Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition CHAPTER 4 Section 4.1 4.1.1 a) P (1 X ) = e − x dx = (−e − x ) 1 = e −1 = 0.3679 1 2.5 b) P(1 X 2.5) = e −x dx = (−e − x ) 2.5 1 = e −1 − e − 2.5 = 0.2858 1 3 c) P( X = 3) = e− x dx = 0 3 4 d) P( X 4) = e− x dx = (−e− x ) = 1 − e− 4 = 0.9817 4 0 0 e) P(3 X ) = e− x dx = (−e− x ) 3 = e−3 = 0.0498 3 f) P( x X ) = e − x dx = (−e − x ) x = e − x = 0.10 . x Then, x = −ln(0.10) = 2.3 x g) P( X x) = e − x dx = (−e − x ) = 1 − e − x = 0.10 . x 0 0 Then, x = −ln(0.9) = 0.1054 2 −1 −1 dx = ( 2 ) = ( ) − ( −1) = 0.75 3 x x 1 4 2 2 4.1.2 a) P( X 2) = 1 b) P( X 5) = 5 2 −1 −1 dx = ( 2 ) = 0 − ( ) = 0.04 3 x x 5 25 2 −1 −1 −1 4 x 3 dx = ( x 2 ) 4 = ( 64 ) − ( 16 ) = 0.0469 d) P( X 4 or X 8) = 1 − P(4 X 8) . From part (c), P(4 X 8) = 0.0469. Therefore, P( X 4 or X 8) = 1 – 0.0469 = 0.9531 8 8 c) P( 4 X 8) = 2 −1 −1 dx = ( 2 ) = ( 2 ) − (−1) = 0.95 3 x 1 x 1 x Then, x2 = 20, and x = 4.4721 x x e) P( X x) = 0 4.1.3 a) P( X 0) = 0.5 cos xdx = (0.5 sin x) − /2 b) P( X − / 4) = − / 4 0 − / 2 = 0 − ( −0.5) = 0.5 0.5 cos xdx = (0.5 sin x) − /2 − / 4 − / 2 = −0.3536 − ( −0.5) = 0.1464 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition c) P( − / 4 X / 4) = /4 0.5 cos xdx = (0.5 sin x) − /4 /2 0.5 cos xdx = (0.5 sin x) d) P( X − / 4) = − /4 /2 − / 4 /4 − / 4 = 0.3536 − ( −0.3536) = 0.7072 = 0.5 − ( −0.3536) = 0.8536 x 0.5 cos xdx = (0.5 sin x) e) P( X x ) = − /2 x − / 2 = (0.5 sin x ) − ( −0.5) = 0.95 Then, sin x = 0.9, and x = 1.1198 radians 4 x x2 4 2 − 32 P ( X 4 ) = dx = = = 0.4375 , because a) 3 8 16 16 3 4 4.1.4 5 x x2 P ( X 3 . 5 ) = dx = b) , 8 16 3.5 = 3.5 2 5 5 2 − 3.5 2 = 0.7969 because 16 f X ( x) = 0 for x > 5. x x 52 − 4 2 dx = = = 0.5625 4 8 16 16 4 5 c) P(4 X 5) = 5 f X ( x) = 0 for x < 3. 4.5 x x2 d) P ( X 4.5) = dx = 8 16 3 4.5 3 4.5 2 − 3 2 = = 0.7031 16 5 3.5 x x x2 x2 5 2 − 4.5 2 3.5 2 − 32 + = + = 0.5 . e) P( X 4.5) + P( X 3.5) = dx + dx = 8 8 16 4.5 16 3 16 16 4.5 3 5 4.1.5 3.5 a) P(0 X ) = 0.5 , by symmetry. 1 b) P(0.5 X ) = 1.5 x 2 dx = 0.5 x 3 1 0.5 = 0.5 − 0.0625 = 0.4375 0.5 0.5 1.5x dx = 0.5x c) P(−0.5 X 0.5) = 2 − 0.5 3 0.5 − 0.5 = 0.125 d) P(X < −2) = 0 e) P(X < 0 or X > −0.5) = 1 1 f) P( x X ) = 1.5 x 2 dx = 0.5 x3 1 x = 0.5 − 0.5 x3 = 0.05 x Then, x = 0.9655 50.25 4.1.6 a) P( X 50) = 2.0dx = 2 x 50.25 50 = 0.5 50 50.25 b) P( X x) = 0.90 = 2.0dx = 2 x x Then, 2x = 99.6 and x = 49.8. 