The Duke MBA Consulting Club Casebook 2020-2021 DMCC 2020-2021 Sponsors Sponsor Categories Firms Gold Silver 2 A Note from the Editor’s Welcomestudents: The Duke MBA Consulting Club (DMCC) is proud to present the 2020-2021 DMCC Casebook. This year we have included 13 brand new cases. The objective of this book is to help you prepare for your upcoming consulting case interviews. Case interviews are an integral part of the hiring process for consulting firms. These interviews give you the opportunity to showcase your communication, client, creative and analytical skills to your interviewer. This book was developed to complement the Duke MBA Consulting Roadmap curriculum. We hope that using both will help lead you to success during the upcoming recruiting season. Included are industry one pagers to give you an overview of each industry. Although we cannot prepare you for everything you might encounter during your case interviews, we went to great lengths to diversify the case content. Current cases cover a wide variety of topics from healthcare to travel, across several problem types. Finally, we have included a resource page and feedback form to help you prepare and help us improve the casebook. This casebook could not have been completed without all of the wonderful cases submitted by your classmates. We would also like to thank our friends at other MBA programs for sharing with us their old casebooks to supplement the cases herein. We wish you luck with your preparation and would like you to remember that your fellow DMCC members are here to help! Please reach out to anyone on the cabinet if you feel that you are not “cracking the case”. Lastly, to the students of other top MBA programs using this casebook during their preparation, we warmly welcome you to “Team Fuqua.” Good luck! Amy Schafer and Ryan Sabo The DMCC 2020 Casebook Team Acknowledgements This casebook would not have been possible without the case contributions from the following second year students: Kritika Shah, Caroline Queen, Aicha Ndiaya, Kevin Lampley, Linda Ly, John Finol, Taylor Williams, Lee Foster, Jig Patel, Lilian Onyekachi Izuorah, Christiana Chen, Ryan Sabo, Amy Schafer, Austin Ray, and Collin Skousen. As well as our excellent team of reviewers: Aimee Hechler, Adam Janus, Utkarsha Bhardwaj, Dan Watts, Snigdha Shankar, Ben Jimenez, Beth McKenna, Jamie Ciocon and Antonio Perez Senande. Please email dmcccasebook@duke.edu with any case-specific feedback, questions or improvements. Thank you! Casebook Overview • The first section provides key industry one pagers followed by a case table of contents and practice cases. • Qualitative and quantitative case difficulty is identified within the case table of contents; difficulty is rated as easy, medium and difficult. Medium is considered to be at the level of a typical case interview. • Ask the behavioral questions EVERY TIME you give a case! This cannot be stressed enough, and you will thank us later. • Most cases are adaptable, so familiarize yourself with the case prior to giving it. There is nothing worse than an unprepared case-giver. • Print exhibits before giving the case or be prepared to share digitally (we tried to ensure that all exhibits are effective when printed in black and white, but recommend double checking your print outs to be sure!) • HAVE FUN! Tips for Virtual Case Interviews 1 Keep papers and notes organized as you would in an in-person case 2 Over-communicate when presenting your framework, brainstorms, math, etc. and rely on structure! Practices by casing over the phone – it forces you to explain your thinking clearly 3 Familiarize yourself with the technology that firms may use for virtual interviews (WebEx, Zoom, Google Hangouts) 4 Practice casing and receiving feedback virtually 5 Remember to smile, make eye contact, and remain engaged as you would in-person! Industry Overviews Oil & Gas Products/ Services Products are categorized along the value chain as upstream, midstream, or downstream Upstream: Identify, extract, or produce raw materials. Also called exploration and production Midstream: Link upstream and downstream through storage and transportation services Downstream: Anything related to the post-production of crude oil and natural gas *The closer an oil and gas company is to supplying consumers, the further downstream it is Revenue Volume of goods sold; Price is generally determined by global indices; Products can include diesel, natural gas, gasoline, heating oil, propane, etc. Costs It is important to note that this is a high fixed cost industry, resulting in a significant barrier to entry. Other costs may include extraction costs, COGS (i.e., oil), labor, technology, transportation, and licensing Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Upstream: BP, Shell, Aramco, Exxon Mobil, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation Oilfield services: Schlumberger, Halliburton, Baker Hughes Downstream: MPC, PSX, COP, BASF, Dow, SABIC; Any oil refinery, natural gas distributor, or retail outlets Customers Governments, CPG producers, Utilities companies Distribution Channel(s) Wholesale to customers: in large quantities Traders: in smaller quantities Suppliers/ Supply Chain Products are mostly transported in large quantities by vessels and require long lead times. Recent Trends & Key Concepts Oil prices have been volatile over the past few years. The recent American shale oil boom, & slowdown have been the result of high oil variance. COVID-19: There was a surplus of oil causing many refineries to halt operations. The oil price went negative as a result of a lack of storage for oil. It is important to understand the current state of OPEC, and if there have been any recent agreements to cut production. Key trends 8 Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) Products/ Services CPG companies provide consumers with items used daily by average consumers that require routine replacement or replenishment. These items include cleaning agents, beauty products, food, beverages, pet food, clothes, tobacco, makeup etc. Revenue Volume of goods sold; Price premium on branded goods Costs Sales and Marketing (branding, discounting, trade spend); COGS (raw materials, packaging, and processing), shipping/distribution, product development, product testing Costs can vary depending on how horizontally integrated the CPG company is within the supply chain Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Procter & Gamble (P&G), Unilever, Clorox, Mondelez, PepsiCo, Frito Lay, Chobani, Casper, Philip Morris USA, Coca-Cola, etc. Private label products, home remedies, small mission-driven niche brands Customers Walmart, Sam’s Club, Costco, Target, Grocery stores, Convenience stores, Consumers Distribution Channel(s) Wholesale to customers (Walmart, etc.) Direct-to-consumer (limited web distribution through Amazon and others) There has been a wave of CPG companies attempting to go D2C to avoid the middleman Suppliers/ Supply Chain Supply chain varies widely by product and region; plants are owned/operated or contract manufactured Recent Trends & Key Concepts Activist investors push cost cutting and selling non-core brands; emphasis on sustainability; direct-toconsumer movement; CPG subscription kits (i.e., Dollar Shave Club, Blue Apron); CPG product personalization; private label products and small niche brands stealing market share from the larger CPG companies COVID-19: Many CPG companies have benefitted from COVID-19 as consumers have stocked up on CPG products. This has especially benefitted traditional CPG companies as consumers have a greater ‘trust’ in their products. During COVID consumers have been less conscious of the environmental impacts of the products they buy, and more focused on the value the product delivers Key trends 9 Manufacturing Products/ Services Includes companies in the business of mechanical, physical, or chemical transformation of materials/substances/components into new products Revenue Volume of goods sold; Price premium on branded goods; Revenue is generated by selling the finished goods. These may be sold to other manufacturers to produce more complex products, or to wholesalers, who then sell them to retailers. Costs Process efficiency, supply chain management, labor, raw materials; commodities, channel management, marketing, capital investment Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, Toyota, Honda, Boeing, Airbus, GE, Phillips, Siemens, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Dow, Corning, HP, Intel Customers Varies by industry and position in supply chain, can be consumers or raw goods to businesses Distribution Channel(s) Direct Distribution: The manufacturer sells straight to the customer and uses no intermediary (Manufacturers selling their products through their own retail chains) Indirect Distribution: Utilizing intermediaries to get the product to the end user (a product manufacturer utilizes Costco to reach and sell to their target market) Suppliers/ Supply Chain Supply chain varies widely by product and region; plants are owned/operated or contract manufactured; Supply chains are typically comprised of geographically dispersed facilities and capabilities, including sources of raw materials, product design and engineering organizations, manufacturing plants, distribution centers, retail outlets, and customers, as well as the transportation and communications links between them. Recent Trends & Key Concepts Increased automation; Trump has been pushing to re-shore manufacturing supply chains COVID-19: COVID has forced some companies to re-evaluate “just-in-time” manufacturing processes; some companies are looking to diversify the steps of their manufacturing processes, and build up ‘emergency’ inventory; Many manufacturing companies shifted production to support the shortage of masks Key trends 1 Financial Services Products/ Services Retail banking, commercial banking, investment banking, deposit-based services, credit cards, consumer loans (personal and commercial/business), payments, insurance, mortgages, securities, private wealth management, underwriting for IPOs, retirement accounts, real estate loans Revenue Net revenue is the spread between bank’s borrowing cost and the interest rates charged to borrowers; underwriting fees; commissions; insurance companies generate revenues from premiums received; Costs Overhead (branches, administration, compliance), salaries, bad debt expense, marketing Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Large national players (Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Citi) compete with regional banks. The largest players’ services extend well beyond commercial banking to investment banking, securitization, proprietary trading, etc. with services that are increasingly opaque Fintech is increasingly becoming a player within financial services Customers Individual consumers (with the emergence of FinTech these services are now more accessible to the underbanked community) High net worth consumers (priority segment as result in higher profits) Small/medium businesses without sufficient size for larger investment banking financing services; private companies going public looking for underwriting Distribution Channel(s) Face-to-face presence with bank branches, tellers, etc. ATM services, online, mobile, robo-advisors (COVID-19 is increasing the use of these services) Banks increasingly offer credit cards, home loans, etc. as means to increase asset base Suppliers/ Supply Chain Deposits from individuals and corporations Fees from services conducted Recent Trends & Key Concepts Consolidated, mature industry with primary growth through acquisitions Demographic shift (baby boomer aging) creating large market for retirement products Offshoring of various functions to reduce expenses (e.g. call centers, back office functions) Customer intelligence and the ability to act in real-time to customer needs Digitization of services (fewer customers visiting bank branches); zero-commission trading COVID-19: Since COVID many consumers have reduced visits to the bank and further relied on digital services; Many banks underwrote PPP loans to businesses seeking government support Key trends 11 Healthcare (Provider) Products/ Services Care provided to patients in doctor’s offices/clinics, urgent care facilities, emergency departments, acute care facilities, etc. Providers may be for-profit or non-profit. Patients typically are billed for the facility fees (ex. hospital beds, medication, etc.) as well as for physician services received Revenue Net Patient Service Revenue: revenue for care provided minus expenses for providing services Academic institutions and other health systems often receive philanthropy Most providers receive the actual money from insurance companies and tend to generate greater margins on elective surgeries Costs Corporate shared services (admin, IT, finance, legal, billing, etc.), salaries (physician groups often contracted), pharmaceuticals, research, capital expenditures for large facilities, equipment, etc. Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Consolidation among smaller regional health systems or by acquisition of larger health systems; Increased emergence of urgent care facilities (ex. CVS Minute Clinic) and Telemedicine service providers; Decreased power from smaller organizations to negotiate favorable rates with payers Customers Any one in need of health care services (growing as the US population continues to trend older) Inpatient (stay in hospital) vs. outpatient (DO NOT stay in hospital) Distribution Channel(s) Hospitals (acute care), clinics, doctor’s offices, emergency departments, urgent care, telemedicine providers, large health systems, IDNS (Investor-owned), regional health systems, academic institutions urgent care facilities, specialized pediatric facilities, rehabilitation facilities, hospice care, etc. Suppliers/ Supply Chain Suppliers to healthcare providers: pharmaceutical companies, technology providers (ex. radiology equipment, healthcare IT) Recent Trends & Key Concepts Pay for performance; expanding and aging populations; increasing numbers of people with chronic, longterm conditions; potential changes to healthcare coverage depending on the November election (i.e., healthcare for all); increase in technology (telemedicine, electronic medical records and protection of data, wearables, predictive technologies, etc.); focus on preventative care COVID-19: CARES Act; Since COVID more providers have relied on delivering their services virtually. Voluntary procedures have halted at hospitals (these tend to generate the highest margins for providers). Key trends 12 Private Equity Investments Products/ Services Equity that is not publicly traded Common forms include Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital (VC), Mezzanine Capital, Distressed Investments, and Growth Capital Revenue Return on investments (carried interest) and management fees Levers pulled to increase revenue (value-creation): timeframe, identifying efficiencies, new management, acquisitions Costs Investment expenses, legal, technical assistance to firms, administrative expenses, travel, labor is very costly (few and highly paid employees), taxes Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Supply of capital in the market is greater than demand. This has resulted in PE firms having a lot of ‘dry powder’ Large (e.g. KKR, Carlyle, Blackstone, TPG), Mid ($250M to $5B), and Small Market PE shops Customers New customers of PE deals may be corporations Institutional investors Customers can range from small family-owned companies to large corporations Distribution Channel(s) Leveraged Buyouts: controlling interest (of equity) is acquired through borrowing a lot of money Venture Capital: investors give cash in exchange for shares/control; typical with start-ups Mezzanine Capital: financing that contains equity-based options and subordinated debt Growth capital: financing to expand, restructure, or enter new markets with little change in management Distressed Investments: investing in financially stressed companies Suppliers/ Supply Chain Private investors, large corporations, foundations Recent Trends & Key Concepts Larger amounts of equity required for each deal; Startup financial performance not always meeting high valuations; Healthcare and tech are seeing most of the activity; Increased focus on value-creation rather than financial engineering to generate investment targets COVID-19: PE firm exits have halted and there has been a focus on supporting existing portfolio companies Key trends 13 Pharmaceuticals Products/ Services Brand name drug manufacturers produce original, patent-protected (for a certain period) drugs for human and animal diseases. Generic drug producers produce ‘copy-cat’ drugs (with the same medical result) at a lower development cost when the originator drug’s patent expires. Revenue Determined by: size of specific treatment area/level of competition; buy-in from doctors that will prescribe; speed to market (1st to market is important); dosage and frequency Revenue can come directly from patients, but most is received from third party insurers Costs VC: sales and marketing (doctor visits, sponsored studies) FC: R&D (drug discovery, formulation, clinical trials; a lot of this is now outsourced; generic companies only need to perform clinical trials and are therefore fast to come to market once a patent expires) Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Success is contingent on drug effectiveness, adoption/buy-in from doctors, coverage approval from private and public insurers, patient adherence and ease of use. US, Europe and Japan are the largest markets although emerging markets are growing (e.g., China, India, Brazil) In the US, the Food & Drug Authority (FDA) needs to approve all drugs before sale. Generic drugs are treated as substitutes and usually receive more favorable reimbursements and coverage by insurers. Customers Doctors who prescribe these medicines Insurance companies (i.e. private insurers, Medicare (over 65), Medicaid (low-income/disabled)) Patients/consumers who need these drugs/medicines In some emerging markets officials (provincial and central government) may control channel access Distribution Channel(s) Over the counter (“OTC”, can be sold without prescription); Retail outlets – CVS, Walgreens; Mail order/online; hospitals; pharmacies; doctor’s offices; Emergence of prescription delivery; B2B: Distributors/intermediaries Suppliers/ Supply Chain Drug manufacturer –> Drug wholesaler/distributor –> retailer/pharmacy/doctor’s office/hospital –> patient Recent Trends & Key Concepts Price competition from generic drug manufacturers. Increasing pressure from health insurance companies and hospitals to reduce prices. R&D challenge of finding high revenue drugs (‘Blockbusters’ have annual sales > $1B). Weaker investments in R&D in recent years. Loss of patent on key drugs for many large pharma companies, especially for specialty biologic drugs in the next 5 years; COVID-19: COVID has disrupted pharma supply chains (especially involving China) Key trends 14 Airlines Products/ Services Air transportation for passengers and cargo Revenue Ticket sales, baggage fees, food and beverage sales, freight fees, new classes (Economy Plus as well as Economy “Basic”), seat allocation, in-flight entertainment, in-flight WIFI, frequent flyer programs, consumer credit cards Costs Fuel, food and beverage, ground crew, air crew, aircraft lease/payments, airport fees, IT/admin fees, frequent flier program fees, marketing and sales, offices, hangars, insurance Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Legacy carriers (Delta, United, American, Lufthansa, Air India, British Airways) compete with each other and are also competing with low cost carriers (Southwest, Allegiant Air, Frontier Airlines, Eurowings, Gogo Air). New entrants are more common in the low-cost model. Barriers to entry include available gate space / airport leasing agreements and extremely high startup costs Customers Individual passengers, corporate travelers, travel agents/websites, freight/cargo shipping companies Distribution Channel(s) Direct from the airline (website, at the airport, over the phone), travel agents (website, in person, over the phone), through other providers as a bundle (cruise and flight bundle, hotel and flight bundle etc.), increasing number of tickets sold through trip aggregators (Kayak, Priceline, etc) Suppliers/ Supply Chain Aircraft manufacturers, avionics manufacturers, aircraft leasing companies, fuel providers, airport operators, flight training providers, catering providers, aircraft maintenance providers Recent Trends & Key Concepts Metrics: Available Seat Miles (Total # seats available for transporting) * (# miles flown in a period), Revenue Passenger Mile (RPM) = (#Revenue-paying passengers)*(#miles flown in a period), Revenue per Available Seat Mile = (Revenue) / (# seats available), Load Factor = % of available seating capacity which is actually filled with passengers 737 MAX: Due to multiple crashes from a malfunctioning flight control, this plane has been grounded since March 2019, and is still in the process of getting reapproval for passenger flights (negatively affected Boeing) COVID-19: Significant reduction in passengers resulting in fewer flights; many airlines have laid off employees and/or declared bankruptcy; airlines have offered vouchers for cancelled flights; as passenger flights were cancelled, the cost of sending cargo by air increased; industry experts anticipate it will take many years for demand to reach pre-COVID levels. Key trends 15 Media Products/ Services Media sector includes print, audio, and video content generation & distribution Revenue Advertising is a key revenue driver. Additional revenue sources are subscriptions, one-time purchases (video on demand, DVD purchase), and licensing fees. For online portals (Netflix, Hulu, etc.) the key value driver is content. Costs Production costs (salary, technology, location fees etc.), distribution costs, marketing and advertising, promotions, capital costs (studios, equipment etc.) Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) Highly competitive with a few major players owning most of the market. The fight over content exclusivity is a big issue among legacy players (Netflix, Hulu) and content providers (Disney, etc.). Content providers have begun to launch their own media platforms. Traditional cable companies are facing issues resulting from web-based solutions providers and cord cutting. Customers Two main customers: End customer (i.e., the viewer) and advertising companies (i.e., to whom the media provider sells ad space). The more end customers the platform has, the more they can charge advertising companies. Distribution Channel(s) Online streaming is the fastest growing channel, but traditional distribution still exists. Additional distribution channels include theaters and ‘live’ events. Suppliers/ Supply Chain Technology providers (internet service providers are becoming particularly important in allowing high-speed streaming), actors, artists, and musicians Recent Trends & Key Concepts Online streaming and cord cutting is changing the industry. There is a large focus on creating and controlling content. Companies such as Netflix and Yahoo are creating original content to remain competitive. Ad-supported video is increasingly becoming the dominant model of delivering streaming video to consumers. COVID-19: Since COVID many companies have suspended movie and television production, causing delays in release dates. Social distancing has generated a boost in digital media including video and music streaming and downloads, as well as online publications. Key trends 16 Technology Products/ Services Broad industry consists of PCs, servers, semiconductors, internet service providers, communications providers, IT services, software and application development, and internet companies. Technology plays a role in every other industry, and there has been a push for companies to become more ‘digitized’. Revenue Revenues vary by type of product. PC revenue: primarily from sales of PCs and subsequent support; internet mobile applications revenue: driven by ad clicks; IT services revenue: tied to staff utilization per employee Costs Costs vary by type of product. For software, the initial R&D costs are high but the marginal cost for production is negligible. For PCs and servers input costs include component costs, labor costs, distribution and support For semiconductors it is important to note these companies have high fixed costs, but are constantly improving their products (i.e., Moore’s Law). Competitive Landscape (Competitors, Substitutes, New Entrants) There are a few large competitors in the PC and server space, but many competitors in the software and application development space. Internet companies have low barriers to entry, resulting in a highly competitive industry. It is common for smaller players to be acquired by the internet giants. Customers Varies by type of product: ranges from individual customers and corporations for things like PCs or software; Also could be companies looking for advertising channels. Internet companies tend to be B2C, while companies such as IBM, Oracle, Cisco focus on B2B. Distribution Channel(s) Distribution through retail outlets and B2B channels for hardware, online distribution through app stores/ websites for software. Limited distribution of software through physical media. Suppliers/ Supply Chain Hardware: various suppliers include raw material providers, semiconductor manufacturers, machine and technology providers Software: supply chain includes software testing houses, and distribution channels such as App Stores Recent Trends & Key Concepts Acquisition of talent and technology by established industry players. ”Freemium” and ad-driven revenue models for software. New technologies entering the business segment: Internet of Things, cloud computing, big data (predictive) analytics, mobile (computing everywhere), 3D printing, machine learning. COVID-19: Remote work, online education, and social distancing has generated demand for products and services delivered by the tech industry. Tech companies have achieved historic valuations and are driving historic stock market prices; Tech continues to get scrutinized regarding their data security processes (especially with upcoming election) Key trends 17 Resources & Feedback Fuqua Casing Resources Prior DMCC and other schools’ casebooks are accessible at: https://fuquaconnect.duke.edu/organization/the-duke-mba-consulting-club/documents Feedback Every year, the DMCC prepares a casebook for Fuqua students. Many of these cases are new and therefore may still have small edits or areas for improvement. Your feedback is welcome on any case and is particularly helpful for next year’s casebook team. To submit feedback, please email Amy Schafer (Amy.Schafer@duke.edu) or Ryan Sabo (Ryan.Sabo@duke.edu) 18 “New for 2021” Case List Case # Name Industry Qual Quant 1 XY Inbev M&A Easy Easy 2 Paper Pricing Predicament Consumer / Retail Easy Easy 3 Take, Inc Tech Easy Med 4 A-Plus School District Education Med Med 5 Mischief Managed Finance Med Med 6 East Oak Consumer / Retail Med Med 7 Roll ‘n Grind Manufacturing / Industrial Goods Med Difficult 8 Keep-it-Fresh Agri-business Difficult Med 9 Plaque to the Future Healthcare Difficult Med 10 Goals for Growth Non-profit Med Med 11 New York Shmankees Sports / Entertainment Med Easy 12 Pencils & Backpacks Strategy Difficult Difficult 13 Dreaming A Better Future Strategy Difficult Difficult 19 “Greatest Hits” Case List Case # Name Industry Qual Quant 18 Queen Bae Consumer Products Medium Medium 19 Nautical Nonsense Consumer Products Medium Easy 20 High Strung Entertainment Difficult Medium 21 Sardine Airlines (‘16-17) Transportation Medium Medium 22 Fringe Science (‘17-18) Healthcare Difficult Medium 20 Outsourced Favorites Case List Case Name School Year Industry Qual Quant Fireproof Darden 2018-2019 Manufacturing Medium Medium Copier Co Darden 2018-2019 Consumer Easy Difficult Dark Sky Kellogg 2018 Aerospace & Defense Medium Medium Health Coaches Kellogg 2018 Heathcare Difficult Difficult Winter Olympics Bidding Kellogg 2018 Media Medium Difficult Chic Cosmetology Kellogg 2018 Education Difficult Difficult Sell Oil & Co Tuck 2018 Oil & Gas Difficult Difficult Museum Of Fine Arts Tuck 2018 Non-Profit Difficult Difficult Nutters of Savile Row Tuck 2018 Consumer Difficult Medium Refrigerated Foods Company Tuck 2018 Consumer Medium Medium 21 XY Inbev Industry: Food & Beverage Case Type: M&A Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Easy Qualitative Level: Easy 22 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time you disagreed with your manager. What did you do? – Be specific – Use linear structure to tell story – Clearly articulate YOUR contributions – Prove strong performance via results Question 2: • Tell me about a time you had to persuade people under challenging circumstances. – Use the CAR Framework: Challenge – Action – Results 23 XY Inbev Prompt #1: • Your client, XY Inbev, is a multinational drink and brewing company. About a decade ago, XY acquired a large competitor that made the company the market leader, but also left it with a massive debt. Today, XY’s growth strategy of acquiring competitors is nearing its limits as no large rivals remain to be taken over without goading competition authorities. The CEO has asked you to brainstorm some new strategies for the company. Case Background: • Company information: – Headquartered in Belgium. XY has extremely established brands in developed markets, but less established brands in emerging markets. – Owns entire supply chain for all products. – Debt from the acquisition is estimated to be $90M. Investors’ concerns about debt have caused company shares to steadily decrease over the past three years. • Industry/Competition information: – XY is the market leader by a long shot and generates half the industry’s global profits. • Product information: – XY’s beverages include both alcoholic drinks (beer, cider, hard seltzer ONLY) and non-alcoholic drinks (energy drinks, sodas ONLY). – XY’s most popular beverage line is beer; it sells ~650 beer brands in 150 countries. 24 XY Inbev Framework Example Buckets: Internal Improvements - Value chain review of key strengths & weaknesses (ex. marketing, sales, HR) - Operating model review (cost savings, operational efficiencies) - Minimize Debt (ex. adjust dividend payments, divest assets) External Growth - New beverages (ex. tea) - New industry (ex. food) - New customer segments or channels (B2B, B2C, online) - Partner with another company to expand into Emerging Markets Risks / Other Considerations - Government regulation blocks (federal/international) - New Dis-synergies (ex. lost customers) - Brand fit - Competitor response to change - Acquire small startups entering the space 25 Exhibit #1 XY Inbev Beverage Lines 50 Percentage of XY Total Profit 45 Beer 40 35 30 25 20 Energy Soda 15 10 Cider Hard Seltzer 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 Projected Annual Growth Rate (%) Note: Bubble size corresponds to percentage of global consumption of beverage. 26 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • The CEO has decided to prioritize reducing the company’s debt and wants to divest some brands within one of the five main beverage lines. • Exhibit #1 represents each of the beverage lines’ percentage of total profit, projected annual growth rate (in revenues), and percentage of global consumption. • If the candidate asks, XY has many brands within each of these beverage lines. The actual numbers are irrelevant here. • If the candidate asks, the CEO is mainly focused on the $90M debt from the prompt. • Candidate should recognize general trends can be realized without calculations but may ask if calculations are necessary. • Ideally move on when candidate asks for more information on the breakdown of beers by profits • Basic: – Although beer makes up the greatest % of XY’s profits, it has the lowest projected growth rates. – Hard seltzer has the highest projected annual growth rate and decent global consumption, so XY should not consider divesting here. – Soda makes up the least of XY’s profits, but has a relatively decent amount of global consumption, so it could be another area to continue exploring. • Second Order Insights: – There is a sizable gap between beer’s projected annual growth rate and the rest of the beverage lines. From the prompt, we know the CEO is concerned about future growth strategies, so the beer beverage line is worth exploring. – Even though beer makes up the greatest % of profits, we should explore divesting some non-core brands that are underperforming. Candidate may ask for profit margins by beer brand to determine underperformers. – Candidate may tie trends together by hypothesizing that slower beer growth rate could be in part due to consumers replacing beer with substitutes like hard seltzer. 27 Exhibit #2 XY Inbev Beer Brand Valuations 35 .9 36 .95 1.0 0.9 0.8 30 24 25 0.7 24 0.6 20 0.5 15 0.4 .2 10 5 0 .1 Brand 1 0.3 .2 7 0.2 3 Brand 2 Brand 3 Brand 4 Brand 5 Acquisition Premium Current Value of Brand ($M) 40 0.1 0.0 Acquisition Premium Current Value of Brand 28 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #2 Exhibit #2 Guidance: Analysis: • Once candidate has asked for more information on XY’s beer line, provide Exhibit #2. • Basic: • XY’s internal strategy team has identified five beer brands they are open to divesting. The CEO wants to divest as few brands as possible. • Exhibit #2 provides a deeper dive into XY’s beer line. It shows the five identified beer brands’ current value and acquisition premium. • If candidate is unsure, tell them that the acquisition premium represents the increased cost of buying the brand. – This exhibit requires the candidate to calculate the expected value of each brand. – Allow candidate to round. – To calculate, multiply the current value by acquisition premium + 1: 1: $36M * 1.1 = $39.6M 2: $24M * 1.2 = $28.8M 3: $24M * 1.2 = $28.8M 4: $7M * 1.9 = $13.3M 5: $3M * 1.95 = $5.85M • Second Order Insights: – If candidate is not careful, he or she might try to multiply the current value and the acquisition premium. This is incorrect because this would mean that the brands are discounted. – Brands 2 and 3 are worth the same, do NOT recalculate. 29 Brainstorming Prompt: • What are some risks that XY faces in divesting? Analysis: Ideas may include: • Internal Strategy – – – – Change in cost structure (ex. stranded costs) Additional administrative costs Loss of talent Negative impact on employee morale • External Strategy – – – – – – Loss of strategic business Loss of scale/scope Loss of market share / position in market Negative market reaction Negative press coverage Regulatory constraints 30 XY Inbev Recommendation • The CEO needs your recommendation for her meeting with the Board now. What are your findings? Risks and Next Steps: • Recommendation: XY Inbev can resolve the $90M outstanding debt from a major acquisition by divesting Beer Brands 1, 2, and 3 for ~$100M. • Risks include stranded costs, failed deals, loss of scope, market reaction (clients, customers, etc.) • Next Steps include establishing a sell-side team to strategize timing and implementation steps needed to maximize value, meeting with investment banking team to find the best buyers and planning for de-integration. 31 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Average Candidate Assessment Candidate forgot to address CEO’s debt concern in framework and needed interviewer prompting throughout each exhibit to get to key insights. Candidate may need coaching to determine the appropriate calculation. This is good practice to make sure candidate is coachable and doesn’t become flustered. Good Candidate Candidate addressed CEO’s debt concern in framework. Candidate multiplied numbers in Exhibit 2 or needed prompting to get through Exhibit 2. Gets to most second-level insights. Structures the brainstorm similar to framework. Excellent Candidate Candidate addressed CEO’s debt concern in framework, quickly drove to beer as a beverage line to investigate, and solved Exhibit 2 without prompting. Quickly gets to second-level insights. Introduced creativity and personal experience in both framework and brainstorm. 32 Paper Pricing Predicament Industry: Retail Case Type: Profitability Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Easy Qualitative Level: Easy 33 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time you drove a creative solution to a problem. Question 2: • Tell me about a time you had to build consensus on a team. 34 Paper Pricing Predicament Prompt #1: Complete Foods, a leading supermarket prominent across the U.S., is planning to release a private label line of paper towels. They currently sell fresh and shelf-stable grocery products as well as some common household items such as hand soap and kitchen supplies. Some of these products are brand names and some are private label. The CMO has asked your team to think through the pricing strategy for the new line. Case Background: • Complete Foods has 50 stores across 10 metropolitan areas, scattered across the United States. • Complete Foods only stocks products that are free from artificial colors, flavors, and preservatives. • Last year, Complete Foods brought in revenue of $200M. • Compare Foods already produces private label grocery products but no private label household goods. • Private label means products that are produced by the same company that is selling the products. These paper towels will be produced by Complete Foods and only sold in Complete Foods stores. 35 Paper Pricing Predicament Framework Buckets: An example framework could be as follows: • Who are the competitors? (Competitors) (Hand them exhibit #1 if the interviewee asks about the market landscape or the competitors) – Who are the other brand name competitors – What are the price points for the brand name competitors – Reactions from competitors having a new private label brand on the shelf • Potential lost sales • What is Compare Foods concerned about? (Company) – Cost of supplies (Paper, cardboard, plastic) – Number of varieties that will be offered – Supply Chain • Establishing a new household goods supply chain separate from existing grocery supply chain – Sourcing • Having to establish new supplier relationships separate from grocery suppliers • Who are the customers? (Customers) – Total market size of paper towels – Elasticity of paper towels – Customer preferences for non-artificial ingredients in their paper towels 36 Exhibit #1 + Paper Towels Market Landscape $5.00 Brand 2 Price (per 75-sheet two-ply roll) $4.50 $4.00 Brand 4 $3.50 $3.00 Brand 3 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 Brand 1 $1.00 $0.50 $0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Brand Perception Score* *Brand Perception Score comes from a third-party survey across the CPG industry. +Only focused on 75-sheet two-ply paper towel rolls 37 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: • This is a scatterplot where the: – X-axis represents the brand perception score (if the interviewee asks, the scores come from a nationally distributed CPG brand perception survey that the firm has access to) – Y-axis represents the price for one roll of two-ply 75 paper towels (assumed that these are the prices at one store) – brands are ones that are sold at Complete Foods. – Size are the dots are all the same so there is no analysis in the size of dots. Analysis: • The current market landscape of Complete Foods’ offerings of paper towels is 4 brands, split in terms of price and quality. 2 brands are cheaper and have lower brand quality perception scores while the other two are more expensive and are perceived to have higher brand quality. • There is a direct correlation between brand perception and price. • The interviewee should recognize that there is room for a mid-range brand quality perception, moderately priced in between the bottom two brands and the top two brands. • After recognizing where Complete Foods’ brand can fit in, the interviewee should move on to figuring out the costs and markup for the new product. 38 Exhibit #2 Producer Production Cost (per sheet) Quality Paper Producer AA $0.02 LOW Paper Producer BB $0.035 MEDIUM Paper Producer CC $0.04 MEDIUM 39 Exhibit #2 (For Interviewer) TO BE READ ORALLY TO THE INTERVIEWEE IMMEDIATELY Producer Production Cost (per sheet) Quality Paper Producer AA $0.02 LOW Paper Producer BB $0.035 MEDIUM Paper Producer CC $0.04 MEDIUM ONLY PROVIDE THE FOLLOWING INFO ONCE ASKED FOR BY THE INTERVIEWEE Packaging Producer Production Cost (per roll) Quality Producer DD $0.19 HIGH Producer EE $0.16 MEDIUM Producer FF $0.12 LOW Shipment Company Shipping Cost (per roll) Shipment Company GG $0.05 Shipment Company HH $0.025 Shipment Company II $0.08 Average Industry Markup per roll: 30% 40 Exhibit #2 Interviewee should only focus on medium or high-quality producers rather than all suppliers. Paper Producer BB + Shipping Company HH $2.625 + $0.025 = $2.65 Paper Producer CC + Shipping Company HH $3.00 + $0.025 = $3.025 +Tube Producer DD + $0.19 = $2.84 +Tube Producer DD + $0.19 = $3.215 +Tube Producer EE + $0.15 = $2.80 +Tube Producer EE + $0.15 = $3.175 Final Price Recommendation: $2.80 x 30% upcharge (1.3) = $3.64 41 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #2 Guidance: • ONLY SHOW THE ONE TABLE TO THE INTERVIEWEE AND KEEP THE FULL EXHIBIT TO BE READ ORALLY. • This information should give everything the interviewee needs to calculate the product and shipping costs to Complete Foods as well as the average markup which will result in the recommended price that Complete Foods should charge. • The first table details the price per sheet of paper towel by producer and by quality. In order to calculate the price per roll, the interviewee should recall we are looking at 75 sheet rolls so they should multiple the cost/sheet by 75. • The following two tables should only be provided once the interviewee asks for information about the paper towel packaging, shipping costs and the average markup per roll. Analysis: • The interviewee should only focus on medium and high-quality suppliers as we assessed in the market landscape. Besides that qualification, it is safe to assume they should go with the cheapest option. • Advanced interviewees will understand there may be other factors we are not considering in this analysis, such as the speed of the shipment companies. • The final recommended price should be $3.64 for one 75-sheet paper towel roll. 42 Brainstorming Prompt: • What other considerations outside of price should Complete Foods think about when introducing a new product line into their stores? Analysis: • Analysis of brainstorming could look like the structure below but there are many ways to build this out. – Internal considerations • • • • • How to promote the product Types of sales promotions (if any) Making shelf space for the product Making space in storage warehouses Ability to make other products with the same value chain (toilet paper, printing paper, etc) – External considerations • • Contracts with competing brands Ordering quantities from competing brands now that there is an additional brand 43 Case Name Recommendation • The CMO requests an update on the status of the project and would like to hear some preliminary thoughts. What is your recommendation? Risks and Next Steps: Risks: • Manufacturers may not be able to support the volume that Complete Foods is requesting. • There may be unassessed differences in the suppliers, like supplier speed or reliability. • Competitors may be upset that the brand is moving into their product line and taking up shelf space. Next Steps: • Get additional data points from the suppliers to continue to differentiate and ensure reliable service. • Start planning shelf space agreements with other brands. • Start working on marketing and sales plans. 44 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate • Assumes they understand unfamiliar terms and asks few clarifying questions • Framework is generic and does not address any specifics about the grocery or CPG industry • Struggles to connect the key relevant details across the exhibits such as how many sheets are in a roll or quality of product but understands the missing pieces once told. • Calculates every combination of suppliers’ costs and does not narrow only to medium quality suppliers. Good Candidate • Asks some clarifying questions about unfamiliar prompt and terms • Framework includes some specific items relevant to the grocery and CPG industries • Understands the different pieces that go into the paper towel roll production process and asks for the missing pieces to the calculation • Able to brainstorm a few other considerations after launching the paper towel line. Excellent Candidate • Constantly asks clarifying questions to understand unfamiliar terms such as private label • Candidate is very industry and product specific, drawing from personal experiences to inform business considerations. • Able to quickly recognize the missing pieces to the calculation of costs and then upcharge % to come to a clear recommended price. 45 Take Inc. Industry: Tech Case Type: Profitability Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Easy 46 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time that you had to make a decision without complete information/enough data. Question 2: • What is your proudest accomplishment to date? 47 Take inc. Prompt #1: Hyper is a mobile application that connects drivers with passengers. Launched successfully in 2010, it has been experiencing declining profitability for the last year. The COO of Take has requested your services to understand why. Case Background: Background information: Client/Company information – Headquartered in California; Services all of North America Industry/Competition – One new entrant, Elevate, entered the market in 2013 Product information – Mobile phone application for all operating systems that needs to be downloaded by passenger to link up with drivers in the neighborhood Value Chain – Pricing is based on a proprietary algorithm which looks at supply of drivers, demand of passengers and length of demanded trip; Drivers are not permanent employees of the Take, simply contractors Revenue – Ride fares and transaction fees 48 Take inc. Framework Buckets: Ride Revenue Price/Fare • Algorithmbased (supply, demand, ride length) • Qualitybased pricing Quantity • # of rides: by length, time, area • # of passengers: by location / customer type (business, leisure) Macro factors Take inc. Costs Fixed Variable • New investments • Commission paid to drivers • Corporate office space (rent) • Tech infrastructure costs • Marketing and advertising to acquire new customers and drivers • Inflation • Weather/Climate • Economic Downturn • Competition (direct, public transit, scooters) • Regulatory issues • Salaries • Insurance 49 Exhibit #1 Take’s financials since launch1 140 500 450 120 400 100 350 300 80 250 60 200 150 40 100 20 50 0 0 2012 1 2013 2014 2015 2016 Costs Revenue 2017 Profit 2018 2019 2020 Quarterly Revenue Costs, Revenue, and Profit Figures are in Millions of Dollars Legend Winter Spring Summer Fall 50 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: • Interviewer should ask candidate to calculate number of rides undertaken by Take in 2014 – (DON’T PROMPT – Candidate should ask for the following details) • Average price of rides in 2014: $15 • Interviewer should ask candidate to calculate the total number of customers who have taken rides in 2014 – (DON’T PROMPT – Candidate should ask for the following details) • Average number of rides taken per customer in 2014: 50 • Interviewer should ask candidate to calculate the total number of customers who have taken rides in 2016 Analysis: • Candidate should point out that: – Basic: Profits are flat because: • Costs continue to rise • Revenues grow a slower rate after 2014 - Second order insights: • Costs are rising at a constant rate; this rate is the same rate that revenues are growing from 2014 • Slower revenue growth in 2014 could be attributed to new entrant Elevate • Public Math analysis: – # of rides taken in 2014: 300,000,000/$15 = 20,000,000 – Total # of customers who have taken rides in 2014: 20,000,000/50 = 4,000,000 51 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: • Interviewer should ask candidate to calculate number of customers who took rides in 2018 – (DON’T PROMPT – Candidate should ask for the following details) • Average price of rides in 2018: $10 more than in 2014 ($25) • Average number of rides per customer in 2018: Remains the same (50) Analysis: – Total # of rides taken in 2018: 400,000,000/$25 = 16,000,000 – Total # of customers who have taken rides in 2018: 16,000,000/50 = 3,600,000 – Second order insights: • Decrease in number of customers by 20% compared to 2014 10% • Compare number of customers to total population to understand penetration rates • Candidate should hypothesize that the $10 price increase likely impacted volume negatively • Candidate may also wonder if new entrants have undercut them in price, causing Take to lose customers 52 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: • After further analysis, the COO concluded that it was losing customers to Elevate and needed to find a solution to retain customers. How can Take accomplish this? Keep Existing Customers: Loyalty/Rewards/Points Program; Access to special offers or deals (X rides for $Y); Credit card partnerships; personalized deals based on customer profile/data Gain New Customers: Location-based targeted advertising; Referral program w/ unique codes; discounts for students, corporations, launch in new cities Example Bucket #1: New vs. Existing Customers Example Bucket #2: 4Ps of Marketing Advertising (Promotion): Targeted based on location/customer profile/media type; advertising campaigns against Elevate Pricing: Discount codes; referral discounts; loyalty program; partnerships with bars, events, etc. Competitive pricing Product: Accessibility on more operating systems (Android, iPhone); feature updates and enhancements Placement: Expansion into other cities, countries. Second Order Insights: Include risks such as competitor retaliation, price wars, increase costs of customer acquisition costs and marketing and potential low ROI 53 Take inc. Recommendation • Based on this information, the COO of Take is ready for your recommendation. Risks and Next Steps: Take has seen a declining profitability due to a 10% decrease in ride volume by losing customers to Elevate. Recommendation is to implement a marketing campaign to acquire new customers and recurring revenue from existing customers. • Risks – Costly to implement marketing and advertising – Long-term sustainability, potential entry from against other new entrants – Lack of internal technological infrastructure to implement solution end-to-end • Next steps: – Understand costs related to launching marketing plan and explore grassroots or organic (unpaid) options – Synergy mapping to decrease costs in other ways 54 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate - Framework included Revenues and Costs Cleared exhibit with first order insights Math was directionally correct Detailed brainstorm Good Candidate - MECE Framework covered Revenue, Costs and Other considerations Asked relevant clarifying questions Related prompt back to personal experience with ride hailing Cleared exhibit with first order insights Math was precise and correct Detailed brainstorm with MECE buckets Synthesized all parts of the case for recommendation with risks and next steps Made recommendation case specific - Excellent Candidate - MECE Framework covered Revenue, Costs and Other considerations Asked relevant clarifying questions Cleared exhibit with second order insights Math was precise and correct; drew out implications and second order insights Detailed brainstorm with MECE buckets, with a focus on how to implement each brainstorm idea Synthesized all parts of the case for recommendation with risks and next steps Made recommendation case specific Drove case with minimal prompting 55 A-Plus School District Industry: Education Case Type: N/A Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium 56 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time when you had to persuade a team to take a specific action. Question 2: • How would you describe your leadership style? How do you want to grow as a leader? 