11/07/2023 Financial Statement Analysis 1 Financial statement analysis involves the • Selection, • Evaluation, and • Interpretation of financial data and other pertinent information to assist in evaluating the operating performance and financial condition of a company. The operating performance of a company is a measure of how well a company has used its resources to produce a return on its investment (as demonstrated in the profit and loss statement). The financial condition of a company is a measure of its ability to satisfy its obligations, such as the payment of interest on its debt in a timely manner (as demonstrated in the balance sheet & cash flow statement). 2 1 11/07/2023 What are the statements? Financial statements are accounting reports issued by a firm periodically (usually quarterly and annually) that present past performance information and a snapshot of the firm’s assets and the financing of those assets In a firm, generally three core financial statements can be found: • Balance Sheet • Income Statement (Profit and Loss Account) & • Statement of Cash Flows (US GAAP 10-K filing also requires the statement of stockholders’ equity). Financial statements are required to be audited by a neutral third party, who checks and ensures that the financial statements are prepared according to accounting bodies guidelines/principles (such as GAAP or IFRS) and that the information contained is reliable. See the Appendix for general differences. 3 Who uses financial statements? Users of financial statements include: • • • • Present and potential investors. Financial managers within the firm. Financial analysts. Other interested outside parties (suppliers, trade creditors, and customers). 4 2 11/07/2023 Who uses financial statements? Investors. • Investors are concerned with the inherent risk and the return their investments provide. Investors include: • Bondholders use the firm’s financial statements to assess the ability of the company to make its debt payments. • Stockholders use the statements to assess the firm’s profitability and ability to make future dividend payments. Managers. Managers use financial statements to look at trends in their own business and to compare their results with that of competitors. 5 Who uses financial statements? Financial Analyst • Financial analysts gather financial information, analyze it, and make recommendations. • They read financial statements to determine a firm’s value and project future earnings so that they can guide businesses and individuals to help them with their investment decisions. • Financial analyst examines a company’s performance in the context of its industry (competitors) and economic environment to arrive at a decision or recommendation. 6 3 11/07/2023 Who uses financial statements? Financial Analyst • Often, the decisions and recommendations are - whether to invest in the company’s debt or equity securities and at what price. • An investor in debt securities is concerned about the company’s ability to pay interest and to repay the principal lent. • An investor in equity securities is an owner with a residual interest in the company and is concerned about its ability to pay dividends and the likelihood that its share price will increase. 7 Analysts typically have a specific economic decision in evaluating financial reports. Examples of these decisions include the following: ■ Evaluating an equity investment for inclusion in a portfolio. ■ Evaluating a merger or acquisition candidate. ■ Evaluating a subsidiary or operating division of a parent company. ■ Deciding whether to make a venture capital or other private equity investment. ■ Determining a company’s creditworthiness to decide whether to extend a loan to the company and, if so, what terms to offer. ■ Extending credit to a customer. ■ Examining compliance with debt covenants or other contractual arrangements. ■ Assigning a debt rating to a company or bond issue. ■ Valuing security (equity or debt) for recommending an investment to others. ■ Forecasting future net income and cash flow. 8 4 11/07/2023 These decisions demonstrate specific themes in financial analysis. In general, analysts seek to examine a company's past and current performance and financial position to form expectations about its future performance and financial position. Analysts are also concerned about factors affecting a company’s future performance and financial position risks. An examination of performance can include an assessment of a company’s profitability (the ability to earn a profit from delivering goods and services) and its ability to generate positive cash flows (cash receipts over cash disbursements). 