50.25 x = 100.5 − 2 x Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 4.1.7 a) P(X < 2.25 or X > 2.75) = P(X < 2.25) + P(X > 2.75) because the two events are mutually exclusive. Then, P(X < 2.25) = 0 and 2.8 2dx = 2(0.05) = 0.10 . P(X > 2.75) = 2.75 b) If the probability density function is centered at 2.55 meters, then f X ( x) = 2 for 2.3 < x < 2.8 and all rods will meet specifications. 4.1.8 a) P( X 90) = 0 because the pdf is not defined in the range (−,90) . b) 200 P(100 X 200) = −4 −6 −4 −6 2 (−5.56 10 + 5.56 10 x)dx = (−5.56 10 x + 2.78 10 x ) 200 100 100 = (−5.56 10−4 200 + 2.78 10−6 2002 ) − (−5.56 10−4 100 + 2.78 10−6 1002 ) = 0.278 c) 1000 (4.44 10 P( X 800) = −3 − 4.44 10− 6 x)dx = (4.44 10− 3 x − 2.22 10− 6 x 2 ) 1000 800 800 = (4.44 10− 3 103 − 2.22 10− 6 106 ) − (4.44 10− 3 800 − 2.22 10− 6 8002 ) = 0.0888 0.09 d) Find a such that P( X a) = 0.1 1000 P( X a) = (4.44 10 −3 − 4.44 10− 6 x)dx = (4.44 10− 3 x − 2.22 10− 6 x 2 ) 1000 a = 0.1 a (4.44 10− 3 103 − 2.22 10− 6 106 ) − (4.44 10− 3 a − 2.22 10− 6 a 2 ) = 0.1 (2.22) − (4.44 10− 3 a − 2.22 10− 6 a 2 ) = 0.1 Then, a 787.76 0.5 4.1.9 a) P( X 0.5) = 0.5 exp(−0.5x)dx = − exp(−0.5x) 0.5 0 = 0.221 0 b) P( X 2) = 0.5 exp(−0.5 x)dx = − exp(−0.5 x) c) P( X a) = 0.5 exp(−0.5 x)dx = − exp(−0.5 x) 2 2 a = 0.368 = exp(−0.5a) = 0.05 a = 5.991 a 40 4.1.10 a) P( X 40) = (0.0025x − 0.075)dx = (0.00125x 2 − 0.075x) 40 30 30 = (0.00125 402 − 0.075 40) − (0.00125 302 − 0.075 30) = 0.125 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 50 60 b) P(40 X 60) = (0.0025x − 0.075)dx + (−0.0025x + 0.175)dx 40 50 50 = (0.00125x − 0.075 x) + (−0.00125x + 0.175 x) 2 2 40 60 50 = 0.375 + 0.375 = 0.75 c) Find a such that P( X a) = 0.99 (i.e. P( X a) = 1 − 0.99 = 0.01 a P( X a) = (0.0025x − 0.075)dx = (0.00125x 2 − 0.075x) a 30 = 0.01 30 = (0.00125 a 2 − 0.075 a) − (0.00125 302 − 0.075 30) = 0.01 Then, a = 32.828 Section 4.2 4.2.1 a) P(X<2.8) = P(X 2.8) because X is a continuous random variable. Then, P(X<2.8) =F(2.8)=0.2(2.8) = 0.56. b) P( X 1.5) = 1 − P( X 1.5) = 1 − 0.2(1.5) = 0.7 c) P( X −2) = FX (−2) = 0 d) P( X 6) = 1 − FX (6) = 0 4.2.2 Now, f ( x) = e − x x for 0 < x and FX ( x) = e − x dx = − e − x x 0 0 0, x 0 for 0 < x. Then, FX ( x) = −x 1 − e , x 0 4.2.3 Now, f ( x ) = 0.5 cos x for -/2 < x < /2 and x FX ( x) = 0.5 cos udu = (0.5 sin