CHENNAI, NEW DELHI, MuMBAI, BENGALuRu, KOLKATA, AHMEDABAD, HyDERABAD, CHANDIGARH*, PuNE* VOL. 17 NO. 171 Thursday, July 20, 2023 Think Ahead. Think Growth. mint primer QUICK EDIT What India’s top exporting states have done right AI caution for India BY N MADHAVAN Seven states account for 75% of India’s exports and they have dominated the Niti Aayog’s Export Preparedness Index for the last three years. What are they doing right? Mint looks at their policies and how they are building the ecosystem. Successful states Export preparedness evaluated across four pillars — policy, business environment, export ecosystem and export performance. Rank on Niti Aayog’s Export Preparedness Index Exports (in $ billion)* 147 Gujarat Tamil Nadu 3 28 22 Uttar Pradesh Haryana 1 41 Karnataka Andhra Pradesh 2 73 Maharashtra 4 20 All India 7 447 8 5 16 * Source: NIRYAT portal (merchandise export data for FY23) SARVESH KUMAR SHARMA/MINT 1 Which is the most competitive state? Tamil Nadu has emerged as the most export-competitive state in the country. This is based on the Export Preparedness Index that Niti Aayog has released for 2022. Maharashtra came second, followed by Karnataka and Gujarat (last year’s topper). Haryana takes the fifth spot. Smaller and Himalayan states are at the bottom of the list. They include Lakshadweep, Mizoram, Dadra & Nagar Haveli, Daman & Diu, Arunachal Pradesh and Meghalaya. Tamil Nadu’s strong show on its export-related policy ecosystem, business environment, infrastructure and export performance got it to the top. 3 2 What’s common to the top performers? Coastal states have done well in the ranking, grabbing the top four places. In fact, they have taken five of the top 10 ranks, with Andhra Pradesh taking the ninth spot. West Bengal (ranked 14th) and Kerala (19th) are the only outliers here. The top performers have put in place export promotion policies, not just at the state level but even at district levels. Their global footprint is wide with a larger export basket. They have also taken measures to promote products that are unique to their state. For instance, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka export the highest number of geographical indication (GI) products. How does the export ranking work? The Niti Aayog evaluates export preparedness across four pillars — policy, business environment, export ecosystem and export performance. The index, prepared in association with the Institute for Competitiveness, uses 56 indicators to capture export preparedness at the state and district levels. The index seeks to promote healthy competition. are the top exporting states? 4 Which Gujarat is the top merchandise exporter. In FY23, its goods exports totalled $147 billion — a third of India’s $447 billion and twice that of nearest challenger Maharashtra ($73 billion). Tamil Nadu ($41 billion), Karnataka ($28 billion) and Uttar Pradesh ($22 billion) make up the rest of India’s top five exporters. In fact, 75% of India’s exports come from just seven states. Gujarat is the largest exporter of petroleum products and chemicals. Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu top in engineered goods. 5 How has India been doing in exports? Despite the pandemic and supplyside challenges, India’s goods exports have remained robust. They touched an all-time high of $447 billion in FY23 after registering a sharp growth in FY22 ($418 billion) as against $292 billion in FY21. The government refrained from announcing the FY24 target after global headwinds caused a slowdown. Media reports suggest it may set a range of $450 billion to $500 billion for goods exports. In FY23, services exports were $323 billion, taking India’s overall exports to $770 billion. While fears of artificial intelligence (AI) eliminating jobs are pervasive, India has reason to be particularly worried, according to Emad Mostaque, chief executive officer (CEO) of Stability AI, a company known for text-toimage generator tool Stable Diffusion. Indian engineers working in the information technology sector would be badly hit as AI deployment by multinationals would lessen work coming their way, Mostaque said. That labour protection remains weak in India exposes them further to job-loss risks. AI is rapidly invading our lives and could soon be powerful even without the need for an internet link, allowing tools to evade supervision. He isn’t the only tech leader who has flagged AI perils. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has advocated quick regulation, while Google and Microsoft executives have expressed anxiety too. Some of it sounds like the hype over AI capabilities or put-downs of what humans do at work, but the threat to jobs means labour-market planning no longer sounds like an idea taken from the Soviet model of a controlled economy. Instead, it is something that economic planners must pay attention to. Jobless growth can spawn all manner of crises. MINT METRIC by Bibek Debroy In Kedarnath helipad, a mutt Got a hefty kick on the butt. In pursuit of a selfie, He was silly and carefree. Saved from the blades, the nut. QUOTE OF THE DAY I think India’s opportunity currently is to cash in on the ‘China plus one’ opportunity. This opportunity won’t stay open for 10 years. AJAY BANGA WORLD BANK PRESIDENT MINT PODCASTS TRANSFORMATIVE CARE ON CYBER SECURITY A POVERTY UPDATE We talk to Girish Raghavan, vicepresident, engineering, GE HealthCare, to explore the advancements in the medtech sector and gain insights into precision care. Don’t miss out on this enlightening conversation that delves into the transformative potential of digital health. Watch now! Discover the hidden world of cyber security insurance in this episode of the Why Not Mint Money podcast. Join us as we speak with Abhishek Bondia, principal officer and managing director at SecureNow.in, about the growing threat of online fraudsters armed with AI tools. Explore India’s progress in reducing multidimensional poverty among 135 million citizens between 2015-16 and 2019-21, as revealed by the Niti Aayog. Discover the methodology behind this calculation using the National Family Health Survey. For a detailed explanation, tune in to this insightful episode now! PLAIN FACTS Japan 2.0: Change is afoot or flash-in-pan? by DEEPA VASUDEVAN T he Nikkei 225 index hit an all-time high of 38,195 points in December 1989, a fitting finale to a decade of spectacular boom in Japan. But as 1990 began, Japan’s asset bubble burst and the stock market went into a long slump. For the next three decades, the country experienced low growth, low inflation, low interest rates, and a rapidly ageing society—a phenomenon so novel that it became known as ‘Japanification’. This staggering economic decline did not respond to fiscal stimulus or monetary easing, and barely budged when the Bank of Japan (BoJ) experimented with yield curve control. Metaphorically speaking, it seemed that the sun had set on the land of the rising sun. Ironically, as the rest of the world struggles with a war and the aftermath of a pandemic, Japan may be on the cusp of a growth renewal. A series of reforms are changing entrenched corporate cultures and attracting investor attention. Between April and June 2023, net foreign purchases of cash equities jumped to 6.15 trillion yen, or $44.9 billion. In June, two leading foreign funds—BlackRock and Berkshire Hathaway—endorsed Japan. The Japanese stock market has outperformed almost every other market in the first half of 2023: the Nikkei 225 crossed the key 33,000 milestone on 13 June, 33 years after its 1990 crash. But is this rally sustainable, or is Japan just the flavour of the month in a market deprived of good news? That depends on whether policymakers and corporate chiefs are able to use current conditions to alter economic fundamentals. Japan‘s stocks are rising, reversing decades of slump Japanese equity markets have outshone almost all others in 2023 Nikkei 225, monthly averages Returns in first half of 2023 (%) 40,000 US (Nasdaq) Nikkei peak Nikkei crosses 33,000 35,000 31.7 Japan (Nikkei 225) 27.2 Japan (Topix) 30,000 21 US (S&P 500) 25,000 Abenomics The lost decades 15.9 South Korea (Kospi) 20,000 13.2 Europe (Stoxx 600) Covid-19 8.7 India (Sensex) 15,000 6.4 Emerging markets (MSCI EM) 10,000 UK (FTSE 100) Global financial crisis 5,000 3.5 1.1 China -0.8 (CSI 300) 0 Jan 1989 2000 2010 -4.4 Jun 2023 Source: St. Louis Fed Hong Kong (Hang Seng) Source: Investing.com Corporate Governance Decades of cautious investment have led to cash-rich balance sheets DURING 1993-2003, Japan’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an average rate of 1%. As growth declined, firms became risk-averse and reluctant to invest in new businesses. The gross investment rate dropped from 32% to 26% in that period, while corporate taxes fell and wages grew slowly. The result was that corporate profits started accumulating as cash holdings. When companies do not use capital efficiently, investors are pessimistic about their future prospects. Not surprisingly, by March 2023, half the companies listed in the “Prime” category of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) traded at prices below their book values. In March, TSE proposed that firms consciously work toward increasing their return on equity; and indicated that failure to comply may result in delisting. This suggestion has been a huge success: Share buybacks and dividend payouts have shot up and shareholder feedback is being heard. Corporate Japan is becoming more investor-friendly, providing a strong boost to share prices. Aggregate cash to total assets ratio of Japanese companies, quarterly (%) 5 Year-on-year increases (%) Wages in major enterprises, annual 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 CPI, monthly -3 Jan 1993 2000 May 2023 2010 13 12 11 10 9 8 Q2 2001 Q1 2023 Source: Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance, Japan Inflation, Finally Rising inflation has pushed up wage hikes to a 30-year high 4 14 Source: Official websites JAPAN HAS struggled with low inflation and deflation since the 1990s, barring a few brief episodes of mild price increases. The current spell of inflation could fizzle out too, since it appears to be mainly driven by rising food prices. Yet, investors and policymakers have welcomed it as a sign of a return to the target 2% rate. Inflation has been above 3% since August 2022, but BoJ is in no hurry to tighten monetary policy. It has opted instead to support the country’s fragile growth. Despite BoJ’s dovish stance, inflation has finally led to higher wages. Nominal wage increases were languishing at around 2% for many years, but the 2023 spring wage negotiations between trade unions and employers resulted in a 3.8% agreed hike, the highest in 30 years. This sets a new benchmark for corporate wages. Higher wages are expected to boost consumption and relieve households facing inflation after many years. Trade Linkages THE NEWFOUND optimism owes much to recent developments. Rising US-China tensions make Japan more attractive to investors: Japan offers exposure to Asia while also being a western ally. Japan is also sometimes seen as a safer play on China: it benefits from China’s growth because China is its largest trading partner, but is a less risky investment destination. Also, the yen has depreciated by 9.4% this year, giving exports a competitive boost, and making Japanese stocks cheaper. But each of these themes could quickly turn unfavourable. Foreign capital is likely to shift to China if it returns to pre-pandemic growth levels. The yen’s export advantage will disappear once US monetary policy normalizes. Meanwhile, a weaker yen makes imports dearer. Thus how the Japan story plays out will depend on how much value can be unlocked by the combination of favourable macroeconomic conditions and corporate governance reforms. The author is an independent writer on economics and finance. Japan‘s trade exposure to high-growth Asia makes it attractive Figures for 2022 in $ bn Top export partners China US South Korea Hong Kong Thailand Singapore Germany Vietnam Australia Malaysia Asian economies Top import partners 145 140 54 33 32 22 20 19 17 16 China US Australia UAE Saudi Arabia South Korea Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Malaysia 189 91 88 46 42 34 29 27 26 26 Source: Trading Economics PARAS JAIN/MINT PEANUTS by Charles M. Schulz This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER CHENNAI, NEW DELHI, mUmBAI, BENGALURU, KOLKATA, AHmEDABAD, HYDERABAD, cHANDIGARH*, PUNE* VOL. 17 NO. 171 Rs. 15.00 16 PAGES Thursday, July 20, 2023 The best of frenemies: Saudi prince and UAE president uP10 livemint.com SENSEX 67,097.44 302.3 NIFTY 19,833.15 83.9 DOLLAR ₹82.10 ₹0.06 EURO ₹92.19 ₹0.10 OIL $80.07 $0.58 Sensex scales fresh peak, breaches the 67K mark uP4 GOLD ₹59,633 ₹421 Vedanta makes a fresh bid to sell steel biz ESL Go First may have to sign new leases before relaunch After failed December attempt, Citigroup, JPMorgan mandated for sale Anu Sharma & Anirudh Laskar NEW DELHI/mUmBAI Satish John & Anirudh Laskar SECoNd ATTEmPT mUmBAI B illionaire Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta Ltd is seeking to sell ESL Steel Ltd, formerly known as Electrosteel Steels Ltd, after acquiring the asset for ₹5,320 crore through a bankruptcy resolution process five years ago, two people familiar with the development said. A previous attempt to sell the asset in late December failed as certain approvals, including environmental clearance and expansion plan, were still pending, turning prospective buyers cautious. The mandate for selling the asset in Bokaro, Jharkhand, is with bankers including Citigroup and JPMorgan’s India offices, the people said, on condition of anonymity. The mandate may also include the iron ore mines in Goa and Karnataka, they said, adding that the details and contours of the asset will be known by mid-August. The price tag for ESL and the ON THE BLOCK iron ore assets would be between $2 bilTHE group may sell the THE details and contours THE price tag for the lion and $3 billion, the people said on coniron ore mines in Goa and of the iron ore assets will assets would be between dition of anonymity. Karnataka be known by mid-August $2 billion and $3 billion Although Agarwal, on numerous occasions, alluded to the focus of his group on For Agarwal, who is in the middle of of $2.1 billion in FY24 and an additional $3 non-ferrous metals, such as aluminium, zinc, and copper, the group entered the reorganizing the group’s zinc businesses billion in FY25. An analyst tracking the ferrous metal sector when it aggressively and expanding its aluminium business, in group said the steel asset sale would probaaddition to harbouring ambitions of set- bly help repay its parent’s debt and allow bid for stressed steel assets. ting up a semiconductor for a fresh infusion of funds for capital Since the change of it’s lately realized expenditure. Agarwal has rarely sold a ownership, ESL has been E XC LU S I V E plant, that it has to focus on core business, and that he has decided to sell the in recovery mode, recordbusinesses and monetiz- steel business needs to be seen in that light. ing its highest production An email query to a spokesperson for in FY23. ESL also increased its hot metal ing assets that are not core to his group. Also, Vedanta Resources Plc, Vedanta Vedanta Ltd went unanswered. While a capacity to 1.7 million tonnes and has plans to expand to 3 million tonnes by Ltd’s parent and the holding company of TURN TO PAGE 6 the group, is staring at a bond redemption early FY25. m ‘Announcements on chip fabs soon’ Gulveen Aulakh gulveen.aulakh@livemint.com NEW DELHI I ndia will soon announce a 40 nanometre (nm) semiconductor fabrication unit and multiple compound fab proposals under the modified semiconductor investment scheme, minister of state for electronics and IT Rajeev Chandrasekhar said. “We will certainly have, very soon, an announcement of a 40nm silicon fab. We will also have multiple compound fab proposals,” Chandrasekhar said in an interview. Chips will roll out from the fab within two to three years of the announcement, he added. “These are not decisions running from election cycle to election cycle. These are deci- G o First must sign fresh lease agreements for 30-35 aircraft since lessors have already terminated the previous ones following its insolvency filing, two people aware of the development said, delaying the lowfare airline’s plans for a quick return to skies. “While the airline is making sions for the next decade. We active efforts to relaunch flight will be in a position this calen- operations, it will need to dar year to take the decision on re-enter into fresh lease agreethe 40nm fab, and none of ments or get the termination these decisions will be taken in revoked by the lessors in case a hurry,” he added. The minis- it wants to operate these 30-35 ter did not spell out the identi- aircraft whose lease agreeties of the companies that have ments were terminated around the time the airline submitted proposals. The new proposals come filed for insolvency,” one of the two people after the government E XC LU S I V E said. Go First modified its filed for insol$10 billion financial incentive scheme to vency on 2 May and suspended support the building of semi- operations with effect from 3 conductor, packaging, testing, May, leaving a void of 6.8% in and allied fabrication units in the domestic civil aviation India, accepting proposals for market. Following this, its lesmature nodes, or above 40nm, sors terminated leases and sought to regain control of without a deadline. Vedanta Foxconn Pvt. Ltd planes. The airline was operathas also applied under the ing a fleet of 27 aircraft when it filed for insolvency. The TURN TO PAGE 6 Wadia Group, the airline’s Rajeev Chandrasekhar, minister of state for electronics and IT. m PTI Go First filed for insolvency on 2 May. REUTERS former promoters, has blamed engine manufacturer Pratt & Whitney for its predicament, stating it had to ground 30-50% fleet on average since 2020 due to engine scarcity. “Termination of an aircraft lease is sacrosanct. If the airline has to restart operations, it will have to get lessors on board, as without a lease contract in place, even the insurance of the aircraft comes into question. Lessors will need a promise of payment of pending dues, and some comfort will have to be provided for cooperation in relaunch efforts,” the second person added. DON’T MISS Stainless steel policy planned Tata plans UK battery factory No market borrowings for NHAI The Union steel ministry has started industry consultations to frame India’s first stainless steel policy, an official aware of the matter said. >P6 Tata Sons on Wednesday said the group would invest £4 billion ($5.16 billion) to establish a new 40GW battery cell gigafactory in the UK. >P6 The govt has decided to cut market access for debt-laden NHAI even as the agency races to meet stiff road-building goals, people aware of the development said. >P2 Pristyn Care suspends founders of Lybrate Ranjani Raghavan ranjani.raghavan@livemint.com mUmBAI H ealthtech platform Pristyn Care has suspended Rahul Narang and Saurabh Arora, the founders of Lybrate Inc., a day after the duo served a default notice demanding outstanding payment resulting from Pristyn Care’s acquisition of their company in June 2022, two people aware of the development said on condition of anonymity. Tiger Global-backed Pristyn Care, which runs a net- m E XC LU S I V E work of hospitals and clinics through partners, had acquired Lybrate to enter the primary-care segment. While the deal size was not disclosed, it was said to be $20-30 million, including payments to other investors of Lybrate, such as Nexus Venture Partners, Tiger Global Management, and Ratan Tata’s RNT Associates. Both founders joined Pristyn Care following the acquisition. While the investors received the proceeds from the deal, the two founders received only a part of their share, with the rest to be paid in two separate tranches. One tranche was due on 1 June, one TURN TO PAGE 6 This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER TURN TO PAGE 6 02 ECONOMY & POLICY Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai Action plan to fight growing microbial resistance on cards LIVEMINT.COM No market borrowing for debt-laden NHAI till FY28 Priyanka Sharma priyanka.sharma@livemint.com NEW DELHI Govt to provide entire capex from budget; borrowings from SPVs may be ended in FY25 T he Union health ministry is working on a national plan to combat anti-microbial resistance (AMR) that is becoming a public health threat, a government official aware of the matter said. The ministry has formed a highlevel committee to develop a National Action Plan Anti-Microbial Resistance 2.0 (NAP AMR), the official said on condition of anonymity. AMR occurs when bacteria, viruses and fungi become immune to medication over time, making it harder to treat ailments. Both humans and animals can develop AMR. “Addressing AMR in the context of food safety requires a comprehensive and multi-faceted approach that encompasses responsible antimicrobial use, good agricultural and manufacturing practices, surveillance systems, research and innovation, and international cooperation,” the official cited above said. The committee, called the Inter-Sectoral Coordination Committee on AMR (ISCCAMR), includes officials from the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), ministries of animal husbandry and fisheries, food processing, forest and climate change and the Central Drugs Standard Control Organization to create the action plan. Subhash Narayan The health ministry is working on a national plan. MINT Queries sent to a health ministry spokesperson remained answered. Dr Soumya Swaminathan, former chief scientist at the World Health Organization, said AMR has increased in the last 2-3 years of the covid pandemic due to widespread and irrational use of antibiotics. “During every covid wave, there was always a tendency to use antibiotics, even though we know that antibiotics do not work on viral infections,” she said. India carries one of the largest burdens of drug-resistant pathogens worldwide including the highest burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. A paper published in medical journal PudMed states that around two million deaths are projected to occur in India due to AMR by 2050. India is also known for widespread and indiscriminate use of anti-biotics, which were routinely prescribed during the covid-19 pandemic. “The government aims to reduce subhash.narayan@livemint.com NHAI’s debt by ₹1 trillion by 2024-25 and so a moratorium has been put on NEW DELHI NHAI for market borrowings. Even if this (no borrowings and budgetary allohe government has decided cation) continues for the next few years, to cut market access for debtNHAI would become a completely debtladen National Highway free company only by FY42,” said the Authority of India (NHAI) official quoted above. even as the government Queries sent to the ministries of agency races to meet stiff road-building finance, and road transport and hightargets. ways remained unanswered. NHAI, too, According to two persons aware of did not respond to queries. the development, NHAI has, in any case, The advantage with lending budgetbeen observing a moratorium on market ary support is that the government borborrowings for the past two fiscals. The rows at a much lower interest rate. government, they said, has decided that “High debt with NHAI is a concern, the highway developer will continue on but there are no issues on the solvency of the same path for at least the next few years while the government funds its It is expected that government funding for NHAI will rise in double digits in each of the highway developer,” said the other person cited above. the next four financial years before earnings from road tolls kick in. MINT entire capex. “Debt has been taken only on bankaThe union budget for FY24 raised NHAI’s allocation for building roads, NHAI may fall and work would largely from ₹24,188 crore. NHAI borrowed ble projects with regular revenue flows, highways and bridges to a record ₹1.62 be on maintenance of developed infra- close to ₹65,000 crore each in FY22 and so, debt servicing is comfortable. Still, structure,” said an official of ministry of FY21. Experts said if the same level of the entity will put checks on additional trillion from ₹1.41 trillion in FY23. It is expected that government fund- road transport and highways asking for borrowings had continued in FY23 and borrowings while meeting a large part of capex through higher budgetary anonymity. FY24, its total debt would have ing for NHAI will rise in double support,” this person said. The decision means the crossed ₹4 trillion. digits in each of the next four NHAI is estimated to be While NHAI has stopped Centre would allocate the financial years before earnpaying over ₹30,000 entire capex of NHAI in fresh borrowings, it conings from road tolls kick tn tn crore towards debt servicthe 2024-25 budget as tinues to undertake in. These additional funds budgetary NHAI ing in FY24. This will well, so the developer will project-based financing will go into maintaining allocation for NHAI debt by peak to over ₹62,000 have no need to borrow of highways under the more roads and paring in FY24 end of FY23 crore in FY28 when NHAI directly from the market. SPV (special purpose vehidebt, said one of the two earnings of ₹69,000 crore This, in turn, is expected to cle) route. Under this route, persons quoted above. would give it a surplus. bring down the high debt lev- it aims to raise ₹60,000 crore “The moratorium on NHAI Construction of roads by NHAI els on NHAI books that have fallen in FY24 by securitizing future toll borrowings would continue till FY28 by when its earnings are expected only marginally from ₹3.48 trillion in revenue. This debt will reflect on the has more than doubled since FY17 when to generate surplus after meeting debt March 2022 to ₹3.43 trillion in March books of the SPV instead of NHAI. But it built just around 2,300 km of highservicing obligations. After FY28, the this year. Since 2014-15, the highway even this financing mode is proposed to ways. For FY24, the government wants NHAI to build 6,000 km of roads. pace of new highway construction by developer’s debt has increased 14 times be stopped after FY25. T ₹1.62 ₹3.43 Cabinet nod for press, mediation bills Subhash Narayan, Gulveen Aulakh & Gireesh Chandra Prasad NEW DELHI T he union cabinet on Wednesday approved two key bills to be introduced in the monsoon session of Parliament, for which a heavy legislative agenda of 30 bills has been drawn up. Though a short one, the monsoon session is likely to be a significant one given the bills that are listed for discussions. The union cabinet cleared both the Press and Registration of Periodicals Bill, 2023 and the Mediation Bill, 2021, which has now been reworked to incorporate suggestions from a Parliamentary panel, said two persons informed about the development. There was no official briefing about the decisions. Around 30 bills are being readied for consideration during the session with 17 working days that begins on 20 July and ends on 11 August, one of the persons cited above said. The Mediation Bill includes a framework for settling civil or commercial disputes through mediation before parties approach a court or tribunal. m Proposed action MDBs should partner private cos for development: Report Key bills likely to be tabled in Parliament during the monsoon session. BIOLOGICAL Diversity (Amendment) Bill, 2022 NATIONAL Dental Commission Bill, 2023 JAN Vishwas (Amendment of Provisions) Bill, 2023 NATIONAL Nursing and Midwifery Commission Bill, 2023 MULTI-STATE Cooperative Societies (Amendment) Bill, 2022 DRUGS, Medical Devices and Cosmetics Bill, 2023 DNA Technology (Use and Application) Regulation Bill, 2019 REGISTRATION of Births and Deaths (Amendment) Bill, 2023 FOREST (Conservation) Amendment Bill, 2023 JAMMU and Kashmir Reservation (Amendment) Bill, 2023 MEDIATION Bill, 2021 GOVERNMENT of National Capital Territory of Delhi (Amendment) Bill, 2023 (To replace Ordinance) POSTAL Services Bill, 2023 CINEMATOGRAPH (Amendment) Bill, 2023 PRESS and Registration of Periodicals Bill, 2023 ADVOCATES (Amendment) Bill, 2023 NATIONAL Cooperative University Bill, 2023 MINES and Mineral (Development and Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2023 DIGITAL Personal Data Protection Bill, 2023 RAILWAYS (Amendment) Bill, 2023 ANCIENT Monuments and Archaeological Sites and Remains (Amendment) Bill, 2023 NATIONAL Research Foundation Bill, 2023 Source: Lok Sabha Bullettin Under this new legislation, par- vice providers and institutes. It ticipation in pre-litigation is expected to suggest subjects mediation is likely to be man- where mediation will be mandatory and other datory. The idea is areas where