not least, on a more personal note, I am an avid reader of Greek Philosophy and a big fan of Oum Kalthoum. Note: This is not an exhaustive set of hard rules on how to answer the question but rather as a steppingstone and guide to the answer that reflects you best Why Consulting ? Typical Question #2 Think carefully about it Know what you’re getting to and ask yourself: “Why am I interested in consulting?” Do your research You’re not Harvey Specter. Movies can be deceiving so make sure you what the industry is really about Google is not everything Talk to people who have interned or are working in consulting. They’ll give you a perspective you can’t find online! Sample answer As a mechanical engineering student, I’ve had the chance to do a technical internship in […] at […]. While it was a great opportunity, there were certain red flags. I enjoy problemsolving a lot, however, not in an engineering setting. I’d much rather see the impact of my work in a business-setting because it is more tangible and has a bigger reach. This is the main selling point of consulting for me: use my problem-solving skills and analytical thinking skills in a business setting, especially to help improve the strategy of a certain technical project for example. In addition, the dynamic and fast-paced environment of consulting is an unparalleled opportunity to learn about new industries and diversify my skills, especially non-technical ones, in order to become versatile and well-rounded, which I think are crucial characteristics. Last but not least, it’s a great opportunity to work in an environment that champions diversity where I can learn from all these different people with contrasting perspectives, something mechanical engineering doesn’t always have. Note: This is not an exhaustive set of hard rules on how to answer the question but rather as a steppingstone and guide to the answer that reflects you best Why [Firm Name] ? Typical Question #3 Firms are different They’re not the corporate version of Agent Smith. Each firms has a distinct purpose, identity, and way of doing things It’s not a one-size fits all Building on the previous point, it is inevitable you will like certain firms more than others so think about it while applying Network! Personal experience is a much better indicator of whether you like the company or not than information found online Sample answer I was first introduced to [...] during the firm’s presentation at AUB, where I got the chance to meet some brilliant consultants of the firm. Honestly, I was really impressed by how you approached us and involved us in your presentation, as we had to guess facts about the consultants through questionnaire and polls. You seemed like a family where each one of you had a genuine story and adventure to tell, and it was at that moment that I said well hope one day I would be part of this family. Also, I always wanted to find a company whose values and priorities are aligned with mine, integrity, respect, team spirit, and entrepreneurship, and this is where I knew that [...] is the perfect fit. I greatly appreciate that [...] introduced the […] program which is proof that [...] really cares about making its consultants’ lives manageable and easier and is a unique practice in the consulting industry, showing that the firm respects its human capital. Note: This is not an exhaustive set of hard rules on how to answer the question but rather as a steppingstone and guide to the answer that reflects you best Give me an example of leadership Typical Question #4 How were you a leader? Give details about the whole experience and the reasons behind your actions. They count much more than the end result No one is perfect No one expects you to have masterfully orchestrated a $1 bn LBO. Be authentic and acknowledge shortcomings. That’s what makes a great leader! Leader ≠ Boss At its core, leading a team is not about commanding people. It’s about much, much more Sample answer My friends and I formed a group to work on a class project. Our project was to design a car on a software, and to conduct a motion analysis as well as a simulation analysis. Our project was one of the most difficult ones as it requires us to draw the car from scratch, in addition to the complex design to cope with such high speeds and high friction. This was the biggest obstacle we faced. Being the most interested in the field of cars, I started to dig deeper into how we will be proceeding with this problem. I started splitting the