MEASURING MARKETING EFFECTIVENESS LECTURE 3: FINANCIAL METRICS: PROFIT, MARGINS AND ROMI CHAPTERS: 3 & 9 Dr. Rob Angell MANG6533 Today Fundamental Financial Metrics 1. Types of “cost” 2. Types of “profit” Content - Group Activity – Building an MPM System the Peck’s way Recorded Video - ROMI 3 This Week The Recorded Session (catch up - own time) A close and critical look at return of Marketing Investment Content 1. What is ROMI? [Topic 1] 2. What is the main purpose of ROMI? [Topic 2] 3. So, how do I measure ROMI? (NO CALCULATION) [Topic 3] 4. A challenge of measuring ROMI (and why being a golfer will help you) [Topic 4] 5. ROMI and ROIMI Formulas plus examples [Topic 5] 4 OPENING CASE 5 Tango Brand: Tango Brand owner: Britvic Soft Drinks Entrant company: VCCP, London Idea creation: VCCP, London / Britvic, Hemel Hempstead Example Tango, the soft drink brand, recovered its long term decline by reconnecting with a new generation of 16-24 year olds in the UK. Tango was a declining business, and the rise of Fanta coupled with Tango's falling marketing budgets meant that it needed to make a big impact quickly. 6 Tango Communications objectives were: Grow value share from 4% to 6% Grow penetration from 12% to 14% And do this profitably ...and all within 1 year of the campaign launch. 7 Tango needed to build relevance with a notoriously hard to please audience. A historic jester brand, with humour and boldness in its DNA, Tango sought to bring this humour to the serious world of today's youth. We needed to find out what really bothered today's young people, so they ran three qualitative studies comprising 18 groups in total, split by age, gender and location. “We made an unexpected discovery. It isn't the bigger issues such as the environment, the housing market or student debt that mattered on a personal level. It's making a show of yourself. This is something that happens alarmingly often when you're 16-24. They crave acceptance, so being witnessed saying or doing the wrong thing leads to toe-curling awkwardness, because they haven't yet acquired the social skills to 8 The Idea A new campaign, 'Sticky Situations' was developed, filled with cringe-worthy awkward scenarios. It features Tango's first ever female brand character, the Tanguru, who embodies the brand: British, edgy, and quick witted. She brings urban street savviness to help teens style out awkward situations, offering humorous in-themoment advice to help young 9 Outcomes Profit - total spend (media + production) = £2,098,239 - £1,242,000 = £856,239 net profit. Profit ROI = profit/spend = £2,098,239 / £1,242,000 = 1.69 Net profit ROMI = net profit/spend = £856,239 / £1,242,000 = 0.69 Thus the campaign returned a profit ROI of 1.69:1, with a net profit ROMI of 0.69:1, within 6 months. 10 A LITTLE BACKGROUND BACK TO THE CMO SURVEY 2022 11 A Metrics Ranking What do you think are the THREE most CONSISTENTLY employed metrics by Marketers in 2022? Costs, Net Profit, Margin Difficulty Level ✪✪○ A: Bendle et al. (2017); p.65 -75, 91 – 101, 354-359 B: Bendle et al. (2015); p.67 – 77, 93 – 103, 366-371, 13 Costs “A monetary measure of resources sacrificed or forgone to achieve an objective” (Quinn, 2011; p.142) 14 Fixed and Variable Costs Total cost (£) = fixed cost (£) + total variable costs (£) Fixed Cost = A cost that remains stable within a relevant range of business activity. Variable Cost = A cost that increases in line with business activity (Quinn, 2011; p.143) Example: A business pays £5k a year in rent and £100k in employee wages. They take on a new client who wants 100 new units at a cost of £3 per unit. How much extra will the order cost the business in total? 