SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT Mah Yong Jun I20018766 (MGT356A) (Individual Assignment) Program: DCMAUI Subject Code & Title: MGT356A Supply Chain Management Assessment Title: Individual Assignment (20%) Session : January 2023 1 Marking Guidelines for Assignment (Individual Assignment 30%) Assignment Topic: Research on performance measures used in F&N Holdings Bhd Name(s): 1.___Mah Yong Jun CRITERIA Presentation & Structure: Good title, clear structure (contents page); Clarity and conciseness of the issues covered in the topic; keeps to word of 2000 (+/10%) Business Application & Integration of Data/Literature: Literature review with good sources included and some assessment/ summary of published work; integration & application of information Discussion/Analysis/Expression or Reflection: Joined up thinking: From title to argument to conclusion (Evaluation-Synthesis-Analysis); Building an Argument – using your references adeptly Content/ Terms/ Findings/ Definitions/ Calculations: Exploration of topic showing excellent knowledge & understanding through thorough & appropriate research. Impressive choice and range of appropriate content. Use & presentation of Harvard Referencing: Follows Harvard style for in-text citation & Reference List Use a minimum of .10 sources Individual Report 0 1 2 3 4 5 Feedback 10% 30% 30% 20% 10% Feedback Summary: -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Mark: lateness Deductions: Final mark: Student(s) Signature:__Jun____________________ Date: 4/4/2023 2 Table of Content No. Content Page No. 1 Introduction 4 2 Background 5 3 Literature Review 7 4 Description of Organization’s Supply Chain Measurement System 9 - - Inventory Turnover Cash to Conversion Cycle ============ 9 10 5 Recommendation 12 6 Barriers of Recommendation 14 7 Conclusion 15 8 Personal Reflection 15 9 References 16 10 Plagiarism Rate Page 19 3 Introduction Source 1: https://www.rit.edu/articles/what-can-you-do-supply-chain-management-degree By ensuring the supplies reach the end consumers, there is a chain of procedures that links the holding of the raw materials to turn into the finished goods being transported out, which are being managed and maintained proficiently by the Supply Chain Management department of every company. Their job consists of purchasing raw materials, inventory management, ensuring production lines are in operation, and logistics for distribution through transportation. Being the centralized department, which controls the flow of the making of goods & services, they oversee the entire process to help the company cut costs and deliver the products to the customers efficiently. To avoid supply shortages, minimizing unnecessary steps and reducing avoidable risks in the supply chain are one of their top priorities. (Fernando, 2022) This report will be discussing the Inventory Turnover & Cash to Conversion Cycle of one of the largest manufacturers in the ASEAN Food & Beverages industry for 139 years, Fraser and Neave (F&N). 4 Background VISION To be a stable and sustainable Food & Beverage leader in the ASEAN region. MISSION Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd To be ASEAN’s leading owner & provider of quality & innovative products that consumers choose & trust. In 1883, F&N was founded by John Fraser & David Chalmers Neave, F&N produces halalcertified products ranging from packaged food, mineral water, beverages, and dairy products. Not only that, but they have also achieved an annual turnover (for every x amount of assets held, how many sales are made) of RM4 billion (2022), exported to over 89 countries around the world. Well-known for their leading beverage brands 100PLUS, F&N Fun Flavours and F&N Ice Mountain, they have diversified their portfolio by taking acquisition of a food product brand called Sri F&N Product Brands Nona, they are able to expand Malaysia's local tastes & cooking styles to other countries, including: ketupat (rice cakes), cooking condiments and many more. While focusing on exporting to overseas’ halal market, they have been awarded as the “Top 3 Performers in ASEAN'' for having a strong Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) for acting responsibly towards the needs of all stakeholders by putting commitment into sustainability for the earth. (F&N, 2023) (The Investopedia Team, 2023) 5 100PLUS Product Line F&N Soft Drinks Product Line 6 F&N Asian Drinks Product Line Acquisition of F&N Sri Nona Product Line Literature Review Before mentioning Inventory Turnover, inventory management must be explained. Inventory means stocks of finished goods & raw materials that are kept for future use. The kept stock of raw materials is prepared to satisfy normal demand patterns. What affects the inventory turnover is the internal & external