x) − /2 x − / 2 = 0.5 sin x + 0.5 0, x − / 2 Then, FX ( x ) = 0.5 sin x + 0.5, − / 2 x / 2 1, x /2 4.2.4 Now, f ( x ) = 2 for x > 1 and x3 2 −1 −1 FX ( x) = 3 du = ( 2 ) = ( 2 ) + 1 u 1 x 1 u x x 0, x 1 1 1− 2 , x 1 x Then, FX ( x) = = 1− e −x Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 4.2.5 x u u2 x2 − 9 = Now, f ( x) = x / 8 for 3 < x < 5 and FX ( x) = du = 8 16 3 16 3 x 0, x 3 2 x −9 ,3 x 5 for 0 < x. Then, F X ( x) = 16 1, x 5 4.2.6 Now, f ( x) = e− x /10 for 0 < x and 10 x FX ( x) = 1/10 e − x /10 dx = −e − x /10 x 0 = 1 − e − x /10 0 for 0 < x. 0, x 0 Then, FX ( x) = − x /10 , x0 1 − e a) P(X<60) = F(60) =1 - e-6 = 1 - 0.002479 = 0.9975 30 b) 1/10 e − x /10 dx = e-1.5 − e-3 =0.173343 15 c) P(X1>40)+ P(X1<40 and X2>40)= e-4+(1- e-4) e-4=0.0363 d) P(15<X<30) = F(30)-F(15) = e-1.5- e-3=0.173343 x 4.2.7 Now, f(x) = 2 for 2.3 < x < 2.8 and F ( x) = 2dy = 2 x − 4.6 2.3 for 2.3 < x < 2.8. Then, 0, x 2.3 F ( x) = 2 x − 4.6, 2.3 x 2.8 1, 2.8 x P( X 2.7) = 1 − P( X 2.7) = 1 − F (2.7) = 1 − 0.8 = 0.2 because X is a continuous random variable. 4.2.8 f ( x) = 2e−2 x , x 0 4.2.9 0.2, 0 x 4 f ( x) = 0.04, 4 x 9 4.2.10 For 30 x 50 , Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition x P( X x) = (0.0025x − 0.075)dx = (0.00125x 2 − 0.075x) x 30 30 = (0.00125x 2 − 0.075x) − (0.00125 302 − 0.075 30) = 0.00125x 2 − 0.075x − 1.125 For 50 x 70 , x P( X x) = F (50) + (−0.0025x + 0.175)dx 50 = 0.5 + (−0.00125x 2 + 0.175 x) x 50 = 0.5 + (−0.00125x 2 + 0.175 x) − (−0.00125 502 + 0.175 50) = 0.5 − 0.0125 x 2 + 0.175 x − 5.625 = −0.0125 x 2 + 0.175 x − 5.125 0, x 30 2 0.00125x − 0.075 x − 1.125,30 x 50 F ( x) = 2 − 0.00125x + 0.175 x − 5.125,50 x 70 1, x 70 P( X 55) = F (55) = −0.00125 552 + 0.175 55 − 5.125 = 0.719 4.2.11 0, x 0 f ( x) = 0.5 exp(−0.5 x) F ( x) = x 0.5 exp(−0.5 x)dx = 1 − exp(−0.5 x), x 0 0 P(40 X 60) = F (60) − F (40) = 2.06 10 −9 4.2.12 For 100 x 500 , x F ( x) = (−5.56 10− 4 + 5.56 10− 6 x)dx = (−5.56 10− 4 x + 2.78 10− 6 x 2 ) x 100 100 = (−5.56 10− 4 x + 2.78 10− 6 x 2 ) − (−5.56 10− 4 100 + 2.78 10− 6 1002 ) For 500 x 1000 , x F ( x) = F (500) + (4.44 10− 3 − 4.44 10− 6 x)dx 500 = 0.445 + (4.44 10− 3 x − 2.22 10− 6 x 2 ) −3 −6 x 500 = 0.445 + (4.44 10 x − 2.22 10 x ) − (4.44 10− 3 500 − 2.22 10− 6 5002 ) 2 = 0.445 + (4.44 10− 3 x − 2.22 10− 6 x 2 ) − 1.665 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 