Trading Strategies Using Market Profile Structure Created by: Diana Pena Trading Strategies 1. Tag, Bounce and Go – Long Trade 2. Tag, Bounce and Go – Short Trade 3. Poor High / Trapped Longs – Short Trade 4. Poor Low / Trapped Shorts – Long Trade 5. Look Above and Fail – Short Trade 6. Look Below and Fail – Long Trade 7. One Time Framing Up – Long Trade 8. One Time Framing Down – Short Trade 9. Front Running a Level – Reversal Trade 10. Using Single Prints as Reference 11. Gap Rules Entry: 12. Balance Rules Stops: Targets: Created by: Diana Pena Tag, bounce and go | Long Trade • When a TPO period goes to a very visual reference. • The reference is tagged to the tick. • Then price bounces off that reference and reverses. What to Look For: • A Low was not able to take out the Overnight Close. • Selling shuts off as the level gets tagged. • They begin to build a position above that reference, but don’t tag it again. Structural Targets in this example: •Previous Day High •Overnight High • T+2 High / Low of Single Prints •High of Single Prints Created by: Diana Pena Tag, Bounce and Go | Long Trade Trade example – Long MGI: Selling shuts off, A Low was not able to take out the Overnight Close • Structural Entry: Between the Open and T+2 Close • Structural Stop: Overnight Close • Structural Targets: Previous Day High, Overnight High, T+2 High. The top of the Single Prints Position Built Selling shuts off Open Tag, bounce and go - Long Created by: Diana Pena Tag, bounce and go – Short Trade • When a TPO period goes to a very visual reference. • The reference is tagged to the tick. • Then price bounces off that reference and reverses. What to Look For: • B high was not able to get inside the single prints • Buying shuts off as the level gets tagged. • They begin to build a position below that reference, but don’t tag it again. Structural Targets in this example: • Overnight High • Previous Day High • Previous Day Open/ T+2 Close • Overnight Close • Previous Day POC • Overnight Vol. Value Area Low Created by: Diana Pena Tag, Bounce and Go – Short Trade Trade example – Short MGI: Buying shuts off, B high was not able to get inside the single prints Tag, bounce and go - Short • Structural Entry: At/below B period Open • Structural Stop: At B high which was also Low of single prints • Structural Targets: Overnight High, Previous Day High, Previous Day Open/ T+2 Close, ON Close, Previous Day POC, ON Vol. Value Area Low. Created by: Diana Pena B period Open Buying shuts off Position Built Poor High/Trapped Longs | Short Trade • A Poor High means that a daily/Overnight TPO range has less than two ticks of excess at its high. • A Poor High indicates that there are weak longs at that high’s level. What to Look For: • Buying shuts off and price moves away fast from the poor high as there are trapped longs at a poor location (Poor High = Poor Long Entry Location = Trapped Longs). •This gives an opportunity for a short trade with a Structural Stop 2 Ticks above the Poor High. • If the poor high is revisited during a subsequent period or the next day, there are strong odds that it will break and move higher. Structural Targets in this example: • Previous Day Close •Overnight Close/Previous Day VPOC •Overnight Half/ A Low •Previous Day Half •T+2 High Created by: Diana Pena Poor High/Trapped Longs | Short Trade Poor High – Only 1 Tick of Excess Trade example – Short MGI: Poor High = Trapped Longs due to poor entry. Unable to find acceptance above the Overnight Open 5 periods in a row. • Structural Entry: When price came back inside D period. If waiting for F period At the ON Open or 1 tick below the ON Open. • Structural Stop: 2 Ticks above the Poor High. If short taken in F period stop at D high. • Structural Targets: Previous Day Close, Overnight Close/Previous Day VPOC, Overnight Half/ A Low, Previous Day Half, T+2 High. Created by: Diana Pena Buying shuts off Position Built Poor Low/Trapped Shorts | Long Trade • A Poor Low means that a daily/Overnight TPO range has less than two ticks of excess at its low. • A Poor Low indicates that there are weak shorts at that low’s level. What to Look For: • Selling shuts off and price moves away fast from the poor low as there are trapped shorts at a poor location (Poor Low = Poor Short Entry Location = Trapped Shorts). •This gives an opportunity for a long trade with a Structural Stop 2 Ticks below the Poor Low. • If the poor low is revisited during a subsequent period or the next day, there are strong odds that it will break and move lower. Structural Targets in this example: • Previous Day Open •Overnight Open •Volume Value Area Low •T+2 ½ •T+2 Close •Previous Day High Created by: Diana Pena Poor Low/Trapped Shorts | Long Trade Trade example – Long MGI: Poor Low = Trapped shorts due to poor entry. I and J periods are unable to go below the Previous Day Close. • Structural Entry: When price backed away frontrunning the Previous Day Close by 1 tick forming a Poor low within I and J periods. • Structural Stop: 1 tick below Previous Day Close, which would be proper excess low if taken out. • Structural Targets: Previous Day Open, Overnight half, I high, Volume Value Area Low, T+2 half, T+2 Close, Previous Day High. Position Built Poor Low = Trapped Shorts Created by: Diana Pena Look Above and Fail | Short Trade • When a TPO period goes Above a very