57 APSD Prompt #1: • Your client is A-Plus School District (APSD), a large public school district in the Southeast United States. A-Plus’ superintendent has been concerned about complaints from parents and community leaders regarding unacceptable student test scores on the end-of-year exams. The superintendent has engaged your firm to recommend changes to improve student test scores and ensure all students are academically successful. Case Background: – APSD School District serves a little over 38,000 students – The superintendent wants to implement changes as quickly as possible – Students in 3rd-10th grade take end-of-year exams to determine their proficiency in reading, math, and science – Proficiency is defined as student meeting 70%+ of the learning objectives for their grade-level 58 APSD Framework Buckets: In School • Teacher quality – experience, certification, training completed • Student teacher ratio • Student schedule optimization • Tutoring program • Discipline issues • Curriculum quality • Student absenteeism • Optimize spending – focus on items that impact student learning directly • IEP/Disability accommodations • ESOL/language considerations Outside of School • Internet access for students • Parental involvement • Understanding of content • Helping with homework • Community organization involvement • Student commitments (i.e. needing to take care of family/siblings, job, etc.) • Sports, arts, religion, other extra curriculars 59 APSD Prompt #2: • The superintendent’s office has shared student achievement data from the last three years. What insights could you draw to help APSD? Case Background: • Students in kindergarten, 1st , 11th , and 12th grade do not take end of year assessment • The school configuration is as follows: elementary school (1st-4th grade), middle school (5th-8th grade), and high school (9th – 12th grade) 60 Exhibit #1 Grade Reading Math Science 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 3 90 91 89 81 87 83 79 70 81 4 89 91 97 76 80 78 76 75 80 5 89 78 57 67 64 60 78 74 73 6 76 55 52 67 65 65 70 71 65 7 67 60 45 50 56 45 40 56 35 8 68 67 57 66 61 61 56 50 55 9 90 87 91 78 79 81 78 78 79 10 89 87 92 98 89 91 87 88 89 % of students scoring proficient or advanced on end-of-year exams, APSD 2018-2020 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibits Guidance: • This exhibit allows the participant to determine which grade is seeing major issues with test scores. • Calculation is not necessary; however the candidate should be able to digest large quantity of information quickly to draw inference. • It’s important for the candidate to have a structured approach to walking the interviewer through the exhibit. For example, they could go through each grade one at a time and determine low performance, or they go through each content area one at a time. Analysis: • Analysis for the exhibit has two parts – – Basic: • Basic response should highlight grades 5-8 having performance issues with a hypothesis to investigate further. – Second order insights • An advanced candidate will determine that grades 5-8 is likely a school configuration so their hypothesis will focus on systemwide next steps. For example, comparing student teacher ratios for grades 1-4, 5-8, and 9-12. 62 APSD Prompt #3: • Based on the student enrollment and the number of teachers per grade band, what inference could you draw? The interviewer should not have to ask this question directly to the candidate who is doing a good job driving the case. Provide Exhibit # 2 as part of “next steps” from Exhibit 1. Case Background: • Hiring a new teacher would cost $50K/year • Assistant superintendents for each grade bands control the budget for their respective grade band • Rose Bud and Silver Springs are considered comparable school districts 63 Exhibit # 2 1st-4th grade 5th-8th grade 9th-12th grade # of # of # of # of # of # of students teachers students teachers students teacher APSD 12000 600 12650 550 11400 570 Rosebud Silver Springs 10250 500 10200 510 11000 550 14400 720 13400 670 15000 750 64 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Analysis: Exhibits Guidance: • This exhibit allows the candidates to determine student-to-teacher ratio, one of many indicate that could be used to determine education quality in K-12 schools. • Candidate should divide the number of students by the number of teachers for each grade band for each school districts. Calculation results: 1st-4th APSD Rosebud Silver Spring 5th-8th 9th-12th 20 23 20 20.5 20 20 20 20 • For this exhibit, the candidate should be quickly be able to compare the student to teacher rations for each of the school district and grade bands to determine that APSD has a very high student-to-teacher ratio. The next step that could be proposed could be: – Examining how teachers are distributed across grades in APSD – What budgetary changes need to be made to hire new teachers for 5th-8th grade 20 65 APSD Prompt #4: • Provide Exhibit # 3 as next step from Exhibit 2. If they don’t ask for budget dollar amounts, they should be provided. Also, candidate should mention risks associated with moving budget around, but they might need to be prompted. Case Background: • Hiring a new teacher would cost $50K/year • Assistant superintendents for each grade band control the budget for their respective grade bands • Rose Bud and Silver Springs are considered comparable school districts • Annual budget for each grade bands with APSD: – Grades 1-4: $60M – Grades 5-8: $60M – Grades 9-12: $57M 66 Exhibit # 3 Budget Category 1st-4th grade 5th-8th grade 9th-12th grade Academics 20% 17% 15% Teacher salaries 50% 45% 50% Administration 10% 17% 10% Athletics 1% 1% 8% Arts and activities 5% 5% 5% Transportation 10% 9% 10% Building/maintenance 2% 2% 0% Building construction 0% 2% 0% Other 2% 2% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 67 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibits Guidance: There are multiple ways to approach this exhibit. One possible method: for 5th-8th grade, take 7% of admin budget and move it to teacher salary • Calculations: ($60M)(0.07)=$4.2M additional funding for teachers • Each new teacher costs $50K so the # of new teachers that could be hired = • $4.2M/$50K=84 • New student to teacher ratio = • 12650 students/(84 new teachers + 550 current teachers) = 19.95:1 (rounded at 20:1) • Note that the candidate may suggest other possible methods including raising APSD’s 58th grade budget from 45% to 50% to match other grades. Prompt them to think about whether this would be enough of a budget change to make an impact on student to teacher ratio. Analysis: • Analysis for the exhibit to have 3 parts – – Basic: Basic response will mention moving budget around to increase spending on 5th-8th grade teachers. They will need to prompted to determine if it’s feasible to bring down the student to teacher ratio to 20:1. – Second order insights: Candidate should ask for raw $ amount and use it to calculate the number of teachers that could be hired to bring down the student to teacher ratio to 20:1. They should also provide risks associated with doing this. Risks could include: more discipline issues with fewer admins, teachers won’t get feedback as frequently as they should, schoolwide issues take longer to be resolved 68 APSD Recommendation • You bump into the superintendent at Starbucks and she asks for your recommendation. Recommendation, Risks and Next Steps: Recommend that APSD move 7% of the budget from admin costs to hire 84 new teachers. This will help bring down student to teacher ratio from 23:1 to 20:1. • Risks: – Impact of reducing admin budget (layoffs, slowed operations) – Supply and quality of teachers (it might be really challenging to find those to teach 5-8th grade) – Timing – how quality can we find, hire, and train • Next steps: – Determine which admin positions could be terminated without adverse impact on student learning – Work with the school board to approve hiring plan 69 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate Average candidate attempts to use traditional consulting structure to solve the case. They need to be prompted to calculate the number of teachers that could be hired through budget changes. They provide good conclusion, but the risks or next steps aren’t case specific. Good Candidate A good candidate will attempt to use a unique and context specific framework. They will drive the case from the beginning to the end, but will need prompting to consider risks associated with making changes to the education system. Excellent Candidate An excellent candidate uses a context specific framework. They drive the case from the beginning to the end and discuss unique risks associated with making changes within a school district. They also provide solid top-down conclusion using numbers from the case, and provide context specific risks and next steps. 70 Mischief Managed Industry: Finance – Private Wealth Case Type: Growth Strategy Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium 71 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • How do you maintain balance in your work and personal life? What strategies have been successful in helping you organize your time? Question 2: • Give me an example of a time that you showed resilience in your previous role? What was the situation and how did you persevere? 72 Mischief Managed Prompt #1: • After successfully servicing the needs of ultra-high net worth individuals in the Atlanta area for ten years, our client, Smith Wealth Management (SWM), is looking to expand geographically. Specifically, the CEO of SWM has brought you in to recommend a plan of action for evaluating potential expansion opportunities. How would you approach both sizing the market and making a final recommendation on an expansion strategy? Case Background: • Background information to be divided into these categories: – Client/Company information • SWM provides holistic wealth management services, including fixed income, public and private equity investing. Unlike some of their competitors, they do not provide ancillary legal or tax services. • SWM has $10B AUM (assets under management) across 500 clients. They have a minimum of $5M investable assets and the average account size is $20M (candidate should also be able to quickly calculate this). SWM’s charges an average advisory fee of 1% ($10B x 1% = $100M in annual revenue) No clear revenue or AUM goal but candidate should be able to contextualize the opportunity size to decide if expanding is worthwhile. • • – Industry/Competition information • The wealth management space is highly competitive, with both large players (ex: Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan) and smaller, more niche and local firms competing for the same clients. – Product information • SWM offers access to fixed income and equity mutual funds, ETFs, and separate accounts, as well as alternative investment vehicles such as hedge funds and private equity funds. 73 Mischief Managed Framework Example Buckets: Opportunity Size Competition Demand for wealth management services # of existing wealth management firms # of potential clients Market share Average per capita wealth Market Similarities Geographical or demographic similarities that indicate one market could make more sense than others? (For ex, Dallas and Atlanta share similarities in size and lifestyle that NYC and Atlanta do not.) Regulations Financials Potential revenue (average account size, client fees) Investment/start up costs (ex: hiring costs, legal fees, marketing expense, etc.) On-going costs / overhead (building rental/lease, salaries, manager fees, advisory fees, etc.) Interview Guidance At its core, this case is about evaluating a new opportunity, while taking into account multiple factors that could make entry into a new region more/less attractive. Sample buckets and considerations are above. 74 Exhibit #1 Metro Population (M) % HNW Individuals Demand for PWM Services Est. Average Account Size ($M) Dallas 7 3% 5% 10 Nashville 2 3% 15% 4 San Francisco 5 5% 5% 7 1.5 2% 10% 12 City Raleigh Demand for PWM Services given as % of HNW Individuals 75 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • Analysis for the exhibit to have 2 parts • The interviewer should place the exhibit in front of the candidate and note that SWM has – Basic identified several potentially attractive markets • There are clear differences in all factors: population size, demand for services, considering the statistics shown in the table and estimated avg. account size • Candidate should analyze the data to calculate • Should be able to immediately eliminate the opportunity size in each location Nashville as a potential option given smaller population and low average • Once the candidate identifies Dallas and San account size Francisco as attractive opportunities, move • After calculating, should be able to into the brainstorm (what other factors should recommend Dallas given it has the largest opportunity size be considered when expanding into a new – Second order insights market) • Dallas, Nashville, and Raleigh all share • Math guidance: Metro Population x Dallas 7,000,000 Nashville 2,000,000 San Francisco 5,000,000 Raleigh 1,500,000 % HNW = 3% 3% 5% 2% Demand for PWM Potential #HNW x Services = Market Size x 210,000 5% 10,500 60,000 15% 9,000 250,000 5% 12,500 30,000 10% 3,000 Avg. Account Opportunity Size = Size 10,000,000 105 B 4,000,000 36 B 7,000,000 87.5 B 12,000,000 36 B • some geographic or demographic similarities, that could make any of these a more natural choice than San Francisco regardless of market size Calls out other factors that could influence opportunity size: average fee charged per account, number of competitors, population growth, etc. à this should lead into the brainstorm! 76 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: • Although Dallas and San Francisco seems • Analysis of brainstorming to have 2 parts: to be attractive opportunities, what other – High level structure of the factors should be assessed when entering brainstorming, some potential options into a new market? include: • Internal vs. External • Note to interviewer: The candidate should • Revenue vs. Cost mention the competitive landscape in their – Specific details brainstorm, after taking them through the • Internal: Capacity to expand, hiring needs, full brainstorm, come back to this to move management structure, potential revenues to Exhibit #2. and costs • • • External: Competitors in market, expected population growth, health of economy overall, increased competition from “robo-advisors”, feasibility of traditional wealth management model Revenue: fees charged per account (do they differ across locations?), expected market share, competitors, etc. Costs: Overhead, expansion costs, regulations, etc. 77 Exhibit #2 Competitive Landscape Dallas Raleigh 22% 50% 13% 5% 10% Firm A Firm B Firm C Firm D Other 5% 30% 8% 17% 23% 10% 8% 70% Firm A Firm B Firm C Other Nashville San Francisco 17% 12% Firm A Firm B Firm C Firm D Firm E Other 10% 8% 7% 64% 3% 3% 5% Firm A Firm B Firm C Firm D Firm E Firm F Other 78 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #2 Exhibit #2 Guidance: Analysis: • After the candidate mentions competitors in the brainstorm, give the interviewee Exhibit #2 • The candidate should realize they need to analyze the competitive landscape in each location, strong candidates will also recognize that they should tie this information into the opportunity size values from Exhibit #1 • Additional information to provide: This market is highly competitive and onboarding a client can take up to a year; SWM believes they can capture 1% of the available market in their first two years after opening a new office • Note to interviewer: “Other” is a further indicator of opportunity size and indicates potential market share not currently covered by a competing firm • Math guidance: • Analysis for the exhibit to have 2 parts – Basic – In Dallas, $525M represents a ~5% growth opportunity based on SWM’s current AUM of $10B Dallas Nashville San Francisco Raleigh Available Opportunity Market Size x (rounded, %) = 105 B 50% 36 B 65% 87.5 B 20% 36 B 70% Available Market ($) x 52,500,000,000 23,400,000,000 17,500,000,000 25,200,000,000 1% Market Capture 525,000,000 234,000,000 175,000,000 252,000,000 • • • Each market has a different number of competitor firms so it’s necessary to do a competitive analysis San Francisco is clearly not an attractive market, as there are a number of entrenched competitors that dominate the market This confirms Dallas is an interesting opportunity for SWM, 50% of the market is still up for grabs ($1.8B based on previous calcs.) – Second order insights • • Although San Francisco has the second biggest opportunity size (in $ terms), Raleigh could also be interesting as there are very few competitors with a large market share Nashville has the most competitors but no one firm has managed to secure more than 10% of the market, could this imply something deeper about the difficulty/feasibility of entering into this location? 79 Mischief Managed Recommendation • Your team is preparing to brief the CEO on your findings when she stops by the office a day earlier than anticipated, how would you summarize your findings to her? – A good recommendation will include the following actions: move forward with expansion into Dallas (if interviewee can justify a different city or not expanding at all, that’s ok too) – Interviewee should identify Dallas as the most attractive market and quantify the opportunity size ($525M in additional AUM, or 5.25% of current $) – Should also comment on the competitive analysis and how this confirms/changes the recommendation Risks and Next Steps: • Risks – Feasibility of gaining new clients and capturing market share from entrenched competitors (unlikely to gain all 50% of available market share) – This case focused on sizing the market, we have not yet assessed cost implications, could this analysis potentially change our recommendation? – Threat from low-costs “robo-advisors”, will people still want/need human advisors in 20 years? • Next Steps – Assess feasibility of expansion: costs of setting up new operations (overhead, labor, etc.) vs. expected revenue (number of expected clients * account size * fee charged to client) 80 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Average Candidate Assessment • • • • • Good Candidate • • • • Excellent Candidate • • • May ask some clarifying questions about the industry but afterward can put together a solid framework Needs prompting or significant correction on math calculations in Exhibit #1 Brainstorm is good but not case-specific, only addresses typical market entry factors Conclusion does include recommendation, but doesn’t effectively tie in both market size and competitive landscape Conclusion lists risks and next steps, but is not tailored to SWM specifically Identifies important areas to explore when considered a new market entry and drives the case forward from the framework Understands how to pull the information from Exhibit #1 together to calculate market size with no prompting Brainstorm is tailored to finance/private wealth management and adequately lists several factors to consider, especially the competitive landscape Conclusion references information from both exhibits appropriately Creatively addresses all potential factors in a market expansion and drives case forward with little interviewer prompting Calls out less-obvious factors that are private wealth specific: will SWM be able to charge the same fees to clients in each location? Are there additional factors such as age, employment, etc. that we haven’t fully considered yet? Appropriately quantifies the opportunity within the context of SWM’s business, at $3.6B, this would represent roughly 10% growth over the firm’s existing AUM, is that worth it? 81 East Oak Industry: Case Type: Led by: Quantitative Level: Qualitative Level: eCommerce Growth Strategy Interviewer Medium Medium 82 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Consulting is a very demanding and challenging job. How do you think you’ll deal with the demands of the work, and how has your experience prepared you for this? Question 2: • What has been your biggest accomplishment to date? 83 East Oak Prompt #1: Your client, East Oak, is a fast-growing retailer of modern home goods and furnishings. The company has seen tremendous growth over the past 5 years and is considering ways to continue this growth. The CEO is looking for our team to provide recommendations for how to achieve this. Case Background: • Existing Distribution Channels: Online-only, no physical brick-and-mortar stores • Value Chain: Fulfillment method is 100% dropship (does not own any inventory, purchases items from manufacturers and ships directly to the customer) • Competition: Some big box stores like Target and Amazon, but mostly higher-end retailers like West Elm and Crate and Barrel • Annual Revenue: $240M per year • Goal: Increase revenue by 10% (or $24M) • Marketplace: Currently only ships in the U.S. • Timeline: No specific, just as soon as possible 84 East Oak Framework Example Buckets: Revenue Growth for East Oak Furniture Price • • • • Product margins Price increases Shipping Range of products (low to high) Product Volume • Product mix / quality of assortment • Variety and product types • # of suppliers • # of styles • Top selling products • Product availability / stock Other • Improve user / customer experience • Web design • Faster shipping • Better customer service • Return policy • Virtual reality / AI • Brand partnerships, marketing Interviewer Framework Guidance: A basic revenue framework can look like the above or include a four P’s framework. Costs should not be included in framework since the prompt specifically asks about revenue growth. Candidate should pick where they would like to go next – interviewer can inform the candidate that we have more information on how East Oaks compares to competitors in Exhibit 1. 