0, x 100 −6 2 −4 −2 2.78 10 x − 5.56 10 x + 2.78 10 ,100 x 500 F ( x) = −6 2 −3 − 2.22 10 x + 4.44 10 x − 1.22,500 x 1000 1, x 1000 Section 4-3 1 4.3.1 x4 E ( X ) = 1.5 x dx = 1.5 4 −1 1 =0 3 −1 1 1 V ( X ) = 1.5 x 3 ( x − 0) 2 dx = 1.5 x 4 dx −1 = 1.5 −1 5 x 5 1 −1 = 0.6 4 4 4.3.2 x3 E ( X ) = 0.125x dx = 0.125 = 2.6667 3 0 0 2 4 4 V ( X ) = 0.125x( x − ) dx = 0.125 ( x 3 − 163 x 2 + 649 x)dx 8 2 3 0 0 = 0.125( x4 − 163 4 3 x 3 4 + 649 12 x 2 ) = 0.88889 0 4.3.3 E ( X ) = xe − x dx . Use integration by parts to obtain 1 E ( X ) = xe − x dx = − e − x ( x + 1) 0 = 0 − (−1) = 1 0 V ( X ) = ( x − 1) 2 e − x dx Use double integration by parts to obtain 0 V ( X ) = ( x − 1) 2 e − x dx = −( x − 1) 2 e − x − 2( x − 1)e − x − 2e − x ) 0 =1 0 50 4.3.4 x3 x2 E ( X ) = x(0.0025x − 0.075)dx = 0.0025 − 0.075 3 2 30 70 + x(−0.0025x + 0.175)dx = − 0.0025 50 3 2 70 x x + 0.175 3 2 50 50 30 2 1 == 21 + 28 = 50 3 3 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 50 x4 x3 E ( X ) = x (0.0025x − 0.075)dx = 0.0025 − 0.075 4 3 30 2 50 2 70 + x 2 (−0.0025x + 0.175)dx = − 0.0025 50 3 70 4 x x + 0.175 4 3 50 30 2 2 = 950 + 1616 = 2566 3 3 2 1 V ( X ) = E ( X ) − [ E ( X )] = 2566 − 2500 = 166 3 3 2 4.3.5 2 Probability distribution from exercise 4.1.8 used. Here, a = 5.56E-6, b = -5.56E-4, c = -4.44E-6, d = 4.44E-3 500 500 x3 x2 E ( X ) = x(ax + b)dx = a + b 3 2 100 100 1000 x3 x2 + x(cx + d )dx = c + d 3 2 500 1000 = 163.0933 + 370 = 533.0933 500 500 500 x4 x3 E ( X ) = x (ax + b)dx = a + b 4 3 100 100 2 2 1000 x4 x3 + x (cx + d )dx = d + d 4 3 500 70 = 63754.67 + 254375 = 318129.7 2 50 V ( X ) = E( X ) − [ E( X )] = 318129.7 − 533.09332 = 33941.16 2 4.3.6 2 a) 1210 E( X ) = x0.1dx = 0.05x 2 1210 1200 = 1205 1200 ( x − 1205) 3 V ( X ) = ( x − 1205) 0.1dx = 0.1 3 1200 1210 1210 = 8.333 2 1200 x = V ( X ) = 2.887 b) Clearly, centering the process at the center of the specifications results in the greatest proportion of cables within specifications. 1205 P(1195 X 1205) = P(1200 X 1205) = 0.1dx = 0.1x 1200 120 4.3.7 a) E ( X ) = x 100 600 120 dx = 600 ln x 100 = 109.39 2 x 1205 1200 = 0.5 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 120 120 600 V ( X ) = ( x − 109.39) dx = 600 1 − x2 100 100 2 2 (109.39 ) x = 600( x − 218.78 ln x − 109.39 2 x −1 ) 120 100 + (109.39 ) 2 x2 dx = 33.19 b) Average cost per part = $0.50*109.39 = $54.70 Section 4-4 4.4.1 a) E(X) = (-1+1)/2 = 0 (1 − (−1)) 2 V (X ) = = 1 / 3, and x = 0.577 12 x b) P(− x X x) = 1 2 dt = 0.5t x = 0.5(2 x) = x −x −x Therefore, x should equal 0.90. 