tasks among the team and coordinating with them on any new findings along the way. After one week of research, I was able to collect all the pieces that were found by my teammates and I to come up with a solution that allowed us to design an engine that would fit with our dimensions. We were able to design the car, however its motion analysis failed, which had me re-evaluate the problem with my professor who helped me throughout this problem to figure it out. Note: This is not an exhaustive set of hard rules on how to answer the question but rather as a steppingstone and guide to the answer that reflects you best Additional Questions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. Walk me through your CV. If I should remember you in one word, what would it be? Why should we choose to give you an offer? Tell me about a group project that was very important to you and mention why What are your top 3 strengths? What are your 3 biggest weaknesses? Tell me about a time you challenged yourself. Tell me about a time you led a group. What is the most interesting course you took at university and why? What skills do you aim on improving? Why are you a good candidate for a career in consulting? Tell me about a leadership experience that tested your ability to work with and manage others . What is your biggest regret? Why are you not pursuing a career directly related to your major at university? Why did you choose to join this major? All the candidates here have interesting profiles, what sets you apart from the rest? Tips Study the firm Be spontaneous Stay concise First impressions last This is your opportunity to show how you will fit into the firm’s culture and enjoy working there, so answer the questions truthfully while promoting what you consider your strengths Do not memorize answers written beforehand and say them word for word as the interviewer will probably sense this and can throw you off-guard by asking an unusual question Do not talk too much! Keep your answers concise. If you’re talking for over 1.5 – 2 minutes, the interviewer might lose interest in the message that you’re trying to send This is your first impression on the interviewer and is as important as the remainder of the interview. Prepare for the fit part as seriously as you would for the case! Tips Keep practicing Confidence is key Adapt and adjust Discover yourself Do mock Fit Interviews with your friends or colleagues. This will give you a good feel for whether your answers will sound good during your real interview Be confident and concise. Do not doubt your answers Adapt your answers to what you feel the interviewer will enjoy talking/hearing about by discussing interesting topics that could lead to a fruitful conversation Go through a process of introspection and prepare a few stories about yourself and aspects you could improve on Case Interview Types of Cases What are the different types of cases you might face during an interview? Market Sizing Profitability Market Entry Other Estimate the size of a market using a logical approach and fair assumptions Use probing questions to elucidate a decrease in profitability Help a client decide whether to enter a market or not A myriad of possibilities: valuation, M&A, brainteasers,… List of Cases 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Diapers in KSA Hot Dog Stand Concert in Riyadh Billionaire Banker TV Family Business Plane Ticket Price Energy Consumption KSA Retail Bank Lebanese Cryptocurrency Hair Loss Pill Diapers in KSA Diapers in KSA Type Difficulty Market Sizing Easy Prompt Estimate the market size of diapers in KSA. This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. Additional Information • • • • • • Elderly people are included Only consider disposable diapers Market size should be done by sales and not volume Population of KSA is 35M people Life expectancy is 80 years One pack of 12 diapers costs $6 Age group 0-1 1-2 2-3 75-80 Diaper use (%) 100% 90% 80% 30% Average Quantity (per day) 10 8 6 4 Diapers in KSA Solution This is a typical market sizing case where the interviewer must dissect the population of KSA according to age groups and proceed from there. Population of KSA = 35 M Life expectancy is 80 years 35 𝑀 80 ≈ 450k people per age category Diapers in KSA [0-1] 450K 100% 450K 10/day 4.5M/day [1-2] 450K 90% 405K 8/day 3.2M/day [2-3] 450K 80% 360K 6/day 2.2M/day [75-80] 450K x 5 = 2.25 M 30% 675K 4/day 2.7M/day Total Sales = 4.6 B x 𝟔 𝟏𝟐 = $2.3B per year Total = 12.6 M / day = 4.6 B / year Hot Dog Stand Hot Dog Stand Type Difficulty Profitability Easy Prompt Your client has a hot dog stand that has been experiencing a decline in profitability in the past few months, and they want to know what the problem is. This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. Additional Information • • • • • • • The stand is located in Hamra, Beirut. The stand serves a standard meal consisting of a hot dog and a drink for $6. Our direct competition is Frank’s Hot Dog and they are not facing any problem. Indirect competitors are Roadster Diner and other restaurants. The stand sells 15 meals per day Fixed costs: disregard – the truck has been running for a while. Variable costs: related to daily operations • Cost Of Goods Sold (COGS): 3x pricing strategy • Utilities (gas and electricity): $400 per month • Rent: $800 per month • Labor (1 chef): $500 per month • Expired food: $200 per month Hot Dog Stand Solution This is a typical profitability case. Let us start by computing the profits generated by this truck which is done by finding the revenues and the costs. Revenues Costs $6/meal x 15 meals/day Price Quantity 0 2 × 15 × 30 + 400 + 800 + 500 + 200 Fixed Cost The candidate can list other revenue streams (Ads on truck, Delivery service, Hot Dog toppings, New products …) but we will only consider the standard meal for the solution + = Total = Variable Cost Profit $90/day $2700/month Revenues - Cost = 2700 - 2800 = $ (100) /month $2800/month Total Hot Dog Stand Question : Given profits are in the red, how can we increase profitability ? The interviewee should come up with different ways to increase profitability in a structured a cohesive way. A possible answer could be: Increase prices (take into consideration price elasticity of customers) Increase Revenues Increase volume by working on marketing or introducing new items to the menu to answer the customers’ needs Add new revenue streams such as advertising for businesses Changing location to reduce rent cost (could be a bad idea because the location is a key factor to our client) Decrease Costs Trying to reduce the COGS, but not at the expense of reducing quality Inventory is an important factor to mention here because food has a relatively short lifespan and our client is incurring a loss of $200 as a result. The client should forecast, based on monthly trends, the quantity of food needed per month in order to reduce this cost Concert in Riyadh Concert in Riyadh Type Difficulty Profitability Easy Prompt Our client is an entertainment company that wants to do a concert in Riyadh with a famous DJ and they have come to us to see if it’s a good idea or not. This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. • Additional Information Costs: • $3 commission PR affiliates make on each ticket sold • DJ: $6,000 • Venue rent: $5,000 • Maintenance and Insurance: $4,000 • Operational expenses: $4,200 VIP Regular Tickets 400 600 Price $50 $20 Sponsor Amount EJ Entertainment $3,000 Sky Events $2,000 DJDS Events $1,000 Concert in Riyadh Solution This is a typical profitability case. We must first compute the profits generated by this concert which is done by finding the revenues and the costs. Costs Revenues $50 x 400 = $20,000 Regular Tickets + $20 x 600 = $12,000 $19,200 FC + VIP Tickets $3,000 VC + $6,000 Sponsors = $38,000 Profit = Total $22,200 Revenues – Cost = 38,000 – 22,200 = $15,800 Total Concert in Riyadh Question : This seems like a profitable idea so what are important aspects of the event that we have to address? Note: This is a non-exhaustive list, candidate might come up with additional ideas 1. Barriers to entry • License in order to organize concert events • Local business regulations (necessity to partner with local patron) 2. Culture and preferences of target market • Potential split of audience between males and females to respect local cultural norms 3. How to sell the tickets to achieve 100% occupancy • Online box office, local stores, social media promotions,… • Timeline (start selling 1,3,6 months before) 4. Additional revenue streams: • Accessories (glow sticks, t-shirts,…) • Memorabilia related to the DJ and other performers • Restaurants / food carts for burgers, hot dogs,… • Non-alcoholic drinks • Parking valet Billionaire Banker Billionaire Banker Type Difficulty Market Entry Easy Prompt Your client is a billionaire that is considering entering the Saudi banking sector. Should they do it or not? What are the factors that should be