INDUSTRY REPORT C1111 Meat Processing in Australia Tenderised: Revenue is set to fall as lamb prices take a sharp downturn Tim Calabria | April 2023 IBISWorld.com 03 9655 3881 info@IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Contents Recent Developments......................................................... 3 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE.......................... 22 ABOUT THIS INDUSTRY.................................. 5 Industry Definition................................................................5 Major Players...................................................................... 5 Main Activities..................................................................... 5 Supply Chain....................................................................... 6 Market Share Concentration............................................. 22 Key Success Factors........................................................23 Cost Structure Benchmarks............................................. 23 Basis of Competition......................................................... 26 Barriers to Entry............................................................... 26 Industry Globalization........................................................ 28 INDUSTRY AT A GLANCE................................ 7 MAJOR COMPANIES...................................... 29 Executive Summary............................................................ 9 Major Players.................................................................... 29 Other Companies.............................................................. 32 INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE..........................10 Key External Drivers.........................................................10 Current Performance........................................................ 11 INDUSTRY OUTLOOK.................................... 13 Outlook.............................................................................. 13 Industry Life Cycle............................................................. 15 PRODUCTS & MARKETS............................... 16 Supply Chain..................................................................... 16 Products & Services.......................................................... 16 Demand Determinants...................................................... 17 Major Markets....................................................................17 International Trade............................................................ 18 Business Locations........................................................... 20 OPERATING CONDITIONS............................ 33 Capital Intensity................................................................. 33 Technology & Systems......................................................34 Revenue Volatility..............................................................35 Regulation & Policy........................................................... 36 Industry Assistance........................................................... 36 KEY STATISTICS............................................ 38 Industry Data..................................................................... 38 Annual Change..................................................................38 Key Ratios......................................................................... 38 ADDITIONAL RESOURCES............................39 Additional Resources........................................................ 39 Industry Jargon..................................................................39 Glossary............................................................................ 39 CALL PREPARATION QUESTIONS............... 41 Role Specific Questions.................................................... 41 External Impacts Questions.............................................. 42 Internal Issues Questions.................................................. 42 2 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Recent Developments April 2023 Russia-Ukraine conflict disrupts global agricultural supplies Russia and Ukraine are both significant global producers of wheat and other grains such as barley, maize and oats. As a result of the conflict, the gap in global supply has led to a sharp rise in demand for Australian- and New Zealand-grown wheat and coarse grains. However, as Russia is one of the largest producers of fertiliser and fertiliser inputs, rising fertiliser costs have placed pressure on farmers' profits across the agricultural sector. These input cost increases have been passed on to consumers, heightening demand for cheaper, processed fruit and vegetables. Foot-and-mouth disease threatens Australia and New Zealand Indonesia has suffered its first foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in over 40 years, and the disease now threatens Australia and New Zealand. Although the Australian and New Zealand governments have increased biosecurity measures, virus fragments have made it into Australia. FMD affects all cloven-hoofed animals, meaning sheep, pig, beef cattle and dairy cattle farmers would all be at risk should an outbreak occur. The Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics and Sciences estimates that a severe outbreak could directly affect the Australian economy by $80.0 billion over 10 years. FTAs with UK and India expected to boost Australian exports Australia has signed free trade agreements (FTAs) with both the United Kingdom and India. The Australia-United Kingdom Free Trade Agreement was signed in late 2021 and both parliaments are set to ratify the agreement, which is due to come in to effect in early 2023. Australian and Indian ministers signed the Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement in April 2022. Both India and the United Kingdom represent significant export markets for Australian firms and FTAs, and both countries are anticipated to boost Australian export activity. Component shortages and price leaps hamper Australian manufacturers The ongoing fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic is weighing on the Australian manufacturing sector, by means of supply chain issues and subsequent price leaps for parts and raw materials. According to the ABS, input prices for manufacturing rose strongly by 17.7% over the year through June 2022. High freight costs and reduced manufacturing activity abroad have slimmed global component supplies, contributing to price rises. Increasing prices are expected to reduce average profit margins for manufacturers, while rising output costs are likely to decrease demand from downstream customers, slowing down manufacturing activity. This section last updated April 14, 2023 3 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 About IBISWorld IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive data and in-depth analysis help businesses of all types gain quick and actionable insights on industries around the world. Busy professionals can spend less time researching and preparing for meetings, and more time focused on making strategic business decisions that benefit you, your company and your clients. We offer research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico, as well as industries that are truly global in nature. 4 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 About This Industry Industry Definition Industry operators primarily process live animals into meat products. Processors slaughter, bone, freeze, preserve, pack and can meat. Businesses that primarily manufacture meat from abattoir by-products, and render lard or tallow are also included in the industry. The industry excludes poultry and seafood processors, and smallgoods manufacturers (such as bacon, ham and corned meat producers). Major Players JBS Australia Thomas Foods International Teys Australia Main Activities The primary activities of this industry are: Beef and veal Lamb and mutton Pig meat Goat meat Kangaroo meat The major products and services in this industry are: Beef and veal Lamb and mutton Pig meat Other meats 5 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Supply Chain SIMILAR INDUSTRIES Poultry Processing in Australia Cured Meat and Smallgoods Manufacturing in Australia Butter and Dairy Product Manufacturing in Australia Cooking Oil and Margarine Manufacturing in Australia RELATED INTERNATIONAL INDUSTRIES Meat, Beef & Poultry Processing in the US Hot Dog & Sausage Production in the US Rendering & Meat Byproduct Processing in the US Meat Processing in the UK Meat Processing in New Zealand Meat Processing in China Meat, Beef & Poultry Processing in Canada Meat Processing in Ireland 6 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Industry at a Glance Key Statistics Key External Drivers $20.8bn Revenue Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth 2018–2023 2023–2028 2018–2028 -0.6% 2.4% $853.3m % = 2018–23 Annual Growth -1.6% 6.9% Beef and veal production Domestic price of beef 3.3% 2.1% Domestic price of lamb Demand from food retailing 0.5% -0.6% Demand from cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services Trade-weighted index Industry Structure Profit Annual Growth Annual Growth MIXED IMPACT 2018–2023 2018–2023 Life Cycle Mature Revenue Volatility Medium Capital Intensity Medium Concentration Medium Technology Change Medium Barriers to Entry Medium / Steady 0.4% 4.1% Profit Margin Annual Growth Annual Growth Competition Medium / Steady 2018–2023 2018–2023 NEGATIVE IMPACT 0.2pp Industry Assistance Low / Increasing Regulation & Policy Heavy / Increasing Industry Globalization High / Increasing 599 Businesses Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth 2018–2023 2023–2028 2018–2028 2.0% 2.2% Rising global demand for Australian meat has supported industry revenue growth Supply chain disruptions induced by the COVID-19 pandemic have constrained meat products exports 34,477 Meat production has been volatile as weather conditions have been mixed across the country Employment Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth 2018–2023 2023–2028 2018–2028 -0.2% 1.8% Adding value to existing meat products provides a significant opportunity to boost revenue Investment in plant upgrades and new technologies will improve meat processing efficiency The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership will support meat processors $2.1bn