such to find an efficient The monsoon a process cannot way of dispute session is be initiated. resolution and likely to be a The Press and free up the judicisignificant one, Registration of ary of avoidable given the bills that Periodicals Bill, litigation. are listed for 2023 will replace The bill also discussions the 155-year-old proposes to set up ‘Press and Regisa Mediation tration of Books Council of India that will register mediators Act’ with simplified legislation and recognise mediation ser- that de-criminalises various MINT SHORTS Govt cuts price of subsidized tomato to ₹70/kg New Delhi: The Centre has reduced the price of subsidized tomatoes to ₹70 per kilogramme from Thursday from ₹80 per kg. Tomatoes so far are priced at ₹80 a kg in Delhi-NCR and some other cities, sold through the National Cooperative Consumers’ Federation of India and the National Agricultural Cooperative Marketing Federation of India (NAFED). PTI provisions and brings digital media under its ambit. The new law is expected to make the registration process for newspapers and periodicals simpler and remove penal provisions for not including the name of the printer or operation of printing presses by newspapers. An email sent to the cabinet secretariat and to the Prime Minister’s Office on Wednesday seeking comments for the story remained unanswered at the time of publishing. subhash.narayan@livemint.com ecution for the offence of rape if he forces his wife, who is not a minor, to have sex? A three-judge bench of the Supreme Court will examine this after constitution benches conclude hearing some listed pleas, said Chief Justice DY Chandrachud when senior lawyer Indira Jaising mentioned the matter for urgent listing. The constitutional validity of an exception clause of Section 375 (rape) of the Indian Penal Code (IPC) is under challenge as it exempts a husband from being prosecuted for rape for having non-consensual sexual intercourse with the spouse if she is an adult. PTI Gireesh Chandra Prasad gireesh.p@livemint.com NEW DELHI D evelopment banks should change their approach in order to bring the private sector into the centre of efforts to mobilise finance for sustainable development strategies, according to the independent panel that advise G20 nations on improving the balance sheets of multilateral institutions. In the report titled ‘Strengthening multilateral development banks-the triple agenda’ presented to G20 finance ministers and central bank governors, the ninemember committee argued that development banks should engage with the private sector in a new way, including by co-creating investment opportunities and programmes. Fifteenth Finance Commission Chairperson NK Singh and former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers were co-convenors of the panel. Development banks should N.K. Singh and Larry Summers were panel’s co-convenors. AFP also prioritize support for helping governments reduce policy and regulatory risks that impede private investment, the report said. Making a strong case for development banks to partner with the private sector, the committee said that there is considerable innovation and energy behind new ways of attracting private capital into sustainable infrastructure, and development banks must complement, rather than compete with, these efforts. The panel noted that today, multilateral development Goyal to meet industry leaders on 22 July Coal ministry extends last date for registration SC to examine husbands’ immunity in marital rape cases New Delhi: Does a husband enjoy immunity from pros- New Delhi: The last date for registration of coal and lignite mines under the Star Rating programme has been extended until 25 July, an official statement said.The Star Rating policy aims to evaluate mines . PTI New Delhi: Union commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal will hold discussions with representatives of top 100 companies on 22 July in Mumbai on ways to increase the share of domestic manufacturing and boost the country’s exports, an official said PTI banks only mobilise $0.6 in private capital for each dollar they lend on their own account. “They should aim to at least double this target,” the report said. Private sector capital mobilization requires a fundamentally different approach. “We anticipate that private financing amounting to $740 billion per year will be required to reach overall goals for additional climate and sustainable development goalsrelated finance, an increase of $500 billion over the 2019 level of sovereign borrowing and private participation in infrastructure,” the report said. Most of this additional private capital, perhaps $425 billion, would go toward sustainable infrastructure and other investments where profitable opportunities are already available, the report said. At the just concluded G20 deliberations in Gandhi Nagar, Singh quoted the committee report as recommending a ‘triple mandate’ for development bank—eliminating extreme poverty, inclusive growth and financing of global public goods. Income tax officials visit offices of upGrad New Delhi: Tax officials have visited the offices of ed-tech startup upGrad for a routine survey, the company said on Wednesday. “It’s a routine survey and we are fully compliant and cooperating with the department,” Koell Hemdev, head of legal at upGrad said in a statement. Iranian deputy foreign minister Ali Bagheri Kani. ‘India could have played more active role in West Asia’ Shashank Mattoo shashank.mattoo@livemint.com TEHERAN I ndia could have played a more active role in West Asia, said Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani, just months after China helped broker a key normalisation pact between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Speaking to a delegation of Indian journalists in Tehran, Kani said Indian diplomacy had shown “passivity” in the region in contrast to China. “I believe,among the great powers of the world, it is the Chinese party that has emerged victorious because it did not allow the United States’ illegal restrictions to affect its bilateral relations with different countries. I believe the Chinese picked the fruit of their policies because they mediated the rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia in Beijing,” Kani said. China has continued purchases of Iranian oil despite US sanctions on Iran. India, which was a key buyer of Iranian oil in the past, ended purchases in 2019 in an effort to avoid US sanctions. This has stunted the growth of the bilateral economic relationship and Iranian officials have publicly called on India to resume oil sales. “My question is why India is not an importer of Iranian oil at this moment? Because India has been Iran’s partner in different fields and India has been an old customer of Iranian oil. If our Indian friends are serious, we can develop and deploy a number of appropriate mechanisms so the US could not injure the symbiotic relationship between us,” Kani stated. Kani also confirmed that Iran had offered India a 25-year deal whereby Iran would supply India energy. “The empty seat of India has been glaringly obvious and I attribute this to the passivity of Indian statesmen because India could have played a much more active role both economically and politically at the regional level,” said Kani. Shashank Mattoo was in Iran as a guest of Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB), a public broadcaster CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS Mint welcomes comments, suggestions or complaints about errors. Readers can alert the newsroom to any errors in the paper by emailing us, with your full name and address to feedback@livemint.com. REUTERS ‘RBI likely to maintain status quo in monetary policy’ New Delhi: State Bank of India (SBI) chairman Dinesh Khara on Wednesday said the Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain status quo in the upcoming monetary policy. “As a bank we don’t expect rate cut, status quo is likely to be maintained by the RBI,” he said at an event organized by industry body CII. PTI It is our policy to promptly respond to all complaints. 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Send in your views to the editor at letters@livemint.com. ©2023 HT Media Ltd All Rights Reserved This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER DEALS, TECH & STARTUPS LIVEMINT.COM m MINT SHORTS Bikaji Foods acquires 49% stake in snack maker Bhujialalji Bengaluru: Bikaji Foods International Ltd, a leading maker of snacks and sweets, on Wednesday said it has bought a 49% stake in snack maker Bhujialalji Pvt. Ltd. As part of the deal, 9,608 equity shares and 396 compulsorily convertible debentures (CCDs) will be issued at ₹5,100 per share aggregating to ₹5.1 crore. The face value is ₹10 per equity share, according to a BSE filing. “With the company strategically headquartered in Bikaner, this acquisition will help us leverage the learnings of this new brand to enable growth and expand our presence. We aim to reach every household in India,” said Deepak Agarwal, managing director, Bikaji Foods. K. AMOGHAVARSHA Blitz raises $3 million in seed funding led by India Quotient ISTOCK Bengaluru: Blitz, which was previously known as Grow Simplee, has raised a total of $3 million in a seed funding round led by India Quotient. The round also saw participation from Better Capital, First Cheque, and Titan Capital along with angel investors such as Farid Ahsan, Abhinav Jain, Rahul Dash, Kunal Shah, Prabhkirandeep Singh, Ishendra Agarwal, Kalpak Chhajed, Arjun Vaidya, Gaurav Pushkar, Piyush Kedia, and Anshoo Sharma. The startup plans to deploy the funds to improve its technology infrastructure and expand the network of dark stores. “With simple-to-use products, we enable enterprises and medium-size brands with the ability to aid faster deliveries at efficient costs - providing their management and logistics team with visibility and improved controls,” said Mayank Varshney, co-founder and CEO. K. AMOGHAVARSHA Meta, Microsoft, Qualcomm team up on Llama 2 AI model New Delhi: Facebook parent Meta on Wednesday released the commercial version of its open-source artificial intelligence (AI) model Llama. Dubbed as Llama 2, the new version of its AI model will be distributed by Microsoft through its Azure cloud service and will run on the Windows operating system. The tie-up between Microsoft and Meta is targeted at enterprises, offering them the capability to build apps using generative AI tools. In addition, Meta is working with Qualcomm to integrate Llama 2 AI implementations into smartphones and personal computers (PCs) starting next year. SOHINI BAGCHI Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai ‘Doubling data centre capacity’ Shouvik Das & Leslie D’Monte New Delhi/BeNgaluru N TT Ltd, which merged its data centre and information technology (IT) services divisions last October, is bullish on India, having announced a five-year, $2.5 billion investment in January to build data centres in Maharashtra. In a recent interview, Abhijit Dubey, global chief executive, NTT Ltd, and NTT India CEO, Avinash Joshi, shared the company’s roadmap while explaining why India is NTT’s largest employee base outside its home turf of Japan, and how artificial intelligence (AI) will influence demand for data centres, among other things. Edited excerpts: What is the extent of operations for NTT in India? Dubey: We have about 40,000 employees in India, and it’s the largest outside NTT’s home base in Japan. Our India operation has three aspects to it— the first is the internet infrastructure business which offers data centres, marine cables, etc. This is pretty substantial—we’ve made a lot of investments in the past here, and will continue to do so in the future. We have numerous Indian companies as clients here. Our second business operation is IT services where we provide services to many Indian enterprises. The third is our delivery and innovation hub which (L-R) Abhijit Dubey, NTT Ltd Global CEO and NTT India CEO, Avinash Joshi. we use to deliver services to clients glo- You hope to hit the $1 billion revebally, including North America and nue mark in India. How would this Europe. These services include con- be divided among the businesses sulting, digital transformation, digital that you mentioned? operations in apps, infrastructure, busiDubey: We generate revenue from our data centres and IT services— the ness process outsourcing, and more. Joshi: For IT services, we serve innovation hubs are cost centres that don’t generate revenearly 3,000 clients in nue. At present, the India. In banking and INTERVIEW revenue split between financial services (BFSI), the two businesses is we manage nearly 40% of all branches of the banking industry in around 50:50, and in terms of revenue the country. Our data centre presence is in the country, we’re somewhere substantial, with about 16 of them between $500 million and $1 billion. already operational. We will almost Would there be greater demand double this capacity by March 2024. We for edge data centres, or will you also offer on-cloud cyber security servi- invest more in hyperscale ones given the craze around large lances, as part of our offerings in India. m guage models (LLMs)? are certain regulatory needs. Because Dubey: All our data centres are of this, even global banks intend to hyperscalers (a data centre qualifies as start leveraging our data centre facilihyperscale when it exceeds 5,000 serv- ties here in India. ers and 10,000 square feet, according to How do you strike a balance International Data Corp.) Going for- between hyperscalers and edge ward, we will, of course, continue to data centres? invest in hyperscale data centres. But Dubey: Certain loads will remain on we’ll also invest in ‘edge’ data centres, hyperscalers, while for certain loads, which would be in tier-II cities. These clients will prefer to be near the core, would be slightly smaller in scale and in which is necessarily not through our terms of their footprints, but both hyperscale facilities. But, in both would be equally cases, clients won’t important for a nation build their own data We have about like India. centres. Their data Joshi: Given that 40,000 employees in deployments will be hyperscalers ideally on public clouds, but India, and it’s the need the subsea cable will be through largest outside to connect to, for the co-hosted, co-locaNTT’s home base longest time, these tion data centre facilifacilities have been in ties like ours. We, in Japan Mumbai and Chennai. therefore, see a need Abhijit Dubey Now, we have facilities for both formats, and NTT Ltd Global CEO in Bengaluru, Noida, we’re getting posiand are building one in tioned very well in Kolkata as well. This gives us four hyper- both scenarios. Extending beyond this, scale facilities in the four metro cities. as clients migrate their data load from But, within these cities, we will have mul- public cloud to private cloud, we also tiple campuses. Some of these are hyper- help enterprises build their own priscale campuses, while some cater to vate cloud, and manage it for them too. large- and medium-sized enterprises. That’s where our IT services division The BFSI sector is a large hyperscale comes into the picture, and presents an consumer—as cloud migrations start end-to-end offering. This helps us offer with greater pace, more clients will use clients the ingredients to meet them at our data centres’ co-location facilities. any point in their cloud journey. HavWith the advent of data sovereignty ing a decent data centre connectivity, and localization requirements, there and ecosystem partnerships, also helps. ‘ Have fun with facts on Sundays Catch the latest column of A A quiz on the week’s development. Chakri Gottemukkala, co-founder and chief executive at o9 Solutions. General Atlantic leads o9 Solutions’ $116 mn fundraise Malvika Maloo malvika.maloo@livemint.com BeNgaluru o 9 Solutions Inc., an enterprise software unicorn based in Dallas and Bengaluru, has raised $116 million in a funding round led by existing investor General Atlantic’s climate-focused growth equity venture BeyondNetZero, at a markup to its previous valuation, as investors continue to take selective bets on startups despite the ongoing funding winter. Existing investors KKR and Generation Investment Management also participated in the round, o9 Solutions said in a statement on Wednesday. The latest round valued the startup at about $3.2 billion, an increase from its previous valuation of $2.7 billion in January 2022 when it had raised $295 million from General Atlantic, Generation Investment Management and KKR at the height of the funding boom. “The investment by our existing investors at a premium to our last funding round and against a backdrop of an overall pullback in market valuations is validation of our performance and execution against our long-term strategy,” said Chakri Gottemukkala, co-founder and chief executive at o9 Solutions. The company was founded by Gottemukkala and Sanjiv Sidhu. The company’s platform enables businesses to plan and make decisions by optimizing demand and supply. Its client base includes food and beverage giant Pepsico, tech giant Google, and brewer Anheuser-Busch InBev who use its artificial intelligence-based solutions for planning and analytics. As a part of the transaction, General Atlantic operating partner Gary Reiner has joined the board of directors of o9 Solutions. “We continue to be thrilled with o9’s customer value proposition, offering material and measurable outcomes relative to traditional planning software vendors and thereby providing strong blue chip client satisfaction,” said Reiner. o9 Solutions, which was started in 2009, entered the league of unicorn startups after it raised $100 million from KKR in its first external round in 2020. The latest investment round comes on the back of the company reporting a 55% year-onyear growth in its annual recurring revenue in the June quarter. o9 Solutions didn’t disclose the absolute numbers. 03 hindustantimes htTweets www.hindustantimes.com This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 04 MARK TO MARKET Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai S&P BSE Sensex Nifty 50 Nifty 500 Nifty Next 50 LIVEMINT.COM Nifty 100 S&P BSE Mid-cap S&P BSE Small Cap CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE CLOSE PERCENT CHANGE 67,097.44 0.45 19,833.15 0.42 16,953.50 0.48 44,414.40 0.53 19,690.70 0.43 29,607.74 0.63 34,036.41 0.61 PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN PREVIOUS CLOSE OPEN 66,795.14 66,905.01 19,749.25 19,802.95 16,872.00 16,919.05 44,180.60 44,289.65 19,605.85 19,658.65 29,423.02 29,468.46 33,828.59 33,860.30 HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW 44,444.90 44,242.20 19,706.80 19,596.60 29,623.33 29,465.82 34,074.62 33,860.12 HIGH LOW HIGH LOW HIGH LOW 67,171.38 66,703.61 19,851.70 19,727.45 16,964.25 16,877.45 m MINT SHORTS UK bonds rally as aggressive rate-hike bets unwind now Investors cut bets on further Bank of England interestrate hikes, piling pressure on the pound and boosting UK bonds, after data showed inflation slowed more than expected in June. The market now sees the key rate peaking below 6%, a sharp reversal from earlier this month, when traders were betting on 6.5%. They also cut wagers on another half-point hike at the next decision in August, with market-implied odds suggesting only a 50% probability now. UK bonds rallied with two-year yields dropping 21 basis points to 4.88%, set for their biggest slide since March. The pound extended losses after the release, falling as much as 0.8% to a one-week low of $1.2931 and hitting its weakest since late May against the euro. “That’s a pleasant number for the BOE,” said Rishi Mishra, an analyst at Futures First Canada. “The direction of travel is right and I think the market will shift the terminal rate closer toward 5.75%.” BLOOMBERG Sovereign wealth funds spent a record $17.2 bn on coinvestments in the first half. ISTOCK PE fund titans tap sovereign wealth to get deals done Deep-pocketed sovereign funds are deploying billions of dollars to get private equity takeovers across the line, helping grease the wheels of dealmaking in a year when other funding sources are drying up. KKR & Co., EQT AB and Brookfield all turned to wealthy Persian Gulf countries to stump up a lot of the money for big-ticket deals in recent weeks. Sovereign wealth funds spent a record $17.2 billion on such co-investments in the first half, up 24% from the same period last year, according to Global SWF. The amount of equity these state-backed investors are providing has jumped as buyout firms find debt more expensive. The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority is contributing at least £1 billion ($1.3 billion) for EQT’s £4.5 billion takeover of veterinary drugmaker Dechra Pharmaceuticals Plc. Middle East investors like sovereign funds Mubadala Investment Co. and ADQ are fronting about £1.2 billion for Brookfield’s £2.2 billion takeover of payments processor Network International Holdings Plc. BLOOMBERG Real estate firms on solid ground Bavadharini KS & Harsha Jethmalani Steady state bavadharini.ks@livemint.com L isted real estate companies showed resilience with stellar pre-sales at a time when interest rates were rising. The March quarter of FY23 saw bumper bookings in the residential segment helping developers close the year on a strong note. The quarterly operational update released by some key listed companies shows that decent residential sales continued in the June quarter (Q1FY24), too. For instance, Macrotech Developers Ltd saw bookings grow 17% year-onyear (y-o-y) to ₹3,353 crore, also the highest Q1 number delivered by it. With that, the company has achieved 23% of its FY24 pre-sales guidance of ₹14,500 crore. Prestige Estates Projects Ltd saw sales value growth of 30% y-o-y in Q1. On an aggregate basis, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd expects realty companies under its coverage to clock 9% y-o-y volume growth in Q1FY24. Of course, given the high base, sequentially volume could be soft. Nonetheless, investors seem to be in an upbeat mood. In this calendar year so far, Nifty Realty Index has rallied by Listed realty firms could see decent year-on-year growth in Q1FY24, but base effect may hurt sequential performance. Sales volume (in million square feet) Sales value (in crore) (right-hand scale) 25 25,000 20 20,000 15 15,000 10 10,000 5 5,000 0 Q2FY22 Q4FY22 Q2FY23 Q4FY23 Note: Aggregate data for real estate companies under Motilal Oswal's coverage universe Q1FY24 estimated 0 Source: Company, Motilal Oswal Financial Services SATISH KUMAR/MINT 24.2%. Also, with interest rate hikes largely out of the sector’s way, sales could get a further fillip as home loan rates could remain steady. The premium and luxury segments could continue to do well, however, affordable housing, which is relatively more sensitive to higher interest rates could take time to revive. “Higher mortgage rates have hit affordable and midincome housing, but luxury demand remains indifferent to the interest rate. This is because luxury segment is driven by wealth effect,” Parikshit Kandpal, vice president, Ins-titutional Research, HDFC Securities, said. And since most listed real estate companies have mean- of the top eight listed developers fell to ingful exposure to this segment, it over ₹23,000 crore in FY23 from augurs well for their sales prospects. ₹40,500 crore in FY20, recording a But to keep sales growth intact, the decline of 43% in the period, showed an pace of new launches is crucial going analysis by Anarock Property Consultahead. “Considering a scenario where ants. On a yearly basis, net debt of develthe interest rate hikes are unlikely in the opers has remained almost stable in medium-term, companies could have FY23 as compared to year ago period, strong business for next two showed the Anarock data. years (FY24 and FY25). But LAY OF THE However, a sustained pause this depends on how fast on interest rates and eventuLAND they are able to launch projally rate cuts could lower ects and new business UPDATES from key cost of borrowings for the firms show that sector, thus, aiding expandevelopments,” said Ronald listed there were decent Siyoni, associate vice presi- residential sales in sion plans.Further, the dent, Sharekhan by BNP Q1FY24 as well ongoing consolidation espeParibas. cially in select micro marSo, management comm- WHILE premium kets should aid market share segments would entaries on new launches continue to do well, gains for listed developers. are crucial. Along with affordable housing “The industry continues to demand, supply trends are could lag consolidate with residential important for the sector’s developments steadily shiftpricing outlook. “In line ing into hands of stronger with seasonal trends, new project developers who have been able to launches across markets are likely to weather the economic storm created by moderate in Q1FY24 post-strong the pandemic,” said Knight Frank India Q4FY23. Further, the companies are in a recent report. Developers are also likely to focus on churning inventories finding takers for their under-construcat existing projects,” said the Motilal tion inventory, it added. On the flip side, Oswal report. Meanwhile, robust sales the ongoing slowdown in the IT sector, aided cash flows of listed companies, leading to job losses, can hurt housing helping them to pare debt. The net debt demand. Wires and cables biz to do the heavy lifting for Polycab India Vineetha Sampath vineetha.s@livemint.com P olycab India Ltd began the new fiscal year with robust June quarter (Q1FY24) results. Consolidated revenue climbed 42% year-on-year thanks to its robust wires and cables business. This segment clocked 50-60% volume growth in Q1, translating into a 47% rise in revenue to ₹3,534 crore. Although a low base has helped to some extent, the performance bodes well for the company’s overall growth outlook. Shares of Polycab have risen by 10% in the last two days with the stock scaling a new 52-week high of ₹4,325.15 apiece on Wednesday. Along with a solid Q1, the management commentary was also encouraging. Given the healthy performance in the last few quarters, the management said it will have to recalibrate timeline of its earlier guidance of achieving ₹20,000 crore in revenue by FY26. “There is an increased possibility of Polycab meeting its revenue target much before FY26 on the back of robust execution by the company especially in the wires and cables business,” said Harshit Kapadia, an analyst at Elara Securities (India). Polycab’s wires and cables segment formed about 90% of revenue in On the other hand, Polycab’s fast-moving electrical goods (FMEG) segment saw muted revenue growth of 2% as it was plagued by subdued demand. Here, the Ebit (earnings before interest and tax) margin remained in the red as fixed costs and advertising spends weighed on the measure due to lack of scale. Nonetheless, Polycab’s consolidated Ebitda margin rose by 274 basis points to 14% in Q1 led by price revisions, operating leverage and favourable business mix. The company intends to increase advertising spends in FMEG and investors would do well to follow margin trajectory. Meanwhile, in the last one Strong connection Polycab India’s revenue saw robust year-on-year growth in Q1FY24 led by healthy volumes in wires and cables business. 