85 Exhibit #1 Consumer Ratings Dimension East Oak Competitor 1 Industry Average Product Quality 4.8 3.4 4.4 Customer Service 4.2 3.9 4.1 Product Selection 2.7 4.3 3.9 Price 3.3 3.4 3.8 Availability 4.1 4.7 4.3 Shipping Options 4.0 5.0 4.0 Average consumer rating (1=bad, 5=good) 86 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • Hand exhibit #1 to the interviewee and ask which dimensions East Oak should focus on. • Basic Insights – Candidate should immediately notice the three opportunity areas to be price, product availability, and product selection. East Oak is below competitor 1 and the industry average for these dimensions. – Candidate should also notice that East Oak succeeds at product quality and customer service – Candidate should realize a low score for price indicates that shoppers believe items are priced too high • Second Order Insights – Candidate may wonder if poor ratings for selection and availability are tied together and may propose solutions for how to improve those two dimensions 87 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: • What are some ways in which East Oak can improve on product selection and availability? • Brainstorm should be structured and include some of the following: Existing Supply Chain: – Working with suppliers to procure more product and reduce out of stocks – Hold inventory in warehouse – Use technology to improve inventory management – Increasing number of suppliers New Supply Chain: – Begin manufacturing own merchandise – Private label – Purchase a furniture supplier 88 Exhibit #2 Investment Options For East Oak Tech. investment for inventory management Acquire furniture manufacturer 11 9 3 10 25 Build manufacturing facility Acquire competitor 13 Private label products 14 20 17 4 NPV Project cost *Numbers are in millions 89 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #2 Exhibit #2 Guidance: Analysis: • Hand exhibit #2 and tell interviewee that the team has collected financial information on several options for improving product availability and selection. • If candidate did not ask earlier, he/she may ask the goal: 10% increase in revenue (or $24M) • The candidate should calculate a profitability ratio by taking NPV/cost of project • The candidate should then prioritize the projects and see which investments will reach the goal Calculations: (correct answers bolded) • • • • • Technology for inventory management: 11/3 = 3.66 Acquire furniture manufacturer 9/10 = 0.9 Build manufacturing facility: 25/20 = 1.25 Acquire competitor = 13/17 = 0.76 Private label products = 14/4 = 3.5 • Candidate may ask if there are any A very good candidate will immediately recognize that acquiring a furniture manufacturer or competitor will not get capital constraints: No a positive return, therefore those options can be passed over. Candidate should recommend moving forward with a technology investment for inventory management as well as creating a private label to capture an additional $25M An excellent candidate will continue driving the case by identifying any risks such as funding the investment (cash, debt) 90 Brainstorming #2 Prompt: Analysis: • The CEO agrees with your recommendation to proceed with a technology investment for inventory management as well as creating a private label. She is particularly interested in private labeling. What are some of the risks associated with this investment? Brainstorm should be structured and include some of the following: Manufacturing Risks: – Difficulty getting exclusivity rights to products – Will competition copy? Financial Risks: – Lower prices – Could potentially cannibalize sales of other higher margin products – Increase marketing spend $ Operational Risks: – Quality – might be lower – Design capabilities/expertise 91 East Oak Recommendation • You log on to Zoom happy hour early and the CEO joins immediately after. The happy hour starts in two minutes and she asks how your evaluation is coming along. Risks and Next Steps: [Resist the urge to give candidate a minute to collect thoughts] Strong recommendations include the following items or similar reasoning: East Oak should prioritize private labeling and a technology investment for inventory management to capture an additional $25M in revenue, which only slightly exceeds the goal of a 10% increase by $1M. Risks include: – Estimated return being lower than expected and potentially not meeting the $25M goal – Having enough cash or access to capital to fund investments – Potentially not seeing the return on investment as expected – Competitor response Next Steps/Mitigation: – Exploring suppliers for private labeling and technology platforms for investment – Sensitivity analysis on NPV and cost calculations 92 Behavioral Questions Question 1: If you’re hired at our firm, what would be your ideal first case? Question 2: Tell me about a time that you took a challenging situation and turned it into a positive one. 93 Roll ‘n Grind Prompt #1: Your client is Roll ‘n Grind (RNG), a manufacturing company that specializes in industrial roll grinding and servicing. The company prides itself on its strong reputation and commitment to customer service, but recently its clients have raised numerous complaints about on-time delivery of their rolls. The CEO has asked you find out what RNG should do to fix delivery time in order to maintain its reputation and client retention rates. [show photos on next slide] Case Background: • The interviewee will likely be unfamiliar with roll grinding and should ask for more information regarding the product and value chain. Additional background information: – Client/Company information: Roll ‘n Grind currently operates four plants in the eastern United States but serve a global client base. They are a privately held company that has been in business over 50 years. – Industry/Competition information: N/A – Product information: RNG manufactures large, metal rolls that are used by many industries for processing products, such as paper, paint, steel, textiles, and rubber. The rolls’ measurements must be extremely precise – up to a twentieth of an inch in accuracy – and require servicing to maintain these requirements over time. – Value Chain/Revenue information: RNG’s revenue streams include manufacturing new rolls and servicing rolls in use (which are shipped back to RNG for service). RNG has experienced customer complaints for both new and serviced rolls. 94 Roll Examples 95 Roll ‘n Grind Sample Framework Buckets: • There are many possible framework options. The interviewee should include both the supply chain as well as key factors in the manufacturing process. • Sample Framework #1: The candidate could do an internal/external framework, separating the internal issues into the two key components of the value chain: servicing and manufacturing: RNG (Internal) Manufacturing Servicing Raw materials sourcing Labor Custom vs standard rolls Workshop layout and operations efficiency • Delivery methods • Customer service • Pick up and delivery times • Materials and equipment needed for servicing • Labor needed for servicing • • • • Macro/Policy Factors (External) • Shortage of truckers available for hire in the industry • Location of plants to meet demand from customers • Hiring issues or high turnover with low unemployment rates 96 Roll ‘n Grind Sample Framework #2: • Sample Framework #2: Given that this is potentially an operations problem, the interviewee could outline the manufacturing process and indicate key considerations along each step Supply Chain • Raw materials inventory and delivery time • Number of suppliers • Geography of deliveries and customer complaints Manufacturing • Plant layout • Number of jobs assigned to each plant • Labor hours required • Bottlenecks in production Delivery • • • • Number of trucking partners Distance traveled for delivery Customer service Automated tracking information 97 Exhibit #1 Total Number of Rolls by Month Serviced Manufactured 18 9 January Historic Average Number of Days Spent Per Roll, by Plant February 20 8 March 19 10 22 April Manufacturing Servicing 8.2 7.7 8.2 7.9 4.2 2.9 PA GA 11 May 24 7 June 24 8 24 8 6.1 6.8 July KY AR August 16 18 September October 9 10 16 November 14 December 13 9 8 7 98 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • Read: The client sent over some data • First Graph: The candidate should recognize that servicing takes less time than manufacturing. There is from its four plants and corporate also more variation in servicing than manufacturing. office. However, this makes sense given that servicing jobs • Interviewer Guidance: The candidate are not as standard or predictable as manufacturing should notice that they can calculate new rolls. the total number of days used each • Second Graph: The candidate should notice that month for servicing and servicing does more volume than manufacturing. The candidate should also recognize that they have manufacturing. enough information to determine the capacity of the plant. If not, push them until they mention capacity of the Plant. 99 Math guidance on Exhibit 1 Math: Average Number of Days Per Roll: • Servicing: (4.2 + 2.9 + 6.1 + 6.8)/4 = 5 • Manufacturing : (8.2 + 7.9 + 7.7 + 8.2)/4 = 8 Analysis: • The candidate should notice that during the summer months, the plant is maxing out its capacity, likely the cause for the delays. Capacity for Manufacturing • 30 days / 8 days = 3.75 rolls per plant, per month • 3.75 rolls * 4 plants = 15 rolls per month Capacity for Servicing • 30 days / 5 days = 6 rolls per plant, per month • 6 rolls * 4 plants = 24 rolls per month 100 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: • What are some factors the company should consider to fix the capacity issue? • Sample brainstorm – Servicing • • • • • Consider on-site servicing for rolls with small maintenance issues Re-evaluate geography / which plants receive which rolls for servicing Space out servicing across the entire year instead of summer – provide incentives for customers to select new time frames that are different than what they’ve done in years past Forecast servicing needs at least one year in advance to accommodate traditional servicing as well as rolls that need servicing outside of traditional time frames Rent space from a similar company or competitor to deal with overflow in the summer months – Communication • • • Improve tracking system visibility for clients Set flags in internal platform to create more accurate servicing time estimates for customers Proactively reach out to customers about rescheduling sending rolls in for maintenance if issues arise 101 Roll ‘n Grind Prompt #2 • The team wants to explore renting out additional space during the spring/summer months. You’ve collected the following information. Which option is most the most sense financially? To be read to candidate: Option A Option B Monthly rent: $10,500 Additional delivery fees: Waived Fee per job: $2,000 per job Utilities per month: $5,500 Estimated jobs per month: 8 Monthly rent: Half of option A’s rent Additional delivery fees: $5,000 (total) Fee per job: $1,000 per job Utilities per month: $2,250 Estimated jobs per month: 8 102 Roll ‘n Grind Math Guidance for prompt #2 Option A Monthly Rent: $10,500 Fee per job: $2,000 per job Utilities per month: $5,500 Estimated jobs per month: 8 Calculations based on 4 months of use: (10,500+5,500)*4 = $64,000 in rent and utilities + $2,000*8= $16,000 in job fees =$80,000 total cost Option B Monthly Rent: half of option A’s rent Additional delivery fees: $5,000 (total) Fee per job: $1,000 per job Utilities per month: $2,250 Estimated jobs per month: 8 Calculations based on 4 months of use: (5,250+2250)*4 = $30,000 in rent and utilities + $1,000*8= $8,000 in job fees + $5,000 delivery fees =$43,000 total cost Guidance for prompt #2 Candidate should recommend moving forward with Option B since it is less expensive. A strong candidate will begin to question if this investment is if there is enough cash on hand to afford this or what the return on investment is. 103 Roll n’ Grind Recommendation • The RNG CEO is walking in the door. They want to know what you recommend to resolve the numerous customer complaints. • Candidate should recommend fixing the bottleneck issues by renting out space for $43,000 to handle overflow jobs during peak months. Risks and Next Steps: • Risks: – Quality of jobs that are completed in the rented facility – Competitor conflicts of interest – Return on investment of renting space • Next steps: – Calculate return on investment of renting space – Execute contracts with facilities and arrange proper hiring and training 104 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate General framework that highlights issues including delivery, manufacturing, and communication with customer. Needs additional prompting to calculate capacity and may struggle with the calculation. Good Candidate Drives to calculating capacity with some assistance from the interviewer. Framework and brainstorm are case-specific. Excellent Candidate Creates a framework that is tailored to roll grinding. Drives to (without prompting) calculating the capacity of the plant using the information provided, and recognizing the bottleneck in the summer months. Candidate finds creative ways to fix the capacity issue and provides a clear recommendation with next steps and risks. 105 Keep-it-Fresh Industry: Agri-business Case Type: Sustainability Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Difficult 106 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time you had a disagreement with your manager. Question 2: • Tell me about a time you dealt with an uncooperative team member. 107 Keep-it-Fresh Prompt #1: Your client is Keep-It-Fresh, a leading fresh fruit and vegetable wholesaler based in Atlanta, GA. Keep-it-Fresh has recently been acquired by a major impact investor, and has been asked by the new owner to improve its sustainability profile. The CEO of Keep-it-Fresh has asked your team to identify the key sustainability issues the company should be working on. Case Background: – Client/Company: Keep-it-Fresh is a vertically integrated wholesaler that operates farms and sells its fresh products to professional clients: supermarkets, restaurants and hotels. – Industry/Competition: Keep-it-Fresh is a top 3 US fresh produce wholesalers, with annual revenue of $300M. – Goal: The new owner wants to keep up the good financial returns, but is also concerned about the environmental and social footprint of its investment. Keep-it-Fresh already enforces best-in-class social practices (wages, paid overtime, health insurance, etc.), but nothing is done in terms of environmental sustainability – Timeline: Investor expects to see any sustainability plan to be implemented and show positive impact ASAP 108 Keep-it-Fresh Framework Example Buckets: Farming Storage + Warehousing Crops: type used (organic/GMO), resistance to climate Energy usage: Electricity, fresh produce refrigeration Water: water usage, sources of water, groundwater pollution Waste: Produce waste due to ineffective storage Land use: use of pesticides, use of fertilizers, land pollution Sales + distribution Other stakeholders Transportation: fuel consumption, atmospheric emissions, in-truck refrigeration efficiency Regulation: environmental regulations around pesticides, crops, emissions Lost sales from unsold fresh produce not accepted by clients (misfit fruits and vegetables), or from incorrect orders Activists and NGOs: rising concern for environmental issues in agriculture Framework Notes and Guidance: Keep-it-Fresh already has best-in-class social practices, therefore, strong frameworks should focus on environmental sustainability. Possible breakout of environmental issues along the value chain include Farming, Storage & Warehousing, Sales & Distribution, Other Stakeholders. Once the interviewee has covered potential environmental issues, hand out exhibit 1 109 Exhibit #1 Keep-it-Fresh’s Materiality Map High Level of Stakeholders’ Concern (external) A C B D E F A CO2 emissions B Produce waste C Pesticides usage D Groundwater pollution E Climate-resisting crops F Water usage Low Low Current or Potential Impact on business (internal) High Impact on business: potential effects of an issue on the company’s financials and/or operations. High impact means the issue we’re looking at is very important as it can change the company’s business model. 110 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: • The interviewee should be able to gather the information provided by the materiality map: – Materiality of a sustainability issue depends both on stakeholders’ level of concern and potential impact of the issue on the company’s business • If asked, interviewer can provide the following clarifications: – Produce waste refers to fresh fruits and vegetables lost, either during storage and transportation, or unsold – CO2 emissions are for the entire value chain: farming, storage, distribution • Once material issues are identified, move on to brainstorm #1. Analysis: • The interviewee should recognize that issues at the top right corner are the most important ones • Analysis for the exhibit to have 2 parts – – Basic: Pesticide usage and Produce waste are the most important environmental issues for both the company and its stakeholders. – Second order insights: interviewee should also identify CO2 emissions and groundwater pollution as material issues, but recognize that they should focus on pesticides and produce waste first • The interviewee should realize that the client can tackle each material issue identified in various ways. Strong candidate will begin to brainstorm without being prompted. 111 Brainstorming Prompt: • The CEO agrees with your analysis and has decided to focus on Pesticide usage and Produce waste. He asks your team to brainstorm ideas. • Interviewer asks the following questions to candidate, sequentially: – How can Keep-it-Fresh reduce pesticide usage in its farms? – How can Keep-it-Fresh limit produce waste across its value chain? • After brainstorm, give Exhibit #2. Analysis: • The interviewee could mention several ideas focused on the two themes, including but not limited to: • Pesticides usage: – – – – Use natural pesticides Stop using pesticides Forbid usage of the most harmful pesticides Use resistant crops that do not need pesticides • Produce waste: – Donate unwanted produce to non-profit – Smart harvest to extend produce life after harvesting – Sell misfits instead of discarding them – Sell unwanted produce for animal feeding – Use unwanted produce for composting • Strong candidate will point out difficulties of each solution. 112 Exhibit #2 Projects Sustainability Rating NPV (in $M) Preparation time (weeks) Roll-out time (months) Project 1: Switch to natural pesticides Medium 7 20 12 -6 6 0 High Project 2: Donate unwanted fruits and vegetables to non-profits Project 3: Market misfit fruits and vegetables to avoid waste Medium 5 12 3 Project 4: Stop pesticide usage High 2 20 18 Project 5: Use unsold fruits and vegetables as compost Medium 3.5 10 2 Preparation time is the time Keep-it-Fresh needs to assemble a team, find partners, check legal requirements, make budget available, etc. Roll-out time is time needed to see first positive effect of the project 113 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #2 Guidance: Analysis: • Keep-it-Fresh has gathered information about selected projects to tackle the most important environmental issues it has identified. A rating agency has provided sustainability ratings for each project. Which project would you advise Keep-itFresh to implement? • If asked, provide the following clarifying information: • The interviewee should keep in mind that the investor wants to see results ASAP. • The interviewee should also note that preparation time is in weeks and roll-out time in months. • The interviewee should take into account NPV, timeframe and sustainability rating to select a project. Potential analysis include: – Sustainability rating measures the social and environmental impact of the proposed project (job created, number of beneficiaries, CO2 emissions avoided, etc.). The methodology behind the ratings is not relevant for this case. – A month is 4 weeks – Project 2 with negative NPV should be eliminated immediately. – Project 4 has high sustainability rating but low NPV and long timeframe – Project 1, 3 and 5 all have medium sustainability rating. Comparing timeframes and NPV, choose project 3 ( remember client wants results ASAP) • A strong interviewee would consider other implications of choosing Project 3. 114 Keep-it-Fresh Recommendation • The CEO of Keep-it-Fresh has asked you to present your sustainability plan to the impact investor. What is your recommendation? Risks and Next Steps: • Recommend getting misfit fruits and vegetables to market (project 3) with NPV of $5M and a 6 months timeframe (12 weeks + 3 months) • Potential risks include FDA regulation, cannibalizing current product lines, convincing current clients to buy produce they did not want before, finding new clients for the misfit fruits and vegetables • Next steps include sizing the market for misfit fruits and vegetables, quantifying the amount of misfit produce the company has on hand, building sales and marketing capacity 115 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate The interviewee creates a framework that covers limited potential sustainability issues and/or issues that are not specific to the client’s industry. Good Candidate The interviewee focuses on environmental issues but need prompting to get through exhibits and brainstorming. The interviewee confidently reason through exhibit#2, but omits risks and next steps in final recommendation. Excellent Candidate The candidate confidently analyses potential sustainability issues in his/her framework, demonstrate creativity when brainstorming ideas, and argues confidently his/her recommended project choice. The interviewee identifies potential risks and next steps. 116 Plaque to the Future Industry: Healthcare Case Type: Growth Strategy / M&A Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Difficult 117 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time when you were thrown into a unfamiliar situation and had to learn quickly. Question 2: • Discuss a time when you had to deliver difficult news in a professional environment. 118 Plaque to the Future Prompt #1: • Your client is the CEO of Bright Smile, Inc., a family-owned regional dental services organization (DSO), with annual revenue of $20M. Bright Smile has 40 dentist offices and provides a variety of services – annual cleanings, crowns, bridges, and limited orthodontic treatment. Over the last three years, growth has stalled and competition has stolen market share. • Our client has asked us to determine a growth strategy to make them the leading “full-service” dental organization Case Background: • Additional information given to candidate if asked: – “Full service” à offering checkups, filling, implants, bridges, crowns, cosmetic dentistry, including orthodontic treatment (such as Invisalign) and teeth whitening – Bright Smile offices are located in southeastern United States – Historically, Bright Smile has focused only on organic growth, building new offices – Revenue Mix: 25% hygiene (cleanings), 55% restorative work (crowns/bridges), 20% orthodontia – Market: Orthodontic treatment growing at 30% Y/Y in U.S., general dentistry flat Y/Y – Bright Smile’s board of directors does not want to build any new offices – No current information on current profitability – Goals: • Primary: Grow profit 2X in 3 years 119 Plaque to the Future Framework Buckets: • A good framework will include better understanding of the current dental market and competitive environment, current company operations, and assessing organic and inorganic growth strategies: – Market and Competition: market size of dentistry (both general and orthodontics), key DSO competitors and market share, macroeconomic factors, dental insurance coverage – Company Operations: Current product offerings, customer demographics, office personnel, existing marketing efforts, trended P&L, geographic locations – Organic Growth: Increase prices, add new products (e.g., teeth whitening, oral surgery, etc.), increase orthodontic treatments, increase customers, build new offices – Inorganic Growth: Acquisition of new dentist offices, joint ventures/partnerships with leading dental companies or dental schools – Risks: Regulatory, dental insurance, cyclical business, limited knowledge of new markets, no M&A history, telehealth gaining popularity • Once candidate has explained framework, provide Exhibits 1 and 2 at same time. • Exhibit Goal: Candidate should be able to see that larger competitors have bigger Orthodontic businesses and they should be able to calculate last year profit to help clarify goal of 2X profit is +$8 million in new profit in 3 years. • With clear understanding of both exhibits and other background information, candidate should desire to focus on organically growing Ortho business first. 