GLOBAL CLIMATE GOVERNANCE: THE EU GREEN DEAL Climate & Leadership Course, GAUC, Summer 2023 Summer 2023 « AN ACTOR QUALIFIES AS A ‘LEADER’ IN GLOBAL CLIMATE GOVERNANCE IF IT IS MORE AMBITIOUS THAN OTHERS IN THE PURSUIT OF THE COMMON GOOD » (OBERTHÜR & DUPONT 2021) Summer 2023 2 CLIMATE GOVERNANCE & NEGOTIATION THE EU GREEN DEAL OUTLINE 1. Historical role of the EU as an environmental and climate leader 2. The Green Deal 3. The challenge of delivering this policy agenda Summer 2023 3 THE HISTORICAL ROLE OF THE EU AS AN ENVIRONMENTAL LEADER Summer 2023 4 Not covered by the treaties until 1986 … But first policies in 1972. Since then, the EU became an undisputed political authority in this field and environmental / climate action is one of its most dynamic areas of intervention. Summer 2023 5 BRIEF OVERVIEW • An area of shared competence between the EU and the Member States, with the principle of subsidiarity determining the most effective level of action. • The Treaties of the European Union established that EU environment policy should contribute to pursuing the objectives of ‘preserving, protecting and improving the quality of the environment, protecting human health,[promoting] prudent and rationalutilisation of natural resources, [and]promoting measures at internationallevel […] and […] combating climate change’ (EU, 2007). Summer 2023 6 Summer 2023 7 SINCE 1972, SIGNIFICANT LEGISLATIVE PRODUCTION: + 800 TEXTS (DIRECTIVES, REGULATIONS, ETC.) GEN CUST AGR FISH 9% 15% SOC EST TRANSP General & programmes CO MP Pollutions, nuisances TAX ECO 7% EXREL Space, environment and natural resources International cooperation ENE R 9% 10% MK T REG IO ENV 10% EDUC ENTR EU environmental legislation: 4 main areas CFSP Number of legisltations adopted in 2014-2018 AFSJ Source: EUR-Lex, http://eur-lex.europa.eu/fr/consleg/latest/chap1510.htm Summer 2023 9 Topics listed by the European Environment Agency (2019) • Increasing number of activities • Integration of new issues • Institutional innovations Pollution control, harmful activities, systematic integration Summer 2023 Agriculture Climate Seas and Coastlines Energy Water Waste and material resources Industry Natural resources Green economy Fishing Household consumption Specific regions Soils Noise Environmental technologies Environmental health Chemistry Environmental scenarios Air pollution Biodiversity Transportation Tourism Urban environment Spatial planning 10 THE CHANGING UNDERSTANDING OF ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES AND THE EVOLUTION OF APPROACHES TO POLICY AND ASSESSMENT Summer 2023 11 IS EUROPE LIVING WITHIN THE LIMITS OF THE PLANET? Assessment of Europe’s environmental footprint based on planetary boundaries The yellow zone of uncertainty represents the average range across the six principles to allocate a European share of the global safe operating space. Summer 2023 European consumption-based performance for selected planetary boundaries – EEA, 2020, p.53 12 THE EU GREEN DEAL AND THE CHALLENGE OF DELIVERING THIS POLICY AGENDA Summer 2023 13 Key initiatives to break silos and main files THE EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL: A NEW GROWTH STRATEGY Summer 2023 • Goal: becoming the world’s first climate-neutral continent by 2050 • Published by the EU Commission, December 11, 2019 14 “We need an ambitious Green New Deal for Europe, which shapes the future for our children and ensures their health, prosperity and security on a green and thriving planet.” Frans Timmermans, S&D, Exec VP for the EU Green Deal 11 September 2019 “ The European Green Deal is our new growth strategy – it is a strategy for growth that gives more back than it takes away. […] We want to be the frontrunners in climate friendly industries, in clean technologies, in green financing. But we also have to be sure that no one is left behind.”, Ursula Von Der Leyen, EPP, President of the EU Commission 11 December 2019 Summer 2023 15 THE EMERGING EU ENVIRONMENTAL AND CLIMATE POLICY LANDSCAPE Summer 2023 16 Key initiatives to break silos and main files Environment and climate • Climate law (netzero 2050) and climate pact • New 2030 GHG target • Circular economy • Blue economy • Biodiversity strategy Summer 2023 Sustainable Finance • GD Europe Investment Plan (1trn in 10 years) • 50% of EIB investment to climate by 2025 • Green financing strategy Economic dimensions