0, x −1 c) F ( x) = 0.5 x + 0.5, − 1 x 1 1, 1 x 4.4.2 a) The distribution of X is f(x) = 10 for 0.95 < x < 1.05. Now, 0, FX ( x) = 10 x − 9.5, 1, x 0.95 0.95 x 1.05 1.05 x b) P( X 1.02) = 1 − P( X 1.02) = 1 − FX (1.02) = 0.3 c) If P(X > x) = 0.90, then 1 − F(X) = 0.90 and F(X) = 0.10. Therefore, 10x - 9.5 = 0.10 and x = 0.96. (1.05 − 0.95) 2 = 0.00083 d) E(X) = (1.05 + 0.95)/2 = 1.00 and V(X) = 12 4.4.3 a) The distribution of X is f(x) = 100 for 0.2050 < x < 0.2150. Therefore, 0, F ( x) = 100 x − 20.50, 1, x 0.2050 0.2050 x 0.2150 0.2150 x b) P( X 0.2125) = 1 − F (0.2125) = 1 − [100(0.2125) − 20.50] = 0.25 c) If P(X > x) = 0.10, then 1 − F(X) = 0.10 and F(X) = 0.90. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition Therefore, 100x - 20.50 = 0.90 and x = 0.2140. d) E(X) = (0.2050 + 0.2150)/2 = 0.2100 m and (0.2150 − 0.2050) 2 = 8.33 10 −6 m 2 V(X) = 12 4.4.4 Let X denote the changed weight. Var(X) = 42/12 and Stdev(X) = 1.1547 4.4.5 a) Let X be the time (in minutes) between arrival and 8:30 am. 1 f ( x) = , for 0 x 90 90 x Therefore, F ( x) = , for 0 x 90 90 b) E ( X ) = 45 , Var(X) = 902/12 = 675 c) The event is an arrival in the intervals 8:50-9:00 am or 9:20-9:30 am or 9:50-10:00 am so that the probability = 30/90 = 1/3 d) Similarly, the event is an arrival in the intervals 8:30-8:40 am or 9:00-9:10 am or 9:30-9:40 am so that the probability = 30/90 = 1/3 4.4.6 a) E(X) = (380 + 374)/2 = 377 (380 − 374) 2 V(X ) = = 3, and x = 1.7321 12 b) Let X be the volume of a shampoo (milliliters) 375 375 1 1 1 P( X 375) = dx = x = (1) = 0.1667 6 6 374 6 374 c) The distribution of X is f(x) = 1/6 for 374 x 380 . Now, 0, x 374 FX ( x ) = ( x − 374) / 6, 374 x 380 1, 380 x P(X > x) = 0.95, then 1 – F(X) = 0.95 and F(X) = 0.05. Therefore, (x - 374)/6 = 0.05 and x = 374.3 d) Since E(X) = 377, then the mean extra cost = (377-375) x $0.002 = $0.004 per container. 4.4.7 (a) Let X be the arrival time (in minutes) after 9:00 A.M. V (X ) = (120 − 0) 2 = 1200 and x = 34.64 12 b) We want to determine the probability the message arrives in any of the following intervals: 9:05-9:15 A.M. or 9:35-9:45 A.M. or 10:05-10:15 A.M. or 10:35-10:45 A.M.. The probability of this event is 40/120 = 1/3. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition c) We want to determine the probability the message arrives in any of the following intervals: 9:15-9:30 A.M. or 9:45-10:00 A.M. or 10:15-10:30 A.M. or 10:45-11:00 A.M. The probability of this event is 60/120 = 1/2. 4.4.8 Let X denote the kinetic energy of electron beams. 3+ 7 a) = E ( X ) = =5 2 2 b) 2 = V ( X ) = (7 − 3) 1.33 12 c) P( X = 3.2) = 0 because X has a continuous probability distribution. 3+b d) = E ( X ) = = 8 . Therefore, b = 13 2 2 e) 2 = V ( X ) = (b − 3) 0.75 . Therefore, b = 6 12 Section 4-5 4.5.1 a) P(Z<1.32) = 0.90658 b) P(Z<3.0) = 0.99865 c) P(Z>1.45) = 1 − 0.92647 = 0.07353 d) P(Z > −2.15) = p(Z < 2.15) = 0.98422 e) P(−2.34 < Z < 1.76) = P(Z<1.76) − P(Z > 2.34) = 0.95116 4.5.2 a) Because of the symmetry of the normal distribution, the area in each tail of the distribution must equal 0.025. Therefore the value in Table III that corresponds to 0.975 is 1.96. Thus, z = 1.96. b) Find the value in Table III corresponding to 0.995. z = 2.58 c) Find the value in Table III corresponding to 0.84. z = 1.0 d) Find the value in Table III corresponding to 0.99865. z = 3.0 4.5.3 a) P(X < 13) = P(Z < (13−10)/2) = P(Z < 1.5) = 0.93319 b) P(X > 9) = 1 − P(X < 9) = 1 − P(Z < (9−10)/2) = 1 − P(Z < −0.5) = 0.69146 14 − 10 6 − 10 Z = P(−2 < Z < 2) 2 2 c) P(6 < X < 14) = P = P(Z < 2) −P(Z < − 2)]= 0.9545 4 − 10 2 − 10 Z 2 2 d) P(2 < X < 4) = P = P(−4 < Z < −3) = P(Z < −3) − P(Z < −4) = 0.00132 e) P(−2 < X < 8) = P(X < 8) − P(X < −2) = P Z 4.5.4 8 − 10 −2 − 10 − P Z = P(Z < −1) − P(Z < −6) = 0.15866 2 2 a) P(X > x) = P Z x −10 x − 10 = 0.5. Therefore, 2 = 0 and x = 10. 2 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition b) P(X > x) = P Z Therefore, P Z x − 10 x − 10 = 0.95 = 1 − P Z 2 2 x − 10 x −10 = 0.05 and 2 = −1.64. Consequently, x = 6.72. 2 x − 10 x − 10 Z 0 = P( Z 0) − P Z 2 2 x − 10 = 0.2. = 0.5 − P Z 2 c) P(x < X < 10) = P Therefore, P Z x − 10 = 0.3 and x − 10 = −0.52. Consequently, x = 8.96. 2 2 d) P(10 − x < X < 10 + x) = P(−x/2 < Z < x/2)= 0.95. Therefore, x/2 = 1.96 and x = 3.92 e) P(10 − x < X < 10 + x) = P(−x/2 < Z < x/2) = 0.99. Therefore, x/2 = 2.58 and x = 5.16 4.5.5 a) 1 − (2) = 0.0228 b) Let X denote the time. X ~ N(129, 142) 100 − 129 P( X 100) = = (−2.0714) = 0.01916 14 −1 c) (0.95) 14 + 129 = 152.0280 Here 95% of the surgeries will be finished within 152.028 minutes. d) 199 >> 152.028 so the volume of such surgeries is very small (less than 5%). 