Reliability Engineering and System Safety 43 (1994) 37-41 On partial orderings and testing of new better than renewal used classes A. M. Abouammoh, S. A. Abdulghani Department of Statistics and Operations Research, College of Science, King Saud University, PO Box 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia & I. S. Qamber Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Bahrain, PO Box 33831, ISA Town, State of Bahrain (Received 13 July 1992; accepted 4 May 1993) Partial orderings are used to compare ageing behaviour of components or systems. In this paper a new partial ordering, namely the renewal superadditivity, is introduced. This concept is used to characterise the new better than renewal used criterion of ageing. The dual criterion the new worse than renewal used is characterised by the renewal sub-additivity concept. The relation of these ageing properties with existing criteria of ageing is shown via the partial orderings. Test statistic of exponentiality versus the new better (worse) than renewal used as alternatives is established. The percentiles of this test statistic are tabulated for small samples. These tables can be used by reliability engineers to check whether a set of life data has the new renewal better than used property or its dual. The power estimates of the test are simulated for some commonly used distributions in reliability. Two sets of real data are used as examples to elucidate the use of the proposed test statistics for practical reliability analysis. 1 INTRODUCTION between F and H, ' < ' say is said to be partial ordering 0 if it is antisymmetric, transitive and reflexive, see Ref. 2, p. 106. Partial orderings and the tail heaviness of distributions are used to characterise different classes of life distributions. Note that increasing and decreasing are used for non-decreasing and nonincreasing, respectively. Now we present the following concepts of ageing. Classes of life distributions in reliability theory, inventory and biometry are usually based on different criteria of ageing. Most of these criteria are characterised via partial orderings with respect to exponential distribution. Partial orderings are used to order components or their systems according to their ageing behaviour. Vessely ~ has shown interest in calculating the ageing effects by using the available probability risk analysis. His methodology is based on incorporating ageing effects into probability risk analysis and utilising Taylor expansion to separate their corresponding models. Let F(_t) be the life distribution with survival function F(t) and density function (assumed to exist) f(t) where F ( 0 - ) - - 0 . Let H be a continuous distribution of non-negative variable. The failure rate of F is defined by r(t)=f(t)/F(t). Any ordering 1.1 Definition 1 The random variable T, F(t), F(t), f(t) or r(t) are said to have the following concepts: increasing failure rate (IFR) if F(t + x)/[~(t) is decreasing in t, Vx-> 0 or r(t) is increasing in t, t->0; (ii) increasing failure rate average (IFRA) if t -1 log F(t) is decreasing in t, t->-0; (iii) new better than used (NBU) if /e(x + t)-< F (x)F(t) Vx >- O, t >- 0; (iv) new better than renewal used ( N B R U ) if l~e(x I t) -</¢(x) Vx -> 0, t >- 0 where We(t) = (i) Reliability Engineering and System Safety 0951-8320/94/$06.00 © 1994 Elsevier Science Publishers Ltd, England. 37 A. M. Abouammoh, S. A. Abdulghani, I. S. Qamber 38 #-1 S~l~(u ) du and I'VF(X It) = f f ' e ( x + t)/14'F(t); and (v) new better than renewal used failure rate ( N B U R F R ) if r~(t) -> r(0), Vt > 0, where rw(t) = w(t)/ff'(t). For definitions and properties of the concepts (i)-(iii) see Refs 2 and 3. The concepts (iv) and (v) are introduced in Refs 4 and 5, respectively. The corresponding dual concepts namely D F R , D F R A , N W U , N W R U and N W U R F R are defined by changing the direction of the monotonicity or the inequality as appropriate. Here, D and W stand for decreasing and worse, respectively. Cao