9 Profit vs Cash Flow Profit and cash flow are not equivalent. Profit (or loss) represents the difference between the prices at which goods or services are provided to customers and the expenses incurred to provide those goods and services. In addition, profit (or loss) includes other income (such as investment income or income from selling items other than goods and services) minus the expenses incurred to earn that income. Overall, profit (or loss) equals income minus expenses, and its recognition is primarily independent of when cash is received or paid. The example below illustrates the distinction between profit (or loss) and cash flow. 10 5 11/07/2023 • Although profitability is important, so is a company’s ability to generate positive cash flow. • Cash flow is important because, ultimately, the company needs cash to pay employees, suppliers, and others in order to continue as a going concern. • A company that generates positive cash flow from operations has more flexibility in funding needed for investments and taking advantage of attractive business opportunities than an otherwise comparable company without positive operating cash flow. Source; CFA, 2019 11 Profit vs Cash Flow Additionally, a company needs cash to pay returns (interest and dividends) to providers of debt and equity capital. Therefore, the expected magnitude of future cash flows is important in valuing corporate securities and in determining the company’s ability to meet its obligations. The ability to meet short-term obligations is generally referred to as liquidity, and the ability to meet long-term obligations is generally referred to as solvency. 12 6 11/07/2023 Profit vs Cash Flow • Cash flow in any given period is not, however, a full measure of performance for that period because, as shown in the previous example, a company may be obligated to make future cash payments as a result of a transaction that generates positive cash flow in the current period. • Profits may provide helpful information about cash flows, past and future. If the transaction of the example were repeated month after month, the long-term average monthly cash flow of SD would equal €80,000, its monthly profit. • Analysts typically evaluate not only past profitability but also forecast future profitability. 13 Overview of the session Financial or Accounting Statements • The Statement of Financial Position or Balance Sheet • The Income Statement or Profit & Loss Account • Cash Flow Statement Financial Statement Analysis • Standardizing Financial Statements • Financial Ratio Analysis • Benchmarking Financial Statement Analyses 14 7 11/07/2023 The Statement of Financial Position What are the firm’s assets, and how are they funded? The Accounting Equation Shareholders’ Equity + Liabilities ≡ Assets 15 The Statement of Financial Position Why is it also called Balance Sheet? 16 8 11/07/2023 The Statement of Financial Position 17 The Statement of Financial Position 18 9 11/07/2023 Case Study Sky Plc (Financial Statements) 19 Sky Plc (Balance Sheet) Horizontal form Assets Non-Current Assets Intangible Assets Property, Plant and Equipment Investments and Joint Ventures Other Non-Current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Short-Term Deposits Cash and Cash Equivalents Other Current Assets Total Assets £m 1,829 1,088 706 253 3,876 546 635 295 1,082 15 2,573 6,449 Equity and Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Bank and Other Borrowings Non-Current Trade and Other Payables Other Non-Current Liabilities £m 2,658 56 144 2,858 Current Liabilities Borrowings Trade and Other Payables Other Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Equity and Liabilities 11 2,286 222 2,519 5,377 1,072 6,449 20 10 11/07/2023 Sky Plc (Balance Sheet) - Vertical form Assets Non-Current Assets Intangible Assets Property, Plant and Equipment Investments and Joint Ventures Other Non-Current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Short-Term Deposits Cash and Cash Equivalents Other Current Assets Total Assets £m 1,829 1,088 706 253 3,876 546 635 295 1,082 15 2,573 6,449 Equity and Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Bank and Other Borrowings Non-Current Trade and Other Payables Other Non-Current Liabilities £m 2,658 56 144 2,858 Current Liabilities Borrowings Trade and Other Payables Other Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Equity and Liabilities 11 2,286 222 2,519 5,377 1,072 6,449 21 Sky Plc (Balance Sheet) - Vertical form Assets Non-Current Assets Intangible Assets Property, Plant and Equipment Investments and Joint Ventures Other Non-Current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Short-Term Deposits Cash and Cash Equivalents Other Current Assets Total Assets £m 1,829 1,088 706 253 3,876 546 635 295 1,082 15 2,573 6,449 Equity and Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Bank and Other Borrowings Non-Current Trade and Other Payables Other Non-Current Liabilities £m 2,658 56 144 2,858 Current Liabilities Borrowings Trade and Other Payables Other Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Equity and Liabilities 11 2,286 222 2,519 5,377 1,072 6,449 22 11 11/07/2023 Three significant concerns when analysing financial position: 1. Liquidity. 