variability (unfixed pattern) that disrupts the supply and demand in the market. Internal variability includes machine failure or production rate; External variability includes lead time, demand rate or low forecasting accuracy. Customers are given a lead time for an approximate timing from the placement of an order until the customer manages to receive the finished goods, but they expect lead time to be short & reliable. Inventory & safety stock helps companies to absorb the temporary hectic fluctuation to keep customers happy through customer service. Another variability is market variability where the price/exchange rate varies and discount offers that stores apply, for example: once the price goes down, the supply decreases and the 7 demand start to increase. The company has to manipulate prices of raw materials or finished goods to stabilize its value, to have control on the market variability. Inventory Turnover shows how efficiently a company makes usage of its inventory, by the Cost of Goods Sold (Net Sales) by dividing average inventory value, which is being stored in the warehouse in a given period. This supply chain measure helps businesses make wiser adjustments on pricing products, manufacturing stocks, marketing the goods, and purchasing raw materials. Efficient inventory usage helps the company warehouse to have its capacity to be used at potential levels, it can be used to compare to similar companies, so changes can be made to improve within the company. Low inventory turnover ratio shows signs of weak sales or too many stocks, but high inventory turnover ratio shows strong sales or too few stocks. To maintain a good ratio and have strong liquidity, the supply produced must meet the quantity demanded by consumers, not more and not less. Policies stated by accounting, intensive changes in costs, and seasonal factors (such as cultural festivals) may bring inaccurate information when comparing inventory turnover with other companies. (Fernando, 2023) Kwak (2019) made a research on the inventory turnover (IT) as an important measure as it shows that it can be a good indicator of a firm's performance in terms of financial sustainability. Cash to Conversion Cycle (CCC) explains how much time (in days) the company spends to turn its investments in inventory stock and other assets into sales that provide cash flows. Basically, the repetitive cycle to convert the raw materials, finished goods, WIPs and consumables into money. The purpose of this measure is to calculate how long each input (dollar) is stayed in the production & sales process before it gets converted into account receivables, to pay debts and bills. The company may face penalties or receive a bad reputation if the process is unnecessarily slow. This is another quantitative way to evaluate the efficiency of a company’s operations and management. (Hayes, 2022) Companies who are holding a low Cash to Conversion Cycle shows that they make sure their products are converted into cash at a fast rate. Return on Equity (ROE) & Return on 8 Assets (ROA) should be considered along with CCC when doing analysis with competitors’ management. Not only the company itself uses this measure, but suppliers will also refer to CCC in financial statements as a credit score before supplying raw materials or stocks. If the company has high CCC, suppliers will know if they will face a harder time to collect payment from the company who are facing cash flow problems. (Mueller, 2022) Al-Mohareb (2019) has investigated that CCC also plays a part in working capital management, where it is a process that the company makes sure its financial resources to its best usage. (Tuovila, 2023) The lower the CCC brings a lot of cash, where companies’ profitability shows high results, shareholders’ value increases because of decreasing receivables accounts and fast inventory. Description of Organization’s Supply Chain Measurement System Inventory turnover 9 Source 2: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MYX-F%26N/financials-statistics-and-ratios/invent-turnover/ The graph provides the 6-year inventory turnover of F&N Holdings BHD (F&NHB). From 2016 to 2019, they have kept a stable value of 5, but the value has fallen until 4 from the year 2020 to 2022. The optimal value of an inventory turnover is 5 to 10, and F&NHB has shown its decreasing value, showing that their inventory holds an excess of stocks which reasons can be having low sales, the decrease in market demand, interest of consumers is directed to another brand or people’s purchasing power had decreased due to COVID-19. (Jenkins, 2022) The formula consists of net sales divided by the average value of inventories. So, for every value of inventories that F&N holds, how much sales would they have in a period of time. F&NHB serves