4/1/23 Multiple “ways of knowing” • Western science is just one way of understanding the world • Growing recognition of the need for western science to interface, when possible, with other approaches to human understanding of the world around us* • How we as a society view “nature” has significant implications for how we try to solve crises like biodiversity loss and climate change How do humans value “nature” *Review January 12 lecture on Traditional Ecological Knowledge 1 2 Western science US: “Frontier mentality” of westward expansion; “manifest destiny” A WEIRD* world view *Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich and Democratic 3 4 Nature is something to be conquered Science was (and is) an “engine of progress” J o h n P a tric k H e m in g w a y re v is its B im in i, a n o ld s to m p in g g ro u n d o f h is g ra n d fa th e r, E rn e s t. P u b lis h e d in S p o rt F is h in g M a g a z in e , A p ril 2 0 1 3 https://miro.medium.com/max/3332/1*qBhLNuSbkPRhPqYkssMp0g.jpeg 5 6 1 4/1/23 1960’s: Rachel Carson, Aldo Leopold and others sounded alarm about human impacts on nature “Old school” (1960s-early 2000s) view was very one directional - - 7 Humans impact the environment Environmental (“natural”) disasters are a threat but largely not influenced by humans (hurricanes, etc) Didn’t incorporate the possibility of feedback loops Meant we either viewed “nature” as a threat or something over which humans had dominion and therefore some responsibility to protect 8 Coupled Human-Natural Systems (CHN or CHANS view) • Idea that social and natural systems are inseparable and linked via feedback loops Jackson et al. 2001. Science h ttp s://w w w .e -e d u catio n .p su .e d u /e arth 1 3 1 /site s/w w w .e -e d u catio n .p su .e d u .e arth 1 3 1 /file s/M o d 1 /C N H _ m e d iu m C o m p le xity_ M o d 1 _ 2 _ sm all.jp g 9 10 Human Behaviors Community Structure Stressors Stewardship Human Outcomes Individuals Institutions Societies Ecosystem Function Local Regional Large Marine Ecosystems • CHANS approach emphasizes: • The intrinsic value of nature (value independent of human judgement) • Or, viewed nature as a resource that has instrumental value, usually in economic terms ($$) Biophysical Domain Human Domain Valuing nature Adapted from Collins et al. 2011. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 11 12 2 4/1/23 Intrinsic vs instrumental value How does the value of nature fit within main steam economic theory? Video Link 1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Zgo99rVQOw 13 14 Circular Flow Model (Traditional Economic Theory) Working labor & capital Components of the Economy • Production = transformation of inputs into goods and services Goods, services, & incomes – Done using labor (efforts by workers, i.e. jobs) and capital (machinery, factories, equipment, tools, transportation, etc. • Consumption = use of goods and services, paid for with income Payments & services Taxes, working labor, & capital Taxes, goods, & services Income & services 15 16 Players in the Economy Types of Property • Firms = (companies that produce goods and services for consumers) • Households (Consumers) = use goods and services, pay using income • Governments = receive money in taxes and provide goods and services in return (highways, parks, defense, health care, etc). 17 Fish are Common Property Cars are Private Property Yellowstone NP is Public Property 18 3 4/1/23 Circular Flow of Income The U.S. Economy (Costs and Benefits) • Gross National Product (GNP) most widely used index of a society’s economic well-being. • Similar to Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but also includes income inflow and payment outflow to assets abroad • Defined as value of all the goods and services produced in an economy Video Link 2 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JacbmD0dMrA&spfreload=10 19 20 Traditional Economic Accounting What does GNP/GDP measure? How do we measure economic activity and an economy’s “health”? • Gross National Product (GNP) – Goods and Services produced by citizens of a nation regardless of where they are Video Link 3 • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Goods and Services produced in a nation regardless of citizenship Honda Factory GNP USA Japan GDP http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUiU_xRPwMc Lincoln, Alabama 21 22 Can Economic Growth ever benefit Nature? Reforestation and GDP • Countries with larger economies tend to be better at sewage treatment, have money for conservation, etc. http://www.economist.com/ 23 24 4 4/1/23 Island of Hispaniola Environmental Cost: Is Economic Growth (high GDP) bad for the Environment? • DR has “healthier economy” than Haiti 25 To produce 11.7 trillion dollars of GNP: • 100 x 1015 BTUs of fossil fuels • 140 million metric tons of copper, lead and other metals • 170 million metric tons of wood products • Consumed 630 million metric tons of food. • Eroded 20 million metric tons of soil • 5,900 million metric tons of CO2 • 214 million metric tons of MSW • 1.5 million metric tons of hazardous chemical waste. 26 Valuing the Environment as a resource The Economic System Production and Consumption of Goods and Services Why is the environment overlooked? • Market Failures – when the price of goods and services do not reflect the true costs (externalities) of producing and consuming them • Utility = happiness or satisfaction derived from using goods and services • Economic growth = increase in market value of goods and services produced by an economy over time; scaled to population size as per capita income Circular model means positive feedbacks and (in theory) is a self sustaining cycle based on consumption Big assumption! 