ECON 106 Chiang and Wainwright, Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economics CHAPTER 1 What is Mathematical Economics? ● approach to economic analysis using mathematics ● economists construct precisely defined models from which exact conclusions can be derived with mathematical logic and use these to make quantifiable predictions about future economic activity. Why use math in economics? 1. Math is a precise and concise language, so we can describe a lot using fewer words. 2. Math contains many tools and theorems that help make general statements. 3. Math forces us to state all assumptions explicitly and helps prevent us from failing to acknowledge implicit assumptions. 4. Multi-dimensionality is easily described. Mathematical Economics vs Econometrics Mathematical Economics ● application of mathematics to the purely theoretical aspects of economic analysis Econometrics ● deals with the study of empirical observations using statistical methods of estimation and hypothesis testing Empirical studies and theoretical analyses are often complementary and mutually reinforcing: ● Theories must be tested against empirical data for validity before they can be applied with confidence. ● Statistical work needs economic theory as a guide, in order to determine the most relevant and fruitful direction of research. Economic models ● A mathematical model is an abstract description of a concrete system using mathematical concepts and language. ● The real economy is too complex that it is impossible for us to understand all the interrelationships at once, hence the need for deliberately simplified analytical frameworks, called economic models, that focus on the primary factors and relationships. “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” George Box, statistician Ingredients of a model ● Variables - exogenous: determined outside the model and imposed on the model - endogenous: determined by the model Examples: Price P, profit π, Revenue R, cost C, national income Y, etc ● Constants ○ coefficient Example: 7P ○ parameter Example: aP ● Equations ○ A definitional equation set up an identity between two alternate expressions that have exactly the same meaning. For ○ ○ example, total profit is defined as the excess of total revenue over total cost; we write, π= R – C A behavioral equation specifies the manner in which a variable behaves in response to changes in other variables. For example, the two cost functions ■ C = 75 + 10Q ■ C = 110 + Q2 give two different behavior for the cost A conditional equation states a requirement to be satisfied. For example, we have the equilibrium conditions (to attain equilibrium) ■ Qd = Qs [quantity demanded = quantity supplied] ■ S = I [intended saving = intended investment] The Real Number System Sets ● ● ● ● A set is a well-defined collection of distinct objects. The objects in a set are called the elements or members of the set. Capital letters A, B, C, … usually denote sets. Lowercase letters a, b, c, … denote the elements of a set. Specifying a Set ● List the elements explicitly, e.g., 𝐴 = {𝑖, 𝑜, 𝑢} ● List the elements implicitly, e.g., B ={3, 6, 9, 12, …, 90} ● Use set builder notation, e.g., C = { 𝑥 | 𝑥 = 𝑝/𝑞 where 𝑝 and 𝑞 are integers and 𝑞 ≠ 0} The Membership Relation ● Let A be a set and let x be some object. ● Notation: x ∈ A ● Meaning: x is a member of A, or x is an element of A, or x belongs to A. ● Negated by writing x ∉ A ● Example: V = {a, e, i, o, u} e∈V b∉V Equality of Sets ● Two sets A and B are equal, denoted A=B, if they have the same elements. ● Otherwise, A≠B. ● Example: The set A of odd positive integers is not equal to the set B of prime numbers. ● Example: The set of odd integers between 4 and 8 is equal to the set of prime numbers between 4 and 8. The Empty Set ● The set with no elements. ● Also called the null set. ● Denoted by the symbol ∅ or { }. ● Example: The set of odd numbers that are divisible by 2. The Universal Set ● A set U that includes all of the elements under consideration in a particular discussion. ● Depends on the context. ● Examples: The set of all UP students, the set of natural numbers, the set of GDP factors. Subsets ● A is a subset of B if every element of A is an element of B. ○ Notation: A ⊆ B ● A is a proper subset of B if 𝐴 ⊆ 𝐵 and 𝐴 ≠𝐵 ○ Notation: A ⊂ B Properties of Subsets 1. The null set is a subset of all sets. 2. A set is a subset of itself. 