2. Debt versus equity. 3. Value versus cost. 23 1. Liquidity Liquidity refers to the ease and quickness with which assets can be converted to cash (without significant loss in value). Current assets are the most liquid and include cash and assets that will be turned into cash within a year from the date of the statement of financial position. Trade receivables are amounts yet to be collected from customers for goods or services sold to them (after adjustment for potential bad debts). Inventories are composed of raw materials to be used in production, work in progress and finished goods. 24 12 11/07/2023 Non-current assets are the least liquid kind of assets. Tangible non-current assets: property, plant and equipment. Intangible non-current assets are the value of trademarks, patents or goodwill. Goodwill is an accounting term that reflects the premium paid by companies when they acquire other companies. The greater the liquidity of a firm’s assets - the less likely the firm is to experience problems meeting short-term obligations. The greater the liquidity of a firm’s assets - the lower the opportunity to invest in more profitable investment vehicles. 25 2. Debt versus Equity Shareholders’equity - claim against the firm’s assets that is residual. The residual difference between assets and liabilities: Assets - Liabilities ≡ Shareholder’s Equity Shareholders’ equity increases when retained earnings are added. Liabilities - obligations that require a payout within a stipulated period. Bankruptcy: Bondholders can sue the firm if it defaults on its bond contracts. 26 13 11/07/2023 3. Value versus Cost The accounting value is the book value of the assets (both fixed and current). European Union - International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). IFRS uses theoretical market or fair value, the price at which willing buyers and sellers would trade the assets. Unfortunately, the tradable value of assets is likely to differ from their accounting value - no liquid market allows the calculation of an asset’s accounting fair value. In these situations, the financial manager must estimate a fair value from a similar asset or a theoretical model. 27 Fair value and market value 28 14 11/07/2023 What would be the effect of revaluing the property to a figure of £110,000 in the statement of financial position? Show the revised statement. Revaluation of property from historical cost to fair value 29 Quiz 1 Required: (a) Prepare a statement of financial position for the business as of 30 September 2018 using the standard layout illustrated in the next slide. (b) Comment on the business’s financial position based on the statement prepared in (a). (c) Show the effect on the statement of the financial position shown in (a) of a decision to revalue the property to £115,000 and to recognise that the net realisable value of inventories at the yearend is £38,000. 30 15 11/07/2023 Template Historical Non-Current Assets Plant and equipment Property Motor vehicles Fixtures and fittings Total Non-current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade recievables Cash in hand Total Current Assets £ Non -current laibilities Long-term borrowings £ Total Non-current Liabilities Current Liabilities Trade payables Short term payable Total Current Liabilities Equity Opening balance Retained earings Revaluation gain/loss Total equity Total assets Total laibilities and equities 31 Net Working Capital How to Calculate Net Working Capital Current Assets Current Liabilities Net Working Capital 32 16 11/07/2023 The Income Statement How has the firm performed over the previous period? The Income Equation Revenues (Sales) Expenses (Costs) Income (Earnings) 33 34 17 11/07/2023 Sky Plc (Income Statement) Income Statement Revenue (Sales) Operating Expenses (COGS) Operating Profit Income from Joint Ventures and Investments Profit Before Interest and Taxation Finance Costs (Interest) Profit before Tax Tax Profit After Tax Number of Shares Earnings per Share (£) £m 7,632 6,471 1,161 61 1,222 140 1,082 217 865 1,575.59 0.549 35 When analysing an income statement, the financial manager should keep in mind: 1. Non-cash Items 2. Time & Costs. 