considered? This is more like a discussion case. Any interesting information that the candidate gives can be taken into consideration in the case solving. • • Additional Information • • • Our client has no past experiences in the banking industry. The Saudi banking market is relatively saturated but there is still place for an entrant like our client. There are no new regulations that prevent our client to enter the market. Saudization should be considered for this entry. Option 1 - Opening our own bank: • Initial Investment: $15M • Yearly revenues: $10M • Profit Margin: 22% • Option 2 - Acquiring an existing player: • Cost of acquisition: $20 M • Yearly profit: $2.5M Billionaire Banker Sample Framework Interviewee should target these 3 essential buckets: Competitors • • • Who are the competitors? Are they well established in KSA? Do the competitors have the same goals as our client? Market trends, alternatives, and future projections Barriers to entry • • Should we have a Saudi partner to enter the market in KSA? (Saudization) Are there any regulations set by the government? You should guide the candidate to the realization that there are 2 ways to enter the market (see next slide) and that he must study the profitability analysis of each. Market Size & Share • • What is the potential market share our client can get after entering the market? What are the market shares of our competitors? Billionaire Banker Profitability analysis Interviewee should consider the profitability aspect of both options. Green Dev. / Starting Organically • This is risky given our client has no experience in the industry and does not have any credibility in the market Profitability analysis: • • • Initial Investment: $15M Yearly Profit: 10 × 0.22 = $2.2M Payback period: 15 = 6.8 years 2.2 Acquire Existing Player • This is safer given the player has an already established customer base but there is the concern of profitability Profitability analysis: • • • Cost of acquisition: $20M Yearly Profit: $2.5M Payback period: 20 = 8 years 2.5 Billionaire Banker Recommendation In this case, an important factor to consider is to know the risk appetite of our client: • • Opening a bank from scratch means that the revenues and hence, the profits, are forecasted and the money is not actually there. But, in the case of an acquisition, the customer base is already established, and the money is there. Therefore, the risk is lower. That being said, it depends on what the client wants. TV Family Business TV Family Business Type Difficulty Market Entry Medium Prompt Our client is a family business in Dubai that wants to acquire a TV channel broadcasting company. They already operate and own businesses in the F&B and transportation sectors. Is this a good idea or not? This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. Additional Information • • • • • • • • Client’s objective is payback period of less than 5 years Channel operates 24/7 for 300 days per year Only revenue stream is advertisements For every hour of streaming, we have 10 mins of ads and 50 mins of streaming 1 min of ads during peak hours (4 h/day) costs $250 1 min of ads during peak hours (20 h/day) costs $100 Initial Investment is $15 M Yearly operational costs are $6 M (mainly labor costs) TV Family Business Sample Framework Interviewee should target these 3 essential buckets: Client • • • Financial capabilities to acquire the company Expertise Conflicts of interest with other businesses Market • • • • Competitors Market leaders Potential market share Barriers to entry (regulations, policies, antitrust laws,….) Profitability • • You should guide the candidate to the profitability bucket by stating that the client has necessary expertise and capability and that there are no barriers to entry. Revenues: • Streams (subscriptions, packages and bundles, ads,…) • Prices of subscriptions, bundles, ads • Volume (number of subscribers) Costs: • Initial Investment • Fixed Costs • Variable Costs TV Family Business Profitability analysis Unique revenue stream is advertisements, and we will use the bottom-up approach to determine revenues. Peak hour ads $250 Non-peak hour ads $100 Payback period $ / min $ / min = x x 10 mins / hour 10 mins / hour Initial Investment Yearly Profit x x = 4 hours / day 20 hours / day x x 300 days / year 300 days / year $15 M $15 M = Revenue − Cost $3 M = $3 M = $6 M = 5 years Here, ask the candidate to critique the result and ask them if it makes sense. The candidate should realize