lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Marketing Research - Summary Books Marketing Research for E&BE (Rijksuniversiteit Groningen) StudeerSnel wordt niet gesponsord of ondersteund door een hogeschool of universiteit Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Marketing Research Malhotra Chapter 2. Problem definition a broad statement of the general problem and identification of the specific components of the marketing research problem. only when the marketing research problem is clearly defined can research be designed and conducted properly. Of all the tasks in a marketing research project, none is more vital to the ultimate fulfillment of a client’s needs than a proper definition of the research problem. The tasks involved in problem definition consist of discussions with the decision makers, interviews with industry experts and other knowledge individuals, analysis of secondary data and sometimes qualitative research. Primary data – is data originated by the researcher for the specific purpose of addressing the research problem. Secondary data – are data collected for some purpose other than the problem at hand, economical and quick source of background information such as information by government sources, commercial marketing research firms and computerized databases. Primary data should not be collected until the available secondary data has been fully analyzed. Qualitative research an unstructured, exploratory research methodology based on small samples intended to provide insight and understanding of the problem setting. Pilot surveys surveys that tend to be less structured than large-scale surveys in that they generally contain more open-ended questions and the sample size is much smaller. Case studies involve an intensive examination of a few selected cases of the phenomenon of interest. Cases could be customers, stores or other units. Environmental context of the problem consists of the factors that have an impact on the definition of the marketing research problem, including past information and forecasts, resources and constraints of the firm, objectives of the decision maker, buyer behavior, legal environment, economic environment and marketing and technological skills of the firm. Past Information and Forecasts of trends with respect to sales, market share, profitability, technology, population, demographics and lifestyle can help the researcher understand the underlying marketing research problem. Resources and Constraints to formulate a marketing research problem of appropriate scope, it is necessary to take into account both the resources available, such as money and research skills, and the constraints on the organization, such as cost and time. Decisions are made to accomplish objectives goals of the organization and of the decision maker must be considered in order to conduct successful marketing research. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Buyer behavior a body of knowledge that tries to understand and predict consumers’ reactions based on an individual’s specific characteristics. The buyer behavior factors that should be considered include: 1. The number and geographical location of the buyers and nonbuyers 2. Demographic and psychological characteristics 3. Product consumption habits and the consumption of related product categories 4. Media consumption behavior and response to promotions 5. Price sensitivity 6. Retail outlets patronized 7. Buyer preferences Legal environment regulatory policies and norms within which organizations must operate. Economic environment consist of income, prices, savings, credit and general economic conditions. Marketing and Technological Skills also affect the nature and scope of the marketing research project. Management Decision Problem (MDP) the problem confronting the decision maker. It asks what the decision maker needs to do. Marketing Research Problem (MRP) a problem that entails determining what information is needed and how it can be obtained in the most feasible way. Conceptual map a way to link the broad statement of the marketing research problem to the management decision problem. Defining the MRP 1. Allow the researcher to obtain all the information needed to address the management decision problem 2. Guide the researcher in proceeding with the project Two common errors: 1. Defining the problem too broadly no clear guidelines for the subsequent steps involved in the project. 2. Defining the problem too narrowly may preclude consideration of action, particularly those that are innovative and may not be obvious. It may also prevent the researcher of addressing important components of the management decision problem. The likelihood of committing either type of error in problem definition can be reduced by stating the marketing research problem in broad, general terms and identifying its specific components. Broad Statement the initial statement of the MRP that provides an appropriate perspective on the problem. Specific Components the second part of the MRP definition. The specific components focus on the key aspects of the problem and provide guideline on how to proceed further Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Components of the approach should include objective/theoretical framework, analytical models, research questions, hypotheses and specification of information needed Objective/Theoretical Framework o Theory – a conceptual scheme based on foundational statements, or axioms, that are assumed to be true. o Objective evidence – unbiased evidence that is supported by empirical findings Analytical model an explicit specification of a set of variables and their interrelationships designed to represent some real system or process in whole or in part. o Verbal models – analytical models that provide written representation of the relationships between variables. o Graphical models – analytical models that provide a visual picture of the relationships between variables. o Mathematical models – analytical models that explicitly describe the relationships between variables, usually in equation form. Research Questions are refined statements of the specific components of the problem. Hypothesis an unproven statement or proposition about a factor or phenomenon that is of interest to the researcher. Ethics in Marketing research ethical issues arise if the proves of defining the problem and developing an approach is compromised by the personal agendas of the client or the researcher. Malhotra Chapter 3. Research design a framework or blueprint for conducting the marketing research project. It specifies the details of the procedures necessary for obtaining the information needed to structure and/or solve marketing research problems. Classification o Exploratory research one type of research design, which has its primary objective the provision of insights into and comprehension of the problem situation confronting the researcher. o Conclusive research research designed to assist the decision maker in determining, evaluating and selecting the best course of action to take in a given situation. Descriptive research a type of conclusive research that has as its major objective the description of something usually market characteristic or function The six Ws: 1. Who 2. What 3. When 4. Where 5. Why Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 6. Way Cross-Sectional Designs a type of research design involving the collection of information from any given sample of population elements only once. Single cross-sectional design cross sectional design in which one sample of respondents is drawn from the target population and information is obtained from this sample once. Multi cross-sectional design cross sectional design in which there are two or more sample of respondents, and information from each sample is obtained only once. Cohort analysis A multiple cross-sectional design consisting of a series of surveys conducted at appropriate intervals. The cohort refers to the group of respondents who experience the same event within the same time interval. Longitudinal Designs a type of research design involving a fixed sample of population elements that is measured repeatedly. The sample size remains the same over time, thus providing a series of pictures that, when viewed together, portray a vivid illustration of the situation and the changes that are taking place over time. Panel – a sample of respondents who have agreed to provide information at specified intervals over an extended period. Causal Research a type of conclusive research where the major objective is to obtain evidence regarding cause-and-effect (causal) relationships. Potential Sources of Error Total error the variation between the true mean value in the population of the variable of interest and the observed mean value obtained in the marketing research project Random sampling error the error due to the particular sample selected being an imperfect representation of the population of interest. It may be defined as the variation between the true mean value for the sample and the true mean value of the population Non-sampling error errors that can be attributed to sources other than sampling, and they can be random or non-random Non-response error error that occurs when some of the respondents include in the sample do not respond. This error may be defined as the variation between the true mean value of the variable in the original sample and the true mean value in the net sample. Response error error arising from respondents who do respond, but give inaccurate answers or their answers are mis-recorded or mis-analyzed. It may be defined as the variation between the true mean value of the variable in the net sample and the observed mean value obtained in the marketing research project. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Budgeting and Scheduling management tools needed to help ensure that the marketing research project is completed within the available resources. Critical path method (CPM) – management technique of dividing a research project into component activities, determining the sequence of these components and the time each activity will require. Program evaluation and review technique (PERT) – A more sophisticated critical path method that accounts for the uncertainty in project completion times. Graphical evaluation and review technique (GERT) – A sophisticated critical path method that accounts for the completion probabilities and the activity costs. Marketing Research Proposal the official layout of the planned marketing research activity for management. It describes the research problem, the approach, the research design, data analysis methods and reporting methods. International Marketing Research due to environmental differences, the research design appropriate for one country may not be suitable in another. Ethics in Marketing Research During the research design stage, not only are the concerns of the researcher and the client involved, but the rights of the respondents must also be respected. Although there usually isn’t any direct contact between the respondent and the other stakeholders (client and researcher) during research design, this is the stage when decisions with ethical ramifications, such as using hidden video or audio tape recorders, are made. The researcher should design the study so as not to violate the respondents’ right to Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 safety, right to privacy, or right to choose. Furthermore, the client must not abuse its power to jeopardize the anonymity of the respondents. Malhotra Chapter 4. Classification of Secondary data Internal data data available within the organization for which the research is being conducted External data originated external to the organization Database Marketing involves the use of computers to capture and track customer profiles and purchase detail. Classification of Computerized Databases Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Syndicated Data from Households International Marketing Research Ethics in Marketing Research the researcher is ethically obligated to ensure the relevance and usefulness of secondary data to the problem at hand. Only data judged to be appropriate should be used. It is also important that the data were collected using procedures that are morally appropriate. Data may be judged unethical if they were gathered in a way that harms the respondents or invades their privacy. Ethical issues arise if the users of secondary data are unduly critical of the data that do not support their interests and viewpoints. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 A Concept Map of Secondary Data A Concept Map for Syndicated Data Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Malhotra Chapter 5. Primary Data: Qualitative vs. Quantitative Research Qualitative research – An unstructured, exploratory research methodology based on small samples that provides insights and understanding of the problem setting. Quantitative research – A research methodology that seeks to quantify the data and typically, applies some form of statistical analysis. o Sometimes qualitative research is undertaken to explain the findings obtained from quantitative research. Rationale for Using Qualitative Research It is not always possible, or desirable, to use fully structured or formal methods to obtain information from respondents. People may be unwilling or unable to answer certain questions. People are unwilling to give truthful answers to questions that invade their privacy, embarrass them, or have a negative impact on their ego or status. Second, people may be unable to provide accurate answers to questions that tap their subconscious. The values, emotional drives, and motivations residing at the subconscious level are disguised from the outer world by rationalization and other ego defenses. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 A Classification of Qualitative Research Procedures Direct approach one type of qualitative research in which the purposes of the project are disclosed to the respondent or are obvious, given the nature of the interview Indirect approach a type of qualitative research in the purposes of the project are disguised from respondents Focus group an interview conducted by a trained moderator among a small group of respondents in an unstructured and natural manner. Depth interview an unstructured, direct, personal interview in which a single respondent is probed by a highly skilled interviewer to uncover underlying motivations, beliefs, attitudes and feelings on a topic. o Techniques Laddering a technique for conducting depth interviews in which a line of questioning proceeds from product characteristics to user characteristics. Hidden issue questioning a type of depth interview that attempts to locate personal sore spots related to deeply felt personal concerns. Symbolic analysis a technique for conducting depth interviews in which the symbolic meaning of objects is analyzed by comparing them with their opposites. o Grounded theory an inductive and more structured approach in which each subsequent depth interview is adjusted based on the cumulative findings from previous depth interviews with the purpose of developing general concepts or theories. o Protocol interview a respondent is placed in a decision-making situation and asked to verbalize the process and the activities that he or she would undertake to make the decision. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 o Projective technique an unstructured and indirect form of questioning that encourages the respondents to project their underlying motivations, beliefs, attitudes, or feelings regarding the issues of concern. o Association techniques a type of projective technique in which the respondent is presented with a stimulus and asked to respond with the first thing that comes to mind. Word association respondents are presented with a list of words, one at a time. After each word, they are asked to give first word that comes to mind. o Completion technique the respondents are asked to complete an incomplete stimulus situation Sentence completion or story completion o Construction techniques require respondent to construct a response in the form of a story, dialogue or description Picture response technique tell a story by looking into a picture Cartoon test what the character might say? o Expressive techniques the respondent is presented with a verbal or visual situation and asked to relate the feeling and attitudes of other people to the situation Role playing and third-person technique Analysis of Qualitative Data Three general steps: 1. Data reduction. In this step, the researcher chooses which aspects of the data are emphasized, minimized or set aside for the project at hand. 2. Data display. In this step, the researcher develops a visual interpretation of the data with the use of such tools as a diagram, chart or matrix. The display helps to illuminate patterns and interrelationships in the data. 3. Conclusion drawing and verification. In this step, the researcher considers the meaning of analyzed data and assesses its implications for the research question at hand. Software Packages can be used to assist in the analysis of qualitative data. 1. Coding 2. Memoing/Annotation 3. Data Linking 4. Search and Retrieval 5. Conceptual/Theory Development 6. Data Display 7. Graphics Editing International Marketing Research Qualitative research may reveal the differences between the foreign and domestic markets Ethics in Marketing Research When conducting qualitative research, ethical issues related to the respondents and the general public are of primary concern. These issues include disguising the purpose of the research and the use of deceptive procedures, Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 videotaping and recording the proceedings, the comfort level of the respondent and misusing the findings of qualitative research. Concept Map for Qualitative Research Malhotra Chapter 6. Survey Methods a structured questionnaire given to a sample of a population and designed to elicit specific information from respondents. Structured data collection – use of formal questionnaire that presents questions in a prearranged order Fixed-alternative questions – questions that require respondents to choose from a set of predetermined answers Personal Methods in-home, mail-intercept or computer assisted Electronic Methods e-mail or administered on the Internet or the Web A Comparative Evaluation of Survey Methods Sample control – the ability of the survey mode to reach the units specified in the sample effectively and efficiently. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Sampling frame – A representation of the elements of the target population. It consists of a list or set of directions for identifying the target population. Random digit dialing (RDD) – a technique used to overcome the bias of unpublished and recent telephone numbers by selecting all telephone number digits at random. Random digit directory design – a research design for telephone surveys in which a sample of numbers is drawn from the telephone directory and modified to allow unpublished numbers a chance of being included in the sample. A Concept Map for Quantitative Descriptive Data Malhotra Chapter 8. Measurement and Scaling Measurement means assigning numbers or other symbols to characteristics of objects according to certain prespecified rules. Note that what we measure is not the object, but some characteristic of it. Thus, we do not measure consumers—only their perceptions, attitudes, preferences, or other relevant characteristics; First, numbers permit statistical analysis of the resulting data. Second, numbers facilitate the communication of measurement rules and results Scaling involves creating a continuum upon which measured objects are located. Description the unique labels or descriptors that are used to designate each value of the scale. All scales possess description. Order the relative sized or positions of the descriptors. Order is denoted by descriptors such as greater than, less than and equal to. Distance the characteristic of distance means that absolute differences between the scale descriptors are known and may be expressed in units. Origin the origin characteristic means that the scale has a unique or fixed beginning or true zero point Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Primary Scales of Measurement Nominal scale a scale whose numbers serve only as labels or tags for identifying and classifying objects. When used for identification, there is a strict one-to-one correspondence between the numbers and the objects. Ordinal scale a ranking scale in which numbers are assigned to objects to indicate the relative extent to which some characteristics is possessed. Thus, it is possible to determine whether an object has more or less of a characteristic than some other object. Interval scale a scale in which the numbers are used to rate objects such that numerically equal distances on the scale represent equal distances in the characteristic being measured. Ratio scale The highest scale. It allows the researcher to identify or classify objects, rankorder the objects and compare interval or differences. It is also meaningful to compute ratios of scale values. A Comparison of Scaling Techniques Comparative scales one of two types of scaling techniques in which there is direct comparison of stimulus objects with one another. Noncomparative scales one of two types of scaling techniques in which each stimulus object is scaled independently of the other objects in the stimulus set. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Comparative Scaling Techniques Paired comparison scaling a comparative scaling technique in which a respondent is presented with two objects at a time and asked to select one object in the pair according to some criterion. The data obtained are ordinal in nature. Transitivity of preference an assumption made in order to convert paired comparison data to rank order data. It implies that if brand A is preferred to brand B and brand B is preferred to brand C, then brand A is preferred to brand C. o Rank order scaling A comparative scaling technique in which respondents are presented with several objects simultaneously and asked to order or rank them according to some criterion; advantage is that most respondents easily understand the instructions for ranking. The major disadvantage is that this technique produces only ordinal data. o Constant Sum Scaling a comparative scaling technique in which respondents are required to allocate a constant sum of units such as points, dollars, chits, stickers or chips among a set of stimulus object with respect to some criterion. The main advantage of the constant sum scale is that it allows for fine discrimination among stimulus objects without requiring too much time. However, it has two primary disadvantages. Respondents may allocate more or fewer units than those specified; Another potential problem is rounding error if too few units (e.g., points) are used. Q-Sort scaling a comparative scaling technique that uses a rank order procedure to sort objects based on similarity with respect to some criterion. Ethics in Marketing Research The researcher has the responsibility to use the appropriate type of scales to get the data needed to answer the research questions and test the hypotheses. A Concept Map for Primary Scales Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Malhotra Chapter 9. Noncomparative Scaling Techniques one of two types of scaling techniques in which each stimulus object is scaled independently of the other objects in the stimulus set. Continuous Rating Scale also referred to as graphic rating scale, this measurement scale has the respondents rate the objects by placing a mark at the appropriate position on a line that runs from one extreme of the criterion variable to other. Itemized Rating Scales a measurement scale having numbers and/or brief descriptions associated with each category. The categories are ordered in terms of scale position. Likert Scale a measurement scale with five response categories ranging from “strongly disagree” to “strongly agree”, which requires the respondents to indicate a degree of agreement or disagreement with each of a series of statements related to the stimulus objects. Semantic Differential Scale a 7-point rating scale with endpoints associated with bipolar labels that have semantic meaning. Stapel Scale a scale for measuring attitudes that consists of a single adjective in the middle of an even-numbered range of values, from -5 to +5, without a neutral point (zero). Noncomparative Itemized Rating Scale Decisions six major decisions 1. The number of scale categories to use Two conflicting considerations are involved in deciding the number of scale categories. The greater the number of scale categories, the finer the discrimination among stimulus objects that is possible. On the other hand, most respondents cannot handle more than a few categories. If the respondents are interested in the scaling task and are knowledgeable about the objects, a larger number of categories may be employed. 2. Balanced versus unbalanced scale balanced scale – a scale with an equal number of favorable and unfavorable categories - In general, the scale should be balanced in order to obtain objective data. However, if the distribution of responses is likely to be skewed, either positively or negatively, an unbalanced scale with more categories in the direction of skewness may be appropriate. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 3. Odd or even number of categories With an odd number of categories, the middle scale position is generally designated as neutral or impartial The decision to use an odd or even number of categories depends on whether some of the respondents may be neutral on the response being measured. 4. Forced versus non-forced choice forced rating scales – that forces the respondents to express an opinion because “no opinion” or “no knowledge” option is not provided. 5. The nature and degree of the verbal description Scale categories may have verbal, numerical, or even pictorial descriptions. Furthermore, the researcher must decide whether to label every scale category, some scale categories, or only extreme scale categories. Surprisingly, providing a verbal description for each category may not improve the accuracy or reliability of the data 6. The physical form of the scale Multi-Item Scales consists of multiple items, where an item is a single question or statement to be evaluated. The researcher begins by developing the construct of interest. Next, the researcher must develop a theoretical definition of the construct that states the meaning of the central idea or concept of interest. For this, we need an underlying theory of the construct being measured. Construct a specific type of concept that exists at a higher level of abstraction than do every day concepts. Measurement Accuracy Measurement error the variation in the information sought by the researcher and the information generated by the measurement process employed. True score model a mathematical model that provides a framework for understanding the accuracy of measurement. Systematic error affects the measurement in a constant way and represents stable factors that affect the observed score in the same way each time the measurement is made. Random error measurement error that arises from random changes or differences in respondents or measurement situations. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Reliability the extent to which a scale produces consistent results if repeated measurements are made on the characteristic. Test-retest reliability an approach for assessing reliability in which respondents are administered identical sets of scale items at two different times under as nearly equivalent conditions as possible Alternative-forms reliability an approach for assessing reliability that requires two equivalent forms of the scale to be constructed and then the same respondents are measured at two different times. Internal consistency reliability an approach for assessing the internal consistency of the set of items when several items are summated in order to form a total for the scale Split-half reliability a form of internal consistency reliability in which the items constituting the scale are divided into two halves and the resulting half scores are correlated Coefficient alpha a measure of internal consistency reliability that is the average of all possible split-half coefficients resulting from different splattings’ of the scale items. Validity the extent to which differences in observed scale scores reflect true differences among objects on the characteristic being measured, rather than systematic or random errors. Content validity a type of validity, sometimes called face validity, that consists of a subjective but systematic evaluation of the representativeness of the content of a scale for the measuring task at hand. Criterion validity a type of validity that examines whether the measurement scale performs as expect in relation to other variables selected as meaningful criteria. Construct validity a type of validity that addresses the question of what construct or characteristic the scale is measuring. An attempt is made to answer theoretical questions of why a scale works and what deductions can be made concerning the theory underlying the scale. Convergent validity a measure of construct validity that measures the extent to which the scale correlates positively with other measures of the same construct. Discriminant validity a type of construct validity that assesses the extent to which a measure does not correlate with other constructs from which it supposed to differ. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Nomological validity a type of validity that assesses the relationship between theoretical constructs. It seeks to confirm significant correlations between the constructs as predicted by theory. Relationship Between Reliability and Validity - The relationship between reliability and validity can be understood in terms of the true score model. If a measure is perfectly valid, it is also perfectly reliable. In this case XO XT, XR 0, and XS 0. Thus, perfect validity implies perfect reliability Generalizability the degree to which a study based on a sample applies to a universe of generalizations. Choosing scaling techniques As a general rule, using the scaling technique that will yield the highest level of information feasible in a given situation will permit the use of the greatest variety of statistical analyses; whenever feasible, several scale items should measure the characteristic of interest. Ethics in Marketing Research The researcher has the ethical responsibility to use scales that have reasonable reliability, validity, and generalizability. The findings generated by scales that are unreliable, invalid, or not generalizable to the target population are questionable at best and raise serious ethical issues A Concept Map for Non-comparative Scales Malhotra Chapter 10 Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Questionnaires and Observation Forms Questionnaire - A structured technique for data collection that consists of a series of questions, written or verbal, that a respondent answer. Any questionnaire has three specific objectives. First, it must translate the information needed into a set of specific questions that the respondents can and will answer. Second, a questionnaire must uplift, motivate, and encourage the respondent to become involved in the interview, to cooperate, and to complete the interview. Third, a questionnaire should minimize response error. Questionnaire Design Process The great weakness of questionnaire design is lack of theory. Because there are no scientific principles that guarantee an optimal or ideal questionnaire, questionnaire design is a skill acquired through experience. It is an art rather than a science. Individual Question Content Is the Question Necessary? Every question in a questionnaire should contribute to the information needed or serve some specific purpose. If there is no satisfactory use for the data resulting from a question, that question should be eliminated. Are Several Questions Needed Instead of One? Once we have ascertained that a question is necessary, we must make sure that it is sufficient to get the desired information. Sometimes, several questions are needed to obtain the required information in an unambiguous manner. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Double-barreled question A single question that attempts to cover two issues. Such questions can be confusing to respondents and result in ambiguous responses. Overcoming Inability to Answer Researchers should not assume that respondents can provide accurate or reasonable answers to all questions. The researcher should attempt to overcome the respondents’ inability to answer. Certain factors limit the respondents’ ability to provide the desired information. The respondents may not be informed, may not remember, or may be unable to articulate certain types of responses. Is the Respondent Informed? Respondents are often asked about topics on which they are not informed. Research has shown that respondents will often answer questions even though they are uninformed. Filter questions An initial question in a questionnaire that screens potential respondents to ensure they meet the requirements of the sample Can the Respondent Remember? Many things that we might expect everyone to know are remembered by only a few Telescoping A psychological phenomenon that takes place when an individual telescopes or compresses time by remembering an event as occurring more recently than it actually occurred. Can the Respondent Articulate? Respondents may be unable to articulate certain types of responses. If the respondents are unable to articulate their responses to a question, they are likely to ignore that question and may refuse to respond to the rest of the questionnaire. Thus, respondents should be given aids, such as pictures, maps, and descriptions, to help them articulate their responses. Overcoming Unwillingness to Answer Effort Required of the Respondents Most respondents are unwilling to devote a lot of effort to provide information. Hence, the researcher should minimize the effort required of the respondents. Context Some questions may seem appropriate in certain contexts but not in others. Respondents are unwilling to respond to questions that they consider inappropriate for the given context. Sometimes, the researcher can manipulate the context in which the questions are asked so that the questions seem appropriate. Legitimate Purpose Respondents are also unwilling to divulge information that they do not see as serving a legitimate purpose. Why should a firm marketing cereal want to know their age, income, and occupation? Explaining why the data are needed can make the request for the information seem legitimate and increase the respondents’ willingness to answer. Sensitive Information Respondents are unwilling to disclose, at least accurately, sensitive information because this may cause embarrassment or threaten the respondent’s prestige or self-image. If pressed for the answer, respondents may give biased responses, especially during personal interviews. Sensitive topics include money, family life, political and religious beliefs, and involvement in accidents or crimes. The techniques described in the following section can be adopted to increase the likelihood of obtaining information that respondents are unwilling to give. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Increasing the Willingness of Respondents: 1. Place sensitive topics at the end of the questionnaire. By then, initial mistrust has been overcome, rapport has been created, the legitimacy of the project has been established, and respondents are more willing to give information. 2. Preface the question with a statement that the behavior of interest is common. 3. Ask the question using the third-person technique, phrase the question as if it referred to other people. 4. Hide the question in a group of other questions that respondents are willing to answer. The entire list of questions can then be asked quickly. 5. Provide response categories rather than asking for specific figures. Do not ask, “What is your household’s annual income?” Instead, ask the respondent to check the appropriate income category: under $25,000, $25,001–$50,000, $50,001–$75,000, or over $75,000. In personal interviews, give the respondents cards that list the numbered choices. The respondents then indicate their responses by number. 6. Use randomized techniques. In these techniques, respondents are presented with two questions, one sensitive and the other a neutral question with a known probability of a “yes” response (e.g., “Is your birthday in March?”). They are asked to select one question randomly, for example, by flipping a coin. The respondent then answers the selected question “yes” or “no,” without telling the researcher which question is being answered. Given the overall probability of a “yes” response, the probability of selecting the sensitive question, and the probability of a “yes” response to the neutral question, the researcher can determine the probability of a “yes” response to the sensitive question using the law of probability. However, the researcher cannot determine which respondents have answered “yes” to sensitive questions. Choosing Question Structure Unstructured questions Open-ended questions that respondents answer in their own words. Structured questions Questions that prespecify the set of response alternatives and the response format. A structured question could be multiple choice, dichotomous, or a scale. Multiple choice questions o Order or position bias A respondent’s tendency to check an alternative merely because it occupies a certain position or is listed in a certain order. Dichotomous question A structured question with only two response alternatives, such as yes and no. Scales Choosing Question Wording Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Question wording is the translation of the desired question content and structure into words that respondents can clearly and easily understand. Deciding on question wording is perhaps the most critical and difficult task in developing a questionnaire. Define the Issue a question