3. Taxes 36 18 11/07/2023 1. Non-cash items Several non-cash items are expenses against revenues but do not affect cash flow. The most important of these is depreciation or capital allowances (part of operating expenses). Depreciation reflects the accountant’s estimate of the cost of equipment used up in the production process. According to accountants, the equipment cost must be expensed over the asset’s useful life. From a financial perspective, the asset’s cost is the actual negative cash flow incurred when the asset is acquired and not the accountant’s smoothed yearly depreciation expense. More on cash flow later. 37 2. Time and costs Future Time: Short run and Long run. The short run is the period in which: • Certain equipment, resources and commitments of the firm are fixed but long enough to vary output by using more labour and raw materials. • Some costs are fixed - that is, costs that will not change because of fixed commitments. E.g. bond/bank interest, overhead and property taxes. • Some costs are variable - change with output. E.g. raw materials and wages for employees in the production line. 38 19 11/07/2023 Long run: All costs are generally variable. Product costs are the total production costs incurred during a period – raw materials, direct labour and manufacturing overheads – and are generally reported on the income statement as the cost of goods sold. Period costs are allocated to a time period called selling, general and administrative expenses. One period cost would be the company chief executive’s salary. 39 3. Taxes • Taxes can be one of the most significant cash outflows a firm experiences. • For example, for the year ending 2013, Royal Dutch Shell’s profit before taxes was €26.9 billion. Its tax bill for this period was €17.1 billion or about 63.6 per cent of its pre-tax earnings. • The size of the tax bill is determined by: the tax code, set of rules, and any deferred taxes from earlier years. • Tax code is the result of political, not economic, forces. As a result, there is no reason why it has to make economic sense. 40 20 11/07/2023 Corporate tax rates of few sample countries https://home.kpmg/it/it/home/services/tax/tax-tools-and-resources/tax-rates-online.html 41 Corporate taxes are generally not a simple arithmetic deduction from profit before taxes. Almost all countries in the world allow firms to carry forward losses or defer taxes they have made in previous years to offset their tax bill in the future. This is what happened to Royal Dutch Shell in 2013. Although the corporate tax rate in the UK is much lower than 63.6 per cent, Royal Dutch Shell would have had to pay tax in different jurisdictions, many of which would have been greater than in the UK, as well as past taxes deferred from earlier years. 42 21 11/07/2023 Taxes Average vs Marginal Tax Rates Average Tax Rate Tax paid/profit before taxes Marginal Tax Rate Tax (%) you pay if you earn one more unit of currency. 43 Average vs Marginal Tax Rates The first €200,000 earned by Dutch firms (2023) pay 19 per cent tax; extra earnings pay 25.8 per cent tax. Suppose Dutch corporation has a taxable income of €400,000. Tax Paid 19% × €200 + 25.8% × €200 = €89.6 Tax Rates Average: 89.6/400 = 22.4% Marginal: 25.8% 44 22 11/07/2023 Which Tax Rate Should You Use in Financial Decisions? Use the Marginal Tax Rate since that is the rate that you would be taxed on any additional income earned 45 The Cash Flow Statement Where has the cash come from and what has the firm spent? 46 23 11/07/2023 Sky Plc (Cash Flow Statement) Cash Flow Statement £m CF (O) Cash Flow from Operating Activities Cash Generated from Operations Income from other activities Tax Paid Net Cash from Operating Activities 1,769 27 -240 1,556 CF (I) Cash Flow from Investing Activities Purchase of Property, Plant & Equipment Purchase of Intangible Assets Decrease in Short-Term Deposits Other Investments Net Cash used in Investing Activities -241 -302 300 -1 -244 NCF (F) NCF (O) Cash Flow from Financing Activities Interest Paid Dividends Paid Purchase of Own Shares Other Financing Activities Net Cash used in Financing Activities Net Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents -137 -485 -430 7 -1,045 267 47 Some important observations can be drawn from our discussion of cash flow: 1. Operating cash flow measures the cash generated from operations, not counting cash flows arising from investment expenditure or financing. • It is usually positive; a firm is in trouble if operating cash flow is negative for a long time because it is not generating enough cash to pay operating costs. • The total cash flow of the firm includes adjustments for capital spending and new financing. It will frequently be negative. • When a firm grows rapidly, spending on inventory and non-current assets can be higher than operating cash flow. 2. Profit is not cash flow. The profit made by Sky was £865 million, whereas cash flow was only £267 million. The two numbers are not usually the same. Cash flow is more revealing in determining a firm's economic and financial condition. 