that the limiting factor is the supply and not the demand (not all ad slots are taken). After that, tell them the actual yearly revenue is $8 M. Payback period = 15 = 7.5 years 2 TV Family Business Question: how to maximize profit to accelerate payback? Interviewee should look into two options: Increase Revenues • • • Charging a subscription Increase the demand of ads to meet maximum capacity through: • Marketing • Advertising the family business (F&B and transportation) • Broadcast awareness campaigns (smoking kills, suicide hotlines,…) Host entertainment programs (like “The Voice” for example) Decrease Costs • • • Decreasing initial investment Decrease labor costs Outsource / Automate certain jobs Plane Ticket Price Plane Ticket Price Type Difficulty Profitability Medium Prompt Our client is an airline company based in Dubai. They want to prepare a flight from Dubai to Paris and they want us to find the price per ticket that maximizes profit. Additional Information • Number of seats in the plane: 300 If 200 seats are taken → Ticket Price $1,000 If 100 seats are taken → Ticket Price $2,000 • Revenues: • Ticket price • Extra luggage charge • Amenities • Advertising • Companion fee for minor travelers • Pet extra fee • Costs • COGS • Labor • Maintenance • Marketing • Airport fees and taxes • Fuel • Insurance Fixed: $10,000 Variable: $500/seat Plane Ticket Price Solution This is a not a very typical profitability case. We must express the profits in term of P, which is the ticket price. Afterwards, derive the profit expression, set it equal to zero, to find the maximizing price P. Assume we have a linear relationship between number of seats S and price per seat P of the form S= a × P + b ΔS 200 − 100 a= = = −0.1 ΔP 1000 − 2000 To find b, take one point and replace in the equation: 200 = −0.1 × 1000 + b so b = 200 + 100 = 300 So, the relationship is S = −0.1 × P + 300 Revenues S × P = −0.1 × P2 + 300 × P Costs 10,000 + 500 × −0.1P + 300 = 160,000 − 50P Profit Revenues − Costs = −0.1 P2 + 350P − 160,000 Plane Ticket Price Solution Now, in order to maximize profit generated, all we have to do is take the derivative of the profit expression in terms of P and set it equal to 0. The resulting value of P is the price that maximizes profit. Profit = −0.1 P2 + 350P − 160,000 dProfit = −0.2P + 350 = 0 dP 350 P= = 1,750 0.2 The price that maximizes profit is $1,750. Energy Consumption Energy Consumption Type Difficulty Discussion Case Hard Prompt The ministry of energy of a GCC country has hired you to design a program to reduce the overall energy consumption of the country. How do you approach the problem? This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. • Additional Information This is a discussion case. All information is on the next slides. Energy Consumption Sample Framework Interviewee should come up with a structure that targets these 4 essential buckets: Major consumption sectors • Residential sector • Commercial and entertainment sector • Industrial sector • Transportation sector Consumption reduction • Find ways to reduce consumption for sectors on the left (check note below) Feasibility analysis Profitability analysis • Engineering feasibility • Expertise • Available technology • Cost benefit analysis to evaluate nonquantitative key aspects like reduced CO2 emission, cleaner air... The interviewer will guide the candidate and let them know that feasibility and profitability will not be explored in this case in the interest of simplicity and saving time. The candidate will be only working on suggesting possible ways to reduce the overall energy for each of the buckets. Energy Consumption Consumption reduction Interviewee should come up with ways to reduce energy consumption for the 4 sectors. Residential, Commercial and Entertainment sectors • Increase the cost of electricity per Kwh • Offer free installation and discounts on energy-efficient home appliances • Install sensors for light bulbs to turn off when the room is empty • Reduce the # of unnecessary lightbulbs in buildings • Consolidate the cooling systems in buildings Industrial sector Transportation sector • Increase the cost of electricity per Kwh • Impose higher taxation and regulation policies on big consumers of energy • Offer free installation and discounts on energy efficient machines • Reduce the operating hours • Offer incentives to companies with good R&D departments to find ways to reduce energy consumption • Increase the car fuel prices • Increase the