5,000 Consolidated revenue (in ₹ crore) 4,000 3,900 3,000 2,000 1,900 1,000 0 Q1FY22 Q2FY22 Q3FY22 Q4FY22 Q1FY23 Q2FY23 Q3FY23 Q4FY23 Q1FY24 Source: Jefferies, Company data SATISH KUMAR/MINT Q1, and the company is looking to capitalize on the strong demand environment here. It aims to introduce premium products and expand its presence in the international markets, which has a relatively better margin. year, shares of Polycab have soared 91%. This can be attributed to its consistent and strong execution driven by better volumes and margins in the wires and cables business. Analysts at ICICI Securities expect Polycab to maintain a strong earnings CAGR of 24.3% over FY23-25 led by healthy demand from business-to-business sectors and correction in commodity prices. It foresees the FMEG segment reviving in H2FY24. That said, the stock is trading at a valuation multiple of 38x its FY25 estimated earnings, showed Bloomberg data. After the steep rally, meaningful upsides could be limited from hereon. Mark to Market writers do not have positions in the companies they have discussed here India’s sunflower oil Markets hit new record, Sensex closes above 67,000 mark New peak imports may decline Ujjval Jauhari ujjval.j@livemint.com NEW DELHI Reuters I feedback@livemint.com I ndia’s imports of sunflower oil are likely to fall in the coming months as it becomes uncompetitive against rival oils due to rising prices after Russia withdrew from the Black Sea grain deal, industry officials told Reuters. The drop in sunflower oil imports would force the world’s biggest buyer of vegetable oils to increase purchases of palm oil and soyoil to compensate. A year-long deal allowing the safe Black Sea export of Ukraine’s grain expired on Monday after Russia quit and warned it could not guarantee the safety of ships, in a move the United Nations said would “strike a blow to people in need everywhere”. Sunflower oil shipments to India could fall by around 30% from current levels, said Pradeep Chowdhry, managing director of Gemini Edibles and Fats India Pvt. Ltd, a leading Indian importer. The Black Sea region accounts for 60% of world sunflower oil output and 76% of exports. Spot prices have risen from $850 to $965 per tonne in the past five weeks on expectations that the grains deal would lapse and on a rally in rival oils. India typically imports around 250,000 tonnes of sunflower oil per month, mainly from Russia, Ukraine, Argentina and Turkey. Earlier this year, Black Sea Sunflower oil shipments could fall by around 30%. MINT exporters were aggressively selling sunflower oil at competitive prices, which helped bring down inventories, said Rajesh Patel, managing partner at GGN Research, an edible oil trader and broker. India could import around 275,000 tonnes of sunflower oil in July but from August imports could fall to around 200,000 tonnes, Patel said. Ukraine traditionally accounted for more than half of India’s sunflower oil imports, but Russia has been its biggest supplier in the marketing year ending on 31 October, Solvent Extractors’ Association of India data shows. Loading of big vessels at Ukrainian ports is not possible without the grain deal, said Sandeep Bajoria, CEO of Sunvin Group, a vegetable oil brokerage and consultancy. “The deal’s expiry would force Ukrainians to ship sunoil from Romania, Bulgaria and other European countries but re-routing would bring down the volume,” Bajoria said. ndian stock markets continued their rally for the fifth straight session as benchmark indices marked fresh record highs on Wednesday. The Sensex breached the 67000-mark and Nifty crossed the 19800 level. Sensex scaled a record high of 67171.38, before closing at 67097.44, up 0.45%. Nifty also rose to record highs of 19851.70 during the day and closed at 19833.15, with gains of 0.42%. “Market’s record-breaking spree continued on Dalal Street, as we are in the midst of a strong bull run backed by robust foreign fund inflows, strong growth prospects, even monsoon spread out and stable corporate earnings so far, which have increased the appetite for local stocks,” said Shrikant Chouhan, head of research (retail) at Kotak Securities Ltd. Banks and financial stocks rose the most, driving the rally, while consumer durable companies, too, were on a roll following a strong performance by Polycab Ltd. Energy, oil and gas, metals, pharma and healthcare stocks supported the rally. Most other sectoral indices ended higher along with gains in the broader markets. Only the IT sector saw some profit booking and the IT index ended marginally down. The rally in the domestic markets remained supported by advances in the Asian mar- The BSE Sensex closed at a new all-time high on Wednesday. Sensex (closing) 68,000 67097.44 65,000 63284.19 62,000 59,000 56,000 01 Dec 2022 19 Jul 2023 Source: BSE SATISH KUMAR/MINT kets after a strong finish to Wall Street stocks overnight. “The market continues to be resilient supported by favourable global setup and sustained FII inflows,” VK Vijaya- kumar, chief investment strategist at Geojit Financial Services, said. He added that the ongoing global market rally is primarily being driven by the strength of the US economy, which is, so far, showing no signs of recession that markets had feared and discounted in 2022. Retail sales in US rose less than economists’ expectations. It adds to evidence that domestic consumption remains strong despite pressure from high interest rates and inflation, said analysts. “That is good news for stock market because it means economy is still growing, but not so rapidly that Federal Reserve has to tamp down runaway inflation by continuing interest-rate hikes,” Devarsh Vakil, deputy head of retail research, data. In contrast, DIIs booked HDFC Securities, said. The recent corporate results profit selling ₹2,134.54 crore in from the US too have been bet- the markets and DIIs have ter-than-expected, enabling been sellers in nine out of the continuation of the rally. The 13 trading sessions. The benchmark 10-year earnings of banks have beaten expectations and a rally in yield remained flat at 3.8% and is positive for FPI equities linked to companies develThough US retail flows. However, the dollar index oping and using sales rose less artificial intellithan economists’ saw some rise from lows and gence capabilities view, it’s evident thus the rupee is driving US marthat domestic weakened by 5 kets. consumption is paise to 82.08 to The extra supstill strong a dollar. Analysts port to Indian are watching dolmarkets continlar index moveues to be provided by sustained foreign fund ment going forward. Meanwhile, earnings season flows. Foreign portfolio investors have been buyers in 12 out is to pick pace in the coming of 13 trading sessions in July as days and consensus earnings they invested ₹1,165.47 crore estimates expect Nifty compain the Indian markets on nies to register a 25% year-onWednesday, as per provisional year growth. Cautious outlook for specialty chemical manufacturers Ujjval Jauhari ujjval.j@livemint.com NEW DELHI M ultiple specialty chemical manufacturers are staring at weak prospects in the near term, led by weak global demand and destocking of inventory. Declining chemical prices and increased competition from China post opening of the Chinese economy are putting pressure on their margins. The only solace for now comes from some decline in raw material prices. Nevertheless, there are multiple factors that led to a cautious near-term outlook for many companies even as analysts maintain a structurally positive view on the sector looking at longterm prospects. Surya Patra, senior analyst at PhillipCapital Institutional Equity Research in a report, said the Indian specialty chemical industry is all set to face one of the worst quarters in Q1. This is primarily driven by a broad based disruption in global chemical demand caused by visible economic slowdown in the advanced markets of Europe and the US, ongoing inventory rationalisation and enhanced competi- Increased competition from China is putting pressure on the margins of chemical manufacturers. tion from China. The demand woes in the global arena, especially in developed markets such as Europe and US, is impacting HT exports of Indian manufacturers even though domestic demand continues to support the downside for volumes. The increased supplies of chemicals from China post easing of covid-related measures has been a key concern for Indian manufacturers. The production in China caught pace while local demand failed to impress, leading to more export of chemicals out of China, especially after the Chinese new year. The increased competition through higher Chinese exports and declining global prices of chemicals have further impacted the performance of the Indian manufacturers. Many companies have resorted to provisioning for high-cost raw material inven- tories, too, as prices continued to decline further impacting earnings. ICICI Securities estimated their specialty chemical coverage universe’s revenue to dip 7% y-o-y in Q1FY24 due to destocking and weak demand. Earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortization (Ebitda) is expected to decline 16.4% y-o-y on weaker spreads and operating deleveraging, they said. The key decline in chemical costs remains a positive, however, analysts say that they may not be able to completely mitigate the impact of sharp dip in realisations. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER CORPORATE LIVEMINT.COM ‘HDFC Bank’s focus is on service, inclusion, digital’ THURSDAY, 20 JULY 2023 CHENNAI 05 Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai Microsoft’s $69 bn Activision purchase deadline extended Associated Press feedback@livemint.com CEO Jagdishan emphasizes importance of supportive culture in letter to shareholders Shayan Ghosh shayan.g@livemint.com MuMBAI I ndia’s largest private sector lender HDFC Bank Ltd is working on establishing a more inclusive workplace, enhancing customer service and strengthening digital infrastructure, chief executive officer Sashidhar Jagdishan said on Wednesday. In his message to shareholders in the bank’s annual report, Jagdishan emphasized the importance of fostering a supportive culture to effectively harness talent, potential and capabilities. To achieve this goal, the bank has implemented a managerial behaviour framework based on the principles of nurture, care and collaboration. The “nurture, care, collaborate” initiative, which covered 12,000 managers in FY22, was extended to senior leadership and over 6,000 new managers in FY23. “I am fully aware of the fact that there may be instances where some people managers might According to Sashidhar Jagdishan, HDFC Bank is undergoing a technology transformation focused on transgress our defined way of working. But, we building the “bank of the future”. have the resolve to nip it in the bud, both by way of training and counselling and appropriate is the post-covid phenomenon that may have said, adding that the bank challenges people with action, ensuring that the same is not attempted by prompted the young workforce to recalibrate continued job rotations and assignments outside their career goals. This led to increased attrition their core areas, along with on-job and specialized anyone else,” said Jagdishan. training when required. “We will continue to take He said HDFC Bank is yet to cover a fair dis- across sectors,” he added. According to Jagdishan, the bank is undergo- more such initiatives,” he said. tance and is taking steps to build an inclusive On the HDFC merger, Jagdishan said investing a technology transformation focused on organization that will help rein in attrition. His remarks come in the wake of a recent inci- building the “bank of the future”. “For me, the ments in infrastructure are crucial for India’s dent where an employee was suspended after a focus on technology upgrade and digital transfor- growth and the larger balance sheet will allow it mation are central to achieving growth to take a larger exposure in infrastructure provideo of him berating his subordinates jects, and participate meaningfully in India’s and excellence in customer service.” went viral on social media during an Jagdishan said he travelled across growth story. undated group video call related to Reiterating the bank’s plans, Jagdishan said the the country in private buses with employee performance and their colleagues across various levels, bank would look to add 1,500 to 2,000 additional targets to sell products. HDFC Bank’s allowing him to meet employees as branches during the year. According to him, The bank has seen an increase in attrition rate well as customers across multiple branch banking is the fulcrum of the bank’s cusattrition over last financial year and in FY23 locations. These interactions, he tomer relationships, and he believes that a physia significant part of it was at the ‘nonsaid, have enriched his understanding cal branch is extremely important to customers, supervisory staff’ level, including sales and view of the locations visited and the especially in semi-urban and rural locations. officers, he said. The bank saw attrition In FY23, HDFC Bank added 1,479 branches, a myriad opportunities that exist. of 34.15% in FY23, according to the annual “I am energized by the talent and passion our majority of which are in semi-urban and rural report. In 2021-22, the attrition rate was at 19.1%. It had also hired nearly 50% more employees than frontline colleagues display during the interac- (SURU) locations. “We plan to add another 675 FY22 and its total staff base stood at 173,222 as on tions and give us enough ideas to work on. This is this year in SURU locations that will take the total number of branches in these locations to over 31 March. something I will continue to do,” he said. “A reason that can be attributed to this increase Skilling is another important area, Jagdishan 5,000,” said Jagdishan. 34.15% T he deadline for Microsoft’s $69 billion acquisition of video game company Activision Blizzard has been extended as the companies seek to close a deal that has been challenged by regulators in the US as well as by the UK’s Competition and The Microsoft-Activision deal Markets Authority (CMA). Microsoft believes that was announced in January REUTERS pushing back the deadline to 2022. October 18 will provide enough time to work through of directors have authorized the remaining regulatory the companies not to termiissues, said Brad Smith, the nate the deal until after Octocompany’s president. “We are ber 18,” an Activision Blizzard confident about our prospects spokesperson said on for getting this deal across the Wednesday. “We’re confident in our next steps and that our finish line,” Smith said. The extension comes with a deal will quickly close.” Microsoft spent the past bigger termination fee, should the deal be called off, and a week working to resolve longnumber of other new agree- standing legal challenges from antitrust enforcers in the US ments. and UK who T u e s d a y argued the marked an merger would important deadThe extension harm competiline for the deal comes with a tion. announced 18 bigger The deal was months earlier. termination fee effectively clear to Both Microsoft and a number of go in the US this and Activision other new week, especially had agreed that agreements after the Supreme either party Court decided could walk away against hearing a from the planned merger if it hadn’t closed by last-ditch effort to block the then, triggering Microsoft to takeover from gamers who potentially have to pay a $3 bil- have described themselves as lion breakup fee unless both fans of popular Activision titles Call of Duty, World of Warsides decided to renegotiate. That termination fee has craft, Overwatch and Diablo. Justice Elena Kagan been increased to $3.5 billion rejected the emergency appeal with the extension. “Given global regulatory without comment on Tuesday. approvals and the companies’ Kagan handles emergency confidence that CMA now rec- matters from California and ognizes there are remedies other western states. But the UK remained an available to meet their concerns in the UK, the Activision obstacle, though one that’s Blizzard and Microsoft boards likely to be surmounted. Apple developing NHPC weighs IPO, stake sale of clean energy arm generative AI tools, tests Apple GPT Rituraj Baruah rituraj.baruah@livemint.com New DelHI Bloomberg feedback@livemint.com A pple Inc. is quietly working on artificial intelligence (AI) tools that could challenge those of OpenAI Inc., Alphabet Inc.’s Google and others, but the company has yet to devise a clear strategy for releasing the technology to consumers. The iPhone maker has built its own framework to create large language models — the Apple CEO Tim Cook. REUTERS AI-based systems at the heart of new offerings like ChatGPT pany has made AI headway in and Google’s Bard — accord- other areas, including ing to people with knowledge improvements to photos and of the efforts. With that foun- search on the iPhone. There’s dation, known as “Ajax,” Apple also a smarter version of autoalso has created a chatbot ser- correct coming to its mobile vice that some engineers call devices this year. “Apple GPT.” Publicly, Apple chief execuIn recent months, the AI tive officer Tim Cook has been push has become a major circumspect about the flood of effort for Apple, with several new AI services hitting the teams collaborating on the market. Though the technolproject, said the people, who ogy has potential, there are asked not to be identified still a “number of issues that because the matter is private. need to be sorted,” he said durThe work includes trying to ing a conference call in May. address potential Apple will be privacy concerns In recent months, adding AI to related to the more of its prodthe AI push has technology. ucts, he said, but become a major The company on a “very effort for Apple, was caught flatwith several teams t h o u g h t f u l footed in the past basis.” collaborating on year with the In an interview the project introduction of with Good O p e n A I ’ s Morning AmerChatGPT, Gooica, meanwhile, gle Bard and Microsoft’s Bing Cook said he uses ChatGPT AI. Though Apple has woven and that it’s something that the AI features into products for company is “looking at years, it’s now playing closely.” catch-up in the buzzy market Behind the scenes, Apple for generative tools, which can has grown concerned about create essays, images and even missing a potentially paravideo based on text prompts. mount shift in how devices The technology has captured operate. Generative AI promthe imagination of consumers ises to transform how people and businesses in recent interact with phones, computmonths, leading to a stampede ers and other technology. And of related products. Apple’s devices, which proApple has been conspicu- duced revenue of nearly $320 ously absent from the frenzy. billion in the last fiscal year, Its main AI product, the Siri could suffer if the company voice assistant, has stagnated doesn’t keep up with AI advanin recent years. But the com- ces. S tate-run NHPC Ltd plans to take its clean energy subsidiary NHPC Renewable Energy Ltd (NREL) public or sell its stake to strategic investors through private placements in two-three years, Rajendra Prasad Goyal, director, finance, NHPC, said in an interview. The hydropower major is looking to add solar capacity, and once the projects in the pipeline are commissioned, they will be moved to NREL. Currently, NHPC’s green energy projects, primarily comprising solar power, are under the parent company, though the green energy subsidiary was incorporated in February 2022 for developing its renewable, small hydro and green hydrogen portfolio.“Our plan is to first develop projects under NHPC, and then we will demerge these projects and shift them to NHPC Renewable and then list the company, or bring in strategic investors to create more value. It will take two-three years. We will first add capacity and shift the projects,” said Goyal. The three solar projects totalling NHPC is looking to add solar capacity, and once the projects in the pipeline are commissioned, they will be moved to NREL. BLOOMBERG 1,000 megawatt (MW), under the Central Public Sector Undertaking scheme, will be commissioned by FY25. Under the scheme for setting up of grid-connected solar photovoltaic (PV) power projects by government producers, the Centre provides viability gap funding support. Last year, NHPC signed contracts for three projects with cumulative capacity of 1,000 MW with engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) players under the scheme, including the 600 MW unit in Gujarat to Adani Infra (India), 300 MW in Rajasthan to Tata Power and 100 MW in Andhra Pradesh to the SSELASR joint venture. “We contracted the 1,000 MW to thhree contractors. Construction is underway in the Bikaner project for 300 MW. In other two projects, construction is yet to start. This 1 GW will be commissioned by FY25,” Goyal said. NHPC has another solar project of 65 MW in Bundelkhand, Uttar Pradesh, of which 26 MW capacity has been completed. Goyal said NHPC is in the process of selecting an EPC contractor for a 200 MW project in Gujarat. It will also start work on floating solar projects. NHDC, its joint venture with the Madhya Pradesh government, is developing a floating solar project. NHPC has also taken up green hydrogen projects on a pilot basis, Goyal said. “We are doing pilot projects for green hydrogen in Leh, Kargil and Chamba. We would look at the outcome and the commercial viability of these projects.” The company is looking to add value to its renewable energy subsidiary and is planning to raise funds through private placements or an IPO, with the green energy getting major policy focus, following the Centre‘s ambitious target of having an installed renewable energy capacity of 500 GW by 2030. Another state-run power major, NTPC, is also planning to list its subsidiary NTPC Green Energy Ltd on the stock exchanges after shelving its plan to bring in a strategic investor last fiscal. Stage set for Hollywood’s big box office clash Lata Jha lata.j@htlive.com New DelHI I n what’s shaping up to be the biggest weekend for Hollywood at the box office after many months, Christopher Nolan’s Oppenheimer and Greta Gerwig’s Barbie are set to engage in a theatrical clash, generating immense excitement not only for the viewers in their home market but also among Indian fans. Nolan’s devoted fan base and the movie’s positioning as a big-screen spectacle shot on IMAX are helping the epic Robert Oppenheimer biographical thriller dominate advance ticket sales in India. Theatres in cities such as Mumbai and Delhi have scheduled IMAX screenings as early as 12 am and 3.30 am on Friday morning. “These tent-pole films are coming from celebrated filmmakers and the advances have been impressive for both, although Oppenheimer is lead- For Oppenheimer’s IMAX shows, 50% of advance bookings have been locked in. AP ing for now,” Sanjeev Kumar Bijli, executive director of PVR Inox Ltd, said. It has already secured 25% of all advances for Oppenheimer and 20% for Barbie for the opening weekend. For Oppenheimer’s IMAX shows, 50% of advance bookings have been locked in, and the film is likely to make ₹7-8 crore over the opening weekend in India, while Barbie may both films should do well especially ring in ₹4-5 crore. While it is com- in metros and niche, premium marmon for south Indian productions to kets. IMAX formats for Oppenheimer screen early morning shows for big- are doing particularly well, with the ticket films on the first day, it is not first weekend’s occupancy at over common for Hollywood films in 80%. Tickets too are being priced at India, barring blockbusters like a premium with IMAX shows for the thriller at ₹1,000, compared with Avengers: Endgame. average ticket prices of Moreover, while it is not unusual for Hindi Oppenheimer is ₹700 for Mission: Impossible in cities like language films to clash likely to make Delhi. at the Indian box office, ₹7-8 crore over Ashish Saksena,chief Bijli said this is the first the opening operating officer, cintime that two Hollyweekend in India, ema, BookMyShow, wood blockbusters will directly compete for while Barbie may said Mission: Impossible attention, especially at ring in ₹4-5 crore has set the tempo, and the box-office clash a time Mission: Impossibetween Oppenheimer ble — Dead Reckoning Part One, which was released last and Barbie is building on it. “While week, continues to perform both films are creating a buzz worldstrongly. The Tom Cruise-starrer, wide, Oppenheimer has started off on which is also being screened in an impressive note in India as the IMAX and ICE formats, earned advance sales opened earlier. Over 360,000 tickets have been sold on ₹67.75 crore at last count in India. Abneesh Roy, executive director, BookMyShow since it went live Nuvama Institutional Equities, said three weeks ago.” This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 05 06 CORPORATE Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai LIVEMINT.COM New stainless steel policy to target 5X jump in capacity ADB retains India’s growth forecast of 6.4% in FY24 Ravi Dutta Mishra ravi.dutt@livemint.com NEW DELHI A key objective is to cut dependence on China for raw materials nickel, silicon and chromium Vedanta acquired ESL in 2018 through an insolvency resolution at Kolkata, marking Agarwal’s entry into the steel business. BLOOMBERG Vedanta makes a fresh bid to sell steel business ESL Vedanta’s CEO Sunil Duggal wrote to shareholders of ESL’s spokesperson for Citigroup progress: “ESL performed in India declined to comment, resiliently amidst challenges JPMorgan didn’t respond to an that were used as an opportuemailed query. nity to be future-ready by Founded in 2006, ESL, undertaking yield improvebased in Bokaro, was acquired ment, debottlenecking and by Vedanta in June 2018 plant maintenance initiatives.” through an insolvency resoluESL registered an increase tion at Kolkata, marking Agar- in saleable production to 1,285 wal’s entry into the steel busi- kilotonne (kt) with the highness. ESL, with a greenfield est-ever net sales realization, manufacturing facility, is pri- resulting in favourable operatmarily engaged in the produc- ing margins. It continued to tion of TMT bars, DI pipes, prioritize its value-added portwire rods, billets, and pig iron. folio, resulting in a 5% increase Soon after the acquisition, in its sales. ESL successfully Vedanta pumped in $300 mil- operationalized two iron ore lion to augment ESL’s capacity mines with 100% captive sourfrom 1.5 million tonnes (mt) to cing of iron ore. 2.5 mt, following which the ESL has its own sinter company turned profitable plants, blast furnaces, coke within a year of the acquisi- oven, oxygen plant, billet caster, wire rod tion, i.e. in 2019. mill, bar mill, In an interview Soon after the ductile iron pipes with Business acquisition, Standard in Vedanta pumped plant, and a December, Anil power plant. in $300 mn to In December Agarwal, when augment ESL’s 2018, Agarwal asked about the rumoured sale, capacity from 1.5 said Vedanta mt to 2.5 mt would scale up its said: “We have steel business to 7 not arrived at a mt per annum by decision. In any business, I tell my CEOs (chief setting up a new steel plant in executive officers) that we Jharkhand with a capacity of have to be in the top three. We 4.5 mt per annum at an investhave to have a vision. Increase ment of $3-4 billion. The plant the capacity because we are in was supposed to be a part of a beautiful state, Jharkhand, ESL at Bokaro. If the latest ESL sale deal is which is my home state. But it has to have world-class capac- consummated, it may help ity and cannot be a small plant. Vedanta pay a better dividend We have a capacity of about 3 to its shareholders, including mt... we are contemplating. its London-based parent We have to take it to 15-20 mt. Vedanta Resources Plc, which We are either in that business holds 68.11% of the Indian company. This will enable the or we are not.” Environmental clearance latter to meet its looming debt was a stumbling block for the obligations. Vedanta Resoursale. But, one of the people ces has paid down around $2 cited above said this hurdle is billion of its debt during fiscal likely to be overcome as clear- year 2022-23, a Moody’s report said. ance is likely soon. satish.john@livemint.com In its FY23 annual report, FROM PAGE 1 Naman Suri & Mihir Mishra NEW DELHI T he Union steel ministry has started industry consultations to frame India’s first stainless steel policy, an official aware of the matter said. The policy will aim to raise domestic capacity by nearly fivefold by 2047, from the current 6.6 million tonnes (mt) to 30 mt. A key objective of the policy is to reduce dependence on China for nickel, silicon and chromium, which are used to make stainless steel. “We are totally dependent on a single country (China) for many of these raw mate- The policy is being formulated at the request of the stainless steel industry, which says its concerns are often left out since ISTOCKPHOTO rials required to manufacture stainless they differ from those of the carbon steel sector. steel. The policy would look at ways to The policy is being formulated at the stainless steel sector. This is mainly The stainless steel policy is being diversify its sourcing,” the official cited above said on condition of anonymity. request of the stainless steel industry, because there are no similarities in the considered at a time the government is In March, Jindal Stainless Ltd which says its concerns are often left processes of making stainless steel and planning to build long-term infrastrucacquired a 49% stake in an Indonesian out since they differ from those of the carbon steel,” said Rajamani Krishna- ture with significant use of the alloy. nickel smelter for about ₹1,300 crore to carbon steel sector. “It (the policy on murti, president of the Indian Stainless Crisil Research estimates stainless steel consumption to reach 13 mt by FY40 secure supplies. Sourcing such inputs stainless steel) is encouraging and a Steel Development Association. and 20 mt by FY47. Per capita confrom countries other than China sumption is also estimated to reach and finding them within India are SECURING SUPPLIES about 12kg by 2047 from 2.5kg among the options being considTHE govt is planning THE stainless steel CRISIL Research now. ered, the official