Wages Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth 2018–2023 2023–2028 2018–2028 -1.2% 1.8% 7 Key Trends Australia's meat processors export over 65% of production, with beef accounting for most exports IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Products & Services Segmentation Major Players SWOT STRENGTHS Low & Increasing Level of Assistance Medium Imports Low Customer Class Concentration High Revenue per Employee WEAKNESSES Low Profit vs. Sector Average High Product/Service Concentration High Capital Requirements OPPORTUNITIES High Revenue Growth (2023-2028) Demand from cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services THREATS Low Revenue Growth (2018-2023) Low Performance Drivers Beef and veal production 8 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Executive Summary Tenderised: Revenue is set to fall as lamb prices take a sharp downturn The Meat Processing industry has been enduring a period of decline. Volatile production volumes and labour shortages caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have constrained meat processing operations at times. Demand from export markets has remained strong, despite exports heavily weakening in 2020-21, caused by a dip in demand from China. Australian meat exporters found new homes for their products, mainly in South Korea. But, just as export revenue resurged in 2021-22, import competition intensified, causing a revenue shortfall in that year. Strong export demand and herd rebuilding activity have caused meat shortages, driving up domestic beef and sheep meat prices. Escalating prices have supported profitability for meat processors, as has greater automation and lower wage costs. Meat processing revenue is expected to fall at an annualised 0.6% over the five years through 2022-23, to $20.8 billion. This trend includes an anticipated 2.2% decline in 2022-23, as beef prices stabilise and lamb prices take a sharp downturn. Australia's meat processors export the vast majority of production by value, with beef accounting for most exports. Some of the largest export markets for meat processors have expanded in recent years, including Japan and South Korea. This factor has created an opportunity, as beef exports to these nations have soared. Yet, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused volatility in demand. Climbing disposable incomes in some emerging economies have coincided with negative consumer sentiment in key export markets. Meat processing revenue is set to make a recovery in the coming years. China, the main recipient of Australian meat exports, has become a more restricted market. Notably, diplomatic tensions have led to tariffs and bans on select Australian agricultural goods, and meat processors are vulnerable to future trade restrictions. At the same time, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, an expansive trade agreement covering 15 countries including Japan, South Korea, New Zealand and the members of the ASEAN block, will represent a significant opportunity for future expansion. Overall, revenue is set to rise at an annualised 2.4% over the five years through 2027-28, to $23.4 billion. 9 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Industry Performance Key External Drivers Domestic price of beef Beef and veal account for the largest share of processed meats sold annually. Fluctuations in beef prices affect revenue for meat processors. Beef prices move in line with cattle supplies, and demand for beef among domestic and overseas consumers. Higher beef prices increase revenue for most meat processors. The domestic price of beef is set to weaken by 1.1% in 2022-23. Trade-weighted index Meat processors derive the vast majority of revenue from export markets. Fluctuations in the exchange rate weigh heavily on demand for meat. A strong Australian dollar makes Australian meat products more expensive in overseas markets, which can weaken exports. A strong dollar also makes imports more affordable and can contribute to stronger import competition. The Australian dollar is anticipated to appreciate by 1.9% in 2022-23. Domestic price of lamb As lamb is a major product for meat processors, lamb prices influence final earnings. As with beef, higher lamb prices tend to increase revenue, with lamb processors achieving higher returns. Yet, some consumers may switch to cheaper substitutes if prices become too high, reducing demand for lamb. Even so, the net effect of higher lamb prices is positive for processors. The domestic price of lamb is expected to plummet by 13.2% in 2022-23. Beef and veal production The volume of beef and veal meat produced nationally reflects output and earnings for meat processors, as beef and veal account for over 65% of revenue. Unless meat prices weaken significantly, higher beef and veal production boosts revenue for processors. Conversely, dwindling beef and veal production typically threatens earnings for processors. Beef and veal production is set to spike by 9.5% in 2022-23, as farmers' herd-rebuilding activities take a back seat. Demand from cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services Food-service establishments are a major downstream market for meat processors. Major cafe, restaurant and takeaway chains typically purchase meat directly from large processors. Small, independent food-service establishments tend to purchase meat through wholesalers. Rising sales to these businesses boosts revenue for processors. Demand from cafes, restaurants and takeaway services is expected to expand by 2.1% in 2022-23, presenting an opportunity for meat processors to expand. 10 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Demand from food retailing Food retailers are major domestic purchasers of fresh meat. Supermarkets account for most sales to this market, although meat processors also sell to fresh meat retailers like butchers. More orders at the retail level boost processing output, but higher import competition can displace demand for locally processed meat. Demand from food retailing is expected to climb by 1.2% in 2022-23. Current Performance Meat processing revenue is expected to creep downwards at an annualised 0.6% over the past five years, including a 2.2% fall in 2022-23, to total $20.8 billion, with profit margins going up to 4.1%. Meat exports to China have ebbed and flowed Prior to 2020-21, Australia gained greater access to chilled meat exports to China. In March 2017, the number of processors permitted to export chilled meat from Australia to China rose from 10 to 36, which contributed to a strong expansion in meat exports over the three years through 2019-20. Diplomatic disputes with China have resulted in the country suspending meat imports from several large Australian abattoirs. These suspensions, combined with trade disruptions throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, heavily constrained export earnings in 2020-21. Exports go from strength to strength, despite adversity Beef has remained a strong export commodity for Australia. While competition from other prominent markets has crept up, demand for high-quality Australian beef has remained strong, particularly from Japan and other Asian nations. Australia's standing as a provider of reputable and high-quality meat partly insulated meat processors from the adverse effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Reputational advantages on the international stage have also enabled Australian exporters to find alternative export markets after China became closed off to some. Export revenue bounced back strongly in 2021-22, as exporters found new markets in South Korea and other Asian nations. Meat processors have been contending with mounting import penetration The value of imported meat has been climbing higher and higher in recent years. Similar to exports, import volumes plummeted in 2020-21, as the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted global supply chains. 11 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Import penetration spiked in 2019-20 and 2021-22. Beef imports in particular have been on the rise, with high local prices encouraging some customers to purchase cheaper imported meats, particularly food product manufacturers. Imports have climbed overall in recent years, while meat processor revenue has fallen, causing imports to now account for almost one-quarter of domestic demand. But the Australian dollar has depreciated and made overseas imports relatively more expensive, which has partially offset this trend. Meat production has been volatile, which has disrupted revenue for meat processors Weather conditions, like drought or floods, influence the number of animals slaughtered. But high global prices have had a stronger effect and supported slaughter rates in recent years. Beef, which is the largest product segment for processors in both volume and value, is highly sensitive to weather conditions. For example, cattle and sheep slaughter rates increased significantly during 2018-19. Periods of drought on the Australian east coast have reduced pasture quality and increased the cost of keeping livestock, which has encouraged many farmers to increase turn-off rates. Higher turn-off rates have contributed to growth for meat processors. Yet, high rainfall over the past two years is set to precipitate lower turn-off rates, as farmers focus on herd rebuilding activities. More processors are starting up, despite labour shortages Mounting competition has caused some processors to either exit or be acquired by larger rivals. New processors have continued entering to target niche meat product segments. Labour shortages, due to low migration during the pandemic, have caused employment numbers and wage costs to diminish. Meat processors have been investing more in automation, reducing reliance on labour. Profit is on the way up despite a spike in purchase costs Profit margins are highly sensitive to livestock saleyard prices and export prices, and profit can vary widely among different product segments. Overall profitability has strengthened despite dwindling revenue. Strong sales of Australian meat products in export markets have boosted beef, lamb, mutton and pork prices, supporting margins. Purchase costs have soared as a share of revenue, as livestock saleyard prices have trended upwards, limiting profit. Historical Performance Data Year Revenue ($m) IVA ($m) Establishments (Units) Enterprises (Units) Employment (Units) Exports ($m) Imports ($m) Wages ($m) Domestic Demand ($m) 2013-14 18,659 3,041 850 681 35,279 12,464 704 2,084 6,899 2014-15 23,044 3,503 867 656 36,862 16,344 875 2,259 7,574 2015-16 23,353 3,596 783 656 36,241 15,542 859 2,372 8,670 2016-17 20,573 3,127 715 593 33,956 13,576 846 2,087 7,843 2017-18 21,457 3,326 761 542 34,835 15,203 862 2,206 7,115 2018-19 21,725 3,563 801 583 35,708 17,033 887 2,291 5,578 2019-20 22,698 3,654 820 614 34,623 19,055 1,026 2,267 4,670 2020-21 21,312 3,367 801 600 34,342 14,757 837 2,179 7,392 2021-22 21,282 3,320 826 607 34,870 17,789 975 2,117 4,468 2022-23 20,811 3,247 813 599 34,477 17,601 991 2,075 4,201 12 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Industry Outlook Outlook Meat processing revenue is forecast to expand over the five years through 2027-28, at an annualised 2.4% to total $23.5 billion, while profit margins will climb to 4.4% of revenue. Exports are set to enjoy a modest expansion Due to Australia's mature meat market, meat processors will continue relying on export markets to boost sales and expand revenue in the coming years. Exports are poised to climb at an annualised 1.0% over the five years through 2027-28. This improvement can be largely attributed to reduced herd building efforts among upstream farmers, which will augment beef production and result in higher export volumes. The expanding middle-class in South-East Asian markets indicates stronger purchasing power among end consumers, further supporting sales of high-value meats. International competition will continue to intensify Australian beef exporters are set to face stronger competition in international markets. For example, United States beef exporters targeting Japan and South Korea will reclaim much of their lost market share in the coming years, as beef supply in the Unites States continues climbing. Brazil and Argentina will provide greater competition for low-cost beef, particularly towards the latter half of the next five years. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) will strengthen Australia's position as an exporter of meat products within the ASEAN trading bloc, giving local meat processors a fighting chance in key markets. The all-important Chinese market is poised on a knife-edge The outlook for Australian beef export growth hinges on diplomatic relations improving with China. Current diplomatic relations are tense. While China is a part of the newly signed RCEP, this fact alone will not prevent China from retaining the current barriers to trade, including prohibitive tariffs. The continuation of trade restrictions would significantly limit exports for meat processors, particularly as China stands as a large market by value, representing almost one-quarter of all exported goods. If China removes its trade restrictions on Australian meat exports, revenue would soar beyond current forecast levels. A taste for gourmet meats is set to support profit margins Profit margins for meat processors are set to strengthen slightly in future. Rising production volumes across most meat products, and consumers' increasing taste for premium food, will provide support for average margins. Meat processors that sell to lucrative export markets will face stronger competition as global supply ramps up, which will weigh on profitability. Large meat processors are set to consolidate, improving economies of scale 13 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Investment in plant upgrades and advancements in technology will continually improve efficiency. Meat production, processing and retailing will become more integrated, as more consumers demand tracking of their food's supply chain. Vertical integration among livestock producers, meat processors, wholesalers and retailers will provide opportunities to build greater economies of scale in production and distribution. Rising consolidation will augment economies of scale, as larger operators seek to acquire smaller processors. Value-added meat products will go from strength to strength Processors that can add value to existing meat products will enjoy an opportunity to increase revenue and profitability in the future. Australian processors will raise their quality standards and tailor meat cuts to the needs of different market segments. Transforming traditional meat cuts into more complex products increases per-unit returns and reduces price competition. Meat processors are set to add value through enhanced packaging, premium cuts and leaner selections of meat. Performance Outlook Data Year Revenue ($m) IVA ($m) Establishments (Units) Enterprises (Units) Employment (Units) Exports ($m) 2022-23 20,811 3,247 813 599 34,477 17,601 991 2,075 4,201 2023-24 21,976 3,450 863 632 36,009 17,962 1,023 2,184 5,038 2024-25 22,425 3,453 885 644 36,376 18,165 1,060 2,186 5,320 2025-26 22,828 3,516 902 654 36,965 18,137 1,094 2,220 5,785 2026-27 22,418 3,452 888 640 36,133 18,524 1,139 2,177 5,033 2027-28 23,476 3,662 932 669 37,684 18,513 1,188 2,271 6,150 2028-29 23,861 3,698 951 679 38,181 18,562 1,233 2,297 6,531 14 Imports ($m) Wages Domestic ($m) Demand ($m) IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is April 2023 Mature LIFE CYCLE REASONS The domestic market is growing slowly Competition from poultry meat is strengthening Export markets represent the main opportunity for expansion Contribution to GDP Industry value added for meat processing has been expanding, but at a slower rate than GDP. This means that meat processing is making up a smaller share of Australia's economy. Market Saturation Although the domestic market is saturated and sales are moderately stable, rising demand from overseas markets has boosted revenue for meat processors. Both domestic and global markets have acquired a taste for high-quality meat products. Innovation More products are being made from organic meat and meat from specially-fed cattle. Meat grading has also been introduced by Meat Standards Australia, which labels beef and sheep meat with a guaranteed grade and recommended cooking method. Consolidation Consolidation activity has been on the rise, which indicates that meat processing is mature. Even so, some new, small processors are entering to fill niche markets. Technology and Systems Some technological advances have benefited meat processors, including automated production processes and electronic microchips to trace livestock throughout the supply chain. 15 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Products & Markets Supply Chain Key Buying Industries Key Selling Industries 1st Tier 1st Tier Fast Food and Takeaway Food Services in Australia Sheep Farming in Australia Restaurants in Australia Beef Cattle Farming in Australia Cafes and Coffee Shops in Australia Pig Farming in Australia Meat, Poultry and Smallgoods Wholesaling in Australia 2nd Tier Fresh Meat, Fish and Poultry Retailing in Australia Fertiliser Manufacturing in Australia Supermarkets and Grocery Stores in Australia Grain Growing in Australia 2nd Tier Hay and Other Crop Growing in Australia Consumers in Australia Veterinary Services in Australia Products & Services Diminishing herd numbers have weakened sales of beef and veal Demand for beef and veal has been strong in recent years, supported by robust exports to Asia. International demand for Australian processed meat has supported a spike in the domestic price of beef. Beef cattle herd numbers have trended downwards, constraining production volumes. Australia's per capita red meat consumption has been on the wane, due to associated health risks as many people have become more conscious about their health. Despite strong export demand, beef and veal have diminished marginally as a share of industry revenue. Sheep meat sales have been inching upwards, alongside production volumes Lamb accounts for approximately three-quarters of the total number of sheep slaughtered. In recent years, a spike in exports has driven up lamb and mutton prices. Even so, Australia's per capita sheep meat consumption has remained stable, as consumer preferences pivot towards premium meats like mutton. Sheep production volumes have expanded, so this segment has enjoyed a modest increase as a share of revenue. But lamb prices are tanking in 2022-23, offsetting some of the recent growth. Pig meat prices are edging upwards, weakening sales Despite strong competition from processed pig meat imports, the volume of pig meat produced in Australia has expanded in recent years. Higher animal weights have enabled processors to derive more meat from each animal. Despite stronger production volumes, domestic consumption has slightly weakened and helped stabilise pig meat prices. Pig meat has diminished as a share of revenue overall. Other meats remain a minor part of Australian meat processing 16 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Other processed meats include niche meats like goat and kangaroo, but these account for a small minority of meat production in Australia. Cuisine preferences have diversified and new export markets have emerged in recent years, which has driven up sales of other meat types. This segment has resultingly climbed as a share of industry revenue. Demand Determinants Demand for industry products is based primarily on domestic and international consumer demand for red meat and pork meat products. An important determinant of consumer demand is the price of these meat products compared with substitutes, such as poultry and seafood. Price differentials between meat, poultry and seafood are largely a function of processing costs, world prices and seasonal availability. Prolonged difficult conditions, such as drought, may increase the number of animals sold for slaughter due to higher upkeep costs. In the short term, this boosts productivity and reduces prices. However, this may lead to a medium-term increase in prices as cattle herds take time to rebuild and production volumes decline after the initial higher levels of slaughter. Changes in income affect expenditure on meat. Higher incomes often increase demand for higher quality cuts of meat or organic meat for home preparation. Traditionally, consumer awareness of nutritional issues has negatively affected red meat consumption. Poultry meat is often seen as a leaner and healthier alternative to many red meat products, making the industry susceptible to competition from poultry meat. An increasing number of consumers adopting low-fat diets