customers all over the world, where their supply is produced on an enormous scale in 9 different cutting-edged plants. It is difficult to control its supply when the market demand suddenly falls; let alone a company that wishes to keep aiming for more sales to generate profit, maximize shareholders’ wealth & focus on growth. Cash-to-conversion cycle 10 Source 3: https://finbox.com/KLSE:F&N/explorer/cash_conversion_cycle/ The graph provides the 10-year Cash-to-conversion cycle of F&N Holdings BHD (F&NHB). From 2013 to 2017, the time they need to convert inventory to cash to pay off debts is less than 80 days, but in 2018 onwards, the time needed starts to surge upwards to a maximum of 90 days. The lowest CCC that F&NHB has achieved is 56 days in September 2015. The formula for CCC calculates how quick (in days) a company turns its inventory to cash. It is broken down into 3 stages in the cycle, DIO (Days of inventory outstanding), DSO (Days sales outstanding), and DPO (Days payables outstanding). DIO is added up with DSO to take the amount of time accounted into turning the existing inventory into cash while DPO is subtracted because this is the money that is paid back to creditors that the company owes money to. (Hayes, 2022) 11 Source 4 & 5: https://finbox.com/KLSE:F&N/explorer/cash_conversion_cycle/ To find the optimal time for F&NHB with other companies, this graph provides the benchmark with firms in developing countries & manufacturing essential products for consumers. For the past 12 months, the current CCC for F&NHB is 74 days stated in the performance summary; therefore, if external stakeholders were to look at the graph, F&NHB takes a slightly longer time (compared to other firms) to pay back debts. However, the highlighted bar is close to the average percentile & the company has a great reputation, external stakeholders would not mind. 12 Recommendation Although F&NHB warehouses integrate the state-of-the-art technology, ASRS (Automated Storage and Retrieval Systems), the constant changing variable of quantity of SKUs has to be controlled more thoroughly. Thus, improving demand forecasting accuracy should be F&NHB’s priority to recover their inventory turnover. The low inventory turnover that is faced by F&NHB right now, is a cause that is affected by over-forecasting, where the aggregate supply is more than the actual demand from the market. First off, the product’s demand type needs to be found out, based on the position in the Product Life Cycle and adjust the forecasting algorithm accordingly. For example, F&N Orange Flavour’s low demand may state that it is reaching its decline stage. To prevent that from happening, F&NHB can plan to rebrand or change its product a little to keep the product fresh in the market. (Drakeley, 2021) Second method is to identify demand patterns from seasonal events, this allows F&BHB to fine-tune the forecast to a more accurate number to maintain an average inventory turnover. For instance, In Malaysia, Chinese people who celebrate Chinese New Year usually stock up more Asian drinks in their home, F&NHB should push out their F&N Asian Drinks to the market by effective marketing and seasonal discounted prices. With this method, F&NHB is prepared to supply for the spike in demand during seasonal events with the help of more precise forecasting accuracy. (Drakeley, 2021) Third method is to observe the state of the economy, with the hardships many people are facing from the aftermath of COVID-19, the purchasing power of each household has decreased immensely and they have to cut down their costs on buying products that are wanted but not needed. In this case, F&NHB should reply to the situation by performing market research to push out smaller package size of F&N 100PLUS, not only for its cheaper price but also for its lesser sugar content it has. Since the government has implemented sugar taxes to pursue unhealthy intake of sugar for each person in Malaysia, by charging companies, which companies had to bump up the prices. 13 A way to reduce Cash to Conversion Cycle is to encourage earlier payments from customers. F&NHB, as a supplier, set payment terms to distributors, so distributors can sell the stock first then only pay back F&NHB with the earnings made. It varies between 30-day, 45-day, 60-day or even longer payment terms for the invoice issued. Suppliers provide no incentives if the payment is made early, so F&NHB should consider temporary discounts for early payments. This will increase the liquidity of cash flows and it solves the problem of running short on cash. For example, F&NHB has a payment term of 45-day, but gives a discount if the distributor makes the payment under 30-days. (Gaviti, 2021) Another way to encourage earlier payments is to promise faster delivery for customers