48 24 11/07/2023 Financial Statement Analysis How to assess firm performance, risk and liquidity Comparing Financial Statements: Size and Currency Bias It is almost impossible to directly compare the financial statements of two companies because of differences in size. For international firms from two countries, the currencies of the stated financial statements could be different. Important to Compare Like for Like: Standardizing Statements • Common-size Financial Statement • Financial Ratio Analysis 49 Standardizing statements Standardise Statements Financial Statements: Common-size Work with percentages instead of total monetary amounts. The resulting financial statements are called common-size statements. 50 25 11/07/2023 Non-standardized Sky Plc (Balance Sheet) How much in % do the intangible assets constitute of the total assets? 1,829/6,449 = 28% Assets Non-Current Assets Intangible Assets Property, Plant and Equipment Investments and Joint Ventures Other Non-Current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Short-Term Deposits Cash and Cash Equivalents Other Current Assets £m 1,829 1,088 706 253 3,876 546 635 295 1,082 15 2,573 6,449 Total Assets Equity and Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Bank and Other Borrowings Non-Current Trade and Other Payables Other Non-Current Liabilities £m 2,658 56 144 2,858 Current Liabilities Borrowings Trade and Other Payables Other Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Equity and Liabilities 11 2,286 222 2,519 5,377 1,072 6,449 51 Work with percentages instead of total monetary amounts. The resulting financial statements are called common-size statements. Common-size Balance Sheet (Sky Plc) Assets Non-Current Assets Intangible Assets Property, Plant and Equipment Investments and Joint Ventures Other Non-Current Assets Total Non-Current Assets Current Assets Inventories Trade and Other Receivables Short-Term Deposits Cash and Cash Equivalents Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Total Assets % 28% 17% 11% 4% 60% 8% 10% 5% 17% 0% 40% 100% Equity and Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Bank and Other Borrowings Non-Current Trade and Other Payables Other Non-Current Liabilities Total Non-Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Borrowings Trade and Other Payables Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Equity Total Equity and Liabilities % 41% 1% 2% 44% 0.2% 35% 3% 39% 83% 17% 100% 52 26 11/07/2023 Common-size Income Statement (Sky Plc) Income Statement Revenue Operating Expenses Operating Profit Income from Joint Ventures and Investments Profit Before Interest and Taxation Finance Costs (Interest) Profit before Tax Tax Profit After Tax £m 7,632 6,471 1,161 61 1,222 140 1,082 217 865 % 100% 85% 15% 1% 16% 2% 14% 3% 11% 53 How efficiently is the firm using it resources? Ratio Analysis The important financial ratios 54 27 11/07/2023 Ratio Analysis Liquidity Ratios Financial Leverage Ratios Profitability Ratios Turnover Ratios Market Value Ratios 55 Short-Term Solvency Ratios Current ratio = Quick ratio = Cash ratio = Current assets Current liabilities Current assets – Inventory Current liabilities Sky Plc Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios Current Quick Cash 1.02 0.80 0.43 times times times Cash and Cash Equivalents Current liabilities 56 28 11/07/2023 Long-Term Solvency Ratios Total debt ratio = Total assets – Total equity Total assets Debt–equity ratio = Total debt/Total equity Equity multiplier = Total assets/Total equity Times interest earned ratio = Cash coverage ratio = EBIT Interest Sky Plc Financial Leverage or Long-Term Solvency Ratios Total debt ratio 0.83 Debt to equity ratio 5.02 Equity Multiplier 6.02 Times interest earned 8.73 Cash coverage 11.64 Units times times times times times EBIT + Depreciation Interest 57 Asset Management Ratios Inventory turnover = Cost of goods sold Days’ sales in inventory = Receivables turnover = Inventory 365 days Inventory turnover Asset Management or Turnover Ratios Inventory turnover Days' sales in inventory Receivable turnover Days' sales in receivables Total asset turnover 11.85 31 12.02 30 1.18 times days times days times Sales Trade receivables Days’ sales in receivables = Total asset turnover = Sky Plc 365 days Receivables turnover Sales Total assets The CGS should include materials used, labour costs, managerial salaries and other costs of earning the revenues. Depreciation is included in the figure if it is being charged on assets directly related to the main revenue stream. Otherwise, it is left out. In Sky’s case, the depreciation would be charged for a reduction in their satellite equipment’s value, so this figure should be included in the cost of goods sold figure. 