and greater awareness of the negative health effects of increased consumption of red meat has further boosted poultry consumption. Processors have responded to this by introducing a wider range of trim and lean meats. Additionally, a large and increasing proportion of immigrants to Australia are from Asia, with dietary patterns that include less red meat and more pork, poultry and fish. Exchange rates and global production volumes influence demand for industry products in overseas markets. A strong Australian dollar makes exports less price competitive overseas, reducing export demand. The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted industry demand. Demand from international markets has fluctuated, due to various global lockdown measures and disruptions to supply chains. In particular, demand for premium products has been constrained due to the global economic downturn caused by the pandemic. Australia's strong credibility in terms of meat quality has provided some insulation from these adverse effects, as overseas markets require healthy and safe food options. Major Markets The retailers market is expanding as supermarkets are going straight to the source While this market includes smaller stores and butchers, supermarkets are the biggest buying group in the retail market. The concentration of ownership among these dominant customers has caused concern among meat processors, as supermarkets have been increasingly using their buying power to demand lower prices from processors. Over time, supermarkets' demand for lower prices has helped pushed down profit margins. This market has been on the rise as a share of revenue, as supermarkets have increasingly bypassed wholesalers, dealing directly with meat processors. Wholesale bypass trends are weakening sales to the wholesale market Wholesalers purchase meat from processors and then market and redistribute it to butchers and other retailers throughout the country. Although wholesalers remain a significant market, the importance of meat wholesalers has diminished in 17 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 recent years, as both meat processors and large retailers slowly absorb the wholesaling function. Food-service industries have fallen behind due to intermittent closures during the pandemic Large food-service firms, like restaurants, hotels and fast-food chains, purchase significant quantities of red meat directly from processors. Fast-food chains are one of the biggest groups in this market. Chains like McDonald's are bulk purchasers of beef patties. Restaurant chains often wield considerable power in supply relationships with meat processors, particularly smaller processors. Hospitals, nursing homes, the Australian Defence Force and other large institutions purchase significant volumes of meat from meat processors, and are included in this market. This market has shrunk in recent years, as hospitality venues have been forced to close intermittently during the pandemic. Food manufacturers outpace other markets Food manufacturers purchase meat from meat processors to use as inputs in other food products. Food manufacturers may further process meat for value-added pet foods, or for deli goods such as cured meats. The pet food sector has been buying more processed meat as consumers increasingly look for high-quality pet food, leading to diversified product ranges. This market has inched higher as a share of industry revenue in recent years. International Trade Exports in this industry are High and Increasing Imports in this industry are Medium and Decreasing Exports The rising tide of global demand for meat and climbing meat prices bring export revenue to new heights Sales of premium Australian meats are trending upwards across much of Asia, especially sheep meat, with a large proportion of Australia's mutton being exported. Higher disposable incomes in international markets have supported consumers' ability to purchase better quality imported meats. Unprecedented price increases will render Australian meat cuts too expensive for some consumers in export markets. Even so, a weaker Australian dollar has helped keep Australian meat prices competitive in offshore markets. Exports of Australian processed meat have been climbing in recent years. 18 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Australian meat processors have survived China's tariff protections by finding new markets Up until 2020-21, China's expanding economy had caused the country to become Australia's largest meat export market, coinciding with its rapidly growing middle-class and ongoing dealings with transboundary animal diseases. In 2019-20, China accounted for more than 30% of Australian beef and veal exports. The country represented the main source of revenue for meat processors and almost one-quarter of Australia's total exports. But growing diplomatic disputes caused the Chinese Government to suspend several major Australian meat processing establishments in May 2020. Australian meat exports to China plummeted by more than 35% in 2020-21 alone. Australian meat processors have adjusted by finding new markets in countries like South Korea. The United States is an increasingly important market, as are Japan and South Korea While three of the top four processed meat export markets are in Asia, the United States has overtaken China as the most significant market for exports in recent years. Robust demand for Australian beef in the United States has driven up the importance of this export market. Other significant export destinations include Japan and South Korea. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which includes China, South Korea, Japan, New Zealand and 10 other ASEAN economies, has simplified trade for Australian meat processors and supported exports. Imports Import revenue has been volatile, but import penetration has gone up overall A weakening Australian dollar, along with heightened freight costs, has discouraged some retailers from sourcing meat products offshore. Disruptions to international trade in 2020-21, during the height of the pandemic, drove down imports during that year. Inflated beef and lamb prices, caused by higher grain costs and reduced local meat supply, caused import revenue to spike by 16.6% in 2021-22. Overall, imports have climbed to account for almost one-quarter of domestic demand for processed meat. Some surprising export destinations, including Denmark and Ireland, are coming to the fore While the United States is an unsurprising trade partner, the Netherlands and Denmark are the two most significant sources of imports, ahead of America. Imports from Ireland have surged in recent years, expanding by more than 35% in 2020-21 and 2021-22. 19 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Business Locations The populous east coast dominates meat processing facilities Meat processing operations are concentrated along the eastern seaboard, with Victoria, New South Wales and Queensland collectively accounting for almost 75% of meat processors. Queensland accounts for the greatest volume of red meat produced in Australia, due to the state's large proportion of the beef cattle herd. In the higher rainfall regions of the southern states, beef cattle production is widespread due to easier access to grazing farmland and fodder. States like Victoria and Tasmania are characterised by numerous small beef cattle farms that operate as sole proprietors or partnerships. Abattoirs mostly operate near livestock producers Being located close to livestock producers provides numerous benefits. Most importantly, it lowers transport costs for processors as it is cheaper to transport carcasses than live animals. It also reduces the time livestock are held in transit, which reduces bruising and distress during transportation. The lower cost of land in rural areas can encourage meat processors to build in these locations. More meat processors own feedlots, which enables animals to spend time on feed close to the abattoir and usually close to the farm, which reduces transport costs and animal stress. Climate determines the location of sheep herds Commercial sheep production is most heavily concentrated in Victoria, New South Wales and Western Australia. Due to Queensland's unsuitable climatic conditions for farming sheep, fewer sheep farms operate in the state and the Northern Territory has no sheep farms. The location of water supplies, good pastures and livestock markets influence the distribution of sheep farms. The location of sheep flocks helps explain the red meat production shares of South Australia and Victoria, as these states' sheep flock numbers are proportionate to the amount of red meat they produce. 20 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia 21 April 2023 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Competitive Landscape Market Share Concentration Concentration in this industry is Medium The Meat Processing industry exhibits moderate market share concentration. In 2022-23, the four largest meat processors account for over 50% of industry revenue. These larger firms have the power to charge higher unit prices due to their strong product branding, high throughput of feedlot cattle, application of industry standards and ability to establish lucrative exports contracts. Meat processing establishments numbers are set to expand at a faster rate than enterprise numbers. A spike in consolidation is consistent with the mature economic life cycle phase of meat processing, as existing players attempt to expand their share of the market to capitalise on benefits from strong revenue growth. Due to the vertically integrated nature of many of the major players, higher market concentration reduces costs and drives up international competitiveness. The growing prevalence of organic meat and other niche processors will mitigate growth in concentration to some extent, as smaller specialty processors start up. Distribution of enterprises by employment size: 2021-22 Employees (People) Share of enterprises (Percentage) Non-employing 49.8 1 to 19 33.4 20 to 199 10.4 200+ 6.4 Total 100 Source: ABS and IBISWorld Distribution of enterprises by revenue size: 2021-22 Revenue ($ '000) Share of enterprises (Percentage) $0 to $50 24.7 $50 to $200 17.1 $200 to $2,000 27.8 $2,000 or more 30.4 Total 100 Source: ABS and IBISWorld 22 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Key Success Factors April 2023 IBISWorld