120 Exhibit #1 Dental Services Organization – United States Market1 200 5% Number of Offices2 150 SmileLand Denistry Inc. Plaque Corp 100 Whiten BrushClean 50 Flossier Root LLC Happy Tooth Bright Smile NewDental 0 0 10 20 30 Bubble size indicates revenue % that comes from Orthodontic care3 60% 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Total Revenue (USD $M) 1 The dental service organization industry averages 30% of their revenue from orthodontic products. The larger industry players (>100 office locations) are all backed by private equity firms and have grown their market share through acquisitions. They have not built any offices organically. 3 Orthodontic care products include metal braces, clear aligners, and retainers. 2 121 Exhibit #2 Bright Smile, Inc. Company Overview Office Geography1 XXXXX Trended Revenue XXXXX 19.5 7.0 20.0 20.0 5.5 5.0 Product Profitability XXXXX 90 80 70 60 50 11.5 11.0 10.5 40 30 20 2.0 3.0 2017 2018 Orthodontic 1 Each dot represents 2 Bright Smile locations. 4.0 2019 10 0 2017 Restorative 2018 2019 Hygiene 122 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Guidance: • Additional guidance if candidate asks: – Smaller DSOs do grow their footprint organically – Orthodontic care includes metal braces, clear aligners, and retainers – All DSOs’ dentists have providers that are “in network” for all major insurance plans – General dentists can do orthodontic treatments Analysis: • Good candidate will notice that: – Larger DSOs have (a) more offices and (b) higher percentage of business from orthodontic care – Bright Smile is at lower end of market in offices and revenue – Top DSOs tend to be PE-backed • Great candidates will notice that: – Bright Smile’s ortho business (20%) is less than industry avg (30%) – Client does $500K in revenue per office while most competitors are between $750K and $2M per office 123 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #2 Guidance: • Additional guidance if candidate asks: – Hygiene – annual cleanings – Restorative – crowns, bridges, implants – Orthodontic – metal braces, clear aligners, retainers – Profit represents operating profit percentage (after COGS and OPEX but pre-tax) – Bright Smile has no offices outside the SE U.S. – Revenue is presented in USD millions – Far right graphic y-axis is margin % Analysis: • Good candidate will notice that: – Offices are all located in southeast – Ortho profitability higher than other products and only one growing year-over-year – Revenue relatively flat, all growth from Ortho rev • Great candidates will notice that: – Offices concentrated near large cities – Ortho business expanded from ~10% to 20% of business – Ortho is 20% of revenue but ~40% of profitability – Hypothesize that competitors have better margins if their ortho mix is higher than Bright Smile (leveraging Exhibit 1) • After assessing the exhibits, candidate should want to calculate total company profitability and determine that case goal is +$8 million in new profit in 3 years • Based on exhibits, candidate should want to explore organic growth impact of more orthodontic treatment. • Calculations shown on next page 124 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 and #2 calculations • Once finished with calculating current profitability and with other background info, candidate should want to organically increase Ortho business • Push candidate in this direction and if needed, ask candidate “If Bright Smile could organically shift its mix to industry Ortho average, what is impact on profit?” • Candidate could structure the math in the following way (okay to round if asked): – Assume revenue growth flat and 2019 profitability for next three years; candidate could combine hygiene and restorative in forecasted years given profitability is same for each segment (Exhibit 2) Hygiene Restorative Orthodontic Total Hygiene Restorative Orthodontic Total $ $ $ $ 2017 7.0 10.5 2.0 19.5 $ $ $ $ 2017 2.8 3.2 1.5 7.5 $ $ $ $ 2018 5.5 11.5 3.0 20.0 $ $ $ $ 2018 1.9 3.5 2.4 7.8 $ $ $ $ Revenue 2019 2020 5.0 $ 4.4 11.0 $ 9.6 4.0 $ 6.0 20.0 $ 20.0 $ $ $ $ Profitability 2019 2020 1.5 $ 1.3 3.3 $ 2.9 3.4 $ 5.1 8.2 $ 9.3 $ $ $ $ 2021 4.4 9.6 6.0 20.0 $ $ $ $ 2021 1.3 2.9 5.1 9.3 $ $ $ $ 2022 4.4 9.6 6.0 20.0 $ $ $ $ 2022 1.3 2.9 5.1 9.3 • After assessing that organic growth does not help company achieve growth goal (only $1.1M of $8M needed), they’ll want to refer back to framework on strategies. • Steer them to M&A as next direction if they don’t go there on own. 125 Exhibit #3 Ortho Park Root Canal LLC Happy Smile Family Dental California Dental Geography Canada MA, NY, CT, RI LA, AL, MS NC, VA, TN, WV, KY CA Total Revenue $20M $9M $10M $8M $6M Office Locations 60 30 25 20 10 General or Ortho Ortho General General General General Number of Employees 5K 1K 2K 1.5K 0.5K Forecasted CAGR 30% 5% 20% 25% 30% Profit % 30% 10% 25% 40% 50% Family Owned? No No Yes Yes Yes Ortho Rev $18M $1M $2M $3M $2M 126 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #3 Guidance: • Now that candidate wants to focus on M&A, ask “Which company would you want to pursue for acquisition?” • Additional guidance if candidate asks: – Revenue is 2019 revenue – General means hygiene and restorative dentistry; general dentists can do orthodontic treatment – CAGR = compound annual growth rate; projected 3-year CAGR provided – Profit is overall business profitability – Board of Directors only want to purchase one organization • Do not provide guidance on which categories are most important, let candidate narrow down which targets they want to focus on Analysis: • Good candidates will first want to narrow down their acquisition targets after reviewing data. Potential reasons for elimination: – Ortho Park because of Canada locations, Ortho dominant practice, larger than Bright Smile – Root Canal LLC because of low growth rate, low profitability, lowest Ortho business • Candidate could drive to other acquisition targets, but push candidate on clearly stating why they came to decision • Great candidates may also focus on and calculate “Ortho Revenue as % of Total” and “Revenue per Location” metrics for narrowing targets • Candidate will want to calculate 2022 profitability of remaining three targets – Calculations on next page 127 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #3 calculations • Candidate could structure the math in the following way (okay to round if asked): – Assume CAGR is 3-year revenue annual growth and that profitability remains same in 2022 – Candidate does not need to calculate Ortho Park or Root Canal LLC, but provided below in case they do Ortho Rev % of Total Rev per Location 2020 Revenue Est. 2021 Revenue Est. 2022 Revenue Est. 2022 Profit Estimate $ $ $ $ $ Ortho Root Canal Happy Family California Park LLC Smile Dental Dental 90% 11% 20% 38% 33% 333,333 $ 300,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 600,000 26.0 $ 9.5 $ 12.0 $ 10.0 $ 7.8 33.8 $ 9.9 $ 14.4 $ 12.5 $ 10.1 43.9 $ 10.4 $ 17.3 $ 15.6 $ 13.2 13.2 $ 1.0 $ 4.3 $ 6.3 $ 6.6 • Prior Gap: $6.9M of $8.0M needed • After math, candidate should notice that none of core M&A targets achieve the remaining gap; however, two targets are very close (Family Dental and California Dental) • Candidate should choose one of these to pursue. Push them on why they chose it • Next: Candidate will want to hypothesize other ways to achieve goal; initiate brainstorm if they don’t mention synergies on their own 128 Brainstorming Prompt: • Given that Bright Smile will be short of their profitability goal with the acquisition (either $0.3M or $0.6M dependent on which target they acquire), what are ways they can best capitalize on potential synergies from acquiring these new offices? Analysis: • Candidate could structure the brainstorm in several ways. Good candidate example: – Revenue synergies • • • Increase orthodontic care % (sharing best practices to existing offices) Additional customer base in new market Complimentary geographies or customers – Cost synergies • • • • • Consolidate corporate overhead (Finance, HR, Legal, etc.) Supply chain efficiencies (better procurement of dental equipment) Shared IT systems Lower salaries/wages; fewer employees Sales and Marketing efficiencies from economies of scale • Push candidate to keep coming up with new synergies several times 129 Plaque to the Future Recommendation • The CEO of Bright Smile wants an update from the team on proposed growth strategies. Please provide her with your recommendation(s). – Recommendation: Organically grow Orthodontic business to industry average and acquire Family Dental to expand customer base – Result: Grows profitability by $7.4M in 2022; slightly below goal but cost synergies could achieve remaining gap to $8M target • Great candidates will succinctly summarize their recommendation, impact for Bright Smile, and bring in info from the prompt, framework, or exhibits into recommendation Risks and Next Steps: • Risks: – – – – – No history of M&A Integration issues with another family-owned business in new market Synergies not realized Patients focus on direct-to-consumer and telehealth dental care in future Mindset shift of general dentists to do more orthodontic care • Next Steps / Mitigation Strategy: – Additional due diligence on Family Dental – Ortho training and education – Additional consumer marketing to target audience 130 Goals for Growth Industry: Social Enterprise/Sports Case Type: Growth strategy Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium *Note to interviewer: Please review this case thoroughly in advance. 131 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Why Fuqua? Question 2: • What achievement are you most proud of? 132 Goals for Growth Prompt #1: • Your client is Ligas Femininas F7 (LF7), a non-profit soccer league for women in Peru. Founder Alexandra Herrera (Fuqua ’20) set out to create a space for women to play recreational soccer, which didn’t exist anywhere in Peru prior to LF7. LF7’s mission is two-fold: 1) provide a safe space to women to play soccer and 2) to reduce harmful biases against women in Peru at large. • LF7 has been successful with revenue generation in its first few years; however, they need to increase their annual revenue by 20% to achieve their growth goals. The client is also interested in hearing your general thoughts on how to maximize the fulfillment of their mission given their resources. How do you recommend they achieve that goal? Case Background: • Background information to be divided into these categories – Founded 3 years ago—Founders are in place and provide leadership stability. – No notable direct competitors – LM7 facilitates regular season-long leagues, special leagues, and other activities. – Current revenue comes from 3 areas: player fees, sponsorship, and grants – They need to achieve the 20% revenue growth in the next 2 years. (ex. If revenue now is $1M they need to get to $1.2M two years from now.) – If the interviewee asks for more details on current revenue or “maximize their impact,” indicate there is no guidance on that at this time. – Please assume the general economy is normal (i.e. no pandemic) 133 Goals for Growth Framework Buckets: The interviewee should produce a revenue framework. Ideally the candidate will also do a second framework around most impact. Items in the framework(s) should be prioritized. Revenue • By business lines: Regular leagues, special leagues, other activities + something new e.g., Partnerships, etc. • By how the revenue is collected (By revenue stream), ex. Player fees, Sponsorship, Grants • Could be a build/borrow/buy or organic growth vs. inorganic framework too—ex. Can they merge with another organization or otherwise collaborate via a contractual arrangement. Maximize Impact • Interviewee could bucket the “impact” question into: • Safe space for women & reducing biases against women • OR Individual & societal impact Strong interviewees will lead with a clear hypothesis about what the biggest growth areas could be and why. They will give a sense of what they think are the stronger leads, and what kind of information they need to test their hypothesis. They should also call out the risks, ex. Partnering with another org gives up control, mergers can be problematic, etc. Please proceed to Exhibit 1 when the interviewee asks for revenue information by business line. 134 Exhibit #1 LM11 Net Income ACT BASE Ligas Especiales (Special Leagues) Otras Actividades (Other Activities) $34,000 $0 $10,000 $24,200 $33,200 $17,200 $59,000 $65,350 $64,800 2017 2018 2019 Note: LM11 received an additional $16,650, $24,500, $32,000, respectively, in sponsorships and other contributions 135 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1 Interviewer Guidance: Analysis: • Revenue Stream Clarifications • Analysis for the exhibit to have 2 parts – – ACT BASE – ACT BASE = Regular leagues (B2C and B2B) and soccer academies for girls. The soccer academies comprise only about 1-3% of revenue annually but make a big difference in the community. – Ligas Especiales = “Special Leagues,” the revenue for this line is purely a flat rate for the operations of 10-game seasons for 11-player games (standard number). – Otras Actividades = “Other Activities” random grants, ex. From Embassies – We do not have expected financials for 2020 • Interviewee should see the note about additional revenue—this will be used to get to revenue • Interviewee should ask about costs to get to the impact part of the problem in addition to answering the revenue question. • They need to get to revenue to figure out what the 20% target is—it’s $104K. Please see next page for costs and other math details. • Most revenue, but it’s also the slowest growing. – Ligas Especiales • Growing the most! Go here. – Otras actividades • Most fluctuation YoY, not something on which they can base their business model • Second order insights – Interviewee should have uncovered already that Ligas Especiales are funded by corporations, so it’s a highly growable space. A strong interviewee will also notice that the VC in Ligas Especiales spiked last year—so an area for improvement for the more vague “maximize impact” prompt would be to get those costs under control. – What’s not shown here is inorganic growth opportunities. 136 Exhibit #1 guidance for interviewer EXHIBIT 1 Interviewer: Please provide the following information when the interviewee asks. *** The best interviewees will realize they only need to calculate 2019 revenue to get the target #*** This is Net Income, so the interviewer needs to add back costs to get to revenue Net Income 2017 2018 2019 ACT BASE $59,000 $65,350 $64,800 9.83% Ligas Especiales $17,200 $24,200 $33,200 93.02% Otras Actividades $10,000 $0 $34,000 240.00% Other Revenue (Note) $15,000 $17,500 $35,300 $101,200 $107,050 $167,300 $5,850 $60,250 6% 56% $90,000 $90,000 $126,000 NI in Graph $59,000 $65,350 $64,800 TOTAL • Fixed costs/overhead (divide evenly over all business lines): • 2017 and 2018 = $90,000 • 2019 = $126,000 • Variable Costs (ACT BASE, Ligas Especiales, Otras Actividades) • 2017 = $76,000, $11,300, $0 • 2018 = $84,650, $11,300, $0 • 2019 = $85,200, $44,800, $100,000 • Additional revenue form the note • 2017 = $16,500 • 2018 = $24,500 • 2019 = $32,000 They should ultimately calculate $520,000 as the 2019 total revenue and calculate 20% of that as $104,000 that they need to make in the next two years. YOY Change YOY % Change Annual Overhead % Change ‘17-‘19 Breakdown ACT BASE VC $76,000 $84,650 $85,200 Overhead/3 $30,000 $30,000 $42,000 TOTAL REV $165,000 $180,000 $192,000 NI in Graph $17,200 $24,200 $33,200 VC $11,300 $11,300 $44,800 Ligas Especiales Overhead/3 $30,000 $30,000 $42,000 TOTAL REV $58,500 $65,500 $120,000 NI in Graph $10,000 $0 $34,000 Otras Actividades VC $0 $0 $100,000 Overhead/3 $30,000 $30,000 $42,000 TOTAL REV $40,000 $30,000 $176,000 $16,500 $24,500 $32,000 $280,000 $300,000 $520,000 Additional Rev from Note TOTAL ANNUAL REV REVENUE GOAL FOR TWO YEARS FROM NOW $624,000 GAP $104,000 137 Brainstorming (1/2) Prompt: Analysis: Interviewee could brainstorm Organic/Inorganic growth (Recommended): • 1) Expanding Ligas Especiales (Expanding current offerings) Recommended structures: – If it hasn’t already been uncovered, the revenue for this line is purely a flat rate for the operations of 10game seasons for 11-player games (standard number). – Contracts are by season. • 2) Inorganic growth (see next page) • New/Current Customers & Products – Current Customers • Corporate in Peru – New Customers • Schools/Summer Camps (Kids-centric) • B2C, ex. Neighborhoods, beach house communities (this is a real thing they did!) • Corporations outside of Peru (expand to neighboring country, exec. – New Products / Offerings • Multi-season contracts • Merchandise/other packages, recorded games, etc • Other Sports or eSports • Recurring/non-recurring & B2B vs. B2C matrix – Recurring B2B • Multi-season packages – Non-Recurring B2B • Individual events, merchandise, etc. 138 Brainstorming (2/2) Prompt: Analysis: 2) Interviewee should brainstorm inorganic growth options. Recommended structures: • Build, Borrow (including JV, License), Buy – Build: launching new teams, countries, kinds of sports, etc. – Borrow: • Contract with other organizations to share revenue in the short term via fundraising, events, etc • Start a new initiative with another organization angled at long term growth, ex. Work with anti-hunger non-profit to create a of nutrition and fitness package offering for schools • License examples: co-branding with athletic brands on merchandise, any other kind of advertising agreements – Buy: purchasing other existing teams, another non-profit with a similar mission • Ideally candidates will focus on opportunities that will promote the two prongs of the mission. 139 Goals for Growth Prompt #2: LM11 just found out they won a government grant for $35K to fuel its growth. They have some growth projects in mind, what do you think? (Hand them the next page, Exhibit 2) • Interviewee should assess the options by calculating a ratio of Anticipated NPV/Cost. Alternatively, the candidate could calculate ROI and eliminate the projects that are outside of the two-year timeline. • Interviewees should land on projects 1, 2, and 4 which require a total spend of $32K and get to $110K, which is over our magic number of $104K within 2 years. • #5 technically has the same ratio as #1; however, upon analysis the fields purchase seems like it has more certainty. • Strong interviewees will realize they have $3K more to spend and will offer their own ideas on how to spend it. Don’t force a brainstorm, but if they do it, great. # Project 1 Purchase fields Digital Marketing 2 Technology 3 Start line of branded gear 4 Sales Person for LE 5 Invest in soccer gear start up Anticipated Investment (Months) NPV Ratio ROI $10,000 8 $30,000 3.00 2 Time $2,000 $10,000 $20,000 $10,000 24 26 12 16 $10,000 $35,000 $70,000 $30,000 6.67 3.50 4.00 3.00 Notes 5.67 2.5 Too long of a time 3 2 May be overvalued 140 Exhibit #2 (Months) Anticipated NPV $10,000 8 $30,000 Digital Marketing Technology $2,000 24 $10,000 Start line of branded gear $10,000 26 $35,000 Hire Sales Person for Ligas Especiales $20,000 12 $70,000 Invest in soccer gear start up $10,000 16 $30,000 Project Investment Purchase fields Time 141 Goals for Growth Recommendation • They can do this by focusing on projects 1, 2, and 4 ($110K total) • They should focus on growing Ligas Especiales to achieve the target 20% growth ($104K) because there are great revenue opportunities from the corporations. These companies and working with companies also promotes their mission. • Interviewee can also touch on what they wanted to do with the $3K that wasn’t spent in the projects. Risks and Next Steps: • Risks could include cost overruns, specific risks to each type of investment, e.g. purchasing soccer fields that are less accessible to their target community. • With regard to to the NPV/ROI, the interviewee could discuss the probability of success with each project. • Next steps would be to work on the messaging for expanding LE and to hire the sales person (they actually did this!) 142 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate Creates a revenue framework, figures out the revenue target, and picks the right projects and how they would go about prioritizing those Good Candidate The above (gets the math shortcut and the note), plus includes the impact part of the prompt in the framework and throughout Excellent Candidate The above, plus incorporates the impact piece of the prompt throughout the case and talks about social enterprise-specific perspectives and challenges throughout their discussion. 143 New York Shmankees Industry: Sports/Entertainment Case Type: Profitability/Growth strategy Led by: Interviewer (McKinsey Style) Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium 144 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • What is the most difficult decision you have had to make and why did you make it? Question 2: • Why are we here? (If sitting with a partner I recommend going into your why XXXX firm response). 145 New York Shmankees Prompt #1: • The year is 2013. Your client is a large New York based professional baseball team, the New York Shmankees. The owner, Baby Ruth is by no means cheap, and has a reputation for over-paying for some of the teams' players. Baby Ruth has communicated to our firm that he has little desire to change that moving forward. However, there has been a decrease in the profit margins of the team over the last two regular seasons, and Baby Ruth has engaged your firm for help. What key factors would you look at? Case Background: • Background information – Client/Company information: This is the only team Baby Ruth owns. The Shmankees are a US-based professional baseball team out of New York City. They compete in the MLB (not the minor leagues) as a member of the AL East Division. The team has been around since 1901 and has won 27 World Series Titles, more than any other team. – Industry/Competition information: There are 30 MLB baseball teams, and the profitability of the other teams has been mixed. – Revenue Information: Ticket Sales, Media Rights, Sponsorships, Memorabilia, Concessions. – If Interviewee asks, they should only focus on regular season profit margins. For simplicity of the case ignore post-season. – Objective: Return Profit Margin to the level it was in 2009. 146 New York Shmankees Framework Buckets: • Since the prompt mentions that Baby Ruth is known for being a big spender and is not interested in changing that, the interviewee should pick up on that and place a greater focus on how to increase revenues. This is not a deal-breaker but can be a differentiator. Price • • • • • • • $/Ticket • Concession Prices • Shifts in products purchased • ? Media contracts (What % do we get) • Pricing pressures? • How are we • affected by cord cutters? Price of Memorabilia How do our prices compare to peers? How have these trended? What is the elasticity of our customers? Quantity Avg. Attendance • How has this trended? Total concession items sold? • Look at this by product type and margin Total Memorabilia items sold • Have we lost any popular players that sold a lot of jerseys? Macro Costs Revenue Variable Fixed • • • Stadium • Leased? Own? Player contracts • New players with high salaries? • Total payroll trends Front office salaries • • • • • Hourly employees Field maintenance Player development costs Technology Travel • Hotels, meal, airplanes, etc... • • • • Less of an overall interest in sports/baseball? • Competing with TV shows such as Netflix Winning • Are we as good as we used to be? Players • Do we have a popular player base? Competition • Are other local teams performing better? Any other new sports teams? 