3. If A is a subset of B and B is a subset of C, then A is a subset of C. 4. In general, if a set has n elements, a total of 2𝑛 subsets can be formed from those elements. SET OPERATIONS AND VENN DIAGRAMS Venn Diagrams Unions ● The union of two sets A and B is A ∪ B = {x | x ∈ A or x ∈ B} ● The word “or” is inclusive. Set A represented as a disk inside a rectangular region representing U. Possible Venn Diagrams for Two Sets Intersections ● The intersection of A and B is A ∩ B = {x | x ∈ A and x ∈ B} ● Example: Let A be the set of even positive integers and B the set of prime positive integers. Then A ∩ B = {2} ● Definition: A and B are disjoint if A∩B=∅ A ∩ Ac = ∅ A ∪ Ac = U The shaded part is AC or A’ Some Laws on Set Operations When the intersection is empty, we say Aand B are disjoint. Complements If A is a subset of the universal set U, then the complement of A is the set Ac = { x ∈ U | x ∉ A } CHAPTER 2 Review of Functions Functions Define and identify relations and functions. Relation A relation is any set of ordered pairs. Function A function is a relation in which, for each value of the first component of the ordered pairs, there is exactly one value of the second component. Determining Whether Relations Are Functions Relations L and M are functions, because for each different x-value there is exactly one y-value. In relation N, the first and third ordered pairs have the same x-value paired with two different y-values (6 is paired with both 2 and 5), so N is a relation but not a function. Using an Equation to Define a Function In a function, no two ordered pairs can have the same first component and different second components. Vertical Line Test If every vertical line intersects the graph of a relation in no more than one point, then the relation represents a function. In a function, the set of all permissible values of the independent variable x is the domain. The y value into which an x value is mapped is called the image of that x value. The set of all images is called the range of the function, which is the set of all values that the dependent variable y can take. Example 2 The total cost C of a firm per day is a function of its daily output Q: C = 150 +7Q. The firm has a capacity limit of 100 units of output per day. What are the domain and the range of the cost function? Domain = {Q | 0 ≤ Q ≤ 100} The minimum C value at 150 (when Q = 0) and the maximum C value at 850 (when Q = 100), and we have the Range = {C | 150 ≤ C ≤ 850} Beware, however, that the extreme values of the range may not always occur where the extreme values of the domain are attained. FUNCTION OF TWO VARIABLES ● A function f of two variables is a rule that assigns to each ordered pair of real numbers (x, y) in a set D a unique real number denoted by f (x, y). ● The set D is the domain of f. ● Its range is the set of values that f takes on, that is, {f(x, y) | (x, y) ∈ D} ● We often write z = f(x, y) to make explicit the value taken on by f at the general point (x, y). The variables x and y are independent variables. z is the dependent variable. ● A function of two variables is just a function whose: ○ Domain is a subset of R2 ○ Range is a subset of R ● One way of visualizing such a function is by means of an arrow diagram, where the domain D is represented as a subset of the xy-plane. Example: ● Suppose that output is determined by the amounts of capital (K) and labor (L) employed; then we can write a production function in the general form: ● Q = Q(K, L) Extension to higher dimensions ● F = F(x,y,z) ● G = G(w,x,y,z) ● And so on…… CHAPTER 3 Equilibrium ● “Equilibrium is a constellation of selected interrelated variables so adjusted to one another that no inherent tendency to change prevails in the model which they constitute.” ● More generally, it means that from the various feasible and available choices, choose “best” one according to a certain criterion, and the one being finally chosen is called an equilibrium. The study of what the equilibrium state is like is referred to as statics. ● ● ● Note: equilibrium is a positive (as opposed to normative) economic concept. There is nothing inherently good or bad about equilibrium. Even though a certain equilibrium position may represent a desirable state and something to be striven for—such as a profit-maximizing situation, from the firm’s point of view—another equilibrium position may be quite undesirable and therefore something to be avoided, such as an underemployment equilibrium level of national income. The only warranted interpretation is that an equilibrium is a situation which, if attained, would tend to perpetuate itself, barring any changes in the external forces. 