who pay in full & on time. During seasonal events, the market demand usually goes up for one product or a range of products. In this case, if the distributor manages to sell their stock quicker than usual & manages to pay on-time, F&NHB can find ways to speed up the process of delivery to the distributor. Since both parties want to take this opportunity to make as much sales as possible. (Gaviti, 2021) One more method to encourage earlier payments is to offer better bulk discounts for distributors who make a larger purchase order. By giving better bulk discounts, distributors themselves can sell at a lower price than their competitors, which results in more sales & better cash flow. Not only that, distributors can make offers to their customers by giving them FOC stock for bigger purchases. E.g. Customers of the distributor are eligible to receive 1 carton FOC for every 10 cartons of F&N Fun Flavour purchased, available to mix-and-match. This FOC carton allows the customer to earn extra income for themselves or even can pay the distributor’s invoice earlier, which the distributor also can pay F&NHB faster. 14 Barriers of Recommendation To have better forecasting accuracy for inventory turnover, there are 4 components that forecasting has to face. The 4 components are Qualitative, Time Series, Causal & Simulation. Firstly, the qualitative component is primarily subjective & relies on judgment depending on the current situation. This means that to have accurate forecasting, only people who are experienced in the F&B industry and read a lot of information in the market can provide better forecasts to follow. However, the forecaster has a huge responsibility and requires a high salary as it is a high pressure job to predict the supply needed to produce to cover the demand. Second, the time series component only uses historical data to perform forecasting, it is best when the data has stable demand, but at the same time the demand may fluctuate suddenly due to unforeseen events. Third, the causal component is about the relationship between demand & other factors, where F&NHB has to adjust themselves to the external environment accordingly, like newly launched product from competitors or pandemic situation that affects worldwide. Lastly, the simulation component requires F&NHB to imitate consumer choices that heightens the demand, so they can know which products to increase the supply in. To think from a customers’ perspective allows F&NHB to relate & understand what the customers’ want or need, so they would find a purpose to purchase the products. The recommendations of encouraging earlier payments from customers may backfire in the procedure. Temporary discounts and better bulk discounts increases liquidity of cash flow, but reduces the profit earned from each carton or pallet sold. F&NHB may have lesser returns to provide to their shareholders, or find it harder to pay back loans. Allowing faster delivery may reduce the quality of the products being sent to the distributors and end customers. Having to prioritize the goods to reach to customers fast by any means may cause the production to cut off quality or missing steps, delivery drivers causing reckless driving which leads into accidents and the loading docks may carelessly unload stocks that can cause damage to the packaging. 15 Conclusion Supply chain management plays the biggest role in all organizations as it includes the start of the handling process of acquiring raw materials to getting the finished goods sent to end consumers. Having a good inventory turnover shows that F&NHB have good inventory management and forecasting tactics. Being able to react to trends proficiently proves that there are no SKUs in their warehouse is considered as slow-moving inventory. (Jenkins, 2022) More external stakeholders want to find themselves working with companies who can provide positive results in selling the goods. Additionally, the better control in supply chain management F&NHB has, the more profits earned by the company that can also be reinvested back to focus on expanding its market to a global level. Operating on a global scale is a difficult task to handle as each geographic location has its own local needs & rules and the same inventory management strategy may not work for each decentralized warehouse that is far away from the main headquarters. Cash to Conversion Cycle is also another measure to prove the supply chain management of F&NHB being effective and shows the company’s financial standing being healthy. Although, having a low CCC may decrease the liquidity of the company, preventing F&NHB to making additional purchases to replenish the shortage of supply & generate sales, which may become an opportunity cost if the purchases are not done. The lack of liquidity also stops