cited above added. THE policy would at ways to to build long-term industry expects estimates stainless The industry expects the RailIndonesia is one of the largest look diversify sourcing, infrastructure with the Railways to steel consumption ways to account for a big chunk of nickel producers in the world. said an official aware significant use of account for a big to hit 13 mt by FY40 demand. The demand from RailSeparately, the mines ministry is of the matter stainless steel chunk of demand and 20 mt by FY47 ways is expected to more than trifocusing on scouting for 30 minerple by FY25 and constitute 25% of als, including 17 rare earth eleIn 2017, India unveiled a steel policy the incremental demand for the metal ments and six platinum-group ele- step in the right direction for the sector ments, given their economic impor- since decisions like the export duty on to raise crude steel capacity from 122 mt between FY23 and FY25. The Union tance and limited availability. Some of steel and removal of countervailing in FY16 to 300 mt by FY31, and increase budget has doubled the amount earthe minerals needed by the steel indus- duty have benefited the carbon steel per capita steel consumption to 160kg marked for manufacturing railway coaches to `47,500 crore for FY24. sector but adversely impacted the from 61kg during the same period. try also figure in this list. R etaining its earlier forecast, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Wednesday said India’s GDP is expected to grow by 6.4% in the ongoing financial year and 6.7% in FY25, driven by recovery in consumption demand and easing global commodity prices. The projections released by ADB were close to the Reserve Bank’s estimates of 6.5% real GDP growth for 2023-24. The ADB projections assume “normal rainfall and other weather factors, and no further geopolitical shocks”. However, it added that the global economic slowdown has suppressed merchandise trade, which could be a drag on growth. India’s goods exports have been declining for the last five months amid falling demand in the West. Exports from developing Asia weakened in the first quarter of 2023 as global demand slowed. However, consumption and investment are projected to boost aggregate regional growth to 4.8% in 2023, as earlier forecast, with the forecast for 2024 revised down only marginally to 4.7%, ADB stated. As far as inflation is concerned, ADB said as food and oil prices moderated, inflation eased below the 6% upper tolerance level of the monetary policy. Go First may need to sign fresh leases before its relaunch FROM PAGE 1 The airline has already begun preliminary discussions to bring lessors on board towards an August relaunch, the second person said. Go First’s lenders, resolution professional (RP), and lessors have had several discussions on its plans to resume with 26 aircraft, the person added. The lessors are concerned mostly about two aspects—the condition of the grounded aircraft and the pending payments. “During the discussions, they (lessors) were made aware that the airline owes more money to the creditors than the lessors. Pratt & Whit- ney, too, has given a commitment that they will supply 4-5 aircraft engines every month till December for the aircraft and provide the required maintenance services. And, if the creditors and engine suppliers are comfortable with the plan to resume the operations first and use the cash flows for immediate repayments and lease rentals, the lessors should also come on board. That is in the interest of all stakeholders,” a third person aware of the developments said. In the battle between the lessors and the airline, a division bench of the Delhi high court recently dismissed an appeal filed by Go First’s RP challeng- The airline has started talks to bring lessors on board. PTI ing an earlier order that allowed lessors to inspect the airline’s aircraft and their parts regularly. Lessors can now carry out regular inspections. Simultaneously, the civil avia- tion regulator Directorate GenAdditionally, the expreseral of Civil Aviation (DGCA), sions of interest (EoI) floated was also directed to decide by the RP are expected to within 15 days to grant approv- attract potential new owners als to the airline to resume backed by private equity funds operations. or other deep“It is likely that pocketed invesIn its latest plan once DGCA gives tors as strategic submitted to its approval to the DGCA, the airline partners. revival plan pro“That will bring said it could posed by the airin additional recommence line, both the funds,” said the about 160 daily creditors and the third person, jusflight operations tifying why the lessors would be comfortable to lessors should restart flight give their nod to operations. Gradually, as the Go First’s flight resumption business picks up, the cash plan without any delay. from operations can be used to Last week, the airline’s RP, repay the older debts and lease Shailendra Ajmera, invited dues,” the person added. EoIs for Go First, registered as Go Airlines (India) Ltd. The last date for the submission of EoIs is 9 August, a company advertisement stated. The list of provisional resolution applicants is expected on 19 August. In its latest plan submitted to DGCA, the airline said it could recommence approximately 160 daily flight operations with 26 aircraft. Out of the 26 aircraft, nearly four aircraft are to be kept in reserve for a backup plan in case there are issues related to technical glitches in any of the operational aircraft. Comments from the airline were awaited till press time. anu.sharma@livemint.com Announcements on chip fabs Pristyn Care suspends founders of Lybrate amid dispute soon, says Chandrasekhar FROM PAGE 1 FROM PAGE 1 modified scheme, but after the two split up and decided to apply for the scheme separately, the proposal is likely to stay with Vedanta or be replaced by a fresh one from Vedanta, Chandrasekhar said. He noted that the legal entity that applied continues to remain, and any equity changes were not relevant to the proposal. Vedanta-Foxconn was among the first three appli- The fab will start producing cants to the original scheme chips within 2-3 years. AFP launched in January 2021. Chandrasekhar said proposals Semiconductor Laboratory in from the other two—Interna- Mohali, Punjab, where a tional Semiconductor Consor- research-cum-commercial fab tium (ISMC) and Singapore’s will come up, he said. IGSS Ventures—were no “The India Semiconductor longer being considered by the Research Centre is going to be advisory committee. announced very shortly. It’s a “Foxconn has indicated that public-private partnership they will anyway between the priindependently Vedanta-Foxconn vate sector and submit a prothe government. was among the posal,” he said. It will include the first three The Taiwanese modernization of applicants to contract manuSCL (Semi-Conthe original facturer is in talks ductor Laborasemiconductor with Taiwan tory) as a scheme Semiconductor research-cumManufacturing commercial fab,” Co. Ltd (TSMC) he said. The govand a few other semiconductor ernment is looking to invest fabricators, The Economic about ₹10,000 crore in the fab Times reported on 14 July. project. The research centre The government will also may also open a branch in launch the India Semiconduc- South India. tor Research Centre in a publicThe ministry of electronics private partnership model, and information technology which will also modernize the (MeitY) will also work with Invest India to pursue investment deals in the semiconductor space involving entities from Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Europe, and the US. On Wednesday, former Intel India head Nivruti Rai was named managing director and chief executive officer of Invest India, which comes under the ministry of commerce and industry. “We will be working with Invest India in going out there and aggressively positioning India as a very attractive investment destination for semiconductors,” Chandrasekhar said. MeitY is also holding the Semicon India 2023 event later this month, where it will pitch India as a destination for potential investors while showcasing recent investments in the semiconductor industry, primarily that of US-based Micron Technology Inc. After Micron announced investments of $825 million in its $2.75 billion packaging plant, a number of proposals for setting up testing and packaging units for compound and silicon semiconductor chips have been submitted to the government, Chandrasekhar said. The minister added that the government was comfortable with not taking equity in any of the projects the Centre and states together were financing since India was only beginning to attract potential investors and companies needed economic incentives to choose India over other countries. of the people cited above said. The final tranche will become due in 2024. “Nearly 60-80% of the payment owed to the founders has not yet been paid,” one of the people cited above said. On Tuesday, Arora and Narang served a notice to Pristyn Care’s operating entity GHV Advanced Care alleging the company had failed to acquire the second tranche of shares in Lybrate, as agreed in the original share-purchase agreement, the people cited above said. Narang and Arora did not respond to emails on Wednesday. “Pristyn Care has and shall continue to act in accordance with the contractual terms and conditions. Pristyn Care has not defaulted on any of its contractual obligations. At this point, it would be inappropriate to comment on the matter,” a spokesperson said. Pristyn Care achieved unicorn status in April 2021 in a round led by Tiger Global Management. Its other investors include Peak XV Partners (formerly Sequoia Capital Pristyn Care offers support to patients booking surgeries. MINT India), Hummingbird Ventures and Epiq Capital. At that time, the company said it had raised a total of around $150 million Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Bengafrom external investors. The company laid off 45 luru, Hyderabad, Chennai, employees in March citing Kolkata, and some tier-2 cities. non-performance, a spokes- It offers medical care in 12 surgical categories, person said at including general that time. Pristyn Care The startup achieved unicorn surgery, ophthalmology, ENT, ecosystem has status in April urology, and been going 2021 in a round gynaecology. through a fundled by Tiger Pristyn Care ing crunch, with Global reported the revmultiple other Management enue of ₹96 crore companies letin the year ended ting go of staff to 31 March 2021, on save costs. Pristyn Care offers tech-ena- a loss of around ₹64 crore. It bled support to patients book- has not yet filed its FY22 finaning surgeries across centres in cial statements. Tata Sons to set up £4 bn battery factory in UK Alisha Sachdev alisha.sachdev@livemint.com NEW DELHI T ata Sons on Wednesday said it would invest £4 billion ($5.16 billion) to establish a new 40GW battery cell gigafactory in the UK. The cells will be utilized to supply to group companies Tata Motors and Jaguar Land Rover for their electric vehicles, as well as cater to renewable energy storage solutions for customers in Europe and the UK, the company said in a press release. “JLR and Tata Motors will be anchor customers, with supplies commencing from 2026”, it said. The factory is likely to be housed under Tata’s cell man- N. Chandrasekaran, chairman, Tata Sons. ufacturing subsidiary Agratas. The Tata Group announced last month it will invest over ₹13,000 crore to set up a 20GW lithium-ion cell manufacturing factory in Sanand, Gujarat. AP “The Tata group is deeply committed to a sustainable future across all of our business. Today, I am delighted to announce the Tata group will be setting up one of Europe’s largest battery cell manufac- turing facilities in the UK. Our multi-billion pound investment will bring state-of-theart technology to the country, helping to power the automotive sector’s transition to electric mobility, anchored by our own business, Jaguar Land Rover. With this strategic investment, the Tata group further strengthens its commitment to the UK alongside our many companies operating here across technology, consumer, hospitality, steel, chemicals, and automotive. I also want to thank His Majesty’s government, which has worked so closely with us to enable this investment,” said N. Chandrasekaran, chairman of Tata Sons. According to Tata Sons, the battery gigafactory will produce high-quality, high-performance, sustainable battery cells and packs for various applications within the mobility and energy sectors. The company’s strategic growth plans for its flexible manufacturing capacity will begin with a rapid ramp-up phase and the start of production in 2026. “The gigafactory intends to maximize its renewable energy mix, with an ambition for 100% clean power. The plant will employ innovative technologies and resource-efficient processes like battery recycling to recover and reuse all the original raw materials to deliver a truly circular economy ecosystem”, the group said. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER CORPORATE LIVEMINT.COM FMCG cos to amp up marketing this fiscal Cheaper inputs help firms spend more on advertising, marketing Suneera Tandon suneera.t@htlive.com nEw DElhi E asing raw material prices will provide consumer goods makers headroom to allocate more funds for advertising and promotions (A&P), according to industry insiders. This will be a welcome relief after record-high inflation ate into companies’ marketing budgets for several years. “When inflation was high last year, A&P spending was reduced first. Since the scenario has reversed, we do not see why we will cut back our marketing budgets,” said Manoj Verma, the chief operating officer of Bikaji Foods International Ltd. The upcoming festive season is likely to be a big driver for the company’s volumes, as consumers tend to buy large gift packs of namkeens, snacks and sweets, he said. “We are coming up with ad films that will be With markets opening up and consumers venturing out, demand for packaged foods MINT aired. The festive season is big for us, and has rebounded, prompting companies to increase their advertising spending. that’s where our marketing spend is primarily skewed towards. You will see us back month, FMCG major Dabur India said it is Bisleri International Pvt. Ltd, said. “While witnessing a “reversal” in the commodity running prime time campaigns on TV for on air big time.” In response to the challenges of higher cycle, resulting in a fall in prices of most key the reach, awareness and imagery creation inflation, companies had pared their A&P commodities, barring food and beverages. will be an integral part of our overall budgets to protect margins. For instance, “This allows us to expect an expansion in spends, we are also focussing on a digitalHindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL), one of the gross margins for the current year. This first approach to connect with the Gen-Z. largest FMCG companies in India, reported expanded gross margin will be allocated in We will leverage sports associations, IPL, a moderation in A&P spending in the Sep- two primary ways. A portion will be allo- marathons, football, athletic events, among cated for A&P investments, which others, to create a 360-degree immersive tember quarter to 7% of sales. This had experienced some modera- consumer experience. A significant part of was in line with the inflationary tion due to high inflation. Two, our marketing strategy is on accelerating pressures witnessed by the the remaining part will be for our presence in trade.” industry. Notably, HUL’s gradual improvement of our average A&P spending With markets opening up and consumFMCG sector’s operating margins,” the ers venturing out, demand for packaged between FY19 and FY21 contribution to stood at 12%. However, this maker of Vatika shampoo foods has rebounded, prompting compaoverall ad spends has risen sequentially. Anaand Real drink said. nies to increase their advertising spends. “It lysts at BNP Paribas expect the Beverage company Bisleri has been a good year with markets reopencompany’s marketing expenses Ltd expects its marketing budget ing and rising consumer demand. To conat 9.5% of June quarter sales. to increase 30-40% this financial year. solidate the favourable times, we are With declining raw material costs, the “We will see a 30-40% increase in our mar- embarking on a diverse and aggressive brokerage also expects FMCG companies keting budgets, keeping in line with our marketing campaign for our brands,” Manto partially reinvest gross margin gains to vision of strengthening Bisleri’s packaged ish Aggarwal, director, Bikano, Bikanervala boost ad spending, and promotional offers drinking water business, and accelerating Foods Pvt. Ltd, said. The FMCG sector to drive demand, BNP Paribas said in its growth of our new portfolio of carbonated comprises 30% of total advertising spends, India consumer report on 12 July. soft drinks and Vedica Himalayan spring followed by online retail at 18%, according In its FY23 annual report released last water,” Tushar Malhotra, head, marketing, to a 2023 report by Dentsu India. 30% Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai Fresh bids for advanced chemistry cells Alisha Sachdev alisha.sachdev@livemint.com nEw DElhi T he ministry of heavy industries will be issuing a fresh tender for applications under the productionlinked incentive scheme inviting bids for the ₹18,000-crore Advanced Chemistry Cells, or ACC project. The scheme aims to incentivize production of 20GWh battery storage capacity, it said on Wednesday. During the initial round of awards under the PLI scheme, three companies qualified for incentives: Ola Electric, Reliance New Energy, and Rajesh Exports. However, Ola Electric (for 20GWh lithium-ion cell) and Reliance New Energy (for 5GWh sodium-ion cell manufacturing) have presented the roadmap for actual production to the government. Bangalore-based precious jewellery firm Rajesh Exports, which had qualified for incentives for a 5GWh lithium-ion cell production capacity is yet to submit plans and is likely to be disqualified. The three firms committed a The scheme aims to incentivize production of 20GWh battery storage capacity. cumulative investment of ₹27,000 crore under the PLI scheme. The government will sanction additional incentives for a 10GWh capacity project using new battery technologies such as solid state, zinc-based, and iron-air batteries. The process for this will start in September, said heavy industries secretary Kamran Rizvi on the sidelines of the G20 energy transition working group meeting in Goa on Wednesday. G20 sherpa in India’s presidency year, Amitabh Kant said battery storage capacity will be AFP key to India’s energy transition journey. The ministry will be holding consultations with industry stakeholder on 24 July, ahead of the re-bidding process for the ACC PLI scheme. Ola Electric will deploy the first phase of its lithium-ion cell manufacturing facility at Krishnagiri in Tamil Nadu with a capacity of 5GWh by the end of 2024, Rizvi added. Ola is striving to have 1GWh capacity on stream at the unit by the end of this year, people in the know told Mint. Besides the 50GWh capacity which will be created as a part of the ACC PLI scheme, the private sector will set up a battery manufacturing capacity of 100GWh, Rizvi added. This round of the ACC PLI scheme is set to woo the interest of large global lithium-ion battery manufacturers such as Panasonic, Samsung, and LG Chem, which had not participated in the first round. Some of the players have shown interest in applying for the scheme once bids are invited, people in the know said, seeking anonymity. Besides, domestic battery firms such as Amara Raja and Exide that were wait-listed earlier, are likely to submit fresh bids. India has high dependence on foreign markets for lithiumion cell importing for its electric vehicles, considering that there are no existing facilities in the country. It imports cells primarily from China, as well as South Korea, Germany and Japan. According to the ministry, 10 bids were received from firms with manufacturing capacity of 128 GWh under the ACC PLI scheme earlier. Dunzo defers salary payments to September Sneha Shah sneha.shah@livemint.com MuMbai Q uick commerce startup Dunzo on Wednesday delayed its salary payouts for the second time in a fortnight as it battles a cash crunch. While June salaries were disbursed on time, the Reliance Industries and Google-backed company had capped payouts at ₹75,000 for those earning more. On Tuesday, Dunzo wrote to its employees that it will pay the July and August salaries, as well as the unpaid portion for the higher earners, by 4 Septem- force were said to be affected by ber. Earlier, the company had the move to cap salaries at decided to pay out the unpaid ₹75,000. Dunzo had fired portion by 15 July, and there around 30% of its staff in April. was no plan to defer salaries for “Pending salaries for June others. will now be paid “At this stage, on 4 September, Facing cash we need to focus crunch, last week, 2023. Additionon streamlining the company had ally, the July salour cash flow so ary for all team capped the we can build a members will be salary payouts more sustainable paid only on 4 to ₹75,000 for business for the September along June future,” Dunzo’s with the August payroll team salary. While we emailed employhave set 4 Sepees. Mint has reviewed a copy of tember as the date for all pendthe email. ing salary payouts, we are Around 500 employees con- working to resolve this issue at stituting 40-45% of its work- the earliest to minimize the impact on our team members,” the letter said. A company spokesperson did not offer a comment. Dunzo had raised $75 million in debt funding through convertible notes in April. Apart from Google and Reliance, it counts investors such as Lightbox, Evolvence, Alteria Capital among its investors. A person aware of the company’s plans said that Dunzo is in the process of raising around $50 million from new investors. Many high-growth startups with rapid cash burn are nearing the end of the runway, as they find it hard to raise funding. A SYMBOL THAT STANDS FOR CLARITY & CREDIBILITY With a rich legacy spanning more than nine decades, Hindustan Times has always upheld the values: clarity and credibility. As India’s leading news brand, we stand by our resolve every day to continue upholding the truth in our essence. Keep Reading Hindustan Times to stay updated hindustantimes htTweets 07 www.hindustantimes.com This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 08 m GLOBAL Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai MINT SHORTS Credit Suisse to lay off more than 40 staff in China securities unit Hong Kong: Credit Suisse is set to launch a new round of layoffs which may impact more than 40 employees in one of its China units, two people with direct knowledge of the matter said, as the now subsidiary of former Swiss rival UBS cut costs following its takeover last month. Credit Suisse Securities (China), 51%-owned by Credit Suisse, is expected to start the cuts, accounting for about 20% of its local workforce, as early as Monday, according to the sources. Staff in wealth management and investment banking divisions will take the biggest hit, the sources said. REUTERS LIVEMINT.COM Ukraine says Russia targeting grain sites after deal exit Kyiv’s allegations came as a fire of unclear origin broke out at a military site in Russian-annexed Crimea AFP Sunak’s popularity sinks to lowest since taking over as PM feedback@livemint.com Kyiv, UKraine AP Rishi Sunak’s popularity rating sank to its lowest level since he became UK prime minister in October, highlighting the growing challenge he faces in leading his party to victory at the next general election. Some 65% of Britons now have an unfavourable view of the PM compared with 25% who see him in a positive light, according to a YouGov poll of 2,151 British adults published Wednesday. BLOOMBERG Former Wirecard COO sends sign of life three years after vanishing Former Wirecard AG ,chief operating officer Jan Marsalek contacted a Munich court through his lawyer, the first sign of life after the executive disappeared three years ago during the dramatic collapse of the German payments company. The Munich district court received a letter written by Marsalek’s lawyer, a spokesperson for the institution said Tuesday, declining to comment on details. Marsalek, 43, has been one of the key figures behind Wirecard’s spectacular rise to one of Germany’s most valuable companies before its implosion in June 2020. BLOOMBERG J&J must pay $18.8 mn to California cancer patient in baby powder suit Johnson & Johnson’s must pay $18.8 million to a California man who said he developed cancer from exposure to its baby powder, a jury decided on Tuesday, a setback for the company as it seeks to settle thousands of similar cases over its talc-based products in the US bankruptcy court. REUTERS U kraine accused Russia on Wednesday of deliberately striking its Black Sea grain facilities — and destroying tonnes of food — since Moscow quit an export deal meant to stave off a global crisis. Kyiv’s allegations came as a fire of unclear origin broke out at a military site in Russian-annexed Crimea, prompting local officials to call for the evacuation of thousands of civilians. Military sites on the peninsula, a key supply artery for Russia’s war in Ukraine, have been hit repeatedly in recent months. Russia, for its part, fired strikes at Ukraine’s Odesa for the second night in a row, with the defence ministry claiming to have struck fuel and ammunition facilities near the Black Sea port. But Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed Russia was taking aim at the very basis of the nowlapsed grain deal, which was brokered last by the UN and Turkey amid fears of food shortages in vulnerable nations. “Russian terrorists deliberately targeted the grain deal infrastructure, and every Russian missile is a blow not only to Ukraine, but to everyone in the world who wants a normal and safe life,” Zelensky said on social media. Ports in Odesa were key transit hubs for the export of grain from Ukraine until Moscow said earlier this week it would withdraw from the deal giving safe passage to cargo ships in the Black Sea. Kyiv claimed Russia had destroyed 60,000 tonnes of grain meant for “Every Russian missile is a blow not only to Ukraine, but to everyone in the world who wants a normal and safe life,” Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky. AFP export in overnight strikes around media reported that detonations Odesa after accusing Moscow of pur- were heard in the area and footage posefully hitting grain terminals. showed columns of black smoke in Ukraine’s agriculture ministry said the sky. the grain was meant to be “sent Russian President Vladimir Putin through the grain corridor 60 days was briefed on the incident, the ago.” Kremlin said. Following the fire “We know that there Kyiv claimed early Wednesday at the was a fire there. EmerRussia had Crimea military site, destroyed 60,000 gency measures are Russian officials called being taken, the situatonnes of grain for the evacuation of meant for export tion is being clarified,” 2,000 people from the Kremlin spokesman in overnight area. Dmitry Peskov said. strikes “The temporary evacA section of the uation of residents of Tavrida highway that four localities adjacent crosses the peninsula to the military field in the Kirovsky from Kerch to Sevastopol was closed district is planned,” said the Moscow- due to the fire, Russia’s TASS news installed head of Crimea, Sergei agency reported. Aksyonov. Russia has kept up its aerial bomAuthorities did not specify the bardment of Ukraine, but Kyiv’s cause of the fire, but some Russian defences have steadily improved. Evolve from ‘Can AI take my job?’ Goldman Sachs profit plunges on realty hits, deals slump Bloomberg feedback@livemint.com G to ‘How can AI work for me?’ To decode the right answers, you need to ask better questions. Stay updated with the latest happenings in the word of tech, only with Mint. oldman Sachs Group Inc.’s profit plunged as the Wall Street giant notched one of its weakest quarters under chief executive officer David Solomon. Second-quarter earnings fell 58% on an investmentbanking slump, real estate markdowns and a goodwill writedown in the consumer business, which houses the GreenSky lending business. Return on equity, a key measure of profitability, slid to 4% — the worst among the top US banks. The firm had been actively tamping down expectations heading into the report, prompting analysts to slash their estimates for quarterly profit by almost half since midJune. Shares of the company fell 0.8% at 9:35 a.m. in New York. Goldman’s management has been working to smooth the firm’s sometimes volatile quarterly results, which featured big gains during the post-pandemic boom followed by a run of missed profitability goals. Investors are looking to see whether the second quarter represents a trough for the New York-based company, with a steadier run of earnings gains ahead. “They’ve come out and revealed all the problems,” said Sandy Pomeroy, a money manager at Neuberger Berman Group. “They need to come out and articulate some confidence that we are at the bottom from a cyclical perspective and that they’ve cleaned up all of their problems.” Pomeroy bought Goldman stock in January after it had tumbled from its 2021 high. Ukraine’s airforce said it had shot down 13 cruise missiles fired by Russian forces overnight and 23 Iranianmade attack drones launched by Moscow. As a result of the strikes, “10 civilians were injured, including a nineyear-old boy”, the Office of the Prosecutor General said in a statement. One civilian was injured in a strike on an “industrial facility” in Odesa, according to the head of the local military administration, Oleg Kiper, while another three were hurt after an X-59 missile slammed into a city neighbourhood, having been shot down. Russia claimed to have advanced one kilometre (less than one mile) in the past day along the front line in Ukraine’s northeastern region of Kharkiv. The Russian army already said Tuesday it had carried out a “retaliation strike” against sites in Odesa after an attack on the sole bridge linking annexed Crimea to mainland Russia. Ukrainian forces carried out the assault on the Kerch bridge using seaborne drones, a security service source told AFP. The day of the attack, Moscow withdrew from the grain deal, accusing Kyiv of using the Black Sea grain corridor for “combat purposes”. The Kremlin also issued a veiled warning over the “risks” to ships that might continue with grain exports from Ukraine. Were a new arrangement to allow for exports “formalised without Russia, then these risks should be taken into account”, Peskov said. Russia said Tuesday it would lift “safe navigation guarantees” for cargo ship in the Black Sea and signalled it would disband the grain deal’s coordination centre in Istanbul. 5 EU nations want Ukraine grain ban to be extended Reuters feedback@livemint.com WarsaW F ive central European countries want a ban on Ukrainian grains imports to be extended at least until the end of the year, agriculture ministers said on Wednesday after meeting in Warsaw. The European Union in May allowed Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia to ban domestic sales of Ukrainian wheat, maize, rapeseed and sunflower seeds, while allowing transit of such cargoes for export elsewhere. That ban is set to end on 15 September. The countries include some of Kyiv’s staunchest diplomatic supporters in its war against Moscow, but they say inflows of Ukrainian grain have hurt farmers at home. Polish Agriculture Minister Robert Telus said the five countries signed a common declaration regarding the extension of the ban until at least the end of the year, which they will present in talks with the European Commission. Tech stocks, meme stocks, crypto enjoy a resurgence Eric Wallerstein feedback@livemint.com F or many investors, it’s like 2022 never happened. Tech stocks are rising manically, spilling into meme stocks. The cryptoverse is enjoying a resurgence. Bullishness is hitting a fever pitch in the options market. In short, risk-on investments are the most popular they have been since late 2021—right before stocks entered the longest bear market in decades. Speculative stocks are soaring: Shades of memestock mania are cropping up. The MEME ETF—tied to the Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index—has risen 61% this year. Its top holdings by weighting are: bitcoin miner Riot Platforms (up 439% this year), artificial-intelligence lending platform Upstart Holdings (up 308%), Coinbase Global (up 196%), electric-car maker Rivian Automotive (up 34%), and Carvana (up 740%). The fervor has driven record-high options trading tied to many of those companies’ shares. And against all odds, bitcoin has climbed 80% in 2023. Individual investors are amped: Retail traders are all-in. Bullish sentiment—represented as the expectation that stocks will rise in the next six months— this month hit its highest level since 2021, according to surveys by the American Association of Individual Investors. The bull-bear spread, the difference between investors who see the stock market trotting higher versus those expecting a rout, has been positive for six consecutive weeks. That’s the longest stretch since November 2021. Americans are also growing more confident about the economy as a whole. Consumer sentiment, measured by the University of Michigan’s survey, jumped to 72.6 in July from The market looks a lot like 2021—right before stocks entered a deep slump ISTOCK 64.4 the prior month. That’s the highest reading since September 2021 and the biggest increase since 2005. Since the Federal Reserve rescued the banking system in March, investors have had less to worry about, according to David Wagner, a portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors. “The only thing that can stop this rally is if a big time risk is put back on the table,” he said. Fear has faded: Rather than scoop up options that would protect portfolios’ gains if stocks fell, investors are reaching for bets that would pay out if the rally continued. The put-call ratio—a measure of fear in the options market— has fallen to its lowest levels since January 2022, according to Cboe Global Markets data. T h e Cboe Volatility Index, or the VIX, is trading around 13. The index is commonly referred to as Wall Street’s fear gauge as it measures prices of options used to protect against market declines. Anything below 20 is associated with little demand for insurance. One reason why investors look complacent to many in the market is that stocks are quietly marching higher. The S&P 500’s daily swings haven’t been this small since late 2021, according to a Cboe measure. How it could unravel: Market contrarians say the perfect storm is brewing for a crash. Retail investors were similarly euphoric in late 2021. They showed few signs of unnerve: The put-call ratio was low, as was the VIX. But by early January 2022, all three major stock indexes had peaked, and the S&P 500 went on to lose 19% that year. “The FOMO [fear of missing out] becomes so great that retail investors come clamoring in at the end, the last hurrah, just in time for the market bottom to fall out,” said Amanda Agati, chief investment officer of PNC Asset Management G-roup. It isn’t just the exuberance that is giving some cause for concern. Higher borrowing costs threaten to slow down the economy, choking off credit for businesses and making it harder for companies and households to get loans. Over the past year or so, rates on auto loans and mortgages have jumped around 3 percentage points. Interest on credit cards is up to 22% from 16%, Federal Reserve data show. While inflation has eased, hitting 3% in June, it’s still above the Fed’s target rate of 2%. And Fed officials are likely concerned about Americans getting used to elevated inflation. “If we get stagflation, rates will have to continue rising,” said Jason Bloom, head of fixed income and alternatives ETF strategy for Invesco. “That’s not a great recipe for investors.” ©2023 DOW JONES & COMPANY, INC This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER NeWs WrAP LIVEMINT.COM TWEETS & QUOTES Satya Nadella @satyanadella Janet Yellen Dinesh Khara Secretary of the treasury, US Chairman, State Bank of India We are on a solid path to bringing inflation down, as we saw in last week’s encouraging CPI report. And that comes alongside a strong labour market that is bringing more people into the labour force Chairman, Microsoft There’s no question we are creating massive new opportunity across our ecosystem in this era of AI Covid norms for int’l travellers eased Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai Kristalina Georgieva @KGeorgieva MD, IMF As a bank, we don’t expect a rate cut. Status quo is likely to be maintained by the Reserve Bank of India I could not think of a better place to reflect on last two days of G20 India meetings than the home of Gandhiji. It is exactly the sense of unity that Gandhiji brought that we need in this world Google says HC app order is temporary DOWN TIME G T oogle said that Madras high court’s directive ordering the company to charge a lower 4% in-app payment on Disney’s streaming service in the country was a temporary measure until the court proceedings play out. Disney in India has gone to court in what is the latest and most high-profile challenge to Google’s policy of imposing a “service fee” of 11-26% on in-app payments. The service charge was introduced after an antitrust directive ruled against Google’s earlier 15-30% fee and forced Google to allow third-party payments. The Madras high court on Tuesday said Google should receive a lower 4% fee for inapp purchases from Disney+ Hotstar, and cannot remove Disney’s app from its India app store, in what is a significant challenge to Google’s payments business model.Google will need to comply with the court directives until it is overturned or modified. REUTERS he Union health ministry has further eased covid-19 guidelines for international visitors, dropping the earlier requirement for RT-PCR based testing of a random 2% subset of international travellers.The guidelines have been eased after taking note of the prevalent coronavirus situation and the significant achievements made in the vaccination coverage across the globe.The new guidelines shall come into effect from midnight of 20 July. However, the earlier advice for precautionary measures to be followed by airlines as well as international travellers in context of covid shall continue to apply, the ministry said. “The present guidelines are being revised considering declining trajectory of covid-19 cases globally,” an official from the ministry said. The government further said that all international travellers should preferably be fully vaccinated as per the approved primary schedule of vaccination against covid in their country. PRIYANKA SHARMA Commuters stranded at the Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Terminus after heavy monsoon rainfall disrupted local train services in Mumbai on Wednesday. The Maharashtra government has declared a holiday for schools in Mumbai, Thane, Raigad, and Palghar districts on Thursday. The demand is expected to remain healthy across markets in the country. HT ‘FY24 premium hotel occupancy to hit 72%’ I ndia’s hotel occupancies are likely to see a spurt from the slow introduction of room supply which is likely to grow at a three-year CAGR of 3.5-4%, adding approximately 15,00016,000 premium branded rooms. Gateway cities like Delhi and Mumbai are likely to top the occupancy chart above 75% this fiscal. Demand is expected to remain healthy across markets, although Bengaluru and Pune are likely to be laggards compared to other key cities. According to credit ratings agency Icra Ltd, pan-India premium hotel occupancy will hover at an all-time high of 70-72% in FY24, after recovering to 68-70% in the previous fiscal. Across India, premium hotel average room rates (ARRs) are expected to be at ₹6,000-6,200 in this fiscal and the occupancy is expected to be at decadal highs. The RevPAR is expected to remain at a 20-25% discount to the FY08 peak. Consistent improvement in consumer sentiments despite the inflationary environment, stable corporate performance, and domestic air passenger traffic inching above pre-covid levels augur well for travel and hotel demand. VARUNI KHOSLA L&T Finance Q1 net profit doubles PTI Flooded paddy fields in Punjab, Haryana to depress crop yields 60% of cultivated land under water; 2 states contribute 20% of India’s rice production Puja Das puja.das@livemint.com P addy farmers in Punjab and Haryana are in distress as 60% of their cultivated land is under water after the extremely heavy rainfall between 7 July and 10 July. This may hit yields significantly resulting in lower crop production if the paddy fields are not affected further. Punjab and Haryana have witnessed rainfall in large excess of 96% and 91% above the long period average (LPA), respectively during 1 June to 12 July. Heavy rainfall in these states has reportedly led to submergence of standing paddy crop in districts of Amritsar, Hoshiarpur, Gurdaspur and Fatehgarh in Punjab and in Ambala, Kurukshetra and Yamunanagar districts of Haryana. About 250,000 hectares of paddy fields in 14 districts of Punjab and 150,000 hectares in seven districts of Haryana are submerged in water, according to people associated with local farm Union of Dakonda. associations. These two states together contribute “The consumption of fertilisers and pesticides about 20% to India’s rice production. will increase to save crops during such weather Because of the rain deluge in the second week of conditions, which is not feasible for all farmers.” July and overflow of water from Sutlej, Ravi and Meanwhile, India Meteorological Department Beas that are tributaries of the Indus River in Hima- (IMD) predicts heavy rainfall in Himachal Pradesh chal Pradesh and and Uttarakhand flow through east until Monday, and in About 250,000 hectares of paddy Punjab and Haryana Punjab have affected adjoining districts of during the weekend. fields in 14 districts of Punjab and Punjab, including “Further rainfall Jalandhar and Firoz- 150,000 hectares in seven districts of may hit paddy crops Haryana are submerged in water pur. About 3.2 milat a time when farmlion hectares area ers require to cultiare under paddy vate new seeds and cultivation in Punjab. “Paddy cannot be resown in wait for at least 20-22 days to get seedlings from 50% of the total 60% affected fields. The current them amid a crunch in availability of ready-made damage indicates at least 30% less crop in the com- seedlings,” said Ramandeep Singh Mann, an agriing kharif marketing season. If it downpours fur- culture policy expert based in Punjab. “Paddy sowther, crop loss could be more,” said Jagmohan ing was almost 90% complete when the floods hit Singh Uppal, general secretary of Bhartiya Kishan Punjab and Haryana,” Mann added. Govt has issued mandatory quality norms for insulated flasks, bottles. ISTOCK T he government on Wednesday said it has issued mandatory quality norms for insulated flask, bottles and containers with a view to containing import of the sub-standard goods and boost domestic manufacturing of these products. A notification in this regard was issued by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) on 14 July. These items—resin-treated compressed wood laminates and insulated flask, bottles and containers for domestic use—under the quality control orders (QCO), cannot be produced, sold/ traded, imported and stocked unless they bear the BIS (Bureau of Indian Standards) mark. Now, manufacturing, storing and sale of non-BIS certified products are prohibited as per the BIS Act, 2016. The violation of the provision of the BIS Act can attract a penalty of imprisonment of up to two years or a fine of at least ₹2 lakh for the first offence. In case of second and subsequent offences, the fine will increase to ₹5 lakh minimum and extend up to ten times the value of goods or articles. PTI Railways offers ₹20 meal for general category passengers T he Railways has decided to serve healthy and hygienic food at affordable prices to general seating coach passengers as it looks to expand its F&B service for all categories of travellers. A new economy meals and snacks/combo meals menu has been devised to provide food service to general class passengers through extended service counters located near GS coaches at platforms. The price of these meals has kept at ₹20 and ₹50 for economy and snack meal, respectively. A railway ministry statement said that along with food, drinking water services would also provide at affordable rates under the scheme. The meals will be supplied from the kitchen units (Refreshment Rooms & Jan Ahaars) of IRCTC. The location of these counters is to be decided by zonal railways to align these counters with the location of GS coaches on platforms. The provision of this extended service counters at the platforms has been done on an experimental basis for a period of six months, the Railways statement said. SUBHASH NARAYAN A new economy meals and snacks/combo meals menu has been devised to provide food service to general class passengers. Govt plans to sell its over 29% stake in tranches,starting with sale of about 5% stake. MINT ‘HZL sale likely after turnaround’ T he government may postpone its plans to sell its stake in Hindustan Zinc Ltd until a turnaround in the industry’s fortunes, following advice from merchant bankers, two people in privy to the matter told Reuters. The government though, still hopes to push through the long-delayed sale this financial year, one of the persons mentioned above said. The government plans to sell its over 29% stake in tranches, starting with the sale of about 5% stake. Vedanta Group holds a 64.9% stake. HZL’s stock price has declined over 16% from the highs touched in January due to a sharp drop in zinc prices and as Vedanta tried to sell two units to the miner. The government is waiting for the share price to recover, the first official said. “Merchant bankers have advised against a sale offer at the moment as institutional investors are presently not keen to invest in the metals sector,” the official said. REUTERS PFC’s NCD issue to close on 28 July S Quality norms for flasks, bottles L &T Finance Holdings Ltd (LTFH) on Wednesday reported a 102.6% jump in consolidated net profit at ₹530.93 crore for the first quarter of FY24, from ₹262 crore a year ago, on the back of steady net interest margins. The company’s revenue from operations increased 7.86% to ₹3,223.3 crore in the June quarter of FY24, from ₹2,988.4 crore in Q1 FY23. “We have achieved retailization of 82% in Q1 FY24 itself, much ahead of Lakshya 2026 goal of greater than 80% retailization. In fact, we have been able to achieve most of our Lakshya 2026 goals almost three years in advance,” said Dinanath Dubhashi, managing director and chief executive, L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. “This achievement is attributed to the twin strategy of strongly growing the retail asset book on one side and ensuring a sharp reduction in the wholesale book on the other, while maintaining best in class asset quality,” Dubhashi added. MAYUR BHALERAO 09 MINT The Sebi PIT rules prohibit trading by Designated Persons when the trading window is closed. MINT Sebi extends DP trading restriction S ebi on Wednesday extended the framework for restricting trading by Designated Persons (DPs) during the “trading window closure” by freezing PAN at security level to all listed companies in a phased manner beginning October. At present, the framework is applicable to listed companies that are part of benchmark indices—Nifty 50 and Sensex. To ensure smooth implementation of the framework, the regulator prescribed a glide path, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) said in a circular. Under this, the new rules will be applicable for top 1,000 companies in terms of BSE market capitalization from 1 October; next 1,000 firms from 1 January 2024; and remaining companies listed on BSE, NSE and MSEI from 1 April 2024. For those companies making debut on stock exchanges after issuance of this circular, the rule will apply from the first day of the second quarter from the quarter in which the company gets listed. The Sebi PIT (Prohibition of Insider Trading) rules prohibit trading by a DP when the trading window is closed. PTI tate-run Power Finance Corp (PFC) will utilize the net proceeds of its upcoming ₹5,000 crore NCD issue for onward lending and debt servicing, said a company statement. Recently, the power sector-focused NBFC filed ‘tranche I prospectus’ for public issue of secured, rated, listed, redeemable, nonconvertible debentures of the face value of ₹1,000 each. The base issue size is ₹500 crore with a green shoe option of up to ₹4,500 crore, aggregating up to ₹5,000 crore (tranche I issue), which is within the shelf limit of ₹10,000 crore (overall issue). PFC said, “...a maximum up to 25% will be utilized for general corporate purposes.” The ‘tranche I’ issue opens on Friday, and closes on 28 July with an option of early closure or extension in compliance. The NCDs are proposed to be listed on BSE. STAFF WRITER ED searches Naresh Goyal’s premises T he Enforcement Directorate (ED) conducted searches against Jet Airways founder Naresh Goyal on Wednesday as part of a fresh money-laundering investigation against him and others, officials aware of the matter said. The federal agency raided six-seven premises in Mumbai and some other locations as part of the investigation being conducted under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA). The money-laundering case stems from a recent FIR lodged by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) against Jet Airways, Goyal, his wife Anita and some former company executives in connection with an alleged Rs 538crore fraud at the Canara Bank. In February, the Bombay high court had quashed a money-laundering case lodged by the ED against Goyal and his wife on the basis of a Maharashtra Police FIR to probe charges of cheating and forgery on a complaint from Akbar Travels. PTI This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 10 LONG STORY Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai LIVEMINT.COM THE BEST OF FRENEMIES: SAUDI PRINCE & UAE PREZ The Saudi leader has pulled away from his former mentor as they compete to dominate the Gulf Summer Said feedback@livemint.com S audi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman gathered local journalists in Riyadh for a rare offthe-record briefing in December and delivered a stunning message. The country’s ally of decades, the United Arab Emirates, had “stabbed us in the back,” he said. “They will see what I can do,” he told the group, according to people at the meeting. A rift has opened up between the 37-year-old Mohammed and his onetime mentor, U.A.E. President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, that reflects a competition for geopolitical and economic power in the Middle East and global oil markets. The two royals, who spent almost a decade climbing to the top of the Arab world, are now feuding over who calls the shots in a Middle East where the U.S. plays a diminished role. U.S. officials said they worry that the Gulf rivalry could make it harder to create a unified security alliance to counter Iran, end the eight-year-old war in Yemen and expand Israel’s diplomatic ties with Muslim nations. “These are two highly ambitious people who want to be key players in the region and the go-to players,” a senior Biden administration official said. “On some level they still collaborate. Now, neither seems comfortable with the other being on the same pedestal. On balance, it’s not helpful to us for them to be at each other’s throats.” Once close, the two men—the Saudi is known as MBS and the 62-year-old U.A.E. president as MBZ—haven’t spoken in more than six months, people close to them said, and their private disputes have spilled into the open. The U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia have divergent interests in Yemen that have undermined efforts to end that country’s conflict, and Emirati frustrations over Saudi pressure to raise the global price of oil are creating new fissures in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. The two countries are also increasingly economic competitors. As part of MBS’s plans to end Saudi Arabia’s economic reliance on oil, he is pushing companies to move their regional headquarters to Riyadh, the Saudi capital, from U.A.E.’s Dubai, a more cosmopolitan city favored by Westerners. He’s also launching plans to set up tech centers, draw more tourists and develop logistical hubs that would rival the U.A.E.’s position as the Middle East’s center of commerce. In March, he announced a second national airline that would compete with Dubai’s highly ranked Emirates. In the realm of soft power, the Saudi purchase in 2021 of Newcastle, England’s soccer club and investment in global superstar players took place just as Manchester City—owned by a prominent member of Abu Dhabi’s ruling family—won the English and European soccer titles. The Emirati president, MBZ, has chafed at being eclipsed by a Saudi royal who U.A.E. officials believe has made some serious missteps, according to Gulf officials. Crown prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia (left) and Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, president of the United Arab Emirates. and ended his political isolation triggered by a Saudi hit team’s 2018 killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. He turned to China for help restoring Saudi Arabia’s relations with Iran and then orchestrated Syria’s return to the Arab League, a process that the U.A.E. had initiated several years earlier. The country had been expelled in 2011 after President Bashar al-Assad’s brutal crackdown on Syrian civilians demonstrating for change. MBS is in talks with the U.S. about formally recognizing Israel, which the U.A.E. did in 2020. MBS is leading diplomatic efforts to quash violence in Sudan, where the U.A.E. backs an opposing side. In an effort to smooth over tensions, Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E. have traded communiqués outlining their complaints and demands for change, according to DEal wIth Iran n separate statements responding to officials from both nations. In a pointed response to Saudi comThe Wall Street Journal, a U.A.E. official speaking for the government said plaints, MBZ privately warned the Saudi claims of strained relations were “categor- ruler late last year that his actions were ically false and lack foundation,” and a undermining ties between their two Saudi official called the idea “simply not nations. He accused the Saudi crown prince of getting too close to Russia with accurate.” its oil policies and pur“The U.A.E. is a close suing risky moves, such regional partner of Saudi Arabia, and our As part of plans to end Saudi as the diplomatic deal policies converge on a Arabia’s economic reliance on with Iran, without conferring with the U.A.E., wide range of issues of oil, the country is pushing Gulf officials said. mutual interest,” the MBZ skipped an Arab Saudi official said. The companies to move their summit MBS called for two countries work regional headquarters to Chinese leader Xi Jintogether with other ping’s visit to Riyadh, Gulf neighbors on politRiyadh from Dubai. and didn’t show for the ical, security and ecoArab League’s vote in nomic coordination, the May to allow Syria back into the group. official said. The U.A.E. official said their “strategic MBS himself was absent when MBZ met partnership is based on the same objec- with Arab leaders at a hastily arranged tives and vision for regional prosperity, regional summit in the U.A.E. in January. “Tensions are rising between them, in security, and stability.” In December, after intensifying divi- part because MBS wants to step out from sions over Yemen policy and OPEC limits, under MBZ’s shadow,” said Dina EsfanMBS called the meeting with the journal- diary, a senior adviser at the Internaists. The Saudi leader said he had sent the tional Crisis Group’s Middle East and U.A.E. a list of demands, the people there North Africa Program. “Things are going said. If the smaller Gulf nation didn’t fall in to get worse, because both countries are line, MBS warned, Saudi Arabia was pre- getting more confident and assertive in pared to take punitive steps, much like it their foreign policy.” did against Qatar in 2017, when Riyadh severed diplomatic relations for more FOrgED allIanCE he Saudis and Emiratis have called than three years and engineered an ecothemselves the closest of allies, but nomic boycott, with help from Abu Dhabi. “It will be worse than what I did with they have had a sometimes tense relationQatar,” he told the journalists, according ship since even before the U.A.E. gained independence from Britain in 1971. to people there. The U.A.E.’s founding father, Sheikh Since the December meeting, MBS has undertaken a series of diplomatic moves Zayed al Nahyan, bristled at Saudi domi- I T nation of the Arabian peninsula, and thenSaudi King Faisal refused to recognize his Persian Gulf neighbor for years, seeking leverage in various territorial disputes. In 2009, the U.A.E. scuttled plans for a common Gulf central bank over its proposed location in Riyadh. To this day, there are territorial disputes over oil-rich land between the two countries. The two countries became closer