Lecture 03. Supply Chain Drivers and Metrics IE 7200 Supply Chain Engineering Prof. Paul Pei 1 Supply Chain Drivers and Metrics 1. What are supply chain performance metrics and drivers? 2. What are the roles and interactions among drivers? 3. What decisions need to be made in supply chain drivers? 4. What impacts of chosen decisions on supply chain performance? such as Walmart and Zara have achieved strong financial performance in large part because their supply chains allow a better matching of supply and demand, thereby reducing markdowns and lost sales. Selected Financial Metrics Across Industries, 2000–2012 TABLE 3-2 Selected Financial Metrics Across Industries, 2000–2012 Average Operating Margin Average C2C Cycle Average Inventory Turns Average SG&A Cost/ Revenue Pharmaceutical 0.25 190.3 2.0 0.31 Medical device manufacturers 0.18 211.6 2.2 0.36 Consumer packaged goods 0.17 28.3 5.6 0.31 Food 0.16 37.4 6.2 0.23 Consumer electronics 0.12 9.3 43.8 0.14 Apparel 0.10 127.7 3.2 0.35 Chemical 0.09 78.1 5.3 0.09 Automotive 0.04 75.9 9.9 0.13 Industry Source: (2000–2012).” Supply Chain report, November(C2C) 11, 2013. Cash-to-cash Operating margin is a Insights LLC measure of profitability. It indicates how much of each dollar of revenues is left over after both costs of goods sold and operating expenses are considered. cycle measures the average amount of time from when cash enters the process as cost to when it returns as collected revenue. Inventory turns is a ratio that measures the number of times inventory is sold or consumed in a given time period Selling, General and Administrative Expenses 3 Drivers of Supply Chain Performance 1. Facilities – The physical locations in the supply chain network where product is stored, assembled, or fabricated 2. Inventory – All raw materials, work in process, and finished goods within a supply chain 3. Transportation – Moving inventory from point to point in the supply chain 4. Information – Data and analysis concerning facilities, inventory, transportation, costs, prices, and customers throughout the supply chain 5. Sourcing – Who will perform a particular supply chain activity 6. Pricing – How much a firm will charge for the goods and services that it makes available in the supply chain Framework for Structuring Drivers Questions? • What are the roles of facilities, inventory, and transportation in your supply chain? • Is there any interaction and/or relationship among these? • What are decisions that needs to be made about facilities, inventory, and transportation in your supply chain? 6 Facility Types • Facilities in the supply chain: – Manufacturing – Storage – Distribution – Retail Components of Facility Decisions • Role – Product vs. function focus, storage or no storage • Location – Centralization vs. decentralization – Other local factors • Capacity – Size and utilization Inventory Inventory results from a mismatch between supply and demand: Demand waits for supply inventory = waiting customers Supply waits for demand inventory = goods or resources Mismatch reflects fact that capacity often more rigid than demand If processes were instantaneous and had unlimited capacity, then supply would always be able to meet demand Types of Inventory • Cycle inventory – Average amount of inventory used to satisfy demand between supplier shipments – Function of lot size decisions • Safety inventory – Inventory held in case demand exceeds expectations – Costs of carrying too much inventory versus cost of losing sales • Seasonal inventory – Inventory built up to counter predictable variability in demand – Cost of carrying additional inventory versus cost of flexible production Inventory – Material flow time (T): • Time elapsed between when material enters supply chain (stage) to when exits – Throughput (D): • Rate at which sales to end consumers occur, output rate – Little’s Law: • Inventory = I = D x T • Throughput often fixed (by demand rate), so inventory and flow time are equivalent Inventory • Suppose flow time for automotive assembly process is 12 hours and the throughput is 10 units per hour • What is the inventory in the process? • If we could reduce inventory to 60 units, by how much would the flow time decrease? Components of Inventory Decisions • Types of inventory: – Cycle inventory, safety stock, anticipation inventory, etc. • How much inventory to hold – Amount of safety stock to protect against forecast error • Where to hold inventory – Finished goods vs. work-in-process vs. raw materials Inventory Related Metrics • Average inventory – Weeks of supply • Inventory turns – COGS – Sales • Average batch / replenishment size • Average safety inventory • Fill rate • Fraction of time out of stock (service level) Inventory Measures of Supply Chain Performance • Average inventory is the total average value of all items held in inventory for a firm. AINV = (# of A items)(Value of each A)+(# of B items)(Value of each B)+… • Weeks of supply: The average inventory divided by sales\COGS per week. Weeks of supply = Average inventory Weekly sales (at cost) • Inventory turnover is annual sales at cost divided by the average inventory maintained for the year. Inventory turnover = Annual sales at (cost) Average inventory Calculating Inventory Measures Example The Eagle Machine Company averaged $2 million in inventory last year, and the cost of goods sold was $10 million. The best inventory turnover in the industry is six turns per year. If the company has 52 business weeks per year, how many weeks of supply were held in inventory? What was the inventory turnover? What should the company do? Weeks of supply = $2 mil/($10 mil)(52 wks.) = 10.4 weeks Inventory turns = $10 mil./$2 mil. = 5 turns/yr Adapted from Pearson Education 2007 Transportation • Role in the Supply Chain – Moves the product between stages in the supply chain – Affects responsiveness and efficiency – Faster transportation allows greater responsiveness but lower efficiency – Also affects inventory and facilities – Allows a firm to adjust the location of its facilities and inventory to find the right balance between responsiveness and efficiency Components of Transportation Decisions • Mode of transportation: – Air, truck, rail, ship, pipeline, electronic – Vary by cost, speed, size of shipment, flexibility • Route and network selection – Route: path along which a product is shipped – Network: collection of locations and routes • In-house or outsource Transportation • Overall trade-off: Responsiveness versus efficiency – The cost of transporting a given product (efficiency) and the speed with which that product is transported (responsiveness) – Using fast modes of