15 Total cost (£) = fixed cost (£) + total variable cost (£) Total Cost Variable cost Fixed Costs Units 16 Net Profit (and Revenue) Net Profit = Sales Revenue (£) – Total Costs (£) (inc a reasonable share of corporate overheads, e.g. headquarters rent, staff wages @ head office). EBIT[DA] (£) = Net Profit (£) + Interest Payments (£) + Taxes + [Depreciation and Amortization charges] 17 Margins Unit Margin [on sales] (£) = Selling price per unit (£) – Cost per unit (£) iPhone 13 mini iPhone 13 Selling Price = $699.00 Selling Price = $999.00 Cost to produce = $286.59 Cost to produce = $357.50 MARGIN = $412.41 MARGIN = $641.50 18 Reuters.com Margins II Margin (%) = Sales Price per Unit (£) – Cost per Unit (£) Sale Price per Unit (£) iPhone 13 mini iPhone 13 Selling Price = $699.00 Selling Price = $999.00 Cost to produce = $286.59 Cost to produce = $357.50 MARGIN = 59% MARGIN = 64.2% 19 Variable cost Total Cost Fixed Costs Units 20 Cost per unit Quantity 21 MOVING FORWARD THIS WEEK… 22 Recorded Materials 1. What is ROMI? [Topic 1] 2. What is the main purpose of ROMI? [Topic 2] 3. So, how do I measure ROMI? (NO CALCULATION) [Topic 3] 4. A challenge of measuring ROMI (and why being a golfer will help you) [Topic 4] 5. ROMI and ROIMI Formulas plus examples [Topic 5] 23 Recorded Session Notes 24 Return on Marketing Investment (ROMI) Difficulty Level ✪✪○ A: Bendle et al (2017); p.364 - 370 B: Bendle et al (2015); p.376 - 382 25 What is ROMI? 26 ROMI Goal To evaluate the effect that spending on marketing contributes to profit. (Oxford Dictionary) Essentially: ‘What is the ratio of spending to return?’ 27 28 29 30 31 32 What is the main purpose of ROMI? 33 Purpose •CMO’s need to justify their value to CFO’s (arming) •To kill off the HIPPO (disarming) • That is: the highest paid person’s opinion. 34 KOHL’s - Suggestion to include large furniture in all stores. - The Board were very enthusiastic. - CMO advocated soft-launch. - Immediate launch in 70 (1 in 15) stores. - Not only did the initiative not provide any ROMI, but stores that had to reduce other product lines saw pre-to-post reductions in sales. 35 So, how do I measure ROMI? (NO CALCULATION) 36 ROMI There remains no universally accepted way of using or calculating ROMI… e.g. 1. Comparing two projects of similar value and estimating the potential return using projections / estimates (simulations) 2. Estimating the overall marketing budget in driving sales 3. Tracking the effect of specific marketing activities on sales in an ‘attributable’ manner 37 ROMI (in theory) Rust et al. 2004 • Marketing can have an influence that extends over multiple periods. • Different types of marketing activity have different wear-out times 38 Available? Short-term Marketing Projects: - ROMI (one-off – activities) - ROIMI (one-of-several activities) Longer-term (rollover) Marketing Projects: - Customer Lifetime Value (CLV)* * We don’t cover ROMI for long-term projects in this module 39 A challenge of measuring ROMI (and why being a golfer will help you) 40 A Challenge for Capturing ROMI Pauwels and Reibstein (2010)* Isolating marketing activities 41 Golf & ROMI? Golf – a short introduction • Golf is a difficult and very skillful sport. • On a golf course each hole is given a par score (a ‘fair’ score given the difficulty of the hole ranging Par 3-5. • A normal course of 18 holes has an overall par of approximately 72. A professional golfer will be expected to get around the course in 72. • Amateur golfers have a handicap which is the par (+) the normal extra number of shots they need to finish the course (a handicap of 8 means that golfer normally shoots about 80!) 42 Golf & ROMI I need to improve… I can do any or all of the following... • A new swing? • A new putter? • Some new shoes? • A new bag? – I get tired lifting my bag! 43 What do golfers and CMO’s have in common? How does this apply to ROMI? • Marketing investments (like golf investments) can be tested in an experimental manner. • To understand the incremental value of your initiative, you need to: a. Keep Score – what is your baseline (normal sales/handicap)? b. Control – if you implement something new, be sure that any change is genuinely due to your intervention (is your change real?) c. Increment Measurement – Has your score changed relative to the baseline? By how much? Is this significant? Quantify the change. 