should clearly define the issue being addressed. Use Ordinary Words Ordinary words should be used in a questionnaire and they should match the vocabulary level of the respondents. Use Unambiguous Words The words used in a questionnaire should have a single meaning that is known to the respondents. A number of words that appear to be unambiguous have different meanings to different people. These include “usually,” “normally,” “frequently,” “often,” “regularly,” “occasionally,” and “sometimes”. Avoid Leading or Biasing Questions Leading questions A question that gives the respondent a clue as to what answer is desired or leads the respondent to answer in a certain way. Acquiescence bias This bias is the result of some respondents’ tendency to agree with the direction of a leading question (yea-saying). Avoid Implicit Alternatives An alternative that is not explicitly expressed in the options is an implicit alternative. Making an implied alternative explicit may increase the percentage of people selecting that alternative. Avoid Implicit Assumptions Questions should not be worded so that the answer is dependent upon implicit assumptions about what will happen as a consequence. Implicit assumptions are assumptions that are not stated in the question. Avoid Generalizations and Estimates Questions should be specific, not general. Moreover, questions should be worded so that the respondent does not have to make generalizations or compute estimates Determining the Order of Questions Opening Questions The opening questions can be crucial in gaining the confidence and cooperation of respondents. The opening questions should be interesting, simple, and nonthreatening. Questions that ask respondents for their opinions can be good opening questions, because most people like to express their opinions. Type of information The type of information obtained in a questionnaire may be classified as (1) basic information, (2) classification information, and (3) identification information. Basic information relates directly to the research problem. Classification information, consisting of socioeconomic and demo- graphic characteristics, is used to classify the respondents and understand the results. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Identification information includes name, postal address, e-mail address, and telephone number. Identification information may be obtained for a variety of purposes, including verifying that the respondents listed were actually interviewed, remitting promised incentives, and so on. Difficult questions Difficult questions or questions that are sensitive, embarrassing, complex, or dull should be placed late in the sequence. After rapport has been established and the respondents become involved, they are less likely to object to these questions. Effect on Subsequent Questions Questions asked early in a sequence can influence the responses to subsequent questions. As a rule of thumb, general questions should precede specific questions. This prevents specific questions from biasing responses to general questions. funnel approach A strategy for ordering questions in a questionnaire in which the sequence starts with general questions that are followed by progressively specific questions in order to prevent specific questions from biasing general questions. Logical Order Questions should be asked in a logical order. All of the questions that deal with a particular topic should be asked before beginning a new topic. When switching topics, brief transitional phrases should be used to help respondents switch their train of thought. Branching questions Question used to guide an interviewer through a survey by directing the interviewer to different spots on the questionnaire depending on the answers given. Pretesting The testing of the questionnaire on a small sample of respondents for the purpose of improving the questionnaire by identifying and eliminating potential problems. Lilien et al. Chapter 7 The Marketing Mix refers to the levers that marketing managers pull to create a marketing plan Product Price Place Promotion Advertising any paid form of nonpersonal presentation and promotion of ideas, goods, or services by an identified sponsor. Direct marketing the use of mail, telephone, the Internet, and other non-face-to-face contact tools to communicate with or solicit a response from specific customers and prospects. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Sales promotion short-term incentives to encourage customers to try or purchase a product or service Personal selling face-to-face interactions with one or more prospective customers for the purpose of making a sale. Pricing Decision Price is the only marketing variable that directly affects revenue: The Classical Economics Approach For a classical economist price is the driving force that allocates goods and services in the marketplace For the customer it represents the cost of a purchase in monetary terms For the producer/seller helps in determining the level of supply and allocate economic resources on the production side Price elasticity: The classical model relies on several key assumptions that limits its applicability: The firm’s objective in setting its price is maximizing the short-run profits it can realize from a particular product. The only outside parties to consider in setting the price are the firm’s immediate customers Price setting occurs independently of the levels set for other variables in the marketing mix Demand and cost equations can be estimated with sufficient accuracy The firm has true control over price; it is a price maker, not a price taker Market responses to price changes are well understood Cost-Oriented Pricing Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Many firms set their prices largely or even wholly on the basis of their costs typically, they compute all costs, including allocations for overhead expenses, based on expected operating levels. Most elementary examples: Markup cost-plus pricing Demand-Oriented Pricing Demand-oriented approaches observe demand for the product at various price levels and thereby focus on customer value. It attempts to charge a higher price when demand is strong and a lower price when demand is weak, even if production costs remain the same. The Gabor-Granger Method (1964) simple method to estimate customers’ willingness to buy at different price points (and interpolate between those price points). It can be viewed as simple alternative to conjoint analysis, except that it focuses only on price, keeping all other attributes constant. Limitations: The results are sensitive to how the survey responses are translated into purchase likelihood. If the optimal price point falls outside the range of tested price levels, the model predictions are not reliable, and the study should be conducted again to include those price levels. The model does not readily provide margins of error or confidence intervals for the optimal price level. An insight from the model is that at the optimal price point, sales never reach maximum potential. At the price level that optimizes profit, there will always be customers who do not buy the product because it falls outside their price range. Thus, if no customer complains that your price are too high, it means your product is priced too low for optimal profit. Competition-Oriented Pricing Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 When a company bases its prices chiefly on what competitors are charging. In the most common type of competition-oriented pricing, a firm tries to maintain its price at the average price level charged by the industry, also called going-rate or imitative pricing. Commonly applied to homogeneous commodities like oil. firms have no choice in setting price In markets characterized by product differentiation, individual firms have more latitude in their pricing decisions. Firms make their product and marketing programs compatible within each pricing zone and respond to competitors’ price changes to maintain their own relative prices. Price Discrimination and Revenue Management If a firm uses demand-based pricing, it faces the issue of how to implement price discrimination. A firm trying to implement direct price discrimination in practice faces several difficulties: 1. Identifying customers’ reservation prices is difficult. Rarely are the observable characteristics of customers closely correlated with their reservation prices, and firms cannot obtain accurate estimates by simply asking customers how much they will pay 2. Targeting a particular price at a particular segment is difficult. Most consumer goods, for example, feature posted prices and thus are available to every customer at an equal price. 3. Preventing arbitrage is difficult. Customers with low reservation prices may buy up a lot of the product and supply it to customers with higher reservation prices at a price higher than what they initially paid but lower than the reservation price of the latter group. 4. Charging different prices to different segments for an identical product may be illegal if price differences are based on certain groups, such as gender and race, or if the price discrimination has the effect of reducing competition in that industry. The Robinson-Patman Act governs discrimination in business practice in the US. 5. Customers may view price discrimination as unfair. Those who pay a higher price for an item resent price breaks given to others, unless the firm can position a price break positively, such as by framing it as a form of charity (senior citizen discounts, student discounts). In many situations, sellers “throw” other items into the package – free service, beneficial financing, free software – that make the price discrimination less obvious and perhaps more acceptable. To implement price discrimination, the firm must understand how to separate the market segments and support the price discrimination program through advertising, distribution, and other marketing instruments. Some of the most common schemes rely on geographic and temporal variation in pricing, use nonlinear pricing (i.e., base pricing on customer characteristics), and employ nonprice marketing instruments. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Pricing Product Lines Most firms market more than a single product, and if these products are not related, through either shared costs or interdependent demand, a price discrimination approach may be appropriate. Products in a line may relate to one another on the demand side, whether substitutes or complements. Cost interdependencies may mean shared production, distribution, or marketing expenditures. Some products might be sold together as a bundle (e.g., stereo system vs. individual components), which creates complementarities. The price of one product in a line may influence the buyer’s subjective evaluation of other products in the line. Resource Allocation and the Marketing Communications and Promotion Mix 1. How much should we spend in total during a given planning horizon? 2. How should that spending be allocated to each marketing mix element? How much of our budget should be spent on advertising and other forms of impersonal marketing communications? On sales promotion? On the sales force? 3. How should those individual budgets be allocated? To customers? To geographies? To sub-elements of the marketing communications mix? Over time? Advertising and Impersonal Marketing Communications Personal selling more effective than advertising but more expensive, it is most effective only when the expected level of sales to a single prospect is large Branding when a firm carries different brand names, it has to advertise each brand independently. Pricing the copy, or message and media placement of any advertising must reinforce and be consistent with the brand’s price position. Distribution channel to influence wholesaler or retailers, a firm can use two different strategies: push or pull. Push strategy the firm directs its marketing efforts towards salespeople or the trade industry, with the objective of pushing the product through the distribution channel Pull strategy requires the firm to aim its marketing strategy at the ultimate consumer in an attempt to stimulate consumer demand, which then pulls merchandise through distribution channels. Three major decisions surrounding advertising: Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 1. Setting objectives drive copy decisions and copy effects, vary by response group, affect media decisions. 2. Developing copy (what message?) 3. Choosing media and vehicles through which the message will be delivers, both on and offline Advertising Decision in Practice Affordable method Company should spend whatever funds are available for advertising and use advertising as a form of insurance. The basic weakness of this approach is that it leads to a fluctuating advertising budget that makes it difficult to plan for a long-range market development. Percentage-of-sales method set advertising expenditures at a specified percentage of firm sales (either current or anticipated) or the sales price. Advantages: Disadvantages: Expenditures vary with what the company can afford. It encourages managers to think in terms of the relationship among advertising cost, selling price and profit per unit. It encourages competitive stability by the extent that competing firms spend approximately the same percentage of their sales on advertising. Percentage-of-sales method really has little to justify it. It uses circular reasoning; in that it makes sales the determinant of advertising rather than its result. It also leads executives to set advertising appropriation on the basis of the availability of funds rather than the available opportunities. Furthermore, the model provides no logical basis for choosing a specific percentage, except historical precedent, competitors’ actions or costs. Finally, it does not encourage firms to appropriate funds for advertising constructively on a product-by-product or territory-by-territory basis but instead suggests that all allocations occur for the same percentage of sales. Competitive parity method Some companies set their advertising budgets specifically to match competitors’ outlays – that is, to maintain competitive parity. Since competitors’ expenditures represent the collective of the industry and maintaining competitive parity helps prevent advertising wars. However, there are no priori grounds that competitors’ use logical methods to determine their outlays. Knowing what the competition spends on advertising is undoubtably useful information, but it is one thing to have this information and another to copy it blindly. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Objective-and-task method Helps advertisers to develop their budgets by: 1. Defining their advertising objectives as specifically as possible 2. Determining the tasks required to achieve these objectives 3. Estimating the costs of those tasks Sum of these costs provides the proposed advertising budget. If firms undertake this method, they should develop their advertising goals as specifically as possible to guide them when they develop copy, select media, and measure results. This method enjoys strong appeal and broad popularity among advertisers. However, it cannot indicate how to choose the specific objectives or how to evaluate them to determine whether they are worth the cost of attaining them. Sales Force Decisions Sales for sizing and allocation Breakdown method: Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Sales Promotions: Types and effects Objectives of Promotions Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Lilien et al. Chapter 6 Marketing managers view products at three levels: Core product the part of the product that satisfies the customer’s central underlying need or want; the essence or fundamental aspect of a product. Tangible product the transformed core product, consisting of features, styling, quality level, brand name and packaging that make the core product into something that customers can buy. Augmented product enhancements to the tangible product in the form of additional services and features that make the product attractive, such as toll-free customer information, installation guides, delivery, warranty or after-sale services. The product is the most important element of the marketing mix around which all other aspects of the marketing program revolve. The new product development process If a firm decides that a new idea is attractive, it proceeds to the second stage design. There the idea is transformed to a physical model, picture or verbal description to denote its form, features and meaning. During the design stage, managers also seek a better understanding of the target market segments, explore alternative ways to position the product in those segments, work with engineers to determine cost-benefit trade-offs for Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 various product features, develop and evaluate product prototypes, create initial marketing plans and generate sales forecasts for selected product designs. The testing stage comes next, and managers use it to assess whether the product will gain market acceptance when it is introduced or meet the firm’s profit and market share goal according to the proposed marketing plan. Testing also offers diagnostic information about which changes to the product or marketing program might improve its chances of success. If the various tests indicate success, the firm proceeds to introduce the product. The fourth stage, actually introducing the product into the market, calls for careful decisions about coordinating production and marketing plans, fine-tuning the product design for manufacturability and managing the distribution pipeline. It also requires continuous market performance monitoring to refine the introductory strategy (e.g. price, advertising copy). Finally, if the firm successfully introduces a new product, it institutes a life cycle management plan with the goal of maintain the growth and profitability of the product. Successful products invite competition, so the firm needs both offensive and defensive strategies. Successful products also draw a disproportionate percentage of organizational resources, so the firm needs to undertake portfolio, not just individual product, management strategies to ensure the short-term and long-term profitability of its entire portfolio of products. Models for Idea generation and evaluation Creativity in NPD requires both divergent (lateral) and convergent thinking. Using divergent thinking techniques such as free association, brainstorming and synectics, people can generate many ideas. In the synectics process a facilitator stimulates new thoughts about familiar things, typically using analogies and metaphors (e.g., “How is music like water?”). Convergent thinking, in contrast, describes the process used to identify the most promising of the generated ideas, a step we call idea evaluation. Creativity Software Idea generation - several commercial software packages offer support to the creative process, based on the premise that interactions between people and software enhance creativity. Idea evaluation – software programs also can help evaluate new ideas, especially if there are so many that the task seems overwhelming. Conjoint analysis for product design Conjoint analysis uses data pertaining to customers’ overall preferences for a selected number of product bundles and decomposes them into the utility values (pathworths) that the customers assign to each level of each attribute. The set of decomposed utility values thus represents the partworth function. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 How to conduct conjoint analysis Strengths and Limitations of Conjoint analysis The following checklist provides guidelines to determine if conjoint analysis is suitable in a particular decision context: 1. In designing the product, you must make trade-offs among various attributes and benefits offered to customers. 2. You can decompose the product or service category into basic attributes that managers can act on and that are meaningful to customers. 3. The existing products are well described as combinations off attribute levels, and new product alternatives can be synthesized from those basic attribute levels. 4. You can describe the product bundles realistically, either verbally or pictorially. (If you cannot, consider using actual product formulations for the evaluations.) A well-executed conjoint study helps marketers distinguish between product attributes that people say are important and those that are truly important in terms of driving their preferences or choices. Malhotra Chapter 7 Concept of Causality Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Conditions for Causality concomitant variation - A condition for inferring causality that requires that a cause, X, and an effect, Y, occur together or vary together as predicted by the hypothesis under consideration. Time order of occurrence of variables The time order of occurrence condition states that the causing event must occur either before or simultaneously with the effect; it cannot occur afterwards. By definition, an effect cannot be produced by an event that occurs after the effect has taken place. However, it is possible for each event in a relationship to be both a cause and an effect of the other event. In other words, a variable can be both a cause and an effect in the same causal relationship. Absence of Other Possible Causal Factors The absence of other possible causal factors means that the factor or variable being investigated should be the only possible causal explanation. In an after-the-fact examination of a situation, we can never confidently rule out all other causal factors. In contrast, with experimental designs, it is possible to control for some of the other causal factors. It is also possible to balance the effects of some of the uncontrolled variables so that only random variations resulting from these uncontrolled variables will be measured. These aspects are discussed in more detail later in this chapter. Role of evidence Evidence of concomitant variation, time order of occurrence of variables, and elimination of other possible causal factors, even if combined, still do not demonstrate conclusively that a causal relationship exists. However, if all the evidence is strong and consistent, it may be reasonable to conclude that there is a causal relationship. Accumulated evidence from several investigations increases our confidence that a causal relationship exists. Confidence is further enhanced if the evidence is interpreted in light of intimate conceptual knowledge of the problem situation. Controlled experiments can provide strong evidence on all three conditions. Definitions and concepts Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 independent variables - Variables that are manipulated by the researcher and whose effects are measured and compared. test units - Individuals, organizations, or other entities whose response to independent variables or treatments is being studied. dependent variables - Variables that measure the effect of the independent variables on the test units. extraneous variables - Variables, other than the independent variables, that influence the response of the test units. Experiment - The process of manipulating one or more independent variables and measuring their effect on one or more dependent variables, while controlling for the extraneous variables. experimental design -The set of experimental procedures specifying, (1) the test units and sampling procedures, (2) independent variables, (3) dependent variables, and (4) how to control the extraneous variables. Definition of Symbols Validity of experimentation Internal validity - A measure of accuracy of an experiment. It measures whether the manipulation of the independent variables, or treatments, actually caused the effects on the dependent variable(s) external validity - A determination of whether the cause-and-effect relationships found in the experiment can be generalized. Extraneous Variables history (H) - Specific events that are external to the experiment but occur at the same time as the experiment. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 maturation (MA) - An extraneous variable attributable to changes in the test units themselves that occur with the passage of time. main testing effect (MT) - An effect of testing occurring when a prior observation affects a latter observation. interactive testing effect (IT) - An effect in which a prior measurement affects the test unit’s response to the independent variable. instrumentation - An extraneous variable involving changes in the measuring instrument or in the observers or scores themselves. statistical regression (SR) - An extraneous variable that occurs when test units with extreme scores move closer to the average score during the course of the experiment. selection bias (SB) - An extraneous variable attributable to the improper assignment of test units to treatment conditions. mortality (MO) - An extraneous variable attributable to the loss of test units while the experiment is in progress. confounding variables - Synonymous with extraneous variables, used to illustrate that extraneous variables can confound the results by influencing the dependent variable. Randomization - One method of controlling extraneous variables that involves randomly assigning test units to experimental groups by using random numbers. Treatment conditions are also randomly assigned to experimental groups Matching - One method of controlling extraneous variables that involves matching test units on a set of key background variables before assigning them to the treatment conditions. statistical control - One method of controlling extraneous variables by measuring the extraneous variables and adjusting for their effects through statistical methods. design control - One method of controlling extraneous variables that involves using specific experimental designs. A classification of experimental designs preexperimental designs - Designs that do not control for extraneous factors by randomization. true experimental designs - Experimental designs distinguished by the fact that the researcher can randomly assign test units to experimental groups and also randomly assign treatments to experimental groups. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 quasi-experimental designs - Designs that apply part of the procedures of true experimentation but lack full experimental control. statistical design - Designs that allow for the statistical control and analysis of external variables. Preexperimental Designs one-shot case study - A preexperimental design in which a single group of test units is exposed to a treatment X, and then a single measurement on the dependent variable is taken. one-group pretest- posttest design - A preexperimental design in which a group of test units is measured twice. static group - A preexperimental design in which there are two groups: the experimental group (EG), which is exposed to the treatment, and the control group (CG). Measurements on both groups are made only after the treatment, and test units are not assigned at random. True Experimental Designs pretest-posttest control group design - A true experimental design in which the experimental group is exposed to the treatment but the control group is not. Pretest and posttest measures are taken on both groups. posttest-only control group design - A true experimental design in which the experimental group is exposed to the treatment but the control group is not and no pretest measure is taken. Quasi-Experimental Designs Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 time series design - A quasi-experimental design that involves periodic measurements on the dependent variable for a group of test units. Then, the treatment is administered by the researcher or occurs naturally. After the treatment, periodic measurements are continued in order to determine the treatment effect. multiple time series design - A time series design that includes another group of test units to serve as a control group. Statistical Designs randomized block design - A statistical design in which the test units are blocked on the basis of an external variable to ensure that the various experimental and control groups are matched closely on that variable. Latin square design - A statistical design that allows for the statistical control of two noninteracting external variables in addition to the manipulation of the independent variable. factorial design - A statistical experimental design that is used to measure the effects of two or more independent variables at various levels and to allow for interactions between variables. Laboratory vs. Field Experiments laboratory environment - An artificial setting for experimentation in which the researcher constructs the desired conditions. field environment - An experimental location set in actual market conditions. demand artifacts - The respondents attempt to guess the purpose of the experiment and respond accordingly Limitations of Experimentation time, cost and administration Application: Test Marketing Test marketing – An application of controlled experiment done in limited, but carefully selected, test markets. It involves a replication of the planned national marketing program for a product in the test markets. test markets - A carefully selected part of the marketplace that is particularly suitable for test marketing. standard test market - A test market in which the product is sold through regular distribution channels. For example, no special considerations are given to products simply because they are being test-marketed. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 controlled test market - A test-marketing program conducted by an outside research company in field experimentation. The research company guarantees distribution of the product in retail outlets that represent a predetermined percentage of the market. simulated test market - A quasi–test market in which respondents are preselected, then interviewed and observed on their purchases and attitudes toward the product. debriefing - After the experiment, informing test subjects what the experiment was about and how the experimental manipulations were performed. Lilien et al. Chapter 3 Segmentation and Targeting Markets are heterogeneous. Customers differ in their needs, wants, constraints, beliefs, values and incentives to act. Segmenting markets, allows forms to better understand their customers and target their marketing efforts efficiently and effectively. Three fundamental factors provide the conditions that create the opportunity for a firm to segment a market successfully: 1. Heterogeneity of customer needs and wants. When customers are heterogeneous, some actively seek and pay a premium for products and services that better meet their needs and wants. 2. Though customers may be heterogenous, they must cluster into specific groups within which members’ needs are more similar to those of other customers in that group than they are to the needs of customers in other groups Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 3. The overall costs of serving customers in a segment must be equal or less than the prices they are willing to pay, even if those costs are higher than the costs of serving an average customer. The segmentation, targeting and positioning approach Targeting determines which groups a firm should try to serve (and how); and positioning addresses how the firm’s offering competes with other offerings in the targeted segment. Benefits of STP: By focusing marketing resources to better meet the needs of customers, a firm can profitably deliver more value to those customers Customers who perceive and realize more value from a specific brand will develop a stronger preference for it than for competing brands As a firm continues to provide good value to its customers, those customers become loyal to its brands and tend to repeat their purchases and communicate their favorable experiences to other potential customers Strong brand loyalty can lead to increased market share and provide a barrier to competition Strong brand loyalty requires fewer marketing resources over time to maintain market share Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Segmentation analysis A segmentation model requires a dependent variable, usually called a segmentation basis and independent variables, or segmentation descriptors. The STP Approach Segmentation consists of two phases: 1. Phase 1: segment the market using basis variables (e.g., customer needs, wants, benefits sought, problem solutions desired, preferences, values, usage situations). 2. Phase 2: Describe the market segments identified using variables that help the firm understand how to serve those customers (e.g., shopping patterns, geographic location, clothing size, family size), how to talk to these customers (e.g., media preferences and use, attitudes, activities, interests, options) and buyer switching costs (costs associated with changing products or suppliers). Targeting consists of three phases: Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 1. Phase 3: Evaluate the attractiveness of each segment using variables that quantify the demand levels and opportunities associated with each segment (e.g., growth rate), the costs of producing the offerings that customers want (e.g., production and product differentiation costs), and the fit between the firm’s core competencies and the target market opportunity. 2. Phase 4: Select one or more target segments to serve on the basis of their profit potential and fit with the firm’s corporate strategy; determine the level of resources to allocate to those segments 3. Phase 5: Find and reach targeted customers and prospects within targeted segments in a variety of ways, including direct mail contact, advertising in selected media vehicles, targeted sales force presentations and the like. Segmentation Research: Designing and Collecting Data 1. Develop the measurement instrument: What information needs to be collected, and how should it be collected (e.g., survey form)? 2. Select a sample: Who (which respondents? Where? In what households or organizations?) needs to be studied? 3. Select and aggregate respondents: How do different responses from several individuals in a household or organization s combine to predict how the household or organization will behave 4. Analyze the data and segment the market: What statistical procedure will segment (potential) customers and describe aspects of their characteristics or behavior that are crucial to serving their needs? Forming Segments Hierarchical methods: Build up or break down the data row by row Partitioning methods: Break the data into a prespecified number of groups and then reallocate or swap data to improve some statistical measure of fit (i.e., the ratio of with-in-group to between-group variation). Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Malhotra Chapter 20 Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 Cluster analysis is a class of techniques used to classify objects or cases into relatively homogeneous groups called clusters. Objects in each cluster tend to be similar to each other and dissimilar to objects in the other clusters. Statistics Associated with Cluster Analysis Select a Clustering Procedure hierarchical clustering A clustering procedure characterized by the development of a hierarchy or tree-like structure. agglomerative clustering Hierarchical clustering procedure where each object starts out in a separate cluster. Clusters are formed by grouping objects into bigger and bigger clusters. divisive clustering Hierarchical clustering procedure where all objects start out in one giant cluster. Clusters are formed by dividing this cluster into smaller and smaller clusters. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 linkage methods Agglomerative methods of hierarchical clustering that cluster objects based on a computation of the distance between them. single linkage Linkage method that is based on minimum distance or the nearest neighbor rule. complete linkage Linkage method that is based on maximum distance or the furthest neighbor approach. average linkage A linkage method based on the average distance between all pairs of objects, where one member of the pair is from each of the clusters. variance methods An agglomerative method of hierarchical clustering in which clusters are generated to minimize the within-cluster variance. Ward’s procedure Variance method in which the squared euclidean distance to the cluster means is minimized. centroid methods A method of hierarchical clustering in which clusters are generated so as to maximize the distances between the centers or centroids of clusters. nonhierarchical clustering A procedure that first assigns or determines one or more cluster centers and then groups all objects within a prespecified threshold value from the center(s). Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl) lOMoARcPSD|1794814 sequential threshold method A nonhierarchical clustering method in which a cluster center is selected and all objects within a prespecified threshold value from the center are grouped together. parallel threshold method Nonhierarchical clustering method that specifies several cluster centers at once. All objects that are within a prespecified threshold value from the center are grouped together. optimizing partitioning method Nonhierarchical clustering method that allows for later reassignment of objects to clusters to optimize an overall criterion. Assess Reliability and Validity 1. Perform cluster analysis on the same data using different distance measures. Compare the results across measures to determine the stability of the solutions. 2. Use different methods of clustering and compare the results. 3. Split the data randomly into halves. Perform clustering separately on each half. Compare cluster centroids across the two subsamples. 4. Delete variables randomly. Perform clustering based on the reduced set of variables. Compare the results with those obtained by clustering based on the entire set of variables. 5. In nonhierarchical clustering, the solution may depend on the order of cases in the data set. Make multiple runs using a different order of cases until the solution stabilizes. Gedownload door Tim Verwoerd (ttttim@live.nl)