27 28 Externalities (“True Cost”) Especially in the US, true costs are often incurred through penalties and litigation… BP Horizon Oil Spill cost the company $54 Billion in clean-up costs and fines* • An externality is a side benefit or negative consequence of an economic activity that affects others without being reflected in the cost of the goods and services being provided *Equivalent to three years profits 29 30 5 4/1/23 Two competing theories for how to prevent overuse of natural resources • Libertarian/Lassez-faire/Free trade: – Knowledge of connections and impacts is too imperfect or too costly to quantify – Need to let markets figure it out (those affected by externalities transfer cost to those producing it) • Regulatory – Too easy to avoid responsibility, and affected don’t have power – Need to use mutually agreedupon taxation and regulation to prevent externalities from happening 31 The tragedy of the Commons Term originated in 1832 with political economist William Forster Lloyd, who saw damage to common (i.e. not publicly owned) pastures in England: each human is guided by their own self interest at the detriment to all 32 The tragedy of the Commons • Reintroduced in a 1968 essay in Science by economist Garret Hardin • Basic idea is that people will tend to use up a shared resource, in fear that others will use it up first • Problem is, if everyone does this, nothing is left • Often used as an argument for the privatization of resources 33 Examples • Resource consumption: – Forests – Fish – Etc. • Disposal of wastes – Greenhouse gases that cause climate change – Air and water pollution 34 Used by some (libertarian/laissez-faire) economists to argue for privatization of resources Hardin’s Theories Challenged by Nobel economist Elinor Ostrom (and others) • Argued that solutions can be achieved through communication and mutual agreement on self regulation • Competing theory with libertarian view that free markets can be used to solve all problems Video Link 4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptLQSzdNNd8 35 36 6 4/1/23 Elinor Ostrom Alternate view by Elinor Ostrom Video Link 5 Video Link 6 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwaNZgY9PCQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BDEAgmklNyE 37 38 Second law of thermodynamics and Conservation of Matter Ecological view of the U.S. Economy: The second law of Thermodynamics revisited • Entropy (disorder) never decreases, only increases, unless work (and energy) is applied- no process of conversion is ever 100% efficient • Economic production is a work process that uses energy to convert natural resources into goods and services • Matter is never destroyed, just converted (Conservation of Matter): anything left over from production (or after product is disposed) return to the environment after exiting the economic cycle • The economy is in reality not a closed-loop system, but requires constant input of energy and materials output of materials: the environmental implications of this are not considered in traditional macroeconomics theory 39 40 Unintended consequences of viewing economy as “closed loop” Wealth vs income • Income = a flow of money, for example wages and salaries from jobs • Wealth = current total value of a stock of assets, for example savings in an account, property, etc. • Wealth can create income through capital = resources which enable the production of more resources • Natural capital = world’s stock of natural resources and the ecosystem services that they provide- don’t have to be used up to have value 41 A.Assumes that the only “cost” to resource use is extraction, and that as resource availability declines, will be corrected by market (i.e. rarer materials will cost more) - Some resources (like oil or old growth forests) take very long time to form, and are not “renewable” over scale of human life-times. Yet they typically are not considered as “wealth” 42 7 4/1/23 Ecosystem Services Unintended consequences of viewing economy as “closed loop” - Values that people derive, directly and indirectly, from ecosystem functions. A.Assumes that the only “cost” to resource use is extraction, and that as resource availability declines, will be corrected by market (i.e. rarer materials will cost more) - – – – – – – – B. Value of ecosystem services provided by natural resource is generally not considered 43 Chemical composition of the atmosphere Climate control Nutrient recycling Soil formation Pollination Habitat for biodiversity Regulation of hydrologic cycle And which need to be paid for if they disappear…. 44 Valuing Nature: Constanza et al. (1997): Nature Measure these as forms of Ecosystem services • Services concentrated in the most biologically productive regions – Coastal zone of the ocean – Wetlands & estuaries – Tropical rain forests • Ecosystem service values: $33 Trillion • Gross World Product: $18 Trillion • Severe backlash among resource economists – no one believed numbers could be this high • Today ecosystem service valuation is quite common 45 46 Valuing Nature Ecosystem Services or “Natural Capital” • Direct Market Valuation – the use of the free market to place a value (price) on environmental goods and services Oyster Reef Services Value at Restaurant & Fish Market Video Link 7 Fish Production Dockside Value https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUnM05Mpiyw 47 48 8 4/1/23 What do we do when no market exists for a good or service? What do We do When no Market Exists for a Good or Service? Non-market valuation approaches are used: Non-market valuation approaches are used: 1. Avoided or replacement costs: cost required to provide a service that are avoided by maintaining a natural service • 1. Avoided or replacement costs: cost required to provide a service that are avoided by maintaining a natural service Oyster Reef Services Replacement costs of N removal 49 One acre of salt marsh: – Would cost up to $90,000 to restore 1 acre of salt marsh