Geostatistics Assignment 1: Geostatistical Methods Willem Botha U19013711 PMW 410 Prof. Malan Department of Mining Engineering Faculty of Engineering, the Built Environment and Information Technology University of Pretoria 16 May 2023 Geostatistics UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA FACULTY OF ENGINEERING, BUILT ENVIRONMENT AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT OF MINING ENGINEERING The Department of Mining Engineering places great emphasis upon integrity and ethical conduct in the preparation of all written work submitted for academic evaluation. While academic staff teach you about systems of referring and how to avoid plagiarism, you too have a responsibility in this regard. If you are at any stage uncertain as to what is required, you should speak to your lecturer before any written work is submitted. You are guilty of plagiarism if you copy something from a book, article or website without acknowledging the source and pass it off as your own. In effect you are stealing something that belongs to someone else. This is not only the case when you copy work word-by-word (verbatim), but also when you submit someone else’s work in a slightly altered form (paraphrase) or use a line of argument without acknowledging it. You are not allowed to use another student’s past written work. You are also not allowed to let anybody copy your work with the intention of passing if of as his/her work. Students who commit plagiarism will lose all credits obtained in the plagarised work. The matter may also be referred to the Disciplinary Committee (Students) for a ruling. Plagiarism is regarded as a serious contravention of the University’s rules and can lead to expulsion from the University. The declaration which follows must be appended to all written work submitted while you are a student of the Department of Mining Engineering. No written work will be accepted unless the declaration has been completed and attached. I (full names) WILLEM JOHANNES BOTHA Student number U9013711 Topic of work Geostatistics Declaration 1. I understand what plagiarism is and am aware of the University’s policy in this regard. 2. I declare that this ASSIGNMENT (e.g. essay, report, project, assignment, dissertation, thesis etc) is my own original work. Where other people’s work has been used (either from a printed source, internet or any other source), this has been properly acknowledged and referenced in accordance with departmental requirements. 3. I have not used another student’s past written work to hand in as my own. 4. I have not allowed, and will not allow, anyone to copy my work with the intention of passing it off as his or her own work. Signature 1 16 May 2023 Geostatistics Table of Contents LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................ 3 1. 2. Grade distributions ...................................................................................................... 4 1.1. Polygon Method ................................................................................................................ 4 1.2. Standard Block Model ....................................................................................................... 5 1.3. Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) method ........................................................................ 6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 8 2 16 May 2023 Geostatistics LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Grade distribution of the property. .................................................................................... 4 Figure 2: Semi variogram of the data given. .................................................................................... 6 Figure 3: IDW method (A) vs the standard block model (B)............................................................. 8 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Standard block model grade distribution............................................................................ 5 Table 2: Variogram data inputs. ...................................................................................................... 6 Table 3: Grade distribution using IDW formulas. ............................................................................. 7 3 16 May 2023 Geostatistics 1. Grade distributions 1.1. Polygon Method Figure 1: Grade distribution of the property. The polygon method used above in figure 1 indicates that the grade for each polygon is dependent on the spacing between known exploration holes. 4 16 May 2023 Geostatistics 1.2. Standard Block Model Table 1: Standard block model grade distribution 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 4.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.8 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.0 8.0 8.0 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.8 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.5 4.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 6.9 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 4.2 4.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.5 6.5 4.2 4.2 9.2 9.2 9.2 6.9 6.9 6.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 4.2 9.2 9.2 9.8 9.8 6.4 6.4 6.4 3.2 3.0 3.0 9.3 9.3 9.3 6.7 6.7 6.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 9.3 9.3 93 6.7 6.7 6.7 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.0 Each block is assigned the grade value of the nearest known grade. Furthermore, if two adjacent grade values are present, the lowest value was used. 5 16 May 2023 Geostatistics 1.3. Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) method To speed up the process of IDW, I calculated the semi variogram for the data. The sill values gave me a cut-off distance where beyond that point the distance will have no effect on the grade distribution of an unknown point. The following equation was used to determine the values in table 1 and 2: 1 у∗ (ℎ) = 2𝑁(ℎ) ∑𝑢𝑖−𝑢𝑗(𝑍(𝑢𝑖 ) − 𝑍(𝑢𝑗 )) (1) Table 2: Variogram data inputs. Distance (h)y 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 у*(h) 0.81 3.479 0.34 10.73 16.7725 9.05 12.5 Distance (h)x 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 у*(h) 0.02 0.203 6.778 4.225 13.03 11.981 18.3325 The values in Table 1 yielded the values in figure 2. Variogram 20 Variance 15 10 5 Y direction X direction 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 -5 Distance Figure 2: Semi variogram of the data given. The variogram yielded a hole effect for the values in the Y-direction, however a linear model is evident for the X-direction. The cut of value in the y-direction was determined at 500m, whereas the cut of range in the X-direction was determined at 700m. Thus, a radius (R-value) was determined at 860m around every point. 6 16 May 2023 Geostatistics Table 3: Grade distribution using IDW formulas. 5.56 5.62 5.42 4 6.14 6.65 6.72 6.76 6.82 6.58 5.33 5.43 5.21 5.75 6.4 8 6.9 7 8 6.73 3.2 5.34 2.8 5.89 6.55 8.9 6.99 9 6.88 6.57 5.1 5.7 6.2 6.12 6.48 6.71 6.7 6.68 6.5 6.3 5.86 5 6.6 6.34 6.48 7 6.4 6.5 6.12 5.9 6.51 6.6 7 6.54 6.9 6.38 6.12 5.85 5.7 4.2 6.94 9.2 7.1 6.42 6.5 6.24 5.8 3.2 5.34 5.52 7 7.5 9.8 6.59 6.5 6.4 5.76 5.26 5.29 5.46 7.2 9.3 7.3 6.42 6.7 6.25 5.6 3.2 3 5.24 7 7.22 6.95 6.19 6.55 6.11 5.73 5.3 5.21 5.12 Figure 3: Colour contour of the grade distribution. The colour contour clearly indicated the value of reef that is present in the mining lease area. 7 16 May 2023 Geostatistics 2. Conclusion The mining lease are indicated goo distribution of values across the property. The most reliable model is surely the IDW method, as this method includes the influence of values across the whole property. A B Figure 3: IDW method (A) vs the standard block model (B). Using the standard block model may lead us astray. It is clear that for the block model the blue areas (8-10 g/t) are over a greater area, which will lead to over estimations when calculating the financial model. 8 16 May 2023