identifies over 200 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this industry are: Automate processes to reduce costs: Meat processors that can automate their meat processing operations can reduce labour costs and boost productivity. Secure economies of scale: Large-scale production and distribution generates cost savings for meat processors. Specifically, economies of scale reduce per-unit manufacturing costs due to mass production. Develop contacts within key markets: Export markets and domestic purchasers are both key revenue channels for meat processors. Processors that have strong relationships in one or both markets can more easily facilitate favourable deals. Comply with required product standards: Food standards often dictate how meat is processed in Australia. Processors must therefore abide by these regulations to continue operations. Produce goods that the market currently favours: Meat processors must identify consumer requirements and offer meat products that match consumer demand. Cost Structure Benchmarks Profit Profitability has inched upwards amid positive and negative factors The growing average size of meat processors has lowered perunit costs. Other factors, such as new technology, have helped reduced cost pressures as production efficiencies have improved for some processors. Export sales have soared in recent years after plummeting in 2020-21. An unprecedented spike in beef and lamb prices, stemming from solid herd rebuilding momentum among farmers, has augmented the prices that meat processors receive. Volatile sales and purchase cost fluctuations since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic have inhibited profitability, which has crept up overall to total 4.1% of revenue. 23 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Wages Wage costs diminish slightly as automation takes hold Wages constitute a larger share of revenue for small processors, which are less automated than larger processors. Meat processors have been contending with labour shortages over the past three years. The nature of meat processing facilities has made them highly susceptible to the spread of COVID-19, resulting in some abattoirs temporarily shutting down or becoming short-staffed while exposed employees isolate. Meat processing employment numbers fell in 2019-20 and 2020-21. Wage costs have declined marginally as a share of revenue, influenced by labour shortages and automation, to total 10.0%. Purchases Higher cattle saleyard prices cause a spike in purchase costs Material inputs, such as livestock, represent the most significant purchase costs for meat processors. The saleyard price of livestock directly influences expenditure on sheep, cattle and pigs. The supply of animals for slaughter reflects changing market prospects for livestock. Other significant purchases include inspection costs, packaging materials and ingredients, such as salt, preservatives and spices for some products. Purchase costs have climbed higher as a share of revenue to total 69.7%, as cattle saleyard prices have shot up. 24 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Depreciation Depreciation accounts for an estimated 1.5% of revenue. Rent Rent accounts for an estimated 0.6% of revenue. Utilities Utility costs have shrunk as other costs have expanded Abattoirs consume large amounts of energy and water due to strict food safety requirements. In addition to lighting and ventilation, meat processors use electricity for refrigeration and operating equipment. Energy for refrigeration and equipment sterilisation is particularly important to ensure quality and sanitation. Meat processors mainly use water to wash incoming livestock and clean livestock carcasses, equipment and work areas. Utilities have diminished as a share of revenue in recent years to total 3.9%, as other costs have been on the way up. Other Costs Other costs account for an estimated 10.2% of revenue. 25 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Basis of Competition Competition in this industry is April 2023 Medium and the trend is Steady Industry competition is moderate and steady. Meat processors compete against one another in all facets of production and distribution. Internal competition focuses on price, quality, product innovation, brand, promotion, and industry accreditation. Industry firms also face external competitive pressures, which are determined by consumer consumption patterns and imports. INTERNAL COMPETITION Price plays a critical role in the competitiveness of meat processors. Historically, meat has been portrayed as homogeneous, making price the key tool of comparison among processors. The price of processed meat often reflects conditions in upstream livestock markets. However, it is also a function of production and marketing costs. Although price remains a key competitive factor, the importance of non-price differentiation is rising. In partnership with livestock producers, meat processors are exploring ways to increase quality. The decision to adopt grain-fed or grass-fed cattle farming is one of the most common ways to alter the quality of meat. Efforts to differentiate meat based on quality are being helped by the MSA grading scheme. The growth of organic meats is also becoming a major area of internal competition and differentiation. Similarly, product innovation allows players to tailor processed meats to customer needs and provides a competitive edge for industry players. Like many other food producers, meat processors are benefiting from consumer demand for convenience, fuelling higher and more varied processing. Consumers now have access to a range of marinated, seasoned and stuffed meat products at supermarkets. EXTERNAL COMPETITION Australian processors compete against producers of alternative meats. Industry firms often face competition from poultry processors and smallgoods manufacturers. To a lesser extent, meat processors also compete against seafood processors and horticultural producers. In addition, a pivot to vegetarian and vegan diets presents another source of external competition. Increased availability of plant-based meat alternatives has discouraged many consumers from consuming meat, which can be detrimental to industry demand. The industry also competes against the meat processors of other nations in export markets. The key factors affecting world demand for meat products are the same as the variables that drive domestic demand, in addition to production capacity and proximity to lucrative markets. The global market is also affected strongly by foreign exchange rates and variances in per capita consumption of meat in other parts of the world. The value of the Australian dollar also affects meat exports' competitiveness. A stronger Australian dollar results in Australian meat becoming more expensive and less competitive in the global market. Barriers to Entry 26 Barriers to Entry in this industry are Medium and the trend is Steady IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Legal April 2023 Barriers to Entry Checklist The Meat Processing industry is highly regulated, with regulatory policing aimed at maximising food safety. Serious breaches or failure to comply with regulations, laws and other rules governing meat production can subject meat processors to civil remedies and administrative penalties. Competition Medium Concentration Medium Start-up Costs Technology Change Medium Meat processors face high initial establishment costs, which include the cost of obtaining export licences and the expenses of building strong economies of scale. Processors wishing to enter the market need to establish large-scale production operations to compete effectively against existing low-cost producers. Regulation & Policy Heavy Industry Assistance Low Life Cycle Stage Mature Differentiation Meat processors often compete on price, although smaller processors usually carve out a specific niche. Meat processing comprises many small-scale firms, with more than 70% generating annual revenue of less than $2.0 million, reflecting opportunities for entry. Capital Intensity Many basic processed meat products have low per-unit values, making economies of scale necessary to minimise per-unit costs. Processors require both capital and labour, which can be prohibitive for new entrants. 27 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Industry Globalization Globalization in this industry is April 2023 High and the trend is Increasing The industry is highly globalised. Globalisation has grown, as have export revenue, import competition and foreign ownership over the past five years. Historically, industry globalisation was limited due to Australia's geographical isolation from the international meat market. However, globalisation has increased as Asian demand for Australian meats has grown. This globalisation is likely to boost exports and foreign investor interest. Most smaller players are locally owned, while most larger firms are foreign owned. For example, Industry Park is owned by JBS S.A., a Brazilian meat processing firm, and NH Foods Australia is majority owned by its Japanese namesake. Teys Australia is jointly owned by the local Teys family and US-owned Cargill Australia. These three players account for over one-third of the industry and contribute to the industry's high globalisation. 28 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Major Companies Major Players Industry Park Pty Ltd Market Share: 25.9% Industry Park Pty Ltd, trading as JBS Australia, is a foreign-owned Australian proprietary firm. Its parent company, the Brazilian-based JBS S.A., entered the Australian market in 2007 when it acquired Swift Australia Pty Ltd. JBS Australia produces a range of meats, and owns feedlots and meat processing facilities across Australia. The company sells its products in local retail and export markets, including the United States, Japan and China. Over 2016 and 2017, JBS S.A. restructured across much of its global operations, including its Australian operations. JBS Australia Pty Ltd and Primo Group now operate as subsidiaries of Industry Park Pty Ltd. JBS Australia adapts and rides out the storm Reduced slaughter rates in 2019-20 and 2020-21 has inhibited the company's growth in recent years. A COVID-19 outbreak resulted in the company temporarily closing its Brooklyn processing facility in Victoria in July 2020, which limited production and the company's total output. Tense trade relations between Australia and China have adversely affected the company's beef exports. Yet, with solid international demand for beef, JBS Australia has continued to expand by seeking out alternative export markets, including Japan and South Korea. A strong focus on product diversification and increasing value-added offerings has enabled JBS Australia to thrive amid adversity. The JBS Australia juggernaut keeps on rolling as it consumes smaller players In 2011, JBS Australia purchased Tatiara Meat Company, based in Bordertown, SA. The purchase secured JBS Australia's position in a major lamb-producing region and made the firm the largest lamb processor in Australia. 