MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS MBA722 Topic 2: The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics Week 2 Lecturer: Mr. Wagima Christopher. chriswagima@gmail.com/christopher.wagima@iuea.ac.ug Recape on Introductory Definitions Economics can be defined as a study of the way decisions are made regarding the optimal/rational way of allocating scarce resources Managerial economics is defined as the application of economic analysis to business and other organizations’ problems. Emphasis is on the firm, the environment in which it operates, and the decisions that firms have to take 2 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 3 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 1. Goals and Constraints 2. The Nature and Importance of Profits 3. Understanding Incentives 4. Understanding Markets 5. The Time Value of Money 6. Marginal Analysis 4 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 1.Goals and Constraints 5 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 1.Goals and Constraints A fundamental economic truth is that individual firms or decision makers respond to economic incentives (i.e. money, profits, utility, etc.) and how they influence strategic decision making. 6 Managerial Goals (examples) Sales, total revenue, gross income, market share Q sales, Q of output, output per unit of input (production efficiency) Costs, total costs, cost per unit of output (cost efficiency) Profits, total profits, profit per unit of output 7 Michael Porter’s “Five Competitive Forces” Decision-making constraints = Factors that influence the sustainability of firm profits 1. Market entry conditions for new firms 2. Market power of input suppliers 3. Market power of product buyers 4. Market rivalry amongst current firms 5. Price and availability of related products including both ‘substitutes’ and ‘complements’ 8 Managerial Choices (examples) Output quantity Output quality Output mix Output price Marketing and advertising Production processes (input mix) Input quantity Production location Production incentives Input procurement 9 The Concept of Opportunity Cost Opportunity cost of a decision to produce or to consume one good is the maximum value of the next best alternative foregone. Alternatively, opportunity cost is the maximum sacrifice one has to bear to acquire something of value. 10 Numerical illustration on ‘opportunity cost’ in production Assume with given resources you could produce various combinations of bicycles (X) and motor-cycles (Y), represented by the table below. X Y 0 8 3 7 6 6 9 5 24 0 11 Information in previous table can be represented by the line graph given below The slope of the line is is equal to (6 – 5)/(6 – 9) or (-1/3). Opportunity cost of 3 bicycles (X) is 1 motorcycle (Y). Alternatively, 1 motorcycle is equivalent to 3 bicycles in terms of resource requirements. no. of motor cycles, Y 6 5 6 Note equation of the line is given by y = 8 – (1/3)x A(6,6) B(9,5) 9 X, number of bicycles 12 Numerical illustration on ‘opportunity cost’ in consumption Suppose with a given amount of money a consumer is able to buy the following combinations of ‘meals’ (X) and clothing (Y). No of meals (X) Units of clothing (Y) 10 2 6 3 2 4 13 Note, slope of line = (change in Y)/(change in X) OR Y (0,4.5) (4-2)/(2-10) = (2/-8)= -(1/4) Equation of the line: y = 4.5 – (1/4)x (2,4) (10,2) (0,0) (18,0) X 14 Numerical illustration on ‘opportunity cost’ in consumption Opportunity cost of 4 meals is 1 unit of clothing. Alternatively, 1 unit of clothing is equivalent to 4 meals in terms of money spent. 15 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 2. The nature and Importance of Profits 16 Costs of production Distinction between accounting costs and opportunity costs: Opportunity cost may be defined as expected returns from the second best use of resources which are foregone due to scarcity of resources (Implicit costs) Accounting costs are actual monetary expenses recorded in books of account (Explicit costs) 17 Explicit and Implicit costs Explicit costs involve a direct money outlay for factors of production Implicit costs do not involve a direct money outlay 18 Economic and accounting profit Economists include all opportunity costs when measuring costs Accountant measure the explicit costs but often ignore the implicit costs When total revenue exceeds both explicit and implicit costs, the firm earns economic profit Accounting profit is difference between total revenue and explicit costs 19 Economic profit versus accounting profit How economist views a firm Implicit costs Explicit costs Revenue Economic profit How accountant views a firm Accoun ting profit Explicit costs 20 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 3. Understanding Incentives 21 Understanding Incentives Incentive is a measure to promote beneficial activities. Helps to resolve moral hazards Principal – agent problem: conflict of interest between manager and owner of the firm:- ‘Managers are more interested in maximization of their own benefits, instead of maximizing corporate profit’ 22 Understanding Incentives Asymmetric information Adverse Selection : Immoral behavior that takes advantage of asymmetric information before a transaction. Hazards : Where the behavior of one party may change to the detriment of another after a transaction has taken place. 23 Understanding Incentives Resolve the moral hazard requires one; To invest in monitoring and surveillance and other methods of collecting information about the behavior of the party subject to moral hazard. To align the incentives of the party subject to moral hazard with those of the less informed party 24 Understanding Incentives Types of Incentive Schemes Performance Pay :- Incentive schemes resolve the moral hazard by tying payments to some measure of performance. The scheme depends on a link between the unobservable action and some observable measure of performance. 25 Understanding Incentives The architecture of an organization comprises of: Distribution of ownership Incentive schemes and Monitoring systems •A positive incentive measure is an economic institutional measure designed to encourage beneficial activities. 26 and Understanding Incentives Performance Quota: The Minimum standard of performance, below which a worker is subject to penalties. The penalties could include deferral of promotion, reduction in pay or even dismissal. Cost-effective way of inducing the worker to choose the economically efficient level of effort. It is cost-effective because it does not reward effort below or above the economically efficient level. It focuses the incentive at the economically efficient level of effort. 