Chapter 14 International Short-Term Financing and Investment Objectives • To explain why short-term foreign currency financing and investment are considered • To consider the choice between domestic and foreign currency financing and investment • To identify the costs and benefits of financing/investment with a portfolio Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-2 Internal financing • A multinational firm can utilise internal financing by: requesting a transfer of funds from a subsidiary increasing mark-ups on supplies sent to subsidiaries Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-3 Sources of external financing • Standby Eurocredits: Eurocurrency lines and revolving commitments • Euronotes: note issuance facilities and Eurocommercial papers Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-4 Why foreign currency financing? • Foreign currency financing introduces FX risk only if there is no exposure already • It may be cheaper Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-5 Three-month interest rates (Australia) 20 16 12 8 4 0 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-6 Three-month interest rates (U.S.) 16 12 8 4 0 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-7 Three-month interest rates (Japan) 10 8 6 4 2 0 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-8 Three-month interest rates (U.K.) 16 12 8 4 0 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-9 Effective financing rate from an Australian perspective (USD) 24 16 8 0 -8 -16 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-10 Effective financing rate from an Australian perspective (JPY) 24 16 8 0 -8 -16 -24 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-11 Effective financing rate from an Australian perspective (GBP) 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 1984Q4 1987Q4 1990Q4 1993Q4 1996Q4 1999Q4 2002Q4 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2005Q4 2008Q4 14-12 International short-term investment • International short-term investment is the placement of excess funds in short-term investments denominated in various currencies Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-13 Short-term investment • Time deposits • Certificates of deposit: Tap CDs Tranche CDs Rollover CDs Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-14 The effective financing rate e (1 i )(1 S ) 1 e i S Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-15 The effective rate of return r (1 i )(1 S ) 1 r i S Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-16 The effect of changes in the exchange rate • Foreign currency appreciation e i • Foreign currency depreciation e i • No change e i Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-17 The effective financing rate with bid-offer spread e S a1 (1 ia ) Sb 0 1 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-18 The effective rate of return with bid-offer spread r Sb1 (1 ib ) Sa 0 1 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-19 Implications of CIP • If covered interest parity (CIP) holds, the effective financing rate and the rate of return will be equal to the domestic interest rate Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-20 Measuring risk: probability distributions n E (e) ei pi i 1 σ (e) pi ei E (e) 2 n 2 i 1 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-21 Measuring risk: historical data 1n e et n t 1 1 n 2 et e (e) n 1 t 1 2 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-22 Financing with and investment in a portfolio of currencies wy wz 1 eip, j wy eiy wz e zj n m i 1 j 1 piy p zj 1 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-23 Centralised versus decentralised cash management • Centralised: receipts and payments in various currencies are managed by a central body • Decentralised: receipts and payments are managed by branches and subsidiaries Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-24 Advantages of centralised cash management • Netting involves the calculation of the overall position in each currency by adding up short and long positions of branches and subsidiaries • Netting provides a natural hedge when there is a short position in one currency and an equivalent long position in the same currency (cont.) Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-25 Bilateral netting 500 000 Before Netting A B 300 000 After A 200 000 B Netting Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-26 Multilateral netting After Netting Before Netting A B D C B A B D C (cont.) Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-27 400 000 Multilateral netting (cont.) A B 200 000 1600 000 B 300 000 C B D C C 500 000 400 000 C 600 000 D 900 000 1200 000 A D 700 000 600 000 B D 1200 000 300 000 A 100 000 C A C 900 000 Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-28 Advantages of centralised cash management (cont.) • Currency diversification means that even if the combined position is not zero, centralised cash management may result in a combined position that is so diversified that foreign exchange risk is reduced significantly, removing the need to hedge individual positions (cont.) Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-29 Advantages of centralised cash management (cont.) • Pooling: by pooling cash balances in a centralised location, the cash requirements of any branch or subsidiary anywhere can be met without having to keep balances denominated in various currencies in every locality Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-30 When is decentralised management preferred? • When delays are expected in transferring funds to countries with inefficient banking systems • When local representation is necessary Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-31 Factors determining where cash balances are held • • • • Whether or not funds are needed in the future Whether or not there is a forward market Political risk Liquidity considerations Copyright 2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 14-32