INVESTMENT APPRAISAL ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN THE ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN The accounting rate of return looks at the average accounting profit an investment generates and expresses it as a % of the average book value of the investment over its life. Accounting Rate of Return This is then compared to a target rate of return Accept if higher than target Reject if lower than target Cash flows are adjusted to accounting profits Average profit 100% Average book value of investment Profit is not the same as money in the bank. It is a figure that is based on the rules of accounting Average book value of the asset over its life is the average value at which it is recorded in the firm’s accounts EXAMPLE: ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN A firm is considering purchasing a new piece of equipment costing €200,000. The machine is expected to have a useful economic life of 4 years, after which it will be sold at its residual value. The firm is expected to generate the following cash flows over each of the next four years: Year CF 1 €65,000 2 €75,000 3 €80,000 4 €65,000 If the machine is depreciated at a rate of 30% per annum using the reducing balance method, calculate the accounting rate of return for the machine. EXAMPLE: ACCOUNTING RATE OF RETURN Year NBV Start Depreciation NBV End Cash Flow Profit 1 200,000 60,000 140,000 65,000 5,000 2 140,000 42,000 98,000 75,000 33,000 3 98,000 29,400 68,600 80,000 50,600 4 68,600 20,580 48,020 65,000 44,420 NBV = Net Book Value (cost – accumulated depreciation) Average Book Value = (200,000 + 140,000 + 98,000 + 68,600 + 48,020) / 5 = 110,924 Average profit = (5,000 + 33,000 + 50,600 + 44,420)/ 4 = 33,255 Accounting rate of return = 33,255 / 110,924 = 0.2998 or 29.98% ADVANTAGES OF ARR As it is based on profits, non-financial managers should find it easy to understand i.e. the more profit the better! Profits are important, as investors base investment decisions on the profits firms report. Projects that maximise profits should help attract investors It is useful as a starting point for screening projects i.e. it can be used to quickly weed out projects that are unsuitable DISADVANTAGES OF ARR Accounting profits are not actual sums of money. A project could have high profits but the cash flows may be lower It does not take the time value of money into account i.e. it fails to recognise that cash received earlier can be reinvested and so is worth more than cash received later It ignores the size of the investment. Is it better to earn 20% on €100,000 investment, or 19% on €200,000 investment??? What if the project doesn’t work out? Is it better to risk €100,000 rather than €200,000?? It ignores the duration of the project Is it better to earn 20% for 4 years or 19% for 5 years?? A longer project may have a higher ARR, but longer projects are riskier as the forecasted figures are less certain