price of cars to encourage public transportation • Increase the costs and taxes of driving licenses and car licenses • Increase the charges on toll stations for cars • Encourage car pooling programs • Install electric stations for hybrid cars KSA Retail Bank KSA Retail Bank Type Difficulty Profitability Hard Prompt Our client is one of the largest retail banks in KSA. They have been facing a decline in revenues for the past two years and they have hired us to find the reason and provide them with a solution. This is an interviewee-led case. Numbers in this case are project related and should be given to the interviewee prior to shaping the framework. Direct the interviewee and discuss the numbers below. Additional Information • - The bank’s revenue streams are classified into 3 main categories: Category 1: Personal Loans & Credit Cards Category 2: Car Loans Category 3: House Loans Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 2 years ago 55% 28% 17% Now 50% 30% 20% KSA Retail Bank Sample Framework The candidate should structure their framework taking an external-internal approach to ensure a MECE framework. Internal Factors External Factors • Economic factors: • • • • Decrease in customer disposable income Change in interest rates Any new regulations imposed in the financial sector Market Factors: • • • • Competitors facing the same issue or not Services offered by other competitors Market share of client and other leaders Revenue Streams: • • • • Price and Fees: • • Has there been an increase or decrease? Volume: • • Credit & Debit cards Return on loans Money exchange fees Has there been an increase or decrease in number of customers? Product Mix: • % of revenue streams The interviewer will guide the candidate and let them know that the problem is only internal. Therefore, the candidate should explore the different rev streams which are split into 3 categories. KSA Retail Bank Question The interviewer will guide the candidate and let them know that the problem is only internal. Therefore, the candidate should explore the different rev streams which are split into 3 categories (refer to additional information). Ask candidate about the absolute reason behind declining revenues. Candidate should know the reason is category 1 NOT ONLY because the % has dropped by 5% over the last 2 years BUT ALSO because the total revenue has dropped. Then, ask candidate about categories 2 and 3. Candidate should say it is undetermined whether these 2 categories caused an increase or decrease in total revenue due to the relative change with respect to the total revenues. Now, guide candidate to find ways to increase the revenues within category 1. This can either happen by selling more to existing customers or acquiring new customers. Followup and ask which one is easier. Candidate should know that selling more to existing customers is easier since there is high customer retention in banks, people have fixed deposits and loans and can’t move accounts easily. Candidate should name some ways to sell more to existing customers and, most importantly, cross selling (selling credit cards to personal loan owners and vice versa). Proceed to tell candidate to only focus on determining the increase in revenues resulting from selling credit cards to personal loan owners (because of time limit of the case). KSA Retail Bank Revenue Estimation Use the below information to guide the candidate to figure out how much revenue can be made from cross-selling between credit cards owners and personal loans owners. More precisely, ask them to determine the increase in revenues resulting from selling credit cards to personal loan owners. Once done, inform the candidate that cross-selling the other way around generates $18.75M in revenue. This is an interviewee-led case. Numbers in this case are project related and should be given to the interviewee prior to shaping the framework. Direct the interviewee and discuss the numbers below. Additional Information • • • • • - There are 500,000 customers in category 1: 30% have personal loans only 50% have credit cards only 20% have both Only 10% of customers with personal loans only are interested in credit cards On average, each customer spends $20,000 per year On average, 5% of customers default on credit card payments Credit card fees: $250 annual fee 10% charge for customers who default KSA Retail Bank Revenue Estimation The added revenue should be calculated the following way: 150k 100k 250k 15,000 Annual credit card