29 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 In mid-2014, the firm also acquired a major shareholding in Andrews Meat, which is based in New South Wales. Following the ACCC's clearance in early 2015, JBS Australia purchased Primo Group, a leading producer of smallgoods in Australia. In June 2021, the company reached an agreement to acquire pork processor Rivalea. This acquisition was completed in January 2022, and is set to extend JBS Australia's presence in meat processing. Industry Park Pty Ltd - industry segment performance* Year** Revenue ($b) Growth (% change) 2013 3.33 N/C 2014 4.20 26.1 2015 4.21 0.2 2016 3.88 -7.8 2017 3.93 1.3 2018 4.28 8.9 2019 4.97 16.1 2020 4.55 -8.5 2021 4.90 7.7 2022 5.16 5.3 2023 5.40 4.7 Source: IBISWorld Note: *Estimate **Year end December Thomas Foods International Consolidated Pty Limited Market Share: 13.0% Founded in 1988, Thomas Foods International Consolidated Pty Limited is an Australian family-owned meat processing firm. The company is headquartered in Adelaide, with processing facilities in Lobethal and Murray Bridge, SA, and Tamworth, NSW. The company produces lamb, mutton, beef and goat meat. In July 2016, Thomas Foods closed its processing plant in Wallangarra, QLD, citing difficult global trading conditions as the primary cause. Thomas Foods rises from the ashes after a fire at its Murray Bridge facility In January 2018, the company's Murray Bridge facility was damaged by fire. Thomas Foods responded by redistributing much of its workforce from the Murray Bridge plant and increasing production at its other facilities. In late 2020, the company started construction on a new facility in the Murray Bridge area. Stage one of the facility was completed in late 2022. Construction of the new facility will augment the plant's total processing capacity to 1,200 head of beef, and 15,000 head of sheep and lamb per day. The company has overcome difficulties to thrive in export markets The COVID-19 pandemic has presented a challenge for the company. COVID-safe regulations placed downward pressure on productivity and profitability, as social distancing measures limited staffing numbers and higher personal protective equipment requirements drove up purchase costs. Despite difficulties maximising productive capacity, robust export sales have driven Thomas Foods' strong performance, with the company benefiting from high beef prices. The company's profit margins have edged up in recent years, boosted by soaring prices for beef and lamb. 30 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Thomas Foods International Consolidated Pty Limited - financial performance Year Revenue ($b) Growth (% change) 2012-13 1.08 N/C 2013-14 1.10 1.9 2014-15 1.23 11.8 2015-16 1.39 13.0 2016-17 1.34 -3.6 2017-18 1.63 21.6 2018-19 1.69 3.7 2019-20 2.05 21.3 2020-21 2.27 10.7 2021-22 2.48 9.3 2022-23* 2.70 8.9 Source: Annual Report and IBISWorld Note: *Estimate Teys Australia Pty Ltd Market Share: 11.8% Teys Australia Pty Ltd is an Australian proprietary company that generates most of its revenue from meat processing operations. The company was founded in 1946 as a family-run meat retailer and wholesaler. Teys operates six beef processing plants in Queensland, New South Wales and South Australia. The company currently operates as a joint venture between the Teys family and Cargill Australia, a subsidiary of US-based food processor Cargill Inc. In Australia, Cargill's key activities include oilseed crushing, commodity merchandising, salt harvesting and wool and cotton trading. The venture received approval in May 2011 and includes beef processing and tannery and feedlot operations. In 2019, the company announced that it is developing a $42.0 million low emissions energy hub at its facility in Wagga Wagga, NSW. Adaptation is the key to Teys' success in export markets The company's meat processing revenue has expanded modestly in recent years. Teys endured a tough year of reduced revenue in 2021, as exports to China plummeted. In the wake of this challenge, Teys has bounced back, despite a fall in the national cattle size. The company is benefiting from increased cattle capacity at its feedlots and rising beef prices. Teys is at the cutting edge of deboning automated technology In November 2021, the company established an $18.0 million contract with Scott Technology, which provides meat processing automation products, and Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA). The contract with Scott Technology will deliver the company a computerised boning machine to combat labour shortages, and improve operating efficiencies and output volumes. The machine will be the first of its kind in Australia, and is poised to be ready for use in 2023. 31 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Teys Australia Pty Ltd - industry segment performance* Year** Revenue ($b) Growth (% change) 2012-13*** 1.81 N/C 2013-14*** 2.18 20.4 2014-15*** 2.63 20.6 2015-16**** 2.12 -19.4 2016-17 2.02 -4.7 2017-18 2.25 11.4 2018-19 2.33 3.6 2019-20 2.64 13.3 2020-21 2.11 -20.1 2021-22 2.39 13.3 2022-23 2.45 2.5 Source: IBISWorld Note: *Estimate **Year end May ***Year end June ****11-month period Other Companies Large firms in the Meat Processing industry typically market their products both nationally and internationally. Vertical integration in the industry is mostly limited to larger companies due to the cost and complexities of livestock farming. Integrating processing with feedlots, livestock farming and wholesaling operations enable industry players to spread overheads across a greater range of activities. The industry also comprises many smallscale firms, with more than 80% of players employing less than 20 employees, including almost 50% nonemploying. Fletcher International Exports Pty Ltd Market Share: 3.0% Fletcher International Exports Pty Ltd (FIE) is an Australian family-owned company that is headquartered in Dubbo, NSW, with processing plants in Dubbo and Albany, Western Australia. The Dubbo site is one of the world's largest sheep meat processing plants, which operates seven days per week, and has a weekly lamb and sheep slaughter capacity of over 90,000 head. The company is heavily engaged in exporting and has farming operations in Western Australia, New South Wales and Queensland. Surging lamb prices, both domestically and overseas, augment Fletcher's revenue The company mainly processes lamb, but also processes significant quantities of mutton. Lamb prices have soared in both domestic and export markets, supporting Fletcher's revenue. Sheep by-products supplement Fletcher's revenue To maximise the value of processed sheep, Fletcher makes use of by-products, like lanolin and sheepskin. Sales of by-products have supplemented an upward trend in revenue in recent years. Midfield Meat International Pty Ltd Market Share: 3.0% Midfield Meat International Pty Ltd is a mid-size meat processor based in Warrnambool, VIC. Formerly part of Midfield Pastoral Pty Ltd, Midfield Meat International became a separate entity in 1975, after Midfield Pastoral became a solely pastoral business. Midfield is a vertically integrated firm that also operates in meat wholesaling. As a licensed meat exporter, the company distributes its meat products both domestically and internationally. Midfield reaps the benefits of strong beef and lamb prices The company mainly processes beef and lamb, although Midfield also deals in significant quantities of veal and mutton. Beef and lamb prices have spiked in both domestic and key export markets, supporting Midfield's revenue. Chinese tariffs have not proven an insurmountable obstacle for Midfield Midfield's meat processing revenue has grown modestly in recent years. The company rode out a year of inhibited revenue growth in 2021, as exports to China suffered from new tariffs. Yet, the company has bounced back by finding alternative trading partners like South Korea. 32 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Operating Conditions Capital Intensity The level of capital intensity is Medium The industry is moderately capital-intensive. For every dollar invested in capital across, an estimated $6.67 is paid as wages. Capital intensity has risen considerably in recent years, as firms have introduced new processing technology to reduce labour costs. High-speed production lines have dramatically improved throughput, enabling meat processors to increase overall production without corresponding employment rises. Although technology is reducing labour requirements, some components of abattoir production, like boning, butchering and slaughtering, still rely heavily on human input. Industry capital intensity has risen as many processes have become more automated due to occupational health and safety standards, along with rises in efficiency. For instance, beef splitting is a physically taxing task that uses industrial bandsaws requiring a skilled operator. The joint venture between Meat & Livestock Australia and Scott Automation & Robotics has created an automated beefsplitting process that reduces occupational hazards and labour costs, boosting productivity and yield. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated rises in capital intensity over the past three years. Shortages of skilled labour, owing to international border closures and a reduction of inbound workers, has inspired operators to increasingly automate, establishing artificially intelligent robots to replace traditionally labour-intensive tasks. 