visual reference, but fails to find acceptance above it reversing back inside said reference, in this case the Overnight High. • A look above and fail is a Stop Run. In this case they take out the short’s stops that are set above the Overnight High. • What to Look For: • Quick Stop Run above a very visual reference. • Price fails to find acceptance above that reference. • Buying shuts off and price comes back below that reference. Structural Targets in this example: • Volume Value area high • A period high • Overnight Close (C period OTFD) • Previous Day High (D Period OTFD) * OTFD = One Time Framing Down Created by: Diana Pena Stops above ON High Look Above and Fail | Short Trade Look Above and Fail Trade example – Short MGI: B period goes above the Overnight High, but fails to find acceptance above it reversing back inside the Overnight High. • Structural Entry: Below the Overnight High • Structural Stop: At B period High • Structural Targets: Volume Value Area High, A period high, Overnight Close, Previous Day High. Created by: Diana Pena Buying shuts off Look Below and Fail | Long Trade • When a TPO period goes Below a very visual reference, but fails to find acceptance below it, reversing back inside said reference, in this case the Previous Day Low. • A look below and fail is a Stop Run. In this case they take out the long’s stops that are set below the Previous Day Low. • What to Look For: • Quick Stop Run below a very visual reference. • Price fails to find acceptance below that reference. • Selling shuts off and price comes back above that reference. Structural Targets in this example: • Previous All Time High • Previous Day ½ • Previous Day Close • T+2 Close (as D period fails to close the single prints from C) •Previous Day High (as E period fails to close the single prints from D) •T+2 High (as G period fails to go below Previous Day High) Created by: Diana Pena Look Below and Fail | Long Trade Trade example – Long MGI: A and B periods go below a the Previous Day Low, but fails to find acceptance below it, reversing back inside the Previous Day Low. • Structural Entry: Above the Previous Day Low • Structural Stop: Below Previous Day Low or at A period low. • Structural Targets: Previous All Time High, Previous Day ½, Previous Day Close, T+2 Close, Previous Day High, T+2 High. Position Built Created by: Diana Pena Look below and Fail Using Single Prints as Reference • Single Prints are a gap during the trading session. They happen between periods when a section of a Market Profile distribution is only one TPO Wide. • Single Prints represent emotional Buying/Selling, and they could be considered as potential support or resistance points. What to Look For: • A period opens leaving single prints behind on the previous period. • • In this case D period opened at C high and it only filled 2 singles from C period. If single Prints are present and not filled, they can serve as support, which they did twice in this example. Structural Targets in this example: • Previous Day VPOC •Previous Day Volume Value Area High •Previous Day High •T+2 High Created by: Diana Pena Using Single Prints as Reference Trade example – Long MGI: D Period opens at C high and it only filled two of the single prints left in C period. Then D period Takes out the Previous Day Open and the T+2 Close. E Period Opened at D high, it tried to filled the singles, but it was not able to. We have also done a Look Below and Failed in A and B periods, and we were OTFU. • Structural Entry: At Previous Day Close/Open. • Structural Stop: At D low/Previous Day Close • Structural Targets: Previous Position Built Day VPOC, Previous Day Volume Value Area High, Previous Day High, T+2 High. B failed to take out A low Created by: Diana Pena Balance Rules Balance Rules can be used for daily as well as intraday reference. A balance day occurs when a session or sessions finish inside the previous session’s range. Likewise, a balance period occurs when a TPO period finishes inside the previous 30 minutes period. Balance areas are traded based on a breakout or a breakout fail. What to Look For: • If we breakout of the balance area, we want to see price acceptance. • If we get price acceptance then we go with the direction of the break. • If we fail to find acceptance then the trade becomes a reversal trade to the opposite direction of the break. Structural Targets in this example: •T+2 High • T+2 Open/Previous Day High •T+2 Close/Previous Day VPOC Created by: Diana Pena Balance Rules Trade example – Short MGI: C period is balanced inside B period. C is unable to take out B high, and D is unable to take out C high. Then D period takes out C low by more than two ticks. • Structural Entry: When D is unable take out C high and it reverses to the downside. • This example is at an All Time High and we do not have many levels as reference, so we have to use the periods at the high as reference. • Structural Stop: At C or B high. • Structural Targets: T+2 High, T+2 Open/Previous Day High, T+2 Close/Previous Day VPOC Created by: Diana Pena C is a balance Period inside B. 11/24/20 Volume Value Area High D takes out C low Position Built One Time Framing Up | Long Trade • One Time Framing up is when in an Up-Trend the low of the previous period is not broken by two ticks or more. • One Time Framing can also be supported by single