147 Exhibit #1 148 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: Prompt for Exhibit 1: • You had a jr. analyst without a lot of experience pull the revenues and costs of the Shmankees over the past few years. They are shown in this chart. What are your key takeaways? Guidance for Exhibit 1: • The candidate should remember from the initial prompt that the objective is to return the company to 2009 levels. If they did not already receive this provide it to them at this time. • If the interviewee goes down looking to reduce costs tell them that Baby Ruth WILL not be known for being cheap. His team is prestigious and he would be offended if you made that recommendation. • The candidate should clarify that these numbers are in millions. • The candidate should clarify which axis relates to what. The right axis is revenue and the left axis is costs. • Analysis for the exhibit to have 2 parts – – Basic: The candidate should make the calculations for profit margins in 2009 as a base/target. The candidate should then move on to making the calculations for 2012. Strong candidates will ignore 2010 and 2011. The candidate should then note that there are two ways the company could achieve their objective: either through increasing revenues or decreasing costs. If not point them down this direction. – Second order insights: The candidate will use rounding effectively. The candidate will also remember that the team is not looking to cost-cut from the initial prompt. The best candidates will take this information and drive to the next step of the case and the information they would like to analyze next. 2009 Revenue Costs Profits Profit Margin 400 360 40 10% Profit Margin 2010 572 544 28 5% 2011 2012 628 597 31 5% 654 621 33 5% 149 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: Prompt for Brainstorming: • Your team has gotten on the same page with Baby Ruth, and cost-cutting is out of the picture. This leaves one option. Increasing revenues. Baby Ruth has asked you out to lunch at a popular NY Pizza restaurant, Joe's Pizza – his favorite. Your manager has asked you to come up with some additional revenue growth strategies to verbalize with Mr. Ruth over lunch. What would you plan to discuss? • Analysis of brainstorming to have at least 2 parts/buckets. Sample answer shown below. The candidate should conclude their brainstorm by focusing on which one they think is the most practical to achieve the client's objective, and how they would go about confirming that hypothesis. • Game Day: – – Increase ticket prices Increase seating capacity (potential to add standing seats) – – Increase concession prices Expand concession offerings (deliver to seats) • Non-Game Day: – Memorabilia • Increase prices, limited editions, etc. – Media Contracts • Any ability to renegotiate? – Marketing • Player roadshows to increase excitement, commercials, social media engagement, etc. • Try to increase fan base by reaching new countries (Japan, China) and new US geographies 150 Public Math Public Math Guidance: Analysis: Prompt for Public Math: • The team has determined that they want to focus on increasing ticket prices. The team currently charges $30 per ticket which generates 2,762,100 tickets/yr. The team is investigating increasing prices to $40 which will result in 2,511,000 total tickets sold in 2013, or to $50 which will result in 2,385,450 total tickets sold in 2013. What is the optimal pricing strategy for the Shmankees from a profit standpoint? Guidance: • • • • • The interviewee should relate this information back to the overall objective of trying to get back to a 10% profit margin. They interviewee should ask for projected costs in 2013. Projected costs are $650mm. Candidate should ignore any additional costs if asked. The interviewee should also recognize that tickets are just one source of revenues for the team. Projected other revenues for 2013 are $600mm. A strong candidate will bring up the other revenue streams and how a reduced fan base may affect those. Encourage the candidate to round. The candidate should recognize that increasing ticket prices will result in the 10% profit margin. Once they recognize this push them into the recommendation. Ticket Prices (provide the average ticket price and the projected annual attendance to the candidate) 30 40 2,762,100 2,511,000 Solutions 2,800,000 2,500,000 Rounded Projected Annual Attendance (candidate should round or this case will suck) Average Ticket Price Projected Annual Attendance Total ticket revenues using exact numbers (average ticket price * annual attendance) Total ticket revenues using rounded numbers (average ticket price * annual attendance) Additional revenues (to be provided - the candidate should recognize there are other revenue streams) Total revenues using exact numbers Total revenues using rounded numbers Total costs (to be provided) Profit (can ignore any other costs such as taxes, depreciation, etc…) Profit Margin using exact numbers Profit Margin using rounded numbers $82,863,000 $84,000,000 $600,000,000 $682,863,000 $684,000,000 $650,000,000 $34,000,000 5% 5% $100,440,000 $100,000,000 $600,000,000 $700,440,000 $700,000,000 $650,000,000 $50,000,000 7% 7% 50 2,385,450 2,400,000 $119,272,500 $120,000,000 $600,000,000 $719,272,500 $720,000,000 $650,000,000 $70,000,000 10% 10% 151 New York Shmankees Recommendation • You find yourself in the elevator with the CEO Baby Ruth, and his right hand man Derek Heater. They both want to know how they are going to increase profit margins so they can sign their star player Barry Blondes to a long-term contract. What do you tell them? Risks and Next Steps: • The interviewee should recommend increasing ticket prices to $50 as it will result in the target 10% profit margin. • Risks: Long-term fans may switch to other forms of entertainment, it may look bad from a PR standpoint with less fans in the stadium, the players may not be as motivated with less fans, they may lose some fans long-term, etc. • Next steps: Stress test our assumptions, analyze the other revenue streams to see if can increase margins further, etc. *Look for a concise, to the point recommendation* 152 Pencils & Backpacks Pencils & Backpacks Industry: Public Sector Case Type: Strategy Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Difficult Qualitative Level: Difficult 153 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Describe a time you had to cultivate resilience. Question 2: • Tell me about an industry you follow. Why do you follow it? What are the trends? 154 Pencils & Backpacks Prompt #1: Our client, the governor of a southeastern state here in the US, is worried about student performance in K-12 schools in the state. The state has 180 school districts and recently increased spending from $3.2B to $4.5B annually on public education, but isn’t seeing the results it expected. She has hired us to diagnose the problem and identify a solution. Case Background: – We are focused only on public schools. Private schools, magnet schools, and for this exercise charter schools, can be ignored. – The governor is up for re-election next year and she ran her original campaign on a platform to reimagine education in the state. – According to a recent publication, the state ranks 48th in student proficiency – The governor’s goal is simply to increase student achievement. 155 Pencils & Backpacks Framework Example Buckets: Intra district considerations • Socioeconomic status of students • Condition of facilities • Staffing of schools • Age of textbooks Inter district considerations Political considerations • Student demographics relative to other districts and states • What changes can be easily implemented? • Funding disparities across districts • How does an election year affect proposals? • Key constituents in certain districts Framework Notes and Guidance: Many frameworks will work. One possible way to think about this is within district considerations, broader state considerations, and then the political considerations of implementation. Funding should be mentioned somewhere, as the prompt indicates there was an increase in spend with no results. 156 Exhibit #1 Proficiency in mathematics 1.000 0.900 0.800 0.713 0.700 0.600 0.550 0.500 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 National Average Proficiency Student Demographics Free and Reduced Lunch English Language Learner Special Education Students School Funding Average per student Client National Average 0.713 Client 0.55 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 $13,000 $13,000 157 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit #1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: • Guidance for exhibit 1 – If asked, proficiency in mathematics is a good proxy for overall student proficiency. – “Free and Reduced Lunch” is the % of students who qualify for free or reduced lunch in public schools. This is typically used as a proxy for poverty in a school district. – ”English Language Learner” is the % of students who are learning English as a second language. Typically, these students require additional resources in their schools so they can catch up to peers. – “Special education students” is the % of students who have been diagnosed with a physical or mental impairment. Schools are typically mandated by the state and federal government to provide these students specific additional resources. Analysis: - Candidate should notice that the state seems to have more ”high needs” students than the national average. - Candidate should also notice that funding levels appear to be the same, despite increased student need in the client state – this should prompt candidate to dive deeper into funding as a solution - Candidate should recognize that the state ranks 48th or in the bottom 3 in student proficiency - No math done on this exhibit; however these demographics will be important later in the case. 158 Exhibit #2A Proportion of high-needs students 0.80 0.75 District E 0.70 0.65 0.60 District F 0.55 0.50 District D 0.45 0.40 District A 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 Enrollment District B 0.15 0.10 District C 0.05 District G 0.00 Math Proficiency 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 159 Exhibit #2B Proportion of high-needs students 0.80 0.75 District E 0.70 0.65 0.60 District F 0.55 0.50 District D 0.45 0.40 District A 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 Total spend District B 0.15 0.10 District C 0.05 District G 0.00 Math Proficiency 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 160 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #2 Guidance: • Guidance for exhibit 2 • Provide exhibit #2A and 2B at same time – If asked, proficiency in mathematics is a proxy for overall student proficiency. – These districts are a random sample of those in the state. – The purpose of Exhibit 2A is to indicate that there may be a correlation between proficiency scores and student need. – Exhibit 2B shows the correlation between spending and performance. Analysis: - No math done on this exhibit - Candidate should notice that, in general, districts with higher needs have less proficiency than those with less need. - Candidate should also notice that higher needs districts tend to be larger. A good candidate will question over-crowding in schools. - Candidate should also notice that districts with high proficiency are spending way more than districts with low proficiency - - A good candidate will recall that average spend per student from Exhibit 1 is about $13,000 – so should question why these districts are spending so much more. A good candidate should also question why districts are spending so much more despite having smaller enrollment. - Candidate should investigate funding equity as the next step. 161 Pencils & Backpacks Exhibit 3 Prompt: Note to interviewer: handover exhibit and then read prompt: • Our client agrees with your observations and believes that there is an issue with how funds are being distributed to districts in the state. Many states have moved to what’s known as a “weighted student funding formula” – where districts receive a base amount of funding per student, and additional funds for each student who falls into a category of need (for example, special education, qualifying for free lunch, etc). These additional funds are calculated as “weights” – multiplied to the base amount. Our client has two options before her and wants our help deciding which to move forward with. 162 Exhibit #3 Option 1 Option 2 Proposed Allocation* Proposed Allocation* Student type Base Multiplier English Language Learners 0.1 Student type Amount per student Base $31,980 Free & Reduced Price Lunch 0.2 Special Education 0.4 Base $13,000 *No change anticipated in state budget for education 163 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #3 Guidance: • Candidate should aim to determine the cost for each option • Option 1 proposes a weighted student funding model. • Option 2 is a flat base amount per student. • Do not give until asked: Average enrollment size per district is 800 • Candidate must use demographics from Exhibit 1 to approximate enrollment of special populations in the average district • Candidate should recall 180 districts from initial prompt • Rounding is not okay. Analysis: Option 1 Average Enrollment Total funding (800 x client’s Additional $ Per student per district ( $ % from Exhibit (weight x (base + Per student x Weight 1) base) additional) Enrollment) English Language Learners 0.1 320 $1,300 $14,300 $4.576M Free & Reduced Price Lunch 0.2 400 $2,600 $15,600 $6.240M Special Education 0.4 240 $5,200 $18,200 $4.368M 1 800 - Base $10.400M $25.584M Total cost to state $25.58M 180 district $4.605B Deficit: $105M Option 2: SAME deficit as option 1 ($31,980 x 800 students x 180 districts = $4.605B 164 Pencils & Backpacks Brainstorm Prompt: Analysis: Given that there is a deficit Brainstorm should consider pros & cons of each option, plus either way – what other challenges in implementing either. A good way to structure considerations should the this could be in a matrix/table with details voiced over. Governor keep in mind? Pros #1 Cons Flexible Complex Schools serving students with most needs will get most $$ May be politically difficult to pass Iterations of weights over time Weights are additive, helping those most in need (an English language learner who is also on free and reduced lunch would get 30% additional funding) #2 Simple, easy to understand Flat allocation may be inequitable –districts who are already doing fine will just get more $$ 165 Pencils & Backpacks Recommendation Our client is walking in and she can’t wait to hear your recommendation! 34WL500 Risks and Next Steps: Although both options have the same deficit, candidate should recommend option 1 as it targets money more specifically to the students and districts who need it most. • Risks: – Political capital necessary to change these weights – Some districts may be mad if they’re suddenly not getting as much money • Next steps: – Look into whether the weights make sense at their current level – Identify other student subgroups that may need additional funding – Study to what extent additional funds translate into additional results 166 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Industry: Non Profit Case Type: Strategy Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Difficult 167 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Describe a time when you had to deal with difficult macro trends affecting your team, and what approach you used to handle the situation. Question 2: • What do you think are the most critical elements of a business leader? How have you used these elements to help others succeed? 168 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Prompt #1: Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) is an education and housing non - profit organization located in Venezuela. DBF operates one university and 80 educational centers throughout Venezuela, which provide educational instruction to over 15,000 students in K-12 schools and technical programs. DBF also provides housing for homeless children and, capacitation centers for lowincome families. DBF has 2000 full-time employees divided between employees with minimum wages and employees with professional salaries. Employees with minimum wages do work that does not require an educational degree to perform their duties (cleaning, maintenance, kitchen, etc.). Employees with professional wages are mainly professors and administrative personnel. DBF has 2 main sources of income: domestic and foreign. Domestic income mainly comes from donations, real estate properties, Government aid and products produced by technical schools. Foreign income mainly comes from private donations and contributions from other DBF divisions in different countries. Venezuela has had hyperinflation of 10 million % a year, and therefore, Venezuela's currency has lost over 620,000% of its value against the US dollar in the last 3 years. Employees are still making the same salaries, but the purchasing power of these wages has decreased dramatically. Moreover, the Venezuelan government has imposed a “currency exchange control." This means that all money from other countries must be exchanged into the Venezuelan currency by a government entity. *Interviewer: Pause here and answer any clarifying questions Question 1: • What are the main issues you would want to investigate in diagnosing the condition of DBF in Venezuela? Case Background: • DBF is a global organization but each country manages its strategies and finances independently. • DBF runs 80 locations spread in different states in Venezuela, and 1 in Curacao (Netherlands Islands). This information is crucial for a future question. 169 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Framework Example #1 Buckets: Income DBF main issues Domestic Income • Declining over the years, inflation, donations, sales of products from tech school. Foreign Income • Private donations, DBF donations from other countries. Employees • Low salaries, medical insurance • Currency exchange control, infrastructure expenses, scholarships. Inflation • Long-term consequences? Aging • Buildings, educational programs Human Capital • Employees leaving Venezuela Expenses Others Risks Framework Notes and Guidance: Many frameworks will work. One possible way is to tackle 3 main issues: Income, expenses, and risks. Financial issues should be a highlight of the framework. The candidate must pinpoint the challenges of dealing with a currency exchange control and inflation, and how they affect DBF operational areas. 170 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Framework Example #2 Buckets: A good answer should consider: • Human Capital Consideration – – Regular employees’ salaries, benefits, low morale (because inflation) , and retention. • Finance considerations – – – Current expenses and increases relate to inflation Limited sources of income in Venezuela, and from abroad. New potential sources. Challenges of projecting potential cash flows because uncertainty. – Curriculum out of date, and current students cannot find proper paid jobs after graduation. Low morale due to inflation. Most of the employees still receive the same salaries, but inflation has destroyed the buying power of the wages. Limited human and technical resources to gather the right data to create a financial plan • Infrastructure considerations – Current facilities’ upgrades to supply currents needs. Making the buildings more efficient. A very good answer should consider: • Risks – – – Financial: Finding money outside Venezuela and the exchange currency control Insecurity and high level of delinquency, and protection of assets and personnel. Quality of educational services they have provided over the years has declined exponentially due to loss of professionals. • Long Term Strategy 171 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Question 1 Brainstorm Venezuelans have experienced a significant decline in the purchasing power of their wages due to hyperinflation and currency devaluation. Over 70% of the total population earns $5 per month. Recent data highlights the following economic trends in Venezuela: – Example: someone who works in the cleaning services (minimum salary) earns $5 a month while a university professor with a PHD earns $20 a month. – The cost of living in Venezuela for one person to cover his/her necessary needs is around $250 a month. Through industry research we believe that a professional should earn $1000 a month. DBF has been devastated by the macroeconomic situation in Venezuela. What are the most important challenged facing DBF, and what possible solutions can you offer? 172 Interviewer guidance on Brainstorm Brainstorm Guidance: Analysis: A good answer may include: • There are many ways to answer this question; however, the candidate should notice that, in general, macroeconomics trends have a massive impact on DBF’s finances and, therefore, the quality of service that provides to employees and students. • The value of domestic income has decreased drastically, affecting DBF's operations, especially the availability of professional talent in critical areas as administration and education. Issues related to quantity might include: • Income sources gap due to Venezuelan currency devaluation • Supply of teachers and education resources both at a national level and a regional or local level • A good candidate will hypothesize about the need to explore DBF finances. (Next Exhibit) Issues related to quality might include: • • Quality of current educational curriculum, and how relevant this curriculum is in helping students find a job that pays well after graduation. Quality of management employees and how they affect DBF's capabilities to gather and analyze the right data to make long term financial and strategic plans. A Very Good answer might acknowledge • • A need to consider DBF's broader financial objectives to cover a decent salary for its employees and retain talent as a solution, such as what are the primary sources of funding for DBF? Domestic and international? Low morale: among all employees because they are not able to cover their financial needs with their salaries. 173 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Question 2 Prompt: Brainstorming •Note to interviewer: share exhibits 1 and 2 with the candidate. Prompt: The CFO has provided us with some financial information. What can you infer from this data? NOTE FOR INTERVIEWER: • All numbers have been exchanged into $US for analysis • Although these numbers are in $US dollars, DBF must exchange all international donations into Venezuelan Currency in a Government entity. • No formal calculation is needed in this question. The candidate must talk about high-level trends. Exhibit #2 Clarifications if the candidate asks • Leases: Revenue coming for the real estate properties that DBF’s own and rent to private customers • Products Sales: Revenue coming from products produced in technical educational institutions: printing & agricultural products. • Government aid: Donation from the Venezuelan Government to help with Students Scholarships • Private pension: Some of DBF’s Full-time members have dual citizenship and can collect a pension from other countries. • Global DBF donations: Income coming from other DBF’s divisions in different countries • Scholarships for students: DBF’s have over 15,000 students among all its institutions • Infrastructure Maintenance: Average age of buildings is 50 years old 174 Exhibit #1 *$US Thousands 175 Exhibit #2 176 Interviewer guidance on Question #2 Question #2 Guidance: Analysis: • A good answer may include: – Domestic donations have decreased significantly; however, the candidate must highlight the effects of inflation. – Foreign donations have been steady during the years, becoming the most significant part of DBF’s income. – Expenses have decreased due to the lack of income. – Expense trends will surpass income next year. • A Very Good answer could include: – The lack of strong management could make it more difficult to gather and analyze data to increase international donations. – International donations are vital to keeping DBF’s operations open. – There are not significant indicators that inflation will decline in Venezuela, meaning that domestic donations will continually go down in the next years. • No math is required on this question. • There are many ways to answer this question; however, the candidate should notice critical trends: • • • Domestic income is going down, there is no expectation of going up. The need to increase international donations is essential The quality of the service provided by DBF is deteriorating. • A good candidate will hypothesize the need to make some calculations to forecast how much money international donation must increase to cover all expenses. (Next question) 177 Question #3 Question 3 Prompt: Prompt A part of our study, our consulting team has devised some solutions to retain full time employees in DBF. One possible solution is to calculate how much money would be necessary to cover all expenses if DBF wants to pay its employees enough to cover Venezuela’s cost of living. Assuming that the rest of the expenses remain the same, how much money would DBF need to collect to pay a decent salary for all its employees to cover the cost of living in Venzuela? NOTE FOR INTERVIEWER: - - Candidate should ask for the percentage of employees that are "professionals" and "minimum salary employees". - Minimum salary employees: 50% - Professional employees: 50% A very good candidate should notice that the following information has been given in previous prompts, nonetheless, these are important key numbers, and should be provided. • Total # of DBF’s employees: 2000 • Current minimum salary: $5 a month ideal minimum salary: $250 a month • Current professional salary: $20 a month Ideal professional salary: $1000 a month 178 Interviewer guidance on Question #3 Question #3 Guidance: • Total increase: $15M • Quantity: 2000 employees * 0.5 = 1000 employees • Current Salary (Monthly): – – $5 * 1000 = $5000 $20 * 1000 = $20000 • Current Salary (Annually) – $250,000 * 12 = 3 M Potential Salary (Monthly): - $250 * 1000 = $250,000 - $1000 * 1000 = $1,000,000 Potential Salary (Annually) - $1,250,000 * 12 = $15,000,000 Analysis: There are many ways to solve this question. A good candidate most notice that $15M is a significant increase compared to the current amount. A very good candidate could present different solutions to address this issue: • Create a plan to increase salaries gradually each year. • Hire 1 or 2 management experts that could collect data and prepare a marketing strategy to gain more international donations from DBF global and other private companies. • Manage all financial transactions through Curacao (DBF's only operation outside Venezuela) to avoid exchanging foreign donations into Venezuelan Currency. • Some Risks: – Paying decent salaries to all employees could put them at risks due to high levels of vandalism in Venezuela – Paying higher salaries to all employees can alert the Venezuelan Government and create additional legal procedures to DBF, like taking out its status as non-profit organization and charge taxes. 