44 Treatwell How would you spend a £10m budget effectively? • Learned the value of establishing incremental value when delivering individual campaigns • Foundations in marketing science Case: https://www.marketingweek.com/treatwell-most-effective-spen d/ 45 Isolation… Do you see an issue with the “idea” of isolation? 46 Isolation…II Do you see an issue with “the idea” of isolation? 1. Realism in practice: External validity 2. Marketing activity synergy: Interactions 47 GoPro: Synergy 48 ROMI and ROIMI Formulas plus examples 49 ROMI 50 Contribution Margin Measurement Pre-campaign 100 Pens Post-campaign Extra Revenue 10 x Selling Price – 10 x variable costs 110 pens Or RAM x Cont Margin (%) Extra (Variable Cost) 51 ROIMI The more observant would notice that (sometimes): • Having figures for revenue without marketing might be complex. • Looking at a more incremental approach may be better (i.e. Marketing Revenue before V’s after a new action may be preferable) 52 Example – Farm Equipment A farm equipment company implemented a direct mail campaign to remind customers to have their tractors serviced before spring. The campaign cost $1,000 and increased revenues from $45,000 to $50,000. Baseline revenues for tractor servicing (with no marketing) were at $25,000. The direct mail campaign was in addition to regular advertising costing $6,000. Contribution (%) on tractor servicing (for parts & labour) is 60%. 53 A farm equipment company implemented a direct mail campaign to remind customers to have their tractors serviced before spring. The campaign cost $1,000 and increased revenues from $45,000 to $50,000. Baseline revenues for tractor servicing (with no marketing) were at $25,000. The direct mail campaign was in addition to regular advertising costing $6,000. Contribution (%) on tractor servicing (for parts & labour) is 60%. What is the ROIMI? 54 A farm equipment company implemented a direct mail campaign to remind customers to have their tractors serviced before spring. The campaign cost $1,000 and increased revenues from $45,000 to $50,000. Baseline revenues for tractor servicing (with no marketing) were at $25,000. The direct mail campaign was in addition to regular advertising costing $6,000. Contribution (%) on tractor servicing (for parts & labour) is 60%. For every $1 spent on advertising the company will see double the 55 return. Worth a look in your own time… 1. Return on Sales (RoS): Technically similar to Gross Margin 2. Return on Assets (RoA): existing infrastructure Standardizes performance by the scale of ROA is a critical metric for some firms and less so for others… [think, why!?] 56 Review 1. CFO’s like financial metrics so marketers have to be aware of these. 2. Marketers tend to focus on top-line activities (revenues) but should never overlook bottom-line savings (costs). 3. ROMI is very popular and intuitively simple, but more complicated in practice. 57 References • Ambler, T. (2003) ROI is Dead: Now Bury It. Admap: (September): 453. • Farris, Paul W., Bendle, N.T., Pfeifer, P.E. and Reibstein, D.J. (2011) Marketing Metrics: The Definitive Guide to Measuring Marketing Performance. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Education. • Pauwels, K. and Reibstein, D. (2010) Challenges in Measuring Return on Marketing Investment, in Naresh K. Malhotra (ed.) Review of Marketing Research (Review of Marketing Research, Volume 6) Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp.107 - 124 • Rust, R. Ambler, T. Carpenter, G. Kumar, V. (2004) Measuring marketing productivity: Current knowledge and future directions. Journal of Marketing, 68, 4. 76-79 • Quinn, G. (2011) Brilliant Accounting. 58