4.5.6 a) Let X denote the time. X distributed N(260, 502) P( X 240) = 1 − P( X 240) = 1 − ( 240 − 260 ) = 1 − (−0.4) = 1 − 0.3446=0.6554 50 −1 (0.25) 50 + 260 = 226.2755 −1 (0.75) 50 + 260 = 293.7245 −1 c) (0.05) 50 + 260 = 177.7550 b) 4.5.7 0. 5 − 0. 4 = P(Z > 2) = 1 − 0.97725 = 0.02275 0.05 0.5 − 0.4 0.4 − 0.4 Z b) P(0.4 < X < 0.5) = P 0.05 0.05 a) P(X > 0.5) = P Z = P(0 < Z < 2) = P(Z < 2) − P(Z < 0) = 0.47725 c) P(X > x) = 0.90, then P Z x − 0 .4 = 0.90. 0.05 x − 0 .4 Therefore, 0.05 = −1.28 and x = 0.336. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition 4.5.8 Let X denote the cholesterol level. X ~ N(159.2, σ2) 200 − 159.2 a) P( X 200) = ( ) = 0.841 200 − 159.2 −1 = (0.841) = 200 − 159.2 = 40.8582 −1 (0.841) b) −1 (0.25) 40.8528 + 159.2 = 131.6452 −1 (0.75) 40.8528 + 159.2 = 186.7548 −1 c) (0.9) 40.8528 + 159.2 = 211.5550 d) (2) − (1) = 0.1359 e) 1 − (2) = 0.0228 f) Φ(−1) = 0.1587 4.5.9 Let X denote the height. X ~ N(1.41, 0.012) a) P( X 1.42) = 1 − P( X 1.42) = 1 − ( b) 1.42 − 1.41 ) = 1 − (1) = 0.1587 0.01 −1 (0.05) 0.01 + 1.41 = 1.3936 1.43 − 1.41 1.39 − 1.41 c) P(1.39 X 1.43) = ( ) − ( ) = (2) − (−2) = 0.9545 0.01 0.01 4.5.10 Let X denote the height. X ~ N(64, 22) a) P(58 X 70) = ( 70 − 64 58 − 64 ) − ( ) = (3) − (−3) = 0.9973 2 2 −1 (0.25) 2 + 64 = 62.6510 −1 (0.75) 2 + 64 = 65.3490 −1 c) (0.05) 2 + 64 = 60.7103 −1 (0.95) 2 + 64 = 67.2897 b) d) [1 − ( 68 − 64 5 )] = [1 − (2)]5 = 6.0942 10−9 2 5000 − 7000 = P(Z < −3.33) = 0.00043 600 x − 7000 x − 7000 = 0.95 and 600 = −1.64 b) P(X > x) = 0.95. Therefore, P Z 600 4.5.11 a) P(X < 5000) = P Z Consequently, x = 6016 Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition c) P(X > 7000) = P Z 7000 − 7000 = P( Z 0) = 0.5 600 P(Three lasers operating after 7000 hours) = (1/2)3 =1/8 4.5.12 Let X denote the demand for water daily. X ~ N(310, 452) a) P( X 350) = 1 − P( X 350) = 1 − ( b) 350 − 310 40 ) = 1 − ( ) = 0.1870 45 45 −1 (0.99) 45 + 310 = 414.6857 −1 (0.05) 45 + 310 = 235.9816 c) d) 𝑋 ~𝑁(𝜇, 452 ) P( X 350) = 1 − P( X 350) = 1 − ( ( 350 − ) = 0.99 45 350 − ) = 0.01 45 = 350 − −1 (0.99) 45 = 245.3143 million gallons is the mean daily demand. The mean daily demand per person = 245.3143/1.4 = 175.225 gallons. 