179 Dreaming a Better Future (DBF) Recommendation The CEO has asked you to summarize what we have done today and make a recommendation. Guidance: • There are many ways to answer this question. One general way to structure a recommendation is to suggest a plan that addressed short, mid and long terms issues • BLUF: DBF should hire a team that could gather data and devise a marketing strategy to increase donations from other countries. 1. Total increase of income: 15M to increase salaries for all employees 2. Using this new income, DBF can increase salaries so employees won’t need to leave Venezuela. 3. Find a way to utilize this tech infrastructure to generate more income. • Risks: 1. Increasing donations from others could take a long time. 2. Other countries could experience economic downturn and become unreliable as a source of income. 180 Queen Bae Industry: CPG Case Type: Growth strategy Led by: Interviewee Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium 181 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Discuss a time you had a conflict with a superior and how you resolved it. Question 2: • Tell me about a time you failed and what you learned from that situation. 182 Queen Bae Prompt #1: • Your client is Royal Honey, a manufacturer of premium organic honey that purchases its raw honey from a single farm in the Midwest. Despite record-high demand for high-quality organic honey nationwide, Royal Honey has experienced a gradual decline in profitability in recent years. Its CEO has come to you to determine why the company’s financial state has rapidly deteriorated over the past four years and to develop a turnaround strategy for the company. Case Background: • Overall Goal - Company wants to return to FY16 profitability in two years • Competition/Market - Declining revenue and profitability for all major competitors, but not to the same extent as Royal Honey. • Product - Royal Honey sells only one product: organic golden honey • Value Chain/Revenue Information - Royal Honey purchases raw honey from suppliers and manufactures organic golden honey. - It sells to domestic high-end grocery stores (e.g., Whole Foods) nationwide 183 Queen Bae Framework Buckets: • Strong framework should focus on honey manufacturer value-chain. Possible Buckets include: – – – – Raw Honey Procurement Honey Manufacturing/Processing (Operations) Warehousing/Storage Distribution/Sales • Strong frameworks can also include: – Honey market analyses • New market entrants • Shift of honey demand from food product to consumer goods (e.g., chapstick) – Revenue/Cost analysis • Price/volume changes – Environmental/regulatory factors • Honeybee population decline • FDA considerations 184 Exhibit #1 250 210 200 200 190 180 150 120 120 30 120 120 30 25 25 20 20 20 20 10 FY16 10 FY17 10 FY18 10 FY19 100 50 0 Revenue Cost of goods Sales and marketing Overhead Other 185 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits 1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: • Exhibit 1 represents Royal Honey’s revenue and expenses ($ in millions) over past 4 years. • If candidate asks for more information on revenue, state that the Royal Honey selling price has remained consistent at $10/lb. Analysis: • Candidate should draw the following insights from Exhibit 1: – Revenues have declined $30M and profits $25M over past four years – Expenses have remained relatively stable on a dollar basis but significantly increased as a percent of revenue – Case Objective is to return to FY16 profit ($30M), thus need to increase profit $25M by FY21 • Strong candidate should realize that: • If candidate askes, mention cost of goods includes raw honey, processing, manufacturing, bottling, labeling. • Once candidate requests additional information relating to sales volume or cost of goods, move to Exhibit 2. – Domestic market demand is growing nationwide but Royal Honey revenue is declining – Given that price has remained stable, Royal Honey faces declining sales volumes and increasing cost of goods dilemmas • Candidate should want more details on the increased cost of goods and declining sales volume 186 Exhibit #2 Northeast Southeast Midwest Southwest West Total Domestic Supply of Raw Honey Value of production ($ in millions) 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 187 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits 2 Exhibit #2 Guidance: • Exhibit 2 represents total domestic supply of raw honey by region over the past 4 years • Candidate should recognize that Honey Production has been declining • If asked for more information on the decline in honey production, mention that bee populations have been declining nationwide and that populations in the Midwest have been particularly impacted • Once candidate realizes that supply constraints are driving up the cost of raw honey AND/OR that the company cannot meet demand, move onto brainstorm Analysis: • Candidate should draw the following insights from Exhibit 2: – Domestic honey production has decreased by ~$200M over the past four years – The Midwest has been impacted the most, declining $120M (from $620M to $500M) – Decline in honey production has led to increased prices of raw honey • Strong candidate should realize that: – Since Royal Honey sources its honey from a single farm in the Midwest, it is likely facing supply constraints – Therefore, Royal Honey is unable to meet demand for its products and is missing out on millions of dollars of sales • Candidate should want to explore additional sources of honey beyond the United States 188 Brainstorming Prompt: • Based on your request, our client has presented us with some additional information. For the past few years, honeybee populations in the United States have been declining. This has resulted in limited availability of raw honey as well as rising prices. This trend has especially impacted Royal Honey as its Midwest supplier has declining raw honey production and as a result has increased its price annually. • Given this information, what should our client consider to increase profitability? • Once candidate wants to explore additional raw honey procurement sources, move to next Exhibit Analysis: • The interviewer should mention several factors but should primarily focus on expanding Royal Honey’s procurement of raw honey. Ideas include: – Expand procurement beyond single Midwest farm to source raw honey internationally (e.g., Mexico, South America) – Invest in R&D to develop animal-free honey product – Invest in R&D to develop sustainable practices/technologies that better preserve beehive populations – Raise price of honey sold at stores – Change formulaic mixture of Royal Honey to utilize less raw honey, thus expanding volume – Vertically integrate or partner internationally • Strong candidates will also point out the difficulties of: – – – – New supply agreements International supply chains and add’l costs International taxes, trade agreements, tariffs Potential impact of FDA regulations 189 Exhibit #3 Supplier Location Available raw honey supply Raw Honey Cost Other Cost Considerations* Current 20M pounds $7.25 / lb $2.50 / lb Mexico 10M pounds $6.00 / lb $3.00 / lb Brazil 10M pounds $4.50 / lb $5.00 / lb S. Africa 5M pounds $3.50 / lb $4.50 / lb China 5M pounds $3.50 / lb $4.50 / lb *Other cost considerations includes all additional costs beyond raw honey necessary to sell finished goods (e.g., transportation, manufacturing, SG&A, etc.). Interviewer guidance on Exhibits 3 Exhibit #3 Prompt: • Given our recommendation to expand raw honey procurement, our client has provided us with a list of potential international raw honey suppliers as well as its current supplier price. • The company estimates that there will be demand for 30M pounds for Royal Honey nationwide in FY21. Assuming a sale price of $10 per pound, what is the optimal raw honey procurement strategy for Royal Honey to maximize profit? Analysis: • Candidate should draw the following insights from Exhibit 3: – Prioritize cheapest sourcing first: 1) China & S. Africa 2) Mexico 3) Brazil 4) Current – Profit per pound by Country: • China/S. Africa: $10 – $8 = $2/lb • Mexico = $10 - $9 = $1/lb • Brazil = $10 - $9.50 = $0.50/lb • Current = $10 – $9.75 = $0.25/lb – Answer (not considering minimum purchase order): • (5M x $2) + (5M x $2) + (10M x $1) + (10M x $0.5) = $35M profit • Strong candidate should realize that: • Only if asked for current contract terms, mention that Royal Honey has minimal purchase order of 10M pounds annually with its Midwest supplier. – Current sourcing contract requires purchase of 10M pounds of raw honey annually – (5M x $2) + (5M x $2) + (10M x $1) + (10M x $0.25) = $32.5M profit 191 Queen Bae Recommendation • The CEO has just walked in the room. What is your recommendation moving forward? Risks and Next Steps: • Recommend implementing expanding procurement internationally which will exceed goal of $30M of net income in FY21 by 8.3% ($2.5M). • Risks include establishing new international supply chains, FDA regulation compliance, competitor response, changing customer demand, continued decline of honeybee populations, and quality control of new suppliers. • Next steps are to perform due diligence on new suppliers, establish shipping contracts, and expand production capacity to the extent necessary. 192 Nautical Nonsense Industry: Case Type: Led by: Quantitative Level: Qualitative Level: Food / Entertainment M&A Interviewer Easy Medium 193 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Tell me about a time that you encountered conflict on a team. How did you handle it? Question 2: • What to hope to learn most during your internship / full-time position? 194 Nautical Nonsense Prompt #1: • Mr. Krabs, the owner of the restaurant “The Krunchy Krab”, has a predicament. The Krunchy Krab has reigned as king of the Martini Bottom casual restaurant market for quite some time, however, their primary competitor, “The Clam Bucket”, which is run by Mr. Krabs’ arch nemesis, Plankton, has been rapidly stealing market share from the Krunchy Krab for the last few years. Krabs has hired your consulting firm to figure out how to solidify its place as the dominant player in the market. Last year, the Krunchy Krab brought in $500K in revenue. What should Mr. Krabs do to improve sales this year? Case Background: Additional Information to give the candidate if asked: • Client/Company – The Krunchy Krab currently sells only 1 product, the “Krunchy Patty”, which is a 100% lean beef burger – Last year, the Clam Bucket brought in $400K in revenue • Market – The Krunchy Krab competes in the casual restaurant market in Martini Bottom which is a $1.5M market located just outside the U.S. – The casual restaurant market is fairly concentrated in Martini Bottom – in addition to the Clam Bucket and the Krunchy Krab, there are a few other smaller competitors – We don’t have any information as to why the Clam Bucket has been stealing market share at the moment • Goal – Mr. Krabs is eager for retirement, so he wants quick results. The primary objective is for the Krunchy Krab to increase annual sales to $750K THIS year (a 50% share of last year’s total market size). 195 Framework Framework Buckets: • Suggested buckets for a framework for this case include: – Organic Growth – Same Products, Same Markets – Improve the customer experience – Build a referral or rewards program / initiative – Hire more staff to accommodate customers in peak times – Increase hours of operation – Increase / decrease prices – Same Products, New Markets – Increase marketing efforts – Expand into new markets / regions geographically – New Products, New Markets • Introduce a new product line (e.g. hot dogs, fries, veggie burgers) – Inorganic Growth • Acquire a competitor to quickly gain market share and generate synergies Interviewer Guidance • Interviewee should stray away from a profitability framework (revenue and costs) and instead focus on ways to increase market share (improving sales) • Interviewer should point to the acquisition option as the best path considering the short term objectives of Mr. Krabs. If they do not recognize this, continue to nudge the interviewee in the direction of inorganic growth. Next, show them exhibit 1. 196 Exhibit #1 Mr. Krabs agrees that with his short-term goals in mind, an acquisition is the best route to take. Which of the following restaurant(s) would you recommend that the Krunchy Krab acquire in order to meet those goals? Restaurant Price Annual Rev. Synergy Potential Sandy’s Steaks $500K $250K LOW Squiddy’s Sandwiches $375K $125K LOW / MEDIUM Flying Dutchman Fries $225K $150K HIGH Patrick’s Pizza $75K $75K MEDIUM Note: Mr. Krabs estimates that the Krunchy Krab has $400K in its capital budget which they are willing to spend toward M&A activity 197 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • If the interviewee forgot the original goal or never asked, remind them that Mr. Krabs’ objective is to reach $750K in sales (so they need $250K additional revenue from their current annual revenue of $500K) • If the interviewee asks, clarify that they are welcome to choose more than 1 option • The interviewee should recognize that NONE of the combinations of acquisitions will both meet the $250K revenue addition and stay under the $400K capital budget • They should, however, recognize that the combination of a “Flying Dutchmen Fries” and Patrick’s Pizza” combination, will get them closest to the $250K revenue needed ($225K total) and within the capital budget allotted • The interviewee might start looking at the Price / Annual Rev. ratios. While not necessary, this will also identify the best two acquisition options • Additionally, the interviewee should recognize that each of these 2 restaurants have medium or high synergy potential, thus, the interviewer should drive toward brainstorming value creation strategies between the Krunchy Krab and the newly acquired restaurants in order to make up for the remaining $25K. If they don’t, push them to do so. 198 Brainstorm 1 Prompt: Analysis: • What strategies can the Mr. Krabs use to create revenue synergies between the Krunchy Krab, Flying Dutchman Fries, and Patrick’s Pizza? • Ideas may include: • Price – Selling products in combination deals / bundling – Using shared marketing channels through improved brand recognition – Introducing new, complimentary products at each restaurant • Volume – Leveraging increased pricing power to raise product prices – Running promotions / discounts – Introducing a rewards program for visits / purchases Interviewer Guidance • After the interviewee has thought through several potential sources of revenue synergies, show them exhibit 2 199 Exhibit 2 Mr. Krabs agrees that there is high revenue synergy potential between the three restaurants which could help the Krunchy Krab reach his sales target, but the short timeline necessitates the selection of only one initiative to focus on. Which of the following initiatives would you recommend in order to capture the necessary remaining revenue? 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 800 20% 650 500 4% 100 Krunchy Patty / Dutchman Fries Combo Patrick Pizza Saturday Special 4% "Bubble Ads" Promotional Plan 2% Krab Kard Rewards Program 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 Expected % of Revenue Captured Potential Annual Revenues ($000s) Potential Strategic Initiatives Potential Annual Revenues Created Expected % of Revenue Captured This Year 200 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 2 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • The interviewee should recognize that the amount of revenue synergies necessary in order to reach the sales target is $25K ($225K + $25K = $250K). Remind them of this if they forget. • The interviewee should begin calculating the expected revenue from each option, either by writing out their calculations or talking through their logic. • Ultimately, the interviewee should determine that the “Bubble Ads” promotion (4% x $650K = $26K) is the best initiative choice as it helps the Krunchy Krab reach Mr. Krabs’ sales target. 201 Recommendation Mr. Krabs had to step out, but the GM, SpongeRob, just walked in the room. Let’s hear your final recommendation for the Krunchy Krab! Recommendation • Given Mr. Krabs’ short-term growth goals, the Krunchy Krab should: – Focus on inorganic growth by acquiring Flying Dutchman Fries and Patrick’s Pizza to add $225K in additional sales – Capture the remaining $25K by launching a “Bubble Ads” shared billboards promotional initiative for the combined restaurant group Risks and Next Steps: • Risks: – Mergers don’t always result in synergies, so they still might fall short of Mr. Krabs’ target sales goal, especially within such a short timeline – Competitive response from the Clam Bucket – might respond by acquiring another restaurant or growing organically – Cultural issues between the restaurants – Cannibalization – might just steal customers from one another and not actually add new sales – The acquired restaurants might be reddened with debt – lack of proper due diligence – Focusing on short-term market share gain might not lead to long-term prosperity • Next Steps: – Initiate actions toward negotiating the deal and beginning integration activities – Contact marketing to start promotional planning for the billboard plan 202 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate The interviewee creates a profitability framework and/or fails to recognize that inorganic growth is the best solution for short-term growth in market share. Good Candidate The interviewee correctly identifies that this case is about growing sales and that an acquisition might be a good strategy, but they struggle to get through the math in the exhibits and/or require prodding to analyze potential synergies to reach the target sales goal. Excellent Candidate The interviewee confidently analyzes both inorganic and organic solutions to increase sales, breezes through the exhibits, and provides a strong recommendation that ties together the acquisition strategy and synergy creation which leads to reaching the $750K sales target. 203 High Strung Industry: Case Type: Led by: Quantitative Level: Qualitative Level: Entertainment Profitability Interviewee Medium Difficult 204 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • Discuss your most difficult ethical decision and how you arrived at a conclusion. Question 2: • Tell me about a time when you had to reconcile being right with being a good teammate. 205 High Strung Prompt #1: • The Carolina Symphony Orchestra is in trouble. Despite recently doubling down on marketing & advertising, the orchestra’s profitability has consistently dropped for the last several years. • The executive board has enlisted your help to diagnose the cause of this nosedive and reverse it. • CSO must find a sustainable method to generate net-new profits over the next two years to hit its strategic growth goals. Case Background [provide if prompted]: – Industry: the CSO is the only professional symphony in the area, but competes with other high-caliber entertainment providers; it plays mainly classical music but does incorporate some popular music – Product: the CSO provides a range of offerings including group, single, and subscription tickets in addition to community education & engagement eventsand public concerts – Value Chain/Revenue: revenue is split into three categories: earned (ticket & concession sales), contributed (donations, grants), and investment (securities) – Audience: Main segment consists of older, wealthier consumers, although there is a burgeoning interest in the orchestra among younger subscribers. – Overall goal: incremental profit of $3M over next two years 206 High Strung Framework Buckets: • Revenue Benchmarking • Revenue by type: • Earned: # of tickets & price, types of tickets (single, subscription), • Contributed: Size of average donation & frequencyof donations • Investment:Types of holdings (stocks/bonds/funds) & portfolio distribution • Cost Benchmarking • Fixed: facilities overhead, performer salaries,insurance • Variable: printed materials, concessions,booking fees • Customer Profiling • Distribution of ticket holders by age, income level, visit frequency (etc.) • Brand awareness & product attractiveness to local customers (survey data) • Competitive Analysis • % market share of local live entertainment market • Price benchmarking vs. similar live entertainment offerings • Industry best practices vs. current strategy 207 Exhibit #1a Carolina Symphony Orchestra: Revenue & Cost (2017-2019) ($M) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2017 2018 Costs Contributed Revenue Earned Revenue 2019 Investment Revenue 208 Exhibit #1b Ticket Sales Data (2017-2019) 2017 2018 2019 # Tickets Sold Avg. Ticket Price ($) # Tickets Sold Avg. Ticket Price ($) # Tickets Sold Avg. Ticket Price ($) Single Attendance 42,000 50 36,000 65 28,000 70 Premium Subscription 30,000 110 26,000 100 24,000 90 Group 14,500 50 14,000 50 14,000 45 209 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1a&b Guidance: Analysis: Exhibit 1a • The candidate should identify right away that this case does not focus on cost issues • If necessary, prompt candidate to identify main driver of revenue decline (major decreases YOY in earned revenue) • Provide Exhibit 1b only when candidate asks for more granular data showing price/volume breakdown for earned revenue Exhibit 1b • Good candidates will immediately eliminate group ticket sales as a driver • Strong candidates will notice that they must calculate the overall losses/gains for single attendance & premium subscription revenues to determine the primary driver • Push candidate to think in terms of revenue impact if they become fixated on comparing by # of tickets sold only • Once the candidate has identified subscription tickets as the main driver, prompt the candidate for a summary (if not given independently) and introduce the following brainstorm Exhibit 1a • Basic analysis: operating change only slightly year to year ($10.6M $11.2M) • Second-order insights: Even though investment revenue is decreasing overall, it does so at a slower rate than earned revenue (and with less overall impact) Exhibit 1b • Basic analysis: both single attendance & premium subscription ticket sales are declining YOY Ø Single attendance (# tix * average price): • $2.1M → $2.34M → $1.96M (Total Δ = -$140K) Ø Premium Subscription (# tix * average price): • $3.3M → $2.6M → $2.16M (Total Δ = -$1.14M) • Second-order insights: • Subscription holders are the single largest revenuegenerating customer segment • The price for subscription tickets and the number sold are both dropping: this could indicate either adverse price signaling or management fixation on pricing when revenue decline is caused by something else 210 Brainstorming Prompt: Analysis: • “After reviewing your calculations, the board agrees that the subscription ticket holder category is mainly to blame for the eroding bottom line.” • “Based on this trend, what are some levers that the board could pull to boost the revenue generated by its subscriptionholding patrons?” Guidance: • After the brainstorm, provide exhibit 2a ifthe candidate independently identified subscriber preferences and/or asked for information regarding purchasing habits & preferences among subscription holders. If the candidate struggles, prompt them to consider what might be driving the downward trend in subscription-based revenue and steer them toward subscriber preferences • Good candidates will have noticed from the prior exhibit that management has consistently decreased subscription ticket prices and will avoid price slashing tactics • General buckets: – Understand consumer base for subscription product - demographic of the population (families, age range, income level) – Survey subscription holders to determine the most important aspects determining purchasing behavior (e.g. programming, special guest artists) – Targeted marketing (e.g. social media, direct mail) to recapture business of former subscription holders – Subscription benefit review: add/expand concert offerings, include perks (e.g. lounge access, soloist meet & greets) – Price increase to reverse potential negative price signaling (decreased prices may have indicated to customers an initial overvaluing of subscription product) 211 Exhibit #2a Subscriber Preferences by Segment Musical Selection # of Concerts per Season Quality of Guest Artists Quality of Orchestra Programming Variety Quality of Venue 2019-2020 Subscriber Distribution 5+ Years 31% 1-5 Years 18% <1 Year 51% 212 Exhibit #2b Improving Orchestra Quality: Options Option #1: Option #2: Hire Renowned Conductor Increase Principal Chair* Salaries ($M) ($M) Cost / Year 1.5 0.5 Expected Revenue (Yr. 1) 3.0 2.0 Expected Revenue (Yr. 2) 3.5 2.5 *Note: Principal chairs are the leader for each orchestra section and are generally the highest-quality musicians in the ensemble. 