Chapter 12 Chi-Squared Tests NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. A Common Theme… What to do? Data Type? Number of Categories? Statistical Technique: Describe a population Nominal Two or more X2 goodness of fit test Compare two populations Nominal Two or more X2 test of a contingency table Compare two or more populations Nominal -- X2 test of a contingency table Analyze relationship between two variables Nominal -- X2 test of a contingency table One data type… …Two techniques NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Two Techniques… The first is a goodness-of-fit test applied to data produced by a multinomial experiment, a generalization of a binomial experiment and is used to describe one population of data. The second uses data arranged in a contingency table to determine whether two classifications of a population of nominal data are statistically independent; this test can also be interpreted as a comparison of two or more populations. In both cases, we use the chi-squared ( ) distribution. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Tests of Goodness of Fit and Independence Goodness of Fit Test: A Multinomial Population test for pi, i=1,2,..k. Test of Independence for two events: cancer indep. of cigarattee? Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson and Normal Distributions Test if data follows a given distribution NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. The Multinomial Experiment… Unlike a binomial experiment which only has two possible outcomes (e.g. heads or tails), a multinomial experiment: • Consists of a fixed number, n, of trials. • Each trial can have one of k outcomes, called cells. • Each probability pi remains constant. • Our usual notion of probabilities holds, namely: p1 + p2 + … + pk = 1, and • Each trial is independent of the other trials. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit for Proportions of a Multinomial Population • examples 1. Global maket share for famous pad ( smart phone)company • P(Apple)= 0.8, P(Sumsong)= 0.1 P(HTC)= 0.1 • ( verify it!!) 2. In Taiwan. Notebook (PC) maket share for Acer, Asus, • others • P(Acer)=0.4, P(Asus)=0.5, P(others)=0.1 • (is it ?) NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. examples • 3. • voting rate in Taipei=VR in Taichung=VR in Tainan • =VR in Pingtung • • H0: p1=p2=p3=p4=p5 H1: not all same NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chi-squared Goodness-of-Fit Test… We test whether there is sufficient evidence to reject a specified set of values for pi. To illustrate, our null hypothesis is: H0: p1 = a1, p2 = a2, …, pk = ak where a1, a2, …, ak are the values we want to test. Our research hypothesis is: H1: At least one pi is not equal to its specified value NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1 Two companies, A and B, have recently conducted aggressive advertising campaigns to maintain and possibly increase their respective shares of the market for fabric softener. These two companies enjoy a dominant position in the market. Before the advertising campaigns began, the market share of company A was 45%, whereas company B had 40% of the market. Other competitors accounted for the remaining 15%. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1 To determine whether these market shares changed after the advertising campaigns, a marketing analyst solicited the preferences of a random sample of 200 customers of fabric softener.(織物柔軟劑 ) Of the 200 customers, 102 indicated a preference for company A's product, 82 preferred company B's fabric softener, and the remaining 16 preferred the products of one of the competitors. Can the analyst infer at the 5% significance level that customer preferences have changed from their levels before the advertising campaigns were launched? NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… We compare market share before and after an advertising campaign to see if there is a difference (i.e. if the advertising was effective in improving market share). We hypothesize values for the parameters equal to the before-market share. That is, H0: p1 = .45, p2 = .40, p3 = .15 The alternative hypothesis is a denial of the null. That is, H1: At least one pi is not equal to its specified value NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… Test Statistic If the null hypothesis is true, we would expect the number of customers selecting brand A, brand B, and other to be 200 times the proportions specified under the null hypothesis. That is, e1 = 200(.45) = 90 e2 = 200(.40) = 80 e3 = 200(.15) = 30 In general, the expected frequency for each cell is given by ei = npi This expression is derived from the formula for the expected value of a binomial random variable, introduced in Section 7.4. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… If the expected frequencies and the observed frequencies are quite different, we would conclude that the null hypothesis is false, and we would reject it. However, if the expected and observed frequencies are similar, we would not reject the null hypothesis. The test statistic measures the similarity of the expected and observed frequencies. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chi-squared Goodness-of-Fit Test… Our Chi-squared goodness of fit test statistic is given by: observed frequency expected frequency Note: this statistic is approximately Chi-squared with k–1 degrees of freedom provided the sample size is large. The rejection region is: NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… COMPUTE In order to calculate our test statistic, we lay-out the data in a tabular fashion for easier calculation by hand: Observed Frequency Expected Frequency Delta Summation Component fi ei (fi – ei) (fi – ei)2/ei A 102 90 12 1.60 B 82 80 2 0.05 Others 16 30 -14 6.53 Total 200 200 Company 8.18 Check that these are equal NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… INTERPRET Our rejection region is: Since our test statistic is 8.18 which is greater than our critical value for Chi-squared, we reject H0 in favor of H1, that is, “There is sufficient evidence to infer that the proportions have changed since the advertising campaigns were implemented” NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.1… p-value NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Required Conditions… In order to use this technique, the sample size must be large enough so that the expected value for each cell is 5 or more. (i.e. n x pi ≥ 5) If the expected frequency is less than five, combine it with other cells to satisfy the condition. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. example startbuck PA: Coffee market share for company 7-11 PB: Coffee market share for company family Pc: Coffee market share for company Ho: Pa=0.6, Pb=0.3, Pc=0.1 (Mulitnomial distri) H1: not Ho take 200 customers randomly 2 ( f e ) /e f e f-e A 130 120=0.6x200 10 100/120=0.83 B 50 60 -10 100/60=1.67 C 20 20 0 2 2 2 (130 120) (50 60) (20 20) 2 0.497 120 60 20 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. alpha=0.1, d.f=2, 20.1 (2) 6.405 (1) 2 2.497 20.1 (2) 6.405 Do not reject Ho (2) p-value= P( 2 2.497) =?? >alpha=0.1 Using minitab to get p-value NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Table 12.1 3 indep. binomial distr. • Aotu. Owners • Vjevrolet Ford Honda total • Like to ei Yes 69(78) 120(128.4) 123(109.2) 312 • repurchase • no 56(47) 80(71.6) 52(65.8) 188 • total 125 200 175 500 • H0: p1=p2=p3(=p) p^=312/500=0.624 • H1: not H0 e11=0.624x125=78 • e21=0.624x200=124.8 • e31=109.2 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Table 12.1 2 ( fij eij ) 2 / eij 7.89 20.05 (2) 5.991 2 7.89 20.05 (2) 5.991 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Multinomial Distribution Goodness of Fit Test Rejection Rule Reject H0 if p-value < or 2 > 2 (,k-1) With = .1 and k-1=3-1=1 degrees of freedom Do Not Reject H0 Reject H0 4.605 2 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution Example: Troy Parking Garage A random sample of 100 oneminute time intervals resulted in the customer arrivals listed below. A statistical test must be conducted to see if the assumption of a Poisson distribution is reasonable. # Arrivals 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Frequency 0 1 4 10 14 20 12 12 9 9 10 11 12 8 6 3 1 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution • Hypotheses H0: Number of cars entering the garage during a one-minute interval is Poisson distributed Ha: Number of cars entering the garage during a one-minute interval is not Poisson distributed NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution • Estimate of Poisson Probability Function otal Arrivals = 0(0) + 1(1) + 2(4) + . . . + 12(1) = 600 Estimate of = 600/100 = 6 Total Time Periods = 100 Hence, 6 x e 6 f ( x) x! NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution • Expected Frequencies x f (x ) nf (x ) x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 .0025 .0149 .0446 .0892 .1339 .1606 .1606 .25<5 1.49<5 4.46<5 8.92 13.39 16.06 16.06 7 8 9 10 11 12+ Total f (x ) nf (x ) .1377 .1033 .0688 .0413 .0225 .0201 1.0000 13.77 10.33 6.88 4.13 2.25<5 2.01<5 100.00 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution • Observed and Expected Frequencies i fi ei f i - ei 0 or 1 or 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 or more 5 10 14 20 12 12 9 8 10 6.20 8.92 13.39 16.06 16.06 13.77 10.33 6.88 8.39 -1.20 1.08 0.61 3.94 -4.06 -1.77 -1.33 1.12 1.61 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Poisson Distribution Rejection Rule With = .05 and k - p - 1 = 9 - 1 - 1 = 7 d.f. (where k = number of categories and p = number 2 14.067 of population parameters estimated), .05 Reject H0 if p-value < .05 or 2 > 14.067. • Test Statistic 2 2 2 ( 1.20) (1.08) (1.61) 2 ... 3.268 6.20 8.92 8.39 Do not reject H0 Follows Poisson NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Exercise Goodness of Fit Test: Normal Distribution 1. Set up the null and alternative hypotheses. 2. Select a random sample and a. Compute the mean and standard deviation. b. Define intervals of values so that the expected frequency is at least 5 for each interval. c. For each interval record the observed frequencies 3. Compute the expected frequency, ei , for each interval. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Goodness of Fit Test: Normal Distribution 4. Compute the value of the test statistic. 2 ( f e ) 2 i i ei i 1 k 5. Reject H0 if 2 2 (where is the significance level and there are k - 3 degrees of freedom). NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test • Example: IQ Computers IQ Computers (one better than HP?) IQ manufactures and sells a general purpose microcomputer. As part of a study to evaluate sales personnel, management wants to determine, at a .05 significance level, if the annual sales volume (number of units sold by a salesperson) follows a normal probability distribution. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test Example: IQ Computers A simple random sample of 30 of the salespeople was taken and their numbers of units sold are below. 33 64 83 43 65 84 44 66 85 45 68 86 52 70 91 52 72 92 56 73 94 IQ 58 63 64 73 74 75 98 102 105 (sample mean = 71, sample standard deviation = 18.54) NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test • Hypotheses H0: The population of number of units sold has a normal distribution Ha: The population of number of units sold does not have a normal distribution NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test • Interval Definition To satisfy the requirement of an expected frequency of at least 5 in each interval we will divide the normal distribution into 30/5 = 6 equal probability intervals. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test • Interval Definition Areas = 1.00/6 = .1667 53.02 71 88.98 = 71 + .97(18.54) 71 .43(18.54) = 63.03 78.97 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test • Observed and Expected Frequencies i fi ei f i - ei Less than 53.02 53.02 to 63.03 63.03 to 71.00 71.00 to 78.97 78.97 to 88.98 More than 88.98 Total 6 3 6 5 4 6 30 5 5 5 5 5 5 30 1 -2 1 0 -1 1 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Normal Distribution Goodness of Fit Test Rejection Rule With = .05 and k - p - 1 = 6 - 2 - 1 = 3 d.f. (where k = number of categories and p = number 2 7.815 of population parameters estimated), .05 Reject H0 if p-value < .05 or 2 > 7.815. Test Statistic 2 2 2 2 2 2 (1) ( 2) (1) (0) ( 1) (1) 2 1.600 5 5 5 5 5 5 Do not reject H0 Support normal with mean =71 and SD=18.54 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test for Normality • see page 597 Chap 15.4 • test for Normality NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Identifying Factors… Factors that Identify the Chi-Squared Goodness-of-Fit Test: ei=(n)(pi) NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Chi-squared Test of a Contingency Table The Chi-squared test of a contingency table is used to: • determine whether there is enough evidence to infer that two nominal variables are related, and • to infer that differences exist among two or more populations of nominal variables. In order to use use these techniques, we need to classify the data according to two different criteria. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 The MBA program was experiencing problems scheduling their courses. The demand for the program's optional courses and majors was quite variable from one year to the next. In desperation the dean of the business school turned to a statistics professor for assistance. The statistics professor believed that the problem may be the variability in the academic background of the students and that the undergraduate degree affects the choice of major. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 As a start he took a random sample of last year's MBA students and recorded the undergraduate degree and the major selected in the graduate program. The undergraduate degrees were BA, BEng, BBA, and several others. There are three possible majors for the MBA students, accounting, finance, and marketing. Can the statistician conclude that the undergraduate degree affects the choice of major? NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 Xm15-02 The data are stored in two columns. The first column consist of integers 1, 2, 3, and 4 representing the undergraduate degree where 1 = BA 2 = BEng 3 = BBA 4 = other The second column lists the MBA major where 1= Accounting 2 = Finance 3 = Marketing NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 IDENTIFY The problem objective is to determine whether two variables (undergraduate degree and MBA major) are related. Both variables are nominal. Thus, the technique to use is the chisquared test of a contingency table. The alternative hypotheses specifies what we test. That is, H1: The two variables are dependent The null hypothesis is a denial of the alternative hypothesis. H0: The two variables are independent. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test Statistic The test statistic is the same as the one used to test proportions in the goodness-of-fit-test. That is, the test statistic is 2 ( f e ) 2 i i ei Note however, that there is a major difference between the two applications. In this one the null does not specify the proportions pi, from which we compute the expected values ei, which we need to calculate the χ2 test statistic. That is, we cannot use e = npi because we don’t know the pi (they are not specified by the null hypothesis). It is necessary to estimate the pi from the data. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 The first step is to count the number of students in each of the 12 combinations. The result is called a crossclassification table. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 MBA Major Undergrad Degree Accounting Finance Marketing Total BA 31 13 16 60 BEng 8 16 7 31 BBA 12 10 17 39 Other 10 5 7 22 Total 61 44 47 152 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 If the null hypothesis is true (Remember we always start with this assumption.) and the two nominal variables are independent, then, for example under H0 P(BA and Accounting) = [P(BA)] [P(Accounting)] Since we don’t know the values of P(BA) or P(Accounting) We need to use the data to estimate the probabilities. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test Statistic There are 152 students of which 61 who have chosen accounting as their MBA major. Thus, we estimate the probability of accounting as P(Accounting) 61 .401 152 Similarly P(BA) 60 .395 152 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2… If the null hypothesis is true P(BA and Accounting) = (60/152)(61/152) Now that we have the probability we can calculate the expected value. That is, E(BA and Accounting) = 152(60/152)(61/152) = (60)(61)/152 = 24.08 We can do the same for the other 11 cells. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2 COMPUTE We can now compare observed with expected frequencies… MBA Major Undergrad Degree Accounting Finance Marketing BA 31 24.08 13 17.37 16 18.55 BEng 8 12.44 16 8.97 7 9.59 BBA 12 15.65 10 11.29 17 12.06 Other 10 8.83 5 6.37 7 6.80 and calculate our test statistic: NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. test • X^2(0.05, (3-1)(4-1))=X^2(0.05, 6)=12.5916 • X^2=14.7 > X^2(0.05, 6)=12.5916 • • • • reject H0 evidence to support dependent P-value=P(X^2> 14.7)=0.0227 < alpha=0.05 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2… COMPUTE Using Excel : Click Add-Ins, Data Analysis Plus, Contingency Table [if the table has already been prepared] or Contingency Table (Raw Data) [if the table has not been completed] NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2… COMPUTE The printout below was produced from file Xm15-02 using the Contingency Table (Raw Data) command A B C 1 Contingency Table 2 3 Degree 4 MBA Major 1 5 1 31 6 2 8 7 3 12 8 4 10 9 TOTAL 61 10 11 12 chi-squared Stat 13 df 14 p-value 15 chi-squared Critical D E F 2 13 16 10 5 44 3 16 7 17 7 47 TOTAL 60 31 39 22 152 14.7019 6 0.0227 12.5916 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Example 15.2… INTERPRET The p-value is .0227. There is enough evidence to infer that the MBA major and the undergraduate degree are related. We can also interpret the results of this test in two other ways. 1.There is enough evidence to infer that there are differences in MBA major between the four undergraduate categories. 2. There is enough evidence to infer that there are differences in undergraduate degree between the majors. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Required Condition – Rule of Five… In a contingency table where one or more cells have expected values of less than 5, we need to combine rows or columns to satisfy the rule of five. Note: by doing this, the degrees of freedom must be changed as well. NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test of Independence • 1. 學歷和年薪: • (高中,大學,研究所) vs (50萬以下,50- <100萬, > 100萬) • 2.景氣和失業率 • (景氣藍,黃, 紅) vs (>5%, 3%- <5%, <3%) • 3.學科別和性別 • (理,工, 文, 法,商,醫) vs (男, 女) • i\j 理, 工, 文, 法, • 男 • • 女 • • col j total • 商, 醫 f11 f12 f13 f14 f15 f16 (e11 e12 e13 e14 e15 e16) f21 f22 f23 f24 f25 f26 (e21 e22 e23 e24 e25 e26) C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang Total=Sum(Ci)=Sum(Ri) row i total row 1 Tot row 2 Tot © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test of Independence • • • • 4. sigrate and cancer?? 5. 無薪假人數和景氣情況 6. 支出和收入 7. 出生率和家戶薪水 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Test of Independence: Contingency Tables 1. Set up the null and alternative hypotheses. 2. Select a random sample and record the observed frequency, fij , for each cell of the contingency table. 3. Compute the expected frequency, eij , for each cell. Under Ho, two events are indep. pij=pi*pj eij=pij*Tot pi= R i tot/Tot, pj= C j tot/ Tot eij (Row i Total)(Column j Total) Sample Size NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Contingency Table (Independence) Test Example: Finger Lakes Homes (B) The number of homes sold for each model and price for the past two years is shown below. For convenience, the price of the home is listed as either $99,000 or less or more than $99,000. Price Colonial < $99,000 18 > $99,000 12 Log 6 14 Split-Level 19 16 A-Frame 12 3 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Table 12.7 • • • • • • • • Gender M F total light 51(59.4) 39 (30.6) 90 Regular 56(50.82) 21(26.18) 77 Dark 25 (21.78) 8 33 total 132 68 200 Ho: beer preference and Gender are indep. H1: beer preference and Gender are dep. eij (Row i Total)(Column j Total) Sample Size NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Table 12.7 2 ( fij eij ) 2 / eij 6.45 20.05 (2) 5.991 2 6.45 20.05 (2) 5.991 NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Identifying Factors… Factors that identify the Chi-squared test of a contingency table: NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. Table 15.1 Statistical Techniques for Nominal Data Problem Objective Categories Statistical Technique Describe a population 2 z-test of p or the chi-squared goodness-of-fit test Describe a population Compare two populations More than 2 2 Chi-squared goodness-of-fit test z-test p1–p2 or chi-squared test of a contingency table Compare two populations More than 2 Chi-squared test of a contingency table Compare more than two populations 2 or more Chi-squared test of a contingency table Analyze the relationship between two variables 2 or more Chi-squared test of a contingency table NCCU-202203Stat-Prof SF Yang © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.