F&NHB to paying outstanding debts which are more important as to avoid penalties. Taking a slightly longer time to pay back debts for better investments does not hurt the company, it also helps F&NHB to cover up time wasted from unforeseen circumstances. (Hayes, 2022) Personal Reflection I have learnt that companies need measures to comply with in the supply chain process to keep everything in order. It made me understand the importance of having a strong supply chain management system that also brings a strong sustainability while keeping every stakeholder content. From writing this assignment, I also learnt that supply chain management isn’t all about handling goods & providing services, but also deals with other departments such as finance (to deal with payments), accounting (cash flows) and procurement (purchasing order). 16 References Al-Mohareb, M. (2019) Cash conversion cycle and profitability, evidence from Jordan, Research Gate. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/337025400_Cash_Conversion_Cycle_and_Profitability _Evidence_from_Jordan (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Drakeley, P. (2021) How to improve inventory turnover with inventory optimization, EazyStock. Available at: https://www.eazystock.com/blog/improve-inventory-turnover-inventoryoptimization/ (Accessed: April 2, 2023). F&NHB, (2022) FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD (FY2022 FINANCIAL RESULTS BRIEFING), Fraser & Neave. Available at: https://www.fn.com.my/wpcontent/uploads/2022/02/UPDATED-2H-FY22-CEO-Presentation.pdf (Accessed: April 1, 2023). F&NHB, (2023) BEVERAGES, Fraser and Neave. Available at: https://fraserandneave.com/ourbrands/food-beverage/beverages (Accessed: April 1, 2023). Fernando, J. (2022) Supply Chain Management (SCM): How it works and why it is important, Investopedia. Investopedia. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/scm.asp (Accessed: April 1, 2023). Finbox, (2023) Cash Conversion Cycle for Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd, The Complete Toolbox for Investors. Available at: https://finbox.com/KLSE:F&N/explorer/cash_conversion_cycle/ (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Hayes, A. (2022) Cash conversion cycle (CCC): What is it, and how is it calculated?, Investopedia. Investopedia. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cashconversioncycle.asp (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Hertz, I. (2021) 5 tips to reduce your cash conversion cycle, Gaviti. Available at: https://gaviti.com/5-tips-to-reduce-your-cash-conversion-cycle/ (Accessed: April 2, 2023). 17 Jenkins, A. (2019) Inventory turnover ratio: Trouble or Paradise?, Oracle NetSuite. Available at: https://www.netsuite.com/portal/resource/articles/inventory-management/inventory-turnoverratio.shtml#:~:text=For%20most%20industries%2C%20the%20ideal,prevent%20inventory%20l osses%20to%20spoilage. (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Kwak, J.K. (2019) Analysis of Inventory Turnover as a Performance Measure in Manufacturing Industry, ResearchGate. Available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/336637861_Analysis_of_Inventory_Turnover_as_a_Pe rformance_Measure_in_Manufacturing_Industry (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Mueller, J. (2022) Cash conversion cycle: Definition, formulas, and example, Investopedia. Investopedia. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/cashconversioncycle.asp (Accessed: April 2, 2023). Rochester Institute of Technology, (2023) What can you do with a supply chain management degree?, RIT. Available at: https://www.rit.edu/articles/what-can-you-do-supply-chainmanagement-degree (Accessed: April 1, 2023). The Investopedia Team, (2023) What is environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing?, Investopedia. Investopedia. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/environmental-social-and-governance-esg-criteria.asp (Accessed: April 1, 2023). TradingView, (2023) Inventory turnover of Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd – MYX:F&N, TradingView. Available at: https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MYXF%26N/financials-statistics-and-ratios/invent-turnover/ (Accessed: April 1, 2023). Tuovila, A. (2023) Working Capital Management explained: How it works, Investopedia. Investopedia. Available at: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/workingcapitalmanagement.asp (Accessed: April 2, 2023). 18 Unilever, (2018) Oligopoly market everywhere..., Kyo of Economics. Available at: https://kyoeconomics.wordpress.com/2018/07/13/oligopoly-market-everywhere/ (Accessed: April 1, 2023). F&NHB, (2023) About Us, Fraser & Neave. Available at: https://www.fn.com.my/about-us/ (Accessed: April 2, 2023). 19 Plagiarism Rate Page 20