Homework # 5 10.6. (a). X 2 o 1 1 P min{X, Y } > i = P {X > i}P {Y > i} = = i k 2 4 n k=i+1 Thus o 1 P min{X, Y } ≤ i = 1 − i 4 n (b). P {X = Y } = ∞ X P {X = i, Y = i} = i=1 ∞ X P {X = i}P {Y = i} = i=1 ∞ X 1 1 1 1 = = i −1 4 41−4 3 i=1 (c). Notice that P {X > Y } + P {Y > X} + P {X = Y } = 1 andP {X > Y } = P {Y > X} Thus P {Y > X} = o 1 1 1 1 1 − P {X = Y } = 1− = 2 2 3 3 (d). ∞ ∞ ∞ X ∞ n [ X X 1 1 P X devides Y } = P {X = i, Y = ij} = 2i 2ij i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1 = ∞ X i=1 ∞ 1 2i(1+i) X 1 1 1 = 2 1 − 2−i 2i 2i − 1 i=1 (e) P {X ≥ kY } = ∞ X i=1 = 2 21+k ∞ ∞ X ∞ X X 1 1 1 1 =2 P {X ≥ ki, Y = i} = j i 2 2 2i 2ki 1 1 − 2−(1+k) i=1 i=1 j=ki = 2 21+k 10.12. P {An i.o.} = P −1 ∞ [ ∞ \ n=1 k=n Notice that P ∞ [ k=n Ak = lim P n→∞ Ak ≥ P (An ) 1 ∞ [ k=n Ak Taking limsup on the both side (notice the limit exists on the left hand side by monotonicity), ∞ [ lim P Ak ≥ lim sup P (An ) n→∞ n→∞ k=n 10.13. Assume complete convergence. By the first part of Borel-Cantelli lemma (the part does not need independence). ∞ [ ∞ \ o P |Xn − X| > ǫ i.o. = P {|Xk − X| > ǫ} = 0 n=1 k=n Or, equivalently, P |Xn − X| ≤ ǫ eventually = 1 Thus, lim sup |Xn − X| ≤ ǫ a.s. n→∞ Notice that ǫ > 0 can be arbitrarily small, letting ǫ → 0+ on the right leads to lim Xn = X n→∞ a.s. (∗) On the other hand, assume (*) holds. By 0-1 law, X is equal to a constant almost surely. Therefore, the sequence {Xn − X} is independent. For any ǫ > 0, P ∞ [ ∞ \ n=1 k=n o n o {|Xk − X| > ǫ} = P |Xn − X| > ǫ i.o. ≤ P lim Xn 6= X = 0 n→∞ By the second part of Borel-Cantelli lemma (Here the independence is needed), we must have ∞ X P {|Xn − X| > ǫ} < ∞ n=1 10. 16* First, A1 , · · · , Ak , · · · are independent. By Borel-Cantelli lemma. All we need to show is that ∞ if p ≥ 1/2 = ∞ X P (Ak ) k=1 <∞ if p < 1/2 Fix k and write Tk =The starting time of the first consecutive head-run during [2k , 2k+1 − 1] that last at least k rounds 2 Then P (Ak ) = P {2k ≤ Tk ≤ 2k+1 − k} = 2k+1 X−k P {Tk = j} j=2k For j > 2k , P {Tk = j} = (1 − p)pk . For j = 2k , P {Tk = j} = pk . Thus P (Ak ) = pk + (1 − p)(2k − 2)pk ∼ (2p)k (k → ∞) Therefore, the conclusion follows from the fact that ∞ X (2p)k < ∞ k=1 if and only if p < 1/2. 10.18. By the relation X = a − Y a.s. and by Theorem 10.1-(c), X is independent of itself. Consequently, for any number x, P {X ≤ x} = P {X ≤ x, X ≤ x} = P {X ≤ x}2 Therefore, P {X ≤ x} = 0 or 1. Notice that the distribution function F (x) = P {X ≤ x} is non-decreasing. There is a C such that F (x) = 0 as x < C and F (x) = 1 as x > C. Hence, X = C a.s. Thus, Y = a − C a.s. 3