124 Interviewer guidance on Exhibits Exhibit #1a&b Guidance: Analysis: Exhibit 2a • Each Harvey ball shows the percentage of each segment identifying the specific characteristic as a key driver of their patronage (to the nearest 25%) • Good candidates will focus on “Quality of Orchestra” & “Quality of Guest Artists,” while excellent candidates will hone in on Orchestra Quality since it is mathematically the most valued (see calculations at right) • If the candidate struggles to identify Orchestra Quality, prompt them to consider qualitatively what new subscribers (technically the majority) want Exhibit 2b • Once the candidate has identified orchestra quality, provide this exhibit, which shows financial information for two options for improving orchestra quality as identified by the board (the candidate should recognize that this information will be required for an NPV calculation) • If necessary, remind the candidate that the symphony needs $3M in profit over the next two years; provide an interest rate of 10% • Good candidates will recognize that the options are equivalent and require only one NPV calculation; excellent candidates will identify a clear choice and justify their position Exhibit 2a • Basic analysis: “Quality of Guest Artists” & “Quality of Orchestra” are the two obvious drivers based on the Harvey ball information alone • Second-order insights: ”Quality of Orchestra” is the more impactful factor than “Quality of Guest Artists” – Guest Artists: (1*31)+(0.5*18)+(0.5*51) = 65.5 – Orchestra: (1*31)+(0.25*18)+(0.75*51) = 73.75 Exhibit 2b • Basic analysis: Both options provide over $3M in NPV to the bottom line: – Conductor: – Endowed Chairs: • Second-order insights: Both options are defensible from qualitative perspectives. For example, a conductor might in the near term establish more brand equity for the symphony, while increasing salaries for the best members of the orchestra attracts more stable investments over the long term 125 Brainstorming (optional) Prompt: Analysis (Example Answers): • If the candidate independently identifies an optimal answer, prompt them to identify pros and cons of each option • Option #1: Conductor – Pros • A well-known name immediately provides a boost of visibility to the orchestra among target audiences • Hiring a famous conductor will likely inspire the orchestra members to a higher standard of musicianship – Cons • The search for a well-known conductor will likely be very costly and time-consuming • The musical community may reject the orchestra’s choice of conductor • Option #2: Principal Chair Salaries – Pros • Higher salaries motivate more skilled musicians to audition and retain positions • Greater control over potential expense and contract structuring – Cons • The orchestra may already have best-in-class principal chair musicians (less senior positions would benefit most from raises) • Increasing salaries for one group of musicians may have a domino effect on others 215 Recommendation Recommendation • “The symphony’s executive board is meeting this afternoon and wants to know your recommendation for meeting their expressed sustainability goal.” • Good candidates will begin by clearly stating their preferred option and why it fulfills the goal of the client (meets $3M profit threshold in a 2 year time frame) • Excellent candidates will provide qualifying information to support their choice over the other alternative Risks and Next Steps: • Risks for each option should include at least some of the cons mentioned from the prior brainstorm (if completed). Both options suffer from the risk that the projected financial figures may be inaccurate; good candidates will recognize the link between this risk and the varied distribution of preferences across subscriber segments. • Next steps for Option #1 (conductor): the orchestra might begin by formally announcing its search while hiring an industry headhunter to lead a targeted search. For Option #2 (salaries): the orchestra might assess all of the principal chair salaries and review past audition & performance information to determine how the increases should be distributed. – Both options would benefit from an internal benchmarking process to verify the validity of projected figures 216 Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Assessment Average Candidate Will identify the need to dive into either cost or revenue; requires some guidance on driving case forward; may struggle with exhibit #1b calculations but deliver directionally correct analyses Good Candidate Asks specifically for information that demonstrates whether cost or revenue is to blame; constructs a MECE framework; considers all information on exhibit; may struggle with driving the case on their own Excellent Candidate Delivers a well-reasoned hypothesis for the decrease in profitability; drives the case and shows independence; quickly absorbs information in exhibits and shows confidence with calculations; recognizes mathematical shortcuts (e.g. Exhibit #2b); gives succinct recommendation that ties back to the ultimate goal of $3M over next two years 217 Pencils & Backpacks Sardine Airlines Industry: Transportation Case Type: Strategy Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Medium 218 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • What in your career has prepared you for consulting? Question 2: • What is the best reason that I should hire you? 219 Sardine Airlines Prompt #1: • Sardine Airlines is an ultra low-cost carrier with flights throughout the continental United States. They have hub airports in Oakland, California; Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Hartford, Connecticut. Sardine Airlines is facing increased pressure from other low cost carriers such as Cattle Car Air and Soul Airlines. Sardine Airlines has faced declining profit for the past year. Sardine’s CEO, Penny McPincher, has asked your team for advice on how to reverse the profitability trend. Interviewer Guidance: • Additional information to give the candidate if asked: – Sardine Airlines competes primarily on having the lowest cost fares and offering minimal service – Due to its business model Sardine Airlines has a culture of cost savings that can be passed to the customer – Sardine Airlines is trying to grow profit margin to 20% (INTERVIEWER GUIDANCE: net income/total revenue) – If the interviewee asks about revenues/costs give them Exhibit 1, Statement of Operations 220 Exhibit #1 – Statement of Operations Unaudited, in millions 2015 2014 2013 2012 Operating Revenue Passenger $ 1,088 $ 1,092 $ 908 $ 793 Non-ticket $ 1,055 $ 968 $ 862 $ 769 $ 2,143 $ 2,060 Fuel $ 589 $ 583 $ 625 $ 718 Landing Fees $ 383 $ 370 $ 332 $ 296 Maintenance $ 214 $ 164 $ 106 $ 67 SG&A $ 428 $ 309 $ 185 $ 171 $ 225 Total Revenue $ 1,770 $ 1,562 Operating Expense $ Special Charges $ - $ - NI Pre Tax $ 529 $ 634 $ 297 $ 310 Taxes $ 158 $ 189 $ 88 $ 92 Net Income $ 371 $ 445 $ 209 $ 218 221 Exhibit #1 – INTERVIEWER GUIDE 2015 Operating Revenue 2014 2013 2012 YOY CHANGE IN REVENUES FROM PRIOR YEAR Passenger -.37% 20.26% 14.47% Non-ticket 9% 12% 12% Total Revenue 4% 16% 13% Operating Expense Fuel EXPENSES/NI AS A PERCENT OF TOTAL REVENUE 27% 28% 35% 46% Landing Fees 18% 18% 19% 19% Maintenance 10% 8% 6% 4% SG&A 20% 15% 11% 11% Special Charges 0% 0% 13% 0% NI Pre Tax 25% 31% 17% 20% Taxes 30% 30% 30% 30% Net Income 17% 21% 12% 14% 222 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • The exhibit is designed to have too much data to synthesize in a reasonable amount of time • Additional information: • The candidate should keep in mind the 20% profit margin that the CEO wants, which given the NI, is $57.6M • The candidate should see that revenue has continued to grow, albeit slower than in the past • The candidate should see that SG&A as a proportion of revenue increased from 15% to 20% and is the primary driver of declining profit – once identified give them Exhibit 2 • If the candidate identifies maintenance costs proportionately increasing give them Exhibit 3 – if exhibit 3 never comes up, you do not need to push it to the candidate – Non ticket revenue are things like bag fees, food, beverages, customer service charges, paper tickets, etc. – Landing fees are what Sardine Airlines pays to use airports 223 Exhibit #2 – SG&A Breakdown 428 Marketing 86 309 62 Salaries 171 170 Rent 86 Customer Service 64 Miscellaneous 21 46 19 2015 12 2014 In $M 224 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 2 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • The percent of total SG&A and absolute increases are below • The candidate should identify that 3 areas are driving growth in SG&A: Marketing, Rent, and Customer Service • The other areas are not large enough increases to focus on to get to the $57.6M profit increase the CEO is looking to achieve 428 309 Marketing 20% 20% Salaries 40% 55% Rent 20% Customer Service Miscellaneous 15% 5% 2015 15% 6% 4% 2014 Marketing Salaries Rent Customer Service Miscellaneous YoY Change $ 24 $ 1 $ 40 $ 52 $ 2 225 Exhibit #3 – Sardine Maintenance TO: Penny McPincher, CEO of Sardine Airlines FROM: Michael Huerta, Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration DATE: June 30th, 2015 SUBJECT: Sardine Airlines Maintenance Record This memorandum is to notify that as of today, Sardine Airlines is no longer under maintenance supervision from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The FAA believes the improved maintenance program no longer warrants FAA intervention. Any future decrease in maintenance standards will result in FAA supervision or sanctions. 226 Interviewer guidance on Exhibit 3 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Analysis: • The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) • The candidate should put together that the increase in maintenance spending is is the U.S. Government regulatory agency directly tied to the fact that previous responsible for the safety of U.S. airlines maintenance spending was not sufficient to be considered safe • The candidate should move off of maintenance cost cutting • If the candidate still is interested in pursuing cost cutting in maintenance give them this prompt, “Our client is adamant that the recently improved maintenance program is running at peak efficiency and any cuts would invite unwanted scrutiny from regulators.” 227 Sardine Airlines Prompt #2: • Sardine Airlines has been aggressively advertising to combat competitive pressures. Both the CEO and the Board believe this is a critical expenditure. Recently the landlord for the firm’s headquarters in Oakland raised rent by $35M. Customer service complaints have increased nearly 3,000%, which the company believes is due to the new 12 inch seats that were installed in the entire fleet. This has caused Sardine’s call center provider to increase billing by 520% from 2014’s $12.36M. What can Sardine Airlines do to address these issues? Interviewer Guidance: • Neither the CEO or Board will take any recommendations on cutting the marketing expenses • The firm does not have to be headquartered in Oakland, but does want to be in a location where it has major operations • The firm is not interested in increasing seat sizes. They are actually looking to pilot 8 inch seats in a new class of service called, “steerage” • The call center vendor charges rates that are on average 60% higher because their call center’s are based in the United States and staffed with native English speakers • Rent in Tulsa or Hartford would be 40% less than current 2015 rent (INTERVIEWER GUIDANCE this equates to $34.4M) 228 Sardine Airlines Recommendation • The CEO, Ms. McPincher is going to be joining us in just a few minutes to hear your recommendations on how to improve profitability. Interviewer Guidance: • Candidate should have a recommendation that includes the following: – To increase profit margin to 20%, Sardine Airlines should focus on cutting SG&A costs – There are two key ways to cut SG&A, customer service and rent – Recommend that the call center vendor should transition to an overseas based vendor, which would save approximately $38M – Move the headquarters to either Tulsa or Hartford, which will have less expensive office real estate markets and thus find major cost savings – Given the relative low increase in revenue from installing 12” inch seats, recommend against 8” seats • Risks should include: one-time expenses in moving the headquarters, unhappy customers from decreased customer service quality 229 Pencils & Backpacks Fringe Science Industry: Healthcare Case Type: Strategy Led by: Interviewer Quantitative Level: Medium Qualitative Level: Difficult 230 Behavioral Questions Question 1: • If a previous coworker was asked to describe you, what three qualities would they highlight? Question 2: • Describe a time when you and a coworker had different opinions on how best to proceed on a project or solve a problem. How was this situation resolved? 231 Fringe Science Prompt #1: Massive Dynamic is a multi-national pharmaceutical company. One of their assets, Cortexiphan, is an anti-infective that successfully treats three major types of hospitalborn illness and is currently in Phase II clinical trials. Unfortunately, Massive Dynamic only has the capital to finance a Phase III clinical trial for one of the three illnesses with Cortexiphan treats. Walter Bishop, Chief Medical Officer of Massive Dynamic, has enlisted your help to decide which of the three possible indications for cortexiphan they should pursue to maximize profits over a five year-period post-launch. Interviewer Guidance: Clarifications to be provided: § Drug is only likely to be approved in the US at this time § Drug will be sold directly to hospitals by Massive Dynamic; therefore, no need to consider distribution channel cots, etc. § No need to calculate based on NPV, just do total over five years w/out discounting § Provide Exhibit 1 when asked about market size and/or competition § Provide Exhibit 2 when asked about development costs or clinical profile § Provide Exhibit 3 after an initial indication selected and pricing prompt given 232 Exhibit #1 Annual Doses: 1.5B 200M 5.0B Avg. Price per Dose ($): $10 $20 $5 100% Competitor 10% 25% Market Share 20% 5% 10% 15% 20% 30% 75% 6 5 4 3 2 1 25% 40% 25% 0% Aspergillosis Rare Molds Candidiasis 233 Interviewer Guidance: Exhibit 1 Exhibit #1 Guidance: Interviewer Prompt: Here is preliminary analysis of the three potential indications for cortexiphan. What are your initial thoughts based on this information? Potential questions: • No new entrants other than cortexiphan are likely to enter the market in the time frame we are considering • Market for all three indications is not expected to grow or decline over time Analysis: • Qualitatively, candidate should recognize: – Asp. indication has four products available, two of which are used quite sparingly – Rare molds indication has only 2 products available, with one clear market leader; physicians likely want more options AND the potential for a lower-cost option than $20/pill (2-4x the other two treatments) is very high provided that our client can make the economics work at that price. – Candidiasis is a very crowded indication, with no clear market leader; very strong clinical profile (i.e. the efficacy of the drug relative to other available options within that indication) will be required to penetrate • Candidate should also calculate total market size for each indication – Asp. = 1.5B x $10 = $15B – Rare Mold = 200M x $20 = $4.0B – Cand. = 5.0B x $5 = $25B • Candidiasis is biggest, but info on development costs and likely market share in each indication is required before making a decision; candidate should request info on clinical profile (Exhibit 2) 234 Exhibit #2 Metric Probability of Phase III Trial Success Phase III Trial Cost Production Cost Per Dose Safety Profile (vs. Market Leader) Efficacy Profile (vs. Market Leader) Aspergillosis Rare Molds Candidiasis 50% 25% 60% $2 Billion $500M $1 Billion $7.0 $5.0 $2.0 Equal Equal Poor Superior Equal Equal 235 Interviewer Guidance: Exhibit 2 Exhibit #2 Guidance: Analysis: Interviewer Prompt: Our development team has provided the following information on cortexiphan’s clinical profile, based on the Phase II trial results • Candidate should have sound rationale for market share assumptions; after discussion tell them to use the following for calculations Potential questions: • Cortexiphan can be assumed to be priced at market average for initial analysis • Hypothetical market share should be first estimated by candidate based on the information provided in Exhibit 1 & 2 combined • Candidate should now proactively calculate annual profits with market share – Asp = Superior clinical profile to current options; likely to become new market leader (50-60%) – Rare Molds = Equal clinical profile; likely to pretty much split the market with current leader; maybe cortexiphan gets a bit less since competition has advantage of being first to market (40-50%) – Cand. = Clinical safety profile is worse than leader in a crowded market; at same price as competition we are unlikely to be a significant player (much less than 25% share of market leader) – Asp = 60% – Rare Molds = 40% – Candidiasis = 10% Profit = (Revenue per Dose – Cost per Dose)*(Market Share * Total Annual Doses) – Asp = ($10-$7) * (60% * 1.5B) = $2.7B – Rare Molds = ($20-$5) * (40% * 200M) = $1.2B – Cand. = ($5 - $2) * (10% * 5.0B) = $1.5B • Clinical trial costs and probability of success should also be included to make final decision (5 year period); calculations on next page 236 Interviewer Guidance: Exhibit 2 Analysis: Expected Profit = (Prob Success * Profit if Success) – (Prob Fail * Loss if Fail) – Asp = $11.5*50% - $2.0*50% = $4.75 – Rare Molds = $5.5*25% - $0.5*75% = $1.0 – Candidiasis = $6.5*60% - $1.0*40% = $3.5 • Candidate should drive to conclusion that Aspergillosis is the most profitable indication if successful, and has the highest expected profit even when accounting for potential failure; therefore, this should be indication chosen 237 Fringe Science Prompt #2: Dr. Bishop agrees with your initial assessment that the aspergillosis indication is a good first indication. Next, he is wondering whether pricing at either a discount or premium to the market will result in increased profitability. What do you think are the main pros and cons of both strategies? Interviewer Guidance: Brainstorming exercise; possible answers include: Premium: • Pros – Signals to market that product is better than what is currently available, which matches clinical profile; more revenue per dose; can selectively offer discounts to certain hospitals if required, but don’t sacrifice revenue pro-actively in case where you don’t • Cons – Formulary status / market share are likely lower; bad publicity w/ current mediaand government pressure on high priced pharmaceuticals Discount: • Pros – High market share and quicker product uptake; can always take price increases over time • Cons – Decreased revenue per dose; pricing choice for aspergillosis could hinder pricing potential for rare molds or candidiasis if pursue these indications later b/c low price is expected 238 Exhibit #3 Cortexiphan Aspergillosis Formulary Status Distribution by Pricing Strategy 100% 0% 20% 10% 25% Off Formulary On Formulary, Restricted No Restrictions % of Hospitals 30% 25% 80% 60% 50% Formulary Status Expected Market Share Off Formulary 10% On, Restricted 50% No Restriction 70% 0% Discount ($5) Parity ($10) Premium ($15) Strategy ($ per Dose) 239 Interviewer Guidance: Exhibit 3 Exhibit #3 Guidance: Interviewer Prompt: Our market research team has now conducted preliminary interviews with both payers and providers to get more detailed information on how cortexiphan is likely to be used at different price points Potential questions: • All hospitals can be assumed to be of similar size for calculation purposes Analysis: • Candidate should recognize qualitatively that higher price leads to worse formulary status, and consequently lower market share • Candidate should determine overall market share at each price point by using a sumproduct of percentage of hospitals at each formulary status * expected market share – Discount: 80%*70% + 20%*50% = 66% – Parity: 60%*70% + 30%*50% + 10%*10% = 58% (round to 60%) – Premium: 50%*70% + 25%*50% + 25%*10% = 50% • Annual revenue should be calculated based on price, market share, and total doses – Discount: 1.5B doses * 2/3 * $5 = $5B – Parity: 1.5B doses * 60% * $10 = $9B – Premium: 1.5B doses * 50% * $15 = $11.25B -> five-year = $56.25B • Profit tracks with revenue b/c cost is the same, so only need to calculate for premium – ($15 revenue - $7 cost per pill) * 0.75B doses annually * 5 years = $30B - $2B trial cost = $28B 240 Fringe Science Recommendation Based on all of the information presented, what would be your recommendation for Dr. Walter Bishop regarding the development of cortexiphan? Interviewer Guidance: • Candidate should recommend pursuing the aspergillosis indication at a premium price of $15 / dose • This recommendation will result in total expected revenue of $56.25B and profits of $28B over the five-year period post-launch • Candidate should note risks of strategy (e.g., there is a 50% chance the trial fails, leading to a $2B loss for the cost of the trial) • Aspergillosis indication is preferred because of cortexiphan’s superior clinical profile, high expected market share, and relatively large market size; although candidiasis is bigger market, we are not expected to be a big player based on the clinical profile • Pricing at a premium hinders formulary status somewhat, but the higher price per dose makes up for this; should also discuss potential cons of premium price 241 Fringe Science Evaluation Criteria Candidate Level Average Candidat e Assessment • • • Good Candidat e Excellent Candidat e • • • • • • Framework touches only om minority of case components Some guidance required in driving towards profitability, or misses requesting important information required to make calculations Focused only on quantitative considerations, lacking on qualitative insights Discusses all aspects of profitability case: market size, competition, market share potential, fixed and variable costs Calculations are quick and sound Makes clear, confident recommendations based on information presented Framework is customized to healthcare considerations and not basic profitability framework Proactively thinks about opportunity to pursue different pricing strategies and impact on potential revenue Notes risks of preferred strategy 242