and Wang 6 introduced the concept of new better than used in convex ordering (NBUC) property. In fact N B U C is equivalent to N B R U if ~t = j'~ F(x) < oo. Note that F is N B R U means 1 <- F(x) w(t) P(o) This implies that - lim x - 1 W ( t + x ) - W ( t ) <_ _ lim x - ' F ( 0 + x ) - F ( 0 ) x-o w(t) ,e(0) This yields that rw(t) >- r(0), ORDERINGS i.e. F is N B U R F R or N B R U =)>N B U R F R 2.1 Definition 2 Let F and H be two continuous distributions such that H is strictly increasing and F(0) = G(0) = 0. Then we have the partial orderings: VX -->0, (1) (i) convex ordering, F < H if H-~F(t) is convex in ¢ t on the support of F, Sv say where Sv e R ÷; Now we have the following: F<H (ii) star-shaped orderings, IFR :ff I F R A f f N B U :ff N B R U ::> N B U R F R (e) This sequence of implications can be shown via partial orderings. Now consider the problem of testing the null hypothesis Ho: F(t) = 1 - exp(-~.t), 2 PARTIAL It is useful to express the concepts of ageing in the general partial orderings setup. These partial orderings are used to characterise different ageing concepts when such ordering is made with respect to the exponential distribution. Now we present the following. 14'(x + t)/l/C(t) <--F(x) or ff'(x + t) In section 2 we introduce the partial ordering concept that characterize the N B R U property and investigate its relation with other existing partial orderings. A test statistics for testing exponentiality versus the N B R U is derived in section 3 and its small sample percentiles are simulated. In section 4 we study the power estimates for this test with respect to some commonly used distributions in reliability. Two sets of data, namely the lifelengths of leukaemia patients 3 and the lifelengths of blood cancer patients (unspecified type of cancer) from a hospital of the ministry of health in Saudi Arabia, are used to elucidate the application of the N B R U (NWRU)-ness property for real data. t -> 0, Z > 0 if H-~F(t) is star-shaped or t-~H-~F(t) is increasing in t, t_>0; (iii) super-additive ordering, F < H if H - ' F ( x + SU t) >--H-IF(x) + H-1F(t) for all x, t -> 0; and (iv) strongly renewal ordering, F<H if L = sr versus the alternative 111: F(t) = A, is not exponential. Here, A denotes a class of life distributions with non-constant failure rate. Several authors have considered this problem for various classes of life distributions. For example, Proschan and Pyke 7 and Klefsjo 8 for A = IFRA, Hollander and Proschan, 9 Koul ~° and Kumazawa H for A = NBU. These testing problems are often faced by reliability engineers for different sets of field data. It is very important to know the deterioration trend of data set for comparison purposes or for investigating an optimal design for preventive or repair maintenance policies. l i m y _ o Y - I H - I F ( y ) exists and (d/dt)H-IW(t) >_ L, for t---0 where W ( t ) = l ~ f S [ ~ ( u ) d u , where /UF ----J'~/C(u) du. It is shown in Ref. 2 (p. 109) that F<H~F<H~F<H. C * Su Now we introduce the following new concept of partial ordering 2.2 Definition 3 For the distribution F and H in Definition 2, we call F is renewal superadditive ordered with respect to H, New better than renewal used classes 39 3 TESTING NBRU AND NWRU PROPERTIES denoted by F < H, if rsu H-1W(x +t)>_H-~F(x)+H-~W(t), where ft W(t) = / u ; ' Jo F(u) du. In this section we study the problem of constructing empirical test statistic for the exponentiality as null hypothesis t>-O, F(t) = H0: 1 - exp(-)-(t), )- > 0, t -> 0, Now we present the following characterisations for different ageing properties. versus the NBRU and N W R U properties, that is 2.3 Theorem 1. or HA2: F(t) Let G(t) = 1 - exp(-)-t), where t -> 0 and )- > 0 be an exponential distribution and let F be a continuous life distribution with F ( 0 ) = 0. Then (i) HAt: F(t) is NBRU is N W R U respectively. This test is based on an independent sample X1 . . . . . 