fee Customers Payment default fee Customers Total Added Revenue 15,000 $3.75 M Candidate should figure out that, out of the 150k with personal loans, only 10% – which is 15,000 – are interested in credit cards. Personal Loans Credit Cards x x + 250 $ / customer 0.05 Share that defaults $1.5 M = x + $3.75 M 20,000 Amount / customer $18.75 M x = 0.1 10% Charge = $24 M $1.5 M KSA Retail Bank Recommendation Candidate should recommend going ahead with the cross-selling strategy but also look more deeply into the other categories as these might be potential results of decline revenues. Lebanese Cryptocurrency Lebanese Cryptocurrency Type Difficulty Market Entry Medium Prompt Our client is a startup that wants to create a cryptocurrency to be used in Lebanon. They have hired you to know if this is a good idea or not. This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. Additional Information • • • • There is one major competitor: Bitcoin (BTC) who controls 60% of the market There is a fix added charge of $0.5 on all transactions Income-based distribution of population: high (10%), mid (50%), low (40%) Profit margin is 10% Age Transaction Commission Share of group Income Transactions size transaction 0 – 20 level per week volume Share into crypto 10% High 7 0 – $10k $0.6 50% 21 – 40 25% Medium 3 $10k - $100k $0.4 40% 41 – 60 5% Low 1 > $100k $0.2 10% 61 – 80 0% Lebanese Cryptocurrency Sample Framework Interviewee should target these 3 essential buckets: Client • • Previous experience and expertise in the crypto space Financial capabilities to back the idea Market • • • Market size of crypto in Lebanon Competitors and their market shares Barriers to entry: legislative requirements, governmental regulations, restricted access to distribution channels,... Profitability • • Revenues • Revenue streams: fixed fees, transaction commission,… • Prices and fees charged in exchange for service • Volume: expected # of customers Costs • Initial Investment • Operating expenditures: fixed and variable costs The interviewer will guide the candidate and let them know that the client has the necessary expertise and is financially capable to pursue the idea. There is only one main competitor which is Bitcoin (BTC) which has a 60% market share and an untapped market of 40%. The candidate should proceed to estimate the crypto market size in Lebanon. Lebanese Cryptocurrency Step 1: Market Sizing The candidate has to estimate the size of the crypto market in Lebanon. Key factors to consider 6M People in Lebanon Age, income, risk appetite, tech literacy, ability to trade, knowledge of crypto,… 1.5M 0 – 20 y.o. 1.5M 21 – 40 y.o. 10% 25% 150k 0 – 20 y.o. into crypto 375k 600k People in Lebanon into crypto 21 – 40 y.o. into crypto 40% 1.5M 41 – 60 y.o. 1.5M 61 – 80 y.o. 5% 0% 75k 41 – 60 y.o. into crypto 0 61 – 80 y.o. into crypto 240k Maximum available market Lebanese Cryptocurrency Step 2: Profitability Analysis The candidate has now to estimate the potential profit ensuing from creating this new cryptocurrency. 240k People using the coin 0.1 High-income share 0.5 Mid-income share 0.4 Low-income share x x x 7 Transactions / week 3 Transactions / week 1 Transactions / week = = = 168k Transactions From the fixed charge Transactions / week Transactions 96k Transactions Revenues & Profit $0.5 × 624k = $312k 624k 360k Profit margin 0.5 × $0.6 × 624k + 0.4 × $0.4 × 624k + 0.1 × $0.2 × 624k = $300k From commission = $612k Revenue 10% $61,200 Expected Profit Lebanese Cryptocurrency Step 3: Additional Question Ask the candidate to explain why the profit margin is 10% and not more. The candidate should realize that he is asked to explain why the costs are so high. Reasons: • • • High initial investment cost to get the needed licenses and approvals, secure a location to host the equipment, buy the servers, high cooling expenses (to avoid overheating of CPUs which will be constantly mining,…) High cost to validate the transaction on the blockchain that will host the coin Potentially high customer acquisition cost to convince people to use this coin and not a more established and international one like Bitcoin Step 4: Recommendation This seems like a profitable idea, but the client must know that the entry of any other competitor will inevitably decrease the 40% market share we assumed our coin would capture. Furthermore, one must consider the size of the initial investment and compare it to the yearly profit to have an estimate for the payback period. Last but not