27 Understanding Incentives Relative Performance Incentive:In some situations, the moral hazard can be resolved in a very natural way without imposing risk. By gauging performance on a relative basis, the incentive scheme cancels out the effect of extraneous factors to the extent that they effect all workers equally 28 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 4. Understanding Markets 29 Analyzing the Structure of a Market Aim: to understand key aspects of markets: • Nature of demand for products • Closeness or otherwise of competitors • Structure of costs • Dependence of profits on the level of output 30 Demand Curve Shows amount purchased as a function of price Depends on: - income - tastes - prices of competitive products - prices of complementary products 31 Supply Curve Amount offered for sale as a function of price Depends on costs of production, which in turn depend on - costs of inputs - technology 32 The Market Mechanism S Price ($ per unit) The curves intersect at equilibrium, or marketclearing, price. At P0 the quantity supplied is equal to the quantity demanded at Q0 . P0 D Q0 Quantit y 33 The Market Mechanism Characteristics of the equilibrium or market clearing price: *QD = QS *No shortage *No excess supply *No pressure on the price to change 34 Demand Curve -Income Rises 35 Demand Shifts 36 Supply shifts 37 D & S shift 38 The Market Mechanism 39 The Market Mechanism A Surplus *The market price is above equilibrium * There is excess supply * Producers lower prices * Quantity demanded increases and quantity supplied decreases * The market continues to adjust until the equilibrium price is reached. 40 The Market Mechanism 41 The Market Mechanism Shortage The market price is below equilibrium: * There is a shortage * Producers raise prices * Quantity demanded decreases and quantity supplied increases * The market continues to adjust until the new equilibrium price is reached. 42 The Market Mechanism Market Mechanism - Summary: 1) Supply and demand interact to determine the market-clearing price. 2) When not in equilibrium, the market will adjust to alleviate a shortage or surplus and return the market to equilibrium. 3) Markets must be competitive mechanism to be efficient. for the 43 Changes In Market Equilibrium S1998 S1900 Price S1950 D199 8 D195 D190 0 0 Quantity Conclusion Decreases in the costs of production have increased the supply by more than enough to offset the increase in demand. 44 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 5. Marginal Analysis 45 Marginal Analysis Analysis of ‘marginal’ costs and ‘marginal’ benefits due to a change Marginal = additional or incremental Costs and benefits that are constant (i.e. fixed, don’t change) are excluded from the analysis Changes occurring at ‘the margin’ are all that matter Two important dimensions of change: direction, magnitude 46 “Good” Economic Decisions Marginal benefits > marginal costs Examples of marginal benefits: ↑ profit ↑ revenue ↓ cost ↑ safety ↓ risk Marginal costs = opposite of above examples 47 Marginal Analysis (Examples) Y Incremental Y/ Incremental X MR TR X Units of output TC Units of output MC TP Units of input MP TRP Units of input MRP TC Units of input MFC TU Units of good MU Profit Units of output MP 48 Assume you are a member of your company’s Marketing Dept. You believe, and correctly so, 1) the market demand for your firm’s product is linear, 2) if your company charges Ugx 5 for its product, quantity sold would be 200 units and 3) if your company set price is Ugx 3, the number of units sold would be 400. Develop alternative ways of explaining to upper-level management more fully the relationship between the company’s price and the resulting number of units of product sold. 49 Variable Relationships Example of Alternative Ways of Depicting Tabular P Q 7 0 6 100 5 200 4 300 3 400 2 500 1 600 0 700 50 Variable Relationships Example of Alternative Ways of Depicting Mathematical Q = 700 – 100P P = 7 – 0.01Q Graphical 51 “Ceteris Paribus” Y = a + b1X1 + …bnXn=> the value of Y depends on the values of n different other variables; a ‘ceteris paribus’ assumption => we assume that all X variable values except one are held constant so we can look at how the value of Y depends on the value of the one X variable that is allowed to change 52 The Fundamentals of Managerial Economics 6. The Time Value of Money 53 Time Value of Money (Basic Concept) Money is worth more (or less) the sooner (later) it is received or paid due to the ability of money to earn interest. present value + interest earned = future value Or future value - interest lost = present value 54 Time Value of Money (Applications/Uses) 1. To evaluate business decisions where at least some of the cash 2. 3. flows occur in the future To project future dollar amounts such as cash flows, incomes, prices To estimate equivalent current-period values based on projected future values 55 Time Value of Money Concepts PV = present value = the number of currency units you will be able to borrow [or have to save] presently in order to payback [or collect] a given number of currency units in the future FV = future value = the number of currency units you will have to pay back [or be able to collect] in the future as a result of having borrowed [or saved] a given number of currency units presently 56 Time Value Equation FVn = PVn = PV(1+r)n FV/(1+r)n Compounding Discounting 57 Net Present Value (NPV) = = an investment analysis concept PV of future net cash flows – initial cost = PV of MR’s – PV of MC’s = invest if NPV > 0 = invest if PV of MR’s > PV of MC’s 58 Internal Rate of Return . an investment analysis alternative . value of ‘r’ that results in a NPV = 0 . an investment analysis alternative . period of time required for the sum of net cash flows to equal the initial cost It is the value of n such that 59 Session References Prof. Trupti Mishra, School of Management, IIT Bombay --- Lecture notes Managerial economics – Christopher R Thomas, S Charles Maurice and Sumit Sarkar Managerial economics – Geetika, Piyali Ghosh and Purba Roy Choudhury Managerial economics- Paul G Keat, Philip K Y Young and Sreejata Banerjee Micro Economics : ICFAI University Press Professor Geoffrey Heal, 616 Uris Hall --- Lecture notes 60 END THANK YOU