33 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia Technology & Systems April 2023 Potential Disruptive Innovation: Factors Driving Threat of Change Level Factor Disruptive Effect Description Very Low Rate of Innovation Very Unlikely A ranked measure for the number of patents assigned to an industry. A faster rate of new patent additions to the industry increases the likelihood of a disruptive innovation occurring. Medium Innovation Concentration Potential A measure for the mix of patent classes assigned to the industry. A greater concentration of patents in one area increases the likelihood of technological disruption of incumbent operators. Medium Ease of Entry Potential A qualitative measure of barriers to entry. Fewer barriers to entry increases the likelihood that new entrants can disrupt incumbents by putting new technologies to use. Medium Rate of Entry Potential Annualized growth in the number of enterprises in the industry, ranked against all other industries. A greater intensity of companies entering an industry increases the pool of potential disruptors. High Market Concentration Likely A ranked measure of the largest core market for the industry. Concentrated core markets present a low-end market or new market entry point for disruptive technologies to capture market share. Low levels of innovation limit the threat to incumbent operators from new technologies disrupting their operations. However, a low rate of growth in technology can also create exposure for incumbents as the trajectory of innovation in other markets could lead to unforeseen competitive disadvantages. Both the ease of entry and the rate of entry in the industry are moderate. While these factors do not significantly add to the threat of disruptive potential, they do not detract from it either. The major markets for this industry are highly concentrated, which implies that the market has a focus on key customer segments. This presents an opportunity for strategic entrance into lower-end markets or unserved markets for innovations to take on a disruptive trajectory. Technology disruption has lightly affected the Meat Processing industry over the past decade. The rise of ecommerce has been the strongest internal threat to the industry, as supply chain systems have adjusted to advancements in logistics software and methodology. Investments in renewable energy systems have also disrupted the industry in recent years. In particular, firms that invested early have experienced greater benefits, as electricity prices have risen significantly. In the coming years, meat processors are set to invest in more advanced smart devices and inventory management software to increase production efficiency. The increasing development of plant-based meats has further disrupted the industry. Plant-based meats can serve as a healthier and more sustainable alternative to conventional meats, particularly red and processed meats. Such products appeal to consumers following a plant-based diet or seeking to reduce their meat consumption. A rise in health consciousness and environmental concern will continually increase demand for plant-based meats in future, driving the development of new alternatives. The level of technology change is Medium The pace of technological change in the industry is moderate. In some respects, meat processing has not changed significantly in recent years. This relative lack of change reflects the 34 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 significant labour input required for certain elements of processing, like boning and butchering. Elsewhere, the industry has increasingly adopted automated processes to streamline production and, as a result, has improved meat quality and lifted productivity. Technological research in the industry focuses on cost reduction, animal welfare, the application of genetics and biology, improvements in productivity and environmental management. Meat Standards Australia The development of meat safety standards has significantly affected the industry over the past few decades. The Meat Standards Australia (MSA) grading system is a joint initiative of MSA and Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA). Research by MSA found that variations in meat quality and a lack of cooking knowledge were key problems for consumers. The MSA scheme focuses on eating quality, and uses critical control points to project quality level. The system differs from previous grading schemes in that compliance is based on adherence to processes that are related to palatability, rather than relying on carcass traits measured in the chiller. Increased uptake of MSA grading is anticipated to improve Australia's export competitiveness, as Australian beef has been considered too inconsistent in some export markets. Refrigeration is another important aspect of meat safety, freshness and the condition of meat. The method of chilling used determines shelf life, microbiological control, and meat tenderness, all of which affect the quality of the product. A rise in best practice programs is playing a key role in ensuring product integrity in meat processing. The introduction of quality assurance programs like Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point has helped the industry improve food safety. High food safety standards play a vital role in preserving the industry's reputation for clean and reliable food manufacturing. Revenue Volatility The level of volatility is Medium Meat production has historically determined volatility In the medium term, the volume of meat produced affects revenue for meat processors. Meat production depends on changes in the supply of animals available for slaughtering, which depends on climatic conditions and world prices. These conditions can be volatile from year to year, and vary regionally. During periods of drought, high feed costs mean that more animals are available for slaughter while meat prices normally weaken. Similarly, high prices overseas can encourage farmers to send more cattle for slaughter and export. Reliance on exports leaves much volatility in the hands of the global market Much of meat processors' volatility is attributable to export markets, with the vast majority of revenue derived from exports. Exports can be affected by changes to trade protection in export markets, exchange rates, economic cycles and international demand. Changing exchange rates and surging global demand have heavily influenced meat processors in recent years. 35 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 The pandemic has exerted some pressure on revenue volatility for meat processors The COVID-19 pandemic has modestly contributed to revenue volatility. Shifts in consumer purchasing behaviour, such as panic buying meat at the retail level, have filtered upstream through stronger demand for meat processors. Labour shortages and logistical issues have scaled back export volumes, but Australia's standing as a reputable supplier of high-quality meat has somewhat insulated local processors from the adverse effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Regulation & Policy The level of regulation is Heavy and the trend is Increasing Environmental protections State and federal regulations covering waste control, clean air, packaging standards, weights and measures, and building regulations affect meat processors. Processors are also beholden to specific regulations aimed at protecting public health, guaranteeing supply to consumers and safeguarding competition. Licencing for the domestic market Meat processors selling products to the Australian market need state government-issued licences for meat processing facilities. Companies must meet hygiene and construction standards to qualify for the licence, and are subject to inspections from state government representatives. Licencing for exports The Federal Government primarily regulates meat processors that export meat. To export meat from Australia, companies must obtain an export licence and are subject to inspections by the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry. AUS-MEAT accreditation Accreditation with AUS-MEAT Limited is compulsory for exporting companies and voluntary for companies selling meat for domestic consumption. AUS-MEAT Limited is responsible for maintaining national industry standards for meat processing. AUS-MEAT Limited is an industry-owned body operating as a joint venture between Meat & Livestock Australia and the Australian Meat Processor Corporation. Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point standards Meat processors are introducing the Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point (HACCP) quality assurance to improve food safety. First introduced in the United States, HACCP is designed to work as a preventative measure to reduce health risks in food manufacturing by identifying hazards and preventing them from contaminating food. The system increases compliance costs for meat processors due to record-keeping requirements. Modern Slavery Act 2018 In November 2018, the Federal Government passed the Modern Slavery Act 2018. The act, which came into force on 1 January 2019, is a new reporting requirement for larger Australian businesses. Companies that generate annual consolidated revenue of at least $100 million must report on how they act to mitigate the risks of modern slavery in their operations and supply chains. Industry Assistance The level of industry assistance is Low and the trend is Increasing Public Tariffs and border controls Historically, tariffs have declined as the Federal Government has pursued free trade policies. Tight quarantine restrictions aimed at preventing the entry of exotic diseases have played a major role in deterring foreign competition. Moreover, meat processors are protected from imports by natural barriers due to the abundance of cheap livestock and Australia's distance from other major beef-producing countries. Free trade agreements Free trade agreements with China, Japan and South Korea that came into effect between 2014 and 2015, and the agreement signed with Indonesia in March 2019 will help boost market access for exporters to these countries. Government funding Although no specific assistance programs are in place, the government matches meat processors' expenditure on R&D through a levy paid by processors. Meat processors can also secure government funding through schemes available to the 36 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 food manufacturing sector. In July 2021, the Australian Government invested $1.52 million to support processors' export efforts in new emerging markets such as Thailand, Vietnam and Saudi Arabia. Private Industry bodies Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA), an independent marketing and research body for the red meat and livestock sector, provides funding opportunities for meat processors. National bodies like the Australian Meat Processor Corporation represent the interests of processors active in the red meat market. 