with the rise of MBZ and MBS. The Emirati royal became de facto ruler of his country at the age of 54 in 2014 when his halfbrother, President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed, had a debilitating stroke. When MBS began accruing power after his father King Salman’s accession in 2015, MBZ began grooming the young Saudi prince, then just 29 years old. The two men hardly knew each other before an overnight camping trip in the vast Saudi desert, the Journal has reported. Accompanied by trained falcons and a small entourage, the outing— roughly equivalent in Gulf tradition to a round of presidential golf—was a turning point in their friendship, according to people familiar with the excursion. MBZ and other senior Emirati officials played a key role in lobbying the Trump administration in favor of MBS, who was then still deputy crown prince. MBZ helped orchestrate then-President Donald Trump’s trip to Saudi Arabia in 2017, which bolstered MBS. The Saudi prince launched a palace coup the next month to become heir apparent and then began eliminating critics and potential rivals. In formulating a plan to transform and open up his conservative kingdom, MBS looked to MBZ for guidance and tapped some of the same banks and consultants that the Emiratis used for a similar plan a decade earlier. MBS and MBZ forged a foreign-policy alliance that intervened in Yemen, bolstered Abdel Fattah Al Sisi’s grip on power in Egypt, armed Libyan fighters in that divided country’s east and boycotted Qatar over ties to Iran and Islamists. Both men have since tried to extricate their countries from those interventions. Today, MBS feels that the Emirati president led him into disastrous conflicts that served the interests of the U.A.E. and not Saudi Arabia, Gulf officials said. MBS “does not like him and he wants to show him up,” said Douglas London, a retired Central Intelligence Agency offi- mint SHORT STORY WHat A rift has opened up between Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman and his onetime mentor, U.A.E president Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan. They haven’t spoken in over six months. WHy The feud reflects a competition for geopolitical and economic power in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia wants to rival the U.A.E’s position as the region’s center of commerce. So Divisions between the two leaders are threatening to undermine ongoing efforts to end the war in Yemen. The rivalry has also vexed the Biden administration, which wants a united front against Iran. cer who now works as a nonresident scholar at the Middle East Institute, a Washington-based think tank. He said that as threats from Iran and terrorist groups recede, tensions between them are likely to escalate. Still, London said the Saudi leader had developed a more practical approach to leading his country that makes it unlikely that he would take rash actions against the U.A.E. OPEC DIsPutE he rift bubbled to the surface in October last year when OPEC, the 13-nation oil-production group that has allied with Russia, decided to slash output in a move that blindsided the Biden administration. The U.A.E. went along with the cut, but in private told U.S. officials and the media that Saudi Arabia had forced it to join the decision. The dynamic reflected a longer-running feud between the Saudis and Emiratis over policy in OPEC, a body that Riyadh has long dominated as the world’s top crude exporter. The Emiratis have raised their oil-production capacity to more than four million barrels a day and have plans to T AP & REUTERS If the Saudis withdrew from Yemen go above five million, but are allowed under OPEC policy to pump no more than now, the Houthi-controlled north would about three million, costing it hundreds of align with Iran and the south would align with the U.A.E., leaving Riyadh with little billions of dollars in lost revenues. The Emirati increase in oil-production to show for the war, said Yemeni officials, capacity also gives it the potential ability reflecting Saudi concerns. to move output up and down, and with it global oil prices. Until recently, only Saudi BIDEn gOal Arabia wielded that sort of market power. he Saudi-Emirati rivalry has vexed Emirati frustrations reached the point the Biden administration, which where they told U.S. officials they were wants friendly Gulf capitals like Riyadh ready to pull out of OPEC, according to and Abu Dhabi to help form a united front Gulf and U.S. officials. U.S. officials said against Iran. Ending the war in Yemen, they took it as a sign of Emirati anger, not which triggered a humanitarian disaster, a real threat. At OPEC’s last meeting, in is also a key foreign policy goal of the June, the Emiratis were allowed a modest administration, which wants stability in increase in their production baseline, and the region and in oil markets. their energy minister emerged holding Neither MBS nor MBZ is perfectly hands with his Saudi counterpart. aligned with Washington on important Divisions between the two leaders are matters such as Ukraine and China. U.S. threatening to undermine ongoing efforts officials are increasingly worried about to end the war in Yemen, which pits the the outreach to Beijing and Moscow by Saudis, Emiratis and a host of Yemeni fac- MBZ, who like MBS has built stronger ties tions against Iran-backed Houthi rebels with them. who took over large parts of the country in Biden came into office pledging to treat 2014, including the capital, San’a. the kingdom as a pariah state over the The U.A.E. continues to back a Yemeni Khashoggi killing, which MBS has said he separatist movement seeking to restore a didn’t order. Instead, Biden visited Saudi Yemeni state in the south. This could Arabia in July 2022, helping end his isolaundermine efforts to tion. Now, U.S. compakeep the country united. nies that had been hesiThe rift bubbled to the Saudi- and Emiratitant to engage with the backed fighters working kingdom are taking a surface in October last together to defeat second look. That interyear when OPEC decided Houthi forces have at est will likely accelerate times turned their weapas a year-end deadline to slash output in a move ons on each other over approaches for compathe years. nies with contracts from that blindsided the Biden In December, the the Saudi government to administration. U.A.E. signed a security establish a base in deal with the SaudiRiyadh instead of flying backed Yemeni presidential leadership in from Dubai. council that gives Abu Dhabi the right to The Biden administration brokered a intervene in Yemen and the waters off its May 7 meeting between MBS and the Emicoast. Saudi officials viewed it as a chal- rati president’s younger brother, Sheikh lenge to their Yemen strategy. Tahnoun bin Zayed, once seen as a confiSaudi Arabia has plans to build a pipe- dant of the Saudi crown prince, said peoline from the kingdom to the Arabian Sea ple familiar with the matter. Tahnoun had via the Yemeni province of Hadramout, been frozen out, making at least six trips to with a seaport in its regional capital, the kingdom without securing a meeting Mukalla. Emirati-backed forces in Hadra- with MBS until he got help from the U.S., mout threaten those plans. the people said. An analyst at the Middle East and North MBS told Tahnoun that the U.A.E. Africa program at Chatham House, an shouldn’t disrupt cease-fire talks in independent think tank in London, has Yemen that the Saudis are leading and warned that the rival Yemeni forces are promised concessions to the U.A.E., the preparing for new clashes that threaten people said. But later he told his advisers ongoing peace talks. “The two Gulf mon- that they shouldn’t change any policies archies are increasingly aggressive toward the U.A.E. “I don’t trust them anytowards each other in the region. Yemen more,” he told advisers, the people said. is just the first front line,” Chatham House Dion Nissenbaum, Stephen Kalin and research fellow Farea Al-Muslimi wrote Saleh al-Batati contributed to this story. on Twitter. ©2023 DOW JONES & COMPANY, INC T This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER MINT MONEY LIVEMINT.COM Understanding the risks in AIFs and PMS investments ThuRsday, 20 July 2023 Chennai MINT 20* MUTUAL FUND SCHEMES TO INVEST IN 20 We have hand-picked 20 mutual funds for your portfolio that have jumped through hoops of good returns, low risk, good portfolio hygiene and our own qualitative research. We have restricted the choice universe to 10 categories out of the total 37 and given you at least two options to pick from each. 3-years return (%) EQUIT Y There is no cap on total expense ratio for PMSes and AIFs; the returns can be disappointing Sashind Ningthoukhongjam & sashindnj@livemint.com UTI Nifty Index Fund - Growth I nvesting in alternative investment funds (AIFs) can be a risky affair. Some investors learnt it the hard way when ICICI Prudential closed its real estate AIF recently. Six underlying investments remained stuck with the fund even after the expiry of its term in March. This implied that the payouts by the AIF would be delayed. A similar thing happened at 360 ONE Private Equity Fund (formerly known as IIFL Private Equity Fund). When the real estate AIF closed in March, investors realized they did not benefit much. The asset management company (AMC) told Mint that its fund generated a 6% annual return for its investors. ICICI AMC told Mint that it is looking to liquidate its remaining investment in the fund by next March, in line with AIF regulations. Market regulator Sebi allows one additional year post the expiration of the term to liquidate assets and make distributions to investors. Mint could not independently ascertain the annual return generated by ICICI Prudential fund’s real estate AIF. On an absolute basis though, it returned 117% of the investment amount over the duration of the fund. Both these incidents highlight the inherent risky nature of AIFs. The liquidity risk in AIFs is so grave that even some venture capital funds have been unable to sell their investments due to the ongoing startup funding winter, according to financial market experts. To be sure, AIFs are high-risk investments with a minimum ticket size of ₹1 crore. These instruments are meant for ultra high net-worth individuals with a very high risk appetite. There are three categories of AIFs. Category 1 AIFs, which include venture capital funds, invest in start-ups or early-stage ventures or small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Category 2 AIFs include those funds that don’t take leverage or borrowings other than to meet daily requirements. They also include funds that don’t come under either category 1 or category 3. This comprises real estate funds, private equity (PE) funds, and funds for distressed assets, etc. Category 3 AIFs are those that employ complex trading strategies and employ leverage through investment in listed or unlisted securities. This includes hedge funds and private investment in public equity (PIPE) funds. The big fat commissions Munish Randev, founder and chief executive officer of Cervin Family, said that distributors pushed these real estate AIFs heavily as they were getting fat commissions. Many high net-worth individuals (HNIs), he said, are unaware of the inherent risks of investing in these funds. “If even 3-4 of the projects fail, there is a risk of return of capital let alone generating returns,” said Randev. Large commissions in AIFs are not limited to real estate funds. Sebi, in a recent consultation paper, pointed out that the quantum of AIF commissions goes as high as 4-5% of the committed amount in some cases. In sharp contrast to the trail commissions for other products, such high upfront commissions increase the chances of misselling of AIF schemes. In fact, the growth in AIFs in the past few years could partly be attributed to distributors pushing these products to earn hefty commissions. In category 2 AIFs, which includes Category average Should Sebi standardize commissions? Canara Robeco Flexi Cap Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Category average Why distributors push for PMS & AIFs? No such cap exists for AIFs and PMS Sebi pointed out that AIF commissions go as high as 5-6% Axis Midcap This creates SBI Small Cap incentives for distributors to sell more AIFs and PMSes 2,779,604 Category average Midcap Category average Smallcap Canara Robeco Equity Tax Saver Mirae Asset Tax Saver Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 2018-19 Category average 21.93 25.70 23.38 14.23 18.19 13.31 9,919 37,699 24.97 36.20 30.91 40.45 16.55 20.03 15.94 18.57 21,780 18,625 24.66 25.34 24.04 16.02 16.40 13.10 5,750 16,634 15.96 15.43 14.04 11.57 10.90 9.87 9,247 47,662 4.72 4.46 4.39 5.17 NA 4.77 22,513 6,467 BALANCED ADVANTAGE 2019-20 Edelweiss Balanced Advantage 20,00,000 ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage 2020-21 Category average ARBITRAGE 10,00,000 2021-22 Kotak Equity Arbitrage Tata Arbitrage 5,00,000 Category average 2022-23 0 11,586 8,973 HY BR ID 25,00,000 15,00,000 13.31 13.08 12.94 EQUITY (TAXSAVER) AIF fund raised (₹ cr) 30,00,000 22.88 22.70 22.40 EQUITY SMALL AND MIDCAP Growth of PMS, MF and AIFs Total PMS AUM (₹ cr) Corpus (₹ cr) EQUITY FLEXICAP Distributors try to sell high ticket investments like PMS and AIFs since they get more commissions compared to MFs but investors needs to be wary of these high risk products. The total expense ratio for mutual funds is capped at 2.25% 5-years return (%) LARGE-CAP HDFC Index Fund - Nifty 50 Plan Akshat Rohatgi 11 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 Source: Fisdom, CMIE 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 *Cumulative net figures 300,000 Source: Sebi Average MF AUM (₹ cr) Returns since launch OU T OF T HE BOX 4.76 17.19 BHARAT Bond ETF - April 2031 Motilal Oswal S&P 500 Index Fund Date of launch 23 Jul 2020 28 Apr 2020 Absolute returns Returns as on 17 July 2023; Corpus data as of June 2023; Growth option in regular plans has been used *Debt funds can be viewed in the full table online Data and analysis by CRISIL Research 24,48,383 27,03,629 32,10,593 38,37,994 40,51,147 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 Source: Amfi (excluding fund of funds) Types of AIF funds Category 1 INVESTS in startups or early stage ventures or social venture or SMEs or infrastructure or areas the government or regulators consider socially or economically desirable. Eg: venture capital funds, SME funds, social venture funds, infrastructure funds, etc. Upfront commission allowed up to one-third of the present value Category 2 DO NOT fall in Category I and III. Those funds that don’t take borrowings other than to meet daily requirements Eg: Real estate funds, private equity funds (PE funds), funds for distressed assets, etc. Upfront commission allowed up to one-third of the present value Category 3 EMPLOY diverse or complex trading strategies and may employ leverage including through investment in listed or unlisted derivatives. Eg: hedge funds, PIPE funds, etc. Upfront commission not allowed MF: mutual fund; AUM: assets under management; AIFs: Alternative investment funds; PMS: Portfolio Management Service the above real estate funds along with not exist in the case of PMS as the private equity funds, the cumulative underlying securities are held in the fundraising amount went up more than personal demat account of the investor. 218% from ₹83,554 crore in FY19 to This means they are taxed every time a ₹2,66,296 crore in FY23. buy or sell execution is carried out. CatIn a recent order, Sebi said that egory 3 AIF gains are taxed at the highupfront fees, which means charging est slab rate. For category 1 and catecommissions beforehand, will be gory 2, the taxes are paid by investors at capped at one-third of the total com- their individual tax slab rate. Abhishek Kumar, a regismissions for category 1 tered investment adviser and category 2 AIFs. Earand founder of SahajMoney, lier, any amount could be AIFs and PMS taken upfront by AMCs have also filled in said AIFs and PMSses rely on contracts signed from investors. Experts for credit risk said this gives an incen- mutual funds that between a client and the company whereas mutual tive to distributors and lost sheen after funds are highly regulated. wealth managers to sell the FT crisis He added that many clients these AIFs. Upfront comin 2020 don’t know the risk associmission is not permitted ated with such products and under Category 3 AIFs. are also not familiar with the Portfolio Management Services (PMSes) is another product details of the contract term. He added that in PMSes and AIF, meant for HNIs with greater risk appetite. The minimum ticket size for a PMS since there is no cap on total expenses, the fund manager could charge higher investment is ₹50 lakh. Unlike mutual funds, where the total fees than what mutual funds would expense ratio is capped at 2.25%, no normally charge and in some cases, such caps exist for PMSes and AIFs. these structures also include a perThis means that higher management formance bonus. Add to this the high fees can be charged on these products distribution cost, and it would mean and distributors get more commission that the fund manager has to try to get to sell these products. Additionally, a much superior alpha to beat its equity mutual funds enjoy long-term benchmark. This may lead to concencapital gains benefits for units held for trated bets on a few securities that can more than one year. Such benefit does turn risky. Srikanth Bhagavat, managing director and principal advisor of Hexagon Wealth, said many investors get into AIFs without adequately understanding the risks due to their high returns. Distributors, too, are eager to sell those products due to their high commissions. AIFs and PMS have also filled in for credit risk mutual funds that lost sheen after the Franklin Templeton (FT) crisis in 2020. From managing ₹61,837 crore of assets under management (AUM) earlier, credit risk MFs now manage ₹24,687 crore of AUM, which translates into a decline of about 60%. Such funds invest in the credit of not the best-rated companies to get higher yield. These risky investments migrated towards AIFs and PMSes. “When people started exiting from credit risk mutual funds, lots of AIFs and PMS were getting set up and it was them that started filling in the gaps,” said Kumar. Experts point out that since the differences in commission structures create an incentive for distributors to push one product over another, the solution is to simply have the same commissions across all investment products including AIFs, PMSses, and mutual funds. This, they said, would remove the incentive to push high-risk investments to unsuspecting clients. Corpus (₹ cr) 12,945 2,830 Compiled by Neil Borate Is TCS applicable if NRIs transfer the proceeds of property sale? ISTOCK Archit Gupta Can non-resident Indians (NRIs) transfer the proceeds of a property sale to their country of residence? In such a case, will banks collect tax at source even after all tax dues on such sale has been cleared? —Name withheld on request NRIs are allowed to remit upto $1 million in a financial year from the balance held in their NRO (non-resident ordinary) account or from the sale proceeds of a property held in India. These sales proceeds must first be credited to their NRO account in India. Any tax due on such sale should have been duly paid by the NRI in India. In case of an NRI, TCS is not applicable for money remitted to foreign accounts from an NRO account. My US-based father-in-law wants to gift me a house. What will be the tax implications for me as an Indian resident? —Name withheld on request There is no tax implication upon receiving a gift from specified relatives. Certain taxpayers have been included in the list of specified relatives under the income tax act, where any gift received from m ASK MINT N R I TA X AT I O N them is tax free. I work as a merchant navy officer. I was sailing between 1 August 2021 and 31 January 2022 in the last financial year (FY22). In this financial year (FY23), I have been sailing between 1 July 2022 and 30 November 2022. Can you tell me what would be the tax treatment of my income this year? —Name withheld on request A seafarer serving on Indian ships outside India for a period of 182 days or more in a year is considered to be a non-resident. However, the time spent by a ship in Indian territorial waters is considered a period of service in India, according to tax rules framed in 1990. The number of days outside India of Indian crew working on such Indian ships gets counted only from the date when the Indian ship crosses the coastal boundaries of India. Based on the information provided by you, it seems you have spent 153 days in India in the FY 2022-23, in such a case you may be a resident or not ordinarily resident in India for tax purposes. Archit Gupta is founder and chief executive officer, Clear.in Do you have a personal finance query? Send in your queries at mintmoney@livemint.com and get them answered by industry experts. WHAT BENCHMARKS MEAN FOR ASSET CLASSES, INVESTORS AND FUND MANAGERS POWER POINT PRAMOD DWIDEVI Respond to this column at feedback@livemint.com I n the investment world, benchmarks are essential when comparing fund performances across all asset classes, including equity, fixed income, etc. Creating benchmarks has been an evolving science. Finding a precise and accurate benchmark is a process that comes with its own challenges and a number of factors need to be carefully considered before selecting the one that will work for you. What makes for a good benchmark? Unambiguous: The benchmark’s methodology and constituents should be transparent and readily available. The way a benchmark is constructed should also be available and known to all. Investable: It should allow the investor to cease active management and just hold all its constituent securities. This means that the benchmark’s constituents should be liquid and accessi- ble, allowing for a fully replicable implementation of the investment strategy. Measurable: The benchmark should allow for returns to be easily calculable and on a reasonable frequency. The methodology should be so transparent that its performance over the horizon is calculable. Relevance: The benchmark should be relevant to the investor’s investment objectives. It should ideally bear a close resemblance to the underlying strategy. For example, if a fund is thematic and invests in Infrastructure, it is irrelevant to have a Banking Index as the benchmark or a mid-cap fund with Nifty 100 as the benchmark. Reflective of investment opinion: Managers have current investment knowledge, regardless of whether the knowledge is positive, negative, or neutral, of the securities, or they can factor exposures within the benchmark. Transparency and stability: It should be specified in advance and before the start of an evaluation period, and its calculation methodology should be known to all parties. A good benchmark should also remain stable and consistent over time, with minimal changes to its composition or methodology. Owned: Managers should be aware of the strengths and weaknesses of the benchmarks they have been asked to be judged against. With this benchmark, managers need to accept accountability for their client’s portfolio and be prepared to explain any variance. All in all, managers should be fully aware of the bench- marks they are being measured against, and it should be in line with their strategy and fully acceptable to them. While mutual funds have a standardized approach and are wellregulated, it gets tricky when we look at PMS as a space. While most PMS managers offer a distinct style bias, they are categorized as a standard all-cap equity fund. This makes them distinct from mutual funds. A broader market index, however, will not do justice if chosen as a benchmark in this case. In The benchmark want of an evolution in the benchmarking space, most end up choosing a should be broader benchmark. Ideally, this needs relevant to the a nuanced understanding of style at the investor’s allocator or investor level, and only investment then, a curated index reflective of their style, owned by the PMS manager, be objectives chosen. However, the Association of Portfolio Managers in India (APMI) in its recent circular asked PMS firms to choose one out of three pre-fixed benchmarks for each of the asset classes, irrespective of the strategy (be it large, flexi, mid or small cap) applicable. The members and non-members did react initially, as rightly, the pre-fixed BMs are not owned by the PMS Manager. Especially for someone who has a longer track record, changing a benchmark needs to have valid reasoning, and that’s fair practice. Even the globally accepted, GIPS guidelines are clear on this and ask for fair representation and full disclosures. For example, the old benchmark needs to be declared along with the new one for a minimum of one year and for as long as the disclosures are relevant to interpreting the track record. A firm may not be GIPS-verified, and most in India are not. It is still a fair practice, which has merit, to allow both old and new benchmarks. After some further discussion and feedback, the association agreed to do so and allowed firms to show past performance until 31 March with both benchmarks for the next 36 months. This announcement finally provides some clarity and is totally in line with fair practices followed elsewhere. A better idea would have been to have both, a statuary or industry-wide benchmark and a portfolio manager owned benchmark. While benchmarks play an important role for asset owners and investors, it’s evident that none are likely to be a perfect match for a client. It is obvious that a benchmark that is not derived based on an investor’s objective would lead to the wrong risk-return attribution. Thus, what matters is how well the benchmark fits the investor’s objective. In summation, regulatory interest in benchmarks and indices suggests that Benchmarking as a concept needs continuous debate and evolution in order to fulfil its purpose effectively. Pramod Dwidevi is co-head, business development, Karma Capital. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 12 VIEWS ThUrsday, 20 JUly 2023 Chennai LIVEMINT.COM OUR VIEW GUEst VIEW PTI Use contextual tools and models to catalyse our climate transition Special technologies and business models can play a big role in our battle against global warming ficient climate technologies that can offer alternatives for carbon-heavy industries. Two, digital technology solutions that can optimize supply chains for a lighter carbon footprint. And three, tools that can support the development of the carbon accounting market. Disruptive climate technology will displace or transform industry incumbents. The most obvious example is of electric vehicles (EVs) replacing internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. The energy transition will rely on a number of other technologies too, though, whether they are advanced electrolyzers for hydrogen production, new zinc- or sodium-based battery technologies, or improved nuclear energy generation. Carbon capture and removal technologies are required to meet industrial decarbonization goals. Computational tools too have a vital role to play across sectors. Coupling these, for instance, with Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR), which is a genome editing technology, is enabling us to produce food differently. For example, String Bio is using a methane based synthetic biology platform to produce food, feed and agricultural inputs. The company’s proprietary bio-stimulant CleanRise has been shown to improve rice yields by 30-40% while decreasing methane emissions from paddy by 60%. Rice cultivation contributes 10% of global methane emissions, a GHG 25 times more potent than carbon dioxide. While new technologies will curb carbon belchers, there is also room for optimization of our current systems. A McKinsey report estimates that 80% of the emissions of an organization lie in its supply chain. This cuts across industries such as agriculture, textiles, electronics and manufacturing. Technology will be critical to manage footprints and drive carbon-related decisions. This is especially important in fragmented markets such as India where production is widely distributed. For example, food RITU VERMA is managing partner at Ankur Capital. India’s G20 presidency: Let’s be more ambitious While G20 communiques prove elusive, India has little time left to get a better deal for the Global South. The effort to reform institutions must cover World Bank and IMF ownership G 20 meetings seem to be degenerating into a juvenile game of passing the parcel. Most themeoriented working groups have been unable to agree on a communique, with the task left to non-controversial huddles, like on startups. Even the third meeting under the G20 aegis of finance ministers and central bank governors (FMCBGs), which ended in Gandhinagar on Tuesday, issued only an outcome document and a chair’s summary. A communique requires consensus, but the Ukraine shadow has split the gathering along sharply drawn lines, hurting prospects of unanimity. And so, the chair of the second-most important G20 grouping, Indian finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, exercised the next best option: the gathering passed that buck to the leaders’ summit in September. What is encouraging, though, is the fact that the FMCBG meeting was united on almost every other item on the agenda, which included reforms of multilateral development banks (MDBs), a shared regulatory framework for crypto-assets, the path ahead for equity in taxation rules and an acknowledgement of macroeconomic risks arising from climate change and the necessary transition path. Among these key issues of global governance, MDB reform will likely be the Indian G20 presidency’s showpiece, since it initiated the process by setting up a committee headed by Larry Summers, president emeritus of Harvard University, and N.K. Singh, former Indian bureaucrat and chairperson of the 15th finance commission. The panel has now submitted the report’s first volume (the second and final part is expected in October), which was accepted unanimously by the FMCBG conclave. Members particularly endorsed the ‘G20 Roadmap for Implementing the Recommendations of the G20 Independent Review of MDBs Capital Adequacy Frameworks.’ The primary focus of the MDB reform process is on making MDBs mission-agile for 21st century challenges so that they’re better equipped to finance strategic development goals and other imperatives such as climate and health. This is a lofty ideal, but falls short of the changes that MDBs need to undertake, especially in light of the Global South’s sense of alienation from instruments and institutions of global governance. MDB reforms would be incomplete without setting right the shareholding structure of the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund. The process must account for the conditions around their birth after World War II, when Western powers carved up global institutions among themselves; a large chunk of ownership in both went to them, the lion’s share taken by the US, giving the West extraordinary control. The contextual arguments both for and against this arrangement no longer hold relevance in today’s global configuration. The biggest stumbling block to an overhaul of their ownership is that it would require US Congress approval; given its current partisan character, it is nigh impossible for US politicians to agree on yielding control over two key global institutions. It is here that the panel led by Summers and Singh should have clearly outlined the realistic challenges that the process is likely to face and also the mitigation processes that G20 ministers could adopt to make its recommendations more meaningful. But, like all else, it appears that can has also been kicked down the road. C limate change is front and centre of the development debate going on around the world. We are finally seeing our economic system account for the cost and impact of air pollution on the environment by putting a value on every metric tonne of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. And our transition to a low-carbon economy is being spurred by consumers and governments as well as regulators. Last year, venture capital saw $37 billion globally in climate-dedicated dry powder. Impressive, but that still only scratches the surface of the emerging carbon economy, especially for Indialike markets. India is the world’s third largest emitter, but our emissions per capita are only one-fifth the global average. With an emerging middle class, an expanding manufacturing base and an agricultural heartland responding to the challenges of food security, our emissions trajectory is poised to change dramatically over the next decade. Our market structures are notably different. While policy and industry have their place, the India net-zero story needs contextually-developed new technologies and business models that can mitigate GHG emissions and enable the economy to adapt. We need to create fundamental tools to effectively catalyse the climate transition underway. Here, we see three key investment opportunities. One, cost-ef- New Delhi, Mumbai, Bangalore, Kolkata, Chennai, Ahmedabad, Hyderabad, Chandigarh*, Pune* www.livemint.com Saturday, July 20, 2013 Vol.7 No.172 `5.00 in Delhi­NCR/`6.00 outside Delhi­NCR waste is a big carbon problem. In fact, it’s linked to 8-10% of all annual GHG emissions. A digitally-enabled supply chain can help monitor production processes, diminish inefficiencies in logistics, limit wastage and ultimately reduce emissions. We are seeing companies using digital solutions to match demand and supply for perishable commodities, bringing down the rate of food waste to single digits. Others are linking buyers to sustainably grown crops, allowing customers to make planet-friendly choices. Digital technology will play an outsized role in reimagining business supply chains and managing complex ‘scope 3’ emissions for greater resilience and circularity. Finally, our legacy accounting systems don’t include the costs of the earth’s seemingly free resources. The climate transition is forcing a shift. The carbon accounting market is estimated at $12 billion and expected to reach $65 billion by 2030. While regulators have a critical role to play in creating standards, tools for people to comply and report are needed to make the system work. Currently, most consulting organizations use resource-intensive techniques to manage and audit carbon credits. The future, though, will likely lie at the intersection of software and hardware-led measurement methodologies that will scale and provide authentic data cost efficiently. Most of these measurement and integration tools will need to be vertically focused, so as to address specific-sector needs. As regulatory requirements evolve, we expect these tools to become integrated with reporting systems. To create long-term value, business opportunities in the climate transition need to be holistic, accurate and transparent. Short-term opportunists abound that attempt tricks like greenwashing. But, as markets tighten, they will be pushed out. Unlocking what’s good for the planet will ultimately make for a good investment opportunity. 12 PAGES + 20 PAGES LOUNGE Dipankar Gupta on the idea of a citizen elite >4 Q&A: EARNINGS: Weak rupee lifts Bajaj Auto margins in June quarter >3 POLITICS: Congress tally to decline in 2014, but BJP will fall short, says survey >3 CORPORATE: CBI says Wal­Mart violated investment rules >5 CONTENT PARTNER SENSEX 20,149.85 Æ 21.44 NIFTY 6,029.20 æ 8.85 JUNE QUARTER RIL net profit rises even as revenue falls DOLLAR `59.35 æ `0.33 India’s air passenger traffic fell 1.84% in June from a year ago, after having recovered in March from 10 months of decline. Domestic airlines carried 5.01 million passengers in June, compared with 5.10 million a year ago, showed data released by India’s aviation regulator on Friday. The Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) warned of a declining trend in its statement announcing the data for June. The summer quarter of April-June is peak travel season as schools close for holidays. In 2012, air traffic dropped to 58.82 million people from 60.7 million in 2011, while international traffic grew 21.8%, according to the civil aviation ministry. 2012 2013 (figures in mn) Profit jumps 19% on sale of investments, higher margins, but lower oil prices push revenues down & Margins, other income boost profit MARK TO MARKET PALLAVI PENGONDA Year-on-year change 5.33 Jan liz.m@livemint.com ························· NEW DELHI 5.1 5.18 1.59% 5.09 5.07 Apr R -3.36% 4.89 Mar -0.27% 5.44 May 4.81% 5.71 MUMBAI R eliance Industries Ltd (RIL) on Friday posted a 19% rise in stand-alone net profit for the quarter ended 30 June, largely in line with Street expectations, helped by the sale of investments, higher refining margins and income from its petrochemicals business. Net profit rose to `5,352 crore while revenue fell 4.6% to `90,589 crore, the oil, petrochemicals and retail conglomerate said. From the quarter ended March, net profit fell 4.2%, on account of a slide in refining margins, and revenue was 4.6% higher. A Bloomberg estimate had pegged profit at `5,290.4 crore and revenue at `89,639 crore. Chief financial officer Alok Agarwal said at a press conference that overall the results were “slightly better than expected” and revenue was down year-on-year (y-o-y) because of lower oil prices, which had brought down revenue from the segment. But most of the growth in net profit on a y-o-y basis came from so-called other income, rather than its core business operations. Out of the `849 crore increase in net profit over the year-ago period, `631 crore came from a rise in other income, mainly sale of investments. At `2,535 crore, other income contributed 47% to the profit. Agarwal said this was because some of RIL’s investments had matured, and the conglomerate decided to cash out of some of its other investments. As RIL invests more money towards its capital expenditure (capex) plans across businesses, the proportion of other income to net profit will come down, he added. “Reliance achieved strong results during the first quarter of FY 2013-14, while investing in projects that will provide NOTE TO READERS There is no Markets Watch with today’s edition. Mint is also available for R9.50 with Hindustan Times in Delhi-NCR only W hile Reliance Industries Ltd’s (RIL’s) net profit of `5,352 crore for the June quarter came in better than expectations, operating performance has been lacklustre. Revenue fell 4.6% while operating profit increased 3.8%. The reason: savings on raw material costs, driven mainly by lower crude prices. Operating margins thus improved, while other income helped boost profit growth to 18.9% from a year ago. The petrochemicals business, which was expected to perform better during the quarter, has disappointed. Revenue increased marginally by half a percentage point from a year ago while earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) increased 7.5% to `1,888 crore. Volumes fell, while prices rose marginally. An improvement in ethylene chain margins fuelled a 60 basis points year-onyear (y-o-y) increase in the petrochemicals Ebit margin. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. On the other hand, the refining business has been consistently performing well and that trend has continued for the June quarter. Note, though, that the refining Ebit contribution 5.1 Jun Market share in June (in %) 8.9 -3.04% 60.7 Go Air 18.9 58.82 Air India 19.5 29.5 IndiGo 23.1* SpiceJet Jet Airways 2011 2012 *Combined share of Jet Airways and subsidiary Jet Konnect Source: DGCA eadying for polls under the leadership of Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) on Friday announced the team that will guide the party in the run-up to the general election scheduled for May next year. Acknowledging the altered demography of India, the main opposition party constituted a special cell to target first-time voters, which it estimates to be about one-fifth of the total electorate of more than 700 million. The four-member team to oversee this will be headed by Amit Shah, a close confidante of Modi and the party’s chief campaign manager in Uttar Pradesh. The BJP, which recently warned of a snap poll, has set up 20 committees to strategize and implement its campaign plan. A 12-member central election committee will include all its top leaders including former prime minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee, who has not OIL $107.80 æ $0.90 QUICK EDIT Fiscal mess in China I t is becoming more clear by the day that the Chinese economy is losing momentum. The massive credit bubble in that country continues to pose a risk to stability. And let us not forget the recent news that exports—one of the principal drivers of the Chinese economic miracle—fell in June. But perhaps the most telling indication of the problems faced by the new Chinese leadership is to be found in a new report on China by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The multilateral lender has reworked the fiscal deficit and public debt numbers for the country. After taking into account borrowings of local governments as well as off-budget items, IMF says that what it calls the “augmented” public debt is nearly 50% of China’s gross domestic product (GDP) while the “augmented” fiscal deficit is close to 10% of GDP; it adds ominously that the estimates will be “refined” later. It’s a hidden mess of Indian proportions. TURN TO BACK PAGE ® PARAS JAIN/MINT HDFC profit up, but below estimates N. CHANDRASEKARAN/TCS ························· MUMBAI H sustainable advantage for a longer period,” said Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director. “Robust growth in petrochemical products demand augurs well for our biggest ever expansion programme. Retail business continues to make remarkable progress and registered a 53% growth in revenues during the first quarter. At Reliance, we are committed to invest for growth in India, for India.” The group’s refining and TURN TO PAGE 2® TURN TO BACK PAGE ® Our discussions highlight the commitment of India and the United States to actively further the G20 agenda. We have critical mass across markets, now we have to scale up B Y J OEL R EBELLO joel.r@livemint.com ousing Development Finance Corp. Ltd (HDFC), India’s largest mortgage finance company, said on Friday that stand-alone net profit for the June quarter rose 17% from a year earlier, falling short of estimates, partly because the company did not sell any investments unlike last year. Profit rose to `1,173 crore from `1,002 crore in the corresponding period last year. Bloomberg’s estimate was pegged at `1,208 crore. In the same period last year, HDFC earned `20 crore from profit on the sale of investments. Income from operations, which includes its main home loan business, increased to `5,557 crore from `4,915 crore. The loan book stood at `1.76 trillion, up from `1.48 trillion last year. On a consolidated basis, net profit rose 34% to `1,707 crore, or `10.90 per share, from `1,276 crore, or `8.50 per share last year, helped by an increase in premium income from the insurance business to `2,291 crore from `2,007 crore TURN TO PAGE 2® -1.84% 5.01 Total air traffic GOLD `26,795 Æ `145 Team Modi takes charge of BJP’s 2014 campaign B Y L IZ M ATHEW -3.77% 5.13 5.06 Feb B Y A VEEK D ATTA P .R . S ANJAI ························· EURO `77.92 æ `0.07 FLIGHT TURBULENCE HEMANT MISHRA/MINT B Y L ESLIE D ’M ONTE Z AHRA K HAN ························· & MUMBAI I ndia’s largest information technology (IT) services company Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (TCS) exceeded analyst estimates for the June quarter when it announced earnings on Thursday. Natarajan Chandrasekaran, managing director and chief executive officer, spoke in an interview about the strategies working for the company, pricing trends and new markets. Edited excerpts: Many IT firms maintain they are cautiously optimistic about the sector. You say you’re bullish. What strategies are helping you to maintain your margins and post growth figures consistently? (Laughs). I don’t know. There is nothing different. I feel that technology is in the middle of everything. On the one hand, there is pressure on companies to contain costs and streamline processes. On the other, they are searching for new business models and technology is making a lot of things possible. Tech is in everything today. People are thinking about ways to change N I R MA L A SI THA R A MA N Looking ahead: Chandrasekaran says the company is prepared for every likely scenario with regard to the US immigration Bill. mint INTERVIEW their businesses. Data is being generated in real time in all markets. Some companies are getting it right while others are learning. Our job is to educate them (which helps get more business). You are one of the companies see­ ing good discretionary spends. Companies today want to future-proof their businesses. They want a simplistic design and want to optimize costs in a bid to become agile. This gives us an opportunity to become partners in transforming their businesses. Front-end systems, for example, are getting redesigned everywhere and the opportunity is huge. We also have concepts such as responsive ware, mobility, cloud and analytics working in tanTURN TO PAGE 12® my VIEW | MUSING MACRO Three small but effective ideas to help small businesses AJIT RANADE T is a Pune-based economist he youth should aspire to be job givers, not just job seekers. Who gave this clarion call? Most would guess that it was our Prime Minister, during his electoral campaign of 2014. But it was not just him. This mantra has been chanted by leaders across the political spectrum repeatedly over the years, and has now become a national slogan. The President of India echoed it, so did the Chief Minister of Punjab. The Swadeshi Jagran Manch swears by it. Business schools sell this message to their management graduates. But how to succeed as a job giver, i.e., an entrepreneur? Unfortunately, only one in 10 entrepreneurs succeeds. This ratio is still better than chances of landing a formal sector job. Hence, the slogan makes sense in a country where barely 10% of the workforce is in the organized sector. Only a fraction of India’s workforce has contractual rights like social security, pension or health benefits. For the rest, it is casual work, uncertain livelihoods and temporary jobs. Also, you can’t sugar-coat this precarity by calling it the exciting gig economy. Joblessness among the youth is a global problem, aggravated by disruptive threats of automation and artificial intelligence. So, the youth are encouraged to become innovators and startup heroes. What does the ‘job givers’ landscape look like? India has an estimated 64 million micro, small or medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs), which is where jobs are being created. Add to these even-smaller nano enterprises, of which there may be another 30 million that are neither registered nor counted. They may be vegetable sellers accepting UPI digital payments, but they are otherwise completely informal. To succeed as a small, micro or nano enterprise, what does it take? There is not enough large-scale granular data on such enterprises. But there are many small sample surveys that offer important insights. A National Commission on Enterprises in the Unorganized Sector was set up in 2004. It generated several reports and led to laws like the one for the rights of street hawkers. It had one remarkable revelation regarding employment in the informal sector. Only 18% of informal-sector workers said that they worked for an identified employer. The rest had multiple ‘jobs’ and hence no single employer and no real employment relationship. This was decades before the ‘gig economy’ became popular. Another landmark report was produced in 2019 by the U.K. Sinha committee appointed by the Reserve Bank of India. It highlighted the woes that plague small businesses, from access to credit, working capital and markets, payment delays and problems of financial and digital literacy. There has been progress on some aspects highlighted by the Sinha committee, and the emergence of fintech is also helping address some credit access issues. Here are three small but effective ideas that can be implemented quickly. The first relates to payment delays faced by entrepreneurs functioning with a business-to-business model. The national MSME Act specifies that payment to small businesses cannot be delayed by more than 45 days. But this law is observed more in the breach. Small vendors hesitate to sue their defaulting customer or take him to bankruptcy court, or name and shame him on a government por- tal. Because the small guy depends on repeat business, he cannot afford to be black-listed by an offended big customer. The process, therefore, should be made automatic. As soon as a goods and services tax (GST) invoice is generated by the vendor, the 45-day clock should start ticking. This can be automated by linking vendors’ Udyam registration with the GST network. When the 45 days are up, either the GST credit gets reversed or a penalty is imposed. This shouldn’t need court action or complaint, and work purely by automation. The second idea is on digitalization. Small vendors can benefit immensely by going digital. This does not mean merely adopting UPI payments but making all aspects of business digital. They need a super app, which is like a mini Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) software, used for accounts, tax filing, inventory control, loan repayments and so on. An ERP app should be extremely user-friendly, available in multiple languages and for free download. Just Automated penalties, digital solutions and peer-to-peer lending can help resolve their problems as the government developed the Bhim app to popularize UPI, so also it should sponsor a ‘hackathon’, or a competition to build a free mini ERP app for all Udyam registered businesses. Udyam registrations are barely 15 million, about 25% of the potential. This will provide added incentive to register. The third idea is to enable access to capital in the form of debt or equity. Most small retail vendors are known in their neighbourhoods. Their regular customers would gladly give them credit for working capital. Why not allow peer-to-peer lending, fortified by block chain contracts? To prevent remote vultures of private equity from exploiting this, such peer lending can be restricted to a district or pin code. This concept can be extended to raise local equity, with shareholder contracts standardized. This may create local equity and credit pools and solve some capital requirement problems. The peer-to-peer lending model needs to be blessed by the Reserve Bank of India, and can begin as a sandbox initiative. To rev up the entrepreneurship engine, and create more job givers and creators, all kinds of policy tweaks are needed. We need the ease of not just doing business, but also opening and shutting down a business, especially in the nano and micro world. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER VIEWS LIVEMINT.COM ThuRSday, 20 July 2023 Chennai guEst VIEW 13 M I N T C U R AT O R Dispel myths around innovation to create a culture that fosters it Remote work looks inevitable: So let’s focus on fixing its bugs WFH drawbacks like low in-person contact aren’t easy to address The truth of this multifaceted concept must be understood closely if we are to generate the magic fuel needed for its ignition ISTOCKPHOTO SARAH GREEN CARMICHAEL is a Bloomberg Opinion editor. HARSH MARIWALA & ABHEEK SINGHI are, respectively, founder and chairman of Marico, and the chair of practices at Boston Consulting Group India. E S ay the word ‘innovation’ and it is likely to evoke the image of a young entrepreneur in a garage like startup, or that of a scientist in a lab creating a product that magically disrupts the market. These are images that have become associated with innovation—gripping and appealing. Also, somewhat mythical and only half true. Myth: Startups are the champions of innovation: It is a widely held belief that a startup, with its agility and flexibility, is the poster child of innovation. Startups, over the decades, have been a key source of invention and innovation. However, it is critical to recognize the innovation capacity of large, established corporations. These organizations often spearhead innovation, leveraging their considerable resources, extensive networks and in-depth market knowledge. Even in the technology sector, the performance of Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Microsoft and Alphabet shows that innovation is not restricted to startups, but is often driven by large established companies. Myth: Innovation needs to be disruptive: The narrative of disruption often takes centre-stage when we speak of innovation. Yes, there are examples of silver-bullet moments, when an innovation is a complete breakthrough and truly disruptive. However, many innovations result from evolutionary changes achieved through a series of incremental improvements. One could think of the entire smartphone category as an exemplar, where each player has built on the innovations done by someone else in the category. Another embodiment of it is the Toyota Production System, a philosophy focused on waste reduction and continuous process refinement that revolutionized the global automobile industry (and more). It underlines that innovation can be gradual and iterative, rather than just radical and disruptive. Myth: Innovation happens in laboratories.: One of the enduring myths about innovation is that it originates in R&D labs (or garages). While labs undoubtedly contribute to technological advancements, innovations blossom in the marketplace. This is sparked by direct interaction and co-creation with customers, understanding their needs and desires, and developing solutions in partnerships across the value chain. As an example, when Marico was entering the ‘masala oats’ category with Saffola, interactions and experiments with consumers provided insights on the importance of a savoury Indian breakfast and resulted in both expanding the oats market and gaining share. Myth: Innovation is a functional activity, typically owned by product development: Innovation is sometimes narrowly perceived as focused on specific functional areas, such as product development or R&D. We believe it infuses every aspect of business —from marketing strategies and customer service protocols to supply chain and human resource policies. Pidilite and Asian Paints are examples that showcase innovation not just in their product lines, but also in unique distribution strategies and customer/influencer engagement programmes. Innovation is a leadership focus area; a recent BCG global survey of 700 CEOs highlighted that nearly 60% considered innovation a top-3 priority. In our discussions, we hear the big question not about the importance of innovation but the how. There is sometimes a belief that innovation can be achieved by putting a stage-gated process and having a dedicated structure. While these indeed play a role, we believe that the magic sauce has a few other important ingredients. The foundational element in this is talent. The three qualities to actively seek (at an individual level) are genuine curiosity, a challenger mindset and resilient energy—to question the present, to generate different solutions, and to persevere through the journey. Innovation is a team sport and requires diversity of thought. Team members should have a blend of different experiences, backgrounds and contexts to ensure no ‘group-think’ happens. Above all, they should have an ownership mindset. This mindset is something that the top management must both look for and actively nurture. A flat organization that is structured appropriately for stability but does not function as a hierarchy for ideas can help foster this culture. Another critical element in developing this culture is a test-andlearn approach. We believe that market research, while helpful, can be restrictive at times for innovation. Actually trying an idea out in the market at a small scale is helpful in both testing it genuinely and managing risk. Leaders play a critical role in creating such a culture by encouraging new ideas, promoting collaboration and encouraging risk-taking. One innovative idea that we adopted to promote collaboration was ‘4pm popcorn’. Turning on the office popcorn machine in the afternoon brought employees towards it around the same time, thus creating informal networks and conversation across the hierarchy and functions. Leaders must genuinely encourage risk-taking. One critical element in this is how to treat failures; we suggest truly celebrating risk-taking by reading ‘FAIL’ as First Attempt In Learning. We believe that the final ingredient in the magic sauce is execution. Innovation is not about ideas, but about bringing those ideas to life—through trying them out in the market and running model iterations till action standards are met. In conclusion, innovation is a multifaceted concept, and understanding the realities behind these myths can be instrumental in creating a culture of innovation. Innovation is not merely a process, a disruptive force, or the exclusive domain of startups and labs. Nor is it about being the first to launch or being confined to specific business functions. The true essence of innovation lies in its holistic approach, talent and culture, continuous improvements, customer interaction and effective