Others • Review Energy Taxation Directive • Carbon Border Adjustment • Integration of SDGs in the semester • Industrial and Circular economy strategy • Just Transition Mechanism • Renovation wave • Offshore renewable, hydrogen strategies… 17 SIGNIFICANT SOCIO-SPATIAL VARIATIONS ACROSS THE EU • The impact of climate change • National states and interests: have all Member states adopted an adaptation strategy ? • Regions at risk and in need of support Summer 2023 18 THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EUROPE: EXAMPLE Summer 2023 ©Infographic from the EU Parliament, 2018, available here 19 DECARBONIZING TARGETS : BEWARE THE IMPLEMENTATION GAP ! Summer 2023 20 LOCATION OF "ATRISK" REGIONS (IN NEED OF "JUST TRANSITION") : COUNTRY REPORTS OF THE EUROPEAN SEMESTER, PRESENTED IN THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT STUDY Summer 2023 © Robert Schuman, European isue 567, 2020, available here 21 THE EU GREAN DEAL INVESTMENT PLAN AND JUST TRANSITION MECHANISM • • • The Just Transition Fund; A dedicated scheme under the InvestEU programme; a A public sector loan facility provided by the European Investment Bank to mobilise additional investments in the regions concerned Summer 2023 22 POST-COVID 19 BUDGET: « NEXT GENERATION EU » Summer 2023 23 A FOREIGN POLICY ISSUE & GREEN DIPLOMACY « As a global leader, the EU will continue to lead international efforts, and in conjunction with our partners, address environmental challenges and promote the implementation of ambitious environment, climate and energy policies across the world. Through bilateral efforts, we will accompany partners to transition towards more sustainable development pathways. » Summer 2023 24 THE CHALLENGE OF DELIVERING THIS POLICY AGENDA Summer 2023 25 CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050 : AMBITIOUS BUT UNLIKELY CLIMATE TARGETS Credible only on the condition of initiating a fundamental reflection beforehand on the reasons for the gap between achievements and ambitions, before considering increasing it further. New policies needed (shift / improve) Old policies need to be dismantled (avoid) Summer 2023 Éloi Laurent, 2020, OFCE policy brief 63, january 28. Available26 here CARBON NEUTRAL BY 2050 : DECOUPLING VS. DECOUPLING NET OF OFFSHORED PRODUCTION • Norms in place at the UN since Kyoto Protocol (1997): Production emissions • BUT if consumption emissions, significant lower EU climate performance Summer 2023 Éloi Laurent, 2020, OFCE policy brief 63, january 28. Available here 27 Summer 2023 Éloi Laurent, 2020, OFCE policy brief 63, january 28. Available here 28 THE QUESTION OF PERIMETER: THE SHARE OF EUROPE’S FINAL DEMAND FOOTPRINT EXERTED OUTSIDE EUROPEAN BORDERS. Europe is highly dependent on resources extracted or used outside Europe, such as water, land use products, biomass or other materials, to meet its high consumption levels. (EEA, 2019, p.50) Resource efficiency and circular economy is not enough => need to reduce the EU’s global material footprint Summer 2023 29 Summer 2023 The politics of the Green Deal, Politico, 2020. Available here 30 QB3: In your opinion, who within the EU is responsible for tackling climate change? (MULTIPLE ANSWERS POSSIBLE) (% - EU27) Summer 2023 Special Eurobarometer 513, 2021, p.27 31 QB3 In your opinion, who within the EU is responsible for tackling climate change? (MULTIPLE ANSWERS POSSIBLE) (% -THE MOST MENTIONED ANSWER BY COUNTRY) Summer 2023 Special Eurobarometer 513, 2021, p.29 32 NATIONAL INTERESTS https://www.bruegel.org/ Summer 2023 33 The politics of the Green Deal, Politico, 2020. Available here Summer 2023 34 LIMITED SPATIAL COVERAGE OF THE JUST MECHANISM Summer 2023 35 CONCLUSION Summer 2023 36 WHAT DO YOU THINK ? • Too much incremental vs not enough «deep and structural » change. • Sectoral gaps (industry, agriculture) • Energy and climate policy not joined up leading to clear inefficiencies. • Lack of ownership by several Member States and division, as policy is driven by Brussels. • Clear need to strengthen EU policy instruments (and propose new ones?) Summer 2023 37 MAIN TAKE AWAY POINTS • A foreign policy issue, green diplomacy • Driving innovation (inwards / outwards) with the European Green Deal • Yet ambiguous, contradictions and resistances IMPLEMENTATION MATTERS !!! Summer 2023 38 THANKS ! CHARLOTTE.HALPERN@SCIENCESPO.FR Summer 2023 39