Problem 1 [38pt] Consider the following road network: ( 2 min if y ≤ 0.5 1.5 + y min if y > 0.5 y H B h 1−y ( 1 min if 1 − y ≤ 0.7 0.3 + (1 − y) min if 1 − y > 0.7 C x A 1−x 2 min L l 3 min c min s D Numbers on the edges show the travel time (in minutes) on each road; x, 1 − x, y, 1 − y are fractions of all drivers on roads L, l, H and h, respectively. All drivers start at A and finish at B. The difference from the assignment problem in (a)–(f) is that we will assume that there are only two drivers (hence, when one driver takes a road, then 0.5 fraction of all drivers take this road). (a) [4pt] Identify the pure strategies of each player. Compute the payoffs to each of the players from six strategy profiles. If you compute more than six payoffs, the first six will be checked by a marker. You can answer this question by drawing a table with strategies and payoffs. Note that c is not given a numeric value; do not substitute any value for c. Do not eliminate any strictly dominated strategies, but assume that no driver drives away from B or uses the same road twice (that is, do not consider such strategies as LslL . . . ). For (b)–(e), we set c = 1. (b) [3pt] Find best response(s) for one of the players for each strategy you have identified in (a). (c) [3pt] Identify all strictly dominated strategies and prove that they are. Explain why other strategies are not strictly dominated. (d) [3pt] Identify all strictly dominant strategies and prove that they are. Explain why other strategies are not strictly dominant. (e) [4pt] Find all pure strategy Nash equilibria of this game. Explain why they are Nash equilibria and why there are no other pure strategy Nash equilibria. (f) [4pt] Suppose now that c = 0.3. Find all pure and mixed strategy Nash equilibria of that game. We now return to the model with infinitely many drivers (the road network is exactly the same). Suppose that driving time on s is different for different drivers and given by the function c(i) = i, where i ∈ [0, 1] is the index of a driver. Hence, for any x, the fraction x of all drivers have the driving time less than x and the fraction (1 − x) of drivers have the driving time more than x. The minimum driving time, for driver i = 0, is 0 and the maximum driving time, for driver i = 1, is 1. (g) [8pt] Find a pure-strategy Nash equilibrium of this game. We now return to the problem with two drivers. Suppose that the one driver moves first (we will call her the first driver) and the other driver moves next (the second driver). Suppose further that, when deciding upon his strategy, the second driver sees whether the first driver 1 took road L or l, but does not know what happens when the first driver reaches points C or D, respectively. Note that the second driver decides upon a strategy (that is, a complete route) when he starts driving and does not change the route en route. (h) [5pt] Represent this game as a sequential game (draw a tree). As in (a), you need to identify only six payoffs. (i) [4pt] Find one subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (SPNE) and explain why it is an SPNE. Problem 2 [11pt] Suppose that agent’s preferences are represented by a linear utility function u(m, t) = m + kt, where t ∈ R+ is the amount of toilet paper that the agent consumes, m ∈ R+ is the amount of other goods she consumes and k > 0 is a parameter (a given value and not a good consumed by the agent). Goods t and m are perfectly divisible throughout the problem. Let the price of m be 1 and the price of toilet paper be pt > 0. (a) [3pt] Write a Marshallian demand function for this agent for any value of k > 0. (b) [3pt] Write a Hicksian demand function for this agent for any value of k > 0. Suppose in the remainder of the problem that the price of a roll of toilet paper has the following schedule: ( $0.4 if t ≤ 2; pt = $2 if t > 2. (c) [5pt] Let k = 1. What is the consumer’s optimal bundle for any income Y > 0? Problem 3 [13pt] Consider a two-person household with arbitrary preferences 1 and 2 , which satisfy all the axioms we imposed on individual preferences. Note that, unlike the assignment problem, we do not specify any utility function for these individuals. Sometimes these two persons need to make joint decisions. They decide very simply: for any two alternatives, (x1 , y1 ) and (x2 , y2 ), they vote. If they both pick the same alternative, say (x1 , y1 ), we say that household prefers (x1 , y1 ). If one member of the household prefers (x1 , y1 ) and the other is indifferent, then we say the household prefers (x1 , y1 ). If they pick different alternatives (say person 1 picks (x1 , y1 ) and person 2 picks (x2 , y2 )), then we say that household is indifferent between (x1 , y1 ) and (x2 , y2 ). Similarly, if they are both indifferent, we say that the household is indifferent. The resulting choice between two bundles defines the preferences of the household, H . In lectures, we defined transitivity using “no-worse-than” () preference relation. If you prefer, you can use the following alternative definition of transitivity: preferences are transitive if, whenever (x1 , y1 ) (x2 , y2 ) and (x2 , y2 ) (x3 , y3 ), then (x1 , y1 ) (x3 , y3 ). Prove that the preferences of the household are transitive or give a counter-example showing that preferences are not transitive. 2 Problem 4 [26pt] You should provide explanations for all your answers. While you are welcome to use Bayes’ formula, you are not required to do so. Consider an information cascade problem with asymmetric signals. There are two states of the world, Y and N , with prior belief that P (Y ) = P (N ) = 0.5. Ann’s utility when she takes action ΥA in state Y or action ηA in state N is 1; it is 0 otherwise. (a) [3pt] Suppose Ann has not received any signal about the true state of the world and must base her action only on the information given above. What is Ann’s optimal action? Explain. Suppose Ann receives signals yA and nA with probabilities p(yA |Y ) = 0.25, p(nA |Y ) = 0.75, p(yA |N ) = 0, p(nA |N ) = 1. (b) [3pt] Suppose Ann receives signal yA . What is Ann’s optimal action? (c) [3pt] Suppose Ann receives signal nA . What is Ann’s optimal action? Suppose Bob’s signals yB , nB are generated according to the following probabilities: P (yB |Y ) = P (nB |N ) = 0.9, P (nB |Y ) = P (yB |N ) = 0.1 (d) [3pt] Suppose Bob observes Ann’s action and receives signal yB . What is Bob’s optimal action? (You need to provide an answer for each possible action of Ann) (e) [3pt] Suppose Bob observes Ann’s action and receives signal nB . What is Bob’s optimal action? (You need to provide an answer for each possible action of Ann) (f) [6pt] Suppose that Carol, before receiving her own signal, wants to calculate her belief about states Y and N . Calculate Carol’s belief for each feasible sequence of actions by Ann and Bob; do not simplify your expressions. Suppose Carol’s signals yC , nC are generated according to the following probabilities: P (yC |Y ) = P (nC |N ) = 0.9, P (nC |Y ) = P (yC |N ) = 0.1. Suppose that it is important for Carol to match the action with the state only when the state is N , but not when the state is Y . That is, Carol’s utility is equal to 1 when she takes action ηC in state N ; in all other cases, her utility is 0. (g) [5pt] Identify Carol’s optimal actions for every feasible sequence of decisions by Ann and Bob. Problem 5 [12pt] Consider two utility functions: u1 (x, y) = x − α|x − y|, α > 0 1 x − , β > 0. u2 (x, y) = x − β x+y 2 Construct two specific bundles, (x1 , y1 ), (x2 , y2 ), which would allow a researcher to distinguish whether an individual has preferences 1 or 2, or show that it is impossible. Notes: You are only allowed to offer the individuals the choice between two bundles; you are not allowed to design a more sophisticated experiment. If you think that the preferences can be distinguished, you must provide specific bundles (e.g., numbers). Please economise on your algebra; it is not the basis for your assessment. 3