execution. These are the authors’ personal views. mployees who work entirely from home are less creative and less productive, according to a new working paper from the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. Fully remote employees also receive less feedback and must spend more time coordinating, which makes them work longer hours to keep up with their in-office peers. The researchers also predict we will see even more remote work in the future. If WFH has so many drawbacks, why can we expect more of it? How can we mitigate its downsides? The Stanford paper, by Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom and Stephen J. Davis, notes that the share of people working from home at least some of the time has doubled roughly every 15 years since about 1980; by 2019, about 5% of workdays took place at home. That figure surged to 60% in 2020 and has now plateaued at about 25%. The authors say the change between 2019 and 2023 levels will fast-forward the remote-work revolution by about 35 years. They expect to see remote work decline slowly for the next couple of years before accelerating again for the next 20. It will be a continuation of the long-term trend and will be fuelled by pandemic-era innovations. The number of patents mentioning terms like ‘telework’ tripled after March 2020, and in the past, those kinds of advances have sent more workers remote. The findings hold an important implication for corporate leaders: Urging employees to return to the office full-time may not work well. Fast internet connections have made at least some remote work inevitable. Rather than trying to fight the technology, employers might be better off addressing challenges of fully remote work—disengagement, slower learning, loneliness. Those downsides don’t always apply to hybrid work. It is associated with productivity gains. A debate raging since the covid vaccine rollout is how many days of face time matter. Even if the question could be answered, I’m not sure it would influence behaviour as much as we think. A lot of work will become virtual, whether we like it or not. A lot of it already has. Some management problems that leaders struggled with during the pandemic—meeting creep, employees sending a dozen emails in place of a five-minute conversation, monitoring and giving feedback to remote workers— have been around a long time. They’ll become more common as technology sends more workers home, sparking a need to think about managing remote staff. Some studies expect WFH trends to gain force in times ahead ISTOCKPHOTO Many managers have complained to me about the challenges of motivating their far-flung employees. A senior executive feels as if he has two types of remote workers: lazy ones who do the bare minimum, and conscientious ones who do too much —or do the wrong things. Unlike other bosses who tried solving this problem by calling people back to office, he motivated slowpokes by prodding them with shortterm goals and ensured that his sprinters were running in the right direction. Managers could also go back to the midcentury research of Frederick Herzberg and find that the same aspects that motivated employees in the pre-internet era probably still work: achievement, recognition, interesting work and responsibility. Or consider mentoring. A challenge faced by remote workers, confirm Barrero, Bloom and Davis, is that they don’t have the same chances to learn as in-person employees. A lot of on-the-job learning happens informally by overhearing colleagues working on the same types of problems. I myself learnt a lot from listening to my bosses on the phone, interviewing sources or giving feedback to authors. But eavesdropping may not the best way to learn—or teach. More knowledge can be transmitted when we’re intentional about doing so: taking the time to include junior colleagues on a call, walking them through the goals and debriefing afterwards. Loneliness might be a tough nut to crack. Studies have long suggested the importance of friends at work. It’s good for morale and engagement. Those human connections are vital for a good life— they’re the whole point, according to Marc Schulz, associate director of the decadeslong Harvard Study of Adult Development. It’s difficult to forge such ties remotely. Memes shared on Slack do not equal sitting next to someone every day at work. This problem could be solved by bringing employees together periodically to renew those bonds, but a remote-work future might just have to be a more isolated one. Albeit remote and hybrid work has many upsides, they will not be unalloyed goods. The changing nature of work is not so different from the other changes that the internet has brought into our lives. Improvements are always accompanied by new problems. ©BLOOMBERG MY VIEW | WOrld ApArT The British economy is haunted by the ghosts of Brexit RAHUL JACOB T is a Mint columnist and a former Financial Times foreign correspondent. his week, the UK will see rail strikes as workers demand significantly higher pay raises. From Sunday, workers on London’s fabulous metro are threatening industrial action. Earlier this month, it was the turn of doctors of the National Health Service (NHS), who rejected Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s offer of a 6% salary hike and are demanding 35% to catch up with what in developed-world terms has been runaway inflation. It was a staggering 8.7% in May, and inflation in grocery bills was in double digits. New rentals are 25% more expensive than they were pre-pandemic. Whichever economic metric one looks at, the UK seems a country in accelerated terminal decline. It has long been a fading power with an outsized place on the global stage. But, like a boulder gathering speed as it rolls down a slope, even that trajectory has speeded up after the debacle that was Brexit. The underlying problem, which long predates a particularly irresponsible Conservative Party government under former PM Boris Johnson, is that UK’s productivity growth lags other developed economies. The Resolution Foundation, a think-tank, has repeatedly sounded alarm bells about the US, France and Germany being “onesixth more productive than the UK, measured in terms of [gross domestic product] per hour worked. And this gap has grown over time.” A report from the foundation bluntly calls the UK “stagnation nation.” As the FT’s chief economics commentator Martin Wolf pointed out earlier this month, citing data from the Conference Board, GDP per employed person in purchasing-powerparity terms fell from 81% of US levels in 2007 to 68% in 2021. Its growth in household incomes lags even that of France, where workers famously trade pay for more leisure. The Frankenstein’s monster that loomed over this period of moderate decline, of course, was former PM David Cameron’s gamble in allowing a referendum in 2016 on taking the UK out of the European Union. Sunak has done well to pull back from the brinkmanship and open hostility his predecessors showed in negotiations with the EU, but the effects of severing these links to dynamic supply chains with Europe are everywhere apparent. From manufacturing inventories to replenishing grocery store shelves, the UK has gone through its own variation of a non-violent but damaging partition in trade terms. Labour shortages are apparent everywhere. Immigration queues at Heathrow are routinely running to twohour wait times, for instance, and hotels last summer were forced to make fewer rooms available despite holiday season demand because they had too few workers as workers from eastern Europe are no longer easily available. If its student visa schemes were not so routinely used to work in that country by many from the developing world, including India, I would wager that retailers in London would seize up. Even as it sensibly makes it easier to get work visas, the Conservative Party has doubled down on trying to act tough on immigration because with such a dismal economic record, nationalist populism might help it in opinion polls where it is well behind the Labour Party. Last month, Sunak even donned a bullet proof vest to join a raid on illegal immigrants in Harrow. Sunak has been left such a toxic legacy that not much can be done to prevent a Tory wipeout in the next election. Even nominally ‘feel good’ events such as the 75th anniversary for the country’s famous NHS this month instead become moments to reflect on its decline. A general air of pessimism in reporting by the heavily influential Murdoch media outlets doesn’t help. A much-quoted statistic of 7.4 million people on hospital waiting lists was not people waiting for operations, but overwhelmingly those waiting for “diagnostic tests and results”, The Times clarified last week. This important distinction notwithstanding, the article began by wistfully, if absurdly, comparing the NHS’s current predicament with Denmark, a country with a tenth of the UK’s population. The problem is that the UK spends much less on CT scanners and MRI machines than any OECD country. Underinvestment in machinery and manpower is widely apparent, except perhaps to the elite who wallow in an overheated nos- Bad policies have added to the woes of a country that’s falling badly behind on productivity talgia and hypernationalism. The wildly disproportionate outrage after Jonny Bairstow’s dismissal in an Ashes cricket Test this month being against the spirit of the game was Wodehousian in its tragicomic melodrama. Even the prime minister’s spokesman felt compelled to weigh in. Australian players were abused when they walked through the Long Room at the hallowed Marylebone Cricket Club. Wimbledon usually is the epitome of good crowd behaviour, but this year’s tournament was diminished by the booing of defending champion Novak Djokovic in the semis and finals and a cold reception for the world No. 2 Daniil Medvedev and women’s world No. 2 Aryna Sabalenka, who, along with other Russian and Belarusian players, were arbitrarily banned from last year’s tournament. As so often in India, one finds oneself in a country with an outsized opinion of its past and present involved in trivial debates about both. Both countries’ deluded trade policies tilt, Don Quixote-like on his skinny horse, against the logic of gigantic cross-border supply chains that are the foundation of East Asia’s exports. London, nicknamed Londongrad for its perennial role as a laundromat for foreign money, is still a vibrant place in summer. But the UK’s cracks are showing. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER 14 Thursday, 20 July 2023 Chennai BUSINESS OF LIFE CULTURE LIVEMINT.COM A female experience of the law as we know it In her book, advocate Aaliya Waziri dissects the ways in which the law and gender intersect and how far the legal system upholds the patriarchy Bruce lee in ‘Game of Death’ Shrabonti Bagchi shrabonti.b@livemint.com he title of this book by Aaliya Waziri, a writer and advocate working as a judicial law clerk at the Delhi high court, comes from an essay by Lucia OsborneCrowley, a British-Australian writer whose fierce memoir of reclaiming her body after a violent rape is a seminal feminist text today. Anyone who has moved through this world in the body of a woman knows what it feels like to wish to be invisible, writes Osborne-Crowley. Her influence on Waziri is evident—her books, I Choose Elena and My Body Keeps Your Secrets, are often described as “a hybrid of academic prose, memoir and reportage”, and Waziri’s book follows a similar path. In The Body Of A Woman: Essays On Law, Gender And Society is an important book—not only because a critical examination of how India’s legal framework intersects with gender is rare but also because of the empathy and humanity The mother of Jyoti Singh, aka Nirbhaya, during a protest in 2015. The horrific rape significantly changed laws in India HINDUSTAN TIMES Waziri brings to topics such as The Criminal Law (Amendment) Act, 2013, passed in the the bridge that we use to cross their intersecsonal choices, the Puttaswamy Judgement aftermath of the Nirbhaya case; marital rape tion, says Waziri: “This book is as much about includes privacy of the physical body,” she says, laws in India; the gaps in cyberbullying laws; that intersection as what occurs on the banks of referring to the landmark 2017 verdict when a practices like witch-hunting; and abortion laws these rivers, the lives they touch and the crops nine-judge bench of the Supreme Court delivin India and the US. The one flaw is the obvious they harvest. This book pivots on the idea that ered a unanimous verdict in the Justice K.S. Putfact that this is a collection of essays written and legal feminism is contextual. That there is no taswamy v. Union of India case, affirming that published by Waziri on various platforms over formula to fix everything but we can start by the Constitution guarantees to each individual the past two years or so, and as such, despite the strengthening our institutional responses by, a fundamental right to privacy. attempt to create an overarching narrative that first and foremost, not treating women as secIn the same breath, it is disingenuous of the holds the book together, they can sometimes ond-class citizens of the country.” law to defend marital rape in the interest of The writer acknowledges that India is an feel disparate. “family values”. “It is my argument that the State The strongest parts of the book are the ones affirmatively legislated country; that on the claims an unsaid interest in permitting marital that stem from personal experience—such as a whole, the Constitution and legal system lean— rape. If we were to pierce the veil of this chapter on the infamous “sulli deals” case, when at least philosophically—towards delivering so-called ‘legitimate interest’ that the State proMuslim women such as Waziri’s mother, a gender justice, even though their edicts may not claims to have, we will find that beneath this prominent writer and literary historian, were encompass every situation, especially in a rapgarb lies a deep-seated concern for preserving “auctioned off” online through an open-source idly evolving society. One example of this, patriarchy,” says Waziri. In the Body of a Woman: app. “(My mother) bakes the best sourdough according to Waziri, is India’s progressive While there are gaps in the book—the most Essays on Law, Gender bread and loves going for walks in the rain. She Maternity Benefit Act of 1961, which stands in prominent being a discussion of the laws relatand Society By Aaliya is called ‘Apa’ by almost everyone and is stark contrast to US laws that offer minimal suping to sexual harassment at work —which the port to women in Waziri, Simon & Schuster obsessed with red author acknowledges, it is a vital step towards terms of mandatory 232 pages, Rs 499 shoes. In early Januopening conversations around gender and jusary 2022, she was sup- India is an affirmatively legislated maternity leaves and tice in India, especially with critical issues such posedly sold off on an country; the Constitution and benefits. “More of the law in India working actively to uphold as marital rape and same-sex marriage hanging recently, t h e the patriarchy, and one of the most disturbing in the balance today. auction of Muslim legal system lean towards Supreme Court of essays in the book is the one that talks about women hosted on Despite a certain unevenness of tone stemdelivering gender justice India disallowed the marital rape. “By conceding to the argument ming from an inadequately smooth transition GitHub,” writes distinction between that non-consensual sex by a husband with his between Waziri’s passionate prose and her citWaziri in this chapter, married and unmar- wife is merely an extension of ‘disagreements in ing of the law, the book serves to remind us that a searing indictment of how technology, supposedly a great leveller, ried women in terms of accessing abortion care married life and the bedroom’, we are reducing legal writing in India remains, for the most part, has led to stripping women of their agency and services. It is already commendable that an a woman’s violation of bodily integrity to a mere dehumanised and obscure. Waziri says she has Indian woman, who is not a minor, does not quarrel, once again purely based on her marital been inspired by writers like Chimamanda personhood. “I began writing to fill a void where gender- require the approval of her husband, partner or status,” Waziri writes in the book. Ngozi Adichie in the US/Nigeria and Laura She is dismayed by the fact that the law still Bates in the UK, who provide intelligible writing responsive literature answering loopholes family provided she is of ‘sound mind’ should allows for a distinction between forced sexual on women and the evolving nature of their within the laws should have existed. For a long she seek an abortion,” says Waziri. This is a remarkably open-minded and pro- intercourse by a husband with his wife and needs vis-à-vis their respective societies. time I looked for a toolbox for legal feminism, or a piece of legal literature that goes beyond cri- gressive piece of legislation, rare even among criminalises the same by non-husbands, while “The reason I was writing was because I found tiquing the legislative apertures and instead more mature democracies and certainly revolu- all along women stay victims regardless of their there is no Indian counterpart to these pieces of offers a solution to the problem at hand. This tionary in the light of abortion rights being con- marital status. “It is the prime example of legal feminism that offers a holistic understandcollection of essays acknowledges that there is tinually eroded in the US. Waziri also notes that entrenched patriarchy within the legal system,” ing of the different facets of everyday sexism no guide, no manual, no contemporary relata- at the time of independence, our Constitution the author tells Lounge. “I am of the view that faced by the average Indian woman,” she says. ble or accessible piece of literature narrating a granted universal adult franchise to all Indian marital rape, as a concept, is violative of the right “Historically, this can be attributed to the mishow-to,” Waziri tells Lounge in an email inter- citizens regardless of their gender, a right to decisional autonomy and bodily integrity taken notion that gender-related issues are women in the West had to fight for. granted to all citizens of India. Defining privacy unworthy of time, energy and, more imporview. At the same time, there are several instances as the ability to make the most intimate and per- tantly, of resources.” Law and gender are two rivers and culture is T Bruce Lee’s legacy endures 50 years on Bruce Lee’s philosophy still inspires everyone, from actors to protestors Agencies feedback@livemint.com H ong Kong businessman W. Wong still remembers the day in 1972 when he first heard neighbourhood kids rave about a figure who seemed larger than life: Bruce Lee. Lee, a consummate martial artist whose films spawned a kung fu craze around the world, was one of the first Asian men to achieve Hollywood superstardom before his death at 32. His influence can still be felt in Hong Kong, where he spent his childhood and final years, as fans this week hold exhibitions and martial arts workshops to mark the 50th anniversary of Lee’s death. At a studio for Wing Chun—a style of martial arts Lee practised before inventing his own Jeet Kune Do method—the martial arts master is revered as something akin to a patron saint. Lee’s appeal had not diminished for the next generation, said Mic Leung, 45, who trained at the same studio and, as a teenager, sought out Lee’s movies on old videotapes. “When we talk about the ‘god of martial arts’, we could only be talking about Bruce Lee. There is no one else,” he said. Born in San Francisco in 1940, Lee was raised in Hong Kong and had an early brush with fame as a child actor. At 18, he continued his studies in the United States and over the next decade taught martial arts and scored minor parts in Hollywood. But it was not until Lee returned to Hong The martial arts Kong that he landed his first lead role in the martial arts film “The Big Boss”, master is which made him a household name in revered as Asia after its 1971 release. something akin The next year saw two more box to a patron saint office hits—”Fist of Fury” and “The Way of the Dragon”—cementing Lee’s in Hong Kong persona as a relentless, lightning-fast fighter. Lee had completed filming his fourth star vehicle, “Enter the Dragon”, and was halfway through his fifth when he died on July 20, 1973 from swelling of the brain, attributed to an adverse reaction to painkillers. Film scholar Aaron Han Joon Magnan-Park, who taught Lee’s movies at the University of Hong Kong, said Lee expressed a kind of Chinese identity that transcended national borders. Despite Lee’s enduring fame, preserving his legacy in Hong Kong was no easy task, fan club chairman Wong told AFP. Government support was intermittent at best, he said. Fans in 2004 successfully petitioned to set up a bronze statue of Lee on Hong Kong’s famed waterfront, but a campaign to revitalise his former mansion could not save it from demolition in 2019. Wong, who had organised a smaller exhibit in Sham Shui Po district, acknowledged a decline of interest among young people but said Lee’s philosophy always has the potential to become relevant again. He pointed to how protesters in Hong Kong’s 2019 democracy movement cited the martial artist’s mantra—”Be water, my friend”—as a reminder to adopt flexible tactics of resistance. Songs that document Bengal’s seasonal food calendar ISTOCKPHOTO Calendar-like rhymes that suggest apt foods for each season form a part of a genre of folk songs called Baromashi Priyadarshini Chatterjee feedback@livemint.com T here’s no denying that the pattering of raindrops pairs best with the crunch of pakoras and adrak wali chai. But the damp monsoon months also bring with them a host of diseases. Kitchens, across the country, for centuries, have whipped up antidotes to these ailments, ranging from medicinal porridges to broths made with seasonal greens. A centuries-old Bengali verse recommends eating yoghurt in the month of Ashadh—which marks the onset of monsoons—followed by khoi, or popped rice, in the months of Shravana, sugar palm during Bhadra, and cucumber in the month of Ashwin, at the fag end of the rainy season. This verse can be traced to the Dak Tantra, a body of aphorisms attributed to the ancient folk figure of Dak. Composed as a lyrical calendar, it lists food items to be consumed through the 12 months of the Bengali lunar year. This calendar-like rhyme is part of a genre of folk songs called Baromashi or Baramashya, which translates as ballads or songs of the 12 months. Baromashi is not restricted to Bengal but is part of folk literature across the country. The songs are centred around love and longing, and often speak of the trials and tribulations of a woman, separated from her partner. But in Bengal, quite a few Baromashi focus on food. As V.P. Dwivedi writes in his 1980 book, Bārahmāsā: The Song of Seasons in Literature & Art, in the classical Baromasi, there is a greater emphasis on depicting sorrows of the deserted woman. However, in the folk Baromasi, the change in nature, and as a consequence changes brought in the routine of farmers and other villagers, is given prime importance. Seasonality of food and eating practices is a recurrent theme in these songs. Bengal has a strong tradition of harnessing the medicinal virtues of seasonal food, naturally compatible with changes in immunity. These lyrical calendars-guides are nifty ways of remembering what and when to grow and eat, while also passing on this culinary wisdom to generations to come. In this Baromashi, attributed to yet another important ancient folk figure Khona, in the month of Chaitra, bitter leaves of gima, or Glinus oppositifolius, are a must-have. Incidentally, gima is a kind of carpetweed, considered particularly efficacious for skin disorders that the month of Chaitra brings with it. In Bengal, it is customary to eat gima shak on Chaitra Sankranti. To combat the sweltering heat of Baishakh, the ballad recommends eating the leaves of nalita, or tender jute leaves, which turn particularly sweet at the time. For the rainy months of Ashadh and Shravan, this Baromashi recommends popped rice and curd respectively (interestingly, a reversal of Dak’s recommendation). During Bhadra, when the air is heavy with the sweet smell of ripe Palmyra palm, people must enjoy rice cakes made with its pulp. During Kartik, the song suggests eating a soupy curry made with Khoilsha fish. And in the cold month of Pousha, when the digestive fire is believed to be weak, a bowl of fortifying Kanji, or fermented rice-water, is recommended. There are numerous such Baromashistyle seasonal eating guides in the Bengali folk repertoire. But their recommendations may vary. A particular Baromashi may have multiple versions, each one slightly altered as it travelled through the region and picked up local accents, dialects and preferences. Or, a Baromashi could roll out a completely different set of food items for each month of the year, depending on the region it belongs to. In rice-growing Bengal, where paddy is a symbol of abundance, quite a few such songs are dedicated to the life cycle of rice. One Baromashi, documented in Charlotte Vaudeville’s Bārahmāsā in Indian Literatures: Songs of the Twelve Months in IndoAryan Literatures, for instance, illustrates the monthly stages of autumn rice cultivation. “In Phalgun , I took the plough , in Chaitra the seed , In Baišakh, ( the paddy ) shines , in Jaishtha , it has ears . In Asharh, the paddy is gold, the golden harvest is ripe, In Šrăban, the farmers gather the autumn—rice.” Even the Baromashis, which are not centred around food, are strewn with clues to the culinary culture of a region. A particularly good example is Fullara’s Baromashya, often dubbed as one of the most important and popular baromashi in Bengali literature. Part of the 16th centu- ry-lyrical prose, Chandimangal, composed by Kabikankan Mukundaram Chakrabarti, the ballad describes the sufferings of Fullara, the wife of the hunter Kalketu. Food, or the lack of it, is a recurrent motif. Fullarar Baramasya reveals how, in 17th century Rarh Bengal, meat was verboten in the month of Baisakh and everyone turned vegetarian for the whole month. In sharp contrast, during Ambika Puja, in the month of Ashwin, goats, buffalo and rams would be sacrificed and the meat distributed to every home. Through the tale of Fullara’s hardships, the verse also tells the story of how the poor of the land survived periods of scarcity. For instance, when there’s no food to eat at home, Fullara survives on tart bainchi fruits, a kind of indigenous plum that grows in the wild. In her book Thhod Bori Khanra, Bengali writer Kalyani Datta, archived yet another old poem that specifies the tattwo, or gifts, traditionally sent by a girl’s parents to her in-laws through the year. The idea is to send gifts of the best seasonal produce and items of use. So, the bounty includes summer fruits like mangoes and ripe jackfruit in the month of Jaishtha, silvery hilsa in the rainy month of Ashadh, gifts of sweetsmelling, ripe sugar palm in the month of Bhadra and in the month of Pousha, clay pots or nagri full of jaggery. This PDF was uploade To Telegram channel_ LBS Newspaper platform (https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER):@LBSNEWSPAPER To Get All The Popular Newspapers. Type in Search Box of Telegram - @dailypatrika @LBSNEWSPAPER If You Want to get these Newspapers Daily at earliest English Newspapers»» Indian Express, Financial Express, The Hindu, Business Line, The Times of India, The Economic Times, Hindustan Times, Business Standard, First India, Mint, Greater Kashmir, Greater Jammu, The Himalayan, The Tribune, Brill Express, The Sikh Times, Avenue Mail, Western Times, Millennium Post, The Statesman, State Times, The Pioneer, Hans India, Free Press, Orissa Post, Mumbai Mirror, Mid-Day, Deccan Chronicle, Deccan Herald, Telangana Today, Financial Times, The Asian Age, The Telegraph, Oheraldo, Gulf of Times, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, The Times Hindi Newspapers»» दै निक जागरण, राजस्थाि पत्रिका, दै निक भास्कर, ह द िं स् ु ताि, िवभारत टाइम्स, त्रिज़िस स्टैंडडड, अमर उजाला,पिंजाि केसरी, उत्तम ह न्द,ू जिसत्ता, लोकसत्ता, ररभूमम, द पायिीयर,जागरूक टाइम्स, राष्ट्रीय स ारा, दै निक हरब्यूि, युवा गोरव, भारतीय स ारा, स्विंतिंि वाताड, सीमा सिंदेश, दै निक सवेरा,एक्शि इिंडडया, मदरलैंड वॉइस, दे शििंध,ु ह माचल दस्तक, Others»» Hindi & English Editorial, Employment News, Malayalam Newspapers Type in Search box of Telegram @LBSNEWSPAPER And you will find a Channel named newspaper join it and receive daily editions of all popular epapers at the earliest Or you can click on this link https://t.me/LBSNEWSPAPER