once it is destroyed, but potentially even more to replace services that it provides – Provides filtration that would need to be replaced by treatment facility – Buffers storm surges that would need to be replaced with concrete structures – Supports larval fish and shellfish that would need to be grown elsewhere 50 What do we do when no market exists for a good or service? Replacement costs Non-market valuation approaches are used: 2. Travel cost methods: recreational value inferred from how much people are willing to pay to travel to use a good or service Video Link 8 Travel Costs for recreational anglers https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iTW05vFILXY 51 52 What do we do when no market exists for a good or service? Travel cost estimation of ecosystem services 3. Hedonic pricing: using prices of goods with vs. without a service to infer service value (cost) Video Link 9 Vs. For example, value associated with a living shoreline https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AjcQpzIBu1I 53 54 9 4/1/23 What do we do when no market exists for a good or service? Hedonic pricing Non-market valuation approaches are used: Video Link 10 4. Contingent valuation: how much are people willing to pay or to accept for improving or deteriorating the environment Usually determined using surveys: “stated preference” method https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkXVCQam5kw 55 For example, Willingness to Pay (WTP) for better water quality 56 Early example: Value of birds in Mono Lake • Example: Value of birds in Mono Lake Loomis, J. 1987. “Balancing Public Trust Resources of Mono lake and Los Angeles' Water Right: An Economic Approach,” Water Resources Research 23:8: 1449-1456. • The Situation The State of California Water Resources Control Board was faced with a decision about how much water to allocate to Los Angeles from sources flowing into Mono Lake. The reduced water flows to the lake were affecting food supplies for nesting and migratory birds. One of the first contingent valuation studies to measure the use and non-use values that citizens have for public trust resources was a survey of California households regarding willingness to pay for increased water flows into Mono Lake. 57 58 Example: Value of birds in Mono Lake Example: Value of birds in Mono Lake • The Results • The average willingness to pay per household was estimated to be $13 per month, or $156 per year. When multiplied by the number of households in California, the total benefits exceeded the $26 million cost of replacing the water supply by a factor of 50. One impact of the survey results was to change the nature of the debate over Mono Lake from "fish or people" to one that recognized that people care about fish and birds, as well as about inexpensive water supplies for Los Angeles. • The Study • The initial academic study asked California households, in a mail survey, whether they would pay more on their water bill for higher cost replacement water supplies, so that natural flows could once again go into Mono Lake. They were told that, according to biologists, the higher flows to the lake were needed to maintain food supplies for nesting and migratory birds. 59 60 10 4/1/23 Measuring ecosystem services Video Link 11 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jw9dPYVT_Y 61 62 Nature’s Contribution to People • Takes a linked relational approach which integrates how societies interact with non-human elements of nature, and specifically how humans perceive “nature” as part of societal well-being • In last 5 years, relational value has emerged (alongside intrinsic and instrumental values) as a third category of value of nature • Emerged from the International Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) • Utility of approach is still being debated 63 • A grove of trees holds sacred value to a culture, much more so than any other grove of trees • A pluralistic view of the world recognizes that this relationship between people and nature has value, even if we do not belong to that culture 64 Is GDP a sustainable metric of economic health? The Lorenz curve Video Link 12 • A graphical representation that shows the distribution of income or wealth • Developed by Max Lorenz in 1905 • Shows the proportion of overall wealth or income as a function of increasing number of people • With perfect equality (everyone has same income) this is a 1:1 relationship https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gX21IO16S-k 65 66 11 4/1/23 Inequality measured as Gini coefficient, based on Lorenz Curve The Lorenz curve Gini = A/ A+B Video Link 13 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3-MA4JvWO0 67 https://visualign.files.wordpress.com/2011/09/lorenzcurve.png 68 Inequality measured as Gini coefficient (or index): Higher coefficient, greater inequality https://www.theguardian.com/inequality/datablog/2017/apr/26/inequality-index-where-are-the-worlds-most-unequal-countries https://qph.ec.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-677f205cc0a236f332c5c7b19ea1d8b2 69 70 Income inequality in China is skyrocketing Resource Gap within the US Xie, Y. and X. Zhou. 2014. Income inequality in today’s China. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci 111:6928. 71 72 12 4/1/23 Why is high income inequality “unsustainable” Why is high income inequality “unsustainable?” (besides being unfair) • Income inequality correlated with higher rates of homicide, imprisonment, infant mortality and teenage births • Disappearance of middle class can lead to demise of businesses through market collapse • Slows overall economic growth • Increases inequality in political power https://hbr.org/2014/01/income-inequality-is-a-sustainability-issue-2 73 74 GDP vs Well Being Video Link 14 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EqJcNnijmdQ 75 13