Statistics & Probability CIE Mock Exam October 19, 2017 1. How many words can be formed with the letters of the word “OMEGA” when “O” and “A” occupying end places? A. 120 B. 12 C. 720 D. 6 2. What is the probability of getting five Tuesday in a 31-day month? A. 5/31 B. 1/7 C. 3/7 D. 3/12 3. A drug for the relief of asthma can be purchased from 5 different manufacturers in liquid, tablet, or capsule form, all of which come in regular and extra strength. How many different ways can a doctor prescribe the drug for a patient suffering from asthma? A. 30 ways B. 15ways C. 10ways D. 8 ways 4. The probability that Mac CIE Review Center will open a review center in Quezon City is 0.7, the probability that is will open a review center in Laguna is 0.4, and the probability that it will open a review center in either QC or Laguna or both is 0.8. What is the probability that Mac CIE Review Center will locate in both cities? A. 0.8 B. 0.3 C. 0.11 D. 0.4 5. If the probabilities that a computer technician will repair 3,4,5,6,7, or 8 or more laptops on any given workday are 0.12, 0.19, 0.28, 0.24, 0.10, and 0.07, respectively, what is the probability that he will service at least 5 laptops on his next day at work? A. 0.12 B. 0.19 C. 0.31 D. 0.69 6. The probability that a husband watches Grace Anatomy is 0.40 and the probability that the wife watches the same show is 0.50. The probability that the husband watches the show given that his wife does is 0.70. Find the probability that the couple watches Grace Anatomy. A. 0.35 B. 0.55 C. 0.75 D. 0.875 7. What is the probability that the wife watches the show given that her husband does? A. 0.35 B. 0.55 C. 0.75 D. 0.875 8. What is the probability that at least 1 person from the married couple will watch the show? A. 0.35 B. 0.55 C. 0.75 D. 0.875 9. Three cards are drawn in succession, without replacement, from an ordinary deck of playing cards. Find the probability that the event A1A2A3 occurs, where A1 is the event that the first card is a red two, A2 the event that the second card is a jack or a queen, and A3 is the event that the third card is greater than 5 but less than 9. A. 8/51 B. 12/50 C. 1/25 D. 8/5525 10. In a certain semiconductor plant, three machines, M1, M2, and M3, make 30%, 45%, and 25%, respectively, of the products. It is known from past experience that these machines produce defective products at 2%, 3%, and 2%, respectively. Suppose that a finished product is randomly selected by the final QC Inspector, what is the probability that it is defective? A. 0.006 B. 0.0245 C. 0.00135 D. 0.005 11. In problem #10, if a product were chosen randomly by the final QC Inspector, and found the product to be defective, what is the probability that it was made by machine M3? A. 0.0135 B. 0.0245 C. 0.2041 D. 0.2481 12. Based on a study reported by UR students, approximately 60% of those who took and passed the CIE Board Exams are first time takers. Find the probability that among the next 8 board passers interviewed, exactly 3 are first time takers. A. 0.0198 B.0.1239 C. 0.1737 D. NOTA 13. The probabilities are 0.4, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.1, respectively, that a delegate to the APIEMS Convention in Cebu will arrive by air, bus, private car, or by boat. What is the probability that among 9 delegates randomly selected at this convention, 3 arrived by plane, 3 arrived by bus, 1 arrived by private car, and 2 arrived by boat? A. 0.0077 B. 0.0645 C.0.0270 D. NOTA 14. A company is interested in evaluating its current inspection procedure on shipments of 50 identical items. The procedure is to take a sample of 5 and pass the shipment if no more than 2 are found to be defective. What proportion of 20% defective shipments will be accepted? A. 0.9517 B. 0.3106 C.0.4313 D. NOTA 15. Amkor uses an acceptance sampling scheme on production items before they are shipped. The plan is a two-stage process. Boxes of 25 are readied for shipment and a sample of 3 are tested for defectives. If any defectives are found, the entire box is sent back for 100% screening. If no defectives are found, the box is hipped. What is the probability that a box containing only 1 defective will be sent back for screening? A. 0.67 B. 0.32 C.0.12 D. NOTA 16. From a lot of 10 ipods, 4 are selected at random and tested. If the lot contains 3 defective ipods that will not work when tested, what is the probability that all 4 will work? A. 0.1666 B.0.6667 C. 0.0190 D. NOTA 17. An oil company conducts a geological study that indicates that an exploratory oil well should have a 20% chance of striking oil. What is the probability that the first strike comes on the third well drilled? 18. 0.125 B.0.074 C. 0.128 D. NOTA 19. On the average, an intersection in Espana results in 3 traffic accidents per month. What is the probability that for any given month at this intersection, less than 3 accidents will occur? A. 0. 4232 B. 0.6472 C.0.8571 D. NOTA C.0.8153 D. NOTA 20. Exactly 5 accidents will occur. A. 0.9161 B.0.1008