58 29 11/07/2023 Profitability Ratios Profit margin = Net income Sales Sky Plc Return on assets = Return on equity = Net income Total assets Profitability Ratios Profit margin Return on assets Return on equity 11.33% 13.41% 80.69% Net income Total equity 59 Market Value Ratios EPS = Net income Shares outstanding PE ratio = Price per share Earnings per share Market value or financial performance ratios EPS PE Ratio Market-to-book ratio 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 = Market value per share times times 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠 ′ 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 = Market-to-book-ratio = £0.55 16.80 13.56 £1072 = £0.68 1,575.69 Book value per share Book value per share is an accounting number that reflects historical costs. 60 30 11/07/2023 Profitability Ratios Profit margin Return on assets Return on equity 11.33% 13.41% 80.69% • Why is there a significant difference between ROA and ROE? • What are the reasons? The Du Pont Identity ROE is Affected By Operating Asset Use Financial Efficiency Efficiency Leverage 61 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 = × 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑟 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑟 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 1 + 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 + 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡 + 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 1 + 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 − 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 62 31 11/07/2023 Profitability Ratios Profit margin Return on assets Return on equity 11.33% 13.41% 80.69% 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐴 × 1 + 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 − 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 13.41% × 1 + 5.02 = 80.69% Financial Leverage or Long-Term Solvency Ratios Total debt ratio 0.83 Debt to equity ratio 5.02 Equity Multiplier 6.02 Times interest earned 8.73 Cash coverage 11.64 Units times times times times times The difference between ROE (80.69%) and ROA (13.41%) can be substantial, as shown for Sky plc. This is because of the amount of debt that the company has taken on, as measured by the debt-equity ratio, also determines the ROE in addition to ROA. 63 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 × × 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × × 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 ROA 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 𝑃𝑀 × 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟(𝑇𝐴𝑇) × 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑡𝑖𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑒𝑟(EM) Du Pont identity 64 32 11/07/2023 For sky 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × × 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑃𝑀 × 𝑇𝐴𝑇 × 𝐸𝑃 • Weakness in either operating or asset use efficiency (or both) will show up in a diminished return on assets, which will translate into a lower ROE. • The ROE could be leveraged up by increasing the amount of debt in the firm. • However, notice that increasing debt also increases interest expense, reducing profit margins, which reduces ROE. This 80.69% ROE is exactly what we had before. The Du Pont identity implies that three things • More important, the use of debt determine ROE: financing has several other effects. 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 11.33% × 1.18 × 6.02 = 80.69% • If ROE is unsatisfactory by some measure, then the Du Pont identity tells you where to start looking for the reasons. 