An Introduction to International Economics Chapter 6: Nontariff Barriers and the Political Economy of Protectionism Dominick Salvatore John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6-1 Nontariff barriers to trade • The previous chapter explored the effect of tariffs as barriers to international trade. • This chapter extends this discussion by considering the effects of barriers to trade other than the tariff such as: – – – – – Quotas Voluntary export restraints (VERs) Regulations Export subsidies Dumping Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6-2 Nontariff barriers to trade • The previous chapter explored the effect of tariffs as barriers to international trade. • This chapter extends this discussion by considering the effects of barriers to trade other than the tariff such as: • The growth of these nontariff barriers is important as they have grown in use in recent years and their effects are typically not as transparent as with a tariff. – This increases the opportunity for hidden protectionism. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6-3 Quotas • A quota is a numerical limit on the number of allowed imports. • Using the example from tariffs, a quota that reduces imports to the same numerical amount as an equivalent tariff changes the market in a similar way to the tariff. 120 110 100 Supply 90 80 70 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 Demand 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-4 Quotas • Initial effects of a quota – The equilibrium price under a quota (the quota price) will be the same as the price with an equivalent tariff. 120 110 100 Supply 90 80 70 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 Demand 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-5 Quotas • Initial effects of a quota – The equilibrium price under a quota (the quota price) will be the same as the price with an equivalent tariff. – The level of production will be the same as with a tariff. 120 110 100 Supply 90 80 Production 70 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 Demand 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-6 Quotas • Initial effects of a quota – The equilibrium price under a quota (the quota price) will be the same as the price with an equivalent tariff. – The level of production will be the same as with a tariff. – The level of domestic consumption will be the same as with a tariff. 120 110 100 Supply 90 80 70 Consumption 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-7 Quotas • Initial effects of a quota – The level of production will be the same as with a tariff. – The level of domestic consumption will be the same as with a tariff. – The allocation of the quota rents depends on how the government allocates the licenses to import the product. 120 110 100 Supply 90 Quota rent 80 70 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs Demand 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-8 Quotas • Initial effects of a quota – The level of domestic consumption will be the same as with a tariff. – The allocation of the quota rents depends on how the government allocates the licenses to import the product. – The same regions of deadweight loss exist. 120 110 100 Supply 90 Deadweight loss 80 70 60 50 40 Quota price 30 20 Quota 10 Demand 0 0 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 6-9 Concerns about quotas • The initial effects of a tariff and a quota are similar. • The effect of market changes – Changes in domestic supply or demand alter imports with a tariff. – Since imports are fixed with a quota, the quantity of imports does not change with market changes. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 10 Concerns about quotas • The initial effects of a tariff and a quota are similar. • The effect of market changes • The effect of imperfect competition – By introducing a numerical limit on imports, quotas limit the competition faced by domestic producers. – This better allows domestic producers to exploit their monopoly power. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 11 Concerns about quotas • The initial effects of a tariff and a quota are similar. • The effect of market changes • The effect of imperfect competition • The allocation of the quota rents is ambiguous – If the government auctions off the licenses, it should capture the quota rent. – If the allocation of the quota rent is arbitrary, it is possible that a portion of the quota rent will be lost to the society. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 12 Voluntary export restraints • A voluntary export restraint exists when the exporting nation voluntarily restricts its exports to a numerical limit. – Generally, this action is taken to reduce the likelihood of the importing country imposing some other form of barrier to trade. – The welfare effects are similar to quotas but with the quota rent going to the foreign producer. – In 1981, Japan and the US agreed to a VER of 1.68 million automobiles to be imported annually by the US from Japan. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 13 Regulations • Health and safety regulations may serve as barriers to international trade by raising the costs of imported products • Government purchasing restrictions may be biased against foreign goods – The Buy American Act of 1933 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 14 International cartels • An international cartel may form to limit sales – For example, OPEC (the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) acts to limit exports of petroleum. – The Energy Information Administration provides a good summary of current activities of OPEC • WWW link Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 15 Dumping • Dumping exists when (1) the sales price in the importing country is lower than the sales price in the exporting country or (2) the sales price in the importing country is below the costs of production. • Types of dumping – Persistent – Sporadic – Predatory Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 16 Dumping • Dumping exists when (1) the sales price in the importing country is lower than the sales price in the exporting country or (2) the sales price in the importing country is below the costs of production. • Types of dumping • Countervailing duty – US international trade law allows for the imposition of a tariff (known as a countervailing duty) just sufficient raise the domestic price to either the foreign price or the average costs of production. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 17 Arguments for protectionism • Fallacious argument 1 – “Trade restrictions are needed to protect domestic labor against cheap foreign labor.” – The cost of labor is only partially determined by wages. – Greater productivity may more than offset the advantages offered by low foreign wages. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 18 Arguments for protectionism • Fallacious argument 1 – “Trade restrictions are needed to protect domestic labor against cheap foreign labor.” • Fallacious argument 2 – “Scientific tariffs are needed so that domestic producers can compete.” – A scientific tariff raises the price of imports to the domestic price. – This does increase domestic production but it also eliminates imports. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 19 Arguments for protectionism • Questionable argument 1 – “Trade restrictions are needed to reduce domestic unemployment.” – Trade restrictions may reduce imports and lead to an expansion in the economy which will lower unemployment in the short-run. – This conclusion hinges on there being no retaliation by foreign nations. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 20 Arguments for protectionism • Questionable argument 1 – “Trade restrictions are needed to reduce domestic unemployment.” • Questionable argument 2 – “ Trade restrictions are needed to cure a balance of payments deficit.” – As with the previous argument, trade restrictions may have this effect but the conclusion hinges on a lack of retaliation by other countries. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 21 Arguments for protectionism • A qualified argument – “Infant industries need to be protected so that they can become established industries.” – A new industry likely does not have the skills and experience to be a successful competitor in the international market place. – To gain these skills the firm must be protected from competition for a limited period of time. – Qualifications • The protection must be of limited duration. • A production subsidy is the lowest cost tool for achieving this end. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 22 Strategic trade policy • Oligopolistic markets subject to external economies may benefit from government intervention. – Examples • Semi-conductors • Aircraft production – The dispute between Boeing and Airbus taken to the WTO in 2004 is an example of such policy. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 23 Strategic trade policy • Oligopolistic markets subject to external economies may benefit from government intervention. • Concerns – Which industries does the argument apply to? – Can the government pick winners? – Retaliation in other markets may eliminate any gains. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 24 The history of US commercial policy • 1930 – Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act – Raised average import duties to 59 percent by 1932 – Spurred international retaliation Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 25 The history of US commercial policy • 1930 – Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act • 1934 – Trade Agreements Act – Authorized the president to negotiate mutual tariff reductions by as much as 50 percent – Reductions were based on the principle of most favored nation • The most favored nation principle extends to all trading partners any reciprocal tariff reduction negotiated with any trading partner. • For example, a negotiated reduction with Canada would extend to Mexico if it had most favored nation status. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 26 The history of US commercial policy • 1930 – Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act • 1934 – Trade Agreements Act • 1947 – The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) – The U.S. joined the newly formed GATT. – GATT is designed to promote expanded international trade through multilateral negotiations. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 27 The history of US commercial policy • 1930 – Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act • 1934 – Trade Agreements Act • 1947 – The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • 1950s – Movements away from free trade – Peril-point provisions – Escape clause – National security clause Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 28 The history of US commercial policy • 1947 – The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • 1950s – Movements away from free trade • 1962 – Trade Promotion Act – Authorized the president to negotiate across the board tariff reductions of up to 50 percent. – Introduced Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) to workers displaced by international trade. – Allowed the passage of the Kennedy Round negotiation of the GATT. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 29 The history of US commercial policy • 1947 – The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) • 1950s – Movements away from free trade • 1962 – Trade Promotion Act • 1974 – Trade Reform Act – Authorized the president to negotiate tariff reductions of up to 60 percent and the elimination of tariffs below 5 percent. – Contributed to passage of the Tokyo Round negotiations of the GATT. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 30 The history of US commercial policy • • • • 1950s – Movements away from free trade 1962 – Trade Promotion Act 1974 – Trade Reform Act 1984 – The Trade and Tariff Act – Authorized the president to negotiate international agreements for the protection of intellectual property rights. – Extended the system by which developing nation exports are granted preferential access to US markets. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 31 The history of US commercial policy • • • • • 1950s – Movements away from free trade 1962 – Trade Promotion Act 1974 – Trade Reform Act 1984 – The Trade and Tariff Act 1988 – Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act – Required the U.S. Special Trade Representative to set a rigorous schedule for negotiating reductions in trade barriers with countries maintaining high barriers to U.S. exports. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 32 The history of US commercial policy • • • • • 1962 – Trade Promotion Act 1974 – Trade Reform Act 1984 – The Trade and Tariff Act 1988 – Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act 1993 – The Uruguay Round – The Uruguay Round of negotiations of the GATT was completed in December 1993. – Given the wide ranging implications of this round of negotiations, it will be considered in detail. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 33 The Uruguay Round • Eighth round of negotiations for the GATT • 123 nations participated in the negotiations • The agreement took effect on July 1, 1995 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 34 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • Tariffs – Tariffs on industrial products falls from an average of 4.7 percent to an average of 3 percent. – The share of good with zero tariffs increases from 20-22 percent to 40-45 percent. – Tariffs removed on pharmaceuticals, constructions equipment, medical equipment, paper products, and steel. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 35 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • Tariffs • Quotas – Quotas on agricultural products were to be replaced with less restrictive tariffs by 1999 – Quotas on textiles were to be replaced with less restrictive tariffs by 2004 Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 36 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • Tariffs • Quotas • Antidumping – The use of countervailing duties is not eliminated but a new dispute resolution mechanisms are put in place. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 37 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • Tariffs Quotas Antidumping Subsidies – The volume of subsidized agricultural products was to be reduced by 21 percent by 1999. – Government subsidies for industrial research were limited to 50 percent of the applied research cost. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 38 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • Quotas Antidumping Subsidies Safeguards – Countries are barred from implementing health and safety standards that are not based on scientific research. – Temporary tariffs are allowed to protect domestic industries from temporary imports surges. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 39 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • • Quotas Antidumping Subsidies Safeguards Intellectual property – The agreement calls for 20 year protection of patents, trademarks, and copyrights. – A 10 year phase-in period is allowed for patents over pharmaceuticals in developing countries. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 40 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • • • Quotas Antidumping Subsidies Safeguards Intellectual property Services – Banking and security markets in Japan and South Korea were opened to U.S. firms. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 41 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • • • Antidumping Subsidies Safeguards Intellectual property Services Trade related investment measures – Phases out the requirement that foreign investors buy supplies locally or export as much as they import Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 42 Provisions of the Uruguay Round • • • • • Safeguards Intellectual property Services Trade related investment measures World Trade Organization – Established the World Trade Organization in place of the GATT Secretariat. – Allows for more expeditious resolution trade disputes Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 43 Continued history of US commercial policy • • • • • 1974 – Trade Reform Act 1984 – The Trade and Tariff Act 1988 – Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act 1993 – The Uruguay Round 2002 – Trade promotion authority granted President Bush – Allows the president to negotiate trade agreements that may not be amended by Congress, only ratified or rejected. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 44 Continued history of US commercial policy • • • • • 1974 – Trade Reform Act 1984 – The Trade and Tariff Act 1988 – Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act 1993 – The Uruguay Round 2002 – Trade promotion authority granted President Bush • On-going – Doha round negotiations – The current round of negotiations for extending the GATT is currently on-going. Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 45 Issues confronting the Doha round • Existing on-going trade disputes – – – – U.S. tax breaks on income earned from exports Subsidies to aircraft makers (Boeing and Airbus) EU bans on genetically modified food The use of anti-dumping regulations Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 46 Issues confronting the Doha round • Existing on-going trade disputes • Developed world agricultural policies – Tariffs and subsidies on agricultural products make developing world entry into these markets difficult Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 47 Issues confronting the Doha round • Existing on-going trade disputes • Developed world agricultural policies • The development of regional trade groups that undermine efforts of global trade expansion Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 48 Issues confronting the Doha round • Existing on-going trade disputes • Developed world agricultural policies • The development of regional trade groups that undermine efforts of global trade expansion • Calls for uniform labor and environmental standards Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 49 Issues confronting the Doha round • Existing on-going trade disputes • Developed world agricultural policies • The development of regional trade groups that undermine efforts of global trade expansion • Calls for uniform labor and environmental standards • Expansion of the GATT into issues related to investment – Elimination of local content rules Dale R. DeBoer University of Colorado, Colorado Springs 6 - 50