13 − 12 = P(Z > 2) = 0.02275 0 .5 13 − 12 = 0.999 b) If P(X < 13) = 0.999, then P Z 4.5.13 a) P(X > 13) = P Z Therefore, 1/ = 3.09 and = 1/3.09 = 0.324 c) If P(X < 13) = 0.999, then P Z Therefore, 13− 0.5 13 − = 0.999 0 .5 = 3.09 and = 11.455 0.0026 − 0.002 = P(Z > 1.5) = 1-P(Z < 1.5) = 0.06681 0.0004 0.0026 − 0.002 0.0014 − 0.002 Z b) P(0.0014 < X < 0.0026) = P 0.0004 0.0004 4.5.14 a) P(X > 0.0026) = P Z = P(−1.5 < Z < 1.5) = 0.86638 0.0026 − 0.002 0.0014 − 0.002 Z 0.0006 − 0.0006 Z = P c) P(0.0014 < X < 0.0026) = P Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition Therefore, P Z 0.0006 = 0.9975. Therefore, 0.0006 = 2.81 and = 0.000214. 4.5.15 From the shape of the normal curve, the probability is maximized for an interval symmetric about the mean. Therefore a = 23.5 with probability = 0.1974. The standard deviation does not affect the choice of interval. 4.5.16 a) P(X > 10) = P Z 10 − 4.6 = P (Z > 1.8621) = 0.0313 2.9 b) P(X > x) = 0.25, then c) P(X < 0) = P Z −1 (0.75) 2.9 + 4.6 = 0.6745 2.9 + 4.6 = 6.5560 0 − 4.6 = P (Z < -1.5862) = 0.0563 2 .9 The normal distribution is defined for all real numbers. In cases where the distribution is truncated (because wait times cannot be negative), the normal distribution may not be a good fit to the data. 100 − 50.9 = P (Z > 1.964) = 0.0248 25 25 − 50.9 b) P(X < 25) = P Z = P (Z < -1.036) = 0.1501 25 4.5.17 a) P(X > 100) = P Z c) P(X > x) = 0.05, then −1 (0.95) 25 + 50.9 = 1.6449 25 + 50.9 = 92.0213 4.5.18 Let X denote the value of the signal. 1.55 − 1.5 1.45 − 1.5 Z = P(−2.5 Z 2.5) 0.988 0.02 0.02 a) P (1.45 X 1.55) = P b) P( X a) = 0.95 a − 1.5 a − 1 .5 P Z = 0.95 and P Z = 1 − 0.95 = 0.05 . 0.02 0.02 a − 1.5 = −1.645 and a = 1.4671 . Then, 0.02 c) + 2 − P( X + 2 ) = P Z = P( Z 2) = 1 − P( Z 2) = 1 − 0.97725 = 0.02275 4.5.19 P(V 1.5) = P( Z 1.5 − ) = 0.05 1.5 = 1.645 = 0.912 4.5.20 Let X 1 and X 2 denote the right ventricle ejection fraction for PH subjects and control subjects, respectively. a) Find a such that P( X 1 a) = 0.05 . Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 7th edition a − 36 a − 36 P ( X 1 a ) = P Z = 1 − 0.05 = 0.95 = 0.05 , then P Z 12 12 a − 36 = 1.645 and a = 55.74 12 55.74 − 56 b) P( X 2 55.74) = P Z 2 = P( Z 2 −0.0325) = 1 − P( Z 2 0.0325) = 0.487 8 From the standard normal table, c) Higher EF values are more likely to belong to the control subjects.