TEAM 5 Aakash Goyal Adamu Mohammed Adekunle Abiona Mayowa Olawale Zahoor Syed Hult International Business School Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Overview We would be reviewing Access Bank PLC for the purpose of this assignment. Access Bank PLC is the largest bank in Nigeria by total asset and the largest bank in Africa by total number of customers. It is present in nine African countries and the United Kingdom with representative offices in China, India, Lebanon and the United Arab Emirates. Macro-Economic Analysis Using PESTEL analysis, we analyze the Macro-economic factors that affect Access Bank PLC’s business. Political Factors The Nigerian Banking Industry is the most sophisticated, transparent and technologically advanced industry in Nigeria. It is free from political influence, to a large extent, and government policies that affect the operational nature in which banks carryout their functions are few and far fetched. Notwithstanding, some legislation such as the introduction of stamp duty charges for all domestic funds transfer by the Federal Government in 2020 threatened the financial inclusion drive of Access Bank as small savers found the stamp duty fee unattractive and sought alternative means to execute their financial transactions beyond the scope of commercial banks. Economic Factors Nigeria is the largest economy in Africa with total Gross Domestic Product of $441 billion dollars in 2021 (World Bank, 2022). It is also the largest market in Africa with its population estimated at two hundred and eleven million people in 2021 (National Population Commission, 2022). However, despite being the largest exporter of crude oil on the continent, it suffers many economic setbacks as over 63% of its population live below the poverty line according to the National Bureau of Statistics (Premium Times, 2022). The financial inclusion rate is currently 64% which signals the opportunity for growth in market share by onboarding the unbanked which constitute a significant proportion of the total population. The country’s inflation rate is currently a 17 year high of 20.77% which threatens the purchasing power of the Bank’s liquid assets going forward. The steep dependence on il and Gas earnings as the primary source of foreign exchange by the government and the import-based economy of Nigeria has resulted in a shortage of foreign currency hence a risk that the Bank might not be able to source sufficient foreign currency to meet its international obligations as and when due. Unfavorable changes in foreign exchange rates also threaten to erode the Bank’s profit through foreign exchange losses. Social Factors Nigeria has the largest youth population in the world with seventy percent of its population below the age of thirty. This can be advantageous to Access Bank’s business structure as the bank offers several products targeted at the youth population and a youth-oriented drive comprising exciting initiatives could be the most effective and cost-efficient approach to gaining access to the unbanked population and get them to do business with the bank thereby increasing its customer base and market share. Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Technological Factors The Banking Industry is the most sophisticated industry in Nigeria. There have been several technological advancements in recent years which include advanced cyber security infrastructure, customer relationship management, the adoption of biometrics, the use of artificial intelligence and the drive for increased adoption of alternative banking channels such as ATMs, mobile banking, internet banking, etc. among others. The rapid technological advancements in the Nigerian banking industry are revolutionizing the way banking was traditionally conducted in the country. These offer several opportunities to reduce cost, increase revenue and enhance business processes. For example, banks are currently advocating the increased adoption of its alternative banking channels by customers which has been successful in reducing the footfall in branches. The resultant effect is significant cost savings due to lower branch expansion and reduced total cost of servicing individual customers. The increase in technological channels adoption also offers Access Bank the opportunity to increase its market share by enabling people in locations without its branch network to execute transactions successfully. Environmental Factors Historically, the Nigerian environment wherein Access Bank’s largest business exists is relatively free of natural disasters such as earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes, landslides, etc. However, more recently, the impacts of climate change have become evident with extremely high temperatures in the dry season and floods and in the wet season. These environmental changes threaten the seamless operation of the Bank’s business especially flooding as it hinders employees from transiting to their workstations as appropriate and it causes discomfort for customers which might result in loss of business. Legal Factors The Nigerian banking industry where Access Bank operates is highly regulated and is only second to the Oil and Gas industry as the most regulated industry in the country. All Banks require banking licenses issued by the apex bank- The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)- without which they cannot operate. The Apex bank reserves the right to withdraw these licenses if any financial institution is deemed to have failed to meet any of its stipulated regulation. The Apex bank also stipulates minimum capital requirements for each bank as a condition for issuance and maintenance of their licenses. Other government agencies that oversee the activities of Banks in Nigeria include the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU) among others. Other legal requirements affect Access Bank’s operations such as employment laws which stipulate the procedure for engagement and termination of staff and the responsibilities of both employees and employers during the employment duration. Laws associated with retirement benefit obligations are also important to Access Bank as they stipulate the proportion of the employee’s gross income that should be paid to their Pension Fund Administrators. These legal requirements must therefore be upheld to the highest standards to avoid the risk of losses arising from litigation or regulatory sanctions. Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Meso-Economic Analysis Using Porter’s 5 forces model, we would discuss the meso-economic factors affecting Access Bank’s business as follows: Supplier Power Since Access Bank is a service company, it does not manufacture any products. For the essence of this study, we have defined its suppliers to include the employees as their inputs constitute the core of the bank’s business. Therefore, supplier power is adjudged to be relatively low as the employees cannot independently drive up their wages. Buyer Power The determinant of prices for most products and services offered by Access Bank is the Central Bank. The advised price ceilings and price floors are homogenous across the industry and cannot be altered by any single organization. This means the customers of Access Bank PLC have very little buyer power as they are unable to determine the prices at which they would be serviced. Competitive Rivalry There are many large players in the Nigerian banking industry with every player offering identical products and services hence there is a high presence of competitive rivalry in Access Bank’s business environment. Threat of Substitutes Access Bank offers products and services that are obtainable in every other bank in Nigeria. This increases the threat of its customers switching to competitors when they perceive unfavorable cost charges such as interest rates and poor customer service experience. Threat of New Entry It is highly capital intensive to commence banking business in Nigeria as there is a minimum capital requirement depending on the nature of banking business you intend to operate- regional, commercial, mortgage, international, etc. There are also other non-financial requirements stipulated by the Central Bank such as the competence and integrity of the directors that make it uneasy to engage in the business of banking in Nigeria. The threat of new entry posing a risk to Access Bank’s business is therefore significantly low. Micro-Economic Analysis Using the SWOT analysis, we discussed the micro-economic factors that directly affect Access Bank’s business as follows: Strengths Access Bank is the largest bank in Africa by total customers and the largest bank in Nigeria by total assets. It also has the largest loan portfolio and customer deposit in the country. Access Bank has very strong corporate banking and treasury management skills that make it the go-to bank for multinationals. The bank has a highly skilled and knowledgeable workforce. Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Weaknesses The weaknesses that have been identified in the bank include poor retail customer perception as emphasis is placed on large multinationals. The inorganic growth of the bank through the acquisition of other banks (such as Diamond Bank in 2019) has resulted in the existence of diverse organizational cultures within its work environment. Opportunities With one of the largest bank branch networks in the country and almost 40% of the bankable population excluded from the financial web, Access Bank can exponentially increase its customer base and market share by driving innovative financial products targeted at prospective customers in underserved populations. Threats The threats to the bank’s business include loss of retail customers due to poor customer experience, the loss of highly knowledgeable key members of staff to competitors, the risk of theft or fraud, the risk of unfavorable foreign exchange rates eroding its profits and the threat of regulatory sanctions among others. Nature of Market The Nigerian banking industry can be described as a competitive oligopoly. An Oligopoly is a market structure in which a market or industry is dominated by a small number of large sellers or producers. (Wikipedia, 2022) There are only twenty-four commercial banks in Nigeria with an average capital base of $2 billion dollars. Most of them are characterized by large scale branch networks and international presence. The Oligopolistic system in the Nigerian banking industry is however competitive as regulations by the Central Bank create homogeneity in the price, product and services offerings among all players within the industry. Implications for Access Bank Despite the presence of competition, Access Bank still possess the opportunity to make profits in the short-term and the long-term. A huge proportion of costs attributable to the bank are fixed (such as staff costs, cost of branch buildings, cost of its core banking application, licensing cost etc.) hence, the average cost required to service a single customer declines as the number of customers increase. Additionally, non-price competitive advantages such as brand perception could drive customers the way of the bank. Access Bank also has a history of inorganic growth as they became the largest bank in the country through several mergers and acquisitions. This is a continuous practice and Access Bank could acquire another competitor to increase its market share and customer base. The homogeneity in product pricing is also due to regulatory interference as the Central Bank sets price ceilings for the prices chargeable for most products and services offered by the banks. Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making Demand Analysis The Demand for Access Bank’s products and services is highly elastic as a one percent change in price will result in a more than proportional reduction in the amount of its products and services demanded and vice versa. This is due to the presence of other large competitors offering identical products that are perfect substitutes for Access Banks’ products and services. Access Bank’s Demand Curve P D Q P=price Q=Quantity demanded D=Demand Supply Analysis A one percent increase in the price of Access Bank’s products and service offerings would have a proportionally lower rate of increase in the bank’s supply. This is because the Bank operates in a service industry where most of its costs are fixed and are tailored towards servicing the financial and business needs of individual customers. Hence an increase in price will not lead to a proportional increase in the products or services the Bank would be able to offer to its customers therefore the supply of Access bank is relatively price inelastic. Access Bank’s Supply Curve P S Q P=price Q=Quantity supplied S=Supply Market Equilibrium Since the Central Bank sets price ceilings for most products and services offered by Nigerian Banks, Access Bank’s product prices are below the market equilibrium prices. This is because the government is trying to protect individual customers by ensuring they pay the minimum Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making possible fee per transaction and to drive financial inclusion by attracting the unbaked through low banking costs. Impact of the Central Bank’s Price Restriction on Access Bank P S Pe Pc D Price Ceiling set by the CBN shortage Qs Qe Qd Q P=Price Qs=Quantity Supplied Qe=Equilibrium quantity Qd=Quantity demanded Pe= Equilibrium price Pc= Price ceiling D=Demand S=Supply Recent Business Performance In its most recent audited financial report for the year ended December 31, 2021, Access Bank reported a decline in its total comprehensive income of 43.21 billion Naira from the year ended December 31, 2020 as it recorded total comprehensive income of 125.5 billion Naira, a 25.6% decrease from the 168.7 billion Naira it reported the previous year – 2020. The decline in total comprehensive income was due to losses incurred as a result of negative changes in the fair value of its financial instruments as the Bank’s operating profit of 160.2 billion Naira for the year ended December 31, 2021 was higher than the operating profit of 106 billion Naira recorded at the end of 2020. The Bank also recorded a significant increase in total assets from 8.7 trillion Naira at the end of 2020 to 11.4 trillion Naira at the end of 2021. The increase in total assets was due to increase in its cash assets as a direct result of a 25% rise in customer deposits from 5.6 trillion Naira in 2020 to 7 trillion in 2021. Other factors responsible for the increase in total assets were increase in loan assets to customers, increase in the Bank’s trading assets and capital appreciation in its investment securities. The bank also saw a rise in its total customer base to 42 million customers becoming the bank with the largest number of customers in Africa. (Access Bank, 2022) Strategic Business Decisions The most significant strategic decision Access Bank has made in 2022 is the alteration of its group structure to become a holding company. Banks are mandated by the statutes of the license issued by the Central Bank to be exclusively involved in typical banking business. As such Access Bank had not been able to offer financial services that go beyond the scope of typical commercial banking. By modifying its operations into a holding company structure, a new legal entity known as Access Bank Holdings trading as Access Corporation was born. Access Bank PLC became a subsidiary Team 5 Applied Economics and Managerial Decision Making of the new holding company. This enables the Access Bank Holding company to acquire subsidiaries that can engage in financial services such as Equity Brokering, Asset Management, Pension Fund Administration, General and Life Insurance, etc. The new structure became effective on April 1, 2022 and is expected to significantly bolster the groups earnings and growth potential due to its diversified business operations. The Bank has identified six other African countries where it intends to expand its presence within the year as it has also received clearance to commence operations in France. (Access Bank, 2022) Sustainability and Environmental Initiatives Access Bank has remained the leading Bank in Nigeria in terms of sustainability for several years as the Bank takes its corporate responsibility towards achieving its sustainable development goals very seriously. The Bank ensures sustainable practices in the conduct of its business especially in appraisals of the projects wherein it invests. The Bank invested $37 million in various Corporate Social Responsibility efforts in 2021 impacting as much as 30 million people in 1,316 communities. Access Bank boasts a very diverse workforce of over 28,000 staff members globally out of which 47 percent are female. Environmentally, Access Bank is committed to maintaining a sustainable operating environment with emphasis on climate risk as it is committed to aligning its lending portfolio with the Paris goals of limiting global warming to less than 2 degrees. The bank pioneered waste recycling in the Nigerian financial sector and has expanded its waste recycling to 75 locations. The Bank has been recognized internationally for its sustainability initiatives and received several awards which include the 2021 Outstanding Business Sustainability Achievement awarded by Karlsruhe Sustainable Finance Award in Germany and 2021 Outstanding Leadership in Sustainability Transparency, Africa awarded by Global Finance. (Access Bank, 2022) References World Bank. (2022). GDP (Current US$). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD Premium Times. (2022). 133 million Nigerians living in poverty-NBS. https://www.premiumtimesng.com/business/565993-133-million-nigerians-living-in-povertynbs.html Wikipedia. (2022). Oligopoly. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oligopoly Access Bank. (2022). Full 2021 Annual Report. https://investorrelations.accessbankplc.com/AccessBankGroup/media/Investors/AnnualReports/2021-Annual-Report-Full.pdf