3(, of size n from a population with continuous distribution F. The alternative hypothesis //1 for the NBRU (NWRU) properties states that F is IFR is and only if (iff) F < G, g'(x 1/) -- P(x [ 0), ¢ t -->0, x -->0, (6) i.e. the conditional renewal survival at any point x for a given survival at t coincides with the survival at x. Now our proposed test for the alternative hypothesis HA1 is motivated by the following quantity (ii) F is I F R A iff F < G, (iii) F is NBU iff F < G, su (iv) F is NBRU iff < G, and fx~P(y+t)dy-P(x) f f P(y)dy<-O rsu (v) F is N B U R F R if F < G. (7) The empirical estimate of the left-hand side of eqn (7) at specified time t is given by sr 2.4 Proof oo Parts (i)-(iii) in section 2.3 are found in Ref. 2 (pp. 105-9). (iv) Since G(t) = 1 - exp(-)-t), )- > 0, t -> 0, E(i, j) = ~ F(Ti + Tk)(Tk - Tk-l) -- n-l(n --j) k=j × ~ n-l(n -k)(Tk - T,_,) (8) k=i then G-~(t)=-)--llog(1-t), 0_<t_< 1. This means that G-iF(t) = _)--1 log F(t), (3) where j = 1. . . . . n and T~. . . . . Tn are the ordered statistics of the sample X1 . . . . . Xn and T~ = 0. Taking the summation of E(i,j) over j = l . . . . . n and i = 1. . . . . n we obtain the test statistic and G-~W(t + x) = _ ) - 1 log W(x + t). (4) i=|j=l Now we have that F is NBRU or X n-I(n-i-k)(T,-T,_l)-n-'(n-j) lTV(x+ t) <--F(x)ITv(t). x~n-'(n-k)(Tk-T,_,)} This is equivalent to (9) k=i - l o g ff'(x + t) --> - l o g F(x) - log l~'(t). (5) By substituting for eqns (3) and (4) in eqn (5) we obtain that F < G. Part (v) is proved in Ref. 4. where (n_i_k)={oT'S>T~+T, rsu if T~+ T, < Tn, if T~+ Tk --> T~ Note that eqns (1) and (2) and Theorem 1 give the following corollary. The test statistic of eqn (9) can have the form 2.5 Corollary 1 M~=n-'[~ t-i=1 Let F and H be two continuous distributions such that H is strictly increasing and F ( 0 ) = H ( 0 ) = 0 . Then F<H~F<H~F<H. su rsu $r (n-i-k)(Tk-T,_l) j:l k=j -2-t(n- 1)~ ~ ( n - k)(T,- T,_,)] . i=l k=j (10) 40 A. M. Abouammoh, S. A. Abdulghani, L S. Qamber Table 1. Critical values for the/.].-statistics n 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Lower percentiles Table 2. Power estimates for the Mn-statistic Upper percentiles 0.01 0-05 O-10 O-10 0-05 0.01 -0.593 -1.296 -1.905 -2.162 -3.055 -2.778 -3.619 -2-974 -2-802 -2.775 -2-900 -3.109 -3.102 -3.118 -3.273 -3.157 -3-349 -3-290 -3.720 -3.602 -4-228 -4-208 -4.500 -4-455 -4.968 -0.372 -0.903 -1.209 -1.370 -1-463 -1.576 -1.577 -1-656 -1.741 -1.776 -1-870 -1.897 -1-862 -2-008 -1-984 -2.140 -2-163 -2.197 -2.254 -2.486 -2-886 -2.868 -2.877 -3-044 -3.514 -0.289 -0.610 -0.760 -1.004 -0.996 -1.125 -1-137 -1-190 -1.245 -1.308 -1.388 -1.434 -1-374 -1-508 -1-540 -1.510 -1.601 -1.698 -1.756 -1.867 -2.014 -2.227 -2-118 -2-420 -2.721 0.161 0.242 0-360 0.434 0-520 0.622 0.649 0-730 0.763 0.801 0-882 0.938 0-932 1-035 1.082 1.106 1-138 1-221 1.273 1-423 1-450 1-896 2.009 2.112 2.326 0.217 0-334 0.455 0-570 0.683 0.793 0.834 0.903 1.010 1-075 1.139 1-235 1-207 1.347 1.387 1-395 1.454 1.598 1.561 1-930 2.093 2.449 2-512 2.768 2.817 0.329 0-511 0.674 0.839 0.968 1.169 1-235 1.329 1.360 1.494 1-573 1-903 1.930 1.999 1.921 2.240 2-141 2.310 2-258 2.829 2.870 3.437 3.603 3.879 4.018 In fact Mn and - M n are the test statistics for the N B R U and the N W R U properties, respectively. It is difficult to find the exact distribution for the M~ statistic and hence simulation of small samples is investigated. In practice, simulated percentiles for small samples are commonly used by applied statisticians and reliability analysts. In order to m a k e the test scale invariant we consider Un = M ~ / T (11) where T is the mean of T1. . . . . T~. Based on eqn (11) the lower and upper percentiles in the 0.01, 0.05 and 0-10 regions for the sample sizes n = 2(1), 20(5), 50 are calculated. Table 1 contains the simulated results. It is noted that the Mn values do not rapidly diverge as the sample size n increases. This supports the belief that the distribution of Mn can be asymptotically normal with some appropriate transformation. Calculating the test statistic M~ for any set of life data, where n is the sample size, one can easily test whether this set of data is N B R U , N W R U or exponential. The NBRU-ness property can be also c o m p a r e d for two or more sets of data. 4 THE POWER ESTIMATES The power of the test statistic Mn is considered for the significance level te = 0.05 and for commonly used Distribution Parameter, 0 Sample size 5 10 20 F~ (Weibull) 2.0 3-0 4.0 0-196 0-455 0.686 0-460 0.868 0.989 0.878 1.000 1-000 F~ (~) 2-0 3.0 4-0 0.297 0.607 0.813 0.541 0.889 0-992 0-847 0.999 1.000 2.0 3.0 4.0 0-668 0.800 0-882 0.901 0.969 0.995 0.992 0.998 0.999 (Pareto) distributions in reliability modelling. These distributions are the Weibull, g a m m a and Pareto. Their respective survival functions are the following: ~ ( t ) = e x p ( - t °), 0 -->0, t -> 0, P~(t)=[r(o)]-' y°-le-Ydy, O>O,t>--O, ~ ( t ) = (1 + Ot) -'/°, 0 > O, t >--O, Note that Fm for 0 -> 1, F2 for 0 -> 1 and ~ are N B R U distributions whereas F~ for 0 -< 1, F2 for 0 -< 1 and F3 have N W R U properties. Table 2 contains the power estimates for the Un test statistic with respect to these distributions. The estimates are based on 1000 simulated samples of sizes n = 5 , 10, 20 and significance level ~ = 0 . 0 5 . The distributions F~ with 0 = 1, F2 with 0 = 1 and F3 with 0 = 0 coincide with the exponential F(t)= 1 - e x p ( - t ) , t -> 0. As 0 increases these distributions become more N B R U . Similarly, 172 become m o r e N W R U distribution as 0 decreases. The power estimates in Table 2 shows clearly the departure from exponentiality towards N B R U or N W R U properties as 0 increases. In fact Table 2 shows how reliable our proposed test can be based life distribution with tractable ageing criteria. 5 APPLICATIONS In this section we evaluate the Un test statistic for two sets of real data and test whether these data are exponential, N B R U or N W R U . The first set consists of the lifelengths, from the diagnosis, of 43 patients suffering form granuiocytic leukaemia from the National Cancer Institute cited in Ref. 3. The ordered survival times in days are in Table 3. Table 4 consists of 43 blood cancer patients from one of the ministry of Health Hospitals in Saudi Arabia. New better than renewal used classes Table 3. Ordered lifetimes (in days) of 43 leukaemia patients 7 47 58 74 177 232 273 385 317 429 440 445 455 408 495 497 532 571 579 581 650 702 U43( •=) 0-066 Table 4. Ordered lifetimes (in days) of 43 blood cancer patients 115 181 255 418 441 461 516 739 743 789 807 865 924 983 1 025 1 062 1 063 1 165 1 191 1 222 1 222 1 251 715 779 881 900 930 968 1 077 1 109 1 314 1 334 1 367 1 534 1 712 1 784 1 877 1 886 2045 2 056 2 260 2429 2 509 Note that evaluating the test statistics for these two sets of data has been used to c o m p a r e between the health care efficiency related to the corresponding groups of patients. Also, it cannot lead to the conclusion that cancer patients lifelengths have this type of ageing criterion. These sets of data are used to show the possibility of applying the derived methodology on real data situation. These sets are the data at hand which could affect the lifelengths of units in engineering system. It was found that the test statistics for the two sets of data, by using eqn (11), are tr(2) v 4 3 = 0-034 for the US and the Saudi sets of patients, respectively. It is clear from the c o m p u t e d values of the test statistics that we accept the null hypothesis which states that both sets of data have neither N B R U - n e s s nor NWR-ness properties under the significance level or = 0.01 or even or = 0.10. This means that both sets of data follow the exponential distributions. The difference in values of /3, due to the time unit might be due to calculating the empirical value of the survival function F ( y +t), see eqns (8) and (9). There, the n u m b e r of lifelengths which exceed y + t may be less for larger units of time. 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