least, the client should also investigate ways to decrease costs and raise the profit margin. Hair Loss Pill Hair Loss Pill Type Difficulty Profitability Medium Prompt Our client created a pill that reverses hair loss and they want to sell it in Lebanon. They have hired you to estimate the revenues of the first year. This is an interviewee-led case. Ask the candidate to estimate numbers. If they are in the right ballpark, they should use the numbers they came up with themselves. Provide numbers below only if estimates are too far-off. • • Additional Information • Only 1 pill is needed to cure a person suffering from hair loss. No direct competitors exist. However, indirect competitors offering hair treatment and transplant can be a threat when it comes to pricing. The average cost of a hair transplant is $5,000. Age Group (Men) Population % Interested Age Group (Women) Population % Interested 0-20 0.75M 0 0-20 0.75M 0 21-40 0.75M 20 21-40 0.75M 0 41-60 0.75M 50 41-60 0.75M 5 61-80 0.75M 40 61-80 0.75M 20 Hair Loss Pill Sample Framework Knowing that Revenue = Price x Volume, the interviewee should target these 2 essential buckets: Price • • • Price/pill Number of pills needed for full treatment Pricing strategy: • Cost-based • Value-based • Competitor-based Volume • • Market size in Lebanon Market share (if there are any competitors) The interviewer will guide the candidate and let them know that there are no competitors selling the same product. Hair Loss Pill Discussion & Analysis You should drive the candidate to the following realizations: Price Volume Candidate should realize that this pill has a lot of value for its users, especially since only 1 pill is needed throughout the lifetime of the person for full cure. Therefore, the candidate should realize that the pricing strategy should be a mix of value-based and competitor-based pricing. No direct competitors exist, however indirect competitors offering hair treatment and transplant can be a threat when it comes to pricing. Candidate should take into consideration that people interested in the pill are mostly men because they suffer more from hair loss. But there are some women who also might be interested, and they should be accounted for. Candidate should price it anywhere in the range of 1.5 to 2 times the price of the treatment: Around $7,500 to $10,000 An income segmentation approach should be used as this pill is rarely affordable by lower income classes Income level Share of population Share that can afford pill High 10% 100% Medium 40% 30% Low 50% 0% Hair Loss Pill Market Sizing To calculate the total number of interested people in the pill, candidate should follow the below approach. 0.75M 0 – 20 y.o. 0.75M 21 – 40 y.o. 0.75M 41 – 60 y.o. 0.75M 61 – 80 y.o. 3M 3M Men in Lebanon Women in Lebanon 0% 20% 50% 40% 0k Interested in the pill 150k 0.75M 0 – 20 y.o. 0.75M Interested in the pill 21 – 40 y.o. 375k 0.75M Interested in the pill 41 – 60 y.o. 300k 0.75M Interested in the pill 61 – 80 y.o. 0% 0% 5% 20% 0k Interested in the pill 0k Interested in the pill 37.5k Interested in the pill 150k Interested in the pill Market size is 1.0125M people (can approximate to 1M to make calculations simpler) Hair Loss Pill Revenue Estimation Candidate can now estimate revenues for the first year. 1M People interested in the pill 100k 400k 500k High income Middle income Low income 100% 30% 0% 100k 120k 0k Can afford pill Can afford pill Can afford pill 220k Can afford pill Ask candidate whether all 220k will invest in the pill. Candidate should realize that only early adopters and innovators will buy the pill from year 1. Assume they represent 20% of the people interested in the pill. Hair Loss Pill Revenue Estimation Candidate can now estimate revenues for the first year. 220k Total number of people interested in pill x 0.2 Share of early adopters x $7,500 Price / pill = $330 M Question Ask the candidate if this is a profitable idea or not. The candidate should quickly realize that the figure doesn’t necessarily reflect the profitability of the pill for 2 main reasons: • R&D cost to develop the pill will be quite high and thus it will take a few years to breakeven. • Certain assumptions might have been overestimated like the price per pill. It might be not as high as 1.5-2x that of a transplant, especially if both have similar results. The main advantage of the pill is the speed and ease of taking it but it doesn’t necessarily justify charging a 50% - 100% premium. Contact Info