37 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Key Statistics Industry Data Year Revenue ($m) IVA ($m) Establishments (Units) Enterprises (Units) Employment (Units) Exports ($m) Imports ($m) Wages ($m) Domestic Demand ($m) 2013-14 18,659 3,041 850 681 35,279 12,464 704 2,084 6,899 2014-15 23,044 3,503 867 656 36,862 16,344 875 2,259 7,574 2015-16 23,353 3,596 783 656 36,241 15,542 859 2,372 8,670 2016-17 20,573 3,127 715 593 33,956 13,576 846 2,087 7,843 2017-18 21,457 3,326 761 542 34,835 15,203 862 2,206 7,115 2018-19 21,725 3,563 801 583 35,708 17,033 887 2,291 5,578 2019-20 22,698 3,654 820 614 34,623 19,055 1,026 2,267 4,670 2020-21 21,312 3,367 801 600 34,342 14,757 837 2,179 7,392 2021-22 21,282 3,320 826 607 34,870 17,789 975 2,117 4,468 2022-23 20,811 3,247 813 599 34,477 17,601 991 2,075 4,201 2023-24 21,976 3,450 863 632 36,009 17,962 1,023 2,184 5,038 2024-25 22,425 3,453 885 644 36,376 18,165 1,060 2,186 5,320 2025-26 22,828 3,516 902 654 36,965 18,137 1,094 2,220 5,785 2026-27 22,418 3,452 888 640 36,133 18,524 1,139 2,177 5,033 2027-28 23,476 3,662 932 669 37,684 18,513 1,188 2,271 6,150 Enterprises (%) Employment (%) Exports (%) Imports (%) Wages (%) Domestic Demand (%) Annual Change Year Revenue (%) IVA (%) Establishments (%) 2013-14 11.5 9.46 -4.93 28.5 2.43 25.8 1.83 5.13 -8.31 2014-15 23.5 15.2 2.00 -3.68 4.48 31.1 24.3 8.39 9.78 2015-16 1.34 2.67 -9.69 0.00 -1.69 -4.91 -1.80 4.98 14.5 2016-17 -11.9 -13.1 -8.69 -9.61 -6.31 -12.7 -1.52 -12.0 -9.54 2017-18 4.29 6.35 6.43 -8.61 2.58 12.0 1.86 5.69 -9.28 2018-19 1.24 7.12 5.25 7.56 2.50 12.0 2.90 3.84 -21.6 2019-20 4.48 2.56 2.37 5.31 -3.04 11.9 15.8 -1.03 -16.3 2020-21 -6.11 -7.86 -2.32 -2.29 -0.82 -22.6 -18.5 -3.90 58.3 2021-22 -0.14 -1.41 3.12 1.16 1.53 20.6 16.6 -2.85 -39.6 2022-23 -2.22 -2.22 -1.58 -1.32 -1.13 -1.07 1.60 -2.01 -5.98 2023-24 5.59 6.27 6.15 5.50 4.44 2.05 3.23 5.28 19.9 2024-25 2.04 0.08 2.54 1.89 1.01 1.12 3.60 0.08 5.61 2025-26 1.79 1.80 1.92 1.55 1.61 -0.15 3.22 1.53 8.74 2026-27 -1.80 -1.81 -1.56 -2.15 -2.26 2.12 4.13 -1.94 -13.0 2027-28 4.71 6.08 4.95 4.53 4.29 -0.06 4.22 4.32 22.2 Key Ratios Year IVA/Revenue (%) Imports/ Demand (%) Exports/ Revenue (%) Revenue per Employee ($'000) Wages/ Revenue (%) Employees per estab. (Units) Average Wage ($) 2013-14 16.3 10.2 66.8 529 11.2 41.5 59,075 2014-15 15.2 11.5 70.9 625 9.80 42.5 61,283 2015-16 15.4 9.91 66.6 644 10.2 46.3 65,440 2016-17 15.2 10.8 66.0 606 10.1 47.5 61,462 2017-18 15.5 12.1 70.9 616 10.3 45.8 63,324 2018-19 16.4 15.9 78.4 608 10.5 44.6 64,151 2019-20 16.1 22.0 83.9 656 9.99 42.2 65,485 2020-21 15.8 11.3 69.2 621 10.2 42.9 63,453 2021-22 15.6 21.8 83.6 610 9.95 42.2 60,717 2022-23 15.6 23.6 84.6 604 9.97 42.4 60,176 2023-24 15.7 20.3 81.7 610 9.94 41.7 60,660 2024-25 15.4 19.9 81.0 616 9.75 41.1 60,100 2025-26 15.4 18.9 79.5 618 9.72 41.0 60,049 2026-27 15.4 22.6 82.6 620 9.71 40.7 60,244 2027-28 15.6 19.3 78.9 623 9.67 40.4 60,264 Figures are inflation adjusted to 2022-23 38 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Additional Resources Additional Resources Meat & Livestock Australia http://www.mla.com.au Australian Meat Industry Council http://www.amic.org.au Australian Pork http://www.australianpork.com.au Industry Jargon AUS-MEAT An organisation that developed a set of objective descriptions for primal cuts and offal products derived from beef, veal, sheep and goat. FEEDLOT A confined area of land used for controlled feeding of livestock to finish them prior to slaughter or sale. MEAT STANDARDS AUSTRALIA (MSA) The organisation that labels beef and sheep meat with a guaranteed grade and recommended cooking method. TURN-OFF The number of livestock sold by farmers and available for market. Glossary BARRIERS TO ENTRY High barriers to entry mean that new companies struggle to enter an industry, while low barriers mean it is easy for new companies to enter an industry. CAPITAL INTENSITY Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with that spent on labour. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital intensity. High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; medium is $0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labour; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every $1 of labour. CONSTANT PRICES The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the 'real' growth or decline in industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the Australian Bureau of Statistics' implicit GDP price deflator. DOMESTIC DEMAND Spending on industry goods and services within Australia, regardless of their country of origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting exports. EMPLOYMENT The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and casual employees, working proprietors, partners, managers and executives within the industry. ENTERPRISE A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control. ESTABLISHMENT The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise. EXPORTS Total value of industry goods and services sold by Australian companies to customers abroad. IMPORTS Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in Australia. INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less 39 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 than 40%. INDUSTRY REVENUE The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed tangible assets are excluded. INDUSTRY VALUE ADDED (IVA) The market value of goods and services produced by the industry minus the cost of goods and services used in production. IVA is also described as the industry's contribution to GDP, or profit plus wages and depreciation. INTERNATIONAL TRADE The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 20%; and high is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%; medium is 5% to 35%; and high is more than 35%. LIFE CYCLE All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an industry's life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP; the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry's products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer acceptance of industry products and services. NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are mostly set up by selfemployed individuals. PROFIT IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax. VOLATILITY The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to ±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%. WAGES The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry. 40 IBISWorld.com Meat Processing in Australia April 2023 Call Preparation Questions Role Specific Questions Sales & Marketing How has your business tried to access export markets? Expanding sales to export markets can improve volume growth. How has increasing health consciousness affected your sales? Due to rising health consciousness, some consumers are reducing their red meat consumption in favour of vegetarian diets. Strategy & Operations How has your business adapted to changing consumer tastes? Consumers are increasingly demanding premium and gourmet options. How close is your business located to key inputs? Being located close to cattle and sheep farms reduces transport costs. Technology What investments has your business made in facility technology? Technology to reduce labour reliance increases a company's competitiveness. How quickly does your business adopt new industry technology? Rapid uptake of technological developments can provide a competitive edge. Compliance How does your business ensure compliance with regulations? Businesses that fail to adhere to strict food-safety requirements risk fines. How does your business ensure workplace health and safety for employees and customers? Meat processors are exposed to workplace risks associated with machinery used to dismember carcasses. Finance How has price competition affected your business's profitability? Operators that can attract a premium price are often more profitable. What challenges does your company face in financing its ongoing operations? Meat processing revenue volatility can cause financial problems during periods of low prices. IBISWORLD.COM 41 Meat Processing in Australia External Impacts Questions April 2023 Impact: Beef and veal production How have cattle supplies affected your production? Processors with large supply contracts benefit from decreased revenue volatility. Impact: Trade-weighted index How do fluctuations in the exchange rate influence your margins? Changes in the value of the Australian dollar can significantly affect export-oriented processors. Impact: Domestic price of beef How do fluctuations in the retail price of beef affect your revenue and profit? Businesses that can pass on cost increases benefit from smaller revenue fluctuations. Internal Issues Questions Issue: Automation - reduces costs, particularly those associated with labour How much does your business invest in machinery and equipment for automation? Investing in automation increasing labour efficiency and helps processors to remain competitive Issue: Economies of scale What steps has your business taken to increase scale? Increasing animal throughput can significantly improve profit margins. Issue: Production of goods currently favoured by the market How does your business adapt to changing consumer tastes and preferences? Trends such as rising health consciousness affect demand for red meat. IBISWORLD.COM 42 IBISWorld helps you find the industry information you need – fast. With our trusted research covering thousands of global industries, you’ll get a quick and intelligent overview of any industry so you can get up to speed in minutes. In every report, you’ll find actionable insights, comprehensive data and in-depth analysis to help you make smarter, faster business decisions. If you’re not yet a member of IBISWorld, contact us at (03) 9655 3881 or info@ibisworld.com to learn more. DISCLAIMER This product has been supplied by IBISWorld Pty Ltd. (‘IBISWorld’) solely for use by its authorised licensees strictly in accordance with their license agreements with IBISWorld. 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