1. Operating efficiency (profit margin) 2. Asset use efficiency (total asset turnover) 3. Financial leverage (equity multiplier) 65 The Dupont Identity: Proof Return on equity = = ROE = ROE = Sales Sales × Net income Total equity Net income Assets = × Net income Net income Assets × Sales Net income Total equity × Assets Assets Assets Total equity × Assets Total equity × Assets Sales Assets Total equity Return on assets = Profit margin × Total asset turnover × Equity multiplier 66 33 11/07/2023 Using Financial Statement Information: Choose a Benchmark Time Trend Analysis Look at the same ratio over a number of years. Peer Group Analysis Compare the ratio with similar firms Companies in the same industry (Check SIC Code) 67 SIC Codes: Examples C Manufacturing K Financial and Insurance Activities 10 Manufacture of Food Products 64 Financial Service Activities, except Insurance and Pension Funding 22 Manufacture of Rubber and Plastic Products 65 Insurance, Reinsurance and Pension Funding, except Compulsory Social Security 24 Manufacture of Basic Metals F Construction 41 Construction of Buildings M Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 69 Legal and Accounting Activities 42 Civil Engineering 72 Scientific Research and Development 43 Specialised Construction Activities 73 Advertising and Market Resarch 68 34 11/07/2023 Aspirant Analysis Ratios For the Fiscal Period Ending Profitability Return on Assets % Return on Equity % Net Income Margin % Ebay 2021 Amazon 2021 8.0% 3.8% 130.6% 4.2% 28.8% 7.1% Asset Turnover Total Asset Turnover Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover 0.5x 14.6x NA 1.3x 20.8x 9.7x 2.0x 1.8x 1.1x 0.9x Long Term Solvency Total Debt/Equity LT Debt/Equity Total Liabilities/Total Assets EBIT / Interest Exp. 96.5% 81.1% 63.3% 11.0x 100.9% 88.7% 67.1% 13.8x Valuations PE ratio M/B ratio 15.25x 3.85x 63.74x 18.77x Short Term Liquidity Current Ratio Quick Ratio Source: Capital IQ 69 Financial Statement Analysis: Some Issues Inappropriate Peers • Some companies operate in several industries • Different Accounting Standards Aspirant Analysis • You may want to compare your firm with the best in the industry • Choose similar firms at the top of the industry Sources of Information • Financial Websites: Yahoo! Finance, Reuters, FT.Com, ADVFN.com, Motley Fool • Company Accounts: Download from website 70 35 11/07/2023 Accounting Manipulation or Creative Accounting • • • • • • Overstating revenues Lowering depreciation Delaying expenses Capitalizing expenses Masking liabilities Using provisions to smooth income • Hiding losses 71 Quiz 2: Historical income statements and balance sheets for ABC Corp. are shown below. Undertake a complete Common-size and Financial Ratio Analysis. Balance Sheet ($ Million) Income Statement ($ Million) Year Ending Dec. 31, 2018 2019 2020 2021 Assets Cash and Marketable Securities Accounts Receivable Inventories Other Current Assets Total Current Assets $25.6 $99.4 $109.6 $96.7 $331.3 $23.0 $102.9 $108.0 $91.4 $325.3 $32.1 $107.3 $114.9 $103.7 $358.0 $28.4 $120.1 $116.8 $97.5 $362.8 Property, Plant and Equipment, Gross Accumulated Depreciation Property, Plant and equipment, Net $680.9 $244.8 $436.1 $734.3 $296.8 $437.5 $820.8 $352.7 $468.1 $913.1 $427.9 $485.2 Other Non-Current Assets Total Non-Current Assets $203.2 $639.3 $205.1 $642.6 $407.0 $875.1 $456.3 $941.5 $970.6 $967.9 $1,233.1 $1,304.3 Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity Accounts Payable Short-Term Debt Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities $82.8 $39.1 $152.0 $273.9 $77.1 $29.7 $123.8 $230.6 $71.8 $79.8 $172.1 $323.7 $80.5 $110.3 $111.3 $302.1 Long-Term Debt Deferred Income Taxes Other Non-Current Liabilities Total Liabilities $163.5 $22.3 $100.6 $560.3 $145.0 $19.6 $80.1 $475.3 $201.8 $15.0 $115.0 $655.5 $218.1 $12.7 $94.5 $627.4 Paid-In Capital Retained Earnings Total Shareholders' Equity $46.9 $363.4 $410.3 $46.1 $446.5 $492.6 $38.2 $539.4 $577.6 $44.8 $632.1 $676.9 $970.6 $967.9 $1,233.1 $1,304.3 Total Assets Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity Sales Cost of Sales Gross Operating Income 2018 $1,234.9 $679.1 $555.8 Year Ending Dec. 31, 2019 2020 $1,251.7 $1,300.4 $659.0 $681.3 $592.7 $619.1 2002 $1,334.4 $667.0 $667.4 Selling, General & Admn. Expenses Depreciation Other net (Income)/Expenses EBIT $339.7 $47.5 ($11.8) $180.4 $348.6 $52.0 ($7.6) $199.7 $351.2 $55.9 ($7.0) $219.0 $373.3 $75.2 ($8.2) $227.1 Interest (Income) Interest Expense Pre-Tax Income ($1.3) $16.2 $165.5 ($1.4) $15.1 $186.0 ($1.7) $20.5 $200.2 ($2.0) $23.7 $205.4 Income Taxes Net Income $56.8 $108.7 $64.2 $121.8 $67.5 $132.7 $72.6 $132.8 $38.3 $70.4 $38.7 $83.1 $39.8 $92.9 $40.1 $92.7 Dividends Addition to Retained Earnings Other Data Stock price (year-end) Number of shares outstanding (millions) 2018 $55.50 48.0 2019 $65.30 47.3 2020 $55.70 46.8 2021 $51.40 46.2 72 36 11/07/2023 Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios Current