prints. Single Prints are a gap during the session, and when not filled they can serve as support or resistance. • In this example, the single prints are working as support as price moves higher. What to Look For: • The low of the previous period is not broken by two ticks or more. • If single Prints are present and not filled, they can serve as support. Structural Targets in this example: • Overnight Open •T+2 ½, Previous Day ½, Overnight High •Previous Day Close, Previous Day Open, T+2 Close •Previous Day High •T+2 High Created by: Diana Pena One Time Framing Up | Long Trade Trade example – Long MGI: B period fails take out A low by two ticks or more. A and B periods go below a the Previous Day Low, but fails to find acceptance below it, reversing back inside the Previous Day Low. • Structural Entry: Above • the Previous Day Low/ Previous ATH. Structural Stop: Below Previous Day Low or at A period low. • Structural Targets: Overnight Open, Overnight High, Previous Day Close, T+2 Close, Previous Day High, T+2 High. Position Built B failed to take out A low Created by: Diana Pena One Time Framing Down | Short Trade • One Time Framing Down is when in a Down-Trend the high of the previous period is not broken by two ticks or more. • One Time Framing can also be supported by single prints. Single Prints are a gap during the session, and when not filled they can serve as support. • In this example, the single prints are working as support as price moves higher. What to Look For: • The low of the previous period is not broken by two ticks or more. • If single Prints are present and not filled, they can serve as support. Structural Targets in this example: • Previous Day Close •Overnight Close/Previous Day VPOC •Overnight Half/ A Low •Previous Day Half •T+2 High Created by: Diana Pena One Time Framing Down | Short Trade Poor High – Only 1 Tick of Excess Buying shuts off Trade example – Short MGI: E period starts OTFD and it takes out the stops below D, C, B periods. F period is an inside/balanced period, G breaks F low by more than two ticks. We also have a Poor High = Trapped Longs due to poor entry. And we were unable to find acceptance above the Overnight Open 5 periods in a row. • Structural Entry: We can use the Poor High Strategy and follow through as we start OTFD, Trailing our stop as price moves down, or taking some profits as price moves down. • Structural Stop: 2 Ticks above the Poor High. If short taken in F period below the Overnight Open, then stop at D high. • Structural Targets: Previous Day Close, Overnight Close, Overnight Half/ A Low, Previous Day Half, T+2 High. Created by: Diana Pena Position Built One Time Framing Down OTFD and Single Prints Front Running a Level | Reversal Trade • When a TPO period goes towards a very visual reference, but it doesn’t touch it • The reference is missed by 1 tick or more. • Then price bounces off right before touching the reference. What to Look For: • C period goes to a very visual reference T+2 Close but it front-runs it by 1 tick. •Price quickly reverses as selling shuts off. •They begin to build a position above that reference, but don’t tag it. Structural Targets in this example: •T+2 High • A Low •B Low •Overnight Close / Overnight ½ •Overnight Open Created by: Diana Pena Front Running a Level | Reversal Trade Trade example – Long MGI: C period goes to a very visual reference T+2 Close but it front-runs it by 1 tick. Price quickly reverses as selling shuts off. Structural Entry: At or above Overnight Low. Structural Stop: At C low. Structural Targets: T+2 High, A Low, B Low, Overnight Close / Overnight ½, Overnight Open. Position Built Selling shuts off Level is Front Ran by 1 tick Created by: Diana Pena Gap Rules Gap rules are guidelines that can be used when the Regular Trading Session opens outside of the Previous Day Range. 1. If the gap doesn’t fill right at the open, go with the direction of the gap. 2. Larger gaps are usually harder to fill on the first day. 3. If the gap fills, but price cannot get into overlapping value, we have higher odds of a late day rally (on a gap up) or late day selloff (On a gap down) What to Look For: • If we fail to completely fill the gap, then we can look at taking a reversal trade, towards the direction of the gap. • In this example - B period looked inside the gap and failed. So, we go with the direction of the gap again. • In this example - The gap and early single prints in B and C periods, indicate selling is shut off and we have strong long opportunities. Structural Targets in this example: • Current Session Open •VPOC from 11/18/20 • The Poor High from 11/18/20 Created by: Diana Pena Gap Rules Trade example – Long MGI: In this example - B period looked inside the gap and failed. So, we go with the direction of the gap again. The gap and early single prints in B and C periods, indicate selling is shut off and we have strong long opportunities. Structural Entry: When A period Front ran 11/18 Volume Value Area Low or When B period Looked inside the Gap and failed coming back above it Structural Stop: If long after A period reversal, then Stop at A low. If Long take when B period came back above the Gap, then Stop at B low. Structural Targets: Current Session Open, VPOC from 11/18/20, The Poor High from 11/18/20. Created by: Diana Pena 15 handles/points Gap Position Built