transport raises responsiveness and transportation cost but lowers the inventory holding cost What are the roles of facilities, inventory, and transportation in your supply chain? • Facilities: Increase responsiveness by increasing the number of facilities, making them more flexible, or increasing capacity. • Inventory: Mismatch between supply and demand, Exploit economies of scale, Improve product availability, Affects assets, costs, responsiveness, material flow time • Transportation: Moves the product between stages in the supply chain, Affects responsiveness and efficiency, Faster transportation allows greater responsiveness but lower efficiency, Also affects (or is affected by) inventory and facilities, Allows a firm to adjust the location of its facilities and inventory to find the right balance between responsiveness and efficiency 20 There are lots of interactions For example, • Increasing the number of facilities, – Increases responsiveness J – Decreases efficiencies L – Increases inventory costs L – Decreases transportation costs J 21 There are lots of interactions Another example, • Increasing the flexibility (capabilities) of facilities, – Increases facility costs L – Increases responsiveness J – Decreases inventory costs J – Decreases transportation costs J 22 What are decisions that needs to be made about facilities, inventory, and transportation in your supply chain? • Facilities decisions: – What role should each facility have? • Flexible or dedicated, Product focus or functional focus – How many and where should a company locate its facilities? • Centralized (economies of scale) • Decentralized (responsiveness) – How much capacity should a facility have? • Extra – responsiveness, costly • No extra – more efficient, but remember the nonlinear relationship of utilization and congestion 23 What are decisions that needs to be made about facilities, inventory, and transportation in your supply chain? • Inventory decisions: – How much of each product at each location? – When should the deliveries be made (how frequently)? • Transportation decisions: design of transportation network • Modes (truck, train, air), locations, and routes • Hub-and-Spoke Network, versus point-to-point 24 Questions? • What are the roles of information, sourcing, and pricing in your supply chain? • Is there any interaction and/or relationship among these? • What are decisions that needs to be made about information, sourcing, and pricing in your supply chain? 25 Information • Role in supply chain: – Connects various stages in the supply chain, allows coordination between stages – Crucial to daily operation of each stage in supply chain, e.g., production scheduling, inventory levels – Information is a key driver that can be used to provide higher responsiveness while simultaneously improving efficiency Components of Information Decisions • S &O P: Forecasting and aggregate planning • Push versus pull control – Different information requirements and uses • Coordination and information sharing • Selection of technologies – EDI, Internet, ERP, SCM software, RFID Components of Information Decisions • Information-related metrics – Forecast horizon – Frequency of update – Forecast error – Seasonal factors – Variance from plan – Ratio of demand variability to order variability Sourcing • Role in the Supply Chain – Set of business processes required to purchase goods and services – Will tasks be performed by a source internal to the company or a third party – Increase the size of the total surplus to be shared across the supply chain Sourcing • Role in the Competitive Strategy – Sourcing decisions are crucial because they affect the level of efficiency and responsiveness in a supply chain – Outsource to responsive third parties if it is too expensive to develop their own – Keep responsive process in-house to maintain control Components of Sourcing Decisions • In-house or outsource – Perform a task in-house or outsource it to a third party – Outsource if it raises the supply chain surplus more than the firm can on its own – Keep function in-house if the third party cannot increase the supply chain surplus or if the outsourcing risk is significant Components of Sourcing Decisions • Supplier selection – Number of suppliers, criteria for evaluation and selection • Procurement – Obtain goods and service within a supply chain – Goal is to increase supply chain surplus Components of Sourcing Decisions • Sourcing-related metrics – Days payable outstanding – Average purchase price – Range of purchase price – Average purchase quantity – Supply quality – Supply lead time – Fraction of on-time deliveries – Supplier reliability Pricing • Pricing strategies can be used to help match demand and supply • Firms can utilize optimal pricing strategies to improve efficiency and responsiveness – Vary prices by response times, product availability, degree of customization or flexibility, etc. Components of Pricing Decisions • Pricing and economies of scale – Quantity discounts • Everyday low pricing versus high-low pricing – lead to different demand profiles that the supply chain must serve • Fixed price versus menu pricing – lead to different customer behavior that might have a negative impact on profits What are the roles of information, sourcing, and pricing in your supply chain? • Information: Improve the utilization of supply chain assets and the coordination of supply chain flows to increase responsiveness and reduce cost – • • Information is a key driver that can be used to provide higher responsiveness while simultaneously improving efficiency Sourcing: Will tasks be performed by a source internal to the company or a third party; – Outsource to responsive third parties if it is too expensive to develop their own – Keep responsive process in-house to maintain control Pricing: Pricing determines the amount to charge customers for goods and services – Affects the supply chain level of responsiveness required and the demand profile the supply chain attempts to serve – Pricing strategies can be used to match demand and supply 36 Relationship Example • For Example, deciding to have everyday low pricing (versus high-low pricing) – Leads to “smoother” demand • Easier to forecast –Leads to better information 37 What are decisions that needs to be made about information, sourcing, and pricing in your supply chain? • Information – Supply chain coordination (requires sharing information) • Sourcing – Which tasks to be performed internally versus sourced? – Supplier selection (number of suppliers, criteria for evaluation) • Pricing – What price should be set? Should it be fixed or dynamic? Based on volume? 38