𝑄𝑠 = the quantity supplied of the commodity; 𝑃 = the price of the commodity The two equations: ● 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑎 − 𝑏𝑃 (𝑎, 𝑏 > 0) ● 𝑄𝑠 = −𝑐 + 𝑑𝑃 (𝑐, 𝑑 > 0) The equilibrium condition: 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑄𝑠 The Model ● 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑎 − 𝑏𝑃 (𝑎, 𝑏 > 0) ● 𝑄𝑠 = −𝑐 + 𝑑𝑃 𝑐, 𝑑 > 0 ● 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑄𝑠 Goal: ● We want to obtain the specific values 𝑄∗ and 𝑃∗ satisfying the system of equations. ● Note that 𝑄∗ is the common specific value for 𝑄𝑑 and 𝑄𝑠, ie, 𝑄∗ = 𝑄𝑑∗ = 𝑄𝑠∗ Graphical Solution Partial Market Equilibrium- A Linear Model Partial-equilibrium market model is a model of price determination in an isolated market for a commodity. The three variables: ● 𝑄𝑑 = the quantity demanded of the commodity; Algebraic Solution From 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑄𝑠, we have 𝑎 − 𝑏𝑃 = −𝑐 + 𝑑𝑃 Thus 𝑏 + 𝑑 𝑃 = 𝑎 + 𝑐. Since 𝑏 + 𝑑 ≠ 0, then the equilibrium price is 𝑷∗ = 𝒂 + 𝒄 / 𝒃 + 𝒅 The equilibrium quantity can be obtained by substituting 𝑃∗ into either 𝑄𝑑 or 𝑄𝑠: 𝑸∗ = 𝒂𝒅 − 𝒃𝒄 / 𝒃 + 𝒅 Note that to be economically meaningful, the model should contain the additional restriction that 𝑎𝑑 > 𝑏𝑐. Partial Market Equilibrium- A NonLinear Model The partial market model can be nonlinear Suppose a model is given by ● 𝑄𝑑 = 𝑄𝑠 ● 𝑄𝑑 = 4 − 𝑃2 ● 𝑄𝑠 = 4𝑃 − 1 Algebraic Solution Equating, we have 4 − 𝑃2 = 4𝑃 − 14 Which reduces to the quadratic equation 𝑃2 + 4𝑃 − 5 = 0. We then use the quadratic formula to obtain 𝑷∗ = 𝟏 or 𝑷∗ = −𝟓 (not admissible). Correspondingly, we have 𝑸∗ = 𝟑. Graphical Solution General Market Equilibrium Rationale ● We have discussed methods of an isolated market, wherein the 𝑄𝑑 and 𝑄𝑠 of a commodity are functions of the price of that commodity alone. ● A more realistic model for the demand and supply function of a commodity should take into account the effects not only of the price of the commodity itself but also of the prices of other commodities Equilibrium Condition ● The equilibrium condition of an n−commodity market model will involve n equations, one for each commodity, in the form: 𝐸𝑖 = 𝑄𝑑𝑖 − 𝑄𝑠𝑖 = 0 (i = 1, 2, · · · , n) where 𝑄𝑑𝑖= 𝑄𝑑𝑖(𝑃1,𝑃2 … , 𝑃𝑛) and 𝑄𝑠𝑖= 𝑄𝑠𝑖(𝑃1,𝑃2 … ,𝑃𝑛) are the demand and supply functions of commodity i, and 𝑃1, 𝑃2 … ,𝑃𝑛 are prices of commodities Thus solving n equations 𝐸𝑖 = 𝑄𝑑𝑖 − 𝑄𝑠𝑖 = 0 where (i = 1, 2, · · · , n), we obtain the n equilibrium prices 𝑷𝒊∗ if a solution does indeed exist. And then the 𝑸𝒊∗ may be derived from the demand or supply functions Two-Commodity Market Model The Model ● 𝑄𝑑1 − 𝑄𝑠1 = 0 ● 𝑄𝑑1 = 𝑎0 + 𝑎1𝑃1 + 𝑎2𝑃2 ● 𝑄𝑠1 = 𝑏0 + 𝑏1𝑃1 + 𝑏2𝑃2 ● 𝑄𝑑2 − 𝑄𝑠2 = 0 ● 𝑄𝑑2 = α0 + α1𝑃1 + α2𝑃2 ● 𝑄𝑠2 = β0 + β1𝑃1 + β2𝑃2 where the a and b coefficients pertain to the demand and supply functions of the first commodity, and the α and β coefficients are assigned to those of the second. ● By substituting the second and third equations into the first (for the first commodity) ; and the fifth and sixth equations into the fourth (for the second commodity), the model is reduced to two equations in two variables: (𝑎0−𝑏0) + (𝑎1 − 𝑏1)𝑃1 + (𝑎2−𝑏2)𝑃2=0 (α0−β0) + (α1 − β1)𝑃1 + (α2−β2)𝑃2=0 To simplify, we let 𝑐𝑖 = 𝑎𝑖 − 𝑏𝑖 (i = 0, 1, 2) γ𝑖 = α𝑖 − β𝑖 (i = 0, 1, 2) and we have, 𝑐1𝑃1 + 𝑐2𝑃2 = −𝑐0 γ1𝑃1 + γ2𝑃2 = −γ0 Solving, we obtain, For it to make sense, we add restrictions: First, 𝑐1γ2 − 𝑐2γ1 ≠ 0. Second, to assure positivity, the numerator must have the same sign as the denominator. From these, we can obtain the values for 𝑄1∗ and 𝑄2∗ Problem Suppose that the demand and supply functions are numerically as follows: • 𝑄𝑑1 = 10 − 2𝑃1 + 𝑃2 • 𝑄𝑠1 = −2 + 3𝑃1 • 𝑄𝑑2 = 15 + 𝑃1 − 𝑃2 • 𝑄𝑠2 = −1 + 2𝑃2 What are the equilibrium prices and quantities? Answers • 𝑃1 ∗ = 52/14 • 𝑃2 ∗ = 92/14 • 𝑄1 ∗ = 64/7 • 𝑄2 ∗ = 85/7. CHAPTER 4 Linear Models and Matrix Algebra Matrix algebra can enable us to do many things: (1) It provides a compact way of writing an equation system, even an extremely large one. (2) It leads to a way of testing the existence of a solution by evaluation of a determinant – a concept closely related to that of a matrix. (3) It gives a method of finding that solution if it exists. Matrix and Vectors In general, a system of m linear equations in n variables (x1, x2, · · · , xn) can be arranged into such formula where the double-subscripted symbol aij represents the coefficient appearing in the ith equation and attached to the jth variable xj and dj represents the constant term in the jth equation. Example: The two-commodity linear market model can be written – after eliminating the quantity variables – as a system of two linear equations. Matrix as Arrays Three types of ingredients in the equation system 1. set of coefficients aij 2. set of variables x1, x2, · · · , xn 3. set of constant terms d1, d2, · · · , dm