Quick Cash ratio Identify the following financial ratios Financial Leverage or Long-Term Solvency Ratios Total debt ratio Debt to equity ratio Equity Multiplier Times interest earned Cash coverage Asset Management or Turnover Ratios Inventory turnover Days' sales in inventory Receivable turnover Days' sales in receivables Total asset turnover Profitability or Operating Performance Ratios Profit margin Return on assets Return on equity Market value or financial performance ratios EPS PE Ratio Market-to-book ratio 73 74 37 11/07/2023 Homework Find the most recent financial statements for Starbucks’ corporation (SBUX) using the following sources: a. From the company’s Web page www.starbucks.com. (Hint: Search for “investor relations.”) b. From the SEC Web site www.sec.gov. (Hint: Search for company filings in the EDGAR database.) c. From the Marketwatch Web site www.marketwatch.com. d. From at least one other source. (Hint: Enter “SBUX 10K” at www.google.com.) Each method will help find the same SEC filings. Yahoo! Finance also provides some analysis such as charts and key statistics. 75 Appendix 76 38 11/07/2023 Different Accounting Standards • US: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) • As of 2018, over 180 jurisdictions, including EU, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Russia, India, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore: International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) • China: Chinese Accounting Standards (CAS) • Companies face tremendous accounting complexities when they operate internationally. • Investors also need help interpreting the financial statements of foreign companies, which discourages them from investing abroad. • However, as companies and capital markets become more global, interest in harmonising accounting standards across countries has increased. 77 Difference between IFRS and US-GAAP 1. Treatment of inventory IFRS: LIFO method is not allowed. US-GAAP: Both LIFO and FIFO are allowed. 2. Intangibles IFRS: The cost of the research phase is expensed as incurred. Costs in the development phase may be capitalised based on certain factors. US-GAAP: Generally requires immediate expensing of research and development expenditures, although some exceptions exist. 78 39 11/07/2023 Difference between IFRS and US-GAAP 3. Rules vs Principles in the accounting process IFRS: IFRS sets forth principles that companies should follow and interpret to the best of their judgment. Companies enjoy some leeway to make different interpretations of the same situation. US-GAAP: the accounting process is prescribed in highly specific rules and procedures, offering little room for interpretation. The measures are devised to prevent opportunistic entities from creating exceptions to maximise their profits. 4. Recognition of revenue IFRS: revenue is recognised when the value or % of the value is delivered. US-GAAP: revenue is not recognised until the exchange of a good or service has been completed. 79 Difference between IFRS and US-GAAP 5. Classification of liabilities IFRS: No plain distinction between liabilities in IFRS, so short-term and long-term liabilities may be grouped together. US-GAAP: Liabilities are classified into either current or non-current liabilities, depending on the duration allotted for the company to repay the debts. Debts that the company expects to repay within the next 12 months are classified as current liabilities, while debts whose repayment period exceeds 12 months are classified as long-term liabilities. 80 40 11/07/2023 6. Fair Value Revaluations IFRS: Allows revaluation of the following assets to fair value if fair value can be measured reliably: inventories, property, plant & equipment, intangible assets, and investments in marketable securities. This revaluation may be either an increase or a decrease in the asset’s value. US-GAAP: Revaluation is prohibited except for marketable securities. 7. Fixed Assets IFRS: Long-lived assets are initially valued at a cost but can later be revalued up or down to market value. Any separate components of an asset with different useful lives are required to be depreciated separately under IFRS. US-GAAP: Requires that long-lived assets, such as buildings, furniture and equipment, be valued at historical cost and depreciated appropriately. 81 8. Investment Property IFRS: Includes the distinct category of investment property, which is defined as property held for rental income or capital appreciation. Investment property is initially measured at cost and can be subsequently revalued to market value. US-GAAP: GAAP has no such separate category. 82 41